Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Favorites - NFL Betting Recap Conference Championships
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast presented by BET three
- 0:12Speaker 1: sixty five. We are part of the Volume podcast Network.
- 0:15Speaker 1: Live from our Tommy John Holmes Studios. I am Chad
- 0:19Speaker 1: Millman of the Action Network. This is our Sunday Night
- 0:22Speaker 1: Conference Championship Round episode. What a day of Conference Championship
- 0:28Speaker 1: games it was. We will review the results of our
- 0:32Speaker 1: bets from the day, preview the early lines for the
- 0:37Speaker 1: Super Bowl between the Kansas City Chiefs and Simon Hunters
- 0:42Speaker 1: Philadelphia Eagles. I'm joined as always by my co host,
- 0:45Speaker 1: my companion, Mike ca and padre My BFF Professional Better
- 0:48Speaker 1: Simon Hunter.
- 0:49Speaker 2: And Oh so I am in Chad. How are we doing?
- 0:52Speaker 3: Brother?
- 0:53Speaker 1: Your Philadelphia Eagles are in the Super Bowl? Man, they
- 0:57Speaker 1: are playing the Kansas City Chiefs. What a game between
- 1:02Speaker 1: the Bills and the Chiefs. We will get to that.
- 1:04Speaker 1: We will get to the Eagles commanders. We'll get to
- 1:07Speaker 1: the early look at our Super Bowl take in a second.
- 1:10Speaker 1: The Chiefs opened as one and a half point favorites.
- 1:13Speaker 1: We loved the Eagles at minus six today never a
- 1:17Speaker 1: sweat kind of We love the Chiefs at minus one
- 1:20Speaker 1: and a half and the money line that game was
- 1:23Speaker 1: everything We were hoping it would be. Uh, we're having
- 1:27Speaker 1: a really nice run here in the playoffs. We also
- 1:30Speaker 1: both had huge, huge future bets involving the Chiefs and
- 1:34Speaker 1: the Eagles. I had the matchup at twenty eight to one,
- 1:37Speaker 1: so this was a particularly enjoyable sweat. You have the
- 1:41Speaker 1: Chiefs beating the Eagles at fifty five to one, but
- 1:43Speaker 1: you got so many futures in this matchup that you're
- 1:46Speaker 1: feeling pretty great. Just give me your first reaction to
- 1:49Speaker 1: the Eagles being in the Super Bowl right now.
- 1:52Speaker 2: So many emotions. You know, it is, brother, it's like
- 1:55Speaker 2: you can't believe it. You fall in love with.
- 1:56Speaker 4: Your team, especially your home team, and it's the best.
- 2:00Speaker 4: It's really the best, and it's the best feeling because
- 2:02Speaker 4: you know that nothing lasts forever like it. It You
- 2:06Speaker 4: could just be the bottom of the league for the
- 2:08Speaker 4: next twenty three years, which a lot of Diere Eagles
- 2:10Speaker 4: fans are in their fifties and sixties, that's what most
- 2:12Speaker 4: of their life was. It's only been recent that the
- 2:15Speaker 4: Eagles have been this type of team that you know,
- 2:17Speaker 4: can even make these type of runs. So yeah, pretty surreal.
- 2:20Speaker 4: Being in the sports book, obviously, it's filled off your
- 2:22Speaker 4: dominant because the area I live in, you know, like
- 2:25Speaker 4: literally was in the city at the books and the
- 2:28Speaker 4: amount of just grown men crying, that's that's the funniest
- 2:31Speaker 4: feeling because you just know everyone, you know, we're all fans,
- 2:33Speaker 4: we bet on these teams, but we also deep down
- 2:36Speaker 4: it's like, you know, you're fan first is you know
- 2:38Speaker 4: the money. Someone like me, I don't mind betting against
- 2:40Speaker 4: it because it's like it's part of my job.
- 2:42Speaker 2: But the normal fan.
- 2:44Speaker 4: The everyday worker, you know, that was that was, you know,
- 2:46Speaker 4: everything for them. So yeah, I'm gonna enjoy because I
- 2:49Speaker 4: know what's up ahead and I'm playing the Chiefs, and
- 2:50Speaker 4: I know that this could just be my super Bowl.
- 2:52Speaker 2: Winning the NFC in itself, in the.
- 2:54Speaker 4: Path Mahomes era is a super Bowl just because this
- 2:56Speaker 4: man is so dominant.
- 2:57Speaker 2: But yeah, right now, you know, sitting on.
- 3:00Speaker 4: A fifty burger, what the Egles just did, It's like,
- 3:03Speaker 4: I'm just gonna enjoy it. Highest scoring game ever, most
- 3:06Speaker 4: points ever scored by a team in the championship game
- 3:08Speaker 4: in the NFL history, So pretty special group this team.
- 3:11Speaker 1: Double nickel for the Philadelphia Eagles. And let's also like
- 3:18Speaker 1: feel so bad for Matt Mitchell like, I don't know
- 3:20Speaker 1: if that's what losing regular looked like in his head.
- 3:26Speaker 1: That catch at the end was so much closer. We'll
- 3:29Speaker 1: get to it. Yeah, let's line it up here. Catch
- 3:32Speaker 1: every episode of The Favorites live on YouTube. For those
- 3:34Speaker 1: enjoying on YouTube, don't forget to give us a like
- 3:37Speaker 1: and subscribe to the Action Network YouTube page as a reminder.
- 3:41Speaker 1: Of The Favorites podcast is presented by Bet three sixty
- 3:43Speaker 1: five and now new Bet three sixty five. Customers get
- 3:46Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets when you
- 3:49Speaker 1: bet five dollars, sign up using promo code Favorites, deposit
- 3:52Speaker 1: ten dollars. Place a bet for five dollars to get
- 3:54Speaker 1: one hundred and fifty dollars in bonus bets. Those bonus
- 3:57Speaker 1: bets can be used on spreads, totals, player props, futures, more,
- 4:00Speaker 1: whatever the moment, It's never ordinary at Bet three sixty five.
- 4:03Speaker 1: Must be twenty one or older in present in Arizona, Colorado, Indiana, Iowa, Louisiana,
- 4:08Speaker 1: North Carolina, New Jersey, Ohio, Pennsylvania, Virginia, or eighteen and
- 4:12Speaker 1: older in Kentucky. Gambling Problem called one eight hundred gambler
- 4:16Speaker 1: or one eight hundred bets off in Iowa terms. Conditions
- 4:19Speaker 1: restrictions apply before we get to the games.
- 4:22Speaker 3: This is really fun. People love what we're about to do.
- 4:24Speaker 1: Here we have the new Bet three six ' five
- 4:30Speaker 1: Super Bowl prop contest. This is this is a tradition
- 4:35Speaker 1: going back to when I started behind the Bets at
- 4:40Speaker 1: ESPN with bookmaker Bob Scucci.
- 4:43Speaker 3: The ogs of.
- 4:44Speaker 1: The podcast will remember this if you're new to the show,
- 4:49Speaker 1: it is It is such a fun contest. So what
- 4:54Speaker 1: happens is we will ask you to send your custom
- 5:00Speaker 1: bet live and ready to accept action on bet three
- 5:04Speaker 1: six five.
- 5:05Speaker 3: You have a chance to get.
- 5:07Speaker 1: Your Super Bowl prop up on Bet three six five's board.
- 5:12Speaker 1: I put that in quotes. You just got to follow
- 5:16Speaker 1: some simple rules, okay. The bets must adhere to State
- 5:22Speaker 1: Gaming Commission regulations. Every part of the bet must be
- 5:27Speaker 1: settled on the field of play. No will they show
- 5:30Speaker 1: Taylor Swift on TV kind of stuff. It must be
- 5:34Speaker 1: on the field of play, in the in the box
- 5:37Speaker 1: sport kind of stuff. The winning submissions always have a
- 5:41Speaker 1: clever name. For example, last year the winner was will
- 5:46Speaker 1: Brock Purty score and octopus the touchdown plus a two
- 5:50Speaker 1: point conversion. The prop was called the Brock to Puss.
- 5:55Speaker 1: Eight years ago for the Falcons Patriots, the winner was
- 5:59Speaker 1: a prop about Matt Ryan passing stats called the Millennium Falcon.
- 6:06Speaker 1: The winner gets an Action Network prize, a chance to
- 6:09Speaker 1: come out of the show talk to me and Simon
- 6:11Speaker 1: about it. The pick will go live on the bet
- 6:13Speaker 1: three sixty five website. Email those submissions podcasts at actionnetwork
- 6:20Speaker 1: dot com, Matt Mitchell, do.
- 6:22Speaker 5: We have a.
- 6:27Speaker 3: Podcasts? Sorry? Do we have a deadline?
- 6:30Speaker 1: Email podcasts at actionnetwork dot com. Do we have a
- 6:35Speaker 1: deadline of when people have to get these up?
- 6:38Speaker 5: We have to submit to bet through sixty five for
- 6:40Speaker 5: approval on Friday, so you'll have this episode in our
- 6:44Speaker 5: Tuesday and Thursday episode. But make sure to get those
- 6:48Speaker 5: in early enough. And I don't care if you submit
- 6:50Speaker 5: a hundred of them, as long as they all adhere
- 6:52Speaker 5: to the Gaming Commission rules.
- 6:54Speaker 3: So we love them.
- 6:56Speaker 1: It's a phenomenal contest. People go like, real people are
- 6:59Speaker 1: going to bet on. You're gonna get real action on this,
- 7:01Speaker 1: and it's super fun.
- 7:03Speaker 3: All right.
- 7:04Speaker 1: Eagles were six point favorites. They were our big balls
- 7:07Speaker 1: bet of the week. It was a fascinating day to
- 7:10Speaker 1: day Simon. We pointed this out several times and I
- 7:12Speaker 1: talked about this on the Herd with Colin. The public
- 7:18Speaker 1: was all over the underdog lower seeds on the road
- 7:24Speaker 1: against the most dominant defense in the NFL and against
- 7:27Speaker 1: the greatest quarterback other than Tom Brady who's ever lived
- 7:30Speaker 1: In this first game, preponderance of tickets on Jayden Daniels,
- 7:34Speaker 1: which is why it sort of became our big Balls
- 7:37Speaker 1: bet of the week. One of the key factors for us.
- 7:43Speaker 1: We thought Jalen Carter against the interior of the Commander's
- 7:46Speaker 1: offensive line, especially without Sam Cosmi, was going to be
- 7:48Speaker 1: a factor. He blew up the first play of the
- 7:51Speaker 1: game against the replacement. But what a game this was.
- 7:55Speaker 1: I mean, there's so much to unpacked her Saquon, the
- 8:00Speaker 1: way he audibled Jalen audibled into that first play that
- 8:04Speaker 1: he ran for sixty yards in a touchdown. My feeling
- 8:10Speaker 1: about the Eagles is they left a lot of opportunities
- 8:14Speaker 1: on the field and there was a moment where it
- 8:17Speaker 1: felt like we were gonna not lose this game, but
- 8:21Speaker 1: maybe not cover this game.
- 8:24Speaker 4: No, everyone loved Washington like you're saying, coming to this game,
- 8:27Speaker 4: and you know it's that Jason Kelsey song no one
- 8:30Speaker 4: likes us, No one likes us, we don't care, which
- 8:31Speaker 4: is actually Premier League song that Eagles fans just basically
- 8:35Speaker 4: stole made of their own. But it's the truth. No
- 8:37Speaker 4: one liked the Eagles. Everyone was just betting the Commanders.
- 8:40Speaker 4: They're trying to find reasons they're I mean, we joked
- 8:42Speaker 4: about they kind of regressing that straw as it was
- 8:44Speaker 4: like none of that stuff was logical. The only thing
- 8:47Speaker 4: he kept going back to was well they have the
- 8:49Speaker 4: better quarterback, which hard to argue about after watching that kid,
- 8:52Speaker 4: just playing that game. I mean, it is incredible how
- 8:55Speaker 4: good Jane Daniels is.
- 8:57Speaker 2: And you know that.
- 8:59Speaker 4: Type of game where that opening drive, they go three
- 9:03Speaker 4: for three on fourth downs and for some reason the
- 9:06Speaker 4: coach kicks the field goal. I honestly breathed like a
- 9:09Speaker 4: sigh of relief, and it was just like, Okay, they
- 9:12Speaker 4: are a little scared here, because that, to me, it
- 9:14Speaker 4: was like a really shocking moment where you had the
- 9:16Speaker 4: Eagles exhausted on their first drive. Yeah, and he kicks
- 9:19Speaker 4: the three, Like you said, first play touchdown, Barkley and
- 9:22Speaker 4: it basically, you know, like I said, I was at
- 9:25Speaker 4: the book, I turned the guy next to me and
- 9:26Speaker 4: it's like this this game, if they can't stop Barkley,
- 9:30Speaker 4: they're they're they're basically what we talked about, they're dead.
- 9:33Speaker 4: Like they're gonna have to stock the box, which honestly
- 9:37Speaker 4: is what the Eagles don't mind teams doing because they
- 9:39Speaker 4: can go over the top of them and they haven't
- 9:40Speaker 4: had to.
- 9:41Speaker 2: Because the run game has been so strong.
- 9:43Speaker 4: And yeah, that brutal beat anyone that had his overprop
- 9:47Speaker 4: I think he finished with one to eighteen three touchdowns
- 9:50Speaker 4: obviously goes under, but you know what we talked about
- 9:55Speaker 4: kind of played out that Eagles one of the best
- 9:58Speaker 4: running teams.
- 9:58Speaker 2: In all football.
- 10:00Speaker 4: Washington one of the worst runshing defenses in football.
- 10:05Speaker 2: You know, Eagles had seven rushing touchdowns in this game.
- 10:08Speaker 4: Yeah, again, not to show the Dallas Cowboys will had
- 10:11Speaker 4: a rushing touchdown. Yeah, Dallas Cowboys had six rushing touchdowns
- 10:14Speaker 4: all season. The Eagles had seven in one game. And
- 10:18Speaker 4: you know it's people talk about, you know, Jalen Hurts,
- 10:22Speaker 4: They bad mouth them, and I've realized, like I really
- 10:26Speaker 4: did this other day, that I don't know if you
- 10:27Speaker 4: remember the movie Shallow how Chad. Yeah, yeah, Eagles fans
- 10:31Speaker 4: are literally shallow Howe with our quarterback.
- 10:34Speaker 2: Like to us, he's a ten.
- 10:36Speaker 4: To everyone else, they see a two or of three,
- 10:39Speaker 4: but to us, he's an absolute ten in every way.
- 10:41Speaker 2: And it's like he just wins. And in that game,
- 10:45Speaker 2: you know, he had.
- 10:46Speaker 4: A couple of big time throws and it's just like
- 10:49Speaker 4: I get why people hate him.
- 10:50Speaker 2: I get why they hate.
- 10:51Speaker 4: The Egles, but it's like he's been to two Super
- 10:53Speaker 4: Bowls and people just disrespect his name. Is if Tua
- 10:56Speaker 4: could be doing the same thing for this Eagles team
- 10:58Speaker 4: and it's just it's not logical. So yeah, I'm happy
- 11:02Speaker 4: he showed out big. And it's like, I can't believe it.
- 11:05Speaker 4: Fifty five points in a championship game against you know,
- 11:09Speaker 4: a divisional rival that I expect to be facing for
- 11:11Speaker 4: the next five to ten years. It's it's a great
- 11:13Speaker 4: feeling and it played out exactly how we talked chat.
- 11:15Speaker 4: So it feels good to know the fans got the
- 11:17Speaker 4: over and they got the Eagles minus six.
- 11:19Speaker 1: So let me ask you this because I have so
- 11:21Speaker 1: many thoughts on Jalen Hurts I thought he was having
- 11:25Speaker 1: one of the best games I've seen him have, maybe
- 11:29Speaker 1: since the Super Bowl against the Chiefs.
- 11:31Speaker 3: You know, he was up and down last year.
- 11:33Speaker 4: You won't have him that Pittsburgh game in December. But
- 11:35Speaker 4: I get where you're coming from.
- 11:36Speaker 3: Yeah, Like, you know, and.
- 11:39Speaker 1: He was when he was decisive, he was accurate, he
- 11:45Speaker 1: was making good throws. But there were so many times
- 11:49Speaker 1: he is a heart attack in the pocket. If he
- 11:51Speaker 1: is not getting it out quickly, you know, he is
- 11:55Speaker 1: running backwards, he's running in circles. And I thought Tom
- 11:58Speaker 1: Brady did a real good job of pointing out many
- 12:03Speaker 1: times where he didn't throw the ball when he had
- 12:06Speaker 1: the guy a step open or an opportunity where you
- 12:10Speaker 1: just got to let it go. And I want your take, like,
- 12:14Speaker 1: as a fan and as someone who is a football expert,
- 12:19Speaker 1: is that an issue? Why do you think he does that?
- 12:22Speaker 4: Like?
- 12:23Speaker 1: Is it an Achilles heel? Am I looking too much
- 12:26Speaker 1: into it. Don't laugh at me. It's it's real.
- 12:30Speaker 4: It's just it's hard to take it serious where it's
- 12:32Speaker 4: like he's in the super Bowl.
- 12:35Speaker 1: You know, yes, he's in the super Bowl, but but
- 12:39Speaker 1: but they left so many my notes on the game
- 12:42Speaker 1: where they kept leaving opportunities on the field. And when
- 12:47Speaker 1: when they were when they were up thirty four twenty
- 12:50Speaker 1: three and Jake Daniels had the ball, you can't tell
- 12:55Speaker 1: me that you felt like that game was in the bag.
- 13:00Speaker 1: It was not in the bag. If Austin Eckler doesn't fumble,
- 13:04Speaker 1: I am not really confident that the Eagles are going
- 13:06Speaker 1: to be able to stop Jaden Daniels on that drive.
- 13:09Speaker 1: I was doing the Gamblers math like I had the
- 13:11Speaker 1: Eagles four and a half because we bet them, you know,
- 13:14Speaker 1: right away last Sunday, I'm like, holy shit, I'm not
- 13:17Speaker 1: even going to cover the four and a half after
- 13:18Speaker 1: being up like eighteen points because I had so much,
- 13:22Speaker 1: so little faith in the Eagles ability to stop Jayden
- 13:25Speaker 1: Daniels when he started to get on a role.
- 13:28Speaker 4: If not for that fumble, I'm laughing, because they scored
- 13:31Speaker 4: fifty five points, so they didn't have a defensive touchdown
- 13:34Speaker 4: or a special team stack.
- 13:36Speaker 3: They went on a roll all day. They went on
- 13:38Speaker 3: a huge role.
- 13:39Speaker 2: I know, but it's a.
- 13:41Speaker 3: Role because they dominated on the ground.
- 13:42Speaker 4: Listen, you want perfection and you're just you're barking up
- 13:46Speaker 4: the wrong tree. That's just not it's not real what
- 13:48Speaker 4: you're looking for in life and especially here in football. Brother,
- 13:52Speaker 4: It's like, yeah, do I want Jalen Hurts to be
- 13:54Speaker 4: twenty seven of twenty eight? Passing today would have been
- 13:56Speaker 4: pretty sweet?
- 13:57Speaker 3: Cheat, didn't I say? He had a great game? I said,
- 14:00Speaker 3: I know.
- 14:00Speaker 4: But you're saying, are you worried that he's not forcing
- 14:03Speaker 4: it in there? It's like you haven't figured it out yet.
- 14:05Speaker 4: Jalen Hurts his whole job is not to lose the game.
- 14:07Speaker 4: That has been his job this entire season. This is
- 14:10Speaker 4: Saquon Barkley's team, and you talk to anyone the Eagles,
- 14:13Speaker 4: they tell you the same thing.
- 14:14Speaker 2: He's the best athlete we have.
- 14:16Speaker 4: He's generational, he's once in a lifetime type of guy.
- 14:19Speaker 4: And it's like, that's what this team is. Don't don't
- 14:22Speaker 4: let Hurts beat you. Let the other team make the mistakes.
- 14:26Speaker 2: And they did so.
- 14:27Speaker 4: Yeah, Jayden Daniels, you watch him today making on these
- 14:29Speaker 4: big time throws. It's like, yeah, that's just not Hurts game.
- 14:33Speaker 4: Hurts is the second round pick. The guy has weaknesses,
- 14:36Speaker 4: but he plays in the system. He's incredible. It's like
- 14:39Speaker 4: you can fight, you can question it, but it's like
- 14:43Speaker 4: the biggest stat that matters is wins, and there's a
- 14:46Speaker 4: bunch of nerds out there there say, wins aren't QB stats?
- 14:49Speaker 2: Have it?
- 14:50Speaker 4: Have those people okay, like enjoy not winning games and
- 14:54Speaker 4: having a QB Like Justin Herbert, it's I'm happy for you,
- 14:57Speaker 4: like live live on to drink it in. I want
- 14:59Speaker 4: a guy like Hurts that wins games and he can
- 15:01Speaker 4: you know, in those tight moments he makes big time
- 15:04Speaker 4: throws in big time plays like that. AJ Brown throw
- 15:07Speaker 4: everyone's balls like you, same thing you're talking about. Everyone
- 15:10Speaker 4: got tight. It went into your stomach, like, oh my god.
- 15:12Speaker 4: Fourth down, Hurts has taken a shot down thirty yards downfield.
- 15:15Speaker 4: We haven't seen that in what a month? Throw the
- 15:17Speaker 4: ball thirty yards downfield. So I'm with you, Chad. It's
- 15:20Speaker 4: it's never easy. But yeah, as an Eagles fan and
- 15:23Speaker 4: some of that bet heavy on them today, just laugh
- 15:25Speaker 4: because it's like that was the perfect game they could play,
- 15:29Speaker 4: Like Jayane Daniels, like you said, he was so good
- 15:32Speaker 4: he finished. Their team finishes with twenty three points and
- 15:34Speaker 4: that kid played really well in that game.
- 15:36Speaker 2: That's how dominished this Eagles team is.
- 15:38Speaker 1: With twenty three points and I feel like his completion
- 15:41Speaker 1: percentage might not have been above fifty five percent.
- 15:45Speaker 2: Sixty percent, But yeah, I know where you're coming from.
- 15:47Speaker 1: No, No, I think I think he was like, what
- 15:48Speaker 1: was he twenty seven to forty five?
- 15:50Speaker 4: Like it was twenty ninety eight, all right, So like
- 15:54Speaker 4: he's crazy, fantastic.
- 15:56Speaker 3: Yeah, it's crazy, it's amazing.
- 15:57Speaker 1: But the Eagles defense, when they had to lock it down,
- 16:01Speaker 1: they did. And I think, I really can't wait to
- 16:06Speaker 1: talk about this Chiefs game against the Eagles, and I'm
- 16:09Speaker 1: so excited to break it down for two weeks. Like
- 16:12Speaker 1: we got a dream matchup here with a line that
- 16:15Speaker 1: is one and a half, maybe moving to two in
- 16:18Speaker 1: some places because the juice is already in that direction.
- 16:23Speaker 1: Money line in some places was one twenty and now
- 16:25Speaker 1: it's up to one twenty five. The prop for Saquon
- 16:28Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl right now, the Russian prop one
- 16:31Speaker 1: hundred and twelve and a half. Don't forget. Now it's
- 16:35Speaker 1: up to one fourteen and a half. Evan is reporting,
- 16:38Speaker 1: don't forget. We talked about this, you know, and you
- 16:41Speaker 1: just said it coming off the top. The prop opened
- 16:44Speaker 1: at one twenty seven and a half for the NFC
- 16:47Speaker 1: title game went up to one thirty and a half,
- 16:49Speaker 1: the highest Russian prop ever actually closed about one twenty
- 16:53Speaker 1: two or one twenty three and a half came down.
- 16:56Speaker 3: So I don't mind. I don't mind one.
- 16:59Speaker 1: Twelve and a half against the Chiefs defense that are
- 17:01Speaker 1: struggling against the run. Goodness, gracious, tell me before we
- 17:06Speaker 1: go to the Chiefs. Uh, why are they.
- 17:11Speaker 3: Going for the toushbush from the two and a half
- 17:13Speaker 3: yard line?
- 17:16Speaker 2: Honestly, I'd have to see what situation you're talking about.
- 17:18Speaker 4: To me, it's just about eating up clock in time
- 17:20Speaker 4: where like that, you know, they kept having them jump
- 17:23Speaker 4: off sides and they just wasted an extra.
- 17:25Speaker 2: Minute or two.
- 17:26Speaker 1: H No, but they did like that was they were
- 17:29Speaker 1: going for the tush push from the two and a
- 17:31Speaker 1: half yard line and they got stopped. They got lucky
- 17:35Speaker 1: that there was some kind of I think off sides,
- 17:37Speaker 1: but that wasn't on purpose. And then they had it
- 17:40Speaker 1: at the one. But multiple times it looked like they
- 17:42Speaker 1: were toush pushing from two yards two and a half yards,
- 17:44Speaker 1: which to me was like, what the fuck are we
- 17:46Speaker 1: doing here?
- 17:47Speaker 4: It makes sense, Yeah, The only one I question was
- 17:50Speaker 4: they did it from the two yard line when Saquon
- 17:52Speaker 4: got them down there, and I was like, why do
- 17:53Speaker 4: you not just give it the Saquon here? You're not
- 17:55Speaker 4: on the one, you're on the two or the three.
- 17:57Speaker 4: Why not give the saqua instead? You just said they
- 17:59Speaker 4: toush pushed. Yeah, two or three times I got in,
- 18:01Speaker 4: But I think it's just they know they're gonna get
- 18:03Speaker 4: your rartitude at a time, they just.
- 18:04Speaker 2: Eats up more clocks.
- 18:05Speaker 4: So yeah, again everyone talking about easy to touch bushes.
- 18:10Speaker 4: Eagles got stopped on it a couple of times in
- 18:11Speaker 4: that game. And same with Josh Allen today. Yeah, like
- 18:13Speaker 4: that's why I love when people talk about banning it.
- 18:15Speaker 4: It's like you can stop it, you just have to
- 18:17Speaker 4: game plan and have it the right the right type
- 18:19Speaker 4: of players to do it. So yeah, pretty insane the
- 18:22Speaker 4: fact that, uh, you know Hurts three rushing touchdowns and
- 18:27Speaker 4: I know our guy Chris Raybond gave out Saquon three
- 18:30Speaker 4: rushing touchdowns plus three not was it plus three fifty?
- 18:34Speaker 4: Raybond gave it out, So yeah, pretty insane hit by
- 18:37Speaker 4: Chris on that sae Quon three touchdowns.
- 18:39Speaker 3: Unbelievable game. Uh.
- 18:41Speaker 1: Thrilled for the Eagles. Thrilled that we bet the Eagles
- 18:46Speaker 1: thrilled that we got to talk about it all week
- 18:48Speaker 1: and feel like, why are people on the commanders. This
- 18:51Speaker 1: doesn't make sense. It feels like it's you know, we.
- 18:54Speaker 4: Got a lot of heat, a lot of pros, and
- 18:56Speaker 4: it's just like they were like, you guys are too
- 18:57Speaker 4: dugging on your futures. I'm like, no, So this is
- 19:00Speaker 4: like what the definition of being a pro is. Everyone's
- 19:02Speaker 4: telling you you're wrong and you're on the favorites at
- 19:05Speaker 4: home getting no respect with the books. It really lined
- 19:09Speaker 4: up so perfect. That's why I love these type of spots.
- 19:11Speaker 1: Yeah, Like I felt so happy to be on the
- 19:17Speaker 1: side of the books and against the public and beyond
- 19:20Speaker 1: the better overall teams that were favorites at home. Like
- 19:25Speaker 1: you never get that normally you're like, all right, I
- 19:28Speaker 1: gotta take the shittier team that's getting the points. I
- 19:30Speaker 1: think there's the value, Like you never get the privilege
- 19:32Speaker 1: of being on the better team that is the favorite
- 19:34Speaker 1: because the public is enamored with these transcendent quarterbacks, including
- 19:40Speaker 1: Josh Allen Buffalo of Kansas City. Kansas City closes a
- 19:44Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite. By the way I
- 19:46Speaker 1: think of this game, kicks off half an hour later.
- 19:49Speaker 1: They close at one. Then the money line moved from
- 19:52Speaker 1: one twenty five down to one fifteen. Before the game,
- 19:56Speaker 1: the Chiefs were our Simon says at one and a half,
- 19:58Speaker 1: they were a exec decision on the money line. Arrow
- 20:01Speaker 1: had sounded so freaking loud through the TV, did it not?
- 20:06Speaker 2: Yeah, it was crazy.
- 20:08Speaker 4: I'm going into it, Like I think Stuck got a
- 20:10Speaker 4: good tweet about there's something the way CBS does it
- 20:13Speaker 4: that's different than Fox. I don't know what it is,
- 20:14Speaker 4: but they do have better coverage to gets you more
- 20:17Speaker 4: ramped up. Like I really felt that in the coverage
- 20:19Speaker 4: of the CBS compared to Fox. Again, maybe it's because
- 20:22Speaker 4: it's nighttime that helps too, but I'm with you.
- 20:25Speaker 2: I was like so far up head into that game.
- 20:27Speaker 1: I was so pumped and this game, God, did it
- 20:30Speaker 1: live up to the hype. It felt like in the
- 20:32Speaker 1: first half the Bills were so tight, right they like
- 20:36Speaker 1: Josh Allen that first series two near interceptions, he had
- 20:41Speaker 1: a fumble that he recovered himself, the way they lost
- 20:47Speaker 1: control at the on that touchdown where they had the
- 20:50Speaker 1: personal foul, It just felt like they were really edgy
- 20:54Speaker 1: and jittery. And I think that football that fumbled by
- 20:58Speaker 1: my Homes. They were up what was it ten three,
- 21:03Speaker 1: something like that, seven three, and they were driving like
- 21:06Speaker 1: the twenty three yard line and Mahomes pulled it out
- 21:10Speaker 1: on the RPO and the Bills recovered. I think that
- 21:14Speaker 1: saved the game for them. I think it might end
- 21:16Speaker 1: up being a blowout if not for that, because the
- 21:18Speaker 1: Chiefs were doing whatever they wanted to on offense in
- 21:20Speaker 1: the first half.
- 21:21Speaker 4: Yeah, this is the type of game we need to
- 21:22Speaker 4: watch two or three more times, just because it felt
- 21:25Speaker 4: like there was just so much going on in this
- 21:26Speaker 4: game and instant classic. Obviously, it's the best feeling ever
- 21:30Speaker 4: when you talk about modeling numbers and it comes in
- 21:32Speaker 4: right on the number you.
- 21:33Speaker 2: Said it should be.
- 21:33Speaker 4: So I said, if it was Bills plus three, I
- 21:36Speaker 4: would have been more than happy to take the plus three,
- 21:38Speaker 4: and it wasn't. We stuck to our numbers, and fuck man,
- 21:42Speaker 4: it's hard, like it's hard to go against Josh Allen,
- 21:45Speaker 4: and especially where what we talked about there's a human
- 21:48Speaker 4: element of this. Why everyone's sick of the Chiefs, Like
- 21:51Speaker 4: people are like, aren't you your happier butt buddies won
- 21:54Speaker 4: the Chiefs It's like, why would I like the Chiefs.
- 21:57Speaker 4: I hate the Chiefs. They really I didn't it for
- 21:59Speaker 4: a year.
- 22:00Speaker 1: I love the Chiefs. This is exactly what I'm rooting for.
- 22:03Speaker 1: I want history, I want dominance. I want Patrick Mahomes
- 22:06Speaker 1: to win ten Super Bowls. I love watching him play.
- 22:10Speaker 1: I said to my kids sitting on the couch, like
- 22:13Speaker 1: I almost got sentimental, dude, this is magical what we're watching.
- 22:18Speaker 1: His ability to see the defense, read the defense, make
- 22:23Speaker 1: decisions and get the ball out of his hands in
- 22:26Speaker 1: the smallest windows from the craziest angles that play at
- 22:30Speaker 1: the end of the game to worthy like that was
- 22:34Speaker 1: a miracle throw that he made. And it's just like,
- 22:37Speaker 1: I hope they win every year that he's a quarterback.
- 22:40Speaker 3: I just love amazing.
- 22:42Speaker 4: Yeah, And it's why I basically told you before the
- 22:45Speaker 4: year if I wasn't putting any money on anyone else
- 22:47Speaker 4: in the AFC except the Chiefs, because I said exactly
- 22:50Speaker 4: what you just said. There minus the part of loving
- 22:52Speaker 4: this guy. It was more so of this is historical.
- 22:55Speaker 4: We're seeing something so special, so unique. The fact they
- 22:58Speaker 4: can keep all these players, all their coaches on that staff.
- 23:02Speaker 2: It's very unique group.
- 23:03Speaker 4: And if they get you at home in the playoffs,
- 23:07Speaker 4: They're gonna get you. It's incredible and it really is
- 23:10Speaker 4: a chess match, like you know, the Bills they totally
- 23:13Speaker 4: flipped that game at one point, right, They basically got
- 23:16Speaker 4: the touchdown before half, get the three and out they
- 23:19Speaker 4: needed to start the second half or not three and out,
- 23:21Speaker 4: but they punted the Chiefs. They go right down, score again,
- 23:25Speaker 4: Chiefs next possession, they punted again, and it was like, Oh,
- 23:28Speaker 4: this is happening, this is lining up for the Bills.
- 23:31Speaker 4: But no, they just wait. They wait that fourth down play.
- 23:34Speaker 4: You know, I get Bills fans being pissed. I mean,
- 23:37Speaker 4: you could go either way on that one that you know,
- 23:39Speaker 4: Josh Allen got that first down, did he not?
- 23:42Speaker 2: But Josh Allen didn't get it.
- 23:44Speaker 4: Mahomes got the ball, like you just said, knows what
- 23:47Speaker 4: he needs to do, right, and what he needs to
- 23:48Speaker 4: do is he runs the ball in the playoffs. That's
- 23:50Speaker 4: the biggest difference we see in his career. He just
- 23:53Speaker 4: there's something they do.
- 23:54Speaker 2: Andy reading him.
- 23:55Speaker 4: They talk about like that designed run for that last touchdown. Yeah,
- 23:58Speaker 4: vintage vintage Andrew Reid play call. Bill didn't see it
- 24:01Speaker 4: coming because why would they they've never run that play
- 24:04Speaker 4: this season.
- 24:04Speaker 2: I gain to you.
- 24:05Speaker 4: We can go back and look, they didn't run that play.
- 24:07Speaker 4: Lead blocker Travis Kelcey, So yeah, it's the whole reason
- 24:11Speaker 4: we want.
- 24:11Speaker 2: We bet them. We loved it, We loved our spot,
- 24:14Speaker 2: our position on it.
- 24:14Speaker 4: And yeah, it's like you just said, it's it's history,
- 24:18Speaker 4: like we've never seen.
- 24:19Speaker 2: Anything like it.
- 24:20Speaker 4: And anytime you think, oh, someone's finally got him, like
- 24:23Speaker 4: before you jumped on here, we were talking before everyone
- 24:25Speaker 4: else got on it. It's like Josh Allen had the
- 24:27Speaker 4: ball down three. I saw it, I could see it
- 24:31Speaker 4: happened him driving the field getting the touchdown, And that's
- 24:33Speaker 4: how you beat Mahomes.
- 24:35Speaker 2: That's how you have to do.
- 24:36Speaker 4: You can't tie him there, you can't kick the three
- 24:38Speaker 4: there because you're gonna somehow lose that game. You have
- 24:40Speaker 4: to drive the field get the touchdown. Like they just
- 24:41Speaker 4: couldn't do it.
- 24:43Speaker 2: Well, they did it here tonight.
- 24:47Speaker 3: Tell them, yo, that one.
- 24:52Speaker 2: Had some sting on it.
- 24:54Speaker 4: Yeah, heartbreak obviously for Bills fans. But yeah, if you're
- 24:56Speaker 4: a Chiefs better someone like us, it's it's the best
- 25:00Speaker 4: because you just keep trusting the process, You trust the numbers,
- 25:03Speaker 4: not only the models, but the trends. Right, the trends
- 25:05Speaker 4: were all over this Chiefs team in the spot. It's
- 25:08Speaker 4: just it's a unique spot. It's mahomes at home below
- 25:11Speaker 4: free degrees. It's just automatic basically from here on out.
- 25:14Speaker 4: So I'm glad we learned our lesson Chad last year
- 25:16Speaker 4: because we went against them, got burned in that Ravens game,
- 25:20Speaker 4: and since then we've just been on this Chiefs team
- 25:22Speaker 4: and they've been paying us big time in this playoff run.
- 25:25Speaker 1: Andy Reid knew what he was in for when he
- 25:28Speaker 1: went forward on fourth and one from their thirty nine. Yeah,
- 25:32Speaker 1: midway through the second quarter. Yeah, that ended with the
- 25:36Speaker 1: Xavier Worthy touchdown. By the way, let's get some shout outs.
- 25:40Speaker 1: Unconvinced me, obviously, you had the Chiefs minus one and
- 25:43Speaker 1: a half and you had the Eagles minus six. Sean
- 25:47Speaker 1: Kerner had Xavier Worthy anytime touchdown. If you listen to
- 25:52Speaker 1: the six Pack with Stucky and Raybond the Action Network podcast,
- 26:00Speaker 1: Raybaund on that show gave out the Eagles to have
- 26:04Speaker 1: more punts than the Commanders that cashed. He gave out,
- 26:09Speaker 1: as you said, Saquon three plus touchdowns that cashed. It's
- 26:14Speaker 1: been a banner playoffs for Action Network analysts.
- 26:16Speaker 3: It really has.
- 26:17Speaker 1: Like it was a tough season, but the playoffs have
- 26:20Speaker 1: been phenomenal. Hopefully people have been paying attention. The Bills
- 26:26Speaker 1: had six, by my count, turnover worthy plays that they
- 26:32Speaker 1: kept the ball on. They had those two year picks
- 26:35Speaker 1: from Allen, three fumbles from Allen, all of which he recovered,
- 26:38Speaker 1: and the one by Ray Davis.
- 26:41Speaker 2: And it was all going the way.
- 26:42Speaker 4: I mean, they scored, and they scored two fourth down touchdowns.
- 26:44Speaker 4: They're like you talked about their fumbles bounced their way, right,
- 26:47Speaker 4: Josh Allen picked it up. I think their rookie running
- 26:49Speaker 4: back Davis fumbled bounced right to them. Like they definitely
- 26:52Speaker 4: had bounces going their way in that game.
- 26:55Speaker 1: So I almost feel like, you know, let's give let's
- 26:58Speaker 1: give a minute to that fourth down. I almost And
- 27:01Speaker 1: also on a previous fourth down, same drive, Josh Allen
- 27:05Speaker 1: fumbled the ball and recovered it. It almost felt like.
- 27:10Speaker 3: Karma.
- 27:11Speaker 1: There had to be if we're thinking, thinking and speaking mathematically,
- 27:16Speaker 1: there was regression on that fourth down play, right, even
- 27:19Speaker 1: though it was a judgment call by the officials. Not
- 27:23Speaker 1: every single thing, not every fumble not every fourth down
- 27:26Speaker 1: was going to go the Bill's way.
- 27:29Speaker 4: No, definitely, But like I said, though, they just they
- 27:33Speaker 4: felt like the team of destiny, this Bill's team, that
- 27:35Speaker 4: they're finally going to do it, and they were getting
- 27:37Speaker 4: the bounces and you know, the Chiefs weren't getting those
- 27:40Speaker 4: tiki tac calls that they're used to, right they felt like,
- 27:45Speaker 4: you know a lot of the calls were not going
- 27:46Speaker 4: their way. And the Eagles game, it felt like every
- 27:49Speaker 4: call was going the Eagles way. Like they're a home team,
- 27:51Speaker 4: they were definitely getting the refs on the home side.
- 27:54Speaker 2: Did not feel like that way.
- 27:55Speaker 4: In the Chief Spills game, that felt like a pretty
- 27:56Speaker 4: clean game both sides.
- 27:59Speaker 2: You know.
- 28:01Speaker 4: Again, the Josh all thing I can't get over is
- 28:03Speaker 4: he's out there with freaking Mac Collins making this dude,
- 28:06Speaker 4: you know, making these big time catches and these insane moments,
- 28:09Speaker 4: and it's like, it's just incredible what Josh Allen's done
- 28:13Speaker 4: with a bunch of just trash, and you know him
- 28:16Speaker 4: and James Cook, that's just something. Yeah, it's just something
- 28:19Speaker 4: incredible to build off of, Like that run Cook had
- 28:22Speaker 4: in that fourth down. You know, like they said that
- 28:25Speaker 4: the top tier is Derrick Henry and Saquan and then
- 28:28Speaker 4: right below that are guys like Cook, like just absolute
- 28:31Speaker 4: game changers, incredible running back. And yeah, like we say
- 28:36Speaker 4: all the time, brutal for Bills fans. I know they
- 28:38Speaker 4: don't want to hear we probably have two Bills fans
- 28:40Speaker 4: even left listening to the show after being against us
- 28:43Speaker 4: all a week on the Chiefs. But you know, you
- 28:46Speaker 4: got Josh Allen every year. Like I said, this is
- 28:48Speaker 4: to me one of the worst teams he's gonna have.
- 28:50Speaker 4: You had seventy million dead cap space. You know, there's
- 28:54Speaker 4: just so much to work with going forward. But you
- 28:57Speaker 4: know Joe Brady, the fact he's turning down jobs right now, it's.
- 29:01Speaker 2: It's gonna be all good Bill's faces.
- 29:03Speaker 4: But obviously, oh and form in the playoffs against Mahomes,
- 29:06Speaker 4: it's brutal.
- 29:06Speaker 2: You're running.
- 29:07Speaker 4: You're one in a lifetime generational talents running into the
- 29:10Speaker 4: Michael Jordan of the sport.
- 29:12Speaker 2: So it is brutal. I get I get the hurt
- 29:14Speaker 2: right now coming.
- 29:15Speaker 1: From day you know it's Karl Malone and the John
- 29:18Speaker 1: Stockton and dads, and yeah, you're so good.
- 29:22Speaker 3: Can I go?
- 29:24Speaker 1: Just the misfortune of being a generationally great quarterback playing
- 29:29Speaker 1: against a historically great quarterback. All right, Uh, the the
- 29:36Speaker 1: look ahead lines for the Chiefs and the Eagles one
- 29:39Speaker 1: and a half, one and a half Kansas City minus
- 29:41Speaker 1: one and a half.
- 29:42Speaker 3: That is what it opened at.
- 29:45Speaker 1: As I said, this thing was moving before we even came.
- 29:48Speaker 3: Out in the air.
- 29:50Speaker 1: I bet it at one and a half. I also
- 29:53Speaker 1: bet the Chiefs on the money line at minus one twenty.
- 29:58Speaker 1: The line now at bet three five is minus two.
- 30:03Speaker 1: What are your We're we're not going to go like
- 30:06Speaker 1: into the deepest, deepest breakdown, but what are your initial thoughts?
- 30:10Speaker 4: Yeah, like you just said, if you want to know
- 30:12Speaker 4: what the pros are going, what models are going to
- 30:14Speaker 4: have this ad? I said it last week. I had
- 30:16Speaker 4: the Chiefs favorite. So you want to grab Chiefs minus
- 30:19Speaker 4: one and a half. Now, I got no issue with
- 30:21Speaker 4: it if that's your position. But yeah, I have so
- 30:24Speaker 4: much I need to dive into here and really break down.
- 30:27Speaker 4: And you know, obviously we all know the deal. Eagles
- 30:30Speaker 4: are the better team. They're gonna be a model. Is
- 30:32Speaker 4: a better team than most people. It's just my homes
- 30:34Speaker 4: is different, the Chiefs team is different, and computers just
- 30:37Speaker 4: don't understand it.
- 30:38Speaker 2: And that's the toughest.
- 30:39Speaker 4: Part here, where it's like you kind of need to
- 30:41Speaker 4: really dig into a lot of stuff that's not normal
- 30:44Speaker 4: to dig into.
- 30:45Speaker 2: And you know, I'm.
- 30:46Speaker 4: Looking forward to a lot of phone calls here because
- 30:47Speaker 4: it's going to be really insane breaking this down with
- 30:49Speaker 4: a lot of guys this week, just because it's it's
- 30:52Speaker 4: so opinion based and we knew that this number is
- 30:55Speaker 4: probably gonna move. I'm shocked to see it's already moving
- 30:57Speaker 4: to two already, so pretty interesting that respected people already
- 31:01Speaker 4: taking their money, not taking it out of like we
- 31:04Speaker 4: say at the time, you're not cashing that ticket for cash,
- 31:05Speaker 4: You're cashing it and rolling it over.
- 31:07Speaker 2: So not shocking.
- 31:09Speaker 4: You know, we talked about we really love and respected
- 31:11Speaker 4: this Chiefs team. I bet heavy on them in this spot.
- 31:15Speaker 4: I'm not going to take out that cash. I'm gonna
- 31:17Speaker 4: roll it over, most likely on the Chiefs. So yeah,
- 31:20Speaker 4: if you if you want to take that side, take it.
- 31:22Speaker 4: I'm not a rush because it feels like by the
- 31:24Speaker 4: time I get off this call, marke and missed the
- 31:25Speaker 4: one and a half. So yeah, I'm excited to break
- 31:27Speaker 4: this one down. It's it's gonna be a fun fun,
- 31:29Speaker 4: fun two weeks here coming up.
- 31:30Speaker 3: But you haven't bet the Chiefs might as one and
- 31:32Speaker 3: a half yet.
- 31:33Speaker 2: No, because you know the deal.
- 31:34Speaker 4: I told you I got five K to win over
- 31:37Speaker 4: three hundred k, like I got. I have such an
- 31:40Speaker 4: insane position and you know, like my phone has just
- 31:43Speaker 4: been blown up. Not stop because not only did our
- 31:45Speaker 4: you know, our show do well my clients.
- 31:48Speaker 2: My boss is like everyone, we're all living the dream
- 31:50Speaker 2: right now.
- 31:51Speaker 4: Like my two my two futures were Eagles and Chiefs
- 31:54Speaker 4: both hit NFC title bets, AFC title bets, both cashed.
- 31:59Speaker 4: And yeah, the future market right now, you know, it's
- 32:02Speaker 4: it's rare.
- 32:03Speaker 2: Chat.
- 32:03Speaker 4: We're gonna come on here and give about fifty five
- 32:04Speaker 4: to the ones in August that hit so.
- 32:06Speaker 3: And twenty eight to ones my man.
- 32:09Speaker 4: So yeah, it's it's it's a nice spot to be
- 32:11Speaker 4: in right now. So that's why I'm not rushing, brother, Like,
- 32:13Speaker 4: if if I didn't have a position on it, I'm
- 32:15Speaker 4: with you, I probably would be rushing. I can be
- 32:18Speaker 4: patient here because I do want to really dive into
- 32:19Speaker 4: this one. And I'm just saying to the fans of
- 32:22Speaker 4: the show, if you didn't grab the plus two hundred
- 32:24Speaker 4: grab the minus one and a half right now if
- 32:26Speaker 4: you want to.
- 32:28Speaker 1: All right, we will talk a lot more about this
- 32:31Speaker 1: game over the next few weeks. We will have our
- 32:35Speaker 1: rotation where Simon and I are gonna.
- 32:38Speaker 3: Break this down.
- 32:41Speaker 1: We will also have our regular props breakdown all the
- 32:46Speaker 1: good stuff that we look to and love for Super
- 32:50Speaker 1: Bowl week. This was our final Sunday night episode of
- 32:55Speaker 1: the season. What a freaking season. Thanks to everybody for
- 32:59Speaker 1: joining us. What I love about this season is our
- 33:01Speaker 1: audience were always bigger.
- 33:03Speaker 3: On the days. We got crushed on us on the
- 33:08Speaker 3: days and we did okay.
- 33:10Speaker 1: Nobody wanted to hear us talk about when we did well,
- 33:13Speaker 1: but they loved here and when we had to come
- 33:16Speaker 1: on impure misery.
- 33:18Speaker 3: But we appreciate every.
- 33:20Speaker 1: Single person who came in with us on Sundays. Our
- 33:24Speaker 1: next episode is live on Tuesday one thirty pm Eastern
- 33:28Speaker 1: on Action Networks YouTube channel.
- 33:30Speaker 3: Be the first of our four Super Bowl episodes.
- 33:33Speaker 1: Downloadus some Spotify, Apple Pods wherever you get your pods, Rate, review, subscribe,
- 33:37Speaker 1: we lose five stars.
- 33:38Speaker 3: Say whatever you want feedback is it? Get until Tuesday.
- 33:41Speaker 3: Love you. Action Network reminds you please gamble responsibly if
- 33:54Speaker 3: you or someone you care about has a gambling problem.
- 33:57Speaker 3: Help Us available twenty four to seven at one eight
- 34:00Speaker 3: hundred gambler