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Sunday BEST BETS | Your Mom | NBA Playoffs & NHL Playoffs & MLB & WNBA | 5/10/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:16
  Speaker 1: You gotta slip in your palm and a hole in
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: your checks.
• 0:20
  Speaker 2: Black coffee on the felt, man, you look like a mess.
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: Three teen Parlette turned the dust in your head. Now
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: you stare at the chips like they made you this man.
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: But don't you go quiet. Don't you fade from the floor.
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: Your name steal means something on somebody for show.
• 0:41
  Speaker 2: Put the glass down, baby, look at me.
• 0:45
  Speaker 3: No, hold on, hold on nothing nice now, hold on.
• 1:01
  Speaker 2: Me, but it all get the crown.
• 1:14
  Speaker 4: Hold on, hold on, stay with me.
• 1:18
  Speaker 5: Now, what's up? Everybody? It's towed back with you with
• 1:30
  Speaker 5: toadstal Sports Sunday, May tenth, Mother's Day. Happy Mother's Day
• 1:36
  Speaker 5: to everybody. Your mom's a milf whatever. Uh. We probably
• 1:42
  Speaker 5: could have been six and o on the show yesterday.
• 1:44
  Speaker 5: We were five and one. We started out with all
• 1:47
  Speaker 5: the afternoon games coming through. We gotta win with the
• 1:52
  Speaker 5: Cincinnati Reds on the run line. They only won three
• 1:56
  Speaker 5: to one, but the whole pot was scooped with that one.
• 2:00
  Speaker 5: It was a split bat money line run line, but
• 2:02
  Speaker 5: they were able to hit everything. Phoenix in WNBA thirty
• 2:09
  Speaker 5: three point outright win from a nine point underdog with
• 2:13
  Speaker 5: the Phoenix Mercury so there you go. I think I
• 2:15
  Speaker 5: was right about that game. My WNBA. You know, my
• 2:22
  Speaker 5: feel for the WNBA is getting going. I think we
• 2:25
  Speaker 5: also won in the afternoon with the Cleveland Calves. That
• 2:27
  Speaker 5: was a little bit dicey. I mean, it looked like
• 2:30
  Speaker 5: they were gonna win the game the whole way, but
• 2:33
  Speaker 5: it was close at the end. They were winning by
• 2:35
  Speaker 5: one to two points. At that point, You're like, we
• 2:38
  Speaker 5: got to get some intentional fouls here, some free throws,
• 2:41
  Speaker 5: or maybe kind of an off balance three from James Harden.
• 2:45
  Speaker 5: I think it was hard and right. I don't know
• 2:48
  Speaker 5: they hit a three that really helped us out there,
• 2:50
  Speaker 5: but whatever, I'll take it. I still think it was
• 2:52
  Speaker 5: the right handicap. Then you know, we moved to four
• 2:57
  Speaker 5: and o on the day with the under in Yankees,
• 2:59
  Speaker 5: which shouldn't have even been as close as it was.
• 3:02
  Speaker 5: I mean, that was a two nothing game into the
• 3:05
  Speaker 5: eighth inning, I'm pretty sure, and Milwaukee scored one run
• 3:08
  Speaker 5: in the eighth, one run in the ninth to tie
• 3:10
  Speaker 5: the game, which you know, as a non fan of
• 3:15
  Speaker 5: the Yankees, I was not unhappy about that. But you
• 3:19
  Speaker 5: know how extra innings are now, it's where unders go
• 3:21
  Speaker 5: to die because of the ghost runner. I can't believe
• 3:25
  Speaker 5: that they've kept that rule the COVID relic. It made
• 3:28
  Speaker 5: no sense to even institute it during COVID or to
• 3:33
  Speaker 5: make more people watch the game. It doesn't fucking do that.
• 3:36
  Speaker 5: It doesn't make the game more entertaining. It's stupid, it's ridiculous.
• 3:40
  Speaker 5: Some of the best games ever have been these long
• 3:42
  Speaker 5: ass extra inning games. Just be done with this shit.
• 3:47
  Speaker 5: Nobody wants this shit. But the Yankees scored in the
• 3:51
  Speaker 5: top of the tenth. Milwaukee then scored on the bottom
• 3:54
  Speaker 5: of the tenth, and I'm like, please, do not let
• 3:56
  Speaker 5: this go to another inning. Please don't. But Milwaukee had
• 3:59
  Speaker 5: the is loaded with still one out in that inning,
• 4:03
  Speaker 5: so decent chance they werena they were gonna win the
• 4:06
  Speaker 5: game right there by one run, And that is what happened.
• 4:09
  Speaker 5: Because even if they get a hit, you don't have
• 4:10
  Speaker 5: to worry about extra runs. You only have to worry
• 4:12
  Speaker 5: about the home run. You don't have to worry about
• 4:15
  Speaker 5: a hit scoring more than one run, right because one
• 4:18
  Speaker 5: run scores, the game is over. So we got there.
• 4:21
  Speaker 5: It was a It landed seven, even though it was
• 4:24
  Speaker 5: four at the end of nine innings. The only loser
• 4:29
  Speaker 5: was the Pittsburgh San Francisco game, and that was trending
• 4:32
  Speaker 5: in the right direction. A first five under hit in
• 4:35
  Speaker 5: that game if you went first five, I didn't really
• 4:37
  Speaker 5: see that much of a reason to avoid the bullpens,
• 4:40
  Speaker 5: even though the bullpen rest wasn't that great. That was
• 4:43
  Speaker 5: more of an impact actually on Pittsburgh, I'm pretty sure
• 4:46
  Speaker 5: than San Francisco going into that game, and San Francisco's
• 4:50
  Speaker 5: bullpen was the problem. They were horrible in the game.
• 4:53
  Speaker 5: Pittsburgh put up like nine runs between the six and
• 4:57
  Speaker 5: eighth inning. What are you doing, dude, And then it
• 5:00
  Speaker 5: became just the game totally unraveled, and then the Giants
• 5:03
  Speaker 5: put up a couple of runs in garbage time. I'm
• 5:06
  Speaker 5: pretty sure, but that game was it was. The game
• 5:09
  Speaker 5: was four to one Pittsburgh going into the seventh inning.
• 5:12
  Speaker 5: I'm pretty sure. Yeah, it's just ridiculous. And then we
• 5:16
  Speaker 5: did get a win with the Minnesota Wild pretty easily,
• 5:19
  Speaker 5: although that's one of those games where it probably wasn't
• 5:22
  Speaker 5: entirely what it looked like on the scoreboard, but Minnesota
• 5:25
  Speaker 5: definitely showed up and came to play in that game.
• 5:27
  Speaker 5: So we got that win as well, and it was
• 5:29
  Speaker 5: an easy win, so there you go. Minnesota. They were
• 5:34
  Speaker 5: out to a two nothing lead. It was that way
• 5:36
  Speaker 5: for a while, three nothing. I think they scored on
• 5:39
  Speaker 5: a power play to make it three nothing, and at
• 5:41
  Speaker 5: that point you're like, yeah, they're definitely gonna win. This
• 5:43
  Speaker 5: game slipped to three to one. Then they pushed it
• 5:46
  Speaker 5: to four to one really quickly after that, and they
• 5:48
  Speaker 5: scored an empty net goal at the end. But Wallstead.
• 5:52
  Speaker 5: Volstead was back in net there, and he actually looked
• 5:55
  Speaker 5: really good in the game. Colorado had more shots, and yeah,
• 5:59
  Speaker 5: some good goaltending from Minnesota there, including at the end,
• 6:03
  Speaker 5: even when he didn't even need to do it. You know,
• 6:07
  Speaker 5: during the empty net situation, Colorado was just throwing things
• 6:10
  Speaker 5: right at him and he kept making ridiculous saves. Even
• 6:14
  Speaker 5: though his team was winning by three goals at that point,
• 6:17
  Speaker 5: he was still on points. So credit for that. Even
• 6:20
  Speaker 5: though I'm not really a Minnesota Wild fan, But whatever,
• 6:27
  Speaker 5: Thurty Sock, what's up? Yeah, you should not let your
• 6:31
  Speaker 5: bias affect you at all, all right, baseball. Even though
• 6:39
  Speaker 5: Peacock has the Sunday night game, they do have an
• 6:42
  Speaker 5: afternoon game as well on Peacock Washington at Miami. I
• 6:47
  Speaker 5: don't really know why these teams have split. The first
• 6:49
  Speaker 5: two games, each team has won by a run, with
• 6:52
  Speaker 5: Miami winning yesterday. It's been a close series divisional series.
• 6:58
  Speaker 5: I still think Miami is the better team. Though Miami
• 7:02
  Speaker 5: used four relief pitchers yesterday, Washington used three. Washington is
• 7:07
  Speaker 5: the worst bullpen out of these two, though currently ranked
• 7:11
  Speaker 5: twenty third. This is based on WHIP. Miami is fifth.
• 7:16
  Speaker 5: Miami hitting wise their fourteenth, Washington is ninth. Washington does
• 7:22
  Speaker 5: have the better offense. I suppose cade Cavali is pitching
• 7:26
  Speaker 5: for Washington. Not great numbers on the season. Four point
• 7:30
  Speaker 5: one five Era is alright, one point seven. Whip is
• 7:33
  Speaker 5: very bad, so he's putting too many guys on base.
• 7:36
  Speaker 5: He's not as good on the road. Four point seven
• 7:39
  Speaker 5: to six. Roadyra He was not good last time out
• 7:42
  Speaker 5: against Minnesota, but three unearned runs scored against him, so
• 7:47
  Speaker 5: it wasn't really all him, just the defense seemed to
• 7:52
  Speaker 5: kind of unravel behind him. He walked three guys though,
• 7:55
  Speaker 5: so he doesn't really get a pass for that for
• 7:58
  Speaker 5: the free passes that he was issuing. But the prior
• 8:01
  Speaker 5: two games he had ten strikeouts in each of them.
• 8:04
  Speaker 5: So he was actually pitching decently and he is capable
• 8:08
  Speaker 5: of that. He's got forty strikeouts in thirty four and
• 8:10
  Speaker 5: two thirds innings. That's not bad, but seventeen walks forty
• 8:14
  Speaker 5: two hits, none of that is good. He's still putting
• 8:17
  Speaker 5: himself in danger, putting too many guys on base. Miami
• 8:20
  Speaker 5: is a pitcher friendly park, but Cavali has not done
• 8:23
  Speaker 5: well against Miami in the past twenty five at bats.
• 8:26
  Speaker 5: It's not a big sample though, it's only six hitters
• 8:29
  Speaker 5: who have faced him. Four strikeouts, one walk, three sixty
• 8:32
  Speaker 5: batting average allowed, seven eighty five ops, so I don't
• 8:37
  Speaker 5: love those numbers. He is going up against Sandy Alcantra,
• 8:41
  Speaker 5: whom you know he's having an okay season, but he
• 8:44
  Speaker 5: obviously is not what he once was. He's got a
• 8:47
  Speaker 5: four point zero one ERA, one point two eight WHIP,
• 8:51
  Speaker 5: two point nine to four ERA at home, so he
• 8:53
  Speaker 5: is pitching way better at home. He got lit up
• 8:56
  Speaker 5: at home in his last outing though against Baltimore that
• 8:59
  Speaker 5: wasn't good. Didn't make it five innings, got tagged for
• 9:02
  Speaker 5: seven runs, walked three guys. None of that is good.
• 9:06
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate has actually gone way down over the
• 9:09
  Speaker 5: last couple of seasons. Basically since he's had his injury issues,
• 9:13
  Speaker 5: he's never regained his form, not entirely. At least he's
• 9:20
  Speaker 5: you know, he's had good like spurts where he's pitched
• 9:22
  Speaker 5: really well. But I don't think he's ever gonna return
• 9:25
  Speaker 5: to that cy young form that he had, you know,
• 9:28
  Speaker 5: several years ago. Thirty six strikeouts and fifty one and
• 9:31
  Speaker 5: two thirds innings. That is a very low strikeout rate
• 9:34
  Speaker 5: compared to what he used to do. Eighteen walks wouldn't
• 9:38
  Speaker 5: really be that bad, but compared to the number of strikeouts,
• 9:41
  Speaker 5: the ratio is pretty bad. Forty eight hits allowed is
• 9:44
  Speaker 5: not bad. So, I mean, he's not putting a ton
• 9:47
  Speaker 5: of guys on base, he's not pitching horribly, but he's
• 9:51
  Speaker 5: not this dominant pitcher anymore. He does have good numbers
• 9:53
  Speaker 5: against Washington, some of that probably when he was more dominant, though,
• 9:58
  Speaker 5: sixty five career of bats against the although it's only
• 10:00
  Speaker 5: across six hitters that they have four strikeouts, one walk,
• 10:04
  Speaker 5: two fifteen batting average allowed four to seventy three ops.
• 10:09
  Speaker 5: You know, I don't know, man, I mean, I think
• 10:13
  Speaker 5: the money is all coming in on Washington here I
• 10:15
  Speaker 5: don't know if I really see it. Fifty eight percent
• 10:18
  Speaker 5: of the tickets on Miami, ninety one percent of the
• 10:20
  Speaker 5: cash on Washington. Yes, pregame still has not fixed their shit,
• 10:24
  Speaker 5: So I'm using a wager talk here the next best thing.
• 10:29
  Speaker 5: Even though I don't like the books that they track
• 10:32
  Speaker 5: as much or the subset of books, I should say
• 10:37
  Speaker 5: Miami's a favorite minus one thirty something. I mean they
• 10:41
  Speaker 5: deserve to be. I think they have the better pitching
• 10:43
  Speaker 5: probably throughout this game. So I really I don't love
• 10:46
  Speaker 5: Washington here. I just I don't see how you could
• 10:49
  Speaker 5: do it. Man, I just don't. I'm gonna lean to
• 10:51
  Speaker 5: Miami in this one. The money's not agreeing with it.
• 10:54
  Speaker 5: It's not on my card. In fact, I'm only gonna
• 10:56
  Speaker 5: give you one baseball play today. I don't like the
• 10:59
  Speaker 5: baseball board very much at all. I consider giving out
• 11:03
  Speaker 5: both hockey games. I actually like both hockey games. I'm
• 11:07
  Speaker 5: gonna give you one of the hockey games. I'm skipping
• 11:09
  Speaker 5: NBA and I am gonna give you one w NBA game. Tyson,
• 11:14
  Speaker 5: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Next game in baseball
• 11:17
  Speaker 5: is as at Baltimore or Athletics. I keep just saying
• 11:21
  Speaker 5: A's because it's easier. Baltimore's on the verger of getting
• 11:25
  Speaker 5: swept at home. Man. You know, I talk about this.
• 11:27
  Speaker 5: When a team is on the verge, you're getting swept
• 11:29
  Speaker 5: a lot of times, you get a bigger effort out
• 11:32
  Speaker 5: of them to avoid the sweep. The A's might take
• 11:34
  Speaker 5: Baltimore a little bit less. Seriously now, the A's, I
• 11:38
  Speaker 5: don't like their bullpen, and they did use four relief
• 11:41
  Speaker 5: pitchers out of it yesterday. Baltimore's bullpen is not that
• 11:44
  Speaker 5: much better though, and they use three relief pitchers. The
• 11:48
  Speaker 5: A's are ranked twenty sixth in bullpen here, Orioles are nineteenth,
• 11:52
  Speaker 5: So Orioles do have the advantage in the bullpen. The
• 11:56
  Speaker 5: A's have had the better offense. They're sixth currently. This
• 11:59
  Speaker 5: is bps Baltimore is sixteenth. Luis Severino is pitching for
• 12:06
  Speaker 5: the As. What we know about him, you know, watching
• 12:09
  Speaker 5: him the last couple of seasons having to pitch in
• 12:12
  Speaker 5: that horrible AS stadium is he's like a completely different
• 12:15
  Speaker 5: pitcher away from that stadium. He's way better when he
• 12:19
  Speaker 5: doesn't have to pitch in that stadium. And the same
• 12:21
  Speaker 5: thing is starting to happen this season, he's been way
• 12:24
  Speaker 5: better on the road. He has a three point six
• 12:26
  Speaker 5: road RA compared to four point nine at home, so
• 12:29
  Speaker 5: he is much better outside of that stadium, just like
• 12:32
  Speaker 5: last year, and he will be outside of that stadium
• 12:36
  Speaker 5: today because he is on the road here. Overall, he
• 12:38
  Speaker 5: is a four point one five ERA. One point four
• 12:41
  Speaker 5: to eight whip is still pretty concerning, though that whip
• 12:43
  Speaker 5: is way too high. He is coming up a decent
• 12:46
  Speaker 5: outing last time out on the road, not surprisingly against Philly.
• 12:50
  Speaker 5: He pitched well at home the start before that against
• 12:53
  Speaker 5: Kansas City, and he's actually had three pretty good starts
• 12:56
  Speaker 5: in a row, two of them on the road, the
• 12:58
  Speaker 5: other one against Texas. Oh yeah, Texas, they don't hit well.
• 13:01
  Speaker 5: That's a pitcher friendly park. Philly hasn't hasn't hit that
• 13:04
  Speaker 5: well either, So I don't know what you really want
• 13:07
  Speaker 5: to draw from that, but seven Reno seems to be
• 13:10
  Speaker 5: in okay form at least right now, and he does
• 13:13
  Speaker 5: pitch better on the road, so he could certainly pitch
• 13:16
  Speaker 5: well here. He has a forty three to twenty five
• 13:19
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk ratio though, so that is a concern too.
• 13:22
  Speaker 5: The number of walks is just enormous that is way
• 13:25
  Speaker 5: too high, and he's only allowed thirty nine hits in
• 13:28
  Speaker 5: forty three and a third innings, so he does not
• 13:30
  Speaker 5: allow too many hits. The walks are a problem. The
• 13:33
  Speaker 5: other problem is Baltimore has really good numbers against him
• 13:36
  Speaker 5: in forty one at bats eight strikeouts, three walks, four
• 13:39
  Speaker 5: thirty nine batting average and one thousand and one thirty
• 13:42
  Speaker 5: six ops. That kind of just I don't know. That
• 13:46
  Speaker 5: takes several reno off the table for me. I mean,
• 13:49
  Speaker 5: there are some indicators that you might want to back
• 13:52
  Speaker 5: him here, but I can't back him with matchup numbers
• 13:54
  Speaker 5: like that in a decent sample. Chris Bassett, on the
• 13:58
  Speaker 5: other side, I think that he's pretty unbackable as well,
• 14:02
  Speaker 5: though he's been awful five point nine one, five point
• 14:06
  Speaker 5: nine one ERA, yeah, one point nine to one whip.
• 14:08
  Speaker 5: He's putting almost two guys on base per inning. That's bad.
• 14:12
  Speaker 5: Although just like last year, he's actually like his whole
• 14:15
  Speaker 5: career basically, he is actually decent at home, though he
• 14:18
  Speaker 5: has a three point four to five oh MERA didn't
• 14:22
  Speaker 5: pitch that well last time out, which was on the
• 14:24
  Speaker 5: road against Miami, but his overall numbers are just bad. Dude.
• 14:27
  Speaker 5: His strikeout rate is dropped into the tank. Twenty strikeouts
• 14:31
  Speaker 5: and thirty two innings not good, especially when he basically
• 14:35
  Speaker 5: just throws a fastball mix and that's what he does.
• 14:38
  Speaker 5: Seventeen walks that's too many walks. Forty four hits allowed,
• 14:41
  Speaker 5: that's bad too. Baltimore has somehow won his last five starts,
• 14:46
  Speaker 5: but as you can see, he's getting a lot of
• 14:48
  Speaker 5: run support. Baltimore scored at least six runs in all
• 14:52
  Speaker 5: of those games behind him, so he's getting some help.
• 14:56
  Speaker 5: He's not good. Numbers against the A's are not really
• 14:59
  Speaker 5: good either. In fIF nine at bats thirteen to four
• 15:01
  Speaker 5: strike a walk ratio to eighty eight batting average allowed,
• 15:04
  Speaker 5: eight to fifty nine ops bad numbers. My opinion in
• 15:09
  Speaker 5: this game would be to go over the total. Both
• 15:14
  Speaker 5: starting pitchers have bad matchup numbers here, the bullpens are
• 15:18
  Speaker 5: probably not trustworthy. I think over makes some sense here.
• 15:21
  Speaker 5: The only issue is are that both of these pitchers
• 15:24
  Speaker 5: have good home road splits in this and that's really
• 15:26
  Speaker 5: kind of the one thing that's just keeping me away
• 15:28
  Speaker 5: from it. And Severino has pitched well his last three outings,
• 15:32
  Speaker 5: so there is that. Money seems to agree on the
• 15:34
  Speaker 5: over though, fifty three percent of tickets on the under
• 15:37
  Speaker 5: fifty four percent of the cash on the over. The
• 15:39
  Speaker 5: total is ten. I mean, it's that high for a reason.
• 15:43
  Speaker 5: I mean, some of it might be because there's going
• 15:45
  Speaker 5: to be weather somewhat conducive to it. But this is
• 15:49
  Speaker 5: not at the A Stadium, man, this is in Camden Yards.
• 15:53
  Speaker 5: That's a pretty high total for Camden Yards. So the
• 15:55
  Speaker 5: oddsmakers are telling you that they do not think this
• 15:58
  Speaker 5: is a good pitching matchup here. So I'm gonna agree
• 16:01
  Speaker 5: with that, and I would say go over the total.
• 16:03
  Speaker 5: You can find maybe a nine and a half out
• 16:05
  Speaker 5: there somewhere as well, but there's not really much of
• 16:07
  Speaker 5: a difference between nine and a half and ten because
• 16:09
  Speaker 5: it's the odd numbers that are key. The money is
• 16:12
  Speaker 5: also seemingly indicating on the A's a little bit. I
• 16:15
  Speaker 5: don't really disagree. I would probably go first five innings.
• 16:18
  Speaker 5: If I went with the A's, I would just focus
• 16:21
  Speaker 5: on the fact that seven Reno's better on the road,
• 16:24
  Speaker 5: but then again, Bassett's better at home, but seven Reno
• 16:27
  Speaker 5: in better form. You know, I don't love it. I
• 16:30
  Speaker 5: don't love the side, but the money seems to be
• 16:32
  Speaker 5: indicating on the A's to some extent, seventy two percent
• 16:35
  Speaker 5: of tickets seventy six percent of the cash on them,
• 16:37
  Speaker 5: they are a small favorite. It's basically a pick the
• 16:40
  Speaker 5: winner price on that game. All right, Colorado at Philadelphia.
• 16:45
  Speaker 5: These teams will split the first two games of this
• 16:47
  Speaker 5: series as well. Philadelphia had an easy nine to three
• 16:51
  Speaker 5: bounce back win yesterday. This will be the rubber match here.
• 16:55
  Speaker 5: So again, when teams have split the series and they're
• 16:57
  Speaker 5: going for the series win, usually the teams are are
• 17:00
  Speaker 5: going to show up at least with motivation. Colorado only
• 17:04
  Speaker 5: used one long relief man, Tanner Gordon, out of the
• 17:07
  Speaker 5: bullpen yesterday. Philadelphia used four bullpen arms yesterday. Neither bullpen
• 17:13
  Speaker 5: is really that good. Philadelphia's ranking seventeenth, Colorado eighteenth. Right now,
• 17:19
  Speaker 5: you know, it's tough to gauge these like mediocre bullpens,
• 17:22
  Speaker 5: whether you want to fade them or not. In a
• 17:23
  Speaker 5: particular game. Colorado's sets up a little bit better here though,
• 17:28
  Speaker 5: because of the rest that they got yesterday. So Colorado
• 17:31
  Speaker 5: probably has a slight bullpen edge in this specific game.
• 17:35
  Speaker 5: Philly is still not hitting well. They're twenty second in
• 17:38
  Speaker 5: offense and the Rockies are actually eighth, although the Rockies
• 17:42
  Speaker 5: are not as good on the road. Rockies have Tomo
• 17:45
  Speaker 5: Yuki Sugano pitching. He's actually doing well three point four
• 17:49
  Speaker 5: to one ERA, one point one four whip. He's been
• 17:52
  Speaker 5: better on the road, which makes sense because Course Field
• 17:55
  Speaker 5: is not a very pitcher friendly park. But he's actually
• 17:58
  Speaker 5: not been too bad overall this year. But one point
• 18:02
  Speaker 5: six' nine rody ra that's pretty. Good he did just
• 18:07
  Speaker 5: have a kind of bad start last time out against The,
• 18:09
  Speaker 5: mets which is not a good. Sign but it was
• 18:11
  Speaker 5: at Home Course, field you, know, again not easy to pitch.
• 18:15
  Speaker 5: There his overall numbers are not. Bad it's just he
• 18:18
  Speaker 5: doesn't strike out a lot of. Guys twenty two strikeouts
• 18:21
  Speaker 5: and thirty seven. Innings it's just not his. Thing he throws,
• 18:24
  Speaker 5: junk and he tries to get people Not jansen, junk
• 18:27
  Speaker 5: and he tries to get hitters to you, know hit
• 18:30
  Speaker 5: into soft. Contact he's got eleven walks, allowed thirty one
• 18:33
  Speaker 5: hits allowed in thirty seven. Innings none of that is
• 18:35
  Speaker 5: really that. Bad he's allowed more than two hour and
• 18:39
  Speaker 5: runs only, twice and both of those games were at
• 18:41
  Speaker 5: home in Course, field and one of them was against The,
• 18:44
  Speaker 5: dodgers so he might actually pitch okay, here and his
• 18:47
  Speaker 5: numbers against The phillies are actually fine as. Well twenty
• 18:50
  Speaker 5: five at. Bats we don't have a huge sample, here
• 18:53
  Speaker 5: but they only have two extra base hits against, him
• 18:56
  Speaker 5: a double From Trey, turner oh, no, sorry three extra
• 18:59
  Speaker 5: base hits two doubles From turner And marsh and A
• 19:02
  Speaker 5: garcia home. Run but he's held At philly to a
• 19:04
  Speaker 5: two hundred, average six thirty one oh, ps six, strikeouts one.
• 19:08
  Speaker 5: Walk he might actually do okay. Here Christopher sanchez is
• 19:13
  Speaker 5: pitching for The. Phillies he is one of their better
• 19:16
  Speaker 5: pitchers for. Sure he's got a two point four TWO,
• 19:18
  Speaker 5: era but his whip is kind of high one point three,
• 19:21
  Speaker 5: four SO i worry that he does put too many
• 19:24
  Speaker 5: guys on. Base he's been really good at home, though
• 19:27
  Speaker 5: one point one to eight HOME, era so he has
• 19:30
  Speaker 5: pretty crazy home road splitz where he's way better at.
• 19:33
  Speaker 5: Home HIS ra is five more than five runs, higher
• 19:37
  Speaker 5: almost six runs higher on the. Road last time out
• 19:42
  Speaker 5: he pitched at, home he dominated The, a's had double digit,
• 19:46
  Speaker 5: strikeouts did really well in that, game so he is
• 19:49
  Speaker 5: in pretty good form right. Now his last two starts
• 19:51
  Speaker 5: have both been good at. Home one of them was
• 19:53
  Speaker 5: against The, giants, though who are very weak. Offensively he's
• 19:57
  Speaker 5: got sixty strikeouts and forty eight and and that is
• 20:00
  Speaker 5: a really high strikeout, rate which kind of masks the
• 20:04
  Speaker 5: fact that he's walked. Fourteen not a great walk rate,
• 20:07
  Speaker 5: there and fifty one hits loud isn't really that great.
• 20:09
  Speaker 5: Either but you, know you look at these, NUMBERS i
• 20:12
  Speaker 5: mean he's pretty. GOOD i, mean his strikeout rate is.
• 20:14
  Speaker 5: Insane obviously he is fooling major league, hitters but still
• 20:19
  Speaker 5: the wildness can be a bit of an. Issue his
• 20:22
  Speaker 5: numbers against The rockies are actually not that. Good in
• 20:24
  Speaker 5: fifty one at bats two ninety four average, allowed eight
• 20:27
  Speaker 5: twenty four oh, ps eight, strikeouts three. Walks some of
• 20:31
  Speaker 5: that may have been at course, fields so you got
• 20:33
  Speaker 5: to take that into. Account but the matchup numbers look
• 20:36
  Speaker 5: like they actually Favor sugano. Here the money is, UH
• 20:41
  Speaker 5: i don't, know kind of indicating On, philly but they're
• 20:44
  Speaker 5: almost a minus three hundred, favorite eighty five percent of,
• 20:48
  Speaker 5: tickets ninety three percent of the cash On. PHILLY i
• 20:51
  Speaker 5: understand It's sanchez, pitching BUT i just showed you his
• 20:54
  Speaker 5: matchup numbers don't line up very.
• 20:56
  Speaker 4: Well.
• 20:56
  Speaker 5: Here sugano isn't that bad and has decent match, numbers
• 21:00
  Speaker 5: and he's a guy nobody pays attention. To philly can't hit,
• 21:04
  Speaker 5: well and you're telling me that with their lack of,
• 21:07
  Speaker 5: offense they're laying minus three. HUNDRED i JUST i don't
• 21:12
  Speaker 5: really see, it, MAN i don't think it's. WARRANTED i
• 21:14
  Speaker 5: THINK i would lean towards taking the run line With colorado.
• 21:17
  Speaker 5: Here you're actually probably looking at a plus two and
• 21:20
  Speaker 5: a half run line in that game at a decent price,
• 21:23
  Speaker 5: there and you only Need colorado to lose by two or.
• 21:25
  Speaker 5: Less that might be the WAY i would go in that.
• 21:28
  Speaker 5: GAME i THINK i would lean To colorado on the
• 21:30
  Speaker 5: huge run line, there just to keep the game, close
• 21:32
  Speaker 5: make it like an underdog. Spread. BET i think that's
• 21:35
  Speaker 5: WHAT i would, do all. Right Tampa bay At, boston
• 21:38
  Speaker 5: they got rained out. Yesterday it was raining up here In,
• 21:41
  Speaker 5: boston and they rained it out like two minutes before
• 21:45
  Speaker 5: the game was supposed to, start so everybody was in the.
• 21:47
  Speaker 5: Stadium you, know that's what they. Do sell a bunch of,
• 21:50
  Speaker 5: beer sell a bunch of, food and then oh, Yeah i'm, sorry,
• 21:53
  Speaker 5: guys the game's rained, out you, know come back tomorrow
• 21:57
  Speaker 5: and drink some more beer. Whatever, though ACTUALLY i don't
• 22:00
  Speaker 5: know how that's gonna, work because this game was already
• 22:03
  Speaker 5: supposed to happen. Today the game that got rained out,
• 22:06
  Speaker 5: YESTERDAY i think is gonna happen during a future series
• 22:09
  Speaker 5: Where Tampa bay comes back To. Boston SO i think
• 22:12
  Speaker 5: that's what's going, on Because tampa has to Played toronto,
• 22:16
  Speaker 5: tomorrow so they couldn't do it. Tomorrow, YEAH i don't, know,
• 22:20
  Speaker 5: Man but they're not playing a doubleheader, here so it's one.
• 22:24
  Speaker 5: Game it's the same pitching matchup that was supposed to happen,
• 22:26
  Speaker 5: yesterday so but it's not the same game on the.
• 22:29
  Speaker 5: Schedule so we have two rested bullpens. Here Red sox
• 22:34
  Speaker 5: are seventh in bullpen right. Now rays have moved way.
• 22:38
  Speaker 5: Up they're eleventh right, now so their bullpen hasn't been
• 22:40
  Speaker 5: that bad. Either Red sox have a slight edge. There
• 22:44
  Speaker 5: The rays have had the better. Offense they are, nineteenth
• 22:47
  Speaker 5: which is still not really that. Good Red sox twenty.
• 22:50
  Speaker 5: Eighth their offense continues to, struggle BUT i liked The
• 22:54
  Speaker 5: Red sox with this matchup. YESTERDAY i still like it.
• 22:57
  Speaker 5: Today obviously it's not gonna be a play for. ME
• 23:00
  Speaker 5: i considered, it you, KNOW i just don't think it's that.
• 23:03
  Speaker 5: Strong but same. Matchup Nick martinez is pitching for The.
• 23:06
  Speaker 5: Rays good numbers on the season one point seven to One,
• 23:10
  Speaker 5: ray one point oh two whip home road splits are
• 23:13
  Speaker 5: not really. Significant he's good either. Way he's allowed two
• 23:17
  Speaker 5: or fewer earned runs in every single. Start his strikeout
• 23:20
  Speaker 5: rate is not high though twenty eight and forty two,
• 23:22
  Speaker 5: innings but he's not putting guys on base. Either ten,
• 23:25
  Speaker 5: walks thirty three hits. Allowed, yeah he's pitching. Well numbers
• 23:30
  Speaker 5: against The Red, sox AS i showed you, yesterday are
• 23:32
  Speaker 5: not good though in forty one of bats they have
• 23:34
  Speaker 5: a three to ninety average in oney fifteen ops against.
• 23:38
  Speaker 5: Him so This Red sox lineup that has been, struggling
• 23:41
  Speaker 5: they should hit better than they than they have. Been, like,
• 23:44
  Speaker 5: dude they have a decent lineup that should be hitting
• 23:47
  Speaker 5: better than it. Is eight strikeouts one walk there by the,
• 23:50
  Speaker 5: Way so that's a good. Ratio but The Red sox
• 23:53
  Speaker 5: historically have Hit. Martinez Peyton totley is pitching for The Red,
• 23:57
  Speaker 5: sox as he was going to. Yesterday he's been good so.
• 24:01
  Speaker 5: Far he's still only twenty three years. Old. Man he's
• 24:04
  Speaker 5: a looming mound presence and a. Lefty it seems like
• 24:08
  Speaker 5: hitters struggle to face him when they haven't faced him,
• 24:11
  Speaker 5: before which is the case. Here he's got a two
• 24:14
  Speaker 5: point zero FOUR era point seven to four. Whip he's
• 24:17
  Speaker 5: made three starts so far this, season two of them
• 24:19
  Speaker 5: good and one of them not so. Good the not
• 24:21
  Speaker 5: so good one was on the. Road his best, start
• 24:26
  Speaker 5: debatably was the one against The yankees at, home but
• 24:29
  Speaker 5: he also Dominated detroit on the. Road so he's had
• 24:31
  Speaker 5: two really good starts out of his three twenty three
• 24:34
  Speaker 5: to six strikeout walk ratio and only seven hits allowed
• 24:37
  Speaker 5: in seventeen to two thirds. Innings he's pitching, well, obviously
• 24:41
  Speaker 5: and he's, got you, know an upper nineties. Fastball he's
• 24:44
  Speaker 5: got some nasty breaking. Stuff fortes is the only hitter
• 24:47
  Speaker 5: On tampa that's faced. Him he's one for one with a,
• 24:50
  Speaker 5: single SO i think totally does have a little bit
• 24:53
  Speaker 5: of an extra advantage here because he's unfamiliar to the opposing.
• 24:57
  Speaker 5: Hitters SO i will still lean to The Red. Sox
• 25:00
  Speaker 5: same THING i said. Yesterday it seems like the money
• 25:02
  Speaker 5: agrees with, that just like it did. Yesterday seventy six
• 25:05
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets On tampa only fifty six percent of
• 25:08
  Speaker 5: the cash on. Them and AGAIN i will point, Out
• 25:11
  Speaker 5: Red sox are a round of minus one thirty favorite,
• 25:13
  Speaker 5: here and there's a reason for, That like the public
• 25:17
  Speaker 5: is gonna look at that and, say you, know they
• 25:19
  Speaker 5: probably they. Don't they might not even know who totally.
• 25:21
  Speaker 5: Is they see That martinez is a one something. Whip
• 25:24
  Speaker 5: Tampa bay has the way better record than The Red
• 25:26
  Speaker 5: sox and they're getting an underdog. Price so the public
• 25:30
  Speaker 5: they're not gonna want to play The Red sox. Here you,
• 25:32
  Speaker 5: know that's the way that it. Is but, again the
• 25:36
  Speaker 5: oddsmakers are telling you The Red sox are maybe the
• 25:39
  Speaker 5: slightly better team here and or they have the better
• 25:42
  Speaker 5: of the starting pitching match up here at the very.
• 25:44
  Speaker 5: Least so the fact that the oddsmakers have line them
• 25:46
  Speaker 5: as a favorite despite having the way worse, record that
• 25:49
  Speaker 5: tells you. Something AND i did tell you even THOUGH
• 25:52
  Speaker 5: i Think tampa is not a bad, TEAM i think
• 25:54
  Speaker 5: they're USUALLY i would say they're better than people think they,
• 25:57
  Speaker 5: Are BUT i think they're not as good as their
• 25:59
  Speaker 5: record right, now and they've won a lot of close.
• 26:01
  Speaker 5: Games so that is WHAT i will say About Tampa
• 26:04
  Speaker 5: bay that you, know when you're winning so many one
• 26:07
  Speaker 5: run games that luck tends to run out a little.
• 26:10
  Speaker 5: Bit all, right next game up will beat my play
• 26:13
  Speaker 5: and we're gonna bank on a pitcher to bounce back
• 26:17
  Speaker 5: from a couple of bad. Outings and there are a
• 26:24
  Speaker 5: couple of reasons for. This you're gonna see a trend
• 26:28
  Speaker 5: with my geographic trend with my. Players, today we're gonna
• 26:31
  Speaker 5: take The Anaheim angels on the money line minus. Wanaweight
• 26:35
  Speaker 5: it's basically a pick the winner price. Here this is At.
• 26:38
  Speaker 5: Toronto we're gonna go with The. Angels The angels are
• 26:42
  Speaker 5: on the verge of getting swept and they have scored
• 26:45
  Speaker 5: one run in the. Series SO i know nobody's gonna
• 26:48
  Speaker 5: want to take The angels here losing two to nine
• 26:50
  Speaker 5: things and then fourteen to. One but this is the
• 26:53
  Speaker 5: type of spot WHERE i do want to come in
• 26:54
  Speaker 5: on a team like that BECAUSE i think you're gonna
• 26:56
  Speaker 5: get an extra MOTIVATED la team Here anaheim team after
• 27:00
  Speaker 5: getting totally. Embarrassed they're trying to avoid getting swept, here
• 27:03
  Speaker 5: AND i know they haven't been playing well, recently But
• 27:06
  Speaker 5: toronto might just totally overlook. Them, Man And toronto has
• 27:09
  Speaker 5: a big series on. Deck they've already won this. Series
• 27:12
  Speaker 5: what DID i just tell? You toronto's Playing Tampa bay,
• 27:15
  Speaker 5: Tomorrow SO i think that could be a look. Ahead
• 27:18
  Speaker 5: that's a big divisional series against the second place team
• 27:21
  Speaker 5: of the. Division. YEAH i think this is a bad
• 27:25
  Speaker 5: spot For, toronto AND i think we're getting a good
• 27:28
  Speaker 5: pitching matchup With. Anaheim that's WHY i like this so much.
• 27:30
  Speaker 5: Here and, YES i know we're gonna have to deal
• 27:32
  Speaker 5: With anaheim's, bullpen But i'll counter that argument as well
• 27:36
  Speaker 5: in this breakdown here why we're going full. Game we're
• 27:39
  Speaker 5: going full game partially because of the situation as. Well,
• 27:42
  Speaker 5: RIGHT i Think, toronto the motivational aspect of this is
• 27:45
  Speaker 5: gonna affect the whole game in my, Opinion so that
• 27:50
  Speaker 5: is part of. It bullpen, wise, YES i Know toronto's
• 27:53
  Speaker 5: bullpen is better their thirteenth their era is still over
• 27:57
  Speaker 5: four though they're not like the greatest. Bullpen but, yes
• 28:00
  Speaker 5: The angels they have a putrid. BULLPEN i know they're twenty,
• 28:04
  Speaker 5: SEVENTH i get. It but let's start looking at how
• 28:07
  Speaker 5: this sets up, Here anaheim only used one long relief man,
• 28:11
  Speaker 5: yesterday so all of their better relievers are, available even
• 28:14
  Speaker 5: THOUGH i know they're not, good but they basically have
• 28:17
  Speaker 5: their choice of any of their relievers that they want.
• 28:19
  Speaker 5: Today so at least there's That toronto doesn't have. That
• 28:24
  Speaker 5: toronto used almost all of their relief pitchers, yesterday so right,
• 28:28
  Speaker 5: away it looks like we are actually kind of negating
• 28:30
  Speaker 5: the bullpen Edge toronto would normally have because they used
• 28:33
  Speaker 5: five relief pitchers, yesterday so they're not really gonna have
• 28:36
  Speaker 5: that many pictures available here their Clotheser hoffman is, available
• 28:40
  Speaker 5: but he might not even be their closer anymore because he,
• 28:43
  Speaker 5: Sucked SO i don't like how that sets. Up but
• 28:46
  Speaker 5: it's gonna get even worse For toronto once you see
• 28:49
  Speaker 5: what the starting pitching matchup is. Here, offensively by the,
• 28:53
  Speaker 5: way at Least anaheim is a decent hitting. Team they're,
• 28:56
  Speaker 5: Fifteenth Blue jays are, eighteenth so we have that starting.
• 29:02
  Speaker 5: Pitching Jose soriano's pitching For. ANAHEIM i know he was
• 29:05
  Speaker 5: having a great. Season he had the best numbers in
• 29:08
  Speaker 5: baseball until his last two, starts SO i know he's
• 29:11
  Speaker 5: in bad form right, now BUT i think there are
• 29:13
  Speaker 5: multiple reasons why he should bounce back. Here, overall he
• 29:17
  Speaker 5: has a one point seven FOUR, era one point zero
• 29:21
  Speaker 5: nine whip that's all really. Good he's really good on
• 29:23
  Speaker 5: the road one point one to THREE, era and that's
• 29:25
  Speaker 5: where we start. Here if you remember Handicapping soriano last,
• 29:29
  Speaker 5: year he was horrible at home last, year and he
• 29:33
  Speaker 5: was really good on the, road and it looks like
• 29:35
  Speaker 5: we might be heading in that direction, again so you
• 29:39
  Speaker 5: he's he seems to be at his best when he
• 29:41
  Speaker 5: pitches on the. ROAD i don't know, why but that's
• 29:45
  Speaker 5: just the. Case. Uh by the, way for what it's,
• 29:47
  Speaker 5: worth he's also been really good in daytime games this.
• 29:50
  Speaker 5: Year he has a ZERO era during the day and
• 29:52
  Speaker 5: this is a daytime game, today SO i don't really
• 29:55
  Speaker 5: put much weight into, that but there is that as.
• 29:57
  Speaker 5: Well But soriano was significantly better on the road last. Year, now,
• 30:01
  Speaker 5: yes he had two bad starts in a. Row one
• 30:04
  Speaker 5: of them was on the, road and then his worst
• 30:06
  Speaker 5: start was his last start at. Home but, weirdly, weirdly
• 30:12
  Speaker 5: both those starts were against The White. Sox so his
• 30:16
  Speaker 5: starts that are against teams who were not The White.
• 30:19
  Speaker 5: Sox he's allowed one run against all the teams he
• 30:22
  Speaker 5: faced who were not The White, sox and LAST i,
• 30:25
  Speaker 5: Checked toronto is not The White. Sox he did Beat
• 30:28
  Speaker 5: toronto at, home by the, way. Already he had seven
• 30:30
  Speaker 5: strikeouts or excusing four, strikeouts seven, hits a lot of five,
• 30:34
  Speaker 5: innings shut them, out and walked nobody in that, game
• 30:37
  Speaker 5: and he only threw eighty four. PITCHES i don't really know.
• 30:39
  Speaker 5: Why they took him out at that, point and they
• 30:41
  Speaker 5: won the, game but he didn't get a win. SOMEHOW
• 30:44
  Speaker 5: i don't know, how but it was all, bullpen all late,
• 30:48
  Speaker 5: HITTING i guess in that game. Anyway, overall so, yes, Uh.
• 30:52
  Speaker 5: Soriano it just seems like, HE i don't know, what
• 30:56
  Speaker 5: for whatever, reason he can't pitch against The White sox right.
• 30:59
  Speaker 5: Now SO i think he is going to bounce back.
• 31:01
  Speaker 5: Here his last good start that he had was Against.
• 31:04
  Speaker 5: Toronto WHILE i know that Means toronto did just see
• 31:06
  Speaker 5: him not that long. Ago it's not Like soriano's a
• 31:09
  Speaker 5: newcomer to the. League you, know some people have seen him,
• 31:12
  Speaker 5: before they know who he. Is SO i don't Think,
• 31:14
  Speaker 5: toronto having faced him, already is gonna help them that much, Here. Soriano,
• 31:18
  Speaker 5: overall fifty four, strikeouts nineteen, walks forty six to two thirds,
• 31:22
  Speaker 5: innings and thirty two hits. Allowed those are all pretty good. Numbers.
• 31:25
  Speaker 5: Man the walk rate might be a little bit, high
• 31:28
  Speaker 5: but he's been pretty, unhittable and he's striking a lot
• 31:31
  Speaker 5: of guys, out which kind of counters. That numbers Against.
• 31:34
  Speaker 5: Toronto they're not the, greatest but they're. Fine and forty
• 31:38
  Speaker 5: three at bats fifteen to five strikeout walk ratio two
• 31:41
  Speaker 5: seventy nine average allowed is a little, high but six
• 31:43
  Speaker 5: fifty six ohps is not very. High all the hits
• 31:47
  Speaker 5: have been singles pretty. Much he's allowed one extra base
• 31:49
  Speaker 5: hit to, them which is a double by our. Show All,
• 31:54
  Speaker 5: Right So, SORIANO i think he's gonna bounce back. Here
• 31:58
  Speaker 5: AND i said it was gonna get work For. Toronto
• 32:01
  Speaker 5: their bullpen. Situation, yeah, well they used five relief pitchers.
• 32:04
  Speaker 5: Yesterday they're going with a bullpen game here as, well
• 32:07
  Speaker 5: because they Have Spencer miles listed as their. Starter, yeah
• 32:11
  Speaker 5: his numbers are, fine three point five, yr one point
• 32:13
  Speaker 5: one to seven whip and you know he's been a
• 32:17
  Speaker 5: little bit worse at. Home, actually three point nine to Seven.
• 32:20
  Speaker 5: Homier but look at his appearances this. Season, man he
• 32:24
  Speaker 5: just he hasn't pitched for six, days SO i guess
• 32:27
  Speaker 5: maybe they're gonna give him more work. Here BUT i
• 32:30
  Speaker 5: still don't like. IT i, mean it looks like it's
• 32:32
  Speaker 5: essentially a bullpen game. Here you have no idea how
• 32:34
  Speaker 5: long he's gonna go in this. Game they're probably gonna
• 32:36
  Speaker 5: try to let him go three four innings, here but
• 32:40
  Speaker 5: it looks like sort of a pseudo bullpen game For toronto.
• 32:44
  Speaker 5: Here miles has only pitched more than two winnings once this,
• 32:48
  Speaker 5: season and that was back On april. Eleventh SO i don't,
• 32:51
  Speaker 5: KNOW i don't like. IT i don't like how that sets.
• 32:54
  Speaker 5: Up anaheim's only won for five, often but it's a
• 32:57
  Speaker 5: very small. Sample there's just nothing you can really reach
• 33:00
  Speaker 5: into Their. MILES i mean, YEAH i mean this is
• 33:03
  Speaker 5: his first season in the, Majors SO i don't, know,
• 33:06
  Speaker 5: MAN i, MEAN i just don't like how it sets.
• 33:08
  Speaker 5: UP i think it's a week or bad pitching situation
• 33:12
  Speaker 5: For toronto coming into. THIS i think we have a
• 33:14
  Speaker 5: big edge With anaheim and we're getting them a big
• 33:17
  Speaker 5: edge in the starting, pitching but also as far as
• 33:21
  Speaker 5: once we get into the, bullpens the bullpen rest how
• 33:24
  Speaker 5: this game sets up as like a legitimate starter against
• 33:27
  Speaker 5: kind of a bullpen game. Here that all swings me
• 33:30
  Speaker 5: To anaheim. Here plus the motivation is also in the
• 33:33
  Speaker 5: direction Of anaheim, here so we're doing. It that's my
• 33:35
  Speaker 5: only baseball, Play. Anaheim the money looks like it's not
• 33:40
  Speaker 5: agreeing with me at, All so that's. Awesome fifty to
• 33:42
  Speaker 5: fifty on the, tickets eighty eight percent of the cash
• 33:45
  Speaker 5: On toronto. Whatever, yeah total in this, game by the,
• 33:51
  Speaker 5: way is. EIGHT i, MEAN i don't really have a
• 33:54
  Speaker 5: good read on the total in the. Game the money's
• 33:56
  Speaker 5: somewhat coming in towards the, over, which you, KNOW i
• 33:59
  Speaker 5: guess it kind of makes, sense BUT i don't. Know,
• 34:01
  Speaker 5: Man If soriano is able to pitch well, here that
• 34:03
  Speaker 5: might keep the game in check a little. Bit but
• 34:06
  Speaker 5: that's gonna be my. Play that's how it, is all,
• 34:09
  Speaker 5: Right houston At. Cincinnati we got the win With cincinnati.
• 34:13
  Speaker 5: Yesterday they ended a long losing. Streak, man so these
• 34:16
  Speaker 5: teams will split the, series so both teams might show up.
• 34:20
  Speaker 5: Here but you, KNOW i like playing on teams that
• 34:22
  Speaker 5: just ended a losing streak because you end that negative.
• 34:26
  Speaker 5: Momentum you, know they had eight nine losses in a row,
• 34:30
  Speaker 5: whatever and now they won a. Game once you finally
• 34:32
  Speaker 5: win that game and break out of that long losing,
• 34:34
  Speaker 5: streak sometimes that will help you moving, forward like that
• 34:37
  Speaker 5: will give you a little bit of new. Momentum SO
• 34:39
  Speaker 5: i like that For, cincinnati but you, KNOW i don't
• 34:42
  Speaker 5: like much else About. Cincinnati, Here, cincinnati their bullpen's not very.
• 34:47
  Speaker 5: Good they also used three relief pitchers. Yesterday houston used
• 34:51
  Speaker 5: three as. Well bullpen, wise these are the bottom two
• 34:54
  Speaker 5: ranked bullpens in. Baseball houston is the, worst and it's
• 34:59
  Speaker 5: gonna take a lot for them to even somehow climb
• 35:02
  Speaker 5: out of that. Spot cincinnati's ranked his second, worst but
• 35:05
  Speaker 5: THEIR era is at least not the second. Worst still
• 35:08
  Speaker 5: a pretty bad, bullpen Though houston is still fifth on
• 35:11
  Speaker 5: offense and The reds are not that good at twenty,
• 35:14
  Speaker 5: sixth So houston has a better offense. Here this pitching,
• 35:19
  Speaker 5: matchup you, know there are some things about it that
• 35:22
  Speaker 5: don't look that. Bad there are some things about it
• 35:24
  Speaker 5: that do look. Bad houston they got a rough, time you,
• 35:28
  Speaker 5: know with their pitching this. Year Kaiwai tang is gonna
• 35:31
  Speaker 5: make the start For. Houston his numbers look, good but
• 35:34
  Speaker 5: he's been pitching out of the bullpen two point three
• 35:37
  Speaker 5: FIVE r point nine to six whip his. NUMBERS i
• 35:41
  Speaker 5: think of all coming relief appearances pretty. Much he might
• 35:43
  Speaker 5: have made some like opener, appearances but he hasn't gone
• 35:46
  Speaker 5: more than three innings in any of his, outings SO
• 35:49
  Speaker 5: i don't think he's gonna go that, deep although they
• 35:52
  Speaker 5: seem to be planning on having a pitch today because
• 35:54
  Speaker 5: he hasn't pitched it the fourth just LIKE i said
• 35:57
  Speaker 5: With miles over, There but you still don't know how
• 36:00
  Speaker 5: Deep tang is going to go into this. Game But,
• 36:03
  Speaker 5: houston you, know they don't want their bullpen to come
• 36:05
  Speaker 5: in because their bullpen, sucks you. Know BUT i don't
• 36:09
  Speaker 5: know how much to read Into tang's numbers. Here they're
• 36:12
  Speaker 5: overall pretty, good BUT i just don't know how deep
• 36:14
  Speaker 5: he's gonna pitch into the. Game reds. Are they only
• 36:17
  Speaker 5: have one hitters faced and low And low is zero
• 36:19
  Speaker 5: for two with two strikeouts off. Him Former Red sox
• 36:23
  Speaker 5: player Briefly Nathaniel lowe There Andrew abbott is pitching for The.
• 36:29
  Speaker 5: Reds he is a he's an actual starter at, least
• 36:32
  Speaker 5: but he's not having a good. Season five point one
• 36:35
  Speaker 5: to three E, ra one point six to four. Whip
• 36:37
  Speaker 5: he's been way worse at. Home it's a hitter friendly.
• 36:40
  Speaker 5: Ballpark BUT i, mean The reds have had him in
• 36:43
  Speaker 5: the rotation for a few years and he has never
• 36:45
  Speaker 5: been this. BAD i don't know what's going on with
• 36:47
  Speaker 5: him right. Now six point five to seven er at.
• 36:50
  Speaker 5: Home that's really. Bad in, fact he's been significantly better
• 36:53
  Speaker 5: than that throughout His reds. Tenure he's not really much
• 36:58
  Speaker 5: of a strikeout guy twenty eight strikeouts forty to third,
• 37:00
  Speaker 5: innings but he's allowed nineteen walks forty seven hits on
• 37:04
  Speaker 5: top of, that that's not very Good Against. Houston he
• 37:07
  Speaker 5: does have good numbers and only five Hitters i've ever
• 37:10
  Speaker 5: seen him though thirteen at Bats walker is the only
• 37:13
  Speaker 5: one with any hits off, him two for three with
• 37:15
  Speaker 5: a home run off. Him he's had no strikeouts and
• 37:19
  Speaker 5: no walks against. Them one fifty four average allowed five
• 37:22
  Speaker 5: point thirty eight. Ops So abbott being, unfamiliar plus having
• 37:26
  Speaker 5: pretty good numbers Against houston hitters who have seen, him
• 37:30
  Speaker 5: he might pitch. Well. Here there's a possibility both pitchers
• 37:33
  Speaker 5: actually do okay in this, one there's the possibility that
• 37:35
  Speaker 5: goes sideways and both pitchers don't pitch well. Either and
• 37:38
  Speaker 5: this is the type of game THAT i really really
• 37:41
  Speaker 5: struggle to figure out how to handicap. It you know
• 37:43
  Speaker 5: WHAT i? Mean, yeah this is a. BOARD i really
• 37:47
  Speaker 5: don't like this board. Today, man where is this? Game
• 37:51
  Speaker 5: why AM i not seeing? It? There it? Is money's
• 37:55
  Speaker 5: slightly indicating On. Houston cincinnati's like a minus one twenty
• 37:59
  Speaker 5: something favorite, here sixty four percent of the, ticket sixty
• 38:02
  Speaker 5: six percent of the cash On. Houston you, KNOW i don't,
• 38:06
  Speaker 5: know probably just thinking that This houston bullpen game situation
• 38:10
  Speaker 5: is being undervalued in the. Market MAYBE i don't, know,
• 38:14
  Speaker 5: Man i'm not quite sure that it. IS i THINK
• 38:16
  Speaker 5: i would probably Prefer. ABBOT i, mean at some point
• 38:19
  Speaker 5: he's gonna at least pitch better than what his numbers
• 38:22
  Speaker 5: have been so far this. Year based on what he's
• 38:24
  Speaker 5: done throughout his, career he has been better than, This
• 38:27
  Speaker 5: so you, know you're only laying about minus one twenty.
• 38:30
  Speaker 5: THERE i don't. KNOW i THINK i lean to The reds.
• 38:32
  Speaker 5: Plus they have the. Momentum LIKE i, said after breaking
• 38:35
  Speaker 5: the losing streak, yesterday SO i don't. KNOW i THINK
• 38:38
  Speaker 5: i lean red. Slightly money's coming on the. OVER i
• 38:41
  Speaker 5: wouldn't really disagree with. THAT i, mean you're gonna Get
• 38:43
  Speaker 5: houston's bullpen probably pitching a large portion of this. Game
• 38:48
  Speaker 5: cincinnati's pitching generally seems kind of untrustworthy, year especially the.
• 38:52
  Speaker 5: Bullpen abbot might give you a good, outing but even
• 38:56
  Speaker 5: if he, does, over you, know kind of makes sense
• 38:59
  Speaker 5: to hit her from the. Park the totals at. Nine
• 39:02
  Speaker 5: those are my opinions on that. Game minnesota At, cleveland
• 39:06
  Speaker 5: we have a lot of, pitchers So i'm, like who
• 39:07
  Speaker 5: the fuck is this? Guy it seems like we have
• 39:10
  Speaker 5: a lot of bullpen ish games today in this. Series
• 39:16
  Speaker 5: these teams have split so. Far cleveland lost in extra innings,
• 39:20
  Speaker 5: yesterday So cleveland won the first game of the. Series
• 39:23
  Speaker 5: minnesota won yesterday and extra. Innings minnesota's bullpen is. Bad
• 39:27
  Speaker 5: they are one of the, worst and they use five
• 39:29
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers yesterday as well in the extra inning, game
• 39:32
  Speaker 5: not a good. Sign cleveland did use four as, well
• 39:36
  Speaker 5: and their bullpen hasn't been exactly. Great minnesota is is
• 39:39
  Speaker 5: bottom of the, barrel, though like they might be the
• 39:41
  Speaker 5: second worst bullpend To. Houston's THEY'RE ERA i think is second,
• 39:45
  Speaker 5: worst and they're ranked twenty eighth right now out of
• 39:47
  Speaker 5: thirty whip, wise they're a bad. Bullpend in, fact they're
• 39:52
  Speaker 5: actually tied With cincinnati and. Whip so all, Right i'll
• 39:55
  Speaker 5: Say minnesota is actually twenty ninth out of, thirty really.
• 39:58
  Speaker 5: Bad and who were talking About? Cleveland cleveland's actually, tenth
• 40:03
  Speaker 5: although THEIR era is above, four which does worry me
• 40:06
  Speaker 5: a little. Bit hitting, Wise minnesota has been better Than.
• 40:09
  Speaker 5: Cleveland minnesota is, sixteenth Where's cleveland At cleveland's twenty. THIRD
• 40:17
  Speaker 5: i don't love either offense. Here minnesota Has Andrew morris
• 40:21
  Speaker 5: listed as a. Starter he's another relief, pitcher although he is,
• 40:25
  Speaker 5: young twenty four years, old BUT i don't know who he.
• 40:28
  Speaker 5: Is he's been pitching out of the. Bullpen his numbers
• 40:30
  Speaker 5: don't look very. Good four point nine to SIX, era
• 40:33
  Speaker 5: one point five to THREE. Whip that's not. Impressive he's
• 40:37
  Speaker 5: gone three and two thirds innings in one of his.
• 40:41
  Speaker 5: Appearances that's the most he's. Done he literally pitched yesterday
• 40:45
  Speaker 5: out of the, bullpen though only through eleven, pitches but
• 40:49
  Speaker 5: still that kind of indicates he's not gonna go that
• 40:51
  Speaker 5: deep into this. Game he's probably gonna give you one
• 40:53
  Speaker 5: or two innings here would be my. Guess so that
• 40:57
  Speaker 5: means we're getting A minnesota bullpen game with a bullpend
• 41:00
  Speaker 5: got almost entirely used, yesterday and a bullpen that's very.
• 41:04
  Speaker 5: Bad that looks very very bad for The. Twins, uh to,
• 41:09
  Speaker 5: me all The. Morris you, Know cleveland's zero for two
• 41:12
  Speaker 5: often three of their hitters of face and they have
• 41:14
  Speaker 5: one strike, out one. Walk can't really read much into. That, also,
• 41:18
  Speaker 5: again you're gonna Get, Minniessoi minnesota's horrible bullmen for most
• 41:22
  Speaker 5: of the. Game at least For. Cleveland they have an
• 41:24
  Speaker 5: actual starter on the, Mound Gavin, williams and he's having
• 41:27
  Speaker 5: a good season as. Well three point two to EIGHTY,
• 41:30
  Speaker 5: ra one point zero nine. Whip he's been really good
• 41:32
  Speaker 5: at home point eight to Nine HOMIE. Ra he's he
• 41:36
  Speaker 5: gave up five runs last time out Against Kansas, city
• 41:39
  Speaker 5: but he also had seven, strikeouts two, walks eight hits.
• 41:42
  Speaker 5: ALLOWED i think he got a little bit unlucky in that. Game.
• 41:45
  Speaker 5: Uh generally he's pitching really. Well he's allowed two or
• 41:48
  Speaker 5: fewer earned runs in all but three of his, outings
• 41:51
  Speaker 5: which include his first one of the season where he
• 41:54
  Speaker 5: was just way to walk, heavy and, yeah the walks
• 41:57
  Speaker 5: are still. Concerned his strikeout rate is in, saying sixty
• 42:01
  Speaker 5: strikeouts and forty nine to third, innings that's really. Good
• 42:04
  Speaker 5: twenty one walks is way too many. Walks eight home
• 42:07
  Speaker 5: runs allowed isn't good. Either only thirty three hits, though
• 42:10
  Speaker 5: so he's not allowed that many. Hits williams was on
• 42:13
  Speaker 5: a stretch where excuse, Me cleveland won six games in
• 42:17
  Speaker 5: a row that he, started so that's a decent. Sign
• 42:21
  Speaker 5: he has good numbers as well in this matchup Against,
• 42:23
  Speaker 5: minnesota sixty seven at, bats eighteen, strikeouts seven walks, too
• 42:27
  Speaker 5: twenty four batting average, allowed five point fifty one. Ohps
• 42:30
  Speaker 5: SO i like all, that you, know looking at this,
• 42:35
  Speaker 5: More why AM i not Playing cleveland? Here even THOUGH
• 42:39
  Speaker 5: i don't love their? Bullpen the money's totally disagreeing with it.
• 42:42
  Speaker 5: Though eighty seven percent of tickets and sixty eight percent
• 42:45
  Speaker 5: of the cash On. Cleveland they are a bit pricing
• 42:48
  Speaker 5: minus one. Sixty you, know you have to do like
• 42:52
  Speaker 5: a WHAT i did yesterday with The reds to a
• 42:54
  Speaker 5: split run line money line bet. Here, yeah you, know,
• 43:00
  Speaker 5: Whatever i'll leave it off my. Card BUT i do Like.
• 43:03
  Speaker 5: CLEVELAND i THINK i would Play cleveland in that one
• 43:05
  Speaker 5: IF i was gonna do anything with. It totals low
• 43:07
  Speaker 5: though it's seven and a, half it makes laying the
• 43:09
  Speaker 5: run line part of, it you, know more difficult to
• 43:12
  Speaker 5: actually get that to. Cash money seems to be indicating
• 43:16
  Speaker 5: towards the over though seven and a half seems way
• 43:19
  Speaker 5: too low for A minnesota bullpen. Game, BASICALLY i don't
• 43:22
  Speaker 5: know what we're doing with that, here. Man you, know
• 43:25
  Speaker 5: if you want to Take williams out of the, EQUATION
• 43:27
  Speaker 5: i don't. KNOW i don't know IF i would even do, that,
• 43:29
  Speaker 5: though Because williams pitch is well at, home he has
• 43:31
  Speaker 5: good numbers Against. MINNESOTA i think he bounces back from
• 43:34
  Speaker 5: his last. Outing, YEAH i don't, know, MAN i don't
• 43:37
  Speaker 5: trust his walk. Numbers but, YEAH i don't. KNOW i
• 43:41
  Speaker 5: THINK i would, actually, yeah do the split bet run
• 43:44
  Speaker 5: line money line With. CLEVELAND i think that's WHAT i
• 43:46
  Speaker 5: would do. There yankees At. Milwaukee The yankees are actually
• 43:50
  Speaker 5: trying to avoid getting swept, here so The yankees might show.
• 43:54
  Speaker 5: Up they do have a divisional series that starts tomorrow Against,
• 43:57
  Speaker 5: baltimore BUT i don't think The yankees are gonna overlook
• 44:00
  Speaker 5: a game when they're trying to avoid a sweep Here.
• 44:03
  Speaker 5: MILWAUKEE i, MEAN i don't know if they're gonna overlook
• 44:05
  Speaker 5: The yankees, either but The yankees are still the better
• 44:08
  Speaker 5: team here and in bounce back. Mode, however The National
• 44:13
  Speaker 5: league is just way better than The American league this, year,
• 44:16
  Speaker 5: man which that pisses me off even more because The
• 44:19
  Speaker 5: yankees are probably easily gonna make The World series this
• 44:21
  Speaker 5: year because The American league is just so, bad and
• 44:26
  Speaker 5: then that means they avoid all the good teams in
• 44:28
  Speaker 5: THE nl except for whicheveryone makes The World, series which
• 44:32
  Speaker 5: probably it'll be The dodgers, again but you, know it
• 44:36
  Speaker 5: could be The. BRAVES i. DON'T i don't. KNOW i,
• 44:38
  Speaker 5: MEAN i. DON'T i don't know IF i really would
• 44:39
  Speaker 5: really trust that to be the. Case but, yeah that
• 44:41
  Speaker 5: pisses me off because The yankees are gonna have a
• 44:43
  Speaker 5: really easy path through the, playoffs you know WHAT i. Mean,
• 44:47
  Speaker 5: bullshit complete fucking. Bullshit but The National league has dominated
• 44:52
  Speaker 5: The American league in interleague, play SO i will say
• 44:55
  Speaker 5: that The National league has had a, major major upper.
• 44:58
  Speaker 5: HAND i think they've won like at least fifteen more
• 45:02
  Speaker 5: interleague games this season than THE al. Has, anyway this,
• 45:07
  Speaker 5: game both bullpen's have been okay this. Year yankees did
• 45:11
  Speaker 5: use a lot of relief. Pitchers it was an extra
• 45:13
  Speaker 5: inning game, yesterday they used five relief. Pitchers Yesterday milwaukee
• 45:17
  Speaker 5: only used. Two So milwaukee's bullpen is more intact. Here
• 45:21
  Speaker 5: they won on a walkoff so they didn't have to
• 45:23
  Speaker 5: use their closer or. Anything. Either milwaukee's ranked fourteenth than
• 45:27
  Speaker 5: bullpen right. Now The yankees are, ninth so it's pretty.
• 45:30
  Speaker 5: Close but you, Know milwaukee might have a slight edge
• 45:33
  Speaker 5: there just because they didn't use Their they didn't use
• 45:36
  Speaker 5: as many relievers or high leverage relievers. Yesterday yankees do
• 45:40
  Speaker 5: have the better. Offense they're ranked, Third milwaukee twenty, third
• 45:44
  Speaker 5: so their offense still has been, struggling BUT i think
• 45:47
  Speaker 5: it is. Improving starting pitching in this game is very. Interesting,
• 45:52
  Speaker 5: Actually Carlos rodon is gonna make his season debut. Here
• 45:57
  Speaker 5: last year he pitched well for The yankees three point
• 45:59
  Speaker 5: zero one point zero. Five whip had a good. Season,
• 46:04
  Speaker 5: man he was another one of the guys who are you,
• 46:06
  Speaker 5: Know LIKE i listened to The yankee fans and they
• 46:08
  Speaker 5: all complain about a lot of these. Guys i'm, like
• 46:11
  Speaker 5: what is there to complain. About radon had a really
• 46:13
  Speaker 5: solid season last. YEAR i don't, know but he's coming
• 46:16
  Speaker 5: back from injury. NOW i will say that usually when
• 46:19
  Speaker 5: a veteran like him comes back from, injury usually they're
• 46:22
  Speaker 5: ready to go and they pitch, well and they're actually
• 46:25
  Speaker 5: undervalued in the market when they come. Back But i'm
• 46:27
  Speaker 5: not so sure that's gonna be the case here because
• 46:29
  Speaker 5: The yankees are always. Overvalued milwaukee has a pitcher pitching
• 46:33
  Speaker 5: today who nobody knows who the fuck he, is SO
• 46:35
  Speaker 5: i don't think he's gonna be. Overvalued AND i looked
• 46:38
  Speaker 5: At radone's rehab. Numbers he wasn't good In TRIPLE a
• 46:41
  Speaker 5: due they had him pitch one started SINGLE, a one
• 46:44
  Speaker 5: Started DOUBLE, a and he looked pretty good. There then
• 46:47
  Speaker 5: he went To TRIPLE a and he actually had a
• 46:49
  Speaker 5: bad start In TRIPLE. A but they were just kind of, like,
• 46:52
  Speaker 5: whatever we're bringing you up, anyway which in a way
• 46:54
  Speaker 5: it makes, SENSE i, mean BUT i don't, know. MAN i,
• 46:56
  Speaker 5: mean that bad start that he had In TRIPLE a
• 47:00
  Speaker 5: makes me a little bit less confident, Though so that
• 47:03
  Speaker 5: does worry me a little, bit but his numbers are
• 47:04
  Speaker 5: really good Against milwaukee in the past forty seven at,
• 47:07
  Speaker 5: bats fourteen, strikeouts six. Walks that's not, good but one
• 47:11
  Speaker 5: forty nine batting average allowed four to seventy nine. Ops
• 47:15
  Speaker 5: decent sized sample, here and like all their hitters have
• 47:17
  Speaker 5: faced in before And rodon has pretty much dominated, Them
• 47:22
  Speaker 5: milwaukee is going With Logan henderson. Here people have no
• 47:26
  Speaker 5: idea who he. Is LIKE i, said he's only twenty
• 47:28
  Speaker 5: four years. Old he has a four point FIVE era right,
• 47:30
  Speaker 5: now which doesn't look that, good but he has a
• 47:33
  Speaker 5: point eighty eight whip which is pretty. Good and if
• 47:36
  Speaker 5: you look at what he did last, YEAR i totally
• 47:38
  Speaker 5: forgot about.
• 47:39
  Speaker 2: Him.
• 47:39
  Speaker 5: Man he made five starts last year and his numbers were.
• 47:42
  Speaker 5: Awesome he had a one point seven EIGHTY ra point
• 47:45
  Speaker 5: nine to nine. Whip he had more strikeouts than the innings.
• 47:48
  Speaker 5: Pitch he had a thirty three to eight strikeout walk
• 47:51
  Speaker 5: rasio in twenty five and a third innings last year
• 47:53
  Speaker 5: this year eleven to one in eight innings so. Far
• 47:57
  Speaker 5: that's some good, stuff. DUDE i Think henderson might be
• 48:00
  Speaker 5: the real. Deal The brewers are kind of stacked with
• 48:03
  Speaker 5: a lot of young pitching right now between him And
• 48:06
  Speaker 5: harrison and obviously Miss you, know they got rid Of
• 48:12
  Speaker 5: Corman burns a couple of years, ago AND i guess
• 48:14
  Speaker 5: this is, why because they were they were just, stacking you,
• 48:17
  Speaker 5: know good young. Pitching although they didn't Get harrison until
• 48:21
  Speaker 5: the offseason right before this. Season but, yeah, Overall henderson's
• 48:25
  Speaker 5: been pretty, good but only an eight at, innings uh
• 48:27
  Speaker 5: six hits. Allowed. Whatever he's made ONE i think relief,
• 48:31
  Speaker 5: appearance and then it looks like he made one start
• 48:33
  Speaker 5: Against washington so far this. Season, no actually those were both,
• 48:37
  Speaker 5: starts BUT i guess he was an opener in one
• 48:40
  Speaker 5: of them and then the other one was a. Start But,
• 48:42
  Speaker 5: henderson his overall numbers looked pretty good to. Me man
• 48:45
  Speaker 5: and The yankees Only Max schuhman has ever faced him,
• 48:49
  Speaker 5: before not The german Composer. Schuman he's zero for two
• 48:56
  Speaker 5: of the strikeout off him and no. Walks SO i
• 48:59
  Speaker 5: like how it sets up For anderson because he's unfamiliar
• 49:01
  Speaker 5: to The yankees. Hitters his numbers look good to me
• 49:04
  Speaker 5: over a decent sample of you include last. Season so
• 49:07
  Speaker 5: he's one of these talented young pitchers with unfamiliarity that
• 49:11
  Speaker 5: does give him an. Edge, man you, KNOW i think
• 49:15
  Speaker 5: an under does make sense here the you, know maybe
• 49:19
  Speaker 5: first five, innings just because the bullpen for The yankees
• 49:22
  Speaker 5: at least got used up. Yesterday you, KNOW i think
• 49:26
  Speaker 5: we're DOING i, mean he has a good matchup numbers,
• 49:28
  Speaker 5: here he's certainly capable of pitching well. Here maybe he
• 49:31
  Speaker 5: gets a little extra pumped up to be back in the.
• 49:33
  Speaker 5: Majors maybe there's just not much to read into that
• 49:36
  Speaker 5: bad triple a start he made in. Rehab eighty nine
• 49:39
  Speaker 5: percent of tickets and cash on the. Under don't really
• 49:42
  Speaker 5: know what that's. INDICATING i mean the. PUBLIC i don't
• 49:45
  Speaker 5: know how much the public is really coming in and playing,
• 49:48
  Speaker 5: this although this is the type of game they would
• 49:49
  Speaker 5: play over totals at, eight so it's fairly low, maybe you,
• 49:55
  Speaker 5: KNOW i, mean this pitching matchup almost looks like it
• 49:57
  Speaker 5: should be a seven and a half type of. Game
• 49:59
  Speaker 5: but undermakes sense to. Me the money is also indicating On.
• 50:02
  Speaker 5: Milwaukee for what that's, worth sixty per tickets on The,
• 50:05
  Speaker 5: yankees sixty percent of the casual On. Milwaukee i'm not
• 50:09
  Speaker 5: as bullish on, that because you do have The yankees
• 50:11
  Speaker 5: the better team looking to avoid the. Sweep they are
• 50:14
  Speaker 5: favored here and around minus one. Twenty but, again you're
• 50:17
  Speaker 5: usually gonna pay too much of a price for The,
• 50:19
  Speaker 5: yankees especially because they have they at least have the
• 50:22
  Speaker 5: known pitcher on the mound. Here maybe there is some
• 50:25
  Speaker 5: value There On, MILWAUKEE i just don't really love the situational,
• 50:28
  Speaker 5: setup But milwaukee does have the bullpen rest edge. Here
• 50:32
  Speaker 5: there is an argument to be made that their starter
• 50:35
  Speaker 5: might have a little bit of an edge there as.
• 50:36
  Speaker 5: WELL i don't want to bank on, it, though but
• 50:39
  Speaker 5: that's WHAT i think about that. Game seattle at The
• 50:42
  Speaker 5: Chicago White. Sox this, game these teams have split the
• 50:48
  Speaker 5: series so. Far The White sox ended a three game
• 50:50
  Speaker 5: losing streak with a win yesterday six to one after
• 50:54
  Speaker 5: a high scoring bullshit game where we lost the under
• 50:57
  Speaker 5: the game before, that which was a Twelfth day eight.
• 51:00
  Speaker 5: Final seattle is definitely the better team here, though and
• 51:03
  Speaker 5: they their biggest advantage usually is the bullpen against a
• 51:07
  Speaker 5: team like The White. Sox White sox use three relief. Pitchers,
• 51:10
  Speaker 5: Yesterday seattle also used three the. Bullpen seattle's definitely the better,
• 51:16
  Speaker 5: bullpen even though the rink fifteenth their era is like
• 51:19
  Speaker 5: in the top. Five probably they're a good, Bullpen White
• 51:22
  Speaker 5: sox are. Not The White sox are twenty fourth. Hitting,
• 51:26
  Speaker 5: interestingly The White sox are eleventh in, offense they've hit pretty.
• 51:30
  Speaker 5: Well seattle is. Twentieth ALTHOUGH i, AGAIN i still Think
• 51:33
  Speaker 5: seattle's a little bit better than that than what that would.
• 51:36
  Speaker 5: SUGGEST i think the fact that they play in a
• 51:39
  Speaker 5: pitcher friendly park is kind of keeping the hitting numbers
• 51:41
  Speaker 5: down a bit as. Well maybe it's helping their bullpen
• 51:44
  Speaker 5: look better than it is as. WELL i don't, know But,
• 51:47
  Speaker 5: seattle you, know if last year is any, indicator and
• 51:50
  Speaker 5: it makes sense because their home stadium is so pitcher,
• 51:53
  Speaker 5: friendly they hit better on the, road and they are
• 51:56
  Speaker 5: on the road Here Logan gilbert is pitching For. Seattle
• 52:01
  Speaker 5: he you, know he's been kind of mediocre this. Year,
• 52:03
  Speaker 5: man he hasn't been the best four point THREE era
• 52:06
  Speaker 5: one point three. Whip usually he's better at home for
• 52:10
  Speaker 5: all the REASONS i just. Said but he's actually been
• 52:12
  Speaker 5: better on the road this year two point four to
• 52:14
  Speaker 5: five ROAD. Era but it's in a much smaller sample
• 52:17
  Speaker 5: size as. Well he just got knocked around By. Atlanta
• 52:22
  Speaker 5: now here's the thing With. GILBERT i think the reason
• 52:25
  Speaker 5: why his numbers are bad at home sort of is
• 52:28
  Speaker 5: because he's faced like a lot of pretty good offenses at.
• 52:30
  Speaker 5: Home he faced The, Yankees, houston The, a's And atlanta
• 52:35
  Speaker 5: all at. Home that is kind of keeping his pitching
• 52:37
  Speaker 5: numbers from, being you, know as good as maybe they could. Be,
• 52:42
  Speaker 5: overall his numbers don't look bad to, me. Though he's
• 52:44
  Speaker 5: got forty three, strikeouts ten, walks and forty four innings.
• 52:47
  Speaker 5: Pitch forty seven hits isn't, great BUT i think he's
• 52:51
  Speaker 5: getting a little bit. Unlucky he's still a pretty solid.
• 52:53
  Speaker 5: Pitcher eight home runs allowed is not, good but he
• 52:56
  Speaker 5: allowed four of them in his last, game not a good.
• 52:59
  Speaker 5: Sign it happened at, home but that looks like more
• 53:01
  Speaker 5: of a fluke to me than anything. Else and those
• 53:03
  Speaker 5: were the only runs he. Allowed he allowed four solo
• 53:06
  Speaker 5: home runs Against, atlanta but then also tells you he
• 53:09
  Speaker 5: wasn't putting guys on base for the most part. Either
• 53:13
  Speaker 5: his numbers against The White, SOX i don't. Know they're
• 53:16
  Speaker 5: a little bit hard to. Gauge twenty seven at, bats
• 53:19
  Speaker 5: they have five hitters who faced. Him not a big sample.
• 53:21
  Speaker 5: Here ben And tendy's really the only guy that has
• 53:23
  Speaker 5: done damage to. Him he's got six, strikeouts one walk against,
• 53:27
  Speaker 5: them two fifty nine average when eighth four to ops against,
• 53:30
  Speaker 5: them almost entirely Because ben And tendy has four doubles against, him,
• 53:34
  Speaker 5: though and it's five for sixteen off. Him you, KNOW
• 53:38
  Speaker 5: i Think gilbert might pitch okay here Though Davis martin
• 53:42
  Speaker 5: is pitching for The White sox here' he's having a
• 53:45
  Speaker 5: really good. Season. Man he seems to have figured something
• 53:48
  Speaker 5: out even though he's twenty. NINE i don't get, it
• 53:51
  Speaker 5: But i'm not gonna argue with what he's been doing
• 53:53
  Speaker 5: so far until we see something. Different one point six FOUR,
• 53:57
  Speaker 5: era one point zero TO. WHIP i, mean, yeah those
• 54:00
  Speaker 5: numbers are not going to be. Sustainable but he's not
• 54:02
  Speaker 5: exactly SOMEBODY i want to fade right. Now he's got
• 54:04
  Speaker 5: a point seven to SEVEN era at. Home he just
• 54:07
  Speaker 5: shut Out anaheim for seven innings and had ten strikeouts
• 54:10
  Speaker 5: and no walks in that. Outing over his last three,
• 54:13
  Speaker 5: outings he has twenty four, strikeouts two, walks and he's
• 54:17
  Speaker 5: only allowed two earned. Runs this is pretty, crazy stuffed.
• 54:21
  Speaker 5: Dude he's playing for The Chicago White sox and they've
• 54:24
  Speaker 5: won all but one of his. Starts he's allowed two
• 54:27
  Speaker 5: or fewer earned runs in every. Outings is his first
• 54:29
  Speaker 5: outing of the season Against miami forty three to eight
• 54:33
  Speaker 5: strike out walk, ratio thirty seven hits allot in forty
• 54:35
  Speaker 5: four innings and only two of them runs, allowed and
• 54:38
  Speaker 5: he hasn't allowed any in his last four. Outings this
• 54:42
  Speaker 5: is some good. Stuff. Man he pitched well in The
• 54:44
  Speaker 5: a's stadium At. Arizona those are not easy places to,
• 54:47
  Speaker 5: pitch you, KNOW i, MEAN i guess you could make
• 54:50
  Speaker 5: the argument he hasn't faced like a total gauntlet of.
• 54:52
  Speaker 5: Offenses that is, true But seattle's not exactly the best offense,
• 54:57
  Speaker 5: either and he's got good numbers against. Them in thirty
• 54:59
  Speaker 5: five at, bats five, strikeouts three, walks isn't that? Great
• 55:04
  Speaker 5: two hundred average, allowed six fifty three oh, Ps so
• 55:07
  Speaker 5: those are pretty good. Numbers even though A rosarna and
• 55:10
  Speaker 5: Ken zoni both have a home run off, him but
• 55:13
  Speaker 5: his numbers are. GOOD i would lean under in this.
• 55:17
  Speaker 5: GAME i think that's WHAT i would. Do ninety, tickets
• 55:21
  Speaker 5: ninety four percent of the cash on the. Under it
• 55:23
  Speaker 5: looks like a public, play but the, public they're probably
• 55:26
  Speaker 5: not running to the window to play an under in
• 55:29
  Speaker 5: a game like. THIS i, Mean gilbert doesn't have the
• 55:31
  Speaker 5: greatest numbers right. Now they don't know Who martin is,
• 55:33
  Speaker 5: really you know. Whatever seattle's favored on the road minus one.
• 55:37
  Speaker 5: THIRTY i might lean towards The White sox here as.
• 55:41
  Speaker 5: Well for that, reason first FIVE i would say. Probably but,
• 55:44
  Speaker 5: yes if you go under The White sox bullpen is
• 55:47
  Speaker 5: a bit of a. Concern maybe you want to go
• 55:49
  Speaker 5: first five bullpen or first five, INNINGS i, mean because
• 55:53
  Speaker 5: of the. Bullpens they're because of The White sox. Bullpen
• 55:55
  Speaker 5: seattle's bullpen is. FINE i don't. KNOW i mean the
• 55:59
  Speaker 5: total for the full game is eight And seattle being.
• 56:03
  Speaker 5: FAVORED i actually probably, AGAIN i would lead to The
• 56:06
  Speaker 5: White sox first five, innings though you'll probably get them
• 56:08
  Speaker 5: any less good. Price if you go first, five it's
• 56:12
  Speaker 5: probably more of a pick them price rather than getting
• 56:14
  Speaker 5: them as a bigger. Underdog if you go full, game
• 56:17
  Speaker 5: you get them as a bigger. Underdog but that's because
• 56:19
  Speaker 5: their bullpen is so.
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: Bad.
• 56:21
  Speaker 5: Uh seattle at minus one thirty for the full, game
• 56:24
  Speaker 5: but first five basically have picked the. Winner price on
• 56:27
  Speaker 5: The White sox kind of makes sense to me as.
• 56:28
  Speaker 5: Well first five under might be my. Preference in that game,
• 56:32
  Speaker 5: though all, Right cubs At. Texas texas won. Yesterday, MAN
• 56:37
  Speaker 5: i told you they were in the bounced back spot
• 56:39
  Speaker 5: after the return home game where they didn't play. WELL
• 56:42
  Speaker 5: i wasn't sure IF i would Trust Jack lighter enough
• 56:44
  Speaker 5: in that. Game he got the job. Done texas won
• 56:47
  Speaker 5: in a, Shutout so some good pitching For. Texas now
• 56:50
  Speaker 5: the end of the losing, streak both teams probably should
• 56:53
  Speaker 5: show up, here BUT i believe The cubs have a
• 56:57
  Speaker 5: big series up. Next let me, see do They, yeah
• 56:59
  Speaker 5: they play The braves next possible look ahead. There but
• 57:03
  Speaker 5: here's the other thing that's bad about The. Cubs they
• 57:05
  Speaker 5: had just won ten games in a, row and they
• 57:09
  Speaker 5: lost that win streak. Yesterday you, KNOW i talk about
• 57:12
  Speaker 5: this when a team loses a long win streak a
• 57:14
  Speaker 5: lot of times it will hang them over into the next.
• 57:17
  Speaker 5: Game and that plus the fact that they play this
• 57:19
  Speaker 5: huge series Against atlanta coming, up WHICH i think they
• 57:22
  Speaker 5: put more weight into that than this interleague game. Here you,
• 57:26
  Speaker 5: know OBVIOUSLY i think they'd like to win the series Against,
• 57:29
  Speaker 5: texas BUT i don't think it's the biggest deal to.
• 57:31
  Speaker 5: Them SO i think this is a bad spot for The.
• 57:34
  Speaker 5: Cubs SO i do not like the. Spot losing the
• 57:37
  Speaker 5: wind streak might hang them over. Here as far as the,
• 57:40
  Speaker 5: bullpens they're both pretty good. Bullpens The cubs used two
• 57:43
  Speaker 5: relief pitchers, Yesterday rangers use. Three both bullpens are pretty,
• 57:48
  Speaker 5: close ALTHOUGH i THINK i prefer The rangers bullpen a little.
• 57:51
  Speaker 5: Bit they have AN era almost a run. Lower they're
• 57:53
  Speaker 5: ranked sixth right now because their whip is a little bit.
• 57:56
  Speaker 5: Higher The cubs ranked, Eighth but, YEAH i mean a
• 57:59
  Speaker 5: run better on in THE ra department for The. Rangers
• 58:01
  Speaker 5: they got the better. Bullpen cubs have the way better,
• 58:04
  Speaker 5: offense though they're ranked. Fourth texas is twenty. Fifth we're
• 58:09
  Speaker 5: looking at a pitcher friendly park, here so we're probably
• 58:11
  Speaker 5: looking at a lower scoring game. Here jamison Tie on
• 58:14
  Speaker 5: is pitching for The. Cubs he's been fine this. Year
• 58:17
  Speaker 5: four point two to four eras not, great but one
• 58:20
  Speaker 5: point one four whip is pretty, fine you. KNOW i
• 58:23
  Speaker 5: mean that indicates HIS era should be a little bit. Lower,
• 58:26
  Speaker 5: probably he hasn't been that good on the, road a
• 58:28
  Speaker 5: five ROAD, era but this is a pitcher friendly. Ballpark he's,
• 58:33
  Speaker 5: again he's pitched pretty well all. Season he's allowed more
• 58:36
  Speaker 5: than four and runs only once more than three on
• 58:39
  Speaker 5: runs only, twice and the one where he allowed four
• 58:41
  Speaker 5: was at The, dodgers so can give him a pass for.
• 58:44
  Speaker 5: That in the game he allowed, six he got unlucky Against,
• 58:47
  Speaker 5: pittsburgh it was only on six. Hits he gave up
• 58:50
  Speaker 5: three on runs, there struck out. Ten, now his problem
• 58:53
  Speaker 5: is the home run ball. Though he's an extreme fly ball.
• 58:56
  Speaker 5: Pitcher but he might pitch better here Because texas is
• 58:59
  Speaker 5: a ballpark that doesn't allow a lot of home. Runs
• 59:03
  Speaker 5: so that might help him. Here because extreme fly ball,
• 59:06
  Speaker 5: PITCHERS i don't love. Them. Man he's got thirty six
• 59:09
  Speaker 5: strikeouts and forty to third. Innings that's not. Bad fourteen
• 59:12
  Speaker 5: walks is not. Great thirty two hits allowed is pretty.
• 59:16
  Speaker 5: Solid but he's allowed eleven home. Runs that is a, problem.
• 59:19
  Speaker 5: Dude he's allowed some of the most home runs out
• 59:22
  Speaker 5: of anybody this. Season he's up, there, man as far
• 59:25
  Speaker 5: as home runs. Allowed his numbers it Gets texas are
• 59:28
  Speaker 5: pretty good, though seventy at bats a big sample. Here fourteen,
• 59:32
  Speaker 5: strikeouts five, walks two forty three average six seventy nine.
• 59:36
  Speaker 5: Ops they only have two home runs off and From
• 59:39
  Speaker 5: nimo And peterson do with that information what you, want
• 59:43
  Speaker 5: BUT i Think tyon might set up to pitch okay
• 59:46
  Speaker 5: in this. Game, again it's a it's a park that
• 59:50
  Speaker 5: guys that allow a lot of home runs they tend
• 59:52
  Speaker 5: to do a little bit better in this. Ballpark and
• 59:54
  Speaker 5: his matchup numbers don't look bad to. Me but he's
• 59:56
  Speaker 5: gonna have to duel With jacob degra, here who is
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 5: definitely the better pitcher. Here De grom, again he's pitching
• 1:00:04
  Speaker 5: really well this. Season three point one to ONE, era
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 5: one point zero one. Whip he's been really good at,
• 1:00:09
  Speaker 5: home one point six TWO era at. Home, again it's
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 5: a more pitcher friendly, park he's taking advantage of. That
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 5: he did just give up six runs on the road
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 5: against The, yankees but basically everybody that reached base against him.
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 5: Scored he gave up some untimely home, runs still had a,
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 5: yeah still had a seven to one strikeout walk, Ratio
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 5: So i'm not ready to say that that start was actually.
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 5: Bad prior to, that he had gone the entire month
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 5: Of april allowing no more than one ear and run
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 5: in any of his, outings including another one against The.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 5: Yankees so The yankees were seeing him twice in a,
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 5: row which might have helped them a little. BIT i
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 5: didn't think it. WOULD i think we lost on the
• 1:00:46
  Speaker 5: under in that. Game it is what it. IS i
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 5: think we got a bit unlucky on that. Though De
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 5: grom has forty seven strikeouts in thirty seven to two thirds,
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 5: innings so even though he's thirty seven years, old he's
• 1:00:58
  Speaker 5: still striking guys, out eight walks and thirty hits. Allowed
• 1:01:01
  Speaker 5: that's some good. Stuff he's not putting a lot of
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 5: guys on base at. All numbers against The cubs are also.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 5: Good they have fifty four at bats against some thirty
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 5: four of them Are, swanson and even Though swanson doesn't
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 5: have two of them runs off, Him he's only seven
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 5: for thirty four off, him seventeen strikeouts and three, walks
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 5: So swanson doesn't even hit him that. Well, overall he
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 5: has twenty six, strikeouts three walks against, them one to
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 5: eighty five batting average, allowed six to thirty five. Ohps
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 5: those are De grom's numbers against The. Cubs i'm gonna
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 5: lean To texas, here. MAN i think they have a
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 5: slight bullpen. EDGE i like the starting pitching edge for
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 5: De grom as. WELL i like the situational. Edge. NOW
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 5: i think it's a slight edge though For texas with the,
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 5: pitching with the, bullpen with the starting. Pitching BUT i
• 1:01:49
  Speaker 5: think they do have the edge in. Both obviously they
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 5: don't have the better, hitting but PITCHING i think overwhelms
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 5: hitting when it's good. Enough and AGAIN i don't like
• 1:01:59
  Speaker 5: the spot with the cub having lost their long win.
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 5: Streak SO i will lean To texas in this. Game
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 5: but the money's disagreeing with. Me texas is about a
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 5: minus one thirty. Favorite you, know maybe you're paying a
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 5: little bit of a price for De grom because he
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 5: is that. Good he's gonna be in The hall Of.
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 5: Fame sixty four percent of tickets are On, texas sixty
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on The. CUBS i don't buy.
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 5: IT i really, don't, though because the public knows that
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 5: The cubs just won ten games in a, row, right
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 5: SO i think they'd be more likely to, think, oh
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 5: The cubs are gonna bounce back, here even though you,
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 5: know maybe they're not totally attempted to evade To gram.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 5: Here but STILL i don't see the public being that
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 5: heavily On texas in this. Game SO i don't know
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 5: what to do with this market read, here and undermakes
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 5: sense in this game to me as. WELL i think
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 5: you have two starting. Pitchers, well deGrom is obviously a great.
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 5: Pitcher tie on not, really but this particular, matchup in
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 5: this particular stadium might be one of the better situations
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 5: for him to pitch. In so an under the eight
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 5: makes sense to me in this game as. Well and
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 5: the bullpens are both DECENT i think as, well so
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 5: they're both. GOOD i would say eighty six and not
• 1:03:09
  Speaker 5: overused eighty six percent of the tickets and ninety two
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash on the. UNDER i agree with
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 5: the money. There under makes sense to me in that,
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 5: game BUT i THINK i prefer The texas. Side All,
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 5: RIGHT i don't have any more plays in, baseball But
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 5: i'm gonna give you one play in hockey and one
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 5: play in THE. Wnba finish the baseball card as, well
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 5: and we're going to talk about THE nba. OBVIOUSLY i
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 5: will be right. Back all, right let's zoom back in.
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 5: Here next game up Is pittsburgh And San. FRANCISCO i
• 1:04:50
  Speaker 5: don't even want to talk about this. Matchup after, YESTERDAY
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 5: i think that water just went. DOWN i went down
• 1:04:58
  Speaker 5: the wrong pipe or. Something but oh, shit that didn't feel,
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 5: good all? Right and NOW i have a somebody revving
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 5: their fucking motorcycle outside like sound it sounds like they're
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 5: like literally in my room right. Now maybe you guys
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 5: could hear. That even though this is a directional, Mic,
• 1:05:15
  Speaker 5: dude these people should be banned from being on the,
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 5: road all. Right like that's so loud for it being
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 5: out on the street out, there all. Right, Uh pittsburgh
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 5: At San. Francisco this is AN Espn unlimited. Game these
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 5: teams have split the series so. Far San francisco got
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 5: embarrassed yesterday thirteen to, three but the game was closer
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 5: than that until late in the, game and it was
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 5: just a complete, Unraveling AND i was pissed about.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 4: That.
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 5: Obviously Maybe San francisco is gonna kind of be in
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 5: bounced back. Mode but then, again they use five relief pitchers.
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 5: Yesterday that's not, good even THOUGH i think their bullpen is,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 5: good but you, know the situation for them doesn't look.
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 5: Great pittsburgh used two relief pictures. Yesterday their bullpen probably
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 5: does set up a little bit better. HERE i Thought
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 5: pittsburgh hauld use more guys than they did the day before.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 5: That apparently not. Neither both of these bullpens looked like they,
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 5: were you, know lined up to be ready to go,
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 5: yesterday and, Yeah San francisco's bullpen completely let me down.
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 5: Yesterday their bullpen has fallen. Off where are they, at,
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 5: Dude San. FRANCISCO i still think they're one of the better,
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 5: bullpens but they're already they're down to twenty first in
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 5: bullpen because their whip is one point four, too but
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 5: THEIR era is still three point eighty, Five SO i don't.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 5: KNOW i, MEAN i don't think they're that bad of a. Bullpen,
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 5: still they can't be this much worse than last, year
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 5: and they have a lot of the same. Guys. Whatever
• 1:06:38
  Speaker 5: pittsburgh has ranked, sixteenth but they have a lesser, ERA
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 5: i mean a worse er because it's, higher it's not.
• 1:06:45
  Speaker 5: LESSER i can't talk, anymore. Man pittsburgh has had the better.
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 5: Offense they're ranked, seventh which is. Insane The giants are, second,
• 1:06:55
  Speaker 5: last second to, last twenty, ninth really. Bad So pittsburgh
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 5: has the better. Offense, yeah and you, know the bullpen
• 1:07:03
  Speaker 5: edge isn't that strong one way or the, other so
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 5: we could say that on the, surface you would think
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 5: That pittsburgh has the better starting pitcher, here at least
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 5: the guy that has the higher. Ceiling the younger pitcher,
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 5: Here Bubba. CHANDLER i don't know IF i trust him right, now. Though,
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 5: man he's struggling this. Year he's only twenty. Three he's
• 1:07:21
  Speaker 5: got good enough stuff that he definitely could figure it.
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 5: Out but four point seven to SIX era one point
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 5: five whip that's. Bad you can't put one and a
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 5: half guys on basin. Inning, man he's got a five
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 5: point three roady ra that's not. Good even Though San
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 5: francisco is a pitcher friendly, ballpark he walks six guys
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 5: again in his last. Outing he's walked three or more
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 5: in his last three. Outings his walks are just, really
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 5: really a problem right. Now, Man he's got thirty one,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 5: strikeouts twenty six walks in thirty four, innings and only
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 5: twenty five hits. Allowed so he's hard to. Hit but
• 1:07:55
  Speaker 5: this walk number is outrageously. High you cannot walk that many, guys,
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 5: man you can't do. It the one EDGE i guess
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 5: he does have is that he's still a talented, pitcher
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 5: and he's unfamiliar To San. Francisco they've never faced it,
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 5: before so he does have that, advantage so maybe he'll do.
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 5: Okay for that, Reason Tyler molly is pitching for The.
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 5: Giants he has not been very good this. Year FIVE
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 5: vra one point five to three whip really kind of
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 5: surprising because, again AS i talk about with, him he
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 5: pitched well For texas last year And San francisco is
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 5: a similar environment where they're pitching is usually good and
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 5: their ballparkers pitcher. Friendly but you, Know, molly he hasn't
• 1:08:35
  Speaker 5: been very, good although he's actually been fine at home
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 5: two point nine to one home, eer so he might
• 1:08:41
  Speaker 5: do fine here because he is pitching at. Home you,
• 1:08:46
  Speaker 5: know he seems to be alternating good and bad starts
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 5: right now, though and that would mean he's in line
• 1:08:50
  Speaker 5: for a bad one. HERE i don't know about, that
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 5: but maybe that's not the. CASE i, mean it looks, like,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 5: WELL i don't know most of his bad starts where road, starts,
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 5: though so there is that one of them was at
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 5: home though against The. Mets that's not a good. Sign
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 5: thirty four to eighteen strike at walk. Ratio that's not good.
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 5: Either that is a lot of walks thirty seven hits
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 5: allowed in thirty six. Innings not a lot to like with.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 5: That too many walks allowed is really the problem. Here
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 5: his numbers Against pittsburgh are actually, good, though and forty
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 5: one at bats to forty four average, allowed six p
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 5: ninety two, ohps six y five strike out walk ratio
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 5: is not, good but all five walks Or Brian, Reynolds so,
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 5: YEAH i, mean the matchup numbers make it look like
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 5: both starting pitchers could actually do well. Here neither starting
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 5: pitcher is doing well, though so, like how do you,
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 5: know how do you figure it? Out that's one of
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 5: the you, know a type of, game, right just stay
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 5: away from. It i'm looking at the market here we
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 5: got let me, See i'm just sick of all these
• 1:09:54
  Speaker 5: revving engines out, here, Man, like just fuck. Off fifty
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 5: eight tickets Around. Pittsburgh ninety two percent of the cash
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 5: On San. Francisco So Sar francisco is getting the. Money
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 5: they're about minus one fifteen or. SO i don't. KNOW
• 1:10:11
  Speaker 5: i don't have a whole lot to say about, it
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 5: to be, honest it looks like the market is Saying
• 1:10:14
  Speaker 5: San francisco here. Though take that for what it's. Worth
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 5: maybe it is a bounced back spot for. Them it
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 5: might be at least a decent situation For molly. Here you,
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 5: KNOW i don't Know chandler has the higher. Ceiling i've
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 5: set all of it, already THOUGH i could see an
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 5: argument for the under in this. GAME i don't know
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 5: if we love the bullpens set up because a lot of.
• 1:10:34
  Speaker 5: Usage maybe you go first five, under which UNFORTUNATELY i
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 5: should have done. Yesterday it would have been a, win
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 5: BUT i didn't see a great reason to exclude the bullpens.
• 1:10:43
  Speaker 5: There first five under makes some sense to me. HERE
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 5: i think with the unfamiliarity That chandler has And molly
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 5: pitching at home with good matchup numbers could lend itself
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 5: to a lower scoring. Game early money is indicated towards the, over,
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 5: though so with seventy percent of ticket sixty eight percent
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 5: of the cash on the, UNDER i don't. Know do
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 5: whatever you want to do with that. Info man got
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 5: to get through the rest of these. Games the big
• 1:11:10
  Speaker 5: series of the Weekend atlanta at The. Dodgers dodgers won
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 5: the first game and Then atlanta won yesterday seven to.
• 1:11:18
  Speaker 5: TWO i Think atlanta's been the better team in the, series,
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 5: though because The dodgers had to, WIN i, think on
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 5: their final at bat in the first. Game So atlanta
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 5: has kind of outdone The dodgers in the series in my,
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 5: opinion but they're one to one in the. Series atlanta
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 5: used two relief pitchers, yesterday Including Ronaldo, Lopez SO i
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 5: was getting in arguments with people OVER i told, you,
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 5: dude not just Because lopez pulled that stupid stunt repunched Somebody.
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 5: SOLAIRE i think it was with a ball in his.
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 5: Hand you can't do, that, man make a makeshift weapon
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 5: out of a. Baseball lopez is a fat fuck And
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 5: i've been telling you he's not that good. Anymore his
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 5: velocity clearly has dropped. Off AND i literally said that
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 5: as soon as one guy comes off the injured list For,
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 5: Atlanta lopez is not gonna be in the starting rotation.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 5: Anymore well guess who was. Right, yeah that would be,
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 5: me Because strider came, back And STRIDER i think actually
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 5: pitched pretty well, yesterday by the, way and, yeah that
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 5: Bounced lopez out of the starting. ROTATION i fucking told, you,
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 5: man you know you don't want to argue this shit with,
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 5: Me but, Yes lopez pitched out of the bullpen. Yesterday
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 5: whatever that means he's not gonna pitch, today but That's
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 5: atlanta probably doesn't want him to, pitch to be. Honest,
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 5: Anyway atlanta used two guys out of the, bullpen The
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 5: dodgers used. Three dodgers did use their best relief, pitcher
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 5: though for some, REASON i Think henriquez is kind of their,
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 5: closer right he throws really. HARD i don't. KNOW i
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 5: don't know what The dodgers were doing bring him into
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 5: a game where they lost the game, already but, Whatever
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 5: SO i Think atlanta probably sets up a little bit
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 5: better in the. Bullpen even though The dodgers are ranked
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 5: one right now and The braves are ranked. Two, well
• 1:13:00
  Speaker 5: they have the same, whip but The braves have a
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 5: slightly better, era so The braves actually should be ranked.
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 5: ONE mlb Dot com doesn't order these. Correctly they don't
• 1:13:09
  Speaker 5: have a secondary sort what's the Word i'm looking for
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 5: a secondary? Sort secondary sort, ORDER i guess would be the. Term,
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 5: YEAH i should know because it's. Software shit done a
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 5: lot of stuff with the sorting data and shit like
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 5: that in the. Past so, anyway, yes but, YES i
• 1:13:32
  Speaker 5: think The braves have the slightly better, bullpen and they
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 5: set up a little bit better in that. Department, Here
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 5: dodgers do have the better. Offense they're ranked, one but
• 1:13:40
  Speaker 5: The braves are ranked number. Two but, YES i think
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 5: The dodgers do have the better. Bullpen starting pitching is pretty.
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 5: INTERESTING i, mean these are two starters that have pitched
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 5: well this, year AND i don't know IF i trust.
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 5: Them Bryce elder is pitching for The. Braves he's had
• 1:13:54
  Speaker 5: a good season two point TWO era one point two.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 5: Whip they weren't gonna take him out of the, rotation and,
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 5: man it Was. Lopez it was gonna be the first guy.
• 1:14:02
  Speaker 5: Gone even Though elder really had some, struggles you, know
• 1:14:06
  Speaker 5: within the last couple of, years you're not gonna take
• 1:14:08
  Speaker 5: him out of the. Rotation when he's pitching like this right,
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 5: now he's his home road swits are not very. Significant
• 1:14:14
  Speaker 5: he's been pretty good both. Ways, Yeah elders pitch well all. Season.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 5: Dude he's allowed three or fewer earned runs in every,
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 5: outing forty five to sixteen strike out WALK raceio thirty
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 5: four hits allowed in forty nine. Innings you, know it
• 1:14:28
  Speaker 5: is a few too many, walks, really but these numbers
• 1:14:31
  Speaker 5: are not. Bad, like and he's been pretty, unhittable so,
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 5: yeah he's pitching. Well numbers against The dodgers are actually
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 5: pretty good as. Well sixty three at, bats fifteen to
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 5: six strikeout walk race, here two thirty, out two thirty
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 5: eight average, allowed seven oh one. Ops SO i Think
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 5: elder sets up like he should pitch pretty well. Here
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 5: Justin robleski is getting the draw for The dodgers. HERE
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 5: i don't know what to think about. Him, man he's
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 5: a guy he doesn't strike out. Anybody and, yeah he
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 5: has been very. Effective, nonetheless so the one point two
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 5: to five Y ra one, whip he's been pretty much
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 5: similar home in. Away it doesn't really. Matter he's coming
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 5: up a game where he shut Out Saint louis for
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 5: six innings that he struck out. NOBODY i, mean what
• 1:15:16
  Speaker 5: do you do with a guy like? THIS i don't
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 5: like seeing a guy that just had no strikeouts in and, Outing,
• 1:15:21
  Speaker 5: like what are we doing? Here he's only got fifteen
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 5: strikeouts on the season at thirty six, innings ten. WALKS
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 5: i mean that ratio is really bad fifteen to ten
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 5: strikeout walk. Ratio but he's allowed very few. Runs he's
• 1:15:33
  Speaker 5: only allowed twenty six. HITS i, mean what do you?
• 1:15:37
  Speaker 5: Do dodgers have won five games in a row that he's.
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 5: Started he got to win in all five of. Them
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 5: his worst start was his first. Start first is the.
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 5: Worst that was his only bad ish start of the
• 1:15:51
  Speaker 5: season Against. Cleveland since, then he's allowed one or zero
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 5: earned runs and every one of his other. Starts, yeah
• 1:15:58
  Speaker 5: one At, coursefield one at home against The, cubs although
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 5: he walked four guys in that. ONE i don't, Know Man.
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 5: Robleski he's a mystery to. Me didn't expect him to
• 1:16:08
  Speaker 5: be this, effective but he has, been and The braves
• 1:16:10
  Speaker 5: haven't seen much of. Him braves have five hitters who faced,
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 5: him fifteen at, bats one, strikeout no, walks one extra base,
• 1:16:18
  Speaker 5: hit a double From, dubon two hundred batting average allowed
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 5: for seventy four sixty seven ops against. Them you, know this,
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 5: game it looks like an under to, me, DUDE i,
• 1:16:31
  Speaker 5: know you know there The dodgers did use some of
• 1:16:34
  Speaker 5: their better. Relievers that the bullpens are both pretty. Good
• 1:16:37
  Speaker 5: the totals at, nine which just seems too high to.
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 5: ME i, know we're looking at good. Offenses public doesn't
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 5: know who these pictures. Are you, know these are not name.
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 5: Pictures let's put it that. Way public is probably still
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 5: gonna want to play the over here because It's Braves. Dodgers,
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 5: man these teams score so, much AND i thought this
• 1:16:56
  Speaker 5: would be The Sunday Night peacock, game although it. Isn't but,
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 5: yeah under makes sense to. Me but we see eighty
• 1:17:01
  Speaker 5: eight percent of, tickets only sixty six percent of the
• 1:17:03
  Speaker 5: cash on the. UNDER i don't know the total is.
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 5: NINE i, mean you think it's that high for a.
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 5: Reason but the pitching looks like it could do well
• 1:17:10
  Speaker 5: here to, Me SO i don't. KNOW i lean under
• 1:17:12
  Speaker 5: in this, one and The dodgers are favored at minus one.
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 5: Thirty it always is crazy to me With robleski being a,
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 5: favorite even to that, extent especially against one of the
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 5: only teams that looks like they can compete with The
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 5: dodgers this year is The, braves you, know Getting, elder
• 1:17:31
  Speaker 5: WHO i think is right. NOW i don't, know, Man
• 1:17:34
  Speaker 5: elder is kind of a more established. Starter that's kind
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 5: of what my hang up is, Here LIKE i kind
• 1:17:38
  Speaker 5: of lean to The braves a little bit on the.
• 1:17:40
  Speaker 5: Side money is on The. Dodgers those sixty three percent
• 1:17:43
  Speaker 5: of tickets sixty nine percent of the cash on The.
• 1:17:46
  Speaker 5: DODGERS i don't, know. Man The braves have had the
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 5: upper hand of the, series and, AGAIN i Think elder
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 5: is the more proven starter at this, point Like robleski
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 5: kind of was thrust into the, role AND i think
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 5: he's overperforming right now based on what his actual talent level.
• 1:18:01
  Speaker 5: Is that's WHAT i think about the. Game dodgers again
• 1:18:05
  Speaker 5: are around minus one thirty there all. Right mets At.
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 5: Arizona mets won the first game of the. Series arizona
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 5: bounced back and won, yesterday so this will be the
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 5: rubber match of the. Series. BULLPENS i still don't Like
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 5: arizona's bullpen and they only used two guys out of it,
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 5: yesterday though The mets used two as. Well arizona is
• 1:18:29
  Speaker 5: still ranked third and Bullpen, whip but their eras in
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 5: the mid, fourth SO i still don't trust. Them mets
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 5: have a better bullpen era even though they ranked twelfth in.
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 5: WHIP i think The mets do still have the better
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 5: bullpen out of the. Two diamondbacks have really fallen off.
• 1:18:43
  Speaker 5: Offensively they've dropped to twenty, first but of course The
• 1:18:46
  Speaker 5: mets are. Thirtieth they're dead lass this pitching matchup is
• 1:18:52
  Speaker 5: JUST i don't even know what to tell. You Huascar
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 5: Braza ban is pitching for The mets, here and you,
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 5: KNOW i don't think this is a good. Idea he
• 1:19:04
  Speaker 5: pitched h three days. Ago he's coming out of the,
• 1:19:08
  Speaker 5: bullpen man to make this up. START i think it's
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 5: gonna be an. Opener so he pitched out of the
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 5: bullpen At colorado on the. Seventh the day before, that
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 5: he was the first guy to. Pitch he made the,
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 5: Start he made the opener On he was not the
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 5: opener on the. Seventh he was A may, SEVENTH i should,
• 1:19:25
  Speaker 5: say DID i Say March. May he did make the
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 5: opener On may, Fourth and what that indicates to me
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 5: is that this is going to be pretty much what
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 5: The mets did in that game Against colorado on the.
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 5: Fourth they're doing that again. Here and what they did
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 5: in that game is they Brazen Ban brazabah open in the.
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 5: Game then they wound up Using David, peterson although he
• 1:19:48
  Speaker 5: was actually the third guy to take them mount in the.
• 1:19:51
  Speaker 5: Game but they Used peterson for like four innings, basically
• 1:19:54
  Speaker 5: or three something. Innings SO i think that's what they're doing.
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 5: Here peterson hasn't pitched since, THEN i, believe SO i
• 1:19:59
  Speaker 5: think they're gonna Use peterson coming in behind brazen Bon
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 5: so take that for what you. Want But peterson has
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 5: been so bad that they relegate him to the. Bullpen
• 1:20:09
  Speaker 5: and you, KNOW i don't Like. Peterson he. Sucks he
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 5: puts way too many guys on. Base SO i do
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 5: not like this setup for The. Mets it's a bullpen.
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 5: Game it doesn't look. Good e Rod Eduardo rodriguez's pitching
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 5: for the D. Backs his numbers look fairly good this.
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 5: Year two point five r is obviously really. Good one
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 5: point two nine whip not, great but. Fine he's been
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 5: pretty good at home one point eight to nine E.
• 1:20:34
  Speaker 5: Ra but you look into his, numbers you, know his
• 1:20:36
  Speaker 5: strikeouts stuff just isn't really there anymore since he's had the.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 5: Injuries he's a bit older, now you, know he had you,
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 5: know surgery and stuff like. That twenty nine strikeouts in
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 5: thirty nine to two thirds. Innings nineteen walks is definitely.
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 5: Concerning that's too many. Walks but he's not allowing a
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 5: lot of hits thirty two, hits so he's been not
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 5: getting hit, hard so at least there is that D
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 5: backs have actually won his last five. Starts he's allowed
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 5: four or fewer earned runs in every start this. Season
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 5: he did face The mets back On april ninth In
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 5: New york and he held them to one earn run
• 1:21:10
  Speaker 5: in six, innings so he did have a good start.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 5: There his numbers against The mets overall are, decent although not.
• 1:21:17
  Speaker 5: Great in ninety six at, bats twenty nine to, nine
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 5: strike out walk ratio two to fifty average, allowed seven
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 5: to twenty one. Ohps Boba schett hits him well six
• 1:21:26
  Speaker 5: for fifteen with two on the, runs two walks for.
• 1:21:29
  Speaker 5: Strikeouts he's probably the guy that has the best numbers
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 5: off him in a somewhat large enough sample size. There you,
• 1:21:37
  Speaker 5: KNOW i don't know what to think about this, game
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 5: AND i Think i'm gonna Lean. ARIZONA i just you,
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 5: KNOW i don't like what's going on here with this
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 5: bullpen gameh E rod at least has been better at
• 1:21:48
  Speaker 5: home and has decent matchup numbers, Here SO i think
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 5: that's WHAT i would. Do the money seems to. Agree
• 1:21:54
  Speaker 5: sixty six percent of tickets eighty six percent of the
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 5: cash On. Arizona it's basically just to pick the winner
• 1:21:59
  Speaker 5: price right or minus one, ten so pretty easy to do.
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 5: IT i would probably do it full game just, because you,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 5: KNOW i, Mean arizona's bullpen whip is still, okay AND
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 5: i really don't like their. Bullpen but The mets are
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 5: going with a bullpen game, here, man SO i think
• 1:22:15
  Speaker 5: you could take advantage of going full game with it.
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 5: There you, know if it starts out bad for The,
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 5: mets it's probably not gonna finish well for The mets
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 5: in a game like, that you, know because like they
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 5: just won't wind up using their better bullpen. Arms and
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 5: maybe the better bullpen arms aren't even really that. GOOD
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 5: i don't, know AND i still don't trust Like williams And.
• 1:22:35
  Speaker 5: Weaver there's a reason why The yankees got rid of those,
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 5: guys and why The yankees bullpen is way better since
• 1:22:41
  Speaker 5: they got rid of. Them Saint louis At San. Diego
• 1:22:46
  Speaker 5: San diego bounced back with a win. Yesterday this is
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 5: a four game. Series Saint louis won the first two
• 1:22:51
  Speaker 5: of the series and Then San diego was able to
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 5: get them back. YESTERDAY i think both teams do show
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 5: up maybe a little bit more urgency From San diego
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 5: to try to split the series. Here you don't want
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 5: to lose a home weekend series To Saint. Louis. Man
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 5: even THOUGH i Know Saint louis has a good, RECORD
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 5: i keep expecting them to fall off at some. Point.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 5: Now San diego used four relief pitchers. Yesterday they did
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 5: use some of their better, relievers Including Mason millery, yesterday
• 1:23:17
  Speaker 5: so their bullpen might not set up that great, here
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 5: But Saint louis's bullpen is. Bad they did only use
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 5: two relief pitchers, yesterday, though so that does negate the
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 5: bullpen edge. Somewhat That San diego Has San diego's ringing
• 1:23:31
  Speaker 5: fourth in, bullpen but they are still a very good
• 1:23:33
  Speaker 5: bullpen And Saint louis is not good at twenty, seconds
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 5: SO i still think The padres do have a bullpen,
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 5: edge but it's not as strong as it normally would.
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 5: Be Saint louis has hit pretty. Well they are tenth in.
• 1:23:46
  Speaker 5: Offense San diego no other twenty seventh they have not hit.
• 1:23:51
  Speaker 5: Well this is a pitcher friendly park, here, though by the,
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 5: way That arizona's a hitter friendly, Park so just keep
• 1:23:57
  Speaker 5: that in mind if, you uh you are thinking about
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 5: the total in that. GAME i didn't really have a
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 5: good opinion on the total there though this, game you,
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 5: know my opinion on this total might, be you, know
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 5: a little bit. Countered, well it's probably not. COUNTERINTUITIVE i
• 1:24:11
  Speaker 5: don't Know Kyle. Lay he is getting the start For Saint.
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 5: Louis you, Know i'm not really a. Fan his numbers
• 1:24:17
  Speaker 5: just are. Ugly four point nine to THREE, era one
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 5: point six to FOUR. Whip he's in bad on the
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 5: road five point three to ONE. Era, NOW i know
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 5: he is pitching in a pitcher from the ballpark. Here
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 5: he's coming up a pretty good start Against, milwaukee but
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 5: he doesn't go deep into his. Outings he only goes
• 1:24:32
  Speaker 5: about five innings and then they surrender it to the.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 5: Bullpen so that's not. GOOD i, mean that kind of
• 1:24:37
  Speaker 5: negates the rest edge That Saint louis's bullpen has a little,
• 1:24:41
  Speaker 5: bit the fact their bullpen's probably gonna come into this
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 5: game somewhere around the fifth. Inning Here lay he has
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 5: twenty seven, strikeouts thirteen, walks forty four hits a lout
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 5: in thirty four and two thirds. Innings not really great stuff.
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 5: There Against San, diego he does have good, numbers though
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 5: most of their hitters have faced him seventeen at. Bats
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 5: it's not a big sample, though three, strikeouts no, walks
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 5: one eighteen batting average, allowed two ninety four oh, ps
• 1:25:07
  Speaker 5: and only one extra race hit a double From. Machado
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 5: So lay in his career actually has pitched well Against San.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 5: Diego Walker bueller is pitching For San, diego and you,
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 5: KNOW i don't like him. Either he's just never been
• 1:25:21
  Speaker 5: able to return from his injuries Man Tommy john surgery or.
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 5: Whatever he's been a completely different, pitcher way worse and
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 5: these you, know he's been on several different teams since,
• 1:25:31
  Speaker 5: then pretty much including The Red. Sox actually only a
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 5: few different, teams but these teams keep trying to trot
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 5: him out, there and he just doesn't pitch. Well, dude
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 5: five point six FOUR, era one point five to two.
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 5: Whip that's bad. Stuff he's been good at home this, year,
• 1:25:45
  Speaker 5: though so give him. That at least three point two
• 1:25:47
  Speaker 5: HOME era pitches better in this pitcher friendly, environment so that's.
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 5: Good at. Least he hasn't a lot more than four
• 1:25:54
  Speaker 5: earned runs in any, outing but he's failed to make
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 5: it five innings in like half of his, outings so
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 5: that's not. Good twenty nine strikeouts in thirty to third
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 5: innings is actually not that. Bad he's got a decent
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 5: strikeout right. There but twelve walks thirty four hits allowed not.
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 5: Good too many guys on, base too many. Walks his
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 5: numbers Against Saint louis are, ugly but it's only nine
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 5: at bats across five hitters four forty four average allowed
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 5: though in twelve seventy eight, ops one, strikeout one, walk
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 5: not the greatest numbers. There so you, KNOW i mean
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 5: you could Lean Saint louis. Here if you're gonna do,
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 5: That i'd probably do it first, five just based on
• 1:26:31
  Speaker 5: the pitching matchup. Numbers they're the money's indicating On San, diego,
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 5: though you, KNOW i don't, know, MAN i, mean if
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 5: you go full, GAME i, Mean San diego doesn't have
• 1:26:41
  Speaker 5: their better relievers. Available but STILL i don't know if
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 5: i'd really want to Fade San diego's bullpen, anyway, though,
• 1:26:46
  Speaker 5: YEAH i think first five Innings Saint louis does make some.
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 5: Sense there'll be a bit of an. Underdog minus one
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 5: thirty or so is the price On San. Diego fifty
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 5: eight percent of, tickets eighty nine percent of the cash
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 5: that's for the full, game though money hitting the under
• 1:27:02
  Speaker 5: a bit sixty percent of tickets seventy five percent of
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 5: the cash on the, UNDER i THINK i would lean.
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 5: OVER i don't like these. Pitchers Man leahy does have
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 5: good matchup, numbers, Though bueller is good at, home So
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 5: i'm gonna stay away from. It but you, Know San
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 5: diego doesn't have their better relievers. Available Saint louis's bullpen is,
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 5: bad SO i think it over the eight and a
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 5: half kind of makes some sense in that game to,
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 5: me BUT i don't want to do. It also a
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 5: pitcher friendly. Park and then, finally The Peacock night game
• 1:27:29
  Speaker 5: Is detroit At Kansas, city And Kansas city is looking
• 1:27:33
  Speaker 5: for a sweep Peer they've won the first two games
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 5: four to three and five to. One BUT i talk
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 5: about it how when a, team especially the team AND
• 1:27:41
  Speaker 5: i think is probably the better, Team, detroit when they're
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 5: on the version of getting, swept they tend to show
• 1:27:47
  Speaker 5: up with. Motivation, now the problem with that is That
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 5: detroit they're going with like a just an ugly bullpen game.
• 1:27:54
  Speaker 5: HERE i don't love, that, MAN i really. Don't so
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 5: that's gonna kind of keep me off of you, know
• 1:28:00
  Speaker 5: trying to look at The detroit side, here even though
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 5: they should be motivated to try to avoid the. Sweep
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 5: Kansas city might not even overlook them, though because we're
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 5: talking About, detroit who's been like the best team in
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 5: this division. Recently so even THOUGH i Know cleveland somehow
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 5: snuck up on them and won the division last, YEAR
• 1:28:18
  Speaker 5: i Believe detroit was still the better team in the,
• 1:28:21
  Speaker 5: Division Kansas city might not overlook them still for that.
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 5: Reason Kansas city used two relief pitchers. Yesterday detroit also used.
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 5: Two SORRY i didn't keep that up that, long but
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 5: there you. Go detroit is twentieth in bullpen right, now
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 5: but their whip is at least or excuse THEIR era
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 5: is at least below. Four Kansas city's bullpen has been.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 5: Bad THEIR era is almost. Five the ranked twenty, Fifth
• 1:28:45
  Speaker 5: SO i Think detroit does have a bullpen edge. Year
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 5: Hitting detroit does have an edge as. Well they're at,
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 5: THIRTEEN i think they, do but they're at Thirteenth Kansas city's.
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 5: Twelfth BUT i Think detroit does have the better. Offense
• 1:28:58
  Speaker 5: is that gonna be enough to overcome the fact that
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 5: this is a bullpen? Game Which, detroit, dude they have
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 5: so many injured Started. Dude schooble is. Injured valdez is,
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 5: suspended although he will make his next start on a slight.
• 1:29:12
  Speaker 5: DELAY i think because he got a seven game, SUSPENSION
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 5: i think there might be another injury they have as.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 5: Well myes they think might be injured as. Well detroit's
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 5: going with all these bullpen, games, man AND i don't
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 5: think it's a good thing when it's not really a planned.
• 1:29:26
  Speaker 5: Thing detroit Has brennan hennefee listed hand effee excusely listened
• 1:29:30
  Speaker 5: as a starter. Here he does have a ZERO era this.
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 5: Year he's made some, starts but he hasn't made any
• 1:29:36
  Speaker 5: since twenty twenty. Four his overall career numbers are, okay
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 5: but he doesn't strike out a lot of. Guys he
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 5: doesn't really put it on the guys on, base at
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 5: least not via the. Walk you. Know he allows a
• 1:29:49
  Speaker 5: few too many, hits, THOUGH i don't. KNOW i don't
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 5: know what to think about. Him he's only made four
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 5: appearances this, year hasn't allowed any runs, yet But i'm
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 5: not gonna put much weight into. That his numbers against
• 1:29:58
  Speaker 5: The royals are. Bad third two at bats three forty
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 5: four average allowed one thousand and five, ohps bad, stuff six,
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 5: strikeouts one, walk three different hitters of home runs off,
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 5: him With pasquentino And garcia all of a home run off. Him,
• 1:30:15
  Speaker 5: STILL i, mean he's not gonna be out there that.
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 5: Long he's probably gonna give you a couple of innings.
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 5: Here then you Get detroit's. Bullpen SO i don't. Know
• 1:30:22
  Speaker 5: it doesn't look like a good setup to me For. Detroit.
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 5: Though Noah cameron is pitching For Kansas. City NORMALLY i
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 5: would say that's. Good Kansas city has an actual starter
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 5: on the mound at, least But cameron hasn't been. Good
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 5: five point FOUR, era one point six to one. Whip
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 5: he was good last. Year he was you, know he
• 1:30:39
  Speaker 5: had a good, season which was his debut season in the.
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 5: Majors last year he pitched, Well so to some, EXTENT
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 5: i think he is going to turn this. Around even
• 1:30:47
  Speaker 5: though he's not a good strike up. Pitcher he was
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 5: good last, year SO i think he is going to
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 5: turn this. Around he's been a little bit better at
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 5: home at least four point eight SIX, era but STILL
• 1:30:58
  Speaker 5: i worry five point FOUR, era six to one whip
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 5: not good. Stuff he hasn't pitched Since april, thirtieth, so you,
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 5: KNOW i don't know if they gave him some. REST
• 1:31:07
  Speaker 5: i don't know what they're doing. HERE i don't think
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 5: they sent him to the, miners you, KNOW i don't
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 5: know whatever reason they gave him some extra rest to
• 1:31:15
  Speaker 5: try to figure some shit. Out he's got twenty eight
• 1:31:18
  Speaker 5: strikeouts this year and thirty one to two thirds, innings
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 5: which really isn't that. Bad he's a guy that doesn't
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 5: strike out that many, guys so that raid is actually
• 1:31:25
  Speaker 5: pretty good for. Him eleven walks isn't, great you, know
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 5: it's not the, worst and they're evenly distributed throughout all
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 5: of his, starts so he can kind of get away with.
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 5: That forty hits a lout on thirty one to two
• 1:31:37
  Speaker 5: thirds innings is the. Problem he's way too hittable so
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 5: far this, year so he's got to turn that. Around
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 5: he might be able, to and even though he pitched
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 5: a full season for the most part last year in this.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 5: DIVISION i don't know. How But detroit has never seen him,
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 5: before so he might have a little bit of an
• 1:31:53
  Speaker 5: advantage here in That detroit hasn't seen him. BEFORE i
• 1:31:56
  Speaker 5: don't love it that he's pitching off schedule, though and
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 5: that he's had extra rest sometimes that will kind of
• 1:32:01
  Speaker 5: mess with a. Pitcher the money's coming in A, detroit
• 1:32:03
  Speaker 5: which is. RIDICULOUS i want no part of what they're
• 1:32:06
  Speaker 5: doing with that bullpen. Game sixty two, tickets eighty nine
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 5: percent of the Casual. DETROIT i do not like that at.
• 1:32:12
  Speaker 5: All you, Know Kansas city is at minus one thirty.
• 1:32:16
  Speaker 5: Here i'll probably slightly Lean Kansas city for me, here
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 5: But detroit is trying to avoid the. SWEEPS i don't
• 1:32:23
  Speaker 5: love that. Either over might kind of make sense here
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 5: in a. WAY i, mean but you, Know, cameron because he's,
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 5: unfamiliar that's an advantage to. Him he might actually turn
• 1:32:33
  Speaker 5: it around and pitch better. HERE i, think you, know
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 5: we could do something and Take cameron just out of
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 5: the equation because he's a. Mystery Go Kansas city over
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 5: their team. Total that kind of makes sense to. Me
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 5: just go with The royals to score runs against A
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 5: detroit bullpen, game that makes sense to. Me you could
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 5: go Over Kansas city team total. There the full game
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 5: total is, eight so you're probably gonna Need Kansas city
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 5: to score five runs. Here they're capable of, it of,
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 5: course but you, know maybe a little bit difficult to.
• 1:33:04
  Speaker 5: Do all, right that's. Baseball all that for just one baseball.
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 5: PLAY i, know let's go TO wnba real. Quick here
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 5: we Have seattle At. Connecticut both these teams are kind of,
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 5: off you, know embarrassing ish. Losses seattle lost at home
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 5: To Golden, state BUT i told You Golden state is
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 5: gonna be one of the better teams in the league this.
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 5: Year Golden state was favored in that game for a.
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 5: Reason connecticut is the worst team in the. League probably
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 5: they got absolutely drilled by The New York liberty in
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 5: their first. Game New york is a good. Team connecticut
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 5: was a huge. Dog so both these teams lost by double.
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 5: Digits connecticut got really embarrassed, though by thirty something. Points you,
• 1:33:46
  Speaker 5: know Having britney Grind or on their team may not be.
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 5: ENOUGH i don't even know if she played in that
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 5: game or. Not She seattle is a favorite, here But,
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 5: seattle you, know they're lying like they're gonna be one
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 5: of the worst teams as. Well this Year's seattle's really
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 5: falling off because they were a playoff team last, year
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 5: not a bad team last, year but the fact That
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 5: connecticut is favored against. Them A wnba doesn't give. You
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 5: you don't get much home court in THE. WNBA i,
• 1:34:13
  Speaker 5: mean come, on nobody goes to these. Games you probably
• 1:34:15
  Speaker 5: get like one point for home court, Maybe But connecticut
• 1:34:21
  Speaker 5: is actually favored by one and a half here and
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 5: they flip to the. Favorite looks like the money's coming
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 5: back On seattle though fifty percent of tickets eighty five
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 5: percent of the cash On. SEATTLE i don't, know, MAN
• 1:34:31
  Speaker 5: i mean take MY wnba leaves with a real grain of,
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 5: salt BECAUSE i don't know what the Fuck i'm doing.
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 5: HERE i do have one play in THE nba AND,
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 5: wnba though it's not this, game BUT i would probably
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 5: Lean connecticut in that, game coming off the more embarrassing.
• 1:34:45
  Speaker 5: Loss and they're only having to travel home From New,
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 5: york which is a quick, trip and this is their home,
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 5: opener Whereas seattle's having to come in from The pacific,
• 1:34:54
  Speaker 5: coast so you, know the travel spot is a little
• 1:34:57
  Speaker 5: bit weirder for, them and they're playing an afternoon. Game
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 5: SO i don't, Know i'm gonna Lean connecticut there On
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 5: New york At, Washington, WASHINGTON i don't know how good
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 5: or bad they are this, Year so we did Take
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 5: washington as an underdog a few times last, year and
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 5: they did pretty well for us as an underdog last.
• 1:35:14
  Speaker 5: Year they're coming off of an unimpressive win Against, toronto
• 1:35:17
  Speaker 5: who's an expansion. Team nobody's really gonna care about. That
• 1:35:21
  Speaker 5: that was a game with like a toss up. Line
• 1:35:23
  Speaker 5: New york is the favorite here on the. Road they're
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 5: definitely the better. Team BUT i thought they might be
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 5: favored by more than, this but they're only favored by
• 1:35:30
  Speaker 5: five and a half. Here. Now New york is coming
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 5: off a blowout win Against, connecticut WHICH i know doesn't mean,
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 5: much but anytime you win by thirty something, points you
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 5: look pretty. Good now they're going out on the road To.
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 5: Washington this Is washington's home, opener for what that's. Worth
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 5: but they're having to come back down From, toronto which
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 5: is not that easy to do. Either you, KNOW i
• 1:35:53
  Speaker 5: don't know what to tell, you BUT i will Love
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 5: i'll probably Lean washington plus the points, there BUT i
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 5: don't love. It New york is getting the money sixty
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 5: per cent of the, tickets seventy one percent of the,
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 5: cash So i'm disagreeing with all the. Money BUT wnba
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 5: is not really my, thing, Man BUT i just look
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 5: for similar situations to other sports THAT i, like and
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 5: that's WHAT i. Do and you, know that win yesterday
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 5: that we had On phoenix made me look real. Good
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 5: so but, yeah it's five and a half is the number.
• 1:36:21
  Speaker 5: There it has dropped a little bit from six and a,
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 5: half so it looks like there was some movement Against
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 5: New york. There but they have sixty percent of tickets
• 1:36:31
  Speaker 5: seventy one percent of the. Cash the next game you
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 5: can actually watch it ON Usa. Network and this is
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 5: going to be my Play vegas And. La if you
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 5: know HOW i, handicap you know Where i'm going. Here
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 5: this is my best bet in THE, wnba trying to
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 5: go two and oh to start THE wnba. Season we're
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 5: gonna lay the points with The Vegas aces. Here, man
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 5: there's still the returning. Champs but you might, say but
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 5: they're on a back to. Back they played, yesterday they're
• 1:37:01
  Speaker 5: gonna be. Unrested that's all, bullshit. Dude they played one
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 5: game yesterday and they got blown out so. Bad you,
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 5: know they didn't put in that much of an effort
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 5: at the end of that. Game the game was over.
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 5: Early SO i don't care that they played, yesterday and in,
• 1:37:15
  Speaker 5: FACT i think it's an. Advantage so there's rest versus rust. Here,
• 1:37:20
  Speaker 5: okay And, Vegas, yes they played, yesterday but what that
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 5: means is they got a game under their, belt they
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 5: got a game out of the. Way they got absolutely,
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 5: embarrassed so you know they're gonna be pissed after, that
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 5: blowing their home opener as a huge, underdog as a huge.
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 5: Favorite excuse, me letting a huge underdog beat them by
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 5: thirty three. Points what DO i always? Say, WELL i
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 5: say two. Things you're never as good as you're a best.
• 1:37:43
  Speaker 5: Game you're never as bad as your worst. Game but
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 5: also a team that is a big favorite that loses that,
• 1:37:50
  Speaker 5: badly especially they tend to bounce back with a huge
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 5: effort in the next. GAME i think that's what we're
• 1:37:55
  Speaker 5: gonna get. Here AND la is at a disadvantage in my,
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 5: opinion because they haven't. Played they have not played. Yet
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 5: this is their season. Opener while, YES i know, you're,
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 5: oh you're gonna get up for your season. Opener, yeah,
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 5: SURE i mean you're gonna be motivated to play your
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 5: season open you get to play the returning champs. Whatever
• 1:38:12
  Speaker 5: BUT la was not that good of a team last.
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 5: YEAR i think they missed the playoffs last, year If
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 5: i'm not. Mistaken AND i don't like that they haven't
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 5: played yet on the, season BECAUSE i think that's an
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 5: advantage To. Vegas vegas is still gonna be pretty, rested,
• 1:38:26
  Speaker 5: man because, again they had like a week off before
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 5: they played. Yesterday they only played one game and it
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 5: was a game that got totally out of. Hand SO
• 1:38:33
  Speaker 5: i don't think they're really unrested. Here. LA i think
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 5: might be. Rusty they just haven't even played yet this,
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 5: season and they played a preseason game literally a week,
• 1:38:42
  Speaker 5: Ago so LIKE i THINK la might be. Rusty they
• 1:38:45
  Speaker 5: might come in cold here first game of the. Season you,
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 5: know they're not gonna be used to it. Yet SO
• 1:38:49
  Speaker 5: i think it's very good That vegas got a game
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 5: out of the way yesterday and they're gonna be super
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 5: motivated here and the travels not. Battle they have to
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 5: do is go From vegas To. La easy enough to do.
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 5: That let's do. It, yeah we're gonna lay the points With.
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 5: Vegas there's still the better team in this matchup. Here,
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 5: yeah that's my. Play lay the Points vegas after we
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 5: faded them yesterday and then we do Have phoenix At Golden.
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 5: State and, Yes phoenix looked too good yesterday and they
• 1:39:17
  Speaker 5: are not on rest. Here they just played In. Vegas
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 5: now they're going From vegas To Golden, state which is you,
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 5: know in The Bay area In. California still that's not
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 5: a bad travel spot For phoenix, really but they did play. Yesterday,
• 1:39:30
  Speaker 5: now the difference in this game is That Golden state
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 5: did already play a game and they looked. Good they
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 5: blew Out. Seattle now this is going to be their home.
• 1:39:38
  Speaker 5: Opener they might get up for. It Golden state played
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 5: two days, ago they didn't play, yesterday but they looked
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 5: really good in a blowout Of. Seattle But phoenix still
• 1:39:47
  Speaker 5: looked way. BETTER i, Mean phoenix absolutely destroyed the returning.
• 1:39:52
  Speaker 5: Champs and then they are getting the. RINGS i told, you,
• 1:39:54
  Speaker 5: man ring, DAY i told. You you know what, happens,
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 5: man you get the. Ring, fuck, yeah we're the. Best oh,
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 5: shit we just lost my thirty three points at. Home you,
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 5: know it's so, stupid but, yeah that was the part
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 5: of the. Handicap, Anyway, phoenix they looked too good. Yesterday you,
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 5: KNOW i gave you the handicap on. That it Was
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 5: it was a revenge. Spot it was a huge game For.
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 5: Phoenix it was a spot WHERE i thought the aces
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 5: would be. Flat that is what. Happened and they are
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 5: flat because they're playing, Cards phoenix having no rest, here
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 5: so they're at a rest disadvantage even though the travel
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 5: is kind of. SHORT i don't like, it, MAN i
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 5: think they're in they're in line for a. Letdown that
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 5: was a big revenge win for. Them, WELL i don't
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 5: know that they're necessarily gonna Overlook Golden. State i'm not
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 5: gonna put this on my, card BUT i Like Golden state.
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 5: Here money doesn't agree with me on this one, either
• 1:40:46
  Speaker 5: and we didn't see the money at. All the percentages
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 5: on The vegas, games so they can go uh seventy
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 5: two ticket sixty two percent of the cash On Golden.
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 5: State they're minus two or. So you could play money
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 5: line on it if you want to as, well or
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 5: maybe find a one and a. Half BUT i Like Golden.
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 5: State that's my second STRONGEST wnba opinion. TODAY i almost
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 5: added it as a. Play i'm not gonna quite get
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 5: there with that, one but, YEAH i Lean Golden. State
• 1:41:11
  Speaker 5: Golden state is better than people think right now because
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 5: they're a pretty new team to the, league but they
• 1:41:16
  Speaker 5: were pretty impressive last. Year, man and let me let
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 5: me see Who phoenix has. Next, actually, Ooh phoenix Has minnesota,
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 5: Next so it is actually a sandwich spot as. Well,
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 5: MINNESOTA i know they lost, yesterday they covered, THOUGH i
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 5: got that. Right they played pretty well Against atlanta. Yesterday
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 5: minnesota still Has, collier one of the best. Players, PHOENIX i,
• 1:41:42
  Speaker 5: believe Upset minnesota in the playoffs last, year so that
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 5: game probably is a bigger game For. Minnesota But phoenix
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 5: probably Knows minnesota is gonna have a revenge on their,
• 1:41:52
  Speaker 5: mind and that's a big, game probably Because minnesota has
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 5: been one of the better teams in the league for a.
• 1:41:57
  Speaker 5: While and you, KNOW i think probably should have won
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 5: the championship two years, ago AND i think they lost
• 1:42:02
  Speaker 5: To New. YORK i want to say it's, Interastic SO
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 5: i think that kind of makes this a sandwich spot as. Well,
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 5: yeah so that makes it a little bit. BETTER i
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 5: Like Golden state in that, one but you, Know i'll
• 1:42:14
  Speaker 5: leave it off my, card but it is. CLOSE i
• 1:42:16
  Speaker 5: Like Golden state. There all, right let's go to. Hockey
• 1:42:20
  Speaker 5: i'm gonna give out one hockey. PLAY i like both,
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 5: games though the money is indicating on both, games AND
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 5: i agree with where the money is in both games.
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 5: Here by the, Way, yeah congratulations To. Carolina they have
• 1:42:33
  Speaker 5: gone eight to oh in the playoffs so, far and
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 5: if they don't win The, east it's gonna be. Ridiculous
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 5: BUT i think we're gonna fade them in the first
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 5: game of the next series because they're gonna have. Rest
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 5: they're gonna be off for like a week before This
• 1:42:47
  Speaker 5: Buffalo montreal series is, over you, know having already played
• 1:42:51
  Speaker 5: their fourth game Before buffalo In montreal even play their third,
• 1:42:55
  Speaker 5: game which is. Tonight now we Had montreal in the last.
• 1:42:58
  Speaker 5: Game the series now shifts To, montreal so this will
• 1:43:02
  Speaker 5: be the first game in a while The buffalo In.
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 5: Montreal But buffalo is pretty good on the, road and in,
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 5: fact if you factor in the overtime, losses their road
• 1:43:12
  Speaker 5: record was actually the same As montreal's home. Record So
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 5: buffalo could definitely go in here and win this. Game
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 5: they definitely could do, that AND i think the last
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 5: game was. MISLEADING i know we got the win With.
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 5: Montreal i'm happy about, that even Though i'm not REALLY
• 1:43:26
  Speaker 5: i don't like either of these teams, really but if
• 1:43:28
  Speaker 5: you dig into the box, score you know there was
• 1:43:31
  Speaker 5: an empty net goal at the. End it looks like
• 1:43:33
  Speaker 5: it was a huge blowout From. Montreal it was a
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 5: good spot to Play. Montreal but if you look at the, stats,
• 1:43:39
  Speaker 5: Yeah montreal did win the face off battle by quite
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 5: a bit fifty seven, percent but they had one fewer
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 5: shot although, granted you, Know buffalo was just firing up
• 1:43:47
  Speaker 5: shots because they were losing the. Game But buffalo was
• 1:43:49
  Speaker 5: the way more physical team and hits forty four to.
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 5: Eighteen that kind of indicates to me The, buffalo you,
• 1:43:56
  Speaker 5: know wasn't as The buffalo is definitely not as bad
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 5: in this game as it looked on the, Scoreboard SO
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 5: i think it was a little bit. Misleading although you,
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 5: KNOW i guess one bad thing For buffalo is That
• 1:44:08
  Speaker 5: buffalo didn't take advantage of the. Penalties montreal had twenty
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 5: two penalty minutes in the, game so they got penalized
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 5: more And buffalo did not capitalize on the power, plays
• 1:44:17
  Speaker 5: and in, fact they had no power play. Goals neither
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 5: team actually did in the. Game but, yes that does
• 1:44:23
  Speaker 5: mean that five on, Five montreal did Outplay. BUFFALO i
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 5: Like buffalo in this, game AND i still think that
• 1:44:30
  Speaker 5: game was a misleading. FINAL i think it was closer
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 5: than it. LOOKED i Think buffalo zigzags here and they
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 5: play a better game this. Time LIKE i showed, you
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 5: the home road splits are basically even in this. One
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 5: buffalo is getting the. Money he's sixty four percent of
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 5: tickets On montreal fifty five percent of the cash On. Buffalo,
• 1:44:48
  Speaker 5: Yeah i'm gonna Leave buffalo in that. One montreal is
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 5: a small favorite of around minus one twenty or, so
• 1:44:54
  Speaker 5: so you'll Get buffalo as a dog. There that's WHAT
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 5: i would. Do we're going the other way, though with
• 1:45:00
  Speaker 5: a small dog in the other. Game these games both ON.
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 5: Espn we're gonna Play anaheim, here but let me get
• 1:45:06
  Speaker 5: the best bet up. Here this will be my last
• 1:45:13
  Speaker 5: game of the. DAY i like both of. These WHEN
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 5: i prefer this, ONE i Like anaheim to bounce back. Here,
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 5: man we did not have a play on the previous
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 5: game of the, series and if you look at the box,
• 1:45:22
  Speaker 5: score it was not what it looked. Like, man we're
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 5: gonna Take anaheim as the home dog. Here anheim's good at. Home, Also,
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 5: MAN i don't Think anaheim is gonna lose both home
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 5: games here after they lost that first of these two
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 5: home games. Here vegas is not very good on the
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 5: road if you factor in overtime. Losses they were a
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 5: below five hundred road team this. Year AND i told you,
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 5: THIS i thought this is gonna be a bit of
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 5: a home centric series Because anaheim was significantly better at
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 5: home than on the, road and they're at home, here
• 1:45:52
  Speaker 5: so that's what we want to. Do they were above
• 1:45:55
  Speaker 5: five hundred at home pretty, significantly even with the overtime.
• 1:45:58
  Speaker 5: Losses yes they lost the last, game and, Yes vegas
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 5: And anaheim are pretty close, geographically so this is not
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 5: any road, game you. Know it's it's an easier road
• 1:46:09
  Speaker 5: venue For vegas to, play AND i will give you,
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 5: that but if you look at the last, game even though,
• 1:46:13
  Speaker 5: YES i like That vegas has more experience, whatever but
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 5: we still have two experienced coaches. Year vegas's coach is
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 5: still a little bit green. Here And vegas has won
• 1:46:23
  Speaker 5: two games in a, row and they won the last
• 1:46:25
  Speaker 5: game six to. Two Man, LIKE i don't think anybody's
• 1:46:28
  Speaker 5: really gonna Want anaheim now after. That but look at
• 1:46:30
  Speaker 5: what happened in this. Game we had a shorthanded goal
• 1:46:34
  Speaker 5: that kind of started setting the tone early For, vegas
• 1:46:38
  Speaker 5: and shorthanded goals usually happened on like a mistake on a.
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 5: Turnover when you fuck up a power, play they're, flukes,
• 1:46:44
  Speaker 5: Man SO i don't put much weight into, that and you,
• 1:46:48
  Speaker 5: know there's nothing that you could do once you, like
• 1:46:50
  Speaker 5: the shorthanded goal is usually on a, breakaway you, Know
• 1:46:53
  Speaker 5: SO i THINK i saw it happen TO i think
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 5: that is what. Happened then there was a power play
• 1:46:58
  Speaker 5: goal as, well so you, know not even strength there
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 5: For vegas in that. One, Yes vegas did still score
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 5: a couple of even strength goals as, well and Then
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 5: anaheim put up a couple of goals when it was too.
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 5: Late there was an empty net goal as well at the,
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 5: end probably pissing off all the under betters BECAUSE i
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 5: think they were about to push on the under seven
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 5: in the. Game but, whatever maybe it was six and a.
• 1:47:22
  Speaker 5: Half let me say what was the total? Here, no
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 5: it was six and a. Half my, mistake so the
• 1:47:29
  Speaker 5: empty net didn't affect. That but, Anyway vegas had an
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 5: empty net, goal a shorthanded goal in one power play.
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 5: Goal so if you take those goals, out the flukes
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 5: and you, know the goals that were not even strength and.
• 1:47:42
  Speaker 5: Whatever they only won the game three to two if
• 1:47:45
  Speaker 5: you take those, out like even strength goals were three to.
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 5: Two this game was not what it looked. Like An
• 1:47:50
  Speaker 5: anaheim really kind of won the statistical battle. Here they
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 5: had more, shots although yes it was because they were,
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 5: losing but they had thirty more hits in the game Than,
• 1:47:58
  Speaker 5: vegas so that tells Me anaheim was way more, physical
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 5: which was. GOOD i like, physicality, man sounds. Gay And
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 5: anaheim did not get over penalized. Either they had six penalty,
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 5: minutes so they really didn't take that many. Penalties rests
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 5: let them, play which is a decent sign For anaheim
• 1:48:16
  Speaker 5: to be able to do that again in this. Game,
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 5: Yes vegas did win the face offs fifty seven percent of,
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 5: them worries me, Slightly BUT i like This anaheim at,
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 5: home where they're much much. Better if they, lose they're
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 5: gonna be more urgent, here, man because if they fallow
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 5: down three to one and have to go back To
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 5: vegas and they're not a very good road, TEAM i
• 1:48:36
  Speaker 5: think it's series. Over SO i think you're gonna see
• 1:48:38
  Speaker 5: a lot of urgency From anaheim. HERE i like It
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 5: we're Taking anaheim as the slight dog. Here money is
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 5: agreeing with. Me this is a bigger money split than
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 5: in the other. Game two h sixty percent of tickets On,
• 1:48:51
  Speaker 5: vegas but eighty seven percent of the cash On. Anaheim
• 1:48:54
  Speaker 5: we're doing. It will Take anaheim and that is my
• 1:48:57
  Speaker 5: last play of the. Day but we will talk ABOUT.
• 1:49:00
  Speaker 5: NBA i don't like THE nba. Today these two. Games you,
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 5: know it's rare That i'm gonna get involved in a
• 1:49:07
  Speaker 5: three to oh Series game, four and that's what we
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 5: have With Knicks. Philadelphia this game is ON, Abc it's
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 5: the afternoon. Game everybody knows that no team has come
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 5: back from down three to, zero and a team that's
• 1:49:19
  Speaker 5: the underdog in the, series Like, philadelphia they're not coming
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 5: back from down three to Zho might they show up
• 1:49:26
  Speaker 5: in this game and potentially win? It, yeah it's. Possible you,
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 5: know they could definitely win this. GAME i thought this
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 5: series might be a little bit. Closer but you, Know
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 5: i'm still pissed because The celtics should be in the,
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 5: series And celtics definitely would have had a chance to
• 1:49:41
  Speaker 5: beat The knicks because The celtics would have been a
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 5: home favorite in the, series but The knicks get the easy,
• 1:49:46
  Speaker 5: DRAW i, guess AND i think it went up to
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 5: three when it was announced That embiid was definitely playing
• 1:49:58
  Speaker 5: in the last, GAME i think it went up to.
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 5: Three and looking At nick's minus one and a. Half.
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 5: Uh the oddsmakers do. This they'll throw the line way
• 1:50:05
  Speaker 5: in the other direction when a team is up three to,
• 1:50:07
  Speaker 5: oh AND i think that it's stupid to do it in.
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 5: Hockey LIKE i told, you, MAN i Believe philly covered,
• 1:50:15
  Speaker 5: yesterday right The. Flyers i'm pretty sure they covered in
• 1:50:17
  Speaker 5: the hockey game. Yesterday they didn't, win BUT i think
• 1:50:20
  Speaker 5: they took it into overtime again IF i remember. Correctly so,
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 5: hockey these teams will show up and they won't go. AWAY,
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 5: nba sometimes teams will just pack it in down three to.
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 5: Oh it's more of a sissy, league so you might see.
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 5: That i'm not sure you're gonna see it in this series, Though.
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 5: Philadelphia these teams don't like each, other the fan bases,
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 5: don't So philadelphia might still give you the effort Here
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 5: in this, one of, course we got to see If
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 5: embiid is, playing because if he, is then there's like
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 5: no reason why this line should be where it. Is
• 1:50:52
  Speaker 5: anonobe is a game time. Decision by the. Way he
• 1:50:55
  Speaker 5: did not play In game three and The knicks still won.
• 1:50:59
  Speaker 5: Anyway anonobi is one of their better, players, Though, man
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 5: they kind of need him out. There they'll need him
• 1:51:05
  Speaker 5: in the next. Year is they might rest him today
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 5: though you, know they're up three to. Zero they don't
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 5: really Need anonobe to play, here so they might be
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 5: safe with. Him embiid is probably. Playing he's listed as.
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 5: PROBABLE i think he is going to. GO i, mean
• 1:51:17
  Speaker 5: this might be their last game of the. Season, like
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 5: what do you have to wait. For you, know you
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 5: don't have any reason to hold back and For philadelphia
• 1:51:24
  Speaker 5: unless you're literally just gonna pack it in and wave
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 5: the white, flag which, again LIKE i, said some teams do,
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 5: that but to, me it looks Like philadelphia is not doing.
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 5: That embiid will. Play they're getting the extra point and
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 5: a half here or whatever it. Is they were three
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 5: a three point favorite in the last. Game you, KNOW
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 5: i THINK i have to lean To philadelphia, here But
• 1:51:43
  Speaker 5: i'm not gonna put it on my. Card The knicks
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 5: have not been a particularly good road team this year.
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 5: Either you, know if you look at the box score,
• 1:51:50
  Speaker 5: here it wasn't. Really the biggest outlier was the free.
• 1:51:55
  Speaker 5: Throws The knicks had two times as many free throw
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 5: attempts As philadelphia didn't they hit ten more of. Them
• 1:52:01
  Speaker 5: so that was most of the, game. Right there was
• 1:52:04
  Speaker 5: foul calls all going the next. Way that might not
• 1:52:07
  Speaker 5: happen again this, time, Man so that is an outlier for.
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 5: Sure that could definitely. Regress The knicks having thirty two
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 5: free throw attempts To phillies. Sixteen that's probably not gonna happen.
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 5: Again and The knicks did shoot fifty percent from the,
• 1:52:20
  Speaker 5: field which is maybe a little bit of an outlier.
• 1:52:22
  Speaker 5: There so they did shoot a bit better from the
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 5: field than you would. Think but they dominated the rebound.
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 5: Battle you, know they were mostly the better team in the.
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 5: Game so, YEAH i worry about.
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 2: It.
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 5: Uh the money's coming out of The knicks seventy percent of,
• 1:52:36
  Speaker 5: tickets seventy nine percent of the cash on, them just
• 1:52:39
  Speaker 5: from a numbers perspective of the value is pretty clearly
• 1:52:42
  Speaker 5: on taking the points Of, philadelphia even THOUGH i think
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 5: the line was probably skewed too far in the direction
• 1:52:47
  Speaker 5: Of philly in the previous game, though SO i don't
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 5: know i'd probably slightly Lean, philly but you, KNOW i.
• 1:52:53
  Speaker 5: DON'T i don't want, IT i really. Don't money is
• 1:52:56
  Speaker 5: also hitting the under totals at two fourteen and a.
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 5: Half if you're banking on the, UNDER i think what
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 5: you really need is you need The knicks to be
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 5: winning by a big margin near the, end such that
• 1:53:07
  Speaker 5: the teams just pack it in and the game becomes
• 1:53:10
  Speaker 5: a way slower. PACE i think that is the way
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 5: that you get under in this. Game BUT i don't.
• 1:53:14
  Speaker 5: KNOW i. DON'T i don't love the uh the total
• 1:53:17
  Speaker 5: in that, one and what was the total in game?
• 1:53:20
  Speaker 5: THREE i don't even. Know let me, see it was
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 5: two fourteen and a, half and in this game it
• 1:53:25
  Speaker 5: is two. FIFTEEN i, think, no it's, yeah two fourteen
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 5: and a. Half, actually, sorry my. Mistake it's the. Same
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 5: so do with that information what you. Want then we
• 1:53:34
  Speaker 5: Have San antonio And. Minnesota San antonio up to. One
• 1:53:38
  Speaker 5: i'm still Pissed minnesota shot, dude, Dude minnesota should have
• 1:53:43
  Speaker 5: covered that game in that last. Game i'll show you
• 1:53:45
  Speaker 5: the box swore a. Second this game is ON nbc And.
• 1:53:47
  Speaker 5: Peacock this was. Ridiculous this is a zigzag. SPOT i
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 5: Thought minnesota would be able to do. It by the,
• 1:53:54
  Speaker 5: Way minnesota was favored Against San antonio both times they
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 5: played them at home this. YEAR i think might have
• 1:54:00
  Speaker 5: missed one or both of those, games But minnesota was
• 1:54:03
  Speaker 5: favored in both of those home, games and now they're
• 1:54:05
  Speaker 5: an underdog in all these. Games but you look at
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 5: what happened in this. Game minnesota had fourteen more field
• 1:54:11
  Speaker 5: goal attempts In San antonio, did and San antonio went
• 1:54:15
  Speaker 5: to the line way. More San antonio went to the
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 5: line twelve times. More that's what fucked, us, dude that
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 5: In minnesota shot. Horribly so there were all these outliers
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 5: in this game that make it look Like. Minnesota, yeah
• 1:54:29
  Speaker 5: like this game should not have been even a loss
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 5: at all From. Minnesota very rare that you have fourteen
• 1:54:35
  Speaker 5: more field goal attempts and you lose the game. Outright
• 1:54:38
  Speaker 5: minnesota hit two more three pointers as. Well they outrebounded
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 5: San antonio as well by. Six even though San antonio's
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 5: wemby and, Whatever minnesota should have won this. Game, Dude
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 5: LIKE i told, YOU i think this was the correct
• 1:54:51
  Speaker 5: handicap in this, game And i'm pissed about. It San
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 5: antonio went to the line way. More they made seven
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 5: more free throws out of twelve additional, attempts and Again
• 1:55:02
  Speaker 5: minnesota had way more, possessions fourteen more field goal attempts
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 5: and still couldn't even cover for. Us i'm. Pissed so
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 5: those are. Outliers so that makes me Lean minnesota here
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 5: in this. Game. Man you, know If minnesota goes down
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 5: three to one series going back To San, antonio the
• 1:55:18
  Speaker 5: series is. Over so you Need minnesota is gonna need
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 5: to show up with the urgency. Here SO i do
• 1:55:23
  Speaker 5: agree With, minnesota but my issue is this is a close, game,
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 5: Man so like what's their mental state gonna? Be like
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 5: this game Was minnesota was within two points in the
• 1:55:32
  Speaker 5: fourth quarter here and they were still within whatever this
• 1:55:35
  Speaker 5: was four points late in the game. Here you, know
• 1:55:39
  Speaker 5: they started out, horribly but they erased that early deficit
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 5: really early. On they were down seventeen to. THREE i
• 1:55:45
  Speaker 5: think it might have been eighteen to, three whatever it.
• 1:55:48
  Speaker 5: Was they erased that deficit and they were in the
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 5: rest of the game and they fell. Short but you know,
• 1:55:53
  Speaker 5: me you know when a team falls just short like,
• 1:55:56
  Speaker 5: THAT i don't really love them in the next. Game
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 5: So i'm not gonna put this on my, card BUT
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 5: i leaned To minnesota again in this. One the money doesn't.
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 5: Agree fifty four percent of, tickets seventy one percent of
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 5: the cash On San antonio minus four and a. Half
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 5: but also Remember minnesota still has an experience advantage here as,
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 5: well even THOUGH i Know San antonio's experience is growing
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 5: as they. Play But, Minnesota they've been here and done this.
• 1:56:20
  Speaker 5: Repeatedly so something tells Me minnesota is not going away quietly. Here. Man,
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 5: uh not gonna be on my, card But i'm gonna
• 1:56:27
  Speaker 5: Lean minnesota plus the points. There and as far as
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 5: the total totals at to eighteen and a, half it's
• 1:56:35
  Speaker 5: gone up from two fifteen and a half money coming
• 1:56:38
  Speaker 5: in on the, over fifty six percent of tickets on the,
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 5: under sixty eight percent of the cash on the. OVER
• 1:56:44
  Speaker 5: i don't know about the, over AND i think the
• 1:56:46
  Speaker 5: one what you could do is Playing minnesota over their team, total,
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 5: man Because minnesota the one of the biggest outliers in the.
• 1:56:54
  Speaker 5: Game was That minnesota shot terribly in the. Game but then,
• 1:56:58
  Speaker 5: again if you play the, GAME i think you want
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 5: to take advantage of The spurs going to the free
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 5: throw line way more as. Well and that should that
• 1:57:05
  Speaker 5: number should drop a, bit you know WHAT i. Mean
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 5: SO i think Taking minnesota plus the points does make more.
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 5: Sense But minnesota over their team total makes some sense
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 5: because they didn't have a good shooting. Game the total
• 1:57:15
  Speaker 5: in that game was two sixteen and a. Half though
• 1:57:18
  Speaker 5: now it's too eighteen and a half money indicating on the,
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 5: over but you've already lost some value on. That but you,
• 1:57:24
  Speaker 5: Know minnesota needs this to be an under game, Though
• 1:57:27
  Speaker 5: SO i think if you Like, minnesota you probably like
• 1:57:29
  Speaker 5: the under in the game for that, reason because they
• 1:57:32
  Speaker 5: need to slow it down and play. Defense and the
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 5: last game. Landed the last game did go, over, right
• 1:57:39
  Speaker 5: it was two twenty, Three so you know there IS
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 5: i guess a zigzag component to that where maybe this
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 5: game will go under after that other game went. Over
• 1:57:48
  Speaker 5: maybe San antotio's free thrown percentage will actually drop a
• 1:57:52
  Speaker 5: little bit. Here maybe you could go San antonio under
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 5: their team total here as. WELL i don't, Know i'm just,
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 5: spitballing BUT i would Lean minnesota plus the. Points that's
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 5: gonna do it being really selective here my plays one
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 5: more time are The Anaheim angels on the money Line
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 5: vegas in W nba minus the, points And Anaheim ducks
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 5: in hockey money. LINE i was close to Adding Golden
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 5: state in the W, Nba Cleveland indians IN mlb split
• 1:58:21
  Speaker 5: bet run line money, line And buffalo in. Hockey those are.
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 5: Close those are the closest to being the additional place for.
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 5: Me that's gonna do. It let's have a good day. Today.
• 1:58:31
  Speaker 5: Everybody learn it tone On, twitter learn a tone On.
• 1:58:33
  Speaker 5: Instagram you subscribe to me On. Twitter that helps me, Out,
• 1:58:38
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• 1:58:40
  Speaker 5: man nobody's coming to this channel, anymore and some people are,
• 1:58:43
  Speaker 5: leaving SO i don't. Know i'm. Hot i'm giving out,
• 1:58:46
  Speaker 5: good good, inform good info here, man good. INFORMATION i,
• 1:58:51
  Speaker 5: mean look at this run last thirty six. Days you're
• 1:58:53
  Speaker 5: making money sixty six thirty four and. Five that's, solid you,
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 5: know ONLY i don't think that many people can do.
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 5: That so you know we're gonna have down, swings there's
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 5: no doubt about. That but you know we're trying to
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 5: maintain a pace where we're at least gonna be. Profitable
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 5: that's the. Goal we're on Audio, Speaker, Apple, spotify listen.
• 1:59:16
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• 1:59:22
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• 1:59:25
  Speaker 5: night and The giants G spot. Podcast we'll be back
• 1:59:30
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• 1:59:33
  Speaker 5: to the channel. Here you'll get my extra shows THAT i.
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 5: Do MAYBE i should pay wall, them, man But i'll be.
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 5: Back the next one up will be probably THE Nfl
• 1:59:41
  Speaker 5: Win Total, show BUT i got to figure out WHEN
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 5: i actually want to do that and see IF espn
• 1:59:45
  Speaker 5: is gonna bring their game back or. Not it's gonna
• 1:59:48
  Speaker 5: do it for, now. Though, peace.
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 2: But don't you go. Quiet don't you play it from the.
• 1:59:54
  Speaker 1: Flow your name steal means something to somebody for a.
• 1:59:58
  Speaker 2: Show glass, down, baby look at, me nic.
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 3: Hold, on hold on nothing nice, now.
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 5: Hold, on hold.
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 2: On let me foll.
• 2:00:22
  Speaker 4: You that bites, horn but it don't get the. Crown hold,
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 4: on hold on
• 2:00:35
  Speaker 2: And stay with me now