Latest / Best of Business / Jenee Tibshraeny: NZ Herald Wellington business editor on whether the capital gains tax can work
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from News Talk zed B.
- 0:12Speaker 1: Follow this and our wide range of podcasts now on
- 0:15Speaker 1: iHeartRadio either do for see Alan.
- 0:18Speaker 2: Chris Hipkins is pushing back at the government and his
- 0:20Speaker 2: own potential coalition partners on the issue of the capital
- 0:23Speaker 2: gains tax. Government hates it, Greens want Labor to go
- 0:25Speaker 2: much further.
- 0:26Speaker 3: This is the policy that we are campaigning on and
- 0:29Speaker 3: this is the policy that we will implement if we
- 0:31Speaker 3: form government after the next election. Because I'm not a
- 0:33Speaker 3: complete pushover like Christopher Luxen, I don't think the smaller
- 0:36Speaker 3: parties should call all of the shots. I've been very
- 0:38Speaker 3: very clear under a Labor government, I will be the
- 0:41Speaker 3: Prime Minister. Barbara Edmonds will be the Minister of Finance.
- 0:44Speaker 3: That is not up for negotiation.
- 0:46Speaker 2: Genatib Trainey is The Herald's Wellington Business editor with us.
- 0:48Speaker 2: Hello Jenney, Hi Heather. Okay, so you have an interesting
- 0:52Speaker 2: take on this, which is you don't have a problem
- 0:53Speaker 2: with the CGT part. You have a problem with the
- 0:57Speaker 2: three free doctors visits part.
- 0:58Speaker 4: Why Yeah, exactly. I think if you read some of
- 1:03Speaker 4: the work that Treasury has been putting out there, it's
- 1:06Speaker 4: really worried about the costs sociated with our aging population.
- 1:11Speaker 4: You know, these costs are meant to soar and the
- 1:13Speaker 4: tax take is not meant to increase, you know, at
- 1:16Speaker 4: the same rate as the expenses. So Treasury illustrates this
- 1:19Speaker 4: in a recent report it did. It said that if
- 1:22Speaker 4: for the government solely relied on tax to meet the
- 1:25Speaker 4: cost pressures that are ahead, the average tax rate on
- 1:29Speaker 4: labor income would need to rise from twenty one percent
- 1:31Speaker 4: to thirty two percent of GDP. Or if you solely
- 1:34Speaker 4: rely on increasing GST to meet the costs, that would
- 1:37Speaker 4: need to go up from fifteen to thirty two percent.
- 1:40Speaker 4: So the reality is we don't have enough money to
- 1:45Speaker 4: meet the costs. So then you think, well, how do
- 1:47Speaker 4: you you know, how do you meet these costs. Either
- 1:51Speaker 4: you cut services a lot, you increase the age of
- 1:53Speaker 4: super or you increase the tax base. So you just
- 1:57Speaker 4: instead of taxing people who go to work more, you
- 1:59Speaker 4: just diversify who you tax. And a capital gains tax
- 2:03Speaker 4: is a widely recognized way of doing that. You know,
- 2:06Speaker 4: people do, It's done all around the world. A bunch
- 2:09Speaker 4: of business leaders think it's a good idea, IMF so on.
- 2:12Speaker 4: So of all the different options, none of them are great,
- 2:14Speaker 4: but that one doesn't seem like a bad one.
- 2:16Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 2:16Speaker 2: So basically the idea is you need more, you need
- 2:19Speaker 2: more revenue. You don't need to go blowing it on
- 2:21Speaker 2: something that people can afford to pay for them. Many
- 2:23Speaker 2: people can afford to it. And this is arguably the
- 2:25Speaker 2: same problem with the Future Fund, isn't it. They bring
- 2:27Speaker 2: the money in or they get the money and then
- 2:29Speaker 2: just squander it on something we don't need.
- 2:31Speaker 4: Well, that's the thing, And you know, I think for
- 2:33Speaker 4: a lot of people, they are smart enough they can
- 2:35Speaker 4: see the future that we're looking at. And I mean
- 2:37Speaker 4: it's not great, but something needs to be done. But
- 2:40Speaker 4: the thing that is galling is when labor proposes to
- 2:44Speaker 4: spend money in an untargeted way. So of course I'd
- 2:47Speaker 4: like to go to the GP three times a year
- 2:49Speaker 4: for free, but I can afford to go to the GP, thankfully,
- 2:53Speaker 4: and I do go. So actually to spend money on
- 2:56Speaker 4: me going to the GP is a waste of money.
- 2:58Speaker 4: I'd rather that be spent on other people who can't
- 3:01Speaker 4: afford it, getting top of the finances.
- 3:03Speaker 2: What about if you see this from a different perspective,
- 3:05Speaker 2: which is this is not actually the thing that's supposed
- 3:07Speaker 2: to bring the reaven you and this is the trojan horse, right,
- 3:09Speaker 2: it starts them off. They sell it to the public with, hey,
- 3:12Speaker 2: this is what you get for us introducing a CGT.
- 3:15Speaker 2: So it's a nice little bait and switch, and then
- 3:17Speaker 2: after that you can start making it more comprehensive. Comprehensive
- 3:19Speaker 2: and that is how you pay for everything.
- 3:22Speaker 4: Yeah, now, like I mean, that's a good point. What
- 3:24Speaker 4: they've proposed here by keeping it just on property sydent
- 3:28Speaker 4: types of property, is that the revenue generation is not
- 3:31Speaker 4: going to be huge. It's not going to save New
- 3:33Speaker 4: Zealand from this doom and gloom that Treasury talks about.
- 3:36Speaker 4: But I don't think we can assume that label would
- 3:39Speaker 4: go further with the taxing. You know at the end
- 3:43Speaker 4: of the day that there would be an uproar and
- 3:46Speaker 4: you can't entirely pull the rug out from beneath people
- 3:50Speaker 4: who invest in property. There's nothing wrong with doing that.
- 3:52Speaker 4: We need landlords and I would hope that it wouldn't
- 3:56Speaker 4: overkill things. And for example, the way it could do
- 3:59Speaker 4: that is if it again stopped allowing investors, prevented them
- 4:05Speaker 4: from deducting interest as an expenseful tax. Start to ask previously,
- 4:09Speaker 4: did do you know what they're doing there? Well, they
- 4:11Speaker 4: haven't said, so we asked and they sort of kept
- 4:15Speaker 4: it open. So, you know, it's pretty crucial for investors
- 4:21Speaker 4: that they can deduct their interest as an expense. It's
- 4:24Speaker 4: a very large expense. It helps with cash flow, you know.
- 4:27Speaker 4: It's one thing introducing a capital gains text. I think
- 4:30Speaker 4: that's fine, but removing the ability to deduct interest as
- 4:35Speaker 4: an expense would be a step too far. And I
- 4:38Speaker 4: don't know why they didn't just stamp that out when
- 4:41Speaker 4: they announced the policy.
- 4:42Speaker 3: Interesting.
- 4:43Speaker 2: Hey, thanks very much, Jane. As always, Jane Tibcharany, the
- 4:45Speaker 2: heralds Wellington Business Editor. Here the labor have a poverty mindset.
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