Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 03/30/26
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: All systems going clear the left up.
- 0:40Speaker 2: What is going on?
- 0:41Speaker 3: Shipping Nation YouTube station? Back with another MLB breakdown here.
- 0:46Speaker 3: Appreciate everyone joining MLB season has been off to a
- 0:50Speaker 3: blazing start over here at the Nation. I know our
- 0:52Speaker 3: guy Rio shipped a hundred big ones there same night
- 0:57Speaker 3: the membership's twenty stacks there. We had another shipper last
- 1:01Speaker 3: night or yesterday on the Sunday slate, I had some
- 1:03Speaker 3: close calls, almost got all the way home in some
- 1:06Speaker 3: m ME yesterday. Sundays are wild chalk pitchers got blown
- 1:10Speaker 3: up yesterday. We'll talk about it today. We got some
- 1:14Speaker 3: just a fact though, just due to the nature of
- 1:15Speaker 3: the slate, right, so some pictures that probably on a
- 1:19Speaker 3: normal slate, right or on a different slate, wouldn't be
- 1:22Speaker 3: as high owned as they are tonight. But that's just
- 1:25Speaker 3: the nature of it. Right.
- 1:25Speaker 1: We're in.
- 1:27Speaker 3: Starters four and five and in some of these teams rotations,
- 1:30Speaker 3: and some of these teams rotations just.
- 1:31Speaker 1: Aren't good in general.
- 1:32Speaker 3: Right. Obviously we got the Rockies on the slate here,
- 1:34Speaker 3: going up against the World Series runner ups there, right,
- 1:37Speaker 3: the al champs from last year with obviously a loaded
- 1:40Speaker 3: line up there. We're gonna talk a lot about Toronto,
- 1:43Speaker 3: both pitching and hitters tonight for sure. But back back
- 1:46Speaker 3: in the settle with my guy Matt. Welcome in, Matt. Happy,
- 1:49Speaker 3: happy to be doing doing MLB shows. You'll be with
- 1:53Speaker 3: me pretty much every Monday throughout the entire MLB season.
- 1:58Speaker 3: G Rising's gonna kind of fill in until NBA over
- 2:00Speaker 3: with you. Kind of pulling double duty there. But you're
- 2:02Speaker 3: here tonight, you're ready to break it down, and you
- 2:04Speaker 3: did the slate plan.
- 2:05Speaker 1: It's already up.
- 2:06Speaker 3: That's one nice thing about shipping nation, right, we get
- 2:07Speaker 3: the content up nice and early.
- 2:09Speaker 1: I'll bring you in man. What's going on? Brother? Happy Monday?
- 2:12Speaker 2: Yeah, Happy Monday to you too. Man, always it's been
- 2:15Speaker 2: a minute. So happy to be on here talking some
- 2:17Speaker 2: scene with you. Man, MLB. I know we both love.
- 2:21Speaker 2: So excited to break down this slate with you. I
- 2:24Speaker 2: think we got a good one. Yeah, man. I see
- 2:28Speaker 2: our boy Rio is in the chat trying to win
- 2:30Speaker 2: another no that I don't even know if there's one
- 2:32Speaker 2: hundred k op top, but whatever, the main contest is.
- 2:34Speaker 2: Big props to him. I know we've chatted since then,
- 2:37Speaker 2: so just big shot out there, man. I'm just excited
- 2:40Speaker 2: to get on here. We were talking a little bit
- 2:42Speaker 2: bit a little bit before. The last time we did
- 2:46Speaker 2: a show together was our NFL Takedown breakdown show. So
- 2:53Speaker 2: it's been a minute with all my back stuff. So
- 2:55Speaker 2: it's like almost like a full circle moment for me.
- 2:58Speaker 2: I feel good, happy beyond here talking some MLB again.
- 3:02Speaker 2: We got a fun slate. I think there's a ton
- 3:05Speaker 2: of different ways to go, and I'm just happy to
- 3:07Speaker 2: be on here breaking it down with you. Brother.
- 3:10Speaker 1: No happy to happy to be here. Say hi to
- 3:12Speaker 1: a couple people.
- 3:12Speaker 3: We've got a guy new ones here, fellow Wisconsinight go Brewers, Baby,
- 3:15Speaker 3: Let's go. Everyone counting us out yesterday they said hold
- 3:18Speaker 3: on not so fast, right. Obviously it's a it's a
- 3:20Speaker 3: White Sox. Nothing crazy there, but Brews best record in
- 3:23Speaker 3: baseball last year. Obviously they do their typical ship in
- 3:27Speaker 3: the postseason, fall in their face as normal there. But
- 3:30Speaker 3: it's a fun roster. They're gonna score a lot of
- 3:32Speaker 3: runs all season long because they play. They play the
- 3:34Speaker 3: baseball right the old fashioned way. Matt, A little little single,
- 3:37Speaker 3: little steal, little little RBI single rb I double right
- 3:41Speaker 3: drive drive the runs in.
- 3:42Speaker 1: So we'll talk.
- 3:42Speaker 2: About all about that being in Cleveland.
- 3:45Speaker 3: Cleveland's the the old Indians are. We're the uh, we're
- 3:50Speaker 3: the grandfathers of that old old tactic. There Brewers said,
- 3:53Speaker 3: hold on, let me latch onto that last year, and
- 3:55Speaker 3: uh see what happens, And it happened to pretty well
- 4:00Speaker 3: for them for for the course of the season. But
- 4:03Speaker 3: got Jason Turner in here. I want to give a
- 4:05Speaker 3: shout out to Flip Flop Flip to flop in here.
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- 6:28Speaker 3: seen the leaderboards, Ship Nation logos have been littered all
- 6:31Speaker 3: across the leaderboards for golf and MLB over the weekend.
- 6:35Speaker 3: For sure, NBA same thing. Hell of a NBA team
- 6:38Speaker 3: with with yourself, Matt and Rio Ham title the rest
- 6:41Speaker 3: of the crew doing the NBA content there. But let's
- 6:44Speaker 3: jump right in here, Matt and go pictures. We're gonna
- 6:47Speaker 3: do like we always do. We'll go pittures. We'll go
- 6:49Speaker 3: eight K and above, eight K and below, and then
- 6:51Speaker 3: we'll go game by game, game by game order in
- 6:54Speaker 3: order of the Stone, one of our premium tools over here,
- 6:56Speaker 3: I'll pull it up and showcase it.
- 6:58Speaker 1: It's really the one stop shop for everything baseball, right.
- 7:02Speaker 3: It's got a rankings on it, hitter rankings, all all
- 7:04Speaker 3: the metrics, the iceos, the wobas, the k rates of
- 7:07Speaker 3: the projections, ownership, everything in one spot. So we'll do that.
- 7:11Speaker 3: But from a picture standpoint, it's a gross picture slate
- 7:14Speaker 3: in general. You're definitely gonna have to hope to find
- 7:18Speaker 3: the guys to score twelve to fifteen points, is what
- 7:20Speaker 3: it seems like.
- 7:21Speaker 2: Right.
- 7:21Speaker 3: If you get fifteen sixteen draftings points here tonight from
- 7:24Speaker 3: your pitchers, you're probably feeling pretty damn good. And on
- 7:28Speaker 3: the other side, we're probably gonna see some pictures go
- 7:30Speaker 3: negative here tonight, just the nature of the way the
- 7:32Speaker 3: slate is. And I mean when one of the highest
- 7:35Speaker 3: on pitchers is in that Wrigly win game there. That's
- 7:39Speaker 3: telling you kind of the way the slate shaking up, right,
- 7:42Speaker 3: Edward Cabrera eighty five hundred win blown out obviously the
- 7:44Speaker 3: reason why the.
- 7:45Speaker 1: Cubs are gonna be the highest one offense on the slate.
- 7:47Speaker 1: Good reason.
- 7:48Speaker 3: We know it's the most windedd wind driven park in
- 7:52Speaker 3: all of baseball, right, and you got some pretty hefty
- 7:55Speaker 3: wins blown out there in Wrigly, which obviously has a
- 7:58Speaker 3: higher effect than other places.
- 8:00Speaker 1: So talk to me in terms of the pitchers eight
- 8:02Speaker 1: King of Blove.
- 8:03Speaker 3: You got Cabrera as probably the second high pitcher on
- 8:06Speaker 3: the slate, from one of the guys we're going to
- 8:08Speaker 3: talk about later when we get to below a K.
- 8:12Speaker 3: You got Swarz and Castillo, who kind of sandwich Cabrera.
- 8:15Speaker 3: Both of them are gonna be low owned, low or owned,
- 8:18Speaker 3: I should say. Castile gets a tough matchup against the Yankees, however,
- 8:22Speaker 3: does have that good pitchers ballpark out there in Seattle.
- 8:25Speaker 3: Pitched really well last year at home. Yankees do have
- 8:29Speaker 3: a ton of power and a bunch of lefties. However,
- 8:31Speaker 3: they also have a ton of strikeouts. Right.
- 8:33Speaker 1: We've seen a lot of strikeouts.
- 8:34Speaker 3: We've seen a lot of steiling performances from pitchers last
- 8:37Speaker 3: year against the Yankees. But when it goes bad, obviously
- 8:40Speaker 3: goes really bad. But you can say that about any
- 8:42Speaker 3: pitcher on the slate here, So talk to me about Cabrera, Castile,
- 8:46Speaker 3: and Swarz up at the top. Swars obviously lefty facing Houston, which.
- 8:49Speaker 1: Is never great.
- 8:50Speaker 3: He is the highest priced guy, Clay Holmes, nobody really
- 8:53Speaker 3: going to get to Sasaki Wonkey. I mean, this dude
- 8:56Speaker 3: doesn't know where the ball is going when it feels
- 8:58Speaker 3: like when it leaves his arm, and obviously got the
- 9:00Speaker 3: short lease with Dave Roberts out there.
- 9:02Speaker 1: But what do you see here? A can above.
- 9:04Speaker 3: Obviously Cabrera by far and away, probably the highest ceiling
- 9:07Speaker 3: on the slate by a pretty wide margin out of anyone.
- 9:11Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with that. That being said, there isn't
- 9:14Speaker 2: a lot to like from the AK and above pitching
- 9:17Speaker 2: options tonight, just in terms of bad matchups, bad weather guys.
- 9:23Speaker 2: You don't feel comfortable with all the above. So I
- 9:26Speaker 2: do think Cabrera is the best option. He projects for
- 9:29Speaker 2: the most fantasy points pretty much industry wide. I don't
- 9:34Speaker 2: feel great about it. The Angel showed in Houston that
- 9:38Speaker 2: they can get to any starter really, and with the
- 9:42Speaker 2: wind blowing out and Wrigley like, it's not a great
- 9:45Speaker 2: weather spot for him. He's just getting hornershit because there
- 9:49Speaker 2: isn't really much to like on this slate. So I
- 9:53Speaker 2: don't know Between the two chalk pitchers today, which seemingly
- 9:57Speaker 2: is Cabrera and Pom, I think I'm more leaning into Hance,
- 10:03Speaker 2: but we'll get there in a minute. Cabrera, obviously, as
- 10:06Speaker 2: you mentioned, his upside's real. The Angels strike out a ton.
- 10:10Speaker 2: I'm leary about playing him into ownership, though I don't
- 10:13Speaker 2: think he's a bad play. I think certainly, again to
- 10:16Speaker 2: your point, his upside's real, but I feel leery about it.
- 10:20Speaker 2: That said, I have very limited interest in Ranger Suarez
- 10:24Speaker 2: facing just a still really bad matchup for him facing
- 10:27Speaker 2: Houston here. So I get it in tournaments because we
- 10:31Speaker 2: don't have good pitching options, but I don't think I'm
- 10:34Speaker 2: gonna get there. Same with Castillo. He's got the good ballpark,
- 10:40Speaker 2: but obviously I don't like the matchup. I think Castillo's
- 10:43Speaker 2: best days are clearly behind him. He's just no longer
- 10:48Speaker 2: the strike up pitcher he once was. He's priced where
- 10:53Speaker 2: he should be if not a little bit too expensive,
- 10:56Speaker 2: and the ownership is there. Like with pitching options like this,
- 11:00Speaker 2: where I think a lot of these guys project similarly
- 11:02Speaker 2: to the guys cheaper than them, I'd rather go to
- 11:05Speaker 2: the guys cheaper than them. Outside of Cabrera, who I think,
- 11:08Speaker 2: as you mentioned, and again i'll say for the third time,
- 11:11Speaker 2: because this is the most upside of any of these guys,
- 11:13Speaker 2: So he's my favorite of the bunch. I don't love
- 11:16Speaker 2: this range though, to be perfectly honest.
- 11:19Speaker 1: Yeah, we're lockstep there. I mean, I do think Cabrera.
- 11:22Speaker 3: If there's one pitcher most likely to have a guy
- 11:25Speaker 3: to have it score on the slate, it's probably Cabrera,
- 11:28Speaker 3: just because of the strikeouts right that this Angels team
- 11:30Speaker 3: has in it. Obviously they have a healthy trout right
- 11:34Speaker 3: now in netto who looks great and is going to
- 11:36Speaker 3: have a hell of a run, and those two alone
- 11:39Speaker 3: definitely do have stolen base potential. Angels in general don't
- 11:43Speaker 3: have a ton of speed, but those two guys will
- 11:45Speaker 3: speed or will steal. Caberra did a lot of the
- 11:47Speaker 3: most stolen bases of anyone in the majors last year
- 11:50Speaker 3: as well, so overall, I do like Cabrera.
- 11:54Speaker 1: I am worried on him.
- 11:56Speaker 3: He's probably a guy where I'm probably gonna go right
- 11:58Speaker 3: around the field, if not a little under in my
- 12:00Speaker 3: MM stuff. I'm doing two main teams and some twenty
- 12:03Speaker 3: max stuff here tonight. I'll probably just be matched the
- 12:06Speaker 3: field or go a little under like probably twenty to
- 12:09Speaker 3: twenty five percent Cabrera, which is gonna be under the field,
- 12:12Speaker 3: and just I have outs if he gets there, and
- 12:16Speaker 3: I trust myself to build good rosters with Cabrera in general.
- 12:20Speaker 1: So I'm with you. I don't love this range.
- 12:23Speaker 3: It's not a typical slate where the top tier is loaded,
- 12:26Speaker 3: right obviously when you get in the days four and
- 12:29Speaker 3: five of these teams rotations. This is kind of the
- 12:31Speaker 3: nature of slate swars. I have no interest in even
- 12:33Speaker 3: at the ownership. I mean, he's gonna be unknown there.
- 12:35Speaker 3: I just I think he's a solid pitcher. It's just
- 12:38Speaker 3: I don't love attacking Houston. They're already a contact heavy
- 12:42Speaker 3: team and now they're gonna have eight righties to throw
- 12:46Speaker 3: at Swaz outside of yord On, who's one of the
- 12:48Speaker 3: best lefty lefty hitters anyways in the game.
- 12:50Speaker 1: So I just think it's a brutal matchup for him.
- 12:52Speaker 3: I do have a little bit more interest in Castill
- 12:55Speaker 3: just because I do think I don't really truly believe
- 12:57Speaker 3: this ownership, because I think everyone's gonna go there, They're
- 13:00Speaker 3: gonna look at it and they're like, okay, if I'm
- 13:03Speaker 3: playing it, like, it's just so much easier to click
- 13:05Speaker 3: Cabrera in a matchup against a strikeout happy Angels team,
- 13:08Speaker 3: then look at Castillo clicking against Aaron Judge, and I
- 13:14Speaker 3: mean that that that roster, right, I mean, it's just
- 13:17Speaker 3: it's a tough click. I trust the upside in Castillo.
- 13:20Speaker 3: I know he's not the same picture he has been.
- 13:23Speaker 3: He has in his career fared pretty well against the
- 13:26Speaker 3: Yankees as well, which obviously take that for face values,
- 13:29Speaker 3: because obviously historical data isn't isn't the end all, be all,
- 13:34Speaker 3: if any relevance in baseball. But I just do typically
- 13:37Speaker 3: like to look at that a little bit just for
- 13:39Speaker 3: kind of a deciding factor when I'm trying to find
- 13:41Speaker 3: pictures to play, right, I just think Castillo with the
- 13:44Speaker 3: ballpark compared to a wringlely win game, I'll take my
- 13:47Speaker 3: chance there with the strikeout, and I trust a veteran
- 13:49Speaker 3: to be able to navigate the lineup sparting off, and hey,
- 13:52Speaker 3: even if those guys do get a hold of one,
- 13:54Speaker 3: that ballpark does help him out of there.
- 13:56Speaker 1: So Castillo is pretty interesting.
- 13:58Speaker 3: Clay Holmes, I think, would be the only other guy
- 14:00Speaker 3: to even have any sort of interest, which is still
- 14:02Speaker 3: not much. He's not a strikeout arm. He was about
- 14:05Speaker 3: an eighteen percent k rate last year. Pitches the contact there,
- 14:10Speaker 3: and I mean, I get it, it's the Cardinals here,
- 14:13Speaker 3: but Cardinals with JJ weatherhook he's he's looking great. Alec
- 14:17Speaker 3: Burson's been on a tear. It's really good hitting Weather
- 14:20Speaker 3: in Bush Stadium here tonight too. So for me, it's
- 14:23Speaker 3: really Cabrara and Castillo up top. Really where the rubber
- 14:26Speaker 3: kind of meets the road here is below eight K
- 14:28Speaker 3: and this is where a majority of my teams are
- 14:29Speaker 3: gonna live.
- 14:30Speaker 1: Is just not even go up to any of these
- 14:32Speaker 1: spend ups.
- 14:33Speaker 3: I think Kyle Harrison's pretty interesting here, coming over from
- 14:36Speaker 3: the Giants to Milwaukee. Milwaukee, obviously he's my team. They
- 14:41Speaker 3: do a great great job of developing pitchers and kind
- 14:45Speaker 3: of seeking out pitchers that other teams are kind of
- 14:47Speaker 3: giving up on. And just didn't have a knack to develop.
- 14:51Speaker 3: Kyle Harrison also added another pitch to his arsenal. His
- 14:54Speaker 3: velocity looks pretty good. I think Kyle Harrison's pretty interesting.
- 14:58Speaker 1: I like that.
- 14:58Speaker 3: I like the Milwaukee bats behind him too at home
- 15:01Speaker 3: to give him some run support there. So it's not
- 15:04Speaker 3: the greatest matchup, but I mean outside of the top
- 15:06Speaker 3: of that lineup, I mean the raised lineup is looks atrocious. Obviously,
- 15:10Speaker 3: Cody Ponce, we don't know really what this guy's gonna be.
- 15:15Speaker 3: He led KBO over last year. In terms of pitching.
- 15:20Speaker 3: KBO is not the MLB, but again it's he's facing
- 15:23Speaker 3: the Rockies in Toronto and the Blue Jays have almost
- 15:28Speaker 3: a six implied run total behind him, so he's really
- 15:31Speaker 3: interesting to me. Jacob Lopez had huge strikeout numbers last year. Obviously,
- 15:35Speaker 3: he was really splitsy pitched in that park and Sacramento
- 15:40Speaker 3: there I think for upside arm that people really aren't
- 15:43Speaker 3: gonna click at the same exact price point is the
- 15:46Speaker 3: highest on pitcher on the slate, and Ponts who I
- 15:48Speaker 3: do like, and if choosing between him or Cabrera, I'm
- 15:51Speaker 3: with you there.
- 15:52Speaker 1: I'm team Ponce.
- 15:53Speaker 3: Just due to the salary discount there, but I think
- 15:56Speaker 3: Jacob Lopez is pretty interesting. And then the two guys
- 15:58Speaker 3: down at the bottom, Ryan Weather and Bryce Elder there
- 16:02Speaker 3: talk to me down here below eight k hit on
- 16:05Speaker 3: those guys I mentioned in any of these other guys
- 16:07Speaker 3: that I failed to mention here.
- 16:09Speaker 2: Yeah, we see this slate pretty similarly. I think you
- 16:12Speaker 2: like Harrison a little bit more than me, not that
- 16:14Speaker 2: I have any arguments against him, He just more looks
- 16:17Speaker 2: like lumped in with all these other guys in my opinion.
- 16:20Speaker 2: I think a big reason of that is he's getting
- 16:22Speaker 2: ownership because he's so cheap. I wish you were a
- 16:25Speaker 2: little bit lower owned, but can't quibble on it too much.
- 16:29Speaker 2: Weather's is my guy here. A big part of that
- 16:32Speaker 2: is he's the cheapest sixty three hundred, really good price tag.
- 16:36Speaker 2: I've always liked his stuff. He was up and down
- 16:40Speaker 2: in spring training, but his upside is just real in
- 16:43Speaker 2: this spot obviously a much better pitching park than he
- 16:46Speaker 2: normally pitches in. Again, another guy, I wish the ownership
- 16:50Speaker 2: wasn't there, but outside of Cabrera and Hans, ownership is
- 16:54Speaker 2: kind of just scattered throughout. So I like Weather's here
- 16:58Speaker 2: at that price tag, I don't think he should be
- 17:00Speaker 2: like a thousand cheaper than a lot of these other
- 17:02Speaker 2: pictures on the slate. So I think he's my favorite
- 17:06Speaker 2: SP two with Ponce. I don't love either of those guys,
- 17:09Speaker 2: and I wouldn't be surprised if either of them got
- 17:11Speaker 2: rocks here, But that's kind of what we're dealing with
- 17:14Speaker 2: on this slate. Yeah, to your point, Harrison Milwaukee another
- 17:22Speaker 2: similar to Cleveland. Both teams are very good at developing pitchers.
- 17:25Speaker 2: Wouldn't be surprised if he has a much better year
- 17:29Speaker 2: than he's shown in the Major so far. I don't
- 17:32Speaker 2: think I like the matchup as much as you. Again,
- 17:34Speaker 2: not that I like Tampa bats here particularly. I just
- 17:38Speaker 2: think I'm kind of indifferent towards it. And again I
- 17:40Speaker 2: think he just kind of is lumped in with these
- 17:42Speaker 2: other guys. But wouldn't be surprised if he leads this
- 17:45Speaker 2: range in DK points when the slate is over. I'm
- 17:48Speaker 2: a big Parker messic guy. It's always like fighting with
- 17:53Speaker 2: the devil trying to use a pitcher against the Dodgers.
- 17:56Speaker 2: But he's a good pitcher and he's going to be really,
- 17:59Speaker 2: really low owned he's the guy and more likely looking
- 18:01Speaker 2: at in the future. But if you want to get
- 18:04Speaker 2: on him tonight in large field of stuff when no
- 18:06Speaker 2: one's on him, you know, again maybe being a little
- 18:10Speaker 2: bit of a homer there but wanted to shout him out.
- 18:12Speaker 2: I can get on board with Jacob Lopez, big boom
- 18:16Speaker 2: bus spot in my opinion, wouldn't be shocked at Atlanta.
- 18:19Speaker 2: Hits a bunch of hole runs here and you end
- 18:21Speaker 2: up needing them in stacks or in tournaments as a stack.
- 18:24Speaker 2: But on the flip side of that, if Lopez has
- 18:27Speaker 2: his best stuff here, he's got a real strikeout upside.
- 18:30Speaker 2: So I see both sides of that, and on a
- 18:32Speaker 2: pitching slate we don't love. Yeah, I can definitely get
- 18:36Speaker 2: on board there. All the other guys kind of just
- 18:40Speaker 2: I think can throw in like Elder. I understand why
- 18:43Speaker 2: you'd play him because he's really cheap and he gets
- 18:47Speaker 2: a really good strikeout matchup. We saw what the Athletics
- 18:50Speaker 2: just did in Toronto, so I get going to Elder.
- 18:54Speaker 2: He was pretty decent in spring training. He's just a
- 18:57Speaker 2: guy I'd rather pick on than us, and I like
- 18:59Speaker 2: the Apple Xays stacked tonight, so I get it, But
- 19:02Speaker 2: I'm on the other side of that, and I think
- 19:05Speaker 2: you can make cases for legit every other pitcher on
- 19:07Speaker 2: this slate, just because there aren't really two guys I love.
- 19:12Speaker 2: But I think I'm gonna mostly stick to the Cabreras,
- 19:16Speaker 2: Ponce's weathers, and then like Harrison, you know, maybe Messik
- 19:22Speaker 2: mixed in. I don't know how many lineups I'm gonna play,
- 19:24Speaker 2: but I'm gonna I'm probably not gonna have that big
- 19:26Speaker 2: of a pool, even though I don't love anyone on
- 19:28Speaker 2: this slate.
- 19:30Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you.
- 19:31Speaker 3: I think you can pretty clearly at least this is
- 19:33Speaker 3: kind of what my pitching pool is gonna look like.
- 19:35Speaker 1: These seven guys.
- 19:36Speaker 3: Again, I already talked about kind of matching the field
- 19:38Speaker 3: with Cabrera being a little under I like to see
- 19:41Speaker 3: you a little more than you. I like Harrison a
- 19:42Speaker 3: little more than you. Ponce, I'm gonna kind of push
- 19:44Speaker 3: the chips on and just eat that chalk there. I
- 19:46Speaker 3: just think it's the matchup against the Rockies. He should
- 19:49Speaker 3: have run support. Hopefully you can get me to the
- 19:51Speaker 3: fifth inning and there should be no pitch count concerns
- 19:53Speaker 3: there at least to get to the fifth inning. And
- 19:56Speaker 3: uh get in line for the win bonus, Lopez, I
- 20:00Speaker 3: really like just for the strikeout upside. I mean this
- 20:02Speaker 3: this matchup could go very bad. Like you alluded to,
- 20:04Speaker 3: right he does keep the ball on the ground at
- 20:08Speaker 3: least to lefties, has a thirty percent k rate to
- 20:11Speaker 3: lefties as well, still has the twenty nine per k
- 20:15Speaker 3: rate to righty's, which there could be some kind of
- 20:18Speaker 3: nuance or some some noise in those numbers just from
- 20:23Speaker 3: from last year. But he does give up fly balls
- 20:26Speaker 3: and some power to righty's however, I mean, really Austin
- 20:29Speaker 3: Riley and Alby's are the only two really fly ball
- 20:31Speaker 3: hitters that that are going to hit from the right side.
- 20:34Speaker 3: So if he can navigate around those, I mean he
- 20:36Speaker 3: has guys that obviously Ronald Lacuna too, but Akunya hasn't
- 20:40Speaker 3: looked great yet. I just think if he can avoid
- 20:43Speaker 3: or even if he does give up a home run
- 20:45Speaker 3: er two, I mean there's a lot of these guys.
- 20:46Speaker 3: I mean, every pitcher on the slate can get equally
- 20:48Speaker 3: blown up in my opinion, that than the next guy.
- 20:50Speaker 3: So a guy that's really not going to get played
- 20:53Speaker 3: much has the highest strikeout rates at least based on
- 20:56Speaker 3: last year's numbers on the slate.
- 20:58Speaker 1: I think he's pretty interesting in price all.
- 21:00Speaker 3: There is just more of a He's down there as
- 21:02Speaker 3: a pivot off of Ryan Weathers and he is sixty
- 21:06Speaker 3: five hundred, right, And there's just not a lot of
- 21:08Speaker 3: guys who have.
- 21:11Speaker 1: Good matchups.
- 21:12Speaker 3: I mean, the Age just struck out an absolute crap
- 21:14Speaker 3: tone against the Blue Jays. I mean you saw yesterday
- 21:18Speaker 3: what's his face? I was overweight on him for the
- 21:21Speaker 3: Blue Jays. Eric Lauer have nine k's against him, Gosman
- 21:24Speaker 3: had what twelve k's and what's his face?
- 21:27Speaker 1: Out eleven? Right, So they just strike out a ton.
- 21:29Speaker 3: So Bryce Elder I do think it is a plus
- 21:31Speaker 3: matchup for him in terms of strikeouts. He's gonna be
- 21:33Speaker 3: unknown too with Weathers there for good reason, right, Weather's
- 21:36Speaker 3: great play.
- 21:37Speaker 1: I'm with you there.
- 21:38Speaker 3: So my kind of lower own guys are are Lopez
- 21:40Speaker 3: Elder on the slate in terms of pitching. Let's go
- 21:45Speaker 3: ahead and jump over and share the stone here. We
- 21:48Speaker 3: had a question in the chat here on how to
- 21:50Speaker 3: read the stone, so it's pretty easy. These numbers are
- 21:54Speaker 3: all based on this season, so we did already switch over.
- 21:58Speaker 3: So Obviously some of these numbers are pretty inflated just
- 22:02Speaker 3: based on what their small small samples are front from
- 22:04Speaker 3: the year. But team on the left is the is
- 22:07Speaker 3: the away team team and the right is the home team.
- 22:09Speaker 3: All of these numbers reflected like the ex wall ball,
- 22:12Speaker 3: the x IO, they're k rates. Everything is all adjusted
- 22:16Speaker 3: based on home road splits.
- 22:18Speaker 1: Right. We do know hitters.
- 22:21Speaker 3: Tend to like the backdrops right after looking the pitchers
- 22:24Speaker 3: they can pick it up easier, things like that. Right,
- 22:27Speaker 3: So all of these metrics on the screen here you
- 22:29Speaker 3: do see our home road splits, so they're all all
- 22:34Speaker 3: dated as well as the pitcher's numbers. Right. Obviously we're
- 22:36Speaker 3: not gonna have a bunch of pitchers metrics in here
- 22:38Speaker 3: because a guy like Cody Ponce never played in the majors.
- 22:41Speaker 3: Rights based based on recent So first game, we got
- 22:46Speaker 3: the Rockies, We've got the Blue Jays. Blue Jays are
- 22:48Speaker 3: probably going to be right up there with the Cubs
- 22:50Speaker 3: in terms of ownership for a good reason.
- 22:51Speaker 1: This is a really good offense, really really good offense
- 22:53Speaker 1: all year.
- 22:54Speaker 3: We're gonna play them a ton Okamoto coming in, just
- 22:57Speaker 3: hit a bomb yesterday. He's got tons of in there.
- 23:01Speaker 3: I mean Addison Barjer you got him in the four spot.
- 23:05Speaker 3: Tons of power there. He's super cheap. Hey, Sus Sanchez
- 23:07Speaker 3: hit a bomb yesterday too. Lefties killed Sigano, and Sigano
- 23:11Speaker 3: is by far and away the worst pitcher on the slate.
- 23:13Speaker 3: Extreme flyball guy, this is just an absolute atrocious matchup
- 23:18Speaker 3: for Segano. I think the Blue Jays are in line
- 23:22Speaker 3: for the highest stone stacks or the best stack on
- 23:24Speaker 3: the slate, even ahead of the Cubs in my opinion,
- 23:28Speaker 3: even with that win game. We see it all too often, right, Matt,
- 23:31Speaker 3: Everyone sees win blown out at Wrigley just naturally just
- 23:34Speaker 3: goes over there and just slams the chips in on
- 23:37Speaker 3: that game and kind of looks past a lot of
- 23:39Speaker 3: the other teams that can definitely contest. And we've seen
- 23:42Speaker 3: it all too often, right, I see win games all
- 23:44Speaker 3: the time at Wrigley, and like a five to four
- 23:46Speaker 3: game with like one home run, two home runs, right.
- 23:49Speaker 1: Stuff like that.
- 23:50Speaker 3: So I think the Blue Jays are really interesting facing
- 23:52Speaker 3: the worst pitcher on the league are on the slate
- 23:55Speaker 3: for sure, and then a really really bad bullpen behind him.
- 23:57Speaker 1: What do you see here, Toronto and the Rockies.
- 24:01Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you all over with the Toronto stack.
- 24:03Speaker 2: I mean, they just look really good here. It's hard
- 24:05Speaker 2: to argue I don't know how you could argue Toronto here.
- 24:09Speaker 2: They're not even projected to be that highly owned because
- 24:12Speaker 2: of the Cubs, as you mentioned, I mean for my money,
- 24:16Speaker 2: and that doesn't mean they're my favorite tournament stack on
- 24:18Speaker 2: the board. I think on paper they look like the
- 24:21Speaker 2: best stack on the board, even over the Cubs. I
- 24:24Speaker 2: like their matchup better. You've got the wind blowing out,
- 24:27Speaker 2: but you get Siganu and then this awful Rockies bullpen
- 24:32Speaker 2: a ton of win equity. You know, well, it doesn't
- 24:35Speaker 2: even matter for their stack. But yeah, there's just so
- 24:38Speaker 2: much to like about Toronto here, not the least of
- 24:40Speaker 2: which being their price tags. You got to cheap Hezu
- 24:43Speaker 2: Sanchez Barger's too cheap like Springer and Ladder priced up,
- 24:47Speaker 2: but the other guys aren't, so you can play really
- 24:50Speaker 2: good guys with the Toronto stack. Yeah. I like them
- 24:55Speaker 2: quite a bit here. It's hard not to like them,
- 24:57Speaker 2: and I think in tournaments and large field tournaments you
- 25:01Speaker 2: can make a case for a Rocky stack for sure.
- 25:04Speaker 2: Pont's gonna be real highly owned in my opinion, unproven
- 25:08Speaker 2: at the MLB level. As you mentioned, the KBO is
- 25:10Speaker 2: not MLB. He was really good there doesn't mean it's
- 25:14Speaker 2: going to translate immediately, and it's baseball. So against probably
- 25:20Speaker 2: what's going to be the highest ooned pitcher on the board,
- 25:23Speaker 2: because if anything, I think he gets steam and Cabrera
- 25:26Speaker 2: lose his ownership if I had to choose between any
- 25:29Speaker 2: of those happening. So in for my money, he's gonna
- 25:32Speaker 2: be the highest owned pitcher on the board. When you've
- 25:35Speaker 2: got a guy like that getting so much ownership, that's
- 25:37Speaker 2: just an unknown. There's the case right there to be
- 25:40Speaker 2: made for using Colorado in some tournaments. I don't think
- 25:43Speaker 2: I'll get there, but again, wouldn't shock me if they're
- 25:46Speaker 2: on the winner tonight at least some Rockies here, just
- 25:49Speaker 2: because of again, how much of an unknown pnce is
- 25:53Speaker 2: That being said, Ponce and the Blue Jays both look
- 25:57Speaker 2: like arguably the best pitching option and arguably the best
- 26:00Speaker 2: stack on the board. I think playing them together makes
- 26:03Speaker 2: a lot of sense, and I think just loading up
- 26:06Speaker 2: on them in any format makes all the sense in
- 26:10Speaker 2: the world. So we see it pretty similarly here.
- 26:14Speaker 1: Yeah, No, I'm with you there on the Rockies.
- 26:16Speaker 3: I think he can pick some of these guys that
- 26:18Speaker 3: that hit right hand and pitching pretty well. Obviously, lefties
- 26:21Speaker 3: typically have an advantage. Jake McCarthy has power, he's super cheap.
- 26:25Speaker 1: TJ.
- 26:25Speaker 3: Rumfield their their young kid. He's showing a ton of power.
- 26:29Speaker 3: He has right hand and pitching. He's twenty five hundred
- 26:31Speaker 3: at first base. No one's gonna play him. Julian tons
- 26:34Speaker 3: of power. Got pinch hit a ton in Minnesota. I
- 26:37Speaker 3: just don't think the Rockies really care that much, or
- 26:39Speaker 3: they don't really don't have guys that are are quality
- 26:43Speaker 3: MLB players to to really mess around with pinch hitting
- 26:45Speaker 3: too much. They're gonna be doing everything they can to
- 26:48Speaker 3: kind of hit forty wins this season in my opinion.
- 26:51Speaker 3: So Julian there, I think is pretty interesting. Goodman's always
- 26:55Speaker 3: a great option at catcher, So I think you can
- 26:57Speaker 3: pick some guys off here. I'm not probably full acting
- 27:00Speaker 3: the Rockies by any means, but again, I full stacked
- 27:03Speaker 3: the White Sox yesterday and they were completely unknowned against
- 27:06Speaker 3: a pitcher who got some ownership and nobody was on them.
- 27:10Speaker 3: So again, it's baseball, and that's the that's the beauty
- 27:14Speaker 3: of a portfolio. Are the Rockies the main team or
- 27:16Speaker 3: single entry cash three max stuff?
- 27:18Speaker 1: Absolutely not.
- 27:19Speaker 3: But in M and ME, Ponce is probably gonna push
- 27:22Speaker 3: sixty percent. In high stakes single entry stuff like the
- 27:25Speaker 3: one twenty one, Punce is probably fifty to sixty percent owned,
- 27:28Speaker 3: just like yesterday we saw. I'm drawing a blank on
- 27:31Speaker 3: his name now, but he he came in at like
- 27:33Speaker 3: sixty percent owned in the one twenty one yesterday.
- 27:36Speaker 1: I expect that for Ponce for a good reason.
- 27:38Speaker 2: Right.
- 27:38Speaker 1: However, you now take one hundred people in.
- 27:41Speaker 3: A room and you instantly throw sixty of them out
- 27:44Speaker 3: of the room, and then the remaining forty how many
- 27:47Speaker 3: of those are playing Rockies probably three to four maybe,
- 27:51Speaker 3: So then you're just contesting with a lot less people
- 27:53Speaker 3: to get to the top. And in baseball where especially
- 27:56Speaker 3: like in the contest tonight at the five dollars fifty
- 27:58Speaker 3: k up top, where a lot more people just throw
- 28:00Speaker 3: one hundred and fifty in there and kind of just
- 28:01Speaker 3: bindly run shit. I mean, I don't, I don't hate
- 28:04Speaker 3: the Rockies as minis I talk about Runfield.
- 28:07Speaker 1: I think he's good.
- 28:08Speaker 3: Jake McCarthy, Julian and Hunter Goodman Tovar are kind of
- 28:11Speaker 3: the main guys I'd look at there. I'm really not
- 28:13Speaker 3: stacking them. Blue Jay's one through nine, great plays. Definitely
- 28:16Speaker 3: love the lefties. Varshow's probably one of my favorite plays
- 28:19Speaker 3: on the entire slate. Jumping over to Atlanta, Bryce Elder
- 28:23Speaker 3: Jacob Lopez, we saw we talked about both these pitchers,
- 28:25Speaker 3: at least I did in terms of pitching, but on
- 28:28Speaker 3: hitting side, right, This is another spot.
- 28:30Speaker 1: Benefit of a portfolio.
- 28:32Speaker 3: You can definitely play a guy like Shay lang Lears
- 28:35Speaker 3: who has some of the arguably right up there with
- 28:39Speaker 3: guys like Cal Raleigh at the catcher position for sure,
- 28:41Speaker 3: but in all of baseball in terms of power. Soderstrom's great,
- 28:44Speaker 3: Rookers great, Jacob Wilson's a great. Lawrence Butler has power.
- 28:48Speaker 3: Jeff McNeil's a contact guy. They have struck struck out
- 28:51Speaker 3: a ton. Bryce Elder's not the same strikeout guy, is
- 28:55Speaker 3: what The A's just faced up in Toronto with their
- 28:57Speaker 3: pitching staff. They also got the front end of the
- 29:00Speaker 3: rotation there in Toronto. Now they're getting the back end
- 29:02Speaker 3: of the rotation here in Atlanta. A's and Braves here.
- 29:06Speaker 2: What do you see, Yeah, I think I'm gonna push
- 29:11Speaker 2: my chips in a little bit on the A's here. Again,
- 29:14Speaker 2: Elder's never a guy I'm afraid to stack against. I
- 29:17Speaker 2: like the ballpark for them here. I like the upside
- 29:20Speaker 2: for them here as far as their home run equity goes.
- 29:23Speaker 2: And I love the ownership because they're pretty expensive, but
- 29:27Speaker 2: that doesn't really matter to me on this slate because
- 29:29Speaker 2: there's not much opportunity cost a pitcher, so I will
- 29:32Speaker 2: just spend up to be contrading on a stack that
- 29:34Speaker 2: has a lot of home run up side. I get
- 29:36Speaker 2: it they strike out a ton. I don't think Elder's
- 29:39Speaker 2: like the worst pitcher in the world, but he's a
- 29:41Speaker 2: guy that can get gotten, especially if he doesn't have
- 29:43Speaker 2: his best stuff. So I just like their upside here.
- 29:46Speaker 2: I think he made a totally reasonable case about hit
- 29:48Speaker 2: playing Elder himself in tournaments because of his price tag.
- 29:51Speaker 2: But the flip side of that is he's not great.
- 29:53Speaker 2: There's a reason he's that cheap, and the Athletics have
- 29:56Speaker 2: home run upside, so I think they're a team I'm
- 29:59Speaker 2: gonna go pretty heavy on in tournaments because again, I
- 30:03Speaker 2: just like their upside here. And then Atlanta, I feel
- 30:07Speaker 2: similarly about them as I do Lopez himself. I think
- 30:10Speaker 2: each side has considerable upside. I'm leaning towards the Lopez
- 30:14Speaker 2: side just because I'm with you. Guy that has, you know,
- 30:21Speaker 2: some of the highest strikeout upside on a slate without
- 30:23Speaker 2: good pitching options isn't gonna get a lot of ownership.
- 30:26Speaker 2: I'm willing to rock with that. On the flip side
- 30:29Speaker 2: of that, though, I'm certainly willing to say that Atlanta
- 30:32Speaker 2: has upside here if Lopez again is off in any way,
- 30:35Speaker 2: because Atlanta is a lineup full of good hitters and
- 30:38Speaker 2: they have power. So both sides of that of that
- 30:42Speaker 2: are appealing to me in tournaments, and again I think
- 30:44Speaker 2: I'm gonna go a little bit push my chips in
- 30:46Speaker 2: with the athletics here. How do you see it?
- 30:49Speaker 3: Yeah, the only thing that's scaring me off is I mean,
- 30:52Speaker 3: if you watch that game yesterday, right, they're I mean, acuon,
- 30:55Speaker 3: you should have had a home run. The ball just
- 30:56Speaker 3: got out there and just kind of dropped out of
- 30:58Speaker 3: the sky. They had a couple of them like that.
- 31:00Speaker 3: And the weather's going to be the same here today.
- 31:02Speaker 3: I mean it's mid sixties in Truest Park.
- 31:05Speaker 1: Win blown in.
- 31:06Speaker 3: Nothing crazy, but like six to ten miles an hour
- 31:09Speaker 3: or something like that. I'm seeing like six miles an
- 31:11Speaker 3: hour or so right now, bro blowing in. So that
- 31:14Speaker 3: does help both of the case. Especially for a guy
- 31:16Speaker 3: like Jacob Lopez who's a fly ball guy to Righty's,
- 31:19Speaker 3: that does help the case to play him more for upside,
- 31:21Speaker 3: especially at the low ownership. Same thing, it does help
- 31:24Speaker 3: Elder a little bit too. Right a contact type pitcher,
- 31:27Speaker 3: and this is obviously a plus strike up matchup. You
- 31:30Speaker 3: see the A's total here forty three percent strikeout rate
- 31:33Speaker 3: on the road against right hand and pitching. Obviously, it's
- 31:35Speaker 3: a very very small sample, only three games up there
- 31:38Speaker 3: in Toronto, and again I say the same thing, this
- 31:41Speaker 3: is not the same picture as they just faced.
- 31:43Speaker 1: However, home runs might be mitigated here, at least somewhat.
- 31:47Speaker 3: So could Shae lan Lears, Nick Kurtz, who obviously Rookie
- 31:50Speaker 3: of the Year last year, Soders Trump, Brent Rooker, Ronald
- 31:53Speaker 3: the Kunya, Albi's Riley. All these guys can hit home runs.
- 31:56Speaker 3: I just I don't love it from a stacking perspective.
- 31:59Speaker 3: I think mini state are pretty interesting if needed, But
- 32:02Speaker 3: I do like some sneaker teams on the slate, so
- 32:04Speaker 3: for offense purposes wise here, I just don't love it.
- 32:07Speaker 3: A ton shy ling lear is obviously a great play
- 32:10Speaker 3: at a catcher position. If I think it's a good
- 32:12Speaker 3: by low spot on Acuna, everyone's kind of sold him
- 32:15Speaker 3: off after one series. It's still one of the best
- 32:17Speaker 3: players in them will be, especially when he's healthy. Hopefully
- 32:20Speaker 3: he stays healthy all year for the sake of baseball,
- 32:22Speaker 3: in the sake of the Braves. But you don't see
- 32:25Speaker 3: Ronald Leucunya at ten percent or under very often over
- 32:28Speaker 3: the course of the season, especially at that price point.
- 32:31Speaker 3: I mean we saw him over six K a lot
- 32:34Speaker 3: of the times, right obviously, double home run power and
- 32:37Speaker 3: speed there, So I don't love it. I think Ministax
- 32:41Speaker 3: is fine. Braves do have a pretty good run total.
- 32:43Speaker 3: Jacob Wilson is a flyball guy. The hitter rankings look
- 32:45Speaker 3: pretty solid for these Braves. I just don't love the
- 32:48Speaker 3: game too much in general. Can't play everyone, so I'm
- 32:50Speaker 3: gonna be definitely probably like the field not on that
- 32:54Speaker 3: game too much. There takes us to the Chalky's game
- 32:57Speaker 3: of the slate for good reason obviously. I mean, look
- 32:59Speaker 3: at this combined howners up in the Cubs one hundred
- 33:00Speaker 3: and two percent. I think that's probably still even a
- 33:03Speaker 3: little light. Angels bullpen is absolutely atrocious. They got just
- 33:08Speaker 3: absolutely lit up to against Houston. Those games went bonker
- 33:11Speaker 3: as soon as the starters came out of that game.
- 33:12Speaker 3: There was literally home run galore, runs galore in that
- 33:15Speaker 3: Houston LA series. So they already burned through a bunch
- 33:19Speaker 3: of other shitty bullpen in general. Now they got a
- 33:22Speaker 3: guy in Ryan Johnson who I don't think is very
- 33:24Speaker 3: good at all. Obviously there's some money on there. We
- 33:27Speaker 3: don't know too much about him. Cubs far and away
- 33:31Speaker 3: the chalkiest and quote unquote the best stack on the board.
- 33:35Speaker 3: I've just seen it far too often with these Wrigley
- 33:38Speaker 3: win games.
- 33:40Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 33:41Speaker 3: Obviously the bullpen is helping the cause there. It's not
- 33:44Speaker 3: a good starter, the winds blown out. It's also like
- 33:47Speaker 3: seventy degrees in Chicago, which is crazy this time of
- 33:50Speaker 3: the year. I think the Cubs are great, like everyone says,
- 33:53Speaker 3: but I think the Angels are getting slept on here. Obviously,
- 33:56Speaker 3: Netto and Troder are gonna get played a little bit,
- 33:58Speaker 3: but I mean ten percent in baseball is nothing. Both
- 34:00Speaker 3: have power speed combination. Talked about Cabrera giving up a
- 34:03Speaker 3: ton of stolen bases. I think he's interesting, and the
- 34:06Speaker 3: Angels power I think here is pretty interesting. Guy like
- 34:09Speaker 3: Josh Low, who nobody's gonna play at thirty six hundred
- 34:11Speaker 3: in the outfield, I think he's interesting. Paraza has stolen
- 34:14Speaker 3: base upside there first play him at second base, which
- 34:17Speaker 3: guys like terrang and up at the top Nico Horner
- 34:20Speaker 3: are gonna be super popular there in that low.
- 34:22Speaker 1: Four k range.
- 34:23Speaker 3: I think a guy like Paraza here with a little
- 34:26Speaker 3: like nine to one to two stack for the Angels, right, Paraza,
- 34:29Speaker 3: Natal Trout all have some power at times and can
- 34:33Speaker 3: steal bases.
- 34:33Speaker 1: I think that's pretty interesting.
- 34:35Speaker 3: So I like both sides of this game, obviously in tournaments,
- 34:37Speaker 3: but the Angels in larger field tournaments I think are
- 34:40Speaker 3: really interesting. Here.
- 34:40Speaker 1: What do you see?
- 34:42Speaker 2: You also get the leverage against Cabrera here, who's gonna
- 34:44Speaker 2: get ownership just because of the lack of pitching options.
- 34:46Speaker 2: So I can get up board with the Angels. Hard
- 34:50Speaker 2: to get away from the Cubs. I mean, I'm probably
- 34:53Speaker 2: not gonna play them, but it's not like I don't
- 34:56Speaker 2: like them here. I just don't like the ownership compared
- 34:58Speaker 2: to some other teams that I think are also in
- 35:00Speaker 2: good spots. That they might not be in as good
- 35:03Speaker 2: a spot as the Cubs, but the ownership isn't going
- 35:05Speaker 2: to be there. So I'm going to kind of play
- 35:08Speaker 2: at how you are that maybe the wind game just
- 35:11Speaker 2: brings in so much ownership and it doesn't play amazing.
- 35:14Speaker 2: I mean, certainly this game could have some runs and
- 35:17Speaker 2: a home run or two and not be the game
- 35:19Speaker 2: you need. So yeah, I like the Angel shout out
- 35:23Speaker 2: just because they're also playing in this weather spot and
- 35:26Speaker 2: they're going against the chalky pitcher, but they're in a
- 35:29Speaker 2: tough spot on paper, facing Cabrera here much better bullpen
- 35:33Speaker 2: than the Cubs are facing, So I get both sides
- 35:36Speaker 2: of it. Certainly, in cash games, I think it's kind
- 35:38Speaker 2: of a mix between the Cubs and the J's, and
- 35:42Speaker 2: then in tournaments both those teams look really, really good.
- 35:46Speaker 2: But because there's such a lack of good pitching options today,
- 35:51Speaker 2: there's also other really good stacks, which we'll get to.
- 35:54Speaker 2: So I do only you have to play either of
- 35:55Speaker 2: those teams in single entry or three max type stuff
- 35:58Speaker 2: just because of the nature of baseball. So I like
- 36:01Speaker 2: both of them a lot. Cubs on paper tough to
- 36:04Speaker 2: get away from, but that's probably what I'm gonna do.
- 36:07Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you there, Cubs are not gonna make
- 36:10Speaker 3: either of my two main teams. I'm just gonna roll
- 36:11Speaker 3: the dice. I mean, I just think, I mean, it's
- 36:16Speaker 3: just if you play the Cubs, you're gonna have to
- 36:17Speaker 3: nail the right five.
- 36:18Speaker 2: Yeah, it's exactly it.
- 36:20Speaker 3: It's like you're literally, I mean it's it's like a fifty, right,
- 36:24Speaker 3: You're like flipping a coin almost, right, like of the
- 36:27Speaker 3: nine hitters, Right, you got to pick the right five
- 36:29Speaker 3: because people are gonna slam the Cubs, especially in MME stuff.
- 36:33Speaker 1: And if you have.
- 36:34Speaker 3: One bust in the Cubs, yeah, you're probably gonna make money,
- 36:36Speaker 3: but you're probably not gonna get all the way to
- 36:38Speaker 3: the top obviously, right, definitely, because there is gonna be
- 36:41Speaker 3: people that probably locking the Cubs at sixty seventy percent
- 36:45Speaker 3: of their teams if not higher. Right, So it's just
- 36:48Speaker 3: a spot where I see, like, I mean, yeah, these
- 36:51Speaker 3: guys can hit home runs, right, Like I mean, PCA
- 36:54Speaker 3: obviously a great play, Michael Bush a great play. Bregman
- 36:57Speaker 3: is gonna be inflated at third base, which is a
- 36:59Speaker 3: pretty weak position, especially coming off the two home runs yesterday. Right,
- 37:02Speaker 3: everyone just says what do you do for me lately?
- 37:05Speaker 3: And I think the.
- 37:07Speaker 1: Cubs are going to be a boom bust offense all year.
- 37:09Speaker 3: We saw it already in their first series, right, they
- 37:12Speaker 3: failed as chalk the one time and then they smashed
- 37:16Speaker 3: the other two times. Right, So like it's just it's
- 37:18Speaker 3: a tough situation. If the wind wasn't here, I mean,
- 37:21Speaker 3: I think there'd be less people talking about the Cubs
- 37:23Speaker 3: and more people talking about the J's and teams like
- 37:26Speaker 3: the Brewers, the Mets, the Dodgers. Right, And just because
- 37:30Speaker 3: there's ten twelve, fifteen min on our wins, whatever it is,
- 37:33Speaker 3: blown out in Wrigley, they're just naturally getting slammed into
- 37:36Speaker 3: everyone's team. So they're a great play by all means.
- 37:39Speaker 3: It's just I'm with you there in tournaments. I just
- 37:41Speaker 3: think there's other offenses that can match them here, right,
- 37:45Speaker 3: I mean, the next game we're going to talk about
- 37:47Speaker 3: the Brewers.
- 37:47Speaker 1: Nobody's gonna play them.
- 37:48Speaker 3: Not many people are on the Dodgers, which we're going
- 37:51Speaker 3: to talk about later right, the best offense in baseball.
- 37:54Speaker 3: So I just think at tournaments there's other other spots.
- 37:56Speaker 3: Go ahead and finish what you were saying, and then
- 37:58Speaker 3: take us into the Milwaukee and Tampa Here.
- 38:02Speaker 2: I'm just completely on order what you're saying. Like the Cubs,
- 38:06Speaker 2: there's nothing really about them. In my opinion, it looks
- 38:08Speaker 2: all that special. Like I get it, they're facing an
- 38:11Speaker 2: unknown picture. The weather's the winds blowing out, but the
- 38:13Speaker 2: ownership is just inflated. And I'm personally not trying to
- 38:18Speaker 2: have to pick the best five man Cubs stack with
- 38:20Speaker 2: the best pitching options. Like, if the Cubs go off,
- 38:22Speaker 2: that's what you're gonna need. So I'd probably play one
- 38:25Speaker 2: of these teams that are lower owned, but if they
- 38:29Speaker 2: get there, you have just a much better chance of
- 38:31Speaker 2: getting to the top. So I personally don't love the
- 38:35Speaker 2: Cubs enough where I feel the need to play them.
- 38:37Speaker 2: There will be chalk teams in MLB where I will
- 38:39Speaker 2: play because every slate is different in its own entity,
- 38:43Speaker 2: but tonight is not that slate. I like lower owned offenses.
- 38:47Speaker 2: I already talked about the Athletics, you mentioned the Brewers,
- 38:50Speaker 2: the Dodgers. I like the Guardians and lots of Saki
- 38:54Speaker 2: stinks the Red Sox like, there are other stacks that
- 38:58Speaker 2: I can get definitely get on or that could see
- 39:00Speaker 2: winning tournaments tonight, that will just be a lot easier
- 39:03Speaker 2: to beat the field with. If those teams go off,
- 39:06Speaker 2: then the Cubs, who will get so much ownership, so
- 39:09Speaker 2: we see it the same man.
- 39:12Speaker 3: Awesome take us into uh to the Rays here and
- 39:15Speaker 3: the Brewers. Nick Martinez coming over from Cincinnati, there definitely
- 39:19Speaker 3: a player who's probably gonna get be better developed in
- 39:23Speaker 3: Tampa just in that organization compared to Cincinnati. And obviously
- 39:26Speaker 3: it's a get getting out of a great American small
- 39:29Speaker 3: park there. Obviously, stein Brenner Field is another stadium where
- 39:33Speaker 3: he's not gonna have very pitcher pitcher friendly conditions pitching
- 39:37Speaker 3: at home in Tampa here, but obviously he's in in
- 39:40Speaker 3: Miller Park. I'm gonna always call it Miller Park American
- 39:43Speaker 3: Family Field. Now roof's probably gonna be closed. I haven't looked,
- 39:47Speaker 3: but either way, Milwaukee does play more hitter friendly than
- 39:51Speaker 3: pitcher friendly here. Brewers not just because they're my team,
- 39:55Speaker 3: but I mean they just they're They're a tricky matchup
- 39:58Speaker 3: for any pitcher, especially a pitcher in Nick Tinaz who
- 40:00Speaker 3: struggles against lefties. The Brewers are gonna throw seven lefties
- 40:03Speaker 3: at him. There is some pinch hit concerns with guys
- 40:05Speaker 3: like Jake Bauers and uh, guys like maybe David Hamilton,
- 40:10Speaker 3: but really Jake Bauers and probably Renhifo are the two
- 40:13Speaker 3: pinchhick guys there. But having Teran contrerez Yelich in the
- 40:16Speaker 3: lineup and the injuries that they have, I don't think
- 40:18Speaker 3: there's a ton of pinch hit concerns there. Nick Martinez
- 40:21Speaker 3: just really pitches the contact, gets gives up fly balls
- 40:24Speaker 3: and powered, especially to the lefties. But even so to to
- 40:27Speaker 3: right he's there. I think the Brewers, I mean, they're
- 40:29Speaker 3: sub ten percent all of their hitters. Nobody's talking about them.
- 40:33Speaker 3: And I mean they just scored a gazillion runs over
- 40:35Speaker 3: the over the the weekend, and they steal a ton
- 40:39Speaker 3: of bases, right, they had seven stolen the bases on
- 40:41Speaker 3: what Sunday or Saturday.
- 40:43Speaker 1: I mean, I just think this is a great spot, right.
- 40:45Speaker 3: Obviously, the Ray's bullpen is pretty solid and better than
- 40:49Speaker 3: the White Sox there, but I think this is a
- 40:51Speaker 3: really good spot for the Brewers stack, and I'm not
- 40:54Speaker 3: seeing anybody really get to them. And on the race side,
- 40:56Speaker 3: caviniro Yandy Diaz, Lefty Powers right. I think those guys
- 41:01Speaker 3: are obviously great plays, but more so interest for me
- 41:05Speaker 3: on the birth side, what do you see here?
- 41:07Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you all around here. So just because
- 41:11Speaker 2: of how this slate breaks down, I like Harrison more
- 41:13Speaker 2: than I like the Rays. Nick Martinez never a guy
- 41:17Speaker 2: that I'm afraid to pick on, and he was awful
- 41:19Speaker 2: in spring training twenty nine hits and thirteen and two
- 41:21Speaker 2: thirds innings. Yeah, the Brewers look good here, just as
- 41:26Speaker 2: an effort to save time because we've got a bunch
- 41:27Speaker 2: more games to go into. I won't even go in
- 41:30Speaker 2: that much more detail because I agree with you. I
- 41:32Speaker 2: think the Brewers look really really good here as a
- 41:34Speaker 2: full stack. As pieces, however you want to play them,
- 41:37Speaker 2: I don't feel that much different about them than I
- 41:39Speaker 2: do some of the other stacks that I've talked about,
- 41:42Speaker 2: so I don't have to play them. But if you
- 41:43Speaker 2: had them as your top tournament stack, I wouldn't argue
- 41:45Speaker 2: with you at all.
- 41:47Speaker 1: Yeah, for sure takes us in the next game here.
- 41:49Speaker 3: This is one of gonna be a team that does
- 41:52Speaker 3: Darner some ownership here for in the Mets. Obviously, it's
- 41:56Speaker 3: good hitting Weather here, full nining in of bats here
- 41:59Speaker 3: for the Mets.
- 42:00Speaker 1: In Saint Louis.
- 42:02Speaker 3: And uh, a horrible bullpen. I mean, Saint Louis's bullpen
- 42:05Speaker 3: is gonna be trash all year. We're gonna definitely be
- 42:07Speaker 3: playing teams against the Cardinals all year. Their team is
- 42:11Speaker 3: just bad in general, but they do have some some
- 42:13Speaker 3: guys like the Nolan Gorman who has some power. Weatherholts
- 42:16Speaker 3: looks great to start his career. Burlison's just been absolutely
- 42:20Speaker 3: ripping the cover off the baseball. I think he's a
- 42:22Speaker 3: really really good play and I think though Weather Hilt, Burlison,
- 42:26Speaker 3: first base, second base, little mini stack there, nobody's gonna
- 42:29Speaker 3: play them. I think that's really interesting against a guy
- 42:31Speaker 3: who pitches the contact in Clay Holmes here and the
- 42:34Speaker 3: Mets seem pretty interesting to me. Another pivot off of
- 42:38Speaker 3: the Cubs at very similar salaries lind Or Bashett Soto,
- 42:42Speaker 3: Planco Beaty. I mean, the back half hurts a little bit,
- 42:45Speaker 3: but Carson Benge has looked really good. I think the
- 42:48Speaker 3: Mets are pretty interesting here.
- 42:49Speaker 2: What do you see. Yeah, I think both teams in
- 42:52Speaker 2: playing tournaments tonight. I think the Mets just in terms
- 42:55Speaker 2: of being one of the top stacks on the board.
- 42:59Speaker 2: Kyle Lee he a pitch sure that. I think the
- 43:00Speaker 2: Mets can definitely get to here. Pretty good hitting weather
- 43:04Speaker 2: in this spot. So yeah, I like the Mets just
- 43:07Speaker 2: as an overall stack here. They're kind of pricey and
- 43:10Speaker 2: the guys you want, but they've got Jared Young to
- 43:12Speaker 2: balance that out at two K. And again, price doesn't
- 43:16Speaker 2: really matter on this late I like cheap pitching options.
- 43:18Speaker 2: When I say like it's relative because I don't really
- 43:21Speaker 2: like any pitching options, but I'll play the cheaper ones,
- 43:23Speaker 2: so getting to expensive stacks not an issue. Mets definitely
- 43:28Speaker 2: in play in that regard. And then the Cardinals, I
- 43:32Speaker 2: don't know how much I'm gonna get there because I
- 43:35Speaker 2: don't think it's the slate for it. But in the
- 43:39Speaker 2: slate plan I wrote them up as the top value stack,
- 43:41Speaker 2: and I think they're unequivocally that, Like, they're way too cheap.
- 43:45Speaker 2: They've been good. They're not a great offense, but they've
- 43:49Speaker 2: got good hitters in their lineup. Obviously, the rookie up
- 43:52Speaker 2: top now running a little bit. They've got some power
- 43:55Speaker 2: if Jordan Walker stays hot like mine up all of
- 43:59Speaker 2: a sudden length in a little bit. If we had
- 44:02Speaker 2: like thud pitchers on this slate like opening Day, I'd
- 44:07Speaker 2: really consider them. I just don't think it's a slate
- 44:10Speaker 2: for it because they're so cheap, and I just don't
- 44:12Speaker 2: think it's needed at the end of the day. I'd
- 44:14Speaker 2: just rather play better offenses.
- 44:17Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I'm with you there. I do think Burlason
- 44:20Speaker 3: and weather Hill both both make the case. I mean
- 44:22Speaker 3: they're both gonna be unowned. They both second base is
- 44:26Speaker 3: gonna be soaked up by guys like Nico Horner, Bryce
- 44:28Speaker 3: Terrang but even Terrain's not really gonna get ownership, but
- 44:31Speaker 3: really guys like Nico Horner and all those Cubs guys. So,
- 44:34Speaker 3: I mean, Burlaston at four k, Weatherholder at thirty three hundred.
- 44:37Speaker 3: I think it's pretty interesting and maybe in like a
- 44:39Speaker 3: Dodger stack, right, you play the value here to to
- 44:42Speaker 3: afford the Otani's, to afford the cow, to afford the
- 44:45Speaker 3: Freddie Freeman's right, Dodgers aren't going to be unowned, and
- 44:48Speaker 3: you get two quality hitters in Weatherhold of Berlaston who
- 44:50Speaker 3: are on fire to start the year. I'm there, but yeah,
- 44:53Speaker 3: not much more to say on either side there. I
- 44:55Speaker 3: think we're both pretty aligned there. I don't think the
- 44:57Speaker 3: Cardinals is a stacker the best player on the slate
- 45:01Speaker 3: on a ten game slate, just because I mean, you're
- 45:04Speaker 3: probably gonna leave a ton of a ship ton of
- 45:06Speaker 3: salary on the board, which is fine. If if they
- 45:08Speaker 3: are the highest scoring offense on the slate, yeah, you're
- 45:10Speaker 3: probably gonna win all the money. I just more like
- 45:13Speaker 3: them as one officer or fillers, and mainly those that one, three,
- 45:16Speaker 3: five right, Gorman, weather Hill, Burlison are kind of the
- 45:19Speaker 3: guys I'm looking at there.
- 45:21Speaker 2: I will say, oh, go ahead, just real quick, Like,
- 45:24Speaker 2: if you do love the Cardinals as a full stack,
- 45:26Speaker 2: I wouldn't be afraid to stack them because I do
- 45:29Speaker 2: think their ownership. This is almost like a rare occurrence
- 45:32Speaker 2: that you'll see sometimes in MLB because there are no
- 45:36Speaker 2: expensive pitching options and the Cardinals are so cheap. They're
- 45:40Speaker 2: inexpensive price tags will almost lower their ownership because in
- 45:43Speaker 2: order to five man stack them, you're almost guaranteed to
- 45:46Speaker 2: leave salary on the board. A lot of people don't
- 45:48Speaker 2: want to do that. So they're not my favorite stack,
- 45:52Speaker 2: but I wouldn't be afraid to play them and leave
- 45:53Speaker 2: salary on the board.
- 45:54Speaker 3: All say, yeah, what about playing a five man Cardinal
- 45:58Speaker 3: stack with a guy like ring Swore is up at
- 46:00Speaker 3: the top and another spind up picture not Cabrera, right,
- 46:04Speaker 3: and just totally flip the build. You go five five Dodgers,
- 46:06Speaker 3: You go five Dodgers five or five Dodgers, Uh, your
- 46:10Speaker 3: your Cardinals, or you go like a four to three
- 46:13Speaker 3: Dodgers Cardinals with two spend up pictures when everybody wants
- 46:17Speaker 3: to play punts in in Cabrera right. So that's a
- 46:20Speaker 3: different way you can flip that on it on its
- 46:21Speaker 3: head too, that I think could be interesting, And yeah,
- 46:24Speaker 3: you're one hundred percent right. You run, you run teams.
- 46:26Speaker 3: Cardinals are just not gonna get thrown in there because
- 46:28Speaker 3: the salary is not needed. And that doesn't mean they're
- 46:30Speaker 3: bad plays or they're bad leverage or tournament plays, just
- 46:33Speaker 3: because we have no spend up pictures that people want
- 46:36Speaker 3: to play. I think that's a that's a great call
- 46:40Speaker 3: out there. Next game here, Astros Red Sox swears on
- 46:43Speaker 3: the mound Lance mccullors. I just don't think mccullors is
- 46:47Speaker 3: is right. I just I think he's broken. I think
- 46:50Speaker 3: the Red Sox are really really interesting here. Roman, Anthony
- 46:53Speaker 3: Roman the Great during Willia or Bray, you hit a
- 46:56Speaker 3: bomb yesterday.
- 46:57Speaker 1: I like him.
- 46:58Speaker 3: Marcela Mayor has some upside there, young prospect for the
- 47:02Speaker 3: Red Sox there.
- 47:03Speaker 1: I think the Red Sox are pretty interesting here.
- 47:05Speaker 3: They kind of fit the build of the Brewers and
- 47:07Speaker 3: offense that is history is gonna be pretty solid all
- 47:11Speaker 3: season long. They have home runs, they have power, or
- 47:14Speaker 3: they have speed.
- 47:16Speaker 1: The Astros bullpen is good. Mccullors is not that great.
- 47:20Speaker 3: You just saw what the Angels did to the Astros
- 47:23Speaker 3: pitching staff over the weekend. I think the Red Sox
- 47:26Speaker 3: are pretty damn interesting here.
- 47:27Speaker 1: What do you see?
- 47:29Speaker 2: Yeah, we see this very eye to eye. I think
- 47:32Speaker 2: the Red Sox might be my favorite tournament stack on
- 47:34Speaker 2: the board with the A's. I think the A's might
- 47:39Speaker 2: have higher home run ceiling. I think the Red Sox
- 47:42Speaker 2: are just a better offense and have our more likelihood
- 47:45Speaker 2: to get there than the A's are. Mccullor's very boom boxed,
- 47:49Speaker 2: and when he's off, he puts guys on base. He
- 47:53Speaker 2: leaves pitches over the middle. I'm in on Boston here.
- 47:57Speaker 2: I think their upside is real. They're not going to
- 47:59Speaker 2: get owned. Yeah, they're one of the other teams. I
- 48:02Speaker 2: talked about that, like they're not in as gonna spot
- 48:05Speaker 2: on paper as the Cubs or the Blue Jays. And yeah,
- 48:10Speaker 2: you could say the Blue Jays have a better offense,
- 48:12Speaker 2: but I think Boston's offense is really good, especially for
- 48:15Speaker 2: DFS purposes, and it's an ownership game and they're not
- 48:18Speaker 2: gonna get nearly the love, and I think the upside
- 48:21Speaker 2: is just as high. So I'm in on Boston here.
- 48:25Speaker 2: I also like as the show has gone on, I
- 48:28Speaker 2: saw Philly Phantom comment on it, I could get on
- 48:32Speaker 2: board with Suarez, Like I don't like the spot and
- 48:36Speaker 2: he's not like a number one like Ace Ace, but
- 48:41Speaker 2: he's like a low end number one to meet, and
- 48:44Speaker 2: he's cheap like he might be he might be the
- 48:50Speaker 2: best overall pitcher on this slate, and that might not
- 48:54Speaker 2: even be really close right now. So because of that,
- 48:58Speaker 2: he's under nine K. I like Boston offense, so pairing
- 49:01Speaker 2: them together you get some win equity. I'm liking Boston
- 49:05Speaker 2: a lot as the show goes on their offense, and
- 49:08Speaker 2: then I think I'm more in on Suarez than originally
- 49:10Speaker 2: than originally thought.
- 49:12Speaker 3: Yeah, I don't hate it by it by any means there,
- 49:15Speaker 3: I think it's pretty interesting. Again, no one's gonna play Suarez,
- 49:18Speaker 3: Anyone's No one's clicking that he's ranked fourth in our
- 49:20Speaker 3: pitcher rankings. There is strikeouts in this this Astras lineup,
- 49:24Speaker 3: and he keeps the ball on the ground anyways, Right,
- 49:26Speaker 3: So I do think he's the more of the show
- 49:29Speaker 3: comes on and we're trying to we're starve for pitching.
- 49:32Speaker 3: I think he's an interesting pivot right there, off with Cabrera,
- 49:35Speaker 3: who even in the win game is just getting ownership
- 49:37Speaker 3: due to people buying on his talent, but more so
- 49:41Speaker 3: the Cub's run total and the win equity and everything there.
- 49:44Speaker 3: So we see it pretty similar here. I and another
- 49:49Speaker 3: thing too, Look at the bullpen for the Astro seventy
- 49:52Speaker 3: three pitches, forty thirty nine, thirty five, thirty five, twenty three,
- 49:57Speaker 3: twenty two. I mean, it's game four of the year.
- 50:01Speaker 3: That's a pretty damn text bullpen. I know it's early
- 50:04Speaker 3: in the year and these guys' arms are fairly fresh,
- 50:06Speaker 3: but still, I mean, they could if mccullors just doesn't
- 50:09Speaker 3: have it, they could just leave them out here hung
- 50:11Speaker 3: out to dry, you know what I mean. I mean
- 50:13Speaker 3: they used five bullpen arms yesterday alone on Sunday, one
- 50:16Speaker 3: of those throwing forty seven pitches in Munio's So that's
- 50:20Speaker 3: another call out. I know, I talk about bullpen's a
- 50:22Speaker 3: ton middle of the season and the further we get
- 50:25Speaker 3: into the season, But I get it. I mean, you
- 50:27Speaker 3: just they just had a hell of a series against
- 50:29Speaker 3: the Angels. Tons of runs were scored. I really love
- 50:33Speaker 3: the Boston Bats here.
- 50:34Speaker 1: I'm with you.
- 50:34Speaker 3: There three games off to talk about here, we'll cruise
- 50:38Speaker 3: through for the most part this game.
- 50:40Speaker 1: I just don't love much from a DFS side.
- 50:43Speaker 3: The worst park on the slate in my opinion, for
- 50:45Speaker 3: hitting outside of maybe San Diego, which is the next
- 50:48Speaker 3: game we're going to talk about here. Yankees obviously, Yeah,
- 50:51Speaker 3: ballinger Rice Stanton Grisham, Judge, those guys can all hit
- 50:54Speaker 3: Homelands Jazz. It's just Luis Castillo, I think, is a
- 50:57Speaker 3: good enough pitcher. The ballpark sucks. I don't love the
- 51:00Speaker 3: spot for offense on either side. What do you see here.
- 51:03Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you, just this ballpark. If the Yankees
- 51:06Speaker 2: so like you like a Steel more than me, so
- 51:09Speaker 2: naturally I might like the Yankees a little bit more
- 51:11Speaker 2: than you. But I think I'd rather play this Steel
- 51:15Speaker 2: than stack the Yankees on this slate, just in terms
- 51:17Speaker 2: of how pitching breaks down, Probably just a spot all
- 51:20Speaker 2: avoid I like Weathers here, he's too cheap for his upside.
- 51:24Speaker 2: Feel kind of similarly about him as you do, and
- 51:27Speaker 2: maybe I do. Lopez strike got upside in this spot.
- 51:31Speaker 2: No cal Rally tonight, I'm in on Weathers here. I
- 51:35Speaker 2: think it's the only piece of the game that would
- 51:36Speaker 2: be a priority for me. Obviously, the Yankee stack always
- 51:39Speaker 2: in play.
- 51:40Speaker 1: Yeah, I will say, do expect.
- 51:42Speaker 3: Don't think you're getting Weathers low owned, especially with that
- 51:44Speaker 3: cal Raleigh news his ownerships. It's probably I mean, I
- 51:48Speaker 3: wouldn't be shocked to see a bunch of punts Weather's pairings,
- 51:51Speaker 3: to be honest, and to spend up Blue Jays and
- 51:53Speaker 3: comes bats together. I mean, that's just gonna be their
- 51:55Speaker 3: chalk combination. So if you do that, just know you're
- 51:59Speaker 3: holding hands with that everyone else And you got to
- 52:01Speaker 3: get the lottery ticket right and hit your nine leg
- 52:05Speaker 3: parlay right as everyone else, and pick the right three
- 52:08Speaker 3: Yankees or the right three Cubs in Blue Jays and
- 52:13Speaker 3: the other five from the same teams correctly as everyone else.
- 52:16Speaker 2: Right.
- 52:17Speaker 3: Obviously that's any slates, but really so tonight, I'd be
- 52:20Speaker 3: shocked not to see a bunch of Ryan Weathers and Ponts.
- 52:23Speaker 1: Not saying it's a bad.
- 52:24Speaker 3: Combination, but maybe that's a that's a spot where you
- 52:26Speaker 3: go to the Dodgers, you go to the Brewers, you
- 52:28Speaker 3: go to the Red Sox, which we already talked about,
- 52:31Speaker 3: and play it differently. Right, you're still eating the chalk
- 52:33Speaker 3: at pitcher, but you're getting different from hitters and you
- 52:35Speaker 3: have no or you have no Blue Jays, you have
- 52:38Speaker 3: no Cubs in your lineup, right. I mean these guys
- 52:41Speaker 3: fail seven out of ten times in their Hall of Famers, right,
- 52:44Speaker 3: So again, I talk about it all the time.
- 52:46Speaker 1: That's a little thing to get.
- 52:47Speaker 3: Different there from a rush construction standpoint, And that's like,
- 52:50Speaker 3: that's how I like to play dfast, right. I don't
- 52:52Speaker 3: want to min cash and hold hands with everyone else.
- 52:54Speaker 3: I want to either lose or win all the money. Right,
- 52:57Speaker 3: So that's what we're in it for. You're going to
- 53:00Speaker 3: lose a lot more slates than you're gonna win. When
- 53:02Speaker 3: you win, you want to hit it big right to
- 53:04Speaker 3: cover all of those losses and then some to build
- 53:07Speaker 3: that mank roll. So next game in the slate, Padres Giants,
- 53:10Speaker 3: pretty similar to the last game. Not much interest here
- 53:12Speaker 3: from me in a DFS standpoint. I just don't think
- 53:15Speaker 3: Walker Beeler is any good. So if you wanted to
- 53:17Speaker 3: roll the dice on the Giants, right, I kind of
- 53:19Speaker 3: put the Giants in the tier that you do with
- 53:22Speaker 3: the a's right. I think the Giants are fairly interesting.
- 53:24Speaker 3: I hate the ballpark.
- 53:26Speaker 1: I hate it. Padre's bullpen is really really good.
- 53:29Speaker 3: But again, if you're really looking for teams there, I
- 53:32Speaker 3: wouldn't be shocked to see the Giants in MM set
- 53:35Speaker 3: be kind of like the White Sox from yesterday, absolutely unknown.
- 53:38Speaker 3: They go and score six to seven runs and they
- 53:41Speaker 3: find their way. Is kind of fillers in winning lineups.
- 53:43Speaker 3: So what do you see here, Padres Giants.
- 53:46Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't see a lot, man, I just don't
- 53:51Speaker 2: see it. It's gonna be really tough to get to
- 53:53Speaker 2: these West Coast games offensively when we've got like basically
- 53:56Speaker 2: any other games on the slate. Now, it's not like
- 53:59Speaker 2: we've got amazing while the spots outside of Chicago. It's
- 54:02Speaker 2: not like these pitchers are amazing, but they're not awful.
- 54:08Speaker 2: Like I don't know, I just don't see much from
- 54:11Speaker 2: this game. It's baseball, so like, absolutely nothing would shock
- 54:15Speaker 2: me if either of these stacks went off. I wouldn't
- 54:18Speaker 2: be shocked at all. It would just take me a
- 54:21Speaker 2: bunch of lineups to get to edit anything in this game.
- 54:25Speaker 2: Pitching stacks one offs are different, but it's just really
- 54:30Speaker 2: hard to see prioritizing either pitcher or either stack here.
- 54:33Speaker 2: Do you agree?
- 54:35Speaker 1: Yeah, it is.
- 54:35Speaker 3: It's just more so I think Walker Bieler is trash personally,
- 54:38Speaker 3: so that's kind of the reason they're But it's definitely
- 54:41Speaker 3: not get that. It's probably twenty plus teams, to be honest,
- 54:44Speaker 3: I might have a sprinkle a giant in or in
- 54:47Speaker 3: my twenty max, but there's so many other offenses that
- 54:49Speaker 3: we talked about six to eight offenses and either of
- 54:53Speaker 3: these teams probably don't hit that list, and we already
- 54:55Speaker 3: talked about a bunch of them, and we're gonna talk
- 54:57Speaker 3: about two of them to at least two more. If
- 54:59Speaker 3: not three more in these next two games there, So
- 55:01Speaker 3: I think it's pretty safe to say don't really worry
- 55:05Speaker 3: about that game too much on either side, pitching or hitters.
- 55:08Speaker 3: In San Diego there obviously, the Padres lineup looks pretty
- 55:12Speaker 3: damn good on paper, and you got a lot of
- 55:14Speaker 3: name recognition in that lineup.
- 55:16Speaker 1: It's just I just, I mean, the Giants just don't.
- 55:20Speaker 1: I don't love it.
- 55:20Speaker 3: Giants had a good bullpen last year. I expect more
- 55:23Speaker 3: of a pretty decent bullpen again this season. So it's
- 55:27Speaker 3: not a spot I think you got to get too
- 55:29Speaker 3: too often here tonight. If any takes us in the
- 55:32Speaker 3: next game, though, it's probably going to be a spot
- 55:34Speaker 3: where we see the Dodgers at some of the lowest
- 55:36Speaker 3: ownership we're gonna see all year.
- 55:39Speaker 1: Messik Is. I do like this kid. I think he
- 55:42Speaker 1: has upside.
- 55:42Speaker 3: He's gonna have ceiling performances more often than probably not
- 55:46Speaker 3: this season.
- 55:47Speaker 1: This is a very, very very boom bust matchup for
- 55:49Speaker 1: both sides.
- 55:50Speaker 3: Right Dodgers hitters, Yeah, it's the best lineup in baseball,
- 55:52Speaker 3: but at times it feels like the Dodgers sleepwalk through
- 55:55Speaker 3: the regular season, get to the postseason and everyone kind
- 55:57Speaker 3: of locks in and they just blow everyone away because
- 56:00Speaker 3: they're starting rotation. And then obviously their lineup behind it
- 56:03Speaker 3: is just elite this spot though, I mean, you could
- 56:06Speaker 3: see this both sides. I mean, you can see an
- 56:08Speaker 3: unknown Dodgers team after being chalk all weekend, really not
- 56:12Speaker 3: do their thing and absolutely smash here.
- 56:15Speaker 1: Same thing.
- 56:15Speaker 3: You could see Messick post a score as a pivot
- 56:18Speaker 3: off a guy like Pons for two hundred dollars more
- 56:20Speaker 3: have twenty twenty to twenty five DraftKings points just with strikeouts.
- 56:24Speaker 1: Right, So what do you see here? Dodgers and the Guardians.
- 56:28Speaker 2: Yeah, it's tough, because I'm with you all over. Dodgers
- 56:32Speaker 2: ownership is finally going to be subdued. They're expensive, they're
- 56:36Speaker 2: not in as good as spot on paper as some
- 56:39Speaker 2: of these other teams. But man, their offense is the
- 56:42Speaker 2: best in baseball unequivocally so. And Messic I think he's good,
- 56:48Speaker 2: but he's unproven. And certainly this spot can get to anyone.
- 56:54Speaker 2: I mean, the Dodgers can get to the best pitchers,
- 56:56Speaker 2: so certainly they can get to Messic here. Because of that,
- 56:58Speaker 2: you got to at least leave them in your even
- 57:00Speaker 2: if you're not playing them in single entry, which I
- 57:03Speaker 2: think you can massing himself. I like the idea of
- 57:06Speaker 2: playing a sprinkle of him in large field stuff. But
- 57:09Speaker 2: that's all it is. They're getting no price discount for
- 57:12Speaker 2: just what is a brutal spot and you see it
- 57:14Speaker 2: all the time with pitchers facing the Dodgers. Zach Allen,
- 57:18Speaker 2: like an opening night, started off the game really really
- 57:22Speaker 2: well four innings, I think, two hits, a couple k's,
- 57:27Speaker 2: and then it just all came crashing down against the
- 57:30Speaker 2: bottom of the lineup because they got good hitters, hitters
- 57:32Speaker 2: with home run upside all throughout. So fool's Aaron picking
- 57:36Speaker 2: pitchers against the Dodgers. I hope both sides just are
- 57:39Speaker 2: kind of okay, which most of the time happens. But
- 57:43Speaker 2: the Dodgers, we know, can explode on anyone. The real
- 57:45Speaker 2: side of this game I like a lot is Cleveland.
- 57:48Speaker 2: Sasaki has not impressed me when he's been on the mount.
- 57:52Speaker 2: He was not good in spring training. I think the
- 57:55Speaker 2: Guardians offense now getting a park upgrade coming from Seattle
- 57:58Speaker 2: after facing that lethal pitching staff the entire series. Even
- 58:03Speaker 2: Emerson Hancock looked really really impressive last night and kind
- 58:09Speaker 2: of take a breath of fresh air here going into
- 58:11Speaker 2: a much better hitters park facing a guy that has struggled.
- 58:15Speaker 2: I like my guardians here. Obviously you've got the goat Chase,
- 58:18Speaker 2: the Lauder, just raking already in the bigs, Jay ram
- 58:23Speaker 2: Jose Ramirez probably won't get a ton of ownership because
- 58:26Speaker 2: he's so expensive. Then you can fill in around them.
- 58:30Speaker 2: Kyle Manzardo has home on the upside. Bo Naylor. I
- 58:34Speaker 2: like the guardians here. I don't think you have to
- 58:36Speaker 2: full stat them, but I like the top of the
- 58:38Speaker 2: lineup in Minnie Stack in Cleveland here.
- 58:41Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm with you. I like the lefties here.
- 58:42Speaker 3: I mean you look at Sasaki's numbers against lefties and
- 58:45Speaker 3: it's just absolutely atrocious. His k rate and his walk
- 58:48Speaker 3: rate are the exact same, well within two percentage points
- 58:51Speaker 3: of each other, sixteen point seven to fourteen point six
- 58:54Speaker 3: last season. Looking at the numbers, he gives up a
- 58:56Speaker 3: ton of power in fly balls. I mean he's almost
- 58:58Speaker 3: at a forty percent fly ball rate to lefties.
- 59:00Speaker 1: The laughter.
- 59:00Speaker 3: I love Jay ram, I love Manzarto. Tons of power.
- 59:03Speaker 3: Bo Naylor, tons of power. Sheet him in at a
- 59:06Speaker 3: second base position. Nobody's gonna click that name. I think
- 59:08Speaker 3: he's great rich Homi Kwan. Right, like any pitcher that
- 59:11Speaker 3: struggles against left handed hitters is gonna hate going up
- 59:15Speaker 3: against the Guardians. Right, We're gonna love throwing lefties against
- 59:18Speaker 3: the Guardians. We're gonna play pitchers against the Guardians a
- 59:20Speaker 3: ton this season. But I just I think this is
- 59:24Speaker 3: a spot to get on them, right. I much prefer
- 59:26Speaker 3: the Guardians over a team like the the A's here.
- 59:28Speaker 3: I think in tournaments, I like the left he's a
- 59:31Speaker 3: ton Stephen Kwan tons of uh. He's got power, he's
- 59:36Speaker 3: got stolen base upside Jay Ram, nobody's clicking his name
- 59:39Speaker 3: at third base at fifty six hundred dollars. But again,
- 59:41Speaker 3: Salary's i a relevant on the slate unless you just
- 59:43Speaker 3: literally click every highest price hitter on the slate. So
- 59:48Speaker 3: I think the Guardians are really interesting. I'm gonna be
- 59:50Speaker 3: overweight on them for sure in MM sets, probably not
- 59:52Speaker 3: making a main team or single entry three max something
- 59:55Speaker 3: like that, but I want I won't hate it at
- 59:57Speaker 3: least as a mini stack. Probably not gonna five mans
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: act the Guardians. But again I'm not throwing anything out
- 1:00:02Speaker 3: in mi MMM pool. This is just a bet against
- 1:00:04Speaker 3: the Saki not being good and the Guardians again. So
- 1:00:10Speaker 3: I like the lefties here and obviously the whole lineup
- 1:00:13Speaker 3: outside a guy like Reese, Hoskins and Arias if they
- 1:00:16Speaker 3: crack the lineup, are are gonna hit from the left
- 1:00:18Speaker 3: side here. So this is a matchup, matchup nightmare for
- 1:00:21Speaker 3: for Susaki here, and I think at tournaments this is
- 1:00:24Speaker 3: a spot where no one's gonna go to and I
- 1:00:26Speaker 3: think it has upside, much like the spot in the
- 1:00:29Speaker 3: next game here, Tigers and the d Backs. Soroka on
- 1:00:31Speaker 3: the mound for the d Backs, Verlander the corpse of
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: him on the mound for the Tigers. What do you
- 1:00:36Speaker 3: see here? D Backs and Tigers? Tigers one of my
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: favorite stacks on the board. The lefties again here, Kevin McGonagall,
- 1:00:44Speaker 3: another stud rookie, just a breakout. I mean, this dude's
- 1:00:47Speaker 3: gonna be really good, much like the latter, Much like
- 1:00:50Speaker 3: the other rookies that we talked about. I mean, it's
- 1:00:52Speaker 3: a rookie breakout season for in the in the majors
- 1:00:55Speaker 3: right now.
- 1:00:55Speaker 1: What do you see here? Tigers, d Backs around us out.
- 1:00:58Speaker 2: Yeah, it's definitely a game for offense here, Verlander was
- 1:01:00Speaker 2: good in spring training, but I'm not buying it. You
- 1:01:02Speaker 2: got good hitting weather tonight in Arizona. Soroka really struggled
- 1:01:07Speaker 2: in spring training, and certainly he's a guy that we
- 1:01:10Speaker 2: can pick on. He was good last year. So I'm
- 1:01:12Speaker 2: not sure how I feel about Detroit, but I think
- 1:01:15Speaker 2: their upsides real and they're not gonna be highly owned,
- 1:01:17Speaker 2: so that in itself gets me to like them in tournaments.
- 1:01:20Speaker 2: I think you can make a case for Soroka in
- 1:01:22Speaker 2: tournaments also, but I think the Tiger side is probably
- 1:01:26Speaker 2: the most appealing side to get to in tournaments. And
- 1:01:29Speaker 2: then Arizona, I think they look pretty good against Verlander.
- 1:01:34Speaker 2: Verlander isn't a guy that I think you have to
- 1:01:36Speaker 2: pick on, but he's not a guy I'm afraid to
- 1:01:38Speaker 2: pick on either. Well, you know, his best days are
- 1:01:41Speaker 2: well behind him. He's got a lot of moxy. I
- 1:01:44Speaker 2: like to cut his jib, So again, I don't think
- 1:01:47Speaker 2: you have to pick on him, but there will be
- 1:01:49Speaker 2: some starts this year where he gets absolutely destroyed. I
- 1:01:52Speaker 2: have no doubt about it. Wouldn't be shocked if it
- 1:01:54Speaker 2: happens tonight in Arizona. You know they finally get out
- 1:01:56Speaker 2: of LA. They faced all the Dodgers' best pictures. Now
- 1:02:00Speaker 2: they get a breath of fresh air in Berlander, so
- 1:02:03Speaker 2: I think you can make him a case for either offense.
- 1:02:05Speaker 2: Here a little late night hammer. I like some of
- 1:02:08Speaker 2: the other spots we talked about more, but these teams
- 1:02:11Speaker 2: are right up there. How do you compare these two
- 1:02:13Speaker 2: teams with teams like Milwaukee, who I know you like
- 1:02:15Speaker 2: a lot.
- 1:02:16Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Milwaukee a ton just not be not
- 1:02:19Speaker 3: even being a homer. I just they're hitting the shit
- 1:02:22Speaker 3: out of the baseball right now. I think Nick Martinez
- 1:02:23Speaker 3: is not a good pitcher, pitches the contact. So I
- 1:02:26Speaker 3: have the Brewers and kind of my top three or four,
- 1:02:30Speaker 3: but the Tigers are right there.
- 1:02:32Speaker 1: Tigers are on my main team.
- 1:02:34Speaker 3: I'm just buying on the lefty power here, Carrie Bonds,
- 1:02:38Speaker 3: Cole Keith, who is a pinch hit concern. But I
- 1:02:41Speaker 3: think again, third base pivot off with guys like Nico Horner,
- 1:02:43Speaker 3: Riley Green tons of power, McGonagall, tons of power, play
- 1:02:47Speaker 3: him at third base or shortstop, Parker Meadows slept On
- 1:02:51Speaker 3: and I just don't The d Back's bullpen was trashed
- 1:02:53Speaker 3: last year.
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: I think it's not going to be good again. This year,
- 1:02:56Speaker 1: and then on the d back side.
- 1:02:57Speaker 3: One of my favorite mini stacks on the slate in
- 1:02:59Speaker 3: like a five to three lineup is Marte, Carrol Perdomo.
- 1:03:02Speaker 3: Lefties absolutely Mash Verlander. They've always done it. You got
- 1:03:06Speaker 3: three of the best lefty hitters in baseball. Perdomos looking
- 1:03:09Speaker 3: like an absolute stud coming out of World Baseball Classic KETL.
- 1:03:12Speaker 3: Marte is obviously one of the best hitters in all baseball,
- 1:03:14Speaker 3: same with Corbyn Carroll.
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: Those three alone have some of the most upside on
- 1:03:19Speaker 1: the entire slates. So Marte, Carrol, Perdomo. I like those
- 1:03:23Speaker 1: guys a lot. Pavin Smith has some pinchick concerns, but
- 1:03:25Speaker 1: another the lefties for the d Backs. My guy Alec Thomas,
- 1:03:28Speaker 1: nobody ever clicks him, always has tons of power.
- 1:03:31Speaker 3: He's more so a play on slates where we have
- 1:03:34Speaker 3: to spend a pitching because he always hits in like
- 1:03:36Speaker 3: that that bottom three. Nobody clicks him, and he's always
- 1:03:39Speaker 3: good for some home runs.
- 1:03:41Speaker 1: And it's a nice separator there. But I really like
- 1:03:43Speaker 1: the top three for the d Backs.
- 1:03:45Speaker 3: From a full stack perspective, I prefer the Tigers just
- 1:03:48Speaker 3: with the full nine and at bats, I think Roca
- 1:03:51Speaker 3: pitched a little over his head last year. We'll see again.
- 1:03:54Speaker 3: So and I just think the Tigers offense is good.
- 1:03:57Speaker 3: Adding a guy like Kevin McGonagall is a big plus.
- 1:04:00Speaker 1: There.
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: There is no.
- 1:04:03Speaker 1: Uh, what's there is?
- 1:04:05Speaker 3: No?
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: Oh?
- 1:04:07Speaker 3: That was Hedges over Bonaylor there, but yeah, that rounds
- 1:04:10Speaker 3: us out there, Matt. Let's uh, let's do the home
- 1:04:15Speaker 3: run calls. Do you have any home run calls for
- 1:04:17Speaker 3: the people? And then give your favorite sneaky stack. I
- 1:04:19Speaker 3: know we talked a bunch about it, but I like
- 1:04:21Speaker 3: to round out the show just to if people are
- 1:04:23Speaker 3: tuning in late, just to catch the kind of synopsis.
- 1:04:25Speaker 3: So your favorite tournament pitcher, your favorite tournament low owned stack,
- 1:04:29Speaker 3: and then a home run call for the people.
- 1:04:32Speaker 2: I'm gonna go Ryan Weathers. I know he's gonna get
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: some ownership, but he's now one of the big two.
- 1:04:36Speaker 2: So that's my favorite pitcher. And tournaments, I'm gonna go
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: with that athletics stack. I think they get to Bryce
- 1:04:41Speaker 2: Elder here, at least I'm hoping so. And I am
- 1:04:46Speaker 2: going to go with a guy from that stack. Give
- 1:04:49Speaker 2: me Brent Rooker going yard here. So I like the
- 1:04:52Speaker 2: athletics and tournaments. I understand your hesitation, no doubt there
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: are a bunch of good teams to like here. But
- 1:04:57Speaker 2: I think I'm gonna push in again, pushing my chips
- 1:04:59Speaker 2: a little bit with with the lex in this spot.
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: Yeah, that's awesome. I love that.
- 1:05:04Speaker 3: I'm gonna go Kyle Harson. I'm just gonna be a
- 1:05:06Speaker 3: buyer here. I think he's a great pivot off.
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: Guy like Ponce. Actually, no scratched. I'm gonna go Jacob Lopez.
- 1:05:12Speaker 3: Same price point as Ponce, literally probably one sixth the ownership.
- 1:05:18Speaker 3: I mean Ponce is probably gonna push sixty percent in
- 1:05:20Speaker 3: single untry stuff, especially smaller field stuff. Lopez is probably
- 1:05:23Speaker 3: gonna be ten percent, right, So I like that at
- 1:05:26Speaker 3: a ton. I think the Brewers in tournaments are are
- 1:05:28Speaker 3: super interesting as a full stack here. Again, I don't
- 1:05:32Speaker 3: like Nick Martinez. I think he's a bad pitcher in general.
- 1:05:35Speaker 3: I really liked the lefties for the Brewers. And then
- 1:05:37Speaker 3: you got Contreras who was hitting the hitting the ship
- 1:05:41Speaker 3: out of the baseball, and you got you got some
- 1:05:44Speaker 3: nice cheap guys, Garrett Mitchell, David Hamilton, Frey like Bowers right,
- 1:05:48Speaker 3: who is absolutely murder in baseballs right now, especially in
- 1:05:51Speaker 3: spring he hit like five seventy one in spring training,
- 1:05:54Speaker 3: so I like the Brewers a ton as a lot
- 1:05:56Speaker 3: own stack and then my home run call.
- 1:05:58Speaker 1: I thought you were gonna go.
- 1:06:00Speaker 3: I'm going I'm going back to the well the Guardians
- 1:06:02Speaker 3: against Asaki, I'm going to the two spot at least
- 1:06:05Speaker 3: projected two spot. Chase the latter. I'm gonna ride the
- 1:06:07Speaker 3: well here. I think he gets one off of Asaki.
- 1:06:11Speaker 3: He struggles with against lefties. The latters looked absolutely incredible,
- 1:06:15Speaker 3: hitting for a shit ton of power here. It's a
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: good hitters park in LA with some wind blown out there,
- 1:06:21Speaker 3: so I liked some Chase the latter at thirty six
- 1:06:23Speaker 3: hundred to go deep to round us out there.
- 1:06:25Speaker 1: Appreciate everyone tuning in. Hit that like button, Hit that
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- 1:07:03Speaker 1: Matt.
- 1:07:04Speaker 3: Appreciate you joining on. It's gonna be a fun season
- 1:07:06Speaker 3: with you and I here on Mondays. I know the
- 1:07:09Speaker 3: next couple of weeks or at least the next week. Gee,
- 1:07:11Speaker 3: Riiseen is gonna fill in until he goes on vacation.
- 1:07:13Speaker 3: But no, it was a fun show again. Appreciate all
- 1:07:17Speaker 3: the interaction in the chat, all the comments. Everyone tuning
- 1:07:19Speaker 3: in for Bellman. I'mn Aids. Good luck tonight in those contests.
- 1:07:24Speaker 3: Hope to see those ship initiation and the logos at
- 1:07:25Speaker 3: the top we're out here peace,