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NCAAB + NHL + NBA + NFL Divisional Playoffs Best Bets 1/17/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep.
• 0:01
  Speaker 2: Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN seven
• 0:06
  Speaker 2: run over the last two days after tonight.
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: It was just complete bullshit.
• 0:10
  Speaker 2: So that's that's I'm gonna start off this show horrible
• 0:13
  Speaker 2: Sunday one and five.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 0:19
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this.
• 0:21
  Speaker 2: Man with the slump continuing, two straight losses, not a
• 0:25
  Speaker 2: good day at all.
• 0:26
  Speaker 1: Own four that have not had a good season.
• 0:31
  Speaker 2: Man with wickends slump that I'm on, and the slump continues.
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: I've reached a new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: my Bruins hat Man. I don't know what is going
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: on with the Bruins arch epe is that what it is?
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: I don't even know it's It's March ninth, I think
• 0:49
  Speaker 1: who even knows? Man, I don't know what data is anymore.
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know what data is anymore. Man,
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: back with you after the worst day that I.
• 0:58
  Speaker 2: Could possibly have, Back with you as I always am.
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: Until I die, at least oh and two. Yesterday and
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: yesterday it did not go well for me. Own five.
• 1:09
  Speaker 2: The worst month that I've ever had in my eighteen
• 1:12
  Speaker 2: years doing this.
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 1:15
  Speaker 2: The slump yesterday, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues.
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 2: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
• 1:25
  Speaker 2: other than potentially.
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: End it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 2: What's up, everybody, It's Toad back with you, Toadstool Sports.
• 1:36
  Speaker 1: This is the normal.
• 1:40
  Speaker 2: Saturday, January seventeenth edition of the show. Thanks for everybody
• 1:44
  Speaker 2: for hanging out like an hour ago for the basketball edition.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: Lots of college basketball.
• 1:51
  Speaker 2: This is going to be hockey, NBA and NFL playoffs,
• 1:55
  Speaker 2: Divisional round of the playoffs.
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: Playoffs, what you know, playoffs? Don't talk about the playoffs?
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: You kidding me? Playoffs? I just hope we can win
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: a game another game.
• 2:08
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm gonna add two hockey plays here and that's
• 2:11
  Speaker 2: gonna be it. I don't like the NBA board in
• 2:13
  Speaker 2: the NFL. I believe I'm gonna have a play in
• 2:16
  Speaker 2: one of the games tomorrow. You probably already know what
• 2:18
  Speaker 2: it is, but I think I'm skipping the games today.
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: I will give some opinions.
• 2:22
  Speaker 2: I might even talk a little bit of props in
• 2:25
  Speaker 2: the NFL and Hopefully this doesn't take too long.
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: Zach, what's up? Thanks for hanging out.
• 2:31
  Speaker 2: There's gotta be some other royals besides the Kansas City Rule.
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: Oh dude, the Queens. Queens, my guy who follows me.
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: They're the royals, aren't they? I think so correct.
• 2:44
  Speaker 2: This is a bad spot for me. No rest, I'm
• 2:46
  Speaker 2: gonna be really tired out. My performance is gonna be
• 2:49
  Speaker 2: awful here. We're gonna take a loss on the show obviously.
• 2:54
  Speaker 2: Oh I'm already sharing my screen all right, Yeah, hockey,
• 2:56
  Speaker 2: I'm so out of it right now.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: Man. We have Afternoon.
• 2:59
  Speaker 2: Hawk twelve thirty Eastern. It starts with Minnesota at Buffalo
• 3:04
  Speaker 2: on NHL Network. NHL Network has an afternoon game and
• 3:08
  Speaker 2: a night a night game for whatever reason, primetime night game.
• 3:13
  Speaker 2: Minnesota is coming into this game off a pretty disgusting
• 3:16
  Speaker 2: loss six to two to Winnipeg. They've lost three games
• 3:19
  Speaker 2: in a row, They've lost by combined eleven to five
• 3:22
  Speaker 2: score over the last couple of games, and now they're
• 3:24
  Speaker 2: starting a road trip. So I think this is a
• 3:26
  Speaker 2: positive spot for Minnesota. When things are just going horribly
• 3:30
  Speaker 2: for you at home, one of the best things you
• 3:32
  Speaker 2: could do is just leave go on the road refocus
• 3:35
  Speaker 2: on hockey. Buffalo, I think is in a spot where
• 3:41
  Speaker 2: like they shouldn't overlook Minnesota because Minnesota has been good.
• 3:44
  Speaker 2: But Buffalo is on a streat where they've won five
• 3:48
  Speaker 2: of their last six games. They beat Florida, beat my
• 3:51
  Speaker 2: excuse me, beat lost to Florida by one excuse me.
• 3:54
  Speaker 2: This is all since Monday, beat Philadelphia and beat Montrell
• 3:58
  Speaker 2: and put up five goals apiece in those two games.
• 4:01
  Speaker 2: And they have Carolina on deck next. So I think
• 4:06
  Speaker 2: you gotta go with Minnesota in this game if you're
• 4:08
  Speaker 2: gonna play it. This is not on my card, but
• 4:10
  Speaker 2: it is a fairly strong opinion.
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: I would say, I just.
• 4:14
  Speaker 2: Am not certain the Buffalo is gonna overlook Minnesota here,
• 4:17
  Speaker 2: but they're playing a third game in four days. I
• 4:19
  Speaker 2: have already won the home stand, so I like Minnesota.
• 4:23
  Speaker 2: That would be my preference in this game. A fairly
• 4:25
  Speaker 2: strong opinion for me on on that one. The market
• 4:27
  Speaker 2: read is also in agreement on that Buffalo has seventy
• 4:30
  Speaker 2: one percent of the tickets on them, Minnesota sixty one
• 4:33
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash, Buffalo up to minus one twenty
• 4:36
  Speaker 2: three on the money line, so you'll get the wild
• 4:39
  Speaker 2: as a slight underdog there. Baseball season, it's gonna be
• 4:46
  Speaker 2: a it's gonna be a long one for you, man,
• 4:49
  Speaker 2: because I don't see the Royals doing much of anything.
• 4:53
  Speaker 2: They just have absolutely no offense, and I don't see
• 4:56
  Speaker 2: that changing. The Rangers at Philadelphia this this is a
• 5:00
  Speaker 2: afternoon as well. I think one pm Eastern Rangers have
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: lost five games in a row, most of them at home.
• 5:06
  Speaker 2: What else is new, and now they get to go
• 5:09
  Speaker 2: back out on the road, starting a road trip against
• 5:11
  Speaker 2: Philadelphia with multiple days off. You gotta think this is
• 5:14
  Speaker 2: a positive spot for the Rangers here, man, because we
• 5:17
  Speaker 2: know the Rangers are bad at home, they're actually better
• 5:19
  Speaker 2: on the road. Maybe they just go out on the
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: road and they alleviate those distractions whatever that is usually
• 5:25
  Speaker 2: what happens. They've had two days off to break this
• 5:27
  Speaker 2: losing momentum as well, plus the road trip start, so
• 5:31
  Speaker 2: I think they can be breaking the losing momentum here
• 5:34
  Speaker 2: they can focus just on hockey. A lot of positives
• 5:37
  Speaker 2: here for the Rangers. The fact that they've allowed twenty
• 5:40
  Speaker 2: two goals in the last three games twenty seven in
• 5:43
  Speaker 2: the last four games probably means they're gonna at least
• 5:47
  Speaker 2: be focused on not letting that happen now. Although I
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: know it's just Stark and it's still out, but I mean,
• 5:52
  Speaker 2: come on, man, this Rangers team just lost ten to
• 5:55
  Speaker 2: two to my Bruins on Saturday, they lost four to
• 5:58
  Speaker 2: two back on home to the Crack, and they lost
• 6:00
  Speaker 2: eight to four in the last game to Ottawa. Something's
• 6:04
  Speaker 2: got to give. I know the Rangers are having a
• 6:05
  Speaker 2: bad season, but they can't be this bad. I do
• 6:08
  Speaker 2: think Philadelphia is not quite as good as their record
• 6:11
  Speaker 2: looks Philadelphia now. They are on a five game losing
• 6:15
  Speaker 2: streak as well, though, so I'm not sure that Philadelphia
• 6:17
  Speaker 2: is really gonna be overlooking anybody here. But they are
• 6:20
  Speaker 2: in one of these weird spots where they are returning
• 6:23
  Speaker 2: home for one game before.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: They go back out on the road. Although they were
• 6:26
  Speaker 1: only out on.
• 6:27
  Speaker 2: The road prior to this game for two days Wednesday Thursday,
• 6:31
  Speaker 2: so it's not like they really are returning home and
• 6:34
  Speaker 2: having a lot of stuff to do. They're only coming
• 6:35
  Speaker 2: back from Buffalo and Pittsburgh as well, so they weren't
• 6:38
  Speaker 2: really away really, so I don't consider this to be
• 6:41
  Speaker 2: a road rip return spot really, but they do play
• 6:44
  Speaker 2: Vegas next on the road. They did just lose in
• 6:47
  Speaker 2: a rivalry game to Pittsburgh. Playing a bunch of big
• 6:50
  Speaker 2: games in a row Man Tampa, twice, Buffalo, Pittsburgh. Now
• 6:55
  Speaker 2: they get the Rangers. I think the spot is a
• 6:57
  Speaker 2: little bit better for the Rangers here. Philadelphi is also
• 7:00
  Speaker 2: playing a third game in four to a's all in
• 7:02
  Speaker 2: different cities, which isn't that great. My opinion of this
• 7:05
  Speaker 2: game is the Rangers. The money seems to agree on
• 7:08
  Speaker 2: this one. Of the Philadelphia went up for minus one
• 7:10
  Speaker 2: thirty five to minus one forty three on the money line.
• 7:12
  Speaker 2: They got seventy two percent of the tickets on them,
• 7:15
  Speaker 2: eighty seven percent of the cash coming back on the Rangers.
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: I agree with the money in that one.
• 7:19
  Speaker 2: It would be Rangers in that game for me, if
• 7:23
  Speaker 2: you're gonna play that game. But both teams look like
• 7:27
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be kind of in bounced back spots.
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: I actually don't.
• 7:29
  Speaker 2: I don't hate an under in that game either, which
• 7:32
  Speaker 2: people may think that psycho because both these teams have
• 7:36
  Speaker 2: been allowing so many goals, But I think it's gonna
• 7:38
  Speaker 2: set up a situation.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: Where the teams kind of have to focus on defense.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: Total is not that high.
• 7:42
  Speaker 2: It's gone up a little bit to six juice to
• 7:44
  Speaker 2: the over ninety six percent of the tickets.
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: It's sixty eight percent of the cash on the over,
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: So I do think the under.
• 7:51
  Speaker 2: Is maybe worth consideration in that game, as insane as
• 7:55
  Speaker 2: that sounds, Charles, what's up man, Thanks for hanging out again.
• 8:01
  Speaker 2: Oh and I did forget to talk about yesterday, so
• 8:03
  Speaker 2: let me just clear that out from my system here.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: We lost on Baylor. I mean I did hear some.
• 8:10
  Speaker 2: Breakdowns from Marco DiAngelo and some of the professionals basically saying, well,
• 8:15
  Speaker 2: because it's a Friday game, it kind of meant that
• 8:18
  Speaker 2: Kansas would be more likely to show up with a
• 8:20
  Speaker 2: little bit more intensity because it was kind of one
• 8:22
  Speaker 2: of those isolated TV Friday games. I still liked Baylor
• 8:27
  Speaker 2: in the game, but yeah, I mean we didn't get
• 8:29
  Speaker 2: there with the Baylor was kind of hanging around for
• 8:31
  Speaker 2: a while and mouned up not covering. We got the
• 8:34
  Speaker 2: easy win with Carolina, but I'm not happy about a
• 8:36
  Speaker 2: one and two day. I don't give a fuck if
• 8:38
  Speaker 2: Carolina one nine to one, Like, yeah, one play makes
• 8:43
  Speaker 2: me look good, Okay, fine, but I don't give a
• 8:45
  Speaker 2: shit when it's a losing day, a nine to one win,
• 8:48
  Speaker 2: it might as well be a two to one win.
• 8:50
  Speaker 2: It's a well, I guess three to one in that
• 8:52
  Speaker 2: case because we had a puck line portion of that one.
• 8:54
  Speaker 2: But you know what I mean, Like, I don't care
• 8:57
  Speaker 2: how much they win by. A win is a win,
• 8:59
  Speaker 2: a lot is a loss. It was a losing day yet, Like,
• 9:03
  Speaker 2: I don't give a fuck, So I'm not happy. I'm
• 9:06
  Speaker 2: not fucking celebrating that shit. Carolina one good, Okay, fine,
• 9:10
  Speaker 2: I was right about that game, and then the Wizards
• 9:13
  Speaker 2: just had to fucking piss me off. Sabonus did come
• 9:16
  Speaker 2: back for the King, so it was an injured player
• 9:19
  Speaker 2: theory spot reverse injured player theory spot. Wizards still got
• 9:23
  Speaker 2: wrecked on the boards in that game.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: Fuck the Wizards.
• 9:26
  Speaker 2: The Wizards maybe had chances to get back within that
• 9:28
  Speaker 2: number near the end, and they did not. All Right, dude,
• 9:35
  Speaker 2: I don't give a fuck again, I don't give a
• 9:37
  Speaker 2: fuck that the Hurricanes won nine to one. I do
• 9:39
  Speaker 2: not care three to one and it's still a win.
• 9:43
  Speaker 2: I don't care.
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: It was a losing day. It was a horrible day
• 9:47
  Speaker 1: on the show.
• 9:48
  Speaker 2: I'm not celebrating shit, the puck line at seven and
• 9:54
  Speaker 2: a half, I don't even know, like plus three thousand.
• 9:58
  Speaker 2: Probably there's no way that I would have ever considered
• 10:01
  Speaker 2: doing anything like that. All Right, we have the Islanders
• 10:06
  Speaker 2: at Calgary here, man, I gotta get through these games.
• 10:11
  Speaker 2: Islanders just beat Edmonton, won to nothing. That was a
• 10:15
  Speaker 2: nice win over an Edmonton team that still gets a
• 10:18
  Speaker 2: lot of recognition, you know, I mean there's still a
• 10:21
  Speaker 2: pretty good team. Islanders shut them out. So could be
• 10:24
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a letdown spot for the Islanders here. Calgary.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: You're definitely not gonna pay as much attention to here.
• 10:30
  Speaker 2: Although the Islanders I guess debatably, they're trying to break
• 10:33
  Speaker 2: a two to two road trip situation here where they
• 10:38
  Speaker 2: want they don't want to lose the road trip. I
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: guess Calgary is in a pretty bad spot though. They're
• 10:42
  Speaker 2: returning home from a road trip that they've been on
• 10:44
  Speaker 2: since Wednesday, January seventh, So they've been on.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: The road for a long time. They went to the
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: East Coast.
• 10:51
  Speaker 2: Wasn't a great road trip for them, it was an
• 10:53
  Speaker 2: okay road trip. And now they're returning back home, and
• 10:56
  Speaker 2: you know, I talk about when teams return home from
• 10:58
  Speaker 2: long road trips like this. They intend to have to
• 11:01
  Speaker 2: get back to family life. It adds a lot of distractions.
• 11:05
  Speaker 2: Sometimes they don't focus on the game. Although I know
• 11:08
  Speaker 2: the Islanders are playing well, so you don't necessarily overlook them.
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: But it's a pretty bad spot for Calgary man.
• 11:15
  Speaker 2: So it's bad enough that I probably lean to the
• 11:17
  Speaker 2: Islanders here, but I worry about the Islanders being in
• 11:20
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot. Islanders up from minus one oh seven
• 11:23
  Speaker 2: to minus one oh nine, seventy one percent of ticket,
• 11:25
  Speaker 2: seventy seven percent of the cash on the Islander. So
• 11:29
  Speaker 2: the money is saying the Islanders.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: I'll slightly agree.
• 11:33
  Speaker 2: Seattle at Utah, this is one that I considered adding
• 11:36
  Speaker 2: to my card. I like Utah in this game. Seattle's
• 11:40
  Speaker 2: coming of another Oh wait a minute, what am I saying? No,
• 11:42
  Speaker 2: I'm thinking of a different game, I mus say what, Wait,
• 11:44
  Speaker 2: what the fuck am I thinking of? I don't know
• 11:47
  Speaker 2: what I'm thinking of. My apologies, I'm so out of
• 11:50
  Speaker 2: it this morning. Seattle's playing a third game in four days,
• 11:53
  Speaker 2: though in a fourth game in six days, in a
• 11:54
  Speaker 2: fifth game in eight days, and a sixth game in
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: ten days, all in different cities. So they've had a
• 12:01
  Speaker 2: pack schedule, so they should be probably pretty tired at
• 12:05
  Speaker 2: this point, and they're traveling from Boston all the way
• 12:07
  Speaker 2: out to Utah.
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean it's not a good spot for Seattle.
• 12:11
  Speaker 2: Travel wise, scheduling wise, don't love that, and they're not
• 12:17
  Speaker 2: a good team Utah. They're staying at home, they haven't
• 12:20
  Speaker 2: played as many games in quick succession, they're not traveling.
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: They've been at home since Friday the ninth.
• 12:26
  Speaker 2: So the rest spot, the scheduling spot, the travel spot's
• 12:29
  Speaker 2: a lot better for Utah. It's just the problem is
• 12:32
  Speaker 2: they just beat Dallas at home, so it could be
• 12:34
  Speaker 2: maybe a little bit of a letdown for Utah because
• 12:37
  Speaker 2: that was a big win over Dallas. So I'm staying
• 12:40
  Speaker 2: off the game. I kind of lean to Utah in
• 12:42
  Speaker 2: the game, but the money.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: Seems to disagree.
• 12:45
  Speaker 2: Sixty five percent of tickets fifty eight percent of the
• 12:48
  Speaker 2: cash on Utah, so they have more of the tickets
• 12:51
  Speaker 2: than the cash. They're off for minus one seventy five
• 12:54
  Speaker 2: to minus one eighty eight. Though, I mean, if you
• 12:56
  Speaker 2: play Utah, you gotta kind of do like one of
• 12:58
  Speaker 2: those split bets, probably puck line money lining on it.
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: I can't really recommend it. I mean, the.
• 13:04
  Speaker 2: Money's disagreeing with me as well, but the spot for
• 13:06
  Speaker 2: Seattle is just ugly. Man, as far as how much
• 13:09
  Speaker 2: travel they've done, I don't like it. Montreal at Ottawa.
• 13:14
  Speaker 2: These two teams do not like each other. Montreal coming
• 13:19
  Speaker 2: into this game off of a loss to Buffalo, so
• 13:22
  Speaker 2: they should probably bounce back from that, losing five to three.
• 13:26
  Speaker 2: They've lost in overtime to Washington the game prior to that,
• 13:29
  Speaker 2: two pretty difficult games though, and they are playing what
• 13:32
  Speaker 2: is this fourth game in six days, so that's not
• 13:37
  Speaker 2: exactly that easy and traveling all over the place. Autawa's
• 13:42
  Speaker 2: coming up beating the Rangers eight to four, which is
• 13:45
  Speaker 2: a pretty satisfying win. They've had two days off, but
• 13:48
  Speaker 2: I don't think you want to have time off after
• 13:51
  Speaker 2: you beat anybody eight to four.
• 13:52
  Speaker 1: The time off might not help you that much.
• 13:56
  Speaker 2: They're probably still gonna focus, I would say on Montreal,
• 13:59
  Speaker 2: but I don't know. To me, the spot, I don't know, man,
• 14:03
  Speaker 2: the money's coming in on Autowa. The spot to me
• 14:05
  Speaker 2: seemed maybe a little bit better from Montreal in this game,
• 14:07
  Speaker 2: but a lot of travel for Montreal and that.
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: Is a concern.
• 14:11
  Speaker 2: Sixty percent of the tickets are on Montreal, but eighty
• 14:13
  Speaker 2: three percent of the cash on Autawa. So there is
• 14:15
  Speaker 2: a pretty strong market read on the Autawa side. Auto
• 14:19
  Speaker 2: is up from down for minus one thirty five won
• 14:21
  Speaker 2: twenty five. Excuse me, but the market read is all
• 14:24
  Speaker 2: over Auto in that game as far as the percentages,
• 14:26
  Speaker 2: looks kind of pros versus Joe. So I'm staying away
• 14:30
  Speaker 2: from that one too. Next game, I'm not staying away from.
• 14:36
  Speaker 2: And you know what we're gonna do here, man, You
• 14:38
  Speaker 2: know exactly what we're gonna do.
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: That's the Devil, buddy or number one, you mean anybody
• 14:44
  Speaker 3: or the devil, the devil.
• 14:56
  Speaker 2: Yeah, that's right, We're going with the Devil's money line
• 14:59
  Speaker 2: even here, whatever the number is. Carolina treated us really
• 15:03
  Speaker 2: well yesterday, and I'm gonna say, yeah, they can go
• 15:06
  Speaker 2: fuck off today because we're going right back against Carolina here.
• 15:11
  Speaker 2: We're gonna fade them. That was a monster win for
• 15:13
  Speaker 2: them yesterday. It was playoff revenge. They lost to Florida
• 15:17
  Speaker 2: twice this year as well. I pointed that out when
• 15:19
  Speaker 2: I handicapped that yesterday, massive, massive win. Finally got the
• 15:23
  Speaker 2: revenge against the team that knocked them out of the
• 15:25
  Speaker 2: playoffs last year in the Eastern Conference Finals nine to one.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: It doesn't get any better than that.
• 15:31
  Speaker 2: And statistically, yes, Carolina dominated the game, although nine to one.
• 15:35
  Speaker 2: I mean, no stats are gonna reflect a nine to
• 15:38
  Speaker 2: one win, But yeah, Carolina won like sixty percent of
• 15:41
  Speaker 2: the face offs, they had more shots in the game.
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: Pretty sure.
• 15:44
  Speaker 2: They were the better team all around in the game,
• 15:46
  Speaker 2: for sure. But now they're on a back to back
• 15:49
  Speaker 2: and they're having to go up to New Jersey for
• 15:51
  Speaker 2: one game for who knows what reason, and then they
• 15:55
  Speaker 2: come back home. They played Buffalo, who's been playing a
• 15:57
  Speaker 2: lot better, so possible they overlook New Jersey. And by
• 16:01
  Speaker 2: the way, they just went to New Jersey on January
• 16:03
  Speaker 2: fourth and they beat them here.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Three to one.
• 16:05
  Speaker 2: So how much focus is Carolina really gonna put it
• 16:08
  Speaker 2: to New Jersey after the riding that massive high off
• 16:11
  Speaker 2: of yesterday's win. New Jersey hasn't been playing that well.
• 16:15
  Speaker 2: It's gonna be a bigger game for New Jersey. Man,
• 16:17
  Speaker 2: and New Jersey has had two days off, so they're
• 16:19
  Speaker 2: way more rested here. Although I know some of that's
• 16:21
  Speaker 2: factored into the line. I think Carolina would be a
• 16:24
  Speaker 2: heavier favorite if that wasn't the case, but still I'm
• 16:29
  Speaker 2: going with it.
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: On New Jersey just returned over from a road trip.
• 16:32
  Speaker 2: They finished the road trip with a win over Minnesota,
• 16:34
  Speaker 2: which broke a lost street for them, which might have
• 16:36
  Speaker 2: actually been good because it propelled them to win against Seattle,
• 16:39
  Speaker 2: even though I think we lost on that game of
• 16:42
  Speaker 2: the show with Seattle unfortunately, because I thought New Jersey
• 16:46
  Speaker 2: was in a bad spot, like a return home spot.
• 16:49
  Speaker 1: Big win over.
• 16:50
  Speaker 2: Minnesota the last road game, and they had this Carolina
• 16:53
  Speaker 2: game on deck. I thought it was a sandwich spot.
• 16:55
  Speaker 2: They won, but Seattle took them into overtime, so maybe
• 16:59
  Speaker 2: you could still argue they didn't have a great game
• 17:01
  Speaker 2: in that return home spot. Now, second game back home,
• 17:04
  Speaker 2: I think you do get more focus out of this team,
• 17:07
  Speaker 2: you think. God, I think they will be focused on
• 17:09
  Speaker 2: Carolina because their next game they do start a road trip,
• 17:12
  Speaker 2: but they're playing Calgary. They're not going to overlook Carolina. Man,
• 17:16
  Speaker 2: So this spot has the Devil's written all over it.
• 17:20
  Speaker 2: Devils is the play there. Let's go Devils. Yes, support
• 17:27
  Speaker 2: the team.
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: That is right.
• 17:28
  Speaker 2: I'm not really a fan of the Devils necessarily, but
• 17:32
  Speaker 2: if if they're one of my plays.
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: The man, I'm just trying to support the team. You
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: sit down, you're disturbing everybody, and you know I'm messing
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: with their heads. That's right. Support the team.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: Like I said, I'll do it when I actually am
• 17:56
  Speaker 2: on them for a play. Columbus at Pittsburgh. Columbus, they're
• 18:02
  Speaker 2: on a little bit of a role here. They won
• 18:04
  Speaker 2: three games in a row, but I don't know if
• 18:05
  Speaker 2: they're gonna be overconfident after beating Utah in overtime and
• 18:08
  Speaker 2: then Calgary and Vancouver might bring some momentum into this
• 18:13
  Speaker 2: game against Pittsburgh. They lost at home against Pittsburgh back
• 18:16
  Speaker 2: on January fourth, and Columbus probably should have won that game.
• 18:20
  Speaker 2: I believe Columbus was winning that game like four to one,
• 18:23
  Speaker 2: if I'm not mistaken. Kind of a bullshit loss for them.
• 18:26
  Speaker 2: I kind of remember talking about it on the show.
• 18:28
  Speaker 2: So definitely some reasons for Columbus to show up in
• 18:31
  Speaker 2: this game I keep talking about. I don't think Pittsburgh
• 18:34
  Speaker 2: is that good. Their record looks okay, but they have
• 18:36
  Speaker 2: ten overtime losses, so you know they're losing a lot
• 18:41
  Speaker 2: of close games. Pittsburgh just beat their rival Philadelphia. It
• 18:46
  Speaker 2: did end a losing streak for them, so in a way,
• 18:48
  Speaker 2: that could propel them into the next game. But I
• 18:51
  Speaker 2: think they could be in a letdown spot because that
• 18:53
  Speaker 2: was a big win over their Pennsylvania arrival here. Sure
• 18:57
  Speaker 2: of the one win on the home stand here and
• 18:59
  Speaker 2: go two and one instead of one to two. They
• 19:01
  Speaker 2: don't have a big game to start the road trip next.
• 19:03
  Speaker 2: It's only Seattle, but I kind of lean to Columbus
• 19:07
  Speaker 2: in this game. Where's the number on this? We don't
• 19:11
  Speaker 2: really see much going on. There's no percentages yet on this.
• 19:13
  Speaker 2: Pittsburgh down from minus one thirty to minus one twenty, so.
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: Not a whole lot to read into yet.
• 19:19
  Speaker 2: In that game, looks like the initial move was towards Columbus,
• 19:22
  Speaker 2: I agree with it. Florida ed Washington. Florida is of
• 19:26
  Speaker 2: course also on a back to back, but not all
• 19:29
  Speaker 2: back to backs are the same, as they had three
• 19:31
  Speaker 2: days off prior to that one, and they lost nine
• 19:34
  Speaker 2: to one yesterday, so that was the only game they
• 19:37
  Speaker 2: played since Monday, and losing nine to one, you gotta
• 19:40
  Speaker 2: think you're gonna be pretty pissed off about that and
• 19:42
  Speaker 2: maybe show up with focus in the next game and
• 19:44
  Speaker 2: bounce back, even if it is a back to back
• 19:47
  Speaker 2: with a little bit of travel. Washington did lose to
• 19:50
  Speaker 2: San Jose, and that was a win for us on
• 19:52
  Speaker 2: the show on Thursday, bad spot for Washington. I thought,
• 19:56
  Speaker 2: having beaten Montreal in overtime, and they had Florida and
• 19:59
  Speaker 2: then Colorado upcoming, so I don't think they're gonna overlook Florida. Hear,
• 20:04
  Speaker 2: and they did lose a Florida the last time they
• 20:06
  Speaker 2: played them, so I don't think they're gonna look ahead.
• 20:09
  Speaker 2: I think both teams are probably gonna show up here.
• 20:11
  Speaker 2: Washington staying at home coming off a loss of San Jose.
• 20:15
  Speaker 2: The money is somewhat indicating on Florida. Washington up for
• 20:18
  Speaker 2: minus one thirty five to minus one forty four, but
• 20:20
  Speaker 2: we see sixty seven percent of the tickets and eighty
• 20:23
  Speaker 2: one percent of the cash on Florida, So the money
• 20:27
  Speaker 2: is coming in on Florida to some extent. You know,
• 20:33
  Speaker 2: I'll slightly lean that way, just because yesterday's loss was
• 20:35
  Speaker 2: so embarrassing and you're getting Florida as a dog in
• 20:38
  Speaker 2: this game, and maybe you're getting a little bit of
• 20:40
  Speaker 2: extra value on Florida because it is the back to
• 20:42
  Speaker 2: back but I'm staying away. By the way, I forgot
• 20:44
  Speaker 2: to mention, Carolina has got sixty seven percent of tickets
• 20:47
  Speaker 2: and only fifty six percent of the cash on them
• 20:49
  Speaker 2: at minus one point fifteen. They are a public road
• 20:52
  Speaker 2: favorite there with less of the money on them, so
• 20:55
  Speaker 2: that market review looks good to me.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: They did have more of.
• 20:58
  Speaker 2: The cash percentage on them a little while ago, but
• 21:00
  Speaker 2: I pretty much knew they were gonna be a public
• 21:02
  Speaker 2: side at the very least. All right, we got Toronto
• 21:06
  Speaker 2: at Winnipeg. This is the game I was thinking of.
• 21:09
  Speaker 2: I like Winnipeg in this game. I think this is
• 21:11
  Speaker 2: almost this is almost on my card. It might be
• 21:14
  Speaker 2: worthy of a play on Winnipeg. Here Toronto's in a
• 21:18
  Speaker 2: bad spot, dude, Toronto. We faded them against Utah because
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: Toronto had that crazy overtime game at Colorado. They were
• 21:25
  Speaker 2: on a back to back as well, and Utah crushed
• 21:28
  Speaker 2: them six to one, easy win for us on the show.
• 21:30
  Speaker 2: Toronto had to use Hill to be a net in
• 21:32
  Speaker 2: that one as well. Then Toronto bounced back with a
• 21:36
  Speaker 2: much better performance against Vegas and they took Vegas into
• 21:40
  Speaker 2: overtime and fell just short. If you look at what
• 21:42
  Speaker 2: happened in this game. Toronto was winning this game five
• 21:45
  Speaker 2: to three in the final ten minutes of the game,
• 21:48
  Speaker 2: and they wound up losing an overtime brutal loss.
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: And they were still winning.
• 21:52
  Speaker 2: The game five to four, by the way, in the
• 21:55
  Speaker 2: final seven seconds of regulation and Vegas hide it with
• 22:01
  Speaker 2: seven seconds left to send it into overtime.
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: It doesn't get much more brutal than that. Man, That
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: is a brutal loss for Toronto.
• 22:09
  Speaker 2: They almost had the win, would have been a huge
• 22:10
  Speaker 2: upset win for them. Now they're playing Winnipeg, who really
• 22:15
  Speaker 2: hasn't been playing well finishing the road trip here sure
• 22:18
  Speaker 2: of the one to even the road trip at two
• 22:19
  Speaker 2: and two, but I'm not sure that I see it.
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: Man. They have Minnesota up next. On their return home.
• 22:24
  Speaker 2: They're playing a third game in four days. No, not
• 22:27
  Speaker 2: a third game in four days, third game in five days.
• 22:29
  Speaker 2: But it is a fourth game in six days, and
• 22:32
  Speaker 2: a fifth game in eight days, all the different cities,
• 22:34
  Speaker 2: and actually a sixth game in ten days, all in
• 22:37
  Speaker 2: different cities. So Toronto's played a lot of games as well.
• 22:40
  Speaker 2: Could be pretty tired out here. I like Winnipeg in
• 22:43
  Speaker 2: this game, man. The only issue is Winnipeg just beat Minnesota.
• 22:46
  Speaker 2: That was a big win for them. Well they overlook Toronto.
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 22:51
  Speaker 2: I mean they're coming back home for a single home game,
• 22:53
  Speaker 2: but it was only a single road trip, single game,
• 22:55
  Speaker 2: a road trip to Minnesota as well, and Winnipeg does
• 22:58
  Speaker 2: have momentum here. I'm tempted. Man, the spot is so
• 23:03
  Speaker 2: bad for Toronto. Oh man, I kind of want to
• 23:08
  Speaker 2: do it. Winnipeg's up for minus won twenty five to
• 23:10
  Speaker 2: minus won, twenty eight to seventy tickets in ninety seven
• 23:13
  Speaker 2: percent of the cash on them. It's a low total,
• 23:16
  Speaker 2: so you know, it might be a little bit of
• 23:18
  Speaker 2: a closer game here.
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Will Winnipeg use hellibuok and net again? They might?
• 23:23
  Speaker 2: I mean, he's a grinder like he usually plays a
• 23:26
  Speaker 2: lot of games in a row. They had yesterday off man,
• 23:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, Winnipeg's definitely gonna have the goaltending advantage if
• 23:34
  Speaker 2: he's in net there.
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: Over either of Toronto's goalies.
• 23:39
  Speaker 2: Toronto unclear who their goalie is gonna be in this
• 23:43
  Speaker 2: game with one day obviously, Man, that was a brutal
• 23:46
  Speaker 2: game for Toronto. You know, I don't know, man, I
• 23:54
  Speaker 2: guess I'll stay off it's slightly, but man, Winnipeg. Yeah,
• 23:57
  Speaker 2: the only hesitation I have is that was a big
• 23:59
  Speaker 2: win for Winnipeg over Minnesota. That's the only hesitation I have.
• 24:03
  Speaker 2: My bost and Bruins are at Chicago. The Bruins coming
• 24:08
  Speaker 2: into this with momentum at least, they're starting a road trip,
• 24:11
  Speaker 2: and usually I say, when you start a road trip,
• 24:13
  Speaker 2: you're gonna have focus to start the road trip because
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: you want to get it off on the right foot.
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: And the Bruins are carrying momentum because they won five
• 24:20
  Speaker 2: games in a row. They just swept a home stand.
• 24:23
  Speaker 2: Going out of the road with momentum for sure. But
• 24:26
  Speaker 2: the problem is it's only a two game road trip
• 24:28
  Speaker 2: and their next opponent is Dallas on the road trip,
• 24:31
  Speaker 2: so it is possible they overlook Chicago in this spottle.
• 24:35
  Speaker 2: Though the Bruins are not gonna be in like let
• 24:36
  Speaker 2: down mode after beating Seattle. I wouldn't imagine now Chicago,
• 24:42
  Speaker 2: they might be a little bit more focused here because
• 24:45
  Speaker 2: they're staying at home.
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: They've been at home for a while.
• 24:47
  Speaker 2: They've lost both games on the home stands so far,
• 24:49
  Speaker 2: lost to Calgary in the last game. Not a great loss,
• 24:53
  Speaker 2: lost to Edmonton the game before that, so I kind
• 24:56
  Speaker 2: of lean Chicago.
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: In this one.
• 24:59
  Speaker 2: Money is kind of indicating on the Bruins although they're
• 25:01
  Speaker 2: public seventy nine percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of
• 25:04
  Speaker 2: the cash on them, and they're minus won twenty. I
• 25:08
  Speaker 2: kind of would, yeah, I would lean against the Bruins
• 25:10
  Speaker 2: in the game slightly, but not a strong opinion of mine.
• 25:14
  Speaker 2: Of course, my strongest opinion that I'm leaving off the
• 25:16
  Speaker 2: card here is definitely Winnipeg. As you already know, Edmonton
• 25:20
  Speaker 2: is at Vancouver. Edmonton just took a shutout loss one
• 25:24
  Speaker 2: to nothing to the Islanders. Islanders are a fairly tough opponent,
• 25:27
  Speaker 2: but a couple losses in a row for Edmonton getting
• 25:30
  Speaker 2: shut out, you gotta think they'll probably show up with
• 25:32
  Speaker 2: some focus, even though it's a single game road trip
• 25:35
  Speaker 2: to Vancouver.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Which is a little bit weird.
• 25:38
  Speaker 2: Vancouver has lost a ton of games in a row though,
• 25:42
  Speaker 2: nine losses in a row, I think. But it's not
• 25:45
  Speaker 2: that great of a spot for them because they're returning
• 25:47
  Speaker 2: over from a road trip. They've been on the road
• 25:49
  Speaker 2: since January sixth, so I talk about this always when
• 25:53
  Speaker 2: a team returns over from a road trip, long road
• 25:56
  Speaker 2: trip like that. They've been away for a long time.
• 25:58
  Speaker 2: They got to get back to home life. They got
• 25:59
  Speaker 2: to get stuff done. It becomes a distraction a lot
• 26:02
  Speaker 2: of times. Not the greatest spot for Vancouver. Rolthough Edmonton
• 26:06
  Speaker 2: shouldn't be a team that they would overlook. But maybe
• 26:08
  Speaker 2: that's not enough. It's a very bad spot for Vancouver.
• 26:11
  Speaker 2: I prefer Edmonton in this game. They're up for minus
• 26:14
  Speaker 2: one to seventy five to minus one to eighty three.
• 26:16
  Speaker 2: Though they're a very heavy public road favorite here, a
• 26:21
  Speaker 2: very heavy favorite, and they are public I should say,
• 26:23
  Speaker 2: seventy nine percent of tickets, although eighty seven percent of
• 26:26
  Speaker 2: the cash on them.
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: I think they might be the right side in that game.
• 26:29
  Speaker 3: Though.
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: Next up is the other best bet here.
• 26:32
  Speaker 2: We're going to lay a puck line favorite here with
• 26:35
  Speaker 2: Vegas against Nashville.
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go against Nashville. Nashville. I still don't buy them.
• 26:42
  Speaker 2: They're not for real. But look at what Nashville's coming
• 26:45
  Speaker 2: off of. They beat Washington, beat Edmonton in overtime, then
• 26:49
  Speaker 2: they started a road trip and they beat Colorado yesterday
• 26:53
  Speaker 2: seven to three. Come on, man, give me a break.
• 26:56
  Speaker 2: Now they have to come out of elevation after beating
• 26:59
  Speaker 2: the best team in hockey's seven to three on the road.
• 27:02
  Speaker 2: Is a huge underdog. Yeah, this is a really bad
• 27:05
  Speaker 2: spot for them. I mean, come on, man, Colorado did
• 27:08
  Speaker 2: outshoot them, although part of that was because they were behind.
• 27:11
  Speaker 2: Nashville did win a ton of the face sauce. Yeah,
• 27:14
  Speaker 2: I think it was just kind of a bad game
• 27:16
  Speaker 2: for Colorado.
• 27:17
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else to say.
• 27:18
  Speaker 2: Colorado is a minus three twenty five favorite in the game.
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Ridiculous. The spot for Colorado.
• 27:24
  Speaker 2: I don't know what was going on because they lost
• 27:26
  Speaker 2: to Toronto the game before that.
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: However, you want to explain it.
• 27:31
  Speaker 2: I mean, usually I like to try to explain why
• 27:33
  Speaker 2: they lost, and I thought it was a decent spot
• 27:35
  Speaker 2: for Colorado.
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: To bounce back. It wasn't.
• 27:37
  Speaker 2: But whatever the case may be, we're gonna go with
• 27:39
  Speaker 2: Vegas to play it decently in this game. Nashville on
• 27:44
  Speaker 2: the back to back in a huge letdown spot. I
• 27:46
  Speaker 2: think usually you're not gonna overlook Vegas. But here's the thing, man,
• 27:52
  Speaker 2: Vegas just played Nashville at home on New Year's Eve
• 27:56
  Speaker 2: January December thirty first and lost.
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: Five to two.
• 28:00
  Speaker 2: So the last time that Vegas played Nashville, which is
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: in recent memory.
• 28:03
  Speaker 1: They lost here at home, so I think that's gonna
• 28:06
  Speaker 1: focus Vegas in this game for that reason.
• 28:09
  Speaker 2: If you look at what happened in this game, Vegas
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: outshot in Nashville thirty one to nineteen and somehow still
• 28:15
  Speaker 2: lost the game. Don't exactly know how they lost the game.
• 28:18
  Speaker 2: They did give up two power play goals in the game,
• 28:21
  Speaker 2: and they were actually winning the game two to nothing
• 28:23
  Speaker 2: at the beginning, so I don't know. But Vegas they
• 28:27
  Speaker 2: have a day off. Yeah, they're playing a third game
• 28:29
  Speaker 2: in four days, but they're staying at home. They're coming
• 28:32
  Speaker 2: out of an overtime game on Thursday. But I already
• 28:34
  Speaker 2: showed you what happened in that game. Vegas pulled that
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: game out of their ass man. Vegas had a total
• 28:40
  Speaker 2: escape in that game against Toronto, so Vegas knows they
• 28:43
  Speaker 2: did not play well in this game. They weren't that
• 28:45
  Speaker 2: big of a favorite in the game, but it was
• 28:47
  Speaker 2: a bad game.
• 28:48
  Speaker 1: It was an escape. This is a huge letdown spot
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: for Nashville.
• 28:51
  Speaker 2: There might be a little bit of a revenge or
• 28:53
  Speaker 2: adjustment component for Vegas. We're playing Vegas in this one
• 28:57
  Speaker 2: puck line Vegas is down for minus two fifty minus
• 29:00
  Speaker 2: two thirty here seventy five percent of the cash on Vegas,
• 29:04
  Speaker 2: though in fifty eight percent of the tickets on Nashville.
• 29:07
  Speaker 2: Is the public really coming in on Nashville year? I
• 29:10
  Speaker 2: don't know, but this looks like a spot to fade
• 29:13
  Speaker 2: Nashville in my opinion. We're on the Vegas side in
• 29:16
  Speaker 2: that one, and hopefully they can get it done. Man,
• 29:19
  Speaker 2: maybe you want to even getting a cheaper price.
• 29:21
  Speaker 1: On it, I don't know. And then LA is at Anaheim.
• 29:24
  Speaker 2: We have the Highway Series going on here where these
• 29:27
  Speaker 2: two teams just played each other last night, so they're
• 29:29
  Speaker 2: playing a home and home back to back thing here
• 29:32
  Speaker 2: where Anaheim one in LA last night three to two
• 29:36
  Speaker 2: in a shootout.
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: I keep talking about how bad.
• 29:39
  Speaker 2: LA is at home, though now LA is technically on
• 29:41
  Speaker 2: the road here at Anaheim, so maybe LA will be
• 29:44
  Speaker 2: able to make some adjustments here.
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: Though if you look at that game.
• 29:46
  Speaker 2: It was very close statistically, so there wasn't really much
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: to read into in that game. The score pretty much
• 29:53
  Speaker 2: reflects what happened in the game. But LA might be
• 29:55
  Speaker 2: able to just make some slight adjustments and maybe be
• 29:58
  Speaker 2: able to beat at Anaheim in this one after losing
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: last night. Anaheim had beaten Dallas the game before that,
• 30:04
  Speaker 2: so I thought they might be in a bit of
• 30:05
  Speaker 2: a letdown spot. Maybe they'll overlook LA. Maybe LA will
• 30:09
  Speaker 2: play better than now that they're not technically at home.
• 30:12
  Speaker 2: I would slightly lean towards the Kings here just because
• 30:14
  Speaker 2: of the slight zigzag component in LA being better on
• 30:17
  Speaker 2: the road, but don't have that much of a read
• 30:19
  Speaker 2: on the game. The money does agree with it, though,
• 30:22
  Speaker 2: Kings are up from minus one ten to minus one fourteen,
• 30:24
  Speaker 2: fifty six percent of the tickets and eighty percent of
• 30:27
  Speaker 2: the cash on the Kings, So.
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: That is what is going on with that game, NBA.
• 30:34
  Speaker 2: As far as the NBA is concerned, we got eight
• 30:36
  Speaker 2: games today. There's one at five pm to start the
• 30:39
  Speaker 2: slate here, which this one may be a legit zigzag
• 30:43
  Speaker 2: spot here with Utah at Dallas. These two teams are
• 30:47
  Speaker 2: playing same game all over again. Dallas is a two
• 30:51
  Speaker 2: and a half point favorite in the first game on Thursday,
• 30:54
  Speaker 2: and now they're like a three and a half point
• 30:55
  Speaker 2: favorite for no real reason, because I don't think there's
• 30:58
  Speaker 2: a huge personnel difference between I mean, Thursday and tonight.
• 31:01
  Speaker 2: So really it's just based off the fact that Dallas
• 31:03
  Speaker 2: won by twenty two to one. Twenty two might just
• 31:08
  Speaker 2: be skewing the line, So I think this might be
• 31:10
  Speaker 2: a spot where we might be able to zigzag this.
• 31:13
  Speaker 2: Utah probably will be able to make some adjustments off
• 31:16
  Speaker 2: of that. It was a really ugly loss. If you
• 31:18
  Speaker 2: dig into the box score in this game, you know,
• 31:22
  Speaker 2: I mean, yeah, Dallas, I'll played them, but I don't
• 31:24
  Speaker 2: think it was reflective of this much of a blowout.
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: Dallas hit forty.
• 31:28
  Speaker 2: One percent of the three pointers, which is really the
• 31:31
  Speaker 2: main difference in the game. Just ridiculous shooting from downtown,
• 31:35
  Speaker 2: and they hit fifty seven percent of their field goals
• 31:37
  Speaker 2: as well.
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: So it was.
• 31:40
  Speaker 2: An outlier shooting night for Dallas for sure, where they
• 31:42
  Speaker 2: did shoot better than you would normally expect. So I
• 31:45
  Speaker 2: think Utah might be able to hang in this game
• 31:48
  Speaker 2: more than they did in the previous game, just because
• 31:50
  Speaker 2: there's gonna be some regression from the Dallas side. Dallas
• 31:53
  Speaker 2: does playing the Knicks next. They have to go to
• 31:55
  Speaker 2: New York on Monday for an NBC game, so that might.
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: Be a little bit of a look ahead.
• 32:01
  Speaker 2: Utah does have a big game up next as well
• 32:03
  Speaker 2: against San Antonio.
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: It's not a TV game though it is on Monday.
• 32:09
  Speaker 2: But Utah again, the other team just got blown out
• 32:11
  Speaker 2: in this series. But they aren't playing a third game
• 32:13
  Speaker 2: in four days, fourth game in six days, in a
• 32:16
  Speaker 2: fifth game in eight days, I believe is what this is.
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: All in different cities.
• 32:20
  Speaker 2: That's a little bit difficult for Utah as far as
• 32:22
  Speaker 2: having a lot of games to play in a short
• 32:24
  Speaker 2: period of time. I lean towards Utah plus the points.
• 32:28
  Speaker 2: The money seems to be somewhat disagreeing with it. It's
• 32:30
  Speaker 2: not on my card or anything. I do think it
• 32:33
  Speaker 2: is maybe worthy of a zigzag though. You're getting a
• 32:36
  Speaker 2: little bit of extra value, like I said in the
• 32:38
  Speaker 2: lines three and a half with Juice on the MAVs
• 32:41
  Speaker 2: seventy two tickets, ninety percent of the casual on the
• 32:43
  Speaker 2: MAVs side, all right. Celtics at Hawks, my Boston, Celtics
• 32:50
  Speaker 2: at Atlanta. The Celtics just beat Miami on the road
• 32:53
  Speaker 2: a couple of days ago. They had a few days
• 32:54
  Speaker 2: off prior to that, or a couple of days off.
• 32:56
  Speaker 2: It's not exactly a horrible spot, I guess for the
• 32:59
  Speaker 2: celt but they do play Detroit next, so debatably, it
• 33:03
  Speaker 2: is a bit of a look ahead at the very
• 33:05
  Speaker 2: least for the Hawks.
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: Here.
• 33:08
  Speaker 2: Hawks did just lose to Portland. But the Hawks are
• 33:10
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip, man, so that is
• 33:12
  Speaker 2: a concern. The Hawks have been a waste. It's Friday,
• 33:15
  Speaker 2: January ninth, so they've been away for more than a week.
• 33:17
  Speaker 2: They went out to Denver in elevation, gott a win.
• 33:20
  Speaker 2: That was a win for us on the show, by
• 33:22
  Speaker 2: the way, and then they played out on the Pacific coast,
• 33:25
  Speaker 2: and now the Hawks are returning home from the Pacific
• 33:27
  Speaker 2: time zone. Now they shouldn't overlook the Celtics, obviously, because
• 33:31
  Speaker 2: the Celtics have all that weight behind their name and
• 33:33
  Speaker 2: they've been playing pretty well this season, so the Hawks
• 33:36
  Speaker 2: shouldn't overlook them. But it's still return home spot where
• 33:39
  Speaker 2: those return home distractions are tough to get to get over.
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: Man.
• 33:43
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean overall, man, I mean, I guess
• 33:48
  Speaker 2: I slightly lean to the Hawks, but I really don't
• 33:50
  Speaker 2: want anything to do with a team returning home from
• 33:52
  Speaker 2: a road trip like that. Celtics are out from two
• 33:55
  Speaker 2: to three and a half. Sixty four percent of tickets
• 33:57
  Speaker 2: on the Celtics. Sixty five percent of the cash though
• 34:00
  Speaker 2: coming back on the Hawks, so the money is it
• 34:03
  Speaker 2: looks like kind of a pros versus Joe's set up
• 34:05
  Speaker 2: there when the money is coming back into the Hawks.
• 34:07
  Speaker 2: But I can't do it in the return home spot,
• 34:09
  Speaker 2: so I'm staying away. Return home spot might be worse
• 34:13
  Speaker 2: than a look ahead spot, to be honest, So I'm
• 34:15
  Speaker 2: really not very convinced on the Hawks side there.
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: Indiana at Detroit.
• 34:22
  Speaker 2: Indiana's on a back to back, but their game yesterday
• 34:25
  Speaker 2: was beating New Orleans, so it's not exactly a big game.
• 34:28
  Speaker 2: But yes they aren't a back to back and having
• 34:30
  Speaker 2: to travel, but short travel from Indianapolis to Detroit. Yeah,
• 34:34
  Speaker 2: they're playing a third game in four days as well,
• 34:36
  Speaker 2: but maybe not as much as a concern when the
• 34:38
  Speaker 2: other games are at home. They'll show up at least
• 34:41
  Speaker 2: most likely for a game against Detroit. Detroit just beat
• 34:45
  Speaker 2: Phoenix at Detroit does play the Celtics next. The Celtics
• 34:48
  Speaker 2: have beaten them once this year.
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Detroit did get a little bit of.
• 34:52
  Speaker 2: Revenge on them because the Celtics ended their bid ended
• 34:56
  Speaker 2: the Detroit bid for the longest wind streak in team history,
• 35:01
  Speaker 2: but whatever, either way, they could definitely be looking past
• 35:05
  Speaker 2: Indiana here, I would think, so I actually lead towards
• 35:07
  Speaker 2: the Pacers, even though they are in a back to back.
• 35:11
  Speaker 2: Seventy percent of the tickets and only sixty eight percent
• 35:13
  Speaker 2: of the cash on the Pistons twelve and a half
• 35:16
  Speaker 2: point favorite. You know, the Pistons are definitely good at
• 35:18
  Speaker 2: home though, but you're asking them to lay a huge
• 35:20
  Speaker 2: number like this in a game of the low total
• 35:22
  Speaker 2: to two twenty seven and a half with bigger games
• 35:26
  Speaker 2: surrounding it. So yeah, despite the back to back slightly
• 35:30
  Speaker 2: for me to Indiana. NBA TV has a seven to
• 35:33
  Speaker 2: thirty game between Phoenix and New York.
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: It is the Suns at the Knicks here.
• 35:40
  Speaker 2: Suns just played Detroit, man, so they're having to play
• 35:42
  Speaker 2: two big games in a row here, So that's a
• 35:44
  Speaker 2: little bit difficult, debatably three big games in a row,
• 35:47
  Speaker 2: because they just played at Miami on Tuesday then Detroit
• 35:50
  Speaker 2: on Thursday, and they were close in both games. So
• 35:53
  Speaker 2: the Suns, the worry here is that they're going to
• 35:55
  Speaker 2: run out of energy here going to play the Knicks,
• 35:58
  Speaker 2: so that they should be focused. But they did just
• 36:00
  Speaker 2: the Knicks on January ninth in Phoenix, So the Knicks
• 36:03
  Speaker 2: probably have a reason to show up in this game
• 36:05
  Speaker 2: as well. But the Knicks are returning over from a
• 36:07
  Speaker 2: road trip, and yeah, they lost to Phoenix on that
• 36:10
  Speaker 2: road trip. But I always pointed out, man, it's very
• 36:13
  Speaker 2: difficult to return home from a.
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: Road trip, man.
• 36:15
  Speaker 2: So that is what's going on with the Knicks here.
• 36:18
  Speaker 2: They're returning from the Pacific coast. They're playing a third
• 36:20
  Speaker 2: game in four day's all in different cities, which is
• 36:23
  Speaker 2: not that easy to do. Again, the return home distractions
• 36:26
  Speaker 2: could be an issue here maybe, and could come into
• 36:28
  Speaker 2: play here in this game. With that return home spot
• 36:32
  Speaker 2: a bit of an issue there, the spot's really not great.
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: For the Knicks.
• 36:35
  Speaker 2: And then you do have to look at what's going
• 36:36
  Speaker 2: on with Jalen Brunson as far as his injury is concerned.
• 36:40
  Speaker 2: He is questionable right now and he has not played
• 36:43
  Speaker 2: since the game against the Kings where he only played
• 36:46
  Speaker 2: five minutes and got injured.
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: So Brunson has not played since then. So if Brunson.
• 36:50
  Speaker 2: Comes back in this game, this would be something to
• 36:52
  Speaker 2: look at me because it would become the reverse injured
• 36:54
  Speaker 2: player spot. If Brunson comes back right, because then your
• 36:58
  Speaker 2: star player comes back. The line is gonna move to
• 37:02
  Speaker 2: accommodate to whatever.
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: Yeah, whatever the word I'm looking for is there.
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: The line has to accommodate for that, right, or account
• 37:10
  Speaker 2: for it, I should say.
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: So the line's gonna move.
• 37:13
  Speaker 2: You might get extra value fading the Knicks because Brunson
• 37:16
  Speaker 2: has to get back up to speed. Whatever may not
• 37:18
  Speaker 2: be one hundred percent. Who knows, but we don't know
• 37:20
  Speaker 2: if he's playing tonight or not. So that is the question.
• 37:24
  Speaker 2: Based on the line here, it almost looks like he's
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: not playing. Because the Knicks are three and a half.
• 37:28
  Speaker 2: You would think there would probably be a little bit
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: of a heavier favorite than that if he was playing.
• 37:32
  Speaker 2: Seventy one percent tickets fifty five percent of the casual
• 37:35
  Speaker 2: on the Knicks. So the Knicks are public with less
• 37:38
  Speaker 2: than the money on them. I lean to the Suns here.
• 37:42
  Speaker 2: It's not gonna be on my card either way. But
• 37:44
  Speaker 2: what I would do is I think it is a
• 37:45
  Speaker 2: stronger play on the Suns if Brunson comes back, and
• 37:48
  Speaker 2: if the number moves up on the Knicks. So what
• 37:50
  Speaker 2: I would do is wait on this game, because if
• 37:53
  Speaker 2: Brunson comes back, the line has to move up a
• 37:55
  Speaker 2: little bit and you'll get more value on the Suns.
• 37:57
  Speaker 2: And another factor coming into play, it's playing the Suns.
• 38:01
  Speaker 2: So if you're gonna play that game, that's what That's
• 38:04
  Speaker 2: what I would do. I would wait and then play
• 38:06
  Speaker 2: the Suns if Brunston is coming back, and then if
• 38:10
  Speaker 2: he isn't, you know, pass on the game. I guess
• 38:13
  Speaker 2: when I'm passing on the game anyway. Oklahoma City is
• 38:16
  Speaker 2: at Miami. Oklahoma City just had another nice win over
• 38:19
  Speaker 2: Houston after OKC got the revenge finally against San Antonio.
• 38:25
  Speaker 2: Thought they might be in a letdown spot, but nope,
• 38:27
  Speaker 2: they handled it against Houston twenty point road win. Now
• 38:32
  Speaker 2: here's where the letdown spot might come in for ok See, man,
• 38:35
  Speaker 2: they're playing Miami. They already beat Miami back at home
• 38:39
  Speaker 2: not long ago on January eleventh, beat them by twelve.
• 38:42
  Speaker 2: They got Cleveland on deck, which maybe is a little
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: bit of a bigger game. It's a TV game on
• 38:46
  Speaker 2: Monday on the holiday there. NBC has that as an
• 38:50
  Speaker 2: afternoon game. So yeah, I think I like the heat
• 38:54
  Speaker 2: in this one.
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: Man. The heater coming off a tough game too though.
• 38:57
  Speaker 2: They just played the Celtics pretty tough, so that was
• 38:59
  Speaker 2: a pretty big game for them as well. Staying at
• 39:02
  Speaker 2: home though, I think you gotta lean heat in this
• 39:04
  Speaker 2: game if you're playing it. It's not on my card,
• 39:06
  Speaker 2: but maybe one of the stronger leans. Although the thunder
• 39:09
  Speaker 2: are up from eight to ten and a half here,
• 39:11
  Speaker 2: But you're getting double digits at home with the heat
• 39:14
  Speaker 2: in this one man, So that's a pretty big line
• 39:16
  Speaker 2: to beginning at home you're with the heat. He'd have
• 39:20
  Speaker 2: been a much better home team as well. Fourteen and
• 39:22
  Speaker 2: seven at home. I know Oklahoma City is good everywhere
• 39:25
  Speaker 2: at home and away, fifteen and four on the road,
• 39:27
  Speaker 2: but the Heat or a team that you definitely want
• 39:29
  Speaker 2: to look more towards when they're at home rather than.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: On the road.
• 39:35
  Speaker 2: And then yeah, I mean maybe you got to pay
• 39:36
  Speaker 2: attention to the injuries a little bit here.
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: Hero is a game time decision, so I think if
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: he can go, he will give it a go.
• 39:42
  Speaker 2: He played in the game against the Celtics, so it's
• 39:44
  Speaker 2: probably not that much of a concern.
• 39:46
  Speaker 1: But we'll see. And hart and Stein.
• 39:49
  Speaker 2: Is still out for Okay see, but they're so deep,
• 39:52
  Speaker 2: I don't know if that matters that much, although they'll
• 39:53
  Speaker 2: have to deal with Autobio in the middle there. Minnesota
• 39:58
  Speaker 2: is at San Antonio. Another pretty big game here. This
• 40:02
  Speaker 2: is a pretty good game, one of the better games.
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: On the slate today. Here.
• 40:07
  Speaker 2: The Tea Wolves did actually beat San Antonio on January
• 40:09
  Speaker 2: eleventh at home by one point, so that's something of
• 40:14
  Speaker 2: note that's interesting.
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: I believe the Tea Wolves are favored in that game.
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: Let me see, they were.
• 40:22
  Speaker 2: They were a two and a half way favorite, which
• 40:23
  Speaker 2: is interesting because I believe pretty much everybody played in
• 40:27
  Speaker 2: the game when Ben Yama played in the game, Anthony
• 40:29
  Speaker 2: Edwards played in the game, so the star players played
• 40:32
  Speaker 2: in that game. So it's interesting that Minnesota was actually
• 40:35
  Speaker 2: favored in that game. They won the game, so maybe
• 40:38
  Speaker 2: San Antonio will have some adjustments to make here. Minnesota
• 40:42
  Speaker 2: is coming off a pretty difficult game where they came
• 40:44
  Speaker 2: to within five of Houston last night. So Minnesota's on
• 40:48
  Speaker 2: a back to back playing two tough teams in a row.
• 40:51
  Speaker 2: It's tough man not having to do the Texas Triangle,
• 40:54
  Speaker 2: but having to do the Texas I don't know what
• 40:57
  Speaker 2: to call it.
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: The Texas.
• 40:58
  Speaker 2: To some in San Antonio, the two better Texas teams
• 41:02
  Speaker 2: right now, really difficult to have to do that back
• 41:05
  Speaker 2: to back and traveling across the state of Texas to
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: do it. So I really don't think it's a very
• 41:11
  Speaker 2: good spot actually for Minnesota here, and we do have
• 41:15
  Speaker 2: to look at who's playing in this game as well.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: San Antonio just gotta win over Milwaukee to break their
• 41:21
  Speaker 2: losing streak they had that was actually in a return
• 41:23
  Speaker 2: home spot and they still got the win. I think
• 41:25
  Speaker 2: the spot sets up better for San Antonio. They might
• 41:27
  Speaker 2: make adjustments here after losing to Minnesota the last time.
• 41:31
  Speaker 2: The game's not really surrounded by anything big. They do
• 41:34
  Speaker 2: play Houston.
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: On Tuesday, but Utah.
• 41:36
  Speaker 2: They actually play Utah in between these two, So I
• 41:39
  Speaker 2: like san Antonio in the game. Now san Antonio is
• 41:43
  Speaker 2: favorite here at six and a half, So it's like, well,
• 41:45
  Speaker 2: why is that? Because it must be because Anthony Edwards
• 41:48
  Speaker 2: is out man, That's really the only explanation, because why
• 41:51
  Speaker 2: would Minnesota go from me two and a half at
• 41:53
  Speaker 2: home not that long ago to being a six and
• 41:55
  Speaker 2: a half road favorite. That doesn't jive right, like it
• 41:58
  Speaker 2: should probably be about san Antonio minus three ish maybe
• 42:03
  Speaker 2: like NBA home court doesn't give you that. It's like
• 42:06
  Speaker 2: not that much of an advantage. Although Spurs are good
• 42:09
  Speaker 2: at home though fourteen to five, Minnesota not as good
• 42:12
  Speaker 2: on the road twelve and nine. But I think the
• 42:14
  Speaker 2: reason why the Spurs are favorite with it as much is
• 42:17
  Speaker 2: we don't know what Anthony Edwards status is. He didn't
• 42:19
  Speaker 2: play in the last game, so you know, I think
• 42:28
  Speaker 2: I would wait on this one too. So the Spurs
• 42:30
  Speaker 2: are down from six and a half to six, sixty
• 42:32
  Speaker 2: eight percent of tickets, sixty six percent of the cash
• 42:34
  Speaker 2: on the Spurs, so they're public looks like less of
• 42:37
  Speaker 2: the money is on the Spurs, So that's a little
• 42:40
  Speaker 2: bit of a concern that the market read it doesn't
• 42:42
  Speaker 2: like the Spurs. I lean to the Spurs in this game,
• 42:45
  Speaker 2: but what I would do is wait and if Anthony
• 42:47
  Speaker 2: Edwards comes back because he missed the game against Houston,
• 42:50
  Speaker 2: that means that the Tea Wolves are now in a
• 42:52
  Speaker 2: reverse injured player spot and the line will drop on
• 42:55
  Speaker 2: the Spurs and.
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: You'll get a cheaper price on the Spurs.
• 42:57
  Speaker 2: So I think the line might overreact, have to get
• 43:01
  Speaker 2: him back in the lineup and whatever it might, you know,
• 43:04
  Speaker 2: sort of not get complacent, but you know, like you
• 43:06
  Speaker 2: have that mental thing where, hey, you know our star
• 43:09
  Speaker 2: player is back, so we don't have to play with
• 43:11
  Speaker 2: as much intensity, you know what I mean. It's just
• 43:13
  Speaker 2: kind of an instinctual thing that just happens. So probably
• 43:16
  Speaker 2: that's what I would do. I would wait and see
• 43:17
  Speaker 2: if Ae comes back in that game, and if so,
• 43:20
  Speaker 2: you'll get a better number on the Spurs, and then
• 43:23
  Speaker 2: I would lean to the Spurs in that game.
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: Charlotte at Golden State.
• 43:27
  Speaker 2: When I first looked at this game, I'm like, Charlotte's
• 43:30
  Speaker 2: in a terrible spot because they just upset the Lakers
• 43:33
  Speaker 2: on the road. Although we know the Lakers really are
• 43:35
  Speaker 2: not that great and they were without Reeves. Charlotte blew
• 43:40
  Speaker 2: them out pretty much though, putting up one hundred and
• 43:42
  Speaker 2: thirty five points.
• 43:43
  Speaker 1: Against them, beat them by eighteen. That's a big win.
• 43:46
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 43:46
  Speaker 2: You got to think that maybe Charlotte won't pay as
• 43:48
  Speaker 2: much attention to kind of.
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: A mediocre old Warriors team.
• 43:52
  Speaker 2: And Charlotte plays Denver tomorrow and then they have a
• 43:55
  Speaker 2: TV game on Wednesday against Cleveland. So this looks like
• 43:59
  Speaker 2: a little bit of a down bought in the schedule
• 44:00
  Speaker 2: for Golden State, as weird as that sounds, because Golden
• 44:03
  Speaker 2: State will obviously be a favorite here, But I can't
• 44:06
  Speaker 2: really get on board with Golden State either because they
• 44:08
  Speaker 2: they just beat the Knicks.
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: It was a big game for Golden State.
• 44:12
  Speaker 2: I believe it was the Knicks without Brunson though, but
• 44:15
  Speaker 2: still a big win for Golden State to beat the Knicks. Man,
• 44:18
  Speaker 2: you know, Oho, I think Golden State was a big
• 44:21
  Speaker 2: favorite in this game, again pretty much because there was
• 44:23
  Speaker 2: no Brunson in the game for the Knicks. But it
• 44:27
  Speaker 2: still could be maybe a letdown spot for Golden State.
• 44:29
  Speaker 2: But I prefer the Warriors side in this one. The
• 44:32
  Speaker 2: money seems to agree. The Warriors are up from five
• 44:34
  Speaker 2: and a half to seven, seventy four percent of tickets
• 44:37
  Speaker 2: ninety five percent of the cash on the Warriors. I
• 44:39
  Speaker 2: agree with the Warriors side and that one. That's the
• 44:42
  Speaker 2: way I would lean. Washington. Yeah, not a fan of
• 44:45
  Speaker 2: that Washington team right now. Man.
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: They keep not covering for us. They're probably the worst
• 44:50
  Speaker 1: team in.
• 44:50
  Speaker 2: The NBA, and they're on a back to back now
• 44:53
  Speaker 2: and they just lost to the Kings and didn't cover great.
• 44:58
  Speaker 2: They're playing a third game in four days a different cities.
• 45:00
  Speaker 2: They're on a back to back, and even to now
• 45:02
  Speaker 2: go into elevation to play Denver. It's just not a
• 45:06
  Speaker 2: good spot for Washington. Man, even though they're not gonna
• 45:08
  Speaker 2: overlook Denver. Denver's had two days off, and yeah they're
• 45:11
  Speaker 2: returning over from a road trip, but only a two
• 45:14
  Speaker 2: game road trip Tuesday Wednesday. Now they've had a bunch
• 45:16
  Speaker 2: of time off. Sure, maybe there will be some distractions,
• 45:19
  Speaker 2: maybe they won't have full focus against a very weak
• 45:22
  Speaker 2: Washington team, but they've played all easy teams in this
• 45:25
  Speaker 2: recent stretch and they have another easy team up next
• 45:29
  Speaker 2: in Charlotte tomorrow.
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: So although Charlotte did just beat the Lakers.
• 45:32
  Speaker 2: But for this game, I think it's Denver or pass,
• 45:36
  Speaker 2: and this one, all the money seems to be indicating
• 45:38
  Speaker 2: on the Wizards.
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: But why the fuck would I want to do.
• 45:40
  Speaker 2: That When the Wizards can't cover any of these games
• 45:44
  Speaker 2: even though they're getting it's on the points, and they're
• 45:46
  Speaker 2: on a back to back now and traveling and playing
• 45:49
  Speaker 2: a lot of games in quick succession. There's no way
• 45:52
  Speaker 2: I want any part of the Wizards right now. In
• 45:54
  Speaker 2: this game, Man, seventy nine percent of tickets on the Nuggets,
• 45:56
  Speaker 2: fifty nine percent of the cash on the Wizards, though
• 45:59
  Speaker 2: getting twelve and a half, And yes, the Nuggets are
• 46:01
  Speaker 2: still without Yokitch. I'm pretty sure in this game. Hard
• 46:04
  Speaker 2: to tell them when you have a line that's so
• 46:06
  Speaker 2: big you can't even figure out like if their star
• 46:08
  Speaker 2: player is out or not. Yokich is still out, So
• 46:11
  Speaker 2: that means if he was playing, Denver would probably be
• 46:13
  Speaker 2: like a seventeen and a half point favorite in that one.
• 46:18
  Speaker 2: Lakers are at Portland now, the Lakers are actually in
• 46:21
  Speaker 2: a ninja player spot, I believe in this game, not
• 46:24
  Speaker 2: because of.
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: The Reeves situation.
• 46:26
  Speaker 2: Reeves has been out for a while, but I think
• 46:28
  Speaker 2: this game you gotta lean to the Lakers if you're
• 46:30
  Speaker 2: gonna play this game. Lakers just had that ugly loss
• 46:33
  Speaker 2: in home to Charlotte. Now they're going out on the
• 46:34
  Speaker 2: road only for one game to Portland. But the way
• 46:37
  Speaker 2: the Lakers have been playing, they can't overlook anybody right now, man,
• 46:41
  Speaker 2: And I think maybe getting out of there and going
• 46:43
  Speaker 2: on the road might actually be a good thing for them.
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: Portland coming into this game.
• 46:51
  Speaker 2: Have you beaten at landa in their last game, so
• 46:53
  Speaker 2: that was a decent win for Portland at home. Yeah,
• 46:56
  Speaker 2: they're not gonna overlook La. But the other thing about
• 46:58
  Speaker 2: la is Portland's favorite in this game. Well, why would
• 47:01
  Speaker 2: that be, right? Like, the public might want the Lakers
• 47:04
  Speaker 2: in this one. Seventy three percent of the cash on
• 47:06
  Speaker 2: the Blazers though, and sixty one percent of the tickets
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: on the Blazers.
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: That doesn't totally make sense. You would think that the
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: Lakers would be like a public.
• 47:14
  Speaker 2: Side in this one. Hold on a second, here, you
• 47:17
  Speaker 2: would think that the Lakers would be a public side
• 47:19
  Speaker 2: in this one. But hold on, I'm getting all my
• 47:22
  Speaker 2: stuff done. I'm trying to do a bunch of things
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: at once.
• 47:24
  Speaker 3: Here.
• 47:24
  Speaker 2: I'm trying to get some of my stuff done at
• 47:27
  Speaker 2: the same time. Here, you know, to get all my
• 47:31
  Speaker 2: stuff uploaded and stuff at the same time. Here the
• 47:35
  Speaker 2: show from this morning college basketball is already up though.
• 47:38
  Speaker 1: All right, But anyway, what was I saying?
• 47:41
  Speaker 2: Yes, the Blazers are up from two and a half
• 47:42
  Speaker 2: to three and a half, or you'd think the public
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: would be like, what is going on with that line
• 47:46
  Speaker 2: and want to take the Lakers here. But obviously what's
• 47:49
  Speaker 2: going on with this line is the Lakers have some
• 47:51
  Speaker 2: sort of injury here and yeah, if you look into it,
• 47:53
  Speaker 2: yeah it's Luca. So that's obviously the reason why Portland's
• 47:58
  Speaker 2: favored here. Luca's been doing it everything. He's carrying the
• 48:01
  Speaker 2: team thirty three point six points per game.
• 48:04
  Speaker 1: Oh my god. Doesn't play defense very well though. But
• 48:07
  Speaker 1: he got hurt in the game. It's Charlotte, and I
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: don't know if it's really an injury, if it's like
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: a real serious injury.
• 48:13
  Speaker 2: It seems like it's not serious, so it might be
• 48:15
  Speaker 2: kind of like a rest thing where he's like injured,
• 48:19
  Speaker 2: But to me, it does seem like kind of an
• 48:21
  Speaker 2: injured player theory spot. The Lakers know they're without Luca,
• 48:24
  Speaker 2: they know they have to step up their game. This
• 48:26
  Speaker 2: game is on NBA TV for whatever reason, and you're
• 48:30
  Speaker 2: getting three and a half of the Lakers, and they
• 48:32
  Speaker 2: just came off a real ugly performance. For me, it's
• 48:34
  Speaker 2: Lakers plus the points or pass in that game. All right,
• 48:39
  Speaker 2: let's go to NFL and then I'll get out of here.
• 48:41
  Speaker 2: Not too bad for the timing here, we're at less
• 48:44
  Speaker 2: than an hour a though. We're gonna talk quite a
• 48:45
  Speaker 2: bit about these two games here. The first game up,
• 48:49
  Speaker 2: the afternoon game on CBS, is the AFC Divisional game
• 48:53
  Speaker 2: between Buffalo and Denver.
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: There's a lot of stuff going on in this game.
• 48:58
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 48:58
  Speaker 2: Now Denver has come off a bye because they're the
• 49:01
  Speaker 2: one seed, and we talk about this. I know the
• 49:03
  Speaker 2: one seeds have actually done okay in the playoffs with
• 49:05
  Speaker 2: this new structure, but I do always talk about how
• 49:08
  Speaker 2: when a team has a bye, it's not necessarily a
• 49:10
  Speaker 2: good thing because it kind of stops their momentum, right Like,
• 49:14
  Speaker 2: you don't if you're playing well, you don't really want
• 49:16
  Speaker 2: to have that time off. Although a couple of things
• 49:19
  Speaker 2: that mitigate that for Denver. One thing is that Denver
• 49:23
  Speaker 2: lost to Jacksonville. The last time they had a real
• 49:26
  Speaker 2: serious game at home. They lost to Jacksonville, so that
• 49:29
  Speaker 2: might keep them focused. And then they finished They did
• 49:33
  Speaker 2: finish the season at home, but they were playing a
• 49:35
  Speaker 2: Charger team that just rested everybody, so it wasn't really
• 49:37
  Speaker 2: a serious game for Denver. But yes, that does mean
• 49:41
  Speaker 2: that Denver hasn't really played a serious game since two
• 49:44
  Speaker 2: weeks ago. But the other thing that can mitigate this,
• 49:47
  Speaker 2: because you got to worry about, you know, shedding the
• 49:49
  Speaker 2: rust and whatever. The good thing for Denver is they're
• 49:52
  Speaker 2: not like one of those timing offenses, like offenses that
• 49:56
  Speaker 2: might be really thrown off by having extra time off.
• 49:58
  Speaker 2: That's not Denver. Denver's gonna be running the football. They're
• 50:01
  Speaker 2: gonna be playing defense.
• 50:03
  Speaker 1: We know this.
• 50:03
  Speaker 2: Denver is a defensive jugger not They're one of the
• 50:06
  Speaker 2: best defenses in football, so obviously that's what they're gonna
• 50:10
  Speaker 2: try to do. And defenses have a lot easier time
• 50:13
  Speaker 2: coming out of like a buy or out of a
• 50:15
  Speaker 2: rest scenario just playing again, you know what I mean.
• 50:18
  Speaker 2: It usually affects the offense more. And Denver, I think,
• 50:21
  Speaker 2: is absolutely gonna be running the football because they want
• 50:25
  Speaker 2: to take the pressure off of bone Knicks, right, because
• 50:27
  Speaker 2: he's still a young guy, he's still fairly he's pretty
• 50:29
  Speaker 2: an experience in the playoffs. So yeah, Buffalo obviously has
• 50:32
  Speaker 2: an experience edge as far as their players are concerned. Obviously,
• 50:36
  Speaker 2: their quarterback is a way more experienced quarterback, with Allen
• 50:39
  Speaker 2: having played many playoff games. Bow Nicks has only played one.
• 50:44
  Speaker 2: But what Denver is gonna do is try to keep
• 50:47
  Speaker 2: the load off of him and run the football. I
• 50:49
  Speaker 2: think that's gonna be their game plan in this game,
• 50:51
  Speaker 2: try to keep Buffalo's offense off the field, because of
• 50:53
  Speaker 2: course Buffalo has a good offense and that is what
• 50:56
  Speaker 2: Buffalo does. They're a good offense, but some concerns with
• 51:01
  Speaker 2: Buffalo's offense as well. But Buffalo's defense is not good,
• 51:04
  Speaker 2: especially against the run. Buffalo's big defensive weaknesses against the run.
• 51:09
  Speaker 2: So I think Denver's gonna be running the football. So
• 51:11
  Speaker 2: I think if you want a prop in this game, RJ.
• 51:14
  Speaker 2: Harvey over fifty five and a half rushing yards is
• 51:17
  Speaker 2: a decent look in this game because I think Denver
• 51:20
  Speaker 2: is gonna be running the football, and the only concern
• 51:22
  Speaker 2: with that is is Buffalo going to be ahead by
• 51:25
  Speaker 2: margin in this game and start running away with it?
• 51:27
  Speaker 2: And I don't think that's that much of a concern
• 51:29
  Speaker 2: with how good Denver's defense is, so that's the only
• 51:32
  Speaker 2: reason Denver would really completely abandon the run. So I
• 51:34
  Speaker 2: think Harvey over his rushing yards makes sense. He didn't
• 51:38
  Speaker 2: do it in his last game, but of course that
• 51:39
  Speaker 2: was a game that didn't matter against the Chargers. He
• 51:42
  Speaker 2: did it two of the last three games prior to
• 51:45
  Speaker 2: that game. He did get over this number, though, and
• 51:48
  Speaker 2: the number might not quite be totally high enough because
• 51:51
  Speaker 2: it might still be a little bit skewed based on
• 51:53
  Speaker 2: the fact that he was he was averaging less earlier
• 51:56
  Speaker 2: in the season, but that's because he wasn't playing as
• 51:58
  Speaker 2: much and Denver had what Dobbins I think, and then
• 52:01
  Speaker 2: he got hurt.
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: So Harvey is the guy.
• 52:03
  Speaker 2: So there's a prop for You don't do much with props,
• 52:07
  Speaker 2: but Harvey over his rushing yards makes sense for a
• 52:10
  Speaker 2: prop in this game. Now, as far as the game
• 52:13
  Speaker 2: is concerned, Yeah, there's a lot going on in this game.
• 52:18
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 52:18
  Speaker 2: So I talked about the rest scenario Buffalo, though, they're
• 52:21
  Speaker 2: having to travel up to Mile High from Jacksonville. Man So,
• 52:24
  Speaker 2: Buffalo maybe having played last week, isn't that good for
• 52:28
  Speaker 2: Buffalo because a lot of times they say, yeah, when
• 52:29
  Speaker 2: a team gets a game out of the way, you
• 52:32
  Speaker 2: know they already play a playoff game, they're gonna come
• 52:34
  Speaker 2: in with some momentum and that's a good thing. But
• 52:36
  Speaker 2: Buffalo is playing in Jacksonville and that was a pretty
• 52:39
  Speaker 2: tough game against another pretty strong defense in Jacksonville. Now
• 52:43
  Speaker 2: Buffalo has to go up to Mile High and play
• 52:45
  Speaker 2: in even more physical Denver defense. That's gonna be difficult
• 52:49
  Speaker 2: and Denver is probably gonna be able to slow down
• 52:51
  Speaker 2: Buffalo's rushing attack, and Buffalo wants to run the ball
• 52:55
  Speaker 2: first man. James cook is actually the leading rusher in
• 52:58
  Speaker 2: the NFL this sea, and Buffalo wants to run the
• 53:01
  Speaker 2: football even though I know they have Josh Allen there,
• 53:04
  Speaker 2: but they run the football first man. So Buffalo might
• 53:08
  Speaker 2: be able to make excusely, Denver might be able to
• 53:10
  Speaker 2: make Buffalo a little bit one dimensional and force Dent
• 53:13
  Speaker 2: forced Buffalo to have to go to the air, And
• 53:16
  Speaker 2: I know that sounds crazy, like why would you want
• 53:18
  Speaker 2: to do that when it's Josh Allen. Well, their passing attack,
• 53:22
  Speaker 2: believe it or not, is not that great, and they
• 53:23
  Speaker 2: have a lot of injuries going on with their wide
• 53:25
  Speaker 2: receiver corps man, Like basically you're looking at like Shakir
• 53:29
  Speaker 2: Cooks and Coleman are like the only actually healthy wide
• 53:33
  Speaker 2: receivers that Buffalo has here. So they're a bit thin
• 53:36
  Speaker 2: on the wide receiver end of things as well. So
• 53:38
  Speaker 2: that's kind of a problem for Buffalo. So definitely some
• 53:42
  Speaker 2: reasons selin towards Denver here. Man, they're the better defense
• 53:45
  Speaker 2: as well. Like I said, you know, I usually lean
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: to the better defense. The experience isn't all bad for
• 53:50
  Speaker 2: Denver because they have a Super Bowl winning coach at
• 53:54
  Speaker 2: least in Sean Payton. So I think Denver, you could
• 53:56
  Speaker 2: definitely make the argument they have the better coach Denver.
• 54:01
  Speaker 2: Peyton just has done more than I'm McDermott has. Now,
• 54:05
  Speaker 2: looking at the market, the money is indicating on Denver.
• 54:07
  Speaker 2: Buffalo is a little bit of a public side here.
• 54:09
  Speaker 2: Sixty six percent of the tickets, only fifty six percent
• 54:12
  Speaker 2: of the cash. You know, I always say the public
• 54:16
  Speaker 2: likes offense when it comes down to it. They like
• 54:18
  Speaker 2: the better quarterback, they like Josh Allen, they like the
• 54:21
  Speaker 2: story like this has to be the year for Josh
• 54:23
  Speaker 2: Allen because he doesn't have to go through my homes,
• 54:25
  Speaker 2: he doesn't have to go through Lamar Jackson. He only
• 54:28
  Speaker 2: has to go through bo Nicks here. So that's kind
• 54:30
  Speaker 2: of the narrative here. But again, this is a team sport, man,
• 54:33
  Speaker 2: it's not all Allen. And if the Broncos force everything
• 54:37
  Speaker 2: to have to be on Allen, the Broncos might be
• 54:39
  Speaker 2: able to win this game.
• 54:40
  Speaker 3: Man.
• 54:41
  Speaker 2: And of course certainly it's a winnable game. They're favored,
• 54:44
  Speaker 2: So there's been reverse live movement moving the Broncos from
• 54:47
  Speaker 2: pick him to a one point favorite here, and there
• 54:50
  Speaker 2: is a reason for that, so I agree with it.
• 54:53
  Speaker 2: I lean to the Broncos in the game, man, I
• 54:56
  Speaker 2: think the defense might be able to do it. And
• 54:58
  Speaker 2: there are a few other aspects of this game based
• 55:00
  Speaker 2: on historical results that kind.
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: Of put me on that side as well.
• 55:03
  Speaker 2: It's not a play for me because they do worry
• 55:06
  Speaker 2: about you know, the buye and things like that, and
• 55:08
  Speaker 2: the much more experienced quarterback does still matter for Buffalo.
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: Now, the thing is.
• 55:17
  Speaker 2: The Broncos they just lost at home to Jacksonville, right,
• 55:21
  Speaker 2: so people are gonna see that, and the public probably
• 55:24
  Speaker 2: likes the Bills for that reason too, right, Like, oh, well,
• 55:26
  Speaker 2: Jacksonville just went into Denver and put up thirty something
• 55:29
  Speaker 2: points against them in wreck Denver, and the Bills just
• 55:32
  Speaker 2: went into Jacksonville and beat Jacksonville. So of course Buffalo
• 55:35
  Speaker 2: can win this game, right because they just beat.
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville in Jacksonville.
• 55:40
  Speaker 2: Jacksonville won easily in Denver, so the Bills should win
• 55:43
  Speaker 2: this game.
• 55:44
  Speaker 3: Right.
• 55:44
  Speaker 2: That's kind of that transitive way of thinking about these
• 55:46
  Speaker 2: recent common opponents.
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: So I don't like that way of thinking.
• 55:50
  Speaker 2: Every game is an individual thing, man, So I don't
• 55:52
  Speaker 2: think you can look at the game that way.
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: And people seem to forget.
• 55:55
  Speaker 2: I've only heard it mentioned once when I've listened to
• 55:57
  Speaker 2: all this coverage of this game.
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: Only one time have I heard somebody.
• 56:01
  Speaker 2: Mention this is playoff revenge for the Broncos. And I
• 56:05
  Speaker 2: know it matters a little bit less when it's a
• 56:07
  Speaker 2: playoff game. And obviously both teams are completely motivated in
• 56:11
  Speaker 2: the game, so there's no real motivation allege one way
• 56:14
  Speaker 2: or the other. But you remember, the Broncos went to
• 56:17
  Speaker 2: Buffalo in the playoffs last year and got destroyed like
• 56:20
  Speaker 2: thirty one to seven, and it.
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: Was bo Nicks's first playoff game. It was on the road.
• 56:24
  Speaker 2: It was a very difficult game, difficult spot for them
• 56:27
  Speaker 2: to be in. I thought the Bills were gonna run
• 56:30
  Speaker 2: away with that game, and they did. But now we're
• 56:33
  Speaker 2: in a little bit of a different scenario, man. Now
• 56:35
  Speaker 2: Nicks at least has another season under his belt, he
• 56:38
  Speaker 2: has one playoff game under his belt.
• 56:40
  Speaker 1: He's at home. This time, he gets another crack at Buffalo.
• 56:43
  Speaker 2: Broncos might be able to make some adjustments because a
• 56:46
  Speaker 2: lot of the players are the same from those two years. Man,
• 56:49
  Speaker 2: So the Broncos may have some adjustments to make.
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: I don't believe these.
• 56:52
  Speaker 2: Teams played during the regular season this year, so this
• 56:55
  Speaker 2: is the first time they're playing each other since the
• 56:57
  Speaker 2: playoff game. I believe, I don't think. Yeah, I don't
• 57:01
  Speaker 2: think I'm wrong about that. So it's another little interesting
• 57:04
  Speaker 2: tidbit there. For me, I lean to the Broncos. As
• 57:08
  Speaker 2: far as the total, the money is somewhat coming in
• 57:10
  Speaker 2: on the over after the total drop from forty seven
• 57:13
  Speaker 2: to forty six.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: So the forty seven is a key number.
• 57:16
  Speaker 2: So if you like the under, you probably want to
• 57:18
  Speaker 2: try to at least get forty seven. Orthough you're probably
• 57:20
  Speaker 2: not going to get that number back at this point
• 57:23
  Speaker 2: fifty five percent of tickets and sixty five percent of
• 57:25
  Speaker 2: the casual and the over, So the money is coming
• 57:27
  Speaker 2: in on the over a little bit here. And I've
• 57:30
  Speaker 2: heard some arguments for the over, but I think that
• 57:32
  Speaker 2: the stronger arguments is still for the under here. I
• 57:35
  Speaker 2: think that it's somewhat correlated to the side here, right
• 57:39
  Speaker 2: because you have the Bills, who are more of an
• 57:40
  Speaker 2: offensive team. Probably if they win, it's probably gonna be
• 57:44
  Speaker 2: a little.
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: Bit higher scoring.
• 57:46
  Speaker 2: The Broncos are the defense, so if they're gonna be
• 57:48
  Speaker 2: winning the game, it probably needs to be lower scoring,
• 57:51
  Speaker 2: So there is that, So I think they're correlated. So
• 57:54
  Speaker 2: I probably need to an under in this game. And
• 57:56
  Speaker 2: again the way the game might be played out, like
• 57:58
  Speaker 2: the Broncos might be able to hold the Bills offense
• 58:01
  Speaker 2: and check because the Broncos deepfense is strong. But the Broncos,
• 58:05
  Speaker 2: like I said, we want to take the load off
• 58:07
  Speaker 2: of Knicks and run the football, and if they do that,
• 58:10
  Speaker 2: that's gonna shorten the game as well. So it undermakes
• 58:13
  Speaker 2: sense to me in this game as far as I
• 58:15
  Speaker 2: see the game. Those are all my thoughts on the game. Man,
• 58:20
  Speaker 2: I think that's about it.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 58:22
  Speaker 2: I had one other thing maybe just crossed through my
• 58:24
  Speaker 2: mind briefly there, and I forget what I was even thinking.
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: But I think that's about it. Oh yes, I was
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: gonna talk about.
• 58:30
  Speaker 2: Teasers real quick, because of course, the two games today
• 58:33
  Speaker 2: are the two Stanford Wong teaser options today. So if
• 58:37
  Speaker 2: you want to do a teaser with the two games today,
• 58:41
  Speaker 2: you know, I mean Stanford Wong says that it's plus
• 58:43
  Speaker 2: ev if you do a two point six two team
• 58:47
  Speaker 2: six point teaser and don't pay more than minus one
• 58:50
  Speaker 2: twenty five for it. You could tease the Bills up
• 58:53
  Speaker 2: through all the key numbers, you would get the Bills
• 58:55
  Speaker 2: at plus. Actually, you need to make sure that the
• 58:59
  Speaker 2: Bills are a play one and a half my mistake.
• 59:01
  Speaker 2: So as long as you're teasing the plus one and
• 59:03
  Speaker 2: a half up to seven and a half and getting
• 59:06
  Speaker 2: that hook, then you could tease the Bills up to seven.
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: And a half.
• 59:09
  Speaker 2: Because yes, even though I think the Broncos might win,
• 59:11
  Speaker 2: they do not beat teams by margin, right, Like that's
• 59:14
  Speaker 2: kind of been the knock on the Broncos all year,
• 59:16
  Speaker 2: and I've even said that, like, I think the Broncos are.
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: Not really as good as the record looks.
• 59:20
  Speaker 2: To be honest, the odds makers are even telling you
• 59:23
  Speaker 2: the Bills are actually the better team. But I just
• 59:25
  Speaker 2: like the better defense and the spot a little bit
• 59:28
  Speaker 2: more for the Broncos here. But yes, the Broncos are
• 59:31
  Speaker 2: still not as good as their record looks. They don't
• 59:33
  Speaker 2: win by margin. Their offense still has its concerns, you know,
• 59:37
  Speaker 2: So there is that for sure. So yes, I could imagine, Yeah,
• 59:41
  Speaker 2: teasing the Bills up to seven and a half makes
• 59:43
  Speaker 2: sense to me, And then as long as they come
• 59:45
  Speaker 2: close in the game, you get that leg, and then
• 59:48
  Speaker 2: of course the other leg of this would be you
• 59:50
  Speaker 2: have to find the Seahawks at seven and a half
• 59:52
  Speaker 2: and you have to tease them down to one and
• 59:54
  Speaker 2: a half and then you basically just need them to
• 59:56
  Speaker 2: win the game. And that would be the long teaser
• 59:59
  Speaker 2: that you can do today. Flyers Rangers. Yeah, slight opinion
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 2: for me on the Rangers in that game. You can
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 2: go back and see my analysis on that one Fox
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 2: Night game. Here. The NFC game between San Francisco and
• 1:00:20
  Speaker 2: Seattle Division rivals have already played each other twice.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: I think this is the first time ever that the
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: same team's played.
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 2: The first week of the season, the last week of
• 1:00:31
  Speaker 2: the season, and then again in the playoffs. I think
• 1:00:35
  Speaker 2: that's the first time it's ever happened. So it's kind
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 2: of interesting. So we have some data points here because
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 2: these teams play each other a lot, so they know
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 2: each other, which is also going to affect what I
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 2: think about the total in this game. Now, these teams
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 2: both were vying for the number one seed. Man Like,
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 2: these teams were buying vying for home field throughout, especially
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 2: the Niners because the San Francisco is hosting the Super
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 2: Bowl this year, but of course the Seahawks won that
• 1:01:04
  Speaker 2: game in San Francisco.
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: I lean to the Seahawks in that game.
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 2: They got it done. But now do the forty nine
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 2: Ers come in and maybe maybe change some things because
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 2: a lot of things went wrong in that game. I
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 2: think maybe that is the case with the forty nine
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 2: ers year. So I am gonna lean to the forty
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 2: nine Ers plus the points in this game. I mean
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 2: they're getting seven.
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: First of all, it seems like a lot.
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 2: To be giving a Kyle Shanahan team, and he's even
• 1:01:30
  Speaker 2: though McDonald's been really good with the Seahawks, it's been
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 2: kind of all defense for the Seahawks.
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: And I know the forty nine Ers.
• 1:01:36
  Speaker 2: Defense is very injured, but their defense has been playing
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 2: okay as of late, and their offense has a lot
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 2: of weapons on it. And yes, they're without Kittle now,
• 1:01:44
  Speaker 2: I know Kittle got injured last week against the Eagles,
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 2: so that is a concern a though Tongus has done
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 2: pretty well in that role for the Niners, so I
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 2: don't think it's a massive downgrade, although it takes away
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 2: one of their weapons for sure, But the Niners have
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 2: a lot of like they have the better coach, I
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 2: would say in Shanahan, I think he's the best coach
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 2: in the league and giving him a lot of points
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 2: like this, Yeah, I mean, I think he does really
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 2: well as an underdog.
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: Let's put it that way.
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 2: But then you also have a lot more experience on
• 1:02:14
  Speaker 2: the forty nine ers side here, like Brock Purdy has
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 2: way more playoff games under his belt than Sam Donald does,
• 1:02:20
  Speaker 2: who only has won. And it wasn't good last year,
• 1:02:23
  Speaker 2: as the Rams knew what to do in that game
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 2: and they really threw Donald off.
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: Donald wasn't good.
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 2: In that last game against the Niners either either though,
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 2: even though the Seahawks moved the ball, the Seahawks were
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 2: running the football a lot. And now if the Niners
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 2: are somehow able to just focus on that and slow
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 2: down the Seahawks rushing attack, which yeah, it will be
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 2: difficult because the Seahawks can run the football with multiple
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 2: backs and the Niners don't have a great deepfense right
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 2: now with you know, Warner not coming back, Bosa not
• 1:02:50
  Speaker 2: coming back. But if the Niners know that's what the
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 2: Seahawks are going to try to do and slow that
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 2: down and force Donald to have to beat them the
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 2: forty nine Ers might be in a good spot to
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 2: cover this number mane, because the Seahawks do not want
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 2: Donald to have to win this game. I mean, he's
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 2: been very mistake prone in games like this. He wasn't
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 2: good in that game. Even when they beat the forty
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 2: nine ers, he was not good. It was the rushing
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 2: attack that was good.
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: In the game.
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 2: He was pretty mistake free, but he didn't really do anything.
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 2: He just kind of game managed, you know, So you
• 1:03:18
  Speaker 2: can't really have a game manager once it gets into
• 1:03:20
  Speaker 2: the playoffs. I wouldn't say you need more than that. Yeah,
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 2: the Seahawks have the better defense, but the better the
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 2: defense doesn't score points usually, so the better defense isn't
• 1:03:30
  Speaker 2: enough to cover a seven and a half point spread,
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 2: man or a seven point spread, So I leaned to
• 1:03:35
  Speaker 2: the Niners for those reasons as well. Again, the more
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 2: experienced quarterback, their offensive guys are just way more experienced.
• 1:03:41
  Speaker 2: The Niners have just been here and done this many
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 2: many times. They're like always in the playoffs, except for
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 2: last year where they.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: Had a very injury riddled season. So we'll see.
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 2: And yes, the forty nine Ers, of course, like I said,
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 2: with the Bills, the Niners who have a game under
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 2: their belt they won at Philadelphia, but they are having
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 2: to travel cross country now, but they have some momentum.
• 1:04:01
  Speaker 2: Although yes, they pulled up an upset, but the forty
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 2: nine ers are not going to unfamiliar territory here like.
• 1:04:07
  Speaker 1: The Bills kind of are mile high, you know.
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 2: Although Allen won't be affected by the elevation because Allen
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 2: played in Wyoming in college. But the forty nine Ers
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 2: were obviously very familiar with playing at Seattle. They play
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 2: there every year, so this is a little bit of
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 2: an easier trip for the Niners to make and their
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 2: Pacific Coast teams, so they're traveling back to their own
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 2: time zone and probably already did that, so I think
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 2: the travel spot is less of a concern for the
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 2: Niners in this game.
• 1:04:32
  Speaker 1: Now.
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 2: As far as what these teams did this season, the
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 2: results were very different each game. The first game of
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 2: the season, of course, the Niners were not as injured.
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 2: The Niners won the game seventeen to thirteen, and Sam
• 1:04:45
  Speaker 2: Darnald fumbled the ball in Niners territory like they were
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 2: really they were about to score and win the game. Potentially,
• 1:04:51
  Speaker 2: they were like close to the Niners goal line at
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 2: the end of the game and Donald kind of ran
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 2: into his own offensive lineman have fumbled the football away,
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 2: and that's how the Seahawks lost the game at the
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 2: end of that game. But if you look at what
• 1:05:04
  Speaker 2: happened in this game, the Niners actually dominated the game statistically,
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 2: uh three eighty four to two thirty yardage wise, it
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 2: was a two to two turnover disparity, twenty four to
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 2: fourteen first down So the Niners. The key thing here
• 1:05:17
  Speaker 2: is they were able to move the football like. Yeah,
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 2: their defense was pretty good as well against Seattle, and yeah,
• 1:05:22
  Speaker 2: the Niners had some of their defensive guys like Bosa
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 2: was in there and whatever, and they don't have him now.
• 1:05:27
  Speaker 2: But the fact that the Niners were able to move
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 2: the football like this at Seattle, that tells you something
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 2: because they did that against a good Seattle defense and
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 2: they dominated the time of possession almost thirty eight minutes
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 2: of possession. So the Niners dominated that game. Now, the
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 2: other game was different, which was the most recent one,
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 2: like two weeks ago, the game four of the division title,
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 2: the Seahawks won at San Francisco. Yeah, thirteen to three,
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 2: and the Seahawks did outstat them, like I said, although
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 2: it wasn't Darnold doing it, but they outstated them pretty big,
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 2: three sixty one to one. Seventy three. Niners had the
• 1:06:01
  Speaker 2: only turnover in the game. Twenty three to nine Seattle
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 2: in first down is ridiculous first down disparity there, and
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 2: they dominated the possession almost thirty eight minutes. So it
• 1:06:10
  Speaker 2: was almost like the reverse of what happened in the
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 2: first game. But I think what happens in this game.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 2: I don't think either team is gonna have that dominant
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 2: of an edge in this game, to be honest, I
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 2: think it's going to be somewhere in the middle of
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 2: what happened in those two games.
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: And by the way, the Seahawks have actually been better.
• 1:06:27
  Speaker 2: On the road than at home under Mike McDonald, which
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 2: is weird. Under McDonald, they're almost a five hundred team
• 1:06:32
  Speaker 2: at home, although I know they've been better at home
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 2: this year, like six and two or whatever, but they're
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 2: eight and one on the road this year. For whatever reason,
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 2: the Seahawks are better on the road than they are
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 2: at home.
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: Even though you think of you know.
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 2: The twelfth Man Loud Stadium, Seahawks have a pretty significant
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 2: home advantage, but that hasn't really been that much of
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 2: the case the last two years, so maybe another reason
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 2: a lee towards the Niners here. So yeah, I mean
• 1:06:57
  Speaker 2: my first instinct in this game was to Leeds towards then,
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 2: and that is my lean the Seahawks again, having a
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 2: week off might also hurt them a little bit, But
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 2: then again, because the Seahawks are gonna be playing deepense
• 1:07:07
  Speaker 2: and running the football, probably I would say the same
• 1:07:10
  Speaker 2: thing that I said with Denver, like, they should be
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 2: able to adapt pretty easily because they're not like a
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 2: timing based offense or anything like that, so having that
• 1:07:17
  Speaker 2: week off probably doesn't matter that much. They'll be able
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 2: to play defense and run the football. So all that
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 2: being said, yeah, I would take the points with the
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 2: Niners if I was gonna play it, And then as
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 2: far as the total is concerned, I do lean to
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 2: the under. The totals dropped a little bit from forty
• 1:07:33
  Speaker 2: five and a half to forty four, fifty two tickets
• 1:07:36
  Speaker 2: on the under sixty three percent of the cash on
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 2: the under.
• 1:07:38
  Speaker 1: I know, it.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 2: Seems pretty easy because they the two other games they
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 2: played this year were very low scoring as well, so
• 1:07:45
  Speaker 2: that almost makes the under look way too easy, but
• 1:07:47
  Speaker 2: I just see it being the case, man. I mean,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 2: the Seahawks are probably gonna establish the run play defense.
• 1:07:52
  Speaker 1: That's what they're gonna do.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 2: So, just like with the Broncos, that seems to lend
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 2: itself towards a lower scoring game here, and if it's
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 2: a lower scoring game, the Niners might have an easier
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 2: time getting within that number, even though you think, well,
• 1:08:05
  Speaker 2: the Niners are the offense, so they should want it
• 1:08:07
  Speaker 2: to be a higher scoring game. That's true, but I
• 1:08:10
  Speaker 2: don't love laying points of the better defense for those
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 2: reasons again, because when you have a better defense and
• 1:08:17
  Speaker 2: it's going to be a lower scoring game, the underdog
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 2: can still come in and cover that thing if it's
• 1:08:22
  Speaker 2: going to be fewer points in the game. So that's
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 2: the way that I think about it. You know, an
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 2: under first half could be a consideration as well, because
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 2: you might think that the Seahawks are just gonna come
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 2: out quite slow after having the rest last week, and
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 2: their defense might be able to hold the Niners and
• 1:08:40
  Speaker 2: check early on. Although I worry about that a little
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 2: bit because the Niners defense played last week. It might
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 2: be a little bit tired there, so that I worry
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 2: about that a little bit. But I have seen some
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 2: opinions on first half under in the game, which I
• 1:08:54
  Speaker 2: think is about twenty three and a half. On that,
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 2: for the numbers of the the first half seems like
• 1:08:59
  Speaker 2: it's actually it's just strangely high. Like usually the second
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 2: half is usually the higher scoring half, So I don't
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 2: know why the first half has a higher number though
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 2: usually when it does, you want to look to go
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 2: over in the first half.
• 1:09:11
  Speaker 1: But I think it was twenty three and a half.
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know.
• 1:09:14
  Speaker 2: Seems a little bit weird to me. I'm not really
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 2: a first half total guy at all though. And for
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 2: a prop if you want to prop here, I think
• 1:09:24
  Speaker 2: one prop to look at is you sick.
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: However you've been juice chick, Juice chick, you sick.
• 1:09:33
  Speaker 2: The fullback on the Niners over one and a half
• 1:09:36
  Speaker 2: receptions I think makes a lot of sense here because
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 2: Kyle Shanahan, he's known for using the fullback in the
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 2: passing game, and it's gonna happen even more so with
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 2: Kittle out. He would have to imagine you sick is
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 2: going to be a target there and basically he's gonna
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 2: catch every one of his targets because you're always targeting
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 2: him like in the flat in short passing scenario, so
• 1:09:56
  Speaker 2: he's not really gonna drop many of those, you know
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 2: what I mean. It's like to throw and catch and
• 1:10:01
  Speaker 2: then you if you don't play his yardage prop, you
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 2: don't give a shit about what yardage he gets after
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 2: the catch, right, Like he can make the catch and
• 1:10:08
  Speaker 2: then just get stopped and you're still looking good. You
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 2: only need to get two catches. He got four last week,
• 1:10:13
  Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure, so you you sick over his receptions.
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 2: I think is a decent prop in this game as well.
• 1:10:21
  Speaker 2: So those are my props.
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: You know, I don't. I'm not giving out a play
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: in any of those.
• 1:10:25
  Speaker 2: I will for the super Bowl like I usually do,
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 2: which went well last year, so we will see it.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 2: But I will do super Bowl props. I have given
• 1:10:32
  Speaker 2: out an occasional prop in these playoff games. I'm not
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 2: doing it in these, but those are my thoughts. I
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 2: might have a play on the side in one of
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 2: the games tomorrow. Like I said, you may know what
• 1:10:42
  Speaker 2: it is based on what I've been talking about.
• 1:10:45
  Speaker 1: We will see.
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 2: And yeah, if you want to know the weather in
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 2: these games, I just don't think the weather is gonna
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 2: be that much of an issue.
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be somewhat cold.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 2: In Denver, it looks like it's gonna be pretty much
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 2: clear and thirty seven, but of course Buffalo is used
• 1:10:58
  Speaker 2: to it as well, so no real weather advantage one
• 1:11:01
  Speaker 2: way or the other. And then San Francisco at Seattle,
• 1:11:04
  Speaker 2: these teams are used to playing here too.
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: This game, it looks like it's gonna be forty eight,
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: pretty normal night game there.
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 2: So yeah, I mean, I know San Francisco has had
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 2: some issues playing in some cold. They looked awful in
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 2: the snow game in Buffalo, but when it's almost fifty
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 2: degrees it shouldn't be much of a concern for the
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 2: forty nine ers. So and with no like real weather
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 2: concerns there, I do have to pay attention to the wind,
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 2: I guess which we don't see the wind report there,
• 1:11:29
  Speaker 2: but the wind affects offenses more than anything else.
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: But because we don't see huge movement on the totals.
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 2: Or anything, it doesn't seem like wind is really gonna
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 2: be a factor in either game.
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: So that's gonna do it.
• 1:11:40
  Speaker 2: Thanks everybody, one more time, all the place today, College
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 2: basketball coming up in an how where we have SMU
• 1:11:46
  Speaker 2: plus the points, Butler plus the points, You and c
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 2: Asheville plus the points, Indiana minus the points or money line.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 2: If you can get a better number Delaware plus the points,
• 1:11:57
  Speaker 2: Northern Iowa money line or minus the two or whatever,
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 2: you can find a better number that way, Long.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: Beach plus the points.
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 2: Hockey were on the Devil's money line and run the
• 1:12:09
  Speaker 2: Vegas Golden Knights puck line to win by margin, and that.
• 1:12:13
  Speaker 1: One that's gonna do it.
• 1:12:15
  Speaker 2: I'll be back tomorrow, I suppose, and we'll talk more NFL,
• 1:12:18
  Speaker 2: and I may have an NFL play again. I'm trying
• 1:12:21
  Speaker 2: to be selective here, man, So that's the name of
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 2: the game. I will see what happens. My bracket is
• 1:12:29
  Speaker 2: pretty much dead, even though I still have three of
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 2: my final four still left.
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: In the NFL bracket.
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 2: There, I have the Broncos winning over the Eagles, so
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 2: I really didn't expect the Eagles to lose last week. Man,
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 2: Siriani is really good at home. I don't know what
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 2: that was. By the way, I will say there is
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 2: in the Buffalo game today. There is one ref involved
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 2: in the Buffalo game who's like very Buffalo biased and
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 2: they win.
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: Most of the games that they play. They do ref,
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: so I will throw that out there.
• 1:12:56
  Speaker 2: Although it didn't matter in the Philadelphia game when they
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 2: had their bias ref basically in charge. Last week, it
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 2: didn't even matter, So I don't know how much weight
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 2: to really put into that at all, but.
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: We will see.
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 2: But yes, I do have Denver over the Patriots is
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 2: my AFC championship. That's how my bracket lines up at least,
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 2: and then I do have Philadelphia beating Seattle in the
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 2: conference championship, but that's not gonna happen obviously, but Seattle
• 1:13:25
  Speaker 2: might get there if they win today, although I'm not
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 2: one hundred percent convinced that they will, so we will see, man,
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 2: Because I think the books are getting a lot of
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 2: moneyline parlays on New England Seattle, I think is a
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 2: pretty popular moneyline parlay, and it's at like even odds,
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 2: so I expect one of those teams to lose, although
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 2: obviously New England is a much smaller favorite and up
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 2: against an elite defense and an inexperienced team, so if
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 2: one of those teams is gonna go down, it's more
• 1:13:51
  Speaker 2: likely to be New England obviously, but we'll.
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: Talk about it tomorrow. It's gonna do it for now.
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 2: Peace for now, guys, Oh, learn to ton twit, Learn
• 1:14:00
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• 1:14:04
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• 1:14:07
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• 1:14:15
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• 1:14:17
  Speaker 2: I never get around to.
• 1:14:19
  Speaker 1: And I still gotta do subscription.
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 2: Posts on Twitter too, and I do I'm spreading myself thin,
• 1:14:23
  Speaker 2: I do way too much. And then Loser Casts obviously
• 1:14:29
  Speaker 2: checked out as well, the comedy podcast that I'm involved
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 2: in here, and.
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. Let's get it done. Let's get
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: some wins today. Big Board today.
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 2: A little bit less than last week, but we still
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 2: have about eight plays.
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: Today's nine. I think that's gonna do it. Peace,