Latest / Financial Survival Network / It's the Debt Stupid -- Brad Williams #5816
Transcript
- 0:00That's why he's bricks in. These these countries are getting together, say we
- 0:03need an alternative a dollar. These guys are taking us to cleaners because we're
- 0:07loaning the money, and they're they're paying us back with discounted dollars because they're
- 0:10inflating the dickens out of them. And that's that's the insidious tax of a
- 0:14government gone awry. Yeah. And that's a hidden tax too, isn't it.
- 0:18Yeah, because you don't really see it. You know. It's like
- 0:20I tell people, you may put that dollar in the bank, but the
- 0:24dollar you get backs a smaller dollars still looks the same as it feels the
- 0:28same. It's just smaller. You're listening to Carrie Let's his Financial Survival Network
- 0:33where you get valuable information you just can't find anywhere else to thrive in today's
- 0:38trying times. You need the Financial Survival Network now more than ever. Go
- 0:44to Financial Survival Network dot com and get your free newsletter and gift. Financial
- 0:50Survival Network now more than ever. Welcome you are listening to the Financial survivell
- 1:00Network. I'm your host, Carry Lutz. Well, the economy it's bleak,
- 1:03it doesn't look good. Things continue to deteriorate, and we've got the
- 1:07debt ceiling kabook game dance going on right now. What is going to be
- 1:12a net result of all this? Well, hey, I'd like to know
- 1:15your opinion. Tell me what you think. Email me k l at Kerry
- 1:21Lut dot com. In the meaningtime, we've got Brad Williams. You find
- 1:23him at ask Brad Williams dot com. Brad Economy anything good to report?
- 1:29Well, yeah, I mean, you know, inflation seems to be slow.
- 1:34In deployment still about one and a half jobs per jobs here, in
- 1:38consumer spending positive. The problem is is the underlying foundation and that's where we
- 1:44have the real problem. I mean, when we have a Chairman of the
- 1:48or the Secretary of the Treasury that doesn't see inflation coming. You know that,
- 1:53you said back in twenty twenty one, it kind of makes you scratch
- 1:56your head. When you print all the money, inflation is going to follow
- 1:57it, period and uh, and we're seeing that. Wait wait wait,
- 2:02I thought the uh there were two infallible people in the world, the Pope
- 2:08and the chair well the chairman of the Federal Reserve and the Secretary of Treasury.
- 2:15That's three people that never make mistakes. You're berthing my bubble here broad
- 2:19well when I when I hear you say, and three is probably appropriate because
- 2:23it reminds me of those monkeys that's there, you know here evil see no
- 2:27evil speak no evil. You know. Um, but uh, you know
- 2:30we've got things are starting to damp and wage growth is slowing and labor demand
- 2:35is slowing. So you know, it's not the job seekers market that it
- 2:38used to be. All the you know, it's still not bad, it's
- 2:40just you're not getting to raise you were so um people are I think starting
- 2:45to stay at the jobs more so. We're seeing some of that. But
- 2:49like what you said, you know about all this debt ceiling KABOOKI For a
- 2:53while back I did a and this was even about god, this was just
- 2:57background. Seventeen, two thousand seventeen, I did a client dinner where I
- 3:01did what I call the Tale of two budget and I said, you know,
- 3:06I preface it with your kid comes in, he's got a problem.
- 3:08You're looking at his credit card debt and spending every year and his income and
- 3:14all that the stuff, and you're going over it, and you're going over
- 3:15it in real numbers that you might see in a budget, and I said,
- 3:20would you lend this? Would you bail's kid out? Well, no,
- 3:23I'd straightened this butt out and telling him he needs to get a handle
- 3:25on his spending and get out of debt. And then what I did was
- 3:29I flipped the page Gary and I added all his years necessary to be the
- 3:32federal budget. And everybody was just kind of shock, you know, And
- 3:37I said, so, why aren't we lending these people money? There?
- 3:39You know, you can say spending like a drunken sailor on a short lea.
- 3:44At least he's spending his own lend. Yeah, well that's an insult
- 3:46to all drunken sailors. Really, he's a performative valuable functions. And if
- 3:54you had employees and all they did was lose money for you, and all
- 4:00they did is make your company go further and further into debt, would you
- 4:04keep those people around or would you like fire there uses? You know,
- 4:09I think pink slips would be in the in the very near future. The
- 4:14problem is is we have so federal employees, not not disinfederal employees, but
- 4:19the federal government doesn't have to turn a profit. So that's that's part of
- 4:24Our problem is accountability, and you know, our conishman and senators as greatest
- 4:32accomplishments and getting reacted every two and six years. That seems to be what
- 4:38they're more concerned about than anything else. So they don't want the gravy train
- 4:41to end, just like anyone else out there, all right, right,
- 4:45Yeah, and then when you get people responsible that are saying, hey,
- 4:47we just can't keep spending this money. I mean, when you think of
- 4:50the fact we are five trillion dollars in two thousand national debt and now we're
- 4:55we're thirty one getting pushing thirty two treeing. You know, that's why he's
- 5:00in these these countries you're getting together, say we need an alternative to dollars.
- 5:02These guys are taking us to cleaners because we're loaning the money and they're
- 5:06they're paying us back with discounted dollars because they're inflating that dickens out of them.
- 5:11And that's that's the insidious tax of a government gone awry. Yeah.
- 5:15And that's a hidden tax too, isn't it. Yeah, because you don't
- 5:17really see it. You know. It's like I tell people, you may
- 5:20put that dollar in the bank, but the dollar you get back to a
- 5:24smaller dollars, still looks the same, it feels the same, it's just
- 5:28smaller, and so you don't get as much for it. Yeah, so
- 5:30it goes, it goes less, right, dollars not going as far as
- 5:34it used to. We all know that, right, right, So what
- 5:39do you do about it here because we don't have any control over our out
- 5:43of control federal government. Well, I think probably on a micro level,
- 5:47is really looking at your spending patterns and what you're what you're what you're buying.
- 5:55I know a lot of people are cutting the cave off and things like
- 5:57that. When you look at the excretionary spending that people have today versus say,
- 6:02you know, thirty years ago or forty years ago, there's nothing stuff
- 6:05on. They're spending money on the stuff that we'd spend money on thirty and
- 6:10forty years ago. It becomes a larger and larger portion of the bud So
- 6:14you got to look at that and tighten that down. If you're getting close
- 6:16to retirements, you need to start thinking about de risking your portfolio and looking
- 6:21more at income and looking at some of the safer alternatives to preserve your capital.
- 6:27You know, I had one guy coming this week and he was asking
- 6:30me, I got all this cash in the bank, and you know,
- 6:34I'm afraid the banks that they're going to go out. And I was just
- 6:38wondering should I take a bunch of that cash and put it in silver just
- 6:43as a hedge? And I said, what are you planning on doing with
- 6:46that money? And he said, well, in a year, we're going
- 6:46to use it for a house. And I said, well, last thing
- 6:48you want to do is pay an extremely high premium to buy a lunch of
- 6:53silver to protect it, you know, because they know what's going on with
- 6:56precious metals and the premiums you're getting on those, if you're going to buy
- 7:00them for emergency or for the you know, for apocalypse, then who cares
- 7:03what you pay for it? Now you'll have it when you need it.
- 7:05But the premiums on silver, especially now, are almos much as a coin,
- 7:11right, Okay? So silver, gold, and uh, what else
- 7:15can we do? Well? Um, looking at investments that provide you an
- 7:19income. Um. You know, last year texts were down here, they're
- 7:24up a lot of other stocks or you know, you had what five or
- 7:27six stocks. It really drove sixty percent of SMP so far this year,
- 7:31mainly tech stocks. UM. The key is and if you're getting income from
- 7:36your investments, if you're getting a good dividend from your portfolio, UM,
- 7:42then you can weather these storms. If you're in it for the long term,
- 7:46if you're if you're coming out of the accumulation stage going into the distribution
- 7:49stage of life, you know you're you're getting ready to retire and live off
- 7:55what you work for. Then you start you need to start changing what you
- 7:59do because is the rules that you live by to get you where you are
- 8:03now are not the ones that are going to get you through, all right,
- 8:05So different rules now govern a game pretty much if you look at it
- 8:11like a football game. You know, you can go out that you're the
- 8:15coach and you go out there and it's all sunny, and you got this
- 8:18great passing game. You got a good passing quarterback, and you want yardage.
- 8:22You want to put points on the board. Okay, great, Well
- 8:24the second half rules around and during halftime show you got a downpour. You
- 8:30know your field's just totally muddy. Well, that pass game's gone. You
- 8:35need a good running game and you need to grind that thing out and maybe
- 8:39you're getting yardage, and that's which in times like this, that's what you
- 8:41need to look at your portfolios. This is not a time to go for
- 8:45big games. This is a time for a good income and steady growth.
- 8:50So go for income knock gains. We have both, but preface setting even
- 8:56those games on things that are going to provide you a good didn't all right,
- 9:00So so income first and foremost, but the dividends yields on these ox
- 9:05are not keeping up with inflation either. Well, and you're you know you're
- 9:09going to have that problem right now. And so if you've got growth mixed
- 9:13in there and you're in the rights ox and you're you're in good companies,
- 9:18you'll weather the storm. Now again, if you're right at retirement, you
- 9:22may look at at other alternatives. And you know, the noodies are gaining
- 9:26in great popularity now and for good for reason. They're not for everybody and
- 9:31they're not the end at all solution for everything, but a lot of what's
- 9:37said about them and the media is incorrect, and so looking at that might
- 9:41be a solution for you, and just looking at things not being all in
- 9:48one basket. Now, if you're forty years old, This is a buying
- 9:52an opportunity when the market's going down, well to buy more because you're buying
- 9:56things into a discount, you're not gonna need it for a while. What
- 9:58I'm speaking at about in as those people that are you know, say fifty
- 10:01five that need to start transitioning out of their risk based investments, right,
- 10:07all right, So it all depends upon your your your point in life that
- 10:11you are, you're the accumulation stage still or at the point where you're going
- 10:16to have to start stop accumulating and start spending your savings. Right, That's
- 10:22exactly right, because you you know, you want you want to try to
- 10:26eat the egg and not the chicken. Yeah, that's not always possible though,
- 10:33especially with the way returns have been. I think the public at large
- 10:37and many of you out there are where it got used to got spoiled by
- 10:41these excessive rate of return that the stock market got past fourteen years. And
- 10:48now reality is starting to dawn on you, exactly. And if you look
- 10:52at like you said, that's a that's a great, a great comment you
- 10:58made about the last fourteen years. If you look at the market from two
- 11:01thousand and thirteen, because from two thousand and two thousand and three, it
- 11:05dropped fifty percent, raised back up to two thousand and seven, two thousand
- 11:09and seven and nine drop sixty percent, an inbow thousand and thirteen or so,
- 11:15it was back to where it was in two thousand. A lot of
- 11:16people are looking at these returns over the last fourteen years from the bottom of
- 11:20two thousand and nine. Well, if you were in the market prior to
- 11:24that, you got to look at it from two thousand and thirty eight,
- 11:26and the returns aren't as stellar. They were good, but they weren't as
- 11:30stellar as you know, as a as you look at from two thousand and
- 11:35nine. You know the old saying, I mean, you got to look
- 11:37at the numbers. Don't lie, but you got to make sure you're looking
- 11:39at the right numbers. What is there? There's lies, There's damn lies
- 11:43in their statistics. Yeah, yeah, I think Churchill said that. Yeah,
- 11:48I think, and that's true now more than ever. So when we
- 11:54have this conversation in a year, Brad, where do you think things are
- 11:58gonna be at that point? I think that really is going to depend on
- 12:03things like Ukraine, things like Taiwan, because being overly aggressive, right,
- 12:09now we've got some Joe political issues we haven't really faced a long time.
- 12:13We're in one of those generational times where things can go pretty wildly in different
- 12:22directions, and so I think people need to play their cards close to their
- 12:26vas and pay attention. Okay, I think we will leave it at that.
- 12:30Appreciate it. So we find you at ask Brad dot com. Ask
- 12:33Brett Williams dot com. Do I have that right? That's right? If
- 12:37you got a financial question, just ask Brad Williams all right, and the
- 12:41link is in the show notes this interview on Financial Survival Network dot com.
- 12:45If you've got a question for Brad myself heyl at carey lets dot com.
- 12:48Make sure when you're at the site you sign up for a free newsletter.
- 12:52Brat always a pleasure. We'll talk to you again soon. Thank you,
- 12:54Carryalls Pleasure beyond. Thanks for listening to carry Let's Financial Survival Network, your
- 13:01solution to today's trying times. For the latest, go to Financial Survival Network
- 13:05dot com. Financial Survival Network now more than ever