Latest / Toadstool Sports / NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 11/26/25

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NCAAB + NHL + NBA Best Bets Wednesday 11/26/25 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing, two
• 0:24
  Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookens
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: into pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat Man,
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the bruins
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: know it's It's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. To
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: the slump yesterdays, the slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 1:24
  Speaker 1: should do at this point other than potentially end it all.
• 1:32
  Speaker 1: What's up, everybody? It's towed back with you, toad Soul Sports.
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: Happy Thanksgiving Eve. It is Wednesday, November twenty sixth. We
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: we did all the Thanksgiving food talk yesterday though, right so,
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: I don't know if we need to we need to
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: do all that again if you guys want to fight,
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: fight about more of it. We didn't really talk about
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: the desserts that much, but you know me as a
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: pumpkin pie fan. Jeffrey, what's up? Thanks for hanging out,
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: Dirty Sock, what's up? Yeah yesterday on the show, Thank
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: you sir four and oh for me. At least Kansas
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: was the early winner in the afternoon. No sweat on
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: that one. That was easy even if you laid the
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: worst number, although I don't recommend that like some of
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: these bets, dude, like college basketball. Like I said, these
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: lines move like crazy, and I think more often than
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: not they're gonna agree with me because hopefully I'm doing
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: doing what I do correctly, and the professionals agree with me,
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: and the lines will move in that direction. So you
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: got to get them earlier. Sometimes that's not gonna be
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: the case, like with Austin P. Although Austin P covered
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: whatever number you got on that, but it was a
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: better number. It was like it was down to five
• 2:45
  Speaker 1: and a half throughout the day. It was down to six,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: like when I did the show five and a half,
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: six whatever. At least it wasn't seven and a half.
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: Didn't even matter. They won easy in that one, pulled
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: away in the second half. Washington State was the one
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: where he had to get the better number. Even though
• 3:02
  Speaker 1: they were in that game wire to wire, they're winning
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: that game. They had the bigger margin, They had the
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: bigger lead in the game over Arizona State. Washington State
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: had I think almost a double digit lead in the
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: middle of the game into the second half, and then
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: they fell apart late. But they were within three in
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: the final minute of the game. Probably I think maybe
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: some intentional fouls happened at the end. They lost by six,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: but the closing number was five and a half on
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: that so hopefully you got a better number than that,
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: because it was seven and a half like in the morning,
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: and I think it might have still been there when
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: I did the show. Then I think early afternoon it
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: started to slip down six and a half six. I
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: did the Instagram video in the afternoon, not realizing that
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: it started dropping like that. I mean again, yeah, I
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: don't know. I guess try to watch my content as
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: early as possible. Maybe I have to get Instagram videos
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: out or earlier. I mean, I don't know. Doing all
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: this content. It's a big effort, man, big big effort. Robin.
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: What's up? Well, I never work, so that does suck
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: that you're working though. The Chiefs have to win because
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: you hate the Cowboys the cow girls. I'm gonna talk
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: about those. I'm gonna do a show tomorrow morning and
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: talk about the Thanksgiving football and hopefully it's gonna be
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: short because hopefully there aren't other I think there are
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: some college basketball games tomorrow, but not a lot. You
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: parlayed it. Auburn lost. I didn't see exactly what happened
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: in the Auburn game. But we're gonna well, we'll talk
• 4:31
  Speaker 1: about We'll talk about these big games here. I do
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: have an opinion on all the football games tomorrow, by
• 4:38
  Speaker 1: the way, and I might wind up having plays on
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: two of the three. I don't know like two of them.
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: I like quite a bit. The Chiefs Cowboys one is
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: my least favorite of the three. But for me, my
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: opinion is slightly towards the Chiefs in that game as
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: it stands right now. Oh and by the way, of course,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: last night we did have the four and oh because
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: we had an e he winning hockey with Dallas. They
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: were out till like a six nothing lead or something
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: six to one and whatever, it was four nothing at
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: least then it was six to one. I think they
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: won eight to three Edmonton. That team does not play
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: any defense, dude, easy win for us with the Dallas
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: Stars in that game. The Stars, yeah, Taylor's boyfriend. Yeah,
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: it's all about t Swift doesn't have anything to do
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: with Well, Travis Kelsey. He's washed up, he's old, he's
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: not I don't think he's doing that much this year.
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: But the team does still run through Patrick Mahomes. I mean,
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: he is one of the best quarterbacks still. All right,
• 5:39
  Speaker 1: let's look at college basketball here. I'm gonna have two
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: college basketball plays. Even though it's a huge board, I
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: don't love it. I'm gonna have four hockey plays and
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: I have two leans in hockey that were close to
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: being plays for me, So there's a lot. I have
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: a lot of opinions in hockey. We have a full
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: hockey board, and then there's a decent sized NBA board,
• 5:58
  Speaker 1: but I actually hate it so and there's no football today.
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: I hate the NBA board. I'm gonna have no NBA
• 6:05
  Speaker 1: plays college basketball. We do have a couple of early
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: games that are coming up, but I'm not interested in
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: those games. Are pals at Troy are back in action
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: after we faded them the other day and they lost
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: to tole You know, they're in action at eleven am.
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: And this Fort Myers whatever the hell it is the
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: Coconut hoops. This is the loser bracket between them and
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: Saint Francis. Troy is a much much better team. Saint
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: Francis is awful. Troy is up to a twenty two
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: point favorite, twenty two and a half boy favorite. I mean,
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: do we want to really lay that many points with Troy?
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: Probably not, But Saint Francis is awful. Like I said,
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: both these teams took a loss in the first game.
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: Saint Francis lost to Belmont in this tournament. Belmont is good, though,
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. There's nothing I really have to
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: say about that game otherwise though, But I don't think
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: I would want to lay that many points though, and
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: it's a pretty moderate total in that game. Two a
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: free NFL bet. You're in a parlay all three with
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: all three of my opinions. You mean I have somewhat
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: of an opinion on the Black Friday game? Two? Would
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: is that really one of her songs? I don't know
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: her music like at all. I like, I'm aware of
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: like the big hits from years ago, but I have
• 7:21
  Speaker 1: no idea what she's what she's been up to writing
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: songs about Kelsey's dick apparently. I thought she only wrote
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: songs about X's. And then we do have another eleven
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: AM game in Fort Myers VM, I bowling Green. This
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: is in the Fort Myers tip off, so two different arenas.
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: I think the far the Gulf Coast I think is
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: hosting the one where Troy and Saint Francis are playing,
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: But I don't even know. Multiple arenas in Fort Myers
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: VM I Bowling Green again not a very interesting game.
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green is obviously a fairly significant favorite. They're coming
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: off kind of a lackluster game against buck Nell. Though
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: this Bucknell team is not very good. I know they've
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: had a decent history, but they're in a terrible conference.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: They're not good. Bowling Green probably one of the better
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: teams in the MAC. They were double digit favorites and
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: they only got away with a five point win there,
• 8:15
  Speaker 1: so looks like maybe a spot where they might bounce
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: back and play a little bit better. VA I not
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: as good, and they're coming off of a loss of Buffalo,
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: And of course ESPN is not showing us the betting
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: odds on a lot of these pages now, which I
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: am really angry at them about. They got to fix
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: their shit, man, because I use that in my handicapping process.
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at the box score. I want to see
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: what the odds were right there, like tell me, like,
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: was this a big underdog or not. I think Buffalo
• 8:41
  Speaker 1: is a small favorite in that game, but I'm not
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: even sure anyway, I don't really care about the game.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: But Bowling Green's up to an eleven point favorite. The
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on the favorite in both of those games,
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: by the way, just to let you know, but there's
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: not really much that I care about there, Robin. Thanks
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: for thanks checking out the show. Thanks for saying HI,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: have a good Thanksgiving. Even though it sucks that you
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: have to work, Hopefully you also get to spend some
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: family time as well and eat good food. Yes. I
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: don't know what people are saying yes about, but yeah,
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: we do have this Bahamas Tournament, which is the Battle
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: for Atlantis. Atlantis is probably out there, man, it's real,
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: it's there under the water. I think this tournament is
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: just beginning today. I guess, I don't know, or maybe
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: it's just kind of a one day round robin thing.
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: This starts at noon with number twenty four Vandy against
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: Western Kentucky. There's not a whole lot that I see
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: here either. Vandy really has not been tested yet. They
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: did win at UCF that was their biggest win. Western
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: Kentucky not a horrible team. I mean, they're on DEFEATD
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: right now, but they're really untested. They haven't played anybody
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: like even remotely good so far. Although I think they're
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: a decent team. Vandy is down to seventeen Napway favorite.
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: They're pretty public. They have a slight cash percentage on
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: them right now, eighty two percent of the cash vers
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: eighty percent of the tickets. But it looks like the
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: money is kind of coming against them a little bit.
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: But we have a really high total here as well,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: up to one sixty nine, so expecting these teams to
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: be running in that game. Working can be good if
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: you don't like your family, yeah, but not liking your
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: family is probably not good. We also have a noon
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: game in this Kissimi thing, the Terry's Chocolate whatever with
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: Towsand and you see San Diego. These teams are both decent.
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: You see San Diego got a nice win yesterday against Bradley.
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: I think Bradley was a favorite. Yeah, they were a
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: small favorite. Nice win from you see San Diego there though,
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: uh tousand, I think one as a favorite. I want
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: to say, no, no, no, they were an underdog I think
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: against Liberty. Yeah, that's right. So Towsand actually pulled off
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: the upset against Liberty in the prior game. So probably
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: a slight lean for me to fading. Towsand in the
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: mud is seemingly agreeing with that, as U see San
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: Diego's up from a pick them to a two point favorite.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: Now might look too easy to play the team that's undefeated,
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: but Oddsmaker's kind of telling you that the slightly better
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: team money coming in that way, ninety one percent of
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: the tickets, ninety five percent of the cash on them.
• 11:16
  Speaker 1: I don't really think it's a game where the public
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: is really getting heavily involved. So I think again, most
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: of the tickets that are coming in on this I
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: think are professional tickets. Very low total by the way,
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: at one hundred and thirty eight and a half, so
• 11:27
  Speaker 1: expected to be defense in that game or or bad offense.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: We have this just awful game at noon between UMass
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: Lowell and stone Hill, which I'll just shout out because
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: it's a Massachusetts matchup. U Mass Lowell didn't they covered
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: against us against Saint Peter's, which I was pissed about
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: because this UMass Lowell team and they're just bad this year. Man,
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: They're bad enough that they're an underdog at stone Hill.
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: Now stone Hill just broke their losing streak with a win,
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: so that I think they have a little bit of
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: momentum here. Man. Whas UMass Lowell played pretty competitively as
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: an underdog in their last game. Now stone Hill, they
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: have their first Division one win. Sometimes that will get
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: that monkey off your back propel you forward. I kind
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: of like stone Hill in this one. They're down from
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: a three and a half point favorite to a two
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, but sixty two percent of
• 12:18
  Speaker 1: the tickets seventy six percent of the cash on them,
• 12:22
  Speaker 1: so the money seemingly is coming in towards the stone
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: Hill side. There one PM, we finally start getting the
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: big games the MGM Grand in Las Vegas, the Players
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: Era A tournament. We got Syracuse and Iowa State playing,
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: which we was seeing these two teams play twice already
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: in Iowa. States looked good, especially beating Saint John's, but
• 12:43
  Speaker 1: they also did beat Creighton yesterday, which I thought that
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: they were gonna be in a bit of a letdown
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: spot coming off of that Saint John's game, although sometimes
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: in these tournaments the letdowns don't happen because you you
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: get on a roll and you kind of just want
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: to win the game and whatever. So IOA States looked good,
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: but maybe they look slightly too good right now. They're
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: undefeated still, I know they're definitely the better team over Syracuse.
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: Syracuse has lost both games in the tournament, but you
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: can explain why. I mean, they lost to Houston and
• 13:12
  Speaker 1: they almost beat Houston, So that's why I faded Syracuse
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: yesterday off of that massive performance, and they couldn't really
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: get get anything done against Kansas yesterday. We got the
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: easy win with Kansas yesterday, but now the value might
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: be shifting back to the Syracuse side in this game.
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: That is the way that I would lean. Iowa State
• 13:30
  Speaker 1: is up to its end point favorite. The total plummeted
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: nine points. I don't know if there's an injury or
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: what's going on here. That's usually you do not see
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: a total move like that move that much, but kind
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: of indicating it's gonna be a bit of a lower
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: scoring game, even though I think Iowa State does like
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: to play somewhat fast. Seventy eight percent of tickets, only
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: seventy six percent of the cash on Iowa State, so
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: they're public less of the cash coming in on them.
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Syracuse us the points in that game,
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: the way that tournament has been going, but don't feel
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: that strongly about it. Hornets and Bucks, I already forget
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: what my opinions even are on those games. Next time,
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna give out a play. We're in the middle
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: of the best Bets segment already. College basketball is chaos.
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: It's always best bet time. This one. I mean, we're
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: kind of going against the numbers guys in this one.
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: I think the numbers guys don't like this, but I
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: like the situation. We're gonna lay the points with Texas
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: Tech against this New Orleans team. Even though this New
• 14:31
  Speaker 1: Orleans team they've been pretty feisty, they've been competitive against
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: some of these better teams. But Texas Tech legit team,
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: and I think the spot sets up way better for them,
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: which is why I'm doing this. I know Ken Bum
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: he has Texas Tech I think outside of the top
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: twenty five. Now, yeah he has him at twenty seventh,
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: but there's still like a balanced team. I know they
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: play on the slower side, which is not great for
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: covering a big number like this sometimes, but the spot,
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: I just have to do it man New Orleans, debatably,
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: they're going to try to step it up here, but
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: they're going into Lubbock. It's gonna be difficult. New Orleans.
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: I know they played competitively against TCU in the opener,
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: but sometimes those opening games are fluky, and then they
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: got absolutely destroyed going to LSU in the next game,
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: and Texas Tech is a lot better than LSU. Now,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: the next time, we saw New Orleans play a team
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: that was really good, although they did pull off the
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: upset against Tulane. That was a big game, but that
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: was New Orleans playing against another Louisiana school, big brother,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: little brother situation. Then they went out to the Pacific
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: Coast and we faded them here on the show with Pepperdine.
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: We got the win in that one. New Orleans did
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: not do well out on the Pacific Coast. Then they
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: had to go down to Starkville and play Mississippi State
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: in their last game, and this was a couple days ago,
• 15:46
  Speaker 1: I think, yeah, this was November twenty fourth. This was
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: literally two days ago, and New Orleans almost pulled off
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: the upset against Mississippi State is twenty three and a
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: half point underdogs. They went in and they played this
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: SEC team right to the wire and loss by three
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: in overtime. I'm gonna say it again, I think that
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: after a performance like that, they're gonna be flat in
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: the next game. I know they actually won the rebounding battle.
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: They actually shot pretty poorly in the game and still
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: almost won. So I know those are indicators that maybe
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: it was a legitimate performance out of them, that they
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: actually did play close. But I just don't know what
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have left in the tank, man, And they're
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: playing another road game they've played. This is their seventh
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: road game in a row to start the season, and
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: while yeah, ideally you're gonna try to put in a
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: huge effort every time, but I just don't think it's
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: gonna happen. So this number is already up to twenty
• 16:38
  Speaker 1: eight and a half, by the way, so again I apologize.
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: I literally looked at this number less than a half
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: hour agoing it was it was twenty five and a half,
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: twenty six, Now it's twenty eight and a half. All
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: the Luckily the number doesn't matter as much when it's
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: in that range. The total is one hundred and fifty seven,
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: so it's not low at least. But yeah, I mean,
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: when you get up into the number that are in
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: the twenties, the numbers, each each point matters a little
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: bit less. I mean, I still like this. I like
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech to winning a blowout. I think New Orleans
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: is gonna be in a flat spot. But the other
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: thing is, I think Texas Tech they're gonna show up
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: for this one because they're staying at home, I believe,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: and they had a horrible game. I know this is
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: in NASA, my mistake. They're coming back from NASA. Their
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: last game was horrible playing in the Bahamas. They lost
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: to Purdue by thirty points. So I think they're gonna come.
• 17:28
  Speaker 1: They're gonna come into this game angry man and focus.
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: I mean, you don't want to lose to anybody by
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: thirty points, even if it was the number one ranked
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: team in the country and one of the legitimate top
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: teams in the country. I know Texas Tech they've lost
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: when they stepped up in class a little bit, losing
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: to Illinois close and losing to Purdue. But they played
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: decent against Illinois. I mean there was I think some
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: outliers in that game, and Illinois again is really good
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: as well. I mean, now we're talking about New Orleans,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: so Texas Tech is having way down in class and
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: Texas Tech has had more off because they haven't played
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: since Friday. So I know they were coming back from
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: the Bahamas. But I think it's gonna be good for
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: them to just get out of there play this game.
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: I guess the only worry about this would be that
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: are they gonna get like distracted by the fact that
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: they have the holidays coming up and whatever, and the
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: fact that they're on campus right now could maybe add
• 18:19
  Speaker 1: to that distraction a little bit. But I don't know, man.
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna be in an angry mood New Orleans.
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna come up flat. I like it.
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: I like it for Texas Tech, even though yes, again
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: sometimes the team that's playing at home gets distracted a
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: little bit more by the holidays. But yeah, we're gonna
• 18:35
  Speaker 1: lay it with Texas Tech in that one. A hard
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: time laying that many points. This is college, man. Sometimes
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: it is uh, sometimes it is dictated that you should
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: do it. I mean, how many what's the biggest spread
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: that I've laid? I laid like over thirty I think
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: with Georgia not that long ago. I don't know. There
• 18:59
  Speaker 1: are occasions where I'm to do it, and that is
• 19:01
  Speaker 1: one of them, all right. I mean, we have our
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: pals at Toledo playing against Belmont in the winner's bracket
• 19:09
  Speaker 1: here or whatever in the Fort Myers thing. One of
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: the Fort Myers things, Belmont blew out Saint Francis, but
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: that's obviously not a surprise. Toledo pulled off an upset
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: over Troy, So I don't know. To me, I think
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: Belmont might be in the better spot here. They're definitely
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: the better team, So what the hell was this doing? Man? God,
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: Belmont sound from a five point favorite to a four
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: point favorite. Though with money coming in on Toledo, I
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: kind of lean to Belmont here, but sixty two percent
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: ticket seventy nine percent of the cash on Toledo, I
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: don't really want to like give these like, I don't
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: want to make it, you know, make it seem like
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: these are really strong opinions. But these are just like
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: very very mild opinions for me. In a lot of
• 19:51
  Speaker 1: these games. We do have our pals from Loyola Chicago
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: who just can't get anything right. I thought they were
• 19:58
  Speaker 1: in a nice bounce back spot yesterday and they still
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: got obliterated by Northern Iowa. So this Loyola team, I mean,
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: they really they just might not be any good man, Like,
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: we might have to really adjust the power ratings on
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: this Loyola team because they can't get it done even
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: when they're in decent spots to do so. San Jose
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: State also got completely embarrassed yesterday though, and I thought
• 20:19
  Speaker 1: that was a better spot for them playing in California.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: This is in Palm Springs. They lost by thirty points
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: to Tulsa yesterday. So we're really gonna two teams that
• 20:28
  Speaker 1: were just horrific yesterday, and they're both playing each other now.
• 20:33
  Speaker 1: San Jose State is the one point favorite, ninety three
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, only seventy percent of the cash. So
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: the the market reed is saying Loyola. But I mean,
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know how you could do that when Loyola's
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: been They've just been so bad. They're just continuing to underperform,
• 20:49
  Speaker 1: and it's like the market hasn't caught up to them yet.
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, sometimes there are teams like that. So the
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: Margurita is saying Loyola. I don't want to do it.
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: I don't. I don't want to say that. I'm necessarily
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: gonna disagree with it. But both teams are in bounced
• 21:02
  Speaker 1: back spots here, so I don't know they and they
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: both lost. I believe as underdogs yesterday too, so I
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: have no idea. All right, we have this Miami tournament
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: that's going on, is actually being hosted by FIU Florida International,
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: and FIU is playing here against Omaha. FIU will be
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: the favorite because they're at home. Their court is pretty cool,
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: by the way. Their court looks like a beach and
• 21:28
  Speaker 1: it has water on like one of the like sidelines
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: there or whatever you call it. But the the thing
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: about it is though, like it's a little bit weird
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: because you can't see where the three point line is
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: because you're like shooting from like inside the water on it.
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: It's it's pretty bizarre, but it looks cool. And yeah,
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: this is Omaha against FIU. I don't really have much
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: of an opinion on this game. I'm just pointing out
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: FIU as the host of this tournament. There's their court
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: there if you see me on video here with nobody
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: in the stands, nobody cares. Omaha just lost James Madison
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: in this tournament James Madison decent team, and FIU also
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: lost to James Madison I think also in this tournament already,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: so both teams lost to the same common opponent. Not
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: a whole lot to see there. FIU is already up
• 22:16
  Speaker 1: to a five point favorite, and the money is coming
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: in on them eighty six percent of the ticket or
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: the cash on them excusely seventy three percent of tickets
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: on Omaha. I'm not going to disagree with the FIU
• 22:27
  Speaker 1: side there, but no strong opinion for me on that.
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: And then we start getting into later afternoon and we
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: start getting into teams that are playing in their actual
• 22:35
  Speaker 1: home arenas as well. But I don't really have much
• 22:38
  Speaker 1: to say on a lot of these games. So we
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: get into the Maui Tournament again on ESPN at two thirty,
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: we have USC and Arizona State here. Both of these
• 22:48
  Speaker 1: teams didn't play particularly well as favorites yesterday. They both
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: almost lost USC. Probably more embarrassing, they almost lost a
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall, even though I guess USC was only a
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: one and a half point favorite when the game went off,
• 23:02
  Speaker 1: which seems odd to me. Maybe Seton Hall is actually
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: better than we thought they were to begin the season,
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: because I think this USC team is pretty legit. Like,
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, they got Muscleman. I mean, even though I
• 23:14
  Speaker 1: don't like him, Muscleman, I mean he's an established coach.
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: He is their coach at USC, and they brought over
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: a Baker Mazara who was on Auburn last year. He's
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: at USC now. USC was still able to get the
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: job done yesterday after Seaton Hall basically punched them in
• 23:29
  Speaker 1: the mouth. Seenehll typically wants to play a little bit
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: slower than what that game was, so USC does want
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: to play faster. They were able to get it somewhat
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: into their pace and win in the end, although I
• 23:42
  Speaker 1: guess debatable USC should have won by more because after
• 23:45
  Speaker 1: seen Hall had a huge lead early, USC completely flipped
• 23:48
  Speaker 1: the script and they had the leave for almost the
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: entire second half. It looked like they were gonna pull
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: away and cover and they didn't, and seen Hall came
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: all the way back and tied the game. I don't know,
• 23:57
  Speaker 1: I think after that a little bit of a scare
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: like that, I think you could say for USC, because
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: they were the favorite, Maybe they come out a little
• 24:04
  Speaker 1: bit better in this game with the Arizona State also
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: took a scare against former PAC twelve FO Washington State,
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: which was one of our winners on the show if
• 24:12
  Speaker 1: you got one of the better numbers on it, which
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: hopefully you did, because hopefully because I gave it out
• 24:17
  Speaker 1: early enough on the show, so hopefully people caught that
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: it wasn't early enough on Instagram, which my apologies on that. Again,
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: these lines just moved so quickly, and that's like a
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: little bit out of my hands. I just I just
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: look at the situation. I pretty much go with it,
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: and like for college basketball, I have a really hard
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: time predicting where the line's gonna go, So like, I
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: think it's usually gonna go in my direction, but sometimes
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: it doesn't. But anyway, both these teams look like they're
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: in bouncebackspot, so it's kind of like, well, which one
• 24:48
  Speaker 1: of these teams is coming of an uglier performance yesterday
• 24:52
  Speaker 1: is really the question. The money's coming in towards USC.
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: I mean maybe because both teams are in really similar situations,
• 24:59
  Speaker 1: just default to the better team here, and that is USC.
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: They're a five and a half point favorite, fifty two
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, sixty percent of the
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: tickets around Arizona State, so the public kind of leaning
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: towards Arizona State here. I'll agree with the market. I
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: would go with USC in that one and lay it,
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: but I don't have a strong feeling for it. Liberty
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: and Bradley should be a good game also in the afternoon.
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: Here a lot of these games televised on the ESPN
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: networks as well. This is in that Kissimi tournament Terry's Chocolates.
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: Bradley just took a loss in the tournament yesterday. You
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: see San Diego difficult opponent there for them. Bradley pretty
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: good though, but Liberty loss is a favorite. So now
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: the question becomes, is Liberty gonna bounce back from that
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: because it's kind of an ugly loss to a lesser
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: thousand team, even though I think thousand is one of
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: the better teams in the Colonial Conference, Or is Liberty
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: gonna be hungover because that was their first loss of
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: the season, And sometimes that does happen when you take
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: your first loss. It just kills all that momentum them
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: and then you effectively lose the same game twice. So
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: I could see that going both ways. But looking at
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: the market, Bradley looks very public. Eighty percent of the tickets,
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: only fifty nine percent of the cash on them, so
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: they look like one of those dreaded public underdogs with
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: the money actually kind of moving the line on liberty.
• 26:17
  Speaker 1: It looks like up to five with juice from the five.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: So the market reda is saying liberty again. I don't
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: have a strong opinion, so I won't really disagree with
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: the market in that one either, So slight opinion for
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: me on liberty up out in the Bahamas again. VCU
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: playing South Florida. South Florida just took a loss at
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State. I mean, not really an easy place to play,
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: even though Oklahoma State's down a bit. VCU coming off
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: just wrecking copp And State. Although Coppon State is one
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: of the absolute worst teams in all of Division one,
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: VCU is the favorite here in South Florida is getting
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: the public action. I don't even know what the deal is,
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: man Like VCU kind of has the better recent history
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: but in basketball, but I guess it's like, I don't know.
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: I mean, both teams with three and two. I don't
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: know why the public is on South Florida, but it
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: looks like they somewhat are fifty six percent of tickets
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: only fifty four percent of the cash on them. VCU
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: one point favorite, so osmaker's telling you VCUS a slightly
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: better team again, I would probably go that way with VCU.
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: Don't really have a strong opinion on that one either,
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: not really gonna disagree with it though. Then we do
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: have Jonesboro, Arkansas, which I think is Arkansas State I
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: guess is hosting some sort of tournament here in North
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: Dakota State and Jacksonville State are playing. Don't really have
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion on this either, although the venue probably
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: the location probably is better for Jacksonville State. They are
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: in Alabama, so they are closer, They're not in Jacksonville, Florida.
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: Jacksonville State already played in this venue too. They already
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: played at Arkansas State in their previous game and they lost,
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: But that means they're used to the venue, whereas North
• 27:56
  Speaker 1: Dakota State is not used to the venue. They last
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: played I believe at home against a non D one team,
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: so they're having to come down from Fargo here, so
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: that is far to go. Oh. I lean to Jacksonville
• 28:09
  Speaker 1: State in this one. The money pushed North Dakota State
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: up from a pick them to a three three and
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, but I would take the points
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: of Jacksonville State in that one. I think the spot
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: is better for them. I mean the location is closer
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: to them, and they already are familiar with that arena
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: because they just played there, So I think that is
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: an advantage to them. What else we got here, Southern
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: Indiana playing Valpa. That's a little brother, big brother situation
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: where Southern Indiana I think absolutely considers themselves to be
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: a little brother. They're getting ten points against Valpaul. Valpos
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: off to a nice start on the season, but maybe
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: you see Southern Indiana come up with a bit more
• 28:47
  Speaker 1: intensity here as the little brother, maybe they cover that number.
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: I mean, the record looks awful right now, that one
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: in five, and they're certainly not going to not a
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: good team, but I mean they face some okay competition,
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: not great, but they haven't faced like real, real like
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: weaklings either. So and Valpo, I mean Valpo has actually
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: probably had besides the fact they faced Kentucky, which obviously
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: they lost, but they've faced some pretty weak opponents besides that.
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I would probably lead to taking
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: the points with Southern Indiana, but not a strong opinion.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: The Cancun Tournament continues, Georgia State playing New Mexico State.
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State did just beat uc Or Irvine in
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: this tournament yesterday. That's a nice looking win for New
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: Mexico State there, although Irvine looks like maybe they're a
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: little bit down. Georgia State one in six to start
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: the season, but they've faced some pretty difficult opponents for them,
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: like Cincinnati, Arizona State's South Dakota State all on the road,
• 29:45
  Speaker 1: and then they lost to Samford in this tournament. Sanford
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: pretty good as well, so Georgia State. They are fairly
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: battle tested. They're probably not quite as bad as they look.
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State's up to a twelve and a half
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: point favorite, eighty three percent of the tickets on them,
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: sixty percent of the cash coming back on State, and
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: with a low to total at one thirty five. I
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: would agree with the money in that one. I would
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: probably take the points with Georgia State, but again it's
• 30:08
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion by any means. Houston is facing
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame now in Vegas on TNT. Now, this is
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: a game I could see going both ways, kind of
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: like what I said with I don't know, I forget
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: which team already, but Houston just took their first loss
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: of the season, and that was a tough physical game
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: against Tennessee. Man. Tennessee got the tournament revenge as a
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: small underdog. They beat Houston by three. Now, the question is,
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: is Houston gonna come off that game a bit hung
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: over because it was a pretty physical game, a big
• 30:39
  Speaker 1: game against a good team, and it was their first
• 30:43
  Speaker 1: loss of the season. Could be a little bit of
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: a difficult spot for them coming off of that. Man
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: and they weren't a huge favorite. So it's not like
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: they're gonna be like, oh were you know, we're gonna
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: immediately bounce back from that because it was a terrible performance. Now,
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: it wasn't although Houston was winning that game by a
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: decent amount early and then Tennessee came back and won.
• 31:02
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame. I mean, they're coming out of a pretty
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: lackluster game against Rutgers. Rutgers not very good. Notre Dame
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: actually the better team. Notre Dame was up to a
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: seven and a half point favor and it did not cover.
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna slightly lean to Notre Dame in this one.
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: You're gonna get a bunch of points because Houston is
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: the better team. Houston's laying eleven. It looks like some
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: of the money is coming on Houston, eighty three percent
• 31:24
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, eighty five percent of the cash. It's
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: a low total because of course it is with Houston.
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: If Houston is gonna dictate the pace, it's gonna be
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: a low scoring game. But that also means it's gonna
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: be difficult to cover a number like that. I would
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: probably take it with Notre Dame, but not a play
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: from me. Then in Fort Myers we have Oral Roberts
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: and Rice. This is an interesting game because Oral Roberts
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: just pulled off an upset in this tournament of Kenansas
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: State Kanessas State was an eight and a half point favorite,
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: Oral Roberts able to beat them. Nice performance they're pulling
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: off the upset. However, even though they look like during
• 31:59
  Speaker 1: a fade spot, Rice just played pretty well against Florida
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: Golf Coast, and it doesn't really look that way because
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: they lost by fifteen, but they took Florida Golf Coast,
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: the host of this tournament into overtime the Coconut Hoops Tournament,
• 32:13
  Speaker 1: So that was actually a good performance from Rice, even
• 32:15
  Speaker 1: though there were small ish underdogs of five and a half.
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: When you take like the host of the tournament Florida
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: Gulf Coast on their own Florida to overtime like that,
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be difficult to come back off of that,
• 32:26
  Speaker 1: I think, so, I mean, maybe you could argue that
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: the other I'm so not looking for you. Wait a minute,
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at Rice when yeah, maybe you could argue
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: that or Roberts is in the slightly worst spot though,
• 32:39
  Speaker 1: because they did pull off a pretty big uposeet yesterday.
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on Rice. They're up from
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: four and a half to five. Rice seems like there
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: may be a bit of an improved team this year.
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: Seventy five percent of the tickets are on or Roberts,
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: seventy three percent of the cash on Rice. Rice certainly
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: not known for basketball as far as I've followed basketball,
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: but their favorite for a reason. I mean, they are
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: the better team according to the power ratings. Guys. Money
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: coming in that way, even though they're coming off that
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: overtime game. I guess I'll agree with the market in
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: that one, but it's not one that I really want
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: anything to do with. In Boston, we do have Havard
• 33:15
  Speaker 1: playing Boston College, which usually Harvard is gonna step up
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: their game for a game against BC man because BC
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: they always attract the attention of all the other schools
• 33:24
  Speaker 1: in Boston, because BC is still considered to be the
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: bigger brother there, even though they all kind of suck
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: right now. Harvard coming up that loss to BU when
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: their last game, which Boston University, which I gave it
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: a winner on Boston University on the show. In that game,
• 33:41
  Speaker 1: Harvard could be a bounce back spot. I mean, part
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: of that handicap was that they might be looking ahead
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: to BC. But they were also coming off that big
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: performance where they almost won at Penn State. So it
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: was a difficult spot for Harvard, have it Maybe they're
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to BC here. BC has not been good
• 33:57
  Speaker 1: to start the season, and they haven't exactly faced that
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: difficult of a schedule either. BC is coming off losing
• 34:03
  Speaker 1: at home, I think, to Tulane. I mean that's pretty ugly. No,
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: this isn't Charleston, I guess my mistake. This is in Charleston.
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: So BC is coming back home off of that loss,
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly loss. Last time they were at home, they
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: also lost. Oh no, this is in Charleston too. They
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: lost to Davidson in Charleston. So I guess they won
• 34:21
  Speaker 1: the last time they were at home to against Hampton, Right,
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: Am I right about that? I don't even know. Yeah,
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: so at the con the yeah, the CONTU forum, Yeah,
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: I have been there multiple times. But yes, PC a
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: lot of times when the teams returning home, if they
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: had a bad performance in the last home game, I
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: want to look to go with that team because they
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: tend to do better when they're back at home. Unlike
• 34:45
  Speaker 1: in other sports, college basketball works a little bit differently.
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: But in this case, I don't know, man. I mean,
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: they're coming back from Charleston. Tulane is a decent opponent,
• 34:54
  Speaker 1: and BC took that loss. I would lean to Harvard.
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: I think Harvard is gonna get up for this. The
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: money doesn't totally agree. PC did drop from seven and
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: a half point verage to a seven point favorite, sixty
• 35:05
  Speaker 1: two percent of the tickets on Harvard, fifty nine percent
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: of the cash on BC. But I would probably take
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: the points with Harvard. You're also getting a low total
• 35:12
  Speaker 1: that's down to one thirty six, so it makes it
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit more difficult for a favorite to cover.
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: Not a whole lot else to say about that, And
• 35:20
  Speaker 1: then we have in Palm Springs. We have the other
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: end of that Northern Iowa and Tulsa thing, where these
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: two teams both one just very convincingly against uh somewhat
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: weaker opponents. I mean, they were both favorites, but they
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: both crossed yesterday. So now I think it just becomes
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: a matter of which of these teams is the better team. Again,
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: that is Northern Iowa according to the odds makers EI
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: they're a two point favorite, although they're down for two
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: and a half. Eighty percent of the tickets on them,
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: but fifty seven percent of the cash coming back on Tulsa,
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: So the money's actually coming back on Tulsa. I'm not
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: one hundred percent convinced. Like in a situation like that,
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: I kind of tend to lean towards the better team,
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: which I do believe is Northern Iowa, but the money
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: is against it. So what do I know. We do
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: have in Kasimi? We have Princeton against Vermont. Princeton almost
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: pulled off an upset against Temple in the previous game
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: in this tournament. Pretty big performance from Princeton, eight and
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: a half point underdogs in that game and they almost
• 36:18
  Speaker 1: pulled off the upset. Could be a little bit of
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: a hangover here they're playing Vermont. I know, Vermont's got
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: this name. They're like always a top the American East,
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: which maybe they still will be because it's not a
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: good conference. But Vermont, I mean, they're not off to
• 36:31
  Speaker 1: a great start. Okay, they only have one Division one
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: win or two excuse me over Brown and Northeastern. Not
• 36:38
  Speaker 1: totally impressive, and now they're on a three game slide,
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: including losing to Rhode Island in the last game. Rhode
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: Island was the favorite, although only by five and a half.
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: I mean, I guess debatably bounced back spot for Vermont
• 36:50
  Speaker 1: because they looked pretty ugly in that game. I'm not
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: gonna disagree with it, though, Like I said, I think
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: Princeton could be in a bit of a hangover coming
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: up a pretty big performance is an underdog Vermont underperformed
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: in the last game. Also as an underdog, they're nott
• 37:05
  Speaker 1: from four to six as a favorite. Don't see the
• 37:07
  Speaker 1: percentages yet. I'd probably agree with it and lay it
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: with Vermont, but I'm not like jumping out of my
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: seat to do it. We got a decent matchup in
• 37:15
  Speaker 1: the Bahamas few Virginia Tech and Colorado State, two okay
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: teams in a situation like this, It's again, I think
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: it comes down to which team is the better team,
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: because I don't think these teams have played in this
• 37:28
  Speaker 1: thing yet. Like Virginia Tech just last played at home
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: a while ago and they won easily against some inferior opponent,
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: whoever that was. I just looked at it. Bryant, I mean,
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: Bryant is an okay team in the American East at least.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: Colorado State just last played against Denver and they lost.
• 37:44
  Speaker 1: Though Remember Denver stepped up their game man to play
• 37:47
  Speaker 1: an in state, bigger brother of Colorado State, and Colorado
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: State lost the game as a big favorite. So you
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: could argue that now Colorado State, it's gonna be good
• 37:56
  Speaker 1: for them to just get out of home bounce back spot. Maybe,
• 37:59
  Speaker 1: but it was their first loss, so it could still
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: be a hangover spot. And the travel here is going
• 38:04
  Speaker 1: to be easier for Virginia Tech, right because think about it,
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: They're only going from Virginia to the Bahamas or Colorado.
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: Colorado State has to go from Colorado to the Bahamas,
• 38:13
  Speaker 1: so the travel spot is easier for Virginia Tech here.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: So I have conflicting opinions on this. Virginia Tech is
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: up from a two point favorite to a five point favorite.
• 38:25
  Speaker 1: But the money looks like it's coming back on Colorado
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: State sixty seven percent of tickets, only sixty four percent
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: of the cash on VA Tech. So it looks like
• 38:33
  Speaker 1: the money the market read is saying to take the
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: points of Colorado State. You know, I'm not really gonna
• 38:39
  Speaker 1: disagree with it, because that was such a like just
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: a hideous loss to Denver. I'll probably agree with taking
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: the points of Colorado State, but I'm not really you know,
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: I'm not excited about it. Can com. We also got
• 38:53
  Speaker 1: Sanford in Utah Valley. This game not even on the
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: ESPNS or ESPN plus. You might be able to find
• 38:59
  Speaker 1: a stream of it. I think this is an interesting one. Uh.
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: These teams are both good, Uh like they're both kind
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: of under the radar. They're like decent mid major teams.
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: Samverd just won against Georgia State in this thing, which
• 39:11
  Speaker 1: is not anything to really take anything away from Utah Valley.
• 39:15
  Speaker 1: Bigger win for them against Selt Dakota State. It was
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: the better the better of those opponents there. So now
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: we're coming into this Utah Valley is the better team.
• 39:24
  Speaker 1: They're up from five to seven now, seventy per tickets,
• 39:27
  Speaker 1: ninety four percent of the cash coming in on them.
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: I'm not really gonna disagree with it. Even though the
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: total is not very high in this game, the money
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: has come in that way, you're getting a little bit
• 39:35
  Speaker 1: less value on it now. I mean it's not a
• 39:38
  Speaker 1: play for me or anything like that, but it's a
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: game where I think you just go with the team.
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: It's the better team. Utah Valley is laying points there
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: for a reason, so I guess that would be where
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: my opinion lies. All Right, we got my final play
• 39:51
  Speaker 1: of the days in the seven pm slate on TNT.
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: You know what I'm gonna do, man, We're gonna take
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: the points with Kansas. This is Toad Special. I know
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: I'm predictable, but I just go with what works long term. Man,
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: you can actually probably get five on this now. Tennessee
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: up from three and a half to five. They're gonna
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: be public. They're the ranked team. Everybody's gonna want Tennessee here,
• 40:10
  Speaker 1: especially after what they did yesterday. Eighty percent of the tickets,
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: eighty three percent of the cash for now. But I
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: think what we could say is Tennessee's a public team.
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: This is gonna be one of the games that the
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: public is actually betting. So the ticket percentage does actually
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: somewhat indicate. It does at least tell you where public
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: action actually is in this game. Again, especially a day
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: without football, you know, it's Thanksgiving Eve, public's gonna want
• 40:35
  Speaker 1: something to bet, and this is probably gonna be the
• 40:37
  Speaker 1: game they're gonna bet in that like key primetime slot
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: at seven, They're probably gonna want some money on this game.
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: They're probably gonna be on the Tennessee side after what
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: happened yesterday. We got a low total here, one hundred
• 40:48
  Speaker 1: and thirty eight because we do have two teams that
• 40:50
  Speaker 1: like to play on the slower side, and they like
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: to focus on defense. So I think that's good when
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: you're taking an underdog man, that's what you want of
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: the Tennessee's offense has been better this year so far
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: the last year, but still both teams defense oriented. Both
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: teams want to play slow. But the key of this
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: is that, you know what I'm gonna say, Tennessee I
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: think is gonna letdown Spot. I know this is a tournament.
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: I know it's Kansas and you want to keep winning,
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: but like, I don't know, man, I mean, I don't
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: know how much you have, how much you have left
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: after you beat Houston and you had to come back
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: against Houston. Houston was winning for the entire first half.
• 41:26
  Speaker 1: They were winning by double digits at a couple of points,
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: still had the lead in the second half, and then
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: Tennessee took it over. The game was close the rest
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: of the game. Tennessee just got by Houston in the game.
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: Massive performance from Tennessee in the game. It was a
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: close game anyway you look at it. Really statistically, it
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: was close, even though Tennessee didn't shoot well from three.
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: But what else is new? That's always that's always the
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: case with Tennessee. And this was even bigger because remember
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: I pointed out I slightly leaned to Tennessee in the
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: game because the motivation was extra for Tennessee because that
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: was revenge for the tournament the previous year. Even though
• 42:03
  Speaker 1: I know a lot of Tennessee's guys are gone from
• 42:05
  Speaker 1: from last year, but even so, Tennessee wanted that game. Man,
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: Houston was the team that eliminated them. Some of the
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: guys are still there, Tennessee got the shot to get
• 42:15
  Speaker 1: a little bit of revenge there and they were able
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: to do it. Yeah. Man, I mean that's the type
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: of game. It's gonna take a lot out of you.
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: It's physical. Uh. And then now they're gonna have to
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: face another team, it's probably gonna get physical with them.
• 42:26
  Speaker 1: And Kansas had a much easier game yesterday against Syracuse,
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: which was one of our winners. I know, Kansas hasn't
• 42:32
  Speaker 1: been tested in the tournament. I get that Tennessee has
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: faced obviously the better team because they faced Houston. But
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: when you're uh, you know, when you're immediately having to
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: come off of that game, that's not really a good thing. Like, oh, yeah,
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: you're battle tested, but you're just you're you just had
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: that battle, so like you're you're coming out of it
• 42:50
  Speaker 1: all wounded and shit, Like, yeah, you're a battle tested,
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: but you need time to recover from your wounds, you
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: know what I mean. This. Kansas has just been kind
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: of coasting in its tournament, so they have not had
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: to put it in as big of an effort. I
• 43:02
  Speaker 1: think the spot sets up a lot better for Kansas,
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: So we will take the points with Kansas in that
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: night game there. That's the other playing five and a
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: half now, yeah, even better, it might keep going up
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: to To be honest, I mean that's the game where
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: the public is getting involved. It actually looks like the
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: cash percentage also on Tennessee. So that's one that I
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: actually don't think you need to play right away. Although
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: at some point the line is gonna get too high
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: and drop back down a little bit, so you want
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: to try to get it at like the peak. Maybe
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: it's at five to five and a half. I don't
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: really think it's gonna get all the way to seven.
• 43:33
  Speaker 1: I mean, that would be really insane if it went
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: that high. But yeah, which would be a key number.
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: I don't think it's gonna happen though, all right. I
• 43:44
  Speaker 1: mean we do have Kentucky playing against Tennessee Tech. I mean,
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: I don't think there's a whole lot to see here.
• 43:49
  Speaker 1: Although Kentucky does have North Carolina and Gazaga coming up
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: after the thanks Giving break. They gotta face both of
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: those teams, so maybe a bit of a look ahead.
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: Kentucky may not just they may just get in, get out,
• 44:01
  Speaker 1: not fully pay attention here. They're having only thirty eight
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: points sixty percent of the of the tickets on Kentucky
• 44:08
  Speaker 1: sixty eight percent of the cash on Tennessee Tech, so
• 44:11
  Speaker 1: the cash is coming into Tennessee Tech. Yeah, I would
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: lean that way, probably taking the points. But I mean
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: it is also a game of Kentucky might just be
• 44:20
  Speaker 1: able to name the score. So I'm not very thrilled
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: about that of Florida Gulf Coast getting to play at
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: home again, hosting their tournament playing against Kennesaw. Both teams
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: coming up kind of bad outings man Or Florida Golf
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: Coast had to go into overtime to beat Rice. Florida
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: Golf Coast was a favorite there. Kennisau even worse performance
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: losing to Oral Roberts is a favorite. I'll probably I
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: would lean to Kennesaw in this one, getting the points
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: they're getting three, even though it is on Florida Gulf
• 44:51
  Speaker 1: Coast home court. Odds makers kind of indicating these teams
• 44:56
  Speaker 1: are almost even empower ratings pretty much. Kennesaw coming out
• 45:00
  Speaker 1: the uglier game yesterday and didn't have to play an
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: overtime period, So that is probably the way that I
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: would lean in that one. We get Eastern Michigan facing Cincinnati.
• 45:10
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati doesn't even really have a look ahead component to this.
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: As I thought I was gonna be talking about a
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: look ahead, but I don't even know why I talk
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: about some of these games. This is not really much
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: to say here. I know Eastern Michigan's coming off that
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: lost to Louisville, where if I remember Craig do We,
• 45:25
  Speaker 1: I was gonna say, do we have Eastern Michigan in
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: that game? I don't think we did. They also didn't
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: cover I don't think that was one that I gave out.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: But it's a low total at one hundred and forty
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: four seventy five percent of tickets on Cincinnati, eighty seven
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming back on Eastern Michigan. I'm
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: not gonna disagree with that. With taking the points there,
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, Eastern Michigan should at least show up for
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: the game. And you know, it looks like a game
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati might just go through the motions, low total, et cetera. Whatever.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else, you know. Yeah, I don't
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: know which which other of these games we want to
• 46:00
  Speaker 1: talk about, but we do have a zig zag situation
• 46:02
  Speaker 1: here in Indiana State and Louisiana attack Indiana State. They
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: just beat Louisiana Attack at Indiana State. Two games ago
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: for Indiana State, Indiana had a game against in state
• 46:13
  Speaker 1: little brother Ball State in the middle, and Ball State
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: is just bad. I mean, they weren't able to really
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: step it up against Indiana State. Indiana State one and cover.
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: But now Indiana State has to go to Louisiana Attack.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: Indiana State just beat Louisiana Attacks three and a half
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: point favorites at Indiana State. Now it's gonna flip to Louisianattack.
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: Louisiana tach hasn't played since that game, so looks like
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: a spot where Louisianattack is likely to zig zag here
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: like they're gonna have the adjustments to make. They're the
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: team at lost, so they're the team that has the
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: things to fix, whereas Indiana State, if everything worked for you,
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: don't really have a whole lot to fix. Now you
• 46:51
  Speaker 1: got to go to the other team's venue. Louisiana tacks
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: to two and a half point favorite, up from two.
• 46:56
  Speaker 1: That line seems about right based on where Indiana State
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: was in their game. The odds makers are telling you
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: Indiana State is a slightly better team. I would lean
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: to Louisianattack and the Zigzag. Although they're public for whatever reason,
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the tickets only eighty seven percent
• 47:10
  Speaker 1: of the cash, So the market reed is kind of
• 47:11
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with it. But the only thing that I really
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: see as far as the situation in that game is
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: the zig Zag and Indiana State. You would think would
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: be the public side because they have a four and
• 47:21
  Speaker 1: two record versus Louisiana Tachs two and two, but again,
• 47:24
  Speaker 1: what do I know. Louisiana Tech is two and zero
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: at home, but they've only beaten a non Division one
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: team and Jackson State, and we know Jackson State has
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: let us down a couple of times, although Jackson State's
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: at least a battle tested team. We have Sa Mary's
• 47:41
  Speaker 1: in Wichita out in the Bahamas getting into the night
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: games here. It's an interesting one. It's a good game,
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: both teams not bad. Saint Mary's is really good. Actually,
• 47:50
  Speaker 1: I mean they're one of the top two teams in
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: the in the West Coast Conference as it is every
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: year it's them in Gonzaga Wichita seems like they're on
• 47:58
  Speaker 1: the upswing again. They're proving both teams having to go
• 48:02
  Speaker 1: to the Bahamas. It's a it's a travel spot for
• 48:05
  Speaker 1: both teams, man especially Saint Mary's coming from the Pacific coast.
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: That is a long flight for Wichita. It's a little
• 48:11
  Speaker 1: bit less bad, but still kind of crazy. Both teams
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: coming up pretty easy wins, so nothing I really see there.
• 48:16
  Speaker 1: So it pretty much comes down to which team is
• 48:18
  Speaker 1: the better team, which Whichita. No, Saint Mary's is the
• 48:22
  Speaker 1: better team here, throw out from nine to ten and
• 48:25
  Speaker 1: a half here and sixty percent of tickets ninety one
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Saint Mary's. The money is
• 48:30
  Speaker 1: saying Saint Mary's. They're the type of team I don't
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: love laying points with, though especially a lot of points.
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: Total is very low at one hundred and thirty nine.
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's probably expected that they're going to control the pace.
• 48:43
  Speaker 1: They slow the game way down. Uh, So it is
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: difficult to lay a lot of points with them, even
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: though they are good. Not a game I want any
• 48:51
  Speaker 1: involved in him. Uh. Somebody mentioned Saint John's Auburn, I
• 48:54
  Speaker 1: think or somebody mentioned Auburn at least number fourteen. Saint
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: John's now number twenty one. Auburn playing in Las Vegas
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: at eight pm on True TV Big Game. As far
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: as this game is concerned, Saint John's nice bounce back
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: after that loss against Iowa State. I thought that might
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: hang them over, man, but they played well yesterday against Baylor.
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: They got the win. Now they get Auburn. I mean,
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: I presume Saint John's gonna show up focused again in
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: this one. Auburn, though, I think Auburn's gonna be the
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: more focus of the two because look at what Auburn
• 49:24
  Speaker 1: did yesterday, Man, and that was a game Michigan all
• 49:27
  Speaker 1: of a sudden. Last two games, at least, just in
• 49:29
  Speaker 1: this Las Vegas tournament, Michigan is just blowing out their opponents, Man,
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: blowing out San Diego State and now blowing out Auburn.
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, Michigan's good. But at some point, I
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I mean, there's gotta be some sort
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: of regression off of that. Like no team is as
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: good as their best win or as bad as their
• 49:48
  Speaker 1: worst loss, you know what I mean. There's always some
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: regression progression back to some means. So I think after
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: a loss that was that embarrassing, I kind of think
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: Auburn's gonna bounce back from that, although I know they've
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: lost both of their games against top opponents Houston and Michigan,
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: but they did play really competitively against Houston. So that
• 50:05
  Speaker 1: Michigan game, it's looking like a little bit of an outlier.
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: I know Auburn is not as good this year as
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: they were the last couple of years, but they're not bad.
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: Saint John's a six point favorite, They're the public side
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: eighty six percent of the tickets, ninety percent of the
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: cash on them. But I would probably look to take
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: the points with Auburn in that game. And then you know,
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: if if I'm right, then we might be seeing the
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: postgame press conferences looking or the Yeah, the postgame interview
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: is looking a little bit like this. Yeah, inside I
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: want to kill myself. Yeah. So I don't know, but
• 50:41
  Speaker 1: that's that. That is my opinion on that game. The
• 50:44
  Speaker 1: public'skin have a tendency to go with the team that
• 50:46
  Speaker 1: looked the better look, they look better recently, and has
• 50:49
  Speaker 1: the better wreck at the better ranking. So that's what
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: I have to say about that. Southern Illinois and Memphis
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: in Memphis, Uh, Southern Illinois come up. I have a
• 51:00
  Speaker 1: loss to UAB. Not really a whole lot to see there.
• 51:02
  Speaker 1: I think UAB probably is slightly better than Southern Illinois.
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: Memphis is coming off I mean, you could take this
• 51:08
  Speaker 1: kind of both ways, right, like is that an ugly
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: loss to wake Forest or is wake Forest actually decent
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: this year? And is that gonna be considered to be
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: a spot that might have Memphis hung over because that
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: was an ACC team they got to face. Memphis is
• 51:22
  Speaker 1: in one of the smaller conferences, so I'm kind of
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: leaning towards the ladder almost like they consider that to
• 51:28
  Speaker 1: be a step up game. Memphis is very battle tested,
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: though they've lost four games that they've lost on the
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: road to Old Miss. I know they lost at home
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: to UNLV, but I pointed out how bad that spot was.
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: That was a win for us on the show with
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: UNLV plus the points. Memphis was coming off playing Old
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: Miss and then they had Perdue up next, very bad spot.
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: Then they came off that pretty close Perdue game and
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: didn't play well against wake either. So Memphis, I mean,
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: all four of their losses are explainable, and three of
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: them are to Power Conference teams and the other was
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: to a decent Mountain West team. So Memph, they're not
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: as bad as the record looks. And people are gonna
• 52:02
  Speaker 1: look at this and why would you want to lay
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: double digit points with a one and four team against
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: a three and three team, Like I think the public
• 52:08
  Speaker 1: is gonna look at this and think that maybe it
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: makes sense to take the points with Southern Illinois. But
• 52:13
  Speaker 1: the osbangers are telling you what you should think. Man,
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: I mean, look at Southern Illinois wins. They've beaten some
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: Division two team Kansas City and Delaware. Those are not
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: impressive wins at all. They face a much weaker schedule,
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: so Memphis is clearly the better team here despite the record.
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: But the money is coming back on Southern Illinois, and
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: that is what I worry about, Like, is Memphis again
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: hungover after playing an ACC team and playing that run
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: of big games. They're down from eleven and a half
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: to ten and a half. Because I almost wanted Memphis
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: in this game, because it's like it's one of those
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: games where the line of the game is totally off
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: from what the records would make you think. But then again,
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: Memphis does still have all that name recognition. They're coming
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: up that big game where they lost fifty five percent
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: of tickets on the eighty five percent of the cash
• 52:59
  Speaker 1: of Southern Illinois. The money's coming out in Southern Illinois.
• 53:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't want to say that I really
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: agree with it. I mean I guess I slightly do
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: agree with that, but man that yeah, I mean, it's
• 53:10
  Speaker 1: just a game I have to stay off of. On
• 53:13
  Speaker 1: Northern Arizona hosting their tournament, we got the win with
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: them in the first game of the tournament. They're playing Semo. Though.
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: CIMO is a pretty good team, even though they're two
• 53:20
  Speaker 1: and four right now. Their battle tested. Their losses are
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: to Saint Louis, Missouri, UH, Saint Thomas, and Iowa. Those
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: are all good teams. Man, So this CMO team is
• 53:31
  Speaker 1: not as bad as the record looks on. Northern Arizona
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: only favored by one one and a half here, so
• 53:36
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers are telling you that CEMO is actually the
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: better team here. Actually, Northern Arizona's up to a three
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: point favorite now here, but I would probably take the
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: points with Semo. Northern Arizona just pulled off that nice upset.
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: We got the uh. We got the win on the
• 53:51
  Speaker 1: show with them against cal Pauly. Cal Poly not very
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: good though. Southey's Missouri just beat cal Poly more easily.
• 53:58
  Speaker 1: So people might see that and you maybe the public
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: that have a tendency to lean towards SEMO. But I
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: think they are legitimately the better of the two teams
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: here though, So that is the way that I would
• 54:07
  Speaker 1: lean taking the points with Simo. We do have South
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: Dakota State and you see Irvine playing in Mexico. I mean,
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: this is a it's a decent match up here. Both
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: teams are all right. You see irvine ugly loss where
• 54:22
  Speaker 1: they only scored forty five points against New Mexico State
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: in the first game here in Cancun. I believe South
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: Dakota State kind of a more tolerable loss, if you
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: want to call it that, against a pretty good Utah
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: Valley team, but Irvine looked uglier and they are still
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: the better team, so I'd probably lean towards laying it
• 54:41
  Speaker 1: with them. They're two and a half point favorite. Don't
• 54:43
  Speaker 1: really see the percentages yet, but that is probably what
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: I would do. In that one, we got Denver and Wyoming. Denver,
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: I mean there they were coming off that big win
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: over Colorado State, but then they lost and did not
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: cover at Arizona, so I could see given out Arizona
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: in that game, but I just thought Arizona might not
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: really have the incentive to cover all though they did.
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: But now Denver's coming off those two big step up
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: games at least Man and now they're having to go
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: to Wyoming. Wyoming a sneaky five and one, I guess
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: five and zero at home, but I mean they really
• 55:17
  Speaker 1: haven't faced anybody that good yet. I mean, their best
• 55:21
  Speaker 1: win is I don't even know, beating Austin p maybe
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: at home, and that's not very impressive. We got the
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: win with Austin pes Thordy, but this Wyoming team is
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: not battle tested, and that's probably why the money's coming
• 55:34
  Speaker 1: in on Denver. Wyoming is the better team according to
• 55:37
  Speaker 1: the os makers down from ten to eight here, but
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: fifty six percent of tickets on them eighty percent of
• 55:41
  Speaker 1: the cash on Denver. I don't know that I could
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: do it with Denver, though, off of those two big
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: step up games like that, the money seems to be
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: coming in that way. Wyoming is definitely not as good
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: as their record looks. But yeah, I mean it's just
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know, it's that's a stay away. Obviously. I
• 55:59
  Speaker 1: don't have any more college basketball players. I'm just going
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: through the rest of the games here. I mean Alabama
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: State's at New Mexico. New Mexico's coming off a nice
• 56:07
  Speaker 1: win over Mississippi State. They just played in that Kansas
• 56:10
  Speaker 1: City thing against Nebraska and Mississippi State. Big win, couple
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: of big games, so they could be in a little
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: bit of a letdown spot here playing a lesser conference
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: team like Alabama State. Alabama State is decently battle tested.
• 56:22
  Speaker 1: I mean, they lost in blowouts to Florida State and Colorado,
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: but they did play against them. They're coming off of lost
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: to a decent SIU Edwardsville team, decent for the conference
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: that they're in. At the very least, I lean to
• 56:35
  Speaker 1: Alabama State in this one. I think New Mexico coming
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: off that big game, maybe New Mexico just doesn't give
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: it their all. Hero though. It's always difficult to play
• 56:43
  Speaker 1: in New Mexico because it's at a high elevation. Their
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: arena is the pit, so you have to go up
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: and then you go down into the pit. They're off
• 56:53
  Speaker 1: from seventeen and a half to twenty and a half, though,
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: and it's a somewhat low total of one hundred and
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: forty seven and a half. This new Mexico team might
• 56:59
  Speaker 1: not be that fast paced New Mexico team that we're
• 57:02
  Speaker 1: used to with. I think that was under Richard Patino
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: and he's no longer there. Yeah, I would probably take
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: the points of the Alabama State, but not a strong opinion.
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas TNT one of the big games of the
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: night at nine to thirty pm Eastern. We got number
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: twelve Gonzaga, number seven Michigan, And you know me, I
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: think Gonzaga is definitely under ranked at twelve. Ken Bum
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: has them as his number one ranked team right now.
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: He's got them very very up balanced, but he has
• 57:31
  Speaker 1: Michigan not far behind at number four. He has Michigan
• 57:35
  Speaker 1: number one in defensive efficiency here right now. Although he
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: has Gonzaga the better offensive team. That's not surprising. He
• 57:41
  Speaker 1: actually has both teams this fast paced teams, both teams
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: pretty strong strengthen to schedule, both teams high in the
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: luck Index. So he actually, according to ken Bum, both
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: teams are over before him. But I actually think they're
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: both under ranked in the rankings right now. Michigan, though,
• 57:58
  Speaker 1: I mean Michigan could not have looked better in this
• 58:00
  Speaker 1: tournament so far. I mean They've won by forty against
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: San Diego State and then by thirty against Auburn. So again,
• 58:08
  Speaker 1: there's got to be some regression here, man. I mean,
• 58:10
  Speaker 1: look at what they did earlier in the season. They
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: almost lost to Wake Forest and DCU, So like, will
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: the real Michigan step up? Well? I think the real
• 58:19
  Speaker 1: Michigan is better than those games would suggest, but not
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: as good as these recent games suggest. So I think
• 58:25
  Speaker 1: it's somewhere in the middle. I think Gonzaga is the
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: better team, and they are rightfully favored in this game.
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: And people are gonna look at this and think, oh
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: my god, I'm getting points with this Michigan team. It's
• 58:34
  Speaker 1: blowing everybody out. They're ranked seventh, both teams are undefeated.
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: The public's gonna have a tendency to want to take
• 58:40
  Speaker 1: the points with Michigan. So you know me, I'm gonna
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: have a tendency to buck that and go with Gonzaga.
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: And you know, I keep talking about Gonzaga. They're in
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: a good venue here. They had an easier game yesterday
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: against Maryland, even though they blew them out by almost
• 58:53
  Speaker 1: forty points. Nobody's really gonna look at that. I mean,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: Maryland they're just not as good this year. They lost
• 58:58
  Speaker 1: their best player as well, so people are I think
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: gonna probably overlook that game a bit. But Gonzaga, they
• 59:05
  Speaker 1: have a decent crowd in Las Vegas. Man, the venue
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: is good for them. I know that probably winds up
• 59:09
  Speaker 1: meaning more in the first game. But we're coming into
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: like the end of this tournament here, and yeah, I
• 59:15
  Speaker 1: mean both teams are gonna show what But yeah, I
• 59:18
  Speaker 1: think Gonzaga is the right side here. They flip from
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: a one point dog to a two point favorite, which
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: I think is accurate. I think they're the better team.
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: I think they are the rightful favorite in the game.
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: Seventy tickets, eighty one percent of the cash on Gonzaga.
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, I think Ken Bom has them as a
• 59:35
  Speaker 1: very small favorite in the game. So the line is
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: sort of right where it should be. Now we'll we'll
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: see what happens. Oh, I'm still going this show is
• 59:43
  Speaker 1: gonna go at least an hour and a half, close
• 59:45
  Speaker 1: to two hours, probably stacks. What's up? Man, We're still
• 59:51
  Speaker 1: on college basketball here, but I have there's way too
• 59:55
  Speaker 1: much hockey today. Man, This this show takes a lot
• 59:58
  Speaker 1: out of me. College basketball is just it's dude. I
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: mean it's a double edged story because I like talking
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 1: about this stuff, but doing this show and like having
• 1:00:07
  Speaker 1: to talk about every one of these games and whatever,
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: there's just there, it's too much to do. Like I
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: look at the college basketball board every day and I
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: like consider whether or not I want to do this
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: ever again. I'm like, I just don't want to do
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: this anymore. You know, I'm thinking, you know that maybe
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: I should potentially end at all, you know that type
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 1: of thought. Fuck fuck hockey. I mean, dude, yeah, I
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: mean this is awful. I don't want to do it.
• 1:00:39
  Speaker 1: NC State in Texas are playing in Maui here at
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: the Shamanad thing. NC State is ranked to twenty third.
• 1:00:45
  Speaker 1: Texas is unranked. All these teams, I don't think I
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: don't think there's a huge gap between these two teams.
• 1:00:51
  Speaker 1: NC State took an ugly loss in the first game
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 1: of the tournament to Seton Hall, who looks like they're
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: at least better than maybe we thought. They bounce back.
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: NC State did with a win over Boise. Texas had
• 1:01:02
  Speaker 1: a difficult game against Arizona State. I mean, actually Texas
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: lost the game. As a favorite, I should say which
• 1:01:08
  Speaker 1: is why we faded Arizona State yesterday. Texas bounced back.
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: They beat Shamanad though yesterday, although they beat them by
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: a huge margin, I think shaman I had kind of
• 1:01:17
  Speaker 1: had blown their wad against Washington State in the prior game,
• 1:01:21
  Speaker 1: which is why we went with Washington State yesterday. And
• 1:01:24
  Speaker 1: this is a game where I would have been leaning
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: to laying the points with Texas a lot. I don't
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 1: even know if they covered. They won by forty one,
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: but coming off that they had a much easier game
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: yesterday though Texas did. Texas up against n C State.
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: Now n C State is the favorite up from three
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: to three and a half of the money's coming in
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 1: on them, sixty three percent of the tickets eighty one
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. I'm gonna somewhat disagree.
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points with Texas, but
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: I don't really have a strong opinion on that game
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: at all. Interesting game in Palm Springs between Iowa and
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: Grand Canyon. With this Ben McCollum Iowa team, it's off
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: to a six and oh start. They just got their
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: best win of the season against Ole Miss in their
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 1: last game, so you could argue this is a letdown spot.
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: And they have Michigan State coming up after the things
• 1:02:10
  Speaker 1: giving break and then Maryland, so they got two conference
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: teams and then Iowa State after that, so three big games.
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 1: I mean, they have their first they have their Big
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: ten opener against one of the better teams in the
• 1:02:21
  Speaker 1: Big Ten. Two Big ten games, and then after that
• 1:02:24
  Speaker 1: they have their huge rivalry against Iowa State. They might
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: overlook Grand Canyon here man coming off a big SEC
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: win over Mississippi State. Grand Canyon at four and two,
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit under the raidarm. I know they lost.
• 1:02:37
  Speaker 1: They did have a bad game. They lost the Young
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: Sounds State Young Sounds an alright Horizon team. Grand Canyon
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 1: should have won the game though they were the favorite,
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: but whatever, and then they did lose as an underdog
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: at Saint Louis. Saint Louis pretty solid team Grand Canyon.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: My worry about them is they just beat Utah. That
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: was a big win for Grand Canyon man against a
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 1: Big twelve team. Yeah, they're still gonna step it up
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 1: for a Big ten teams. But I do worry about,
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: you know, effort, Like they have to put in a
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: huge effort here two games in a row like this,
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: although both teams are gonna have to do that. The
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: money's coming in on Iowa, and it's now up to nine,
• 1:03:10
  Speaker 1: up from seven to nine. Seventy percent. Takes ninety seven
• 1:03:13
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Iowa. So the money's coming
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: in on Iowa. I would lean towards taking the points
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: with Grand Canyon, though the total is down to one
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: forty five. It's a low total Iowa. I mean, this
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: is not the Iowa team that we've seen over the
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: last several years. Right, this is not the uh what
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: was it, Fran McCaffrey. It's not that Iowa team anymore.
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: They're not running up and down the floor and you know,
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: running at a ridiculous pace. This is Ben McCollum. This
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: is Drake from last year. They play really really slow.
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: So it's a completely different Iowa team, not exactly the
• 1:03:46
  Speaker 1: style that you want to lay points like that with.
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 1: So I would take the points with Grand Canyon in
• 1:03:51
  Speaker 1: that one. I was considering it being a play until
• 1:03:53
  Speaker 1: I kind of thought about a Grand Canyon's coming off
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: the game against Utah. It does worry me a little bit.
• 1:03:58
  Speaker 1: Oh well, thank you sir. We're almost done with College
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: of Basketball. A few big games left though. Late night
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: ten to thirty pm Las Vega in Las Vegas sent
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: thirty pm Eastern Baylor in San Diego State. San Diego
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: State did bounce back nicely with a win over Oregon
• 1:04:15
  Speaker 1: after getting blown out by Michigan. Nice win over Oregon yesterday. Baylor,
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: they're coming in after taking a loss to Saint John's,
• 1:04:24
  Speaker 1: but that was their first loss of the season, so
• 1:04:26
  Speaker 1: I wass talking about how that can kind of hang
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 1: you over into the next game. Although you could debate
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: it's a bounce back spot for them, San Diego State
• 1:04:34
  Speaker 1: had the better looking game yesterday. Baylor is the favorite,
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers considering them to be the better team. They're down
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 1: from a two point favorite to one and a half
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: point favorite, but the money looks like it is coming
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: in on the Baylor side, even though they are somewhat public,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: because public just off of San Diego State right after
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: seeing them play pretty awful in a couple of games recently,
• 1:04:54
  Speaker 1: and I don't think they put much weight into that
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 1: win over Oregon. I think they give Baylor a pass
• 1:04:59
  Speaker 1: for losing to Saint Seventy seven percent of tickets, ninety
• 1:05:02
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash and on Baylor. With us the
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: money looks like it is also on Baylor. You know,
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: I don't really disagree though with the Baylor side, just
• 1:05:10
  Speaker 1: I can see arguments for both sides. I gotta stay away.
• 1:05:13
  Speaker 1: And then we have Maryland against Alabama, also in the
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 1: Las Vegas thing, two different venues hosting these games here.
• 1:05:20
  Speaker 1: Maryland just got blown out by gain Zaga. Could be
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: a bit of a bounce back after that. I mean,
• 1:05:25
  Speaker 1: I know Gonzaga is an elite team right now, but
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: you don't want to get blown out by almost forty
• 1:05:30
  Speaker 1: points against anybody. So I expect Maryland to play better
• 1:05:34
  Speaker 1: this time. Alabama, they're coming up blowing out in UNLV
• 1:05:37
  Speaker 1: in you NLV city in Las Vegas. Alabama not only
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 1: blew them out, but scored one hundred and fifteen points.
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: So you have a team that won by almost forty
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: and put up one hundred and fifteen versus a team
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: that lost by almost forty. You know me, I'm gonna
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: want to be on the team that lost by that
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: lost by forty coming into the next game. I would
• 1:05:55
  Speaker 1: take the points with Maryland not a strong opinion, though
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 1: Alabama's a thirteen point favorite. They're obviously the better team.
• 1:06:02
  Speaker 1: We know, Maryland's without their best player, maybe for the season,
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: so somebody's gonna have to step it up and become
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: their new best player, which sometimes does happen in college basketball.
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: Eighty two percent of the tickets, fifty five percent of
• 1:06:14
  Speaker 1: the cash on Alabama, they're very public side. The total
• 1:06:17
  Speaker 1: is pretty high, one hundred and sixty five and a half.
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't really disagree with an over in that game either,
• 1:06:22
  Speaker 1: even though it looks almost too obvious. But Maryland, I mean,
• 1:06:25
  Speaker 1: they look like they have not been very good defensively.
• 1:06:28
  Speaker 1: I mean they just gave up one hundred points and
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: Alabama just scored well over one hundred, which does again
• 1:06:34
  Speaker 1: mean it almost looks too easy to take the over.
• 1:06:37
  Speaker 1: But I just I don't think you can play the
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: under in this one man, what's up, Nate? I don't
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: even know how to pronounce this swerve within latoning splat, Yes,
• 1:06:48
  Speaker 1: thank you? So that is me. And then Utah and
• 1:06:51
  Speaker 1: ol Miss are playing in Palm Springs at midnight. Both
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: of those games I just talked about are at midnight.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: Utah coming up the lost to Grand Canyon, though Grant
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: Canyon might have actually been the favorite. Yeah, Grant Canyon
• 1:07:02
  Speaker 1: was favorite of this game out in California. Grant Canyon
• 1:07:06
  Speaker 1: is actually the better team according to the oddsmakers and
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: the power right, these guys ole Miss. They're coming off
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: of their first loss of the season to a pretty
• 1:07:15
  Speaker 1: good Iowa team, and I talk about that sometimes that
• 1:07:18
  Speaker 1: will hang you over into the next game. Those Old
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: Miss that was their most difficult game of the season
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: so far. Maybe they will be hung over a little
• 1:07:25
  Speaker 1: bit at the spot to me looks a little bit
• 1:07:28
  Speaker 1: better for Utah. To me, I don't know where they
• 1:07:31
  Speaker 1: even are on here there they are. Ole Miss is
• 1:07:34
  Speaker 1: a twelve point favorite. I mean, oddsmakers obviously telling you
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: ole Miss is the better team, but I would probably
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with Utah. But that's not
• 1:07:42
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion at all. Here better in the search results, yeah,
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: I think so. I mean, my numbers seem like they're
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: slightly better. I don't know if it's because of the thumbnails.
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't know if it's just kind
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: of natural growth. I mean, I haven't seen like a huge,
• 1:07:59
  Speaker 1: huge growth. If you search for troad schools sports, I'm
• 1:08:01
  Speaker 1: pretty sure I'm the first one that comes up now
• 1:08:03
  Speaker 1: though I come up ahead of that other guy who
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: has the same name as me and barely has anybody watching.
• 1:08:09
  Speaker 1: I'm so yes, I believe so because better Off dead
• 1:08:14
  Speaker 1: even though it started actually coming up for better Off debt,
• 1:08:16
  Speaker 1: but it always was conflicting with you know, the John
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: Cusack movie and whatever. These eleven AM games have already started.
• 1:08:24
  Speaker 1: If people are interested in that, let's go to hockey.
• 1:08:26
  Speaker 1: I have a bunch of plays in hockey here. I'm
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: gonna try to do this quick. Nashville at Detroit. These
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: are all night games. By the way, there's no afternoon
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: hockey today. Sometimes I think there is. But Nashville coming
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: off just another horrendous loss to Florida. I mean, what
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: else is new Man this Nashville team. It seems like
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: it doesn't even matter how good sorrows is he's in
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: net whatever. I mean, they just keep losing. Although they're
• 1:08:52
  Speaker 1: starting a road trip off of an ugly loss, which historically,
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, that is a focus spot. So there is
• 1:08:57
  Speaker 1: that at least for Detroit coming off a game against
• 1:09:00
  Speaker 1: New Jersey where they lost by one at New Jersey,
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: and they do have tampop next to Tampa's been really hot.
• 1:09:07
  Speaker 1: So it does almost look like a sandwich spot for Detroit.
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: Here it looks like a better spot for Nashville. So
• 1:09:13
  Speaker 1: my opinion, I mean, the process tells me that Nashville
• 1:09:16
  Speaker 1: is the side to lean within this game, but I
• 1:09:19
  Speaker 1: can't do it. I'm I'm leaving it alone. I'll agree
• 1:09:23
  Speaker 1: with the Nashville side, but no, thank you. Ninety tickets,
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of the casual Detroit. I mean, the
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: market is agreeing with this Nashville side. Detroit's very public.
• 1:09:32
  Speaker 1: They're down for minus one sixty five to minus one
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: fifty money coming in against them, reverse line movement, everything
• 1:09:39
  Speaker 1: sets up decently for Leana. Nashville. That is, I would
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: say that's my third strongest lean that's off, that's not
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: on my card. I have four plays, two Lians, and
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna tell you what they are that are the
• 1:09:51
  Speaker 1: stronger ones, and then I think Nashville is actually the
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: next strongest after that, believe it or not. But I
• 1:09:59
  Speaker 1: just don't know if I can have my money on
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: that team. Man, I don't know if I could do it.
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: That team. They just always lose. I mean, there's nothing
• 1:10:07
  Speaker 1: else that I can say about it. I just I
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: can't do it, and I don't. It's not really the
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: strongest situation either. Really, So if it was a like
• 1:10:16
  Speaker 1: crazy strong situation, I still might do it. But Nashville
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: is all you. You're on Nashville, good luck? Yeah, I
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: mean I agree with that, but I can't do it.
• 1:10:30
  Speaker 1: Everyone's playing one line above their skill level. Yes, so
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: they're mismatched with every single line. Then again with their
• 1:10:36
  Speaker 1: their mismatch against every opponent's line. You mean Calgary is
• 1:10:40
  Speaker 1: at Tampa Bay. This Tampa Bay team has been on fire, man.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: I told you they were better than that mediocre record
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: looked earlier in the season. Now they're pretty much proving it.
• 1:10:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, they've won four games in a row and
• 1:10:52
  Speaker 1: pretty much all against decent teams except maybe the most
• 1:10:54
  Speaker 1: recent one against the mediocre if you want to call them,
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: that Philadelphia team. But they did shut them out. They
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: got Calgary here though. I don't know, man, I don't
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: know if Tampa is really gonna have focus on Calgary.
• 1:11:05
  Speaker 1: This Calgary team's pretty ugly, and they do have Detroit next.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: Tampa Bay does starting a road trip against Detroit could
• 1:11:13
  Speaker 1: be a little bit of a look ahead. I would
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: lean to Calgary and this one, Tampa Bay did drop
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: for minus two ten to minus one eighty five on
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: the money line, sixty nine percent of tickets eighty six
• 1:11:21
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Tampa though. But I would
• 1:11:24
  Speaker 1: probably look towards Calgary if you're gonna play those games.
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: I mean I would recommend because they're bigger underdogs Nashville
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: and Calgary. I would, well, for Nashville, you might just
• 1:11:34
  Speaker 1: go straight up on the money line in that one
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: because you probably get like a plus one thirty something
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: money line on it. For Calgary, I would probably go
• 1:11:41
  Speaker 1: with the make your own plus one puck line, so
• 1:11:43
  Speaker 1: if they lose by one, it'll push. I know it's
• 1:11:45
  Speaker 1: more risk averse, but I'm doing that with two of
• 1:11:48
  Speaker 1: my games today. So Florida's facing Philadelphia, Florida coming off
• 1:11:54
  Speaker 1: embarrassing Nashville, but I mean Nashville is ass So I
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: don't really know that that's necessarily gonna be like a
• 1:12:00
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a letdown spot or anything like that.
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: I just this is a spot where I just don't
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: really see an angle. Florida doesn't have any big game
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: up next. I mean it's Calgary next. I don't think
• 1:12:10
  Speaker 1: they care about that Philadelphia, Yeah, I mean sure, they'll
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: step up their game for this. They're coming up an
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: ugly loss to Tampa to start the road trip here,
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: so they're in Florida now. I guess Philadelphia would be
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: the lead in this one team bouncing back from a
• 1:12:25
  Speaker 1: shutout loss. Although Tampa is a good team, Philadelphia probably
• 1:12:28
  Speaker 1: will show up for a game against the returning champs.
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia did already beat Florida in Philadelphia five to two
• 1:12:35
  Speaker 1: way back early in the season, and actually they're one
• 1:12:38
  Speaker 1: and one against each other. The season opener was Philadelphia
• 1:12:42
  Speaker 1: at Florida, and Florida beat them in that game. Then
• 1:12:44
  Speaker 1: Philly beat Florida back to get revenge. So I guess
• 1:12:47
  Speaker 1: if the series zigzags and the home team keeps winning,
• 1:12:52
  Speaker 1: that would actually mean that Florida would actually win the game.
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: They are the favorite here the rougher minus one seventy
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: five to win, but they're public ninety percent of tickets
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: and only fifty percent of the cash. I still will
• 1:13:04
  Speaker 1: agree with the market reading that one. I would lean
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: towards Philadelphia, but I don't want it. Next game is
• 1:13:11
  Speaker 1: my Boston Bruins at the Islanders. I believe the Bruins
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: beat the Islanders already once, if I'm not mistaken, did
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: they Yeah, five to two at home. Actually they beat
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: them twice. They beat them on the road as well
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: in a shootout in November, late October and early November
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: for those two games, so it's double revenge, I guess
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: for the Islanders. Of them, I don't know how much
• 1:13:31
  Speaker 1: weight you want to put into revenge. I mean, because
• 1:13:34
  Speaker 1: revenge happens all over the place. If you're looking at
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: in season revenge, it's like not as strong as you know.
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: I think the strongest revenge is obviously the playoff revenge
• 1:13:43
  Speaker 1: the team that ended your season. But then next I
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: would say, is like quick revenge, like a team that
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: just beat you that's in very recent memory. Maybe this
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: is in less recent memory. The Bruins are in a
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: weird spot here though. They've had multiple days off, but
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: it's because they're traveling across the country, so I don't
• 1:14:00
  Speaker 1: love that. But they're coming up a pretty ugly loss
• 1:14:03
  Speaker 1: to a bad San Jose team Bruins finishing the road trip,
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: I mean, maybe they still will be focused for those reasons.
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: Still could be maybe a bounced back spot coming off
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: that loss and the fact that they want to split
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: the road trip. But this is weird because they're returning
• 1:14:18
  Speaker 1: all the way back to the Northeast, although they're not
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: gonna be at home, so they're not gonna be distracted
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: by the home stuff because they're still in New York.
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: There's still, you know, a four hour drive away from
• 1:14:27
  Speaker 1: home here. So yeah, I mean it looks like it
• 1:14:32
  Speaker 1: somewhat of a spot where maybe the Bruins will still
• 1:14:34
  Speaker 1: be focused, but they are having to travel across country,
• 1:14:37
  Speaker 1: which is not easy. The Islanders are just staying at home,
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: which is I think easier for them, and they've had
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: multiple days off just staying at home. Yeah, they won
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: the game going into that rest, but only on a
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: one game win streak. I don't know if that rest
• 1:14:50
  Speaker 1: is really gonna hurt you. And I do think they're
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: gonna be focused again because they Yeah, I think the
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: fact that they did lose twice will maybe give them
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: some extra focus here. So I lean to the Island
• 1:15:00
  Speaker 1: in this one. Unfortunately, they're down for minus one sixty
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: to minus one fifty eight, seventy five percent of the
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty one percent of the cash on the Islanders.
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: They're a little bit public, but I think the spot
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: is better for them, So that's the way I lean
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: in that game. Yes, poster or not very fun to watch, geeky.
• 1:15:20
  Speaker 1: I've seen them play live before as well. Yeah, yeah,
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: it's dude. Bruins are very top heavy. Though they have
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: a couple of really good players, they they lack depth.
• 1:15:29
  Speaker 1: I mean, that's the thing. Although they're playing better than
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: what they were supposed to be doing so far, which
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: is at least good. But I said that I thought
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: that they weren't gonna be as bad as the predictions were. All.
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: You know, the odds had them at like over one
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: hundred to one to win the division or yeah, I
• 1:15:45
  Speaker 1: think to win the division, which is ridiculous, and had
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: them coming in last in the division. I was like,
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're that bad. All right, Next up
• 1:15:53
  Speaker 1: is gonna be one of my plays. It's we're still
• 1:15:55
  Speaker 1: in the middle of the best bets segment here, it's
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: all best bets, all the time. Let's do it this one.
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: I think the market disagrees with me, and I know
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh is not as good as their record looks, but
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: this is a spot play. We're gonna be on the
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh Penguins, even though I'm not a fan of them.
• 1:16:12
  Speaker 1: I know, again they're not as good as their record looks,
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: but it actually looks like we are fading the public
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: with them now, believe it or not, seventy percent of
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: the tickets and sixty five percent of the cash on Buffalo,
• 1:16:22
  Speaker 1: Pittsburgh looking like an anti public favorite here at home
• 1:16:26
  Speaker 1: down for minus one twenty two to minus win eighteen.
• 1:16:29
  Speaker 1: I don't really know why the public would be on
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: Buffalo though. I mean, Buffalo, they're at five hundred. They've
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: been really bad on the road, though Pittsburgh decent record.
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: I know they're not as good as their record looks though,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: but I think the spot sets up better for them.
• 1:16:42
  Speaker 1: Buffalo is not good on the road. They have one
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: road win and they're one five and two on the road,
• 1:16:47
  Speaker 1: so ugly on the road. Pittsburgh's been decent at home
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: five three and two, although I know again they are
• 1:16:52
  Speaker 1: a little bit overrated, But I also do not like
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: the spot for Buffalo here. Buffalo just beat Carolina, dude,
• 1:16:59
  Speaker 1: so I think it's a natural letdown after that, and
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: they went into an extra break. They had two days
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: off after that to kind of bask in that win,
• 1:17:07
  Speaker 1: and it could disrupt their winning momentum because before that,
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: they scored nine goals in a win against Chicago. So
• 1:17:13
  Speaker 1: when you're rolling to that degree, you do not want
• 1:17:16
  Speaker 1: to have extra time off, man, So I think they
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: might come into the spot, maybe a little bit cold,
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: still in a letdown spot off of that huge win
• 1:17:24
  Speaker 1: over Carolina. If you dig into that game, I mean,
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: I think it wasn't exactly what it looked like. There
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: was an empty net goal for Buffalo. I mean, we
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: all know Carolina is a better team. Carolina outshot them,
• 1:17:36
  Speaker 1: Buffalo did out hit them though, so they were the
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: more physical team of though Carolina did win the face
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: off battle as well, so the game wasn't exactly what
• 1:17:45
  Speaker 1: it looked like. And Buffalo after this game, they do
• 1:17:48
  Speaker 1: face in New Jersey, so maybe they have their eyes
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: set on that. Just even though Pittsburgh has a winning
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: record and they're closer geographically to Buffalo. I just don't know, man,
• 1:17:56
  Speaker 1: because New Jersey has been really good to start the season.
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: To me, it seems like Pittsburgh is kind of under
• 1:18:03
  Speaker 1: the radar now. I mean I don't want to say
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: under the radar. I think they're expectedly regressing because they've
• 1:18:08
  Speaker 1: lost five of their last six games. But again, I
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: think this is a spot where they do get one.
• 1:18:14
  Speaker 1: They've had even more days off. They've had three days off,
• 1:18:17
  Speaker 1: and they haven't won since coming back from Sweden. I mean,
• 1:18:20
  Speaker 1: they came back from Sweden. That's a difficult spot. They
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: got shut up by Minnesota, that is ugly, and then
• 1:18:25
  Speaker 1: they took an overtime loss to Seattle, but that was
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: back on Saturday, so they've had a lot of days
• 1:18:30
  Speaker 1: off to disrupt this losing momentum. I think they're gonna
• 1:18:33
  Speaker 1: show up for this, man. This is the last game
• 1:18:35
  Speaker 1: of this home stand before they go to Columbus for
• 1:18:38
  Speaker 1: a game. I think they're gonna want to get this one. Man. Again,
• 1:18:41
  Speaker 1: they haven't won since winning the second game in Sweden.
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up with something here in
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: this one. Spot is a lot better for Pittsburgh. That's
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: the play in that one. All right, let's keep it going.
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: We have Winnipeg at Washington. This is not a game
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: that I'm gonna get involved. And Washington decent team. Just
• 1:19:02
  Speaker 1: blew out Columbus, which is not totally impressive, but Washington's
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: won four of their last five, with some impressive wins
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: in there too. I've been scoring a lot, which means
• 1:19:13
  Speaker 1: the public is probably gonna be on the Washington train
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: right now because they keep scoring. If the public wants
• 1:19:18
  Speaker 1: to get involved with hockey here, they're staying at home.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: Washington does have Toronto up next after this game against
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: Winnipeg today, where Toronto maybe gets more of their focus
• 1:19:28
  Speaker 1: because Toronto's, you know, an Original six team, there's still
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: an Eastern Conference seamers. Winnipeg is not. Winnipeg's been on
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: a bit of a slide. Man. Winnipeg's lost a couple
• 1:19:37
  Speaker 1: of games in a row. Now. One of them was
• 1:19:40
  Speaker 1: to Carolina, though we know Carolina is really good. But
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: now they're coming off getting shut out by Minnesota. They've
• 1:19:45
  Speaker 1: had two days off to kind of break that losing
• 1:19:47
  Speaker 1: momentum there. Now they're starting a road trip, so I
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna be focused because when you're on a
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: losing streak like this, you got a couple of days
• 1:19:55
  Speaker 1: off that can help you out. It can help you
• 1:19:57
  Speaker 1: just refocus on hockey a LEEVI the distractions break up
• 1:20:01
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum. The only issue is they do have
• 1:20:04
  Speaker 1: Carolina next, and that might be a big look ahead
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: because Carolina did just beat them at home, so I
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: do think they want that Carolina game. Are they really
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook the first game of a road trip though,
• 1:20:16
  Speaker 1: when they're not playing well? I think no, So my
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: lean would still be to Winnipeg in this game. All
• 1:20:21
  Speaker 1: then the money's disagreeing with me on this one. Washington's
• 1:20:24
  Speaker 1: down from minus one fifty five to minus one fifty here.
• 1:20:27
  Speaker 1: Kind of odd to see Winnipeg being that big of
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: an underdog, pun I guess intended. But fifty nine percent
• 1:20:33
  Speaker 1: of tickets on Winnipeg seventy four percent of the cash
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: on Washington, So the money is on the Washington side there.
• 1:20:39
  Speaker 1: I somewhat disagree with that one. Next up, here's a
• 1:20:42
  Speaker 1: play for you. It's gonna be one of our split bets.
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: We're gonna make our own puck line. You know, I'm
• 1:20:47
  Speaker 1: playing the Rangers on the road, man, What else can
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: I do? Even though they just had a bad road trip,
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: but that was out you know, Pacific time elevation against well.
• 1:20:58
  Speaker 1: I know they're playing a really good team here too,
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: but that was just I think those venues are worse
• 1:21:02
  Speaker 1: for them. I think you're gonna get the Rangers showing
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: up in this one. Rangers, you can get the plus
• 1:21:06
  Speaker 1: one and that puck line at minus one fifty and
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: the underdog price money line at plus one sixty five.
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: If you want to just play the money line, I'm
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: not gonna tell you not to do that. But you
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: know how I do this. You make your own puck line.
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: I go to that run line calculator that johnny Ma
• 1:21:21
  Speaker 1: developed for baseball. Of course, the Asians always doing the
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: things with the math, even though I am also a
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: math guy, believe it or not, but well a computer
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: science guy. But I took a lot of math. I
• 1:21:33
  Speaker 1: was really good at math. Well was it? Where was
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: I going with that? Oh? Yeah, you make your own
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: plus one puck lines, so that if it lands on
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: exactly one and the Rangers lose by one, it'll push
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: the bet. If they win, of course, you'll scoop everything.
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: And that's basically that's the way that it goes. So
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: it's more risk averse that way. And hockey is a
• 1:21:53
  Speaker 1: close game, man, So there's a decent chance you're gonna
• 1:21:55
  Speaker 1: get a one one goal loss here too. The Rangers
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: they're back at five hundred. I mean they were playing awful,
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: But I think this is a good spot for them
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: because after they had that bad road trip, or I know,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: they lost three road games in a row after they
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: were a great road team prior to that. Keep in
• 1:22:12
  Speaker 1: mind Quick did play two of those games. Though they
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: lost four games on the road, Quick was in net
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: for two of them, even though he's a very experienced goalie.
• 1:22:20
  Speaker 1: But just Sterkin is their better goalie. I think just
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: Sterkin will be in net for this one. But the
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: Rangers came back home from the road trip and they
• 1:22:28
  Speaker 1: still got the win. They beat us. Returning home from
• 1:22:30
  Speaker 1: the road trip, they beat Saint Louis. I thought it
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot for them in the return home,
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: and I thought this Carolina game was a mega, mega
• 1:22:37
  Speaker 1: look ahead spot for the Rangers, which is why I'm
• 1:22:40
  Speaker 1: doing this here because that handicap in that Saint Louis game.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: Part of it was that the Rangers are really going
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: to be focused on this Carolina game. And I still
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: think that's true. But now that the Rangers got the
• 1:22:49
  Speaker 1: win over Saint Louis, that broke a four game lost
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: streak for them, so oh excusan they only played three
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: games at home? Are three games on the road. My
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: mistaken one of them was with quick and Net, but
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: four losses in a row with Quicken net for two
• 1:23:03
  Speaker 1: of them my mistake. One of them was at home
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: against Detroit. But anyway, that win against St. Louis is
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: gonna break their losing momentum, which I think is good.
• 1:23:10
  Speaker 1: Now they're going back out on the road, and you know,
• 1:23:12
  Speaker 1: teams like to be focused first game on a road trip,
• 1:23:15
  Speaker 1: but even more so when it's Carolina, because Carolina is
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: one of the best teams in the league, and we
• 1:23:20
  Speaker 1: also know the Rangers lost. What else is near? The
• 1:23:23
  Speaker 1: Rangers lost at home to Carolina back on November fourth,
• 1:23:26
  Speaker 1: and I gave that out as a play on the show.
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: I went with Carolina. They're playing with that Ranger home
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: road dichotomy, and the Rangers got barrassed. Man, they got
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: shut out at home. We know the Rangers have been
• 1:23:37
  Speaker 1: shut out I think five times at home. The Rangers
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: are still terrible, pretty much terrible at home, even though
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: I know they won that last game at home. But
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: this is a spot where we're gonna go with Carolina,
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: or excuse We're gonna go with the Rangers at Carolina.
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: They're on the road this time. Rangers are still nine
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: to four and one on the road, man, that is
• 1:23:54
  Speaker 1: still quite good. And they're again they're awful at home.
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: They're like two what are they two eight and one
• 1:24:01
  Speaker 1: at home something like that, two seven to one. Whatever
• 1:24:03
  Speaker 1: it is, it's bad. I know Carolina is good at
• 1:24:06
  Speaker 1: home six to and one at home. They're good overall.
• 1:24:09
  Speaker 1: I get it. That's why they're a big favorite here
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: and Carolina. I know they're off an ugly loss to Buffalo,
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: which I did just mentioned in the Buffalo handicap. I
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: understand that you could argue they're gonna be in a
• 1:24:20
  Speaker 1: bounced back spot. They've had multiple days off. But Carolina's
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: are turning over from a road trip, man, and they're
• 1:24:26
  Speaker 1: having to face the Rangers an extreme focused spot. Carolina
• 1:24:30
  Speaker 1: has been on the road since Monday, November seventeenth. They
• 1:24:33
  Speaker 1: went on the road. They went up to the northeast
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: to Boston, and they had to go all the way
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: over to Minnesota, Winnipeg, and then came back to Buffalo.
• 1:24:40
  Speaker 1: Now they're back home from that. I think it's a
• 1:24:43
  Speaker 1: bad spot, man for Carolina. Yeah. Again, I mean, they
• 1:24:47
  Speaker 1: already beat this New York team on the road once.
• 1:24:49
  Speaker 1: The Rangers kind of a middling team right now, record wise.
• 1:24:52
  Speaker 1: I would probably like this even better if Carolina lost
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: to Winnipeg on the road trip, because they have Winnipeg next,
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: but Winnipeg Carolina beat Winnipeg. But even so, I think
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: it's a bad spot, dude, As I always talking about,
• 1:25:05
  Speaker 1: teams are turned on from a road trip, they fall
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: into that distracted spot, they get a little bit distracted.
• 1:25:11
  Speaker 1: I think the Rangers can at least push this thing
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: for us, if not win the game outright. The money
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: seems to agree with that. Carolina is a pretty big
• 1:25:19
  Speaker 1: minus one ninety favorite. Maybe they're favored by a little
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: bit too much too based on these teams records. I
• 1:25:25
  Speaker 1: still think the Rangers are not really as bad as
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: their record looks. Sixty percent of tickets only fifty two
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Carolina, so the Carolina looks
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: like the public side with less of the money on them. Yeah,
• 1:25:36
  Speaker 1: we're we're doing it. We're going with the Rangers in
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: that one man. So that's play number two in hockey.
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: Hella book is on ir that's not good. So that
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: means with Winnipeg, then that means he's not gonna be
• 1:25:50
  Speaker 1: a net here Ted Kay with the math. Well yeah,
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know. I have all of his books.
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: I don't want to get this channel nuke though, Charles,
• 1:26:01
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out. Man. All right, let's
• 1:26:04
  Speaker 1: finish this off and then I'm gonna do some lunch
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: al that. We just love to talk about NBA. But
• 1:26:09
  Speaker 1: I hate the NBA board. I don't have any plays
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: in the NBA. Next up, we have a Toronto and Columbus.
• 1:26:14
  Speaker 1: This is another play for me. How about that Toronto
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: money line? Is what we're going with this one. I know,
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: I think Austin Matthews is still hurt. Whatever, I don't
• 1:26:23
  Speaker 1: like the spot for Columbus here man. Columbus eleven nine
• 1:26:26
  Speaker 1: and three. They're a mediocre team, but I don't know,
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: maybe they're a little bit overrated. At this point. Columbus
• 1:26:34
  Speaker 1: is returning over from a road trip as well, so
• 1:26:36
  Speaker 1: and they beat Toronto during the road trip, so I
• 1:26:39
  Speaker 1: think Toronto's really gonna want this one, man. Columbus. They've
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: been on the road since Tuesday, November eighteenth, so they've
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: been away for a little bit more than a week,
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: and they had to go all the way to Winnipeg
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: up to Toronto lost, won that game in a overtime,
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: went to Detroit, lost in overtime, and then they took
• 1:26:55
  Speaker 1: a beating against Washington. So you're gonna generally say, well,
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: the Bot's back from that when they return home. But
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: as I just said with Carolina, both these teams were
• 1:27:03
  Speaker 1: turning home off ugly losses. That's not really the way
• 1:27:06
  Speaker 1: that it works. Man. When a team returns home from
• 1:27:08
  Speaker 1: a road trip, a lot of times they get a
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: bit distracted. And this Toronto team has not been playing
• 1:27:13
  Speaker 1: that well, like without Austin Matthews. Whatever. The record isn't
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: that good right now. Columbus just beat them in Toronto,
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: so Columbus might not have full focus on this one.
• 1:27:21
  Speaker 1: For all those reasons. Toronto below five hundred, now that
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: is a little bit of an extra motivator too to
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: try to get back to five hundred, at least, not
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: including the overtime losses. Toronto's been awful. I get it,
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: They've lost seven of their last eight games. They're coming
• 1:27:37
  Speaker 1: off getting blown out by Montreal after losing to Columbus
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: in the previous game. But again, I think they're gonna
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: want to get this one because they did just lose
• 1:27:45
  Speaker 1: the Columbus at home. I think they're gonna be angry.
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: And they have multiple days off. They have more days
• 1:27:50
  Speaker 1: off the Columbus. They have two additional days off. Columbus played,
• 1:27:53
  Speaker 1: I believe, on Monday on the road, and we're getting Toronto.
• 1:27:57
  Speaker 1: They haven't played since Saturday. And yes they're from Montreal
• 1:28:02
  Speaker 1: down to Columbus, but still it's almost gonna be like
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: the start of a road trip almost because Toronto. Yeah,
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: they started the road trip in Montreal, but those are
• 1:28:09
  Speaker 1: closer geographically. Kind of Now they're going down to Columbus,
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: traveling down to the US. I think it's gonna be
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: a spot where Toronto kind of gets to hit the
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: reset button again. They've had multiple days off, three days
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: off to try to you know, to refocus and break
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum there, which I think is good. Uh,
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: the last time during that Law Street, the last time
• 1:28:32
  Speaker 1: they had multiple days off, they actually won the next
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: game against Saint Louis. They had two days off prior
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: to that one, so that was that's a good sign.
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: They use that rest effectively. I think it's gonna happen here.
• 1:28:42
  Speaker 1: Columbus is not a great team. Really, and even though
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: it looks like, yeah, some of the public percentage on
• 1:28:48
  Speaker 1: Toronto fifty nine percent, but seventy percent of the cash
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: Columbus minus won twenty up a little bit to minus
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: one twenty one. Yeah, I mean, I'm not convinced that
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: Toronto is not even the slightly better team here still, man,
• 1:29:00
  Speaker 1: I mean, the oddsmakers are basically telling you these teams
• 1:29:03
  Speaker 1: are about even. I think Toronto still might be the
• 1:29:06
  Speaker 1: slightly better team over Columbus, and we're getting them as
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: an underdog price and when I think is a better spot, Yeah,
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: we'll go with Toronto as the underdog there, and then
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: let's keep going. Next up, this is one of the
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: leans that is uh, I'll say this is a lean
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: number two. I guess, as far as the ones that
• 1:29:25
  Speaker 1: I'm leaving off my card, this is the second strongest.
• 1:29:28
  Speaker 1: I would say that Nashville is the third, but I
• 1:29:31
  Speaker 1: don't really like it. But I lean to Chicago against
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: Minnesota here. Man, this one is not on my card.
• 1:29:37
  Speaker 1: But Minnesota they're coming off two shutouts in a row.
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: Man after beating Vegas, they beat Anaheim that was a
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: shutout too. Vegas and Carolina all at home. The last
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: two of those being in overtime. Went out on the road,
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: shut out Pittsburgh, shutout Winnipeg. I mean, something's got to
• 1:29:53
  Speaker 1: give here, man. This team has won five games in
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: a row. They look very impressive right now. I think
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: Minnesota might be kind of at the peak of their
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: market stock here where they might be at the point
• 1:30:04
  Speaker 1: where they're a bit too overvalued here. Now they play Chicago,
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: and Chicago has been faltering as of late. And up next,
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: Minnesota's got a huge game against Colorado when they return home.
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: That's a big game. Obviously, Colorado the best team in
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: hockey at least record wise on I think power ratings
• 1:30:20
  Speaker 1: wise as well. So not a good spot for Minnesota.
• 1:30:24
  Speaker 1: The one concern that I have with Chicago is that
• 1:30:27
  Speaker 1: they are coming up of a big game themselves against Colorado.
• 1:30:30
  Speaker 1: They've been multiple days off, though, so they might use
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: that extra time to break that losing momentum. They've lost
• 1:30:36
  Speaker 1: three games in a row. Although I did I kept
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: saying Chicago is not as good as their record indicates.
• 1:30:41
  Speaker 1: Now they do have rest, but again, they are still
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: coming off a game where they only lost one to
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: nothing to Colorado. That was a close game, man, So
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: they are still coming off of that. That is basically
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: my one concern here, even though they might use that
• 1:30:53
  Speaker 1: extra rest to refocus and fix some things there. I
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: like Chicago in the game. This one's not on my car.
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: This one actually is. Maybe this one's the strongest one
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: that's not on my card. Minnesota looks like they're getting
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: some of the money although they are public. Of course
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: they are because they've been hot the public. They'll be
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: on the hot team against the team that's been faltering recently.
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: Eight percent of the tickets eighty nine percent of the
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: casual Minnesota. They're a road favorite, down for minus one
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: thirty five to minus one thirty three. I think both
• 1:31:21
  Speaker 1: teams are actually maybe a little bit, they're not as
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: good as their record looks in both cases. Now here,
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: I would take Chicago as the home underdog in that
• 1:31:29
  Speaker 1: one hasn't made my car, though San josea Colorado boy.
• 1:31:34
  Speaker 1: Is this one crazy? Colorado sole only is one regulation loss,
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: which by the way, was against my Boston Bruins. If
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: you recall in Boston my Bruins. They're claim to fame
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: is they're the only team to be Colorado in regulation.
• 1:31:49
  Speaker 1: There you go. Colorado's coming out that win over Chicago.
• 1:31:52
  Speaker 1: They're on a huge win streak ten wins in a row,
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: I believe is what that is. Something like that. Now
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: they're returning home from a quick road trip that took
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: them to National Chicago. Maybe they overlook San Jose. But
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: maybe they don't, because here's the thing. Last Chicago loss
• 1:32:09
  Speaker 1: was to San Jose on November one. That was the
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: last time Colorado lost. I think I said Chicago, I
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: met Colorado. The last time Colorado lost was to San Jose.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: So they might actually focus on this game for that reason.
• 1:32:22
  Speaker 1: I'm worried that they're returning on from a road trip,
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: even though it was a quick road trip, they have
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: multiple days off, which might break they're losing moment they're
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: winning momentum a little bit, which worries me a little
• 1:32:31
  Speaker 1: bit as well. Colorado. Also, you're having to lay a
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: massive favorite price on them, up for minus three to
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: fifty five to minus three sixty five to fifty three
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, so the money's actually
• 1:32:42
  Speaker 1: on the Colorado side still fifty six percent of the
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: tickets on San Jose. San Jose, by the way, they're
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: coming up beating the Bruins. I think, Yeah, my Boston Bruins,
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: and now they're coming in, you know they're gonna be
• 1:32:55
  Speaker 1: focused as well. They've been multiple days off too, but
• 1:32:57
  Speaker 1: it's like a one game trip to Colorado, so very weird.
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: I do think Colorado will still be focused on this.
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: I think maybe the way if you want to play
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: this game high total at six and a half, maybe
• 1:33:07
  Speaker 1: the way to go with this game is to go
• 1:33:09
  Speaker 1: Colorado over their team total. Although it's gonna be high,
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: like you're you're probably gonna need them to score like
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: four goals in the game, which is pretty ridiculous. So
• 1:33:21
  Speaker 1: we will see next up. Montreal, Utah. I have an
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: opinion on this is one of my stronger opinions. I
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: would say my second strongest opinion. That's not on my card,
• 1:33:30
  Speaker 1: but the money completely disagrees with me on this. I
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: like Montreal in this one. Montreal they just broke a
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: five game losing streak with a win over Toronto, so
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: usually that will propel you forward. Now they're starting a
• 1:33:43
  Speaker 1: road trip and I always talk about how teams will
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: start a road trip with focus usually, so I think
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: it's a focused spot for Montreal. Now, the concerns I
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: have are they've had maybe too many days off. They've
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: had three days off, and sometimes when you just busted
• 1:33:57
  Speaker 1: your losing momentum like that, you want to keep playing.
• 1:34:00
  Speaker 1: You don't want to have that many days off, So
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: that is a concern. It's also a concern that it's
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: always big when Montreal plays Toronto. Those teams really don't
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: like each other. It's an Original Six matchup the two
• 1:34:09
  Speaker 1: Canadian Original Six teams, so that's a big win. And
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: it is possible they overlook Utah because they beat Utah
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: at home on November eighth, six to two, and they
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: do have to face Vegas and Colorado up on Friday
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: and Saturday. So those are my concerns with Montreal, some
• 1:34:27
  Speaker 1: reasons why maybe they won't be fully focused on this
• 1:34:29
  Speaker 1: game against Utah. I don't like the spot for Utah whatsoever, though.
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: I mean, Utah just got their nice quick revenge against
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: Vegas that was a win for us on the show.
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: Utah annihilated them on the scoreboard five to one, although
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: I think it was probably not exactly what it looked like.
• 1:34:44
  Speaker 1: I mean, they got two empty net goals in the game.
• 1:34:48
  Speaker 1: Vegas outshot them, but some of that was because Vegas
• 1:34:51
  Speaker 1: was losing the game, but Vegas did also out face
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: off them and Utah had more hits, so the game
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: wasn't really exactly what it looked like. But again it
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: was a bad spot for Vegas. It was a nice
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: revenge spot for Utah, so we got the win. I'll
• 1:35:03
  Speaker 1: take the win for sure. Now Utah coming up of that,
• 1:35:07
  Speaker 1: they could be in a bit of a letdown spot
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: and they got to go play Dallas in Dallas on Friday,
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: so it does look like a sandwich spot for Utah
• 1:35:15
  Speaker 1: to me. So I do prefer Montreal in this game.
• 1:35:18
  Speaker 1: The money is not agreeing with me, as Utah is
• 1:35:20
  Speaker 1: a minus one thirty eight favorite. I do not think
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: they were a plus one thirty two dog at any
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: point at home, or I think maybe they were minus
• 1:35:27
  Speaker 1: one thirty two. Pregame just fucked that up and now
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: they're minus one thirty eight. Seventy eight percent of the
• 1:35:32
  Speaker 1: cash on Utah, though in seventy six percent of tickets
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: on Montreal, So the money looks like it's on the
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: Utah side and that's where the market read is. I
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: kind of disagree with that one Ottawa at Vegas as
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: far as this one is concerned. Yeah, Vegas is coming
• 1:35:48
  Speaker 1: out that ugly loss that wasn't exactly what it appeared
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: to be against Utah. They are turning on from a
• 1:35:54
  Speaker 1: road trip, though it was kind of a quick road trip.
• 1:35:57
  Speaker 1: They were gone for almost a week. They had to
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: play Utah twice on the road and go to Anaheim
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: in the middle of the road trip for some reason.
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: Now they are returning home, and yeah, sometimes your return
• 1:36:07
  Speaker 1: home you're not totally focused sometimes, and maybe Vegas will
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: fall into that category. They are facing Ottawa here. Ottawa
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: has been solid. I mean, the record's pretty good. But
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: still I don't know, man, I don't know if Vegas
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: is gonna still have full focus on them in Ottawa.
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: They're already in the Pacific times on. I mean, they've
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: been out there for a while. They played at Anaheim,
• 1:36:26
  Speaker 1: at San Jose, at LA and now they're going to Vegas.
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: Not a terribly long trip for Ottawa here, coming off
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: of a loss to the Kings. I don't know. To me,
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: it seems like Ottawa will show up with some focus
• 1:36:38
  Speaker 1: in this one. I lean to Ottawa. The money seems
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: to agree with me on that one. I don't love it,
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: but I like it. Minus one sixty five is the
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: price on Vegas here, sixty nine percent of the tickets
• 1:36:49
  Speaker 1: on them, fifty three percent of the cash on Ottawa. Again,
• 1:36:51
  Speaker 1: I agree with Ottawa. It's kind of a mild opinion
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: on that one. Ottawa has been decent on the road
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: five four and two. Vegas is okay at home, but
• 1:37:00
  Speaker 1: not as good as you would expect five three and three,
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: So the home road splits aren't like very significant in
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: that one, all right, And then we have on my
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: last play, we are gonna do the split that thing
• 1:37:13
  Speaker 1: again on Vancouver, partially on the plus one and a
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: half puck line again, make your own plus one puck
• 1:37:18
  Speaker 1: line that's at around minus one sixty and on the
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: money line plus one forty five. Although I consider just
• 1:37:24
  Speaker 1: doing money line on this because it's a little bit
• 1:37:26
  Speaker 1: of a it's in that price range where it's almost
• 1:37:29
  Speaker 1: like you want to just go with the money line.
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: Sometimes I will I'm being more risk averse here, but
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: if you want to just go money line, I would
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: not tell you not to do that. On Vegas. You'll
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: need them to win the game, but you have to
• 1:37:40
  Speaker 1: put less money on it, you know what I mean,
• 1:37:42
  Speaker 1: because you're playing to win the same amount that you do,
• 1:37:45
  Speaker 1: at least if you do it the way that I recommend,
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: you're putting the same amount on an underdog in hockey
• 1:37:49
  Speaker 1: on the money line like this that you like, you're
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: you're playing it to win the same amount that you're
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: playing to, you know, to win on like a minus
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: one tens, right, a minus one ten right. So whereas
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: in those like lay three you have to lay one
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: ten to win one hundred, in a game like this,
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: you have to put less than one hundred at risk
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: to win one hundred, If that makes sense. We're gonna
• 1:38:09
  Speaker 1: fade Anaheim at home. I know Anaheim, they're good at home.
• 1:38:13
  Speaker 1: But we did just do it and we finally got
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: to win. I know, we did it twice and we
• 1:38:16
  Speaker 1: went one on one, but we got it right with
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: what was the game where we actually got the win,
• 1:38:23
  Speaker 1: Ottawa was it? I don't remember, Yeah, I guess it
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: must have been. I don't know. But Anaheim, Yeah, they
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: bounced back from that Audiwa lost with a win against Vegas.
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: That was a big win for Anaheim. Man. Now they're
• 1:38:36
  Speaker 1: coming up of that and they got to face Vancouver
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: and up next they got La and La has got
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: a decent record. LA is in their division, and if
• 1:38:43
  Speaker 1: you look at how this division is shaping up, Anaheim
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: is only one point ahead of LA and two points
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: ahead of Vegas. So these games are big. So I
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: don't really see Anaheim being as focused on a Vancouver
• 1:38:53
  Speaker 1: team that I don't believe is even in their division.
• 1:38:55
  Speaker 1: And Vancouver is lower in this you know, they're just
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: lower in the standings here. Vancouver's has not been as good.
• 1:39:02
  Speaker 1: So Anaheim coming up that overtime win, I know they've
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: had a bunch of days off, but I think staying
• 1:39:08
  Speaker 1: at home after a win like that, you kind of
• 1:39:10
  Speaker 1: just start like listening to the media about how good
• 1:39:13
  Speaker 1: you are and whatever, and I think it kind of
• 1:39:15
  Speaker 1: gets in your head a little bit and then you
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: just don't focus correctly. Yeah, I know, Anheim's eight and
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: two at home, but Vancouver is not terrible on the road.
• 1:39:22
  Speaker 1: They're actually better on the road than at home. I
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: think there's six' five and one on the, road so
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: that's not terrible And VANCOUVER i like to spot a
• 1:39:31
  Speaker 1: lot better. Man vancouver has also had multiple days to,
• 1:39:34
  Speaker 1: rest but they're on a losing. Streak so, AGAIN i
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: talk about this when you're on a losing, streak one
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: of the best things for you is to just get
• 1:39:41
  Speaker 1: out of, there go on the, road. Refocus they're coming
• 1:39:44
  Speaker 1: off an ugly loss at. Home that was a loss
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: for us on the. SHOW i Thought vancouver was gonna
• 1:39:49
  Speaker 1: break their losing momentum with a bunch of days off
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: prior to that, game but they lost To. Calgary but
• 1:39:55
  Speaker 1: we're getting a very Rested vancouver team. Here. Man they
• 1:39:58
  Speaker 1: had two days off to The calgary, game and now
• 1:40:01
  Speaker 1: they have two more days off after. It So vancouver
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: is very rested here and they're starting a road trip
• 1:40:08
  Speaker 1: AND i think they will be focused to start the
• 1:40:10
  Speaker 1: road trip, again coming off a really hideous loss To,
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: calgary Which i'm still pissed. ABOUT i know we took
• 1:40:15
  Speaker 1: the loss on the show on that. One the spot
• 1:40:17
  Speaker 1: was really bad For calgary in that, GAME i, thought
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: but we still took the. Loss there was a short
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: ended goal For calgary in the. Game vancouver Outshot calgary by.
• 1:40:27
  Speaker 1: Ten face offs were about even In vancouver's slight edge
• 1:40:30
  Speaker 1: and the hits in that, game so the game wasn't
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: exactly what it looked. Like, OH i, Know vancouver probably
• 1:40:35
  Speaker 1: started throwing up shots because they were, Behind but, yeah
• 1:40:38
  Speaker 1: we're gonna go With vancouver in this. One the market
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: seems to strongly agree with this. One anaheim up from
• 1:40:43
  Speaker 1: minus one fifty three to minus one fifty, five sixty
• 1:40:45
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets on, them but ninety four percent
• 1:40:48
  Speaker 1: of the ash coming Into. Vancouver this one is probably
• 1:40:51
  Speaker 1: my weakest of the actual, plays BUT i like it,
• 1:40:54
  Speaker 1: enough so that's what we're gonna do. There and then
• 1:40:58
  Speaker 1: we do Have dallas And. Seattle see has been playing decent,
• 1:41:01
  Speaker 1: man as you, saw they were close to the top
• 1:41:02
  Speaker 1: of their. Division dallas on a back to back, though
• 1:41:06
  Speaker 1: and of course we Had dallas last night and they
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: just Destroyed. Edmonton you gotta think they're gonna use De
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: smith in net tonight because they Use otager last. NIGHT i,
• 1:41:15
  Speaker 1: mean that was a huge win For dallas. Again they
• 1:41:18
  Speaker 1: look great in the, game Beating edmonton eight to. THREE
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: i don't know how much Focus dallas is going to
• 1:41:23
  Speaker 1: have on a back to back after, that, man having
• 1:41:25
  Speaker 1: to go To. Seattle it's not a good spot For
• 1:41:27
  Speaker 1: dallas For seattle. HERE i do Think seattle is not
• 1:41:30
  Speaker 1: quite as good as their record looks, though But, seattle
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: looking at, it you THINK i might want to Play seattle,
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: here BUT i don't THINK i could do it Because
• 1:41:37
  Speaker 1: seattle's were turning on from a road trip that they've
• 1:41:40
  Speaker 1: been on for more than a. Week and you, KNOW
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: I i'd like to fade teams when they were turning
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: on from road, trips and at the very, LEAST i
• 1:41:46
  Speaker 1: will just pretty much just leave the game alone if
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: both teams are in bad. Spots BUT i think is
• 1:41:50
  Speaker 1: the case Here. Seattle they went on the. Road they
• 1:41:54
  Speaker 1: went To, Detroit, Chicago, pittsburgh and then all the way
• 1:41:56
  Speaker 1: To New york to finish the road. Trip and now
• 1:41:58
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home from. That, yeah with two days,
• 1:42:00
  Speaker 1: off but still the return home. SPOT a lot of
• 1:42:03
  Speaker 1: times you are, distracted. MAN i know that they did
• 1:42:06
  Speaker 1: lose That dallas On november, ninth two to. ONE i
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: Know dallas is a team you will get up for,
• 1:42:11
  Speaker 1: usually BUT i always worry about that home distraction. Spot.
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: Man the money is coming in on The seattle. SIDE
• 1:42:17
  Speaker 1: i don't disagree with, it, really but AGAIN i don't
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: like the spot for either. Team dallas down for minus
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: one forty five minus one twenty seven as the road,
• 1:42:26
  Speaker 1: favorite seventy five percent, tickets ninety five percent of the
• 1:42:29
  Speaker 1: cash On. Seattle, YEAH i, mean that's pretty much ALL
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: i have to say about. It now we HAVE. Nba
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: we have a ton OF nba as. Well, here so
• 1:42:39
  Speaker 1: much to talk about, here, Man my players are NOT
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: i THINK i have one play at one, pm, though
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: SO i do to get the Stupid instagram video. Up what's, up,
• 1:42:50
  Speaker 1: Guys Charles? Nate, yeah, YEAH i don't like The oilers,
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: either BUT i don't. KNOW i still have a kind
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: of a thing about The stars because they still Have Hower,
• 1:43:00
  Speaker 1: sagan Former. BRUIN i, MEAN i don't. Know it's it's
• 1:43:03
  Speaker 1: so far in the pass though THAT i just don't
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: care much. Anymore All, right we do a basketball starting
• 1:43:08
  Speaker 1: with an early game ON. Espn we WOWE espn tripleheader
• 1:43:11
  Speaker 1: that starts With detroit at My Boston. Celtics looking at this, number,
• 1:43:17
  Speaker 1: Though i'm not gonna have ANY nba plays, today by the,
• 1:43:20
  Speaker 1: way but this number is pretty interesting because it looks
• 1:43:23
  Speaker 1: way too easy to lay two and a half with The.
• 1:43:25
  Speaker 1: Pistons they're down from three to two and a. Half
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: Like pistons have like the best record in THE nba
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: except For Oklahoma. City they have the best record in The,
• 1:43:32
  Speaker 1: East so how could they only be a two and
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite against The celtic team that's only
• 1:43:36
  Speaker 1: one game above five. Hundred it almost looks too easy
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: to play The. Pistons sixty nine percent, tickets eighty two
• 1:43:43
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on The, pistons so the money
• 1:43:46
  Speaker 1: looks like it's slightly on The. Pistons BUT i would
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: probably slightly disagree with, it just because it looks, again
• 1:43:52
  Speaker 1: it looks way too, easy and things that look too
• 1:43:55
  Speaker 1: easy usually are. NOT i Know detroit didn't play well
• 1:43:58
  Speaker 1: the other night Against. Indian they had a really lackluster
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: game Against, indiana probably were looking, ahead didn't pay. Attention so,
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: YEAH i know they'll show up for The, celtics but
• 1:44:07
  Speaker 1: The celtics are also gonna show up. Here so, Yes
• 1:44:10
  Speaker 1: detroit should refocus after that bad game Against. Indiana But.
• 1:44:14
  Speaker 1: Celtics The celtics that final score Against, orlando they actually
• 1:44:19
  Speaker 1: only won by, nine but The celtics were Almost they
• 1:44:21
  Speaker 1: weren't in that game by almost thirty points in the second.
• 1:44:24
  Speaker 1: Half The celtics, again they did what they do a
• 1:44:26
  Speaker 1: lot of, times they just completely take their foot off the.
• 1:44:29
  Speaker 1: Gas so, yeah it was a big win for The.
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: Celtics but they're staying at. Home they have two days
• 1:44:33
  Speaker 1: of rest. HERE i know sometimes the rest is not
• 1:44:35
  Speaker 1: good when you have winning. Momentum but The celtics were
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: way better in that game than the final score. Looked
• 1:44:41
  Speaker 1: they pretty much dominated the game and we got a
• 1:44:43
  Speaker 1: win with. It on the, show slight lean for me
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: to taking the points with The celtics in this, one
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: but not a strong. Opinion you Like Tyler sagan To.
• 1:44:57
  Speaker 1: Segy do people call them? Segs oh my? God but,
• 1:45:02
  Speaker 1: YES i mean hopefully for my rooting, Interests i'm certainly
• 1:45:05
  Speaker 1: rooting for The. Celtics but we will. SEE i, mean
• 1:45:08
  Speaker 1: it's a it's gonna be a mediocre year for The, celtics,
• 1:45:11
  Speaker 1: RIGHT i think they'll get into the playoffs and then
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: get knocked out of the. Playoffs knicks are at the
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: at The Charlotte. HORNETS i don't really have a strong
• 1:45:21
  Speaker 1: opinion on this game at. ALL i Think jeffrey somebody
• 1:45:25
  Speaker 1: in the comments said they Like charlotte. HERE i just don't.
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: KNOW i don't know WHAT i would want to do with.
• 1:45:30
  Speaker 1: It The knicks they're coming off with win Over, brooklyn
• 1:45:32
  Speaker 1: which is. Whatever they Have milwaukee. NEXT i, mean how
• 1:45:37
  Speaker 1: how much of a look. Ahead does that become, though
• 1:45:39
  Speaker 1: When milwaukee's below five hundred right now and they don't Have,
• 1:45:41
  Speaker 1: giannis is that a huge look? AHEAD i, MEAN i
• 1:45:44
  Speaker 1: don't really Know. Charlotte of, course they're an ugly. TEAM
• 1:45:48
  Speaker 1: i still think maybe they're better than the record. Looks
• 1:45:50
  Speaker 1: charlotte's had more days. Off they had a quick road
• 1:45:53
  Speaker 1: trip To. Atlanta they lost that. Game they did, cover
• 1:45:56
  Speaker 1: which my opinion was correct on that, Game But, CHARLOTTE
• 1:46:01
  Speaker 1: i don't, know, MAN i do see them showing up
• 1:46:03
  Speaker 1: for this. GAME i probably slightly agree With. CHARLOTTE i, mean,
• 1:46:05
  Speaker 1: yeah they're returning home from that quick. Trip wasn't really
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: a long road. TRIP i only went To, atlanta very short. Trip,
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: actually they get The knicks at. Home should be a
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: game that they will show up for. It, YEAH i
• 1:46:18
  Speaker 1: would probably agree with taking the points With, charlotte BUT
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: i don't really have a strong opinion on it at.
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: All the money's Disagreeing nick's public seventy one percent of the,
• 1:46:26
  Speaker 1: tickets eighty three percent of the cash on them at
• 1:46:29
  Speaker 1: six they're at six and a. Half, YEAH i Mean
• 1:46:33
  Speaker 1: i'd probably look towards taking the points and fading the public.
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: There but the money does seem to be on The
• 1:46:37
  Speaker 1: knicks side right. Now, pinzy what's up? Man you went
• 1:46:41
  Speaker 1: nine for. Nine that's, crazy. Dude, well that's. AWESOME i love.
• 1:46:46
  Speaker 1: It hopefully four of those are all four of the
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: ones THAT i gave out because we were four and
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: zero on the show. Here as long as you got
• 1:46:52
  Speaker 1: one of the better numbers On Washington. STATE i don't
• 1:46:55
  Speaker 1: know what else you, played but, yeah that's, awesome, Man
• 1:47:00
  Speaker 1: and HOPEFULLY i helped out with some of the other
• 1:47:02
  Speaker 1: players as. Well i'm trying to do. That at. Least
• 1:47:05
  Speaker 1: milwaukee is At miami On. Milwaukee as we, know they're Without.
• 1:47:08
  Speaker 1: Yannis they've been pretty bad without. Him they've lost every
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: game without him after he got, hurt and they lost
• 1:47:15
  Speaker 1: the game where he got hurt. TOO i, Mean rollin's.
• 1:47:18
  Speaker 1: Poortous these guys are good and they're stepping up their.
• 1:47:20
  Speaker 1: Play But milwaukee hasn't won since. Then but they've played
• 1:47:23
  Speaker 1: some pretty good, teams the Big, Cleveland philadelphia took them into,
• 1:47:27
  Speaker 1: Overtime detroit and Then. PORTLAND i, mean not, great but,
• 1:47:31
  Speaker 1: STILL i mean that run of games is not easy For,
• 1:47:33
  Speaker 1: milwaukee so maybe they're a little bit under the. Radar
• 1:47:36
  Speaker 1: they get to start a road trip. Here by the,
• 1:47:38
  Speaker 1: WAY i forgot to Mention charlotte does have those extra days,
• 1:47:41
  Speaker 1: off could. Bust they're losing momentum a little. Bit that's
• 1:47:43
  Speaker 1: WHAT i was gonna say About. Charlotte I'm milwaukee might
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: be good to just go out on the road here
• 1:47:48
  Speaker 1: after they've been playing really poorly at. Home one of
• 1:47:51
  Speaker 1: the best things that can happen for, you really is
• 1:47:53
  Speaker 1: to just forget about it go out on the. Road
• 1:47:55
  Speaker 1: SO i do expect them to focus here On. Miami
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: miami's been hot The heat or hot The heat have
• 1:48:01
  Speaker 1: won five games in a. Row they did just Get hero,
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: back but they didn't play that well in that, game
• 1:48:06
  Speaker 1: and that was one of my PLAYS i gave Out
• 1:48:08
  Speaker 1: dallas because it was a reverse injured player spot For,
• 1:48:11
  Speaker 1: miami AND i thought they were coming off a run
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: of big. WINS i kind of thought that was a
• 1:48:14
  Speaker 1: down spot For. Miami but Now hero it's his second game,
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: back so you gotta think maybe they'll play a little
• 1:48:20
  Speaker 1: bit better. Here but it is a third game in four,
• 1:48:23
  Speaker 1: days fourth game in six, days fifth game and eight days,
• 1:48:27
  Speaker 1: actually and they do have to Face detroit next On,
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: saturdays so, well they overlook this Injured milwaukee. TEAM i,
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: mean it is a possibility That miami has just been
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: on fire. Recently maybe they just don't totally. Focus the
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: money is coming in on The bucks heater up to
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: an eight and a half point favor from six and a.
• 1:48:44
  Speaker 1: Half sixty eight percent of the tickets on The, heat
• 1:48:46
  Speaker 1: but sixty one percent of the cash on The. BUCKS
• 1:48:49
  Speaker 1: i agree with The. Bucks it's not a strong opinion for, me.
• 1:48:52
  Speaker 1: Though you're taking The. Bucks you're on The bucks and The, hornets, Right,
• 1:48:55
  Speaker 1: YEAH i agree with, both but, YEAH i don't, PERSONALLY
• 1:49:03
  Speaker 1: i will root for both plays plus those ARE i,
• 1:49:05
  Speaker 1: MEAN i have at least a weak opinion of. Those
• 1:49:08
  Speaker 1: i'll root for you to, win And i'll root for you,
• 1:49:11
  Speaker 1: know my opinions to be. CORRECT i guess hell, yeah all,
• 1:49:16
  Speaker 1: right we Got indiana And toronto this. GAME i, MEAN
• 1:49:22
  Speaker 1: i think both teams are kind of in bad spots
• 1:49:24
  Speaker 1: in this. GAME i, Mean toronto just absolutely Wrecked. Cleveland
• 1:49:27
  Speaker 1: This toronto team is on fire right. Now that's a huge.
• 1:49:30
  Speaker 1: Win could be a letdown spot for. Them off of,
• 1:49:32
  Speaker 1: that they might not focus On, indiana who they already
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: beat by eighteen At indiana not that Long ago On november,
• 1:49:38
  Speaker 1: Fifteenth so bad spot For. Toronto start looking at this
• 1:49:42
  Speaker 1: handicap and it's, like, WELL i might want to Fade
• 1:49:44
  Speaker 1: toronto then in this, spot BUT i don't think we
• 1:49:47
  Speaker 1: could do that. EITHER i, Mean cleveland's coming off Playing
• 1:49:49
  Speaker 1: detroit pretty. Close that game was close down to the.
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: WIREMAN i Think detroit had a big lead and kind
• 1:49:54
  Speaker 1: of let the leads. Slip indiana was in that. GAME
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: i think they were within three in like the final
• 1:49:59
  Speaker 1: couple of minutes of the, game IF i remember. Correctly
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: so that was a big game For indiana. Too they
• 1:50:03
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off an upset potentially Of detroit that would
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: have been, Huge so they're coming off of. THAT i
• 1:50:10
  Speaker 1: just don't love. It, Man it's just a single game
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: road trip up To. TORONTO i Guess i'll slightly lean
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: to The pacers in this, one BUT i don't THINK
• 1:50:18
  Speaker 1: i could do it both teams in bad. Spots seventy
• 1:50:22
  Speaker 1: six percent of, tickets only sixty seven percent of the
• 1:50:24
  Speaker 1: cash On toronto throw out from nine to ten and
• 1:50:27
  Speaker 1: a half, here but it looks like they're public with
• 1:50:29
  Speaker 1: the money coming in against. THEM i don't really disagree
• 1:50:32
  Speaker 1: with an over in this. ONE i, mean The pacers
• 1:50:34
  Speaker 1: do still like to play fast if they can get
• 1:50:37
  Speaker 1: that going fifty nine percent of tickets seventy percent of
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 1: the cash on the, over it's gone up a little
• 1:50:40
  Speaker 1: bit to two thirty four and a half juice to the.
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: Over both teams in spots are maybe they just don't
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: have full well For, INDIANA i just think that they're
• 1:50:49
  Speaker 1: gonna be fatigued, though But toronto just might have have full.
• 1:50:51
  Speaker 1: Focus So i'm not gonna disagree with with with the
• 1:50:56
  Speaker 1: over in that. Game. Though living In canada let down
• 1:51:00
  Speaker 1: spot yeah pretty. MUCH i MEAN i would not want
• 1:51:03
  Speaker 1: to live. THERE i do Have canadian. Ancestry. Though minnesota
• 1:51:07
  Speaker 1: at Okay see is the NEXT espn game at seven.
• 1:51:09
  Speaker 1: Thirty how good is this game? Really? THOUGH i don't,
• 1:51:13
  Speaker 1: know because you know, ME i keep pointing out That
• 1:51:15
  Speaker 1: minnesota has not beaten a team with a winning record all.
• 1:51:18
  Speaker 1: Season that continues to be. True and they did just
• 1:51:22
  Speaker 1: lose To, sacramento which Maybe. MINNESOTA i mean, that, Dude i'm.
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: PISSED i mean that was the game we lost that.
• 1:51:28
  Speaker 1: Game maybe they were looking ahead To Oklahoma. CITY i,
• 1:51:33
  Speaker 1: Mean minnesota should have had that, game, though you guys
• 1:51:36
  Speaker 1: pointed out. There there were actually up nine with three
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: minutes left in the, game and they lost the game.
• 1:51:41
  Speaker 1: Outright they lost it, overtime which is just a crazy result, There,
• 1:51:46
  Speaker 1: Minnesota so you could argue that was you, know that's
• 1:51:49
  Speaker 1: an ugly loss To sacramento without some. Bonus minnesota now,
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: going you, know continuing on the road should be a
• 1:51:56
  Speaker 1: focused spot for. Them, yes BUT i, mean CAN i
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: really Buck Oklahoma city when they've been just dominant at?
• 1:52:02
  Speaker 1: Home and, Again, minnesota they have not shown anything against good.
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: Teams and once, again all their, teams all the teams
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: that they faced with winning, records have been. Lostes For,
• 1:52:12
  Speaker 1: minnesota they lost to The lakers, Twice Denver, Knicks denver,
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: again and that's. It minnesota's had a very easy. Schedule
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: literally all of their wins are against opponents with losing.
• 1:52:24
  Speaker 1: RECORDS i think the best team that they've beaten Was
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: portland record. Wise oh, yeah and they lost To phoenix as. Well,
• 1:52:30
  Speaker 1: Sorry phoenix also a winning. Record they lost that game,
• 1:52:33
  Speaker 1: Too but, yeah What's portland's? Record You're portland is still
• 1:52:38
  Speaker 1: a losing, team? Right AM i wrong about? That? NO
• 1:52:40
  Speaker 1: i don't want to go to fantasy. Football, Yeah portland's
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: eight and. Ten so, yeah this remains. True minnesota's not
• 1:52:45
  Speaker 1: beaten a team of the winning Record Oklahoma. City they
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: are coming off a big, WIN i guess because that
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: was the game we get on on the. Show they
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: Murdered portland in the game where that was a game
• 1:52:55
  Speaker 1: Where portland was the only team to Beat Oklahoma city this.
• 1:52:58
  Speaker 1: Year SO i think that was a revenge spot that. Matter,
• 1:53:01
  Speaker 1: okay see got the. Win they've had multiple days, off
• 1:53:04
  Speaker 1: which could hurt their own winning. Momentum you, know sometimes
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: that is the. Case but this is AN espn game
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: against The Tea, wolves man With Anthony edwards there and.
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: Whatever SO i, mean are we really gonna Say Oklahoma
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: city is gonna be unfocused or anything like. THAT i
• 1:53:18
  Speaker 1: don't really think. So the money's coming in on The Tea,
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: wolves The thunder down from ten to eight and a,
• 1:53:23
  Speaker 1: half seventy percent of tickets on The thunder seventy one
• 1:53:26
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash coming into the T. WOLVES i
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: don't disagree with, That, like because, again The tools are
• 1:53:33
  Speaker 1: off a really really horrendous. Loss we don't need them
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: to win the game out, right we just need them to,
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: cover WHICH i really don't think they're gonna win the
• 1:53:39
  Speaker 1: game out, right because again they have not shown that
• 1:53:41
  Speaker 1: they can beat winning teams, yet ALTHOUGH i mean in
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: the past they've shown, that like the Toe. WOLVES i
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: Mean i'm surprised that that's the case right now because
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: the tools have been good in the last couple of.
• 1:53:51
  Speaker 1: Seasons SO i don't, know but, Yeah okasee is coming
• 1:53:57
  Speaker 1: off that big win just to get that revenge Over Portland.
• 1:53:59
  Speaker 1: Sea i'm not gonna disagree with the market and taking
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: the points of The Tea, wolves BUT i don't want
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 1: it use the help in fantasy. Football Why i'm. Not
• 1:54:09
  Speaker 1: i'm nine to, Three i'm in first, place AND I
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: i have a really good track record in in fantasy.
• 1:54:14
  Speaker 1: Football I'm i've won money overall in fantasy, football and
• 1:54:18
  Speaker 1: in this main, League i've been in it for like
• 1:54:20
  Speaker 1: twenty five, years and it's almost impossible to be up
• 1:54:23
  Speaker 1: money in fantasy, football but i. Am it's a twelve
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: team league And i've made the playoffs probably over eighty
• 1:54:31
  Speaker 1: five percent of. Seasons i've made the playoffs in that,
• 1:54:33
  Speaker 1: league And i've been in the money more often than
• 1:54:39
  Speaker 1: than most let's say top three get into the. Money,
• 1:54:43
  Speaker 1: Yeah i've WON i Think i've won championships at least
• 1:54:46
  Speaker 1: maybe six times in the twenties of the, years which
• 1:54:48
  Speaker 1: is ridiculous for a twelve team. League and last time
• 1:54:52
  Speaker 1: it was a few years ago AND i Had Jonathan
• 1:54:54
  Speaker 1: taylor AND i have him again this, year so maybe
• 1:54:57
  Speaker 1: that's an Omen AND i don't. KNOW i Mean i've
• 1:55:00
  Speaker 1: BEEN i, dominate Like i'm really good on the free agent. Whire,
• 1:55:05
  Speaker 1: YEAH i mean, Again i'm in the money pretty, often
• 1:55:09
  Speaker 1: LIKE i, THINK i Think i'm in the money like
• 1:55:11
  Speaker 1: around fifty percent of the time almost in that in that.
• 1:55:14
  Speaker 1: League so, YEAH i MEAN i do not need the,
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: help all. Right memphis At New. Orleans this is, ugly
• 1:55:22
  Speaker 1: both of these teams. Ugly memphis still Without, morant although
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: that's probably a good. THING i don't even know if
• 1:55:28
  Speaker 1: he's actually. HURT i just think they don't want him.
• 1:55:30
  Speaker 1: Playing memphis is coming up a game where they were
• 1:55:34
  Speaker 1: pretty close Against. Denver Though memphis was in that game Against,
• 1:55:37
  Speaker 1: denver they lost by, ten but that game was close
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: late in the, game so they are coming off of,
• 1:55:42
  Speaker 1: that so it could be maybe a little bit of
• 1:55:43
  Speaker 1: a hangover From. Memphis. Here they are starting a road,
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: trip which is usually a focused spot though they're Playing New.
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: ORLEANS i, MEAN i don't know they're really gonna be
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: focused On New. Orleans they do have The clippers up
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: next To The clippers have just been, awful SO i
• 1:55:57
  Speaker 1: don't Know New. Orleans they've been really bad as. Well
• 1:56:00
  Speaker 1: at three point, Fifteen New orleans coming up a nice
• 1:56:04
  Speaker 1: win Over chicago that broke a long lost. Streak AND
• 1:56:07
  Speaker 1: i KNOW i talk about sometimes when you break a
• 1:56:09
  Speaker 1: long law, streak it actually gives you momentum moving. Forward
• 1:56:12
  Speaker 1: but after putting up one hundred and forty three points
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 1: in a win Over, chicago does that Mean New orleans
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: is gonna be in a letdown spot off of? That?
• 1:56:21
  Speaker 1: MAYBE i mean they get this Ugly memphis team and
• 1:56:23
  Speaker 1: then they do have to go To Golden state IN
• 1:56:25
  Speaker 1: la next after. THIS i don't, Know zion should still
• 1:56:29
  Speaker 1: be playing For New orleans, here BUT i don't love.
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: IT i do not love it at. All the money
• 1:56:36
  Speaker 1: is coming in on The. Grizzlies there are three and
• 1:56:37
  Speaker 1: a half point favorite, here fifty, tickets ninety three percent
• 1:56:41
  Speaker 1: of the cash the. Market reid, Says. GRIZZLIES i don't
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: really disagree with it, completely BUT i just don't have
• 1:56:48
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion on, this AND i don't really want
• 1:56:51
  Speaker 1: to play. Them after they had a pretty tough game
• 1:56:52
  Speaker 1: Against Okay SE espn really good. Game at TEN, pm
• 1:56:57
  Speaker 1: they Got houston And Golden, state and this is the
• 1:56:59
  Speaker 1: Game i've been talking about because this is the revenge
• 1:57:01
  Speaker 1: spot For. Houston part of the REASON i Faded houston
• 1:57:04
  Speaker 1: in their last game Against, phoenix WHICH i know that
• 1:57:07
  Speaker 1: didn't work. Out they Beat phoenix in a. BLOWOUT i
• 1:57:10
  Speaker 1: thought the game was. Closer the game was. Close it
• 1:57:12
  Speaker 1: was like a ten point, game eight point game in
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: the third, quarter and then Somehow houston won by twenty.
• 1:57:17
  Speaker 1: TWO i thought they only won by like. TEN i
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: don't know WHAT i was. Thinking houston was coming off
• 1:57:22
  Speaker 1: a difficult game Against denver and they had a, yeah
• 1:57:25
  Speaker 1: really good performance Against, phoenix which shows me something that
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot they still show up and win
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: in a. Blowout now they're going To Golden, state and
• 1:57:33
  Speaker 1: you know they got this game circle, because AS i keep,
• 1:57:35
  Speaker 1: Saying Golden state was the team in Eliminated houston from
• 1:57:38
  Speaker 1: the playoffs last, year SO i THINK i thought that
• 1:57:42
  Speaker 1: was gonna be a look ahead spot For houston there
• 1:57:44
  Speaker 1: And houston, again you got to think they're gonna show
• 1:57:46
  Speaker 1: up for this, game Although Golden state probably will as
• 1:57:49
  Speaker 1: well because they Know houston's one of the top teams
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: in The west this. Year SO i expect focus from both.
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: Teams Golden state they're just staying at, home and they
• 1:57:56
  Speaker 1: just Beat. Utah they covered for. Us MAYBE i should
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: have worried about that being a little bit of a look.
• 1:58:01
  Speaker 1: Ahead they still got the cover, though So i'm, not you,
• 1:58:04
  Speaker 1: know mad about. It the money's coming in on The warriors.
• 1:58:07
  Speaker 1: Here they're up to a two and a half point,
• 1:58:09
  Speaker 1: favorite fifty percent of the cash on, them fifty six
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets On Golden. STATE i kind of disagree
• 1:58:14
  Speaker 1: with that. ONE i, or excuse, me fifty six percent
• 1:58:16
  Speaker 1: of the cash on The, rockets excuse, me and fifty
• 1:58:19
  Speaker 1: seven percent of tickets On Golden. State i'm gonna lean
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: towards The. ROCKETS i think it's a huge revenge spot
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: for The, Rockets so that's What i'm gonna go. With,
• 1:58:30
  Speaker 1: Yeah durant is, out that's, true SO i, guess maybe,
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: debatably that game Against phoenix was the the injured player.
• 1:58:36
  Speaker 1: Spot But durant's not. INJURED i don't know he's out
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: for it might be a death in the family or.
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: Something it's the the bereavement spot is What houston was
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: in in that last. Game so, yeah maybe that's part
• 1:58:45
  Speaker 1: of the reason they stepped up their. Effort and, yes
• 1:58:48
  Speaker 1: sometimes in that second game without your star, player you
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: don't play as. Well but Is durant considered to be
• 1:58:55
  Speaker 1: their star? PLAYER i don't. KNOW i actually don't. KNOW i, mean,
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: Uh houston has a really really strong, lineup, dude and
• 1:59:01
  Speaker 1: they're really really strong on the, interior SO i don't.
• 1:59:04
  Speaker 1: Know i'm not as worried about. That SO i still
• 1:59:07
  Speaker 1: lean To houston personally in that. One San Antonio. PORTLAND i,
• 1:59:10
  Speaker 1: mean IF i was gonna play ANY nba game, tonight
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 1: it would be on The. Spurs BUT i still don't
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: love It spurs coming off a loss To phoenix if
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 1: it multiple days off to try to disrupt, that they
• 1:59:22
  Speaker 1: get to go To portland, here but they do Have
• 1:59:23
  Speaker 1: denver up in two days and Then, minnesota SO i
• 1:59:25
  Speaker 1: guess you could argue that's potentially a look. Ahead SO
• 1:59:28
  Speaker 1: i worry about that aspect of. IT i Know San
• 1:59:30
  Speaker 1: antonio at that eleven and five record maybe a little
• 1:59:34
  Speaker 1: bit misleaning because they're Without wemby. Now but they're three
• 1:59:37
  Speaker 1: and one without him, THOUGH i think, SO i mean
• 1:59:40
  Speaker 1: that's not too, bad or two and one maybe without. Him,
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 1: whatever they haven't played too poorly without. Him, portland they're
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: coming off that game where they Beat. Milwaukee they bounce
• 1:59:51
  Speaker 1: back after they lost that game and a blow out To.
• 1:59:53
  Speaker 1: Okasee they Beat, milwaukee but the spot that they're in is, bad.
• 1:59:56
  Speaker 1: Dude they're in a return home. Spot they HAVE okac
• 1:59:59
  Speaker 1: again up next On. Sundays that could be a LOOK
• 2:00:01
  Speaker 1: i had. SPOT i don't. Know will they really overlook
• 2:00:04
  Speaker 1: San antonio? THOUGH i don't. Know maybe it's it's more
• 2:00:06
  Speaker 1: likely With San antonio being Without wemby, though so maybe they.
• 2:00:10
  Speaker 1: Will portland has been on the road Since. FRIDAY i
• 2:00:13
  Speaker 1: know it's not a full road, trip but they did
• 2:00:16
  Speaker 1: go To Golden, state Then Oklahoma, city Beat Golden, state
• 2:00:19
  Speaker 1: Lost Oklahoma, city and then Beat milwaukee and coming back
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: home from, that they're playing a third game in four,
• 2:00:25
  Speaker 1: days fourth game in six, days all in different, cities
• 2:00:28
  Speaker 1: and a sixth game in nine. DAYS i believe very
• 2:00:32
  Speaker 1: difficult scheduling For portland. Here, man it's been a jammed.
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: Schedule so that's pretty much WHY i don't like. It
• 2:00:40
  Speaker 1: this is my STRONGEST nba. Opinion i'm not giving it
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: out as a, play BUT i would take The. Spurs
• 2:00:46
  Speaker 1: trailblazers are down from two and a half to. One,
• 2:00:48
  Speaker 1: here sixty one percent of the, tickets seventy three percent
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 1: of the cash on The, spurs so the money is
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 1: seemingly agree with The. Spurs you can get them at
• 2:00:56
  Speaker 1: plus one or play them on the money line as
• 2:00:58
  Speaker 1: an underdog or. Whatever so that's What i'm looking, for
• 2:01:01
  Speaker 1: and that one not a play for me. THOUGH a
• 2:01:03
  Speaker 1: stripper overdose like in his, FAMILY i don't. KNOW i
• 2:01:07
  Speaker 1: don't know what his family. Is Like, Breo, Yeah. Bereveman
• 2:01:13
  Speaker 1: every day is A bereaveman spot in THE. Nba and
• 2:01:16
  Speaker 1: then we finished this slay it off With phoenix And.
• 2:01:19
  Speaker 1: SACRAMENTO i, Mean phoenix has been playing, better for, sure
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: not a bad team. Recently for. Sure they look really
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: bad early in the, season but now they look fairly.
• 2:01:28
  Speaker 1: Good they did just have their momentum disrupted by a
• 2:01:31
  Speaker 1: lost To, houston although last time they took a single
• 2:01:34
  Speaker 1: loss they bounced back nicely and won. Again they are
• 2:01:37
  Speaker 1: going out on the road to start a road, trip
• 2:01:39
  Speaker 1: so USUALLY i say that is a refocused spot when
• 2:01:41
  Speaker 1: you go out on the. Road but they go to
• 2:01:43
  Speaker 1: Okay see and Then denver and THEN la and Then houston,
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: again all up after. This so if they're gonna overlook a,
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 1: team it's probably gonna Be sacramento in this. Spot SO
• 2:01:53
  Speaker 1: i don't love the spot For, phoenix but For sacramento,
• 2:01:56
  Speaker 1: OBVIOUSLY i don't like this spot. EITHER i, mean they're
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 1: coming off two straight upset, now and in their last
• 2:02:02
  Speaker 1: game they were in the letdown spot off of Beating.
• 2:02:04
  Speaker 1: Denver In, denver they're returning over from a road, trip
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 1: which is WHY i gave Them, minnesota and then they
• 2:02:09
  Speaker 1: still pulled off that win in. OVERTIME i Think sacramento's
• 2:02:14
  Speaker 1: in a bad spot, here, MAN i mean both teams.
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: Are sacramento now has has to come off of both
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: of those. Games, YEAH i mean the money's coming in
• 2:02:22
  Speaker 1: on the on the on The. KINGS i, mean, Oh,
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: God sons up from two to four and a half,
• 2:02:27
  Speaker 1: here sixty six percent of tickets on The, suns fifty
• 2:02:30
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash come into The. Kings the
• 2:02:33
  Speaker 1: money is saying The. KINGS i, MEAN i don't even
• 2:02:35
  Speaker 1: know IF i agree with, it, man the spot is
• 2:02:37
  Speaker 1: just bad for both. Teams SO i this is a.
• 2:02:41
  Speaker 1: GAME i don't want to touch. IT i don't even
• 2:02:43
  Speaker 1: know IF i have an opinion on. It AND i
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: told you what the market is. SAYING i don't know
• 2:02:46
  Speaker 1: THAT i really disagree with. It but, YEAH i mean that's,
• 2:02:50
  Speaker 1: uh that's basically gonna do, it. Man so, yeah that's
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: it for. Today, pinzy thank you. Sir the other five
• 2:02:58
  Speaker 1: you got your buy to. YOU i guess knows what he's.
• 2:03:01
  Speaker 1: Doing then five and zero from the other. Guy all,
• 2:03:03
  Speaker 1: RIGHT i gotta step up my. GAME i was only
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 1: four and, oh all, right that's gonna do it for.
• 2:03:07
  Speaker 1: Today once. Again my play, IS i gotta got The
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: instagram video on On Texas tech minus the, points ALTHOUGH
• 2:03:12
  Speaker 1: i think you have to lay a little bit more
• 2:03:13
  Speaker 1: on that Now kansas plus the points late. NIGHT i
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 1: think you'll be able to get a good number on
• 2:03:17
  Speaker 1: that BECAUSE i think that line's probably gonna go against
• 2:03:21
  Speaker 1: that play BECAUSE i think the public is Fading kansas
• 2:03:23
  Speaker 1: and then, hockey we Have pittsburgh money. Line we have
• 2:03:26
  Speaker 1: a split bet make your own plus one puck line
• 2:03:29
  Speaker 1: on The rangers money line on The Maple leafs and
• 2:03:32
  Speaker 1: split bet make your own plus one puck line On.
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 1: Vancouver Maybe i'm going a little bit, crazy but that's
• 2:03:38
  Speaker 1: gonna do. It oh he pays for. Picks THAT'S i don't.
• 2:03:47
  Speaker 1: KNOW i JUST i don't love. IT i like to
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: try to make my own and then just try to. Gauge,
• 2:03:53
  Speaker 1: like you, KNOW i listened to the guys on Wager,
• 2:03:55
  Speaker 1: talk BUT i just try to gauge their opinions from
• 2:03:57
  Speaker 1: listening to Their they have a ton of. Freakent so
• 2:04:03
  Speaker 1: My Stanley cup final matchup prediction of, GOD i Mean.
• 2:04:09
  Speaker 1: COLORADO i mean it seems obvious And colorado looks way too,
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: dominant AND i know they keep losing in the, playoffs
• 2:04:16
  Speaker 1: AND i THINK i gotta go With colorado right now and,
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: then and Probably colorado to win the whole, thing is
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: WHAT i would say right now and then from The East,
• 2:04:27
  Speaker 1: CAROLINA i still think is the best team out, there
• 2:04:30
  Speaker 1: so that would be it right, now BUT i don't.
• 2:04:32
  Speaker 1: KNOW i, Mean i'd have to look at the odds
• 2:04:34
  Speaker 1: and stuff. Again, Bro, Yeah predators Versus. Docs Oh, god
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: thank you, sir thanks for hanging. Out. Bears no. PLAYOFF
• 2:04:44
  Speaker 1: i like, it, DUDE i mean it looks, dude it
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: looks crazy to do that at plus one. Twenty, like
• 2:04:49
  Speaker 1: The bears are eight and three and people are gonna be,
• 2:04:51
  Speaker 1: like how how are they only plus one twenty to
• 2:04:55
  Speaker 1: miss the? Playoffs but look at their remaining. Schedule they're
• 2:04:58
  Speaker 1: playing The, eagles then they have to play The, packers
• 2:05:01
  Speaker 1: then they have The, browns but they're playing The browns
• 2:05:03
  Speaker 1: in A packers sandwich because then they have The packers
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: again after, that and then they have The lions after. That,
• 2:05:09
  Speaker 1: like tell me where those wins are gonna come? From,
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: like how many wins are they gonna get over that? Stretch?
• 2:05:14
  Speaker 1: ONE i think it might be. ZERO i think one at.
• 2:05:17
  Speaker 1: Most The bears are massively. Overrated so you know what
• 2:05:21
  Speaker 1: my opinion is on The Black friday game two from, That, yes,
• 2:05:25
  Speaker 1: sir The. Bears they're the most fraudulent team That i've ever.
• 2:05:29
  Speaker 1: Seen it's. Unbelievable and looking at, dude they still have
• 2:05:33
  Speaker 1: a negative point differential in the. Season they're eight and
• 2:05:36
  Speaker 1: three and they're minus three in point differential they. HAVE
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: i think they have a negative yards per play. Differential they.
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: Suck their defense is like a bottom five defense in THE,
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: nfl and their offense is like in the bottom half
• 2:05:50
  Speaker 1: like below. Average Caleb williams stats have been. Awful he's
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: like fifty four percent maybe completion percentage over that. Stretch he's.
• 2:05:58
  Speaker 1: Awful this team should not be, winning and they've won
• 2:06:01
  Speaker 1: almost all their games against bad teams. Too so, YEAH
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 1: i Know dallas keeps being In, colorado but at some
• 2:06:08
  Speaker 1: point it's not gonna. Happen oh he gives them to
• 2:06:12
  Speaker 1: you for, free right all, Right yeah that's. TRUE i get.
• 2:06:15
  Speaker 1: YOU i get. You, oh but he he pays for
• 2:06:19
  Speaker 1: he pays for, them and then he's just very kind to. You,
• 2:06:21
  Speaker 1: okay he's a good. Friend. Man, yeah The bears have
• 2:06:24
  Speaker 1: luck and Not Andrew, luck who's over With stanford. DOWN
• 2:06:27
  Speaker 1: i don't want to talk About Andrew luck because we're
• 2:06:30
  Speaker 1: looking like we're gonna get some really good years out
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 1: of The Indianapolis colts with, him and now that's not the.
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 1: Case AND i think The colts are a bit overrated
• 2:06:37
  Speaker 1: right now. Too but that's gonna do, it. Man learn
• 2:06:39
  Speaker 1: it to On, instagram learn it tone On, twitter check
• 2:06:42
  Speaker 1: it all, out like, subscribe give me some good comments
• 2:06:44
  Speaker 1: here on the channel, here, like or give me a good,
• 2:06:48
  Speaker 1: REVIEW i should say on audio and listen on Audio,
• 2:06:50
  Speaker 1: Spotify apple where it's the numbers are ticket up there,
• 2:06:55
  Speaker 1: Too so hopefully that's good covered in you because My
• 2:06:59
  Speaker 1: yuke channel on, YouTube i've did another cover Y i,
• 2:07:02
  Speaker 1: SAID i haven't put up on YouTube. Yet it was.
• 2:07:04
  Speaker 1: Mediocre my voice is still not. GREAT i did, cohed
• 2:07:07
  Speaker 1: which is probably. Stupid but my voice usually is better
• 2:07:10
  Speaker 1: than it was in that, one or it used to
• 2:07:12
  Speaker 1: be at least And patreon Dot complation Learned. TOAD i, Know,
• 2:07:17
  Speaker 1: CHARLES i gotta get back to you on that and
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 1: keep that up to. Day AND i Know i've been
• 2:07:21
  Speaker 1: lackluster with. IT i. APOLOGIZE i keep saying that every.
• 2:07:24
  Speaker 1: DAY i KNOW i gotta do, it BUT i don't.
• 2:07:26
  Speaker 1: Know this college basketball is, like is really. Interfere it's taken.
• 2:07:30
  Speaker 1: Me it's taken a lot of. Time and then we
• 2:07:33
  Speaker 1: do the holidays upcoming. Too so, yeah, again we had
• 2:07:37
  Speaker 1: the food talk. Yesterday but, Yes patron Dot comversation Learner,
• 2:07:41
  Speaker 1: toe do you Get Spotify yuke feed and uh Some
• 2:07:44
  Speaker 1: yuke requests there as. Well, yeah we did the food talk.
• 2:07:48
  Speaker 1: Already i'm Gonna i'm gonna be back tomorrow. MORNING i
• 2:07:50
  Speaker 1: GUESS i think it's gonna be a small board. TOMORROW
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: i know there's a college football. GAME i might give
• 2:07:56
  Speaker 1: out two plays in the end of l. TOMORROW i
• 2:07:58
  Speaker 1: have to figure it. OUT i have anion on all
• 2:08:00
  Speaker 1: three games at, least and hopefully there are no. OTHER
• 2:08:03
  Speaker 1: i think there is college, basketball but it's a small
• 2:08:06
  Speaker 1: college basketball. Board So i'm gonna do a quick VIDEO
• 2:08:09
  Speaker 1: i guess tomorrow morning BEFORE i leave to go To,
• 2:08:12
  Speaker 1: thanksgiving and that's gonna do. It, Yeah i'll probably do
• 2:08:16
  Speaker 1: it Like i'll try to do like maybe an hour
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 1: at most in the morning and then i'll. Leave thank, you.
• 2:08:25
  Speaker 1: Sir that's gonna do it for. Now i'll be. Back,
• 2:08:28
  Speaker 1: YEAH i guess tomorrow. MORNING i think it is a
• 2:08:30
  Speaker 1: small board. THOUGH i don't know if there's ANY nba OR.
• 2:08:33
  Speaker 1: Nhl hopefully. Not hopefully they get the holiday. OFF i
• 2:08:37
  Speaker 1: know THE nba plays On christmas and, stuff but we'll.
• 2:08:40
  Speaker 1: See that's gonna do it for. Now thanks, guys peace for.
• 2:08:43
  Speaker 1: Now