Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 421 - 12/23/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum
Transcript
- 0:0154321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
- 0:13Hello and welcome to. Episode 421 of the All Systems.
- 0:18Go sports betting podcast powered by.
- 0:22Rhythm, I am your. Host Josh.
- 0:24Applebaum What's going on, everyone?
- 0:30Happy Tuesday. But more importantly, happy
- 0:33Christmas Eve Eve. That's right.
- 0:36Tomorrow's Christmas Eve. Thursday is Christmas.
- 0:38Day so. It's the holiday cheer.
- 0:41Can you feel it? Actually getting some snow
- 0:42today. Where I'm at.
- 0:44In a small town on the outskirts.
- 0:46Of Boston, so it's. Starting to starting to feel
- 0:49and. Look a lot like Christmas here
- 0:51so I just want to wish everyone. A very happy, healthy, safe and.
- 0:55Awesome and. Hopefully a profitable.
- 0:57Christmas we have, of course. Triple header of NFL.
- 1:00Action coming up on. Christmas Day, got a couple.
- 1:03Games coming up? That Saturday and then of.
- 1:05Course a full. Sunday Slate, and then we also
- 1:07got. Bowl games, so there's a ton.
- 1:08Going on. In the sports betting world, but
- 1:11I just want to take a minute to say.
- 1:12Thank you all. For listening all year.
- 1:14Long. Again before you know.
- 1:16It'll be New Year's Eve, New Year's Day.
- 1:17And then it'll be. Onwards and upwards to 2026 so.
- 1:22Wishing everyone a great. Happy Hanukkah.
- 1:25Merry. Christmas, New Year, that.
- 1:27Whole shebang. And hope everyone.
- 1:29Is is going to have a great time here to.
- 1:31Finish up 2025 now. Want to mention something real
- 1:34quick? This will be the.
- 1:35Final pod of. The week so actually.
- 1:38Tomorrow I am. Jumping in the car with the wife
- 1:41and the dog going to hang out with.
- 1:43My my family in. In the outskirts of western
- 1:47Massachusetts, so looking forward to that.
- 1:49And then on Christmas. Day.
- 1:51We're going to have a big, big. Breakfast with the fam.
- 1:54Open up gifts. And then get in the car and then
- 1:55go to. My wife's side.
- 1:58For Christmas. Day which is.
- 1:59In a small. Town in New Hampshire.
- 2:01So gonna be locked and loaded there.
- 2:03And then Friday I'm. Gonna take.
- 2:05That day off just because. We got a lot going on and.
- 2:07Then you're steaming. Into the weekend so.
- 2:09This will be the last. Pod until we get.
- 2:12Back into the swing of. Things on Monday the 20. 9th So
- 2:14just wanted to mention that, but of.
- 2:16Course, even though there's no POD.
- 2:18Hopefully you'll be. Reading the Sharp.
- 2:19Reports that I write. For vson.com and then of course,
- 2:22you can always track. Every single official.
- 2:24Best bet that I make from the. Juice Reel app.
- 2:26So if you. Want to sign up?
- 2:27To get those juice reel best bet picks as soon as I bet them.
- 2:30From my account. To my sports.
- 2:32Book they go right bet synced up to the juice.
- 2:34Reel app so you. Can tell if they do whatever you
- 2:36like, but I'm sure we'll be. Sweating some games between now
- 2:39and and Monday. So if you want to look for any
- 2:41late evolving. Plays feel free to.
- 2:44Find those on the Juice Reel app.
- 2:47Now turning our attention of. Course to some.
- 2:49Sweats for Christmas? Eve.
- 2:51Eve, I do have two college football bowl games for you.
- 2:54One's at 5. 30 Western Kentucky Southern.
- 2:57Miss Next. Game is at 9:00 PM tonight.
- 2:59UUNLV in Ohio so I got. One dog, one.
- 3:02Favorite. We're going to see if a favorite
- 3:04can come through and a dog, hopefully.
- 3:05Can bark and either. Cover the number.
- 3:07Or went out right so. Breaking down those games.
- 3:10Here for today's pod. Now looking back toward.
- 3:12Yesterday guys, O and. 1 - 1 unit.
- 3:15Now been to a frustrating result there for the.
- 3:17Colts couple. Things going on #1.
- 3:19Prior to the game. Starting.
- 3:21It was pretty clear. We did.
- 3:22Our part as betters. Because I got Colts. +6.
- 3:25You might have gotten. Colts Plus 5 1/2 or.
- 3:28Five. Guess what?
- 3:29Did you see where the Colts closed Plus?
- 3:314 1/2 even plus. Four and I saw.
- 3:33One book actually close at. 3 1/2 so.
- 3:36Anytime you get a. 6/5 and 1/2. 5A game closes. 4 1/2. 4 or 3
- 3:411/2. You did your part as a better.
- 3:43So we put ourselves in the best position there.
- 3:45Read The Market. Perfectly, but I always.
- 3:47Kind. Of joke about this.
- 3:49But hey, we can't control what. Happens on the.
- 3:51Field the court. The ice, whatever the case may
- 3:54be, we did our part. Colts, obviously, let us.
- 3:57Down. And the frustrating part about
- 3:58that wasn't just the fact. That we got great.
- 4:00CLV and it didn't. Come through.
- 4:02But man, the Colts just. Could not.
- 4:04Stop a Nosebleed. It was like, if you're watching
- 4:06that game with me, it's like. Can you get a stop?
- 4:08Like, unbelievably. I thought the Colts I was.
- 4:11Reading about how hey. Their defense is great #1 rush
- 4:13defense. Well, Christian McCaffrey got
- 4:15whatever he wanted. Brock Purdy was unstoppable.
- 4:18And, you know, kind of teased us there as well because.
- 4:21Colts jumped out to. A lead 7 Nothing.
- 4:23Phillip Rivers, Old Man Rivers is throwing the ball, kind of.
- 4:27Awkwardly from a visual. Standpoint, but he's.
- 4:29Pushing the ball they're making. Moves.
- 4:31You know it. Was kind.
- 4:31Of tied back and. Forth, 14 to 14.
- 4:34Then the doors come off. San Fran blows him out in the
- 4:36second-half, so just annoying there.
- 4:38Where we. Got some great CLV read that
- 4:41that play perfectly but hey we. Can't control what happens on
- 4:43the field, so. Either way, guys, we're going
- 4:46to. Invest that back into.
- 4:48Today, see if we. Can turn a profit.
- 4:50As we steam into the Christmas vacation.
- 4:53So with that being said. 2 bowl games.
- 4:55Let's waste no. More time.
- 4:56Because I'm excited. To sweat these ones here for
- 4:58today. So let's just get right to it.
- 5:01Now, first one, let's talk. Western Kentucky and Southern.
- 5:04Miss This is a 5:30 PM Eastern Time kick.
- 5:06Off SO but the. Triple header today this.
- 5:08Is your middle game we've seen. Some very interesting movement
- 5:11on this one SO. Let's set the stage.
- 5:13Talk split system matches line moves.
- 5:15I'll give you my play for this one.
- 5:17Now this 530 kick. Between Western.
- 5:18Kentucky and Southern Miss. It is the new.
- 5:20Orleans Bowl, so we. Played at the Caesar.
- 5:22Superdome home. Of the New Orleans.
- 5:24Saints and Western. Kentucky, they come in eight and
- 5:27four, but. They've dropped two straight.
- 5:29Just came up short against Jacksonville State, 37 to 30.
- 5:32Four in the Conference USA championship game.
- 5:35They lost. Outright as a 1 1/2.
- 5:36Point neutral site favorite. Meanwhile, Southern Miss 7:00
- 5:39and 5:00. Also struggling.
- 5:41A bit here late. They've lost.
- 5:42Three in a row just lost to Troy. 28 to 18.
- 5:46They're actually a six and. 1/2 point home favorite in that
- 5:48game. And lost out right.
- 5:50So what do you see across the market here?
- 5:52Well, this game open Western Kentucky listed around a. 4
- 5:55point neutral site. Favorite.
- 5:57And the public says? Western Kentucky all day.
- 5:59You know better record. Obviously here you know.
- 6:02You have the. Public participation saying hey.
- 6:04Let me just. Back the better team.
- 6:06Quote UN quote. But even though 66.
- 6:08Percent of spread bets at DraftKings.
- 6:10Are going with the. Hilltoppers.
- 6:12We've seen this line. Completely flip.
- 6:14Towards Southern Miss. So we've gone from.
- 6:16Western Kentucky minus. 4 to now Southern.
- 6:19Miss Minus. 1 1/2 - 2 even -2 1/2.
- 6:23A massive, massive. Dog to favorite line move and
- 6:27also it's a reverse. Line move.
- 6:28Because you have. 2/3 of bets on Western.
- 6:30Kentucky yet this sign. Flipped.
- 6:32Completely in favor of Southern Miss the other.
- 6:33Angle here for. Me is.
- 6:35If you look at this flip. It all took place.
- 6:38Today so. Yesterday you had pretty.
- 6:40Much Western Kentucky. Down to around. -1 and then.
- 6:43You wake. Up today, all this.
- 6:45Movement, especially late. Movement Game day.
- 6:47Has been just pouring in on Southern Miss So.
- 6:49I did a little. Internet research, I couldn't
- 6:51tell if there's an opt out or the quarterback for Western.
- 6:54Kentucky's not playing. Couldn't find a ton of.
- 6:56Info there maybe? Pros just really like Southern
- 6:59Miss, but either way it's very clear.
- 7:01That all this big? Smart money is pouring.
- 7:03In On the Golden. Eagles.
- 7:05So aside from the. Contrarian opportunity.
- 7:08You know, only getting. 1/3 of tickets here with Southern Miss
- 7:11and a Quasi. You know, heavily bet.
- 7:12But a quasi primetime? Game 5:30 PM tonight you're.
- 7:16Contrarian heavily bet game. And you have a.
- 7:17Huge reverse line move. Dog to fave line move in favor
- 7:20of Southern. Miss.
- 7:21Now we look at the splits. Here look pretty good on
- 7:23Southern Miss. At DK, 33% of spread bets but
- 7:2753% of spread dollars. Are on the.
- 7:29Golden Eagles and. Then at circa get a load.
- 7:31Of this 46. Percent of spread bets. 79%.
- 7:36Of spread dollars. On Southern Miss SO.
- 7:38Anytime you can marry. A line move.
- 7:40With a low bets higher dollar split up.
- 7:42Both DK. Nationally and circa wise.
- 7:45Guys out in the. Desert in Vegas.
- 7:47Always gives me more. Confidence to tell.
- 7:48Me. Hey the.
- 7:49Market is clearly. Taking a position.
- 7:51Here on Southern Miss. Now you know me.
- 7:53I'm a money line short favorite guy.
- 7:55I'd hate to see Southern Miss. Now they're up to.
- 7:57As high as minus. 2 1/2. Hate to see them win by 1.
- 7:59Or two. And you lose your bet.
- 8:01So I went money line here. Now, I did get Southern Miss a
- 8:04little bit earlier. Today at -120 That was available
- 8:07at. Fanatics.
- 8:09Looks like your. Best money line?
- 8:10Price right now closer. To around -130.
- 8:13Although I think FanDuel. Is -125 S.
- 8:15Either way, pretty. Short money line price here,
- 8:17but. We want to protect ourselves.
- 8:19Because, hey, crazy things. Can happen you know.
- 8:21This was a pick em. Game just yesterday basically.
- 8:24So let's make sure we can win this thing straight up.
- 8:27And cash our ticket. So I'm playing Southern.
- 8:30Miss on the money line? Yoga splits on the money line.
- 8:3324% bets, 35% dollars. At DK.
- 8:36But at circa super super heavily bet.
- 8:39One sided split. In favor of the money line for
- 8:41Southern Miss. Over 90% of money line bets.
- 8:44And dollars on the. Golden Eagles.
- 8:46Now the total's interesting because it's really gone.
- 8:48Up quite a bit. 55 1/2 to 58. And 1/2 and.
- 8:52You do have good. Splits on the over.
- 8:53DK, 55%. Bets 79% dollars on the.
- 8:57Over Circa. 47% bets, 80% dollars.
- 9:01On the over, so both. Books are showing.
- 9:03A pretty sharp split. In favor of a higher scoring.
- 9:06Game the other angle. With Southern Miss, it's a
- 9:09higher total and you're. Closing in basically on. 60.
- 9:13You that would be a correlative. Betting short.
- 9:15Favorite high? Total.
- 9:16So if you're only favored by two, 2 1/2.
- 9:18I mean, we're going money line here.
- 9:19At least I am it's. Up to you what you guys want to
- 9:22do. However, you know more.
- 9:24Expected point scored. Makes it easier.
- 9:26For the favorite to cover that. Tiny little number, so that is a
- 9:28good sign there. Lastly, we do have a 10% sharp
- 9:32mush edge. On the SMU money line.
- 9:36From our friends at Juice Rail. So our sharp buddies.
- 9:39Wise guys and wise. Gals who have downloaded.
- 9:41Juice Rails synced up. Their books.
- 9:43Tracked all their action. The sharper winning betters are
- 9:46also. Going SMU money line.
- 9:48So you had me at dog to fave. Baby when I saw Southern Miss
- 9:51flip to a favorite. And then really there's no.
- 9:53Been no buyback, it's not. Like this went to Southern Miss
- 9:56Minus. 1 1/2 and came back down to a pick.
- 9:58No, it's just continuing to. To really rise up.
- 10:00Here in favor of. SMU so I'm going SMU the sharp
- 10:03mush edge dog to fave line move good.
- 10:05Splits. Correlative betting.
- 10:07Short favorite, high total. So let's go Golden Eagles.
- 10:10Win the damn game. -120 now -130 on the money line.
- 10:15Last bed of the night. UNLV in.
- 10:17Ohio, your 9:00 game. This is your Scooters coffee
- 10:20Frisco Bowl we played at Frisco. Texas, so UNLV comes.
- 10:25In 10 and 3. Just had their four-game win
- 10:27streak though. Come.
- 10:28To an end. They lost to Boise State. 38 to
- 10:3120. One in the mountain.
- 10:32West Championship game didn't cover as a 5 1/2.
- 10:34Point Rd. Dog, on the other hand, Ohio.
- 10:378:00 and 4:00. Just took down Buffalo. 31 to 26
- 10:40did not cover though. As a 7 point Rd. favorite, so
- 10:44just sitting across the market here.
- 10:45With this game open UNLV. Listed around a 3 1/2 point.
- 10:49Road favorite or neutral site favorite?
- 10:51And we've seen. A ton of steam.
- 10:53Hammer. UNLV.
- 10:55So UNLV went. From around -3 1/2 all the way.
- 10:58Up to the key. Number of -7.
- 11:01However, once it got to 7, didn't fly through. 7 go to
- 11:04seven after 8. There's quite a bit of buyback
- 11:06on Ohio plus. Seven, dropping this line back
- 11:09down to 6 1/2 which. Is pretty much where we sit
- 11:11right now. Now why is that important?
- 11:14Because the. Public is hammering.
- 11:15UNLVUNLV is. Getting 71.
- 11:18Percent of spread. Bets again.
- 11:20Big adjustment. In their favor.
- 11:22Maybe not just the public, but. Maybe had some respected.
- 11:24Money hit UNLV. At a cheaper price. -3 1/2 - 4 -
- 11:294 1/2. Something like that.
- 11:31But now that we got to seven and came back down.
- 11:33That told me that there was a point of resistance, a high
- 11:36watermark where wise guys said hey.
- 11:39Maybe UNLV had. Some value there.
- 11:40Closer to 4. Now I've gotten all the way to
- 11:42seven key number. Let's hit the Ohio plus.
- 11:45Seven 'cause that. Thing to fall.
- 11:47Back down a bit. Now Ohio.
- 11:49Is your #1. Contrarian play of the.
- 11:51Night, it's a nine. O'clock game, ESPN.
- 11:54You know, Christmas. Eve.
- 11:55Eve can be. Extremely heavily bet. 71% of
- 11:58tickets on UNLV I automatically want to be.
- 12:00On that 29% side. So I can bet.
- 12:03Against the. Public and go with Ohio.
- 12:05You look at circa 23% of spread bets. 62.
- 12:09Percent of spread dollars on. Ohio, so A.
- 12:12Really good low. Bets higher dollar sharp.
- 12:14Split. In favor of Ohio.
- 12:16At circa. Out in Vegas.
- 12:18Now here's the. Key you might be.
- 12:19Asking yourself what's? The deal with this huge line
- 12:22move in favor of UNLV. Well, I was looking and
- 12:26obviously is a big story that has.
- 12:27You know, got. Across all the headlines.
- 12:29Here in college football. But it is not.
- 12:32Opt outs. It's not like.
- 12:34Everyone from Ohio is sitting. The starting quarterback, Parker
- 12:36Navarro, is not playing. No, no, he is playing.
- 12:38Everyone's playing, everyone's good.
- 12:40However. I think a big reason why you saw
- 12:42this big adjustment toward. UNLV is the situation with the
- 12:46Ohio coach. You probably saw it on Twitter.
- 12:49Made a lot of. Headlines here.
- 12:50If you go to ESPN.com. But their head coach?
- 12:53Brian. Smith was.
- 12:55Out of the blue. Fired for cause.
- 12:58And he, you know, again had an 8 and four season, so it.
- 13:01Wasn't about, you know. His lack of.
- 13:03Performance or having a losing record.
- 13:06I'm not going to. Speculate, I heard.
- 13:08He was. Drinking at his office.
- 13:09He had a. Relationship with an underage.
- 13:11Staffer. I don't really know.
- 13:13Exactly the details. I'll be honest.
- 13:15I don't want to know the details.
- 13:17But the whole. Point being here is.
- 13:18The head coach was fired and it's a.
- 13:20Bad news, bad story, and remember.
- 13:21This is on the. Heels of Sharon Moore.
- 13:24With Michigan. So once that news broke that
- 13:27he's been fired. So he won't.
- 13:29Coach this game. That was when you saw a ton of.
- 13:32Movement toward UNLV. So I think the angle.
- 13:34There was OK Hammer. UNLV, the Public.
- 13:37Also as well, just wants to fade.
- 13:38Ohio because they got all these issues.
- 13:40Bad news. You know, bad news story, news
- 13:43cycle. However.
- 13:45Once we got to seven and came back down, that kind of told me
- 13:48that. Maybe there's some?
- 13:49Sharps who are buying low or on the Ohio.
- 13:52Or flipped the other way. They're selling high.
- 13:54On the bad news or buying on bad.
- 13:56News I should say if I can get my.
- 13:58Buy low, sell high, correct? Because Ohio's going to be at
- 14:01full. Strength really No OPT.
- 14:03Outs, no injuries and yeah, their coach.
- 14:06Is gone, but. Are we overreacting to the coach
- 14:10being? Gone.
- 14:10You know when. When the coach was.
- 14:12Gone and you could. Get a -. 4 sure you'll be.
- 14:14Beating the closing. Line and you're getting.
- 14:15Some good value. But now that you're laying 6.
- 14:18And 1/2 or 7. Maybe that's that's gone a
- 14:20little. Bit too far here.
- 14:21So I'm actually. Going to buy on the bad.
- 14:23News here with the coach. Missing here for Ohio.
- 14:27And take Ohio. But here's the key.
- 14:29You got to get the +7. That's key because again.
- 14:31We have to think about these key.
- 14:33Numbers, which of course you lose by three.
- 14:36You want to push, Just think about the.
- 14:38Giants the G Men over the weekend.
- 14:39Against Minnesota, they're over. Around 2 and a.
- 14:41Half you could have bought it up to three you could have shopped
- 14:43around and got the three. Lose by three and you push so.
- 14:46The key with Ohio, if we want to.
- 14:48Buy low on is bad news. With their coaching staff and go
- 14:51contrarian and. Identify that buyback.
- 14:53Where did that buyback? Take.
- 14:54Place well it took. Place at the key.
- 14:56Number of seven. Again if Ohio loses.
- 14:59By 7 we want to push that bet instead of lose that bet.
- 15:02So I'm looking right now and pretty much every book is 6 1/2.
- 15:06But I did find that at Fanatics right now.
- 15:09You have plus. 6 1/2 - 1 O 5. For Ohio and I bought Ohio.
- 15:14Up Plus. Seven at -1. 20 So again, pay
- 15:18attention. Find the.
- 15:19Lowest juice price. If you disagree, you just want
- 15:21to. Take the six.
- 15:22And a half, hey. Save the juice.
- 15:23That's your. Decision, but I'm going to pay
- 15:25that. 15 extra cents of. Juice to protect myself.
- 15:29So again if you want to do the same.
- 15:31Whatever books you have available to you, you can check
- 15:33out the lowest juice and then. Also, you know.
- 15:36Sometimes buying a point 1/2 point it cost a.
- 15:39Different amount for different books like.
- 15:41You know, I saw. One book I won't.
- 15:42Name names. I don't want to shame them.
- 15:43Or maybe I should shame them? But they're plus. 6 1/2. -1 O 5.
- 15:47But if? You want to take them up to +7.
- 15:50It was -130 So again, 1:30 is a little high for.
- 15:53Me 120. 5 is about as high as I'll go, but.
- 15:55When I was. Able to see.
- 15:56At Fanatics I could. Take him up to plus 7 -, 1. 20 I
- 16:00said hey. That's worthwhile to me just to
- 16:02gain the added protection. So I did take. +7 with Ohio.
- 16:06Number one contrarian play. Buy back at the Seven.
- 16:10Ohio does have by the. Way a 6% sharp mush.
- 16:13Edge so nothing amazing but does tell me at least the sharps.
- 16:16Are kind of. With us on the dog.
- 16:18There instead of laying the points there.
- 16:20With UNLV. Lastly, in terms.
- 16:23Of the total. If you look at the.
- 16:24Open the current 62 and a. Half up to 60. 5:00-ish.
- 16:28You might say, oh, dead, you know, obvious over.
- 16:31But it actually got up to 60. 6 1/2 at one point.
- 16:34And it started. To come back down.
- 16:35So it's now down. To 65, even 60. 4 1/2.
- 16:38You might even be able to find a 65 1/2.
- 16:40I didn't play the total. But I just.
- 16:42Wanted to mention that on game day.
- 16:43There is some under. Money.
- 16:45Dropping this line down. And.
- 16:47This is an outdoor game like obviously.
- 16:48Western Kentucky Southern Miss. That's at the Superdome, so
- 16:52that's an indoor stadium. This stadium here in Texas, it's
- 16:55going to be. About 70°, so good temperature.
- 16:59But 10 mile per. Hour winds.
- 17:00Gusts up to. 20 miles per. Hour, so a little bit of wind.
- 17:02It is a high number. Obviously, these teams can.
- 17:05Score but. Just something to keep.
- 17:07An eye out for which, again, we're seeing this game day
- 17:10movement. Kind of come back.
- 17:11Down. And fall toward the under.
- 17:14So that about. Does it for our Christmas Eve
- 17:16Eve edition of the. ASG Pod episode 421.
- 17:20We got a dog to fave with SMU. We have a gross.
- 17:23Disgusting fire head coach. And sell a buy.
- 17:26On Bad News, play with Ohio +7 see.
- 17:28If we can get at least one of these, we could get 2.
- 17:31That'll be an even better Christmas Eve Eve.
- 17:33Now that being said. As we finish up the pod, just
- 17:36some odds and ends. Here to.
- 17:37Leave you with. Of course, first I always want
- 17:39to say. Thank you.
- 17:39Thank you for listening, Thank you for tuning in.
- 17:41Thank you for. Grinding through the ups and
- 17:44downs, the good and the bad. When it comes to sports betting.
- 17:47We're doing our. Part getting a + 6 five and a
- 17:49half. Closes again. 4 1/2 Four even 3.
- 17:53And 1/2 with the Colts, you lose the bet.
- 17:55But I think the process and getting the best number.
- 17:57Prove that hey, we got the best play there.
- 18:00The best value I should say. But if you do enjoy the pod.
- 18:03And you like to let me know you? Appreciate the insights.
- 18:06Which I hope you do. I would love for you to give
- 18:08this podcast a. Five Star review on Spotify or
- 18:11iTunes, just click the five. Stars, it only takes a second if
- 18:14you want to leave a nice comment.
- 18:15Under the Review tab. Or click the follow button.
- 18:18Or retweet the pod. When I tweet it out.
- 18:20From my personal account at Josh under score.
- 18:22Insights or the ASG? Under Score Podcast account The
- 18:26official account on Twitter. Or you want to.
- 18:28Recommend the pod to. A friend.
- 18:29That'll all be. Very much appreciated next.
- 18:32If you enjoy the. Style of betting breakdown.
- 18:34Data-driven sharp contrarian betting.
- 18:36And you also. Want to sport the pod?
- 18:38Or maybe you're looking for that?
- 18:40Last second gift. I actually got to run out and.
- 18:42Do one thing. I got to.
- 18:43I got to get. Gas for the car before we drive
- 18:45across the state of Massachusetts to see the.
- 18:47Family. And also got to.
- 18:49Get one more thing for my mom. Before we depart here, but if
- 18:53you're. Looking for a last minute
- 18:54Christmas? Gift you can still.
- 18:55Do it today. And it'll come in in time.
- 18:58You can pick up my book. Support.
- 18:59The team get the NFL. Sharp betting playbook from.
- 19:02Amazon.com. You can also order my first
- 19:04book. The Everything guide to sports
- 19:06betting. Makes great stocking stuffer.
- 19:08Even if it comes. In a day late, you could still
- 19:09give it to your uncle. I don't think I'll mind.
- 19:12But if you'd like to buy. One or both my books, you'd make
- 19:14my day. You'd make my publishers happy
- 19:16and hopefully. The person.
- 19:18Who gets those gifts will also be happy and find it.
- 19:21A little bit interesting. If you also want to give one or
- 19:24both. A five star review.
- 19:26On Amazon that would be. Fantastic as well.
- 19:29And bring one or both of the books to the sports book.
- 19:31I'll sign up for you and I'll. Buy you a beer.
- 19:33Or ginger ale will. Sweat some games together.
- 19:36Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
- 19:38My two favorite sports. Betting apps, of course.
- 19:41Rhythm and Juice reel. Fantastic for their AI backed
- 19:44models and predictions for game bets and player.
- 19:46Props and as always. You can get those.
- 19:50Get that discount using. Start 25 promo.
- 19:52Code for rhythm. And then also if you.
- 19:55Want to download Juice Reel you can support?
- 19:57Your podcast host. By signing up.
- 19:58To get the. ASG best bets officially.
- 20:00From Juice Reel, it'll cost you $4.
- 20:03And $0.99 a week. If you're looking for a
- 20:05Christmas gift for me, just sign up for a week of plays I would
- 20:07very much appreciate. That make my buddy.
- 20:10Ricky Gold happy. Who runs Juice Reel?
- 20:12You also get the. Robo Jackson best bet picks,
- 20:15sharp mush indicators, arbitrage plays.
- 20:17Shop for the best line futures, all available.
- 20:19When you download. Juice reel.
- 20:20So download rhythm, download juice reel.
- 20:22Give them a 5. Star Review in the app.
- 20:24Store next Do you have a live odds?
- 20:27Page. Well, if you.
- 20:28Don't you need one? It should be your new New Year's
- 20:30resolution as well. Either to.
- 20:32Get a live odds. Page if you don't have one, or
- 20:34if you have one and it's. Free, but it's slow.
- 20:36And you don't know. Where the percentages are.
- 20:39Coming from, I can't tell you how many.
- 20:40Times people DM me and they show me splits and I'm like.
- 20:43OK. Where are you getting that from?
- 20:45And then they can't tell you. Because if odds makers.
- 20:48Are not going to tell you where the splits are coming from or
- 20:51where the lines. Are coming from.
- 20:52I would not. Trust that.
- 20:53Or a live odds provider I should say.
- 20:56But odds logic it's the best around if you want to give.
- 20:58It a shot. All you got to do is go to.
- 21:00Oddslogic.com. Slash Josh, 12.
- 21:03Three. That'll give you a 7.
- 21:05Day free trial. And 50.
- 21:06Percent off your first. Month of service.
- 21:08Lastly, have you downloaded? Novig yet?
- 21:11Well, Novig. It's not a sports book, it's a
- 21:13sports. Betting Exchange.
- 21:15So as a result, you. Don't have to pay.
- 21:18The crazy high juice that the odds.
- 21:19Makers force on you with your your massive big, you know,
- 21:22sports. Books paying -1. 15 -, 120
- 21:25you're going to get. -1 O 2. -1 O 6.
- 21:28Plus one O 4 + 100. So as a result.
- 21:30You can win. At the same rate you would at
- 21:32any other sports book that you use.
- 21:33Now. But make more money.
- 21:35Using novig because you're risking.
- 21:37Less juice Which? Means you're getting more.
- 21:39Juice back so if you want to give novig a shot just.
- 21:42Download the Novig app. When you fund your account, put
- 21:46in Josh. 123. Into that promo code.
- 21:48Field and I'll tack. On an extra 25.
- 21:50Bucks for you lastly. Come join my NFL.
- 21:54Playoffs survivor pool. If you.
- 21:56Haven't done it yet. This contest is available.
- 21:59Now to join I. Think we're up to close to 30
- 22:01people. Have signed up so.
- 22:02Excited about that? Obviously we won't.
- 22:04Get the bracket until. The end of the regular season
- 22:07and then. You know the.
- 22:08First week in January when we get the.
- 22:10Official, you know, basically. Know who's in and who's out?
- 22:13But the cool thing about this one is you got to be a little.
- 22:15Strategic you got to save basically your super.
- 22:18Bowl winner. For the last game of the year.
- 22:21So if you think you know. The Rams are going to win it.
- 22:24All you don't. Want to use Rams in the, you
- 22:26know, second week? I guess that's a bad.
- 22:27Example because they have a buy anyway.
- 22:29But let's say you. Think my patriots.
- 22:31Can win it all. Don't, don't.
- 22:32It's not crazy, I. Think they have the 5th best
- 22:34odds and 4th best odds. But you don't want to use them.
- 22:37Wild card weekend. I hope they get a.
- 22:39Buy. But anyway, you get my point
- 22:40here. So I'm not looking forward.
- 22:42To having this Survivor contest for the playoffs.
- 22:45So you can join. By clicking the link in the.
- 22:49Description of the pod. As well as you can.
- 22:51Find the links on my. Twitter page at Josh.
- 22:53Under score insights. So as always, wrapping up.
- 22:56Again, two final thoughts. One whether I.
- 22:58See you at the. Borgata in Atlantic City.
- 23:01Twin River in Rhode Island, the. Brook in New Hampshire.
- 23:03Foxwoods or Mohegan? Sun down in Connecticut.
- 23:05At the Encore in Boston Plain Ridge Park Casino.
- 23:08MGM, Springfield. The Nash.
- 23:10On the border of Massachusetts in New Hampshire.
- 23:11My closest sports book to my house.
- 23:14Or, of course, out in the desert, where the true grinders
- 23:15get down. Where Billy?
- 23:16Walter sends his number runners where the lowest juice possible.
- 23:19Is found at the South. Point or sweat and sharp and
- 23:21train plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you.
- 23:24Catch a big ticket at Circle. Wherever, maybe, unfortunately
- 23:27you can flash me. That Colts ticket CLV but old
- 23:31man Rivers, he did his. Part.
- 23:33The Colts defense just absolutely pathetic.
- 23:35Couldn't stop a Nosebleed. That was frustrating.
- 23:37Isn't it annoying when? You're just getting shredded.
- 23:39It's like. Can you?
- 23:40Guys, get a damn. Stop.
- 23:41Unbelievable. I'll be either way guys, see if
- 23:43we can. Bounce back today.
- 23:44As we steam. Into the holiday break.
- 23:46So as always, coming off an O and one or A1 and OA winning
- 23:49night, A losing night, a great night.
- 23:51A great. Night a terrible.
- 23:52Night a hot. Streak a cold streak.
- 23:54Or grinding. Somewhere in the middle.
- 23:56We just got to stay even keeled. And get not get too high when.
- 23:58Things are going good, not get too low when things are going
- 24:01bad, just going to play the. System matches discipline.
- 24:04With our bankroll management and find the games that.
- 24:06Fit our model against the public with.
- 24:09The house with the. Pros Flat bet.
- 24:11Avoid parlays and get that CLV if we can do that.
- 24:13We're going to be. Successful sports bettors, so
- 24:16everyone has a great. Christmas Eve Eve, a great
- 24:19Christmas Eve, a great. Christmas Day reminder.
- 24:22You can check out my sharp reports on Twitter at Josh under
- 24:25Score Insights. Between now and Monday.
- 24:27As well as the best bets that'll be posted.
- 24:29On the juicer lab. But we will.
- 24:30Be back on Monday. And that'll be episode. 4/22.
- 24:34Of the all systems. Go sports betting.
- 24:36Podcast powered by Rhythm. Good luck everybody and have a
- 24:39great. Christmas break.