Latest / Crosstabs / Dog Days of Summer
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_02: Cleared to engage.
- 0:01SPEAKER_02: Time on target.
- 0:02SPEAKER_02: Five mics.
- 0:03SPEAKER_02: Out.
- 0:10[music]
- 0:21SPEAKER_02: Welcome to Crosstabs with Reagan Kiddop and Bryan Iverson coming to you live
- 0:24SPEAKER_02: from not the Eastern Oregon Economic Summit where all the cool people are at.
- 0:29SPEAKER_02: Bryan and I are in our offices, which
- 0:32SPEAKER_01: is cool.
- 0:33SPEAKER_02: But I bet the people out there are having a lot of fun.
- 0:36SPEAKER_02: Today is tour day.
- 0:37SPEAKER_02: I think there's several different tours that are many, many hours long.
- 0:42SPEAKER_02: They started at 8 a.m. local time.
- 0:44SPEAKER_02: Got to remember this.
- 0:45SPEAKER_02: Mountain time is what the time they're on.
- 0:47SPEAKER_02: So everything's an hour ahead of wherever you're at in Pacific,
- 0:52SPEAKER_02: which I would guess 99.9% of our listeners are in the Pacific time zone.
- 0:57SPEAKER_02: But maybe I'm wrong.
- 1:00SPEAKER_01: There's one or few in Iowa that listen to us, I know.
- 1:03SPEAKER_01: I picked up a few listeners for us.
- 1:05SPEAKER_02: Well, that's awesome.
- 1:08SPEAKER_01: I'm trying, Reagan.
- 1:09SPEAKER_01: I'm trying to get some, but I am glad I'm not on a tour.
- 1:11SPEAKER_01: I think Vicki had to be up at 6 a.m.
- 1:13SPEAKER_01: Of course,
- 1:14SPEAKER_01: you know, she can always text me at 6 a.m. because I'm always up at 6 a.m.
- 1:17SPEAKER_01: So that's usually never a problem.
- 1:19SPEAKER_01: And she thinks it's fun when she gets up early and then she has to let me know
- 1:22SPEAKER_01: that she got up early.
- 1:25SPEAKER_02: Listen, I get up at 6 a.m., but I'm not usually up by 6 a.m.
- 1:30SPEAKER_02: It takes me a few minutes to roll out of bed and get the coffee going.
- 1:34SPEAKER_02: You know what I thought about doing, Bryan?
- 1:35SPEAKER_02: Putting a current right next to my bed so I can just start the coffee.
- 1:39SPEAKER_02: But I feel like the coffee forces me downstairs, and that's probably a good thing.
- 1:43SPEAKER_01: Yeah, it's a little much, I think.
- 1:47SPEAKER_01: I usually make the coffee the night before,
- 1:50SPEAKER_01: like not made, so all I got to do is hit the button, right?
- 1:53SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 1:54SPEAKER_01: And then sometimes I'll have like a leftover cup from the day before,
- 1:57SPEAKER_01: so I'll heat that up in the microwave.
- 1:59SPEAKER_02: That's disgusting, Bryan.
- 2:01SPEAKER_02: So I am notorious for leaving my coffee in the microwave,
- 2:04SPEAKER_02: but if it's not the same day's coffee, it's gone.
- 2:07SPEAKER_02: I'm not drinking that.
- 2:08SPEAKER_01: Oh, really?
- 2:09SPEAKER_01: No.
- 2:09SPEAKER_01: Yesterday's coffee, terrible.
- 2:12SPEAKER_01: Vicky gives me shit for that too, but I don't really find it to be that big of a thing.
- 2:18SPEAKER_01: That can't taste good, Bryan.
- 2:19SPEAKER_02: That's not good.
- 2:21SPEAKER_02: That's a bad thing to learn.
- 2:23SPEAKER_02: I guess you're not perfect.
- 2:25SPEAKER_01: Hey, listen, Reagan, I can't be perfect.
- 2:30SPEAKER_01: But however,
- 2:31SPEAKER_01: you know what is disgusting is that Keurig stuff is usually when they – you know
- 2:35SPEAKER_01: when you go to hotels?
- 2:36SPEAKER_01: You know what the worst is?
- 2:37SPEAKER_01: Nobody really drinks decaf.
- 2:39SPEAKER_01: What is that, like 10% of the market maybe?
- 2:41SPEAKER_02: I can't even imagine who's drinking
- 2:43SPEAKER_01: that stuff.
- 2:43SPEAKER_00: And they always do those Keurigs at the hotels,
- 2:45SPEAKER_00: and they always put like two decaf and two caffeinated ones in there.
- 2:49SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 2:49SPEAKER_00: And it drives me crazy.
- 2:51SPEAKER_00: I'm like, who is you drinking the decaf?
- 2:53SPEAKER_01: And the worst is sometimes there'll be like three decaf and like one regular
- 2:57SPEAKER_01: and we won't catch up.
- 2:58SPEAKER_01: So in the morning,
- 2:59SPEAKER_01: like if we get up and then I make that,
- 3:01SPEAKER_01: you know, because I'm always up first and then there's only three decafs.
- 3:05SPEAKER_01: Guess he's going down to the lobby.
- 3:09SPEAKER_02: Nice.
- 3:10SPEAKER_02: Yes.
- 3:11SPEAKER_02: And you got two people per room if you only put two,
- 3:14SPEAKER_02: like if you've got two people in a room and you only put two of the Kurgs,
- 3:16SPEAKER_02: that's only one day's worth of coffee.
- 3:18SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I know.
- 3:19SPEAKER_01: It's just that's now I know the Keurigs definitely makes sense if you're from a hotel.
- 3:26SPEAKER_01: Sure.
- 3:26SPEAKER_01: Like doing actual coffee is kind of dumb, but I think that there is a better way of doing it.
- 3:33SPEAKER_01: I think some of the hotels are trying to figure it out.
- 3:35SPEAKER_01: I think you're almost best not even putting coffee in the room.
- 3:39SPEAKER_01: I think that if you had a really good coffee downstairs.
- 3:42SPEAKER_01: I can throw my shorts on and my flip flops right and go down.
- 3:45SPEAKER_01: If I knew there was good coffee in the lobby,
- 3:48SPEAKER_01: I wouldn't worry about there being a Keurig in my hotel.
- 3:50SPEAKER_01: True.
- 3:52SPEAKER_01: But they usually,
- 3:53SPEAKER_01: but usually it seems like they don't have bowls, but just pet peeve on coffee hotel.
- 4:02SPEAKER_02: Listen, if you're staying in a hotel, coffee is the next most important thing to figure out.
- 4:08SPEAKER_02: So they should have it if they haven't figured out for you.
- 4:11SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 4:11SPEAKER_01: Who's in hotels these days?
- 4:13SPEAKER_01: I bet Drazen's probably doing a lot of hotels these days.
- 4:16SPEAKER_01: We should ask her.
- 4:18SPEAKER_01: Well, funny story.
- 4:19SPEAKER_02: I just got the email from Ashley.
- 4:23SPEAKER_02: Shout out to Ashley, friend of the pod.
- 4:26SPEAKER_02: Media advisory for Drazen to announce the Drazen plan.
- 4:30SPEAKER_02: That'll happen Tuesday at 1115.
- 4:33SPEAKER_02: Exact location provided upon RSVP.
- 4:37SPEAKER_02: Anyway, I have seen some of this.
- 4:39SPEAKER_02: So I think if you go to the Drazen plan dot com,
- 4:41SPEAKER_02: which is running in one of our advertisements I saw on streaming,
- 4:44SPEAKER_02: that some of it is on there.
- 4:47SPEAKER_02: But I saw a clip not that long ago about Drazen talking about data centers.
- 4:53SPEAKER_02: She was doing that on Coin, I think, maybe.
- 4:55SPEAKER_01: Yeah, Coin.
- 4:56SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 4:57SPEAKER_02: What did you think of that?
- 4:59SPEAKER_02: Did you watch that?
- 5:00SPEAKER_02: I did.
- 5:02SPEAKER_01: One, I think her approach is pretty interesting.
- 5:06SPEAKER_01: I don't think she's...
- 5:09SPEAKER_01: She's probably well-versed on data centers now.
- 5:11SPEAKER_01: Oh, sure.
- 5:13SPEAKER_01: Over the last month or two, so I won't say that.
- 5:16SPEAKER_01: But it's never been a space in which she's worked in in the legislature.
- 5:22SPEAKER_01: It's not really been a space anybody in the legislature has worked in,
- 5:26SPEAKER_01: to be honest, and to be fair to Kotick and, I think, Grayson.
- 5:30SPEAKER_01: But I did like her answer in regards to where...
- 5:34SPEAKER_01: You know,
- 5:35SPEAKER_01: now all of a sudden this is a problem when we've had data centers in the state
- 5:40SPEAKER_01: of Oregon since, you know, I mean, Facebook opened in 2012.
- 5:45SPEAKER_01: You know,
- 5:46SPEAKER_01: Google's been there in the DAOs for what,
- 5:48SPEAKER_01: since early, geez, like 2006, 2007, somewhere in there.
- 5:53SPEAKER_01: They started there.
- 5:54SPEAKER_02: Did you really just say 6-7, Bryan?
- 5:56SPEAKER_02: Come on.
- 5:57SPEAKER_02: You got to be smarter than that.
- 5:59SPEAKER_02: You can't let that stuff slip through.
- 6:01SPEAKER_02: The 6-7 is everywhere.
- 6:02SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 6:04SPEAKER_02: That is funny.
- 6:06SPEAKER_00: Yeah, somewhere in there.
- 6:07SPEAKER_00: I think that she made a good point of laying the facts down,
- 6:12SPEAKER_01: which is that she's correct.
- 6:14SPEAKER_01: We probably do have our overshare of data centers in Oregon relative to,
- 6:20SPEAKER_01: say, other states, right?
- 6:21SPEAKER_01: But I don't know if there's really an argument to be made for fair share for this or
- 6:26SPEAKER_01: that, but I think the reality for data centers, it's all about location.
- 6:30SPEAKER_01: It's not really about, you know, it's like a...
- 6:34SPEAKER_01: Arguing about where a camp, where an RV park should go, right?
- 6:37SPEAKER_01: Because nobody wants the RV park next to their house.
- 6:42SPEAKER_01: So it's like a data center.
- 6:43SPEAKER_01: Nobody really wants the data center in their town.
- 6:45SPEAKER_01: Well, some towns actually don't mind it.
- 6:48SPEAKER_01: I think some towns actually have done really well with data centers next to them.
- 6:51SPEAKER_01: And some towns are going to embrace that.
- 6:53SPEAKER_01: And so you can't as a state just say, no data centers, period.
- 6:58SPEAKER_01: I think Lakeview would love to have a data center.
- 7:00SPEAKER_01: And I think they would jump up and down to have a data center in Lakeview.
- 7:03SPEAKER_01: I think...
- 7:04SPEAKER_01: There's a lot of communities.
- 7:06SPEAKER_01: I was in Arlington and Arlington is getting a
- 7:08SPEAKER_00: data center and they were excited
- 7:11SPEAKER_00: and nothing has changed.
- 7:14SPEAKER_00: Arlington has had the same 600 people living there since the 600 people moved there
- 7:18SPEAKER_01: and be in the dump for Portland.
- 7:21SPEAKER_01: They have no other industry.
- 7:23SPEAKER_00: So the idea that they can have in the data center that works for Arlington is coming
- 7:28SPEAKER_00: because there's so much wind power and solar power that has been developed right up
- 7:33SPEAKER_00: on top of the hill from Arlington.
- 7:36SPEAKER_00: And now all those power lines are going right past where a data center would be.
- 7:41SPEAKER_00: Isn't this what the Democrats have wanted?
- 7:44SPEAKER_00: Is renewable energy and data centers are the ones using it.
- 7:48SPEAKER_02: Well, and I mean,
- 7:49SPEAKER_02: this gets back to the whole thing,
- 7:50SPEAKER_02: which is that Data centers, I think, is really just a proxy fight.
- 7:58SPEAKER_02: It's not actually about the data centers.
- 8:00SPEAKER_02: Data centers are the boogeyman that people are blaming for high electricity bills.
- 8:04SPEAKER_02: If their electricity bills were low, I don't think data centers would be taking the hit.
- 8:08SPEAKER_02: High property taxes.
- 8:09SPEAKER_02: Again, most people don't know how property taxes work.
- 8:13SPEAKER_02: And in Oregon, they're especially complicated.
- 8:16SPEAKER_02: I don't think in most cases...
- 8:18SPEAKER_02: That a data center is actually costing you money on your property taxes.
- 8:22SPEAKER_02: They may not pay as high a rate as they're supposed to if they get a break,
- 8:26SPEAKER_02: but that doesn't mean they're increasing your property taxes.
- 8:31SPEAKER_02: I think people are playing fast and loose.
- 8:32SPEAKER_02: And so it's this idea of, well,
- 8:33SPEAKER_02: my property tax bill is high and my power bill is high and I'm hearing a lot
- 8:37SPEAKER_02: about drought and I would like to blame somebody.
- 8:40SPEAKER_02: And instead of blaming bad policy for years in the state of Oregon,
- 8:45SPEAKER_02: that's increased the cost of energy,
- 8:47SPEAKER_02: has not allowed us to conserve and access water and has continued to Push higher
- 8:54SPEAKER_02: and higher taxes,
- 8:55SPEAKER_02: whether it's property or different areas that instead of blaming the years and years
- 9:00SPEAKER_02: of voting Democrat, we're going to blame data centers.
- 9:03SPEAKER_02: And that's happening all over the country is is with different policies
- 9:07SPEAKER_02: that have maybe increased right cost of living.
- 9:11SPEAKER_02: Right.
- 9:11SPEAKER_02: And that's kind of the biggest one that we're hearing.
- 9:13SPEAKER_02: Democrats are running on cost of living because there's a Republican in the White House.
- 9:16SPEAKER_02: And if there was a Democrat in the White House, Republicans would be running on cost of living.
- 9:20SPEAKER_02: That's just how the world works.
- 9:21SPEAKER_02: Right.
- 9:22SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 9:36SPEAKER_02: And so he's bouncing and seeing all of this.
- 9:37SPEAKER_02: And most Oregonians,
- 9:39SPEAKER_02: most Americans are just saying something costs more and I don't know anything about
- 9:42SPEAKER_02: the war in Iran or whatever else or the tariffs or whatever.
- 9:45SPEAKER_02: So he's making moves to try to make to set America up for different things.
- 9:51SPEAKER_02: And short term pain, long term gain is guessing what his strategy is going to be right now.
- 9:57SPEAKER_02: The short term pain.
- 9:58SPEAKER_02: Losing in the midterms would be some short-term pain.
- 10:01SPEAKER_02: But if he makes long-term gains, maybe that's stuff Republicans can run on in a few years too.
- 10:05SPEAKER_02: We'll see.
- 10:07SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I did like,
- 10:10SPEAKER_01: Senator Drazen is correct, though,
- 10:13SPEAKER_01: when she does lay this,
- 10:14SPEAKER_01: this is another one of those things that you can lay at the feet of,
- 10:18SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 10:18SPEAKER_01: Kotech and Democrats in Oregon,
- 10:20SPEAKER_01: because they've been in charge for the last 15 years since we've had data centers,
- 10:23SPEAKER_01: and they haven't piped up once in regards to data centers until all of
- 10:29SPEAKER_01: a sudden it's politically expedient for them to be anti-data centers.
- 10:33SPEAKER_01: So I think that's a very fair argument.
- 10:37SPEAKER_01: Argument to make against,
- 10:38SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 10:39SPEAKER_01: Democrat supermajorities,
- 10:40SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 10:41SPEAKER_01: in Oregon is like, oh,
- 10:42SPEAKER_01: now you care about data centers after people in Hillsborough threw out a Democrat
- 10:47SPEAKER_01: for because they're somebody running on an anti Democrat or
- 10:51SPEAKER_01: an anti data center platform and Hillsborough's gone,
- 10:55SPEAKER_01: you know, to the crazy end of the pool and you don't want to be next.
- 10:59SPEAKER_01: So therefore,
- 10:59SPEAKER_01: now you're anti data center when you guys were all for data centers
- 11:03SPEAKER_01: when it was Intel coming in and Creating jobs and,
- 11:07SPEAKER_01: you know, adding to the Democrat coffers.
- 11:09SPEAKER_01: And so I think that's a fair argument for her to make.
- 11:12SPEAKER_01: I just didn't,
- 11:13SPEAKER_01: and maybe I'm wrong,
- 11:14SPEAKER_01: but did you in that argument with,
- 11:17SPEAKER_01: I didn't really hear where she, is she for or against debt centers?
- 11:21SPEAKER_01: Because I didn't really get an exact,
- 11:24SPEAKER_01: I just kind of heard her laying out the groundwork,
- 11:26SPEAKER_01: but I didn't hear her say that she would put a moratorium or not on that.
- 11:30SPEAKER_02: No, I think she she did say something about and I couldn't tell
- 11:33SPEAKER_02: if it was eliminate tax breaks or reduce them for data centers.
- 11:38SPEAKER_02: And I think I don't think we have specific tax breaks for data centers in Oregon law.
- 11:43SPEAKER_02: We have tax breaks that are.
- 11:45SPEAKER_02: In certain zones and they're all they count for all kinds of industrial projects.
- 11:50SPEAKER_02: And so if you bring basically what they are is incentives.
- 11:53SPEAKER_02: If you bring a big company, local government has the ability to slash that tax bill.
- 11:57SPEAKER_02: It's not the state level.
- 11:59SPEAKER_02: It's all local.
- 12:00SPEAKER_02: And the local government can say we're going to forego some of this property tax revenue.
- 12:05SPEAKER_02: We can take a one time payment.
- 12:07SPEAKER_02: We can do other community benefit agreements.
- 12:09SPEAKER_02: We're hearing a lot about those CBAs.
- 12:10SPEAKER_02: I've started finally.
- 12:12SPEAKER_02: Finally,
- 12:13SPEAKER_02: to see ads about pro data center ads
- 12:16SPEAKER_00: interspersed between Drazen and Kotec ads
- 12:19SPEAKER_00: and Bynum ads.
- 12:21SPEAKER_02: But they're bringing out that there's benefits that they can bring.
- 12:24SPEAKER_02: And you see all over the country, you can read about these big data centers.
- 12:28SPEAKER_02: They're signing deals with local governments to pay people's property taxes
- 12:33SPEAKER_02: or reduce their property taxes, reduce their power bills, all these things.
- 12:37SPEAKER_02: That makes it... And by the way, data centers are not...
- 12:41SPEAKER_02: Industrial in the sense like they're manufacturing where they output negative stuff.
- 12:47SPEAKER_02: It's like one of the cleanest types of industry.
- 12:49SPEAKER_02: You could have a data center literally so close to your house and not even ever know it.
- 12:54SPEAKER_02: There's so many people that are anti-data center in all over the country
- 12:59SPEAKER_02: that live near a data center and they don't even know it.
- 13:00SPEAKER_02: Because it looks like an Amazon facility.
- 13:02SPEAKER_01: Or have for so long.
- 13:04SPEAKER_01: And now all of a sudden they know, right?
- 13:06SPEAKER_02: And now they pretend.
- 13:07SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 13:07SPEAKER_02: So it's ultimately, I think, obviously, again, a lot of confusion.
- 13:11SPEAKER_02: I agree.
- 13:11SPEAKER_02: I didn't see her grab hold of the issue, just as I haven't seen Kotech grab hold of the issue.
- 13:15SPEAKER_02: They're trying to slowly move themselves forward,
- 13:18SPEAKER_02: but no one wants to grab the rail because it might be a lightning rod.
- 13:23SPEAKER_01: I would agree.
- 13:24SPEAKER_01: They're both dancing around it a little bit,
- 13:26SPEAKER_01: but they also don't want to give up on business, right?
- 13:28SPEAKER_01: And that...
- 13:28SPEAKER_01: And what you're talking about is economic development.
- 13:30SPEAKER_01: So in the world of economic development, you have like a long-term enterprise zone.
- 13:35SPEAKER_01: And these are, of course, yes, local decisions, however, given to them by the ORS.
- 13:41SPEAKER_01: By the state, true.
- 13:44SPEAKER_01: So you have a short-term enterprise zone that you can create for somebody,
- 13:50SPEAKER_01: which is usually three to five years.
- 13:52SPEAKER_01: And you have the long-term rural enterprise zone, which also was designed...
- 13:58SPEAKER_01: So rural communities could recover from the logging that Portland Democrats killed us on.
- 14:04SPEAKER_01: So, by the way,
- 14:06SPEAKER_01: and then now look at it,
- 14:07SPEAKER_01: Portland Democrats again trying to take away data centers when,
- 14:10SPEAKER_01: oh, that's right, when rural economies are starting to do good again.
- 14:13SPEAKER_02: And by the way,
- 14:14SPEAKER_02: every session they try to roll back or eliminate these tax breaks
- 14:18SPEAKER_02: because they hate corporate welfare.
- 14:21SPEAKER_02: Now, the thing that always trips them up is,
- 14:24SPEAKER_02: of course, you say, well, we're giving tax breaks to big corporations.
- 14:27SPEAKER_02: Well, here's the thing.
- 14:28SPEAKER_02: You don't know if that corporation made their determination to come based
- 14:32SPEAKER_02: that property tax break.
- 14:34SPEAKER_02: And a lot of them do because that helps a ton because it's a long-term fixed cost
- 14:38SPEAKER_02: that they can now control.
- 14:41SPEAKER_02: And when a lot of times they say they would have come here anyway,
- 14:44SPEAKER_02: because the quality of life is so amazing.
- 14:46SPEAKER_02: And I was like,
- 14:47SPEAKER_02: I hate to break it to you because all these companies also locate in places
- 14:51SPEAKER_02: that you do not think are amazing, like Ohio or wherever.
- 14:55SPEAKER_02: They usually choose red states that are they say are bad places to live.
- 14:59SPEAKER_02: But yeah.
- 15:01SPEAKER_02: Those projects came because of those tax breaks.
- 15:03SPEAKER_02: So once you eliminate those, those projects stop showing up and it's going to hurt more.
- 15:09SPEAKER_02: And the thing I don't want to see happen,
- 15:10SPEAKER_02: again, as I've said, so Tom Tiffany is the Wisconsin governor candidate.
- 15:18SPEAKER_02: He said end tax breaks for data centers.
- 15:22SPEAKER_02: Now, I don't know if,
- 15:22SPEAKER_02: again, it's the same situation as Oregon, where do they have special ones?
- 15:25SPEAKER_02: Probably not.
- 15:26SPEAKER_02: Does he just want to eliminate it so they can't get any special tax treatment at all?
- 15:30SPEAKER_02: He's running in a blue state.
- 15:32SPEAKER_02: Mike Rogers, he said he backs a one-year moratorium.
- 15:35SPEAKER_02: His Democrat opponent does not back a moratorium, which I think is interesting again.
- 15:41SPEAKER_02: Even though he is kind of a socialist candidate and the moratoriums,
- 15:44SPEAKER_02: I want to be totally transparent.
- 15:45SPEAKER_02: I am aware the moratorium push is coming from the DSA people.
- 15:50SPEAKER_02: Now they're pushing two years.
- 15:51SPEAKER_02: They're pushing three years.
- 15:52SPEAKER_02: They're pushing five years.
- 15:54SPEAKER_02: Those are all too long.
- 15:56SPEAKER_02: And again,
- 15:56SPEAKER_02: I don't even still think the one year is a good idea,
- 15:59SPEAKER_02: but we're going to see now,
- 16:00SPEAKER_02: is that a make or break difference for Rogers in Michigan?
- 16:04SPEAKER_02: We're going to see as the election unfolds,
- 16:06SPEAKER_02: if Kotech and Dresden go more extreme in their positions to try to win.
- 16:09SPEAKER_02: I mean, Kotech's already, Making extreme overtures to that side just recently, in fact.
- 16:16SPEAKER_01: Well, because I think, yeah, you're right.
- 16:18SPEAKER_01: It will be curious to see.
- 16:20SPEAKER_01: And you were right to say that it was only a matter of time for
- 16:22SPEAKER_01: a Republican came out for the one year.
- 16:24SPEAKER_01: So good prediction.
- 16:25SPEAKER_01: You're way better at it.
- 16:26SPEAKER_01: Again, I think it's bad policy.
- 16:28SPEAKER_02: So I don't want to be excited about it.
- 16:30SPEAKER_02: But in places where winning is the most important thing,
- 16:35SPEAKER_02: You don't get to govern as a Republican if you lose.
- 16:38SPEAKER_02: So you have to win.
- 16:40SPEAKER_02: And I think, again,
- 16:41SPEAKER_02: like you talked about,
- 16:42SPEAKER_02: it is a political expedient play to try to latch on to it,
- 16:47SPEAKER_02: but it's also responsiveness to vote.
- 16:50SPEAKER_02: And the question is always,
- 16:51SPEAKER_02: are we governing for the better good or are we governing based
- 16:54SPEAKER_02: on what our constituents think?
- 16:56SPEAKER_02: Because sometimes our constituents have an opinion that we disagree with, right?
- 16:59SPEAKER_02: And that's always the choice.
- 17:01SPEAKER_02: So I'm not necessarily, again, saying this is all good.
- 17:05SPEAKER_02: I think it is bad.
- 17:05SPEAKER_02: It hurts rural Oregon when we can't have data centers.
- 17:08SPEAKER_02: But- Does it allow her to win and do a lot more good even if the moratorium ends up being bad?
- 17:14SPEAKER_02: And by the way, you can't executive order.
- 17:17SPEAKER_02: Both Kotech and Drazen have said you can't executive order a ban.
- 17:20SPEAKER_02: There's no power to do that.
- 17:21SPEAKER_02: So it has to be legislative.
- 17:23SPEAKER_01: They shouldn't have the ability to ban one specific industry from siting in Oregon.
- 17:29SPEAKER_01: You could just say,
- 17:30SPEAKER_01: you know what,
- 17:30SPEAKER_01: I no longer want shoe companies in Oregon, so I'm just going to executive order it.
- 17:35SPEAKER_01: Let's put a moratorium on clothing companies.
- 17:39SPEAKER_01: You can't do that.
- 17:41SPEAKER_01: There needs to be the debate.
- 17:43SPEAKER_01: But going after one industry, I think, is silly because you don't have the evidence.
- 17:48SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 17:50SPEAKER_01: I believe it's fine to look at the transparency of data centers.
- 17:55SPEAKER_01: But the reality is if I'm a welding company and I'm bringing jobs to
- 17:59SPEAKER_01: a rural community,
- 18:01SPEAKER_01: I should have the same ability to get those tax breaks that the data centers do.
- 18:06SPEAKER_00: And they do today.
- 18:07SPEAKER_01: They do.
- 18:08SPEAKER_01: And it's a low bar for a reason.
- 18:11SPEAKER_01: The whole point of saying if you create 35 jobs or whatever,
- 18:15SPEAKER_01: We're going to give you this incentive,
- 18:18SPEAKER_01: but make no mistake,
- 18:19SPEAKER_01: like when a company comes into Oregon and they say,
- 18:22SPEAKER_01: I'm going to buy 100 acres of industrial land that the county owns,
- 18:27SPEAKER_01: doesn't matter what county, let's just say they own it.
- 18:29SPEAKER_01: Well,
- 18:30SPEAKER_01: right now the county is paying nothing in property taxes and they get the sell of
- 18:34SPEAKER_01: that industrial land.
- 18:35SPEAKER_01: So they sell that, which is a nice hit to the coffers.
- 18:40SPEAKER_01: And then that company...
- 18:41SPEAKER_01: Sites on that 100 acres.
- 18:43SPEAKER_01: Well, no matter what, they always have to pay property taxes on the land.
- 18:47SPEAKER_01: The only discount they're getting is on the building and then the equipment inside the building.
- 18:53SPEAKER_01: Those are the only two things that you can get an enterprise zone exemption on.
- 18:56SPEAKER_01: You always have to pay property taxes on the land.
- 19:00SPEAKER_01: So now buildings are usually the stuff that costs a lot.
- 19:03SPEAKER_01: And so with the buildings,
- 19:05SPEAKER_01: you can get a long term,
- 19:06SPEAKER_01: which is what they take, like what Meta did here in Prineville.
- 19:09SPEAKER_01: So they got a 15 year exemption on building one.
- 19:13SPEAKER_01: There's 11 buildings.
- 19:15SPEAKER_01: Building one drops onto the tax rules for the first time in January,
- 19:19SPEAKER_01: 2027, which will double our property taxes in Prineville.
- 19:24SPEAKER_01: Double receipts.
- 19:26SPEAKER_01: It doesn't double what you're paying.
- 19:27SPEAKER_02: It doubles what Crook is making from property taxes.
- 19:31SPEAKER_02: That's huge.
- 19:31SPEAKER_00: Now imagine basically almost about every year for the next 10 years another building drops on.
- 19:40SPEAKER_01: As it comes off the 15-year long-term.
- 19:42SPEAKER_00: And then all the material inside,
- 19:45SPEAKER_00: all the servers and everything are using on a three or
- 19:48SPEAKER_01: a five-year rolling enterprise zone exemption.
- 19:55SPEAKER_01: You know, because of the equipment that's in there.
- 19:56SPEAKER_01: So you're creating all this sort of stuff.
- 19:58SPEAKER_01: Meta has self-annexed the park district into there.
- 20:02SPEAKER_01: So they self-annexed themselves into the Crook County Park District.
- 20:06SPEAKER_01: So they'll pay the park district fees and everything,
- 20:10SPEAKER_01: which will allow the park district to basically be sustainable for as long
- 20:15SPEAKER_01: as there's
- 20:15SPEAKER_00: data centers.
- 20:19SPEAKER_00: Meta's been really good about that.
- 20:20SPEAKER_00: Apple hasn't been really good about that as far as self-annexing and doing certain things.
- 20:24SPEAKER_00: Apple's like
- 20:25SPEAKER_00: it's just another location.
- 20:27SPEAKER_01: I think Apple's way more of a longer term down the corporate food chain as far as it goes.
- 20:37SPEAKER_01: But they follow the letter of the law.
- 20:39SPEAKER_01: So I think the biggest thing with data centers that we got to do from
- 20:41SPEAKER_01: a legislative standpoint
- 20:44SPEAKER_00: is to say, okay,
- 20:46SPEAKER_00: If you want to have a data center in your community,
- 20:48SPEAKER_00: that's fine,
- 20:48SPEAKER_00: but here's the parameters
- 20:50SPEAKER_01: we want to make sure that we're attaining, right?
- 20:53SPEAKER_01: No secrecy, make sure that there's, you know, and I think the legislature can do that.
- 20:58SPEAKER_01: Like we want a water dashboard.
- 20:59SPEAKER_01: We want to make sure that you're using We're using the best technology in which
- 21:03SPEAKER_01: to save as much water for the community as possible.
- 21:07SPEAKER_01: And if you're not, you need to be transparent about that water you're using.
- 21:11SPEAKER_01: You need to be transparent about the number of jobs you're creating.
- 21:14SPEAKER_01: You got to be transparent about the amount of power you're using.
- 21:17SPEAKER_00: I think transparency is kind of the key to everything.
- 21:21SPEAKER_02: I do worry about the water dashboard specifically because there's lots of attempts
- 21:26SPEAKER_02: to clamp down on ag and other types of water users.
- 21:30SPEAKER_02: And so if they force them all to use the dashboard too,
- 21:32SPEAKER_02: I think that could create, but I see the point.
- 21:36SPEAKER_01: The city has it now, Reagan.
- 21:38SPEAKER_01: Oh, they do.
- 21:40SPEAKER_01: It's just not public, but the city knows exactly how much water each of those.
- 21:43SPEAKER_01: Well, sure.
- 21:44SPEAKER_02: And I guess you can just publicly request you could just it's a public record.
- 21:47SPEAKER_02: So anybody can request it.
- 21:49SPEAKER_01: They know how much water I'm using in my yard.
- 21:51SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 21:51SPEAKER_01: If I live in the city limits now.
- 21:55SPEAKER_01: Well, we just posted that.
- 21:56SPEAKER_01: Who's the big water users in Portland again?
- 21:58SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 21:59SPEAKER_02: Yes, I did not know that Representative Daniel Wynn was an urban farmer, but apparently he is.
- 22:06SPEAKER_02: I don't know that I'd classify urban farming as farming,
- 22:08SPEAKER_02: but nice of him to, very clever framing, absolutely.
- 22:14SPEAKER_02: I think maybe he has a large garden is what I'm thinking.
- 22:17SPEAKER_02: But here's the thing too,
- 22:20SPEAKER_02: I think that,
- 22:21SPEAKER_02: and to wrap this part up,
- 22:24SPEAKER_02: because we do need to talk more about Kotech and her strategy here going forward is,
- 22:29SPEAKER_02: There is still a lot of controversy.
- 22:31SPEAKER_02: The candidates seem like they're managing it.
- 22:33SPEAKER_02: Nobody's embracing it because they're also worried it's a third rail.
- 22:36SPEAKER_02: Now, of course,
- 22:38SPEAKER_02: the good saying there,
- 22:39SPEAKER_02: I think this is from the West Wing,
- 22:42SPEAKER_02: it's called the third rail because it can shock you,
- 22:44SPEAKER_02: but it's also where all the power is, right?
- 22:47SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 22:49SPEAKER_02: So there's the potential for power in this,
- 22:51SPEAKER_02: but no candidate yet is willing to seize that to try to win.
- 22:54SPEAKER_02: And it'll be interesting to see if somebody does grab hold of that or
- 22:59SPEAKER_02: if they continue to sort of make it a secondary issue that they try to manage.
- 23:03SPEAKER_02: So referencing Kotech, and I just got a hold of this not that long ago.
- 23:10SPEAKER_02: So Kotech...
- 23:11SPEAKER_02: Got the Working Families Party's endorsement.
- 23:16SPEAKER_02: And I think this was one of the things that she was attempting to do to try
- 23:20SPEAKER_02: to prevent any more defections.
- 23:22SPEAKER_02: There's a Pacific Green candidate we've already talked about that's going to be on the ballot.
- 23:26SPEAKER_02: And he's the only other candidate.
- 23:29SPEAKER_02: And you had been doing some research showing us like how many candidates are
- 23:33SPEAKER_02: normally on the ballot.
- 23:34SPEAKER_02: And we're going to have a low number this year in the general elections.
- 23:41SPEAKER_01: But only three, right?
- 23:43SPEAKER_02: Yeah, only the three.
- 23:44SPEAKER_02: And what has it been, Tip, over the last 10 years?
- 23:47SPEAKER_01: Eight, I think, is what we noticed, right?
- 23:49SPEAKER_01: Like the high was eight.
- 23:51SPEAKER_01: I think the high was six.
- 23:53SPEAKER_01: Six.
- 23:53SPEAKER_01: Okay.
- 23:54SPEAKER_01: In the general.
- 23:54SPEAKER_01: Usually five or six candidates.
- 23:56SPEAKER_01: I would say it's always kind of been the case somewhere in there
- 23:59SPEAKER_01: because you got working families, Libertarian, Green Party.
- 24:04SPEAKER_01: Constitution has had a candidate.
- 24:06SPEAKER_01: Constitution.
- 24:07SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 24:07SPEAKER_01: Betsy Johnson runs a peer in the Independent last time,
- 24:10SPEAKER_01: not the Independent Party, but the Independent.
- 24:12SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 24:14SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 24:15SPEAKER_01: I think that's...
- 24:17SPEAKER_01: And then you'd have is that probably it, right?
- 24:19SPEAKER_02: That's I think that's about it.
- 24:21SPEAKER_02: So and so that's what we've had.
- 24:23SPEAKER_02: And now you only have the one.
- 24:24SPEAKER_02: Now, the one could result in fewer people voting or could consolidate a chunk of
- 24:29SPEAKER_02: the vote there and have a sizable.
- 24:32SPEAKER_02: So she needs an opportunity.
- 24:35SPEAKER_02: As being in this,
- 24:36SPEAKER_02: I would say,
- 24:37SPEAKER_02: considered,
- 24:37SPEAKER_02: I'd say Kotech's a progressive,
- 24:40SPEAKER_02: but there are obviously elements of the progressive party
- 24:42SPEAKER_02: that thinks she hasn't gone far enough on various issues.
- 24:44SPEAKER_02: So we'll call her an establishment Democrat.
- 24:47SPEAKER_02: As an establishment Democrat, she needs as much lefty cred as she can get.
- 24:50SPEAKER_02: And she's got the Working Family Party endorsement.
- 24:52SPEAKER_02: Now, here's the thing.
- 24:53SPEAKER_02: They didn't just show up at their meeting and go, oh,
- 24:56SPEAKER_02: my goodness,
- 24:56SPEAKER_02: Tina Kotech, you know, our choices between Kotech and Drazen, we better go with her.
- 25:00SPEAKER_02: No, they tried to extract.
- 25:02SPEAKER_02: Some concessions and in their press release, they they put out there on public.
- 25:07SPEAKER_02: They put her on blast.
- 25:08SPEAKER_02: They said, this is what you're committed to do.
- 25:11SPEAKER_02: Defend immigrant communities by enforcing Oregon sanctuary protections.
- 25:15SPEAKER_02: I do not think that was hard for her.
- 25:16SPEAKER_02: She's already been doing all that stuff.
- 25:18SPEAKER_02: Democrats aren't going to give an inch on the sanctuary law because it's one place
- 25:22SPEAKER_02: where they can go and talk to some of these
- 25:24SPEAKER_02: the different what they call BIPOC communities and say,
- 25:27SPEAKER_02: we're we're standing for you against the federal government,
- 25:30SPEAKER_02: against Republicans, against, you know, right.
- 25:32SPEAKER_01: That also means, without saying it, basically they stand for open borders.
- 25:38SPEAKER_02: They do.
- 25:38SPEAKER_02: 100%.
- 25:40SPEAKER_02: Yes.
- 25:40SPEAKER_02: Including drugs and illegal everywhere.
- 25:43SPEAKER_01: They want it all open.
- 25:44SPEAKER_01: Let it open.
- 25:45SPEAKER_01: Sex trade.
- 25:46SPEAKER_02: Fuck it.
- 25:47SPEAKER_02: They will not cooperate.
- 25:49SPEAKER_02: And I think that's interesting because Oregon doesn't typically have on our policing.
- 25:53SPEAKER_02: We haven't increased our police in decades.
- 25:55SPEAKER_02: So we have less resources to deal with more crime.
- 25:59SPEAKER_02: And so we don't have the resources.
- 26:00SPEAKER_02: So one smart way,
- 26:02SPEAKER_02: instead of adding hundreds of officers,
- 26:04SPEAKER_02: would be to collaborate with the federal government and on certain types
- 26:07SPEAKER_02: of People committing those crimes,
- 26:10SPEAKER_02: they just said, nope, we're not going to collaborate.
- 26:12SPEAKER_02: Yeah, not us.
- 26:14SPEAKER_02: Holding corporations accountable to the commitments they make to Oregon communities
- 26:17SPEAKER_02: when they receive public dollars.
- 26:18SPEAKER_02: Again, this was probably pretty easy because even when we did the CHIPS Act,
- 26:23SPEAKER_02: that includes a clawback provision that if the folks
- 26:26SPEAKER_02: who utilize Oregon CHIPS funds...
- 26:27SPEAKER_02: Don't do what they're required to do.
- 26:29SPEAKER_02: We get to go back and claw back money and it's on a percentage basis.
- 26:33SPEAKER_02: So if they did 25% of what they said they would do, we're only going to take 75% back.
- 26:38SPEAKER_02: They keep 25.
- 26:40SPEAKER_02: So that stuff's already pretty standard at this point.
- 26:43SPEAKER_02: It's not like we're just voting to give massive corporate giveaways.
- 26:46SPEAKER_02: That hasn't happened in a long time.
- 26:48SPEAKER_02: Protecting farm worker overtime.
- 26:50SPEAKER_02: This is interesting and controversial because Democrats did this a few years ago,
- 26:54SPEAKER_02: and it is widely known on the farm worker side to be a disaster to result
- 26:59SPEAKER_02: in cut hours.
- 27:00SPEAKER_02: On the farm side, a disaster because it increases costs.
- 27:03SPEAKER_02: And so now she's committed to keeping it.
- 27:06SPEAKER_02: So I think that there have been legislators on the Democratic side who keep trying
- 27:12SPEAKER_02: to push reform.
- 27:13SPEAKER_02: Now they keep running into their own lobbies of BIPOC workers
- 27:17SPEAKER_02: and working families parties who think farmworker overtime is amazing or
- 27:21SPEAKER_02: at least pretend it's amazing.
- 27:23SPEAKER_02: And now they won't be able to get that past the governor if she keeps her promise here.
- 27:28SPEAKER_02: Which we'll come back to that.
- 27:29SPEAKER_02: Advancing universal preschool.
- 27:31SPEAKER_02: Now, Bryan,
- 27:32SPEAKER_02: I feel like she took a bunch of heat for trying to change preschool for all
- 27:36SPEAKER_02: in Multnomah County.
- 27:37SPEAKER_02: Am I making that up or was that real?
- 27:39SPEAKER_01: Yeah, she took a bunch of heat.
- 27:40SPEAKER_01: Yeah, that's been a shit show.
- 27:43SPEAKER_02: And now she flipped and says she's going to advance it statewide?
- 27:47SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 27:48SPEAKER_02: Crazy.
- 27:49SPEAKER_02: Disaster.
- 27:51SPEAKER_02: It's because that tax is so high.
- 27:54SPEAKER_02: On Multnomah County,
- 27:55SPEAKER_02: it's one of the things that makes them a high tax area in Oregon already,
- 27:58SPEAKER_02: a high tax state.
- 28:00SPEAKER_02: And so now she's like, nope, we're going to take it statewide.
- 28:03SPEAKER_02: So yikes.
- 28:05SPEAKER_02: Expanding access to higher education.
- 28:07SPEAKER_02: Sure.
- 28:07SPEAKER_02: Knock yourself out.
- 28:08SPEAKER_02: Everybody says that.
- 28:10SPEAKER_02: I think it's going to be tough to do in this environment.
- 28:12SPEAKER_02: I guess we're expanding access to higher education by keeping Southern Oregon University afloat.
- 28:17SPEAKER_02: So, you know,
- 28:18SPEAKER_02: if it closes,
- 28:19SPEAKER_02: that would reduce access to So she wants to strengthen or she's required
- 28:24SPEAKER_02: to strengthen campaign finance transparency.
- 28:26SPEAKER_02: Again, I don't know how you get more transparent than what we're already doing,
- 28:30SPEAKER_02: but maybe she'll find a way.
- 28:33SPEAKER_02: Investing in restorative justice programs that reduce recidivism,
- 28:36SPEAKER_02: Democrats have been doing that for years because they would like to close all
- 28:40SPEAKER_02: the prisons.
- 28:40SPEAKER_02: Now, I think they probably negotiated this because I bet
- 28:43SPEAKER_02: the Working Families Party started with, what if we closed all the prisons?
- 28:46SPEAKER_02: And she said, I can't do that actually and win an election.
- 28:50SPEAKER_02: And so they said, okay, how about restorative justice?
- 28:52SPEAKER_02: Yeah, let's
- 28:53SPEAKER_01: call it that.
- 28:54SPEAKER_01: But basically they want no prisons and they want no crime because property crime is
- 29:00SPEAKER_01: a crime of necessity, Reagan.
- 29:03SPEAKER_02: Absolutely, Bryan.
- 29:06SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 29:07SPEAKER_02: If I don't have a truck and you have a truck, I can take your truck.
- 29:12SPEAKER_02: Because you have several trucks, Bryan, and the needs of the many outweigh the needs of the few.
- 29:16SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 29:17SPEAKER_01: I got one.
- 29:17SPEAKER_01: I leave my keys in if anybody wants to steal it.
- 29:21SPEAKER_01: I got good insurance.
- 29:22SPEAKER_01: I wouldn't mind getting rid of it.
- 29:25SPEAKER_02: And then the last thing she committed to do,
- 29:27SPEAKER_02: which is very,
- 29:27SPEAKER_02: very funny to me,
- 29:29SPEAKER_02: meeting with the Working Families Legislative Caucus during the legislative session.
- 29:34SPEAKER_02: So not only does she have to have a meeting, it's got to be during legislative session.
- 29:38SPEAKER_01: Who is the Working Families Legislative Caucus?
- 29:41SPEAKER_01: Do we have any members that we know of?
- 29:43SPEAKER_02: I think it is essentially...
- 29:45SPEAKER_02: The Democrat candidates who are endorsed by Working Families Party is my understanding.
- 29:50SPEAKER_02: So it's like people like – it's everybody from Farah Chaiji all the way over to Paul Evans.
- 29:55SPEAKER_02: Anybody who earns that endorsement is essentially part of that caucus.
- 29:58SPEAKER_02: There is a separate socialist – Well, no.
- 30:03SPEAKER_02: So there's a separate DSA caucus that does include some of the same membership.
- 30:07SPEAKER_02: But I think people like Paul Evans is probably not a member of that.
- 30:10SPEAKER_02: He's not really a DSA guy, but he is a working families guy.
- 30:14SPEAKER_02: And a lot of these guys are part of the working families caucus because of the name.
- 30:18SPEAKER_02: Because it sounds good because they support working families.
- 30:21SPEAKER_02: I mean, everybody, Republicans should join the caucus for working families, you know?
- 30:25SPEAKER_02: But it's that kind of thing
- 30:27SPEAKER_02: that is really what they're promoting is supposedly working families policy,
- 30:33SPEAKER_02: not specifically Democrat socialist agenda.
- 30:35SPEAKER_02: So it's important to draw those lines.
- 30:37SPEAKER_02: Otherwise,
- 30:38SPEAKER_02: I will get emails and texts from Democrats in the Capitol who are telling me
- 30:42SPEAKER_02: that their boss is not a socialist, which I understand.
- 30:44SPEAKER_02: And thank you for your boss not being a socialist.
- 30:47SPEAKER_02: We appreciate it.
- 30:53SPEAKER_02: So interesting commitments that she's made.
- 30:55SPEAKER_01: So now we have Working Families for Kotech, and then we have Libertarian Party for Drazen.
- 31:01SPEAKER_01: Yep.
- 31:02SPEAKER_01: So the times pass for the Constitutional Party to do anything,
- 31:06SPEAKER_01: which they're basically debunked anyways
- 31:08SPEAKER_01: because they don't have enough numbers anymore.
- 31:11SPEAKER_01: I think they were delisted, right?
- 31:13SPEAKER_02: I think they were delisted.
- 31:15SPEAKER_02: I think I read that.
- 31:17SPEAKER_01: An independent party didn't make an actual nomination on either one of them.
- 31:21SPEAKER_02: I think they decided against getting involved in the governor's race.
- 31:24SPEAKER_02: They'll be involved in other races, but they didn't want to get involved in the governor's race.
- 31:27SPEAKER_02: Probably because Drazen isn't liberal enough for them because they can't support Republicans.
- 31:35SPEAKER_02: And Kotech, I'm not sure why they wouldn't support her.
- 31:37SPEAKER_02: I'm assuming they're just grumpy with her on transparency because they're big in
- 31:41SPEAKER_02: the campaign finance.
- 31:42SPEAKER_02: They want people to be able to spend like $10 on elections and any more than $10
- 31:47SPEAKER_02: and it's big money.
- 31:48SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 31:50SPEAKER_01: That's probably true.
- 31:51SPEAKER_01: Crazy.
- 31:52SPEAKER_01: Crazy.
- 31:53SPEAKER_01: I think, well,
- 31:54SPEAKER_01: you know what,
- 31:55SPEAKER_01: having three candidates,
- 31:56SPEAKER_01: so if you assume the Green Party guy doesn't do anything,
- 31:59SPEAKER_01: he pulls,
- 32:01SPEAKER_01: maybe does he,
- 32:02SPEAKER_01: I wonder now if there's only three, if he pulls more of the disenfranchised.
- 32:08SPEAKER_00: I think he does.
- 32:09SPEAKER_01: I think he totally does.
- 32:11SPEAKER_01: If he punches his ticket to three or four percent,
- 32:13SPEAKER_01: he's literally determining the winner of this race.
- 32:18SPEAKER_02: He could be.
- 32:18SPEAKER_02: He certainly could be.
- 32:20SPEAKER_02: And that is,
- 32:21SPEAKER_02: I think the part about that that I'm wondering about is it's got to be close enough
- 32:26SPEAKER_02: where it's got to be close enough like 2022 where his,
- 32:29SPEAKER_02: if he gets, let's say, 5%, that his 5% is the difference.
- 32:33SPEAKER_02: Now, who knows where that's coming from,
- 32:34SPEAKER_02: if that's people that could have voted for Drazen or not,
- 32:37SPEAKER_02: if she wins or loses, right?
- 32:38SPEAKER_02: But, you know, you never know.
- 32:40SPEAKER_01: I wonder how many independent expenditures will be on behalf
- 32:47SPEAKER_02: I think Democrats will be running independent expenditures showing Brett Smith
- 32:52SPEAKER_02: holding an AR-15 and throwing an illegal immigrant in jail.
- 32:58SPEAKER_02: And I think Republicans will probably be running ads showing him...
- 33:02SPEAKER_02: On a, you know,
- 33:04SPEAKER_02: organic farm, you know, holding, holding the hands of various immigrant communities.
- 33:12SPEAKER_02: And they'll make them, they'll paint them to be whatever they need to be to try to win.
- 33:15SPEAKER_02: That's probably what will happen.
- 33:16SPEAKER_02: It'll be interesting.
- 33:19SPEAKER_01: Yeah, that should be fun.
- 33:20SPEAKER_01: It'll be fun.
- 33:20SPEAKER_01: I mean, it's going to be fun.
- 33:21SPEAKER_01: I was looking at the media stuff, so I was trying to see what they're buying on TV.
- 33:28SPEAKER_01: I thought it was because they're on TV, but they're actually fairly selective.
- 33:32SPEAKER_01: They both spent about the same on KTU in Portland.
- 33:37SPEAKER_01: Yep.
- 33:37SPEAKER_01: They both had about a $90,000 two-week buy.
- 33:41SPEAKER_01: Which is pretty hefty for KTU.
- 33:43SPEAKER_01: That's pretty big.
- 33:45SPEAKER_02: It's early to be doing that, too.
- 33:47SPEAKER_01: Yeah, but none of them had KGW.
- 33:49SPEAKER_01: Okay.
- 33:51SPEAKER_01: Which I thought.
- 33:51SPEAKER_01: So they were both.
- 33:52SPEAKER_01: It was kind of funny how they're playing chicken with each other.
- 33:56SPEAKER_01: You buy on this TV.
- 33:57SPEAKER_01: I go buy on that TV.
- 34:00SPEAKER_02: No one's willing to give up any ground yet.
- 34:02SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I feel like that's kind of that.
- 34:04SPEAKER_01: But they're also trying to hoard as much money as they can because...
- 34:08SPEAKER_01: When you get to October, you're just hemorrhaging cash at that point.
- 34:13SPEAKER_01: But yet you want to be out there with your messaging as much as you can.
- 34:19SPEAKER_01: The jockeying is kind of fun at this point, but Kotick has a sizable cash advantage.
- 34:26SPEAKER_01: It's going to make a huge difference come...
- 34:29SPEAKER_01: Because that's usually what in every one of these races,
- 34:33SPEAKER_01: it's always like, okay, who's going to go first to spend?
- 34:36SPEAKER_01: Who's not going to go first to spend?
- 34:39SPEAKER_01: And you're just trying to hold your money as long as you can to tell the other guy,
- 34:43SPEAKER_01: especially if you're the incumbent, you want to hold your cash as long as you can.
- 34:47SPEAKER_01: So the challenger can't gain any ground on you.
- 34:50SPEAKER_01: And the same thing happens in these legislative races where...
- 34:54SPEAKER_01: I think Kotech would be better off spending more because you always get money late.
- 35:00SPEAKER_02: Yeah.
- 35:00SPEAKER_01: I think she would be better off spending down some of her cash because she can always go find.
- 35:06SPEAKER_01: There's always a couple million under the couch cushions in October, right?
- 35:11SPEAKER_01: Yep.
- 35:12SPEAKER_01: She would be better off,
- 35:13SPEAKER_01: I think,
- 35:13SPEAKER_00: spending her money now and trying to
- 35:16SPEAKER_01: position Drazen in a spot
- 35:17SPEAKER_01: because Drazen doesn't have the luxury of spending an extra couple
- 35:20SPEAKER_01: of million bucks right now.
- 35:22SPEAKER_01: Nope.
- 35:23SPEAKER_00: But yeah, you know, I'm not in that room,
- 35:26SPEAKER_01: so it's fine.
- 35:28SPEAKER_01: It's almost more fun to sit back here and watch what they do and commentate on it than it is.
- 35:32SPEAKER_01: Oh, 100%.
- 35:34SPEAKER_02: I wouldn't want to be part of any of these races right now.
- 35:36SPEAKER_02: You know, I have a lot of respect for everybody who is involved in the arena this time.
- 35:41SPEAKER_02: Because, I mean,
- 35:42SPEAKER_02: especially on our side,
- 35:43SPEAKER_02: because right now,
- 35:45SPEAKER_02: obviously, a Republican in the White House is just so hard to deal with.
- 35:50SPEAKER_01: Yeah, it really is.
- 35:52SPEAKER_01: So I want to hit one more thing before we go,
- 35:54SPEAKER_01: because I think this was a pretty good discussion.
- 35:57SPEAKER_01: And you brought up your Mike Rogers thing.
- 35:59SPEAKER_01: So I wanted to bring up my thing.
- 36:02SPEAKER_01: So near total massacre for the Freedom Caucus in Wyoming primaries.
- 36:11SPEAKER_01: I found this to be fascinating that Wyoming,
- 36:16SPEAKER_01: which is considered to be probably one of the most conservative states in
- 36:19SPEAKER_01: the country.
- 36:21SPEAKER_01: If not the most conservative state in the country.
- 36:26SPEAKER_01: And they just had their primary, was it two weeks ago?
- 36:29SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 36:31SPEAKER_02: Somewhere around there.
- 36:32SPEAKER_02: August 19th.
- 36:35SPEAKER_01: This was in the Cowboy State Daily,
- 36:37SPEAKER_01: which is actually kind of a pretty good little online newspaper.
- 36:42SPEAKER_01: So Tuesday marked a rough night for the Wyoming Freedom Caucus as its members
- 36:47SPEAKER_01: and allies fell to a slew of legislative newcomers in
- 36:51SPEAKER_01: the Republican primary election.
- 36:53SPEAKER_01: So literally like everyone but one of their Freedom Caucus members,
- 36:59SPEAKER_01: which was a ton of them, got just slammed in the primaries.
- 37:06SPEAKER_01: So I thought it was because the Freedom Caucus
- 37:08SPEAKER_00: usually is the far right of the deal,
- 37:10SPEAKER_00: but They have gone so far right that the normal Republican
- 37:15SPEAKER_01: said, that's enough.
- 37:19SPEAKER_01: Like they said in here, Wyoming citizens spoke loud and clear.
- 37:24SPEAKER_01: They want true governance, not child's play.
- 37:28SPEAKER_01: And I really think that's a very strong argument to make.
- 37:32SPEAKER_01: They just don't want you yelling and screaming from the rooftops.
- 37:35SPEAKER_01: They said, they want good governance regardless.
- 37:40SPEAKER_01: You still need people to...
- 37:42SPEAKER_01: You know, to govern.
- 37:43SPEAKER_01: So I just thought this was a really interesting article in regards to
- 37:46SPEAKER_01: a Freedom Caucus, which is kind of like a Tea
- 37:49SPEAKER_00: Party kind of movement, I guess.
- 37:52SPEAKER_00: You can call it that, I think.
- 37:55SPEAKER_00: But to get just slayed
- 37:58SPEAKER_01: in these primaries,
- 37:59SPEAKER_01: and most of it is as maybe it's anti-incumbent is maybe more important
- 38:03SPEAKER_00: than anti-Freedom Caucus.
- 38:05SPEAKER_00: But I think as they took over power,
- 38:07SPEAKER_00: what I want to say is like at the end of the day, people are still working.
- 38:12SPEAKER_00: Requiring you to govern.
- 38:14SPEAKER_01: Like you're still supposed to do the job.
- 38:15SPEAKER_01: And so you can't,
- 38:17SPEAKER_01: it's like giving a two-year-old the, you know, I want to drive, I want to drive.
- 38:20SPEAKER_01: And then you let them drive, right?
- 38:21SPEAKER_01: And you put them on your lap and they're driving their steering wheel.
- 38:23SPEAKER_01: And you're always kind of holding on to the bottom right-hand corner of
- 38:26SPEAKER_01: the steering wheel while you have them on your lap driving through the ranch.
- 38:30SPEAKER_01: Like, I think that's what always is the Republican Party.
- 38:34SPEAKER_01: The Freedom Caucuses get on there and we're like, well,
- 38:37SPEAKER_01: You guys can drive a little bit of your fun,
- 38:38SPEAKER_01: but we're going to just hold on to the steering wheel down here
- 38:40SPEAKER_01: and make sure you don't send it into a ditch.
- 38:43SPEAKER_01: Apparently they sent it into a ditch in Wyoming and people kind of had enough.
- 38:49SPEAKER_02: Well, and so here's the thing.
- 38:52SPEAKER_02: And I just went back to the homepage of that Cowboy State Daily
- 38:55SPEAKER_02: and I hit politics pack
- 38:56SPEAKER_02: that spent 500,000 helping Freedom Caucus had 87% failure rate.
- 39:02SPEAKER_02: So and I mean, Wyoming's not a huge state.
- 39:05SPEAKER_02: So 500 grand, quite a bit for these legislative reasons.
- 39:10SPEAKER_02: And I think one of the things that at least that the people who won and some
- 39:14SPEAKER_02: of their supporters are saying is basically that people were tired of the negativity
- 39:20SPEAKER_02: and they were tired of them not acting like grownups and governing like grownups.
- 39:23SPEAKER_02: And that is, I think...
- 39:26SPEAKER_02: I'm going to be diplomatic about this.
- 39:28SPEAKER_02: If there were Freedom Caucus,
- 39:30SPEAKER_02: if there was a Freedom Caucus in Oregon,
- 39:32SPEAKER_02: which there's not an organized one,
- 39:33SPEAKER_02: but let's say there were,
- 39:34SPEAKER_02: I would say that my expectation is that they and the Freedom Caucus at
- 39:39SPEAKER_02: the federal level all behave in a childish way
- 39:43SPEAKER_02: that does not include responsible governing as one of its core tenants.
- 39:47SPEAKER_02: And they tend to be also very negative in their outlook and how they behave.
- 39:52SPEAKER_02: So that seems accurate to me.
- 39:55SPEAKER_02: And I do think we are turning a corner in the Republican Party,
- 40:01SPEAKER_02: partly based on Trump,
- 40:02SPEAKER_02: who campaigns constantly against these Freedom Caucus guys,
- 40:05SPEAKER_02: because he's tired of them being impediments to the agenda that he's trying to run,
- 40:09SPEAKER_02: which is a popular agenda.
- 40:11SPEAKER_02: It's not the most conservative agenda on every issue,
- 40:13SPEAKER_02: but it is a popular...
- 40:14SPEAKER_01: Thomas Massey, like Thomas Massey got his ass handed to him, right?
- 40:17SPEAKER_01: He was the Freedom Caucus guy, Chip Roy.
- 40:20SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 40:21SPEAKER_01: And these guys...
- 40:22SPEAKER_02: And this is the thing I want to point out.
- 40:24SPEAKER_02: These guys at the national level go, oh, it's the Israel pack that defeated us.
- 40:28SPEAKER_02: Now, they may have been contributors, but Israel PAC doesn't give to state legislative races.
- 40:34SPEAKER_02: The Americans for Israel PAC, they don't.
- 40:38SPEAKER_02: So how do you explain all these losses in Wyoming?
- 40:41SPEAKER_02: You know, like voter fraud or whatever, I guess, is probably what they're going to claim.
- 40:44SPEAKER_02: I'm sure that's what they're saying.
- 40:47SPEAKER_02: Guaranteed all but one of the counties has a Republican running their elections.
- 40:51SPEAKER_02: But anyway...
- 40:53SPEAKER_02: At the end of the day,
- 40:54SPEAKER_02: they aren't wanted anymore because their strategy of always being right
- 40:59SPEAKER_02: and never governing doesn't work.
- 41:02SPEAKER_02: It's not actually compatible with our form of government.
- 41:04SPEAKER_02: There may be places that that works.
- 41:06SPEAKER_02: It doesn't work here.
- 41:07SPEAKER_02: You can't win anything doing that.
- 41:09SPEAKER_02: You only lose.
- 41:10SPEAKER_02: And the Freedom Caucus is so good at losing.
- 41:13SPEAKER_02: The Federal Freedom Caucus loves losing.
- 41:15SPEAKER_02: They're like addicted to it.
- 41:16SPEAKER_02: And we got to get off of that.
- 41:18SPEAKER_02: And so as Republicans, I'm just going to say this.
- 41:21SPEAKER_02: Love to see the Freedom Caucus lose.
- 41:22SPEAKER_02: I'm happy about it every single time it happens.
- 41:24SPEAKER_02: I don't care if they're good, constitution-loving people.
- 41:28SPEAKER_02: They can't govern.
- 41:29SPEAKER_02: So they need to quit trying.
- 41:31SPEAKER_02: Go be a rabble rouser.
- 41:32SPEAKER_02: Go be a PCP.
- 41:33SPEAKER_02: Go be a whatever.
- 41:35SPEAKER_02: Go on the Facebook groups.
- 41:36SPEAKER_02: Stop trying to hold office where you have to make tough decisions
- 41:40SPEAKER_02: because they refuse to make tough decisions.
- 41:43SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 41:44SPEAKER_01: 62-member house has 29 guaranteed new members poised to take office in January.
- 41:52SPEAKER_01: So that is just a bloodbath.
- 41:55SPEAKER_01: So around 43 of the House seats are poised to go to people who either oppose
- 42:00SPEAKER_01: the Freedom Caucus or ran against the Freedom Caucus members,
- 42:05SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 42:05SPEAKER_01: and characterize themselves as traditional Republicans,
- 42:08SPEAKER_01: which is known as an antonym of the Freedom Caucus.
- 42:13SPEAKER_01: That is wild that it was that big of a bloodbath.
- 42:17SPEAKER_01: So that's pretty, pretty amazing.
- 42:24SPEAKER_01: Well, I'll be curious to see how that plays out.
- 42:26SPEAKER_01: Because I do think at the end of the day, you've got to govern your state.
- 42:31SPEAKER_01: And I don't like government either.
- 42:34SPEAKER_01: It's gotten too big, but we still have to have government.
- 42:37SPEAKER_02: Sure.
- 42:38SPEAKER_01: I'm not an anarchist.
- 42:39SPEAKER_01: I mean, that's still important.
- 42:40SPEAKER_01: You've got to have the...
- 42:42SPEAKER_01: Like, you know, like we voted against the gas tax, right?
- 42:44SPEAKER_01: And nobody was for the gas tax.
- 42:46SPEAKER_01: It was rammed down our throat.
- 42:47SPEAKER_01: There was no like oversight.
- 42:49SPEAKER_01: There was nothing.
- 42:50SPEAKER_01: Republicans were spot on where they were right with where the clear majority of
- 42:55SPEAKER_01: where Oregonians are.
- 42:56SPEAKER_01: We were right there.
- 42:58SPEAKER_01: It doesn't mean that we don't want to have a functional ODOT,
- 43:01SPEAKER_01: that we don't want to have functional roads in Oregon.
- 43:04SPEAKER_00: And it doesn't mean that we don't want to pay for it.
- 43:06SPEAKER_00: It means no.
- 43:07SPEAKER_00: It means like we want to build roads.
- 43:10SPEAKER_00: We want to make sure that taxpayer funding is going into the right spot
- 43:13SPEAKER_00: where it's supposed to be.
- 43:14SPEAKER_00: It's not spent on DEI and CPP and a bunch of other crap that goes back to coffers,
- 43:19SPEAKER_00: that goes back to campaigns that run
- 43:20SPEAKER_01: against us.
- 43:22SPEAKER_01: So we're just asking for some simple oversight.
- 43:25SPEAKER_01: And I think the Freedom Caucus will be like, no,
- 43:28SPEAKER_00: taxes forever.
- 43:29SPEAKER_00: And it's like, well, right.
- 43:31SPEAKER_00: No, because somebody's got to pay for
- 43:33SPEAKER_01: the roads.
- 43:36SPEAKER_01: So I think that is the difference between it all.
- 43:39SPEAKER_01: And that's the way I see it.
- 43:40SPEAKER_01: But I don't know.
- 43:42SPEAKER_01: I just thought that was an interesting article to see like Wyoming go
- 43:47SPEAKER_01: that far throughout, you know, Dick Cheney's daughter.
- 43:51SPEAKER_01: Remember that whole thing?
- 43:52SPEAKER_01: And And she would,
- 43:54SPEAKER_01: of course,
- 43:54SPEAKER_01: she wasn't even a Republican,
- 43:55SPEAKER_01: but I mean, that's,
- 43:57SPEAKER_01: but I do find that to be a fun,
- 44:01SPEAKER_01: interesting tidbit of an article to read about the Freedom Caucuses there.
- 44:06SPEAKER_01: I was going to look and see,
- 44:07SPEAKER_01: because I think they were the only ones that were,
- 44:09SPEAKER_01: I was looking around,
- 44:10SPEAKER_01: there wasn't really a lot of other ones that have been very organized as far as on
- 44:14SPEAKER_01: the state level.
- 44:15SPEAKER_02: No, the only other big group like that that went down was the folks that voted
- 44:21SPEAKER_02: against Trump's redistricting in a couple of those states.
- 44:24SPEAKER_02: Those guys got their bottoms handed to them.
- 44:28SPEAKER_02: Overall, I would say it's probably specifically local.
- 44:30SPEAKER_02: I mean, Wyoming's a funny state.
- 44:37SPEAKER_02: They had a check gate.
- 44:38SPEAKER_02: So apparently their legislative sessions, I think, are like 90 days, so very short.
- 44:44SPEAKER_02: And it was apparently dominated by this controversy where a local GOP leader went to
- 44:51SPEAKER_02: the floor of the House and Senate and passed out contribution checks,
- 44:56SPEAKER_02: which apparently is not against their rules.
- 44:58SPEAKER_02: And that created a massive scandal.
- 45:01SPEAKER_02: And they had to figure out what their rules are going to be now for that.
- 45:05SPEAKER_02: So anyway, Wyoming, still very much the Wild West on many of these issues, I guess.
- 45:11SPEAKER_02: So, you know, as to be expected, as it is in the West.
- 45:14SPEAKER_00: Maybe before you take a vote on that, let me give you this check.
- 45:18SPEAKER_02: I believe that was the concern.
- 45:21SPEAKER_02: Again, I don't think like a lot of people think,
- 45:23SPEAKER_02: oh, man, they received a thousand dollars from pharma.
- 45:27SPEAKER_02: You know, that's going to change their opinion.
- 45:29SPEAKER_02: I guarantee you it doesn't.
- 45:30SPEAKER_02: Pharma is giving the thousand because these guys have voted for stuff,
- 45:34SPEAKER_02: you know, policy that they like.
- 45:36SPEAKER_02: You don't as a politician get a thousand dollars and go,
- 45:38SPEAKER_02: oh, my gosh,
- 45:39SPEAKER_01: I can't cross these
- 45:40SPEAKER_02: people.
- 45:42SPEAKER_02: But what you do what I do think,
- 45:44SPEAKER_02: though, that there is there's this perception that nobody's tied to anything.
- 45:48SPEAKER_02: And I think that's not true, but it should be.
- 45:51SPEAKER_02: And I think oftentimes is influential people in your community and you and as a legislator.
- 45:57SPEAKER_02: You are careful to make sure that you are at least responsive to those people
- 46:02SPEAKER_02: and explain why you voted the way you did.
- 46:04SPEAKER_02: It doesn't always change how you feel,
- 46:06SPEAKER_02: but if you mess with too many of those influential people, guess what?
- 46:11SPEAKER_02: They all hang out.
- 46:12SPEAKER_02: They all And they go, wow, you know, we really don't like this person anymore.
- 46:16SPEAKER_02: Maybe we should find someone else to run and finance them.
- 46:18SPEAKER_02: And that stuff does happen.
- 46:20SPEAKER_02: And so there are, but it's people in your community.
- 46:23SPEAKER_02: And that's how it should work is you have to be responsive to the people that are
- 46:27SPEAKER_02: in your community and that back the issues.
- 46:29SPEAKER_02: That's your community saying, we don't think you represent us very well.
- 46:32SPEAKER_02: And that's legitimate.
- 46:33SPEAKER_02: That's the way government works.
- 46:49SPEAKER_01: It's supposed to, right?
- 46:50SPEAKER_01: Yep.
- 46:51SPEAKER_01: It does go to show you, you know, you brought up President Trump.
- 46:55SPEAKER_01: Like, I think betting against President Trump has not been very fruitful for people
- 47:01SPEAKER_01: that bet against his in the Republican Party.
- 47:04SPEAKER_01: Like, I think he has a 95% win record in the U.S. Senate and like 92% in Congress in primaries.
- 47:15SPEAKER_02: Bryan, I can't think of a Republican that has gone, I'm going to fight Trump and has won.
- 47:20SPEAKER_02: They all lose.
- 47:22SPEAKER_02: Whether you like it or not,
- 47:23SPEAKER_02: whether you agree with them or not,
- 47:25SPEAKER_02: fighting Trump directly has resulted in a great many of people either deciding not
- 47:31SPEAKER_02: to run again because they knew they were going to lose or running again and losing.
- 47:35SPEAKER_02: That's just what happens.
- 47:36SPEAKER_02: So If you want to stay in office, don't fight Trump.
- 47:40SPEAKER_02: If you would like to get out of office, yeah, knock yourself out.
- 47:44SPEAKER_02: You'll take yourself out just as quickly as possible.
- 47:48SPEAKER_01: Yeah, and that's why the last topic I had,
- 47:51SPEAKER_01: unless you had anything else,
- 47:52SPEAKER_01: was just this whole idea,
- 47:53SPEAKER_01: and we were talking about it a little bit before,
- 47:55SPEAKER_01: with President Trump, because he just came out with the 300,000 ton of beef and
- 48:02SPEAKER_01: Right now, the average cost of ground beef is like $6 a pound or something like that.
- 48:07SPEAKER_01: It's high.
- 48:10SPEAKER_01: Cattle on a 1,200-pound, 1,100-pound steer is getting pretty good.
- 48:17SPEAKER_01: It probably costs you about $2,500 if you were to buy it alive.
- 48:22SPEAKER_01: So if you start doing the math and all that, you know, $6 a pound is really where you end up.
- 48:29SPEAKER_01: You know,
- 48:29SPEAKER_01: and I've seen a lot of groups that are critical of President Trump by doing
- 48:34SPEAKER_01: that sort of stuff.
- 48:35SPEAKER_01: Again, and here's where I'm going to layer this argument is that I think
- 48:41SPEAKER_01: that whoever is advising Trump with the ag community is not doing a good job
- 48:47SPEAKER_01: of talking to the ag community.
- 48:48SPEAKER_01: Like I'm seeing it.
- 48:50SPEAKER_01: All over the place, right?
- 48:51SPEAKER_01: And this is just another example of it.
- 48:53SPEAKER_01: But the problem isn't President Trump.
- 48:56SPEAKER_01: He's just like, oh, Band-Aid, C problem, fix problem, Band-Aid, right?
- 49:01SPEAKER_01: And that's what he's trying to get at.
- 49:02SPEAKER_01: And I think the biggest problem facing the cattle industry isn't 300,000 pounds of beef.
- 49:09SPEAKER_01: That equates to like a quarter pounder that people buy per year.
- 49:14SPEAKER_01: Like it's not that much in the grand scheme of it.
- 49:18SPEAKER_01: The biggest problem we have in America is that we don't have cattle ranchers.
- 49:26SPEAKER_01: We have beaten this industry down to the point to where there's only
- 49:32SPEAKER_01: so many people out there who are raising cattle and we don't have a lot
- 49:36SPEAKER_01: of processing plants.
- 49:37SPEAKER_01: That's right.
- 49:41SPEAKER_01: We have a state like Oregon who just destroys any family farm or ranch they can
- 49:48SPEAKER_01: on every level as soon as they try to pass it down
- 49:50SPEAKER_01: because their estate taxes are stupid.
- 49:53SPEAKER_02: We have CAFO restrictions.
- 49:55SPEAKER_01: PAFO restrictions.
- 49:56SPEAKER_01: We got inspection restrictions.
- 49:58SPEAKER_01: We got ag overtime restrictions.
- 50:00SPEAKER_01: We got ag housing restrictions.
- 50:02SPEAKER_01: We got everything you can do.
- 50:05SPEAKER_01: We got groups that sue us every time we want to actually go out and graze somewhere.
- 50:10SPEAKER_01: Instead, we just let it burn.
- 50:12SPEAKER_01: Two million acres of grazing is gone.
- 50:15SPEAKER_01: So we have all of these things.
- 50:17SPEAKER_01: When is the last time we put new water rights on ground to actually grow grass
- 50:21SPEAKER_01: that cattle could actually grow?
- 50:23SPEAKER_01: I can't even tell you the last time OWRD,
- 50:28SPEAKER_01: Vicki's favorite agency, actually approved a water right to grow more hay.
- 50:33SPEAKER_01: Like there's so many other things that's causing the depletion of the sheer cattle numbers.
- 50:41SPEAKER_01: In America that led to President Trump saying we got to import some beef
- 50:45SPEAKER_01: to alleviate the six dollar and 88 cents a pound.
- 50:50SPEAKER_01: And I just think it's disingenuous and quite frankly,
- 50:54SPEAKER_01: politically stupid to your whole point with going up against President Trump
- 50:58SPEAKER_01: for these groups whose members basically all support President Trump
- 51:02SPEAKER_01: to now blame him for.
- 51:04SPEAKER_01: What, the destruction of their industry?
- 51:07SPEAKER_01: He's not destroying the cattle industry, bringing in 300
- 51:10SPEAKER_00: ton of beef.
- 51:12SPEAKER_00: That's not the end of it.
- 51:14SPEAKER_00: It has nothing to do with that.
- 51:16SPEAKER_00: Cattle ranchers now, I wish I had more cows to sell because the price is really good.
- 51:23SPEAKER_00: So they're all doing pretty, and the price of hay's low.
- 51:27SPEAKER_00: So the reality is cattle ranchers are doing really good.
- 51:29SPEAKER_00: And also, it's not like they're trying to grow their numbers as fast as they possibly can.
- 51:35SPEAKER_00: But they can only grow them as fast.
- 51:37SPEAKER_00: It takes a while.
- 51:38SPEAKER_00: It takes a couple of years for you to grow a cow and make a calf.
- 51:42SPEAKER_00: Because a calf, a heifer, has to become a cow.
- 51:46SPEAKER_00: And then that cow has to become pregnant and then have a calf.
- 51:49SPEAKER_00: That takes about three to four years before you're actually creating more cows
- 51:56SPEAKER_00: that have calves.
- 51:58SPEAKER_00: And so then you're probably more on the four-year to even four-and-a-half-year cycle
- 52:03SPEAKER_00: before you actually see a steer come out of a newly born cow that makes it to
- 52:09SPEAKER_00: the market.
- 52:10SPEAKER_00: So You have a long time.
- 52:12SPEAKER_00: And I think that sometimes you have to pinch that Band-Aid and create that bridge
- 52:17SPEAKER_00: between the two areas.
- 52:19SPEAKER_00: And the reality is there's not enough cattle ranchers.
- 52:22SPEAKER_00: We need more cattle ranchers.
- 52:24SPEAKER_02: And I think that is the sort of thing where it's going to take a long time to change
- 52:29SPEAKER_02: the policies to get us more cattle ranchers.
- 52:31SPEAKER_02: And so whether American cattle ranchers, American farmers in other food-related industry...
- 52:40SPEAKER_02: Politicians and people who are not farmers all care a lot about what the price
- 52:46SPEAKER_02: of food is and they want it to be low.
- 52:48SPEAKER_02: The lower the price of food is, the harder that hits the farmers, obviously.
- 52:53SPEAKER_02: And so what you need to do is you got to do your best to dereg and reduce costs
- 52:57SPEAKER_02: on the farmers where you can, where it's safe to do so.
- 53:00SPEAKER_02: Obviously,
- 53:00SPEAKER_02: we're not going to eliminate basic safety related stuff,
- 53:03SPEAKER_02: but you got to reduce the knucklehead red tape regulations that cost them money
- 53:09SPEAKER_02: to do stuff they're already going to do safely and do well.
- 53:13SPEAKER_02: Right.
- 53:14SPEAKER_02: And then and and and relieve them on that side.
- 53:18SPEAKER_02: But that stuff takes a lot more time than just going,
- 53:20SPEAKER_02: I'm going to lift the tariff on out of country beef.
- 53:23SPEAKER_02: And I get why farmers are frustrated.
- 53:25SPEAKER_02: They have not been treated well by, I would say, members of both parties.
- 53:29SPEAKER_02: A lot of times Republicans at the federal level don't do everything they want
- 53:33SPEAKER_02: because they are focused on reducing the price of food,
- 53:35SPEAKER_02: although I tend to think Republicans are better on ag quite a bit than Democrats.
- 53:40SPEAKER_02: And when Democrats are in control, obviously they get hit hard on the environmental impacts.
- 53:43SPEAKER_02: And so it is tough to be a farmer, but you also got to understand that what the goal is.
- 53:49SPEAKER_02: And I think The farmers will also tell you their goal is to make food affordable.
- 53:53SPEAKER_02: And it's just disagreements on the best policies to get you there.
- 53:56SPEAKER_02: And sometimes the politicians have to turn the knob that's easy to turn versus
- 54:01SPEAKER_02: the one that takes a long time and is harder to.
- 54:03SPEAKER_02: And that's just based on the electoral and the realities of what they can and can't do quickly.
- 54:09SPEAKER_01: Well, farmers,
- 54:10SPEAKER_01: a lot of farmers are taking government subsidies too for their wheat
- 54:13SPEAKER_01: and other things.
- 54:14SPEAKER_01: So we still have to realize we're You know,
- 54:17SPEAKER_01: you can't blame them and then be at the trough and you can't yell at them
- 54:21SPEAKER_01: through one door and then open up the other door and say, hey,
- 54:24SPEAKER_01: where's the farm package where it gives us our guaranteed floor for our,
- 54:28SPEAKER_01: you know, for our wheat or for our soybeans or whatever it is that we're.
- 54:32SPEAKER_01: Ag has always been in that weird space,
- 54:37SPEAKER_01: and you're right,
- 54:38SPEAKER_01: probably been treated slightly better by Republicans and slightly worse
- 54:43SPEAKER_01: by Democrats,
- 54:44SPEAKER_01: but it always seems no matter what, ag has always been in the crosshairs of both.
- 54:49SPEAKER_01: I get it.
- 54:52SPEAKER_01: And we try to fix it.
- 54:53SPEAKER_01: But, you know,
- 54:53SPEAKER_01: a really good example of just red tape,
- 54:55SPEAKER_01: for instance, like why we don't have cattle ranchers.
- 54:58SPEAKER_01: We were just on this housing tour over in Senator Nash's district, northeastern Oregon.
- 55:03SPEAKER_01: He took us all the way up to Joseph,
- 55:05SPEAKER_01: Oregon, which is a lot of cattle ranchers up there, a lot of cattle.
- 55:09SPEAKER_01: He's got 260 some acres that he's got.
- 55:13SPEAKER_01: It's dry land.
- 55:15SPEAKER_01: He's got this little one acre corner of it.
- 55:18SPEAKER_01: That he would like to say, hey,
- 55:20SPEAKER_01: why couldn't a family that has this cattle ranch going on the corner
- 55:25SPEAKER_01: of this field build a house?
- 55:29SPEAKER_01: And then on that house,
- 55:30SPEAKER_01: they could have a family member or somebody come back and live on that one acre,
- 55:35SPEAKER_01: that two acres of dry land that's just middle of nowhere.
- 55:39SPEAKER_01: And they could help out the family ranch and they could do more.
- 55:42SPEAKER_01: And then you get another person working, moving cattle and all those sort of things.
- 55:46SPEAKER_01: Like another instance, like if you have a pivot, right?
- 55:48SPEAKER_01: Usually in the corner of your pivots, you've got little dry land corners.
- 55:52SPEAKER_01: Like why not allow somebody to put a house there?
- 55:55SPEAKER_01: You know who won't?
- 55:57SPEAKER_01: The crazy Nazi Thousand Friends of
- 55:59SPEAKER_00: Oregon and the Central Oregon Land Watch
- 56:03SPEAKER_00: and all these freaking groups who don't let us build homes.
- 56:07SPEAKER_00: Well, where do you think no kid can come home and build a home and help out
- 56:12SPEAKER_00: the family farm and the family ranch?
- 56:15SPEAKER_00: None of that exists.
- 56:17SPEAKER_00: So that's just one example of a red tape in Oregon that is destroying us
- 56:21SPEAKER_00: from being able to actually- They
- 56:24SPEAKER_02: literally want a system where if anybody says,
- 56:27SPEAKER_02: hey,
- 56:28SPEAKER_02: I would farm that dry patch of ground that I don't own and won't ever actually farm.
- 56:33SPEAKER_02: But if I would do that, then you can't build on it.
- 56:36SPEAKER_02: That's what they want.
- 56:37SPEAKER_02: And that's just- Not reality.
- 56:40SPEAKER_02: That's insane.
- 56:41SPEAKER_02: That doesn't make any sense whatsoever.
- 56:43SPEAKER_02: They want all of the farmland to be publicly owned and owned by the state.
- 56:47SPEAKER_02: This would be their ideal scenario.
- 56:48SPEAKER_02: I think the state owns all the farmland.
- 56:50SPEAKER_02: The farmers get to lease it and then they get they get to work the land.
- 56:54SPEAKER_02: They work for the government.
- 56:55SPEAKER_02: I think that that literally is their ideal scenario.
- 56:57SPEAKER_02: I don't think they want literally anyone, but especially not farmers to own private property.
- 57:02SPEAKER_02: And I just think that that's.
- 57:04SPEAKER_02: I can't even talk about it anymore because it's so crazy and it makes me angry every time.
- 57:09SPEAKER_02: But we have a system in America and America is built on you own your property
- 57:16SPEAKER_02: and they want a system where the government,
- 57:19SPEAKER_02: if they can't own it, controls everything that you do with it.
- 57:21SPEAKER_02: And that's not American.
- 57:23SPEAKER_02: That's not an American system.
- 57:25SPEAKER_02: I think it's fine.
- 57:26SPEAKER_02: It's fine to have simple regulations.
- 57:31SPEAKER_02: So that people,
- 57:32SPEAKER_02: you know,
- 57:32SPEAKER_02: so that you can kind of have an idea of what's going to be happening where,
- 57:36SPEAKER_02: but it's not the government's job to control every single aspect of the use of land.
- 57:44SPEAKER_01: Well, they want it to be, and I think that's the problem.
- 57:47SPEAKER_01: America was built on private property rights,
- 57:49SPEAKER_01: and we just have to be,
- 57:50SPEAKER_01: and I guess my frustration just comes down to,
- 57:53SPEAKER_01: you know, I wish these groups, and they're notoriously, you know, right of center,
- 58:00SPEAKER_01: That you see out there,
- 58:02SPEAKER_01: don't take a political opportunity to blast Trump and support Democrats in Oregon
- 58:08SPEAKER_01: when the real problem is not.
- 58:11SPEAKER_01: President Trump or Republicans,
- 58:13SPEAKER_01: the whole reason why we're in the pickle we're in is because
- 58:17SPEAKER_01: of these left wing policies that have just crippled,
- 58:21SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 58:22SPEAKER_01: working ranches and working families from actually trying
- 58:25SPEAKER_01: to expand their cattle ranch operations.
- 58:28SPEAKER_01: You know, I mean,
- 58:28SPEAKER_01: there's just, I mean,
- 58:29SPEAKER_00: we haven't even touched on the fact that they hate cattle from the left does.
- 58:33SPEAKER_00: They hate cattle because they think they fart too much,
- 58:37SPEAKER_00: you know, and they put too much like, what
- 58:39SPEAKER_01: do you call it, you know, into the air.
- 58:43SPEAKER_01: And so they hate that sort of stuff.
- 58:45SPEAKER_01: That's why they didn't like the catho things, right?
- 58:47SPEAKER_01: They were always against that.
- 58:48SPEAKER_01: And it's like, That's why they want to regulate us to death.
- 58:52SPEAKER_01: And we got to figure out a better way to go about it.
- 58:54SPEAKER_01: If you want beef prices to be, you know, $3 a pound instead of $6.
- 58:59SPEAKER_01: Now there needs to be a sweet spot,
- 59:01SPEAKER_01: by the way, because cattle ranchers actually like a little higher beef prices.
- 59:05SPEAKER_01: Don't get me wrong,
- 59:05SPEAKER_01: because,
- 59:07SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 59:07SPEAKER_01: you want to be able to sell your calf for,
- 59:09SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 59:10SPEAKER_01: $3 a pound is great if you're selling a 600 pound steer, right, to a feedlot.
- 59:14SPEAKER_01: So that's Pretty decent money, like you're finally making a couple of bucks.
- 59:18SPEAKER_01: But there is a sweet spot, like what they always say, the price of oil.
- 59:22SPEAKER_01: There's kind of a sweet spot in cattle ranching where you want the price of hay
- 59:26SPEAKER_01: to be a certain spot and your price of cattle to be a certain spot
- 59:29SPEAKER_01: where everybody's making a couple of bucks.
- 59:33SPEAKER_01: And then we can kind of hold steady on the actual food price.
- 59:37SPEAKER_01: And I think that's the game that's trying to be played here.
- 59:41SPEAKER_02: There you go, Bryan.
- 59:42SPEAKER_02: You figured it out.
- 59:42SPEAKER_02: We just need the government to set the prices and then that'll fix everything.
- 59:46SPEAKER_02: You're totally right.
- 59:48SPEAKER_02: No.
- 59:48SPEAKER_02: And that's why these socialists like Bernie Sanders,
- 59:51SPEAKER_02: they say that because it's like, well, then that fixes the problem.
- 59:54SPEAKER_02: Obviously, it doesn't.
- 59:55SPEAKER_02: It doesn't fix the problem.
- 59:57SPEAKER_02: It creates more corruption.
- 59:59SPEAKER_02: But anyway, we should probably wrap it up.
- 1:00:01SPEAKER_01: The market will determine that.
- 1:00:02SPEAKER_01: Just like why we don't like rent control.
- 1:00:04SPEAKER_01: It's no different.
- 1:00:07SPEAKER_01: Once the market determines if the price has gone too high,
- 1:00:10SPEAKER_01: then all of a sudden you're going to get private investment to come in
- 1:00:12SPEAKER_01: and build apartment complexes because they're getting $1,800 a month
- 1:00:16SPEAKER_01: for one bedroom.
- 1:00:16SPEAKER_01: So they're like, shit, yeah, I'll come in and build that.
- 1:00:19SPEAKER_01: They're not going to want to build if you're only getting $600 a month
- 1:00:22SPEAKER_01: and you can't ever, ever raise your rent.
- 1:00:24SPEAKER_01: So the market needs to fluctuate and the market,
- 1:00:27SPEAKER_01: private enterprise will always find the sweet spot because it turns out that
- 1:00:33SPEAKER_01: the market can ultimately fix it all if we just kind of get out of the way
- 1:00:37SPEAKER_01: because you can't control markets.
- 1:00:39SPEAKER_00: It's true.
- 1:00:40SPEAKER_01: That's our dissertation for the day, Reagan.
- 1:00:42SPEAKER_01: I think we've done enough.
- 1:00:44SPEAKER_02: Read The Wealth of Nations.
- 1:00:47SPEAKER_02: There you go.
- 1:00:49SPEAKER_02: Understand how the economy works.
- 1:00:51SPEAKER_02: Stop messing it up.
- 1:00:54SPEAKER_00: Is this Monday, is that Labor Day or is it literally like a week from Monday?
- 1:01:00SPEAKER_02: No, it's a week from, it's a week.
- 1:01:02SPEAKER_00: It's like super late.
- 1:01:04SPEAKER_00: It's on the 7th, I think, this year.
- 1:01:06SPEAKER_02: Right before Ledge Day.
- 1:01:10SPEAKER_02: Labor Day and Ledge Day.
- 1:01:14SPEAKER_02: Labor Day is kind of when the campaigns really kick into gear.
- 1:01:17SPEAKER_02: So, of course, that's when you'd schedule legislative days.
- 1:01:19SPEAKER_02: Who is doing this?
- 1:01:21SPEAKER_02: I need the Speaker's office.
- 1:01:24SPEAKER_02: Please, I beg you,
- 1:01:26SPEAKER_02: just ask five more people about your calendaring and we can give you feedback.
- 1:01:31SPEAKER_02: It is terrible.
- 1:01:32SPEAKER_02: The President's office as well.
- 1:01:34SPEAKER_02: We beg you, please ask more people about ledge days.
- 1:01:40SPEAKER_02: We need it to not be scheduled the way it's being scheduled right now.
- 1:01:42SPEAKER_02: It doesn't work.
- 1:01:43SPEAKER_02: Got to remember, these candidates have to go out there and campaign.
- 1:01:47SPEAKER_02: Help them out.
- 1:01:48SPEAKER_01: It is pretty horrendous.
- 1:01:49SPEAKER_01: The timing is just so silly.
- 1:01:52SPEAKER_01: Do we really need one?
- 1:01:56SPEAKER_01: Do we really need alleged days?
- 1:01:58SPEAKER_02: No.
- 1:01:59SPEAKER_02: In the fall of an election year?
- 1:02:00SPEAKER_02: No, we do not.
- 1:02:02SPEAKER_02: No, we do not.
- 1:02:05SPEAKER_02: There is nothing productive that will happen at that legislative days
- 1:02:07SPEAKER_02: that isn't electioneering basically from the legislative side.
- 1:02:11SPEAKER_02: It's a bad choice.
- 1:02:15SPEAKER_02: December alleged days?
- 1:02:17SPEAKER_02: I totally get maybe December alleged days should be longer because we're prepping
- 1:02:21SPEAKER_02: for a long session.
- 1:02:22SPEAKER_02: I mean, again, we got to think creatively.
- 1:02:24SPEAKER_02: Think outside the box.
- 1:02:26SPEAKER_02: I have ideas.
- 1:02:27SPEAKER_02: Please ask.
- 1:02:29SPEAKER_02: I may send them unsolicited here.
- 1:02:31SPEAKER_02: I'm getting desperate.
- 1:02:33SPEAKER_01: I just think I think it's just in this scenario of wanting to continue
- 1:02:38SPEAKER_01: to have more government because,
- 1:02:39SPEAKER_01: you know, the only thing, Reagan, that would be more important.
- 1:02:44SPEAKER_01: To anybody is to make sure that the legislature is there more.
- 1:02:48SPEAKER_01: Because that helped anybody like never.
- 1:02:51SPEAKER_01: I think we need to be there less because there's so many regulations
- 1:02:56SPEAKER_01: and stuff out there that people can't even keep up with what's been passed.
- 1:02:59SPEAKER_01: And everybody just keeps... And we're guilty of that too.
- 1:03:02SPEAKER_01: Like you're always tinkering with... And most of it is...
- 1:03:05SPEAKER_01: I think most of our stuff is tearing down other shit that's been passed.
- 1:03:09SPEAKER_01: I think most of our legislation has to do with us removing things.
- 1:03:13SPEAKER_01: So...
- 1:03:14SPEAKER_01: Oh, well.
- 1:03:15SPEAKER_01: All right, buddy.
- 1:03:16SPEAKER_01: Well, have a good Labor Day.
- 1:03:17SPEAKER_01: I'm sure we'll talk before then,
- 1:03:18SPEAKER_01: knowing that it's two weeks from now, but we'll see what happens politically.
- 1:03:23SPEAKER_01: We had enough couple of things that built up that we were able to talk about a couple of things.
- 1:03:30SPEAKER_01: I think the dominant factor is probably the governor's race,
- 1:03:33SPEAKER_01: but we'll see what happens over the course of the next two weeks.
- 1:03:39SPEAKER_02: Sounds good, Bryan.
- 1:03:40SPEAKER_02: Look forward to it.
- 1:03:41SPEAKER_00: Talk to you soon.