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Episode 245 - 3/28/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello, and welcome to episode 245 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:29
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:37
  Happy Friday. Our work week is winding down,
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  coming to an end. We got the weekend upon us and
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  it's almost the end of March before you know it next week
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  it'll be April, which means hey, spring is pretty much here.
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  You know spring's coming when you got baseball back in your
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  lives, so we got March madness. We still got NBA, of course,
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  really a great time to be betting on sports right now.
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  So with that being said, let's try to finish off the week on a
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  high note. I do have a three pack of plays
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  for you guys for tonight, two of which are in the Sweet 16.
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  I got one dog and I got one favorite.
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  The favorite is a pretty epic Fay, the trendy dog play.
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  This is a a line that's going in favor of the unpopular
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  contrarian favorite and then also have a line freeze
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  opportunity with a dog as well, and then going to get right back
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  to the NBAI saw a total that absolutely plummeted.
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  And I said, you know what? I think it's fallen so much.
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  It should be an opportunity to buy low and take the over.
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  So 1 total for you in the NBA and two college basketball March
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  Madness plays. And as always, 3 plays.
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  Let's try to go 2 in one. Eek out a winning night.
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  Now looking back to our last night guys, that's exactly what
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  we did. Kept the good vibes going.
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  Second straight winning day 2 and 1 + 0.82 units.
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  The couple winners that I loved in particular was Arizona.
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  Arizona end up losing by 7, which was right on the number.
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  Shout out to our friends at Rhythm.
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  Remember Rhythm had that game, literally I think it was 7.2.
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  They end up losing by 7 and really Arizona was kind of in it
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  the whole time. Then Duke put the pedal to the
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  metal. Arizona found a way to keep it
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  close, cover the number, and also that was a good closing
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  line value play because we got that plus 9 1/2 and pretty much
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  across the market it closed that +9.
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  So good angle there with the Wildcats covering the number,
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  which we love to see. Also had a little bit of luck on
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  our side. It's never bad when you have
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  some good luck, but the Rockets in the Jazz over also hit.
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  I had a ton of points in the second-half.
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  I think they had over 60 points in both the third and fourth
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  quarter. We needed that after.
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  It was kind of a low scoring first half, but Rockets Jazz was
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  able to hit and remember that was a system we got to keep an
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  eye on in terms of that big spread home dog.
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  If you're a dog getting 11 points or more at home, again,
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  you kind of kind of keep fighting till the bitter end.
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  So it was nice to see that one hit and the only loser was BYU.
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  And that was frustrating because we beat the closing line, got
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  plus 5 1/2, closed at plus 4 1/2.
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  BYU scored 88 points and still lost by what, 25?
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  I mean, that was just ridiculous.
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  At some point you throw up your hands and you just say Alabama.
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  Are you ever going to miss a three?
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  Like that was unbelievable. I think they hit over 25 threes.
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  I think they set a record for threes in a game.
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  They shot like 50% from three literally every single.
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  They're not literally, but it felt like almost every single
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  three right right there swish through through the nylon.
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  So what are you going to do when a team goes lights out like
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  Bama? Hey, even if you get closing
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  line value and you got a good number, doesn't matter.
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  Just had no shot there because Alabama played out of their
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  minds. But anyway, 2 and 1 + 0.82
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  units. We're going to put that out
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  that, you know, 8 out of 10 or 8th of a unit profit, put it
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  right in our back pocket and then invest in it back toward
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  today. So with that being said, let's
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  not waste any more time. I got a three pack.
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  Let's see if we can make it a third straight winning day in
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  the NBA and college basketball. So let's start off with, of
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  course, March Madness. That takes the cake.
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  We have Sweet 16 first four last night, next 4 here tonight.
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  And I do want to mention we have obviously Saturday and Sunday we
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  got a ton of a ton of Elite 8 matchups as well.
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  So looking forward to those. And you can check out my sharp
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  reports that are right for visen.com.
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  That'll be that'll be tweeted out at Josh under score insights
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  for tomorrow's action and this weekend's action.
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  And don't worry, MLB right around the corner.
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  I'm going to give it another few days here.
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  I'd like to get a little bit of information on these teams
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  before we start playing them. They're actually a couple games
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  today that caught my eye, which I could have could have put out,
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  but I feel like, hey, it's still kind of a crap shoot shoot.
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  Baseball is such a data heavy sport that we want to get a
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  little bit information on some of these teams.
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  Then we can kind of dust off our system matches, start to get
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  some sample sizes applied to our formulas, and then we'll hit the
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  ground running probably starting next week.
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  So with that being said, right back to March Madness, I want to
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  focus on 1st play of the night for me, Kentucky against
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  Tennessee. This is a 739 PM matchup between
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  the Wildcats and the Volunteers. So let's set the stage talk
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  what's going on in the in the betting market as well as what
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  our friends at Rhythm have predicted for this game, which
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  is providing a pretty good sharp angle in this one.
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  So going in it, we got Kentucky 24 and 11 on the year.
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  They are the three seed that just upset Illinois 84 to 75 in
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  the second round. They won that game outright as a
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  2 1/2 point neutral site dog. Meanwhile, Tennessee 29 and
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  seven on the year, they are the two seed that just held off UCLA
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  67 to 58 in the second round. They covered that game as a 5
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  1/2 point neutral site favorite. So what have you seen across the
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  market here? Well, if you look open a
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  current, looks like nothing's happened, right?
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  It opened Tennessee -4 1/2. It's still Tennessee -4 1/2.
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  But I think this is really important not to just
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  automatically say, oh, you know, and you always look at the live
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  odds page, like I've been telling you guys about Odds
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  Logic, which I think is a great platform.
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  You can sign up for a 7-8 free trial as well as half off your
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  first month. Just go to oddslogic.com/josh
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  123. But on the live odds page for
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  Odds Logic or any live odds page, you'll have a column that
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  just says Open. So it'll always show you the
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  opening number. And then all the columns to the
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  right of you are the current odds at various sports books.
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  So if you quickly compare open to current, it's 4 1/2 Tennessee
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  State, 4 1/2 Tennessee. But This is why it's important,
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  especially with odds logic, you can click the box that shows any
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  odds for any book on any game, and it'll pull up the line
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  history. So it'll tell you all the moves
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  in between because maybe Tennessee opened four and a half
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  and never moved off 4 1/2. But what if they went up to five
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  and came back down to 4 1/2? Or what if they fell down to
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  four and came back up to four and a half?
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  Those little moves in between can really help you to kind of
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  provide context and information that you need to identify where
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  the smart money's at. Like sometimes it's obvious
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  where the smart money's leaning. You know, hey, a team's only
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  getting 30% bets, the line moves in their favor or a big steam
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  move. But sometimes you got to you got
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  to do a little bit of work. Sometimes you got to do some
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  investigating to find where that smart money's at.
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  So with that being said, Publix down the middle here, they don't
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  really know what to do. Tennessee obviously is quote UN
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  quote the better team. 4 1/2 point spread, two really good
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  teams going at it. You have basically the ticket
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  count at DraftKings right down the middle 5050.
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  However, This is why I wanted to mention looking at line history
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  because if you pull up the line history showing you every single
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  move in between, the liability seems to be on Kentucky here
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  because you open Tennessee -4 1/2, this line is never gotten
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  up to -5 but over the last few days leading up to the game, you
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  have seen this line fall to four at some shops.
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  So never got to five. It did get down to four and then
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  briefly got back up to four and a half.
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  And if you're looking on game day, I'm seeing a few shops
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  juicing up the Kentucky side. Plus 4 1/2 at -115 So 4 1/2
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  current 4 1/2 open. Looks like there's nothing to
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  see here. It's just standard, no movement.
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  But digging deeper, it did go to four.
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  It's juiced up toward Kentucky. It's never gone to five.
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  That tells me that liability here is on the side of Kentucky
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  plus the points. Now, DraftKings, we have
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  Kentucky getting 48% of spread bets, 49% of spread dollars.
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  Nothing crazy, but technically that's a sharp contrarian split.
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  Less than half the tickets with a little bit more money.
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  But a few things that I like in terms of Kentucky and I, I
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  played Kentucky plus 4 1/2. So shop around, make sure you
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  get -110 juice because there are some -1 fifteens out there.
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  One thing I really liked about Kentucky is kind of the dog who
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  can score a system match. Kentucky has a really good
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  offense. They are have the better
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  offensive efficiency in this game.
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  They rank 10th in the country. Tennessee ranks 17th.
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  They have the better effective field goal percentage, 22nd in
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  the country versus 82nd for Tennessee.
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  They also shoot the three better, 37% versus 35% and also
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  take better care of the ball. Kentucky ranks 36th in the
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  country and fewest turnovers versus 111th for Tennessee, and
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  they also do a better job of limiting offensive rebounds to
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  their opponents. They don't give up a ton of
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  offensive boards. Knock on wood.
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  Hope that continues tonight, but they ranked 27th and fewest
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  offensive rebounds allowed. On the flip side, Tennessee
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  ranks 200 and 5th. Then if we get into some
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  supplementary factors here that I think are important, sneaky,
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  sneaky important is that the fact that this is a conference
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  game, both these teams are from the SEC.
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  So what do we always talk about, You know, conference dogs in the
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  NFL, divisional dogs. When we start getting into
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  baseball everyday, same thing. Divisional dogs, the built in
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  familiarity. You play each other twice a
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  year. You might even play each other,
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  you know, in the conference tournament.
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  So there's a lot of built in history and rivalry between
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  these teams, which typically levels the playing field,
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  benefits the team getting points.
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  That would be a feather in the cap of Kentucky here.
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  Also, did you know Kentucky and Tennessee played each other
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  twice earlier this year? Kentucky won both games.
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  Kentucky won 78 to 73 and 75 to 64 doesn't guarantee they'll win
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  this one. All we care is that they, you
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  know, win the game or lose by 4 or less.
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  But it shows you that if they've been watching this film, maybe
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  they maybe they found an advantage head to So even if you
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  round that up to four again, that that's that's an edge there
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  off of the four and a half. Now I know a lot of people
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  really like this. This under pretty sharp play it
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  open 146 1/2. It's down to 144 and a half. 82%
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  of bets are on the over, yet the total fell.
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  Now I would lean under. You're not getting the best of
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  it anymore. Also, you did see Overscope 4
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  and O yesterday. The Tech Texas Tech game
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  obviously had to go to overtime, but I lean under for sure.
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  Looks like there was some under money here, but I think there's
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  an opportunity to back Kentucky and that's exactly what I'm
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  doing. We have a 3.6 spread from rhythm
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  again, looks like there's no moving off 4 1/2, but it's
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  fallen to four times. It's juiced up toward Kentucky.
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  Never went to five dog who can score conference dog, Kentucky's
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  two and O against Tennessee. I'm taking the points here with
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  the Wildcats. It'll be great if we could start
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  our night off with a win. Give me Kentucky plus 4 1/2.
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  Next one for you, Michigan and Auburn, 9:39 PM Eastern Time tip
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  tonight. Let's set the stage.
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  Talk line movement and we'll we'll give you the play here for
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  this one. So going into it, we got
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  Michigan 27 and 9 on the year. They're the five seed just beat
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  Texas A&M 91 to 79 in the second round.
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  They won. That came outright upset A&M as
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  a 2 1/2 point neutral site dog. On the flip side, Auburn 30 and
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  five on the year, the one seed just dismissed Creighton 82 to
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  70 in the second round, covered that game as an 8 1/2 point
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  neutral site favorite. So this one's really
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  interesting. This game opened Auburn -7 1/2,
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  and the public says that's too many points.
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  Michigan's a pretty good team, and you're giving me Michigan
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  and the Wolverines with 7 1/2 points.
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  We better take that Michigan Wolverines plus 7 1/2.
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  However, even though you're getting 58% of spread bets on
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  Michigan, Guys, what's going on with this line?
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  It's actually moved toward Auburn.
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  Auburn went from -7 1/2 up to -8 1/2.
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  There's a lot of eight and a halfs that are juiced up, and
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  some shops are even at 9:00. So if nearly 2/3 of tickets are
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  on Michigan, why is this line going toward Auburn?
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  You know, you would assume, you know, nearly 60% on Michigan.
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  They open plus 7F. Maybe they're down to seven.
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  No, it's actually gotten steamed up the other way.
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  So even though the public is taking Michigan and the points,
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  the market is showing sharper verse line movement on Auburn,
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  laying the points. Classic RLM.
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  When the betting line goes away from the popular side Michigan
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  toward the unpopular side Auburn, that basically tells you
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  that all the bigger, sharper big money wagers are laying it with
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  the Auburn Tigers. Now Auburn at Circa in
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  particular, really sharp bet split.
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  At Circa, the Tigers are only getting 24% of spread bets but
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  58% of spread dollars. So basically only 1/4 of tickets
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  but nearly 2/3 of the money is on Auburn.
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  Again tells you the bigger sharper wagers are laying it
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  with the Tigers. And a lot of advantages for
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  Auburn in this one now #1 big advantage, offensive efficiency.
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  Yeah, Michigan can score, but Auburn is the third best
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  offensive efficiency team in the country, and Michigan is 39th.
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  Auburn has the better effective field goal percentage, 25th
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  versus 51st, better offensive rebound percentage.
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  So, you know, dominate the boards, put backs, get extra
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  buckets. 52nd in the country versus 76th for Michigan.
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  Better three-point shooting. They ranked 47th in the country
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  versus 201st for Michigan. Michigan again, I don't want to
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  jinx them and have them knock down threes like Auburn last
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  night, but Michigan has not been a great 3 point shooting team.
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  Auburn is also Tigers take better care of the ball.
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  They ranked 5th in the country at the fewest turnovers versus
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  the Wolverines ranking 300 and 24th.
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  Lastly, did see a lot of over money in this one.
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  You know if you tell me like the over I'm not going to complain
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  or argue. I would just say it's moved a
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  lot. It opened 151.
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  It's all the way up to 154 now for 1:55.
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  But with that being said, pretty good split to the over.
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  We got the over at DraftKings 74% bets 84% dollars and at
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  circa only 45% bets 93% of dollars here on the over.
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  And again, we had overs 4 and O yesterday.
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  This looks like an easy over. I would lean over for sure just
• 14:27
  based on the bet split in the Steam move.
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  But I hate, I hate going over 154 and a half. 155 when it
• 14:32
  opened, 151 again. That lands one 53154 early.
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  Sharps win, you know we lose. So that's to me a lean, not an
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  official bet. My only play here is I got to
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  fade this trendy dog. In terms of Michigan, I got to
• 14:47
  play Auburn. So I laid it with Auburn -8 1/2.
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  You might be able to find a - 8 1/2 - 110.
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  Most of the shops are -8 1/2 - 115, but still -115 juice.
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  It's better than laying a nine. A lot of books are at 9.
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  You'd love to lay the 8 1/2 and see it closed.
• 15:03
  Painted every book at -9 We got public Michigan Lions going to
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  Auburn. Let's hope that Auburn can can
• 15:11
  can lay down the hammer here and win by 9 or more or 10 or more
• 15:15
  or a blow out win. That'll be even better.
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  But I'm sure we'll have to sweat it in wonder in one way or the
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  other. So 2 plays tonight.
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  I got Kentucky plus 4 1/2 and Auburn -8 1/2.
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  Now over to the NBAI kind of like the routine of just, you
• 15:29
  know, picking 1 total each night.
• 15:30
  We've had some success with that, so I landed on one for
• 15:34
  tonight. It's a game that is really
• 15:36
  disgusting and you probably have no interest in this one, but
• 15:40
  it's a good buy. Law opportunity.
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  Hornets and the Raptors 2 terrible teams. 7:30 tonight.
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  Hornets are 18 and 54. You look on the other side, not
• 15:51
  much better, A little bit better for Toronto. 26 and 47, both
• 15:55
  obviously bad teams. The Hornets have lost for their
• 15:58
  last five. Raptors have won two in a row.
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  The sign has moved a little bit toward the Raptors -4 1/2 to -5
• 16:03
  1/2. Big reason for that is Lamello
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  Ball is expected to miss this game, which again, best player
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  for the Hornets. However, let's focus on the
• 16:12
  total here. This is kind of interesting,
• 16:14
  this total open as high as 225 when the mellow ball was
• 16:18
  expected to play. The mellow ball is out.
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  This total is falling all the way down to two 15214 and a
• 16:27
  half, 215 1/2. You're kind of all all around
• 16:29
  that number right now. Mostly 2 fifteens.
• 16:31
  So on the one hand, we got to say to ourselves, you know, hey,
• 16:34
  tons of under money came in, big adjustment by the books because
• 16:37
  no Lamello ball. But it's falling so much that
• 16:41
  I'm thinking it's creating an opportunity to buy low and take
• 16:43
  this over. So that's what I did.
• 16:45
  I was able to find over 214 1/2 at ESPN bet I was over 214 F at
• 16:51
  -115. One thing that I like is that a
• 16:54
  lot of books got down as low as 214 or 214 1/2.
• 16:58
  And basically that's that's kind of the the line of demarcation.
• 17:02
  That's the low water point where you started to see some buyback
• 17:05
  in these lines for the total kind of tick back up.
• 17:08
  So that told me, hey, maybe that's the best over number
• 17:11
  buying loan. Going over a few things to like
• 17:14
  about this. Over 1 is a is a relatively
• 17:17
  short spread. I mean it's 5 1/2 for Toronto at
• 17:19
  home. So maybe you keep keep pace, get
• 17:22
  some scoring a little bit competitive back and forth.
• 17:25
  That would be nice. We do have a bunch of good over
• 17:28
  referees, CJ Washington, David Guthrie and Jason Goldenberg in
• 17:32
  particular Goldenberg in Washington are around 5556% to
• 17:36
  the over. So if we get a lot of whistles,
• 17:39
  make your free throws stop the clock.
• 17:41
  Next, we have a good rhythm edge here.
• 17:44
  Rhythm is predicting a final total of 216.7 and rhythm
• 17:50
  applied. And one cool thing about rhythm,
• 17:52
  they're always working to get more, more, more fantastic data
• 17:56
  points and insights for us. But there's a really cool thing
• 17:59
  in the in the app where if you go to the game, you can Scroll
• 18:02
  down, look at all the players, and you can click a guy being
• 18:06
  out and see how it affects the number.
• 18:08
  So with Lamella ball out, that was adjusted and it was adjusted
• 18:12
  to 216.7, where again right now in the betting market you can
• 18:15
  find an over 214 1/2. So that's about a two point edge
• 18:19
  toward the over. Another angle that I like here
• 18:21
  toward the over is that these teams, even though they're bad,
• 18:24
  they're pretty well rested. You have Charlotte who hasn't
• 18:26
  played since the the 25th of March, so they've been off since
• 18:30
  Tuesday and you have the Raptors who played on Wednesday.
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  So they've had at least, you know, two or three days off.
• 18:37
  Hopefully you got your legs also digging a little bit deeper in,
• 18:40
  in terms of the analytics, relatively quick pace for these
• 18:44
  teams. We have Toronto 7th fastest team
• 18:47
  in the NBA. Charlotte is 19th.
• 18:49
  So at least you're, you know, kind of top, top portion of the
• 18:51
  NBA. And then also defensive
• 18:54
  efficiency, Toronto's 15th, but Charlotte is 24th.
• 18:57
  So both bottom half in terms of defensive efficiency.
• 19:00
  So hopefully that means, you know, fast pace, more
• 19:03
  possessions, more opportunities to score and bad defense, which
• 19:07
  again is great for the over. So you got it all up here guys.
• 19:11
  Again, open as high as 225. Lamella ball is ruled out.
• 19:15
  Got all the way down to 214 and half 215.
• 19:18
  I'm thinking this is an opportunity to take advantage of
• 19:20
  a rhythm edge 216.7 and play this over.
• 19:24
  So shop around. I got over 214 1/2 at -115 at
• 19:28
  ESPN Bet, so that about does it for episode 245 of the All
• 19:34
  Systems Go sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm, of
• 19:37
  course. This is the part of the pod
• 19:38
  where we wrap things up and I start first by saying thank you.
• 19:42
  Thank you for taking the time out of your day, out of your
• 19:44
  busy lives to pull up a chair to the virtual bar and sweat some
• 19:47
  sharp, data-driven breakdowns with me.
• 19:50
  If you do enjoy this pod, you value the insights.
• 19:52
  Win, lose or draw, you're getting some good, good
• 19:55
  information here to help you hopefully make some sharp bets.
• 19:58
  If that is the case and you want to let me know you appreciate
• 20:00
  the pod, there's one very basic, simple, easy thing you can do.
• 20:04
  Just give this podcast a five star review.
• 20:07
  If you're listening on Spotify or iTunes, five stars goes a
• 20:10
  long way to help us to continue to grow the pod.
• 20:13
  If the if you want to leave a nice review, that'll be great as
• 20:16
  well. If you want to click the follow
• 20:18
  button, even better. That way you'll be alerted as
• 20:21
  soon as it drops. Each day you'll get a pop up on
• 20:23
  your your iPhone or you know, whatever, however you listen.
• 20:27
  If you want to recommend the POD to a friend, that would be
• 20:29
  fantastic and much appreciated as well.
• 20:32
  Next, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdown, you've been
• 20:35
  turned on to to data-driven betting.
• 20:38
  Again looking at the betting market like Wall Street traders
• 20:41
  look at the stock market, seeing how numbers move, what they mean
• 20:44
  and trying to make sharp data-driven bets with our head
• 20:47
  and not our heart. If the style of betting now
• 20:49
  appeals to you, you want to learn more about data-driven
• 20:52
  betting, you want to support the team, let me know you appreciate
• 20:54
  the pod. Or you have someone in your life
• 20:57
  who you know, needs a needs a little bit of, a little bit of
• 21:00
  insight and a little bit of, you know, rules of the road and
• 21:02
  bankroll management. And maybe they love batting, but
• 21:05
  you know, they lose a lot and they, they say this is, this is
• 21:07
  hard. Can you give me a, at least a
• 21:09
  blueprint to follow? Well, guess what?
• 21:11
  All you got to do is go to Amazon.com and type in the
• 21:15
  everything guide to sports betting.
• 21:18
  That's my baby, my first book I ever wrote back in 2019.
• 21:20
  Very proud of it, but it's really geared toward brand new
• 21:23
  betters, betters who are in a newly legalized state.
• 21:26
  We're trying to get in for the first time.
• 21:28
  Really teaches the model of data-driven betting.
• 21:31
  Also, I wrote a second book which is not yet out but it's
• 21:34
  coming. It comes out August 12th.
• 21:37
  It's called the NFL sharp betting playbook.
• 21:39
  It is the number one new release for sports gambling on Amazon,
• 21:42
  which I'm very proud of. But if you want to make my day,
• 21:45
  pre-order a copy of the NFL Sharp Betting Playbook from
• 21:48
  Amazon. It would really mean a lot to me
• 21:50
  and I cannot wait for you guys to read this.
• 21:53
  I'm going back and forth with my editor.
• 21:55
  We're thinking we're putting together the book tour.
• 21:58
  I'm very much looking forward to this.
• 22:00
  It's going to be an exciting end of the summer.
• 22:03
  But by the Everything Guide to Sports Betting or the NFL Sharp
• 22:05
  Betting Playbook or both, I'll bring them to the sports book.
• 22:08
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy you a beer or ginger
• 22:10
  ale. We'll get some some mozzarella
• 22:12
  sticks together and sweat some some sharp data-driven bets
• 22:16
  next. If you haven't done it yet, what
• 22:18
  are you doing? Go download Rhythm and Juice
• 22:20
  Reel, my two favorite sports betting apps.
• 22:23
  They help me win. They're going to help you win
• 22:25
  again. Look at last night.
• 22:26
  Rhythm had a + 7.2 for Arizona. They lost by 7.
• 22:30
  We catch the +9 and 1/2 of a Rhythm is great for their AI
• 22:33
  backed models and predictions for game bets and player props
• 22:36
  for all the major sports. MLB should be up and running
• 22:39
  here any day now. So we'll we'll again be hitting
• 22:42
  the hitting the ground running starting next week with MLB with
• 22:45
  our rhythm edges. But then also you look at juice
• 22:48
  reel where you can follow the all systems go best bet picks
• 22:51
  for $4.99 a week. If you enjoy the pod, it's a
• 22:55
  it's a free pod again, cost you nothing to listen to the
• 22:58
  breakdowns. So if you enjoy it, think of me
• 23:00
  as like a server or a bartender. Tip your server.
• 23:03
  Always tip your bartender. I consider following the $4.99 a
• 23:08
  week plays on juice Reel as basically the tip jar for the
• 23:11
  all systems go pod. I'd love for you guys to sign
• 23:14
  up. I feel like that's fair.
• 23:16
  I hope I give you 5 bucks worth of insights each week.
• 23:19
  But either way you'll also get the Robo Jackson best bet picks.
• 23:23
  The sharp mush edges, the arbitrage plays, the shop for
• 23:25
  the best line futures, actual dollar amounts for bets in
• 23:29
  dollars on spread money line in total for all the games from
• 23:32
  people who have synced up their sports books to the app.
• 23:35
  It's all included in Juice Reel, so download Rhythm, download
• 23:38
  Juice Reel and give them a five star view in the App Store while
• 23:42
  you're at it. Lastly, I mentioned before, but
• 23:45
  have you signed up for odds Logic yet?
• 23:47
  Go give it a shot. Give it a shot with a 7 day free
• 23:49
  trial and then you're going to get 50% off your first month.
• 23:53
  It's 99 bucks a month, so it'll cost you basically 50 bucks for
• 23:56
  your first month even if you just want it for baseball or
• 23:58
  March Madness. But you got to have a live odds
• 24:00
  page. I honestly do not know how
• 24:02
  people can bet on sports without a live odds page.
• 24:05
  How are you betting a game if you don't know what it opened
• 24:06
  at, you don't know how it's moved, You're not shopping for
• 24:09
  the best number, you're not getting the best price.
• 24:11
  Odds Logic will give you every game on the board in real time,
• 24:15
  all the major books listed. And again, one really cool thing
• 24:18
  with Odds Logic is they have both Pinnacle and Circa as books
• 24:22
  to track which are your biggest, sharpest market setting global
• 24:25
  books. So you can kind of see where
• 24:26
  those are are trending and pick off a book that's a copycat that
• 24:30
  hasn't moved yet. But I'd love for you guys to
• 24:32
  give Odds Logic a shot. Just go to oddslogic.com/josh
• 24:36
  123. That's odds logic.com/josh
• 24:39
  123470 free trial and 50% off your first month.
• 24:45
  So that about does it for episode 245 of the ASG Pod as
• 24:49
  the the weekend awaits. As always, I'm going to leave
• 24:51
  you with a couple things. One, whether I see you at the
• 24:53
  Borgata and Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode Island, the
• 24:56
  Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun, down in
• 24:59
  Connecticut at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge Park
• 25:02
  Casino, or MGM Springfield and my neck of the Woods or the Nash
• 25:06
  close to me now in Nashville, New Hampshire.
• 25:08
  Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
• 25:10
  down. Where Billy Walters sends his
• 25:12
  number runners, where the lowest juice possible is found at the
• 25:14
  South Point. Or Sweat and sharp contrarian
• 25:16
  plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when he cashed a
• 25:19
  big ticket at Circa. Wherever it may be.
• 25:21
  You're going to walk up to me and show me a beautiful Arizona
• 25:25
  plus 9 1/2 or a kind of lucky win, I must admit.
• 25:30
  Boarded. Boy, did they pour it on the
• 25:32
  second-half. Show me a Rockets Jazz over 227
• 25:36
  1/2 or whatever it was. 227. Yeah, I think that was the
• 25:38
  number. But luckily, luckily we got
• 25:40
  there. That's all that matters.
• 25:41
  And again and again, first one's on me, next one's on you.
• 25:45
  We'll post about the book. Sweat some games together as
• 25:48
  always. Two and one, One and 2-3 and OO
• 25:50
  and three. The model, the blueprint never
• 25:52
  changes off a good night or a bad night, a mediocre night.
• 25:56
  Again, you're grinding and you're looking for that win.
• 25:59
  You're hot, you're looking to continue winning day, you're
• 26:01
  losing and you got to bounce back again.
• 26:03
  I I know these are all things that influence us as humans.
• 26:06
  We try to stay even keeled if we can stick to the model, stick to
• 26:09
  the blueprint, make bets with our head and not our heart.
• 26:12
  Check off games that fit our model against the public with
• 26:16
  the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays, get that
• 26:19
  CLV. If we can do that, and I'm
• 26:21
  confident that we can and guess what long term we're going to be
• 26:24
  successful sports bettors. So have a great Friday night,
• 26:27
  everybody. Again, check out the sharp
• 26:29
  reports this weekend, Saturday and Sunday.
• 26:31
  You can find them for my Twitter account at Josh under score
• 26:34
  Insights. And if you sign up for the best
• 26:36
  bets for $4.99 a week on Juice Real, you'll get all the best
• 26:40
  bets this weekend and all the best bets in general.
• 26:43
  But that's a good way to kind of stay in touch during the weekend
• 26:46
  because if I did pods seven days a week, the wife would get mad.
• 26:48
  We got to go to Home Depot tomorrow.
• 26:50
  We actually got to go up to New Hampshire because her family is
• 26:54
  looking to actually leave California and move to New
• 26:57
  Hampshire. It's just too expensive out
• 26:59
  there and we're we're doing a lot of house hunting.
• 27:01
  So we got open houses to check out this weekend as well.
• 27:04
  I'll be the way guys. Have a great weekend.
• 27:07
  I will see you back on Monday. That'll be episode 246 of the
• 27:11
  All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 27:15
  Good luck everybody and have a great Friday and an even better
• 27:17
  weekend.