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The Favorites - Best Bets Super Bowl LVII · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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  Speaker 1: It's the favorite podcast presented by FanDuel. It's NFL playoff time,
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  Speaker 1: to two seven zero zero in Wyoming, or visit one
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  Speaker 1: eight hundred gambler dot net in West Virginia. Welcome to
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. Guy.
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: I'm Shadon Mollman, Chief Content Officer of the Action Network.
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: It's Thursday before Super Bowl fifty seven. We are so
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: freaking close, folks, to finally kicking this game off, to
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: finally seeing how our bets are gonna play out. A
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: season's worth of conversation coming to a close. I am
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: joined as always by my bff, my companion, my compadre
• 1:52
  Speaker 1: professional better Simon Hunter l Oh. So I'm in Cheah.
• 1:58
  Speaker 1: This is always so a better suite. Three days away
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: from the best game of the year, but the last
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: game of the year. So this is like the most
• 2:07
  Speaker 1: fun week. I mean, it's just a week I've never
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: any hype, especially if you're a fan of said team
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: in Super Bowl. It it doesn't get much better. Um,
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: but this is like the the worst part too. Like
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: I know, I know I'm not going to sleep I
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: know guys too, have bet a lot of money on
• 2:21
  Speaker 1: it will be to sleep. Um, it's just a long
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: three days until kickoff, so we're getting there. Hopefully this
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: helps people get through the day our picks. But yeah,
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: super Bowl, Super Bowl Week, it's just so much info,
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: so many things coming at people. Um, it's tough when
• 2:38
  Speaker 1: it's over. But this week just flies by usually because
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: it's just so much going on. I gotta remind people
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: if you are listening to us in the volume feed
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: and you are not following the Favorites in Apple podcasts,
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: if you are not doing what you need to do
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: to follow us on Spotify. Now is the time time, folks.
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: Now is the time. Follow the Favorites feed in Apple podcasts.
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: In Spotify, reminder, follow the Favorites feed so you can
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: be notified when the Favorites is going live when a
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: new podcast is loaded. Joining us on the show for
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: our Thursday Best Bets podcast, it's appropriate. It's Brandon Anderson,
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: who's a brilliant analyst at the Action Network who has
• 3:30
  Speaker 1: been doing multiple podcast all season long. The Best Bets
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: podcast that normally comes out on Fridays, it's out today.
• 3:38
  Speaker 1: The Super Bowl Best Bets podcast. He also does a
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: great podcast late Sunday into Monday about wrapping up the
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: weekend and the early bets he'll make. He'll do a
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: column every week looking at the games that he will
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: immediately bet. It's a brilliant column that helps inform me
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: as I do this podcast and forms a lot of
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: people as they're making decisions. Brandon Anderson saving the best
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: for last, Buddy, Oh what's up? Guys? Super Bowl a
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: week is one of my favorites because as a Vikings fan,
• 4:07
  Speaker 1: you just get to sit back and have no rooting interest. Ever,
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: I just gotta watch the game, and my team is
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: never gonna be in this thing, So just watch the game,
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: make a little money, enjoy some football, and really, by
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: the time the Super Bowl kicks off, like we're all
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: stressed about our bets and everything, but the work is done.
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: We just get to watch the game like there there's
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: no more analyzing and tracking and what are we learning
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: here for the next game? This is it. We just
• 4:33
  Speaker 1: get to enjoy some nachos and some some good food
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: and enjoy the game. So man, we're almost there. Well,
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: you know what's interesting the way you say that the
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: lines came out Sunday of the NFC Title game, which
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: is now ten eleven days ago, or the NFC NAFC
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: title games, and the Eagles were immediately one and a
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: half point dogs. We've talked about this in the podcast.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: I bet the Eagles a plus one and a half.
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: Then all of a sudden, the Chiefs were plus two
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: and a half within fifteen minutes. So bet the Chiefs
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: plus two and a half. Simon and I have talked
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: about he likes the over. I'm on the under. I
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: bet the under. I didn't get a good number. I
• 5:08
  Speaker 1: got at four to nine and a half. I thought
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: it was gonna I thought it was gonna come down.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: To be honest, it was at fifty. It came down
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: four to nine and a half. UM, But that's kind
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: of been it. Like the lines haven't been moving crazy amounts.
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: Simon and I talked about on the podcasts last week
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: that he really liked the Eagles in the moment we
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: were waiting to get more info about Jalen hurts Um,
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: but there hasn't been a lot of reason to go
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: heavy on one side or the other. So like every
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: day I'm looking because like that work is kind of done.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: So now we're even now. The work is kind of done.
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: I've kind of been tinkering with some props to bed
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: every once in a while. You know, we did the
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: podcast with Raybond and Kerner. Listen to what Raybond and
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: Stuck he talked about on their podcast. Um, but like,
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: there's not a ton of work to be doing right now, Simon,
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: I want to start with you, like, especially, you got
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: one game for two weeks. You're used to sixteen games
• 6:03
  Speaker 1: over seven days. Yeah, I mean this game was done
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: though three weeks ago. That's what I mean. That's how
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: much free time you have in the PLAYFFS compared the
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: regular season. So I had this matchup done, I had
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: the fourty Nires matchup done, had that Bangals verse Eagles,
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: all the different scenarios once I do with the four
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: final word. Kind of started that and then last week
• 6:23
  Speaker 1: I do a little bit of work for this, right,
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: you'll update, you'll tinker. You're always kind of updating tinker
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: in your model, especially when there's major injuries where there
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: could be an injury to my homes, could be an
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: injury to the hurts. Obviously that's a big deal to
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: anyone that's doing a model. But to me, it's kind
• 6:37
  Speaker 1: of futures like that's what this past week. I mean
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: a lot of proaches here and what they like for
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: futures for next year, what the rumors are, Where do
• 6:43
  Speaker 1: they think guys are going, where the value would be.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: I mean, yeah, this allseason been mental. It really is
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: like going my British friends saying, and it's gonna be
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: wild though, just because the Rodgers to the Jets thing
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: feels pretty real, like where the old saying, where their smoke,
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: there's fire, and that's a big that's a huge upgrade
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: for a team that just needs a game manager. So um,
• 7:03
  Speaker 1: I can tell you a lot of pros like the
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: early marketing the Jets and things like that. So that's
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: what I mean this offseason. That's a lot of guys
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: are talking about that last week. Yeah, we've talked super Bowl.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: I mean, like a bunch of guys, right, but everyone's
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: thinking next year already, because this kind of is just
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: a party. If you're a pro, yeah, there's gonna be value.
• 7:20
  Speaker 1: Guys will always find value. But I think anyone room
• 7:23
  Speaker 1: couldn't agree. This is a pretty damn smart line and
• 7:26
  Speaker 1: a pretty damn smart game where it's just you've got
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: two teams, both are the one seeds. We're all reaching
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: for something to clutch onto. That's negative about either team
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: because it's just like such well coached teams, just really
• 7:39
  Speaker 1: good teams all season. No one can really argue against
• 7:42
  Speaker 1: either than being the one seeds all year. So it's
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: one of those where I get what you're saying, or
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: you're like, is there really that much value? And I
• 7:50
  Speaker 1: would say there is, because it's like I have a
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: preference on a side in the total um. The question
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: is is my model gonna keep being right? Like we
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: talked last week, I didn't know what the hell to
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: do last week, I was just like the human and
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: we wanted to take the four nine ers and take
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: the Bengals. I told you, I'm just gonna take the
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: models projection, and the Models had the Eagles win and
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: had the Chiefs when and covering the spread. So it's
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: the same thing this week. I think the Eagles on
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: paper and everything I've talked about, I just think they're
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: the better team. I have them minus three. How am
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: I gonna argue against anyone taking my homes as a dog.
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: It's like I get exactly where they're coming from. That's
• 8:23
  Speaker 1: what's so funny without the Super Bowl is everyone's got
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: the same chance right now. As much as we want
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: to say we have an edge and everything like that,
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: it's still just one random mass game at the end
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: of the year when all everyone's all banged up. And
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: that's the best part of the super Bowl. It's it's
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: really just it's the pinnacle of it. That's why we
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: all love football. It's one game a week besides so
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: much of every season. Then it all comes down to
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: just not a seven game series like in these other sports.
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: It's a one game, winner take all, and you become
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: a legend for life. So it just does not get
• 8:51
  Speaker 1: much better. Check a legend for life, Brandon Anderson? Will
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: you be a legend for life? What you say right
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: now about this game? Man? I don't. I don't appreciate
• 9:06
  Speaker 1: the future intents on that that implies that I am
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: not already a legend for life. Chad, My favorite part
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: of these two weeks is, you know, books put up
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: hundreds thousands of props for this game. And look, we
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: already know I grew assignment. I already know before the
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: line came out. You knew, you knew if you like
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: the Eagles and the Chiefs. You know, if you're thinking
• 9:27
  Speaker 1: over under, you've done your work on this game. But
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: now we've got props on will there be a score?
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: Gamy and will there be an octopus in the game.
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: We're like, what what are are these things? At home?
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: And we got over and unders bought every player and
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: alternate props for like the guys down to the end
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: of the roster and will they make a catch? Will
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: they play a snap? We got just so many extra
• 9:49
  Speaker 1: props because this is the Super Bowl and what I like.
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: Then you're not gonna go big and win huge money
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: on these. But of course the line is sharp the
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: actual game. Of course, the over under the total is
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: going to be sharp. Everyone in the world is playing
• 10:04
  Speaker 1: with those things, but you know what they're not necessarily
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: playing will there be an octopus? Will there be some
• 10:10
  Speaker 1: of these weird random long shots, and the further down
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: the board, you get like, that's where I live, That's
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: where I kind of make my living. You guys know
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: what Action Network is with these weird long shot bets
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: and the niche bets. You got to dig down the
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: app when you log into vandel and you're like, okay,
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: keep scrolling, keep scrolling, what's down here? So in Super
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: Bowl week you've got more of those than ever. So
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: I love when I see something new and I'm like, oh,
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: I have no idea if there will be a touchback
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: on the opening kickoff, but that looks like the one
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: that there could be an adge on. And let me
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: do the work on it, and let me research your
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: things that I haven't normally looked at and see if
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: there's something there. And the fact of the matter is,
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: when there are hundreds of of props up, you're gonna
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: find an edge somewhere before you get to those, because
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: I want us to get to the best bets. I
• 10:55
  Speaker 1: thought your research leading into the last couple of weeks
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: about the Eagles edge on the defensive line against the
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: Chief's offensive line and the Eagle's edge on the offensive
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: line against the Chiefs defense overall, it was really smart, Simon,
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: and I I think it makes you think about the
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: Eagles as the side. Uh. But excuse me, Simon and
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: I have been going back and forth on this over
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: under every bit of research you said about the Eagles
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: pass rush, the sack rate, the rush rate being number
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: in the league, Chiefs being mediocre makes me feel like
• 11:35
  Speaker 1: this should be an under game. Are you on the
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: over or are you on the under? I'm lean under.
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: I don't have a strong play on the total, but
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: I'm with you that I think this game was one
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: in the trenches. And if I'm on Philadelphia, then that
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: has to be why because they're gonna win on both
• 11:52
  Speaker 1: sides of the ball right there on the line. I
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: think that's one of the more overlooked parts of the game.
• 11:58
  Speaker 1: Everyone knows about Patrick Mahomes. He's Patrick Mahomes. That's not
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: a tough analysis, and you can't really fault an analysis either.
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: But I think coaching and offensive and defensive line play
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: is where you can really get an edge that's overlooked
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: a little bit. And I think if you like the Eagles,
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: part of your analysis at least a little bit of
• 12:16
  Speaker 1: it has to be. I think this Eagle's pass rush
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: can get to my homes a little bit. I think
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia can slow down the Chiefs from scoring. So for me,
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: I think if I like the Eagles, which I do,
• 12:28
  Speaker 1: then you have to go Eagles and under, or if
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: it leans over, then I'm a little bit afraid from
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: Eagles position because I don't necessarily want Jalen Hurts matching
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: Pat Mahomes score for score, and suddenly we've gotten over.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: I think if we go over, I start to get
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: a little more worried from my Eagles position, and it
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: feels more like under Eagles or over Chiefs. So since
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: I like the Eagles, I like the under. All the
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: line place stuff is just so overwhelmingly in favor of
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: the Eagles that that for me. I know, Simon, you
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: said that, think you're the first favorites here. Right after
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: this matchup was set, we were in lockstep that the
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: game is in the trenches. This is the best deepest
• 13:08
  Speaker 1: offensive line in the league for the Eagles, and they're
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: gonna be able to handle Chris Jones and be able
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: to to gash in the run game once they get going.
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: And then the Eagles defensive line eleven and a half
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: percent sack rate on past plays. That is the best
• 13:22
  Speaker 1: number the entire century in the NFL. The Eagles are
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: further ahead of second place in sac rate then second places.
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: From twenty nine they basically have lapped the entire NFL,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: and the Chiefs only ranked sixteenth and past protection they
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: only had two games all year against the top eight
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: pressure team. So there's been a lot of talk this
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: week about all the Eagles are untested. Well, I think
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: that that's fair. I think those points are all very fair.
• 13:47
  Speaker 1: But I think the Chiefs maybe are a little more
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: untested than we've given credit for as well. That old
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: line has struggled when they had a few tests here.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: Obviously Mahomes has the ankle thing that is going to
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: probably flare up the further the game goes. And then
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs the only phase four top thirteen offenses by
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: t v A all season. The Eagles are certainly not
• 14:07
  Speaker 1: They're certainly near the top of the list there. So
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: I think that you look at the run game, the
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: Eagles chewing up long drives that like twelve place seventy
• 14:17
  Speaker 1: eight yard eight minute drive. That leads under as well
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: for me, and so I think if you look at
• 14:22
  Speaker 1: a total, I looked under, but that's probably not my
• 14:25
  Speaker 1: top play on the game. Simon, just respond, Let's get
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: the conversation one last time about the total out of
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: the way, and then I want best bets from each
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: of you, and I will give mine. You know, I'll
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: just get Brandon credit. Like we talked all the time,
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: I give people exactly what I do. There's no secret
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: to my method, to my manus, I literally start with
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: the offensive line, defensive line, and then I build my
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: model up from there, and obviously quarterbacks thrown in there.
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: He was all over this summer. He had the Eagles
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: as his number one offensive line. I think he had
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: Chiefs two or three, which was literally the same thing
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: we ade end of the year. So I had the
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: offensive line and I even both quarterbacks made them the
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: one seed because there's other things that trickle out from that,
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: but obviously schedule plays into it, so it's one of
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: those things coming in this year. The Chiefs actually kind
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: of didn't do as well as I thought they were
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: going to do all season with that old line. So
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: the pressure it could be put on my homes a
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: little bit because he holds onto the ball too much
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: maybe as well. But look in this total, there's a
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: bunch of reasons why I like the over, But the
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: biggest one is I think there's gonna be a lot
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: of short fields because of turnover. So I think the Eagles,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: with that front line, they will be able to get
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: to them, there will be able to turn over and
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: vice versa. The Eagles, they're kind of team that, Yes,
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: they've been small with the ball. I think they're gonna
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: take more risk in this kind of match. We've seen
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: teams in Super Bowl they take more risk. Especially when
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: you're playing against guy like my Homes, you can't really
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: play it safe. So I just see a lot of
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: short fields in this game, a lot of big plays
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: with both sides of ball, where I know what people think,
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: this Eagle's defense is really good. So just looking at
• 15:51
  Speaker 1: the a couple of their big matchups. They played the Cowboys.
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: I remember that Saturday game Christmas Eve. Uh, their defense
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: gave up forty points. They lost forty to thirty four.
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: You can say that was a fluke touchout the end.
• 16:01
  Speaker 1: Remember that really crazy play, so you can take that away,
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: but still over thirty points. And the indoor game. Uh,
• 16:06
  Speaker 1: the next time they played Green Bay, um they won
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: forty to thirty three. So their their defense give thirty
• 16:13
  Speaker 1: three points to Aaron Rodgers. Uh. You're just seeing a
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: little bit of a trend here that when they play
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: a good quarterback. Even week one, I mean remember chatting
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: remembers that the Detroit Indoors but up thirty five points.
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: I know there's a long time ago, but there's a
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: thing where they're indoors, it's different than when they're outdoors
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: at home, and that's when the Eagles defense has been
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: so dominant. So this was an outdoor game, I honestly
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: would have been all over that under. I think that
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: had have been skewed towards both teams being towards the under.
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: We're gonna talked to Andrew reads history in the playoffs,
• 16:39
  Speaker 1: in the outdoor game, when his team was in it,
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: he was towards the under. But when he's indoors, it
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: goes more towards the over, especially with my home. So
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: that's my big thing here chat is I just see
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: both both offenses being very risky and taking big swings.
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: Where Egos offense, I do think they'll be smart. They'll
• 16:56
  Speaker 1: try to run the ball if my homes goes up
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: at any point, if he goes up seven or fourteen points,
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: which historically in Super Bowls you see big swings like that,
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: teams go on little runs and other teams bounce back.
• 17:06
  Speaker 1: Which that's other problem. We can talk about doing the
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: prop show. Um, that's just something that happens in Super Bowls.
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: So I'm an under a guy I when we talk
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: all the time, I love taking under, especially when the
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: value is there. I could easily flip if it's fifty
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: two to the under, but right now I got them
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: out with fifty one and a half. I still think
• 17:22
  Speaker 1: there's value there. But we're crossing a bunch of key
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: numbers right now. So if you could still in in
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: some crazy book, find a fifty, I grab because all
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: the legal books now are hiding heading towards fifty one
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: and fifty and a half. So it seems like when
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: most people here this will be at fifty one at
• 17:36
  Speaker 1: that point. So it's it's tough for me to tell
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: you get a shitty number because that is a key number.
• 17:40
  Speaker 1: I'm hoping you grab it earlier and grabbed the over.
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: But Jad's right, this is one of those where two
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: quarters in I might be feeling like an idiot because
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: both these defenses have been playing so well in the playoffs.
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: All right, Brandon, Uh, you mentioned that you're looking for edges,
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: deep deep, deep into the books, into all these different markets.
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: Hard to find an edge on the total, hard to
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: find an edge on the side. Uh, where are you
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: finding your edges? Let's start with your best one, your
• 18:11
  Speaker 1: very best one. You've got one bet to make, You've
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: got to make it. What are you making? Yeah? Well,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: obviously I like the Eagles here. I'm rocking my Carson
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: wins Jersey, North Dakota born and bred. We we fell
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: in love with the Eagles back in North Dakota when
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: Carson came out. And what can I say? We draft
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: Carson Wentz and the Eagles are off to two Super
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: Bowls in five year. It's pretty easy cause and effect there.
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: I'm on the Eagles on this one. But I'm always looking, Okay,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: how can I how can I limit some of my
• 18:44
  Speaker 1: outs by adding to the payout here? So here's how
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna play with us. Gave me the Eagles halftime
• 18:52
  Speaker 1: plus full time, so I need to lead up the
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: half to tie. Will not do. But I'm gonna lead
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: up the half and win the game. On the money line,
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: me that a plus one sixty. I've seen it as
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: high as plus one eight out there, Eagles halftime full
• 19:06
  Speaker 1: time right now. Philadelphia has sixteen wins this season. Do
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: you guys know in how many of those sixteen wins
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: have the Eagles lead at halftime? H I would say
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: I would Quourtinas correct? Fourteen is right. They were tied
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: with Houston at behalf. They trailed Indianapolis by one. If
• 19:31
  Speaker 1: you like the Eagles, what's the script? My script is this,
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: you get out early. We know the Eagles have been
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: so strong in the first half all year, second quarter especially,
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: they passed to take the lead, they run to protect
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: the lead. The best defense against Patrick Mahomes, for all
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: the past rushing and all the number one d v
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: A pasty, the best defense is just keep them on
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: the sideline, keep them over there, run the football, run
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: the clock out. So if I take the Eagles, I
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: don't want to come back. Script. I don't want the
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: Eagles to be trailing and now I need Jalen to
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: outduel Pat in the second half. No, thank you, I'm
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: not saying it couldn't happen. That's not the script. I want.
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: Give me the early lead, set the tone, then control
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: the clock, run the ball, do what the Eagles have done,
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: and really board us in the second half of these
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: games in the playoffs so far, because they've been so dominant.
• 20:22
  Speaker 1: So if I get that at a plus one sixty,
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: that's a thirty percent implied the money line right now
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: is coming out around implied, So I'm getting almost an
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: extra pay out. I'm the implied here just to lead
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: at halftime. But I think that's the script where the
• 20:37
  Speaker 1: Eagles win anyway. So really that's my main play on
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: the game, not the Eagles side, but just giving me
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: Eagles halftime full time, and I think that's a sharper
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: way to play. Just back in the Eagles here straight up. Wow,
• 20:50
  Speaker 1: did not see Brandon going in within Eagles leading and
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: to win that plus money as being his best bet.
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: Feel feels you know what, it feels like. It feels
• 21:04
  Speaker 1: like the kind of bet in which legends are born. Simon,
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: tell me, tell me where you're going with us? I
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: love it. I mean, you know me, I talked about
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: all season the Eagles first half was just free money.
• 21:22
  Speaker 1: We just bet it all year. They're just one of
• 21:24
  Speaker 1: those teams they just really well prepared and what are
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: they seven and oh against playoff teams this year in
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: the first half technically, so one of those teams that
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: they've played well against the best competition that they faced
• 21:37
  Speaker 1: all year. Um, no doubt in my mind. Uh, this
• 21:41
  Speaker 1: game not only will be decided by coaching, but ay
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: read is an Eagles fan all that can remembers and
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: reads two minute drills and those blunders. So you're getting
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: an Eagles team that they're our only hope is that
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs blow it in that final two minutes of
• 21:55
  Speaker 1: that first half. It gives you a more confidence taking
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: Eagles first half. So I'm definitely with him if you
• 22:00
  Speaker 1: if you're going by gain script the Eagles are down
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: by a touchdown that first half, that could be a
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: big problem for them because that means exactly what Brain
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: was talking about. It means they're gonna have to be passing,
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: which if they go three and out, that's more time
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: for my homes get the ball. So you better hope
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: is an Eagles back or they gotta lead here. So
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: I like that plus money. But you know what me, uh,
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: if I'm gonna make that bet, I'll just load up
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: on the first half and load up on full game.
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I'd parlay it, but I love it.
• 22:24
  Speaker 1: I love plus numbers, so I'm not gonna lie. I'm
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: definitely gonna throw a little on that bet. That's a
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: that's a nice bet. What is your as we head
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: into the weekend? Best bet is it still loading up
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: on the Eagles. Um, I would say my best bet
• 22:40
  Speaker 1: would be sure. Yeah, that's hard to say because right now,
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: technically my most money I've had bet is the over.
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't make that my best bet. That was just
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: that's just my biggest position as we sit here on Thursday,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: UM yeah, I'll go best bet Eagles. I think that's
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: just a great number whenever you can get it at
• 22:59
  Speaker 1: so on are under a field goal, it feels the
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: same thing as its four nineers game where it's most
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: like you're gonna come down to three. We saw the
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: Chiefs in that Bengals game. How much luck did the
• 23:08
  Speaker 1: Chiefs need at the end of that game to get
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: that field goal to cover that game? So it's one
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: of those that feels the same thing. Mahomes all year
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: has that a team that's lacked in talent, and he
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: just keeps them in every game you can go through
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: their entire schedule. Man doesn't get blown out. He just
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: keeps games close. He's just such a fighter. So um,
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: as we sit here on Thursday, child say best bet Eagles.
• 23:28
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• 25:36
  Speaker 1: I know this is crazy and I hate doing it.
• 25:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know how my best bet isn't the under.
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: I cannot. I want to bet the over so bad,
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: but I just feel like Chad, you are sharp ball
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: season riding along with the pros, and now you're going
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: off reservation. I know, but it seems it's so weird
• 25:58
  Speaker 1: for me because I know the pros are on the over.
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: I know it because I've seen the number move and
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: I know it's pros who are moving the number. You
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: have talked about it like NonStop, but other pros are
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: with you. They really disagree with it. So you're you've
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: got you got, you got smart guys on your side.
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Tell you that. I just like, it's like, it doesn't
• 26:15
  Speaker 1: make any sense to me if you believe in the
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: Eagles that you don't believe in the under and the
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: This is such a matchup of are you and Andy
• 26:29
  Speaker 1: Reid Patrick Mahomes believer or are you a believer in
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: the rest of the roster? Right, And so if you're
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: a believer in the rest of the roster, then you
• 26:39
  Speaker 1: kind of have to believe that this is going to
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: be an under because of what I said earlier about
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: the past rush about how we believe the Eagles can
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: win the game what they historically like to do. Because
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: because Simon, these are coaches who like to take risks
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: when it comes to the red zone. As you just
• 26:58
  Speaker 1: noted with Andy Reid and the too much the under brother,
• 27:01
  Speaker 1: you got really high variant coaches here. You got high variants, right,
• 27:04
  Speaker 1: But you also got there at the forty yard line
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: or five and it's fourth and eight for it field goal.
• 27:15
  Speaker 1: That's true, which is why I also like, you know,
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: the prop that Croner has talked about so much, as
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: will both teams kick a field goal over thirty three yards?
• 27:25
  Speaker 1: I say, no, yeah, variance. The Eagles break the model
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: too of they've done so well in fourth down this
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: year they screw with my model just because of that.
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: Where even even the Chiefs where I'm downgraded them just
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: because they don't run the ball in the red zone.
• 27:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, they're one of these teams that they get
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: down there, they have that much confidence. In my homes,
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: they're taking that higher risk. So um, that's another thing
• 27:49
  Speaker 1: that's good towards you're under. Not only the Eagles do
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: to have regression on fourth down because they've been so
• 27:54
  Speaker 1: above board this year. Mahomes is do is do for
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: some red zone to and over. It's like not the
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen level right where he was doing one a game,
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: but you know something, he's gonna give us one. So um,
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: I know we're talking a little bit of props here.
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: That's another prop I love, uh is the over in
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: Mahomes interceptions. That's a that's a fun prop to do. Um.
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: I think in most books it's minus one time minus
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: one of love. And so if you're if you're an
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: Eagles backer, you better be betting that interception because we
• 28:22
  Speaker 1: need one of those to beat this Chief's team. Brandon,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: give me one more best bet. My other best bet
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: for you is a plus and it's a super So
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: you're not telling me the name, alright, Alright, give me
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: Tavante Smith Super Bowl m v P plus thirty. We
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: gave this one out on the Action Network podcast. You
• 28:43
  Speaker 1: mentioned that I'm on there twice a week heading into
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: the Giants game. Gave it out at plus sevent heading
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: into the Niners plus five thousand. I still like it here.
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: I like Davante Smith. All right, I'll just I'll just
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: make the case here. So Vante Smith has been slowly
• 28:59
  Speaker 1: kind of taking over at least coming equal to a J.
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: Brown the numbers down the stretch, last seven games before
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: the Niners. You have to kind of throw that game out.
• 29:08
  Speaker 1: That wasn't really in a football game, right, Like we
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: we don't have a quarterback on one side before that game.
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: Last seven Davante games six and a half catches nine
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: yards a game five touchdowns. In those seven games. The
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: Chiefs our bottom five d v A against wide receiver one.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: They also are very poor on the right side of
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: the field. Defending the right side, they are twenty six
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: and dv o A six On the left side, Davante
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: aligns up prodominantly on the right, A J. Brown on
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: the left, and so two of the last four Super
• 29:39
  Speaker 1: Bowl m vps are receivers. That's where the direction the
• 29:43
  Speaker 1: NFL is heading. And I think too, if you like
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: the Chiefs, they're gonna be a lot of talking. We'll
• 29:48
  Speaker 1: just just play the quarterback. Just play the quarterback to
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: when m v P. That's your pick. I think with
• 29:53
  Speaker 1: its Chiefs great. I think mahomes the narrative. They're so strong.
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: I don't think hurts wins m v P if it's
• 30:00
  Speaker 1: the Eagles, because the more Eagles stats you're looking at,
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: like if it hurts his numbers, I project him somewhere
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: around hundred ninety passing yards in a score, forty rushing
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: in a score. Does that feel like m v P
• 30:13
  Speaker 1: numbers to you? Like? That doesn't pop to me. We
• 30:15
  Speaker 1: don't see huge highlights. He has two passing touchdowns the
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: last four games. He has two hundreds and passing yards
• 30:22
  Speaker 1: in the playoffs. And why because the Eagles are winning
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: as a team. That's the whole cap with the Eagles
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: is it's not about hurts m v P. It's about
• 30:31
  Speaker 1: the team thing. I think the better hurts. His numbers
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: are the last chance the Eagles win the game, and
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: we know we need a winner to win the m
• 30:37
  Speaker 1: v P. So give me Davante Smith m v P
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: plus that's applied three per cent. I make him closer
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: to eight or nine, So that's triple the value here.
• 30:49
  Speaker 1: I've still got my tickets from earlier. I'm making it
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: my best bet. That really is. That's how I play these.
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: If I find a long shot, I love you. Just
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: gotta play and go for the ride, dude, I bet it.
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: While you were talking on fand uh, Simon, you got
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: anything else you want to say before we hit the
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: road for Super Bowl fifty seven that we haven't said
• 31:10
  Speaker 1: in four podcasts previewing the game. Yeah, I would say
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: it is one game, a lot of rand mess to it.
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: But your friend, Simon, here's one nine straight. Don't listen
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: to Chad, do not take the Chiefs take the Eagles
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: your boys. Man. I didn't say, by the way, no no, no, no,
• 31:27
  Speaker 1: no no no. I didn't say take the Chiefs. D
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: like the Chiefs. Chad likes the Chiefs. If Chad was
• 31:32
  Speaker 1: the Eagles, he'd be all over the Eagles celebrating with me.
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: He's hesitant. I don't trust him. He's giving me chief vibes.
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: Um for crazy m v P bets, I'm trying to
• 31:42
  Speaker 1: think if I have any good ones. I mean, when
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: I just looked at it, I thought there's a couple
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: of big values of like random guys like Darius Slay
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: is eight to one, James Bradberry, who is just as
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: good he was the Eagles other corner. He's sitting there,
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: and I think a hundred fift one where I think
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: they should be closer in value where you never heard
• 32:00
  Speaker 1: his name, probably Bradbury because he's that good. He doesn't
• 32:03
  Speaker 1: really give up the many yards. He gets a couple
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: of picks off my homes and the Eagles win a
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: low scoring game. That that would be really good value
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: to me. So um along as the m v P sides,
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: I would go crazy upside bets because I think Brandon
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: nailed it where it's it's kind of a quarterback award, Like,
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: even if you know Hurts doesn't have that good a game,
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: probably just give it to him because he's young, pretty
• 32:22
  Speaker 1: damn good looking, and he's the Eagle's head coach, I mean,
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: the Eagles quarterback. It's like, this is what the NFL wants.
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: They want these big brand teams to have a Super
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: Bowl m VP winning quarterback. Um. So yeah, I'm the
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: other way though. I think this is really gonna be
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: a shootout, so everyone knows my position and in the
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: game at this point, I guess I'd just say Hurts
• 32:41
  Speaker 1: look good in practice because it's Thursday. Um, I don't know.
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: I'm just feeling confident about them all week leading up
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: to it. I do think the Chiefs are a really
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: good team. I just think all your the NFC was better.
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: People are just blinded by a quarterback play. So to them,
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: DFC has all the quarterbacks. The public just think that's
• 32:59
  Speaker 1: the better side. To me, the NFC had the better teams,
• 33:02
  Speaker 1: the better constructed teams from ground up. That's why I
• 33:04
  Speaker 1: just think the values there so Eagles and over Chad. Uh.
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: It is one of those where people gotta check in
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: Sunday morning for convinced me to get our updates. But
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: it's looking like Chad's on the Chiefs and the under
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: and I'm on the Eagles and the over. I would
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: say I'm definitely on the under. Yeah, but the Chiefs
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: I haven't. I haven't. I'm kind of I know you, Chad,
• 33:27
  Speaker 1: I know you. I can tell dude, I have not,
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: honest to God, what I'm really waiting for is I'm
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: pretty evenly split at this point, Like, unless the game
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: make the move, you know what you gotta do. Unless
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: the game lands, you know, Eagles win by one or
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: two by one, that's not kind of a wash on
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: the side right now. I'm kind of waiting to see
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: what happens on Sunday. If the line moves in the
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: direction of the Eagles and in the Chiefs again, then
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: I'll probably end up betting the Eagles and being much
• 33:56
  Speaker 1: heavier on the each At this point, I'm just waiting
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: for the line to move because I think the public
• 34:00
  Speaker 1: hasn't come in, But my sides are kind of washed
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: based on what I did. You know, right when the
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: lines came out, I realized after I did it, I
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: kind of fun myself. But whatever. I figured I would
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: just wait for the lines to move and see my
• 34:11
  Speaker 1: edge over the course of two weeks and have a
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: good position to start. All right, before we get out
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: of your brand and give us one more for the road.
• 34:17
  Speaker 1: All right, I'm gonna give you just two fun bets,
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: two fun ones. I know you love the anytime touchdowns, Simon,
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: I think you're about this one. Gave me the Philadelphia
• 34:26
  Speaker 1: defense to score touchdown plus seven and fifty. Simon, you
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: talked about high variants and then turnovers. We have fifty
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: six Super Bowl so far, twenty one defensive touchdowns in
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl thirty seven point five percent of of
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: touchdowns in the Super Bowl we at least one touchdown
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: by defense and almost a third of the games and
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: twenty one of those touchdowns, twenty of them scored by
• 34:49
  Speaker 1: the winning team. So whoever you like getting the Super Bowl,
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: you should bet their defense to score any time touchdown.
• 34:56
  Speaker 1: And it's going up to last thirty super bowls fifteen
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: defensive touchdowns, that is one every two Super Bowls. We're
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: getting this at plus seven fifty. Is it because we
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: got great defenses and the Super Bowl? Is it the
• 35:10
  Speaker 1: extra week to prep on tendencies. Is it just hey,
• 35:13
  Speaker 1: this is it? Go for bro, put it all out there,
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: whatever it is. I have to play that one and
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: then last one. The most fun bet you can make
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: in the Super Bowl, exclusively at fandwel or sponsor both
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: Kelsey's to score touchdown two hundred to one. Look, Travis Kelsey,
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: wheready know about Travis. I don't even to make the
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: case for that. Travis probably gonna score is anytime touchdown
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: is the lowest of anything. Jason Kelsey is the whole
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: story Kelsey Bowl. We're gonna see a mom wearing the
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: split jersey down the middle. We're gonna have the whole
• 35:48
  Speaker 1: thing going. Here's why this actually has some like Jason
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: Kelsey's center. Obviously, centers don't score a lot of touchdowns.
• 35:55
  Speaker 1: There you guys snapping the ball. Back October five, on
• 35:58
  Speaker 1: the Pat McAfee show, Nick Sirianni is on. He talked
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: about how they're bringing They had to give Jason Kelsey
• 36:05
  Speaker 1: his guy a keg to bribe him back. They're talking
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: about how nimbly is Nick Sirianni, coach of the Eagle, says,
• 36:11
  Speaker 1: you know what, maybe we need to report Jason Kelsey
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: eligible put him in the backfield, give him a couple
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: of carriers, put him on a screen that's out there.
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: That's the thing that happened this year. Then January eleven,
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: less than a month ago, on the New Heights podcast,
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: which by the way, is the Kelsey Brothers, that's Travis
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: and Jason's podcast, they're talking about that fun Chief's Circle
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: play that they did where they ran around the Arctic
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: Circle snow globe left with the reindeer personnel. They're talking
• 36:40
  Speaker 1: about it and Travis is hyping it up, and Travis
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: Kelsey says, quote, we're still waiting on that Jason Kelsey touchdown. Man.
• 36:48
  Speaker 1: I'm just saying, there's smoke out there. There's some smoke.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: It's two hundred to one. Five bucks gets you a thousand.
• 36:56
  Speaker 1: This is not my best bet. This is not going
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: broke here. But how a little fun get your money in,
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: get out with the big one. Listen. I'm thrilled that
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: Brandon was our last guest of the entirety of the
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: three NFL season. Brandon Anderson, thanks for joining me and
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: Simon for Simon Hunter for Matt Mitchell, I am Shad Milan.
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: Reminder follow the Favorites feed follow the Favorites podcast. Like
• 37:23
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• 37:26
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• 37:30
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• 37:33
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• 37:37
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• 37:40
  Speaker 1: Say whatever you want until after the super Bowl when
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: all the answers will be revealed and we'll know who
• 37:46
  Speaker 1: was a genius, Who was mush? How right can we
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: all really be? Talk to Future'll be good Tuesday next
• 37:53
  Speaker 1: we'll talk about futures. Everything you need to know. Love You.
• 38:01
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