Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 1, FRI | August 29, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, all system's going clear.
- 0:05Speaker 2: You left off.
- 0:35Speaker 1: Minnesota. Hats off to the two our collers. True, we
- 0:40Speaker 1: will ever be what's going on everybody coming off of
- 0:43Speaker 1: a Minnesota victory. We're back for another slate of college
- 0:46Speaker 1: football here at Ship at Nation. My name is Bill.
- 0:48Speaker 1: Put a dollar in front of it, and you'll find
- 0:49Speaker 1: me on Discord and Twitter and joining me today, my
- 0:52Speaker 1: good friend and Ship at Nation colleague Ian. You know
- 0:55Speaker 1: I am Robbins on Discord and in the cash streets
- 0:58Speaker 1: on DK. But you dabble in GPP a little bit too,
- 1:01Speaker 1: don't you.
- 1:02Speaker 2: In Oh yeah, every every kind of CFB contest, we
- 1:05Speaker 2: gotta we gotta play a little bit.
- 1:06Speaker 1: Of yeah, And I mean I gotta tell you. First off,
- 1:10Speaker 1: I'm glad you're here. It was great having Kenny on yesterday.
- 1:13Speaker 1: I just recorded the Saturday show before this, and it's
- 1:17Speaker 1: so much talking. It was a mess. I had the
- 1:19Speaker 1: wrong stone up from the get go. I was stumbling
- 1:21Speaker 1: over my words. Random freezes I called. I called Florida
- 1:25Speaker 1: Atlantic Western Kentucky, which makes sense because of all the transfers.
- 1:28Speaker 1: So if you want to watch a grown man fumble
- 1:30Speaker 1: all over himself, watch the Saturday stream after we released that.
- 1:34Speaker 1: But you know what it is Week one. Our heads
- 1:36Speaker 1: are spinning, our eyes are crossed, but we're here for
- 1:38Speaker 1: another another slaty college football. We're all greased up and
- 1:41Speaker 1: ready to go.
- 1:42Speaker 2: Hey, yeah, more more college football. Week one is this
- 1:46Speaker 2: is what it does to us. There's games every day.
- 1:49Speaker 2: You know, it's fun though. This is the grind that
- 1:51Speaker 2: we love, the sweat that we love.
- 1:53Speaker 1: Oh to the sweaty try hards. That's absolutely right. We're
- 1:56Speaker 1: all glad c FB is back. What's going on, Marty
- 1:59Speaker 1: Michael Rick Roll? What's up? Boys? The ECU stacks did
- 2:03Speaker 1: you dirty? Yeah? There are a lot of tax that
- 2:05Speaker 1: did it. There's actually quite a bit of boring football yesterday,
- 2:08Speaker 1: if I'm going to be completely honest, But I do
- 2:10Speaker 1: got to agree with Paul Supple. Drake Lindsay looked great gears.
- 2:14Speaker 1: Eight targets, four catches, that's sick touchdown.
- 2:18Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 2:18Speaker 1: I'm excited about the Gophers, but we have a brand
- 2:20Speaker 1: news lady college football. Before we jump into it, I
- 2:22Speaker 1: do want to mention we still have a couple of
- 2:24Speaker 1: days left to get in on this football Early bird
- 2:25Speaker 1: Specialist ship at Nation three hundred and forty nine dollars
- 2:28Speaker 1: for the entire season. It includes sabers In, one of
- 2:31Speaker 1: our new partners, It includes the Stone Projections ownership, and
- 2:34Speaker 1: we call it a football package. You'll notice, not an
- 2:37Speaker 1: NFL package, not a CFB package. We package them together.
- 2:42Speaker 1: It's like you could say, buy one, get one free
- 2:44Speaker 1: for CFB and NFL because we don't want to separate
- 2:47Speaker 1: the two three hundred and forty nine dollars for the
- 2:49Speaker 1: entire season, and for a few days you'll get a
- 2:52Speaker 1: look at the all access package. Even if you only
- 2:54Speaker 1: buy this football only package, you'll get to see some
- 2:57Speaker 1: of the other sports. I know we're winding down a
- 2:58Speaker 1: lot of them, but we still got base ball going
- 3:00Speaker 1: on hot and heavy, and we're preparing for NFL season.
- 3:03Speaker 1: And like I mentioned, Sabersim is one of our partners,
- 3:06Speaker 1: and we now have access to packages that include Sabersim
- 3:10Speaker 1: within our ship at Nation membership. So that's super awesome.
- 3:13Speaker 1: They've been a great partner. And when you go to
- 3:15Speaker 1: our website ship Atnation dot com, you'll notice this ship
- 3:18Speaker 1: at Games at the top seventy two hundred and sixty
- 3:21Speaker 1: seven dollars. That's a lot of money. So what is
- 3:23Speaker 1: ship it Games? You might ask well, if you go
- 3:25Speaker 1: to ship it names ship it games dot com, you'll
- 3:27Speaker 1: see this golden ship It at the top. It's like
- 3:29Speaker 1: a golden ticket from Wulai Wonka essentially what it is.
- 3:32Speaker 1: It's we kind of look at it as almost like
- 3:34Speaker 1: an exclusive ship it live final sort of thing where
- 3:38Speaker 1: throughout the season you'll have the opportunity to earn these
- 3:41Speaker 1: golden ship its and take part in a contest at
- 3:43Speaker 1: the end of the year with a huge prize pool.
- 3:46Speaker 1: Top prize twenty thousand, second place ten thousand, third place
- 3:49Speaker 1: five thousand, and it'll only go up from there. The
- 3:52Speaker 1: whole prize pool, like I said, is this seventy nine
- 3:54Speaker 1: two sixty seven, so almost eighty grand and it does
- 3:57Speaker 1: have the opportunity to go up too. We have this
- 4:00Speaker 1: share a Ship. There's a few games that will play
- 4:01Speaker 1: throughout the season, but I'll highlight this share a Ship
- 4:03Speaker 1: right now. A ballot winner will get to have a
- 4:07Speaker 1: lineup entered on their behalf by Tambo at the three
- 4:09Speaker 1: hundred and thirty three dollars Wildcat and you see the percentages.
- 4:12Speaker 1: Ten percent of the profit goes to the winner, fifty
- 4:15Speaker 1: percent of the profit will go into this prize pool.
- 4:18Speaker 1: So the prizes can only go up. And like I said,
- 4:22Speaker 1: I could read through all of this for you, but
- 4:24Speaker 1: ship at games dot Com we'll give you all the information.
- 4:26Speaker 1: I don't need to bore you because I know we
- 4:27Speaker 1: want to get to college football. But it's just a
- 4:29Speaker 1: super awesome and really unique con concept that we're doing
- 4:33Speaker 1: at ship at Nation is a way to give back
- 4:34Speaker 1: to our community that's truly devoted to us, one of
- 4:37Speaker 1: the it's the greatest community in all of dfs, and
- 4:40Speaker 1: we always are looking for a way to grow our
- 4:43Speaker 1: product and give back to the people who give so
- 4:46Speaker 1: much to us. And then one more thing I want
- 4:48Speaker 1: to highlight. If you go to the Moore tab on
- 4:50Speaker 1: ship atnation dot com and go to the logo section,
- 4:53Speaker 1: you'll see two ship at Nation logos wire those so special.
- 4:56Speaker 1: We also notice the winner circle by Sabersim. So this
- 4:59Speaker 1: is something that's saved. Like I said, a great partner
- 5:02Speaker 1: has has led us in on and allowed us to
- 5:04Speaker 1: take part in we have access to their winners Circle promotion.
- 5:10Speaker 1: So it basically, if you rock one of these two
- 5:12Speaker 1: approved logos as a ship at Nation member, you have
- 5:15Speaker 1: access to these prizes if you follow the general rules
- 5:18Speaker 1: finish in the top five for at least one thousand
- 5:20Speaker 1: dollars and it must be ten x your entry fee. Again,
- 5:23Speaker 1: I won't go through all the rules here, but you
- 5:25Speaker 1: can find them at shipnation dot com. And if you
- 5:27Speaker 1: get a thousand dollars win in the top five a
- 5:29Speaker 1: month free of ship It and Sabersim. As the prizes
- 5:32Speaker 1: go up, as your winnings go up, you get bigger
- 5:34Speaker 1: prizes here. And they didn't have to, but they did
- 5:37Speaker 1: because they're great. Sabersim included us in their Rolex Watch
- 5:40Speaker 1: giveaway for million makers, and we've had a few million
- 5:43Speaker 1: makers here at ship at Nation, obviously always looking for more.
- 5:45Speaker 1: So all in all to say, Ian, now's the perfect
- 5:49Speaker 1: time to get in on ship at Nation. We're heading
- 5:51Speaker 1: into what will be our biggest football season yet.
- 5:56Speaker 2: Oh, no doubt about it. You've has got the best content,
- 5:59Speaker 2: not just for football but for all of sports. It's
- 6:01Speaker 2: all in one place. You know, it's the best stuff
- 6:03Speaker 2: out there, no doubt about that.
- 6:05Speaker 1: For sure. That's time to do it, yep, and it's
- 6:07Speaker 1: I mean, honestly it is. Oh that's the real stone.
- 6:10Speaker 1: You got a little look behind the pay well, but yeah,
- 6:15Speaker 1: I ship at nation dot Com sign up for that
- 6:17Speaker 1: early bird package just a few days left. It expires
- 6:19Speaker 1: on September third. But we're we're going to jump into
- 6:22Speaker 1: what we came for, and that's for college football DFS
- 6:25Speaker 1: Day two of Week one, and we have seven games
- 6:28Speaker 1: on the slate, Yes, yes, seven. We're going to start
- 6:32Speaker 1: off with Appalachian State at Charlotte technically a neutral site
- 6:35Speaker 1: because it's the Duke Mayo kickoff game or something. It's
- 6:38Speaker 1: going to be played at the Panthers Stadium. I don't
- 6:41Speaker 1: know how much we care about that, but just a
- 6:44Speaker 1: little bit of a breakdown. We don't have anything conclusive
- 6:47Speaker 1: one hundred percent quarterback. We could see AJ Swan and
- 6:50Speaker 1: JJ Cole. So that's something that we're going to be
- 6:53Speaker 1: taking a look at right up until lock which is
- 6:55Speaker 1: another reason to get into the ship at Nation Discord
- 6:57Speaker 1: because we discussed that all the way up until lock
- 7:00Speaker 1: at seven pm Eastern times six pm LORDS time zone.
- 7:03Speaker 1: Rashad de Binyon is a transfer from Arkansas, so he's
- 7:06Speaker 1: an SEC player now playing in a group of five.
- 7:09Speaker 1: We always like that kind of transfer. We have Jaden Barnes,
- 7:13Speaker 1: who is an FCS guy, but you could call him
- 7:18Speaker 1: Arnold Schwarzenegger because he was a strong governor. He played
- 7:20Speaker 1: for Austin p he was very good there. And just
- 7:24Speaker 1: some names that you might recognize from the past from
- 7:26Speaker 1: like Dalton Stroman at app State. And then on the
- 7:29Speaker 1: Charlotte side, Tim Albin, Ohio's old coach is now their
- 7:31Speaker 1: head coach. Connor Harrell UNC transfer beat out, Grayson loftis
- 7:36Speaker 1: duke transfer. That's fun. Ganey and Rutledge seemed like the guys.
- 7:41Speaker 1: Rutledge is a speedster and he's a punt and kick returner,
- 7:44Speaker 1: So if you want to have that little bit of
- 7:47Speaker 1: punt return and kick return upside, that's that's always good.
- 7:50Speaker 1: And then Jaden McGowan is playing against his old quarterback.
- 7:53Speaker 1: He and Swan played together at Vandy. You know it's
- 7:56Speaker 1: gonna be a competitive game. Not the highest total that
- 7:59Speaker 1: we're looking for in in DFS for college football. So
- 8:02Speaker 1: what do you what are you thinking here I for
- 8:03Speaker 1: this first game?
- 8:05Speaker 2: Well, first thing is it's a tighter spread, one of
- 8:07Speaker 2: the smaller spreads on the slate. We get some more
- 8:10Speaker 2: neutral a lot of the questions, a lot of unknowns.
- 8:12Speaker 2: App State going through a quarterback kind of a late
- 8:14Speaker 2: transfer Aguila leaving to go to Tennessee kind of late
- 8:17Speaker 2: in the cycle, so we don't really know what's going
- 8:19Speaker 2: on there, but see a lot of a lot of
- 8:22Speaker 2: power schools that see transfers down, which usually they're looking
- 8:25Speaker 2: for opportunities, and that talent, you know, is pretty appealing,
- 8:29Speaker 2: especially you know with Dominion, who is pretty productive at
- 8:32Speaker 2: Arkansas coming in as a running back at app State.
- 8:36Speaker 2: We don't really know what to expect from Charlotte. They're
- 8:38Speaker 2: going through a coaching change, reading change, so you know,
- 8:41Speaker 2: they brought in some talent kind of going through things.
- 8:44Speaker 2: But the thing that's appealing about this game right here
- 8:46Speaker 2: is if you can get some things right, especially if
- 8:48Speaker 2: you're building out a bunch of lineups, there's really cheap options,
- 8:52Speaker 2: especially in the receiver and really the running back corps.
- 8:57Speaker 2: And it's a tight spread. So if it goes back
- 8:59Speaker 2: and forth. Last night we saw some ugly games, maybe
- 9:02Speaker 2: tonight we see some more explosive games. And tolls total
- 9:04Speaker 2: is about fifty, so it's it's not crazy small, but
- 9:09Speaker 2: it's not one of those blowout games that that's onund here,
- 9:11Speaker 2: so could be competitive, could be sneaky for you. A
- 9:14Speaker 2: lot of cheap options, you know, if we get them right.
- 9:18Speaker 2: When it comes down to this, I like to I
- 9:20Speaker 2: like to try to play talent, you know, guys looking
- 9:22Speaker 2: for opportunities down in some in some group of five schools.
- 9:26Speaker 1: Yeah, and and Mike in the chat App State travels Well.
- 9:30Speaker 1: Uh you know they played, he said they played started
- 9:32Speaker 1: a few years ago and app State fans filled the house.
- 9:35Speaker 1: And that's like I said, since it's technically a neutral
- 9:37Speaker 1: site game, the ticket sales are going to be a
- 9:38Speaker 1: lot more balanced. I'm certain they're not. Like season ticket
- 9:41Speaker 1: holders probably don't necessarily have the same access to this
- 9:44Speaker 1: as they would a true home game. So take that
- 9:47Speaker 1: nugget for what you want. We're always looking for little
- 9:49Speaker 1: edges in dfs, and maybe app State Traveling Well is
- 9:52Speaker 1: one of them, especially as a favorite. So so yeah,
- 9:55Speaker 1: and that's like you said, the the topsy turvy nature
- 9:59Speaker 1: of this quarterback room, We're probably gonna have to wait
- 10:01Speaker 1: to see aj Swan. He's a dual threat. Correct, he
- 10:06Speaker 1: did run a bit at Vandy if I'm not mistaken.
- 10:09Speaker 2: At Harrold's definitely guy who ran a lot in North
- 10:12Speaker 2: Carolina kind of in that scheme of things as well. Yeah,
- 10:16Speaker 2: I wish we had some more clarity on the app
- 10:18Speaker 2: stage side of the quarterback room, but you know, to
- 10:20Speaker 2: make sure week one.
- 10:22Speaker 1: Yeah, and I listened to the Black and Gold podcast
- 10:24Speaker 1: this morning and they kind of put it best I understood.
- 10:26Speaker 1: They said that I understand why they're not releasing it
- 10:29Speaker 1: too deep, but that doesn't mean we have to be
- 10:30Speaker 1: happy about it, and that I mean, that's music to
- 10:33Speaker 1: our ears. The depth chart, like roller coaster in college football,
- 10:37Speaker 1: is the bane of our existence most of the time.
- 10:41Speaker 2: Yeah, but you know that's that's what we're searching for
- 10:44Speaker 2: day and all these little things.
- 10:46Speaker 1: Yeah, all right, let's move on to a game that's better.
- 10:52Speaker 1: On one side. Kennesa stayed at Wake. It's a seventeen
- 10:55Speaker 1: and a half points spread. Even Wake Forest is a
- 10:58Speaker 1: three score favorite against kenness State, our colleague and friend
- 11:03Speaker 1: Monday Monday Dynamo is a big Wake Forest fan, and
- 11:06Speaker 1: I'm sure he's still nervous about this game despite Wake
- 11:09Speaker 1: being heavy favorites. So we got, Yeah, we got the
- 11:13Speaker 1: KNASA side. Dexter Williams was it Indiana then Georgia Southern.
- 11:16Speaker 1: Maybe the best quarterback Kannessa's ever had, Coleman Bennett, is cheap,
- 11:21Speaker 1: but it's Kansas State. And then there's just a bunch
- 11:24Speaker 1: of names in this wide receiver room that are all
- 11:25Speaker 1: sub four K, so you're really you're really looking at
- 11:29Speaker 1: like a touchdown or you know, a lot of targets it.
- 11:34Speaker 1: They could be throwing a lot with this kind of spread,
- 11:37Speaker 1: but it's one of those teams. Their coaching staff is new.
- 11:40Speaker 1: Their head coach got let go in a weird way
- 11:42Speaker 1: last year and not a lot of people were happy
- 11:44Speaker 1: about it. So morale isn't necessarily high at Kannessas State either.
- 11:48Speaker 1: But on the Wake Forest side, Robbie Ashford is probably
- 11:52Speaker 1: priced exactly where you want him to be. He's cheap
- 11:55Speaker 1: enough that you can play, not too expensive, but not
- 11:57Speaker 1: too cheap that he's going to be super mega shock.
- 12:00Speaker 1: But really, this this offense runs through DeMont Claiborne. He
- 12:03Speaker 1: should get a heavy workload we're looking at. He's not
- 12:08Speaker 1: Ashton genty, but he might get Ashton genty type workload
- 12:11Speaker 1: at Wake. And then you know Carlos and Ands transferred
- 12:14Speaker 1: in from Wazoo Burg alters in from Cincinnati. There's some
- 12:17Speaker 1: names again in this wide receiver room that are cheap,
- 12:20Speaker 1: but really, are we looking at anything beyond Tomnt Claiborne
- 12:24Speaker 1: in this game, even with a thirty four point total,
- 12:26Speaker 1: how you approaching this run?
- 12:28Speaker 2: Yeah, Claiborne, Claiborne's absolute stud, stud as a slate. You know,
- 12:32Speaker 2: he he just is gonna probably touch the ball twenty
- 12:34Speaker 2: and thirty times. They just run everything through him. They
- 12:37Speaker 2: did last year. He was super productive in games that
- 12:38Speaker 2: they were not competitive in. And you know he's he's
- 12:43Speaker 2: a prospect too, you know, he's he's really good. Don't
- 12:46Speaker 2: overlook Ashford though. You know he was very productive in
- 12:49Speaker 2: the SEC with Auburn. He could move. You know, he
- 12:52Speaker 2: wasn't a stable starter, but when he was in there,
- 12:54Speaker 2: he moved the ball, he could run. He's getting an
- 12:57Speaker 2: opportunity here at Wake and you know he he could
- 13:05Speaker 2: be it, you know, one of those guys that really
- 13:07Speaker 2: steps up and helps out. Him and Claiborne could play
- 13:09Speaker 2: off each other, you know, if they really break into
- 13:12Speaker 2: that run game. But yeah, Claiborne is going to be
- 13:16Speaker 2: one of those guys that really has a high floor,
- 13:18Speaker 2: high ceiling type deal. A lot of targets, a lot
- 13:21Speaker 2: of touches. You know, we want touches in a football game.
- 13:25Speaker 2: Claiborne is gonna get them.
- 13:27Speaker 1: Yeah, and even at eighty six hundred, there's there's plenty
- 13:30Speaker 1: of ways that you can fit him into your lineup
- 13:32Speaker 1: on this I think this might be a little bit
- 13:33Speaker 1: tighter pricing than last night, but it's I mean, it's
- 13:37Speaker 1: still very viable to get Claiborne in your lineups. And
- 13:41Speaker 1: like I say, I've said it a lot these first
- 13:43Speaker 1: couple of weeks with some of these Power five schools
- 13:46Speaker 1: that are powerful that may not be the best in
- 13:48Speaker 1: their conference or best in P four. If you're gonna
- 13:52Speaker 1: this is the week to play these guys. When wake
- 13:54Speaker 1: Forest is playing Kansas State. You don't want Wake Forest
- 13:56Speaker 1: up against their conference opponents later in the season. You
- 13:59Speaker 1: want to play these guys now.
- 14:01Speaker 2: Yes, this is where they try to get their wins.
- 14:04Speaker 1: Yeah. And Langley said in the chat that Ashford is
- 14:06Speaker 1: dangerous in the red zone. If they can run an
- 14:08Speaker 1: option with these two guys, it could be lethal, you know,
- 14:11Speaker 1: lethal by wake Forest standards. But that also brings up
- 14:15Speaker 1: a good point here to get your questions in. We're
- 14:18Speaker 1: going game by game, so if you have questions about
- 14:20Speaker 1: a specific game, we're happy to answer him. As we're
- 14:22Speaker 1: going through and also hit that like button. The like
- 14:25Speaker 1: is free for you, and it's great for us. It
- 14:27Speaker 1: allows us to keep providing free content like this. At
- 14:30Speaker 1: Ship a Nation, we always want our content to be free.
- 14:32Speaker 1: It has always been free and will continue to be free.
- 14:35Speaker 1: But that engagement on our videos certainly helps. And we
- 14:39Speaker 1: got Marty in the chat too. He's part of our
- 14:41Speaker 1: Ship a Nation team. Ashford is boom or bust, and
- 14:44Speaker 1: I think that's kind of what I was getting to too,
- 14:46Speaker 1: is he said when he was in he was good.
- 14:48Speaker 1: He just wasn't stable. He's not a consistent player, and
- 14:52Speaker 1: I think that's where his downfall at Auburn was. But
- 14:55Speaker 1: a resurgence. We've seen it in other guys. We could
- 14:57Speaker 1: see it here with Ashford too. Western Michigan at Michigan
- 15:02Speaker 1: State and in State Battle. Not much of a rivalry,
- 15:06Speaker 1: but you know, we'll take what we and get it.
- 15:08Speaker 1: It's a huge spread. Western Michigan's imply team total is
- 15:11Speaker 1: only fourteen points. I can go through these guys in depth,
- 15:15Speaker 1: but really like Brady Jones won the job, but we
- 15:17Speaker 1: could still see Brock Lowry. Jalen Buckley was in a
- 15:20Speaker 1: time share with Jaden Nixon, last year, so now he's
- 15:22Speaker 1: kind of all by himself. I don't know if they'll
- 15:24Speaker 1: run two guys out Cabana as a transfer in from Michigan,
- 15:26Speaker 1: So I don't know these and again it's a wide
- 15:31Speaker 1: receiver room that they're all sub four K can the
- 15:34Speaker 1: quarterback get them the ball? I don't know that you're
- 15:36Speaker 1: going to take a chance on too many of these guys,
- 15:38Speaker 1: at least not heavy in your lineup pool. But then
- 15:42Speaker 1: Michigan State again another team that's not top in their conference.
- 15:46Speaker 1: But this is a spot to play these guys. Aiden
- 15:49Speaker 1: Shiles is I think he's always been like a seven
- 15:52Speaker 1: to seventy five hundred dollars quarterback. Whether he's worth it
- 15:54Speaker 1: or not normally yet to be determined, but I think
- 15:57Speaker 1: this week he probably is. This running back room is
- 16:00Speaker 1: interesting because Elijah Tao Tolliver is a guy I think
- 16:03Speaker 1: you looked into. He's a Sack State transfer. He's been
- 16:05Speaker 1: getting a lot of love out of camp. But really
- 16:08Speaker 1: all three of these top guys could see the field.
- 16:10Speaker 1: I've seen different articles list different three different guys as
- 16:14Speaker 1: the starter. So it's one of those situations where we're
- 16:17Speaker 1: gonna have to wait and see to know exactly what
- 16:19Speaker 1: we're going to find in this backfield, but this is
- 16:22Speaker 1: a spot where all three of them could score a touchdown,
- 16:24Speaker 1: or if you do get the right one, if we
- 16:26Speaker 1: get a hot hand situation, that could set you apart
- 16:28Speaker 1: in GPPs, because I don't think anybody's going to be
- 16:30Speaker 1: playing these guys. And the wide receiver rooms a little
- 16:33Speaker 1: bit more familiar. Nick marsh was a stilled last year.
- 16:35Speaker 1: Mary Kelly was arguably Middle Tennessee's best wide receiver. Christ
- 16:38Speaker 1: Sean McCrae while it was the Mac, he was in
- 16:40Speaker 1: the top tier of the Mac wide receivers. And Jack
- 16:43Speaker 1: Bailing is a solid tight end who's back. So it
- 16:45Speaker 1: looks like another one side of gamey And like, are
- 16:47Speaker 1: you touching Western Michigan at all?
- 16:49Speaker 2: Are we really keeping it to the same You know
- 16:51Speaker 2: most Michigan's quarterback Brady Jones, who came over from Juco,
- 16:55Speaker 2: beat out the backup from last year. Bulckley's way too
- 16:58Speaker 2: high price. These are just guys want to keep in
- 17:00Speaker 2: mind for those match slates later down the road. But
- 17:04Speaker 2: I'm not going to touch As we saw last night,
- 17:06Speaker 2: you know, when the Mac was going against the Big ten,
- 17:08Speaker 2: they were kind of slog games. Yeah, and that doesn't
- 17:13Speaker 2: mean necessarily it's gonna happen tonight, but the matchups are
- 17:15Speaker 2: pretty similar.
- 17:19Speaker 1: But on the.
- 17:19Speaker 2: Michigan State side, there's a couple interesting things. So you
- 17:22Speaker 2: mentioned the running back room to Tolliver's the only guy
- 17:24Speaker 2: that has starting experience with actual carries. Two other guys,
- 17:28Speaker 2: Fraser and Tells, are incumbents there. But there is a
- 17:31Speaker 2: little bit of consistency when it comes to the roster
- 17:33Speaker 2: for Michigan State. It's your year two of Jonathan Smith
- 17:38Speaker 2: being head coach there. Chiles came over with him. He
- 17:40Speaker 2: started last year, is definitely up and down. This is
- 17:42Speaker 2: a big year for improvement for them, but it was
- 17:45Speaker 2: a little consistency. He's a starter for the second year
- 17:48Speaker 2: at Michigan State. Veling came over with him as well.
- 17:51Speaker 2: Again starter. Marsh was the top target last year, and
- 17:55Speaker 2: they brought in a couple good transfers moving up from
- 17:58Speaker 2: a group of five teams to the big ten play
- 18:02Speaker 2: and these guys were productive. McCrae was Ken State's lone
- 18:06Speaker 2: bright spot the last few years at receiver. Mary Kelly
- 18:09Speaker 2: is this guy that has really been blown up and
- 18:13Speaker 2: I'm getting a lot of targets at you know, some
- 18:17Speaker 2: decent prices for a team that's implied to score thirty
- 18:19Speaker 2: five points and you know, with actually some stability in
- 18:23Speaker 2: the passing game with the quarterback.
- 18:25Speaker 1: Yeah, and we talked a little bit earlier about Demon
- 18:28Speaker 1: Claiborne being expensive. This is some great value to help
- 18:31Speaker 1: you get that eighty six hundred for your running back.
- 18:34Speaker 1: And we've mentioned it in the past. We mentioned it
- 18:36Speaker 1: in our discord, we mentioned it in our meetings. Pay
- 18:39Speaker 1: up for running back. When you get a work horse,
- 18:42Speaker 1: it's worth it, and you'll find your value at wide receiver.
- 18:45Speaker 1: There's going to be value at quarterback most of the
- 18:47Speaker 1: time until we see it differently. We're going to continue
- 18:51Speaker 1: to preach that a lot most of the time. If
- 18:53Speaker 1: it running back is expensive for reason, and more often
- 18:56Speaker 1: than not, they're worth it. Oh, this is a fun one.
- 19:00Speaker 1: Auburn at Baylor. We do have potential weather. There's rain
- 19:05Speaker 1: and lightning in the area. And now I don't think
- 19:07Speaker 1: it's gonna last. It's just gonna be in the nineties,
- 19:08Speaker 1: so it'll be hot. Auburn's pretty new toy quarterback Jackson Arnold,
- 19:13Speaker 1: the five star. Oh you recruit now at Auburn, we
- 19:18Speaker 1: have Ta Mario Austin in the running back room. He'll
- 19:21Speaker 1: lead the way there. We might see Jeremiah Cobb a
- 19:24Speaker 1: little bit, but they did run a workhorse style running
- 19:26Speaker 1: back last year. And then Cam Coleman stud freshman last year,
- 19:30Speaker 1: priced exactly where he should be. Stud transfer Eric Singleton
- 19:34Speaker 1: not priced exactly where he should be, but we do
- 19:37Speaker 1: know he's been dealing with some injuries in camp and
- 19:39Speaker 1: may not be one hundred percent for this game. He's
- 19:40Speaker 1: gonna play. It's just a matter of how much we
- 19:43Speaker 1: get of him. And then Malcolm Simmons had some off
- 19:45Speaker 1: the field issues, but he's been cleared. Horatio Fields is
- 19:48Speaker 1: in from Wake, so there's there's definitely some names and
- 19:51Speaker 1: some mispricing in this wide receiver room. And then on
- 19:54Speaker 1: the Baylor side, we know this team can put up points.
- 19:56Speaker 1: I like them a lot more being at home in
- 19:58Speaker 1: this game. Robertson is probably worth every penny at nine
- 20:02Speaker 1: K most of the time. Same with Bryce in Washington.
- 20:05Speaker 1: It's just a matter of if this is the game
- 20:07Speaker 1: environment for him. With twenty eight and a half point
- 20:09Speaker 1: team total, I think you still want to look at
- 20:12Speaker 1: these guys and the Baylor wide receiver room is maybe
- 20:15Speaker 1: the most frustrating room in college football. I'lside. I mean,
- 20:18Speaker 1: I take that back. Notre Dame is really frustrating too,
- 20:20Speaker 1: But Baylor's frustrating not because they don't produce. It's because
- 20:24Speaker 1: you just it could be any one of these guys
- 20:26Speaker 1: on any given day. Last year, Monterey Baldwin was like
- 20:31Speaker 1: a top talent that would either get twenty or get zero.
- 20:34Speaker 1: But Josh Cameron will leave this room. Trigg is a
- 20:36Speaker 1: great tight end. Cole Wilson's in from Texas State. Ashton
- 20:39Speaker 1: Hawkins saw some flashes and spikes last year. Kobe Prentiss
- 20:42Speaker 1: is here from Alabama, so you know he's a top
- 20:44Speaker 1: tier talent and I'd have to look back he may
- 20:47Speaker 1: have played Auburn in the past. So a lot of
- 20:50Speaker 1: points to go around here and a lot of talent
- 20:54Speaker 1: and some mispricing. This seems like a game that we
- 20:56Speaker 1: want to target.
- 20:57Speaker 2: Yeah, tight spread, It should be back and forth through
- 21:00Speaker 2: top tier teams. Pricing is high. Is going to get
- 21:03Speaker 2: the eyes of a lot of people just because it's
- 21:06Speaker 2: the marquee game of the night and it's it should
- 21:09Speaker 2: be a great game. A couple of question marks we
- 21:10Speaker 2: have on the Auburn signed number one quarterback Hugh Freeze
- 21:13Speaker 2: has come out and said three quarterbacks are gonna play.
- 21:19Speaker 2: It's hard not to believe him, especially in the week one. Now,
- 21:21Speaker 2: how much are they going to play? That's one thing
- 21:23Speaker 2: Jackson Arnold did. He like run away with a job.
- 21:26Speaker 2: You know, he's probably gonna play the most. They brought
- 21:28Speaker 2: in a five. They brought in a shiny new recruit
- 21:30Speaker 2: that they want to keep happy. Ashton Daniels came over
- 21:32Speaker 2: from Stanford. He's a really good runner. I do anticipate
- 21:35Speaker 2: he will get some running action because he could just
- 21:40Speaker 2: basically double as a running back. You know, you might
- 21:41Speaker 2: see some double quarterback lineups on there with Daniels and
- 21:44Speaker 2: Arnold on the field. At the same time. They spelled
- 21:47Speaker 2: Austin a little bit. You know, cam Coleman is a
- 21:55Speaker 2: stud I mean, he's a future NFL. You know that
- 21:58Speaker 2: that he's a sophomore, but that that receiver class from
- 22:01Speaker 2: last year is amazing. Yeah, Tim Coleman right there with
- 22:05Speaker 2: Ryan Williams and Jeremiah Smith, So you know, he's a
- 22:07Speaker 2: great player. Singleton's a big question mark. Big question mark
- 22:11Speaker 2: for Singleton because two days ago he wasn't sure if
- 22:14Speaker 2: he was going to play. He's banged up in camp today.
- 22:16Speaker 2: Yesterday they said he will play. He's not one hundred percent.
- 22:19Speaker 2: We don't know how much has that many plays, A
- 22:22Speaker 2: couple of players that have a couple designs for him,
- 22:24Speaker 2: we don't know. At three point six, he's got some massive,
- 22:28Speaker 2: massive upside. They brought him in for a reason. He
- 22:30Speaker 2: was a great player at Georgia Tech. At three point six,
- 22:34Speaker 2: it's a lot of value. Is that worth it in
- 22:36Speaker 2: one of your single entries cash kind of lineups? That's
- 22:38Speaker 2: not for you to decide.
- 22:39Speaker 1: I don't know.
- 22:40Speaker 2: It's a big question mark. It's a high risk Kyrie
- 22:43Speaker 2: Ward type of play. Does it open up for maybe
- 22:46Speaker 2: Horatio Fields if he doesn't? Baylor side just priced up.
- 22:51Speaker 2: You know, these guys are so undervalued when they got
- 22:53Speaker 2: it going last year. Robinson was in the sixth case,
- 22:56Speaker 2: Washington was in the seven case. They're priced right at
- 22:59Speaker 2: nine k right here. It just makes it tough to
- 23:01Speaker 2: build it with everybody, which means we've got to try
- 23:04Speaker 2: to go find value elsewhere. Washington is a workhorse running back.
- 23:06Speaker 2: We talk about that.
- 23:07Speaker 1: Sorry.
- 23:07Speaker 2: Robinson is a stud quarterback. He's one of the best
- 23:10Speaker 2: quarterbacks really in the country. It's definitely definitely in the conference.
- 23:14Speaker 2: So it's it's unique situation here with pricing. It's a
- 23:17Speaker 2: priced up game. It's the marquee game. You got to
- 23:20Speaker 2: make some decisions and you can't play them all the
- 23:25Speaker 2: other receiver room. Cameron was was really good last year,
- 23:27Speaker 2: but he's also holds priced in the three k's last year,
- 23:30Speaker 2: so it was a lot easier to play them. Six
- 23:32Speaker 2: point two is probably a fair price. But you know,
- 23:35Speaker 2: if you're trying to stack this game makes a little harder.
- 23:37Speaker 2: You got to make some decisions on it. You know,
- 23:39Speaker 2: Triggs always that touchdown, that tight end touchdown guy that
- 23:42Speaker 2: you love.
- 23:43Speaker 1: Guh. I was gonna say, it looks like a prime
- 23:44Speaker 1: spot to play a tight end in this game. And
- 23:47Speaker 1: Marty mentioned in the SAT that Auburn is going to
- 23:49Speaker 1: use three play callers today. I'm sure that won't get confusing.
- 23:51Speaker 1: I wonder if they have one play collar per quarterback.
- 23:54Speaker 2: Right, Hugh Freeze is on the definitely very very hot seats.
- 23:57Speaker 2: So a lot of these changes, a lot of these
- 23:58Speaker 2: marque changes they brought in, are you know they're going
- 24:01Speaker 2: to try to show it up. It's a big game
- 24:03Speaker 2: Week one. You know, a lot to see, but tough
- 24:09Speaker 2: game to stack, fun game to watch and play. Good
- 24:13Speaker 2: pricing is that it just makes the pricing so much
- 24:15Speaker 2: tighter for all the other games. But if you if
- 24:18Speaker 2: you look at it, if you look at the implied
- 24:21Speaker 2: team totals, Auburn has a thirty point team total implied.
- 24:26Speaker 2: Baylor's are twenty eight and a half point team total implied.
- 24:28Speaker 2: If you go up to Michigan State, they're implied team
- 24:30Speaker 2: total based on the spreads and the totals is thirty five.
- 24:34Speaker 2: So sometimes numbers might tell you a different story, even
- 24:36Speaker 2: though better players, better game. Maybe look at the numbers
- 24:41Speaker 2: a little bit there to tell you kind of you know,
- 24:43Speaker 2: where the math is pointing you to in that situation.
- 24:48Speaker 1: Yeah, And we're not telling you to play or not
- 24:50Speaker 1: play these guys. You just we want to make sure
- 24:52Speaker 1: that you have the good process in place and that
- 24:54Speaker 1: you're taking in all of the information, just not some
- 24:57Speaker 1: of the information. Names and pricing and tail is part
- 25:00Speaker 1: of the equation. Look at the game environment. I look
- 25:03Speaker 1: at the weather. We don't have I don't think we
- 25:05Speaker 1: have really any weather issues here except maybe guys cramping
- 25:08Speaker 1: up in the in the Texas games because it's so hot.
- 25:10Speaker 1: But they've been practicing in that heat too, so it
- 25:12Speaker 1: shouldn't be a huge deal. But take every factor into
- 25:15Speaker 1: consideration when you're building your lineups and get that process nailed.
- 25:19Speaker 1: In another game, the implied team totals aren't as high
- 25:23Speaker 1: as the last game, but just it looks to be
- 25:26Speaker 1: just as competitive, and we know Colorado can put up points.
- 25:28Speaker 1: It's just a matter of if they can with this
- 25:31Speaker 1: new look offense. On the Georgia tech side, Haines King
- 25:33Speaker 1: is the name we all know, another one of those
- 25:35Speaker 1: quarterbacks who is dual threat, one of the best quarterbacks,
- 25:38Speaker 1: especially for DFS ninety eight hundred, is going to be tough.
- 25:41Speaker 1: You'll have to figure out your way to them. Same
- 25:43Speaker 1: with Jamal Haynes, a workhorse running back. You know, honestly,
- 25:48Speaker 1: King and Haines snipe from each other from time to time.
- 25:51Speaker 1: I honestly, I play King and it's Haynes. I play
- 25:52Speaker 1: Hanes and it's King, and they're good before and after
- 25:56Speaker 1: cluf from Wheel of Fortune, Jamal Haines King, it's kind
- 25:58Speaker 1: of fun. But the other thing is they brought in
- 26:00Speaker 1: Malachi Hoseley. He's a transfer from Penn who rushed for
- 26:04Speaker 1: twelve hundred yards at the FCS level last year. So
- 26:06Speaker 1: he's going to be in and hungry, and they've been
- 26:08Speaker 1: talking about him out a camp two. In the wide
- 26:11Speaker 1: receiver room, Lak Rutherford is back. The aforementioned Singleton is gone,
- 26:14Speaker 1: so he should be the alpha. But Eric Rivers was
- 26:18Speaker 1: the best wide receiver at Florida International last year and
- 26:22Speaker 1: he came over. Dean Patterson came over with him. Isaiah
- 26:26Speaker 1: Canyon is six or four, big body, jump ball guy.
- 26:30Speaker 1: He's listed as a starter, but I would not be
- 26:32Speaker 1: surprised if he plays, you know, second fiddle to those
- 26:36Speaker 1: other three guys. But they I mean he's he's up
- 26:39Speaker 1: and coming. He was a tight end or no, I'm
- 26:44Speaker 1: misreading my nose. See here it is week one, head
- 26:46Speaker 1: spinning cross side. I'm just gonna say their tight end
- 26:49Speaker 1: is a four person rotation. So I don't know that
- 26:51Speaker 1: you were looking at the tight end. You're probably looking
- 26:53Speaker 1: more at these wide receivers, especially Canyon at min price
- 26:55Speaker 1: if he's going to play on the Colorado side. Cayden
- 26:59Speaker 1: Salter was in now at the starter dual threat. He
- 27:01Speaker 1: was a stud at Liberty, but I don't know how
- 27:04Speaker 1: that's going to translate. Georgia Tech is probably the best
- 27:07Speaker 1: team he's faced since the Bowl Game a couple of
- 27:09Speaker 1: years ago against Oregon in which he played pretty poorly.
- 27:12Speaker 1: Will we see Juju lewis the pretty little five star recruit. Potentially,
- 27:17Speaker 1: maybe not this game because this is a pretty tough
- 27:20Speaker 1: matchup to throw him out there. In In the running
- 27:22Speaker 1: back room, Dalen Hayden is banged up and expected to
- 27:25Speaker 1: miss this week, so we're gonna see Michael Welch, who
- 27:28Speaker 1: is also on some preseason watch lists. We have Simeon Price,
- 27:32Speaker 1: but they've been talking a lot about to Kaylin Taylor.
- 27:34Speaker 1: They think he's going to mix in as the as
- 27:36Speaker 1: the number two running back behind Welch, or technically number
- 27:39Speaker 1: three when Hayden comes back. And then the interesting thing
- 27:43Speaker 1: to me is in the wide receiver room. So far,
- 27:46Speaker 1: I've seen ownership kind of spread out in the wide
- 27:48Speaker 1: receivers and Draylon Miller is kind of tracking to be
- 27:53Speaker 1: a little bit lower own than a Marion and it
- 27:55Speaker 1: might just be a pricing thing, but news out of
- 27:58Speaker 1: camp is that Dreyleen's been taking reps running back and
- 28:00Speaker 1: he could be in the mix in that running back rotation.
- 28:04Speaker 1: So if he's going to be playing wide receiver and
- 28:06Speaker 1: running back, it just increases his like if he's going
- 28:09Speaker 1: to get you know, fifteen to eighteen touches instead of
- 28:14Speaker 1: eight target opportunities. That's something we want to look at.
- 28:17Speaker 1: Sincere Brown's been getting a lot of hype out of camp,
- 28:19Speaker 1: He's chief. Joseph Williams had some monster games at Tulsa
- 28:22Speaker 1: last year. High King Williams. He'll probably get used in
- 28:26Speaker 1: certain situations, but again a little bit lower total. But
- 28:30Speaker 1: with pricing and potential, there's a lot to love with
- 28:33Speaker 1: this game.
- 28:37Speaker 2: Yeah, it's another one of those marquee games. We recognize
- 28:40Speaker 2: some of the names, especially the Georgia tech side. James
- 28:43Speaker 2: King is priced up at nine to eight. I mean,
- 28:45Speaker 2: is he lithd It's probably the best quarterback play. I mean,
- 28:49Speaker 2: he's got such a high upside with his throwing and
- 28:52Speaker 2: running potential. It's a tight pricing game like this. He's
- 28:56Speaker 2: priced up. That's a pretty steep price. You'll see the
- 29:00Speaker 2: Saturday slate's a little different, but today these quarterbacks are
- 29:03Speaker 2: priced up. Haines has always been to me underpriced. He
- 29:07Speaker 2: touches the ball twenty times he catches the ball, but
- 29:09Speaker 2: he's always in that seven gay range. It makes him
- 29:12Speaker 2: playable as work course running back. Rutherford five to six
- 29:16Speaker 2: is probably under priced. We know that's the chemistry there.
- 29:19Speaker 2: Rivers was a really big, really big like he had
- 29:22Speaker 2: offers from all the schools. But we don't know, we
- 29:27Speaker 2: don't know what, we don't know yet, but we do
- 29:28Speaker 2: know that Rutherford as at and he's there. You know,
- 29:31Speaker 2: maybe there's a little com comfort in that, but Rivers
- 29:35Speaker 2: probably has a little higher ceiling just with his exposive place.
- 29:38Speaker 2: Colorado a sudden you mentioned it a lot of question marks.
- 29:41Speaker 2: I mean, they such an overhaul of their whole offense.
- 29:46Speaker 2: Salter was so good at Liberty really two years ago
- 29:49Speaker 2: is when he really shined. But he's got that experience.
- 29:52Speaker 2: He's not going to shy away from anything here. But yeah,
- 29:56Speaker 2: we've had some guessing games with the receiver rooms over
- 29:59Speaker 2: the years. At least now their price in the four cases,
- 30:02Speaker 2: most of the seven, six and seven case as they
- 30:04Speaker 2: were before. But yeah, I know you covered everything with
- 30:09Speaker 2: Draylon Miller, Omar and Miller. You know, maybe Dreyllen can
- 30:12Speaker 2: get it. It has happened a lot that receivers on
- 30:19Speaker 2: the slate do get a lot of carries. It's happened
- 30:21Speaker 2: a lot in the past year or so.
- 30:25Speaker 1: Yeah, And I seem like, as I know, we have
- 30:27Speaker 1: Georgia on the slate tomorrow. Dylan Bell is the same
- 30:31Speaker 1: way there. He's a name that pops up when you
- 30:32Speaker 1: think about receivers carrying the ball, and then we also
- 30:36Speaker 1: have defensive players carrying the ball and catching passes see
- 30:39Speaker 1: Koy Perish, Like, there's so many more guys moving around
- 30:41Speaker 1: to different positions now that we didn't necessarily see five
- 30:45Speaker 1: ten years ago. And maybe it happened here and there,
- 30:48Speaker 1: but it is a lot more common now. And Miller himself,
- 30:52Speaker 1: I think, said in an interview that he had to
- 30:55Speaker 1: get his body right to take hits going up the middle,
- 30:57Speaker 1: play and running back, So that was part of his
- 31:00Speaker 1: training for the last month, basically knowing that this was
- 31:03Speaker 1: an opportunity for him. So again, this is one of
- 31:06Speaker 1: those game stacks where if we are going to see
- 31:08Speaker 1: tempered ownership a little bit, this is when you might
- 31:11Speaker 1: want to take a shot on because if both of
- 31:12Speaker 1: these teams hit their ceiling, this game could be the
- 31:16Speaker 1: one that breaks the slate. If ownership isn't going to
- 31:18Speaker 1: go there.
- 31:20Speaker 2: Yeah, elevations, elevation for Tech. Yeah, it's a thing. It's
- 31:26Speaker 2: it's not something that we often see, you know, one
- 31:28Speaker 2: of those Southeast schools going on to elevation. But I
- 31:32Speaker 2: think the game is changed a little bit as we
- 31:33Speaker 2: get the technology for these colleges. There's so much money
- 31:38Speaker 2: in these things, especially going into like a week one game,
- 31:43Speaker 2: there's a lot of preparation that could be done. Is
- 31:45Speaker 2: it a concern. Maybe not. Maybe at the end of
- 31:46Speaker 2: the game you might see them break down a little bit.
- 31:48Speaker 2: But these guys travel so much, they're from all over
- 31:50Speaker 2: the place. It's something to kind in the back of
- 31:53Speaker 2: your mind. Maybe if you're if you're trying to get
- 31:55Speaker 2: a play on the game, maybe a live player or something.
- 31:58Speaker 2: But as far as playing, it's not hesitate me from
- 32:00Speaker 2: playing anybody on Tech.
- 32:02Speaker 1: No. And like you said, so much has changed. The
- 32:04Speaker 1: dieting is better. They have professionals come in to prepare
- 32:07Speaker 1: meo plans for these kids so that their bodies get right.
- 32:10Speaker 1: They have oxygen masks on the sideline. They have all
- 32:13Speaker 1: the supplements and the stretching routines and the yoga and
- 32:16Speaker 1: they cater their workouts to make sure bodies are in
- 32:18Speaker 1: prime position, so I don't look at it any different
- 32:21Speaker 1: than any other game. And also welcome hey, better late
- 32:25Speaker 1: than never, and he knows what's up. Steven knows what's up.
- 32:28Speaker 1: Got in late. But there should be more likes. I agree.
- 32:31Speaker 1: I agree, hit that like button because you are gonna
- 32:34Speaker 1: like this next game UNLV at sam Houston State. Not
- 32:37Speaker 1: only do we have a massive game total and implied
- 32:41Speaker 1: team totals, these are two teams that we've seen already.
- 32:44Speaker 1: They both played in Week zero, so we have a
- 32:47Speaker 1: little bit of data to go off of. Anthony Calandria,
- 32:49Speaker 1: dubbed by the Cover three podcast is the Whoopsie Daisy King,
- 32:52Speaker 1: which is one of my favorite nicknames in college football
- 32:55Speaker 1: because he can make something out of nothing. And there
- 32:57Speaker 1: were a lot of Whoopsie Daisy's out of Virginia. But
- 33:01Speaker 1: he didn't have a good game against an SCS school
- 33:03Speaker 1: last year last week, and he still ran for one
- 33:05Speaker 1: hundred and seventeen yards. Alex Orgie will mix in, but
- 33:09Speaker 1: I don't think it's going to be enough to hurt Calandria,
- 33:11Speaker 1: especially at seventy seven hundred. Jayden Thomas as their leading rusher,
- 33:15Speaker 1: he comes back from last year. He got plenty done
- 33:18Speaker 1: on the ground last year. But Jalen Glover's in from Utah.
- 33:20Speaker 1: He's only thirty three hundred and both guys can catch passes,
- 33:23Speaker 1: So it really is just from that perspective, is going
- 33:27Speaker 1: to come down to how much do you value these
- 33:29Speaker 1: guys even though it's a high octane offense. They'll share
- 33:32Speaker 1: the backfield and the price is vastly different on the two.
- 33:35Speaker 1: And then for U and LV, we got Jayden Bradley
- 33:37Speaker 1: who had a monster game as far as targets and
- 33:41Speaker 1: production is concerned. He just didn't find the end zone.
- 33:44Speaker 1: So he had one hundred and seven more yards than
- 33:47Speaker 1: the next closest pass catcher. I know he had a big,
- 33:49Speaker 1: like forty five to fifty yard catch that helped supplement that,
- 33:52Speaker 1: but a yard is a yard in terms of DFS.
- 33:54Speaker 1: It doesn't matter if it's in big plays or little chunks.
- 33:58Speaker 1: Troyomier is still he's a as you transfer who we
- 34:00Speaker 1: love during the College Football Playoff last year, DiAngelo Irvin
- 34:05Speaker 1: uh could see some time he's a pitch pit transfer.
- 34:08Speaker 1: DATAE Reynolds is gonna be on the field and he's
- 34:11Speaker 1: been price Jojo Earl's in from TCU. Oh and in
- 34:13Speaker 1: case you guys didn't know, UNLV is maybe the most
- 34:17Speaker 1: different team from last year to this year. New coaching staff,
- 34:20Speaker 1: completely overhauled roster, and that could be part of the
- 34:23Speaker 1: reason they look terrible against Idaho State. It was their
- 34:26Speaker 1: first game as a team, first game under the new
- 34:28Speaker 1: coaching staff, first game with a lot of their teammates.
- 34:32Speaker 1: So that's that's just something to keep in mind. Uh,
- 34:34Speaker 1: they will they should play better today and then on
- 34:37Speaker 1: the Sam Houston State side also should play better today. Uh.
- 34:41Speaker 1: Hunter Watson wasn't terrible, but still clearly more comfortable on
- 34:45Speaker 1: the ground than he is through the air. Alton mccaskell
- 34:47Speaker 1: actually had a better game than Elijah Green, and I
- 34:50Speaker 1: know you'll dig into mccaskell what you saw of him
- 34:52Speaker 1: on the field to ian what you noticed throughout the game. Uh,
- 34:55Speaker 1: Porter and Brown could still see the field. One thing
- 34:58Speaker 1: I want to touch on is Michael Phoenix had a
- 35:00Speaker 1: lot of hype coming out of camp and going into
- 35:03Speaker 1: last week and he did not play a single snap.
- 35:06Speaker 1: Phil Longo said this week that we should see more
- 35:09Speaker 1: of him, and he's actually he is on the two
- 35:11Speaker 1: deep and you know we'll probably see more. Just for
- 35:13Speaker 1: the fact that Grady O'Neil took a nasty hit last
- 35:16Speaker 1: week and I saw that his helmet was dented after
- 35:18Speaker 1: he took that hit. And I know they said he's
- 35:20Speaker 1: making progress, but I can't imagine, like, even if you're
- 35:23Speaker 1: just the optics should keep him off the field for
- 35:26Speaker 1: this game. And then Avion Smith Mack played well last week.
- 35:30Speaker 1: It seemed like Watson likes him. Quavez Humphries has always
- 35:34Speaker 1: been inconsistent and we saw that inconsistency continue. And then
- 35:37Speaker 1: the last thing I'll mention is that Derek Bledsoe is
- 35:40Speaker 1: listed as a starter this week and he's been priced.
- 35:42Speaker 1: So there's a lot to love in this game and
- 35:45Speaker 1: a lot to break down with this game, just because
- 35:47Speaker 1: we have real data. I know it's only one game,
- 35:49Speaker 1: but we've been doing this a long time, and the
- 35:52Speaker 1: eye test means a lot.
- 35:55Speaker 2: Yeah. No, there's there's no doubt about that. The eye
- 35:57Speaker 2: test is a big thing, especially when you got new
- 35:59Speaker 2: coaching staffs in both places, just getting a sense for
- 36:02Speaker 2: where they're feeling. Clearly, you know, v they're trying to
- 36:04Speaker 2: figure out who's gonna be the quarterback that that dan
- 36:08Speaker 2: An preferred brought into guys from Power five from Power
- 36:11Speaker 2: four conferences. Kalandra is a guy that we've seen kind
- 36:14Speaker 2: of carry a DFS offense at Virginia. They put us
- 36:19Speaker 2: some points and he was clearly the better option last
- 36:23Speaker 2: week for them as they kind of struggled to get
- 36:25Speaker 2: that win. But we wanted to see, you know, kind
- 36:29Speaker 2: of the week to week and you start seeing the
- 36:31Speaker 2: the game was on the line, who was getting the touches,
- 36:35Speaker 2: you know, in the nitty gritty in the second half,
- 36:36Speaker 2: when they're trying to get the win, who's getting who's
- 36:39Speaker 2: getting the touches? And I was Calandria is at quarterback,
- 36:43Speaker 2: Bradley at receiver as well. And there's a guy that's
- 36:47Speaker 2: carried really good receivers at Virginia for DFS purposes League
- 36:51Speaker 2: Washington couple years ago, Malacot Fields. So those are guys
- 36:55Speaker 2: that have really produced. So he's been there, done that.
- 36:58Speaker 2: You know he's and if he goes at seven to seven,
- 37:01Speaker 2: he's got a really really high ceiling, really high ceiling
- 37:04Speaker 2: there with a thirty five and a half point team
- 37:06Speaker 2: total implied. On the other side, you know, Watson's also
- 37:09Speaker 2: a guy that we weren't sure if he was going
- 37:10Speaker 2: to play the whole game with the new coaching staff.
- 37:12Speaker 2: But he did, you know, he did. He had his running,
- 37:17Speaker 2: he had his moments. You know, we expected that, but
- 37:20Speaker 2: he kept him competitive. Expected to build off that too.
- 37:24Speaker 2: But the running back position, you know, we didn't really
- 37:26Speaker 2: have a sense of where there were. Green had a
- 37:28Speaker 2: lot of targets. I think he had like six or
- 37:29Speaker 2: seven catches. But mccaskell was the talent guy that we mentioned, right,
- 37:34Speaker 2: you know, he had he was a big time recruit,
- 37:37Speaker 2: had a really good year early on in his career,
- 37:40Speaker 2: came down. You really started to see him pick it
- 37:43Speaker 2: up in the second half. He looked like himself. He
- 37:45Speaker 2: looked healthy, he was gaining your yards, he was he
- 37:51Speaker 2: was kind of carrying the running room of that when
- 37:53Speaker 2: they're in the game trying to press for a win.
- 37:56Speaker 2: And that really stands out to me is that when
- 37:59Speaker 2: push came to shove, when they were kind of going
- 38:01Speaker 2: through the rotations, he was starting to get the carries,
- 38:03Speaker 2: he was starting to get the run, and he started
- 38:04Speaker 2: looking a lot better doing it. We know he's got
- 38:07Speaker 2: the talent. So if you're betting on talent, that's him
- 38:09Speaker 2: in the room. And if he's always getting the touches
- 38:11Speaker 2: with the talent you want to get them when they're underpriced,
- 38:14Speaker 2: and four to nine is definitely underpriced, high upside type
- 38:17Speaker 2: of deal. Does he have a low floor yet? He does.
- 38:19Speaker 2: We don't know exactly what they're thinking, but if you
- 38:22Speaker 2: look back with some data, you know, it seems like
- 38:26Speaker 2: this is the guy that they were righting, that they
- 38:27Speaker 2: were really working off of there. And I kind of
- 38:31Speaker 2: like that spot is a really high leverage play type
- 38:35Speaker 2: play that's could probably be low ownership with a high
- 38:38Speaker 2: with a high ceiling, low floor, high ceiling type play though,
- 38:42Speaker 2: and you mentioned the receiver room. We're kind of trying
- 38:44Speaker 2: to still figure it out. But there's a lot of
- 38:46Speaker 2: pricing there that takes some chances for a game that's
- 38:48Speaker 2: imply into the sixties. A lot of value in this game.
- 38:56Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely, And Metro Broom likes the UNLV side and
- 38:59Speaker 1: for good reason, they're miss priced clan like everybody's too
- 39:03Speaker 1: cheap except maybe Jayden Thomas. The rest of the team
- 39:06Speaker 1: is under price for a thirty five and a half
- 39:08Speaker 1: point team total, and then Marty makes a good point
- 39:12Speaker 1: Smith Max starting in the slot and Phil Longo's offense
- 39:16Speaker 1: gets a lot of work in the slot and that's
- 39:18Speaker 1: I mean, we saw it last week like he stayed
- 39:20Speaker 1: true to for him as far as that's concerned. And
- 39:22Speaker 1: the other thing too, I want to mention with this game,
- 39:24Speaker 1: this is I mean a great, great game stack on paper,
- 39:27Speaker 1: and you look at the wide receiver room, Humphries is
- 39:30Speaker 1: one thousand more or more than the rest of these guys.
- 39:33Speaker 1: So you're like, oh, why wouldn't I just play Smith
- 39:35Speaker 1: Mac or Phoenix or Bledsoe because they're so much cheaper
- 39:38Speaker 1: and Humphreys is inconsistent, But Humphries is inconsistent. I would
- 39:42Speaker 1: not be surprised if he has twenty five points. But
- 39:44Speaker 1: all this said and done, just because of the way
- 39:46Speaker 1: he he'll have spike games. So definitely a game we're
- 39:50Speaker 1: looking to target. I think a lot of people are
- 39:51Speaker 1: on the same page as we are. But like you said,
- 39:54Speaker 1: guys like mccaskell can get you a little bit different
- 39:58Speaker 1: and still play this high total chalkier game. And then
- 40:04Speaker 1: Central Michigan at San Jose State the last game on
- 40:06Speaker 1: the slate kind of a I mean it implied tee
- 40:10Speaker 1: total over thirty for San Jose State, so there's got
- 40:12Speaker 1: to be a little bit of love there, but it's
- 40:14Speaker 1: a Mac team and these Mac games so far this
- 40:17Speaker 1: year have been I mean, what is it? Has it
- 40:20Speaker 1: been just the two either way? Oh there was maybe
- 40:22Speaker 1: another one that was off the slave either way. The
- 40:24Speaker 1: slow and methodical they I mean Big ten games are
- 40:27Speaker 1: always slow and methodical. But we could see some fireworks
- 40:29Speaker 1: with San Jose here Central Michigan. I don't know how
- 40:32Speaker 1: much we care about these guys, but Labis is back
- 40:35Speaker 1: as a starter. He got hurt last year and he
- 40:37Speaker 1: was okay. Trey Cornish is a transfer from Tulane. He
- 40:40Speaker 1: didn't do much, but that's because he was behind Mackay
- 40:42Speaker 1: Hughes big and saw some action last year after converting
- 40:46Speaker 1: from d back in the wide receiver room. Tyson Davis
- 40:51Speaker 1: missed all of last year with an injury. Langston Lewis
- 40:54Speaker 1: missed last year with an injury and red shirted. These
- 40:57Speaker 1: are guys that have potential but haven't seen the field.
- 41:00Speaker 1: So I don't know that a three time zone difference
- 41:04Speaker 1: road game against a better team is where you want
- 41:08Speaker 1: to target them for DFS. But on the San Jose
- 41:11Speaker 1: State side, Walter Eget is back. He was solid last year.
- 41:15Speaker 1: He didn't start as a starter, but he did really
- 41:17Speaker 1: well in the back half of the season. Floyd Chock
- 41:21Speaker 1: is one of the fun most fun names I think
- 41:24Speaker 1: in college football dfs because no matter how how old
- 41:28Speaker 1: he is, you're playing Chock. And then another Sack State transfer,
- 41:32Speaker 1: Danny Scauderro has real potential to be wide receiver one.
- 41:36Speaker 1: They've been loving him out of camp. Leland Smith is
- 41:38Speaker 1: in from Ford Perdue, Malachi Riley's in from Arizona. So
- 41:42Speaker 1: we're getting some some top tier talent transfers in this
- 41:45Speaker 1: wide receiver room. Will they produce as much as Nick
- 41:48Speaker 1: Nash did last year?
- 41:49Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 41:49Speaker 1: Maybe Scadero will be this year's Nick Nash. If you
- 41:51Speaker 1: think so, play him at sixty five hundred before he's
- 41:54Speaker 1: nine k. And then San Jose State did have some
- 41:58Speaker 1: production from the tight end room. They had two tight
- 42:00Speaker 1: ends that that got production. So Jackson Cannon should be
- 42:03Speaker 1: solidified as tight end one. But Grant Norberg is six seven,
- 42:06Speaker 1: so we have to make sure that that is taking
- 42:09Speaker 1: too account once we get into the red zone. And
- 42:12Speaker 1: if you don't know what this is, my kids tought me.
- 42:14Speaker 1: I just did that for them. I'll enjoy I'll enjoy
- 42:16Speaker 1: that on the playback. What are we looking at in
- 42:19Speaker 1: this game?
- 42:20Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not gonna talk too much about the central
- 42:21Speaker 2: missions side. I kind of a weird travel spot. You know,
- 42:23Speaker 2: most of these Max school has been playing Big ten schools.
- 42:25Speaker 2: Kind of makes sense. But they're flying out to San Jose.
- 42:28Speaker 2: San Jose is a pretty unique concept up in northern California.
- 42:32Speaker 2: They got a pretty decent home field advantage there, but
- 42:35Speaker 2: San Jose's state side. You know, Team Team Toto implied
- 42:38Speaker 2: over thirty. What's interesting about them is they have some
- 42:41Speaker 2: consistency there. You know, last year they had a new coach,
- 42:43Speaker 2: Coach Ken, from old coach from Navy for years. I
- 42:45Speaker 2: don't want to mispronounce his last name, disrespect him or anything,
- 42:48Speaker 2: so call him coach Ken, but he was a Navy
- 42:51Speaker 2: coach for a long time. He's definitely not running the
- 42:54Speaker 2: triple option here though, but there's there's some ability in it,
- 42:58Speaker 2: right you get took over last year he really produced.
- 43:01Speaker 2: He was a high ceiling type quarterback on these slates
- 43:03Speaker 2: and he's there for what Chalk was would play a
- 43:06Speaker 2: lot of times last year. Yet receiver room is a
- 43:08Speaker 2: big question mark because they lose Nicknash, who was just
- 43:11Speaker 2: an absolute college football just absolute stud So who replaces
- 43:15Speaker 2: that that That's a lot of catchers, that's a lot
- 43:17Speaker 2: of yards to replace. Who replaces it, we don't know.
- 43:21Speaker 2: You to think about them as a pretty high price
- 43:23Speaker 2: compared to the rest of the slate at receiver, so
- 43:25Speaker 2: you're paying up to find out. But you know there
- 43:29Speaker 2: is a lot of ceiling involved with that. Again, team
- 43:31Speaker 2: total pretty high, you know, two touchdown favorite. It's something
- 43:36Speaker 2: that if you're playing GPPs, if you're playing a lot
- 43:39Speaker 2: of lineups, you maybe look at the San Jose A
- 43:41Speaker 2: State staff. They might get overlooked because the name isn't there,
- 43:44Speaker 2: it's the last game on the slate. But Eagle does
- 43:47Speaker 2: have a high ceiling at quarterback. He proved it last year.
- 43:51Speaker 2: And there's stability and that offense stability in that team.
- 43:54Speaker 2: And that's something that I like to look at, especially
- 43:56Speaker 2: when you come into week one off of a coaching
- 44:00Speaker 2: turn on, which makes it a little bit more not
- 44:02Speaker 2: gonna say totally predictable, but you could at least know
- 44:05Speaker 2: a little bit of what the direction of the program
- 44:08Speaker 2: is doing.
- 44:09Speaker 1: Yeah, and you return a quarterback who through the ball
- 44:12Speaker 1: sixty three percent of the time last year. Mighty makes
- 44:14Speaker 1: a good point in the chat, and it's I don't
- 44:17Speaker 1: know that I necessarily play m naked. I do like
- 44:18Speaker 1: him with a stack if I'm going to play them.
- 44:20Speaker 1: But if we get that sort of run pass percentage
- 44:23Speaker 1: again this year, it doesn't matter. Like these guys being
- 44:26Speaker 1: more expensive will just help make your lineup a little
- 44:29Speaker 1: bit different if people are going to gravitate towards those
- 44:31Speaker 1: cheaper options, and.
- 44:32Speaker 2: There's value, there's value elsewhere. You got to get a
- 44:35Speaker 2: little creative when you're looking for value. There's some high
- 44:38Speaker 2: priced guys, there's some high ceiling guys. There's some tough
- 44:40Speaker 2: decisions that you have to make if you're trying to stack,
- 44:43Speaker 2: if you're trying to find a game stack. If you're
- 44:44Speaker 2: trying to you have to make tough decisions. This is
- 44:46Speaker 2: a fun slate because it's going to be tougher. The
- 44:49Speaker 2: pricing is tight. There's some high there's some high priced
- 44:53Speaker 2: really good plays. But there is value out there. Yeah,
- 44:56Speaker 2: and when you look at the stone, try to find it.
- 45:00Speaker 1: Yeah. And so yeah, like I said, this is this
- 45:02Speaker 1: is the blank version of the stone. I'll show you
- 45:04Speaker 1: the color for one in a minute. But get any
- 45:06Speaker 1: last minute questions you have. Now, Ian, do you have
- 45:08Speaker 1: any final thoughts on the slate? I mean, it's it
- 45:11Speaker 1: seems like it's pretty clear which games on paper we
- 45:13Speaker 1: want to target. But you know, I don't know that
- 45:16Speaker 1: there's a complete crossoff other than maybe Cannesar, maybe Western Michigan.
- 45:22Speaker 1: But again, Week one, there's so many options on the table.
- 45:26Speaker 2: Yeah, there's a lot of value. Well, we've mentioned this
- 45:29Speaker 2: a couple of times. You know, workhorses, truck touches. Try
- 45:33Speaker 2: to find the touches. People who are going to get
- 45:35Speaker 2: the ball in their hands tend to have higher ceilings.
- 45:38Speaker 2: Even though they running backs and the score any touchdowns
- 45:40Speaker 2: last night, they were still got there on it because
- 45:44Speaker 2: they were able touch the ball twenty times twenty thirty
- 45:47Speaker 2: times to either catches or runs and get there through
- 45:49Speaker 2: the bonuses. So look for guys who have those touch
- 45:53Speaker 2: high touch ceilings, high touch floors, and then there's value.
- 45:59Speaker 2: There is value. So I just wanted to try to
- 46:01Speaker 2: do I'm gonna try to find try to try to
- 46:04Speaker 2: find value. There's some decent spots to game stack, even
- 46:08Speaker 2: in the cash lineup, single entry lineup, but it's a
- 46:12Speaker 2: fun slight for me because I think that there's not
- 46:15Speaker 2: an obvious play. There's not like a seventy eighty old player.
- 46:18Speaker 2: There's not like Hollywood smothers. Last night he was going
- 46:20Speaker 2: to get the ownership. It's gonna be spread out and
- 46:23Speaker 2: makes it fun. And there's two really high profile games
- 46:26Speaker 2: that should that should be fun to watch as well.
- 46:29Speaker 1: Yeah. Absolutely, And as I'm looking through the stone, we
- 46:32Speaker 1: have now more than seventy people in here. That's so
- 46:35Speaker 1: awesome for a weekday during during working hours as some
- 46:38Speaker 1: of you on your lunch breaks, some me just procrastinating,
- 46:40Speaker 1: but I love that you're here. Either way, I do
- 46:42Speaker 1: want to to give an ode to the big guy.
- 46:44Speaker 1: I'm gonna share one guy I'm playing because I cannot
- 46:47Speaker 1: stop looking at his name, and it's Draylon Miller. Just
- 46:51Speaker 1: you mentioned how many touches these guys get, uh, And
- 46:55Speaker 1: if everything out of camp is true, he is going
- 46:58Speaker 1: to touch the ball more than anybody on the team
- 47:01Speaker 1: other than the quarterback. And honestly, if we see Juju
- 47:04Speaker 1: lewis maybe even more than both quarterbacks when all of
- 47:06Speaker 1: a sudden done. But I wouldn't be surprised if they
- 47:09Speaker 1: run some sort of wildcat neon Dion coach prime is
- 47:13Speaker 1: nothing would surprise me with him. So so yeah, that's
- 47:17Speaker 1: that's kind of what my thought on the slate is,
- 47:19Speaker 1: and I think it broke it down, broke it down
- 47:21Speaker 1: pretty good. If you are interested in a more colorful stone,
- 47:24Speaker 1: I'll give you a little peak of what the colored
- 47:26Speaker 1: stone looks like. We'll talk about it. We'll show you
- 47:30Speaker 1: what games we think are sneaky, what games we think
- 47:32Speaker 1: our target, what games are obvious blowouts, what game we
- 47:35Speaker 1: call it It says no designation, but we just call
- 47:37Speaker 1: them nothing games. And then throughout the season we'll add
- 47:41Speaker 1: more data. We'll get the team's pacing, past defense grade,
- 47:44Speaker 1: rush defense grade, what the percentage of run passes, and
- 47:47Speaker 1: then targets rushes per game, so you'll know what kind
- 47:50Speaker 1: of touches to expect, their snap percentage, how often they're
- 47:54Speaker 1: on the field. And again that's all part of that
- 47:57Speaker 1: football package, which you can still get the earlier special
- 47:59Speaker 1: for one and forty nine dollars. Uh So, Ian, I
- 48:03Speaker 1: appreciate your time today. Man. It's it's like I told
- 48:06Speaker 1: Kenny yesterday and after recording the Saturday stream.
- 48:09Speaker 2: Everybody's showing me.
- 48:11Speaker 1: Yeah, he's uh.
- 48:14Speaker 2: We uh we gotta go get the money line, Kenny,
- 48:16Speaker 2: gotta go money line.
- 48:17Speaker 1: Yeah, they're they're playing Florida. Yeah yeah. If you're a
- 48:22Speaker 1: true brave, brave heart, would would bet the would bet
- 48:25Speaker 1: the money line?
- 48:25Speaker 2: Yeah? No, a you guys don't know there. Bill is
- 48:29Speaker 2: the hardest working guy in the CSB industry, and it's
- 48:32Speaker 2: so much fun to be able to work with you
- 48:35Speaker 2: call your friend over the last couple of years. You know,
- 48:38Speaker 2: I'm honored to be able to share share a show
- 48:40Speaker 2: with you today. It's been so much fun. We'd love
- 48:42Speaker 2: to get diggning these slates. Tomorrow we get a whole
- 48:45Speaker 2: new one. It's great.
- 48:46Speaker 1: You are far too kind. And just know that it's
- 48:49Speaker 1: a team thing. There's no way I could do this
- 48:51Speaker 1: without the team. Anytime you see me on the screen
- 48:54Speaker 1: by myself, it is because of the support of the
- 48:58Speaker 1: college football team and ship at Nation, you and Hamhock
- 49:01Speaker 1: and Smarty and you know, behind the scenes we still
- 49:04Speaker 1: have the editor and Monday and uh you know, all
- 49:07Speaker 1: the all the guys that ship at Nation that make
- 49:09Speaker 1: this possible. So mega props to them. And as I
- 49:13Speaker 1: said from the beginning of this season, we are going
- 49:15Speaker 1: to keep the big guys rule number one, which is
- 49:17Speaker 1: college football is fun. Never take any day for granted.
- 49:21Speaker 1: Enjoy the process, Enjoy building your lineups, enjoy the sweat.
- 49:25Speaker 1: Just be thankful that we have the opportunity to watch
- 49:27Speaker 1: college football on TV and play college football DFS. So
- 49:32Speaker 1: for myself and Ian here at ship at Nation, let's
- 49:35Speaker 1: all ship one for the big guy.
- 50:00Speaker 2: Okay,