#552: How Bitcoin Could Predict The Next Global Conflict with James Pierog

TFTC: A Bitcoin Podcast · Nov 4, 2024 · 1h 48m

Marty sits down with James Pierog to discuss Bitcoin Prediction Market.

James on Twitter: https://x.com/BillyHongBeats

Bitcoin Prediction Market: https://www.bitcoinprediction.info/

0:00 - Intro

1:38 - Arriving at Bitcoin Prediction Market

12:03 - Comparing to Polymarket and crypto model

16:37 - Unchained & Coinkite

18:31 - Prediction algorithm

21:30 - Predicting and potentially preventing conflicts

30:41 - BOLT12, ecash and DLCs

37:28 - Zaprite and SOTE

39:01 - BPM vs Polymarket UX simplicity

44::36 - Oracle problem and centralization

49:13 - Trust and debt

57:06 - Singapore's…