Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Tuesday, 05/19/26
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Yeah, all systems going clear the left.
- 0:17Speaker 2: M h, what's going on? Everybody?
- 0:42Speaker 3: Welcome to the MLB ten game break Down, ten game slate,
- 0:46Speaker 3: ten game slate Breakdown.
- 0:49Speaker 2: Wow, jumping my words off the top.
- 0:51Speaker 3: Here, you huh yeah, yeah, yeah, not yeah, not until
- 0:55Speaker 3: not not until later. But I was up early on
- 0:58Speaker 3: the golf course by six am off the tee, played
- 1:01Speaker 3: thirty six holes, so we're a little beat.
- 1:03Speaker 2: We got some nice weather here, obviously in the in
- 1:06Speaker 2: the Midwest. I'm sure you're feeling it over there in Detroit.
- 1:08Speaker 3: Finally decent, a little bit cooler today than it has been.
- 1:12Speaker 3: So it was a nice little break, but beautiful weather
- 1:14Speaker 3: for golf early mornings.
- 1:16Speaker 2: You love it out there on the golf course.
- 1:18Speaker 3: And hey, we got ten games, we got coors Field,
- 1:20Speaker 3: we got the two best striker out arms in baseball
- 1:25Speaker 3: that it feels like people want to play, but they
- 1:27Speaker 3: don't really want to play when it comes time to
- 1:29Speaker 3: build lineups because it is hard to quote unquote hard
- 1:33Speaker 3: to fit them, and people look at guys like Sheehan,
- 1:36Speaker 3: guys like Red det Mers, read Nelson Libertore and say, hey,
- 1:42Speaker 3: I can just play these guys and then spend up
- 1:44Speaker 3: and play the Dodgers. I can play coors Field, and
- 1:47Speaker 3: that seems like it's pretty fun, so we'll do our
- 1:49Speaker 3: best to navigate it.
- 1:50Speaker 2: Fun slate.
- 1:51Speaker 3: I had here, gem Risen, I'll bring you in man,
- 1:53Speaker 3: Happy Tuesday. What's going on, brother?
- 1:55Speaker 4: Yeah? Hey, good little sligh here we got on a
- 1:58Speaker 4: Tuesday night kind of you know, like you are n Aids.
- 2:01Speaker 4: I'm about twenty years older than you. But you know,
- 2:04Speaker 4: freaking last couple of days, I've been a couple of
- 2:06Speaker 4: rounds of golf myself, and then I had to I
- 2:09Speaker 4: went to the Tiger game Friday night. I went to
- 2:11Speaker 4: Game seven of the Piston game the other night, which
- 2:14Speaker 4: was a great time, but obviously they sucked. And then
- 2:18Speaker 4: yesterday I walked my ass all around Cedar Point and
- 2:20Speaker 4: did thirty thousand steps and went on some roller coasters. So,
- 2:24Speaker 4: you know, I just feel like I've been in a
- 2:27Speaker 4: fucking fart in a whirlwin here in the last week.
- 2:30Speaker 4: But you know, hey, you gotta live life, have a
- 2:32Speaker 4: little bit of fun. So we got a Tuesday night
- 2:34Speaker 4: baseball slate. I think we're I think you and I
- 2:36Speaker 4: talking beforehand. I think we're we're we're seeing it pretty
- 2:40Speaker 4: close to the same. I mean there's all kinds of options.
- 2:43Speaker 4: I mean, we got a ten game slate with a
- 2:44Speaker 4: course field and no team over five team total, Like
- 2:47Speaker 4: that's kind of Odd'd got too of the best strikeout
- 2:49Speaker 4: pitchers in the game, and people are like trying to
- 2:51Speaker 4: find reasons not to play. So it's like kind of
- 2:54Speaker 4: a weird kind of thought actually, if you think of
- 2:57Speaker 4: it that way. But yeah, it's hey, we're asked our
- 3:00Speaker 4: birthday week. We got to get back to you know,
- 3:02Speaker 4: we can't be celebrating anymore over here at ship it
- 3:05Speaker 4: since you know we got past that. But yeah, I
- 3:07Speaker 4: mean surprising too, just to see it was the one
- 3:09Speaker 4: year anniversary of the Big Guy in the Sky from
- 3:13Speaker 4: from last year, which I know tore us all apart,
- 3:16Speaker 4: but you know, we had to go on their first aids,
- 3:18Speaker 4: I believe, and I know we we had a hard
- 3:20Speaker 4: time with that. It was hard getting through that one.
- 3:23Speaker 4: But yeah, I mean we already missed the Big Guy,
- 3:25Speaker 4: just his you know, just his innovation, everything he did.
- 3:29Speaker 4: I mean, his videos were just top notched. Nobody's even
- 3:31Speaker 4: come close to the damn videos my man did, Like
- 3:34Speaker 4: they were just incredible. So yeah, you know, cheers to
- 3:37Speaker 4: the big guy up in the sky, No Tambo and
- 3:40Speaker 4: the team here got some things in the future coming
- 3:42Speaker 4: down the pike. Would sound like it's gonna be pretty sweet.
- 3:45Speaker 4: But yeah, man, just time flies, man, damn time flies.
- 3:50Speaker 2: Yeah it was. I know.
- 3:52Speaker 3: We were right here right yesterday, a year from yesterday,
- 3:55Speaker 3: right the eighteenth.
- 3:57Speaker 2: Unfortunately we got the news there and he left us.
- 4:01Speaker 3: But hey, he's he's gone, but never forgotten, right, shout
- 4:04Speaker 3: out to him for everything he's done for shipping Nation
- 4:06Speaker 3: and all the tools, including the stone, which obviously we
- 4:09Speaker 3: highlight and we have kept as a leg legacy piece
- 4:12Speaker 3: that he brought over.
- 4:13Speaker 2: So rest in peace to our guy Djen.
- 4:16Speaker 3: But like I said, he's looking over all of us,
- 4:19Speaker 3: looking over all of our lineups and yelling at all
- 4:21Speaker 3: those new guys in the back right asking if they
- 4:24Speaker 3: built their lineups yet.
- 4:25Speaker 2: So hopefully you haven't built your baseball lineups yet.
- 4:28Speaker 3: We got three confirmed lineups of the twenty teams. So
- 4:32Speaker 3: probably a bad idea there you can start messing around
- 4:34Speaker 3: with with with built and stuff, but a good reminder
- 4:37Speaker 3: there to obviously take consume the content, get everything you need,
- 4:41Speaker 3: and then and then.
- 4:42Speaker 2: Take a look at at your lineups. There but we
- 4:45Speaker 2: got Sean.
- 4:45Speaker 3: Selly in here, Ricky Rose, wins a lot, Warren Tyler, Philly, Fantom,
- 4:48Speaker 3: Jake Swales, Deacon r Kide, Kleine, Scooter McGavin, Peter Porker, Philly,
- 4:56Speaker 3: everybody in here hit that like button. Help helps us
- 4:58Speaker 3: out a ton and and got to give a shout
- 5:01Speaker 3: out to my guy, Kenny w Right.
- 5:03Speaker 2: This dude just crushes every sport.
- 5:05Speaker 3: Picked up his third Live final last night, dusted the field,
- 5:09Speaker 3: so he's got three seats out there for for a
- 5:11Speaker 3: part time baseball guy.
- 5:12Speaker 2: That's that's pretty damn good, more than most can say.
- 5:15Speaker 3: Obviously, let alone have one, let alone multiple, so he's
- 5:19Speaker 3: back to donate there. And obviously he plays in the
- 5:24Speaker 3: nosebleed Steaks where you you won't see him unless you're
- 5:26Speaker 3: playing the five K, three K, two K biens. Him
- 5:30Speaker 3: and shaloub Can can battle it out in the discord
- 5:33Speaker 3: there and some of our other higher stakes members there,
- 5:36Speaker 3: So good luck tonight. I know he always tunes in,
- 5:40Speaker 3: supports the baseball here and very sharp minded in his
- 5:43Speaker 3: own rights. But yeah, let's let's jump right in. Gee Rosen,
- 5:47Speaker 3: what you say, we'll go pitching pitching for me headlined
- 5:51Speaker 3: with the two, well, not the two. I'll say Mizowski
- 5:56Speaker 3: and Sis obviously two best arms in honestly eight to
- 6:00Speaker 3: the best strikeout arms, the best strikeout arm in Miserowski,
- 6:04Speaker 3: and then right there will cease as well. So far
- 6:07Speaker 3: this season, their ownership miss is gonna get played at
- 6:11Speaker 3: pably right around thirty percent. But I think that's gonna
- 6:13Speaker 3: be I think that's gonna kind of moon walk back
- 6:15Speaker 3: shout at their guy Djen and his terminology leading up
- 6:18Speaker 3: the lock.
- 6:19Speaker 2: I just because it's.
- 6:20Speaker 3: Hard to build lineups right over all the lineups that
- 6:23Speaker 3: people want to want to play, and then they look
- 6:26Speaker 3: at guys like em Sheehan, Zebbie Matthews, Ranger Suarez, read
- 6:31Speaker 3: det Mers. For sure, when we get below eight k,
- 6:34Speaker 3: it just feels a lot safer right to play those
- 6:38Speaker 3: guys quote unquote safer. I will say, use air quotes
- 6:41Speaker 3: there to build lineups right for me, Mizerowski's far and
- 6:45Speaker 3: away my sp one on the slate.
- 6:47Speaker 2: It's not a great matchup by any means.
- 6:48Speaker 3: There is some wind in Wrigley, but I mean, you
- 6:52Speaker 3: just saw what fricking Brandon Sprot did to this damn
- 6:54Speaker 3: Cubs team yesterday. Brandon Sprot's nowhere near the same same
- 6:58Speaker 3: repertoire is Jacob Mizerowski, and Mizerrewski's to the point where
- 7:01Speaker 3: he's matchup proof, right. I mean, this dude has just
- 7:04Speaker 3: the electric stuff. He's insane. He saw what he did
- 7:07Speaker 3: against the Yankees. The Cubs offense is good, but the
- 7:10Speaker 3: wind isn't like howling. It's like sixty degrees. It's not
- 7:13Speaker 3: like it's eighty or ninety like it is in some
- 7:15Speaker 3: places like it is in the Bronx that we're going
- 7:18Speaker 3: to talk about there. So for me, it's definitely Minzerowski overseas,
- 7:22Speaker 3: even with the extra thousand dollars there.
- 7:25Speaker 2: Cease I think is a great option.
- 7:27Speaker 3: I do like roster construction of kind of pairing those
- 7:30Speaker 3: two guys together and just going in on it. But
- 7:33Speaker 3: if I were to pick on one, I definitely pick
- 7:36Speaker 3: on Cease more than I would pick on Misserowski.
- 7:38Speaker 2: Just with the weather there. It's like ninety five degrees
- 7:41Speaker 2: in the Bronx.
- 7:41Speaker 3: You got wind blown out in Yankee Stadium, and you
- 7:44Speaker 3: got one of the best lineups in baseball against right
- 7:46Speaker 3: hand and pitching. So there's definitely downside to not just
- 7:48Speaker 3: steal and Cease, but also Mizzerrewski. That's kind of why
- 7:51Speaker 3: people and why I expect ownership to kind of moon
- 7:54Speaker 3: walk back leading up to lock there. Will Warren's been
- 7:57Speaker 3: really good. Feels like an expensive price point to pay
- 8:00Speaker 3: for him in a not great strikeout matchup there, And
- 8:03Speaker 3: that's why we see guys like MS Sheehan, who's been
- 8:05Speaker 3: really good eighty five hundred pitching out in San Diego,
- 8:09Speaker 3: really good pitchers ballpark. We've been streaming right handed pitching
- 8:13Speaker 3: against this Padres lineup all season long. She Hands, like
- 8:16Speaker 3: I said, has looked good. So if there was one
- 8:20Speaker 3: guy that I think is a really good play even
- 8:23Speaker 3: getting ownership, I think she hands really interesting. Yeah, there's
- 8:27Speaker 3: some guys that could get to him there, but in
- 8:29Speaker 3: retrospect to the slate eighty five hundred, I won't be
- 8:32Speaker 3: shocked to see him post twenty five DraftKings points in
- 8:36Speaker 3: him being points per dollar wise the best guy in
- 8:38Speaker 3: the slate, so I do like him.
- 8:40Speaker 2: I think Landon Roop's interesting.
- 8:42Speaker 3: I think Zebbie Matthews coming off a really really good
- 8:44Speaker 3: start again another ridy against this Houston Nationals lineup. Zebi
- 8:50Speaker 3: can get wild at time, so I think he could
- 8:52Speaker 3: play both sides there, he's gonna be probably right around
- 8:55Speaker 3: fifteen percent ownership or so.
- 8:56Speaker 2: And then Ranger.
- 8:57Speaker 3: Swarez at a K he's showing a ceiling on the year,
- 9:00Speaker 3: gets this matchup against Kansas City, which I know is
- 9:02Speaker 3: your favorite team in baseball, to talk about good pitching
- 9:06Speaker 3: weather in Kaufman Stadium unlike yesterday, and yesterday we saw
- 9:11Speaker 3: that game scuffle as well, right, So I think he's
- 9:14Speaker 3: really interesting. You got some wind blown in Kaufman Stadium,
- 9:16Speaker 3: temperatures in kind of the upper fifties there, so it
- 9:19Speaker 3: is good pitching weather for him as well. So for
- 9:22Speaker 3: me up top, it's Miserowski number one. Dylan Cease is
- 9:27Speaker 3: a great option. But I'm probably gonna play Dylan Cease
- 9:30Speaker 3: more so paired with Miserowski than I'm gonna.
- 9:32Speaker 2: Play Dylan Cease on his own.
- 9:33Speaker 3: That's just kind of how I'm approaching it, because I
- 9:36Speaker 3: do think the Yankees are really interesting when we talk bats,
- 9:39Speaker 3: with the way the landscape state shakes out.
- 9:41Speaker 2: But I think there's a.
- 9:42Speaker 3: Lot of arms up here, and ideally I'm going to
- 9:44Speaker 3: try and play to these guys and avoid the re
- 9:46Speaker 3: det mers and some of these cheaper guys that everyone
- 9:48Speaker 3: wants to slam into their lineup.
- 9:50Speaker 2: So break down this top tier. I think you can
- 9:52Speaker 2: play a lot of these guys.
- 9:52Speaker 3: The only guys I really don't have are The only
- 9:55Speaker 3: guy I really don't have much interest in is Mitch
- 9:57Speaker 3: Keller there.
- 9:58Speaker 2: But go ahead and break down this top tier.
- 10:01Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean he started at the bottom at AK
- 10:06Speaker 4: with Ranger Suarez against Kansas City. I mean, yeah, he's
- 10:08Speaker 4: a really good you know, he's a real good pitcher
- 10:11Speaker 4: real life. I mean, he hasn't really been getting the
- 10:13Speaker 4: strikeouts in the last few starts. But Nate's what really
- 10:16Speaker 4: worries me about him, as he's left his last two
- 10:19Speaker 4: starts in mid seventy pitches with some kind of an injury.
- 10:22Speaker 4: That does worry me a little bit. Last time it
- 10:24Speaker 4: was fatigue, you know, like, come on, man, I it's
- 10:28Speaker 4: just to me, just something doesn't seem like he maybe
- 10:31Speaker 4: he's a little bit off. So I'm gonna leave Rangers
- 10:35Speaker 4: Suarez alone. I mean, I'd see a reason why if
- 10:38Speaker 4: I felt like he was healthy and he was getting
- 10:39Speaker 4: in the ninety pitches, I think, you know, a Ranger
- 10:42Speaker 4: would be somebody that I would think would be a
- 10:43Speaker 4: great pivot off some of these other guys that like
- 10:46Speaker 4: read Detmers and some of these other guys are gonna
- 10:48Speaker 4: be pretty chalky. Matthews against Houston, I think is interesting.
- 10:54Speaker 4: As you said, he came out had that pretty good
- 10:56Speaker 4: start last time he came out against the Twins team
- 10:58Speaker 4: had five k's, didn't give up any runs, and he
- 11:01Speaker 4: went eighty three pitches, so that wasn't too bad. So
- 11:04Speaker 4: I think Matthews is a guy I definitely believe in
- 11:06Speaker 4: my pool. Don't mind him at all. Mitch Keller, I'm
- 11:10Speaker 4: not really too sure about I. You know, he just
- 11:14Speaker 4: I'm not gonna have him in my pool. I'm just
- 11:16Speaker 4: gonna I don't really like his matchup obviously that the cards.
- 11:19Speaker 4: I think the Kellers just doesn't have it. For me,
- 11:22Speaker 4: to be honest with you, I don't like it. She
- 11:25Speaker 4: hand now against San Diego. As you mentioned, I think
- 11:29Speaker 4: he's going to be fairly fairly chalky today. I think
- 11:34Speaker 4: Detmer's is gonna get a little bit more ownership than him.
- 11:37Speaker 4: I think was she hand for me? You look at
- 11:39Speaker 4: these Padres. I mean, he's got really Lariano at the
- 11:43Speaker 4: bottom of that lineup. Everybody else is pretty much under
- 11:46Speaker 4: twenty percent for a strikeout rate against right handed pitching.
- 11:50Speaker 4: But this Padre offense does not really worry me at all,
- 11:54Speaker 4: you know. I mean, shit, Fernando to At sitting at
- 11:58Speaker 4: the top of their lineup, who probably if anybody and
- 12:00Speaker 4: kind of even remotely new baseball, will tell you he's
- 12:03Speaker 4: their best hitter and Nad's last I checked. I don't
- 12:06Speaker 4: even think that dude's got a home run yet. So,
- 12:08Speaker 4: you know, I think at the bottom of baseball and offense,
- 12:10Speaker 4: all at offense, you know, the strikeouts, you know, really
- 12:15Speaker 4: aren't there. But I just I don't fear the offense.
- 12:18Speaker 4: And with she Hand, you know, I think if he
- 12:21Speaker 4: wasn't getting the ownership, I think i'd feel a little
- 12:23Speaker 4: bit better about him. But I think I feel better
- 12:24Speaker 4: about him than I do. Read debt meers to tell
- 12:26Speaker 4: you the truth. So if you're gonna ask me who
- 12:28Speaker 4: I like better, she Hand or debt meers, I'll definitely
- 12:32Speaker 4: go with with she hand. We'll get the debt mes
- 12:35Speaker 4: in the reason why. I mean, really, debtmers, go look
- 12:38Speaker 4: at his game log. Dudes had like one game it
- 12:40Speaker 4: was like thirty three points. Every other start has been
- 12:42Speaker 4: no more than eighteen points out of nine starts. So
- 12:45Speaker 4: it's like if a bunch of the field and all
- 12:47Speaker 4: the chalk's gonna be on the fucking debt, Mers, I'll
- 12:51Speaker 4: pass on that. What do we bet on one time
- 12:53Speaker 4: he's had a good start and nine starts, I can
- 12:55Speaker 4: find eighteen points somewhere else, Like it shouldn't be. It
- 12:58Speaker 4: shouldn't be that damn harden Ad. So I feel like,
- 13:02Speaker 4: to me, Detmers isn't even in my conversation today to
- 13:04Speaker 4: be truthful with you. So I'll just let him go.
- 13:07Speaker 4: Roupe I think is really the guy like as the
- 13:09Speaker 4: pivot off she hand and all these guys here against Arizona.
- 13:13Speaker 4: I think that one is pretty interesting. I think Roope
- 13:16Speaker 4: is a really good play Warren, you know, I think
- 13:19Speaker 4: just where he's priced up, especially on DK's A thousand
- 13:21Speaker 4: and more, you got Cea sitting above him, and you
- 13:24Speaker 4: got miss I think Warren is a guy that's gonna
- 13:26Speaker 4: get left out here in the shuffle. Warren's been pitching
- 13:29Speaker 4: pretty decent here recent times. He's getting he gets a
- 13:31Speaker 4: Toronto team that does have you know, middle part of
- 13:35Speaker 4: that lineup. Okamoto has been at a thirty two percent
- 13:38Speaker 4: our show twenty five percent. Those are really the only
- 13:41Speaker 4: strikeout guys he has, but he's at thirty two percent
- 13:44Speaker 4: strikeouts so far against right He's almost twenty eight percent
- 13:47Speaker 4: against lefty. So I think there's some there is. I
- 13:52Speaker 4: don't like the ceiling, but I like the floor of Warren.
- 13:56Speaker 4: And then you get to Miz and Cease. You know,
- 13:58Speaker 4: I went back and forth about with these guys in
- 14:01Speaker 4: Nate's I think the siding factor for me now a fando,
- 14:04Speaker 4: I like Miz, but I think on DK with that
- 14:07Speaker 4: thousand difference, I think i'd like Cease a little better.
- 14:10Speaker 4: You just you look at the strikeout percentages we're sitting
- 14:13Speaker 4: here looking at for some of these spankies, and I mean,
- 14:17Speaker 4: you know, you got Judge at almost twenty six percent,
- 14:20Speaker 4: Jazz twenty nine percent, McMahon thirty two, Vope twenty six. Uh,
- 14:25Speaker 4: you know they're gonna try to jam in some lefties
- 14:27Speaker 4: if they get Wells He's at twenty six. I mean,
- 14:30Speaker 4: you're looking at a six percentage point difference between Miz
- 14:35Speaker 4: and the Cubs. At a nineteen percent strikeout rate against
- 14:37Speaker 4: righty's and compared to almost a twenty six percent k
- 14:40Speaker 4: rate for these Yankees. Sure, the Yankees have some power,
- 14:44Speaker 4: but Dylan Ceese has been pretty damn good so far
- 14:46Speaker 4: this year, and I think that would be the deciding
- 14:49Speaker 4: factor for me, just cause the salary if they were
- 14:51Speaker 4: close in salary. Man Miz has been a damn machine man.
- 14:54Speaker 4: I think he's got like eighty k's and like freaking
- 14:57Speaker 4: fifty innings. It's like he's pitching the Little League kids. Now,
- 15:00Speaker 4: he did leave his last start a little bit early
- 15:02Speaker 4: with a cramp. Now, cramps don't obviously worry me all
- 15:06Speaker 4: that much. It just worries me left his last start,
- 15:09Speaker 4: you know, like if anything even remotely goes sideways, they're
- 15:12Speaker 4: gonna yank the franchise off that mound. I can tell
- 15:15Speaker 4: you that right now. So that does concern me just
- 15:18Speaker 4: a little bit, just a little bit, Aids. But Dylan
- 15:21Speaker 4: sees for me, I think just because of the thousand
- 15:23Speaker 4: dollars discount and more of the strikeout capability there, you know,
- 15:28Speaker 4: you got to go for But Man, mis is good. Man,
- 15:30Speaker 4: Like six out of nine starts that dude's been over
- 15:32Speaker 4: nine k's or more. So. I mean, it's it's kind
- 15:35Speaker 4: of hard to not, you know, want to play guy
- 15:37Speaker 4: like Miz. But I like your thought process, Aids, where
- 15:39Speaker 4: you're thinking about playing miz and a cease when we
- 15:42Speaker 4: get to the offenses, Like the Angels are cheap, the
- 15:44Speaker 4: Twins are cheap, all in good spots. I think it's
- 15:47Speaker 4: gonna be fairly easy to build different kind of builds
- 15:50Speaker 4: with just some cheaper bats that you know that that
- 15:54Speaker 4: are gonna be there. So I mean, yeah, I think pitching,
- 15:58Speaker 4: high end pitching is gonna be the way that. Oh
- 16:00Speaker 4: I think most people are gonna have one of the
- 16:01Speaker 4: two and then they're gonna jam in she Han or
- 16:04Speaker 4: a debt Mers or you know, or somebody along those lines.
- 16:07Speaker 4: So yeah, I think playing the top two arms in
- 16:10Speaker 4: baseball so far this year in strikeout percentage isn't a
- 16:12Speaker 4: bad deal. Needs I mean, if they both go out
- 16:15Speaker 4: and get you twenty five points or plus, I mean,
- 16:19Speaker 4: that's a that's gonna be that. I almost guarantee you
- 16:22Speaker 4: that will be the optimal lineup if that's the deal. Yeah.
- 16:25Speaker 2: No, I agree with a lot of what you said.
- 16:28Speaker 4: For me.
- 16:28Speaker 3: I just I put miss when you add in the park,
- 16:31Speaker 3: the weather and all of that, and I'd rather attack
- 16:35Speaker 3: the Cubs than than attack the Yankees against right hand
- 16:37Speaker 3: and pitching personally myself, But I do like pairing those
- 16:40Speaker 3: two together. I think it's a really unique roster construction
- 16:43Speaker 3: tonight because, like you said, right, one of most of them.
- 16:46Speaker 3: Most lineups are gonna either have miz and probably Debt
- 16:50Speaker 3: Mars or she hand or skip both of these guys
- 16:53Speaker 3: and play shehnn in Debt Mars. Right, So I think
- 16:56Speaker 3: I'm gonna go shut my front doors raining. Oh you're good,
- 16:59Speaker 3: You're good. Yeah, So I do think for me it's
- 17:03Speaker 3: miss number one, then she handed number two. When you
- 17:06Speaker 3: consider the salary, I had more interested in Ranger Swarz
- 17:10Speaker 3: than what Gee Risen does.
- 17:11Speaker 2: I think he's really good.
- 17:12Speaker 3: I like Landon Roope a ton too, because I think
- 17:14Speaker 3: he's an unknowned pivot that nobody, especially after what Arizona
- 17:18Speaker 3: did last night. Arizona popped off for one hundred and
- 17:20Speaker 3: seventy five runs last night. It feels like but much
- 17:24Speaker 3: different matchup here than last night. Robbie Ray, right, we
- 17:28Speaker 3: know what Robbery Ray is. It was also against the lefty.
- 17:31Speaker 3: You look at Arizona, not the best strikeout matchup, but
- 17:34Speaker 3: Landon Route looked really good so far this year thirty
- 17:37Speaker 3: one percent k rate in one hundred and twelve played
- 17:39Speaker 3: appearances keeps the ball in the ground as well.
- 17:42Speaker 2: And I mean.
- 17:43Speaker 3: Outside of Carol, Carol really, I mean Marte's not really
- 17:48Speaker 3: hitting right now. I just I think he's really interesting
- 17:51Speaker 3: at eighty seven hundred because he's going to be a
- 17:53Speaker 3: fraction in the ownership of Mamage she had Nobody if
- 17:56Speaker 3: they're if they're going in that range, they's clicking she Henner,
- 17:59Speaker 3: They're going down to Like I said, so, from a
- 18:01Speaker 3: game game theory standpoint, I think groups are really interesting
- 18:04Speaker 3: to play.
- 18:04Speaker 2: And then I have interest in Will Warren too.
- 18:07Speaker 3: I think Will Warren everyone looks at the nine K
- 18:10Speaker 3: and says, if I'm going to play that, why would
- 18:11Speaker 3: I pay nine K for Will Warren against the Blue
- 18:14Speaker 3: Jays and Yankee Stadium when I can just play Shehan
- 18:16Speaker 3: for five hundred dollars cheaper, or go up a thousand
- 18:19Speaker 3: bucks and play Dylan Season on the other side of
- 18:21Speaker 3: that game. I think Will Warren is interesting too because
- 18:26Speaker 3: from a tournament standpoint and a strike up matchup five
- 18:28Speaker 3: and a half k prop doesn't have a lot of
- 18:30Speaker 3: juice there, but still hanging a five and a half,
- 18:34Speaker 3: he's still been good. I still think he can have
- 18:36Speaker 3: a good outing right there. So for me up top,
- 18:39Speaker 3: it's like I said, Miz she Han, I'll go landon
- 18:43Speaker 3: Route Ranger Suarez, Dylan Cees, Will Warren is kind of
- 18:48Speaker 3: how I rank it. Zebe I think is interesting as well.
- 18:51Speaker 3: I'm just a little I'm a little scared of Zebbie,
- 18:53Speaker 3: but I do think he has a ceiling. I'm in
- 18:55Speaker 3: on all of those guys that I just mentioned, those
- 18:58Speaker 3: seven arms, I'm in, trusted in, and up at the top,
- 19:01Speaker 3: I'm definitely gonna have way more Miz than I'm gonna
- 19:03Speaker 3: have Dylan Ceese because when we talk offenses, there's a
- 19:06Speaker 3: lot of offenses on the slate. That likelihood, I mean,
- 19:10Speaker 3: it's probably not very likely, but the Yankees always have
- 19:12Speaker 3: the power to do it and to win slates, and
- 19:15Speaker 3: with the added boost for offense and whether they're like
- 19:18Speaker 3: I said in Yankee Stadium. That's why I'm a little
- 19:20Speaker 3: bit lower on Dylan Cease. But I do think all
- 19:23Speaker 3: of these guys up here are great plays. Down below
- 19:27Speaker 3: gets very dry pretty quickly.
- 19:29Speaker 2: Dept.
- 19:30Speaker 3: Meers is the main talking point below eight k probably
- 19:33Speaker 3: points per dollar wise the best play in the slate.
- 19:36Speaker 3: His k prop aligns all the props really aligned for
- 19:41Speaker 3: him down there, I just I don't know. I don't
- 19:45Speaker 3: don't I don't love it, but it's hard to argue.
- 19:47Speaker 3: Right six and a half k prop juice to the
- 19:49Speaker 3: over at minus one twenty eight. Everything points to him
- 19:53Speaker 3: being solid, But I I don't know.
- 19:56Speaker 2: I think he's he's interesting.
- 19:58Speaker 3: I would rather if I'm going down, I'd rather just
- 20:00Speaker 3: go all the way down and personally myself to Libertor.
- 20:04Speaker 3: I like Liberatory the most down here below eight k
- 20:06Speaker 3: because he's going to be a fraction in the ownership
- 20:09Speaker 3: of Red deet Merz. I think he can post a good,
- 20:13Speaker 3: good game. His K props are are solid four and
- 20:16Speaker 3: a half k prop just to be over there minus
- 20:17Speaker 3: one twenty one. Pirates not not super afraid of this lineup.
- 20:22Speaker 3: I mean, yeah, O'Neil Cruz. They got some guys up
- 20:25Speaker 3: at the top. But you look at strikeout rate against
- 20:27Speaker 3: left handed pitching thirty six percent for Mangum if he's
- 20:30Speaker 3: in there, Alzuna's thirty one percent, Triola thirty seven percent,
- 20:34Speaker 3: Brandon Lowe twenty eight percent. There's strikeouts here with this
- 20:38Speaker 3: Pirates lineup against left handed pitching. So I do think
- 20:41Speaker 3: Libertor is interesting down there outside of that. I mean,
- 20:47Speaker 3: Nelson I think is viable just in that game there.
- 20:49Speaker 3: But Roof is going to be opening Arizona again. Decent
- 20:52Speaker 3: place to hit tonight. I don't know, it's gross. So
- 20:56Speaker 3: ideally I want I want to my starting pitchers above
- 20:59Speaker 3: a K because I think, like Ranger, Zabi, Sheehan Roupe,
- 21:04Speaker 3: those guys in that mid to low eight K range
- 21:06Speaker 3: I think are really interesting and you can build really
- 21:09Speaker 3: good lineups with those guys and not needing to go
- 21:13Speaker 3: down here. How do you see the lower tier? Yeah,
- 21:19Speaker 3: the lower tier is bad. I mean there really isn't
- 21:22Speaker 3: anything too much.
- 21:23Speaker 4: I mean you talk about Libator, I don't mind him
- 21:26Speaker 4: for sixty two hundred. He definitely can get the job done.
- 21:29Speaker 4: But is more you move up? I mean you can
- 21:31Speaker 4: go all the way up to reing Nelson. I think
- 21:32Speaker 4: Nelson is definitely somebody that you could look at. I mean,
- 21:37Speaker 4: the giants haven't been all that good. I mean maybe
- 21:43Speaker 4: I think Nelson's actually prove a better play to me
- 21:47Speaker 4: than read debt meers. To tell you the truth, I
- 21:49Speaker 4: just I am not a fan of read debtmers. I
- 21:51Speaker 4: always tell myself in DFS. You know, in all these
- 21:54Speaker 4: situations where you know, you got a guy coming into
- 21:57Speaker 4: a spot start or whatever they case, maybe like in
- 22:01Speaker 4: football or whatever else. To me, a pig's a pig man.
- 22:04Speaker 4: I don't give a shit how you dress it up.
- 22:05Speaker 4: Reed Debtmer is not very good man. His last four
- 22:08Speaker 4: or five starts, he's you know, one time I think
- 22:11Speaker 4: he's been over. I was just looking at it. It's
- 22:12Speaker 4: like one time he's been at eighteen points. Every other
- 22:15Speaker 4: time he's been like six, eleven, ten, like, and he's
- 22:18Speaker 4: in the nineties as far as pitches go, all the
- 22:21Speaker 4: damn time needs go. Look too, he's got three earned runs,
- 22:24Speaker 4: three earn runs, four and runs three in runs. So
- 22:27Speaker 4: if he gets five or six k's half, I'm gonna
- 22:29Speaker 4: get wiped out by his earn runs. He goes up
- 22:31Speaker 4: every time. So I'm not I'm not all that enamored
- 22:35Speaker 4: with with Debtmers. I think I would rather play Libator
- 22:39Speaker 4: Nelson than Debt Mers. I think that's where I go.
- 22:43Speaker 4: I see here a couple guys in the chap mentioned
- 22:46Speaker 4: mccolors got scratched. I mean, nobody could really want to
- 22:50Speaker 4: play that guy. I mean, that guy's got like, you know,
- 22:52Speaker 4: one good start in him every so often. I mean
- 22:54Speaker 4: the other other time he's like a damn kickball pitcher,
- 22:57Speaker 4: so not interested there. But yeah, I mean to me,
- 23:00Speaker 4: I think for me, the focus for me in this slate,
- 23:02Speaker 4: especially on DK, I just avoid Debt Merse for sure.
- 23:05Speaker 4: I just I'm not I'm not a fan of that
- 23:08Speaker 4: at all. I think there's some other pivots you can
- 23:10Speaker 4: use down here in this range. But yeah, I mean,
- 23:14Speaker 4: I guess that's all I would stress. I think Nelson
- 23:16Speaker 4: for me is the guy that that I like a
- 23:19Speaker 4: little bit more than everybody else down there. I think
- 23:22Speaker 4: if I had to, I put Nelson ahead a Libator
- 23:24Speaker 4: as well. I don't mind attacking that Giant's offense at all.
- 23:29Speaker 4: I mean, you got a game sitting there, eight and
- 23:31Speaker 4: a half. You've got Devers, got some Kith, Chapman, Eldridge, Harrison, Bader.
- 23:37Speaker 4: Of course Louis a Ryzan never strikes out, so does
- 23:40Speaker 4: does take you down to eight guys in that lineup.
- 23:43Speaker 4: But other than that, yeah, I think I think pitching's
- 23:46Speaker 4: pretty easy Naid's I mean, you got two of the
- 23:48Speaker 4: best strikeout pitchers in all of baseball here going today.
- 23:51Speaker 4: That and they're both not going to be overly popular.
- 23:54Speaker 4: I think, like I said, like you said at the
- 23:55Speaker 4: top of the show, you just jam him in and
- 23:57Speaker 4: we can figure out some bats, you know, as we
- 23:59Speaker 4: roll through these games here and figure out different ways.
- 24:02Speaker 4: I think we're gonna figure out. And there's a handful
- 24:04Speaker 4: of stacks that are cheap enough that you can easily
- 24:06Speaker 4: use to build around these guys. So yeah, for me
- 24:09Speaker 4: on DK at Cease on Fando, I like MZ. They're
- 24:13Speaker 4: both in the same bucket above everybody else. I explained
- 24:16Speaker 4: why I like Cease. It's just a little bit more
- 24:18Speaker 4: strikeouts in that Yankee lineup, even though it's a little
- 24:20Speaker 4: bit more dangerous. But I think if Cease is on,
- 24:24Speaker 4: he's gonna get that job done. He's got Will Warren
- 24:26Speaker 4: across from him. So I like them. And then I think,
- 24:29Speaker 4: as you mentioned these other guys here, everybody's gonna go
- 24:31Speaker 4: to she Han in debt meers. I think I'd like
- 24:34Speaker 4: she handed more debtmores. I'd just wipe out I probably
- 24:36Speaker 4: have in landing Roupe Nelson. And then, like you said,
- 24:40Speaker 4: to a little bit of libertore, I think it is
- 24:43Speaker 4: the right way to go.
- 24:45Speaker 2: Yeah, I do.
- 24:47Speaker 3: I think it's close between liberatory and Nelson for me,
- 24:49Speaker 3: both are great plays, both four and a half K props,
- 24:51Speaker 3: both used to the over pitch counts are really realistically
- 24:55Speaker 3: pretty similar there.
- 24:57Speaker 2: So yeah, I don't really have my much of our preference.
- 25:00Speaker 3: If the five hundred dollars means a lot for you
- 25:02Speaker 3: in terms of your bats or your stacks, or if
- 25:05Speaker 3: you really need that extra five hundred going down to
- 25:08Speaker 3: the LIBERATORI I think is fine. But I do like
- 25:10Speaker 3: both of those guys ahead of Debt Mars when you
- 25:12Speaker 3: consider the ownership and everything. I mean, it's basically the
- 25:16Speaker 3: same roster construction is playing Redptmers as it is Nelson,
- 25:21Speaker 3: And it's a little bit different obviously than playing Libertor
- 25:24Speaker 3: because you get the extra eleven hundred dollars, which goes
- 25:28Speaker 3: a long way right on the slate. You go from
- 25:30Speaker 3: the three k range to the low four K range
- 25:33Speaker 3: in terms of hitter. That's that's usually a pretty big
- 25:35Speaker 3: difference there. So for me, that's kind of the breakdown.
- 25:39Speaker 3: I think all of these nine, these what ten pitchers
- 25:42Speaker 3: right here are in play, but it's definitely miz and
- 25:45Speaker 3: Cees far and away the rest and then she hand
- 25:47Speaker 3: would be right there next. For me, I think she
- 25:50Speaker 3: hands a really good play even with the ownership, I'm
- 25:52Speaker 3: not scared of that. I just like attacking this Padres lineup.
- 25:56Speaker 3: You look at their split over the last thirty days,
- 25:58Speaker 3: twenty seven percent k rate against right hand and pitching Dodgers.
- 26:01Speaker 2: Let seehn go.
- 26:03Speaker 3: So I do think all things considered, he points per
- 26:06Speaker 3: dollar wise is definitely probably my favorite overall play on
- 26:10Speaker 3: the slate. When you have factor in that the salary there,
- 26:14Speaker 3: let's jump over and talk hitting. There's obviously a lot
- 26:17Speaker 3: of arms that you can play. So when we talk
- 26:20Speaker 3: offense here not the best offensive spot here, I expect
- 26:25Speaker 3: a fairly low scoring slate.
- 26:27Speaker 2: Every time I slay that.
- 26:29Speaker 3: It's usually you need two hundred and twenty points to
- 26:33Speaker 3: win a GPP.
- 26:34Speaker 2: So we'll see how it works.
- 26:35Speaker 3: But I just think I think offense is going to
- 26:39Speaker 3: be pretty pretty weak, and Vegas would ten degree right. No,
- 26:42Speaker 3: no teams outside of Coors Field with a double digit
- 26:46Speaker 3: game total or a five plus imply team total there. However,
- 26:51Speaker 3: Yankee still do have a pretty damn good team total
- 26:54Speaker 3: sitting here. They're gonna be unowned tonight. I mean you're
- 26:56Speaker 3: talking like thirty percent combined stack ownership of five hitters.
- 27:02Speaker 3: I know Dylan Sez has the strikeouts, but gee, Rysen,
- 27:06Speaker 3: we've also seen Dylan Cees when he don't have it,
- 27:08Speaker 3: he don't have it. I know this guy's matchup proof
- 27:10Speaker 3: when he has his stuff. If he doesn't have his stuff,
- 27:13Speaker 3: the Yankees have a very very very clear path at
- 27:16Speaker 3: no ownership to win the slate. I talked about it.
- 27:19Speaker 3: It's ninety four degrees in Yankee Stadium. You got double
- 27:23Speaker 3: digit wind blown straight out to center field. This is
- 27:25Speaker 3: gonna play very hit or friendly. You look at how
- 27:27Speaker 3: Cease is pitched against the Yankees in his career, sitting
- 27:30Speaker 3: around a twenty percent k rate.
- 27:32Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 27:33Speaker 3: I can definitely see the upside for Seas. I can
- 27:35Speaker 3: also see the downside very very easily. I played tournaments
- 27:38Speaker 3: that are very top heavy. I like the Yankees a
- 27:41Speaker 3: ton in tournaments here just because I don't think anybody
- 27:44Speaker 3: plays them. I know Dylan Cees is great. I know
- 27:46Speaker 3: he's a good arm. I know he's been pitching out
- 27:48Speaker 3: of his mind. But going to face the Yankees in
- 27:51Speaker 3: Yankee Stadium, first beautiful, super hot, nice day. I talked
- 27:55Speaker 3: to one of my colleagues up in the Bronx he
- 27:58Speaker 3: was driving around. He said, it's hotter than shit out there.
- 28:00Speaker 3: He was sweating. He said, it's like ninety six. The
- 28:03Speaker 3: sun is beating on him.
- 28:04Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 28:05Speaker 3: I think this is really interesting spot in tournaments for
- 28:07Speaker 3: the Yankee stack that nobody's gonna play. Don't love the
- 28:10Speaker 3: Blue Jays as much, but I will call out Varshow
- 28:13Speaker 3: and Haycus Sanchez and Panango. Those guys are are super cheap.
- 28:18Speaker 3: You want the lefties if you want anything against Will Warren,
- 28:20Speaker 3: so Varshow with Homer and upside empower there thirty five
- 28:24Speaker 3: hundred fits the bill Panogo, like I said, twenty eight
- 28:27Speaker 3: hundred three K for Sanchez. All of those guys have
- 28:30Speaker 3: home run upside. So for me, full stacks on the Yankees,
- 28:34Speaker 3: mini stacks on the Blue Jays. I do think this
- 28:36Speaker 3: game is interesting when we talk hitting. What do you
- 28:38Speaker 3: see here?
- 28:41Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean it's real hard to go against Cease.
- 28:43Speaker 4: I see your reasoning totally, because they out of twenty teams,
- 28:46Speaker 4: the Yankees are in the top five a team total,
- 28:49Speaker 4: and nobody's gonna play them. So with that fact alone,
- 28:52Speaker 4: they definitely should be in your player you know, in
- 28:54Speaker 4: your pool for stacks. But I mean it just worries
- 28:56Speaker 4: me with Cease. I mean, he's giving up one home
- 28:59Speaker 4: run all year. The dude just doesn't give up hard
- 29:01Speaker 4: hit balls. He's been pitching very well, and that bullpen
- 29:05Speaker 4: behind him is also one of the best, So I
- 29:08Speaker 4: think that does concern me. I mean, I think this
- 29:11Speaker 4: is game is actually gonna be lower scoring. So yeah,
- 29:14Speaker 4: I think this is gonna be a tight game. Two
- 29:17Speaker 4: good pitchers on the hill. I don't really like either
- 29:20Speaker 4: side for bats, to be truthful, But I mean I'm
- 29:23Speaker 4: not gonna get to the Yankees because I'm just gonna
- 29:25Speaker 4: play three teams. I'm fan duel, but if I was,
- 29:28Speaker 4: probably if I was playing a handful of teams on DK, yeah,
- 29:30Speaker 4: I think you would have to. I mean, anytime the
- 29:32Speaker 4: Yankees are a Dodger team is really low owned. I mean,
- 29:36Speaker 4: and they're in the top five of the team total
- 29:38Speaker 4: for the day and then they're still not being talked
- 29:39Speaker 4: about just a little bit odd. Like I said, that'd
- 29:42Speaker 4: be the only reason I'd play the Yankees, because if
- 29:43Speaker 4: you look under the hood, it's not really all that
- 29:47Speaker 4: you know, glamorous to be attack and Cease and that bullpen,
- 29:51Speaker 4: so that does scare me off just a little bit.
- 29:54Speaker 4: But other net, I mean, yeah, the offense is there
- 29:56Speaker 4: for sure. Now would you want to say, hey, if
- 29:59Speaker 4: I play hand full of teams of cease, you know,
- 30:01Speaker 4: should I have? You know, if I do have a
- 30:03Speaker 4: couple of Yankees lineups, you know, I think that'd be
- 30:06Speaker 4: a decent way of kind of leveraging yourself off cease,
- 30:09Speaker 4: just because they'll be so lower owned. So you know,
- 30:11Speaker 4: that may be a thought. If you're playing twenty lineups,
- 30:13Speaker 4: maybe you have one or two Yankees if you go
- 30:16Speaker 4: pretty heavy cease on DK. I don't mind that one
- 30:19Speaker 4: at all. Maybe only have you know, maybe four or
- 30:21Speaker 4: five teams without cease. I think, you know that that
- 30:24Speaker 4: would be a good way to kind of mix it
- 30:26Speaker 4: up a little bit. But yeah, I mean overall, you know,
- 30:29Speaker 4: I don't really like either team here, but it's like
- 30:32Speaker 4: you said, man, it's hard to it's hard to avoid
- 30:34Speaker 4: a team so good when they're not being being played.
- 30:37Speaker 4: I mean, every day we're gonna say that for the
- 30:39Speaker 4: rest of the year.
- 30:41Speaker 2: I just love this team against right in and pitching.
- 30:43Speaker 2: I know it's cease.
- 30:44Speaker 3: I know all that. I don't need to say much
- 30:46Speaker 3: more because Yankees probably get shut out tonight, which is
- 30:50Speaker 3: definitely in the realm of possibilities with with Dylan Ceas
- 30:52Speaker 3: in the mount and the best bullpen in baseball behind them,
- 30:55Speaker 3: I'm just playing tournaments. I see nobody playing a team
- 30:58Speaker 3: that can easily break a slate and hit four home
- 31:00Speaker 3: runs in good hitting conditions.
- 31:02Speaker 2: I'll take a shot. So yeah, I definitely point.
- 31:06Speaker 4: Yeah. So the way the games are scheduled, now you
- 31:08Speaker 4: have a seven h five, then you have four to
- 31:11Speaker 4: seven forties and it's seven forty five game, and then
- 31:13Speaker 4: you have an eight forty and then you have four
- 31:15Speaker 4: games at nine to forty. So literally, cease is gonna
- 31:19Speaker 4: be in the focus. You're gonna get try two or
- 31:20Speaker 4: three innings to cease. If you're getting pownder or whatever else.
- 31:24Speaker 4: You can make some adjustments as this slate goes on,
- 31:26Speaker 4: because there's a batch of games in the middle of
- 31:28Speaker 4: a batch of games at the end, and we got
- 31:30Speaker 4: a chalkier pitcher that's gonna be out the gate. So
- 31:33Speaker 4: if cease ships the bed, you know, you can make
- 31:36Speaker 4: some adjustments and do some other things. So just kind
- 31:39Speaker 4: of a thought process too, from a you know, a
- 31:41Speaker 4: strategy standpoint, that games sitting in the window and it's
- 31:44Speaker 4: got like forty minutes before another game goes off, So
- 31:47Speaker 4: you know, with the play pitchclock era, I could see
- 31:49Speaker 4: him getting in you know, two three innings. I mean,
- 31:53Speaker 4: I could see that happening.
- 31:55Speaker 3: No excellent breakdown or excellent point too. Right, they're thirty
- 31:59Speaker 3: five minutes before the games lock. There's definitely a lot
- 32:02Speaker 3: that can go there, and you at least get more
- 32:04Speaker 3: more information than you had at the start of the slate, right,
- 32:08Speaker 3: obviously everything is just projected going into the slate.
- 32:10Speaker 2: Well, you actually will have actual.
- 32:12Speaker 3: Ownership Dylan sees Warre and the Yankees all of that,
- 32:16Speaker 3: and see how it goes, right, So at least that'll
- 32:18Speaker 3: help you make the case for Okay, if she goes
- 32:21Speaker 3: out there and you have him and he's not doing
- 32:23Speaker 3: great well, you probably want to pivot off of Sheehan
- 32:27Speaker 3: or debt mers and something like that, and maybe you
- 32:31Speaker 3: find a way to rework your stacks and go double
- 32:34Speaker 3: spend up, like I said, if you don't already have
- 32:36Speaker 3: miz or something like that. Right, So definitely pay attention
- 32:39Speaker 3: to that great, great point there that you do make.
- 32:42Speaker 3: Next game here we're up in Kansas City, talked about
- 32:44Speaker 3: the weather in this one not great for hitting. I
- 32:47Speaker 3: don't know this this cat here pitching for the Royals.
- 32:50Speaker 3: I'm assuming it's more of a bullpen game here. Don't
- 32:53Speaker 3: expect him to go very long averaging the pitch. Sitting
- 32:55Speaker 3: on two Ranger Suarez, I had more interest than you did.
- 32:59Speaker 3: He ranked good in our pitcher rankings here. Probably wit
- 33:03Speaker 3: against the left he shir sal Perez at three k
- 33:05Speaker 3: still super super cheap lane. Thomas is gonna get pinch
- 33:08Speaker 3: hit for Marte, probably pinch hit for Lofton, probably pinch
- 33:12Speaker 3: hit four.
- 33:13Speaker 2: I don't love this game for offense.
- 33:15Speaker 3: Red Sox are super cheap against the Kansas City bullpen,
- 33:18Speaker 3: which is already not good, fourth worst in Baseball so
- 33:21Speaker 3: Red Sox and tournaments. I mean, if this ownership is
- 33:24Speaker 3: staying true, I think they're interesting. The offense has just
- 33:29Speaker 3: been brutal, though, but I could see singles and doubles
- 33:33Speaker 3: and a couple of runs scored, maybe some stolen bases
- 33:37Speaker 3: be the winner on this kind of slate, Gee, Risen,
- 33:39Speaker 3: this is just the way the offense is so could
- 33:42Speaker 3: five runs six runs from the Red Sox be enough
- 33:44Speaker 3: at their salaries if the pitching does what it can do.
- 33:48Speaker 2: I think it's interesting.
- 33:49Speaker 3: I know Saber is really high on the Red Sox
- 33:51Speaker 3: in terms of optimizers. I don't see the projected ownership
- 33:54Speaker 3: really being there, so naturally you should probably have some interest.
- 33:57Speaker 3: Contreres has been red hot right now. He'd be my
- 33:59Speaker 3: focal point in Stacks or any Red Sox. I'd probably
- 34:03Speaker 3: start with Wilson. Contrere's at forty one hundred. He's been
- 34:05Speaker 3: really good. Rafaela I think is interesting. Duran a bray
- 34:08Speaker 3: You that top four is still really solid, Duran Rafaela
- 34:12Speaker 3: a bray You Contreras, they have talent. Don't love the
- 34:15Speaker 3: back half. I mean Carlos Narvaias Kinner Fileffa, Nick Silgard, Monasterio.
- 34:21Speaker 2: It would be more.
- 34:22Speaker 3: Probably like four to three builds if I'm going to
- 34:25Speaker 3: the Red Sox because I hate these back half.
- 34:26Speaker 2: But if you're stacking it, let them trickle in. They
- 34:29Speaker 2: can get their thert.
- 34:30Speaker 3: I mean they're dirt cheap twenty six twenty four to
- 34:32Speaker 3: twenty three to two K twenty one hundred. There's definitely
- 34:35Speaker 3: a case salary wise to make rosters, especially when if
- 34:38Speaker 3: you're doing a double spind up roster with like a
- 34:41Speaker 3: Dylan Ce Miserowski or like a Will Warren Miserowski something
- 34:44Speaker 3: like that. I think the Red Sox have a place
- 34:47Speaker 3: on the slate.
- 34:47Speaker 2: But what do you see here?
- 34:49Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean for me, I just the Red Sox
- 34:52Speaker 4: just haven't been hitting all that well here recent times.
- 34:54Speaker 4: I just I'm not really a fan of it. Really.
- 34:57Speaker 4: I don't really like generally attacking bullpeny games. I think
- 35:00Speaker 4: he just gives a manager such an edge just be
- 35:01Speaker 4: playing matchups and stuff like that. So you are right though,
- 35:04Speaker 4: that Royal bull poop end does suck. But you know,
- 35:08Speaker 4: if you look at all the teams today, nids out
- 35:11Speaker 4: of the twenty teams, I'd probably have them above the
- 35:13Speaker 4: halfway line, but they're not in my top five, you know,
- 35:16Speaker 4: they're probably you know, six to eight range maybe today.
- 35:20Speaker 4: There it's just that lineup, as you mentioned, isn't all
- 35:23Speaker 4: that all that glance, you know, it just doesn't tickle
- 35:26Speaker 4: it for you. So yeah, I'm really not really not
- 35:29Speaker 4: too interested there. And then Ranger Suarez, Yeah, I can't.
- 35:33Speaker 4: You can't go against Ranger Swarz. He's just such a
- 35:35Speaker 4: real good life pitcher that uh. I mean, it's just
- 35:39Speaker 4: it just ain't gonna fait farewell for you heavy groundball lean.
- 35:43Speaker 4: But yeah, like I said earlier in the top and
- 35:45Speaker 4: it just concerns me with his last two starts, him
- 35:49Speaker 4: getting yank with you know, seventy some pitches for you
- 35:52Speaker 4: know it an injury and then fatigue and you know that,
- 35:56Speaker 4: just that just concerns me. I want to see him.
- 35:58Speaker 4: I need to see him do it. And I think
- 36:00Speaker 4: there's just too high end and pitching up at the
- 36:01Speaker 4: top today to be for me to be taking a
- 36:04Speaker 4: chance like that. But I I just don't really like
- 36:07Speaker 4: any of the offense here. There's some better spots for
- 36:09Speaker 4: us to attack as we as we move through the
- 36:12Speaker 4: games here.
- 36:13Speaker 3: Yeah, no, Red Sox definitely not a top stack for me,
- 36:15Speaker 3: but I wouldn't be shocked in their salaries make it.
- 36:18Speaker 3: Ideally you want to stick to the top four, right,
- 36:21Speaker 3: and if one of those other guys fizzles in so
- 36:24Speaker 3: be it, I could see a case there. But I
- 36:27Speaker 3: do think the top four is pretty interesting, and then
- 36:29Speaker 3: the top three for the Royals I think is also interesting.
- 36:32Speaker 3: Garcia wit Perez, they all hit left. He's pretty solid there.
- 36:35Speaker 2: So you know, you just.
- 36:37Speaker 4: Reminded me, like with this Kansas City stadium the moving
- 36:40Speaker 4: into offences. I was thinking to myself, like, let's give
- 36:44Speaker 4: it eight weeks, six, eight weeks and see what the
- 36:46Speaker 4: numbers look like compared to the past, just to see
- 36:49Speaker 4: what kind of bump or not if it really affected anything.
- 36:52Speaker 4: It just saw my you know, my brain kicks out
- 36:54Speaker 4: once a while, like, hey, maybe we should be researching
- 36:56Speaker 4: that to see, you know, if we need to bump
- 36:58Speaker 4: up their role of that Coffin stadium a little bit
- 37:00Speaker 4: in our rankings a little bit there, Nate, So yeah,
- 37:03Speaker 4: I mean that stadium has been better for hitting from
- 37:07Speaker 4: what I you know, in my mind, but I can't
- 37:09Speaker 4: I don't have the numbers to back it up.
- 37:11Speaker 2: Yeah, I saw a thing.
- 37:13Speaker 3: I can't find it now obviously being on the show,
- 37:15Speaker 3: but I did post it in the discord. At the
- 37:17Speaker 3: start of the year of they did a deep dive
- 37:21Speaker 3: on the balls hit in home runs and stuff like
- 37:24Speaker 3: that what would have been home runs with the new
- 37:27Speaker 3: dimensions compared to what weren't and were like flyouts and stuff,
- 37:30Speaker 3: And it was a pretty significant difference based on last
- 37:34Speaker 3: year's full season number. So it's definitely going to play
- 37:36Speaker 3: above average or above what it was last year for
- 37:39Speaker 3: hitting the weather does not help that case here tonight,
- 37:42Speaker 3: but I do think the Red Sox still have a
- 37:44Speaker 3: spot on the slate, just with how overall week the
- 37:48Speaker 3: offense is on the.
- 37:49Speaker 2: Slate for the most part.
- 37:51Speaker 3: Next game in the slate, I do think this is
- 37:53Speaker 3: a game to target for offense here. I think the
- 37:56Speaker 3: Twins are super interesting. I don't love it now. That's
- 37:58Speaker 3: probably going to be more of a bullpen game, but
- 38:00Speaker 3: I care less about bullpen games, and it's the Astros
- 38:02Speaker 3: and the Twins the two worst bullpens in baseball. Zebbie
- 38:05Speaker 3: Matthews looked really good in his first start, but that
- 38:08Speaker 3: was also against Miami. You don't love the Astros against
- 38:11Speaker 3: right handed pitching. I do think Jordan Alvarez Zach Cohle
- 38:14Speaker 3: are two of the elite plays on the slate, and
- 38:17Speaker 3: the Astros I don't see getting a lot of love.
- 38:19Speaker 3: I think the Astros are pretty damn interesting here in tournaments,
- 38:23Speaker 3: and same thing with the Twins. This is one of
- 38:24Speaker 3: my favorite games on the slate from an offensive standpoint.
- 38:27Speaker 3: The price tags are cheap, the ownership's not there, and
- 38:30Speaker 3: it fits to spend up pitching like how I want
- 38:33Speaker 3: to build team. So I'm gonna go in on both
- 38:35Speaker 3: sides of this game. I prefer the Twins a little
- 38:37Speaker 3: bit more. Actually, yeah, I prefer the Twins a little
- 38:41Speaker 3: bit more, just because I think Zebbi does have talent.
- 38:46Speaker 3: He can get wild. We saw it last year at times,
- 38:48Speaker 3: but I do think this is one of the better
- 38:50Speaker 3: offensive games on the slate.
- 38:52Speaker 2: What do you see here?
- 38:53Speaker 4: Yeah, I gotta agree with you. I mean, too bad.
- 38:56Speaker 4: It wasn't Lance McCullers. Like we said, he has a
- 38:58Speaker 4: good one every once in a while, and it's just
- 39:00Speaker 4: been pure ass the rest of the starts. But man,
- 39:03Speaker 4: like you said, this Houston bullpen is just garbage, man,
- 39:06Speaker 4: just garbage. And you like the Twins because they fill
- 39:09Speaker 4: up so many they were so multi versatile, you know,
- 39:12Speaker 4: with their stacks. They got so many guys that play
- 39:14Speaker 4: different positions, so you know, that helps. And they're cheap,
- 39:17Speaker 4: so I mean that helps you in your you know,
- 39:20Speaker 4: your miss and cease type teams today. Being able to
- 39:22Speaker 4: stack up the Twins against literally the worst bullpen in baseball, Like, dude,
- 39:27Speaker 4: that's like we've been talking about chasing after the Astros
- 39:30Speaker 4: bullpen pretty much all year so far. So definitely not
- 39:34Speaker 4: going to stop now. So yeah. I mean, you know,
- 39:37Speaker 4: and you sit here and you look at like the
- 39:41Speaker 4: the the Astros against the Zebi. Zebe did have a
- 39:44Speaker 4: good start out his last time, but I think Alvarez
- 39:47Speaker 4: stands out today on his own just alone. You look
- 39:51Speaker 4: at Zeb's numbers from last season. I mean, he's you know,
- 39:54Speaker 4: twenty five percent KR right the left side twenty four percent,
- 39:57Speaker 4: but his fly ball rate was pretty high to the
- 40:00Speaker 4: left side. He got barreled up last year pretty hard
- 40:03Speaker 4: to the left side. So you know, Astros on our team,
- 40:07Speaker 4: you really think, oh man, they got a lot of
- 40:08Speaker 4: good lefty bats because they only really have one. And
- 40:11Speaker 4: you got coal that sitting there in the five hole.
- 40:14Speaker 4: That's fairly cheap. You could use maybe in like a
- 40:16Speaker 4: mini type stack, and then if you wanted to throw
- 40:18Speaker 4: in a guy like Pana Parides or Walker in there.
- 40:22Speaker 4: I don't mind that at all. I just don't like
- 40:24Speaker 4: the Astros line up from up to down. But I
- 40:27Speaker 4: mean this twins bullpen. As you said, two sucks. You
- 40:29Speaker 4: got two shit ass bullpens in the same type game,
- 40:33Speaker 4: and you got you know, obviously a bullpen game in
- 40:35Speaker 4: the one, but you got kind of an unknown still
- 40:38Speaker 4: with Zebbie Matthews, even though he did come out and
- 40:40Speaker 4: looked pretty good. So to your point, are people gonna
- 40:43Speaker 4: see that ZEBI lit it up and then nobody's gonna
- 40:45Speaker 4: want to play any astros because they're gonna say, oh,
- 40:48Speaker 4: this guy was, you know, a pretty decent pitcher. But
- 40:51Speaker 4: I don't give a shit. He comes out and throws
- 40:52Speaker 4: five good innings names you get half, you get, you know,
- 40:55Speaker 4: four innings of that, you know, crappy bullpen. So yeah,
- 40:59Speaker 4: I think I think both sides are interesting. I do
- 41:02Speaker 4: like the Twins a little bit more, just because how
- 41:04Speaker 4: versatile there are. You move them all around, pretty easy
- 41:06Speaker 4: to stack up, and they fill them shitty. But you
- 41:08Speaker 4: know the middle infield positions pretty well. So yeah, I
- 41:11Speaker 4: mean Buxton stands up at the top up there. But yeah,
- 41:14Speaker 4: Twins for me, I'm gonna say they're my number two
- 41:18Speaker 4: stack needs. I'm gonna go number two. Yeah.
- 41:22Speaker 3: I do worry a little bit guys like Larnock, Cody
- 41:26Speaker 3: Clements for sure, James Outman, Tristan Gray, those guys at
- 41:31Speaker 3: that back half because there is two lefties that are
- 41:34Speaker 3: available to here tonight in Brian King and Steven Okert.
- 41:39Speaker 3: So there is some risk there for pinch hits for sure,
- 41:42Speaker 3: but the non pinchick guys. Buxton being back helps this
- 41:45Speaker 3: Twins line up a ton, And if they bring in
- 41:47Speaker 3: one of those lefties, obviously we love that. Josh Bell
- 41:49Speaker 3: has been really, really good. Obviously he's a switch hitter there,
- 41:52Speaker 3: Austin Martin. If he starts what he is against the righty.
- 41:56Speaker 3: If they bring in the lefty, I mean he murders lefties.
- 41:59Speaker 3: He sucks against righty. So him starting against alrighty, he's
- 42:02Speaker 3: probably Prince hit concern free brooks Lee switch hitter Kartini.
- 42:05Speaker 2: So there.
- 42:06Speaker 3: The Twins are super cheap. They fit positions that you
- 42:08Speaker 3: don't typically love. You do have to make a choice
- 42:12Speaker 3: between Cody Clemens and Josh Bell. I think I'd prefer
- 42:15Speaker 3: Josh Bell, just with the better, better certainty to play
- 42:19Speaker 3: the full game. When looking at that, I think I
- 42:22Speaker 3: do prefer the Astra side of this game more as
- 42:25Speaker 3: a full stack, just because there's less pinch hit concerns there.
- 42:28Speaker 3: And Zebi is still an unknown like you said, and
- 42:32Speaker 3: we've seen last year when when Zebi came up, he's
- 42:35Speaker 3: had starts where he.
- 42:36Speaker 2: Just absolutely got schlacked.
- 42:38Speaker 3: Right, The Astros do have a decent roster, even against
- 42:42Speaker 3: right handed pitching, especially over the last month. You look
- 42:45Speaker 3: at their numbers. I mean, Cole has been really good,
- 42:48Speaker 3: Walker is good, Alvarez has been good. Shoemake's probably gonna
- 42:51Speaker 3: be in there, another lefty against Zebbi Pards, and I
- 42:55Speaker 3: mean you look at Zebbi's first start. He did all
- 42:58Speaker 3: of his strikeouts against lefties, which is scary, but against righties,
- 43:01Speaker 3: I mean he had a nine percent k rate and
- 43:03Speaker 3: eleven plate appearances, so he's gonna see probably six riders
- 43:10Speaker 3: right handers here. He gets barreled up, gives some hard hits,
- 43:13Speaker 3: So there's definitely downside there for Zebbie. And then you
- 43:17Speaker 3: add in that bullpen too. I do like the offense
- 43:19Speaker 3: of both sides here. Next game, Brewers, Cubs, Mizerowski, Ben Brown.
- 43:24Speaker 3: Brown's been really good coming out of the bullpen there.
- 43:26Speaker 3: He's transitioned to start here. I don't love this game
- 43:29Speaker 3: from offense. Sure, Brewers are always gonna fit my stack
- 43:34Speaker 3: just because I'm a homer there, but they just score
- 43:36Speaker 3: runs and solen bases are always there. They're gonna throw
- 43:39Speaker 3: a shit ton of lefties against Ben Brown like they
- 43:41Speaker 3: do every time they're facing the right handed Pitcher. I
- 43:44Speaker 3: think the Brewers are interesting on the slate, and I
- 43:47Speaker 3: won't be shocked on a slate where I don't expect
- 43:49Speaker 3: a ton of home runs. Ben Brown does have good
- 43:52Speaker 3: strike up stuff, like I said, when you look at
- 43:53Speaker 3: this year in last year, but to both sides of
- 43:56Speaker 3: the plate. But he does give up a fifteen percent
- 43:58Speaker 3: barrel right to left and a two oh seven iso right.
- 44:02Speaker 3: So guys like Christian Yellows, who's come back on a tear,
- 44:04Speaker 3: I think he's interesting. Bryce Terrang that little two man
- 44:08Speaker 3: stack I think is really interested in there. Tarrio's Ben solid.
- 44:12Speaker 3: Like I said, you really want the leftiest. Jake Bauers
- 44:14Speaker 3: has been a bee. Scarrett Mitchell, so the terrang Yelich
- 44:17Speaker 3: Bowers Mitchell that the two four five seven is probably
- 44:20Speaker 3: or somewhere in there. I think that's interesting. On the
- 44:23Speaker 3: slate there is some win kind of blowing from left
- 44:25Speaker 3: to right. It's not like it was yesterday. Cubbs Bulpen
- 44:29Speaker 3: middle of the road. I think the Brewers is a
- 44:32Speaker 3: full stack are interesting on a slate where I don't
- 44:34Speaker 3: expect a ton of home runs.
- 44:36Speaker 2: We know they don't hit home runs.
- 44:37Speaker 3: They just score runs and kind of get there like
- 44:42Speaker 3: old school baseball, right, single walk, stolen base ball, to
- 44:46Speaker 3: the gap, things like that. And on a slate where
- 44:49Speaker 3: I don't expect to be high scoring, you have to
- 44:51Speaker 3: have some interest at least in the Brewers stack.
- 44:55Speaker 2: What do you see here?
- 44:57Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm not interested in playing any Cuvees, though the
- 45:00Speaker 4: weather is a decent hitting weather over there. I mean,
- 45:03Speaker 4: if you can't hit the ball, it don't matter what
- 45:05Speaker 4: the damn weather's doing. So uh, Covees, No, no thanks
- 45:09Speaker 4: for me. I mean you would get some decent leverage
- 45:12Speaker 4: if you wanted to play any of the Covees. I mean,
- 45:14Speaker 4: Michael Bush, you always liked Bush sitting there in the
- 45:19Speaker 4: two hole. I think that wouldn't be a bad play.
- 45:23Speaker 4: We know how I usually like guys that get moved
- 45:25Speaker 4: up in the lineup. But you know, I I see
- 45:28Speaker 4: your point on the Brewers. I just I don't I
- 45:30Speaker 4: don't love it. I have them, you know, fairly down
- 45:33Speaker 4: a little bit, because I do believe that could turn into,
- 45:36Speaker 4: you know, a bullpen type game too there for for them.
- 45:39Speaker 4: I don't know how long Brown's gonna end up going.
- 45:41Speaker 4: But yeah, I think there's other stacks we can that
- 45:44Speaker 4: we can play. I just Neither one of these two
- 45:46Speaker 4: are really doing it for me. Yeah, definitely not a
- 45:49Speaker 4: top stack by any means. Went on a slate where
- 45:51Speaker 4: offenses is pretty weak.
- 45:53Speaker 3: Brewers have broken many slates and and they're gonna be
- 45:55Speaker 3: on Oland as well here tonight, which I do think
- 45:57Speaker 3: you you want want the lefties mainly against Ben Brown
- 46:01Speaker 3: next s Bott on slate up in Bush Stadium here,
- 46:04Speaker 3: Libertore Mitch Keller on the mound. Cardinals I think are
- 46:08Speaker 3: pretty damn interesting on the slates. I don't see them
- 46:10Speaker 3: getting a lot of love. They're also super cheap for
- 46:14Speaker 3: all the BVP guys out there. Nolan Garman is going
- 46:17Speaker 3: to be a core play for everyone out there. Dude
- 46:19Speaker 3: has three home runs, so naturally that means he's gonna
- 46:21Speaker 3: hit another home run at least.
- 46:22Speaker 2: Against Mitch Keller here tonight.
- 46:24Speaker 3: I have the Cardinals pretty decent on the slate overall.
- 46:28Speaker 3: They're gonna throw a bunch of lefties at Mitch Keller there. Pirates, bullpen,
- 46:32Speaker 3: nothing crazy, middle of the road four x FIP. What
- 46:36Speaker 3: do you see here? Pirates and Cardinals in Bush Stadium?
- 46:39Speaker 3: It is going to play decent for hitting here. I
- 46:41Speaker 3: gotta assume it's pretty hot here. Let me just see
- 46:45Speaker 3: what the temperature is in Bush Stadium. I know the
- 46:47Speaker 3: park typically isn't great for hitting, but that's kind of
- 46:51Speaker 3: the theme of the slate here.
- 46:53Speaker 2: Mid sixties, so not great. But what do you see here?
- 46:57Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I like the lefties for the cards
- 47:00Speaker 4: against against Keller, Weatherholt, good spot, Burlson, Walker, you throwing there,
- 47:05Speaker 4: Gorman as you mentioned, with his good, good pass. But
- 47:08Speaker 4: I mean Keller just so far this year, I mean,
- 47:11Speaker 4: has not been good against against lefties. I mean he's
- 47:16Speaker 4: got a walk percentage that's fairly high. You've got I'm
- 47:21Speaker 4: looking at something wrong here, Yeah, his walk percent I
- 47:25Speaker 4: was looking at the wrong damn thing. But his his lefties.
- 47:29Speaker 4: His k rate is really low. His flyball rate isn't bad.
- 47:32Speaker 4: He's getting hard hit, so I think the lefties are
- 47:35Speaker 4: the way to get to him. So yeah, for me,
- 47:39Speaker 4: I think the lefties are definitely play Walker. I think
- 47:41Speaker 4: is a pretty good play. But really, I mean this
- 47:44Speaker 4: one here, I kind of put in that same Brewer
- 47:46Speaker 4: as kind of bucket. You're right, I don't think they're
- 47:47Speaker 4: gonna be too much offense here today. From the way
- 47:50Speaker 4: it's you know, just the way it's projecting out. But yeah,
- 47:54Speaker 4: I just I don't love either one here today, either
- 47:57Speaker 4: one of these teams. If I had to prefer anything, though,
- 47:58Speaker 4: would be the Lefties for the car.
- 48:01Speaker 3: Yeah, I'm with you there. It takes us to coors Field, Rangers, Rockies.
- 48:07Speaker 3: I believe we're gonna see I think Kumar Rockers expected
- 48:12Speaker 3: to come in in kind of long relief, not certain.
- 48:18Speaker 3: With the uncertainty, it does make me a little worried
- 48:21Speaker 3: about the Rockies. I would have a lot more interest
- 48:23Speaker 3: if Kumar Rocker was guaranteed to pitch. He probably is
- 48:26Speaker 3: pretty likely, just because he can walk the whole team
- 48:30Speaker 3: and then come over and you're looking at a three
- 48:33Speaker 3: runner or a Grand Slam there in coors Field. The
- 48:36Speaker 3: weather is also not great here for hitting. It's gonna
- 48:39Speaker 3: be the highest on stack on the slate. In the Rangers,
- 48:41Speaker 3: it's like mid forties. I do have interest, though more
- 48:45Speaker 3: interest tonight than I did last night in the Rangers,
- 48:47Speaker 3: just because of the nature of the slate.
- 48:49Speaker 2: I mean, they're still fairly reasonably priced.
- 48:52Speaker 3: I don't know, I think they're interesting, but on a
- 48:55Speaker 3: slate where I'm kind of more inclined to play the
- 48:59Speaker 3: Chalkier pitching. I'm probably gonna look at some of these
- 49:04Speaker 3: other teams overall more so than than course Field. But
- 49:07Speaker 3: I do have more interest in cores tonight than I
- 49:09Speaker 3: did last night. What do you see here though? In
- 49:12Speaker 3: course field?
- 49:14Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean Rockies looks like they're gonna use the
- 49:16Speaker 4: bullpen from what I'm seeing. It looks like it's supposed
- 49:18Speaker 4: to be Kumargo's to white Castle from what from what
- 49:22Speaker 4: I'm seeing. But yeah, I think the Rockies are definitely interesting.
- 49:26Speaker 4: They're gonna be lower owned. I mean, both sides of
- 49:29Speaker 4: this game here have have higher team totals. I think
- 49:32Speaker 4: the Rangers being in cores uh today, especially against that
- 49:37Speaker 4: Colorado bullpen, I think I think is fairly interesting. But uh,
- 49:43Speaker 4: I just don't love it. Naids, I think I got
- 49:45Speaker 4: probably four maybe stacks, probably higher than the than the
- 49:49Speaker 4: Rangers today. In Rockies, I'd say normally, you know, like
- 49:52Speaker 4: you're trying to tell yourself why you want to fade it.
- 49:54Speaker 4: I just I just I just don't like it, so, uh,
- 49:58Speaker 4: there's no easy fade for me. I'll definitely feed the Rangers.
- 50:01Speaker 4: They're gonna be getting some ownership there in corps. I
- 50:04Speaker 4: guess if I was gonna play either side just because
- 50:06Speaker 4: of the ownership, I'd probably just rather play the Rockies.
- 50:09Speaker 2: Yeah, No, definitely, definitely plenty of other spots to go.
- 50:12Speaker 3: But I do, like I said, I do think the
- 50:13Speaker 3: to the Texas side is at least interesting because they
- 50:19Speaker 3: just they don't hit a ton of home runs anyways, right,
- 50:21Speaker 3: They're they're used to playing kind of, like I said,
- 50:23Speaker 3: more similar to to what the Brewers are right, kind
- 50:26Speaker 3: of just put the ball in play, score that way,
- 50:28Speaker 3: and that plays really really well in course field. Right,
- 50:31Speaker 3: coursefield is gonna launch pad for home runs. It's just
- 50:33Speaker 3: the outfield is massive. The elevation lets the ball travel
- 50:36Speaker 3: to the gap, like I said yesterday, So that does
- 50:38Speaker 3: help the case for the Rangers there.
- 50:40Speaker 2: It's not like.
- 50:41Speaker 3: They're they're gonna murder a bunch of home runs there.
- 50:44Speaker 3: So the weather doesn't matter a ton for carry and
- 50:48Speaker 3: things like that, for when you're not really playing them.
- 50:51Speaker 2: Just just for the home run upside.
- 50:54Speaker 3: Next, well, on slate, this is my favorite offense of
- 50:57Speaker 3: the slates. It's the Angels in Anaheim. There is good
- 51:00Speaker 3: hitting weather in this one. It is a good above
- 51:03Speaker 3: average park for offense overall. Here in Angel stadium, mid
- 51:09Speaker 3: low seventies. You got some wind blown out nothing too crazy,
- 51:13Speaker 3: but five to ten miles an hour. It's just more
- 51:16Speaker 3: about Jacob Lopez is terrible. It's not the same matchup
- 51:19Speaker 3: as yesterday.
- 51:20Speaker 2: Right jg.
- 51:20Speaker 3: Ginn was my hot high stone pitcher on the slate
- 51:22Speaker 3: yesterday because he's like a cy Young to right e's.
- 51:26Speaker 3: He is like a double a pitcher to lefties. Well,
- 51:31Speaker 3: Angels have shitty left handed hitters. They have really good
- 51:35Speaker 3: right handed hitters that have a ton of power. And
- 51:38Speaker 3: Jacob Lopez is terrible against right He's gives up a
- 51:41Speaker 3: ton of fly balls. He's terrible. And the A's bullpen
- 51:43Speaker 3: is asked too. I love the Angels here tonight. They're
- 51:46Speaker 3: my top top stack on the board. They're gonna get owned,
- 51:49Speaker 3: but Couris Field both sides are gonna pull enough ownership
- 51:52Speaker 3: away from them that I'm not really worried overall.
- 51:55Speaker 4: If you want to.
- 51:56Speaker 3: Get different, just play Oswaldo Praza over von griss Them
- 52:00Speaker 3: at the exact same salary, basically same position. Grissom's expected
- 52:05Speaker 3: to bat leadoff, proz is expected to be in the
- 52:07Speaker 3: middle of that lineup. I'll take the I'll take Proza,
- 52:10Speaker 3: who hits left. He's better than Grissom. I think they're
- 52:12Speaker 3: obviously one through nine all in play. I will say
- 52:14Speaker 3: Jose Siri is probably the biggest pinchiit concern in this
- 52:18Speaker 3: lineup a little bit with Grisham as well. Those are
- 52:20Speaker 3: two main pinchick guys in this one. I love the
- 52:23Speaker 3: Angels here though. What do you see in this one?
- 52:26Speaker 4: Yeah? I like the Angels too. I mean when you
- 52:28Speaker 4: first look at it, I thought today nateshen I was
- 52:30Speaker 4: looking at the Slayer, I was like, oh, yeah, Angels,
- 52:33Speaker 4: maybe some twins there against the Astros. You got some Dodgers,
- 52:37Speaker 4: of course, and then he had the corps Field game,
- 52:40Speaker 4: and then I just started thinking, ah, just looking at
- 52:42Speaker 4: this a little bit more. And then you look at
- 52:44Speaker 4: Jacob Lopez, like you said, that guy sucks man. He's
- 52:47Speaker 4: give up six home runs in his last like fifteen innings. Nates,
- 52:50Speaker 4: He's just been absolutely terrible. But the thing that gets
- 52:54Speaker 4: me right now is Nads. It's just kind of killing
- 52:56Speaker 4: me not making them my old number one overall stack
- 53:00Speaker 4: is in the last week, they can't hit theirself out
- 53:02Speaker 4: of a fucking paper bag. Their ops is a team
- 53:05Speaker 4: is four to twenty eight. It's like one hundred and
- 53:06Speaker 4: fifty points lower than the fucking next team up, bobb up.
- 53:09Speaker 4: They suck in the last week, like literally suck. So
- 53:13Speaker 4: either this is a total get right game against Lopez
- 53:16Speaker 4: and they're gonna fucking nuke it tonight, or they're just
- 53:19Speaker 4: gonna keep on sucking. So to me, Aid's I mean,
- 53:22Speaker 4: I would love to call my number one stack, but
- 53:24Speaker 4: I always like caution when a team can't hit in
- 53:27Speaker 4: recent times, and the Angels fit that bill big time, man,
- 53:31Speaker 4: like the big time. But then you weigh it out.
- 53:32Speaker 4: You got Jacob Lopez who's just been absolute ass and
- 53:36Speaker 4: that a's bullpen is assd But I'll tell you what,
- 53:38Speaker 4: if that a's bullpen was good, I wouldn't want nothing
- 53:41Speaker 4: to do with the Angels, to be truthful with you.
- 53:43Speaker 4: But that Angel, that a's bullpen is not good at all.
- 53:47Speaker 4: So you know, I I do like the matchup for
- 53:50Speaker 4: the Angels. I'm just concerned. The Angels have just been
- 53:54Speaker 4: just bad. I mean, you look at them here and
- 53:57Speaker 4: the like I said, they're at four to twenty eight
- 53:59Speaker 4: in the last seven day's ops. The next worst team
- 54:02Speaker 4: is at five eighty one. I mean they're like just bad, Aids.
- 54:06Speaker 4: So that isn't my concern, but maybe it is a
- 54:10Speaker 4: good get right spot for him. We know they're not
- 54:12Speaker 4: that bad of a team. They're really cheap too. I
- 54:15Speaker 4: mean that's the other thing. It's just another team you
- 54:17Speaker 4: can stack up with those top two arms. I mean,
- 54:20Speaker 4: even Trout's really not that expensive. Of course Solaire is
- 54:23Speaker 4: gonna be expensive Adele, but I mean it's a it's
- 54:27Speaker 4: a fairly cheap stack. So I think they're gonna be
- 54:29Speaker 4: fairly popular today. And you know, you start thinking about it, like, man,
- 54:33Speaker 4: they're not hitting, they're gonna be popular. I understand why,
- 54:37Speaker 4: you know, It's just it's to me, I want to
- 54:40Speaker 4: like it, but Naids, it's like my inner self is
- 54:43Speaker 4: telling me that's donkey chock, you know what I mean,
- 54:46Speaker 4: Like you know what I'm saying for you know, big guy,
- 54:49Speaker 4: and this guy is telling me there's a donkey chok.
- 54:51Speaker 4: They can't fucking hit. So it's like, hmm, so that's
- 54:55Speaker 4: my thing. Like I want to like it, Naids. I
- 54:57Speaker 4: really do, but then it's just part of me saying
- 55:00Speaker 4: like no, man, I just can't. Like they're just been bad.
- 55:04Speaker 4: It's just hard for me to play a team that's
- 55:06Speaker 4: been bad. Yeah, no, I definitely get it.
- 55:09Speaker 3: I mean, this dude just gets murdered against Righty's Jacob
- 55:12Speaker 3: Lopez does, and I'm gonna take a shot. Adele Netto, Praza,
- 55:17Speaker 3: Mike Trout, Solaire are kind of the main five. I'm
- 55:20Speaker 3: looking at. Grissom would be the sixth guy. I don't care.
- 55:25Speaker 3: It's I don't care what they've done for me lately.
- 55:28Speaker 3: I think they're gonna get played. But like I said,
- 55:31Speaker 3: Corsfield's gonna pull enough ownership away from them. They fit
- 55:34Speaker 3: the builds. You can fit them with the expected expensive pitching,
- 55:37Speaker 3: which I like. The A's bullpen's not good, it's good, hitting, weather,
- 55:41Speaker 3: everything points here. I do think the A's side of
- 55:43Speaker 3: this game, though, are pretty damn interesting because nobody's gonna
- 55:47Speaker 3: play them. Everybody's gonna be on reed det Mars laying
- 55:50Speaker 3: Lears hits left. He's really good historically, Rooker hits left.
- 55:54Speaker 3: He's really good.
- 55:55Speaker 2: BOLTI is super cheap as a ton of potential.
- 55:58Speaker 4: Right.
- 55:58Speaker 2: This dude is a double threat power and speed.
- 56:00Speaker 3: He's twenty eight hundred geeloff, he's solid, her and eyes
- 56:04Speaker 3: has been hitting lefties decent.
- 56:07Speaker 2: I like both offenses in this.
- 56:09Speaker 3: One over over a lot of the slate overall. So
- 56:14Speaker 3: I'm gonna be in on this game just the way
- 56:17Speaker 3: my lineups are gonna be. And I know the Angels
- 56:20Speaker 3: bet have not been great lately, but I'm gonna pay
- 56:22Speaker 3: to find out. And hey, if they don't do it,
- 56:24Speaker 3: guess what. There's another baseball slate Tomorrow, Thursday, Friday, Saturday,
- 56:28Speaker 3: Sunday and plenty more weeks had as well, and I'll
- 56:31Speaker 3: be playing there.
- 56:32Speaker 2: So that's that's the nature of it.
- 56:34Speaker 3: Next spot, last three games on the slates, the late
- 56:38Speaker 3: window here, White Sox Mariners. I know we see Louis
- 56:42Speaker 3: Castile here. I think there's some there's it's kind of
- 56:45Speaker 3: up in the air between him and Bryce Miller. I
- 56:47Speaker 3: don't really care either of them who it is, because
- 56:50Speaker 3: both of them are trash against lefties. And I know
- 56:53Speaker 3: this park sucks for hitting, but I don't really think
- 56:56Speaker 3: Marikami hit cares where the fuck he's hitting. I don't
- 56:59Speaker 3: think Coolsamonk cares where the fuck he's hitting. Jared Kellenick
- 57:02Speaker 3: is twenty four hundred, and this dude's been hitting bombs
- 57:04Speaker 3: since he's come back up to the majors, Drew Romol.
- 57:07Speaker 3: You got a switch hitting catcher who's showing a ton
- 57:09Speaker 3: of power. I think the I think the White Sox
- 57:13Speaker 3: in this one are pretty interesting on a slate where
- 57:16Speaker 3: we don't expect a lot of offense anyways, g Rysen
- 57:18Speaker 3: so you I know Seattle doesn't. It's not a great
- 57:22Speaker 3: spot to play bats from, but I don't know the
- 57:25Speaker 3: lefties for the White Sox in tournaments when nobody's playing them,
- 57:29Speaker 3: I think it's pretty interesting against two pitchers who, yeah,
- 57:32Speaker 3: are better at home, but have big splits against lefties
- 57:36Speaker 3: compared to righties. What do you see in this one
- 57:38Speaker 3: Seattle and White Sox, I will say on the on
- 57:40Speaker 3: the Mariner side, I think they fit the bill for
- 57:43Speaker 3: mini stacks. Rofh Niers probably only getting two at bats
- 57:46Speaker 3: once Anthony Kay's out of there.
- 57:47Speaker 2: Don't expect him to see much longer. He's twenty two hundred.
- 57:50Speaker 3: Could do it in his first one or two at bats,
- 57:53Speaker 3: I will say, though, j Rod Randy and Rose Rain
- 57:55Speaker 3: are super interesting. Mitch Garvert as a cheap catcher who
- 57:59Speaker 3: history Berkeley, has made a career and made a living
- 58:02Speaker 3: on hitting left hand of pitching.
- 58:04Speaker 2: Mariners are more mini stacks for me.
- 58:06Speaker 3: White socks are probably better as a mini stack, but
- 58:08Speaker 3: I'm definitely gonna have some full Mariner white Sox lefty
- 58:11Speaker 3: stacks here against whoever goes for the Mariners. I expected
- 58:14Speaker 3: to be Bryce Miller, but I did hear some stuff
- 58:16Speaker 3: about Luis Casill.
- 58:17Speaker 2: Go ahead and break this one down.
- 58:19Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean, this one's interesting. I mean the Mariners
- 58:22Speaker 4: side I think is interesting. This is Anthony k has
- 58:25Speaker 4: just not been very good at all, especially against righties.
- 58:28Speaker 4: His K percentage like eleven percent and his walk percentage
- 58:31Speaker 4: is twelve percent. He's just been getting hit hard twelve
- 58:34Speaker 4: percent barrel rate to the righties. I mean, you get Julio.
- 58:37Speaker 4: I believe he had a home run yesterday or the
- 58:39Speaker 4: day before that I saw on the highlight. So I
- 58:41Speaker 4: mean Julio gets going. That guy gets going to Rose
- 58:44Speaker 4: Rain is the same kind of guy. Garver's always hit left.
- 58:47Speaker 4: He's well Rush Schneider, I think, I mean, like you
- 58:50Speaker 4: mentioned it before, you don't we don't really like the
- 58:52Speaker 4: park for offense. But I don't think there's anything that
- 58:55Speaker 4: just stands out today as far as a position that
- 58:59Speaker 4: the offenses are in that I really fear. So I
- 59:01Speaker 4: think that the Mariners are a pretty good pivot off
- 59:04Speaker 4: some of these other teams that people are gonna play today.
- 59:06Speaker 4: That's in the late windows. So if you want to
- 59:08Speaker 4: maybe change up a stack that you think maybe the
- 59:10Speaker 4: Angels coming in, you got all Angels and you know
- 59:13Speaker 4: you're behind and you're not going to catch up, maybe
- 59:16Speaker 4: pivot a little bit just some Mariners. I don't mind
- 59:18Speaker 4: that at all here today. So I think the Mariners
- 59:21Speaker 4: are interesting. That White Sox bullpen stinks, so definitely something
- 59:25Speaker 4: to attack there. As far as the White Sox go offensively,
- 59:29Speaker 4: I mean, murre a Coami's just making that lineup really good.
- 59:32Speaker 4: Vargas has been hot, Montgomery fills out the shortstop position. Well,
- 59:37Speaker 4: we're not really concerned about Bryce Miller or Lewis Castile
- 59:40Speaker 4: as far as strikeouts go. So that's there. And the
- 59:44Speaker 4: White Sox are one of the top hitting teams in
- 59:46Speaker 4: baseball at the moment too, so they're definitely in play.
- 59:49Speaker 4: They got some lefties with some power there, so definitely
- 59:52Speaker 4: think they're another team you could you could change and
- 59:55Speaker 4: pivot too. But if you ask me, I do like
- 59:59Speaker 4: Seattle a little bit more. Like I said, Kay just
- 1:00:01Speaker 4: hasn't been good so far to right E's and and
- 1:00:04Speaker 4: I do like the Right's on Seattle. If if I
- 1:00:07Speaker 4: was to say Aids, I'd probably put Seattle around maybe
- 1:00:10Speaker 4: maybe fourth or fifth in my stacks today. I think
- 1:00:13Speaker 4: Seattle is interesting to me.
- 1:00:15Speaker 3: Yeah, I like Seattle a lot more for a mini
- 1:00:17Speaker 3: personally myself because Connor Joe's a pinchick guy.
- 1:00:20Speaker 2: Ref Schneider's a pinch hit split Skuy. Yeah, it'd be a.
- 1:00:25Speaker 3: Rosina, j Rod Mitch Garverer kind of the three main
- 1:00:28Speaker 3: guys I like there, and I just like all the lefties.
- 1:00:31Speaker 3: And you're gonna see seven lefties for for the White Sox.
- 1:00:34Speaker 3: And actually, if there's seven guys I think are playable
- 1:00:37Speaker 3: against the starting pitching, that has.
- 1:00:40Speaker 2: More interest for a stacking perspective there.
- 1:00:42Speaker 3: I know the park sucks, I know the weather's not great,
- 1:00:44Speaker 3: but that's the that's the synopsis of the slate, So
- 1:00:47Speaker 3: I'll take a chance there.
- 1:00:48Speaker 4: Yeah. Yeah, I think what the Mariners needs is Kay
- 1:00:51Speaker 4: does give up some stone bases too, so uh, you know, Julio,
- 1:00:56Speaker 4: they could they could, they could run on them a
- 1:00:58Speaker 4: little bit.
- 1:00:59Speaker 2: Yeah, definitely, definitely.
- 1:01:01Speaker 3: Mariners are live for running and in a game like this,
- 1:01:04Speaker 3: where they obviously play half their games at home, they
- 1:01:08Speaker 3: know how hard it is to produce a ton of
- 1:01:11Speaker 3: runs there, Arose Raino run. Josh Naylor will run too.
- 1:01:14Speaker 3: He's got twelve stone bases on the year, j Rob
- 1:01:17Speaker 3: those are the three main guys. Connor Joel run too.
- 1:01:19Speaker 3: But like I said, you're playing him. He's likely only
- 1:01:22Speaker 3: going to get two at bats there, which does hurt
- 1:01:25Speaker 3: that a little bit. But he's twenty seven hundred, so
- 1:01:27Speaker 3: not not the end of the world there. And if
- 1:01:29Speaker 3: he gets you a single and a stolen base, you're
- 1:01:31Speaker 3: looking at eight points that that could be enough for
- 1:01:34Speaker 3: twenty seven hundred dollars on this slate. Next Butt Dodgers, Padres, Griffin, Cannon,
- 1:01:39Speaker 3: gas Canning on the mound here San Diego not a
- 1:01:43Speaker 3: great place for hitting, But the Dodgers not gonna get
- 1:01:47Speaker 3: played here. I know the Padres bullpen's really good. This
- 1:01:50Speaker 3: is just a bet on talent against gas can In, Griffin, Kannig.
- 1:01:56Speaker 3: You want the lefties, Tucker Otani, Freddie Freeman. I mean,
- 1:02:00Speaker 3: this lineup is just super super deep. They're really good
- 1:02:03Speaker 3: quote unquote. They've been scuffling, but they busted out for
- 1:02:06Speaker 3: what fifteen runs over the weekend. They always have ten
- 1:02:10Speaker 3: plus runs in the repertoire anytime, no matter who it is,
- 1:02:14Speaker 3: unless it's nine ings of maybe Mason Miller or something
- 1:02:17Speaker 3: like that. Right, I think the Dodgers are really really
- 1:02:20Speaker 3: good here on the slate, and like I said, I
- 1:02:22Speaker 3: mean you're seeing them half a.
- 1:02:23Speaker 2: Zoned as the Angels, the.
- 1:02:28Speaker 3: Rangers, the Rockies even right, I'll take a shot on
- 1:02:34Speaker 3: the Dodgers. They are expensive, is the issue, and we
- 1:02:36Speaker 3: like to spend up pitching most Dodgers Stacks or Dodgers
- 1:02:40Speaker 3: are probably gonna have read Detmers. So maybe that's the
- 1:02:43Speaker 3: spot where you go to read Nelson or you go
- 1:02:46Speaker 3: to Libertor instead of Debtmers and you play the maybe
- 1:02:51Speaker 3: like an MS Sheehan and one of those cheap guys
- 1:02:53Speaker 3: to fit your Dodgers, because like we said, g Risen,
- 1:02:56Speaker 3: as good as the top arms are in Mizerewski can
- 1:02:58Speaker 3: cease and they're upside.
- 1:03:00Speaker 2: They do have a path to.
- 1:03:03Speaker 3: Twenty DraftKings points and at their salaries that might not
- 1:03:06Speaker 3: be enough if the Dodgers do their thing and those
- 1:03:08Speaker 3: other guys get you fifteen. Right, So there is it
- 1:03:11Speaker 3: is a path where that top end pitching doesn't.
- 1:03:14Speaker 2: Do enough where they're needed.
- 1:03:16Speaker 3: Probably not as likely as them succeeding, but I did
- 1:03:21Speaker 3: want to throw that out there.
- 1:03:22Speaker 2: So what do you see here, Dodgers and the Padres.
- 1:03:26Speaker 4: Yeah, right, man, I really want to like the Dodgers
- 1:03:29Speaker 4: the most today, but obviously, with their salaries and the
- 1:03:32Speaker 4: way we want to look at pitching, I think it's
- 1:03:34Speaker 4: gonna be tough to jam in the Dodger, especially over
- 1:03:38Speaker 4: on dk fando a little bit easier. They're not as
- 1:03:40Speaker 4: priced up as high. But you know, gas Canning, the
- 1:03:45Speaker 4: dude sucks. Man. He's given up like thirteen earned runs
- 1:03:48Speaker 4: and the ten innings he's pitched the last two starts
- 1:03:50Speaker 4: out he's given up six ironed runs naides. I mean
- 1:03:52Speaker 4: he hasn't even been making it very long now. I
- 1:03:54Speaker 4: will say the Padre bullpen's decent, so you know, that's
- 1:03:59Speaker 4: definitely something of a little bit concerned. But I think
- 1:04:02Speaker 4: the Dodgers are going to be a lower own position.
- 1:04:04Speaker 4: I think they're in a better spot than like the
- 1:04:06Speaker 4: Yankees are. Obviously with the Yankees pitching matchup they have
- 1:04:09Speaker 4: there with Cease, but I do think the Dodgers I
- 1:04:13Speaker 4: want to have them come in as my top stack.
- 1:04:14Speaker 4: But it's just tough because you got to make a
- 1:04:16Speaker 4: concession down there in the pitching and go with the
- 1:04:18Speaker 4: guy like you mentioned, a libator or one of those
- 1:04:21Speaker 4: lower end guys. So you know, obviously, for me, like
- 1:04:24Speaker 4: you mentioned, if I'm playing some Dodgers, I'll probably try
- 1:04:26Speaker 4: to get a little bit different if you're on DK
- 1:04:28Speaker 4: on the mound. But I think I can make it
- 1:04:30Speaker 4: work with like Miz and some Dodgers or season some
- 1:04:33Speaker 4: Dodgers on FANDLE just because it's just a little easier
- 1:04:36Speaker 4: pricing over there. But Griffin Canning's definitely got we want
- 1:04:40Speaker 4: to go after. You know, it's just too bad that
- 1:04:42Speaker 4: bullpen's pretty decent today, or i'd really have the Dodgers
- 1:04:44Speaker 4: ranked number one. But like I said, it was for me,
- 1:04:47Speaker 4: I was like looking in between, like the Twins, the Dodgers,
- 1:04:49Speaker 4: the Angels. You know, I was looking at those three teams,
- 1:04:52Speaker 4: and you know, the Angels. The thing that just like
- 1:04:54Speaker 4: I said, kept smacking in the face is how bad
- 1:04:56Speaker 4: they've been, you know lately. So you know, to me,
- 1:05:00Speaker 4: I got them all up there in the top here today.
- 1:05:02Speaker 4: But just because of the salary, the roster construction, I
- 1:05:06Speaker 4: think the Dodgers are gonna fall down a little bit
- 1:05:08Speaker 4: more for me on DK just because you're gonna have
- 1:05:10Speaker 4: to make that concession at pitching. But man, I think
- 1:05:13Speaker 4: the Dodgers are in a pretty good spot.
- 1:05:16Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm with you.
- 1:05:17Speaker 3: I have the Dodgers ranked really high up my list here,
- 1:05:20Speaker 3: even with that Padgers bullpen there, but they're they're fairly
- 1:05:23Speaker 3: taxed the top end of that bullpen. I mean thirty five,
- 1:05:26Speaker 3: thirty three to twenty eight two of those guys through
- 1:05:29Speaker 3: twenty five and twenty two, including Mason Miller yesterday. So
- 1:05:33Speaker 3: Mason Miller is likely unavailable in this game. I doubt
- 1:05:36Speaker 3: they go back to back with him. Obviously, they're about
- 1:05:39Speaker 3: to drop three hundred and sixty million or whatever it
- 1:05:41Speaker 3: is on him, making him the highest paid reliever in
- 1:05:45Speaker 3: MLB history for a good reason.
- 1:05:46Speaker 4: Right.
- 1:05:47Speaker 3: The dude's a freak. He threw twenty two yesterday, right,
- 1:05:51Speaker 3: So I don't think he's going to go back to back, right.
- 1:05:53Speaker 3: He typically doesn't do that, especially when he threw thirty
- 1:05:56Speaker 3: four pitches five days ago or four days ago. Right,
- 1:06:00Speaker 3: So I do think I do think that helps the
- 1:06:03Speaker 3: case there for the stack. I know the park sucks,
- 1:06:05Speaker 3: but there's not great hitting whether really outside of the
- 1:06:08Speaker 3: Yankee stadium right and the Yankees are facing Dylan Cee's
- 1:06:11Speaker 3: in the best bullpen in baseball right there with Toronto.
- 1:06:14Speaker 3: So yeah, next game of the slate, we're out in
- 1:06:17Speaker 3: the desert. Roof is going to be open. Here, Landon Roope,
- 1:06:20Speaker 3: Reeing Nelson, two arms that we had interest in. I
- 1:06:24Speaker 3: think you could play the Giants though, here Reeing Nelson
- 1:06:27Speaker 3: when you peel back the onion here, Dee Risen. We
- 1:06:30Speaker 3: were just had interest in him because he was super cheap,
- 1:06:33Speaker 3: and he was a fraction of the ownership of redet
- 1:06:36Speaker 3: Mars for cheaper. And the Giants have just not been
- 1:06:39Speaker 3: a great offense this season against right handed pitching at all.
- 1:06:43Speaker 3: I still do think, I mean, I still do think
- 1:06:46Speaker 3: that the Giants are fairly interesting on an overall pretty
- 1:06:48Speaker 3: weak offensive slate. Here, you look at Nelson. He doesn't
- 1:06:51Speaker 3: keep the ball on the ground. He's got a sixty
- 1:06:54Speaker 3: percent fly ball right to right handed hitters over fifty
- 1:06:57Speaker 3: six plate appearances the last thirty days. I mean, that's
- 1:07:00Speaker 3: near every fucking ball getting hit in the air. I mean,
- 1:07:04Speaker 3: you look at the Giants, Casey Schmid I think is
- 1:07:06Speaker 3: one of the best players on the slate. That dude
- 1:07:08Speaker 3: always hits the ball in the air. Susak, you got
- 1:07:10Speaker 3: a super cheap catcher if he's in there. Devers Chapman,
- 1:07:14Speaker 3: Ariyaz who never strikes out, ball is gonna be put
- 1:07:16Speaker 3: in play.
- 1:07:17Speaker 2: Will Brennan if he's in there.
- 1:07:18Speaker 3: I think the Giants are pretty interesting in tournaments at
- 1:07:21Speaker 3: no ownership, and I mean, you're gonna see the Giants
- 1:07:24Speaker 3: lower on than Nelson on a slate where I don't know,
- 1:07:28Speaker 3: offense is pretty weak. It's good hitting weather here, it's
- 1:07:31Speaker 3: mid eighties in the desert, and the Dbaks bullpen is
- 1:07:35Speaker 3: nothing crazy. Giants bullpen is terrible. So I think you
- 1:07:38Speaker 3: could see runs in this game. Overall, I much prefer
- 1:07:42Speaker 3: the Giants side than I do the Diamondback side. Slanton
- 1:07:44Speaker 3: Roop is just a guy typically kind of goes out there,
- 1:07:47Speaker 3: gets you six innings, limits damage. Diamondbacks could do it
- 1:07:52Speaker 3: late game, they could do it against him, but I
- 1:07:55Speaker 3: much prefer as a stack the Giant side of the
- 1:07:57Speaker 3: so on, what do you see the Romas out?
- 1:08:00Speaker 4: Yeah, I mean I think the Giants are really interesting.
- 1:08:01Speaker 4: You just look at Reeen Nelson's numbers from last year
- 1:08:04Speaker 4: to this year, you know. I mean, he's already pretty
- 1:08:08Speaker 4: much been at one hundred hitters on both sides of
- 1:08:10Speaker 4: the plate so far this year, and his ground ball
- 1:08:12Speaker 4: percentages are way lower than they were last year, like
- 1:08:16Speaker 4: forty two percent to twenty eight percent to the left side.
- 1:08:20Speaker 4: I mean, that's a huge difference. His flyball rates are
- 1:08:22Speaker 4: way higher, almost eight percent points higher on the left side,
- 1:08:27Speaker 4: and he's at a fifty percent flyball rate to the
- 1:08:29Speaker 4: right side. Now that's definitely concerning if you're looking at that,
- 1:08:35Speaker 4: He's really not He's getting buriled up on both sides.
- 1:08:38Speaker 4: His ball of his bab ups are pretty high. So
- 1:08:43Speaker 4: I think Devers is interesting too as a one off
- 1:08:46Speaker 4: type play. But yeah, they got some pop there at
- 1:08:48Speaker 4: the top of that lineup, so I think that's definitely interesting.
- 1:08:52Speaker 4: Aaron's Zona's bullpens on the better side of things, I
- 1:08:55Speaker 4: wouldn't say it's bad or great for any matter, but
- 1:08:59Speaker 4: there are are decent But yeah, I think Nelson's definitely attackable.
- 1:09:04Speaker 4: I think, you know, like out there in Arizona, I
- 1:09:06Speaker 4: don't think anybody's gonna replay them. They're another cheap stack
- 1:09:09Speaker 4: and that's just another team needs that's in that late window.
- 1:09:12Speaker 4: Like I was trying to explain how the slate's broken
- 1:09:14Speaker 4: up here tonight, the way it's broken up, so like
- 1:09:17Speaker 4: you know, if you're way behind or you're behind, and
- 1:09:20Speaker 4: you you know, look and you got guys that looks like, oh,
- 1:09:23Speaker 4: you know, they got still three four hitters left coming in,
- 1:09:25Speaker 4: and you're pretty much guessing it's probably gonna be some angels. Well,
- 1:09:28Speaker 4: you know, switch to some mariners, maybe switch to some giants.
- 1:09:32Speaker 4: I think, you know, I think that would be a
- 1:09:34Speaker 4: good way to, uh to maybe to try to get
- 1:09:38Speaker 4: yourself in a better position to get some cash tonight.
- 1:09:40Speaker 4: So yeah, I like the way the slate's broken up, Aids.
- 1:09:43Speaker 4: I think it's interesting we got too high in pitching
- 1:09:45Speaker 4: that it really isn't being talked about. I think we
- 1:09:47Speaker 4: got some bats that we can play that are gonna
- 1:09:49Speaker 4: be fairly cheap. UH don't have really too many high
- 1:09:52Speaker 4: you know, team totals that are running a half two
- 1:09:54Speaker 4: runs higher than anybody else. So yeah, I think it's
- 1:09:58Speaker 4: gonna be a good Tuesday night of baseball. We're gonna
- 1:10:00Speaker 4: see a bunch of ship at logos like usual up
- 1:10:02Speaker 4: there at the top of these tourneys. Hopefully it just
- 1:10:05Speaker 4: says gee rising next to it, but uh yeah, I
- 1:10:08Speaker 4: mean I'm looking forward to it. Should be, uh should
- 1:10:10Speaker 4: be a pretty fun slate tonight.
- 1:10:12Speaker 2: Yeah, should be. Uh should be fun. Let's close it out,
- 1:10:14Speaker 2: how we ever?
- 1:10:14Speaker 3: Do I always do your favorite two pitching pairing, your
- 1:10:19Speaker 3: top three stacks, and then a home run call for
- 1:10:21Speaker 3: the people?
- 1:10:22Speaker 4: Yeah, I think I'm gonna go mizz and Cea. This
- 1:10:24Speaker 4: is my favorite there. But like I said, if you
- 1:10:26Speaker 4: wanna if you want to mix it up a little bit,
- 1:10:28Speaker 4: I think landing roops interesting.
- 1:10:31Speaker 3: Uh.
- 1:10:31Speaker 4: I mean, if you wanted to go Nielsen everythow, I
- 1:10:33Speaker 4: just sat and ripped down it for a couple of minutes.
- 1:10:36Speaker 4: But uh yeah, I think for me, I'd probably stay
- 1:10:38Speaker 4: up in the high end as far as stacks. Like
- 1:10:40Speaker 4: I said, Twins, Angels, Dodgers for me are are definitely
- 1:10:44Speaker 4: all up there. And if we're gonna call a home
- 1:10:47Speaker 4: run call, I'm just gonna go to uh, you know what,
- 1:10:53Speaker 4: I'll go to the Dodgers and against gas Can, I'm
- 1:10:58Speaker 4: gonna go with free money Freddy to hit me.
- 1:11:03Speaker 3: A home run tonight, Bredd, He's gonna find some power
- 1:11:06Speaker 3: in his bat and hit one deep in San Diego.
- 1:11:10Speaker 4: I do like that.
- 1:11:12Speaker 3: I really like peering miss and seas together as well.
- 1:11:15Speaker 3: But I'll say Miz and MTT sheehan for the case
- 1:11:18Speaker 3: of the show to be a little different than you.
- 1:11:21Speaker 3: Angel is gonna be my top overall offense. I know
- 1:11:23Speaker 3: we do different there. I think the White Sox lefties
- 1:11:26Speaker 3: are very interesting. I think the Giants are super super interesting.
- 1:11:29Speaker 3: And then at no ownership, I think the Yankees have
- 1:11:32Speaker 3: definitely a ton of power to break the slate overall.
- 1:11:36Speaker 3: On the slate my home run call, I'm going to
- 1:11:38Speaker 3: the Giants. I'm going to Casey Schmidt. Talked about him
- 1:11:40Speaker 3: a ton. Price is nice. He's been murdering Baseball's fly
- 1:11:44Speaker 3: ball guy in Nelson. I mean, you're talking to fifty
- 1:11:47Speaker 3: flyball right in one hundred plate appearances. That's absurd. Usually
- 1:11:51Speaker 3: you're you're seeing like the twenty five thirty percent range.
- 1:11:54Speaker 3: He's significantly almost twice as bad as majority of the
- 1:11:58Speaker 3: starting pitchers in this league. So I'll take my chances there,
- 1:12:01Speaker 3: Casey Schmidt. To close up the show, appreciate everyone tuning in.
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- 1:12:27Speaker 3: I said, good luck tonight, hope see those shipping nation
- 1:12:29Speaker 3: logos at the top World See you tomorrow.
- 1:12:32Speaker 2: We're out here. Peace