Latest / The David Rubenstein Show / David Solomon
Transcript
- 0:03Speaker 1: One of the most significant investment banks in the world
- 0:05Speaker 1: is Goldman Sachs. It's had a gloried history. Recently, I
- 0:08Speaker 1: had a chance to sit down with the current CEO
- 0:10Speaker 1: of that firm, David Solomon, to ask him about the
- 0:13Speaker 1: Federal Reserve, operating Goldman Sachs, and the current economic environment.
- 0:17Speaker 1: So let's talk about some government matters. Now, you're in Washington,
- 0:22Speaker 1: the Federal Reserve. You've talked about the importance of the
- 0:25Speaker 1: FED being independent. So are you worried about the independence
- 0:29Speaker 1: of the FED? And the Secretary of Treasuries announced five
- 0:31Speaker 1: potential next chairs of the FED. Any of them or
- 0:36Speaker 1: all of them acceptable to you?
- 0:40Speaker 2: Well, let's get right into it.
- 0:41Speaker 1: David.
- 0:44Speaker 2: First of all, I just say and I think it's
- 0:46Speaker 2: a point that's worth emphasizing central bank independence, not just
- 0:50Speaker 2: here in the United States, but around the world. I
- 0:52Speaker 2: think it's served us very very well, and I think
- 0:54Speaker 2: it's something that we should speak out for, we should
- 0:57Speaker 2: strive for, and I think it's important. I'm not going
- 1:00Speaker 2: to comment on the individuals other than to say I
- 1:02Speaker 2: think all five individuals, you know, carry skills and experience
- 1:06Speaker 2: that could make them credible candidates to be a FED chair.
- 1:09Speaker 2: I think we all know that there's one person that's
- 1:11Speaker 2: going to make that decision is to the next Ed Shair.
- 1:13Speaker 1: And sometimes the government of the United States is moving
- 1:16Speaker 1: oscillating its policies a bit. Going tariffs are the things
- 1:20Speaker 1: Has that made it difficult to do well on Wall
- 1:22Speaker 1: Street for Wall Street firms or the Wall Street firms
- 1:25Speaker 1: seen to be doing okay? But has the changing in
- 1:27Speaker 1: policy of what the tariff we're having here or not
- 1:29Speaker 1: having it or other kinds of things, has it been
- 1:31Speaker 1: difficult for Wall Street firms to deal with what the
- 1:34Speaker 1: administration is doing or is actually not a big.
- 1:36Speaker 2: Problem government policy makers? You know, there's always uncertainty, there's
- 1:42Speaker 2: always unpredictability in all different kinds of administrations. And I
- 1:47Speaker 2: think our job as business leaders is to adapt and
- 1:50Speaker 2: to adjust and deal with it. Can'tidy. I think that's
- 1:53Speaker 2: that's what I think we do. Right.
- 1:54Speaker 1: So, the debt of the United States is now thirty
- 1:56Speaker 1: eight trillion dollars. Some people would say that's a lot.
- 2:00Speaker 1: Why is the businessman not worried about? As a general,
- 2:02Speaker 1: they don't seem to be as worried about the thirty
- 2:04Speaker 1: eight trillion as I would have thought they would be well.
- 2:06Speaker 2: I speak to a lot of people in the business
- 2:08Speaker 2: community and a lot of people in the financial community,
- 2:09Speaker 2: and I think people are worried about the level of
- 2:12Speaker 2: debt and the fact that we've reached a point. And
- 2:16Speaker 2: by the way, this is true in the United States,
- 2:17Speaker 2: but it's true when every developed economy where kind of
- 2:20Speaker 2: fiscal stimulus and an aggressive fiscal play is really just
- 2:24Speaker 2: kind of embedded in the way these democratic economies are operating.
- 2:28Speaker 2: And it's accelerated meaningfully in the last five years. I
- 2:32Speaker 2: think the pandemic, you know, played an accelerating role, and
- 2:35Speaker 2: it doesn't seem like we have an ability to pull
- 2:37Speaker 2: it back. And so we've taken the debt you know,
- 2:40Speaker 2: in the last fifteen plus years, kind of since the
- 2:42Speaker 2: financial crisis, from seven trillion to thirty eight trillion, and
- 2:47Speaker 2: just refinancing it for the rest of the Decade's what's
- 2:50Speaker 2: got to be refinanced. If you look at current rates,
- 2:54Speaker 2: you know, is going to grow it into the low forties,
- 2:56Speaker 2: you know for sure. And we're growing our spending at
- 3:00Speaker 2: a reasonable rate still, and so this is an issue
- 3:02Speaker 2: we have to wrestle with now. The path out really
- 3:06Speaker 2: isn't a revenue path out. The path out is a
- 3:08Speaker 2: growth path path and you know, if you think about it,
- 3:10Speaker 2: the difference you know, trend growth is two percent. The
- 3:13Speaker 2: difference between compound and growth of three percent and two
- 3:15Speaker 2: percent is monstrous in terms of dealing with this issue.
- 3:19Speaker 2: So there's a lot of discussion about running, you know,
- 3:22Speaker 2: a real growth play. I think we have some things
- 3:24Speaker 2: that are going on that give us a better opportunity
- 3:28Speaker 2: to have a higher growth trajectory, particularly you know, technology
- 3:32Speaker 2: AI getting embedded to the enterprise, the productivity opportunity from that.
- 3:36Speaker 2: But if we continue on the current course and we
- 3:40Speaker 2: don't take the growth level up, we will there will
- 3:43Speaker 2: be a reckoning in this. And the bottom line is
- 3:46Speaker 2: we have to find people, you know, to buy and
- 3:48Speaker 2: finance our debt. And you know, ultimately it's it's not
- 3:52Speaker 2: going to be other people around the world. If it
- 3:54Speaker 2: keeps growing, it's going to turn to us.
- 3:56Speaker 1: Is Wall Street worried about the fact that government is
- 3:58Speaker 1: shut down? I mean this is for a long shutdown
- 4:01Speaker 1: or people on Wall Street saying, well, it don't get
- 4:04Speaker 1: started again at some point, or have you seen the
- 4:06Speaker 1: adverse impact on your business as a result of the
- 4:08Speaker 1: government shutdown.
- 4:09Speaker 2: I think we all should be concerned about the fact
- 4:11Speaker 2: that the government shutdown. And I you know, I think
- 4:14Speaker 2: it's unfortunate that we have government shutdowns, and this one's
- 4:16Speaker 2: now going on for a period of time. As it
- 4:19Speaker 2: goes on longer, it starts to have an economic impact, right,
- 4:22Speaker 2: it starts to filter through the economy. And we're getting
- 4:25Speaker 2: you know, we're getting to that point in.
- 4:27Speaker 1: This Who do you think the shutoffs were for the
- 4:29Speaker 1: shutdown the government? Right, Well, let me ask you. I
- 4:34Speaker 1: know you're not going to answer that question. So every
- 4:38Speaker 1: seven years on average, and the US economy has had
- 4:40Speaker 1: a recession seven year own average. We haven't had a
- 4:43Speaker 1: recession for quite a while. Are you worried about any
- 4:47Speaker 1: potential recession coming or you think the economy is in
- 4:50Speaker 1: pretty good shape?
- 4:51Speaker 2: Well, I think the economy is in pretty good shape
- 4:53Speaker 2: at the moment. And I think when you look at
- 4:56Speaker 2: kind of the give gets, you know, in terms of
- 4:59Speaker 2: tailwinds that winds are there are more tailwinds.
- 5:01Speaker 1: At the moment.
- 5:02Speaker 2: I mean, I go back where we're still running a
- 5:04Speaker 2: pretty aggressive fiscal you know, fiscal play, the AI infrastructure
- 5:08Speaker 2: investment boom you have, you know, you've got six or
- 5:11Speaker 2: seven large companies that are going to spend three hundred
- 5:13Speaker 2: and fifty billion dollars you know, this year on AI infrastructure.
- 5:16Speaker 2: That has an effect on growth. We also, after a
- 5:19Speaker 2: period of kind of heavier regulatory oversight of business broadly,
- 5:25Speaker 2: there's now a pretty clear by this administration, a pretty
- 5:28Speaker 2: clear systematic look at regulation and you know, more of
- 5:33Speaker 2: a view toward what regulation is really necessary and works
- 5:36Speaker 2: as effective. And that's you know, that's a tailwind for
- 5:38Speaker 2: growth and so you all and you also have as
- 5:42Speaker 2: AI gets embedded into the enterprise, you have real productivity gains.
- 5:45Speaker 2: So we've got a big, diverse economy. It's in pretty
- 5:48Speaker 2: good shape at the moment. There are things we can't
- 5:51Speaker 2: see that could set it off, but I think the
- 5:52Speaker 2: chance of a recession and the near term is low.
- 5:55Speaker 2: But that's one of the things about sentiment shifts and
- 5:59Speaker 2: changes and support. You generally don't see them until they're
- 6:02Speaker 2: right in front of you.
- 6:03Speaker 1: On AI, some people would say that there's maybe a
- 6:06Speaker 1: little bit of a bubble in AI. When you have
- 6:08Speaker 1: companies with market caps of five trillion dollars, you don't
- 6:13Speaker 1: see any bubble there at all.
- 6:14Speaker 2: Whenever we have an acceleration in technology and people get
- 6:18Speaker 2: excited about it. You have significant capital formation around new
- 6:23Speaker 2: companies that are trying to capitalize on that opportunity. And
- 6:26Speaker 2: you know, we've seen this before through history, and you're
- 6:29Speaker 2: seeing it, you're seeing it now. It won't be a
- 6:33Speaker 2: straight line. The opportunity set with AI is enormous. There
- 6:37Speaker 2: will be winners and losers, and it's hard to pick
- 6:41Speaker 2: the winners and losers now. And certainly a lot of
- 6:43Speaker 2: the capital that's being deployed will not produce adequate returns,
- 6:48Speaker 2: and a bunch of the capital that's being deployed will actually,
- 6:51Speaker 2: you know, will actually not produce any returns.
- 6:53Speaker 1: But dollar is down about eleven percent or so against
- 6:56Speaker 1: the Euro and some other currencies as well this year.
- 7:00Speaker 2: Yeah year, I mean in the last fifteen years, it's
- 7:02Speaker 2: up monstrously.
- 7:03Speaker 1: Right, But did you worry that it's gone down or
- 7:05Speaker 1: you think it was overvalued? And as a result of
- 7:08Speaker 1: it having gone down, you think the chance of a
- 7:10Speaker 1: Plaza core to orchestrated effort to take it down even
- 7:13Speaker 1: further is unlikely? And you think the dollar decline now
- 7:16Speaker 1: is okay, it's suggusted appropriately.
- 7:19Speaker 2: You know, the dollar has been on a pretty good
- 7:20Speaker 2: run over a long period of time, and it's certainly
- 7:22Speaker 2: given back this year given some of the policy actions,
- 7:25Speaker 2: some of the gains. But fundamentally, the dollar is the
- 7:28Speaker 2: reserve currency of the world. I don't see anything at
- 7:30Speaker 2: the moment that threatens that. I'm not concerned that there's
- 7:33Speaker 2: some fundamental shift. And actually, when you think about digitization
- 7:36Speaker 2: and tokenization and access to the dollar, you know, over
- 7:40Speaker 2: time it's actually allowing easier access to the dollar around
- 7:43Speaker 2: the world, which in the long run is a benefit
- 7:45Speaker 2: for the dollar and the dollar's position in the world.
- 7:46Speaker 1: What about crypto? Is crypto now important for Wall Street?
- 7:50Speaker 1: It's an important business? And are you a big believer
- 7:53Speaker 1: in the viability and the good investment opportunities? And related
- 7:58Speaker 1: to crypto.
- 7:58Speaker 2: I'm a big believer in the technology of the blockchain
- 8:01Speaker 2: and the ability for us to change the financial infrastructure
- 8:06Speaker 2: the rails to increase speed and decrease friction, and that's
- 8:10Speaker 2: a very very good thing for the system. That's different
- 8:13Speaker 2: than a debate on the long term value of bitcoin.
- 8:16Speaker 2: I don't have a I think bitcoin looks like a
- 8:18Speaker 2: store of value. I don't have a real long term view,
- 8:21Speaker 2: you know, on that a strong long term view, but
- 8:23Speaker 2: I do. I do have a very strong view about tokenization, digitization,
- 8:28Speaker 2: stable coins, and innovation around the whole financial infrastructure. It's coming,
- 8:33Speaker 2: it's coming at a very quick pace, and to the
- 8:35Speaker 2: degree that it increases speed, reduces friction, and allows for
- 8:40Speaker 2: a more secure system, I think that's a very very
- 8:43Speaker 2: good thing.
- 8:43Speaker 1: So firms like yours seem to have two main businesses.
- 8:46Speaker 1: I'll say one is investment banking and together is trading,
- 8:49Speaker 1: which is stronger. Right now, investment banking or trading are
- 8:52Speaker 1: both doing well.
- 8:53Speaker 2: They're both big, important businesses, and it's evolved a little bit, David,
- 8:56Speaker 2: because the way we run these businesses now we run
- 8:58Speaker 2: it as one business global banking and markets, and it's
- 9:01Speaker 2: our investment banking, fixed income, currencies and commodities and equities,
- 9:05Speaker 2: franchises and the RUE is one business. We've obviously had
- 9:08Speaker 2: an extraordinary leadership position in investment banking and M and A,
- 9:12Speaker 2: and we've maintained and strengthened that. But in our trading businesses,
- 9:16Speaker 2: we've increased our wallet share with our clients over the
- 9:18Speaker 2: last five years by three hundred and eighty basis points,
- 9:20Speaker 2: and so we've really created an ecosystem by getting these
- 9:23Speaker 2: businesses to work together as one. Goldman sachs that our
- 9:26Speaker 2: clients really feel like they've benefited from and so we've
- 9:29Speaker 2: seen growth in those relatively mature businesses because of that.
- 9:32Speaker 1: When COVID came, a lot of people work by zoom
- 9:35Speaker 1: they had to really and then when COVID was over,
- 9:38Speaker 1: people were urging their employees to come back to work.
- 9:41Speaker 1: And there's still a little bit of a fight on
- 9:43Speaker 1: Wall Street about whether people should work in the office
- 9:46Speaker 1: five days a week or four days a week. What
- 9:47Speaker 1: is your policy.
- 9:48Speaker 2: We don't have a policy. We work. Ours is a
- 9:52Speaker 2: culture of teamwork and collaboration and apprenticeship, and that works
- 9:56Speaker 2: when people come together. But people also travel to see
- 9:59Speaker 2: clients and people all so have busy, complex lives and
- 10:01Speaker 2: we have to give them flexibility. We did that before COVID,
- 10:04Speaker 2: we do that now. But fundamentally, people show up, they work.
- 10:08Speaker 2: We don't have rules. They get their jobs done, they're accountable,
- 10:10Speaker 2: they're present, and you know, we we come together.
- 10:14Speaker 1: That's what We don't care if they're in the office
- 10:16Speaker 1: five days or three days, as long as a job
- 10:17Speaker 1: against done.
- 10:18Speaker 2: As long as as long as they're doing what they
- 10:20Speaker 2: need to do. And part of what you need to
- 10:21Speaker 2: do is you need to be present, You need to
- 10:22Speaker 2: mentor people. By the way, young people, they're coming to
- 10:25Speaker 2: Golden Sacks to learn. All these young people we were
- 10:27Speaker 2: talking about, they want to be present in the office
- 10:29Speaker 2: and they want senior people around them.
- 10:31Speaker 1: They want to learn what brings you to Washington other
- 10:33Speaker 1: than this event, what you're doing and what what are
- 10:35Speaker 1: you doing in Washington today?
- 10:36Speaker 2: Principally, fifteen years ago, we created a program at Golden
- 10:39Speaker 2: Sacks called ten Thousand Small Businesses. We had a thesis
- 10:44Speaker 2: that if we could provide some boot camp business education
- 10:50Speaker 2: for small businesses. Given the importance that small businesses play
- 10:54Speaker 2: in our economy here in the United States, the entrepreneurial spirit.
- 10:56Speaker 2: I think thirty five percent of the private workforce in
- 10:59Speaker 2: the United States as small businesses, that if we could
- 11:02Speaker 2: make an investment in that community and use our expertise,
- 11:06Speaker 2: our knowledge and transmitted into that community, it would spur
- 11:09Speaker 2: more investment, more economic growth. A few years ago, we
- 11:12Speaker 2: created a platform called ten Thousand Businesses Voices to bring
- 11:16Speaker 2: graduates of that program to d C periodically to go
- 11:20Speaker 2: up on the hill and spend time with members and
- 11:23Speaker 2: senators on policy issues. And so we have two thousand
- 11:26Speaker 2: small businesses here. When you think about the power of
- 11:28Speaker 2: the US economy, you can't understate how important this entrepreneurial spirit.
- 11:33Speaker 2: It's different from other places in the world.
- 11:35Speaker 1: Let's talk about your background. Where were you born.
- 11:39Speaker 2: I was born in Westchester County, outside New York City,
- 11:42Speaker 2: White Pins, White Plains.
- 11:43Speaker 1: Name, And what did your parents do.
- 11:45Speaker 2: My father had a financial printing business, like mutual fund Perspectuses,
- 11:49Speaker 2: and you know Perspectus is in Manhattan, a small financial
- 11:54Speaker 2: printing business. He was actually quite smart. He sold it
- 11:57Speaker 2: in two thousand to one of the big financial printers
- 12:00Speaker 2: that didn't exist after twenty ten. So I think he
- 12:03Speaker 2: made I think he made a good trade. My mom
- 12:05Speaker 2: was an audiologist at the Berke Rebilitation Hospital in White Plains.
- 12:09Speaker 1: And were you a star student when you were in
- 12:11Speaker 1: elementary or junior high school or high school?
- 12:13Speaker 2: I would not say I was a star student. I
- 12:15Speaker 2: would say that I was a distracted student, meaning I
- 12:19Speaker 2: have lots of interests, and you know, studying hard was
- 12:23Speaker 2: not one of them. There was a point when I
- 12:25Speaker 2: really kind of got it when I was in college.
- 12:27Speaker 2: But I would say I coasted more through through high school.
- 12:32Speaker 1: To an athlete. Were you an athlete?
- 12:34Speaker 2: I was. I was an athlete, but I was extremely mediocre,
- 12:36Speaker 2: extremely mediocre.
- 12:38Speaker 1: I know the feeling. Okay, So, so you went to
- 12:41Speaker 1: Hamilton College because you admired Alexander Hamilton or.
- 12:44Speaker 2: Well, I went to Hamilton College because I didn't get
- 12:46Speaker 2: into Williams.
- 12:48Speaker 1: Well, but you're the chair.
- 12:49Speaker 2: But Hamilton College is a great school. I'm really glad.
- 12:52Speaker 2: I'm really glad that I went there.
- 12:54Speaker 1: You're the chair.
- 12:55Speaker 2: I've voted the last twenty five years to service there
- 12:58Speaker 2: and I do chair the board.
- 12:59Speaker 1: Of the board. Now, fantastic enact Congratulations. So are you
- 13:03Speaker 1: graduated from Hamilton? What did you major in?
- 13:06Speaker 2: I majored in political science and I thought, I really
- 13:09Speaker 2: thought I was going to go to law school.
- 13:12Speaker 1: And you didn't miss anything, trust me.
- 13:15Speaker 2: Well, it was very interesting. You know, all my friends
- 13:19Speaker 2: were moving to New York and if you really think
- 13:21Speaker 2: about it was nineteen eighty four and the financial services
- 13:25Speaker 2: world kind of the bottom of what I would call
- 13:28Speaker 2: was a long drag from the late sixties to nineteen
- 13:31Speaker 2: eighty two. I mean the moment would be September fifteenth,
- 13:33Speaker 2: nineteen eighty two, when the ten year Treasury at fifteen
- 13:36Speaker 2: point nine percent. We were just starting to come out
- 13:39Speaker 2: of that and see equities start to start to move
- 13:41Speaker 2: again in banks and financial firms were creating analyst programs
- 13:45Speaker 2: and banks were creating training programs, and all my friends
- 13:49Speaker 2: were going to New York to do this. I didn't
- 13:51Speaker 2: really know much about finance, but it was an opportunity
- 13:55Speaker 2: to kind of continue what we were doing in college
- 13:58Speaker 2: in an apartment in New York and where you could
- 14:01Speaker 2: earn a salary of twenty two thousand dollars. So I
- 14:03Speaker 2: got a job at the Irving Trust Company, which was
- 14:04Speaker 2: a commercial bank and a bank training program, and I
- 14:09Speaker 2: went to work on Wall Street, actually literally on Wall Street.
- 14:12Speaker 2: Irving Trust headquarters was number one Wall Street.
- 14:16Speaker 1: Did you interview for a job at Goldman Sacks and
- 14:18Speaker 1: get turned down?
- 14:19Speaker 2: I didn't interview. I sent a letter asking for an interview,
- 14:21Speaker 2: and I got a reply back saying no, thank you.
- 14:23Speaker 1: After Irving you went where.
- 14:25Speaker 2: Back in those days, generally speaking, if you wanted a
- 14:27Speaker 2: career on Wall Street, you had to go to business school.
- 14:29Speaker 2: And so in the fall of nineteen eighty five and
- 14:33Speaker 2: early nineteen eighty six, I was applying to business school,
- 14:36Speaker 2: but I got an interview at Drexel Burnham Lambert in
- 14:38Speaker 2: the Hijo bond department and in a small branch of
- 14:41Speaker 2: it that was based in New York that basically traded
- 14:44Speaker 2: and sold junk commercial paper if you can believe that
- 14:47Speaker 2: product existed. And I took that job and went to
- 14:50Speaker 2: Drexel burning I had a great experience Atdrexel Burnham. I
- 14:53Speaker 2: learned a lot. My background was all around hyo bonds
- 14:56Speaker 2: and credit trading.
- 14:57Speaker 1: But you left before they went bankrump.
- 14:58Speaker 2: I did. I I was competing for a piece of
- 15:01Speaker 2: business with a Goldman sax partner's name was John winkel Read.
- 15:06Speaker 2: And at the end of competing for that piece of
- 15:08Speaker 2: business and actually doing that piece of business, it was
- 15:11Speaker 2: actually a financing for Sheldon Adelson, who was building big
- 15:14Speaker 2: casino hotels in Las Vegas. We raised them one point
- 15:17Speaker 2: two billion dollars. In nineteen ninety eight, I started getting
- 15:21Speaker 2: recruited to come to Goldman Sachs and I had been
- 15:23Speaker 2: in a pretty senior position at bear Stearns, but I
- 15:26Speaker 2: really thought it was an opportunity to go to work
- 15:28Speaker 2: for what I believed was, you know, the most extraordinary
- 15:30Speaker 2: financial firm on Wall Street.
- 15:32Speaker 1: It's very unusual for it my mid to early career
- 15:34Speaker 1: to go to Goldman because usually I'd hire people right
- 15:36Speaker 1: on business score college and you went kind of as
- 15:38Speaker 1: a lateral, and that was unusual. I assumed you had.
- 15:40Speaker 2: That at the time. It wasn't unprecedented, but it was.
- 15:44Speaker 2: It was unusual. The firm was just going public. I
- 15:46Speaker 2: mean I came right after the IPO, and the firm
- 15:49Speaker 2: in that year had gone out and hired you know,
- 15:52Speaker 2: five or six partners that had real credibility because the
- 15:56Speaker 2: firm was trying to grow and expand its footprints.
- 15:58Speaker 1: So how many years were you there before where you
- 16:00Speaker 1: became the CEO?
- 16:01Speaker 2: Well, I became the CEO in twenty eighteen, so that
- 16:03Speaker 2: means I was there nineteen years.
- 16:05Speaker 1: So work your way up. Did you think when you
- 16:07Speaker 1: join you wind up as a CEO?
- 16:08Speaker 2: No, I didn't think I would be there for twenty years.
- 16:10Speaker 2: I remember there was a partner who was a longtime
- 16:12Speaker 2: partner named Bob Hurst who was talking who it was
- 16:17Speaker 2: just kind of he was kind of winding down when
- 16:18Speaker 2: I joined the firm, and I remember being at an
- 16:21Speaker 2: event with clients and he was talking about all the
- 16:23Speaker 2: years he had been at the firm, and I remember
- 16:24Speaker 2: looking him and saying, well, I'll never make that many years.
- 16:26Speaker 1: You became the CEO in October of twenty eighteen. The
- 16:30Speaker 1: stock is up roughly three hundred percent since then. The
- 16:33Speaker 1: market capitalization's up roughly three hundred percent, So people are
- 16:37Speaker 1: pretty happy with you.
- 16:38Speaker 2: I assume this week, I mean, you know, so you.
- 16:41Speaker 1: Came out with your earnings, because last week your earnings
- 16:45Speaker 1: were up per share I guess forty one percent per share,
- 16:48Speaker 1: forty six percent, forty six percent over a year of year.
- 16:51Speaker 1: But the stock went down two percent. And how can
- 16:53Speaker 1: that be given how well you did.
- 16:55Speaker 2: I guess they wanted earnings to be up fifty five percent.
- 16:57Speaker 2: I mean, you know, we we really don't. I mean
- 17:00Speaker 2: it's hard for me because like any human being, you know,
- 17:02Speaker 2: I have the screen on my desk or on my phone.
- 17:05Speaker 2: But we're really you know, twenty eighteen, when this leadership
- 17:08Speaker 2: team started, you know, through twenty eighteen, the end of
- 17:11Speaker 2: twenty eighteen to twenty nineteen, we really developed a strategy
- 17:15Speaker 2: to grow the firm, and we've made real progress, and
- 17:17Speaker 2: we've grown the firm very materially. I mean, the market
- 17:19Speaker 2: cap has grown as you highlight because we've grown the revenues.
- 17:22Speaker 2: We've not quite doubled the revenues. We've taken the revenues
- 17:25Speaker 2: from mid thirties to almost sixty and we've grown the
- 17:27Speaker 2: earnings very very materially, and that's grown the market cap.
- 17:31Speaker 2: And so we're executing on that strategy. And I think
- 17:34Speaker 2: we've got a great strategy, an incredible team. We've got
- 17:37Speaker 2: a client. We're incredibly focused on our clients and our
- 17:39Speaker 2: client franchise, and you know, the stock will follow. Our
- 17:43Speaker 2: job is to execute, to be patient, to take a
- 17:46Speaker 2: long view. There will be cycles. At the moment, we're
- 17:48Speaker 2: in a constructive cycle, so it feels like there are
- 17:50Speaker 2: lots of tailwinds. There'll be more headwinds, but you know,
- 17:53Speaker 2: over the next five years, I think we will continue
- 17:55Speaker 2: to grow the firm, continue to deliver for our clients,
- 17:58Speaker 2: and continue to deliver for shareholders.
- 18:00Speaker 1: What percentage of your employees are not men?
- 18:02Speaker 2: We've made a bunch of progress, especially in the senior rankspeicendily,
- 18:05Speaker 2: not enough and we continue to be focused on creating opportunities,
- 18:08Speaker 2: but it's a long, long road.
- 18:10Speaker 1: What are the skill sets that enables somebody to rise
- 18:13Speaker 1: up at.
- 18:13Speaker 2: Goldman Goldman's no different than any other professional services firm.
- 18:17Speaker 2: You know, I think one of the things that's important
- 18:20Speaker 2: to be successful in a professional services firm is you
- 18:23Speaker 2: have to enjoy interacting with people. It's a people business
- 18:27Speaker 2: inside the firm because you work collaboratively on teams and
- 18:30Speaker 2: you work collectively for the betterment of a group out
- 18:33Speaker 2: of the firm. And you have to like working with clients.
- 18:36Speaker 2: You have to like serving clients. You have to like
- 18:37Speaker 2: responding to clients, you have to like talking to being
- 18:40Speaker 2: with building relationships with clients, and so, you know, those
- 18:43Speaker 2: are skills that matter. To do those things, you have
- 18:46Speaker 2: to have to be smart, you have to be motivated.
- 18:48Speaker 2: We have four core values client service, partnership, integrity, and excellence.
- 18:54Speaker 2: And you know, all great businesses are underpinned by the
- 18:57Speaker 2: leadership in the organization living those values and really trying
- 18:59Speaker 2: to peak to the best of their ability to deliver
- 19:01Speaker 2: against those values.
- 19:02Speaker 1: So it used to be the case you had to
- 19:04Speaker 1: be a man to rise up at Wall Street. Today,
- 19:07Speaker 1: what percentage of your employees are are not men?
- 19:11Speaker 2: We've made a bunch of progress, especially in the senior ranks,
- 19:14Speaker 2: picendily not enough, and we continue to be focused on
- 19:17Speaker 2: creating opportunities. But it's a long you know, to get
- 19:19Speaker 2: to the top of the funnel. It's a it's a long,
- 19:21Speaker 2: long road. And you know the sample set. I remember
- 19:23Speaker 2: my training class, you know, it was it was ninety ten,
- 19:27Speaker 2: you know, men to you know, men to women, you know,
- 19:29Speaker 2: forty two years ago.
- 19:30Speaker 1: Many people who go to a place like Goldman say
- 19:32Speaker 1: that if you want to rise up yet they have
- 19:33Speaker 1: an MBA. But you don't have an MBA, And so
- 19:35Speaker 1: do you think it's necessary to get an MBA to
- 19:37Speaker 1: rise up at Goldman or equivalent firms.
- 19:39Speaker 2: I think there was a period, you know, thirty years
- 19:42Speaker 2: ago where it really was, you know, the vast majority
- 19:45Speaker 2: of people that rose up in the organization did have
- 19:47Speaker 2: a business degree. I think that's changed, and the vast
- 19:49Speaker 2: majority of people that rise up in the organization do
- 19:51Speaker 2: not have a business degree. That doesn't mean that a
- 19:54Speaker 2: business degree is not a valuable is not a valuable thing,
- 19:58Speaker 2: but the you know, the world's changed. We can train
- 20:00Speaker 2: and develop people, you know differently, and you know, real
- 20:03Speaker 2: time experience is a valuable thing. And one of the
- 20:05Speaker 2: strategic things that the business schools did that I think
- 20:08Speaker 2: had an effect. If you go back to when I
- 20:10Speaker 2: first started, you worked for two years and you went
- 20:12Speaker 2: to business school. The business schools went to a mode
- 20:15Speaker 2: where they really wanted people to get four to six
- 20:17Speaker 2: years or seven years of experience, and so they kind
- 20:20Speaker 2: of wound up with people went to business school more
- 20:23Speaker 2: to career change, not to career continue, because if you
- 20:26Speaker 2: were if you worked in finance for four or five years,
- 20:29Speaker 2: you had learned a whole bunch of things real time
- 20:31Speaker 2: on the job, where the value proposition you know, for
- 20:35Speaker 2: going to business school wasn't the same as it was
- 20:37Speaker 2: if you were only two years in.
- 20:38Speaker 1: And if somebody is watching here and you want to
- 20:41Speaker 1: summarize what you wish somebody would know about Goldman Sachs,
- 20:44Speaker 1: what would it be.
- 20:45Speaker 2: It's filled with extraordinary people that are just zealously focused
- 20:48Speaker 2: on doing the best we can to serve our clients,
- 20:51Speaker 2: to build trust, to take a long term view, to
- 20:53Speaker 2: do the right thing, and really have the most be
- 20:56Speaker 2: a part of and steward what I believe is the
- 20:59Speaker 2: most extraordinary, very financial institution in the world, and to
- 21:01Speaker 2: try to make it stronger, better than we found it.
- 21:04Speaker 1: And your biggest worry today about what's going on in
- 21:06Speaker 1: the world or the economy. Is there any one worry
- 21:09Speaker 1: you're worried about.
- 21:10Speaker 2: Or there are always risks, There are always things to
- 21:12Speaker 2: worry about. We're constantly looking at our processes, looking at
- 21:15Speaker 2: our risk, thinking about what can go wrong. And the
- 21:18Speaker 2: reason for that is not because things aren't going to
- 21:20Speaker 2: go wrong. Things will go wrong. What defines a financial
- 21:24Speaker 2: institution when things go wrong is how the institution responds
- 21:27Speaker 2: to it. You know, we are zealously focused on that
- 21:30Speaker 2: because I guarantee things will go wrong. They always do.
- 21:34Speaker 2: Environments change, bumps come. Risk is risk, and when you
- 21:38Speaker 2: take risk, you know you have periods of time when
- 21:40Speaker 2: you lose money or it's hard to make money. And
- 21:42Speaker 2: what defines organizations is how they respond when things are tough,
- 21:45Speaker 2: not how they respond when things are easy.
- 21:47Speaker 1: Can you go out to dinner in New York without
- 21:48Speaker 1: somebody saying, here's a resume or here's a deal.
- 21:52Speaker 2: The greatest it's a privilege, and there's pleasure that comes
- 21:56Speaker 2: with it. The greatest privilege is stewarding this firm is
- 22:00Speaker 2: is the people that you get to work with that
- 22:02Speaker 2: the firm is filled with the most extraordinary people that
- 22:05Speaker 2: work so incredibly hard. You know, day in and day
- 22:08Speaker 2: out to serve our clients. They're smart, they're motivated, and
- 22:12Speaker 2: it's it's it's incredible to work with them, to be
- 22:14Speaker 2: with them, and then also our clients and the opportunity.
- 22:17Speaker 1: To particularly the private equity clients, the private.
- 22:20Speaker 2: Equity clients, and it avouves the private equity clients. But
- 22:23Speaker 2: the I mean, it's just it's it's the most enjoyable
- 22:26Speaker 2: thing about the business is people and the ability to
- 22:29Speaker 2: to learn and to be with people and be motivated
- 22:33Speaker 2: by people and stimulated by people. It's it's it's really extraordinary.
- 22:36Speaker 1: Thanks for listening to hear more of my interviews. You
- 22:39Speaker 1: can subscribe and download my podcast on Spotify, Apple, or
- 22:43Speaker 1: wherever you listen.