Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 322 - 7/24/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 322 - 7/24/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 322 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:35
  Happy Thirsty Thursday, Our work week rolls on.
• 0:39
  Almost coming to a close here, guys.
• 0:40
  But we do have today and tomorrow before another big
• 0:43
  weekend ahead before we almost unofficially get into football
• 0:47
  season, because I was actually looking at the Hall of Fame
• 0:50
  Game, which I believe is a week from today, the 31st.
• 0:54
  So before, you know, we're going to NFL and I don't have any
• 0:57
  lines up here. I guess I actually do have a
• 0:59
  line up here. We have Detroit -1 with a total
• 1:03
  of 32 1/2 in the Hall of Fame game hosting or not hosting.
• 1:06
  It's a neutral site in Canton, OH, but playing the Chargers.
• 1:09
  So typically do like to play those unders.
• 1:12
  You do have a good system match with favorites, but again, early
• 1:15
  on. But we do have, believe it or
• 1:17
  not, odds bet splits popping up for an NFL game.
• 1:21
  We do have a lot of that for Week 1 as well.
• 1:23
  But just goes to show you football is not that far off.
• 1:26
  So get excited. And then also, I was looking at
• 1:29
  the college football calendar here and it actually opens looks
• 1:33
  like a month from yesterday, the 23rd of August.
• 1:36
  We got a four pack here of plays.
• 1:38
  So we got a lot, a lot to get to.
• 1:40
  But you guys know the drill between now and then.
• 1:42
  We're not going to just, you know, twiddle our fingers and
• 1:44
  just wait and, you know, count, count the clock down and wait
• 1:47
  for football. And no, we're going to try to
• 1:48
  continue to grind Major League Baseball, which is one of my
• 1:50
  favorite things to do because baseball, even though there's
• 1:53
  highs and lows, there's ups and downs, it's a long season.
• 1:56
  It's a data-driven sport that we continue to grind at.
• 1:58
  We can slowly chip away and build our bankrolls.
• 2:01
  That is obviously the goal once again for today.
• 2:04
  Looking toward today might be like Josh, you know, what are
• 2:06
  you betting on? There's like no baseball today.
• 2:08
  There was one day game. Baltimore beat Cleveland four to
• 2:11
  three, but there's only four more games here for tonight.
• 2:14
  But I did find there were two plays that I wrote about for a
• 2:18
  sharp report for visen.com, and there was one other play that
• 2:22
  had some late steam, so that was a late addition for me.
• 2:24
  So overall, we got 3 plays. Of course, you guys know the
• 2:27
  drill. Let's try to go 2 and 1.
• 2:28
  Eke out a winning day. Now, unfortunately, get back to
• 2:31
  her last night. 1 and 2 -. 1.23 units.
• 2:35
  Had a nice winter there with the Guardians getting it done.
• 2:37
  Cleveland was able to hang on and win three to two at home,
• 2:41
  but the Seattle Mariners got blown out 1:50.
• 2:44
  And again, it was not good to see Cal Raleigh out of the
• 2:47
  lineup and that line really tank.
• 2:49
  So maybe just a tough break there with one of the best
• 2:52
  players in baseball out. And then the Cubbies, they were
• 2:55
  kind of frustrating because if you look yesterday and we got
• 2:59
  Cubs -160 -, 170, they close like -180 and end up losing 8 to
• 3:04
  4. So beating a closing line,
• 3:05
  they're just not getting the results that we want.
• 3:07
  So overall, 1 and 2 - 1.23 units after a clean sweep on Tuesday
• 3:13
  one and two yesterday, let's see if we can start a new winning
• 3:15
  streak here for tonight. Now before we dive into these
• 3:18
  plays, I just wanted to mention real quick, it is a Thursday.
• 3:21
  So that means I will be joining my 2 buds Patrick Maher and
• 3:24
  Dustin Swedelsen tonight on V Sin Live tonight on SiriusXM.
• 3:28
  So we'll be getting into a lot of different topics.
• 3:30
  Patrick is actually on vacation, so I'll miss Patrick, but Tom
• 3:34
  Byrne is filling in so should be a good time here if you want to
• 3:36
  check it out. And always remember I am a
• 3:38
  sports betting analyst at V Sin. Very proud author make
• 3:43
  appearances there and Beeson is after the men there now quite a
• 3:47
  bit, but they're back on SiriusXM if you ever want to get
• 3:50
  some insights there as well. But anyway, guys, without
• 3:53
  further ado, let's get right back to the one we love, which
• 3:55
  is betting on baseball and the dog days of summer.
• 3:59
  So 3 pack overall. First play for me guys, let's go
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  to a 7:45 PM Eastern Time first pitch where the Saint Louis
• 4:05
  Cardinals are hosting the San Diego Padres.
• 4:08
  Now let's talk bet splits, line movement system matches, and
• 4:11
  I'll give you my play for this one.
• 4:13
  So going into it, we got the Padres 55 and 47 on the year.
• 4:17
  They did, however, just drop two or three against the Marlins.
• 4:19
  They lost yesterday's series finale 3 to 2 as a -145 Rd.
• 4:23
  favorite. Similarly, the cards, who are 52
• 4:26
  and 51, they just lost two or three against the Rockies.
• 4:29
  Yes, the Rockies. They actually got blanked by
• 4:32
  Colorado yesterday. 6 nothing as a -, 190 Rd. favorite.
• 4:36
  So pitching match up here for tonight.
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  We got the pods going with the ready you Darvish, who was
• 4:40
  injured much of the year making another start here, but he's O
• 4:43
  and two six point O 8 ERA on the season.
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  Cardinals, meanwhile, going the veteran righty Sonny Gray nine
• 4:50
  and four four point O 4 ERA. So this line opened with the
• 4:54
  Cardinals listed around a -. 135 home favorite San Diego plus
• 4:58
  1/15 Rd. Dog.
• 5:00
  You might be thinking yourself, hey, you know this is a shot to
• 5:02
  grab some plus money San Diego right?
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  Well, the public is right down the middle.
• 5:06
  They don't know what to do San Diego Padres have the better,
• 5:10
  better record, one loss record. But Cardinals are at home.
• 5:14
  You know, Darvish has kind of a high ERA.
• 5:16
  This is one of those 5050 line moves that we talked about.
• 5:19
  So basically, it means there's no contrarian value.
• 5:21
  The public is undecided. So when you have a 5050 split,
• 5:25
  theoretically in a vacuum, a line really should not move at
• 5:28
  all because you would assume the odds makers have balanced
• 5:30
  action. No need to adjust the price up
• 5:32
  or down. However, sometimes you see a
• 5:34
  5050 ticket split, yet you see a line move and that really kind
• 5:38
  of jumps out to you because again, a line shouldn't move at
• 5:40
  all if the actions even. And that's what we do have here.
• 5:43
  Even though the public doesn't know what to do with Padres,
• 5:45
  Cardinals, looks like wise guys are going Saint Louis because
• 5:49
  the Cardinals, even though they're only getting 50% of
• 5:52
  tickets at DraftKings, they've really crept up here -135 up to
• 5:56
  -150 some shops even as high as -155 even inching toward -160 So
• 6:03
  a clear move in favor of the Cardinals.
• 6:06
  Now you look at the bet splits at Circa.
• 6:08
  This one jumped out to me. Only about 40% of money line
• 6:10
  bets, but more than 60% of money line dollars are on the
• 6:14
  Cardinals. So on Vegas, looks like those
• 6:16
  sharper betters are going with the Cardinals.
• 6:19
  I do have one system match here that caught my eye.
• 6:22
  Both teams are off a loss. Take the team getting at least
• 6:25
  $0.10 of steam in their favor. That system is 41 and 23 this
• 6:29
  year, 64 percent, 11% ROI. This system is kind of on the
• 6:33
  edge because technically, if you look at Sweet Spot Home
• 6:36
  favorites -130 to -150. Like right now, you can still
• 6:40
  get Saint Louis -150 at FanDuel. But again, other books are
• 6:43
  closer to -155. Technically, if you get the 150,
• 6:47
  you would match this system Sweet Spot.
• 6:48
  Home favorites -130 to -150 playing an opponent who made the
• 6:53
  playoffs the previous year. That system is 61 and 3862% with
• 6:57
  a 7% ROI. Now, if we look at the total, it
• 7:00
  is a relatively low total of 8. So correlative betting favorite,
• 7:04
  low total. If your amount of expected run
• 7:06
  scored, more likely to come from quote UN quote that better team.
• 7:09
  And I'm going to bank on hopefully Saint Louis getting
• 7:11
  back on track at home. Hopefully their offense wakes up
• 7:14
  and gets to Darvish. They do have the better bats
• 7:16
  overall this season. They're hitting 252 as a team,
• 7:19
  100 home runs, 461 runs scored. Pods are hitting hitting only
• 7:24
  245 with 86 homers and 407 runs scored.
• 7:28
  We also have two right handers on the bump and Saint Louis has
• 7:31
  been better against righty's. They're hitting 2:59.
• 7:34
  That's fourth best in baseball. San Diego is only hitting 245
• 7:38
  against righty's. That ranks 19th.
• 7:40
  Sonny Gray ageless wonder here. Hope he pitches a gem tonight.
• 7:44
  But he has been good at home. Six and one 2.84 ERA at home
• 7:48
  this year and just classic home Rd. splits.
• 7:50
  St. Louis has been pretty good at
• 7:52
  Busch Stadium. They're 29 and 20 at home.
• 7:55
  Padres 24 and 29 on the road. So again, we got the public
• 7:59
  right down the middle. Doesn't know what to do, but we
• 8:01
  got the line move. The Circa bet split couple
• 8:04
  system matches, home Rd. splits, better offense, all lighting up
• 8:07
  on Saint Louis. So I'm taking a shot on the
• 8:10
  Saint Louis Cardinals. Again, shop around.
• 8:12
  I got cards -150 that's a FanDuel.
• 8:16
  But again, some books are closer to -155 even -160 but let's go
• 8:22
  birds. Next step for you, the Athletics
• 8:26
  visiting the Houston Astros. Now, this is kind of a late
• 8:29
  edition for me. I'll kind of give you the
• 8:31
  breakdown for this one. It's a game that I noticed some
• 8:34
  late afternoon steam on. So coming into it start of a new
• 8:38
  series, the Athletics are 42 and 62 on the year.
• 8:42
  They just got swept by the Texas Rangers on the road.
• 8:44
  They've lost four straight on the opposite Astros, 60 and 42
• 8:48
  on the year. They just swept Arizona and
• 8:50
  they've won four straights. We got one team kind of trending
• 8:53
  downward the the A's one team trending upward.
• 8:56
  The Houston Astros pitching matchup for this one.
• 8:58
  We got Luis Severino, the righty going for the Athletics.
• 9:01
  He's 3:00 and 11:00 5.1 OERA. He'll be opposed by Jason
• 9:06
  Alexander. No, not not George from
• 9:09
  Seinfeld, but the other Jason Alexander righty, he's one and O
• 9:12
  with an 8.4 OERA. And I believe, I'm not sure if
• 9:16
  he's a starter or the opener, but he hasn't pitched a ton this
• 9:19
  year, but he will get the start for the Astros.
• 9:23
  Now, I told you this was kind of a late play for me because we
• 9:25
  basically opened most shops Houston around a -, 125
• 9:29
  favorite, and they pretty much stayed -125 all afternoon.
• 9:33
  And then I noticed around 2:00, three o'clock, they absolutely
• 9:37
  got steamed pretty heavy here. Up to now around -140 -, 145 S
• 9:44
  late movement was notable to me. There might have even been a
• 9:47
  pitching change because I thought it might have been
• 9:48
  Brandon Walter. Then switched to Alexander and
• 9:51
  you saw that line move further toward Houston.
• 9:53
  But either way, you're getting late movement hitting Houston.
• 9:56
  So that really jumped out to me. Aside from that line move,
• 9:59
  again, Astros just -125 all day, then late afternoon, they've
• 10:03
  gotten steamed up -140 -. 145 really good bet splits on the
• 10:08
  Astros at DraftKings. They're getting 78% of tickets,
• 10:12
  but 86% of dollars. And then over at circa 74% of
• 10:17
  tickets, 98% of dollars. So we got late steam, line move,
• 10:22
  good bet splits, all lighting up here in Houston.
• 10:25
  I have 3 betting system matches on the Astros.
• 10:28
  So I have one home favorites off a win with a winning record who
• 10:31
  made the postseason the previous year.
• 10:33
  That is 137 and 7565% with around a 2% ROI.
• 10:38
  Home favorites made the postseason the previous year
• 10:41
  with a line move in their favor. Those teams are two O 6 and one
• 10:44
  O 866 percent, 4% ROI. And then game one of a new
• 10:49
  series, you're favored with a line move in your direction
• 10:53
  against an opponent who missed the playoffs the previous year.
• 10:55
  I know it's kind of a mouthful, but that is 60 and 29 this year,
• 10:58
  67% with a 5% ROI. So all those systems are
• 11:03
  lighting up here on the Astros. You look at Houston, they hit
• 11:07
  better at home. They're hitting 263.
• 11:10
  Is that Minute Maid Park anymore?
• 11:11
  What do they call that? It's let me just pull that up.
• 11:13
  Is it still Minute Maid? Yeah, it is.
• 11:16
  But anyway, they're hitting 263 at home, 6th best home batting
• 11:20
  average on the road. The A's are only hitting 235.
• 11:23
  That ranks 20th in baseball. Houston overall is 33 and 19 at
• 11:27
  home. A's only 22 and 31 on the road.
• 11:31
  And then if this, you know, I mean, hopefully Houston, their
• 11:34
  bats really light up. Severino, he's been really bad
• 11:37
  this year. And you kind of feel for the A's
• 11:39
  because they spent no money. Then they signed this guy to a
• 11:41
  big deal and he's been terrible. But anyway, I'm hoping he's
• 11:43
  terrible again tonight. But if this becomes a bullpen
• 11:46
  game, hopefully that is a big benefit to the Strohs because
• 11:49
  the Astros bullpen 3.3 O ERA, 4th best in baseball, the A's
• 11:55
  bullpen second worst in baseball, 5.48 ERA.
• 11:59
  So you had it all up here guys. Again, if you ask me at noon,
• 12:03
  did I like Houston? Not really.
• 12:04
  The line never moved, but late steam, good system matches, good
• 12:08
  bat splits, home Rd. bullpen, better bats at home.
• 12:12
  I'm I'm taking Houston here. So this is kind of a late
• 12:14
  addition for me, but I was able to get Houston -138 at FanDuel
• 12:19
  again. Shop around.
• 12:20
  Other books -140 -, 145 last bit of the night, Let's go to the
• 12:25
  West Coast, 9:38 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
• 12:29
  We have the LA Angels hosting the Seattle Mariners now going
• 12:33
  into this one, the Mariners 54 and 48.
• 12:36
  Remember, let us down last night, drop two or three against
• 12:39
  the Brewers, losing 10 to 2 yesterday as a -115 home
• 12:43
  favorite. You know the Angels 49 and 53,
• 12:46
  they're kind of playing pretty well all year, but they did just
• 12:48
  get swept by the Mets. They lost six to three yesterday
• 12:51
  as a + 150 Rd. dog. So tonight, series opener, the
• 12:56
  Mariners are going with the ready Logan Evans.
• 12:58
  He's three and three with a 3.81 ERA.
• 13:01
  Meanwhile, the Halos are going with the lefty.
• 13:03
  You say Kikuchi four and six. One loss record doesn't seem
• 13:06
  great, but a 3.13 ERA has pitched pretty well.
• 13:09
  He's been a pretty good free agent signing by the Angels.
• 13:12
  Now what have you seen across the market?
• 13:14
  Will this game opened LA around a -, 130 home favorite Seattle
• 13:18
  around a + 110 Rd. dog and the public is saying the wrong team
• 13:23
  is favored because Seattle's got a better one loss record and
• 13:27
  they're above 500. LA is below 500.
• 13:29
  LA has struggled. So you're getting nearly 60% of
• 13:32
  money line tickets at DraftKings taking Seattle and plus money.
• 13:36
  However, even though the public's on Seattle, this line
• 13:39
  hasn't fallen down. You know where LA is gone from
• 13:43
  -130 down to -120 -? 115 trending toward a pick them.
• 13:47
  No, it's gone the other way. We've actually seen LA become
• 13:50
  more of a favorite, even though the public's on Seattle.
• 13:52
  So you know what that is. RLM fade the trendy dog.
• 13:57
  I've seen Los Angeles creep up -130 now up to -150 some shops
• 14:02
  even as high as -155 I jumped on LA -148 at FanDuel.
• 14:07
  If you're looking for the best price, but at Circa this really
• 14:11
  caught my eye. The Angels are only getting 27%
• 14:14
  of bets, 27% but 98% of dollars out in Vegas.
• 14:19
  So it tells me a lot of big smart money loading up on the
• 14:22
  Angels kind of taking that fishy play at home.
• 14:25
  If you do look at one system match really like this would
• 14:28
  also match on Saint Louis, but both off a loss.
• 14:31
  Take that team getting $0.10 or more.
• 14:34
  Remember that system, 41 and 2364 percent, 11% ROI.
• 14:39
  Now I do want to back Kikuchi. He's been really good at home.
• 14:41
  Knock on wood, hope he can stymie the bats of Seattle, but
• 14:45
  he's four and one with a 1.98 ERA at home this year.
• 14:48
  Meanwhile, Evans, he's got a 5 point O2 ERA in three July
• 14:53
  starts, giving up eight runs and 14.1 innings pitched, but also
• 14:56
  on the road he's just one and three with a 5 point O 6 ERA.
• 14:59
  So hopefully the bats of LA can get to Evans here.
• 15:03
  And then this is kind of another angle that I just noticed.
• 15:05
  Sometimes when you look at when I'm looking at a kind of
• 15:08
  supplementary date, I just go to the ESPN breakdown of the game
• 15:11
  and they usually give you like day or night, any of my Kid Cudi
• 15:15
  fans out there day or night anyway, Mr. Solo Dolo.
• 15:20
  But I did notice in night games the Angels are 39 and 31.
• 15:24
  The Mariners in night games only 30 and 33.
• 15:27
  So it's not the only reason about it.
• 15:28
  But hey, you know, Angels hopefully an edge here under the
• 15:31
  lights at home. The Long story short public
• 15:33
  Seattle Lions going to LA. This smells like a fade.
• 15:37
  The trendy dog reverse line move on the Angels.
• 15:39
  I'm going Halos. Let's hope some Angels in the
• 15:42
  outfield are are cheering us on tonight.
• 15:45
  I got LA at -148 at FanDuel again.
• 15:48
  Shop around some books closer to -150 -, 155 S Cardinals, Astros,
• 15:54
  Angels. Can we find a way to get 2 out
• 15:56
  of 3 eek out of winning day? Of course, that is the goal.
• 16:00
  So that about does it for episode 322 of the all systems
• 16:04
  go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 16:06
  This is the part of the pod where we wrap things up and I
• 16:09
  start first by saying thank you. Thank you for taking the time
• 16:12
  out of your day and the dog days of summer.
• 16:15
  I know it's easy to, you know, get get the football season and
• 16:18
  you know, get your full attention, but there's a lot of
• 16:20
  things going on this summer. I've had a busy summer.
• 16:23
  I'll give you a little story. Yesterday, actually, the in laws
• 16:26
  moved in to New Hampshire and my sister-in-law needed a bed for
• 16:31
  her daughter, my niece in law or niece.
• 16:34
  And we had to drive all the way to Swampscott to pick up this
• 16:38
  bed, which was like a bunk bed and it had like pull out drawers
• 16:42
  and all this stuff, yadda, yadda.
• 16:43
  It was an hour to drive there. We get there, it was a Facebook
• 16:46
  marketplace deal. It's not disassembled at all.
• 16:49
  The whole thing is fully assembled.
• 16:51
  The guy said he's like, oh, come and take it.
• 16:52
  Yeah. Oh, well, could you tell me it
• 16:54
  was wasn't broken down yet. So we spent like an hour on, you
• 16:58
  know, wrenches, screwdrivers, disassemble the whole thing,
• 17:02
  packed it in the car, drove it back to New Hampshire.
• 17:04
  But I did a good deed for my sister-in-law, so I was happy
• 17:07
  about that. But anyway, that's the kind of
• 17:09
  stuff that you got to do in the summer.
• 17:11
  So now you're having a busy summer, you get a lot going on.
• 17:13
  But the fact you tune into the pod, grind these plays with me,
• 17:16
  it really does mean a lot to me and I appreciate it.
• 17:19
  But if you do enjoy the pod, you want to let me know you like the
• 17:22
  insights. Please could you give this
• 17:23
  podcast a five star review on Spotify or iTunes?
• 17:27
  Would go a long way to helping us to continue to grow the pod.
• 17:29
  If you want to leave a nice comment under the review
• 17:31
  section. Hey, I like the insights.
• 17:34
  I value the insights on a daily basis.
• 17:36
  I'll take that. If you want to click the follow
• 17:38
  button, get alerted as soon as the pod drops each day.
• 17:41
  Or if you would like to recommend the pod to a friend,
• 17:44
  that would also very much be appreciated.
• 17:47
  Next, if you enjoy the style of betting, notice how we don't
• 17:50
  talk about what we think will happen tonight, what we hope,
• 17:52
  what we want or I I feel like this.
• 17:54
  No, no, no ain't feelings and emotions.
• 17:56
  It's data because I learned a long time ago you bet with
• 17:59
  feelings and emotions, you're going to be a losing better.
• 18:02
  You got to trust the market follow the smart money.
• 18:05
  That's really the key here when it comes to data-driven betting.
• 18:07
  But if you want to learn more about data-driven betting, or
• 18:10
  maybe you know someone in your life who could use some
• 18:12
  data-driven tips, I would love for you guys to go to Amazon.com
• 18:16
  and type in the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 18:20
  It's the first book ever wrote. It's got everything I've learned
• 18:22
  in the industry. How lines are set, how and why
• 18:24
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• 18:26
  action, how to place the bet in person or online, how to shop
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  for the best line, how to set up a bankroll management plan,
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  chapters on all the major sports.
• 18:34
  It's all included in the Everything Guide to Sports
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  Betting. And again, it's for brand new
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  betters, but also intermediate betters.
• 18:39
  A lot of great tips there. Next, if you're staying on the
• 18:43
  Amazon.com site page, whatever, then you got to type in the NFL
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  Sharp betting playbook because my new book, I can't believe it
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  guys, it comes out August 12th. We are two weeks and what let me
• 18:58
  get this right, two weeks and 12345 days away.
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  So cannot believe that it's almost here.
• 19:05
  But if you'd like to get a leg up on your NFL handicapping, if
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  you'd like to check out the newest project that I've spent
• 19:11
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  How? But bring the sharp betting
• 19:26
  playbook, bring the everything guide to the sports book.
• 19:28
  I'll sign them for you. I'll buy a beer or ginger ale.
• 19:31
  We'll get some nachos and sweat some baseball together tonight.
• 19:34
  Next, have you downloaded Rhythm and Juice Reel yet?
• 19:37
  My two favorite sports betting apps.
• 19:38
  If you haven't done it, you got to get on that because they are
• 19:41
  great additions to your data-driven sports betting tool
• 19:44
  case. Rhythm obviously does a great
• 19:46
  job of powering this podcast, providing us AI backed models
• 19:49
  and predictions for game bets and player props.
• 19:51
  Right now you have MLB and WNBA, but I did get an e-mail that
• 19:55
  there's going to be some new power rating or sorry power
• 19:57
  trends, which started with props, but coming out for game
• 20:01
  models. So I'm excited to see that as
• 20:03
  Rhythm continues to innovate and get better and sharper by the by
• 20:07
  the minute. And then also go download Juice
• 20:09
  Reel. This is the part of the pod
• 20:11
  where I'm going to pass the hat. If you like listening to this
• 20:13
  pod, remember it's free. It cost you nothing.
• 20:17
  But if you want to support the podcast, let me know you
• 20:19
  appreciate the insights. I would love for you guys to
• 20:21
  sign up to get the official all systems go best bet picks which
• 20:25
  come right from the juice reel Juice reel app.
• 20:29
  As soon as I bet a game, it goes right to my Juice Reel profile.
• 20:33
  ASG under Score podcast. You can get those plays for
• 20:36
  $4.99 a week. Again, 5 bucks cup of coffee.
• 20:40
  Yeah, a cup of coffee. Maybe less even than that.
• 20:44
  If again, you're like my wife and go to Starbucks and a
• 20:47
  Starbucks coffee is like $7.00. And I don't even understand
• 20:50
  Venti double shot. I just go to Dunks.
• 20:53
  You know what my Dunks order is? Medium French vanilla iced
• 20:57
  coffee, skim milk, 2 Splenda. Boom, done, done with it.
• 21:01
  Make sure you get the rewards too because those come in handy.
• 21:04
  But anyway, $4.99 a week, you'll get those plays, support the
• 21:08
  pod. You can tail fade, do what you
• 21:09
  like, but you'll get them a little bit earlier, earlier in
• 21:11
  the day and hopefully beat some closing lines.
• 21:13
  Also, you're going to get the Robo Jackson best bet picks, the
• 21:16
  sharp mush indicators, the arbitrage plays.
• 21:19
  Shop for the best sign features. You have Juice Reel as a great
• 21:22
  app for a lot of different reasons.
• 21:24
  So download Juice Reel, download rhythm.
• 21:26
  They'll be off and running making sharp bets left and
• 21:28
  right. Do you have a live odds page?
• 21:30
  If you don't, you need one because you got to know is the
• 21:33
  data-driven better? What is the market doing?
• 21:36
  What numbers are moving? You got to know every game
• 21:39
  available to you to bet that day.
• 21:40
  The start times, the live scoring, the in game wagering
• 21:43
  odds, the opening number, the current numbers.
• 21:46
  Quickly identify which direction the line is moving.
• 21:48
  Pull up the line history, identify steam.
• 21:51
  You know, I was looking at the My Odds Logic live odds page and
• 21:54
  I saw Houston get lit up in the whole column or row, I should
• 21:59
  say, got lit up on the Houston tab.
• 22:01
  I saw them go from -125 up to -145 told me big money was
• 22:05
  coming in on Houston. So that's just another way to
• 22:09
  hopefully help you make smarter bets using odds logic.
• 22:13
  So I'd love for you guys to give odds logic a shot whether you
• 22:16
  need a live odds page or you have 1:00 and it's free, but
• 22:19
  it's slow and it doesn't give you a lot of books and you have
• 22:21
  no freaking clue. They give you bets.
• 22:22
  What's in like, where are these coming from?
• 22:24
  They, they, they don't tell you. Of course they'll say, look,
• 22:27
  that's our proprietary information.
• 22:28
  Well, where is it coming from? You don't know.
• 22:31
  Odd logic has got you covered. It is a great opportunity to
• 22:35
  test it out now before football returns because you definitely
• 22:38
  need it for football. But you can give it a shot. 7
• 22:41
  day free trial and 50% off your first month of service.
• 22:44
  Just go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
• 22:50
  So that about does it for episode 2/3/22 of y'all Systems
• 22:54
  Go Sports betting pod powered by Rhythm.
• 22:56
  As always, I'm leaving with two final thoughts.
• 22:58
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata and in Atlantic City,
• 23:02
  Twin River in Rhode Island, Brooklyn, New Hampshire,
• 23:04
  Foxwoods or Mohegan Sundown in Connecticut, at the Encore in
• 23:07
  Boston or Plain Ridge Park Casino, MGM Springfield.
• 23:10
  Or of course, out in the desert where the true grinders get
• 23:13
  down. Or Billy Walter sends his number
• 23:14
  runners where the lowest juice possible is found at the South
• 23:16
  Point. Or sweat and sharp contrarian
• 23:18
  plays jumping in the stadium swimming pool when you catch a
• 23:21
  big ticket at Circa. Or maybe you're going to walk up
• 23:24
  to me, Mariners, Cubs, you're dead to me.
• 23:26
  At least show me a Guard Guardians ticket.
• 23:28
  It's good seeing the Guardians come through.
• 23:30
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 23:32
  We'll post about the book and sweat some more baseball here
• 23:34
  for tonight. So as always, guys 1 and 2, two
• 23:37
  and one, O and three, three and O.
• 23:39
  Never get too high when we're doing well, never get too low
• 23:42
  when we're grinding and struggling.
• 23:43
  We just stick with it. Even keeled, staying true to the
• 23:47
  model. And again, making bets with our
• 23:50
  head, not our heart. And I know it's like kind of
• 23:52
  cliche, but it's true. We're betting based on what the
• 23:54
  market is telling us. Will every market move when?
• 23:56
  No, because betting is unpredictable.
• 23:58
  It's hard. It's a gamble in the end.
• 24:00
  But if we can consistently make smart data-driven picks, we're
• 24:03
  going to come out on top. So those data-driven picks, you,
• 24:06
  you may know by now, go something like this, games that
• 24:09
  fit our model against the public with the house, with the pros,
• 24:12
  flat bet, avoid parlays and get that CLV.
• 24:15
  If we can do that again, I think we're going to make this a
• 24:17
  profitable hobby that turns into an investment, which is the
• 24:21
  goal. But anyway, guys, have a great
• 24:23
  Thirsty Thursday. I will see you guys 8:00 tonight
• 24:27
  on SiriusXM be some prime time. So if you want to tune in, I'll
• 24:30
  see you there. But if not, I'll see you right
• 24:32
  back tomorrow on a big Friday edition episode 323 of the All
• 24:37
  Systems Go Sports Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 24:40
  Good luck everybody, and have a great Thirsty Thursday.