Latest / INSPIRE STORY / #0103 _STORY INSPIRE: Decisions that transforman with Scott Horton
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: The Joe Rogan Experience. Train by day, Joe Rogan podcast
- 0:08by night, all day. Does that sound okay? Check, check, check.
- 0:15This is my normal complaint volume.
- 0:17Speaker 2: Is it one of those one ear on, one ear
- 0:19off guys?
- 0:19Speaker 1: Yeah, my right ear hurts a lot from years of this,
- 0:22and so I usually just leave it off.
- 0:24Speaker 2: There's a volume adjuster thing too, so if it's too loud,
- 0:26you can turn it up or turn it down.
- 0:28Speaker 1: You sound good. But no, it's just I have a
- 0:30pain in my right ear, so I try not to
- 0:31antagonize it.
- 0:32Speaker 2: And thank you very much for the gift, ladies and gentlemen.
- 0:34Scott Horton gave me a professorial pipe. And like I
- 0:38was saying, Metzger uses a pipe now because of you.
- 0:41Speaker 1: I love that guy.
- 0:43Speaker 2: He's the best.
- 0:44Speaker 1: He's so funny.
- 0:45Speaker 2: He's such a nut. He comes into the room.
- 0:47Speaker 1: He just blows the room away. He's just a force
- 0:51in there. It's incredible.
- 0:52Speaker 2: And he's a giant dude. So he hovers over you like, oh,
- 0:55you didn't know? You don't know about this? And then
- 0:57he just hits you with 15 conspiracies in a row,
- 0:59rapid fire. So good. Yeah, with No breaks in between them.
- 1:04So thanks for doing this, man.
- 1:05Speaker 1: Yeah, thanks for having me.
- 1:06Speaker 2: We have a great mutual friend in Dave Smith. He
- 1:09recommends you highly. So I'm glad we could finally do this.
- 1:12I wish there was more going on in the world
- 1:13right now we could talk about, though. It just seems like.
- 1:16Speaker 1: Everything is so calm and peaceful. We'll just have to
- 1:17go back over Vietnam or something.
- 1:18Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah. The old stuff. Back when we didn't know
- 1:20any better.
- 1:20Speaker 1: It's kind of a mess.
- 1:24Speaker 2: Yeah. I've seen you argue on television like a thousand times.
- 1:29Do you enjoy that Piers Morgan type chaos? No.
- 1:36Speaker 1: In fact, I just got back from England. I got
- 1:38invited to do the Oxford debate, which I lost on Ukraine.
- 1:43But then I invited myself on Piers Morgan Live as
- 1:46long as I was in town.
- 1:47Speaker 2: When you say you lost the debate, is that because
- 1:50the people voted that were in the audience? Yeah. All
- 1:52those people with Ukraine flags?
- 1:53Speaker 1: Yes. Well, they didn't have Ukraine flags that time. I
- 1:57think someone showed an old picture or something. Yeah, same crowd.
- 2:00So what happened was, yeah, when they leave, they either
- 2:02leave through the yes door or the no door. And
- 2:05the yeses had it, which was unbelievable to me. But
- 2:07not that I did my very best job. But on
- 2:11Pierce Morgan, I was trying to get myself just an
- 2:13interview so I could just talk to him about some things.
- 2:16And instead, they just prefer that format where you got
- 2:19to mix it up with a guy, which I can
- 2:20do that, too, you know.
- 2:22Speaker 2: Yeah, the interview thing is way better. The thing that
- 2:26he does, though, is really good for engagement. He's very smart.
- 2:30Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 2:30Speaker 2: Like, Pierce has done– he's mastered it. He's taken, like,
- 2:33the Jerry Springer-type format and thrown it into the world
- 2:37of politics and any other social issue that's going on.
- 2:41Speaker 1: Yeah. But it is, too, like– years ago, the guy
- 2:44from Antiwar.com can't be on TV. But we can be
- 2:47on his show. He doesn't care. He's cool with it.
- 2:49I mean, I guess same thing here. Yeah. Where it's–
- 2:52That is a big change from how things used to be.
- 2:54We just had this whole separate conversation going on below
- 2:58the higher one where he has reach up and down
- 3:01the chain, I guess, is a way to put it.
- 3:03Speaker 2: Is he on TV TV or is it just YouTube? No,
- 3:05but he just has massive viewership, so it counts, I guess.
- 3:08TV TV is actually a hindrance now because the only
- 3:11way people watch– TV, TV is clips that someone takes
- 3:14and puts on X or YouTube. That's it.
- 3:16Speaker 1: Or they just see it accidentally. It's just on. It
- 3:18happens to be on when they're in the room or whatever.
- 3:21Speaker 2: What a fucking dying market. Like imagine if you're in
- 3:25broadcast television right now and you're just thinking like, where
- 3:28am I? What am I doing? Like this is a
- 3:31bad format. You have to break for commercials every seven minutes.
- 3:35No conversation could ever get in a depth. There's executives
- 3:38in your ear. telling you what to say and what
- 3:40not to say. They'll edit out anything that they think
- 3:42is like controversial. That's going to fuck with their sponsors
- 3:45or fuck with the government or fuck with whatever their
- 3:48narrative is.
- 3:50Speaker 1: It's just, everything's changed. When I first started doing podcasting,
- 3:53it was the archives of the interviews for my radio show.
- 3:56And it was so important to me that I'm on
- 3:57the radio. Cause that's real legitimacy. That means somebody hired you.
- 4:01Somebody thought you were good enough to be there. Whereas podcasting,
- 4:04any jerk can do from his basement and it just
- 4:06doesn't count. And then that just became not true. And I,
- 4:09kind of clung on to my radio show. I actually
- 4:11gave up my last radio show on KPFK in Los
- 4:14Angeles last year after, I mean, where it didn't matter
- 4:17anymore anyway. And podcasting has completely changed the entire market.
- 4:22Speaker 2: Do you know how many people were listening to actually
- 4:24on the radio before you quit?
- 4:27Speaker 1: I think it's like probably high thousands, but not 10,000,
- 4:32you know, KPFK in LA. It's the most, it's the
- 4:35most powerful FM transmitter west of the Mississippi river. it's
- 4:38grandfathered in at 115,000 Watts, but it's, but the thing
- 4:41is about it too. And it's always been like this, the,
- 4:44the programming on there is so inconsistent that you're listening
- 4:47to Latina lesbians one hour, and then you're listening to
- 4:51crystal worship. And then you're listening to hard hitting news.
- 4:54And then you're listening to like leftist union organizing, or
- 4:57then just whatever, you know what I mean? But it's just,
- 4:59there's no like real rhyme or reason to us. It's
- 5:01hard to follow.
- 5:02Speaker 2: You know, what kind of a channel is it?
- 5:05Speaker 1: Oh, it's, um, You know, left of the dial at 90.7 FM.
- 5:09So it's, you know, comparable to like KUT type. It's
- 5:13not actual public radio, but it's no commercials, all donations.
- 5:17Speaker 2: Oh, wow.
- 5:18Speaker 1: I mean, they were good to me.
- 5:19Speaker 2: A regular radio show that's no commercials and it's not public? Yeah.
- 5:23That's interesting.
- 5:24Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 5:24Speaker 1: It's like, I don't know if co-op still exists here
- 5:28in Austin.
- 5:30Speaker 2: You must have made a lot of money from that.
- 5:32You must be so rich. From doing that, like a
- 5:35leftist radio with no ads at all, just donations. Boy,
- 5:41you must be raking it in.
- 5:42Speaker 1: No, they never did pay me, but I looked at
- 5:44it like they let me be on there for 14,
- 5:4715 years or something. And, you know, like even when
- 5:51I was writing my book about the Russia-Ukraine stuff, I
- 5:56would do my radio show once a week and I
- 5:58was able to still cover what was going on in Palestine.
- 6:01And in a way that I felt like you know,
- 6:05something meaningful that I can do even though my attention
- 6:07was completely diverted elsewhere. I still got all my guys
- 6:10from the Libertarian Institute and Antiwar.com and I can interview
- 6:13them once a week. And then when I left KPFK,
- 6:16I got some response. I'm like, oh, no, where are
- 6:18you going kind of thing. So, I mean, some people
- 6:20were caring for it at the time.
- 6:22Speaker 2: Did you let them know, hey, I have a podcast.
- 6:24You can see all these episodes be archived online.
- 6:27Speaker 1: Yeah, I kind of always let them know that. You know,
- 6:30I've done 6,200-something interviews since 2003 on my various shows.
- 6:35So I always try to remind people to go check
- 6:37the archives if they want for the full dose of
- 6:39that stuff.
- 6:41Speaker 2: Before we get into any of these subjects, how did
- 6:43you get into this?
- 6:46Speaker 1: Well, you know, in the 90s, when I was younger,
- 6:49I was much more of like a New World Order,
- 6:52truth or type. But then I basically dropped all that.
- 6:57I grew out of that.
- 6:58Speaker 2: How do you define new world order truther type?
- 7:01Speaker 1: Okay. Well, I mean, the new world order conspiracy was
- 7:03that American foreign policy ultimately is about building a one
- 7:07world federal government under the United Nations that would ultimately
- 7:10dominate the United States, the John Birch society sort of
- 7:13idea of how, and I, uh, I really liked those guys. Um,
- 7:17and I believed that for a long time, really through
- 7:20Clinton and even into the beginning of W Bush. But
- 7:23then I could, I finally realized with the way that
- 7:26the Iraq war was prosecuted that this is not about
- 7:28building up the UN Security Council. We got the National
- 7:32Security Council and Cheney and his neocons, and they have
- 7:35their own separate policy that just disproves... that sort of
- 7:40New World Order theory. And the American... And in fact,
- 7:43so what H.W. Bush meant by that was just the
- 7:45era of the American Empire with no one to stop
- 7:47us this time. It was never to build up the
- 7:50UN as the world government. It was to build up Washington, D.C.
- 7:53as the world government. And of course, they've been failing
- 7:57and flailing at trying to establish that ever since.
- 8:00Speaker 2: Yeah. So the conspiracy was... That the United Nations would
- 8:07be the government of the entire earth. Right. And that
- 8:11all other governments would somehow or another give up their
- 8:13power to the United Nations for what reason?
- 8:18Speaker 1: Because they're all in on it together in secret or whatever.
- 8:20And that's the point is it ain't right. It's not true.
- 8:23Speaker 2: Well, my question would be like.
- 8:24Speaker 1: Too many people would have to– exactly. Too many people
- 8:26have to sacrifice the power they do have to somebody
- 8:29else when they don't have to.
- 8:31Speaker 2: Money.
- 8:32Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 8:32Speaker 2: That's the other thing. I mean as soon as you
- 8:33lose power, then you lose access to– insane amounts of wealth.
- 8:37Speaker 1: Yeah so we don't want you know obviously it's the
- 8:40ultimate nightmare would be that you would have some kind
- 8:43of one world government and then some kind of totalitarian
- 8:46regime take power with a monopoly on nukes and a
- 8:50monopoly on police power and you know but that's just
- 8:53a nightmare for centuries from now i mean that's just
- 8:55not going to happen anytime soon.
- 8:56Speaker 2: At all that's not what you don't think there's any
- 8:58push towards centralizing things in that regard like Wasn't the
- 9:02World Health Organization trying to push for something where the
- 9:06entire world would have to respond to their pandemic rules?
- 9:11Speaker 1: Well, look, so yes, there's always the widening and deepening
- 9:16of the international law as much as they can. At
- 9:18the end of the day, there is no actual world
- 9:21state to enforce that law other than just the United
- 9:23States of America. But there is no one world army,
- 9:27one world police force to enforce these things. It's all
- 9:30about coercing and cajoling governments to go along. And which
- 9:35goes to show, I mean, this is the whole thing
- 9:36about when they talk about, you know, what H.W. Bush
- 9:40meant when he talked about the new world order is
- 9:41the same thing that Joe Biden meant when he would
- 9:43say the liberal rules based international order of just doing
- 9:47what America says.
- 9:48Speaker 2: Right.
- 9:48Speaker 1: That's what it is. You know, it's a pseudo empire.
- 9:51It's not exactly the same kind of empires and, you know,
- 9:55colonialism that we've had in the past. But it's sort
- 9:57of a neo colonialism where. we can overthrow your government
- 10:01with some money, then we'll do that. A little bit
- 10:04of CIA help, we'll do that. And if we have
- 10:07to bomb your capital city, we'll go for that if
- 10:09we think so. And it does go back really to
- 10:13the Wolfowitz Doctrine, you know, of various degrees. But this
- 10:15is a reference to right after the first Gulf War.
- 10:19Paul Wolfowitz at that time was the Deputy Secretary of
- 10:21Defense for Policy. And him and a couple other neocons,
- 10:25Scudalibi and Zalmay Khalilzad, they wrote up this document called
- 10:28the Defense Planning Guidance. And it was saying this is
- 10:31going to be, you know, the posture for the post-Cold
- 10:34War era and the post-First Iraq War, Gulf War era.
- 10:39And what it said was we're going to be the
- 10:42most dominant power on every continent anywhere in the world.
- 10:45And we're not even going to tolerate any other nation
- 10:48or country. alliance or a group of nations anywhere to
- 10:51try to join together to balance against us. We will
- 10:54be dominant everywhere and we'll never let anyone get that
- 10:57far ahead. Or at least we're going to try to
- 10:58construct an order where our power is essentially permanent and
- 11:02they don't even try it. And so that's what they've
- 11:05been trying to do with expanding our footprint in the
- 11:08Middle East, expanding our footprint into Eastern Europe. And of course,
- 11:11you know, Working hard at least on building their alliances
- 11:16or tightening them and arming their alliances in Eastern Asia.
- 11:19And it's, you know, under the theory that if it's
- 11:22not us, it'll be somebody else. It'll be so much worse.
- 11:25So we have to stay and dominate everything forever. But
- 11:28of course, you look at the dead and just see, well,
- 11:29we can't afford it. So I don't know how anybody
- 11:31else can, but we certainly cannot afford to keep doing this.
- 11:33Speaker 3: Right.
- 11:34Speaker 2: And if you look at Wolfowitz, if you see Popa
- 11:36image of Paul Wolfowitz, he looks exactly like the kind
- 11:41of guy you would expect to make something like the
- 11:44Wolfowitz Doctrine. Right.
- 11:46Speaker 1: And by the way, they did rewrite it because it
- 11:48was a scandal. It was leaked to The New York Times.
- 11:50And so they went back and rewrote it. And they
- 11:52just said, well, we'll bring our friends, you know, from
- 11:55the international institutions along, too.
- 11:57Speaker 2: That picture right there where your cursor is right below,
- 11:59right there. No, to the right of that. That one.
- 12:01Speaker 1: Yeah, there you go.
- 12:02Speaker 2: Look at that. That looks like... That completely looks like
- 12:05the type of guy that would do something like this.
- 12:07Speaker 1: So listen, there's a book about the neoconservatives by Jacob
- 12:10Hilbrun called They Knew They Were Right. That's hilarious. Yeah,
- 12:15these guys who have no idea what they're.
- 12:16Speaker 2: Doing, really. That's hilarious. Let me try this.
- 12:19Speaker 1: It doesn't really fit right on my little head.
- 12:22Speaker 2: Like I said, you can fuck with the volume on
- 12:24that little knob and turn it up and down. So
- 12:28this was– one of the things that– when Coleman Hughes
- 12:33and our buddy Dave Smith got into it with was
- 12:37about whether you remember when they brought up this seven
- 12:42countries thing that, you know, and he was saying that
- 12:46there was no real proof that that exists, that he
- 12:49didn't actually read it. He was told that we were
- 12:52going to go into seven countries, but you know, I
- 12:56was talking to Dave about this the other day. He's like, I,
- 12:59If you just look at the fact that we did
- 13:02everything on that list except Iran, every single one of
- 13:06them took place except Iran. Like he's like, I really
- 13:10want to go and do that debate again and I
- 13:11can't get Coleman to sit down with me. Yes.
- 13:15Speaker 1: For people who are interested in this subject long term,
- 13:19there's no mystery about the connection between the neoconservatives doctrines
- 13:23and then the activities that the W administration engaged in.
- 13:28You know, subsequent. I mean, what happened was you have,
- 13:31you know, Andrew Coburn, the great journalist, Andrew Coburn, says
- 13:34that the neoconservatives are a cross between the Israel lobby
- 13:37and the military industrial complex. The fighter bomber salesmen needed
- 13:41eggheads to justify their policies. And the neoconservatives wanted to
- 13:46support Israel, wanted to support American hegemony. And so took
- 13:50all the military industrial complex money to build their think tanks,
- 13:53to create their consensus, to build their policy. you know
- 13:57their own kind of thousand little council on foreign relations
- 14:00is to get what they want and then when you
- 14:03know the seven countries thing is so.
- 14:05Speaker 2: What we're talking about just to clarify is wesley clark
- 14:08was given what was he was on some television show
- 14:12i forget what the show was do you remember.
- 14:14Speaker 1: There's two different statements one of them i know was
- 14:16with amy goodman from democracy now that's right democracy now
- 14:19and basically what he's talking about is um You know,
- 14:23he says that a general or I'm sorry, a military
- 14:26officer of some rank told then retired but still with
- 14:29access former General Wesley Clark, who had been the Supreme
- 14:32Allied Commander of NATO forces in Europe under Bill Clinton,
- 14:34did the Kosovo War. So very prominent four star general.
- 14:37And he said the way he told the story was
- 14:39he told him, hey, you know, they're planning for a
- 14:42war with Iraq. And he said, Iraq, why? And the
- 14:45guy said, I don't know.
- 14:46Speaker 2: And then.
- 14:48Speaker 1: The second part of the story was he came back
- 14:49a week later or something. And the same guy said,
- 14:52there's this memo that has the seven countries and they
- 14:54say they want to take them all in five years.
- 14:57So they meaning the office of the secretary of defense.
- 15:00So that's Donald Rumsfeld, who is not a neoconservative. He's
- 15:03his own separate thing here. He's the secretary of defense.
- 15:06But all of his guys, all of his most important
- 15:09guys are neoconservative. So the deputy secretary of defense is
- 15:12Paul Wolfowitz. The Deputy Secretary of Defense for Intelligence is
- 15:15Stephen Cambone. The Deputy Secretary of Defense for Policy is
- 15:18Douglas Feith. And then under him is Abram Shulsky and
- 15:21Bill Lutie and all of these guys, Michael Rubin and others,
- 15:25who are all working on this project to get us
- 15:28into Iraq. And this is the neoconservative network of power.
- 15:32You've got Scooter Libby and David Wormser would travel around
- 15:35from state to defense to the vice president's office. But
- 15:38you've got Scooter Libby and John Hanna in the vice
- 15:40president's office. You got Zalmay Khalilzad and Elliott Abrams on
- 15:43the National Security Council, Robert Joseph and Stephen Hadley and
- 15:49Eric Edelman. All of these guys were already the network
- 15:52of guys who agreed with this policy going back through
- 15:57the 1990s. It was what they had founded the Project
- 15:59for a New American Century on. And so what they're
- 16:02saying is we should not tolerate any Remember the time.
- 16:06This was the stated doctrine. We will not tolerate the
- 16:08existence of any Middle Eastern regime that supports terrorism. And
- 16:12supports terrorism can mean anything, right? Like Abu Nidal died
- 16:16in Iraq before the war even started and was a
- 16:20washed up old terrorist from a previous day. But like,
- 16:22that's good enough. Got Mujahideen-e-Qaami terrorists who've worked for us
- 16:26ever since, but at that time was a good enough
- 16:28excuse to invade Iraq. They would invoke that. And so,
- 16:31they made up that doctrine.
- 16:33Speaker 2: The Mujahideen were in Iraq as well as Afghanistan?
- 16:36Speaker 1: Well, this is a particular sect of Mujahideen kooks who
- 16:39were Iranian communist cultists who were, had left Iran and
- 16:43gone to work for Saddam Hussein and then were, you know,
- 16:48he supported them. They had nothing to do with anti-American
- 16:50terrorism at that time except, you know, I guess committing
- 16:55it when they had worked for Iran previously during the
- 16:58Iranian revolution. But, I mean, by the time we invaded Iraq,
- 17:02Donald Rumsfeld inherited them, and they've worked for America and
- 17:05Israel ever since then. They have a base in Albania now.
- 17:08But in other words, though, this wasn't al-Qaeda. This was
- 17:11not any real excuse. They would just invoke the doctrine
- 17:14of fighting terrorism in order to check off this list
- 17:17of all of these governments that they didn't like. And
- 17:20coincidentally and incidentally and very importantly, of course, this was really,
- 17:24in many cases, Israel's list of enemies. where if it was, say,
- 17:29Colin Powell, which is what people thought they were voting
- 17:31for in the year 2000, by the way, well, I
- 17:33don't know about this W. Bush, but at least Colin
- 17:35Powell will be up there. We can trust him. They
- 17:37all said if it had been up to him, we
- 17:39would have done a two-state solution in Palestine and solved
- 17:43that issue, and then we would have had probably the
- 17:46most limited of wars against al-Qaeda in Afghanistan, and that
- 17:49would have been it. The rest of it would have
- 17:50been police and or special forces action. There would have
- 17:54been no invasion of Iraq, which he did lie us
- 17:56into that war, and he's responsible for that. But that
- 17:58was not his policy. That was the policy that came
- 18:00out of the vice president's office and this neoconservative set.
- 18:04And it's really, as Dave Smith correctly says, it's all
- 18:07based on the clean break doctrine, which David Wormser and
- 18:10Richard Perle. Oh, I neglected to mention Richard Perle and
- 18:13his friends on the Defense Policy Board. But Perle and
- 18:17David Wormser had written up this policy paper called A
- 18:20Clean Break in 1996. And they wrote it for Netanyahu
- 18:23when he was first prime minister the first time back then.
- 18:26And what it said was instead of going along with
- 18:28the Oslo peace process and making a deal with the Palestinians,
- 18:32we should just forget all that and just– we'll have
- 18:35peace through a position of strength and total dominance over
- 18:38our neighbors. And so– but the problem of course is–
- 18:42and of course meaning continue to devour Palestine, what's left,
- 18:46the 22 percent of what's left of historic Palestine in
- 18:49the West Bank and Gaza. But the problem is we
- 18:52have Hezbollah on our northern border. And Hezbollah is backed
- 18:56by Iran by way of Syria. So if you just
- 18:59picture the Middle East, you know, if you want to
- 19:02throw up a map and just kind of show there's
- 19:05this arc of power from Tehran in Iran through Syria
- 19:10and to Hezbollah, this Shiite militia in southern Lebanon. Now,
- 19:16Saddam Hussein was the Sunni roadblock in that arc of power.
- 19:20But these guys are stupid, the neoconservatives. They're as stupid
- 19:24as they are arrogant and certain in their policy. And
- 19:28they believed in this harebrained scheme, essentially, that the Jordanians
- 19:31and the Turks would be dominant in the new Saddam
- 19:34Hussein-less Iraq. And that even though it's a super majority
- 19:38Shiite Arab country, those Shiites, they just love being told
- 19:42what to do by either their original plan was the
- 19:45Hashemite king, the cousin of the king of Jordan. And
- 19:48then they threw that out and it was the guy
- 19:50who sold them this line that this was possible in
- 19:52the first place an Iraqi exile you might remember from
- 19:56that time Ahmed Chalabi the head of the Iraqi National
- 19:59Congress they said well we'll just make him the guy
- 20:02instead which ended up not happening but that was their
- 20:05plan and they said the new Shiite dominated Iraq will then,
- 20:11the religious leaders in Iraq, will then force Hezbollah to
- 20:15stop being friends with Iran and start being friends with
- 20:17Israel instead. And they'll even build an oil pipeline to
- 20:20Haifa or reopen the old British oil pipeline to Haifa Israel.
- 20:24And they were sold this bill of goods and they
- 20:26really believed it. And so, and you can find this
- 20:27on my website, scotthorton.org. I have a clean break, a
- 20:30new strategy for securing the realm. And then the companion
- 20:33piece is called Coping with Crumbling States, a balance of
- 20:36power strategy for the Levant. They're both by David Wormser,
- 20:39signed off on by Richard Perle. And then they wrote
- 20:41a book where Wormser wrote the book and Richard Perle
- 20:43wrote the foreword. It's called Tyranny's Ally, America's Failure to
- 20:47Remove Saddam Hussein.
- 20:48Speaker 2: Get that?
- 20:49Speaker 1: America's the ally of Saddam just because we won't launch
- 20:52a war to regime change. And they're right in the title.
- 20:55And then based on the same harebrained scheme. And what's
- 20:58funny about this is this guy, David Wormser, now tries
- 21:00to defend himself. And he did an interview on a
- 21:02podcast not too long ago with this born-again Christian about
- 21:06September 11th and stuff. But he talked about this and
- 21:09he's like, yeah, no, that's still right. They'll do whatever
- 21:12the Hashemites tell them to do, those Shiites. They just
- 21:15worship and revere anyone who claims to have the blood
- 21:18of the prophet. But if that was true, as Dave
- 21:21Smith pointed out, well, then how come you can't just
- 21:24call the king of Jordan right now and ask him
- 21:27to ask the Ayatollah to knock it off? Call him
- 21:31and have him ask Hezbollah to stop being friends with Iran.
- 21:35Why couldn't they have just done that this whole time?
- 21:37Why do you have to have a regime change in
- 21:39Baghdad before you can make this magic wish come true?
- 21:43And the whole thing is completely stupid. And the Shiites
- 21:45do revere some of the lineage of the family of
- 21:49the Prophet Muhammad. But one, it's not a magic spell
- 21:53of hypnosis and total control over them. And two, that
- 21:56has nothing to do with the Hashemites, who are Sunnis
- 21:59and a whole separate line and are the British sock
- 22:01puppet kings of Jordan. Right. Who used to rule Iraq
- 22:04back 70 years ago or something, but had no purchase
- 22:08there whatsoever. And of course, what happened just real quick,
- 22:10what happened then in the war was they just empowered Iran.
- 22:14They didn't empower Jordan and Turkey and America and Israel
- 22:18over the Iraqis. They just gave Iran even more power
- 22:22than they ever had before. When it was all meant
- 22:24to screw them over, it blew up in the American space.
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- 23:34Do you think that that is because of total incompetence
- 23:38and stupidity, or do you think that it was a
- 23:42scam and that they kind of knew this was going
- 23:46to happen in the first place, but what they really
- 23:48wanted to do was sell a lot of weapons, sell
- 23:51a lot of war, make a ton of money. I mean,
- 23:53the amount of money that was generated— How much money
- 23:56did we spend on the Iraq war?
- 23:58Speaker 1: Oh, I mean, on Iraq alone, at least five or
- 24:02seven trillion. I think it was probably 10 trillion for the.
- 24:05Speaker 2: Whole terror war. Let's stop and think about that.
- 24:07Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 24:07Speaker 2: Five or 10 trillion. Let's just say five. Let's be nice.
- 24:11Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 24:11Speaker 2: Where's that money going? How many defense contractors were deeply
- 24:15enriched by that? How many defense contractors are involved in,
- 24:19you know, lobbyists, policy, influencing change? influencing certain actions. And
- 24:25why would they do that? Why would they do that?
- 24:27Why would they push a harebrained screen? Is it because
- 24:29of stupidity or is it because they don't give a
- 24:31fuck what the excuse is? Let's get the party started.
- 24:35I think let's get some missiles. Let's get some new planes.
- 24:38Speaker 1: Yeah. OK, so boom. But OK, so we can see
- 24:42right in front of us right here where Netanyahu convinced
- 24:44Trump this would be easy and then it wasn't. I
- 24:47think that's the same thing here. Iraq was supposed to
- 24:49be easy and it was easy after all.
- 24:50Speaker 2: Right.
- 24:50Speaker 1: You send the Marines to take Baghdad. They could take it.
- 24:54The 3rd Infantry Division and the Marines were done regime-changing
- 24:57the place in, what, five weeks? But then it was
- 25:00a matter of occupying the place and the whole thing
- 25:03devolving into civil war and all that. And I think– well,
- 25:07I'll put it to you like this. In the clean break,
- 25:09we might be in coping with crumbling states, but it
- 25:12might even– yeah, I think it's in coping with crumbling states,
- 25:15which is the same thing.
- 25:16Speaker 2: Are we back?
- 25:18Speaker 1: Okay.
- 25:19Speaker 2: Sorry about that. We had– Stupid glitch again. Did we
- 25:22get a new computer?
- 25:23Speaker 3: I've done everything.
- 25:24Speaker 2: I've talked to the company. They don't know what's going on. Motherfuckers. Yeah, anyway.
- 25:32Speaker 1: I'm sorry. Can I ask you this?
- 25:34Speaker 2: Yeah, sure.
- 25:35Speaker 1: On the stupidity of the plan. Look, plan A is
- 25:38it'll be fine. And then plan B is, well, at
- 25:41least we can make some money and push this thing
- 25:44on and let both sides fight and weaken each other
- 25:47and these kinds of attitudes for sure.
- 25:49Speaker 2: But that's the point. Did they genuinely think that this
- 25:52plan would work or was this plan just a feasible
- 25:56excuse to talk them into getting the party started?
- 26:00Speaker 1: I have one good argument in your favor there for sure,
- 26:03which would be Senator Joe Biden. at the time, insisted
- 26:07that we break Iraq into three.
- 26:09Speaker 2: Our greatest president?
- 26:10Speaker 1: Yeah, right there with the worst. That we draw these
- 26:16lines and essentially enforce ethnic cleansing or sectarian cleansing and
- 26:20create three sort of mini states within Iraq. And, you know,
- 26:24Antony Blinken was his right-hand man then. And, I mean,
- 26:26that's who these guys are, is, you know, very, very much,
- 26:31I mean, Israel first, Israel instead, types. There is something
- 26:37before the clean break called the Oded Yanan plan from,
- 26:41I believe, 1981, which is a real riot to read.
- 26:44It's this Israeli strategist. And the premise of the thing
- 26:49is that the Soviet Union is certain to conquer the
- 26:51entire planet. Talk about one world government. We're about to
- 26:53have one world communism run out of Moscow and poor
- 26:55little Israel is going to be all alone out here.
- 26:58So we have no choice. to smash every near Arab
- 27:02state into as many warring tribal pieces as we possibly
- 27:05can to weaken all of them relative to us as
- 27:08this desperate strategy. And of course, the Soviet Union didn't
- 27:10exist anymore at all by the end of the decade.
- 27:12But that was the premise for the thing. And there's oh,
- 27:15and here's what I was going to say before the
- 27:16glitch was there is a statement in I think it's
- 27:20in Coping with Crumbling States where he kind of says, yeah,
- 27:24you know, these states are pretty artificial. And without, you know,
- 27:27the Baathist construct in Iraq and Syria, you would have
- 27:30these smaller tribal based type units. So then, you know,
- 27:35in other words, if you can't have a completely compliant
- 27:39sock puppet there, might as well make them fight and
- 27:43destroy their countries. And that certainly happened in the case
- 27:45of Iraq, certainly happened in the case of Syria under
- 27:47Obama as well, where they just said, look, if we
- 27:50can't get the Al-Qaeda guys to sack Damascus and get
- 27:52rid of Assad, at least we can just destroy the place.
- 27:55Speaker 2: Do you think there's a parallel in when we first
- 28:00went into Iraq, like Desert Storm? It was very easy, right? Relatively.
- 28:06Minimum loss of American lives. And I think everybody got
- 28:10a little cocky. Oh, yeah.
- 28:12Speaker 1: That absolutely was part of that. Just like what we
- 28:14just saw with Venezuela. That's what I was going to say.
- 28:15It was so easy.
- 28:16Speaker 2: That's exactly what I was going to say.
- 28:17Speaker 1: I mean, people asked me right after Venezuela, so what
- 28:19do you think this means for Iran? And I was like,
- 28:21bad news, right? Like nobody thinks we're going to go
- 28:24in there and kidnap the Ayatollah. But if you put
- 28:26eyeballs on them, you can put a bomb.
- 28:28Speaker 2: Well, they killed them. Yeah.
- 28:29Speaker 1: And that's all you got to do.
- 28:30Speaker 2: And that didn't even help. Of course. It's like. Yeah. Yeah.
- 28:34Is it true that whenever they've been negotiating with someone,
- 28:37Israel kills them?
- 28:39Speaker 1: I think that happened at least a couple of times
- 28:41early in the war.
- 28:42Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 28:42Speaker 1: I mean, that was what they said. In fact. I
- 28:45forget if it was Vance or Trump who said, well,
- 28:47we can't say. I think it was Trump said we
- 28:48can't say who we're negotiating with because they'll get killed.
- 28:51And like you're supposed to think that what like hardliners
- 28:55in Iran will kill them for trying to negotiate. But no,
- 28:58this is the Israelis will kill him.
- 28:59Speaker 2: Yeah, that is wild. Yeah, that's wild. It's wild that
- 29:04it's true. One of the things that's not talked about
- 29:08at all since Iran, we rarely talked about is Ukraine.
- 29:14It's so strange how that kind of just left people's consciousness.
- 29:19It's like they're now just concentrating entirely on this Iran thing.
- 29:24And the Ukraine thing is fascinating too because it was
- 29:28one of the few wars that I saw leftist support.
- 29:30It was very interesting. It was like kind of right
- 29:34after they put the masks and the syringes down from
- 29:37their profiles, then it was Ukraine flag.
- 29:40Speaker 1: Metzger had a joke about that did he like yeah
- 29:43he starts out like hey invading Ukraine is bad can't
- 29:48we all agree on that like he really gives him
- 29:50like he like leans on can't we all agree that
- 29:53it's bad but it wasn't cure for COVID you gotta
- 29:57admit you know And it was. They just switched from
- 30:01night to day on that. And then, yeah, the other
- 30:02thing– and look, a big part of that is Putin
- 30:05is a great stand-in for Trump. If you're an angry
- 30:08liberal something, you've got to be angry at something. And
- 30:11he represents– now we're the common turn, and the Russians
- 30:16are the more conservative Christian force. And so– not that
- 30:19Trump's a Christian, but you know what I mean, and
- 30:21they're anti-right everything. The Russians are the right. Not that
- 30:25the Ukrainians are the left, but whatever it is. And
- 30:28Russia is obviously the much larger country and the one
- 30:33that invaded that crossed the border first here. And and
- 30:37and they are the aggressor in the war. So it's
- 30:40as far as the narrative goes, it's easy to justify
- 30:43sticking up for those plucky defenders, which is, you know,
- 30:48I was actually surprised. But I shouldn't have been right
- 30:51when I went to Oxford and lost that debate was
- 30:53that was who was. Not that they're leftists, but they're liberals,
- 30:56you know, or progressive-type college kids. And they're just totally
- 31:00on the side of Ukraine. And, in fact, the question
- 31:03of the debate was, this House would rather go to
- 31:06war with Russia than lose Ukraine. And I thought that
- 31:10was just the most ludicrous thing in the whole world.
- 31:12That's not even debatable. They've got H-bombs, 7,000 of them.
- 31:17We're not having a war with Russia. I don't even
- 31:19know what you're talking about. And then I should have
- 31:22made my case better because— they did not like me
- 31:24or my case at all. They were so just staunchly
- 31:27for Ukraine that they were willing to support that, that
- 31:31they think that Britain should get into a war with
- 31:33Russia over the Donbass, which is just absurd. But I
- 31:37take responsibility for not framing my argument well enough. I
- 31:40just thought the question was so ridiculous in the first place,
- 31:42I would barely have to make my case. I just
- 31:44thought I'll just make an H-bomb joke and that'll be
- 31:46the end of that. You know, I said, haven't you
- 31:47ever seen Threads? Have you ever seen Threads? It's like
- 31:50the British version of The Day After where Margaret Thatcher
- 31:52gets them nuked in a, No.
- 31:54Speaker 2: It's a movie?
- 31:55Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 31:55Speaker 1: Remember the day after from 1983 with Steve Guttenberg? So
- 31:58this is the Russians version from the same time frame.
- 32:01And I was like, haven't you all seen Threads? Which,
- 32:04of course, they haven't. They're a bunch of little kids.
- 32:06Speaker 2: Well, they probably think it's that social media app. Yeah, right.
- 32:09The Instagram one?
- 32:10Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly.
- 32:12Speaker 2: We should talk about how this whole thing got started
- 32:16in Ukraine. Because most Americans don't even realize that the
- 32:20United States kind of overthrew the government there.
- 32:23Speaker 1: Yeah, absolutely. Twice in 10 years.
- 32:25Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 32:26Speaker 1: In the Orange Revolution of 2004 and in 2014. And
- 32:31in fact, you know, George Soros bragged that he had
- 32:33really influenced the vote toward the pro-Russian candidate in 1994.
- 32:37You know, back 10 years before that, he bragged about
- 32:42that in an interview with The New Yorker, Connie Brooke
- 32:46in The New Yorker magazine. He said, like real estate
- 32:49investment trusts, I make it happen with my investments, you know.
- 32:55And so, yeah. And look, I mean, Russia and Ukraine
- 33:00have a long and difficult history. But the long and
- 33:03the short of it for our purposes is that they
- 33:05wanted out at the end of the Soviet Union. And
- 33:08in fact, even embarrassingly for the Republicans, George Bush Sr.
- 33:13and his government even intended the USSR to stay together.
- 33:17They wanted it. not communism, but they wanted Russia to
- 33:20be able to hang on to Belarus and Ukraine and
- 33:23at least some of the stands. But what happened was
- 33:26really the Russians under Boris Yeltsin overthrew the Soviet Union.
- 33:30The most powerful member of the Soviet Union overthrew what
- 33:33was left of it. And it was actually in the
- 33:35aftermath of a hardline commie coup in August of 1991,
- 33:38which failed. And so it was Boris Yeltsin who saved
- 33:41the day, but then ended up doing his own coup
- 33:44basically and just destroying what was left of the USSR
- 33:48and and kicking Mikhail Gorbachev out.
- 33:51Speaker 2: So why did the United States get involved in Ukraine
- 33:55and why did they stage a coup?
- 33:58Speaker 1: Well, so it's been a contest for dominance there ever since, right?
- 34:01And so back to the Wolfowitz Doctrine, and they talked
- 34:04about this in Rebuilding America's Defenses, the PNAC strategy document
- 34:09from the 1990s, 1998, I guess. And I believe in
- 34:14the defense planning guidance that he wrote in 1992, Wolfowitz,
- 34:19that we got to expand NATO into Eastern Europe. And
- 34:22this is the debate at the time was whether to
- 34:24include Russia or not. And in fact, in the 90s,
- 34:28there were some people who opposed expansion altogether. But then
- 34:31there was another school of thought that just said, well,
- 34:33we'll expand, but we'll bring the Russians in. But then
- 34:36they never did. And so they ended up expanding the
- 34:38military lines up to Russia's border in a threatening manner
- 34:42and in a way that did not include them at all.
- 34:45And they had alternatives. like the Partnership for Peace. And
- 34:48before that, we still have the OSCE, the Organization for
- 34:51Security and Cooperation in Europe, where those had been brought
- 34:56up as alternatives to NATO, where NATO would be more political.
- 35:00This is what James Baker and under H. Shelby Bush
- 35:04and Warren Christopher under Bill Clinton had promised the Russians,
- 35:07that we're going to make NATO a political organization. And
- 35:10we're going to have as a security organization, it'll be
- 35:14the OSCE or the PFP, which will include you guys.
- 35:18And which was not true. They're basically, you know, never
- 35:21really meant to live up to those promises. So, um,
- 35:25it's not a perfect analogy, but imagine if America had
- 35:28lost the cold war from all the spending in the 1980s.
- 35:31And then the Soviets had come to dominate Western Europe.
- 35:34And then they started moving into the Caribbean and then
- 35:36they started overthrowing the government in Canada when they voted wrong.
- 35:40And this is, Ukraine is Russia's Canada, right? Kazakhstan's their Mexico.
- 35:45Ukraine's their Canada. It's their most important neighboring state other
- 35:48than maybe Belarus. But same difference here. And so.
- 35:53Speaker 2: That narrative gets lost here. Yes, it does. And it's
- 35:56weird because it's so obvious when you lay it out
- 35:59like that. And when you look at the agreement that
- 36:00was made at the fall of the Soviet Union, that
- 36:02they wouldn't push arms closer to the border of Russia.
- 36:05And yet they consistently did that. Absolutely.
- 36:08Speaker 1: And by the way, so let's talk about that for
- 36:09just a second, because people dispute that and say it's
- 36:11not true. But it is true. In fact, H.W. Bush
- 36:14gave the first promise to Gorbachev in Malta in December
- 36:19of 1989, that if you let the Eastern European Warsaw
- 36:24Pact states go, not the Soviet republics, but the Warsaw
- 36:27Pact states, if you let them go, we promise not
- 36:30to take advantage.
- 36:31Speaker 2: Like, full stop. That's it.
- 36:33Speaker 1: 100%. And then from there, and I cover all this
- 36:36in my book, Provoked, Um, and I, I, it's even
- 36:40overkill on the research cause I wasn't sure where to stop.
- 36:43So it's all there for you where it wasn't just
- 36:45on February the 9th. It was all of these meetings
- 36:47over the course of months where the Americans, the British,
- 36:51and especially the Germans, but with the Americans standing right
- 36:54there in many cases to affirm to the Russians, the Soviets,
- 36:58and then the Russians over and over again, that we
- 37:01are not coming. We are not going to integrate Poland.
- 37:04We're not going to integrate Hungary. then Czechoslovakia, which hadn't
- 37:08split apart yet. And we have no intention of doing that.
- 37:12And that was, you know, came from Hans Dietrich Genscher,
- 37:14the foreign minister of Great Britain, as well as Helmut Kohl,
- 37:18the chancellor, Margaret Thatcher, and John Major, the prime ministers
- 37:22of England, and Douglas Heard, their foreign minister, and even
- 37:28Francois Mitterrand, the president of France, and along with George
- 37:32Bush's government over and over again promised them that we're
- 37:35not going to do this. And then they just went
- 37:38ahead anyway. And the Clintons, you know, went along with
- 37:41it too. And in fact, in the Clinton years, one
- 37:45of the major proponents of NATO expansion was a guy
- 37:48named Strobe Talbot, who originally opposed it. And by the way,
- 37:51so when all of the, anybody in that era, whenever they,
- 37:56on America's side or on the West side, whenever they
- 37:58opposed this, It was always for one reason. There was
- 38:02no like variety of reasons. There's always one reason. This
- 38:05is an unnecessary provocation against the Russians. These are our
- 38:09friends who just overthrew the communists for us. So why
- 38:13would we pick a fight with them? Why would we
- 38:14disrespect them? We should be doing everything we can to
- 38:17integrate them into the West, into Europe, into everything. And
- 38:20this is totally unnecessarily antagonistic. That was the one and
- 38:24only reason. And it was brought up by a lot
- 38:27of people, including Famously, George Kennan, who had coined the
- 38:31containment policy against the Soviet Union in the 1940s and,
- 38:35you know, was had been ambassador to Moscow. And he
- 38:39was the one who said, we got to contain communism. Well,
- 38:41now he's saying we should not be trying to contain
- 38:44Russia when they didn't do anything. And he said, in fact,
- 38:47in an interview in The New York Times in 1998,
- 38:50Kennan said, and he was the most highly respected Russia
- 38:52expert out of all of the old so-called foreign policy
- 38:54great bigs. And he told Thomas Friedman in the New
- 38:57York Times, he goes, I'll tell you exactly what's going
- 38:58to happen here, okay? We're going to expand NATO right
- 39:02up close to Russia, and we're going to get a
- 39:04negative reaction from the Russians. And then as soon as
- 39:06we do, all of the people who are now telling
- 39:09us that'll never happen, don't worry about it, will then say, aha, see,
- 39:13that's how the Russians are. That's why we have to
- 39:16do this, which is exactly what they say now. See,
- 39:19the Russians are coming. That's why we need NATO more
- 39:21than ever before. When it was building up NATO more
- 39:24than ever before was what created this antagonistic relationship in
- 39:27the first place and then you know, and I should specify,
- 39:31I am from Austin, Texas. I don't have any connection
- 39:34to Russia whatsoever. I don't give a damn about Russia whatsoever.
- 39:37This has nothing to do with favoring their side of
- 39:39the story or whatever. This is like whatever. What can
- 39:42I say? I reluctantly admit that. And I'm not saying
- 39:46this is a good enough reason for war, but I'm
- 39:47saying that this is true essentially. in his declaration of war,
- 39:51when Putin said that basically we tried independence, we tried
- 39:55letting Ukraine be an independent country, but it turns out
- 39:59that no, it just became a colony of the United
- 40:00States of America. It's totally controlled by America. So, well,
- 40:04but we're just not going to stand for that, you know?
- 40:07So we're going to intervene. We're going to do what
- 40:09we have to do, at least to mitigate that. If
- 40:11America is still going to control Kiev, then at the
- 40:13very least, we're going to control the Donbass and the
- 40:17Southeastern coast here. And so, I'm not saying that's a
- 40:20good enough reason to do what he did, but I'm
- 40:22saying that was essentially true, that America had, you know,
- 40:25almost like it was a British colony, just had total
- 40:28sock puppets in charge of that country. In fact, there's
- 40:31a clip that I quote extensively. It's one of the
- 40:33only block quotes in my book because I got rid
- 40:35of almost all of them for space. But I think
- 40:37I have the block quote of Victoria Nuland testifying. That's
- 40:39Robert Kagan's wife, very important neoconservative, worked in Dick Cheney's
- 40:43office in the W. Bush years and everything, helped, you know,
- 40:46cause all of this problems. And she goes on and
- 40:49on describing the level of what can you call the
- 40:53infiltration essentially of the Ukrainian government by the United States.
- 40:57She says, we have our people, State Department people and whoever,
- 41:01working at every level of the Ukrainian government throughout their
- 41:04police services, throughout their military, throughout their judicial branch, throughout,
- 41:09you know, and out in the provinces and everywhere. We're
- 41:13doing everything we can to control everything that's going on
- 41:16in that country. And, you know, the WikiLeaks are very
- 41:20beneficial on this story because they show where the Americans
- 41:23understand clearly– by the Americans, I mean Washington, the State Department, whatever,
- 41:27these guys– that they know good and well that Ukraine
- 41:32is deeply divided, especially politically, on questions like whether they
- 41:37should join the NATO alliance or whether they'd rather be
- 41:39closer to Russia or try to split the difference and
- 41:42stay out of it or anything like that. And so
- 41:44they say, well, so we just have to push then.
- 41:46We'll just have to spend tens of millions of dollars
- 41:48on massive propaganda campaigns. And we'll just have to make
- 41:50sure to support the candidates that support us and our wishes.
- 41:53And essentially, it's America. You know, the book is called sorry,
- 41:57I keep mentioning the book. It's how Washington provoked how
- 42:00Washington started the new Cold War with Russia and the
- 42:02catastrophe in Ukraine. I'm not blaming on Kiev. I'm blaming
- 42:05it on essentially Bush senior through Joe Biden that they
- 42:10all of them had such a ham handed Russia policy
- 42:13that it led to this.
- 42:14Speaker 2: It's just fascinating that this perspective is not being discussed
- 42:18or wasn't being discussed when it was in the news
- 42:20every day. When people were talking about Russia and Ukraine,
- 42:23it was always that Russia had done this horrible thing
- 42:26and attacked Ukraine, which was horrible. Of course. But no
- 42:29one gave any background. No one really talked about and
- 42:34made the comparison to imagine if the Soviet Union or
- 42:37Russia rather took over Canada.
- 42:38Speaker 1: Right.
- 42:39Speaker 2: Or was proxying Canada.
- 42:41Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly.
- 42:42Speaker 2: Right.
- 42:42Speaker 1: If they went back at all, they would go, well,
- 42:44you know, this all started when Russia seized Crimea. But,
- 42:47of course, they seized Crimea as a direct reaction to
- 42:50America overthrowing the government and the so-called revolution of dignity
- 42:54in February 2014. And so then it's a complicated mess.
- 42:59But Crimea happened after that. But they just want to
- 43:02start history at places where it's the most convenient for them.
- 43:06Speaker 2: And there's also– The control of Ukraine is also connected
- 43:11to resources, right? I mean there's immense amounts of minerals,
- 43:16natural gas. There's trillions of dollars of that stuff there.
- 43:21And this also connects Burisma to the Biden administration, right? Yes.
- 43:27Speaker 1: So like I would not buy anyone arguing that. these
- 43:33minerals or these resources are somehow crucial for the United
- 43:36States of America, for the American people, for our betterment
- 43:40or anything like that. Only as Ross Perot called them,
- 43:43the special interests, right? Chevron wants that oil and Cargill
- 43:49and Archer Daniels Midland and Monsanto have investments in those grains.
- 43:54And so this is about them, but that isn't necessarily us.
- 43:58You look at, you know, whatever benefit they have to
- 44:00our GMP or GDP is, certainly not worth starting a
- 44:05war or anything like that. These are all the free riders.
- 44:07These are, you know, the excuse makers for this kind
- 44:10of policy. But essentially, I think what it really is,
- 44:13is just trying to keep Russia weak and off balance
- 44:16as much as possible. And, you know, like there's this
- 44:20really important Rand Corporation study that was published in 2019.
- 44:25So the Rand Corporation is a Pentagon sponsored think tank,
- 44:28but it's out in Santa Barbara. They put it in
- 44:30California so it would be somehow a little bit less political,
- 44:33a little insulated from East Coast stuff and be able
- 44:36to come up with their thing. But that's basically who
- 44:38they are. So of all the think tanks, they're like
- 44:39the most directly connected to the Pentagon itself. And they
- 44:42came up with this thing. It's called Extending Russia. And
- 44:45by Extending Russia, they mean overextending them. In other words,
- 44:50how to provoke them into overextending themselves.
- 44:53Speaker 2: Like during the Cold War.
- 44:54Speaker 1: Right, exactly.
- 44:55Speaker 2: So cause.
- 44:57Speaker 1: Small trouble for them in as many places as we
- 44:59can just to bog them down with expenses and commitments.
- 45:03So we want to– at that time, the pipeline wasn't
- 45:06complete yet. So we want to intervene with sanctions, whatever
- 45:08we can, to disrupt the Nord Stream pipeline. They said
- 45:11maybe we could try to overthrow the government of Belarus again,
- 45:14which they actually did in 2020. They had done it
- 45:17before in 2005 and 2001, failed all three times. Which
- 45:21if they did that, boy, that might lead right to
- 45:23a nuclear war right there. You don't want to succeed
- 45:26in– especially a bloody, if it turned bloody, a coup
- 45:29in Belarus, my God. But anyway, then they said, we
- 45:34could increase weapons to the jihadists in Syria. We could
- 45:39try to overthrow the government of Kazakhstan. We could increase
- 45:43support for the Ukrainian military. And what's interesting about this,
- 45:48so in other words, see how they're saying, do all
- 45:50these things to essentially agitate the Russians, to keep them
- 45:53off balance, to keep them bogged down, to keep them
- 45:55spending money they can't afford to spend, right? But then
- 45:58all throughout it, they have all these disclaimers where they say,
- 46:03don't listen to us. If you do this, it'd be terrible.
- 46:06Like if you overthrow the government of Belarus, the Russians
- 46:10might just invade it immediately and station nuclear weapons there
- 46:15to make the point, right? If we support the jihadists
- 46:19in Syria, they could break out of the Idlib province
- 46:21and sack Damascus. And then we'd have an al-Qaeda government
- 46:24in Damascus, which is, of course, exactly what happened at
- 46:26the end of 24. They said we could increase support
- 46:30for what was then the ongoing civil war that had
- 46:33broken out after the revolution in 2014. We could increase
- 46:38support for the Ukrainian side of that or the Kiev
- 46:42side of that war. But then that could provoke the
- 46:45Russians into a full-scale invasion of the country, which would,
- 46:48of course, be terrible for Ukraine and terrible for the
- 46:52United States. A massive expense for us, a humiliation for
- 46:56as far as our international standing and prestige, and, of course,
- 47:00untold chaos for the people of Ukraine. And so... We
- 47:04better be real careful about pursuing these policies. And then
- 47:08I swear you look at how Biden ran things and
- 47:10it was like he got that memo just without any
- 47:12of the disclaimers. And they just went ahead and did
- 47:15all of these things. And in fact, they were doing
- 47:17they were messing around. It was actually the last year
- 47:20of Trump that they tried to overthrow Belarus. So that
- 47:23was independent of Biden's wishes. That was already going on.
- 47:27And then they were messing around in Kazakhstan in January
- 47:30of 22, right on the eve of war, right when
- 47:33you might have hoped that the entire pressure in Washington
- 47:38was to try to figure out a way to avoid war,
- 47:41to prevent this from breaking out. What kind of deal
- 47:43might we have to make with Putin to try to
- 47:45prevent him from invading Ukraine as they're threatening to do?
- 47:48And we're building up their forces in preparation for it.
- 47:51And then what do they do? They surrender. support an
- 47:54armed insurrection in Kazakhstan, which is that's the big one
- 47:57right on Russia's southern border there out of all the stands.
- 48:00It's the most important one, which is just madness. And
- 48:04it goes to show that that's essentially what they're up
- 48:06to when it comes to that is just, you know,
- 48:08if we can't overthrow Putin, we're going to still weaken him,
- 48:12hem him in, surround him, agitate him and force him
- 48:14to make commitments. And of course, this is what this
- 48:17is why the war has been going on for four years.
- 48:19America could tell Kiev, under Biden or under Trump, that, look,
- 48:23you guys are just going to have to compromise here, obviously.
- 48:25You've lost, you know, all of Luhansk and most of
- 48:28Donetsk and, you know, at least half of Zaporozhye and Kherson.
- 48:33And so just make a deal, figure it out. And
- 48:35we're not supporting you anymore. Instead, what they say, remember
- 48:38they said over and over again, we want to inflict
- 48:40a strategic defeat on Russia. Russia might win the war or,
- 48:43but no, we promise they won't. But yeah, but if
- 48:46it takes a long time, good. And in fact, I
- 48:49have a collection of quotes in the book where politicians
- 48:52and pundits and all these people would say, and maybe
- 48:57they still say this, we're getting such a good bang
- 49:00for our buck in Ukraine. Because just think about it.
- 49:05Russian soldiers are dying, but American soldiers are not. So
- 49:10all we got to do is we just give them
- 49:12money and then they go fight. And then sometimes they
- 49:14wouldn't even make any reference to the Ukrainian soldiers at all.
- 49:17Hundreds of thousands of whom have been killed. Hundreds of
- 49:20thousands of whom have been horrifically maimed. A major part
- 49:26of this country completely destroyed. Huge segments of their population
- 49:31fleeing the country as refugees, many of whom to never
- 49:34come home again. Right. The total destabilization of their culture
- 49:38and society in every way. And then but you can
- 49:42tune into Fox News or hell, the Democrats, too, talking
- 49:44about maybe worse. Oh, but we're getting such a good
- 49:47bang for our buck because we're killing Russians. We're sending
- 49:49them home in body bags. We're sending them home in coffins.
- 49:52We're even killing their generals in the field. But none
- 49:56of our guys are dying. Hey, hey, hey. As though
- 49:59the Ukrainians don't matter at all. And that's the way
- 50:01they think of it. This is inflicting costs on the Russians.
- 50:05Joe Biden would say that over and over again. It's
- 50:07almost like the underpants gnomes thing with the first, you
- 50:09steal the underpants, then question mark, question mark, question mark,
- 50:11and then profit. Not really sure.
- 50:13Speaker 2: I don't know what that is.
- 50:14Speaker 1: Oh, and South Park, the poor, I think it's butters.
- 50:17The underpants gnomes are stealing his underwear and they're trying
- 50:19to explain how this is supposed to work. And they
- 50:21don't really have it worked out what they're going to
- 50:23do with the underpants, but they're sure they're going to
- 50:25make a lot of money in the end. And that's
- 50:27the same kind of thing here where they skip the
- 50:28step about how, well, is this really weakening Vladimir Putin's
- 50:32regime or maybe it's strengthening his regime? Is it, you know,
- 50:37increasing American power and influence in the region, or in fact,
- 50:41we're shown as sort of a paper tiger ourselves. And
- 50:44we've done more than, you know, you could have imagined
- 50:47to push Russia towards China and toward the rest of Eurasia.
- 50:52You know, Joe Biden is essentially deliberately trying to prevent
- 50:55them from being part of European civilization and to emphasize
- 51:00their turn to the east. That seems to me to
- 51:03be a terrible mistake, you know, and I think Part
- 51:06of it is part of the longer term Cold War
- 51:09with China, too. And and there you hear them talk
- 51:12about this, Joe. They'll say, you know, essentially Russia's friends
- 51:16with China. So there's two things we can do there.
- 51:18And this is what I think Trump would prefer to
- 51:20do would be just make friends with Russia and pull
- 51:22them away from China. Maybe he's already decides too late
- 51:25for that or he doesn't know how. And then the
- 51:29other side was no lure Russia into Eastern Europe, bog
- 51:32them down so they're no use to China. you know,
- 51:36weaken their power, inflict on them the strategic defeat in
- 51:40Ukraine so that then they won't be as useful to
- 51:43China in our Cold War with them or worse. And
- 51:46which I think is stupid and didn't work. I think
- 51:49that was the choice that Joe Biden made. And I
- 51:52think it was totally wrong because it just strengthened the
- 51:55relationship between Russia and China. And the Russians have a
- 51:58huge new pipeline that they opened. Well, not that new,
- 52:01about 12 years ago that they opened And they keep
- 52:04adding to it. So they're able to sell all the
- 52:06hydrocarbons they want. And the Chinese will burn every hydrocarbon
- 52:10you got. So, you know, they really don't need Europe.
- 52:14You know, Joe Biden kicked them out and basically solidified
- 52:17their economic break with Europe totally unnecessarily, but in a
- 52:21way that didn't really hurt Russia.
- 52:25Speaker 2: And the blowing up of the Nord Stream pipeline was
- 52:27a part of this. This was to disconnect their oil
- 52:30supply or the natural gas supply to Europe.
- 52:33Speaker 1: Yeah, in fact, more specifically, right, it was to make
- 52:38this break between, to solidify the break between Germany and Russia.
- 52:42The previous German chancellor, Angela Merkel, she had this project
- 52:46she called Eurasian Home. And what she was trying to
- 52:49do was balance American and Russian interests in Europe. And
- 52:54then they were closing down all their nuclear stuff, all
- 52:57the green movement, you know, environmental stuff. They closed down
- 52:59all their nuclear in Germany. And then the idea was,
- 53:02don't worry, we're going to import all this clean burning
- 53:04CH4 from the Russians. But to the Americans, this is
- 53:11the worst thing that could happen, would be an alliance
- 53:14or any part of any strengthening relationship or budding relationship
- 53:19between the Germans and the Russians. Because with German manufacturing
- 53:24power and Russian raw materials and both of their at
- 53:28least potential military strength, that if they have an alliance
- 53:31and dominate Eastern Europe, they can keep everybody else out.
- 53:35And so I think that has always been the British
- 53:37and the American fear there. And, you know, there's here
- 53:40in Austin, there's that sort of corporate CIA Stratfor run
- 53:45by this guy, George Friedman.
- 53:46Speaker 2: What is it?
- 53:47Speaker 1: Stratfor, it stands for strategic forecasting. They do dirty tricks. Yeah,
- 53:51it's here in Austin.
- 53:52Speaker 2: Oh, no.
- 53:53Speaker 1: They do some dirty tricks, but I think they mostly
- 53:56like do like, you know, pseudo CIA briefings for corporations
- 54:00and stuff, let them know what's going on in the world,
- 54:02that kind of thing, mostly. Their emails got leaked on Wikileaks.org
- 54:07years ago. And, you know, they're involved. They're close with
- 54:10some of these color-coded revolutionaries. And anyway, I don't know
- 54:13them or anything, but their leader is a guy named
- 54:16George Friedman. And I'll give him credit. I know he
- 54:18opposed Iraq War II in 2003 because I heard him
- 54:21on the radio back then. But, I mean, I'm not
- 54:23vouching for the guys like a good guy or whatever,
- 54:26but just to say He's sort of like a realist
- 54:29school foreign policy analyst type, not too ideological or anything
- 54:34like that. And he gave a speech years ago where
- 54:36he says, and this is the key words, primordial fear.
- 54:39This is the primordial fear of American imperial policy planners
- 54:45is that you would have an alliance between the Germans
- 54:48and the Russians. And so anything that we can do
- 54:51to prevent that, we'll do. Now, I don't know exactly
- 54:53who blew up that pipeline, but I'm sure they had
- 54:56at least, the support of the United States. Seymour Hersh
- 54:59has it that it was American military guys who did it,
- 55:03which I think, I don't know. And then there's a
- 55:05whole cover story about this yacht. And then there's six
- 55:07different versions of who rented this yacht and whether it
- 55:10was used and whether it was robots or whether it
- 55:13was divers or whatever. And it's all meant to confuse.
- 55:16Speaker 2: This episode is brought to you by Visible. Ah, spring
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- 56:25Speaker 1: The bottom line is nobody wants to know, right?
- 56:28Speaker 2: Seymour Hersh, what did he say happened?
- 56:30Speaker 1: He said that it was minors based out of Pensacola, Florida,
- 56:36meaning not pickaxe minors or children, but meaning. divers that
- 56:41go down and disable sea mines that that was their
- 56:45expertise those were the guys that they sent to do
- 56:47it and that was in i think he did that
- 56:49in the london review of.
- 56:50Speaker 2: Books or something like that is that disputed.
- 56:52Speaker 1: Yeah and including by people who blame the ukrainians and
- 56:56people who blame um i don't know like polish or
- 57:02i guess polish uh groups or whatever they had all
- 57:05these different investigations that all led different directions i know
- 57:07jeremy i think jeremy scale who had one version of it.
- 57:11And then James Bamford, who I really respect, he's the
- 57:14guy that wrote all the books about the National Security
- 57:16Agency over the years. And he had it that it
- 57:20was the Ukrainians and they used robots to do it.
- 57:22And he's, you know, sussed that out through documents and
- 57:24stuff and decided that that must have been what had happened. And,
- 57:27you know, so I don't know. There's six different versions
- 57:30of it. And I have, I'm not choosing which is
- 57:33the favorite here, but I think it's clearly was in
- 57:35America's interest. And of course, Joe Biden and Victoria Nuland
- 57:39have both sort of cheekily said, we're not going to
- 57:41let this proceed. And if they do, we will do
- 57:44whatever it takes to stop it. And so evidently they did.
- 57:49And you could see how they would consider that to be,
- 57:53you know, what they would be trying to prevent would
- 57:54be this strengthened relationship between Germany and Russia.
- 57:57Speaker 2: Where's all that natural gas going now? Is it just
- 57:59pouring right into the ocean?
- 58:00Speaker 1: Well, eventually they capped it, but I think it was
- 58:02the biggest release of methane into the atmosphere ever. It
- 58:05was a huge thing. It was massive. If you were
- 58:08a liberal, progressive, Democrat, environmentalist type, that ought to be
- 58:13like the most offensive thing you ever heard of.
- 58:15Speaker 2: Yeah, it's way worse than cow burps.
- 58:17Speaker 1: Oh, yeah.
- 58:18Speaker 2: Remember they were worried about cow burps?
- 58:19Speaker 1: Yeah, it's centuries worth of cow burps. Centuries worth.
- 58:23Speaker 2: Jesus. So the Kazakhstan thing, I never heard of. I
- 58:27hadn't heard a peep about that. I had no idea
- 58:29that we were meddling in Kazakhstan.
- 58:32Speaker 1: Yeah, it was one of those where Much like what
- 58:34just happened in Iran in January where there's protest over
- 58:39some economic policy. I think in that case they had
- 58:41cut the gas ration or something like that. And it's
- 58:46a country that's divided by ethnicity. Those borders are in
- 58:49all the wrong places and whatever. So you have sort
- 58:51of the ruling caste and the people on the outs
- 58:54and whatever. So you had a big protest movement and
- 58:57then all of a sudden there's armed gangs of guys
- 58:59killing cops, seizing police stations, Trying to seize airports and
- 59:03this kind of thing. And then what happened was the
- 59:07Russians invaded. They sent regular troops. across. They were asked
- 59:11by the government there to come and intervene. They sent troops.
- 59:14They crushed the insurrection. And then it was funny because
- 59:17Antony Blinken said, oh, there's a lesson. When the Russians come,
- 59:20they don't ever want to leave. And then the next
- 59:22day they turn around and left. And then they invaded Ukraine.
- 59:24They haven't left there since.
- 59:26Speaker 3: But.
- 59:28Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 59:28Speaker 2: Who were these insurrectionists? I don't know.
- 59:31Speaker 1: I mean, I think presumably they worked for the CIA
- 59:35and probably the Turks or something. You know, I don't know.
- 59:38Speaker 2: Smirks.
- 59:40Speaker 1: Yeah, them too.
- 59:41Speaker 2: Yeah. And so this whole thing was just what you
- 59:44were saying earlier, just to try to get Russia to
- 59:46be spread as thin as possible, spend as much money
- 59:49as possible, cause as many problems in as many places
- 59:52as possible.
- 59:53Speaker 1: In fact, the same George Friedman from Stratford. I think
- 59:56it's in that same speech or maybe a different one
- 59:59where he says, yeah, when Iran is doing a little
- 1:00:03bit better, you hit them. When Russia is doing better,
- 1:00:06you hit them. When China is achieving a thing or two,
- 1:00:09you hit them. You do whatever you can to always
- 1:00:12be effing with everybody all the time in order to,
- 1:00:15you know, that's how to press your advantage, which I
- 1:00:17think is totally just short sighted. It's high time preference,
- 1:00:20you know, sort of government thinking, right? That like, well,
- 1:00:23if we can get away with this now, we should.
- 1:00:26without really thinking about the long-term consequence. In fact, that
- 1:00:29was one of the things that failed to impress at
- 1:00:32Oxford that I brought up that I thought was crucial
- 1:00:34that is in my book is a strobe Talbot, Bill
- 1:00:37Clinton's guy who originally opposed NATO expansion and then later
- 1:00:42championed it in 2018 when it was the middle of
- 1:00:46the war, uh, the, the civil war so-called with America
- 1:00:50supporting Kiev and the Russians supporting the so-called rebels on
- 1:00:53the other side. Um, A New York Times reporter named
- 1:00:57Keith Gessen went and interviewed Strobe Talbot. And it just
- 1:01:02kind of went without saying that, like, clearly what is
- 1:01:05going on here is the project of NATO expansion has
- 1:01:07sort of blown up and caused all these problems. You know,
- 1:01:10what are we going to do? And what do you
- 1:01:12think now, pal? I forgot exactly what he phrased it,
- 1:01:14but it's sort of, you know, what do you have
- 1:01:15to say for yourself, Strobe? And so Strobe Talbot says, well, listen,
- 1:01:19he goes, when you're in power, you have one job.
- 1:01:24And that is to pursue your nation's national interests. And
- 1:01:28if you don't do that, well, then you won't be
- 1:01:30in power very long. So that was what we had
- 1:01:32to do. But then he says, now, maybe should we
- 1:01:37have had a higher, wiser conception of our national interest? Maybe.
- 1:01:45In other words, at the time, what they were thinking
- 1:01:47is we want Lockheed dollars and we want Polish votes.
- 1:01:50for 1996, Illinois' crucial swing state, right? So, or was,
- 1:01:55I don't know if it still is. So that's why
- 1:01:58we got to do this, because it's in America's national
- 1:02:00interest that Bill Clinton get reelected and we all get
- 1:02:02to keep our jobs. So we're going to make these
- 1:02:05promises to these people and pursue this policy for our
- 1:02:09narrow interests as rulers of the empire. But then if
- 1:02:14he had had a higher, wiser conception of America's national interest,
- 1:02:18he might have thought, wow, are we scheduling a military
- 1:02:20conflict with Russia for the next century? And maybe we
- 1:02:24shouldn't do that. Maybe we should look at it like
- 1:02:26actually nothing in the world is more important than America
- 1:02:30continuing to get along with the Russians. And again, when
- 1:02:33the communists are long gone, so whatever problem you have
- 1:02:36with these guys, it ain't Stalinism and it ain't evangelical
- 1:02:40Marxism at the point of a rifle, right? I mean,
- 1:02:43this is just whatever it is, we can deal with it. And, um,
- 1:02:47And so, no, they chose the lower, dumber conception of
- 1:02:50America's national interest instead of the higher, wiser one. And
- 1:02:53they blew it.
- 1:02:55Speaker 2: Is there anyone that's ever made the argument to you
- 1:02:59like where you've had these debates where you have a
- 1:03:02utopian perspective on international relations and that this libertarian ideology–
- 1:03:09Of like staying out of people's business, staying out of
- 1:03:11what you'll do if you don't fuck with the Russians,
- 1:03:15you don't keep them spending, you don't keep them stretched out.
- 1:03:18They'll just amass more and more power and then they'll
- 1:03:20start to try to take over what was traditionally the
- 1:03:23Soviet Union. What was originally the Soviet Union? Yeah.
- 1:03:27Speaker 1: You know, it just so happens, right, that America never
- 1:03:31leaves anybody alone. So we just don't have a controlled experiment.
- 1:03:35Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:03:35Speaker 1: We're constantly provoking. And everything that we see them do
- 1:03:39is clearly a reaction. And it's just like when we
- 1:03:41talk about terrorism. Again, I'm not in any way justifying it,
- 1:03:45but I'm just saying we have so much intervention preceding
- 1:03:48the terrorism. You have to be able to attribute that.
- 1:03:51Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:03:51Speaker 1: Now, so how would things be otherwise, for example, if H.W.
- 1:03:54Bush had just said, OK, well, we won the Cold War.
- 1:03:57Pat Buchanan's right. Let's just come home and had brought
- 1:04:01the empire home from Europe. Then what would happen is
- 1:04:03the Germans would have reunified. And then they would have
- 1:04:06joined into a new European Union army with the British
- 1:04:09and the French and probably the Poles. And then it
- 1:04:12would have been on them to keep the peace between
- 1:04:16each other, to police the smaller countries in their region,
- 1:04:20and hopefully strike a long-term security partnership with the new red, white,
- 1:04:25and blue Republican Russians. And, you know, if people want
- 1:04:28to say– and, in fact, the other side in that
- 1:04:31debate at Oxford– Daniel Freed said, yeah, but it was
- 1:04:33Poland wanted to join our alliance. It's not like we
- 1:04:36made them. They wanted to. But the thing is, yeah,
- 1:04:39they might have reason to fear Russia based on old things.
- 1:04:42But the question is, why are we obligated to be
- 1:04:45the guarantor of their independence? It's too far from here.
- 1:04:50And it's something that we're no good at. We only
- 1:04:52cause problems and something that the other European states who
- 1:04:57are all Western Christian capitalist democracies and friends of ours
- 1:05:02that they can all work together and solve on their own.
- 1:05:04I mean, when Germany reunified, it's not like the commies
- 1:05:06were taken over. It was the West that was dominant
- 1:05:10in the new Germany, right? These are our pals. There's
- 1:05:13no reason in the world that America should have had
- 1:05:15to have, well, for example, like a big part, part
- 1:05:19of The horrible war in the Balkans was because of
- 1:05:22a contest for power between America and Germany over who's
- 1:05:25going to be dominant in the former Yugoslavia. We should
- 1:05:28just let the Germans have it. Or, I mean, not
- 1:05:31have it and kill everybody or whatever, but God, it
- 1:05:32could hardly have been worse than what America helped to
- 1:05:34cause there by trying to compete with the Germans for dominance.
- 1:05:38In a land that's quite literally 6,000 miles from here.
- 1:05:41Speaker 2: But it's the fear from the American side that if
- 1:05:44you let other countries consolidate power, if you let them
- 1:05:48grow in influence without fucking with them and keeping them
- 1:05:51spread out like we're doing with Russia, that they'll eventually
- 1:05:54get stronger and then they'll become a real problem. And
- 1:05:57they keep them weak, keep them distracted, keep them engaged
- 1:06:01in this Ukraine conflict and Kazakhstan and anything else you
- 1:06:04can cook up. And that keeps them down.
- 1:06:06Speaker 1: Well, it's like this. When it was the Cold War
- 1:06:10against the Commie Soviet Union, I was a kid and
- 1:06:13I'm not an expert on all of that history. I
- 1:06:16think there were real questions about the dangers of world
- 1:06:20communism at that time where at least I'd be willing
- 1:06:22to hear you out. But since the end of the
- 1:06:25Cold War, no, there's just no justification for it because
- 1:06:29as Bill Hicks would say, right, like just spin the globe, man.
- 1:06:32There's no countries out there, right? Every power in Europe
- 1:06:34is our friend. And no threat to us and mean
- 1:06:37us no harm whatsoever. There are no powers in Egypt–
- 1:06:40I mean, pardon me, in Africa that count at all
- 1:06:42except for Egypt, which is our friend. India will be
- 1:06:45a power in 100 years from now. China is a
- 1:06:49rising power. But we've been their friends for 50 years.
- 1:06:51Even when they were still communists, Nixon went and made
- 1:06:54friends with them in the early 1970s. Friends. And then
- 1:06:57the Soviet Union, yeah.
- 1:06:58Speaker 2: But aren't they constantly infiltrating our different universities and people? Wow.
- 1:07:05Speaker 1: I ain't endorsing that. You can keep them out.
- 1:07:08Speaker 2: But Chinese infiltration is kind of crazy, like what they're
- 1:07:11doing in America. It's like if you're saying they're our friends,
- 1:07:13you know, the mayor of Arcadia just got busted. She
- 1:07:17was a communist spy. She's a fucking mayor of a
- 1:07:19city in California.
- 1:07:21Speaker 1: I'm putting that on the FBI counterintelligence division. That should
- 1:07:24have never been allowed to happen in the first place.
- 1:07:27And no, I don't mean that they're totally benign, but. Look,
- 1:07:31worst case scenario, China invades or just surrounds and forcibly
- 1:07:36reintegrates Taiwan. That doesn't mean they're going to invade Korea.
- 1:07:40It doesn't mean they're going to invade Japan or Australia
- 1:07:43or have the appetite to want to do that. I
- 1:07:46think China's already a pretty overextended empire and it's very
- 1:07:50poor in many parts of it. And they have something,
- 1:07:53is it 14 or 15 neighbors that they got to
- 1:07:56deal with already? You know, their greatest ambition is to
- 1:08:00build this highway and fiber optics and whatever from Shanghai
- 1:08:09to Lisbon, right? Why am I forgetting the name of
- 1:08:13the damn thing? The great new highway they're trying to
- 1:08:18build all the way across Eurasia. They can't do that
- 1:08:23by intimidating everyone and lording it over everyone. They've got
- 1:08:26to cut through Tajikistan. These are wild lands. They're going
- 1:08:29to make deals the whole way across if they're going
- 1:08:32to do that. And if you look at the way
- 1:08:36they're building their empire so far, it's all just briefcases.
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:08:42Speaker 1: Government-backed businesses making deals and buying up resources and stuff.
- 1:08:47But I really don't think that Xi Jinping is looking
- 1:08:51at George W. Bush and Barack Obama and Donald Trump
- 1:08:55and Joe Biden and going, yeah, that's what I want
- 1:08:57to do for my country is blow my own brains
- 1:09:00out trying to take over the whole rest of the
- 1:09:03planet Earth.
- 1:09:04Speaker 2: Well, you know, just to point to what you're saying,
- 1:09:07it's like China's not invading anybody.
- 1:09:09Speaker 1: They're not.
- 1:09:10Speaker 2: They're not doing what we're doing.
- 1:09:11Speaker 1: And I'm not saying they're nice guys or whatever, but
- 1:09:13they don't rule us and they're no threat to North America.
- 1:09:16They have no need to pick a fight with us.
- 1:09:18People say, oh, you got all your microchip factories on Taiwan. Well,
- 1:09:21then move them to Austin. We've had advanced micro devices
- 1:09:24here for 30 years or whatever, 35 years, maybe more
- 1:09:28than that. They can build that stuff here.
- 1:09:30Speaker 2: They can, but they tried. It's very difficult to think
- 1:09:33about what they've got going on in Taiwan. The reason
- 1:09:35why Taiwan is the head of it is that they're
- 1:09:37far more advanced than anybody else in the world at
- 1:09:40doing it. Bring them. Yeah, you would have to. That's
- 1:09:44a lot.
- 1:09:45Speaker 1: I thought you were going to say it was something
- 1:09:46special about the saltwater over there or something.
- 1:09:48Speaker 2: No, no, no, no. They're just way ahead of everybody else.
- 1:09:51I mean, in fact, didn't Samsung try to do a
- 1:09:54chip manufacturing plant in Texas? And I think their yields
- 1:09:58were so poor. I don't know what the actual story
- 1:10:01with that is. So I'm speaking way over my pay
- 1:10:06scale here. But I think what it is is you
- 1:10:09have to have like certain tolerances. When you're creating these
- 1:10:13chips and they weren't achieving what they were trying to
- 1:10:17achieve despite spending an enormous amount of money. So it's
- 1:10:20not as simple as build a plant. The schematics are there.
- 1:10:24You just crank out chips. Like apparently these chips are
- 1:10:28super complicated to make. Sure.
- 1:10:30Speaker 1: Not worth having a war over.
- 1:10:32Speaker 2: No, not worth. I'm not saying it's worth harding. But
- 1:10:34I'm just saying that this idea, just move them to Austin.
- 1:10:38I don't think it's that easy. I think chip manufacturing
- 1:10:41is one of the most complex technological challenges in 2026.
- 1:10:48Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:10:49Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 1:10:50Speaker 1: I mean we've had– I don't know what all AMD
- 1:10:54does here. But I'm pretty sure that them and Samsung
- 1:10:59and others have all the facilities they need here to.
- 1:11:03Speaker 2: I don't think that's quite true.
- 1:11:05Speaker 1: Or they should be able to.
- 1:11:07Speaker 2: They maybe could with enough resources and time and maybe
- 1:11:11stole all the fucking eggheads from Taiwan and bring them
- 1:11:14over here, all the geniuses that have figured out how
- 1:11:16to make those chips. Maybe. Maybe they wouldn't let them.
- 1:11:19But what happened with the Samsung chip factory?
- 1:11:25Speaker 3: It's never been fully opened and it's not done yet.
- 1:11:28Speaker 2: Oh, okay.
- 1:11:29Speaker 1: I used to be a rent-a-cop at some pretty fancy
- 1:11:33factories here, you know, back 25 years ago.
- 1:11:37Speaker 2: Oh, yeah? What kind of factories?
- 1:11:40Speaker 1: I think it would have been AMD and or Samsung.
- 1:11:45Some pretty fancy, like, chip fabrication and stuff like that.
- 1:11:48Speaker 2: Well, let's ask. Perplexity. Let's ask.
- 1:11:51Speaker 1: And I did have a job being a rent-a-cop because
- 1:11:53you skate parking garages at work and do my homework
- 1:11:57at work.
- 1:11:57Speaker 2: It was great. Yeah. Yeah, easy job for the most part, right?
- 1:12:00Just free time. Let's ask perplexity, why are so many
- 1:12:05chip manufacturers in Taiwan? Because I'm pretty sure there's something
- 1:12:11about the advancements that they've made in chip manufacturing that
- 1:12:15no one's been able to replicate. Otherwise, it doesn't make
- 1:12:18sense that China wouldn't just make their own. Like, they're
- 1:12:20right there.
- 1:12:21Speaker 1: I read this thing not long ago about how, like,
- 1:12:24with the China's AI stuff, they figured out how to
- 1:12:27write their program where they need Much less computing power
- 1:12:30to do the same kind of effort in the way
- 1:12:32that they did it. So they just found their own workaround. Yes.
- 1:12:35Speaker 2: Well, they also– there's a lot of espionage going on too. Yeah, probably.
- 1:12:39A lot of the world's chip manufacturers is in Taiwan
- 1:12:41because the island deliberately built a specialized ecosystem around contract
- 1:12:46chip fabrication, foundries, then compounded that early lead with huge investment,
- 1:12:52dense clustering of suppliers and talent, and strong government support
- 1:12:56over several decades– So early strategic bet on manufacturing. Starting
- 1:13:02in the 1980s, Taiwan chose to focus on precision manufacturing,
- 1:13:06fabricating chips for others, instead of trying to build its
- 1:13:08own big consumer tech brands. And then their dominance and scale. Yeah,
- 1:13:14founded in 87. Now the world's leading contract, TSMC, the
- 1:13:19leading contract chip manufacturer, produces over half of the world's
- 1:13:22advanced semiconductors and more than 90% of the most cutting-edge nodes.
- 1:13:26Because advanced fabs cost tens of billions of dollars and
- 1:13:31must run near full capacity to be profitable, only a
- 1:13:35few players can keep up. And Taiwan's leader kept pulling
- 1:13:39ahead as others dropped out. See, that's what I'm talking about.
- 1:13:42I don't think it's easy.
- 1:13:43Speaker 3: The biggest issue I was seeing was that no customers
- 1:13:47is what kept popping up.
- 1:13:49Speaker 2: What is that? There are no customers.
- 1:13:52Speaker 1: I mean, the thing is, at the same time— There
- 1:13:53are huge problem.
- 1:13:54Speaker 3: Delays because there's no one to buy them.
- 1:13:56Speaker 2: Why not? I don't know.
- 1:13:58Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:13:59Speaker 1: I mean, when it comes to capacity, then it's a lot.
- 1:14:02We got Samsung and Dell and AMD and IBM here.
- 1:14:05I mean, it seems like they can invest their own
- 1:14:07money and build their own whatever they need to.
- 1:14:09Speaker 3: Right.
- 1:14:10Speaker 2: But just read what they said there about the amount
- 1:14:13of money that's involved in keeping it running. Like, I
- 1:14:17think there's so I think the idea about Taiwan and again,
- 1:14:20this is not really my area of expertise. Not that
- 1:14:23I have any. But that they're so far ahead that
- 1:14:26this process that they bet on early on, that they've
- 1:14:30got their manufacturing to this point where they've already invested
- 1:14:34this enormous amount of money. And the money– and they
- 1:14:36have to keep them running constantly. I don't think it's simple.
- 1:14:40I don't think it's like car manufacturing.
- 1:14:42Speaker 1: And then by no customers, you mean– Essentially, everybody who
- 1:14:45needs these chips is already getting them from Taiwan. There's
- 1:14:47not much more demand than that.
- 1:14:49Speaker 2: Well, not necessarily. It could just mean that they already
- 1:14:52have contracts, that they don't need them because they've already
- 1:14:55made commitments to Taiwan chip manufacturers.
- 1:14:58Speaker 1: On the other hand, if Beijing is a military threat
- 1:15:02to Taiwan and these people would rather not be under
- 1:15:07the rule of Beijing and the Communist Party, then there's
- 1:15:11a pretty big incentive for them to move to Texas.
- 1:15:13Speaker 2: There is, but again, what I'm saying is I don't
- 1:15:16think it's a simple step. I don't think it's just
- 1:15:18like move here. I think it's an enormous investment in capital,
- 1:15:22like beyond normal things. And then I think to keep
- 1:15:25them running is an insane commitment. It's very difficult. And again,
- 1:15:29if Samsung doesn't have any– if right now they don't
- 1:15:32have any customers, didn't they have an issue with yields though?
- 1:15:36Wasn't there an issue with chips being made to standard?
- 1:15:42I think there was something else on top of that.
- 1:15:45Speaker 3: I tried typing that in and out. I didn't see anything.
- 1:15:47But they're trying to get to two nanometer production. They
- 1:15:51started on trials. And then there's rumors about why they
- 1:15:57have not moved into mass production. And that's all these
- 1:16:00articles are saying.
- 1:16:02Speaker 1: Well, the Pentagon budget is a trillion and a half
- 1:16:04this year. Let's just cut all that. Then we'll have
- 1:16:08plenty of capital freed up to build your microchip.
- 1:16:10Speaker 2: Well, that's cute. They're not going to do that.
- 1:16:12Speaker 1: Who needs a world empire? Hey, look, one of the
- 1:16:15lessons of the war in Iran is the empire is
- 1:16:18good for nothing anyway. We have H-bombs that are enough
- 1:16:20to deter anyone from attacking us. But America's military empire
- 1:16:24in the Middle East is completely bankrupt.
- 1:16:26Speaker 3: Right.
- 1:16:26Speaker 1: That whole thing was a hollow bluff and the Iranians
- 1:16:28just called it and we lost. I mean, our bases
- 1:16:31have been evacuated. They keep coming out. I know. I
- 1:16:35think you talked about this on your show.
- 1:16:36Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:16:37Speaker 1: How they were covering up. the satellite photos. They weren't
- 1:16:40letting Americans have access to the satellite photos when you
- 1:16:42could get them online, whatever other countries had them. And
- 1:16:45then you've had the New York Times and I hate
- 1:16:47to cite CNN, but it was a well-sourced story where
- 1:16:50they got all these great satellite photos and went and
- 1:16:52showed how the Iranians reached out and touched 18 bases
- 1:16:55from Erbil in Northern Iraq, all the way down to
- 1:16:59Muscat in Oman and, and took out all radar stations and,
- 1:17:04Pitted our runways, hit refueling tankers and AWACS radar planes
- 1:17:08and took out the entire, not the entire, but a
- 1:17:11huge percentage of the overlapping radars for the missile defense
- 1:17:16systems over there. Left our allies in Saudi, Qatar, UAE,
- 1:17:20Bahrain wide open. You know, our naval's fifth fleet station
- 1:17:26at Bahrain is destroyed and offline. I read this thing
- 1:17:29said the Qataris are our main air base in the
- 1:17:32Middle East, the headquarters of Central Command and our main
- 1:17:35air base at Qatar. The Qataris made a deal with Iran.
- 1:17:39Please stop hitting us. And they promised to not allow
- 1:17:42America to fly any sorties out of Qatar, our main
- 1:17:45air base during that war. And so as Justin Logan
- 1:17:49from the Cato Institute said, well, what good is a
- 1:17:51military base that you can't fight a war from? You know,
- 1:17:54it's just like that. I know you see this, right?
- 1:17:56That that old meme. It says, well, if Iran doesn't
- 1:17:59want trouble with us, how come they put their country
- 1:18:01so close to all our military bases? And it has
- 1:18:03all the map of all our bases in the region.
- 1:18:06But the thing is, what Donald Trump, I guess, didn't
- 1:18:08understand was that those were a tripwire that were essentially
- 1:18:12we were making our own guys hostages of Iran to
- 1:18:15prevent war. Those bases were preventing war because it should
- 1:18:19have been out of the question that we would attack
- 1:18:21Iran because all those bases would be up for grabs
- 1:18:24against them.
- 1:18:25Speaker 2: So how are they so poorly defended? That's what I
- 1:18:28don't understand. Like, how is it so easy for Iran
- 1:18:31to attack these bases? And did they have any foreknowledge
- 1:18:35of this? Did they understand? Oh, yeah.
- 1:18:37Speaker 1: So why they were so poorly defended, that's got to
- 1:18:40be political decision making among the brass, right? About like, well,
- 1:18:43we don't want to admit that we need these fortifications
- 1:18:46in the first place, maybe, or just the other. general
- 1:18:50said don't. So we don't want to fight with him
- 1:18:52about it for office politics reasons or what?
- 1:18:54Speaker 2: Like, I don't know. No good excuse. It's not a
- 1:18:57gross underestimation.
- 1:18:57Speaker 1: It can't be because, listen, I'll tell you, man, in
- 1:19:01January of 2007, the chiefs took W. Bush down to
- 1:19:05the tank in the basement of the Pentagon. And they
- 1:19:08told him, look, we'll do your Iraq surge where we
- 1:19:12increase the war in Iraq. But we really don't want
- 1:19:15to go to Iran. And they told him the reason
- 1:19:18why not is because the Iranians have escalation dominance, or
- 1:19:22at least we won't have it. I shouldn't have said that.
- 1:19:24I was overstating it. We will not have escalation dominance there.
- 1:19:28And that means that, you know, it's a Pentagon term
- 1:19:30for if we're going to get into a fight, we
- 1:19:32don't want to fight at all unless we know we're
- 1:19:34going to control every stage of that conflict. And In
- 1:19:38the case of, say, invading Iraq, there's nothing Saddam Hussein
- 1:19:42can do about it, right? As Paul Wolfowitz said, Iraq
- 1:19:45is doable. In the case of Iran, they have, most
- 1:19:49importantly of all, a short and medium range missile force
- 1:19:54that we cannot defend from. Now, we can defend from
- 1:19:58it some. We have our Patriot missiles and our other
- 1:20:00type of interceptors, but they can pour on volume that
- 1:20:04there is no magic Star Wars shield that can protect from.
- 1:20:09And we had at that time more than 100,000 guys
- 1:20:12in Iraq, 50,000 in Afghanistan, and then plus still, as
- 1:20:16we still do, tens of thousands, Air Force and Army
- 1:20:20in Kuwait, Air Force and Army in Saudi Arabia, Air
- 1:20:23Force in Qatar, Navy at Bahrain, I guess Air Force
- 1:20:28and Army in UAE, and I didn't know in Oman,
- 1:20:31but yeah, of course, in Oman they had, you know,
- 1:20:33some naval presence there as well. So, And they knew
- 1:20:36then that all of that stuff will be up for grabs.
- 1:20:39And then the Strait of Hormuz will also be at risk.
- 1:20:44And in fact, it's true. At antiwar.com, you can find
- 1:20:49in the archives there, I wrote an article in August
- 1:20:52of 2005 called Who's Behind the Coming War with Iran?
- 1:20:57And I say in there, they can close the Strait
- 1:21:00and they can inflict economic damage, drive the cost of
- 1:21:03a barrel of oil up above $ 200 a barrel. And
- 1:21:06all of that. So there were people a lot smarter
- 1:21:08than me who were writing about that at the time
- 1:21:10that I was interviewing on my show at the time
- 1:21:12who were just saying, look, we can start a war
- 1:21:15with Iran, but we don't really have a good way
- 1:21:17to finish one. And so and we talk about the
- 1:21:20nuclear program, how unnecessary all this was in a sec, too.
- 1:21:23But point being that you want to do a regime change.
- 1:21:26As you just said, you kill the Ayatollah. It doesn't
- 1:21:27do any good. They have a new Ayatollah. You can
- 1:21:30kill the whole ruling council that appoints the Ayatollah, but
- 1:21:32then they'll just appoint a new ruling council. So then
- 1:21:35you can dump in the 82nd Airborne Division, but they
- 1:21:38can't occupy and control Tehran. There's no good land route
- 1:21:42to invade the country. They have two massive mountain ranges.
- 1:21:45Speaker 2: And one of the most preposterous narratives was like getting
- 1:21:47the people to rise. Oh, yeah.
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: We're going to arm up some Kurds.
- 1:21:51Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. Not just the Kurds. They were trying to
- 1:21:53get just the Iranian civilians. Yeah. With no arms. Yeah.
- 1:21:57Speaker 1: And they'll talk about, you know, arming the Kurds and
- 1:22:00arming the Balukis, which is I don't know if there
- 1:22:03are other factions, but that seems to be a direct
- 1:22:05reference to groups like Jandala, who the Obama administration and
- 1:22:09the Israelis both backed about 15 years ago, who were
- 1:22:12bin Ladenite head choppers, suicide bomber guys. They're no different
- 1:22:16from al-Qaeda or ISIS. And they, you know, John Bolton
- 1:22:19on Pierce Morgan, the same show that I was on
- 1:22:22was saying, yeah, we could arm up the Belukis. And
- 1:22:24stuff is crazy. I actually wrote in that article at
- 1:22:27that time, the neocons daydream that if we just start
- 1:22:29the war, then the people will rise up and create
- 1:22:32a new pro-American government there. But that's crazy to bet
- 1:22:35on that. There's no reason to believe that. And so,
- 1:22:38and there's video of me in 2010, warning the same thing.
- 1:22:41And I'm not claiming any great insight. I didn't go
- 1:22:43to college, man. I just, I'm interested in this stuff,
- 1:22:46and I have a show where I was interviewing all
- 1:22:48these experts about it at the time, and it was
- 1:22:51just complete consensus. Everybody knew. They can reach out, and boy,
- 1:22:56over 20 years I must have said this a thousand times.
- 1:22:59They can not only hit all of our military stuff
- 1:23:01in Iraq and Kuwait and Bahrain and Qatar, etc., Saudi, etc.,
- 1:23:05but a trillion dollars of economic targets all up and
- 1:23:09down that gulf, which is exactly what they did. They
- 1:23:11hit refineries. They hit chemical plants. They hit not just
- 1:23:15at the Strait of Hormuz, they hit American oil tankers
- 1:23:18up near Kuwait just to show that, like, we pwned
- 1:23:21this entire thing now. So back to my original point
- 1:23:24when I got on this tangent was that America's conventional
- 1:23:26military empire is bankrupt. Donald Trump just blew his big
- 1:23:31bluff that we're the big player in the region. We're
- 1:23:35actually not in the region. We're here. The region is
- 1:23:38over there. And the entire country, you know, threat of
- 1:23:41our dominance over there is basically called. I mean, obviously
- 1:23:44we still have aircraft carriers and planes and bombs and
- 1:23:47even nukes and all that. But can the leaders in Bahrain,
- 1:23:52in Qatar and UAE and Saudi rely on America to
- 1:23:55defend them?
- 1:23:56Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:23:56Speaker 1: Or are they going to come up with their own
- 1:23:59different policy now?
- 1:24:00Speaker 2: Haven't we also used up like two thirds of our
- 1:24:03Patriot missile supply? Oh, yes.
- 1:24:04Speaker 1: I don't know the exact percentages, but a lot. And
- 1:24:07they're admitting now that the Iranians still have 70, 75%
- 1:24:11of all their missiles and launchers. All that stuff about
- 1:24:14we decimated everything they had was all just plaster.
- 1:24:16Speaker 2: They're admitting that? Who's admitting that?
- 1:24:18Speaker 1: Government officials talking to the New York Times and the
- 1:24:20Washington Post in the last three days. Oh, I hadn't
- 1:24:23heard that.
- 1:24:24Speaker 2: 70, 75%.
- 1:24:25Speaker 1: They got all their launchers, all their missiles. They dug
- 1:24:28out missiles that had been buried. They refurbished some and
- 1:24:31finished some that were on the assembly line. That was
- 1:24:34what they told the Post. They were finishing some that
- 1:24:36had been on the assembly line that they went ahead
- 1:24:38and restarted up again.
- 1:24:40Speaker 2: And don't they have some crazy like missile elevator system
- 1:24:43where they're buried deep underground?
- 1:24:45Speaker 1: I don't know how it works exactly, but yeah. And
- 1:24:48even they have apparently like the factories are buried deep
- 1:24:50underground as well and just dispersed throughout the country.
- 1:24:53Speaker 2: And so– They've been preparing for something like this for
- 1:24:56a long time. And so these bases that we had,
- 1:24:59are all of them non-functional, all the ones that have
- 1:25:02been hit?
- 1:25:02Speaker 1: I don't think so. I don't know the exact extent
- 1:25:05of that. But as far as their usefulness– Over the
- 1:25:09long term, they might as well have just been abandoned
- 1:25:11at this point.
- 1:25:12Speaker 2: Let's see what the conventional news says.
- 1:25:15Speaker 1: New York Times and CNN have two big profiles on this.
- 1:25:18I don't know off the top of my head better
- 1:25:20stuff than that. The CNN– oh, NBC also had one within.
- 1:25:24The CNN and the NBC are within the last couple
- 1:25:26of weeks. The New York Times is about six weeks
- 1:25:28old maybe.
- 1:25:28Speaker 2: One of the things that disturbed me to no end,
- 1:25:31and we talked about this a couple of times in
- 1:25:32the podcast, was there was one of the guys who
- 1:25:37was over there. who attended a briefing and they were
- 1:25:43told that this is bringing about Armageddon and that Trump
- 1:25:49was anointed by Jesus Christ and that this war in
- 1:25:53Iran was going to cause Jesus to return and that
- 1:25:57this was actually being told to a bunch of military
- 1:25:59people that were having a war debriefing. And then the
- 1:26:05guy had a– Whoever this officer was that was talking
- 1:26:08about this said that the guy had a giant smile
- 1:26:11on his face when he was telling this, which made
- 1:26:14it all the more creepy.
- 1:26:15Speaker 1: Oh, good. The end of the world. Nobody wants to
- 1:26:17die alone, right, Joe?
- 1:26:18Speaker 2: But they were saying that there's a faction in the
- 1:26:22military that is these religious fundamentalists that actually believe that
- 1:26:27it's bringing about Jesus' return. So, look, there's a guy
- 1:26:30named– Commander claimed Trump was anointed by Jesus to cause
- 1:26:35Armageddon to justify Iran strikes.
- 1:26:38Speaker 1: So there's a guy named Mikey Weinstein.
- 1:26:40Speaker 2: Let's just go over this real quick because this is
- 1:26:42so crazy. Go up to the top, please. Right there.
- 1:26:46So it's where it says who it was. So it's
- 1:26:49a military commander. Told a group of non-commissioned officers that
- 1:26:53President Donald Trump, anointed by Jesus to light the signal
- 1:26:56fire in Iran to cause Armageddon and mark his return
- 1:27:00to Earth.
- 1:27:02Speaker 1: And then that's that's Mikey Weinstein right there, the Military
- 1:27:05Religious Freedom Foundation. He was I believe he was an
- 1:27:08Air Force officer, maybe as an army officer. And then
- 1:27:12he created this group to advocate against this kind of
- 1:27:15stuff in the military. And it's been a long time
- 1:27:17since I spoke to him. But he was saying to
- 1:27:19me years ago that it's especially in the highest ranks
- 1:27:22of the Air Force, the highest ranks of the Air Force.
- 1:27:25They really believe this stuff. It is time to bring
- 1:27:28on the apocalypse. And it's a good thing that they
- 1:27:30are the ones in charge of the nukes so that
- 1:27:32they can use them according to the divine plan. It
- 1:27:36is scary stuff.
- 1:27:36Speaker 2: People need to know this. Go back to that, please,
- 1:27:38because there's one quote that's below that. This is so fascinating.
- 1:27:43He urged us to tell our troops that this was
- 1:27:46all part of God's divine plan. And he specifically referenced
- 1:27:50numerous citations out of the book of Revelations. referring to
- 1:27:54Armageddon and the imminent return of Jesus Christ. Can you
- 1:27:57imagine if you're over there, you already think the war
- 1:27:59is sketchy. Like, why the fuck are we doing this?
- 1:28:01And then this guy comes down, you're like, oh my God,
- 1:28:03we're cooked.
- 1:28:04Speaker 1: This is a big part of how they justified Iraq.
- 1:28:06I mean, there's so many Protestant ministers out there who
- 1:28:08told their people that this is the Bible.
- 1:28:10Speaker 2: Get it?
- 1:28:11Speaker 1: Middle East, year 2000, sort of-ish. This is how you're
- 1:28:15going to get raptured up to heaven in your body.
- 1:28:18And all you have to do is support this aggressive
- 1:28:20war and all this magic stuff is going to come true.
- 1:28:22And in fact, this is why there's Such a massive
- 1:28:24crash in evangelical support for Israel and these kind of
- 1:28:27foreign policies now is because people just don't believe that
- 1:28:30anymore because that's what the Left Behind series at Walmart
- 1:28:33said 25 years ago, and then it never happened. It
- 1:28:36didn't come true. Speaking of the one world government and
- 1:28:38all this stuff. where's Satan where's the deal instead it's
- 1:28:41just Obama and Trump you know.
- 1:28:45Speaker 2: So how do you think we got talked into this
- 1:28:49Iran thing because J.D. Vance very against it a lot
- 1:28:53of people Tulsi Gabbard very against it what the fuck.
- 1:28:56Speaker 1: Happened I think that Netanyahu essentially, you know, all this
- 1:29:00talk about, um, four dimensional chess and whatever. I think
- 1:29:05what it is is it's just checkers, right? Is Netanyahu goes, listen,
- 1:29:11for Iran, for Iran to have a civilian nuclear program,
- 1:29:15come on, that's just cover for really a weapons program.
- 1:29:18It's just a stage in a weapons program. We know
- 1:29:21eventually they're going to make nukes and then they're going
- 1:29:22to attack Israel with them. And we also know that, um,
- 1:29:28And you already said that you're not going to let
- 1:29:29them have nukes. Well, having a nuclear program at all
- 1:29:32is having nukes. Same difference. And you already agreed to that, right?
- 1:29:35Speaker 2: Right. Okay.
- 1:29:36Speaker 1: Well, and they won't give up enrichment. So what do
- 1:29:39we do? We got to attack. It's just like Obama's
- 1:29:42red line on the fake chemical weapons scare in Syria
- 1:29:45there that once you agree to this thing, now it's
- 1:29:48written in stone. And now, like, we got you on
- 1:29:50this technicality. Double jump. You already agreed with the stupid
- 1:29:54things I said. And so now you have to do
- 1:29:56the thing that I said. And then Trump goes, OK.
- 1:29:58And then plus on top of that, just the flattery.
- 1:30:00And like, you know, honestly, this is the most obvious thing.
- 1:30:03Back when he was on Twitter in his first term,
- 1:30:05I used to tweet at him and I would say, wealth, strength, gold,
- 1:30:10get out of Afghanistan, height, power. And we're like, just
- 1:30:16tell him like things that he likes.
- 1:30:18Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:30:18Speaker 1: With get out of Afghanistan in the middle. And so
- 1:30:21this is what Netanyahu does is he goes, listen. You're
- 1:30:25greater than Abraham Lincoln. You're greater than George Washington. You're
- 1:30:28a world historical figure. You're sure to go to heaven now.
- 1:30:32You're like if FDR had done the right thing and
- 1:30:34invaded Germany in 1935 and prevented that whole thing from
- 1:30:38ever happening.
- 1:30:39Speaker 2: Well, you're just guessing that this is how he talked
- 1:30:41to him, right?
- 1:30:41Speaker 1: Well, kind of, but.
- 1:30:43Speaker 2: Wouldn't it be awesome.
- 1:30:43Speaker 1: To be a fly on the wall? Because he repeats
- 1:30:45a lot of it.
- 1:30:45Speaker 2: Oh, it would.
- 1:30:45Speaker 1: It would be great. But he repeats so much of
- 1:30:48it back that I think that, like, yeah, you can
- 1:30:50pretty much tell. This is what they're saying to him,
- 1:30:52and then this is what he's responding is. Obama wasn't
- 1:30:56man enough to do it. George Bush wasn't man enough
- 1:30:59to do it. He knows what has to be done.
- 1:31:01He's willing to do it. And he's ill informed enough
- 1:31:04to believe that it makes any sense that if you
- 1:31:07just bomb their nuclear program, that somehow it'll go away.
- 1:31:11If you just hit them hard enough, then eventually they'll
- 1:31:13just do what you say. It doesn't work like that.
- 1:31:16It oftentimes does not work like that. And with these guys,
- 1:31:20they've made it clear that We're not making bombs, but
- 1:31:23we absolutely reserve our right to enrich uranium for peaceful purposes.
- 1:31:27And we will suffer your airstrikes. We will not give
- 1:31:30up that right. And so that's it. And they've been
- 1:31:34completely clear about that this entire time. But Netanyahu convinced them.
- 1:31:39Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:31:39Speaker 1: This is why he also believed that the Strait of
- 1:31:41Hormuz was not at risk. Because Netanyahu convinced him, once
- 1:31:43we hit him, once he killed Ayatollah, the whole thing's
- 1:31:46going to fall apart. There'll be no one too close
- 1:31:48to stray to Hormuz because we'll have already won by then.
- 1:31:50Speaker 2: But what do you think happens if Iran does get
- 1:31:52nuclear weapons?
- 1:31:56Speaker 1: Probably the other states in the region will. You know,
- 1:32:01Daryl Cooper, who's my partner on our show, Provoked, and
- 1:32:04I know a good friend of yours.
- 1:32:06Speaker 2: I love Daryl.
- 1:32:06Speaker 1: He is so great.
- 1:32:07Speaker 2: He's awesome.
- 1:32:08Speaker 1: And he was pointing out.
- 1:32:09Speaker 2: That guy gets- Boy, does he get fucking misrepresented all
- 1:32:12the time.
- 1:32:12Speaker 1: Oh, he does.
- 1:32:13Speaker 2: Oh, my God. He does. Oh, my God.
- 1:32:15Speaker 1: Heroic guy, man.
- 1:32:16Speaker 2: Very fucking smart. And if you listen to Fear and
- 1:32:20Loathing in the New Jerusalem, anybody who listens to that
- 1:32:23and thinks that guy's anti-Semitic is fucking crazy. Yeah, no.
- 1:32:26You're crazy.
- 1:32:28Speaker 1: All that stuff is just a smear.
- 1:32:29Speaker 2: So balanced.
- 1:32:29Speaker 1: Out of context stuff.
- 1:32:31Speaker 2: It's so balanced and so objective and his perspective on
- 1:32:36it and just– People take that one thing that he
- 1:32:39said about– fuck– Churchill, the thing that he said about
- 1:32:45Churchill being the real villain. He's being provocative, right? And
- 1:32:49what he's trying to say is that Churchill, by imposing
- 1:32:52those embargoes, essentially was starving them and was keeping resources
- 1:32:58from getting to Germany and he forced Hitler's hand to
- 1:33:02do what he did. It's not excusing him. It's not
- 1:33:06like saying Hitler wasn't a fucking evil cunt. It's not
- 1:33:10like saying Hitler's a good guy, but Winston Churchill's the
- 1:33:14bad guy. Somebody was saying it all. But he was
- 1:33:16saying Winston Churchill, also a bad guy, also wanted to
- 1:33:20attack Soviet Union right after they were done with the war.
- 1:33:24Speaker 1: And he was actually, he even introduced the subject by
- 1:33:27saying to Tucker that, you know, I like to pick
- 1:33:30on my friend Jocko, who's very waspy. And I like
- 1:33:35to pick on him and joke with him that Churchill
- 1:33:38was the real bad guy. Exactly. Because he wouldn't accept
- 1:33:42peace for an answer. He had to finish the regime
- 1:33:44change no matter what, even if it took America doing
- 1:33:46it for him and whatever. And then his point about–
- 1:33:48he never even finished the point about the people starving
- 1:33:51in the camps. He was totally taken out of context
- 1:33:55to mean that the only people who died in the
- 1:33:57Holocaust– All that happened was the Germans didn't care enough
- 1:34:01to feed them well enough or something. But that was
- 1:34:03not what he was saying at all. He was essentially
- 1:34:05arguing that even if you were some kind of German apologist,
- 1:34:09even you would have to admit that every single soul
- 1:34:12they took possession of, they took responsibility for. And if
- 1:34:17people are starving to death by the millions in their camps,
- 1:34:20then nobody could deny that.
- 1:34:24Speaker 2: Right.
- 1:34:24Speaker 1: And then he didn't even discuss the rest of the Holocaust.
- 1:34:26His point had nothing to do with like trying to
- 1:34:29diminish the rest of it or discount the rest of
- 1:34:31it or anything like that. He was just saying, you know,
- 1:34:35arguing even the devil's advocate would have to admit so
- 1:34:38much of the case on the face of it. he
- 1:34:40was segwaying right into a point about Gaza and how
- 1:34:44the Israelis, Gaza is not a country. Gaza is an
- 1:34:47Indian reservation. They were already whooped and conquered and besieged.
- 1:34:52And so you take control of people like that, then
- 1:34:56you're responsible to make sure that they're fed and that
- 1:34:59they're not starving to death in this, you know, under
- 1:35:01your captivity, which was the point that he was making.
- 1:35:03So it ended up being, you know, Half of a
- 1:35:08thing in jest and half explained about Churchill. And then
- 1:35:13a point about the war in the East that was totally,
- 1:35:18and I think in some cases, honestly, misinterpreted. But what's
- 1:35:23dishonest is people pretending like he didn't explain himself on
- 1:35:26the record over and over and over, clarifying what he
- 1:35:28meant by all that stuff.
- 1:35:29Speaker 2: And that's the problem with video clips. Yeah. Clips are
- 1:35:33a real problem because you lose the context of the
- 1:35:35entire conversation. You get one person's point where they might
- 1:35:38be steel manning something else or they might be like
- 1:35:41trying to be provocative or whatever it is. But to me,
- 1:35:45it's always very fascinating that this one war is beyond debate.
- 1:35:50Like there's no room for any discussions of what might
- 1:35:54be true, what might not be true. I don't think
- 1:35:58there's a single fucking moment in human history where we
- 1:36:03have gotten a completely objective, 100 percent accurate representation of
- 1:36:07why the war started. What were the factors? What were
- 1:36:10the motivations? We could go all the way back to
- 1:36:13Smedley Butler and Smedley Butler's war is a racket, which
- 1:36:16I always point out, because here's a guy. In 1933,
- 1:36:19that was realizing he was a major general, realizing at
- 1:36:23the end of his tenure, like, holy shit, what did
- 1:36:26I do? I thought that I was doing this to
- 1:36:30make the world safer. And really, I was making it
- 1:36:33better for bankers, better for all these interests to go
- 1:36:36in and control resources or do whatever the fuck they
- 1:36:38were actually doing.
- 1:36:40Speaker 1: And.
- 1:36:41Speaker 2: You can talk about that. But if you get into
- 1:36:44discussions about World War Two and anything involving the Nazis,
- 1:36:48anything involving the Holocaust, all of a sudden anti-Semitic gets
- 1:36:51thrown around. All of a sudden you're you're a bad person.
- 1:36:54Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:36:55Speaker 1: As he says, it's, you know, a huge part of
- 1:36:57our civic religion, basically. You know, we're like George Washington
- 1:37:01and even Abraham Lincoln and all that stuff is too
- 1:37:04long ago, where it's really Franklin Roosevelt and Harry Truman
- 1:37:06and Dwight Eisenhower are the founding fathers of the American empire.
- 1:37:10And their great project, the greatest generation and all of
- 1:37:13those things. That was, you know, that's, that's how we
- 1:37:17know that that's who we are. I mean, my grandfather
- 1:37:19was in that war and my great uncle was, you know,
- 1:37:22death marched by the Japanese in that war and stuff
- 1:37:25like that. A lot of people have connections to that.
- 1:37:29As Bill Kristol and his friends would say, this is
- 1:37:32how you build national greatness. You need big projects that
- 1:37:35we can all do together. And World War II is
- 1:37:37the biggest project of all. So it's, the kind of
- 1:37:39thing that, that people don't really want to question.
- 1:37:41Speaker 2: It's also, we should point out that they were bankrolling
- 1:37:44Smedley Butler trying to get him to overthrow the fucking government. Right.
- 1:37:48Speaker 1: And he refused to do it.
- 1:37:48Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:37:49Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:37:49Speaker 1: They marched up Capitol Hill with the documents and, yeah.
- 1:37:52And showed them.
- 1:37:52Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:37:53Speaker 2: They were trying to get him to throw a military
- 1:37:56coup on the United States government and take it over.
- 1:37:58Speaker 3: Yep.
- 1:37:59Speaker 1: I mean, you thought FDR was bad and these guys
- 1:38:01wanted to overthrow him. He wasn't, you know, isn't that crazy?
- 1:38:03Wrong faction, I guess. Um, but, um, Look, I'm not
- 1:38:07an expert on, and I've only read a few books
- 1:38:10about the Second World War, and you'd have to read
- 1:38:12hundreds to really know what you're talking about on that one.
- 1:38:14But I can tell you that Pat Buchanan's great book, Churchill, Hitler,
- 1:38:18and the Unnecessary War, that Pat knew that everybody was
- 1:38:22going to try to smear him, and everyone was going
- 1:38:23to attack him, and nobody wanted to hear his version
- 1:38:26of how this all happened. So he only quotes the
- 1:38:29high level, most credentialed English historians from Cambridge and Oxford.
- 1:38:35And so he's not relying on the German point of
- 1:38:38view whatsoever. He's quoting only these English historians saying, here's
- 1:38:42how the idiot Neville Chamberlain and Winston Churchill died. essentially
- 1:38:49fumbled into this war, screwed up and got us into
- 1:38:52this war that was way worse than we ever could
- 1:38:54have hoped. And they ended up turning Poland over to
- 1:38:56the commies at the end anyway, and all of that.
- 1:38:58And it's really honestly is what I think it is,
- 1:39:01is a decent take on World War II without all
- 1:39:04that religiosity that you're referring to there. And just take
- 1:39:06a cold look at it. You know, like they say
- 1:39:08that W. Bush, he's the Winston Churchill of the 21st century.
- 1:39:12And I'm like, you know what? Maybe that's right. And
- 1:39:16maybe Winston Churchill was really just the George W. Bush
- 1:39:18of the 20th century. It's just you're supposed to never
- 1:39:21admit that or.
- 1:39:21Speaker 2: Talk about that. Who's Winston Churchill's Dick Cheney?
- 1:39:24Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, that's a good question.
- 1:39:26Speaker 2: I don't know. Boy, that guy, he had no pulse
- 1:39:30for a while. Yeah. Is that not in the Bible
- 1:39:33or something?
- 1:39:34Speaker 1: Yeah, it should be.
- 1:39:35Speaker 2: A fucking guy who wants war, who is giving no-bid
- 1:39:39contracts to the company that he was the fucking CEO of,
- 1:39:44where they're going over there and fixing for billions of
- 1:39:46dollars shit that we blew up. And this guy doesn't
- 1:39:49even have a pulse.
- 1:39:50Speaker 1: I know.
- 1:39:51Speaker 2: He had a fake heart.
- 1:39:53Speaker 1: He lived so long, too. Woo!
- 1:39:55Speaker 2: Crazy.
- 1:39:55Speaker 1: Only the good die young kind of thing.
- 1:39:57Speaker 2: I mean, how many people dropped dead after COVID? of
- 1:40:00heart attacks that were young and healthy. And this fucking guy,
- 1:40:02keep on trucking. Remember when he shot his friend in
- 1:40:05the face and his friend apologized?
- 1:40:07Speaker 1: Yup.
- 1:40:10Speaker 2: He fucking, they were, they were doing, which is one
- 1:40:13of the most, uh, very, I'd say it's one of
- 1:40:18the hardest to, uh, argue in support of type of hunts.
- 1:40:23It's called a canned hunt. You know what it is?
- 1:40:25Speaker 3: Yeah. Yeah.
- 1:40:25Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:40:26Speaker 2: Because what it is that they just released in Gaza.
- 1:40:30Very similar. They just– well, this is birds. They just
- 1:40:33release these birds from a cage literally and they fly
- 1:40:37and then they shoot them out of the sky. And
- 1:40:38even then he blasts his friend.
- 1:40:40Speaker 1: And then he wouldn't do– Drinking and hunting.
- 1:40:43Speaker 2: Well, allegedly. So he wouldn't do any interviews or anything.
- 1:40:46He wouldn't talk to anybody for like 24 hours. And
- 1:40:49so he had to sober up or allegedly or whatever.
- 1:40:52And then his friend was like, minor misunderstanding. Got a
- 1:40:57few pellets in my face. What the fuck?
- 1:40:58Speaker 1: I'm very sorry if this reflected negatively on the vice president.
- 1:41:02Speaker 2: That's a gangster.
- 1:41:02Speaker 1: My fault for putting my face there.
- 1:41:04Speaker 2: Isn't that amazing? No lawsuit. No nothing. Your friend shoots
- 1:41:08you in the face. No worries.
- 1:41:09Speaker 1: And what angle exactly did he get shot that he
- 1:41:12was okay after that?
- 1:41:13Speaker 2: Well, the thing about it is it's birdshot. It was
- 1:41:16just birdshot, yeah. And birdshot spreads, right? And depending upon
- 1:41:21the distance and how far he was away from him,
- 1:41:23he could have just got clipped. Most likely that's what
- 1:41:26happened because I think he was 70. You know, if
- 1:41:29you're 70, you get shot in the face with a shotgun.
- 1:41:31Usually that's a wrap.
- 1:41:32Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:41:32Speaker 2: So I think he just got clipped with a couple
- 1:41:34of pellets and, you know. Yeah. He probably should have
- 1:41:36just shut the fuck up and not reported it. Right.
- 1:41:39I don't know how it even got out.
- 1:41:41Speaker 1: He must have had to go to the hospital.
- 1:41:44Speaker 2: I fucked up. I dropped my gun and it went off.
- 1:41:46Speaker 1: Oh, yeah.
- 1:41:46Speaker 2: Yeah, you don't.
- 1:41:47Speaker 1: The vice president shot me. Don't tell the newspaper I
- 1:41:50said that.
- 1:41:51Speaker 2: If that was my friend, I would probably say, let
- 1:41:56it go. Let's figure this out. You don't have to
- 1:41:58go to the fucking press.
- 1:41:59Speaker 1: Come on, bro.
- 1:42:00Speaker 2: We're both hammered.
- 1:42:00Speaker 1: There's a guy who's killed and wounded a lot of people,
- 1:42:04that's for sure. Mostly vicariously, but not always.
- 1:42:07Speaker 2: Well, I mean, there's a special place in hell.
- 1:42:10Speaker 1: He's there already.
- 1:42:12Speaker 2: It's just so weird that that worked. You know, just
- 1:42:15all of it. The no bid contracts, the fact that
- 1:42:18he was essentially running. Remember when he was in a
- 1:42:21bunker and Bush was running around? He's in a bunker somewhere. Like,
- 1:42:26why is he in a bunker? Like, what the fuck?
- 1:42:29That whole war was so weird.
- 1:42:31Speaker 1: It was to pretend that there's a threat, that there's
- 1:42:33an ongoing threat when there wasn't.
- 1:42:35Speaker 2: I had a bit about it in my act is
- 1:42:37like that the elites really have no idea how dumb
- 1:42:39people are. And the only way to find out how
- 1:42:41dumb people are is make a dumb guy president. And
- 1:42:44that's what they did. And then when we went into
- 1:42:46a war with Iran– or with Iraq rather, like how
- 1:42:50did we justify that? And they bought that? What the fuck?
- 1:42:55And then the bit was like, he won again? Right, yeah.
- 1:42:59He won again.
- 1:42:59Speaker 1: He got reelected on that, yeah.
- 1:43:01Speaker 2: And then I go– there's someone sitting in the back
- 1:43:03of the room going, I think we can go dumber.
- 1:43:08That was the idea of the bit is that this
- 1:43:10is the only way to find out how dumb we are.
- 1:43:12Speaker 1: Like that– Kurt Vonnegut story, Harrison Bergeron, where there's like
- 1:43:17the ruling elite, but the president, I think is the
- 1:43:19president in the movie of his Tim Curry or something.
- 1:43:21He's just a total like buffoon. And they just, the
- 1:43:27real power is all behind the throne running things.
- 1:43:29Speaker 2: Well, my favorite movie about that is Dr. Strangelove. Because
- 1:43:34it's like– because it's kind of humorous and, you know,
- 1:43:37but the whole thing is like, oh, my God. I
- 1:43:39think when you see this Pete Hexess thing where these
- 1:43:42guys are talking about this and this commander is saying
- 1:43:46that it's all to bring about Armageddon, this is right
- 1:43:49out of Dr.
- 1:43:50Speaker 1: Strangelove.
- 1:43:50Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:43:51Speaker 1: Oh, you can tell– and this is one of the
- 1:43:53most dispiriting things, right, is when you can tell a
- 1:43:55lot of times when these people are talking that, wow,
- 1:43:58he's really not lying. He really thinks that that stupid
- 1:44:00lie is true. And he's telling us what he thinks
- 1:44:02is true, like, you know, depending on their tone and
- 1:44:04the way they explain it. He is sometimes like even
- 1:44:08with Donald Trump, like. It's possible he's even talked himself
- 1:44:12or allowed himself to be talked into believing that they
- 1:44:14really were making nuclear weapons and that then they were
- 1:44:17going to use.
- 1:44:17Speaker 2: Them on us.
- 1:44:18Speaker 1: I mean that might just be the dumbest lie and
- 1:44:20he knows it.
- 1:44:20Speaker 3: Right.
- 1:44:20Speaker 2: But if they did have nuclear weapons, it would be
- 1:44:23a giant problem because the Iranian government, just look what
- 1:44:25they've done to their people, executed protesters. They've done some
- 1:44:29wild shit. I don't know. You don't think that's a
- 1:44:31big deal, what they've done to their protesters?
- 1:44:33Speaker 1: In fact, that's where we got off on Martyr Made
- 1:44:36there a minute ago was because on our show he
- 1:44:38was saying, Right now, through their conventional power, and especially
- 1:44:43because W. Bush gave their best friends Baghdad, Iran is
- 1:44:47by far the dominant power in the region, conventionally speaking,
- 1:44:51other than us. If they rush to an atom bomb, say,
- 1:44:56to somehow deter us, which I don't think that would work.
- 1:45:00I think we'd just attack them if they really did.
- 1:45:01We'd just attack them again. But if they did somehow
- 1:45:05get an atomic bomb, well, then that would then incentivize
- 1:45:08all of the other powers involved. I mean, or other
- 1:45:10states on the GCC there, Saudi and Qatar and Bahrain
- 1:45:14and UAE to get their own nukes. And at that point,
- 1:45:17Iran's entire strategic advantage is canceled because now they got
- 1:45:20nukes too. And so now nobody has.
- 1:45:21Speaker 2: A strategic advantage. But no one can do to them
- 1:45:24what happened to them now if they had nukes. This
- 1:45:27was the argument for Ukraine not disarming.
- 1:45:29Speaker 1: But that would include them being able to deliver them
- 1:45:32to the United States as well. And I think, you see,
- 1:45:34it's like this. Here's how it worked, okay? The Iranians...
- 1:45:38They're members of the nonproliferation treaty going way back. They
- 1:45:41had a safeguarded civilian nuclear program where the IAEA could
- 1:45:44verify they're not diverting their nuclear material.
- 1:45:47Speaker 2: How could they verify this? Oh, it's just they have
- 1:45:49their bases all underground.
- 1:45:50Speaker 1: I mean, no, no, no, because all that stuff was
- 1:45:52open and declared and safeguarded by the IAEA. So they're
- 1:45:56enriching at two major facilities at Fordow and Natanz. And
- 1:45:59then they followed the uranium from womb to tomb from
- 1:46:02the mine. through the conversion process.
- 1:46:05Speaker 2: But how much oversight do they have of this? I mean,
- 1:46:07how much of it could be done in secrecy?
- 1:46:09Speaker 1: It was very robust up until, you know, last June. Essentially,
- 1:46:14they're proving the negative there.
- 1:46:16Speaker 2: Can I pause you there? Because they didn't know that
- 1:46:18the Iranians had the capacity to, they sent one 4,000 kilometers, right?
- 1:46:25The Diego Garcia attack.
- 1:46:27Speaker 1: Yeah, the missile.
- 1:46:28Speaker 2: So those missiles had a far greater range than anything
- 1:46:31that they had declared.
- 1:46:33Speaker 1: Actually, not quite because– well, first of all, that's– the
- 1:46:36missile stuff is totally separate from their safeguards going with
- 1:46:38the IAEA. They have nothing to do with that. But
- 1:46:41as far as the missiles, the only limit on their
- 1:46:44missile range previously was a political limit.
- 1:46:47Speaker 2: Oh, it wasn't a capability?
- 1:46:50Speaker 1: That's right. So they had– So it wasn't.
- 1:46:51Speaker 2: That they stated that all we have is this?
- 1:46:55Speaker 1: They– only previously. But then in October of– I'm pretty
- 1:47:00sure it was last October in the aftermath of the
- 1:47:03June war. And so then in October of 25, the
- 1:47:06Ayatollah announced we're lifting our limit on the range of
- 1:47:09our missiles. And they said that publicly that they were
- 1:47:12doing that. And so that was as a result, again,
- 1:47:15of this provocation of the war last June. So that's
- 1:47:18still separate from the nuclear stuff, though. But go ahead.
- 1:47:21Speaker 2: I'm sorry. So it wasn't a capability thing. It was
- 1:47:23just an agreement.
- 1:47:25Speaker 1: Although they don't have the capability to launch a three-stage
- 1:47:28intercontinental ballistic missile to the United States of America. They
- 1:47:31can hit Israel, but they can do that with an
- 1:47:33intermediate-range missile.
- 1:47:34Speaker 2: But if they're cooperating with China, and China has that capability.
- 1:47:38Speaker 1: Because Bill Clinton gave it to them, yeah.
- 1:47:40Speaker 2: Yikes. Jesus, why did he do that?
- 1:47:43Speaker 1: I love this story. For the money. If you remember
- 1:47:47the scandal of 96 and all the Chinese money in
- 1:47:50his campaign in 96— They spent all their money, all
- 1:47:55the media attention, hyping up Charlie Tree and Johnny Chung,
- 1:48:00who were like low-level fundraisers who didn't have anything to
- 1:48:03do with anything. And then they framed an entirely innocent
- 1:48:06Taiwanese scientist named Wen Ho Lee, and the evil FBI
- 1:48:09persecuted poor Wen Ho Lee. And it was this huge
- 1:48:12distraction from what really happened, which was this Chinese-Indonesian billionaire
- 1:48:18named Riotti who was directly tied to Chinese intelligence he
- 1:48:23got his guy John Wong appointed to the Commerce Department
- 1:48:26where he was put in charge of licensing missile technology
- 1:48:29transfers to China and they took that authority away from
- 1:48:32state and defense and gave it to Commerce and then
- 1:48:34John Wong was the guy who got to rubber stamp
- 1:48:37those missile technology transfers so then Hughes Aircraft and Loral
- 1:48:41Corporation then sent their very best three-stage rocket technology to China. Oh, geez.
- 1:48:46Because it's cheaper to have them launch the satellites, you know.
- 1:48:50So they were not, I don't think, able to deliver
- 1:48:52hydrogen bombs to the United States before that. And they
- 1:48:55were able to because, I mean, for a few hundred
- 1:48:57thousand dollars or maybe a couple of million dollars or whatever,
- 1:49:00they were able to buy this from Bill Clinton.
- 1:49:02Speaker 2: Jesus Christ. I know, crazy.
- 1:49:03Speaker 1: But no, you're right. Look, could Iran with Chinese help
- 1:49:08or whatever someday be able to deliver a war here?
- 1:49:11Speaker 2: Yes.
- 1:49:11Speaker 1: However, the much better solution to that certainly would have been,
- 1:49:17I know we can't go back, but certainly would have
- 1:49:20been just normalizing relations with Iran and just dealing with them.
- 1:49:23The reality was Iran's position was not that they were
- 1:49:26racing to a nuke. Their position was they had this
- 1:49:29safeguarded program where again, the IAEA is essentially proving the negative.
- 1:49:33We know where all their uranium is. It's right where
- 1:49:35it's supposed to be. And they haven't taken it and
- 1:49:37diverted it yet. And we know how much they're enriching
- 1:49:40and we know where it all goes. And so there,
- 1:49:44so then Israel would say, America, they're making nukes. If
- 1:49:48they have a nuclear program at all, this is the
- 1:49:50same during W. Bush, during Obama. This is true under Olmert,
- 1:49:53as well as under Netanyahu, um, who's been in charge
- 1:49:57almost the entire time since Obama. Um, And the policy
- 1:50:00was from the Israelis. America bombed them. They got a
- 1:50:04civilian program. And you know that's just cover for they're
- 1:50:07going to make nukes someday. And they're going to use
- 1:50:08them on us. So just go ahead and let's get
- 1:50:10them now. Then America would say, no, we're not doing that.
- 1:50:14This is under W.
- 1:50:15Speaker 3: Bush.
- 1:50:15Speaker 1: Again, under Obama. Under Trump won and under Biden. No,
- 1:50:19we're not going to just start a war. But we
- 1:50:23will warn the Iranians. Don't you break out and try
- 1:50:28to make a nuke now. Because if you do, then
- 1:50:32we will attack you and we'll bomb your Manhattan Project
- 1:50:35before you can complete it and before you can get.
- 1:50:37Speaker 2: An atom bomb.
- 1:50:38Speaker 1: We'll see you then. And then the Iranians would say,
- 1:50:41we're not making nukes, so don't attack us. And then
- 1:50:45the heavy implication was, if you attack us, then we
- 1:50:49might make nukes. So they had a latent deterrent, right?
- 1:50:52A half-assed nuclear weapons deterrent. They proved that they had
- 1:50:55mastered the fuel cycle, that they could enrich uranium. If
- 1:50:59they wanted to up to weapons grade, they never did.
- 1:51:02But they said they were essentially saying we have a
- 1:51:03revolver in one pocket and bullets in the other. Let's
- 1:51:06not escalate this. And that could have and should have stood.
- 1:51:10Except this is what this is the answer to your
- 1:51:12question about how do they get us into this? Because
- 1:51:14Netanyahu convinced Trump to change that line and to adopt
- 1:51:18the Israeli line that for them to have a civilian
- 1:51:20nuclear program at all is equivalent to the exact same
- 1:51:23thing as them making nuclear weapons. And we're just not
- 1:51:26going to allow that.
- 1:51:28Speaker 2: So how much understanding do we have of their capabilities
- 1:51:34and how do we have that understanding? Like how much
- 1:51:37do we know about their enrichment program? How much do
- 1:51:40we know about whether or not they're capable of making
- 1:51:43a weapon? Because haven't they stated recently that they are
- 1:51:46capable of making a nuclear weapon? well do you think.
- 1:51:49Speaker 1: That was not a threat i think what in fact
- 1:51:52if i if i know the statement that you're talking
- 1:51:54about they were saying look we're not making nukes and
- 1:51:56the proof that we're not is the fact that we
- 1:51:58know how to we could and we're still not and
- 1:52:01you can see all this time they mastered the fuel
- 1:52:03cycle back in 2006 once you okay so it's like
- 1:52:07this and and they have been set back on this
- 1:52:09they got their facility uh blown up last june but
- 1:52:15especially you have remember yellow cake don't drop that shit
- 1:52:18um You have that refined yellow cake is refined uranium ore.
- 1:52:22Then you convert that to uranium hexafluoride gas. And that's
- 1:52:27the stuff that you inject into the centrifuges. Then you
- 1:52:29have what's called a cascade of centrifuges, a whole bunch
- 1:52:31of them all connected together with tubes. And then you
- 1:52:35spin the uranium hexafluoride gas in the centrifuges and you
- 1:52:39spin the U-238, which is heavier, out and away from
- 1:52:43the U-235, which is the sweet stuff. And the more
- 1:52:46you enrich it, then... the more capable it is of
- 1:52:49being used for nukes. Well, it's one way to put it,
- 1:52:51but so they would, they need like 3.6% U-235 for
- 1:52:56their electricity program. They need 20% U-235 for targets for
- 1:53:00their medical isotope reactors for like cancer treatment, radiation, or
- 1:53:03like that radioactive dye that they put in people for,
- 1:53:06to see your circulatory system and stuff. But then to
- 1:53:09make weapons grade uranium, you need typically above 90% pure uranium-235.
- 1:53:13In any case, Once you spin it through the centrifuges
- 1:53:18to whatever stage of purity, then you got to convert
- 1:53:20it back into a metal again, whether you're going to
- 1:53:23make fuel rods or whether you're going to try to
- 1:53:24make a bomb warhead out of it. So under the
- 1:53:27Obama deal of 2015, the JCPOA, it was really just
- 1:53:31an extra layer on top of the nonproliferation treaty and
- 1:53:34on top of the safeguards agreement that we already had.
- 1:53:37But the way that was worked out was a big
- 1:53:40part of it was that they would scale back their
- 1:53:43capability to enrich by shutting down, I think it was
- 1:53:46two thirds of their centrifuges at Natanz. And then at Fordo,
- 1:53:49they would change it from a production facility to just
- 1:53:53a research facility. And then whatever stockpile of uranium they
- 1:53:58came up with would be transferred out of the country
- 1:54:00to Russia and they would turn it into fuel rods
- 1:54:02and send it back. That way they have no stockpile
- 1:54:05that they could just quickly reintroduce into the centrifuges and
- 1:54:08enrich to a higher grade. They'd have to basically start
- 1:54:11at nothing again. And so under the theory and the
- 1:54:14way the scientists work it out, that if they withdrew
- 1:54:17from the treaty, kick the inspectors out of the country.
- 1:54:20And so we are now making atom bombs. It would
- 1:54:23take them a year to enrich enough uranium at weapons
- 1:54:27grade to make one bomb out of it. Then on
- 1:54:30top of that, you have to have the actual experts
- 1:54:33who know how to machine it into the exact specifications
- 1:54:37as in how to detonate it and everything else. And the,
- 1:54:41The simpler the nuke, the harder it is to deliver.
- 1:54:45So typically, like the Hiroshima bomb was a gun-type nuke
- 1:54:48where you just shoot one uranium pit into the other one,
- 1:54:51which they didn't even test. The Trinity test was the
- 1:54:53Nagasaki bomb, basically. They knew it would work, but it
- 1:54:56was essentially a very heavy bomb and very difficult to deliver.
- 1:55:00And virtually all miniaturized implosion bombs in the world that
- 1:55:05can ever be married to a missile, they're virtually all
- 1:55:08made out of plutonium. And they don't have a plutonium
- 1:55:10route to the bomb. Because under the Obama deal, they
- 1:55:13poured concrete into the Arak, that's A-R-A-K, which was supposed
- 1:55:17to be a heavy water reactor, which can produce weapons-grade
- 1:55:20plutonium as waste. But they poured concrete into that thing
- 1:55:23and shut it down completely before it was even open.
- 1:55:26Their reactor that they do have operating is at Boucher,
- 1:55:29and it's a light water reactor, which means that it
- 1:55:32is possible for it to produce weapons-grade plutonium as waste,
- 1:55:35but it's much more difficult to... They would have to
- 1:55:37shut it off all the time to harvest the stuff
- 1:55:39out of there and all of that. Under inspections, they
- 1:55:42can't do that.
- 1:55:43Speaker 2: So this is all monitored.
- 1:55:44Speaker 1: This is all monitored. It's like if you had a
- 1:55:46gun shop and you have an ATF cop sitting at
- 1:55:49the barstool. Well, unless he was fast and furious smuggling
- 1:55:51your guns to cartels. Assuming not that, but like assuming
- 1:55:55he was just a regular cop. Like you can't accuse
- 1:55:58me of selling illegal laser rifles from my gun shop
- 1:56:00when I've got a cop sitting right here. And that's
- 1:56:03the deal here is they've got inspectors throughout the place.
- 1:56:06And then what happened was, so we had that perfect
- 1:56:09Mexican standoff, right? Where is Israel saying, bomb them, they're
- 1:56:12making nukes. We say, no, we won't bomb them, but
- 1:56:14we will if they do. And them saying, don't bomb
- 1:56:17us because we're not. Then Trump called their bluff last June.
- 1:56:21And really Netanyahu did. And then Trump jumped in the thing.
- 1:56:23And they really did set their nuclear program back quite
- 1:56:26a bit. Now, I don't think there's any proof that
- 1:56:28they destroyed the centrifuges at Natanz and Fordow. They're deep underground,
- 1:56:32under granite and very hard to get at. But they
- 1:56:34got the elevator shafts and they got the air shafts.
- 1:56:37And if anybody was working down there, they were buried alive.
- 1:56:40The Iranians were incentivized to move giant boulders in front
- 1:56:44of the doors to protect them from missiles and attack
- 1:56:46and stuff like that. But so all the reporting is
- 1:56:50that the Natanz and Fordow facilities are essentially just frozen
- 1:56:53right now. There's nothing going on there. There's open source
- 1:56:56reporting from last November. And then there was a report
- 1:56:59in the newspapers just two weeks ago or maybe three
- 1:57:01that Based on classified information that there is nothing going
- 1:57:05on there.
- 1:57:07Speaker 2: You know what my deep concern is?
- 1:57:08Speaker 1: Okay.
- 1:57:09Speaker 2: No one said what you said to the president.
- 1:57:13Speaker 1: Yeah. See? That's right.
- 1:57:15Speaker 2: Not only that. You're right. That the people, these elected
- 1:57:18officials and these appointed officials that get into positions around him,
- 1:57:22they don't know this.
- 1:57:23Speaker 3: Right.
- 1:57:24Speaker 2: Which is crazy.
- 1:57:25Speaker 1: Dude, I'll tell you what, that New York Times article,
- 1:57:27did you read that one where Netanyahu came and they
- 1:57:29sat across from each other at the table like this
- 1:57:31instead of Trump sitting at the head of the table?
- 1:57:33And Netanyahu gave him the whole presentation about how easy
- 1:57:35the war would be. So as soon as he left,
- 1:57:38then they said everyone else at the table said, don't
- 1:57:43listen to him, boss. He's he's blowing smoke, man, that
- 1:57:46this is going to be so easy. Now, they didn't
- 1:57:48really tell him, don't do it. But they told him,
- 1:57:50don't trust Netanyahu. And that ought to be a snap
- 1:57:53the way that he promises and all that. But then
- 1:57:56and look, it's Maggie Haberman and them at The New
- 1:57:58York Times. I mean, it seemed like a very well
- 1:58:00reported story from, you know, the principals are talking to
- 1:58:03her about this stuff.
- 1:58:04Speaker 2: Well, this is what Joe Candace said as well, right?
- 1:58:06Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:58:06Speaker 1: So they go around the table and Rubio has his say,
- 1:58:12the vice president has his say, the chairman of the
- 1:58:14Joint Chiefs of Staff and whoever, but none, as you
- 1:58:18just said, none of them say what I just said. Right.
- 1:58:20And it really is, it's like four or five dudes
- 1:58:25in a room who may or may not know very
- 1:58:27much about this really. And and and talking about it
- 1:58:31and none of them man enough to say, like, Mr. President,
- 1:58:34permission to speak freely here, sir. Don't make this mistake, buddy.
- 1:58:39Speaker 2: Well, my fear is that they don't know as much
- 1:58:41as you know about it.
- 1:58:42Speaker 1: I think they probably don't. Which is wild. I've been
- 1:58:46at this for a long time.
- 1:58:47Speaker 2: But that is wild. That is really crazy that you'd
- 1:58:49be in a position of making these decisions without having
- 1:58:52this understanding of the fact that they're not even really
- 1:58:55capable right now of making nuclear weapons.
- 1:58:58Speaker 1: If any of them. were capable of really knowing about
- 1:59:02it like this, it would be Rubio or Vance. Or hell,
- 1:59:05Kane too, the chairman of the Joint Chiefs of Staff.
- 1:59:08All of these guys should have been able to say
- 1:59:10to the president, this is an illusory threat, sir.
- 1:59:13Speaker 2: Wasn't Vance not there? Wasn't Vance not there while this
- 1:59:16was going on?
- 1:59:17Speaker 1: He was not there for the Netanyahu part, but then
- 1:59:19he came in later, which he was in Azerbaijan prepared
- 1:59:22for the war, right? It was Where he was is
- 1:59:25why he was late.
- 1:59:26Speaker 2: Wasn't Azerbaijan– didn't they have some sort of a peace
- 1:59:28agreement with Armenia at the time? Oh, I don't know.
- 1:59:33And he visited both of them?
- 1:59:34Speaker 1: Oh, I don't know. I had missed that then. You're
- 1:59:35right then. I didn't know that.
- 1:59:37Speaker 2: I think he visited both of them and that's one
- 1:59:39of the reasons why he couldn't come back.
- 1:59:41Speaker 1: I assume he was in Azerbaijan as preparation for the
- 1:59:44war with Iran.
- 1:59:44Speaker 2: If you visit Azerbaijan, you also have to visit Armenia. Otherwise,
- 1:59:47it would cause some sort of an international conflict, right?
- 1:59:49Speaker 1: Yeah, because we support the hereditary dictatorship in Azerbaijan. Because
- 1:59:54they help us run the oil pipelines west instead of
- 1:59:56north through Russia.
- 1:59:57Speaker 2: But it was also because they had made some sort
- 1:59:59of a peace agreement, correct? Didn't Azerbaijan and Armenia make.
- 2:00:02Speaker 1: A– Possibly. I mean they're fighting over– or the contest
- 2:00:07was over whether Armenia is going to open this corridor
- 2:00:11across Armenia to an Azerbaijani or– Could you look that up, Jamie?
- 2:00:16An Azeri enclave on the Turkish border.
- 2:00:19Speaker 2: OK. France, Matt and Baku. J.D. Vance and, how do
- 2:00:25you say his name, Aliyev, met in Baku to discuss
- 2:00:30the implementation of historic August 8th White House Peace Summit
- 2:00:33and reaffirmed their shared commitment to regional peace, security, and prosperity.
- 2:00:37Leaders signed the U.S.-Azerbaijan Strategic Partnership Charter, which will strengthen
- 2:00:43bilateral relations between our countries. The United States remains committed
- 2:00:46to working with Azerbaijan to unlock the great potential of
- 2:00:50the South Caucasus region. So it was a peace summit.
- 2:00:54And so he met with Azerbaijan and he also had
- 2:00:56to meet with Armenia as well. This is February 10th.
- 2:00:59So this is right before the war.
- 2:01:02Speaker 1: OK, so, yeah, I guess I thought he was like
- 2:01:05just tipping them off. No, we're on your southern border
- 2:01:07in a week or two.
- 2:01:08Speaker 2: I'm pretty sure that the reason for this was that
- 2:01:12he had to meet with both of them. So he
- 2:01:14could not be there. So if I was J.D. Vance
- 2:01:17and I knew– or rather if I was Netanyahu and
- 2:01:20I knew that J.D. Vance was really not into this
- 2:01:22war and didn't want to be a part of it
- 2:01:24at all, I would probably try to– Time it for them.
- 2:01:26What a good time. You can't even come back.
- 2:01:28Speaker 1: Yeah, that makes sense.
- 2:01:30Speaker 2: What does it say? Ah, the gathering had been deliberately
- 2:01:34small to guard against leaks. Other top cabinet secretaries had
- 2:01:37no idea it was happening. Also absent was Vice President J.D. Vance,
- 2:01:42who was in Azerbaijan, and the meeting had been scheduled–
- 2:01:46on such short notice that he was unable to make
- 2:01:48it back in time. Now, if I was Netanyahu and
- 2:01:51I knew that J.D. Vance is going to be in Azerbaijan.
- 2:01:55Speaker 1: You know, I don't really, you know, try to spend
- 2:01:58too much time on the symbolism of things, you know,
- 2:02:01leave that to the symbol minded, right?
- 2:02:03Speaker 2: Symbol minded? Yeah.
- 2:02:05Speaker 1: But like, isn't it meaningful that this is the situation room?
- 2:02:09The president's supposed to sit at the head of the table. Instead,
- 2:02:11Netanyahu sat there and Trump sat here. Opposite him and
- 2:02:16let him run the thing as an equal instead of.
- 2:02:20Speaker 2: Why do you think that is? Why do you think they.
- 2:02:22Speaker 1: Have that kind of influence?
- 2:02:22Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 2:02:23Speaker 1: I really don't know. I mean, they've been friends for
- 2:02:25a very long time. All the speculation about him being compromised,
- 2:02:28I mean, is very possible, but unknowable really, right? Netanyahu
- 2:02:32would do that. I mean, he brought up Monica Lewinsky
- 2:02:36to Bill Clinton.
- 2:02:37Speaker 2: Did he?
- 2:02:37Speaker 1: Oh, yeah. You know we're tapping your phone, homeboy. We
- 2:02:40got you on tape. You better let Jonathan Pollard out
- 2:02:42of prison. And then Bill Clinton refused to do it
- 2:02:44because George Tenet and the whole top tier of the
- 2:02:47CIA were going to resign over it if he did it.
- 2:02:49So he didn't do it. It was Trump that let
- 2:02:51Pollard out. And now Pollard is running to the right
- 2:02:54of Netanyahu. He's now announced that he's running for the
- 2:02:56Knesset over there.
- 2:02:58Speaker 2: So the reason why the Monica Lewinsky scandal went public?
- 2:03:02Speaker 1: No, because no, no, no.
- 2:03:04Speaker 2: I don't think so. Netanyahu said to have offered Lewinsky
- 2:03:08tapes for Pollard. Oh, they had tapes? What do you
- 2:03:12mean they had like recordings?
- 2:03:13Speaker 1: So it may have been after the scandal had broken,
- 2:03:17but they had him on tape with her because the
- 2:03:19only tapes were her on the phone with Linda Tripp
- 2:03:21that Linda Tripp had recorded. But they had him on
- 2:03:24the phone with her.
- 2:03:25Speaker 2: I forgot her name.
- 2:03:27Speaker 1: You know, the story is the first time Bill Clinton
- 2:03:31met Netanyahu in 1996, they were in the room for
- 2:03:34half an hour or something. And when they came out,
- 2:03:36Clinton was just completely exasperated. and says, who the F
- 2:03:40does this guy think he is? Who's the superpower and
- 2:03:43who's the client state? Because Netanyahu had just told him like,
- 2:03:47look here, Butler, here's your orders. For half an hour,
- 2:03:51just barked commands at Bill Clinton in a way that
- 2:03:53he was just like, I can't believe this guy.
- 2:03:56Speaker 2: Wow.
- 2:03:56Speaker 1: It's hard to feel sorry for him. In fact, here's
- 2:03:59one too. Barack Obama was caught on a hot mic.
- 2:04:01This is the only time I've ever been sympathetic with
- 2:04:03Barack Obama. He's caught on a hot mic talking to
- 2:04:05the president of France. And he goes, oh man, You
- 2:04:08think you hate him. I got to deal with him
- 2:04:11every day.
- 2:04:13Speaker 2: And that was about Netanyahu.
- 2:04:14Speaker 1: About Netanyahu.
- 2:04:15Speaker 2: Well, wasn't there an issue with JFK and Israel over
- 2:04:20their ability to acquire nuclear weapons? Yes.
- 2:04:23Speaker 1: He was demanding inspections of Dimona, their nuclear facility there.
- 2:04:27Speaker 2: To this day, they don't officially have nuclear weapons. Correct.
- 2:04:31Speaker 1: And the reason for that is because it's illegal for
- 2:04:34America to give aid to a nuclear weapons state that
- 2:04:37refuses to sign the nonproliferation treaty. And they don't want
- 2:04:42to do that. In fact, they did proliferate nuclear weapons
- 2:04:45to South Africa who gave them up before the change
- 2:04:47after apartheid. But if they openly possess nuclear weapons, then,
- 2:04:56I mean, hell, it should already be illegal because everybody
- 2:04:59already knows. But the Glenn Symington law says that you
- 2:05:02can't give a military aid To a nuclear weapons state
- 2:05:06that won't sign the NPT. That's America's treaty that we
- 2:05:08forced the whole world to accept. And which, by the way,
- 2:05:11is in terrible jeopardy now.
- 2:05:13Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:05:13Speaker 1: Because, you know, Saddam Hussein goes, look, my hands are up.
- 2:05:17I got nothing. They invaded him anyway. The North Koreans
- 2:05:20armed up with nukes. The Libyans said, well, look, we
- 2:05:25have some centrifuge material, but we have no operational program.
- 2:05:27But you can have our junk. They killed him. And
- 2:05:32then the Iranians said, look, we can make nukes, but
- 2:05:35we're not making nukes. They'll leave us alone already. And
- 2:05:38then we kill them. So America is the great destroyer
- 2:05:43of America's nonproliferation treaty that we foisted on the world,
- 2:05:47by which the non-nuclear weapon states promise never to get them.
- 2:05:53And the nuclear weapon states promise never to share them.
- 2:05:57And that's all in jeopardy now. That may not even
- 2:05:58exist anymore. The Poles are talking about getting their own
- 2:06:01nukes now because of Trump's pivot away from Europe in
- 2:06:04the middle of a war that America helped cause over there.
- 2:06:09Speaker 2: Jesus. So Israel officially doesn't have nukes.
- 2:06:13Speaker 1: Officially, they don't. But everybody knows that they have at
- 2:06:15least 200. And in fact, I have that personally from
- 2:06:18Mordecai Venunu, who is the Israeli whistleblower who went to prison.
- 2:06:22They kidnapped him in a honey trap plot, I think
- 2:06:24in in England or in Italy.
- 2:06:27Speaker 2: With chicks with chicks.
- 2:06:28Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 2:06:29Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 2:06:29Speaker 1: They went to get him laid and they kidnapped him
- 2:06:31and they held him in solitary confinement for 25 years
- 2:06:34or something. But he gave the whole story to the
- 2:06:36Sunday times, the London times, and they published it back in,
- 2:06:41I'm going to say 86. And then, um, what happened
- 2:06:44was he was on Twitter. He may still be on Twitter. Um, but, um,
- 2:06:50I had an anecdote from Daniel Ellsberg, the great whistleblower
- 2:06:54of the Pentagon Papers and who was a friend of
- 2:06:55mine for a long time. He died a couple of
- 2:06:57years ago now, but he had an anecdote about Venunu
- 2:07:02that turned out was incorrect. But I asked Venunu, is
- 2:07:05this correct? And then he said, no, it's just like
- 2:07:07I told the Sunday Times back then. And that was
- 2:07:10that they had 200 atom bombs by the time that
- 2:07:13he squealed on them. And we know from Grant F.
- 2:07:15Smith's research, He got this through some FOIA documents. He's
- 2:07:19from the Institute for Research Middle Eastern Policy, really great
- 2:07:22researcher on this. And he showed that they had at
- 2:07:25least been researching hydrogen bombs, the big ones, although there's
- 2:07:29no proof that they ever actually made H-bombs. And I
- 2:07:32don't think it's been reported that they've made them, but
- 2:07:34they at least were looking into how to.
- 2:07:37Speaker 2: And this was part of the conflict that JFK had
- 2:07:41with Israel. Yes.
- 2:07:42Speaker 1: And trying to register... What was then, I think, the
- 2:07:46American Jewish Council, I believe is what it was called,
- 2:07:48the predecessor to AIPAC as foreign agents. And then they
- 2:07:54dissolved it and created AIPAC instead, I guess, is the
- 2:07:57long and the short of that, how they got around that.
- 2:07:59And they got whacked. you know, and it was, you know,
- 2:08:03I don't know, man, honestly. like I told you, I
- 2:08:06was more of a conspiracy theorist in the nineties, but
- 2:08:08I never did all read into JFK because there's just
- 2:08:11a hundred books about it and a hundred different theories.
- 2:08:13And I'm just not sure if LBJ hired French hit
- 2:08:15men to do it, or if the Israelis got James
- 2:08:17Jesus Angleton to do it, or if Alan Dulles got
- 2:08:20some Cubans to do it or what the hell, right?
- 2:08:22Speaker 2: Like, I don't know.
- 2:08:24Speaker 1: And so I really get, you know, um, uh, I
- 2:08:28don't think I ever really could figure it out.
- 2:08:31Speaker 2: Well, no one really has.
- 2:08:32Speaker 1: There's a bunch of speculation, but Oliver Stone is the
- 2:08:35best guy to talk to. There are a lot of
- 2:08:36people with motive. You know what's funny about that? And
- 2:08:37I think he even admitted this at one point, man.
- 2:08:39You watch the whole movie, JFK. Oh, God. You watch
- 2:08:42the whole movie, JFK. And I'm sorry, man.
- 2:08:46Speaker 2: No worries. It's just Dr. Pepper. I like the little
- 2:08:49stains on this table.
- 2:08:49Speaker 1: There you go.
- 2:08:50Speaker 2: It makes it live.
- 2:08:51Speaker 1: In the edit later, we'll just clip. To Joe and back.
- 2:08:54Speaker 2: No, we'll just show the Dr. Pepper. Why Dr. Pepper?
- 2:08:57Why are you so into Dr. Pepper? I should tell everybody.
- 2:09:00He brought a whole cooler filled with Dr. Pepper.
- 2:09:02Speaker 1: I got to have Dr. Pepper, man. No, you watch
- 2:09:09the whole movie JFK, right? He's got every theory under
- 2:09:12the sun in there. And then as soon as it's over,
- 2:09:15it says produced by Arnan Milchan. Who is an Israeli
- 2:09:19spy and who helped Benjamin Netanyahu steal Krytrons, which are
- 2:09:24an essential part of these nuclear triggers for their weapons.
- 2:09:27That's who produced the movie. And so then someone asked
- 2:09:30Oliver Stone, like, hey, man, an Israeli spy produced your
- 2:09:34movie where you point the finger at everyone except maybe
- 2:09:37the Israelis.
- 2:09:38Speaker 2: What's about that?
- 2:09:39Speaker 1: And he's like, wow, you're right. I forgot exactly how
- 2:09:42he says it, but he acknowledges that. You know what?
- 2:09:44Speaker 3: Like.
- 2:09:45Speaker 1: It could have been even that my own film was
- 2:09:47part of a put on there.
- 2:09:49Speaker 2: Well, especially when you consider the fact that his own
- 2:09:51film was made in what, the 90s?
- 2:09:54Speaker 1: Yeah, it came out in like 91, I think.
- 2:09:55Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:09:56Speaker 1: 90, 91.
- 2:09:56Speaker 2: So back then, he probably didn't know as much as
- 2:10:00he knows now.
- 2:10:01Speaker 1: Yeah, probably never even heard the angle that it would
- 2:10:03have been the Israelis.
- 2:10:04Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:10:04Speaker 1: But of course, you know, LBJ was very close to
- 2:10:07the Zionists and even had a Mossad agent for a girlfriend.
- 2:10:10I'm sorry, I forget her name, but. One of his
- 2:10:11mistresses was a Mossad agent. And then he completely reversed
- 2:10:16all those policies as soon as he was in power. But,
- 2:10:19of course, same thing with Vietnam. He reversed, well, at
- 2:10:22least released any skepticism about Vietnam and said, let's go
- 2:10:25ahead and escalate there and all that. So, like I say,
- 2:10:28that one's it's too muddy for me to try to
- 2:10:31wade through and figure out exactly. It's all the trigger
- 2:10:33on that one.
- 2:10:34Speaker 2: Crazy. The not-so-secret life of Matilda. Is that how you
- 2:10:41say her name? Matilda Krim. That was his Israeli spy girlfriend?
- 2:10:46Speaker 1: Yeah, I believe that's her.
- 2:10:48Speaker 2: She looks like a dirty girl.
- 2:10:48Speaker 1: Good old Phil Weiss. I love that guy. He's a
- 2:10:51great guy. Mondoweiss.net is a great website for anti-Zionist.
- 2:10:55Speaker 2: The no-daylight policy of the U.S. alignment with the Israeli government.
- 2:10:58So obviously today Trump's deference to Netanyahu was born under
- 2:11:03Matilda Krim's dear friend Lyndon Johnson. In the feverish weeks
- 2:11:08surrounding the 1967 war, Krim, who had once emigrated to Israel,
- 2:11:12and her husband, Arthur, a leading fundraiser, were continually at
- 2:11:16Johnson's side and advised him on what to say publicly.
- 2:11:20I mean, you got to give it up to a
- 2:11:22country the size of Rhode Island that has that kind
- 2:11:25of fucking pull.
- 2:11:26Speaker 1: They got their priorities straight. That's for sure.
- 2:11:28Speaker 2: Kind of amazing that they've been doing this since the
- 2:11:3160s and before.
- 2:11:33Speaker 1: Yep. I mean, they threatened Harry Truman. They bribed him,
- 2:11:36and they also threatened him. His daughter's memoir said the
- 2:11:39Zionists sent letter bombs to the White House, and they'd
- 2:11:43stop at nothing to get their state.
- 2:11:45Speaker 2: Truman.
- 2:11:46Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 2:11:46Speaker 2: Wow.
- 2:11:47Speaker 1: And they paid for his reelection, too. In fact, there's
- 2:11:51a great scholar named John B. Judas, J-U-D-I-S, and he wrote.
- 2:11:57Speaker 2: A book about this.
- 2:11:58Speaker 1: What an unfortunate name. Yeah, kind of. You mispronounce it,
- 2:12:02you know. He actually also wrote, as long as I'm
- 2:12:05talking about him, he wrote a great article for Foreign
- 2:12:07Affairs in 1995 about the neoconservatives called From Trotskyism to Anachronism.
- 2:12:14And it was about how now that the Cold War
- 2:12:15is over, who needs these crazy hawks anymore?
- 2:12:18Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:12:18Speaker 1: And then these are the guys who took us who
- 2:12:20launched the Iraq war, you know, a few years later,
- 2:12:23seven years later or whatever. He was he was saying
- 2:12:25they're a spent force. They should be by now. Because
- 2:12:29they had been Trotskyite communists and then had moved to
- 2:12:31the right for the militarism and stuff. But he wrote
- 2:12:33a book about how Truman did this. And I think
- 2:12:37that was part of it was this intimidation campaign. And
- 2:12:39it was his own daughter that in her book, in
- 2:12:41her memoir, said that they sent letter bombs to the
- 2:12:43White House. And they also paid for his elections. It was,
- 2:12:47you know, carrot and stick kind of a thing. And then, yeah, look,
- 2:12:51if you ran the Israeli foreign ministry, you only have
- 2:12:54one priority in the world that outranks every other priority
- 2:12:57by a million billion. And that is your relationship with
- 2:13:00the United States of America. How friendly is the president?
- 2:13:03How friendly is the Senate? What do we got to
- 2:13:05do to make sure that everything stays in line? It's
- 2:13:07everything to them.
- 2:13:09Speaker 2: So let me ask you this. What do you think
- 2:13:11happens with Iran now? Like, how does this play out?
- 2:13:14If you had to speculate?
- 2:13:17Speaker 1: Well, I'll tell you that, first of all, they're more
- 2:13:19likely to go ahead and try to break out and
- 2:13:21make an atom bomb now than ever before. Although I'm
- 2:13:23not necessarily predicting that. I think You know, Trump has
- 2:13:27proven by calling their bluff on their latent deterrent. He
- 2:13:32has proven he's willing to bomb them if they really
- 2:13:34break out and try to make a nuclear weapon. It's
- 2:13:36almost impossible that they could do that without us knowing.
- 2:13:39And then this president and I think the next one, too,
- 2:13:42would be willing to go back to war over it.
- 2:13:44As Barack Obama promised, he would absolutely launch a war
- 2:13:48against Iran if they broke out and tried to make
- 2:13:51an atom bomb. And, you know, he did an interview
- 2:13:54with Jeffrey Goldberg in The Atlantic. called As President, I
- 2:13:57Don't Bluff, where he's essentially begging Jeffrey Goldberg to tell
- 2:14:01Netanyahu and them, I really, really mean it. If they
- 2:14:05try to make a nuke, I will bomb them. But
- 2:14:07just let me try to solve this another way. So
- 2:14:09I think that promise stands. This is the same as W. Bush,
- 2:14:11same as Obama, same as Biden. And I think that
- 2:14:14will continue to last into the next presidency. And if
- 2:14:17the Iranians are smart, what they'll do is they'll hold
- 2:14:20the same posture they've had, which is we're not giving
- 2:14:23up enrichment. We're not giving up our capability to make
- 2:14:26a bomb one day, but we're never going to call
- 2:14:27it that. And just don't do this to us anymore
- 2:14:30and try to bet on the fact that Trump's only
- 2:14:33got three years left and the next presidents won't be
- 2:14:35so belligerent and they won't call the bluff and go
- 2:14:39ahead and launch another war unless they break out and
- 2:14:42try to make a nuke. And as Daryl was saying,
- 2:14:45they're so much more powerful than all their neighbors conventionally.
- 2:14:49They really have no need to make a nuclear bomb
- 2:14:52and they can I think, successfully deter Israel, even with
- 2:14:55their conventional missile force. And we saw them just absolutely
- 2:14:59blast the crap out of Tel Aviv.
- 2:15:01Speaker 2: Yeah, very underreported, right?
- 2:15:04Speaker 1: And I think, you know, they should not have killed
- 2:15:07the conservative old Ayatollah, right? And they kill him and
- 2:15:11apparently like the new Ayatollah, his son, they killed his
- 2:15:15mother and sister and or mother and wife and baby.
- 2:15:19And that's the new Ayatollah over there. He's got to
- 2:15:23be more radical than his father. He's got to be
- 2:15:27angrier at us than his father ever was.
- 2:15:30Speaker 2: So what is the pathway to resolution?
- 2:15:33Speaker 1: Well, this is– it's so unfortunate because honestly, whatever, maybe
- 2:15:38some genius at some think tank has a better idea.
- 2:15:41But I really think that the thing to do is
- 2:15:43just quit. The thing to do is for America to
- 2:15:45just come home, for Trump to say, look, I won. Yeah.
- 2:15:49But we don't really need these bases over there. The
- 2:15:51American people don't need to dominate the Middle East. We're
- 2:15:54not worried about the Soviet Union invading Iran and dominating
- 2:15:57the Gulf anymore. So forget the Carter Doctrine. Let's just
- 2:16:01come home. And I think if we do that, we
- 2:16:03bring all of our ships home, all of our planes,
- 2:16:05all of our bases, close them all up and come home.
- 2:16:08Then that shifts the entire burden on to Iran that
- 2:16:11they still have to deal with the rest of Eurasia.
- 2:16:13We're not the one dependent on their hydrocarbon exports. Everybody
- 2:16:17else is. So are they going to now levy a
- 2:16:19tax to get through the Strait of Hormuz? Absolutely. But
- 2:16:23too bad shouldn't have started this war then. Nothing we
- 2:16:25could do about that now, Willie Nelson said, you know.
- 2:16:28So like the way going forward is, and by the way,
- 2:16:31like in Panama, they tax ships going through the Isthmus there,
- 2:16:36through the Panama Canal. The Indonesians, I believe it is,
- 2:16:40tax people going through some of the bottlenecks in the Indies.
- 2:16:44And so it's not entirely unheard of that. You know,
- 2:16:48the dominant power there is going to levy a fee
- 2:16:52on people coming in and out of there. But again,
- 2:16:55too late, too bad. I mean, America already, we had
- 2:16:59exactly what Marco Rubio says he wants now, we had
- 2:17:03on February the 27th. And then they launched this war
- 2:17:07on the 28th, which, by the way, was the anniversary
- 2:17:09of the Waco raid. This is a pretty ugly time
- 2:17:11to start an aggressive war. And in fact, as long
- 2:17:13as I'm on that, and I know you know this,
- 2:17:16but it's really worth dwelling on. that they killed not
- 2:17:19just one but two girls' schools in their initial assault.
- 2:17:24In one building, they killed 173 or 174, almost all
- 2:17:30little girls. And then in the other one, it was
- 2:17:3320 more. And that was an experimental new Lockheed missile
- 2:17:37that fires tungsten pellets out the front before it detonates
- 2:17:42or as it detonates in a creative new way to
- 2:17:45cut people to shreds. And the thing is about that
- 2:17:48is as there's this great media critic named Adam Johnson
- 2:17:53who pointed out this is equivalent to the Oklahoma City bombing, which,
- 2:17:57you know, for young people, Oklahoma was 9-11 before 9-11, right?
- 2:18:03It was massive. And never mind, it was a bunch
- 2:18:05of FBI informants who did it and got away with it.
- 2:18:07That's another interview, Joe. But But it was another interview.
- 2:18:11Speaker 2: And that's a deep one.
- 2:18:12Speaker 1: Yeah, it is. And just I'm here for you, buddy.
- 2:18:14Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 2:18:14Speaker 1: Yeah. But they kill 167 people were killed in that thing.
- 2:18:18And it was just the ugliest damn thing. And it
- 2:18:20included like 20 kids in the daycare there.
- 2:18:23Speaker 3: Right.
- 2:18:23Speaker 1: That was the cover of Newsweek was a firefighter holding
- 2:18:25a dead baby. So worst thing is the most traumatic
- 2:18:28thing for this country and in the heartland of Oklahoma
- 2:18:31City and all that. Well, that's what America did to Iran.
- 2:18:35Only the entire building full of kids died. All 167
- 2:18:38of them, a few teachers, but virtually all of them
- 2:18:42little girls. And another school down the street, too, or
- 2:18:47relatively nearby, at the volleyball game, where they killed even more.
- 2:18:51So now think about the Pearl Harbor attack, which Donald
- 2:18:54Trump himself compared it to Pearl Harbor, out of context,
- 2:18:57but still. It was a sneak surprise attack in the
- 2:18:59middle of negotiations on behalf of a foreign country over
- 2:19:03a lie. And then they killed a bunch of kids.
- 2:19:08It's like imagine if at Pearl Harbor, if our story
- 2:19:10of Pearl Harbor was that they sank all our heroes
- 2:19:14and drown them down in their ships in the halls
- 2:19:17stuck in their halls down there. But also they wiped
- 2:19:21out schools full of 180 little girls. The children of
- 2:19:27those sailors who drown at Pearl Harbor. Oh, and also
- 2:19:31they killed FDR that same day, too. Oh, and also
- 2:19:34is a Catholic country. And he's also the pope. Imagine
- 2:19:39how we would react to that. Imagine what our story
- 2:19:41of Pearl Harbor to this day would be. I'll tell
- 2:19:43you what our story of World War II would be.
- 2:19:46It would be that we kept nuking them until they
- 2:19:48were all dead. Is what our story of World War
- 2:19:52II would be if that's how they had done us
- 2:19:54at Pearl Harbor. It's just somehow we just don't really
- 2:20:00think of it in that context, but we should. If
- 2:20:03that had happened to us. Again, just like we, you know,
- 2:20:06we did a little on Ukraine there and the way
- 2:20:08America just absolutely pushes their luck. If Russia overthrew the
- 2:20:12government of Canada twice in 10 years because they kept
- 2:20:14voting wrong, we would invade Canada and nuke Moscow. And
- 2:20:19in fact, when you bring up the analogy, it's completely absurd.
- 2:20:23Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:20:23Speaker 1: How ridiculous is it that the Russians would dare try
- 2:20:26to overthrow the regime in Ottawa, that they would dare
- 2:20:28threaten to try to kick us out of our bases
- 2:20:30in Alaska or any of these kinds of things? That
- 2:20:32they would go to war with the people of Vancouver
- 2:20:34who refused to accept the new coup junta. It's comic
- 2:20:37book crazy. They wouldn't dare. But we do that to them.
- 2:20:41And we act like, as Dr. Paul said, if we
- 2:20:45go around the world killing people like this, bombing people
- 2:20:48like this, and we think that we can just get
- 2:20:50away with it and not have to suffer the blowback,
- 2:20:53then we do that at our own peril. And he
- 2:20:56was speaking for the government as a member of Congress
- 2:20:58at the time that we're putting the American people in danger.
- 2:21:01by acting this way. It's completely crazy.
- 2:21:03Speaker 2: You know, remember.
- 2:21:05Speaker 1: The Shiite fatwa that the old Ayatollah, the Ayatollah before last, Khomeini,
- 2:21:12put on Salman Rushdie, the author of the book, The
- 2:21:14Satanic Verses, where people have tried to kill him numerous times,
- 2:21:19including got his eyeball in one case. We've had a
- 2:21:23real problem with Bin Laden-ite jihadi terrorism over the time.
- 2:21:27We have not had the Shiites... We have not had
- 2:21:30the Ayatollah Sistani in Iraq or the Ayatollah Khamenei declare
- 2:21:35that all good believers should attack the West now. They
- 2:21:39could do that. That's the kind of fire that we're
- 2:21:42playing with. It's extremely dangerous. I mean, bin Laden didn't
- 2:21:45even really have a religious rank. He was just a
- 2:21:47rich guy who he had earned respect because he was
- 2:21:50wounded in battle and stuff. He had money and influence.
- 2:21:53But if the Ayatollah Sistani put out a full jihad,
- 2:21:58which I'm not saying he would do that. I don't
- 2:22:00have any real reason to believe that he would go
- 2:22:02that far. But he's been willing to stand up to
- 2:22:04the United States numerous times, especially during the war, in
- 2:22:08the last couple of wars over there. And remember what happened.
- 2:22:14The night that they started this war, on February the 28th,
- 2:22:18the next day, on Saturday the 29th, I think it
- 2:22:22was Friday, was the 28th, and it was late in
- 2:22:24the night they started the war. And then Saturday, I believe,
- 2:22:27was the 29th, and an American immigrant from Sierra Leone,
- 2:22:34here in Austin, took an AR-15, put on a shirt
- 2:22:38with the Ayatollah and an Iranian flag on it. I
- 2:22:41didn't even know they had Shiites in Sierra Leone, Joe,
- 2:22:43but I guess they do. And He went down to
- 2:22:47Sixth Street and he shot 18 people, killed three and
- 2:22:50wounded 15 people in an immediate blowback terrorist attack called backdraft.
- 2:22:56I coined the phrase in my book that if blowback
- 2:22:59means long term consequences from secret foreign policies that the
- 2:23:03American people then don't understand and are left up to
- 2:23:06false explanations or left susceptible to false explanations. Well, then
- 2:23:11backdraft terrorism is when the. consequences of your overt foreign
- 2:23:14policies just blow up right in your face. And, you know, frankly,
- 2:23:18like those three people were crucified for Israel for their
- 2:23:22sins for, for, and 15 more wounded. And I don't
- 2:23:25know how terribly wounded for all. I know people are
- 2:23:27still in the hospital or that thing. And that was
- 2:23:29the immediate blowback terrorist attack from this war just right away. And,
- 2:23:34and it's the kind of danger that our government is
- 2:23:36continues to put us in through these interventions over there
- 2:23:39at some point, you know, all those sort of, um,
- 2:23:43hypotheticals about, yeah, but what if Russia took over the
- 2:23:46world or what if China did, if it wasn't us
- 2:23:48or whatever, those have got to just kind of fall away,
- 2:23:51you know, by the wayside. There's no real reason to
- 2:23:53fear that in the first place, but also who in
- 2:23:55the hell are we to stop it at this point?
- 2:23:57Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:23:58Speaker 1: Another South Park reference. When Cartman is so scared by
- 2:24:01the Chinese display at the Olympics ceremony, he gets all
- 2:24:04paranoid that China's coming for us. So he recruits butters
- 2:24:07to come with him to fight and keep all the
- 2:24:09Chinese away. And then over and over again throughout the episode,
- 2:24:12Butters keeps like closing his eyes and shooting some guy
- 2:24:16accidentally in the dick just over and over again. And
- 2:24:19then by the end of the episode, Cartman says, you
- 2:24:21know what? Just forget it. OK, if that's the best
- 2:24:24you can do, Butters, let's just stop. We're just going around.
- 2:24:28This is not working. Our intervention. It's just not.
- 2:24:31Speaker 2: What do you predict is going to happen with Iran?
- 2:24:35I don't know.
- 2:24:35Speaker 1: I'm really worried. I mean, I try not to take
- 2:24:38Trump too seriously when he's, you know, or to literally
- 2:24:42take when he's being hyperbolic. But he has threatened to
- 2:24:44nuke them over and over again, including just the other day.
- 2:24:47He said, the country's going to have a glow around it,
- 2:24:50you know, when I'm done with them or whatever.
- 2:24:52Speaker 2: Do you really think he would do that?
- 2:24:54Speaker 1: I mean, no, no, I don't. I'm not predicting that.
- 2:24:58But I think it's symbolic, right, of his frustration. He
- 2:25:02absolutely just should not have done this. And now he
- 2:25:05has no good way out of it, right? He could
- 2:25:07just declare victory and it would be fine by me.
- 2:25:10In fact, there was a story in the Jerusalem Post
- 2:25:11about the end of April, I think, I think it
- 2:25:17was like April 28th, about how Trump ordered the intelligence
- 2:25:21agencies to do an estimate about what would happen if
- 2:25:24I just walked away.
- 2:25:26Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:25:27Speaker 1: And then they're looking into it. Well, just how bad
- 2:25:29will Iran exploit the new vacuum that we've created and
- 2:25:32the power and influence that we're handing to them? How
- 2:25:34bad will it really be? Because he has no options
- 2:25:38to fix it. He just doesn't. You want a regime
- 2:25:40change in Tehran, you can drop a hydrogen bomb on
- 2:25:43the capital city and kill 10 million people and then
- 2:25:47claim the desolation is peace. Or you can just forget it.
- 2:25:51And like, man, you know what? We're all tough and
- 2:25:54badass enough to kill all these people. We should be
- 2:25:57tough enough to admit when we screwed up then. Look
- 2:25:59at Afghanistan. We stayed for 20 years because Washington couldn't
- 2:26:03admit that we can't win this war. There's only one
- 2:26:06way to tame the Pashtuns, and that is kill them all.
- 2:26:10And we're not willing to do that. So what are
- 2:26:12we doing? We're just losing slowly. And then what they do,
- 2:26:15they finally admitted it. They finally just said, fine, I
- 2:26:17guess we lost and left. That's what we got to
- 2:26:20do here. But sooner is better.
- 2:26:22Speaker 2: Do you think that it's possible that this war will
- 2:26:24go on to the end of his regime and then
- 2:26:26whoever comes into power in twenty twenty eight?
- 2:26:30Speaker 1: Then gets out god i hope not i i can't
- 2:26:33imagine what's going to happen if this thing keeps on
- 2:26:36for three years you know this is a real flaw
- 2:26:39in our system quite frankly is like if we had
- 2:26:41a parliament we could just vote no confidence in this
- 2:26:43guy and put a new guy in there whose fault
- 2:26:46this isn't and try to get him to resolve it
- 2:26:48instead all we can do is wait three years wait
- 2:26:51for him to kill over of a heart attack or
- 2:26:53wait for his own cabinet to overthrow him in the
- 2:26:56name of him being you know too demented to continue,
- 2:26:59which is not going to happen. You know, that 25th Amendment,
- 2:27:02they always invoked that like they could do a coup
- 2:27:04against him for being a Russian agent or whatever back
- 2:27:06in his first term.
- 2:27:07Speaker 2: But you can't do that.
- 2:27:08Speaker 1: Yeah, if they didn't do it with Biden, he would
- 2:27:11have to be completely off his rocker and to a
- 2:27:15degree where his own cabinet is going to agree to
- 2:27:17overthrow him, which I just think is virtually impossible. So
- 2:27:22The good news is, right, is that he's he just
- 2:27:24flip flop on anything.
- 2:27:26Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:27:26Speaker 1: He just changed his mind about anything. In fact, when
- 2:27:28he announced the ceasefire, he said, we're going to we're
- 2:27:30going to negotiate based on Iran's 11 point proposal. Like, OK, man, fine.
- 2:27:36Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:27:36Speaker 1: Go from unconditional surrender to surrendering unconditionally like car. it
- 2:27:40whatever you want. And he is good at that. You
- 2:27:43could call that a gift if you want to politically.
- 2:27:45He can just pretend like, yeah, no, I meant to
- 2:27:47do that.
- 2:27:48Speaker 2: So what is the holdup? Like, what are they disagreeing on?
- 2:27:51Speaker 1: Well, he's got to deal with Netanyahu, right? The master
- 2:27:54blaster thing, you know, from Thunderdome. on his back shouting
- 2:27:58in his ear what he's got to do and what
- 2:28:00he's got to not do. In the 60 Minutes interview,
- 2:28:03he tells the Major Garrett that, you know, we're not done.
- 2:28:10The war's not over until we get that uranium. And
- 2:28:13Garrett says, well, how are we going to get it?
- 2:28:14He says, Trump promised me he wants to get it.
- 2:28:16He's going to get it. And And, of course, they
- 2:28:20have this ever since they announced the ceasefire. The Israelis
- 2:28:23immediately escalated their bombing campaign in Lebanon just to destroy
- 2:28:26the ceasefire. This is what prompted Tucker Carlson to say
- 2:28:29that Trump has clearly been somehow enslaved by Netanyahu, that
- 2:28:33he's willing to put up with that. As Bill Clinton
- 2:28:35said again, who's the superpower and who's the client state?
- 2:28:39How is that we have a ceasefire deal and then
- 2:28:41you can come and veto it like this and then
- 2:28:43not be chastised and not told to get back in
- 2:28:46your corner? We're handling this. I really just don't know
- 2:28:51the answer to that. Some people speculate that it's blackmail
- 2:28:54or it's just the bribery or he's just into it.
- 2:28:57He just, you know, he wants to be great. He
- 2:29:01wants to have a legacy. This is I really should
- 2:29:03study more about this. But this is a part of
- 2:29:05libertarian economic theory called public choice theory, which is kind
- 2:29:10of a clunky name. But it just means that the
- 2:29:13public choices are still made by private individuals. And they're
- 2:29:16acting based on what's good for them rather than what's
- 2:29:19good for the country. Like Strobe Talbot. We need those
- 2:29:22Lockheed dollars. We need those Polish votes. So we do
- 2:29:26a policy that ultimately is bad for the country, even
- 2:29:29though it's good for the Democrats at the time. And
- 2:29:32same thing here. What's good for the country is to
- 2:29:35just come home. But and you can hear this just
- 2:29:37built in. People don't even question. It's just built in,
- 2:29:40of course, to every single discussion about this. How are
- 2:29:43we going to do this in a way that it
- 2:29:44looks good enough for Trump that he's willing to accept
- 2:29:47his defeat here?
- 2:29:48Speaker 2: Right.
- 2:29:49Speaker 1: How can we spin it for him? How big of
- 2:29:51a gold medal do we have to give him? How
- 2:29:52big of a ticker tape parade do we have to
- 2:29:55give him? How firm of a pat on the back
- 2:29:58and a congratulations do we have to give him for
- 2:30:01him to decide that it's OK to come home otherwise
- 2:30:05and without looking like too much of a jerk himself
- 2:30:07for what he's done here and then and having to
- 2:30:09live with it for three years, the aftermath of however
- 2:30:12it works out with Iran newly dominant. And so again,
- 2:30:17Bush put Iran up two pegs in Baghdad. Obama put
- 2:30:21them up two pegs by building the caliphate and then
- 2:30:23helping them destroy it again. And then of course, Al-Qaeda
- 2:30:27rules Damascus now. So that's a big hit against them.
- 2:30:30But what Donald Trump has done with this war is
- 2:30:33about at least equivalent to what W. Bush did in
- 2:30:36terms of enhancing Iranian power in the region. It's like,
- 2:30:40The guy in the football game grabs the ball and
- 2:30:43then runs the wrong direction and scores the goal for
- 2:30:46the other team.
- 2:30:47Speaker 2: You really think it's that bad?
- 2:30:49Speaker 1: Oh, absolutely.
- 2:30:50Speaker 2: I mean, look, before— Despite the destruction of their nuclear— Absolutely.
- 2:30:55Speaker 1: Oh, yeah, yeah, yeah. Because, I mean, it's just as
- 2:30:58simple as this, right? On February the 27th, the Gulf
- 2:31:01was open for business. And the illusion of American conventional
- 2:31:05air and naval power kept it that way. And nobody
- 2:31:08questioned it. It's America's dominated order. Yes, Iran has Iraq
- 2:31:14and they have Hezbollah in southern Lebanon. But hell, we
- 2:31:16even got Sunnis ruling in Damascus now. And so the
- 2:31:20GCC and including Jordan and Turkey and Israel, this is
- 2:31:24America's empire in the Middle East. On February 29th, 30th,
- 2:31:28I mean, well, no, sorry, there is no one leap year.
- 2:31:31On March 1st, 2nd, 3rd this year, all that was over.
- 2:31:35I mean, Daryl Cooper, again, is, you know, we do
- 2:31:37this show Provoked every Friday night. And he said, listen,
- 2:31:40I'm hearing from my friends in the Pentagon. This was
- 2:31:43one week into the war. He goes, I'm hearing from
- 2:31:45my friends. This war is not going well. They're hitting
- 2:31:48all our bases. They've killed a couple of our guys.
- 2:31:50And they're hitting our runways and hitting our radars and
- 2:31:54hitting our planes. And we knew it then, right then.
- 2:31:57And I'm sorry, man. It's just true. Told you so.
- 2:32:01For 20 years, all of our assets in the Gulf
- 2:32:04are up for grabs. They can reach out and touch
- 2:32:07us there, and there ain't a damn thing that we
- 2:32:08can do about it. And it just absolutely is true.
- 2:32:14Speaker 2: Scott, you're a real bummer, but thank you.
- 2:32:16Speaker 1: It's a lot of fun, isn't it? Talking to me?
- 2:32:18Speaker 2: It is. It's good to get your perspective, and I
- 2:32:23really wish someone had had your perspective before this all
- 2:32:27got started, at least an understanding of the, uh, ability
- 2:32:30to enrich the uranium and turn it into an actual weapon.
- 2:32:34But thank you very much. Um, tell everybody about your shows,
- 2:32:37where people could find them, where people could find you. Absolutely.
- 2:32:40Speaker 1: So I do the Scott Horton show, which is my
- 2:32:42interview show and provoked with Daryl Cooper. And, um, I,
- 2:32:47people get those, uh, here on the YouTubes and on
- 2:32:51Spotify and all those things. And then, um, I'm the
- 2:32:56editorial director of Antiwar.com. I'm the director of the Libertarian Institute.
- 2:33:00That's libertarianinstitute.org. And for the deep, deep dive and the
- 2:33:04deep background on all this stuff, I have the Scott
- 2:33:06Horton Academy of Foreign Policy and Freedom at scotthortonacademy.com. And, oh,
- 2:33:10you know what?
- 2:33:10Speaker 2: I have them here.
- 2:33:11Speaker 1: If I could just show my books real quick. If
- 2:33:15I can find the zipper on this thing. Oh. Got
- 2:33:24these for you here. Got Fool's Aaron on Afghanistan. Enough
- 2:33:29already on the war on terrorism and provoked on Russia
- 2:33:32and Ukraine.
- 2:33:33Speaker 2: Boy, those are some fat ass books, dude. You do
- 2:33:36a lot of work. I do.
- 2:33:38Speaker 1: I have a lot of jobs. I work real hard
- 2:33:40on this stuff. And these have been very well received.
- 2:33:43You know, I'm basically my job is I was inspired
- 2:33:49by Bill Hicks like this when I was a young kid.
- 2:33:51There's a great interview of Bill Hicks on Raw Time.
- 2:33:53which was the heavy metal show on the access channel
- 2:33:55here in town. And it is probably not too long
- 2:34:00before he died. And this is of course the days
- 2:34:02before the internet and everything, um, where he talks about
- 2:34:06the importance of seeing people get up there and tell
- 2:34:09the truth and not be afraid to tell the truth
- 2:34:11and set the example for other people. And, you know,
- 2:34:14at that time it was like to have a guy
- 2:34:15like him, a comedian able to tell the truth on
- 2:34:18a platform where other people could hear it. It was
- 2:34:20just so exciting to even, it was like, just breaking
- 2:34:24through this, this, you know, impenetrable force field. And then
- 2:34:28he was just saying, he says, well, well, if that
- 2:34:30guy can do it, well, then maybe I can do
- 2:34:32it and I'll get up there and I'll say what
- 2:34:33I think is true too. And then that kind of deal.
- 2:34:35And so I've been more or less following that same
- 2:34:38path since then.
- 2:34:39Speaker 2: Well, thank you for all this, because the amount of
- 2:34:42work that's involved in putting together these books and all
- 2:34:45the interviews and all the podcasts you've done for most people,
- 2:34:49to occupy their mind with the kind of information that's
- 2:34:52in yours. It's got to be very troubling. It's probably
- 2:34:54not so much fun. And it's also very important for
- 2:34:59people like me who haven't done that work to have
- 2:35:02access to it, to get an understanding of it. So
- 2:35:04thank you.
- 2:35:05Speaker 3: Cool.
- 2:35:05Speaker 1: Thank you very much for having me.
- 2:35:06Speaker 2: It's been great. We'll do it again, Scott.
- 2:35:07Speaker 1: All right. Bye, everybody.
- 2:35:09Speaker 2: Bye.