Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / PGA Round 2 Showdown - AT&T Pebble Beach | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process | 02/13/26
Transcript
- 0:08Speaker 1: Fall Systems going clear the Lift.
- 0:35Speaker 2: We are alive again, another another episode of PGA Showdown,
- 0:40Speaker 2: Round two of the Pebble Beach program. I first have
- 0:43Speaker 2: to say congrats to the Discord. I saw a lot
- 0:47Speaker 2: of green tickets. I saw a lot of winning Showdown slips.
- 0:53Speaker 2: Good week long start, So shout out you guys. And
- 0:56Speaker 2: for the people that are upset that I'm not giving
- 0:57Speaker 2: out plays, I didn't give them any place. I did
- 1:00Speaker 2: not give them one single play. I gave them some
- 1:03Speaker 2: information and they made their decision. So shout out the Discord.
- 1:07Speaker 2: This has to be the most I've seen green so far.
- 1:11Speaker 2: I mean, I know you guys have been in the
- 1:12Speaker 2: ship at Discord longer than I have, but this is
- 1:15Speaker 2: I think the best day of Showdown I have personally seen.
- 1:18Speaker 2: So hopefully we have a lot more of that going forward,
- 1:20Speaker 2: a lot more big winners. So shout out you guys
- 1:22Speaker 2: in the Discord. Great start to your week, and let's
- 1:25Speaker 2: start about let's talk about the start of the week.
- 1:27Speaker 2: I'm gonna bring my screen up and get right into
- 1:29Speaker 2: the round recap. Here we go, Rio heats out, Sune,
- 1:33Speaker 2: Sam Burns, Keegan Bradley, Tony Final, Chris gotter up, Patrick
- 1:37Speaker 2: Rodgers all shot eight under or better, and this was
- 1:40Speaker 2: one of the most unique round ones that I've probably
- 1:44Speaker 2: ever seen. Like Rio really luckbox round. He basically just
- 1:50Speaker 2: I think he lost strokes off the tee and on approach. Yeah,
- 1:54Speaker 2: like this is insane and it is probably one of
- 1:57Speaker 2: the most unsustainable profiles I have maybe ever seen. But
- 2:01Speaker 2: nonetheless I liked Rio going in. I gave Rio a
- 2:04Speaker 2: n shout, and some guys played Rio. But with that
- 2:08Speaker 2: being said, I don't if this isn't sustainable. I can
- 2:11Speaker 2: tell you this much. If he brings this up is
- 2:13Speaker 2: not sustainable. I do think he has more to show
- 2:16Speaker 2: for just this profile. I think he hits the ball
- 2:18Speaker 2: better tomorrow in the rest of the week, which makes
- 2:21Speaker 2: him a little bit a little bit dangerous with that
- 2:23Speaker 2: ten under a head start, But this profile not sustainable.
- 2:27Speaker 2: And then we get guys like Sam Burns finally made
- 2:30Speaker 2: some putts, Like the dude has been losing strokes putting
- 2:33Speaker 2: all the last two weeks and he's a great putter,
- 2:35Speaker 2: obviously finally making some putts. Kicking Bradley, he was all
- 2:39Speaker 2: green across the board. Tony Fino had an amazing putting
- 2:42Speaker 2: round and that's dude to regress. Chris got her up
- 2:44Speaker 2: is becoming more of a complete player by the day,
- 2:46Speaker 2: Like he had not the best driving round and he
- 2:50Speaker 2: gained all the strokes on approach like he's finding new ways.
- 2:53Speaker 2: And Patrick Rogers did it all around the green. So
- 2:57Speaker 2: with that being said, there's so oh many ways to
- 3:01Speaker 2: do it. And I'm gonna talk about strategy and what
- 3:03Speaker 2: we're looking for stat wise, not stat wise for tomorrow
- 3:07Speaker 2: coming up. But this was one of the most all
- 3:10Speaker 2: over like random stat pops I've ever seen for like
- 3:15Speaker 2: a single round leaderboard. Usually we have some sort of
- 3:18Speaker 2: narrative that we can go with with what to look
- 3:20Speaker 2: for for the foreseeable future.
- 3:22Speaker 3: But that was a very interesting start to the round.
- 3:27Speaker 2: Let's get into the wave scoring the weather for tomorrow,
- 3:31Speaker 2: and I was definitely wrong for Thursday showdown. I thought
- 3:35Speaker 2: for I thought the morning would prevail a little bit
- 3:38Speaker 2: more than it did. I'll go to split by a
- 3:40Speaker 2: wave for Pebble Beach. The morning played a stroke harder
- 3:46Speaker 2: than it did in the afternoon, and on spyglass it
- 3:48Speaker 2: played about a seven to the stroke carter than it
- 3:51Speaker 2: did in the afternoon. I will say, looking at the
- 3:53Speaker 2: weather tomorrow. I do think that morning really shines tomorrow,
- 3:58Speaker 2: and I'm going to lean on it heavily tomorrow. The
- 4:00Speaker 2: guys were going out around eight forty five, the earliest
- 4:02Speaker 2: tea time, and then it picks up around around noon
- 4:06Speaker 2: and then heavier around two pm, and then two to
- 4:10Speaker 2: four it looks like it's the worst of the day.
- 4:12Speaker 2: So I really am confident that this early tea time
- 4:16Speaker 2: is going to prevail and then come out to a
- 4:21Speaker 2: hot start and get you guys a nice little showdown
- 4:25Speaker 2: edge tomorrow.
- 4:26Speaker 3: So this was somewhat of a similar.
- 4:28Speaker 2: Forecast to what we saw today, So I think people
- 4:30Speaker 2: are going to just go to the normal, build whatever
- 4:32Speaker 2: they want to do, build their guys, go at whoever,
- 4:34Speaker 2: because we saw some PM guys in forecasted not as
- 4:38Speaker 2: heavy as this, but forecasted some gusts play really well today,
- 4:42Speaker 2: as you can see in the scoring. But I do
- 4:46Speaker 2: think it's gonna shine tomorrow from being out there. The
- 4:48Speaker 2: wind switches so fast, and once it picks up, it
- 4:52Speaker 2: picks up. I was out there for a little bit
- 4:54Speaker 2: today and it just never really picked up. But once
- 4:55Speaker 2: it does, I really do think that it's gonna be
- 4:59Speaker 2: gonna to be an issue tomorrow. So let's talk about
- 5:03Speaker 2: some stats first before we get into the strategy. See
- 5:07Speaker 2: if we can just find any guys with glaring week
- 5:09Speaker 2: spots that could potentially pop for tomorrow. So I have
- 5:13Speaker 2: that a golf pulled up round one and I didn't
- 5:17Speaker 2: look at this yet. So this is also my research
- 5:19Speaker 2: in places that I think guys can just pop. You
- 5:22Speaker 2: could see here Tony Finow lost strokes off the t
- 5:25Speaker 2: gain chokes on approach, and gain four point eight strokes putting.
- 5:28Speaker 2: Tony Fino needs the beginning. He jokes off the tee
- 5:31Speaker 2: and he's not doing that right now. He's not really
- 5:32Speaker 2: been playing the best of golf, and he gained five
- 5:35Speaker 2: strokes putting. You guys know Tony final he's not the
- 5:38Speaker 2: best putter. I expect him to regress heavily tomorrow. Nick
- 5:42Speaker 2: Taylor kind of a luck box round as well, lost strokes,
- 5:45Speaker 2: ball striking. Who can we find? Who can we find
- 5:48Speaker 2: that could pop? This is a perfect example. Step Straka
- 5:51Speaker 2: gained three and a half strokes on approach today, gain
- 5:55Speaker 2: a half stroke off the tee, lost around the green
- 5:57Speaker 2: which he usually does, and lost a stroke and a
- 5:58Speaker 2: half almost putting. Stepstrock is not the greatest putter in
- 6:01Speaker 2: the world. He's better on Bermuda, but he could definitely
- 6:04Speaker 2: pop for a nice round. He shot six under, losing
- 6:06Speaker 2: strokes putting. He knows he left a lot a lot
- 6:08Speaker 2: out there, like five or six under.
- 6:10Speaker 3: At the minimum.
- 6:10Speaker 2: Could be another round for step tomorrow. Some more guys
- 6:14Speaker 2: that could potentially pop.
- 6:15Speaker 3: Who do we have here?
- 6:17Speaker 2: Who is this gaining consistent strokes on approaching out the
- 6:20Speaker 2: tee losing around the green. Seawoo Kim, Like Seawou Kim
- 6:24Speaker 2: started off so hot and this is just like an
- 6:26Speaker 2: average day for Seawoo Kim.
- 6:28Speaker 3: We know he could do.
- 6:29Speaker 2: More in the ball striking categories, so I don't hate
- 6:32Speaker 2: him at all. Again for tomorrow, Tommy Fleetwood shot five under,
- 6:35Speaker 2: losing a stroke and a half on approach. We know
- 6:38Speaker 2: he's a great approach player. I was following him for
- 6:40Speaker 2: a few holes today and he looked to be flushing it,
- 6:43Speaker 2: so he looked confident as well putt. Finally, I think
- 6:46Speaker 2: this is gonna show up big time in the tap
- 6:48Speaker 2: delta once I bring that Once that you guys checked
- 6:50Speaker 2: the stone tomorrow, because he had that water ball on
- 6:53Speaker 2: the par five that was a few feet away from
- 6:55Speaker 2: being a really good shot. So Tommy Fleetwood I think
- 6:58Speaker 2: could really pop tomorrow. Up towards the top, Maverick mcneelly,
- 7:02Speaker 2: a guy who's generally a great poet putter, lost almost
- 7:06Speaker 2: a stroke putting, So look for Maverick McNeely to bounce
- 7:08Speaker 2: back again tomorrow. Look what about these guys down at
- 7:11Speaker 2: the bottom, down at the bottom who played poorly? Who
- 7:14Speaker 2: can penentually pop? Who did one thing really well? Colin Morikawa,
- 7:18Speaker 2: I mean he hasn't made any putts in like years.
- 7:20Speaker 2: I wouldn't really suggest that he's gonna be in for
- 7:22Speaker 2: a hot round, but no one's gonna play him. And
- 7:24Speaker 2: he's also really cheap for the ceiling that he presents,
- 7:28Speaker 2: So I don't hate Colin more Kawa.
- 7:30Speaker 3: Who else down here can pop in a certain regard?
- 7:33Speaker 3: Or Kirk Kidiyama.
- 7:36Speaker 2: I don't think he's gonna lose two and a half
- 7:38Speaker 2: strokes around the green tomorrow, but he's due for some
- 7:43Speaker 2: positive aggression there which should lead to a much better round.
- 7:46Speaker 2: Anyone else that I want to note who lost three
- 7:48Speaker 2: and a half strokes on a perch. Harris English has
- 7:50Speaker 2: been hitting his irons so poorly. This is due to
- 7:53Speaker 2: turn around, but I wouldn't chase it yet who else?
- 7:56Speaker 3: And Ludvig.
- 7:57Speaker 2: I'm in on Ludvig in week long and it was
- 7:59Speaker 2: just so pathetic. What is wrong with Ludwig? Can anyone?
- 8:01Speaker 2: Can someone drop a comment like if they've watched any
- 8:04Speaker 2: lude big today cause I didn't see him when I
- 8:05Speaker 2: was out there, What the hell is wrong with Ludwig?
- 8:09Speaker 2: So those are some guys that I think can potentially pop,
- 8:12Speaker 2: and I'll talk about some strategy later, but first I
- 8:14Speaker 2: want to get into some contest selection. There's a few
- 8:17Speaker 2: contests that caught my eye already. There was I think
- 8:21Speaker 2: it's gone right now, but the seventeen k putter, it
- 8:24Speaker 2: was I forget what the entry free was. It was
- 8:26Speaker 2: a big, big contest selection or a big entry free
- 8:29Speaker 2: and it was a really good payout structure.
- 8:32Speaker 3: And now it is gone.
- 8:33Speaker 2: But outside of that, obviously we have the ten dollars
- 8:35Speaker 2: eighteen max. The one dollar twenty max, I think is
- 8:37Speaker 2: a great contest for you guys who are playing cheap.
- 8:40Speaker 2: I think it's probably the best one dollar contest we
- 8:42Speaker 2: have here. And then the best five dollar contest is
- 8:45Speaker 2: going to be the six k Caddy. It's got ten
- 8:49Speaker 2: percent up top, and I think it's a really fun
- 8:51Speaker 2: cheap single entry for you guys to get in. It
- 8:54Speaker 2: is right here the six k Caddy. I really like
- 8:58Speaker 2: this payout structure that we got here. Ten percent up top,
- 9:01Speaker 2: and then it's pretty fair, pretty fair going forward. So
- 9:06Speaker 2: definitely have some good things coming up tomorrow. In terms
- 9:09Speaker 2: of contest, I want to talk a little bit of strategy,
- 9:11Speaker 2: So let me embarras me while I fix my screen.
- 9:14Speaker 3: Bang, here we go.
- 9:16Speaker 2: Okay, any comments from no so tomorrow In terms of strategy,
- 9:23Speaker 2: what I am looking for is it's weird because, as
- 9:28Speaker 2: you guys know in showdown, in doing this, we won't
- 9:30Speaker 2: always want to lean on a specific stat a specific wave,
- 9:33Speaker 2: sometimes a little bit of both.
- 9:35Speaker 3: I really think tomorrow we're all we're not.
- 9:38Speaker 2: I'm not looking at any specific stat I'm just leaning
- 9:40Speaker 2: on early, early, early, because today people went with early
- 9:44Speaker 2: and then they kind of noticed, all right, you can
- 9:46Speaker 2: score in either wave. I think tomorrow people are gonna
- 9:49Speaker 2: be like, all right, we can score in either wave.
- 9:50Speaker 2: I'm just gonna go with my guys. I don't care
- 9:52Speaker 2: what course they're on. They pebble got low, uh, spyglass
- 9:56Speaker 2: got low. I'm just gonna go with my guys. I
- 9:59Speaker 2: really want to, at least for one more day, go
- 10:02Speaker 2: with the early guys.
- 10:03Speaker 3: Like that win that I felt. Obviously it was blowing thirty.
- 10:06Speaker 2: It's not gonnabout thirty, but even when it was blowing
- 10:08Speaker 2: fifteen to twenty, it was so prevalent once you turn
- 10:10Speaker 2: the corner on two at Pebble. So go with early guys,
- 10:14Speaker 2: and I'm really gonna stack it. I'm stacking at ten
- 10:17Speaker 2: am or earlier because around two pm, like I said,
- 10:20Speaker 2: it really gets tough. And I know these are long rounds.
- 10:22Speaker 2: We're still gonna be on the golf course at two
- 10:24Speaker 2: pm if you're starting at nine am, but avoid those
- 10:27Speaker 2: hard holes in the wind as much as possible. I
- 10:29Speaker 2: really think there could be a small edge, and a
- 10:31Speaker 2: small edge is a difference from winning ten thousand dollars
- 10:34Speaker 2: in winning three thousand dollars. I mean good problems. That
- 10:37Speaker 2: good problems to have, but it could really be the case.
- 10:39Speaker 2: So I'm stacking that wave completely. If you if we
- 10:42Speaker 2: get it right, and we're not gonna get it right
- 10:44Speaker 2: every time, but if we get it right, we're gonna
- 10:45Speaker 2: have so many bullets in the tank to win some bucks.
- 10:50Speaker 3: Tomorrow.
- 10:51Speaker 2: So let's see what we got in terms of packages,
- 10:53Speaker 2: in terms of showdown projections, in terms of everything. So
- 10:57Speaker 2: head over to the site, use that code in the stuff.
- 11:00Speaker 2: These showdown projections will be uploaded within the hour. I
- 11:04Speaker 2: assume I'm on the West coast right now, so I'm
- 11:06Speaker 2: not sure what time they're going to be up.
- 11:07Speaker 3: I haven't checked the discord we got this. The stone
- 11:10Speaker 3: will be updated very soon.
- 11:11Speaker 2: And like I said, check on Tommy Fleetwood approach Delta
- 11:15Speaker 2: because his strokes gain approach was poor today, but that
- 11:20Speaker 2: could have been due to a water ball.
- 11:22Speaker 3: So get over there. And I don't like what's going
- 11:24Speaker 3: on in the sports world right now.
- 11:25Speaker 2: I'm a golf guy. I don't really know what we
- 11:27Speaker 2: have going on, but I don't think there's no there's
- 11:30Speaker 2: no more football. I don't care about the NBA. Go
- 11:33Speaker 2: with one of these PGA profile just a single sport.
- 11:35Speaker 3: If you want to get in for a little bit.
- 11:37Speaker 2: We have Boots next week obviously, so you can get
- 11:39Speaker 2: in try it for free, ten percent off after that.
- 11:43Speaker 2: If you get in today you have showdown for free.
- 11:45Speaker 2: You have tomorrow, Saturday Sunday as well as all the
- 11:48Speaker 2: Boots content.
- 11:49Speaker 3: So get in now. Now. I want to look at.
- 11:52Speaker 2: These tea times, these tea times like I talked about earlier,
- 11:56Speaker 2: from nine am Pacific standard two nine am. That is
- 12:03Speaker 2: where I'm cutting it off. So Sarah, like somebody, I'm
- 12:06Speaker 2: not playing Comednymorrow. I'm just standing on my hill. I'm
- 12:08Speaker 2: willing to die on my hill.
- 12:09Speaker 3: If I'm wrong. I'm wrong.
- 12:11Speaker 2: But if I'm right and all these guys below have
- 12:14Speaker 2: the the best percentile rounds, I could have a lot
- 12:17Speaker 2: of fish in the tank, a lot of bullets in
- 12:20Speaker 2: the chamber to cash me a nice lineup.
- 12:23Speaker 3: So that's what I'm going with.
- 12:26Speaker 2: Looking at the stats, find the statue like and like
- 12:29Speaker 2: I said, I'm not looking at any specific stats. I'm
- 12:31Speaker 2: just going with guys that I have.
- 12:34Speaker 3: Even if I have.
- 12:35Speaker 2: A high hunch on yearly, a high hunch on weekly.
- 12:39Speaker 2: Any guy that I have a hunch on that's playing
- 12:42Speaker 2: in this nine what is it, ninety five to nine
- 12:46Speaker 2: fifty T time, I'm going to build them in my pool.
- 12:49Speaker 3: So it's gonna be. It could be a small pool,
- 12:52Speaker 3: it could be a big pool.
- 12:53Speaker 2: There's some guys if I look, if I checked your
- 12:55Speaker 2: profile and they have an awful stat profile. Yeah, I'm
- 12:57Speaker 2: not gonna click them, but what I would do is
- 13:01Speaker 2: keep this up and then cross reference.
- 13:02Speaker 3: Here.
- 13:03Speaker 2: Find guys that have glaring weaknesses that can rebound in
- 13:05Speaker 2: one spot, not glaring weaknesses across the board, Maybe one
- 13:08Speaker 2: or two glaring waknesses that can rebound, or just guys
- 13:10Speaker 2: that you like. But I'm going with this profile. I'm
- 13:13Speaker 2: going with this wave that leads us to one golfer
- 13:18Speaker 2: that I am on.
- 13:20Speaker 3: I think this might be the.
- 13:21Speaker 2: Most brillatant miss price in the Show To and PGA
- 13:24Speaker 2: Showdown history.
- 13:26Speaker 3: That's Cameron Young.
- 13:27Speaker 2: Cameron Young, twenty eight years old, five eleven, one eighty five.
- 13:33Speaker 3: What did he do today?
- 13:35Speaker 2: He shot a comfortable round of four under at Spyglass.
- 13:40Speaker 2: Nothing amazing, nothing horrible, but he gained strokes off the tee,
- 13:45Speaker 2: he gained strokes out approach, was top ten of the
- 13:47Speaker 2: field and approached, and he had a pretty poor but
- 13:50Speaker 2: not horrible average short game week, so is eighty guys
- 13:55Speaker 2: in the field. He was a bound average short game.
- 13:57Speaker 2: We know he's a good putter, he's not the best
- 13:59Speaker 2: on POA, but look what he's doing in terms of
- 14:01Speaker 2: the ball striking.
- 14:01Speaker 3: It's fine and it has room to pop.
- 14:04Speaker 2: And look what Cameron Young is done of late, Like,
- 14:07Speaker 2: look at all of this green Cameron Young is playing
- 14:10Speaker 2: some amazing golf since he's won the Window Championship, and
- 14:14Speaker 2: he's priced at I think seventy seven hundred dollars. So
- 14:19Speaker 2: I am really really in on Cameron Young tomorrow. Obviously
- 14:23Speaker 2: in on a week long. We're in on tomorrow, and
- 14:25Speaker 2: I think it's a blatant race price for Cameron Young.
- 14:30Speaker 2: So get over to the site. Like I said, use
- 14:32Speaker 2: that code. We have the slate plan coming up. This
- 14:34Speaker 2: will be up within the next probably thirty minutes, twenty minutes.
- 14:38Speaker 3: If I can get it up quick, I will do
- 14:39Speaker 3: as as quick as possible. Gonna run through some golfers.
- 14:41Speaker 2: And see who I like, and then we're live, and
- 14:45Speaker 2: then that's it. I have two more days out here
- 14:48Speaker 2: and then I'm heading to Riviera where I'm heading to.
- 14:52Speaker 3: Damn I screen up the whole time. Damn it in
- 14:54Speaker 3: them I screen up.
- 14:57Speaker 2: I'm gonna go back and show you guys, Cameron Young,
- 15:00Speaker 2: look at all the greenies been having. I'm not Gonna'm
- 15:02Speaker 2: not gonna beeat myself, but I didn't have my screen up.
- 15:04Speaker 2: It's really hard to do this with one screen. It
- 15:06Speaker 2: really is. But I'm trying to do my best for
- 15:09Speaker 2: you guys. Cameron Young amazing stuff. I'll bring up his
- 15:12Speaker 2: profile again today it was eight chokes eighth on approach
- 15:16Speaker 2: thirty first off the tee. But a ton of room
- 15:18Speaker 2: look at this, a ton of room for improvement, uh
- 15:22Speaker 2: in the short game categories. So Cameron Young is the
- 15:24Speaker 2: one golfer that I am on. Uh use that code, Boots,
- 15:28Speaker 2: get the slate plan. I didn't show it right here, Bank.
- 15:30Speaker 2: Here's a slate plan that will be up tomorrow. Yeah,
- 15:34Speaker 2: that about wraps it up for me. I'm going to
- 15:38Speaker 2: I'm drained, but I'm gonna get a workout in. Being
- 15:40Speaker 2: on the West Coast is not really for me. I
- 15:42Speaker 2: don't really love the West Coast to be honest. See
- 15:45Speaker 2: what we got here, Fellers, solid profile today in these
- 15:50Speaker 2: second best Yeah, like I all like I said this
- 15:55Speaker 2: in maybe one of the first Showdown shows I've ever done.
- 15:58Speaker 3: I'm not afraid to ride hot.
- 16:00Speaker 2: Putter because we always see guys on like Saturday or
- 16:03Speaker 2: Sunday like, oh my god, this guy's luckboxing. He's all
- 16:05Speaker 2: putting beyond that hot putter, Like ride the luck Box?
- 16:09Speaker 2: Is it? A luckbox profile. Sure, call it what you want,
- 16:12Speaker 2: but a guy's a hot putter for for a reason.
- 16:15Speaker 2: And like you guys play golf, you guys know the pudding.
- 16:18Speaker 2: Like the greens don't know you anything. Sometimes you got it,
- 16:20Speaker 2: sometimes you don't. If you could ride it for a week,
- 16:22Speaker 2: hell yeah, why not ride it for a week. So
- 16:25Speaker 2: that wraps it up. Cam Young is the one golfer
- 16:28Speaker 2: that I am on the song of the day for
- 16:30Speaker 2: today Today is without Me by day Seeker or my
- 16:34Speaker 2: day Seeker shirt. Shout out Northern California. They're from Southern California.
- 16:37Speaker 3: Though, uh And yeah, that wraps it up.
- 16:40Speaker 2: So I will catch you guys tomorrow nights for showdown
- 16:44Speaker 2: and then we're on the road to La.
- 16:46Speaker 3: So I'll catch you guys soon. Peace out.