Latest / Best of Business / Liam Dann: NZ Herald business editor at large on inflation expectations going up in new data
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: You're listening to a podcast from news Talk. S'd be
- 0:12Speaker 1: follow this and our wide range of podcast now on iHeartRadio.
- 0:16Speaker 2: Willam Dan, the Herald's business editor at large, as with
- 0:18Speaker 2: us A Liam, Hey, Heather, Yeah, did you enjoy Toto
- 0:21Speaker 2: last night?
- 0:22Speaker 3: I did enjoy Toto? Yeah, yeah, bit of you know,
- 0:25Speaker 3: yacht rock, bit of eighties yacht rock.
- 0:27Speaker 2: I would have thought it a bit. It's a bit
- 0:28Speaker 2: like soft glam rock.
- 0:30Speaker 4: Well, a lot of it was. It was more. It
- 0:32Speaker 4: was more of that than I thought.
- 0:33Speaker 3: I mean, it depends whether they're playing their late seventies
- 0:36Speaker 3: stuff or their early eighties stuff. But gee, they were good,
- 0:38Speaker 3: good musicians.
- 0:39Speaker 4: Were they?
- 0:39Speaker 2: How many of their songs did you know?
- 0:41Speaker 4: Though?
- 0:42Speaker 3: I knew about five, which maybe means I knew about
- 0:45Speaker 3: one more than well.
- 0:46Speaker 2: And then so hold the line Rosanna Africa, Georgie Paulgi.
- 0:50Speaker 4: Yeah, there's one called ninety nine.
- 0:52Speaker 2: Oh you knew ninety nine?
- 0:54Speaker 4: Yeah?
- 0:54Speaker 2: I didn't know that one.
- 0:55Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 0:55Speaker 3: And there's another one I forgot the name, but it
- 0:58Speaker 3: was sampled on a big house track in the nineteen nineties.
- 1:00Speaker 3: That one of the big slow ballads.
- 1:02Speaker 2: You know what I've been listening to all day today,
- 1:04Speaker 2: The one that goes Pamela. Oh yeah, yeah, that was
- 1:07Speaker 2: the other one.
- 1:08Speaker 4: Some of it was classic here metal, wasn't it.
- 1:10Speaker 2: Yeah, Pamela was cool and and and it's always weird.
- 1:14Speaker 2: You go to a concert and you think, I mean,
- 1:16Speaker 2: obviously everybody loved Africa. That was just peak everything. But
- 1:19Speaker 2: there's always a weird song that you just love afterwards
- 1:22Speaker 2: and you thrash on the Spotify. So New Zealand's listening
- 1:25Speaker 2: of Pamela by Toto is going up today markedly. I
- 1:28Speaker 2: bet it's totally based to me. And by the way
- 1:30Speaker 2: you've written. The reason I'm asking you about.
- 1:33Speaker 4: This is you've written a review on the Herald.
- 1:35Speaker 2: Now your moon lighting some sort of music for Shonado
- 1:38Speaker 2: for the Herald.
- 1:39Speaker 4: Yeah, well they haven't.
- 1:41Speaker 3: They've got a very hip, young entertainment team, so there
- 1:43Speaker 3: hasn't got too many people wanting to do the dad rock.
- 1:45Speaker 2: Did nobody want to do the daggy dads?
- 1:47Speaker 1: Right?
- 1:47Speaker 4: So I'm picking and share it with me.
- 1:50Speaker 2: I'll do it with you out those young ones don't
- 1:53Speaker 2: know what they're missing out on. It was there ever
- 1:55Speaker 2: a time as good as Africa by Toto? It's spark
- 1:57Speaker 2: Arena last night. Now listen let's talk about inflation. Okay,
- 2:00Speaker 2: so I see consumer confidence has gone up, which is good,
- 2:02Speaker 2: but inflation expectations have gone up as well, and people
- 2:05Speaker 2: who are expecting inflation to go up are wrong.
- 2:08Speaker 3: Well, yeah, that's kind of kind of the theory. They
- 2:11Speaker 3: might be proved right. Things might change, they might change,
- 2:14Speaker 3: but at the moment, consumers are still really feeling the
- 2:18Speaker 3: acute inflation pressure. I mean, there's no doubt about that.
- 2:21Speaker 3: And so the latest consumer confidence confidence was up a bit.
- 2:24Speaker 3: That's good, we'll take it. This is the A and
- 2:27Speaker 3: Z Roy Morgan consumer confidence. But yeah, consumers also said
- 2:32Speaker 3: they were worried about inflation. Now, you know, Sharon zol And,
- 2:34Speaker 3: the chief economist at A and Z, has sort of
- 2:37Speaker 3: written about this in a report. The points she's trying
- 2:40Speaker 3: to make is and I guess I've been trying to
- 2:41Speaker 3: make and a lot of people are trying to make,
- 2:43Speaker 3: is that inflation probably won't be a problem later this year.
- 2:46Speaker 3: And that's because we're expecting the economy is not going
- 2:49Speaker 3: to pick up as much. Hope couse, it's going to
- 2:51Speaker 3: take a bit of a dive as a result of this. Well,
- 2:53Speaker 3: I mean, it's hopefully not going back to recession. But
- 2:57Speaker 3: it's just that that you know that the upswing that
- 3:00Speaker 3: we're looking for is taking much longer. You know, all
- 3:03Speaker 3: the turmoil around the world sort of that the global
- 3:06Speaker 3: growth being dampened is just will have an effect on
- 3:09Speaker 3: New Zealand, even if there isn't direct impacts from the arbor.
- 3:12Speaker 2: Does this thing call into question these surveys where we
- 3:14Speaker 2: go out and ask a bunch of normal punters if
- 3:16Speaker 2: they expect inflation to go up, and simply because inflation
- 3:19Speaker 2: is bad and Trump's tariffs are bad, they go, yeah,
- 3:22Speaker 2: is there any value in that?
- 3:23Speaker 3: Well, I mean to the extent that they can be
- 3:25Speaker 3: self fulfilling. I mean that there's always questions about these surveys,
- 3:28Speaker 3: that's for sure. But you know, if consumers really believe something,
- 3:32Speaker 3: it affects their behavior and then the behavior goes and
- 3:35Speaker 3: you know, that's how spending goes. So if consumers think
- 3:39Speaker 3: things are improving, then maybe they'll get out and spend.
- 3:42Speaker 3: But yeah, it's still still fairly low levels of confidence.
- 3:46Speaker 3: But you know, that little bit of upswing was probably
- 3:49Speaker 3: a good thing on balance.
- 3:51Speaker 2: What are you listening to on the way home?
- 3:52Speaker 3: Oh, it's a good question. I'll be on my bike.
- 3:54Speaker 3: I can't listen to anything on the bike. It's too dangerous.
- 3:56Speaker 4: Does that really?
- 3:58Speaker 2: Can you not drive and listen to music.
- 4:00Speaker 4: On the on the cycle?
- 4:01Speaker 1: Ah?
- 4:01Speaker 2: Yes about a bicycle? Yeah, bicycle because you've got to
- 4:04Speaker 2: leave the jacket on. I thought you were cool and
- 4:05Speaker 2: going on a motorbike.
- 4:06Speaker 4: No, no, I'm not crick bike.
- 4:09Speaker 2: No, it's probably better if you don't because we need
- 4:10Speaker 2: you to hear the cars.
- 4:11Speaker 4: But yeah, could have been. Toto could have.
- 4:13Speaker 2: Been if he didn't, if he wanted to die. Liam,
- 4:16Speaker 2: Thank you, go and enjoy your long weekend. That's Liam Dan,
- 4:18Speaker 2: the Herald's business editor at large and also music reviewer.
- 4:21Speaker 1: Now for more from News Talk st B, listen live
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