Latest / Pod Save America / Who won the first Republican debate?
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pot Tape America, I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 0:21Speaker 2: I'm Dan Pfeiffer.
- 0:22Speaker 1: And we will never get those two hours of our
- 0:24Speaker 1: lives back, Dan. We just watched the Republican primary debate,
- 0:28Speaker 1: the kids table debate.
- 0:30Speaker 2: Consolation bracket.
- 0:31Speaker 1: The consolation prize debate. It was a doozy, but we'll
- 0:34Speaker 1: tell you about all of it. We also watched most
- 0:36Speaker 1: of Donald Trump's insane interview with Tucker Carlson on X,
- 0:41Speaker 1: which is Twitter now.
- 0:42Speaker 2: Do we say that?
- 0:43Speaker 1: No, we don't.
- 0:44Speaker 2: I say Twitter.
- 0:45Speaker 1: I don't say meta either. I don't say any of
- 0:46Speaker 1: these things. And then because we know that our opinions
- 0:51Speaker 1: or our gut instincts about what Republicans want are not
- 0:54Speaker 1: always attuned to where the MAGA base is, we bring
- 0:57Speaker 1: in Sarah Longwell. who has done hundreds and hundreds and
- 1:00Speaker 1: hundreds of focus groups with Trump voters to help us
- 1:04Speaker 1: understand what tonight, if anything, might have changed the dynamics
- 1:07Speaker 1: of this race.
- 1:08Speaker 2: Did you get the sense that we did not fully
- 1:10Speaker 2: understand the Republican base when Pod Save America guest Chris
- 1:12Speaker 2: Christie was ruthlessly booed offstage?
- 1:17Speaker 1: Yeah, they're like people chasing him with pitchforks. And Lovett's like,
- 1:19Speaker 1: I like that guy.
- 1:20Speaker 2: I do too.
- 1:20Speaker 1: He seems great. I'd like to have a beer with him.
- 1:23Speaker 1: What are you going to do, Dan?
- 1:24Speaker 2: Well, listen.
- 1:26Speaker 1: The best part about the debate, I think, was for
- 1:28Speaker 1: you being in the Crooked Media Discord, which all the
- 1:31Speaker 1: listeners can join at crooked.com slash friends if you want
- 1:33Speaker 1: to be in the Discord next time. So you don't
- 1:34Speaker 1: have to watch this alone or on Elon Musk's site. X.
- 1:39Speaker 2: You get to be with friends. You get commentary. It's
- 1:42Speaker 2: a communal experience. You should all do it together.
- 1:44Speaker 1: And you get first access to upcoming live shows in
- 1:47Speaker 1: places like Cleveland, Louisville, San Diego, and San Jose. End
- 1:50Speaker 1: of plugs. Dan, let's talk about the debate. Nine people
- 1:54Speaker 1: on the stage. Fox News hosted. What was your general takeaway?
- 1:58Speaker 2: I kept thinking the entire debate about the scene in
- 2:03Speaker 2: Billy Madison after Billy Madison gives his speech. And the
- 2:08Speaker 2: principal judging it says, we are all dumber for having
- 2:11Speaker 2: heard that. And may God have mercy on your soul.
- 2:16Speaker 1: That is part of the quote that gets left out
- 2:18Speaker 1: a lot.
- 2:18Speaker 2: I mean, it was... terrible. It was stupid. It was scary.
- 2:23Speaker 2: The things that were cheered or should make us all
- 2:26Speaker 2: worry about the future of our country, or at least
- 2:29Speaker 2: segments of our country. From a perspective of just pure
- 2:34Speaker 2: political strategy, it was idiocy run amok. I mean, it
- 2:38Speaker 2: was terrible. It was a terrible experience. And it had
- 2:40Speaker 2: the feel of, I used the term consolation bracket before,
- 2:43Speaker 2: but that's what it felt like, where No one, it's,
- 2:48Speaker 2: it felt like the consolation bracket, like in the World Cup,
- 2:50Speaker 2: like after you've lost, people kind of want to win.
- 2:53Speaker 2: They don't try that hard and the stakes feel pretty low.
- 2:56Speaker 2: And that's what this felt like. Yeah.
- 2:57Speaker 1: Playing for third, it just doesn't have that kind of
- 2:59Speaker 1: same joy to it. Getting the bronze.
- 3:02Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 3:02Speaker 1: I think the story of the debate, and we're going
- 3:04Speaker 1: to go through all the candidates individually to the extent
- 3:06Speaker 1: that they warrant it. The story of the debate was
- 3:09Speaker 1: the Vivek Ramaswamy show. He made the entire thing about himself.
- 3:13Speaker 1: He managed to get attacked. He was attacking others. He
- 3:16Speaker 1: sucked up a lot of airtime. Although I did see
- 3:18Speaker 1: someone just tweeted, you know how the reporters will do
- 3:20Speaker 1: a summary of everyone's aggregate talking time? It does sound
- 3:23Speaker 1: like Mike Pence had the most, but I think that's
- 3:26Speaker 1: just because he talks like a slow motion Westworld robot
- 3:29Speaker 1: programmed to be Ronald Reagan.
- 3:30Speaker 2: There's nothing that explains Mike Pence's struggles in politics more
- 3:34Speaker 2: than the fact that he spoke the most when we
- 3:35Speaker 2: thought he spoke the least.
- 3:36Speaker 1: I really did think he spoke the least.
- 3:38Speaker 2: No one remembers a single word he said.
- 3:40Speaker 1: Not a single word. It was the.
- 3:43Speaker 1: I'm just going to whine for a minute. The stupid
- 3:45Speaker 1: like extended drone shot and voiceover by Brit Hume for
- 3:48Speaker 1: the first six minutes was bizarre. Starting the debate off
- 3:52Speaker 1: with a bunch of questions about the Richmond, North of
- 3:54Speaker 1: Richmond song was like the Fox News' new Joe the
- 3:59Speaker 1: Plumber moment, which for you old heads out there, you
- 4:02Speaker 1: might remember the 2009 campaign and Barack Obama got in
- 4:04Speaker 1: a repartee with a guy named Joe the Plumber and
- 4:06Speaker 1: it became this little cause salad. But yeah, I mean,
- 4:08Speaker 1: I think everyone was watching to see if Chris Christie
- 4:11Speaker 1: was going to land some haymaker on Donald Trump I
- 4:14Speaker 1: don't think that happened. A lot of people were watching
- 4:16Speaker 1: Ron DeSantis to see if he would manage to catch
- 4:18Speaker 1: up to Donald Trump in any way. I don't know
- 4:21Speaker 1: that that happened. So yeah, I mean, Vivek was kind
- 4:23Speaker 1: of my big takeaway and not a lot else.
- 4:26Speaker 2: Yeah, I think somewhere in Bedminster, New Jersey, Donald Trump
- 4:30Speaker 2: is sitting at home feeling very happy about his decision
- 4:33Speaker 2: not to go to the debate because there was no
- 4:35Speaker 2: one on that stage did anything to make him think
- 4:38Speaker 2: twice about skipping the next one or the one after
- 4:40Speaker 2: that because they didn't put pressure on him. They didn't
- 4:43Speaker 2: attack him for not being there. They didn't do anything
- 4:45Speaker 2: to try to alter the shape of the race. They
- 4:46Speaker 2: just tried to come in first among the people who
- 4:51Speaker 2: were fighting for second. It didn't really make sense to me.
- 4:53Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 4:53Speaker 1: Somewhere in Bedminster, the, uh, The ketchup and burgers are
- 4:56Speaker 1: in his belly, not against the wall because he's a
- 4:58Speaker 1: happy camper.
- 4:59Speaker 2: He's so mad because there's nothing that he can TiVo
- 5:01Speaker 2: to watch on Fox because it was all of his
- 5:03Speaker 2: favorite shows were preempted by this.
- 5:05Speaker 1: Although all the Fox hosts, they felt like it was
- 5:07Speaker 1: like they were the section about Trump that we'll get
- 5:09Speaker 1: into and whether, you know, he should be prosecuted. Fox
- 5:13Speaker 1: was so apologetic for even raising the question or asking
- 5:17Speaker 1: about the issue. They were like apologizing to the audience,
- 5:19Speaker 1: to the candidates. They couldn't move on fast enough.
- 5:21Speaker 2: No, I mean, he is, for all intents and purposes,
- 5:23Speaker 2: their boss.
- 5:23Speaker 1: Yeah, he is their boss, the assignment editor. So we've
- 5:26Speaker 1: mentioned how Vivek Ramaswamy dominated the night and was the
- 5:30Speaker 1: story of the debate. Here's a super cut of some
- 5:32Speaker 1: of the things he said that might help explain why.
- 5:35Speaker 3: Who the heck is this skinny guy with a funny
- 5:37Speaker 3: last name and what the heck is he doing in
- 5:39Speaker 3: the middle of this debate stage? President Trump, I believe,
- 5:43Speaker 3: was the best president of the 21st century.
- 5:45Speaker 2: It's a fact.
- 5:47Speaker 3: And Chris Christie, honest to God, your claim that Donald
- 5:51Speaker 3: Trump is motivated by vengeance and grievance would be a
- 5:54Speaker 3: lot more credible if your entire campaign were not based
- 5:58Speaker 3: on vengeance and grievance against one man. And if people
- 6:02Speaker 3: at home want to see a bunch of people blindly
- 6:05Speaker 3: bashing Donald Trump without an iota of vision for this country,
- 6:10Speaker 3: they could just change the channel to MSNBC right now.
- 6:12Speaker 3: But I'm not running for president of MSNBC. I am
- 6:15Speaker 3: running for president of the United States. And the reality is,
- 6:19Speaker 3: you have a bunch of people, professional politicians, super PAC puppets,
- 6:23Speaker 3: following slogans handed over to them by their 400-page super
- 6:26Speaker 3: PACs last week. The real choice we face in this
- 6:29Speaker 3: primary is this. Do you want a super PAC puppet,
- 6:32Speaker 3: or do you want a patriot who speaks the truth?
- 6:35Speaker 1: Skinny guy with a funny name, Dan? That's a pretty
- 6:37Speaker 1: good line. Felt familiar, though.
- 6:38Speaker 2: It does feel mildly familiar.
- 6:40Speaker 1: It's interesting to kind of rip off the incredibly popular...
- 6:46Speaker 1: former Democratic president, Barack Obama, in your kind of opening
- 6:49Speaker 1: salvo in the campaign. I wonder why he did that.
- 6:52Speaker 2: It worked for Obama?
- 6:53Speaker 1: Yeah, it did. If it ain't broke. What do you
- 6:56Speaker 1: think of those clips? What jumped out at you there?
- 6:59Speaker 2: It's very hard to know how voters will interpret this performance.
- 7:04Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 7:04Speaker 2: But the thing about being on a stage with a
- 7:07Speaker 2: lot of candidates is you have to have a plan
- 7:09Speaker 2: to get noticed.
- 7:10Speaker 1: Yes.
- 7:11Speaker 2: Because if you just speak, if you just answer the
- 7:13Speaker 2: questions you're asked, you're not going to have a moment.
- 7:17Speaker 2: You're going to fade into the background. And we'll talk
- 7:19Speaker 2: about some of them. Many of these candidates faded into
- 7:21Speaker 2: the background.
- 7:22Speaker 1: Not Doug Burgum's eyebrows. They were there all night long
- 7:25Speaker 1: staring into my soul.
- 7:27Speaker 2: They actually went up three points.
- 7:28Speaker 1: Caterpillars falling high in Iowa.
- 7:29Speaker 2: I mean, in credit to him, he did attend the
- 7:32Speaker 2: debate with a torn Achilles.
- 7:34Speaker 1: That must be so painful.
- 7:35Speaker 2: He seemed like he might have been on some painkillers.
- 7:37Speaker 1: He definitely seemed happy to be there.
- 7:38Speaker 2: I mean, I don't have anything to judge me because
- 7:40Speaker 2: I've never seen the man speak before. So I don't
- 7:42Speaker 2: know what he's normally like.
- 7:43Speaker 1: I can't remember his name.
- 7:44Speaker 2: But Vivek came in with a plan to dominate the
- 7:48Speaker 2: conversation and he did that quite well. He owned the debate.
- 7:53Speaker 2: He picked fights. He had lines. He was well prepared.
- 7:56Speaker 2: He knew the attacks were coming for him and he
- 7:58Speaker 2: had a response to every one of them. And he
- 8:01Speaker 2: might've sounded like a slightly deranged carnival barker, but he
- 8:05Speaker 2: didn't sound like a politician. And everyone else on that
- 8:07Speaker 2: stage sounded like a typical politician. So he stood out
- 8:11Speaker 2: and they're, You know, I think the likely thing here
- 8:14Speaker 2: is that he at least has given himself an opening
- 8:17Speaker 2: to make a move in this race. What does that
- 8:19Speaker 2: mean in a place where Donald Trump has 60% of
- 8:20Speaker 2: the vote? Who knows? But the stories will be about him.
- 8:24Speaker 2: Most people won't watch this debate, but they will see
- 8:26Speaker 2: clips of him. They'll just hear just that, hey, do
- 8:30Speaker 2: you hear about this guy? Because most people have never
- 8:32Speaker 2: seen him speak, don't know what he looks like, don't
- 8:34Speaker 2: know who he is. All of a sudden he's sitting
- 8:35Speaker 2: center stage and he's dominating the former vice president of
- 8:37Speaker 2: the United States, the former president. co-frontrunner in Ron DeSantis,
- 8:40Speaker 2: a bunch of senators you've heard of, and he's sort
- 8:42Speaker 2: of kind of kicking their ass left and right. And
- 8:44Speaker 2: so that at least will give him an opening with
- 8:46Speaker 2: some number of voters.
- 8:47Speaker 1: Yeah, he'll dominate all the coverage tomorrow until Donald Trump
- 8:50Speaker 1: turns himself in.
- 8:52Speaker 2: That is the small problem that we'll get to. At
- 8:53Speaker 2: Fulton County. He might go to Fulton County.
- 8:56Speaker 1: Yeah, and break Attica, like wave a cup against the bars. Yeah,
- 9:01Speaker 1: I think your campaign is all about vengeance and grievance
- 9:05Speaker 1: lined against Chris Christie was pretty damn good. And I
- 9:08Speaker 1: thought defanged Christie in that moment. I think, like you said,
- 9:12Speaker 1: Vivek benefited so much from getting attacked by Mike Pence,
- 9:17Speaker 1: the most wooden, robotic, phony, typical politician sounding goober I've
- 9:23Speaker 1: ever heard. Like the way he pauses, he's like, I
- 9:25Speaker 1: want to talk about the oath I made on January 6th, 2017.
- 9:30Speaker 1: And then I said a prayer.
- 9:32Speaker 2: I put my hand on the Bible of Ronald Reagan.
- 9:35Speaker 5: Oh my God.
- 9:35Speaker 1: God the way he paused like the the place was
- 9:38Speaker 1: basically groaning but yeah i mean like he also the
- 9:41Speaker 1: i'm not running to be president of msnbc line from
- 9:44Speaker 1: vick wasn't bad and like hey buddy you're not qualified
- 9:46Speaker 1: for that job either but like probably played in the
- 9:48Speaker 1: room um the super pack puppet was a hit i
- 9:53Speaker 1: thought was coming it would have been a good one
- 9:56Speaker 1: if Vivek had remembered to name who he was talking about.
- 9:59Speaker 1: You have to be a broken brain weirdo like us
- 10:02Speaker 1: to know that there was a New York Times story
- 10:05Speaker 1: about Ron DeSantis' Super PAC releasing a memo for him
- 10:08Speaker 1: about debate strategy.
- 10:10Speaker 2: Which is interesting. We go back to that memo for
- 10:12Speaker 2: the non-broken brain people who may be listening to this.
- 10:15Speaker 2: The memo from the Super PAC that was leaked online
- 10:19Speaker 2: through as far as I can tell, the strategy proposed
- 10:23Speaker 2: to DeSantis was defend Trump and hammer Vivek. He was
- 10:28Speaker 2: sort of prohibited from doing that because the second he
- 10:30Speaker 2: did that, he was going to come back with that line.
- 10:33Speaker 2: And I think because DeSantis had not done it, he
- 10:35Speaker 2: just tried to get it.
- 10:36Speaker 1: Yeah, he pre-butted him.
- 10:37Speaker 2: Well, Vivek came in with a list of moments, which
- 10:40Speaker 2: is how you're supposed to prepare for a debate. And
- 10:42Speaker 2: he realized that the clock was ticking. He hadn't done
- 10:44Speaker 2: the 400-page super PAC memo, so he just swerved out
- 10:46Speaker 2: of his lane to do it. But I think the
- 10:48Speaker 2: big takeaway from him is he is an interesting experiment.
- 10:52Speaker 2: He believes none of this. He didn't even vote in
- 10:56Speaker 2: 2016 or 2012. He voted for the libertarian candidate in 2004.
- 11:01Speaker 2: This is some sort of experiment in reverse engineering a
- 11:05Speaker 2: candidacy where you go see what the voters want and
- 11:08Speaker 2: then you build a campaign platform to fit that. Identity.
- 11:13Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 11:13Speaker 1: Yeah, you build an entire identity around what you think
- 11:15Speaker 1: people want to hear.
- 11:16Speaker 2: It is, you know, Usually because politicians enter presidential races
- 11:21Speaker 2: at a point at which they have a record, what
- 11:23Speaker 2: they're really doing is taking, you know, to sort of
- 11:26Speaker 2: use a bad business metaphor, they take a product and
- 11:29Speaker 2: see if it fits with the market. What Vivek did
- 11:31Speaker 2: was he looked at the market and they built a
- 11:33Speaker 2: product that fit the market. And that's what all of
- 11:34Speaker 2: this is. He knew there was a constituency for America first,
- 11:39Speaker 2: anti-Ukraine aid, pardoning Donald Trump, the fracking, the anti-climate change stuff.
- 11:46Speaker 2: And he says it. in a way that doesn't sound
- 11:48Speaker 2: like a politician, which the last time someone did that,
- 11:52Speaker 2: that was Donald Trump. I'm not saying he's going to
- 11:53Speaker 2: have that level of success, but he understands what better
- 11:57Speaker 2: than I think the rest of these people, other than
- 11:58Speaker 2: maybe Trump, what the electorate wants, which is an outsider
- 12:02Speaker 2: who's not a politician who wants to burn the system down.
- 12:04Speaker 2: And that's what he sounds like.
- 12:05Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 12:05Speaker 1: It's hard to remember how different Trump sounded from everybody
- 12:09Speaker 1: else when he first emerged on the scene in 2015.
- 12:12Speaker 1: But I think Vivek was trying to recreate a bit
- 12:15Speaker 1: of that. that kind of feeling and magic for the
- 12:18Speaker 1: Republican electorate. Not that I agree with it. Like you
- 12:21Speaker 1: said at the top, I don't know that he's going
- 12:22Speaker 1: to come close to defeating Donald Trump in this election.
- 12:25Speaker 1: In fact, I would bet big money against him, but
- 12:27Speaker 1: I do think he drastically improved his name ID, his
- 12:31Speaker 1: standing amongst the base by defending Trump and probably did
- 12:35Speaker 1: himself a lot of good in this campaign.
- 12:36Speaker 2: It's not a strategy to win. You're not going to
- 12:38Speaker 2: beat Trump by being a mini Trump. You could possibly
- 12:40Speaker 2: win if Trump were to go away somehow, but I
- 12:42Speaker 2: don't think that's going to happen. But it is a
- 12:44Speaker 2: strategy to make yourself a star in the Republican Party,
- 12:47Speaker 2: which will allow you to either become sort of some
- 12:49Speaker 2: sort of mega media personality and then run in 2028,
- 12:51Speaker 2: which I think is probably how he's thinking about this.
- 12:54Speaker 1: So everyone's watching Ron DeSantis at this debate. It was
- 12:56Speaker 1: seen as kind of a make or break moment for him.
- 12:58Speaker 1: If he did not do well enough, people wondered, well,
- 13:01Speaker 1: will a donor stop giving him money? Will his supporters
- 13:05Speaker 1: just fully turn away and look elsewhere? I don't know
- 13:08Speaker 1: that I buy the donor piece of this that much.
- 13:10Speaker 1: He's sitting on $ 100 million in a super PAC. But,
- 13:12Speaker 1: you know, look, he's not had the best run. What
- 13:14Speaker 1: did you think about Ron DeSantis in this debate?
- 13:17Speaker 2: I didn't really think about Ron DeSantis.
- 13:18Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 13:19Speaker 2: I mean, he had– he didn't– here's the nice, kindest
- 13:22Speaker 2: thing I can say about him, which is he exceeded
- 13:25Speaker 2: the exceedingly low expectations everyone had from this debate. He didn't, like,
- 13:29Speaker 2: have one of those sort of, like, moments where his, like,
- 13:32Speaker 2: brain snaps and he just laughs awkwardly in a random moment.
- 13:35Speaker 5: Mm-hmm.
- 13:35Speaker 2: He didn't make any mistakes, but he didn't demonstrate anything
- 13:39Speaker 2: that would make you think that he was a guy
- 13:41Speaker 2: who could beat Trump or beat Biden. Like his whole
- 13:45Speaker 2: pitch was he was a better, more disciplined, more talented
- 13:49Speaker 2: Trump without the baggage. And he didn't really show that.
- 13:52Speaker 2: He just sort of seemed like a politician who had
- 13:55Speaker 2: some views that probably have some appeal in the MAGA base.
- 13:59Speaker 2: And that was sort of it. And I don't feel
- 14:01Speaker 2: like he probably survives another day because I do think
- 14:03Speaker 2: that this is There's been a lot of reporting that
- 14:05Speaker 2: some of the big SuperPAC donors who gave some of
- 14:08Speaker 2: that initial money were not going to keep funding a SuperPAC.
- 14:10Speaker 2: They're the ones who were calling Glenn Youngkin and Brian
- 14:12Speaker 2: Kemp trying to get them in the race. So if
- 14:14Speaker 2: he had had a really bad debate, I think, or
- 14:16Speaker 2: made some real mistake or been sort of memed coming
- 14:19Speaker 2: out of it, that would have been a huge problem
- 14:21Speaker 2: for him. And I think He probably did nothing to
- 14:24Speaker 2: help himself, but I'm not sure he hurt himself either.
- 14:26Speaker 1: Yeah, I think he muddled through. He did have one moment.
- 14:29Speaker 1: He tried to manufacture a moment. Actually, Tim Miller recommended
- 14:32Speaker 1: he do this, where he like- Good job, Tim. Jump
- 14:34Speaker 1: on the moderator, kind of push back against the question
- 14:37Speaker 1: when there was a show of hands question asked. And
- 14:38Speaker 1: he was like, we're not children. We can talk about
- 14:40Speaker 1: the issues. But then he just got big footed by Vivek,
- 14:43Speaker 1: who was like, I think climate change is a hoax.
- 14:45Speaker 2: He raised his hand. That moment just explained the differences
- 14:50Speaker 2: between those two candidates, which is, Ron DeSantis seems like
- 14:53Speaker 2: a politician because he doesn't want to answer the question.
- 14:55Speaker 2: He doesn't want to put his hand up because he's
- 14:56Speaker 2: thinking about the general election and he knows that putting
- 14:57Speaker 2: his hand up there is going to look really, really bad.
- 15:00Speaker 2: And not to mention, climate change is literally drowning his state.
- 15:03Speaker 2: Like parts of it are going away every day because
- 15:05Speaker 2: of climate change. And so he tries to do this
- 15:07Speaker 2: thing and then Vivek just puts his hand up and says, no,
- 15:10Speaker 2: why don't you just raise your hand like a normal
- 15:11Speaker 2: person instead of trying to be a politician? And it
- 15:13Speaker 2: stepped on him.
- 15:14Speaker 1: It didn't look good. I think all of us think
- 15:16Speaker 1: that were Ron DeSantis to win the nomination in The
- 15:19Speaker 1: issue that would be the most likely to defeat him
- 15:22Speaker 1: would be his position on abortion. He signed into law
- 15:26Speaker 1: a six-week abortion ban in Florida. He got asked about
- 15:29Speaker 1: that tonight. Here's a clip.
- 15:31Speaker 6: I'm going to stand on the side of life. Look,
- 15:33Speaker 6: I understand Wisconsin is going to do it different than Texas.
- 15:36Speaker 6: I understand Iowa and New Hampshire are going to do different.
- 15:39Speaker 6: But I will support the cause of life as governor
- 15:43Speaker 6: and as president.
- 15:44Speaker 1: So I view that answer, Dan, as... him continuing to
- 15:49Speaker 1: refuse to sort of take a real position on whether
- 15:51Speaker 1: he supports a national abortion ban, you had a different
- 15:53Speaker 1: view of what you might do if you were running
- 15:55Speaker 1: against him.
- 15:55Speaker 2: Yeah. As the self-appointed fact checker of Crooked Media, I
- 15:58Speaker 2: declare that what Ron DeSantis said there when he said,
- 16:02Speaker 2: I will defend life as president, is he endorsed signing
- 16:07Speaker 2: a national law similar to the abortion ban in Florida?
- 16:09Speaker 2: I think that is, we know that's what he's going
- 16:11Speaker 2: to do.
- 16:12Speaker 1: Are you giving me Pinocchios for my position here?
- 16:14Speaker 2: I'm just, I'm trying, that's not how we do it here.
- 16:17Speaker 2: We're not trying to judge all lies on a four
- 16:20Speaker 2: cartoon character scale.
- 16:21Speaker 1: Thank you.
- 16:22Speaker 2: I want to persuade you as to why he, why
- 16:25Speaker 2: I think what he did is essentially was trying to
- 16:27Speaker 2: send a signal to the evangelical voters, particularly in Iowa,
- 16:31Speaker 2: and the groups that have been pushing Republicans to be
- 16:33Speaker 2: more aggressive on abortion bans, the ones who pushed him
- 16:35Speaker 2: to sign this ban, which he did, I think, pretty gleefully,
- 16:38Speaker 2: in Florida to do the same thing nationally. And Nikki
- 16:41Speaker 2: Haley had this whole thing in here. She tried to
- 16:42Speaker 2: adopt the moderate position where her thing was, Well, we
- 16:45Speaker 2: need 60 votes. We've never had 60 anti-choice votes in
- 16:49Speaker 2: the Senate. We, that is, you don't need 60 votes
- 16:52Speaker 2: because I can promise you this, that if the Republicans
- 16:56Speaker 2: have a trifecta, they will end the filibuster to sign
- 17:00Speaker 2: a national abortion. They will not be able to sustain
- 17:02Speaker 2: the pressure from the base to avoid that.
- 17:05Speaker 1: Nor will they try. Nor will they try. I totally agree.
- 17:07Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 17:07Speaker 1: Like I think regardless of how you interpret his, um,
- 17:11Speaker 1: his comments about abortion tonight at this debate, I agree
- 17:14Speaker 1: with you that if he were to win the nomination,
- 17:16Speaker 1: I would tie his views on abortion around his neck
- 17:18Speaker 1: and do it every single day and make that the
- 17:19Speaker 1: primary thing I ran against. I did think the one
- 17:22Speaker 1: moment where he did seem to get the crowd going
- 17:25Speaker 1: was he was asked about crime in Florida and he
- 17:27Speaker 1: sort of fact-checked Brett Baer, whoever had asked him the question,
- 17:30Speaker 1: and then said, you know, I'm the one who's done
- 17:33Speaker 1: something about these George Soros-funded radical left-wing prosecutors. We had
- 17:37Speaker 1: the Soros- We had some Soros DAs elected. I removed
- 17:40Speaker 1: them from their office. Now they're gone. And he got
- 17:42Speaker 1: like big applause for that. And, you know, it's sort
- 17:43Speaker 1: of a corny canned thing. But I think, you know, look,
- 17:48Speaker 1: I think that talking to Republican primary voters about crime and,
- 17:52Speaker 1: you know, the Soros boogaboo is probably working better for
- 17:55Speaker 1: him than like picking another fight with Disney. But low bar.
- 17:58Speaker 5: Yeah, I think you could.
- 17:58Speaker 2: He seemed DeSantis, who seemed somewhat uncomfortable throughout the whole debate,
- 18:02Speaker 2: which is kind of his natural vibe. but he seemed
- 18:06Speaker 2: his least uncomfortable talking about crime. And then in the
- 18:09Speaker 2: education section where he started going off about banning critical
- 18:12Speaker 2: race theory and quote unquote, gender ideology and all like
- 18:14Speaker 2: that's his comfort zone are things that are.
- 18:17Speaker 1: The shittiest culture wars.
- 18:18Speaker 2: That are bigoted, right? That, that is where he is
- 18:21Speaker 2: most comfortable. If you're, if he's, if you're picking on
- 18:23Speaker 2: gay kids and trans kids and you're, and you're making
- 18:26Speaker 2: racist accusations against teachers and all that, that that's where
- 18:29Speaker 2: he is. That's his happy place.
- 18:31Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 18:31Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 18:31Speaker 1: He is, uh, There was some very weird, there's some
- 18:35Speaker 1: clips worth checking out on Twitter of him attempting to
- 18:37Speaker 1: smile after answers that just show how unbelievably awkward he
- 18:40Speaker 1: is as a human being that are worth watching. Obviously,
- 18:42Speaker 1: it doesn't work in an audio medium. Mike Pence, this
- 18:45Speaker 1: is becoming a theme, Dan. Mike Pence was a little,
- 18:48Speaker 1: like he was the Reagan Westworld robot, but he was
- 18:51Speaker 1: also like a feistier Mike Pence than I think we've
- 18:53Speaker 1: seen previously. He went after Vivek Ramaswamy, too. Here's a
- 18:56Speaker 1: clip of that.
- 18:57Speaker 2: Now is not the time for on-the-job training. We don't
- 19:00Speaker 2: need to bring in a rookie.
- 19:02Speaker 1: We don't need to bring in people without experience.
- 19:10Speaker 2: We need to bring.
- 19:11Speaker 1: So, I mean, maybe a compelling argument against Vivek Ramaswamy,
- 19:16Speaker 1: but from Donald Trump's vice president? Does that work? I
- 19:19Speaker 1: don't know.
- 19:20Speaker 2: The whole Pence thing is.
- 19:22Speaker 5: was.
- 19:23Speaker 2: it was Mike Pence. It was totally not memorable. He's
- 19:27Speaker 2: just mayonnaise.
- 19:29Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 19:29Speaker 5: Right.
- 19:30Speaker 2: You kind of know he's there. You don't really pay
- 19:31Speaker 2: that much attention to it. People who hate it really,
- 19:33Speaker 2: really hate it. No one really loves it. It's just,
- 19:34Speaker 2: it's not it. Even the crowd, like there was some,
- 19:39Speaker 2: it was unclear what they were cheering or booing, whether
- 19:41Speaker 2: this was a very bizarre crowd and sort of the reactions.
- 19:44Speaker 2: But for most of the debate, even in his canned
- 19:46Speaker 2: applause lines, no one clapped.
- 19:47Speaker 5: No one.
- 19:48Speaker 2: The main time people laughed is when he and Jesus's name.
- 19:50Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 19:51Speaker 2: And the rest of the time they sort of just
- 19:52Speaker 2: ignored Mike Pence.
- 19:53Speaker 1: Jesus got tepid applause.
- 19:54Speaker 2: They're either ignoring Mike Pence or they're trying to murder him.
- 19:55Speaker 2: Those are the two ends of the spectrum in the
- 19:57Speaker 2: Republican party.
- 19:58Speaker 1: I would love to know who the audience was because
- 20:00Speaker 1: sometimes it's a bunch of donors and the campaigns buy tickets.
- 20:02Speaker 1: That might've been the case here.
- 20:03Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's what I think. It almost certainly is. Donors,
- 20:06Speaker 2: political leaders. It's not base voters.
- 20:08Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 20:08Speaker 1: There was one moment where the candidates were all asked
- 20:11Speaker 1: about Mike Pence's conduct on January 6th and Chris Christie
- 20:14Speaker 1: jumped in to defend him and say, Mike Pence stood
- 20:16Speaker 1: for the constitution. He deserves not grudging credit, but our thanks, blah, blah, blah.
- 20:20Speaker 1: And it was just notable that, uh, Christie defending Pence
- 20:23Speaker 1: gets you a combined 113 unfavorability rating in Iowa. So
- 20:29Speaker 1: I think tells you about all you need about that moment.
- 20:31Speaker 2: The last thing Mike Pence needs is Chris Christie defending him.
- 20:34Speaker 1: He's like, Oh, this fucking guy.
- 20:35Speaker 2: Are you kidding me? All right.
- 20:50Speaker 1: Our next sort of bucket of folks are, you know,
- 20:53Speaker 1: Chris Christie, Nikki Haley, and Tim Scott. We kind of
- 20:56Speaker 1: bucketed them together because they didn't do that much. Chris
- 21:01Speaker 1: Christie in particular, I think, you know, He's been feeling
- 21:04Speaker 1: himself when people talk about his performance against Marco Rubio
- 21:07Speaker 1: in the 2016 primary. He really kicked the shit out
- 21:10Speaker 1: of Rubio in that debate when Rubio was kind of
- 21:12Speaker 1: glitching like a robot, repeating the same line against Obama
- 21:15Speaker 1: over and over again. But Christie, instead of going after
- 21:17Speaker 1: Donald Trump, the person we all thought he was going
- 21:19Speaker 1: to go after, decided, like everybody else, to go after
- 21:22Speaker 1: Vivek Ramaswamy. Here's a clip.
- 21:24Speaker 5: I've had enough already tonight of a guy who sounds
- 21:28Speaker 5: like ChatGPT standing up here. And the last person in
- 21:35Speaker 5: one of these debates, Brett, who stood in the middle
- 21:37Speaker 5: of the stage and said, what's a skinny guy with
- 21:40Speaker 5: an odd last name doing up here, was Barack Obama.
- 21:44Speaker 5: And I'm afraid we're dealing with the same type of
- 21:46Speaker 5: amateur standing on stage tonight.
- 21:50Speaker 1: Give me a hug just like you did to Obama.
- 21:52Speaker 2: The same type of amateur.
- 21:53Speaker 3: And you'll help elect me just like you did to Obama, too.
- 21:55Speaker 2: Give me that bad hug, bro. The same type of amateur.
- 21:58Speaker 1: I don't totally get what it means to sound like ChatGPT.
- 22:02Speaker 2: It means nothing.
- 22:03Speaker 1: Groundbreaking new technology?
- 22:04Speaker 2: Yeah. I don't know. I don't know what it means.
- 22:06Speaker 1: Yeah, like a kid cheating on his homework?
- 22:08Speaker 2: It's a line written by a middling debate advisor.
- 22:13Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 22:13Speaker 1: I assume what he meant was someone who is learning
- 22:15Speaker 1: about all the issues in the world for the first
- 22:17Speaker 1: time in the last six months, which, by the way—
- 22:20Speaker 1: is something Vivek said on Hugh Hewitt's podcast. You would
- 22:22Speaker 1: know that, Chris Christie, if you listen to Pod Save
- 22:25Speaker 1: the World and not this Pod Save America bullshit that
- 22:27Speaker 1: you come on. But yeah, he just seemed like he
- 22:31Speaker 1: got annoyed with Vivek. That was sort of the theme
- 22:33Speaker 1: of the night. It seemed like all of them were
- 22:35Speaker 1: genuinely very annoyed at Vivek Ramaswamy in kind of like a,
- 22:39Speaker 1: who is this kid attacking us tone.
- 22:41Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure. And just for some context for people
- 22:45Speaker 2: who may not be nerds of a certain generation like us,
- 22:49Speaker 2: What Vivek is referring to with the hug is that
- 22:53Speaker 2: in 2012, in the waning days of that campaign, Hurricane
- 22:57Speaker 2: Sandy hit New York, New Jersey, the East Coast. Obama
- 23:01Speaker 2: visited New Jersey during the campaign, came off the campaign trail,
- 23:05Speaker 2: started dealing with the response of the hurricane, visited New Jersey.
- 23:09Speaker 2: And Chris Christie hugged Obama right as they were getting
- 23:14Speaker 2: on the plane to thank him for all the work
- 23:16Speaker 2: the federal government had done to help New Jersey. That
- 23:19Speaker 2: was the moment that Chris Christie's 2024 presidential campaign died.
- 23:24Speaker 1: Sadly, yes.
- 23:25Speaker 2: His approval rating among Republicans went in the toilet after
- 23:28Speaker 2: that because the Republicans blamed him for electing Obama. Obama
- 23:32Speaker 2: would have won without the Chris Christie hug. And so
- 23:35Speaker 2: this goes to why Chris Christie can't win because Republicans
- 23:40Speaker 2: hate him and why Vivek was quite well prepared because
- 23:43Speaker 2: he knew someone, but probably Christie, was going to do
- 23:46Speaker 2: the Obama line because Christie's probably done it somewhere because
- 23:48Speaker 2: he does– all media and was prepared to do it
- 23:51Speaker 2: and nailed them.
- 23:52Speaker 1: Yeah, he really did. Yeah. I mean, come on, Chris,
- 23:55Speaker 1: you're like, your whole promise was you're going to get
- 23:56Speaker 1: up there and you're going to take the Donald Trump
- 23:58Speaker 1: and that's why we need you on that stage. And
- 23:59Speaker 1: you just didn't even try.
- 24:00Speaker 2: He didn't know how to operate. Two things I think happened. One,
- 24:03Speaker 2: he had no plan for what to do without Trump
- 24:06Speaker 2: on stage.
- 24:07Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 24:07Speaker 2: And second, I think he really reacted. You could see
- 24:10Speaker 2: in his face when he got booed the first time
- 24:12Speaker 2: he went after Trump and said, whether you think it's
- 24:14Speaker 2: criminal or not, his conduct is beneath the office of
- 24:16Speaker 2: the president. And the crowd just basically booed him into silence.
- 24:19Speaker 2: He backed off then. And they all backed off then.
- 24:21Speaker 2: There was never a critique of Trump after that. And
- 24:24Speaker 2: he did nothing to help himself and probably hurt himself.
- 24:28Speaker 2: And he may owe all the Democrats who gave him
- 24:31Speaker 2: money to get him on that stage a refund.
- 24:34Speaker 1: Who would have recommended the Democrats give him a dollar
- 24:37Speaker 1: to get on that stage? I don't know anyone that
- 24:38Speaker 1: would do that. Yeah, in his defense, it is kind
- 24:40Speaker 1: of hard to figure out how to pivot from a Richmond,
- 24:43Speaker 1: north of Richmond question into a Trump hit. But we digress.
- 24:47Speaker 1: So Nikki Haley was also up there, former ambassador to
- 24:50Speaker 1: the UN. She fancies herself a foreign policy expert and
- 24:54Speaker 1: is really focused on foreign policy in this campaign. She
- 24:57Speaker 1: also went on the attack against Vivek Ramaswamy. Here is
- 25:00Speaker 1: a clip.
- 25:01Speaker 5: Putin has said.
- 25:02Speaker 7: If Russia— once Russia takes Ukraine, Poland and the Baltics are next.
- 25:07Speaker 7: That's a world war.
- 25:08Speaker 4: We're trying to prevent war.
- 25:10Speaker 8: Look at what Putin did today.
- 25:11Speaker 3: He killed Pergozin.
- 25:13Speaker 7: When I was at the U.N., the Russian ambassador suddenly died.
- 25:17Speaker 7: This guy is a murderer, and you are choosing a
- 25:20Speaker 7: murderer over a pro-American country. First of all, first of all, Mr.
- 25:29Speaker 3: Ramaswamy, you have 30 seconds. Mr. DeSantis, I wish you
- 25:32Speaker 3: well in your future career on the boards of Lockheed
- 25:34Speaker 3: and Raytheon.
- 25:35Speaker 1: That's a pretty good hit and one that his staff
- 25:37Speaker 1: previewed in Politico today, I believe. By the way, Haley's
- 25:40Speaker 1: referencing Yevgeny Prigozhin, who is a Russian oligarch slash head
- 25:46Speaker 1: of the Wagner mercenary group who was killed when a
- 25:51Speaker 1: Russian air defense missile hit his plane today and killed
- 25:54Speaker 1: everyone on board.
- 25:55Speaker 2: Do you know of any place tomorrow morning you'll be
- 25:57Speaker 2: able to learn more about that?
- 25:58Speaker 1: I do, Dan. Pod Save the World. It's a great podcast.
- 26:00Speaker 1: It comes out on Wednesdays. Someone tell my wife she
- 26:02Speaker 1: only listens to Keep It. Look, Haley, I respect her
- 26:09Speaker 1: for waving the flag here and fighting for supporting Ukraine
- 26:14Speaker 1: because I do think it's the right thing to do.
- 26:16Speaker 1: And I do think I'm really concerned about where the
- 26:17Speaker 1: Republican Party is going in terms of general isolationism, but
- 26:20Speaker 1: also on this issue. But, you know, it's an electoral loser.
- 26:25Speaker 1: It's got to be really challenging. And to make this
- 26:28Speaker 1: the thing you focus on in the debate against a rival.
- 26:32Speaker 1: I mean, she really went after Vivek on him saying
- 26:35Speaker 1: that he would essentially get rid of U.S. aid to
- 26:39Speaker 1: Israel by 2028. He has a whole bunch of conditions
- 26:42Speaker 1: for how he would do that. But that was the
- 26:44Speaker 1: attack she wanted to go after here. But he didn't
- 26:46Speaker 1: back down on that front. He just went right back
- 26:47Speaker 1: at her.
- 26:48Speaker 2: She did not do a very good job of explaining
- 26:50Speaker 2: that attack.
- 26:50Speaker 1: Not at all.
- 26:50Speaker 2: No one really got it. And it is a potentially
- 26:52Speaker 2: potent attack because there's obviously a lot of support for
- 26:55Speaker 2: Israel in the Republican Party, but particularly among the evangelical
- 26:58Speaker 2: community that dominates the Iowa caucuses.
- 27:00Speaker 1: Yes, exactly.
- 27:01Speaker 2: And so you're going to see a lot more about
- 27:04Speaker 2: that in the coming days if, as we suspect, Vivek
- 27:06Speaker 2: has a little bit of a moment here. It's going
- 27:09Speaker 2: to get pretty nasty pretty quick on some of those things.
- 27:10Speaker 2: A lot of it's going to be racist and religiously
- 27:15Speaker 2: bigoted and all the above.
- 27:16Speaker 1: Yeah, Dan and I were talking about this before the show.
- 27:19Speaker 1: What these candidates say on the air at a debate
- 27:23Speaker 1: or what they say in interviews is usually a highly
- 27:26Speaker 1: sanitized version of what shows up in people's mailboxes in
- 27:28Speaker 1: the form of direct mail pieces. That's where these campaigns
- 27:31Speaker 1: get really, really, really nasty.
- 27:33Speaker 2: The other thing about Haley, and this is true of
- 27:38Speaker 2: a lot of the candidates who try to run on
- 27:42Speaker 2: their foreign policy experience and knowledge, is twofold. One, they
- 27:46Speaker 2: assume a base of knowledge about foreign policy from voters
- 27:49Speaker 2: that greatly exceeds. Yes. What does killed Pergozan mean to anyone?
- 27:54Speaker 1: Anyone.
- 27:54Speaker 2: Who has not yet listened to the forthcoming episode of
- 27:57Speaker 2: Posse of the World. That's one. And then two, they try,
- 28:00Speaker 2: they explain why these things are good for the world
- 28:03Speaker 2: and not why it's good for American families.
- 28:04Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 28:05Speaker 2: And so there's, there is a, there is a very
- 28:07Speaker 2: strong argument. The Biden folks have actually made this on
- 28:09Speaker 2: multiple occasions about why supporting Ukraine is good for American
- 28:12Speaker 2: security and how it protects the interests of American families.
- 28:15Speaker 2: But none of the Republicans did that last night. It's very,
- 28:19Speaker 2: it's all like Mike Pence did. It's all Reagan-esque short version.
- 28:24Speaker 2: It doesn't connect with anyone's lives.
- 28:26Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 28:27Speaker 1: Pence tried to make the case that, look, we want
- 28:29Speaker 1: to arm Ukrainians so they can fight the Russians and
- 28:33Speaker 1: not allow Russia to steamroll through Ukraine and then go
- 28:36Speaker 1: next to a NATO country like Poland, which means Article 5,
- 28:39Speaker 1: part of the NATO charter, means that we, the United States,
- 28:41Speaker 1: has to respond militarily. That's a compelling case, but boy,
- 28:44Speaker 1: is it complicated.
- 28:45Speaker 2: It's also going to be hard to explain to people
- 28:46Speaker 2: why we'd have to stop the invasion of Poland.
- 28:48Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 28:49Speaker 2: We should, obviously, but not a lot of people know
- 28:51Speaker 2: what Article 5 is or why that would be a thing.
- 28:53Speaker 1: And Donald Trump famously flirted with not supporting it. Senator
- 28:57Speaker 1: Tim Scott, South Carolina, also on the stage tonight. You know,
- 29:00Speaker 1: Scott is in some polls, he's in second place or
- 29:03Speaker 1: third place in Iowa. He's at 9% in Iowa in
- 29:05Speaker 1: the Des Moines Register poll. He's got a ton of
- 29:08Speaker 1: money because he's, you know, a lot of the donor
- 29:10Speaker 1: class like him He's an incredibly conservative voting record, deeply
- 29:15Speaker 1: religious individual, but I think has sort of a kindler,
- 29:19Speaker 1: gentler presentation on some issues. But I don't know. It
- 29:22Speaker 1: just seemed like he kind of disappeared up there tonight.
- 29:25Speaker 2: He did not have a plan to get attention. And
- 29:27Speaker 2: he missed a moment. And the clock is taking on
- 29:30Speaker 2: all of these people. They are not making progress. Trump
- 29:33Speaker 2: is gaining ground on them as a collective. Individually, they're
- 29:36Speaker 2: swapping around the 40%. that exists for the non-Trump vote.
- 29:42Speaker 2: And it's, you can't pass these moments up. You have to,
- 29:47Speaker 2: and there aren't enough debates. Like when Obama struggled a
- 29:50Speaker 2: little bit early on in 2008, Being one of 10
- 29:54Speaker 2: people on stage, he, as he would say, he's Midwestern polite.
- 29:56Speaker 2: And so he'd really struggled to interrupt or speak when
- 29:59Speaker 2: it was not his turn. And really, we really had
- 30:01Speaker 2: to beat him up to be able to get him
- 30:03Speaker 2: to do that. Scott suffered, Scott and Haley, I think
- 30:06Speaker 2: suffered from a similar thing, which is they just didn't
- 30:09Speaker 2: seize the moment at any point. And so they spoke,
- 30:12Speaker 2: they got there a lot of amount of time. None
- 30:15Speaker 2: of it was that memorable. They didn't do anything to
- 30:17Speaker 2: help themselves. And, and that's a loss for them.
- 30:20Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 30:20Speaker 1: Uh, finally we get kind of our also ran category, our,
- 30:23Speaker 1: our Burghams, Doug, our Hutchinson's Asa or Ada. If you're
- 30:28Speaker 1: Donald Trump, we'll get to that in a second. I like,
- 30:30Speaker 1: I don't remember a word they said to you.
- 30:32Speaker 2: I think that their presence on that stage is a
- 30:35Speaker 2: full on indictment of the Republicans debate requirements because they
- 30:38Speaker 2: should not be there.
- 30:39Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 30:39Speaker 1: You got really just, it, it makes the whole thing
- 30:41Speaker 1: worse when you have eight people up there, nine people
- 30:43Speaker 1: or whatever it was.
- 30:44Speaker 2: I mean, I mean, usually you're like, well, you know,
- 30:47Speaker 2: Only six of the people on that stage got a
- 30:48Speaker 2: chance to be president. Why are we wasting time with
- 30:51Speaker 2: other people? I'm just really sure you can say that.
- 30:54Speaker 1: Yeah, that's fair. Okay, so the person who wasn't there
- 30:57Speaker 1: tonight was Donald Trump. He obviously no-showed at the debate
- 31:01Speaker 1: because his view on this was basically, I'm kicking everybody's ass.
- 31:04Speaker 1: Why would I bother to show up? And he hates
- 31:05Speaker 1: Fox News. Fair points. Instead, he did an interview with
- 31:10Speaker 1: Tucker Carlson on his new show on Twitter. Here is
- 31:14Speaker 1: a supercut of some of the things they talked about.
- 31:17Speaker 4: Do you think Epstein killed himself sincerely? A case could
- 31:19Speaker 4: be made. Look, I'm not going to get involved in it.
- 31:22Speaker 4: The Panama Canal, we built it, and we gave it
- 31:25Speaker 4: away for $ 1. Think of that. How stupid are we?
- 31:28Speaker 4: We have done the stupidest things in this country. You
- 31:31Speaker 4: have states, many states, most of the states have so
- 31:34Speaker 4: much water. You know, it comes out of heaven, right?
- 31:35Speaker 4: The water pours down, and you have it. It's not
- 31:38Speaker 4: like a big problem. Now, in some states, they have
- 31:40Speaker 4: a problem. You know, you have some desert areas and all,
- 31:43Speaker 4: and for that, it's okay. But they have sinks. where
- 31:48Speaker 4: no water comes out. You turn it on, no water
- 31:50Speaker 4: comes out. I call him Ada Hutchinson. It's Asa, but
- 31:55Speaker 4: I call him Ada.
- 31:56Speaker 1: Why do you call him Ada?
- 31:57Speaker 4: You know, I could tell you, but I don't want
- 31:59Speaker 4: to get myself in a little trouble. Probably not a
- 32:02Speaker 4: friend of yours, Chris Wallace. He was the moderator.
- 32:04Speaker 2: Not a friend.
- 32:05Speaker 4: I said, why is it he wants to be Mike,
- 32:07Speaker 4: but he doesn't have the talent?
- 32:09Speaker 5: He's a bitchy little man.
- 32:10Speaker 4: He wanted to be his father, but he didn't have
- 32:12Speaker 4: the talent of his father.
- 32:13Speaker 2: His father was great.
- 32:14Speaker 1: He's a little fussy man. I, it was just a
- 32:17Speaker 1: weird 45 minutes. Like Tucker Carlson, he just asked really
- 32:21Speaker 1: strange questions. Like did Epstein kill himself? He followed up
- 32:24Speaker 1: three or four times. He suggested that the attorney general
- 32:27Speaker 1: Bill Barr covered up Epstein's murder. Trump was like, I
- 32:32Speaker 1: think he probably committed suicide, man. Like, I don't know
- 32:33Speaker 1: what to tell you. Tucker asked Trump if he's worried
- 32:36Speaker 1: that the Democrats are trying to kill him. They asked
- 32:39Speaker 1: if Joe Biden was going to make it to election day.
- 32:42Speaker 1: Tucker suggested that Kamala seems senile also. Yeah, it was
- 32:48Speaker 1: just weird.
- 32:50Speaker 2: Yeah, the ostensible purpose of this, I guess there were
- 32:54Speaker 2: two purposes of the interview. One was to try to,
- 32:57Speaker 2: quote unquote, take viewers away from the debate, to step
- 33:01Speaker 2: on the debate. I don't think that worked.
- 33:03Speaker 1: It's not a live broadcast.
- 33:05Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 33:05Speaker 1: I mean, but it, you can just pause it.
- 33:07Speaker 2: But they, yeah, right.
- 33:07Speaker 8: It's true.
- 33:08Speaker 2: Yeah. They have invented the capacity to pause television and
- 33:12Speaker 2: record things and watch them later. Or Twitter.
- 33:14Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 33:15Speaker 1: It is.
- 33:16Speaker 2: So that part didn't really make sense. The other reason
- 33:17Speaker 2: was pure spite.
- 33:18Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 33:18Speaker 2: Like, it is just a giant fuck you to Fox
- 33:21Speaker 2: News to do this with Tucker Carlson, who they fired,
- 33:25Speaker 2: who is in violation of his non-compete agreement doing this
- 33:30Speaker 2: other show where he just shits on Fox News all
- 33:32Speaker 2: the time. I don't know what was gained from it.
- 33:35Speaker 2: I don't think it... There's just... nothing big enough happened
- 33:38Speaker 2: in the debate that it's stepping on it. The bigger
- 33:40Speaker 2: thing that's going to happen is when Trump surrenders to
- 33:43Speaker 2: the authorities and is arraigned and has his mugshot taken tomorrow.
- 33:47Speaker 1: Tomorrow's the news.
- 33:48Speaker 2: That will step on the, I don't even know what
- 33:51Speaker 2: it's stepping on. What is it like coverage of Vivek Ramaswamy?
- 33:54Speaker 2: I don't even think that matters to Trump. Yeah.
- 33:56Speaker 1: And Vivek will probably do a hundred Sunday shows tomorrow.
- 33:59Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 33:59Speaker 1: That's what you do to seize these moments.
- 34:00Speaker 2: And he'll do more importantly, but he'll do the morning shows,
- 34:04Speaker 2: but more importantly, he will just, Do every right wing podcast,
- 34:08Speaker 2: YouTube show there is.
- 34:10Speaker 1: Yeah, I'll be co-hosting Jordan Peterson's show for six months.
- 34:12Speaker 2: Politico had a really, a couple months ago, weeks, I
- 34:15Speaker 2: don't know, time means nothing, a really smart story about
- 34:17Speaker 2: his media strategy and how he is everywhere all the
- 34:20Speaker 2: time doing everything he possibly can. It's very, I hesitate
- 34:24Speaker 2: to make this comparison, but it's very reminiscent of how
- 34:26Speaker 2: Pete Buttigieg built Name ID to give himself the opportunity
- 34:30Speaker 2: to take off. He had a press strategy to go everywhere.
- 34:34Speaker 2: do everything, introduce himself, go bottom up, and even around
- 34:37Speaker 2: the media who were, the traditional media who weren't paying
- 34:39Speaker 2: attention to him. And so we'll see how Rahm Oswami
- 34:41Speaker 2: takes advantage of this, but he's going to be, and
- 34:44Speaker 2: he's in a good position because he's running as mini
- 34:46Speaker 2: Trump who wants to pardon him. So he actually has
- 34:49Speaker 2: something that is on his message to say about this
- 34:51Speaker 2: tomorrow that is helpful to him. Yeah, I know.
- 34:53Speaker 1: There was another piece in Politico. Adam Wren wrote a
- 34:55Speaker 1: profile of Vivek today. That's basically about how his campaign
- 34:57Speaker 1: office is just, they built a studio. They built a
- 34:59Speaker 1: TV and podcast and media studio for 80 grand in
- 35:03Speaker 1: the campaign office. He has another podcast studio in his basement.
- 35:06Speaker 1: He says yes to everything, 11 p.m., 6 a.m., doesn't matter.
- 35:10Speaker 1: He's also got no job. He's got a private plane
- 35:12Speaker 1: so he can get everywhere he needs to go whenever
- 35:14Speaker 1: he needs to get there. So like, yes, he's super
- 35:18Speaker 1: energetic and active and out there. But back to this
- 35:20Speaker 1: Tucker thing, like even Trump was kind of like, kind
- 35:25Speaker 1: of was like, I don't really know what this format,
- 35:27Speaker 1: I don't even really know what this show is, but
- 35:28Speaker 1: we're going to get better ratings. Uh, but my favorite
- 35:31Speaker 1: part of the night was you and I were watching
- 35:32Speaker 1: some of the pre debate coverage and Sean Hannity was
- 35:35Speaker 1: on and he just had that like scorned jilted lover
- 35:39Speaker 1: kind of vibe. You know, he like had to suck
- 35:41Speaker 1: up to Trump for like six years, take his calls
- 35:44Speaker 1: late at night, do every softball interview. And then Tucker Carlson,
- 35:48Speaker 1: you know, gets the, gets the big bracket interview tonight
- 35:51Speaker 1: and screws him over. Like he looked genuinely hurt by
- 35:53Speaker 1: the whole thing.
- 35:53Speaker 2: I mean, Sean Hannity was an active participant in trying
- 35:56Speaker 2: to overthrow the government while Tucker Carlson was texting his
- 35:58Speaker 2: producers how much he hated Donald Trump. It's like, I
- 35:59Speaker 2: hate this guy.
- 36:01Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 36:02Speaker 2: And maybe Hannity got lucky and scored a Pence interview tonight.
- 36:04Speaker 4: Who knows?
- 36:05Speaker 1: Good for you, Sean. Yeah, I don't think this interview
- 36:08Speaker 1: did anything for anyone. Like, by the way, Twitter is
- 36:11Speaker 1: such bullshit. The little ticker under the interview claimed it
- 36:15Speaker 1: had 80 million views. I don't believe that for one second.
- 36:19Speaker 2: Yes, more people watched it than the Super Bowl.
- 36:21Speaker 5: Yeah, exactly.
- 36:22Speaker 1: Just like, whatever, Elon's bullshit. Okay, we are going to
- 36:26Speaker 1: take a quick break. When we come back, you'll hear
- 36:28Speaker 1: from Sarah Longwell from The Bulwark. She has done hundreds
- 36:31Speaker 1: and hundreds of focus groups of Republican voters. She knows
- 36:34Speaker 1: what they think, for better, for worse. So stick around
- 36:36Speaker 1: for that to get her reaction to the debate. We
- 36:51Speaker 1: are so excited to welcome to the show the co-host
- 36:54Speaker 1: of the Next Level podcast and the Focus Group podcast,
- 36:57Speaker 1: Sarah Longwell. Sarah, it's great to see you.
- 36:59Speaker 7: Hey, guys. Thanks for having me.
- 37:01Speaker 1: So we, you might not know this, but Dan and
- 37:04Speaker 1: I are giant libs. And what we think about Republican
- 37:08Speaker 1: primary debates probably doesn't matter. So I wanted to name
- 37:12Speaker 1: this segment Check Your Lib Bridge, but Dan told me
- 37:15Speaker 1: it was bad. So we just really want to know
- 37:16Speaker 1: what you thought of the debate. If anybody, based on
- 37:18Speaker 1: the hundreds and hundreds of focus groups, you have done
- 37:22Speaker 1: move the needle tonight in terms of the Republican primary electorate?
- 37:26Speaker 7: Yeah, so I watch this stuff with two parts of
- 37:28Speaker 7: my brain. There's the me part. And so my reaction
- 37:33Speaker 7: as Sarah Longwell is that was terrible. That was very stupid.
- 37:37Speaker 7: I can't believe I was ever a member of that
- 37:39Speaker 7: political party. Anybody who said something sane got booed. Anybody
- 37:44Speaker 7: who said something insane got cheered for. But then there's
- 37:48Speaker 7: the other part of my brain that watches it through
- 37:49Speaker 7: the eyes of voters that I listen to week in,
- 37:52Speaker 7: week out, these two-time Trump voters. And I don't know.
- 37:56Speaker 7: I mean, it was such a weird debate. DeSantis was
- 38:02Speaker 7: left almost no impression. I was, you know, just the
- 38:06Speaker 7: sheer number of them on stage and the way that
- 38:08Speaker 7: Vivek was just chewing up time cost DeSantis a lot.
- 38:12Speaker 7: He wasn't fighting to get in. And so it was
- 38:14Speaker 7: easy to forget he was there. And so I'm not
- 38:17Speaker 7: sure he did himself any favors with voters. I'm not
- 38:21Speaker 7: quite sure how to assess Vivek's performance, because on one hand,
- 38:25Speaker 7: he got himself a lot of time. He just was
- 38:27Speaker 7: on camera a ton. He was fighting with Mike Pence.
- 38:31Speaker 7: But he was equal parts. The crowd was with him cheering,
- 38:35Speaker 7: and then the crowd was getting pretty annoyed with him.
- 38:37Speaker 7: He was a foil for some of the other people's
- 38:40Speaker 7: best moments, like Nikki Haley, when she was beating up
- 38:43Speaker 7: on him. But Whenever I find somebody deeply repellent, I
- 38:48Speaker 7: know now that I need to adjust and assume that
- 38:51Speaker 7: them being repellent to me means they're probably going to
- 38:53Speaker 7: get a five point bump in the polls from base voters.
- 38:57Speaker 7: And so Vivek, probably people who didn't know who he was,
- 39:02Speaker 7: probably there's people out there who like him, like how
- 39:05Speaker 7: hard he defended Trump. He really took the air out.
- 39:08Speaker 7: out of DeSantis being the one to defend Trump. I mean,
- 39:11Speaker 7: every canned line that DeSantis had that he really wanted
- 39:14Speaker 7: to hit hard, Vivek had said like five minutes prior,
- 39:18Speaker 7: and it was just really like, yeah, taking the wind
- 39:22Speaker 7: out of DeSantis' sails. It was like, there's a little
- 39:25Speaker 7: bit of a weird crowd there. I couldn't get a bead. on,
- 39:30Speaker 7: I think maybe like half the room was cheering sometimes
- 39:33Speaker 7: while the other half was booing. Like Nikki Haley was
- 39:36Speaker 7: getting these big applause lines when she's going to bat
- 39:39Speaker 7: for Ukraine. But I know that Republican-based voters are not
- 39:44Speaker 7: excited about sending more money to Ukraine. So I couldn't
- 39:47Speaker 7: quite understand that. exactly where everybody was. But I do
- 39:52Speaker 7: know that the Asa Hutchinson's, the Chris Christie's, the people
- 39:57Speaker 7: who were explicitly expressing anti-Trump sentiments, Pence, when he did it,
- 40:02Speaker 7: they were getting booed and shouted down. The crowd did
- 40:05Speaker 7: not like that. So those are sort of my, that's
- 40:08Speaker 7: my top line thought.
- 40:10Speaker 2: No one in the room other than Christie and Hutchinson
- 40:13Speaker 2: that you met in made any sort of argument against Trump.
- 40:16Speaker 2: Last I checked, Trump is winning by a lot of points. he,
- 40:20Speaker 2: and if we stay on this trajectory, all those people
- 40:21Speaker 2: are going to get their ass kicked. Based on what
- 40:24Speaker 2: you've seen with voters, what is the size of the
- 40:28Speaker 2: anti-Trump lane? And what's the best way to get there
- 40:30Speaker 2: if you're going to get shouted down for making a
- 40:32Speaker 2: case against Trump? Is there some other better way than
- 40:35Speaker 2: Christy Hutchinson tried to do it? Or do you just
- 40:37Speaker 2: have to hope Trump collapses under his own weight?
- 40:39Speaker 7: Yeah, so the way that I break up the Republican
- 40:41Speaker 7: Party right now is sort of There's 30% always Trumpers,
- 40:45Speaker 7: 30% maybe Trumpers, 30% move on from Trumpers, and then
- 40:49Speaker 7: like 10% never Trumpers. And so Chris Christie and Asa
- 40:52Speaker 7: Hutchinson have like a 10, you know, a ceiling of
- 40:55Speaker 7: 10% from the never Trumpers because the move on from Trumpers,
- 40:59Speaker 7: those are DeSantis people or Vivek people. Those are people
- 41:02Speaker 7: who worry that Trump can't win. They have electability concerns,
- 41:06Speaker 7: but they're not anti-Trump. There's just not that. And that's
- 41:09Speaker 7: the thing. They're, there's a difference between the always Trump
- 41:12Speaker 7: base and then being anti-Trump. And I would say 90%
- 41:16Speaker 7: of the party is open to Trump in some way.
- 41:19Speaker 7: Like they will, the move on from Trumpers who prefer
- 41:22Speaker 7: a DeSantis, let's say, they'll still vote for Trump in
- 41:25Speaker 7: a general election. And so they're not anti-Trump per se.
- 41:29Speaker 7: They're just don't think he's the best person to go
- 41:32Speaker 7: forward with. The problem is, is they're not consolidated around anybody.
- 41:36Speaker 7: And I'm not sure there was anyone tonight who made
- 41:39Speaker 7: them say, oh, let's all consolidate around this person. They're
- 41:42Speaker 7: the obvious person jumping off the stage.
- 41:48Speaker 1: So I was watching old debate clips from 2015 and 2016,
- 41:53Speaker 1: and it took me back to just how different Trump
- 41:56Speaker 1: felt on that debate stage. Everyone else was kind of
- 41:59Speaker 1: black and white. He was showing up in color. He
- 42:01Speaker 1: was dominating the stage. And he was sort of loving
- 42:05Speaker 1: the chaos. And I felt a bit of that tonight
- 42:07Speaker 1: with Vivek, the way he made the entire debate about himself.
- 42:11Speaker 1: But I was a little bit surprised. Like I kind
- 42:14Speaker 1: of thought that he knew he was going to get attacked.
- 42:16Speaker 1: Everyone was telegraphing, like Haley was telegraphing that she was
- 42:19Speaker 1: going to go after him on, you know, funding for
- 42:21Speaker 1: Israel and that he would respond, but kind of do
- 42:25Speaker 1: it with a smile. Instead, he got hit that first
- 42:27Speaker 1: time he got called chat GBT or whatever it was
- 42:29Speaker 1: by Chris Christie. And then he just started lobbing attacks
- 42:33Speaker 1: at everybody. And I'm just wondering, do you think that plays?
- 42:36Speaker 1: Because we always hear from all swaths of the electorate.
- 42:40Speaker 1: They don't like the negativity in politics. They don't like
- 42:43Speaker 1: the attack, but they do like Trump. So I'm just
- 42:45Speaker 1: kind of trying to sort out my own mind, like
- 42:48Speaker 1: what to make of what we watched.
- 42:49Speaker 7: Yeah, they're lying about not liking the attack or the negativity.
- 42:54Speaker 7: They mean, that's just the thing everybody says. Like they are,
- 42:58Speaker 7: it's a revealed preference, the Trump stuff. Uh, that, that
- 43:03Speaker 7: they actually do want. And some of it is that they,
- 43:06Speaker 7: they want people to signal that they are the fighter
- 43:09Speaker 7: for them. Uh, right. And so they want somebody that
- 43:12Speaker 7: they think is going to go really hard. Uh, the
- 43:15Speaker 7: Vivek stuff though, I was also trying to figure out,
- 43:18Speaker 7: cause there's some of the time it felt like, oh,
- 43:21Speaker 7: this guy's stealing the show. He's jumping off the page. Um,
- 43:25Speaker 7: but then there were other times where people, the crowd
- 43:27Speaker 7: seemed actively annoyed with him. Some of the other candidates
- 43:31Speaker 7: certainly seemed really annoyed with him. And so I couldn't
- 43:36Speaker 7: quite figure out how people were reacting to him. I
- 43:39Speaker 7: will say, as I've done focus groups, especially in Iowa,
- 43:43Speaker 7: where he is showing up a lot, there are a
- 43:46Speaker 7: lot of voters that are very Vivek curious. And the
- 43:49Speaker 7: way that they talk about him is the way that
- 43:50Speaker 7: they used to talk about DeSantis like eight, nine months ago,
- 43:53Speaker 7: where like, oh, he's got really good ideas. I really
- 43:56Speaker 7: like him. I'm really interested in hearing more from him.
- 43:59Speaker 7: But he was a chaos agent tonight. And I guess
- 44:03Speaker 7: I've seen Trump be a chaos agent and that worked
- 44:05Speaker 7: for him. I'm not sure if it works for Vivek,
- 44:08Speaker 7: but it might. I mean, just the sheer volume of time,
- 44:14Speaker 7: like the sheer amount of time that he got tonight
- 44:17Speaker 7: to showcase himself versus I mean, the two other the
- 44:20Speaker 7: two people who are, you know, even remotely in contention,
- 44:26Speaker 7: Tim Scott for the donors and Ron DeSantis for the donors.
- 44:29Speaker 7: for the move on Trumpers, they were both surprisingly just
- 44:34Speaker 7: in the back. Like he overshadowed them.
- 44:36Speaker 2: Tim Scott in particular.
- 44:38Speaker 7: Tim Scott, he just was gone. And even now, right,
- 44:41Speaker 7: we're talking about Vivek. We're not talking, other than talking
- 44:45Speaker 7: about how DeSantis didn't really pop. I think that Vivek's
- 44:49Speaker 7: the one who tomorrow is the name that everybody hears
- 44:52Speaker 7: for better or worse, right? And I think we know
- 44:55Speaker 7: that when you're trying to just get your name and
- 44:58Speaker 7: your brand idea up, that that kind of thing can
- 45:00Speaker 7: work for you.
- 45:01Speaker 2: Another argument that was not made really on stage at
- 45:04Speaker 2: all was any sort of argument about electability as relates
- 45:07Speaker 2: to Trump. It was no one has brought it up.
- 45:11Speaker 2: There's been sort of conflicting anecdotal accounts of how important
- 45:16Speaker 2: electability may be to Republican voters. Some, you know, in
- 45:20Speaker 2: some polls, they'll say it's the beating Biden's the most
- 45:22Speaker 2: important thing. I think that's kind of a dumb question,
- 45:23Speaker 2: because why would you pick a candidate who couldn't win?
- 45:26Speaker 2: But also those polls showed that a lot of people
- 45:28Speaker 2: think Trump can win. Then there was this New York
- 45:30Speaker 2: Times story the other day which basically tried to undermine
- 45:33Speaker 2: the electability argument by saying, and this was really anecdotal,
- 45:37Speaker 2: so I'm curious if you've seen this in your focus groups,
- 45:39Speaker 2: that people who watch Fox News or sort of in
- 45:42Speaker 2: the right-wing media ecosystem have been fed so many clips
- 45:47Speaker 2: and stories about Joe Biden being too old or not
- 45:51Speaker 2: mentally competent that they think he can't win. Is that
- 45:55Speaker 2: a real are people concerned about electability? Do they think
- 45:57Speaker 2: that about Joe Biden? Is that giving Trump more permission?
- 45:59Speaker 7: Yeah, the reason I like to break the party up
- 46:02Speaker 7: into those buckets is because the move on Trumpers, they
- 46:05Speaker 7: do care about electability. That was their whole thing about
- 46:08Speaker 7: DeSantis to begin with. You know, he's Trump without the baggage.
- 46:10Speaker 7: He's Trump, you know, not on steroids. And so they
- 46:14Speaker 7: still saw they liked the Trumpiness of him, but they
- 46:16Speaker 7: thought he was electable. The problem is, is that for
- 46:20Speaker 7: the Trump base and even the maybe Trumpers, those are
- 46:22Speaker 7: the people who are really deep in it. And they
- 46:24Speaker 7: think that Joe Biden sits in the Oval Office drooling
- 46:27Speaker 7: on himself while somebody spoon feeds him, you know, oatmeal.
- 46:30Speaker 7: And so why wouldn't they think that Donald Trump could
- 46:33Speaker 7: be him? Also, especially the always Trumpers, but by a
- 46:37Speaker 7: lot of measures, up to 70 percent of the Republican Party,
- 46:40Speaker 7: they believe that Donald Trump won last time. And so,
- 46:43Speaker 7: you know, they think that he didn't lose to Joe Biden.
- 46:47Speaker 7: It was rigged against him. And so revenge tour, another shot.
- 46:50Speaker 7: He deserves it. And the other thing voters say all
- 46:53Speaker 7: the time, and this includes the move on from Trumpers,
- 46:57Speaker 7: they think he was a great president. They think he
- 47:00Speaker 7: did a great job. And I think that's one of
- 47:03Speaker 7: the difficulties these candidates are having is that they don't
- 47:07Speaker 7: want to go after Trump's record. Because the voters like
- 47:10Speaker 7: Trump's record and they think he did a good job.
- 47:12Speaker 7: But the fact that nobody went after him, period, tonight,
- 47:16Speaker 7: the moderators had to set up a segment in which
- 47:20Speaker 7: to talk about Trump and the indictments. And then it
- 47:24Speaker 7: broke wide open with a rousing defense from Vivek. I
- 47:29Speaker 7: don't know what these guys are thinking. I just don't
- 47:32Speaker 7: know what... Donald Trump is beating DeSantis by 30 or
- 47:35Speaker 7: 40 points in most of these polls.
- 47:37Speaker 4: And.
- 47:38Speaker 7: Everybody decided to not say, including Chris Christie. Like they
- 47:42Speaker 7: had to be set up to say anything. Pence was
- 47:44Speaker 7: kind of waffling. Where was Chris Christie's big attack? I mean,
- 47:47Speaker 7: I've been a kind of a defender of him ready
- 47:50Speaker 7: to say, like, let's unleash this guy. He was nowhere
- 47:53Speaker 7: on Trump. And so anyway, back to your question. I
- 47:57Speaker 7: do think that the electability matters to a portion. I
- 47:59Speaker 7: don't think it matters to a big enough portion. And
- 48:03Speaker 7: I also think that it is true that, yeah, people
- 48:05Speaker 7: think Trump is perfectly electable against senile Joe Biden.
- 48:10Speaker 2: Which is so funny since he lost to quote unquote
- 48:13Speaker 2: senile Joe Biden two years ago.
- 48:16Speaker 7: Again, again, a big chunk are not so sure.
- 48:19Speaker 2: Right. Which is why Rhonda, I can't understand why Rhonda
- 48:21Speaker 2: says we refuse to take my advice where he should
- 48:23Speaker 2: say that Donald Trump let sleepy Joe steal the election
- 48:26Speaker 2: from him. Problem solved.
- 48:29Speaker 1: That place. I hate to keep bringing up Vivek, but
- 48:33Speaker 1: he said the most interesting things. He said, the climate
- 48:36Speaker 1: change agenda is a hoax. The anti-carbon agenda is the
- 48:39Speaker 1: wet blanket on our economy. More people are dying because
- 48:41Speaker 1: of bad policies than because of climate change. I'm wondering
- 48:44Speaker 1: if A, you hear views that extreme reflected in the
- 48:49Speaker 1: voters you talk to, or B, whether I'm overthinking this
- 48:54Speaker 1: and voters might like that because it tells annoying libs
- 48:57Speaker 1: like me who care about climate change. where they can
- 48:59Speaker 1: shove their electric vehicle charger or whatever.
- 49:02Speaker 2: And your paper straws.
- 49:03Speaker 1: Exactly, yeah.
- 49:05Speaker 7: Again, it's a little bit of both. There's going to
- 49:09Speaker 7: be an audience for the climate change is a hoax
- 49:12Speaker 7: stuff because he's just, this is the thing that Vivek
- 49:15Speaker 7: was doing, right? DeSantis, when he was asked to raise
- 49:19Speaker 7: hands or whatever, give a straight answer, he let, you know,
- 49:23Speaker 7: worked himself into a pitch. Vivek just comes out with
- 49:26Speaker 7: climate change is a hoax. Now, the crowd seemed to
- 49:30Speaker 7: boo him, unless I'm mistaken for that. And there are
- 49:33Speaker 7: a lot of voters in the Republican Party that will
- 49:36Speaker 7: think that that's ridiculous. It's actually the environment is one
- 49:39Speaker 7: of those things that you get a lot of voters,
- 49:41Speaker 7: including Trump voters, that are real squishy. You know, they want...
- 49:45Speaker 7: Nikki Haley was closer, actually, to where a lot of
- 49:47Speaker 7: people are. We want clean air. We want clean water.
- 49:50Speaker 7: We just, you know... And Republicans can do this. That
- 49:53Speaker 7: being said, you know, there's definitely... 35% of the party
- 49:58Speaker 7: who will be like, hell yeah, he just got up
- 50:00Speaker 7: and said it straightforward and it'll be memorable. And so
- 50:04Speaker 7: that's why I just think when it comes to this undercard,
- 50:08Speaker 7: you know, how do we shuffle things around for second place?
- 50:11Speaker 7: Vivek probably did himself the most favors, uh, by just
- 50:17Speaker 7: being an insane person that appeals to the section of
- 50:21Speaker 7: the party that likes insane people. Yeah.
- 50:24Speaker 2: Are we just wasting our time here? Is there a
- 50:26Speaker 2: path for anyone to be Trump?
- 50:30Speaker 7: There's a slim, like, here's the thing. It would take
- 50:34Speaker 7: a bunch of things to happen. One, the big exogenous
- 50:38Speaker 7: event of something happening to Trump or something happening that
- 50:43Speaker 7: like really kneecapped him going into the general that people
- 50:46Speaker 7: believed was a real deficit. I don't exactly know what
- 50:49Speaker 7: that would be, but it would have to be that
- 50:51Speaker 7: the problem is, and it has been the problem all along,
- 50:55Speaker 7: You can't beat something with nothing. And these guys are
- 50:59Speaker 7: showing us nothing, right? There's nobody, if you, the problem
- 51:02Speaker 7: that you can, you can talk yourself into, well, this
- 51:05Speaker 7: could happen to Trump. This could happen with the legal stuff,
- 51:07Speaker 7: but can you talk yourself into boy, what I just
- 51:11Speaker 7: saw from DeSantis shows me that he can consolidate 40%
- 51:14Speaker 7: of the party around him, 50% of the party. I
- 51:19Speaker 7: don't think so. Did we see Tim Scott? Did we
- 51:22Speaker 7: see Nikki Haley? Nikki Haley did herself some real favors
- 51:27Speaker 7: with the donor class. I think that people who are
- 51:30Speaker 7: writing Tim Scott checks are going to start writing her checks.
- 51:32Speaker 7: But like, yeah, which one of those people on the
- 51:37Speaker 7: stage looked like they were going to beat Trump?
- 51:43Speaker 1: Yeah, I didn't see either.
- 51:45Speaker 7: I will say, though, what is Trump? Did he do
- 51:47Speaker 7: his Tucker thing? I saw people were, at least are,
- 51:51Speaker 7: Our people, the tweeters, were watching the debate.
- 51:54Speaker 1: Dan and I watched 30 minutes of 45 on 2x speed,
- 51:58Speaker 1: and it's just weird. There's like a rant about the
- 52:00Speaker 1: Panama Canal and Epstein being dead. And I don't know
- 52:03Speaker 1: that it did him any solids. We turned it off.
- 52:06Speaker 7: Well, you would, Libs. I mean, don't you know how
- 52:11Speaker 7: important the Panama Canal is to Facebookers?
- 52:14Speaker 1: Listen, Jimmy Carter gave it away, and I've celebrated that
- 52:17Speaker 1: decision ever since. Sarah, thank you for staying up late
- 52:21Speaker 1: to help us better understand an electorate that is challenging
- 52:25Speaker 1: to understand, let's be honest. We really appreciate your time
- 52:28Speaker 1: and hope to see you soon.
- 52:29Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 52:30Speaker 7: Thanks, guys.
- 52:36Speaker 1: Thanks again to Sarah for joining the show. Thanks to
- 52:38Speaker 1: everyone here on the Crooked Media team who's sitting in
- 52:41Speaker 1: a studio that's about 105 degrees.
- 52:43Speaker 2: It's so hot.
- 52:44Speaker 1: There's not one Drop of breeze.
- 52:46Speaker 2: I'm so tired. We've been awake for so long.
- 52:48Speaker 1: My daughter was teething and woke me up at 4.30
- 52:50Speaker 1: in the morning.
- 52:51Speaker 2: I've been up since 4.30 myself.
- 52:52Speaker 1: Because we're weirdos.
- 52:53Speaker 7: Yeah.
- 52:54Speaker 2: I have to beat my children up.
- 52:56Speaker 1: What? Sorry.
- 52:57Speaker 2: Let's say that again. Rephrase that. That's right.
- 52:59Speaker 4: Leave it in.
- 53:00Speaker 2: I've been up since 4.30. I have to beat my
- 53:02Speaker 2: children to who gets to be awake first.
- 53:05Speaker 1: To the breakfast table.
- 53:06Speaker 5: Okay.
- 53:06Speaker 1: We probably shouldn't talk anymore on a microphone where it's recorded. Thanks, everyone,
- 53:10Speaker 1: for listening. Talk to you next week.
- 53:11Speaker 2: Bye, everyone.
- 53:13Speaker 8: Pod Save America is a Crooked Media production. The executive
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