Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 198 - 1/15/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 198 - 1/15/25 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:18
  Hello, and welcome to episode 198 of the All Systems Go Sports
• 0:24
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:27
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on, everyone?
• 0:34
  Happy hump day. That's right, it's Wednesday.
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  We are halfway through our work week, halfway through the month
• 0:39
  of January. Felt like just yesterday it was
• 0:42
  Hanukkah, Christmas, New Year's. Can you believe it?
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  It's almost time for the Super Bowl.
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  So one day closer here to an epic divisional weekend in the
• 0:50
  NFL. Not much in terms of movement.
• 0:52
  I'm still looking at a few numbers right now.
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  Again, will be will Detroit get up to 10?
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  You know, they're hanging around 9 1/2.
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  They're actually down to 8 1/2 the other day.
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  Twist my arm. Jaden Daniels plus 10.
• 1:03
  Who? Who knows?
• 1:04
  We'll see where that thing develops.
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  Houston, Kansas City saw some under money there.
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  That's a total of 42 1/2 down to 41 1/2 at a lot of shops.
• 1:13
  It's going to be a windy game, probably.
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  Teaser of the Century taking Kansas City -8 1/2 down to -2
• 1:19
  1/2 mentioning Washington. Detroit, very high total open as
• 1:22
  high as 56. I'm also thinking, what about
• 1:25
  under 55 1/2? I got a lot of thoughts on these
• 1:27
  games, guys. I haven't played anything yet.
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  I'm also looking at the Rams. You know, can we get the Rams
• 1:32
  plus 6 1/2? The under is looking decent in
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  that game against Philly. And then the granddaddy of them
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  all, Baltimore, Buffalo. Maybe I shouldn't overthink
• 1:40
  this. Maybe it's just obviously a
• 1:41
  Baltimore play. Went dog to favorite plus one to
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  now -1 -. 1 1/2 total. Did drop there a little bit, But
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  as always when it comes to these huge, heavily bet divisional
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  round games. Arguably the best weekend of the
• 1:54
  year with two games on Saturday, 2 games on Sunday.
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  Let's let the let's let the bets build up.
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  It's still only Wednesday. Excited to think about, but
• 2:02
  again, some thoughts, some leans.
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  Nothing official for me yet, but keeping my eye on the divisional
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  round of games now looking toward tonight.
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  Guys, I got a 5 pack of sweats for you lined up.
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  It's going to be all hoops. I got 3 college basketball
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  players. They're all dogs.
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  Let's see if dogs can bark. We got some good sharp line
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  moves, good Ken palm and rhythm edges.
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  And then I got 2 plays in the NBA.
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  Couple totals here that I have my eye on.
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  They're they're one's moving. The other one has pretty much
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  stayed right where it's at, but both are offering some good bet
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  splits and some good rhythm system predictions.
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  So 5 pack overall, 3 college, three NBA.
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  Let's see if we can scratch and claw and get three or more.
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  Now. Looking back to our last night,
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  guys, 3 and 2 + 0.00 or plus 0.01 units, basically a wash,
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  but hey, baby steps. We did have some good wins there
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  with North Texas getting it done.
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  They were kind of trailing and then they really turned it on
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  late, able to come through for the team.
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  There's also one of the most unbelievable bad beats if anyone
• 3:01
  had that under in the North Texas game I was like under 127
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  1/2. They put extra time on the
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  clock. Kid hit a meaningless 3 to kill
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  that under. So thoughts and prayers to
• 3:11
  anyone who had that under. USC late night sweat.
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  They played great USC man. They shot like 64% from the
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  field. Every time you saw Iowa creep up
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  USC would put the hammer down. So great night late night sweat
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  with the USC. The Blues in the NHL came
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  through which was nice. 2 to one game there in a big rest, first
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  tired spot. The only losers, the Marquette
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  Golden Eagles, they almost lost out right had a pretty good good
• 3:37
  connection play or source play. Someone who I really liked.
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  Again, we were texting throughout the game and we were
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  hoping it would go to overtime and maybe they'd roll and cover.
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  But man, DePaul just would not give up.
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  Marquette couldn't cover that number.
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  Shout out to to DePaul. That was a good good gutsy
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  performance. And then the Tampa Bay
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  Lightning, the Lightning I bet against my Bruins.
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  So call it a fan tax, whatever you want.
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  At least my team won but couldn't get the Lightning.
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  And what was annoying about the Lightning is that right before
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  the game started, Braden .1 of their best players, he missed a
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  team meeting and he's got scratched and didn't play.
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  So as soon as that happened, the line fell and I'm like, oh,
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  that's not good. Bruins played probably their
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  best game of the year. So hey, I'm a fan.
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  I got to win but unfortunately lost on the Lightning.
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  But unbelievable. Three and two, basically,
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  basically, not up, not down, literally right down the middle.
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  But hey, got three out of five. Let's see if we can do that
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  again for tonight. So let's start off with some
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  college hoops. There's three games I want to
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  talk about, including one that's an early game.
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  This is 6:30 PM Eastern Time Stanford visiting Wake Forest
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  now coming into it, Stanford 11 and five, they've won two
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  straight games. They just took down Virginia 88
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  to 65, easily covered as an 8 1/2 point home favorite.
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  You know, Wake Forest 12 and four, they've won three in a
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  row, just took down Miami 8878. They did cover as a 3 1/2 point
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  Rd. favorite. So we've seen across the market
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  here. Well, I hope you guys maybe read
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  the sharp report that I wrote for visen.com or are following
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  the best bets from the all systems Gopod which go straight
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  to Juice Reel throughout the day.
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  Because if you did, you are loving what you're seeing right
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  now in Stanford. I jumped on Stanford earlier
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  today at +7 and a half. The reason why I liked it was
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  early on we saw Wake Forest open -7 1/2 at home, Publix on the
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  Demon Deacons, they're getting around 64% of spread bets.
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  At DraftKings, however, I saw those -7 1/2's get down to
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  seven, some books even 6 1/2, and at the time there was one
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  book still hanging, a + 7 1/2 at -120 I think it was either
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  FanDuel or Caesar's, but I jumped on it.
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  A little more on that later. But now this line is down to, I
• 5:44
  see one more 6 1/2 available, but some sixes, some even 5 and
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  a halfs. So if you're like me and you
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  played Stanford earlier today, you are loving, loving, loving,
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  loving the fact that this line continues to move towards
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  Stanford. Obviously we're playing them
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  now. Shop around.
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  Looks like FanDuel is still offering 6 1/2 of the hook.
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  It'll be juice -120 But obviously if you like them, play
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  the the best number available to you at this point.
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  So aside from the reverse line movement, 2/3 of bets on wake
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  lines falling towards Stanford, we have good bet split on
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  Stanford. Again, only 1/3 of bets, but
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  over 50% of money at DraftKings, really good low bets, higher
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  dollars bet split. Our buddy Ken Palm has Stanford
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  losing by 5. So if you got the seven and a
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  half, seven, 6 1/2 even right now, I, I think you should, you
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  should at least get a six. But there are some books at 5
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  1/2 at least at a 6 1/2 or 6. Again, Ken Palm's got a 5 point
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  game. So a little bit of an actionable
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  edge there. And then also you'll get some
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  advantages here for Stanford, the better offensive efficiency,
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  big advantage here. This would be kind of a dog who
• 6:46
  can score system match 54th in the country.
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  You look at Wake, they're 157th so far.
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  Better offense for Stanford. Better offensive rebound
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  percentage. Again, grab some extra
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  possessions, demoralize the other team, get some extra
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  points. 34% versus 29%. three-point shooting.
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  Another advantage here for Stanford.
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  Ironically, same split 34% versus 29% and free throw
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  shooting. Again, tight game, make your
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  free throws 77% versus 74%. Stanford.
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  Also, by the way, one thing I always like, don't turn it over.
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  They're pretty good at keeping the ball in their hands, taking
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  care of the ball. They rank 32nd in the country in
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  the fewest turnovers committed per game versus Wake, which
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  currently the Demon Deacons rank 198th.
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  The cherry on top here, I told you that Ken Palma has a 5 point
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  game. Rhythm has plus 5.1 and another
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  model plus 5.4. So again, hopefully you you read
• 7:43
  the sharp report. You can always find find my
• 7:45
  sharp report that I write for visen.com via my Twitter around
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  noon or 1:00. That's at Josh under score
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  insights or again, maybe followed or are following the
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  best bets on juice rail because I got a 7 1/2.
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  So 7 1/2. If you're feeling if you're
• 7:59
  holding out, take it with me in pocket.
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  You are loving this. But even 6 1/2 of still
• 8:03
  available. Let's see if Stanford can cover
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  this number. How about you win the game and
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  everyone's happy or lose by A5 or less.
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  Keep moving. Now this is a 9:00 game here
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  tonight. Rhode Island and Loyola Chicago.
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  Now this line has been back and forth.
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  This one's interesting for a couple different reasons.
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  So let's set the stage to talk about what's happened.
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  Talk about the current numbers available to you at this point.
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  Rhode Island comes in 13 and three.
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  You're having a good year. They rotated wins and losses
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  over their last four games, but they did just edge Richmond 6764
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  and overtime they covered as a 2 point Rd. favorite.
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  Meanwhile, Loyola Chicago, remember the Ramblers, remember
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  who's the old lady? I forget her name, Sister Jean.
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  I think she's still hanging tough at like 103 years old.
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  Like all the power to her, but I hope she loses tonight or wins
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  by three or less. But anyway, Lola Chicago 10 and
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  six started off great but they have lost five of their last
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  six. They just got crushed by Saint
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  Joe's 9357 did not cover as a 5 point Rd. dog.
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  So what have you seen across the market here?
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  Well this game opened Lola Chicago around a four point
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  favorite at home. At one point this line got up to
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  as high as 5 1/2 then it came crashing down all the way to
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  Loyola Chicago -3 1/2. And at the time there were some
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  juiced up books that looking looking like it may even get
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  down to three and I think one book even did touch 3.
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  So I played Royal Rhode Island plus 3 1/2.
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  I'll give you my my reasoning here.
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  Currently Rhode Island, it's about a 5050 ticket game.
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  Yet that line moved in their favor only around 50% of bets,
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  but 65% dollars here are on Rhode Island.
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  And then if you look at Circa out in Vegas, 80% bets, 98%
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  dollars on Rhode Island. So tells me and again, a lot of
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  people have asked and deservedly so, how do you interpret these
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  betting percentages? Well, typically I want to be
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  against the public at DraftKings big public book.
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  A lot of you know, regular average Joe bettors.
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  I want to be with the smart money, the low bets, higher
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  dollars at Circa, which typically caters to sharper
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  bettors. But aside from that, here's
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  another good thing about Rhode Island.
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  Ken Palm has Loyola Chicago winning by 1.1 point.
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  So if if you at the time we're getting plus 3 1/2, that was the
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  play that I made plus 3 1/2. Ken Palm also has Rhode Island
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  ranked higher, one O 1 in the country versus 144.
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  So advantages here, Rhode Island better offensive efficiency, not
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  by a ton, but 173rd in the country versus 182nd.
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  Big advantage defensively 71st and defensive efficiency versus
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  136 for low Chicago advantage here.
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  Free throw shooting 71% versus 65% better on the boards, 41
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  rebounds a game versus 36. And also when you come when it
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  comes to basically defensive effective defensive field goal
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  percentage. So basically how good are you at
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  making it hard on your opponent? The Rams are 22nd in the
• 11:00
  country. Ramblers are one 77th.
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  So I put, I put in Rhode Island plus 3 1/2 was feeling good
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  about it. I did just see Rhode Island go
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  the other way. It's maybe there's some buyback
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  on Loyola Chicago. I was looking at possibly some
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  guys who were injured on Rhode Island who I thought weren't
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  going to play and maybe they are still not going to play.
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  But you have seen this line go go up to Loyola Chicago now -4
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  or -4 1/2. So if you want to stick with
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  Rhode Island, which is what I'm doing, and again, dance with the
• 11:31
  one who brung you line goes against you, you stick with it.
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  We talked about that during during last week's pod.
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  But I'm just holding out holding on to my plus 3 1/2 Rhode
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  Island. We do have rhythm saying this
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  game should be plus 3.1. So still a rhythm edge on that
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  number. But if you're playing it now and
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  you haven't bet the game yet, you can probably get plus 4 1/2
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  available across the market here.
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  So if you're playing it, I'm taking the 4 1/2, but I maybe
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  jump the gun a little too short. Didn't expect it to rise back
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  up. I'm going to stick with my 3 1/2
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  and hope that I get lucky. Last game of the night, Virginia
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  at home against SMU. 3rd and final dog of the night.
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  Now might be a little bit nervous about this one because
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  SMU has been good this year. SMU comes in 12 and four just
• 12:19
  snapped A2 game losing skid. They beat Georgia Tech 93 to 71
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  easily covered as an 11 point home favorite.
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  You know, Virginia not not as good as they used to be.
• 12:29
  They're eight and eight this year.
• 12:30
  They've lost three in a row. Just got rolled by Stanford,
• 12:33
  mentioned that earlier 88 to 65 did not cover as an 8 1/2 point
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  Rd. dog. So what are we seeing across the
• 12:39
  market? Well, it looks like smart money
• 12:42
  is on the caps. Virginia.
• 12:43
  That's where I'm going guys. This game opened with SMU listed
• 12:47
  as a 6 1/2 point Rd. favorite and everyone's saying, hey, the
• 12:51
  public at DraftKings, SMU is going to roll.
• 12:53
  They're 12 and 4. Virginia is not very good.
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  Nearly 70% of spread bets at DraftKings are on SMU.
• 12:59
  However, even though SMU is getting again three out of $4.00
• 13:04
  nearly the signs falling, a lot of these -6 and a halfs are now
• 13:07
  down to -6 why is the line falling toward Virginia if the
• 13:11
  public is all over? SMU tells me we got some smart
• 13:14
  money taking the points buying low on the Cavs now at Circa 67%
• 13:19
  spread bets, but 92% dollars are on Virginia.
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  So the public at DraftKings likes SMU, the pros out in Vegas
• 13:27
  at Circa based on that low bets, higher dollar split, really like
• 13:30
  Virginia. That's a good thing.
• 13:32
  Ken Palm has Virginia losing by five points.
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  So shop around here. You might still be able to get a
• 13:38
  6 1/2. I think FanDuel is still
• 13:40
  offering plus 6 1/2 at -120. So as always try to get the best
• 13:44
  number. But if you are looking at one
• 13:48
  thing, hopefully for for Virginia to keep this thing
• 13:51
  close, it's can you still play good defense?
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  Can you keep it low scoring and high scoring game is not going
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  to not going to benefit Virginia, but keep it low
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  scoring. The Cavs are only giving up 64
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  points a game versus 73 allowed by SMU.
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  Also just the classic Bilo Conference dog.
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  Unpopular on a losing skid and then home Rd.
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  Can Virginia play well at home? Can you lose this game by 5 or
• 14:14
  less? Virginia's seven and two at
• 14:15
  home. SMU is one and two on the road.
• 14:18
  Lastly mentioned here, Ken Palm has Virginia losing by 5.
• 14:22
  Rhythm has Virginia plus 4.8. So if you can still get that
• 14:26
  hook, again, do your best to find that hook.
• 14:29
  But I bet Virginia earlier today plus 6 1/2 and there is at least
• 14:32
  one book still offering the hook.
• 14:35
  So Stanford URIUVA, can we find a way for two of these three
• 14:39
  dogs to bark for tonight? Now, continuing our sweats here
• 14:44
  on the hardwood, let's go to the pros.
• 14:46
  Got a couple games here that caught my eye.
• 14:48
  Both are totals. So first one that jumped out to
• 14:51
  me, Orlando Magic, Milwaukee Bucks.
• 14:55
  Now this is an interesting game. Orlando Magic come in 23 and 18,
• 14:59
  9:00 and 11:00 on the road. Milwaukee 21 and 1713 and seven
• 15:03
  at home. Now this is a back-to-back for
• 15:06
  the Milwaukee Bucks. So I was wondering, you know, is
• 15:10
  Giannis going to play Middleton as of now?
• 15:12
  They're both probable. If you look at Orlando, that's a
• 15:15
  pretty good rested spot for Orlando.
• 15:17
  The Magic actually haven't played since the since Sunday.
• 15:21
  So they're coming off a couple days off.
• 15:23
  So we've seen this line move a little bit toward the Magic.
• 15:26
  You know, a lot of these books opened around -6 six and a half
• 15:29
  bucks. It's still around six, 6 1/2, so
• 15:32
  hasn't moved too much here, but I'm going to focus on the total.
• 15:35
  I'm going to play this over, guys, give me the bucks and the
• 15:37
  magic over. But here's the key.
• 15:40
  There's a lot of two twelves out there.
• 15:42
  There are a couple 212 and a halfs out there, but there are a
• 15:45
  couple books, including Caesar's that as a as a as I'm talking
• 15:49
  right now, are still at 211 1/2. So I played over 211 1/2.
• 15:54
  My reasoning here, a couple things.
• 15:56
  One is that it's pretty much stayed the same or risen 211
• 16:01
  1/2. Now again, some shops up to two
• 16:03
  12212 1/2, but Circa has some pretty good bet splits here.
• 16:07
  Circa out in Vegas, 67% of bets but 96% of dollars around the
• 16:12
  over. So it tells me the pros in the
• 16:14
  desert are pretty good here. They're pretty leaning pretty
• 16:18
  heavily I should say on the over.
• 16:20
  I also like the fact that Rhythm is predicting 213.3, so nothing
• 16:26
  huge, but if you can get a 211 half that's about a two point
• 16:29
  edge. Even 212 which is pretty widely
• 16:31
  available. 213, hey that cash is the over.
• 16:35
  I do have some system matches here.
• 16:37
  One would be a non division over, so two teams separate
• 16:40
  divisions don't often play each other a ton so lack of
• 16:43
  familiarity benefits the offense over the defense because you
• 16:46
  don't know how to match up. But I have another system called
• 16:48
  a non division over in which the total stays the same or rises,
• 16:53
  which is basically what you're seeing here.
• 16:55
  That system is 54%. This year it's 136 and 16.
• 16:59
  It's about a 3% ROI. Nothing crazy, but it has been
• 17:02
  profitable. Milwaukee 13th and offensive
• 17:05
  efficiency. We did just see the Magic who
• 17:08
  have had a lot of injuries. 1 positive is they just got Paolo
• 17:11
  Bancaro back. So that's a benefit to their
• 17:13
  offense. And you do have a couple good
• 17:15
  over refs, including Sheree Mitchell. 60% to the over
• 17:19
  historically, and these teams have played two matchups earlier
• 17:22
  this year, combined totals of 223 and 2:15.
• 17:27
  So again, 211 1/2 if you can find it, that's my my best, my
• 17:31
  best number here across the market.
• 17:32
  That was at Caesar's. But again, you kind of like the
• 17:35
  fact that some shops are now creeping up to 212 1/2.
• 17:37
  But let's get some points. I got Magic Bucks over 211 1/2
• 17:41
  at Caesar's. Another total for you.
• 17:44
  Brooklyn Nets, LA Clippers late night game, 10:30 PM Eastern
• 17:49
  Time here for tonight. And once again, I'm rooting for
• 17:52
  points in this one. So going into it, we have the
• 17:55
  Brooklyn Nets, 14 and 26. They're 9 and 14 on the road.
• 17:58
  LA Clippers 21 and 17. They've done well at home.
• 18:02
  They're 13 and six at home. Now.
• 18:04
  The Nets not very good this year.
• 18:06
  They did just play last night and beat Portland, though, 1:32
• 18:09
  to 1:14 that snap day. I think 5 or 6 game losing skid.
• 18:13
  The Clippers, by the way, which Kawhi, who knows if he's playing
• 18:17
  or not, actually saw a tweet and Kwai was standing ready for
• 18:20
  practice and they zoomed in on his knee and his knee just
• 18:23
  looked so gnarly. So this is probably why he
• 18:26
  misses all these games. But they last played on Monday.
• 18:29
  They beat Miami one O 9 to 98. So in terms of the side pretty
• 18:34
  big number here. You basically have the Clippers
• 18:36
  around a 14 point favorite at home.
• 18:38
  Some shops have gotten a 14 1/2 at times come back down to 14.
• 18:42
  But I did notice a lot of steam on this over.
• 18:45
  I'm going to play this over here guys got open at around 211 1/2.
• 18:49
  It's now been bet up to 213 or 213 1/2.
• 18:54
  Now I found over 213 1/2 that was reduced juice.
• 18:57
  So minus one O 5 at ESPN bet couple things I like.
• 19:00
  First rhythm has a 214.4. So again about a one point edge
• 19:05
  there in favor of the over at DraftKings.
• 19:08
  Don't love that 82% of bets are on the over, but 90% of dollars
• 19:12
  as well. So it looks like a bit of a pro
• 19:14
  and Joe bet split. I also have some system matches
• 19:17
  here, non conference overs. So I just told you a second ago,
• 19:21
  you know, magic bucks and non division over lack of
• 19:23
  familiarity. But non conference overs even
• 19:25
  better. Just generic non conference
• 19:27
  overs. 2 teams once from the east, one's from the West.
• 19:30
  They play each other. The over is one O 2 and 79 this
• 19:33
  year, 56 percent, 7% ROI. The other system I mentioned non
• 19:38
  division over stays the same arises.
• 19:40
  That's 54%. You do have a few really good
• 19:43
  over reps here, Suyash Mehta, James Williams and Jason
• 19:47
  Goldenberg, all between 51 and 55% to the over.
• 19:52
  So hopefully you get fouls, stop the clock, make your free
• 19:55
  throws. And one thing I didn't know
• 19:57
  about the Nets, very bad defensive efficiency.
• 20:00
  So obviously the Clippers, they're more of a defensive
• 20:03
  team. They're not world beaters
• 20:04
  offensively, but they're going up against the Nets team who's
• 20:07
  25th in defensive efficiency. And the Nets also, you know, our
• 20:12
  young team. So even though it's the second
• 20:13
  leg of a back-to-back. Hopefully you got a lot of young
• 20:16
  players here that are they're going to put up some points for
• 20:19
  us. And again, they won 132 to 114
• 20:21
  against Portland last night. So add it all up.
• 20:24
  We got a rhythm edge, good splits, good systems.
• 20:27
  I took the Nets Clippers over 213 1/2.
• 20:31
  So Magic Bucks over 211 1/2, Nets Clippers over 213 1/2.
• 20:35
  Can we get at least one of those?
• 20:37
  Can we get both? That would be that would be a
• 20:39
  nice end to the night. So that about does it.
• 20:41
  Episode 198 closing in on 200 episodes of the ASG Pod Powered
• 20:46
  by Rhythm. This is the part of the pod
• 20:48
  where we wrap things up and I first start the wrap up by
• 20:51
  saying one thing to you. Thank you.
• 20:53
  Thank you for grinding with me through the UPS and the downs.
• 20:56
  Obviously every play I mentioned I want to win kills me when we
• 20:59
  talk about a play and it loses, but that's part of the game.
• 21:01
  Sports betting is difficult, but win lose or draw the fact that
• 21:05
  you guys take the time out of your busy lives to sit down,
• 21:08
  escape the issues and troubles and things that are, I don't
• 21:11
  know annoying you or upsetting you in your in your real world.
• 21:14
  We can escape to the it's still the real world, but our our
• 21:17
  little Oasis when it comes to sports betting.
• 21:20
  But anyway, thank you for tuning in.
• 21:22
  If you enjoy this pod and you want to let me know you
• 21:24
  appreciate the pod. There's one very basic, simple,
• 21:26
  easy thing you can do. I promise it'll take literally 3
• 21:30
  seconds, maybe even less. Just go to Spotify or iTunes.
• 21:34
  However you listen to this pod, give it a five star review.
• 21:36
  It would mean a lot to me. Help us to continue to grow the
• 21:38
  pod. The more likes the more, the
• 21:40
  more, the more clout, the more respect across the market, more
• 21:44
  people listening. That would be 1 easy thing you
• 21:46
  can do to help us grow the pod. You could also recommend it to a
• 21:49
  friend. You could click the follow
• 21:50
  button. Those are all great options to
• 21:54
  to give back to the pod hopefully.
• 21:56
  Secondly, if you enjoy the style of betting breakdowns, looking
• 21:59
  at the betting world through the lens of a Wall Street trader,
• 22:03
  looking at the stock market, how are lines moving?
• 22:05
  How did they open? You know where where are they
• 22:07
  closing? What are the percentages bets in
• 22:09
  dollars? Can we be contrarian can be with
• 22:11
  the smart money betting system matches all that kind of stuff.
• 22:14
  We've now incorporated rhythm thankfully into our daily lives,
• 22:19
  which again has been a big help and in terms of making sure that
• 22:23
  we are on the sharp side. But if this style of betting
• 22:25
  appeals to you, you want to learn more about data-driven
• 22:27
  betting or maybe show someone in your life what data-driven
• 22:31
  betting is all about. Guess what?
• 22:33
  I wrote a book. You can go purchase that book
• 22:35
  for less than 20 bucks and it'll be dropped in front of your door
• 22:39
  by a drone. Still don't know what those
• 22:41
  drones are going around in New Jersey, but there are rumors
• 22:44
  that we may find out when Trump gets in, so we'll see about
• 22:47
  that. But anyway, pick up the copy,
• 22:50
  Pick up a copy of the Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 22:52
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry, how lines are
• 22:54
  set, how and why they move, how to read line movement, how to
• 22:57
  locate sharp action, how to place a bet in person or online,
• 23:00
  how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
• 23:02
  management plan. It's all included in the
• 23:04
  Everything Guide to Sports Betting.
• 23:05
  So buy a copy, bring it to the book, bring it to the Nash,
• 23:09
  Nashville, New Hampshire, the new book that's about to open.
• 23:11
  I'll sign it for you and I'll buy you a beer.
• 23:14
  Next up, if you haven't done it yet, now is the time to download
• 23:17
  Rhythm and Juice Real, my two favorite sports betting apps
• 23:20
  because they're data-driven. They help me win.
• 23:22
  I'm confident they're going to help you win.
• 23:24
  So starting off with Rhythm, fantastic for their AI backed
• 23:27
  models and predictions for best bets and player props as well as
• 23:32
  Rhythm where you can find all the all systems go best bets for
• 23:35
  $4.99 a week. Again, cup of coffee, a couple
• 23:39
  of cup of Dunkins coffee and hopefully the insights are
• 23:43
  worthy of about a dollar a day. But in addition to that, you can
• 23:46
  follow the robo Jackson best bet picks the sharp mush indicators.
• 23:50
  Make sure you're on the sharp side against the betters who are
• 23:53
  always always find this term kind of funny, but who are
• 23:57
  profit deficient and then, of course, arbitrage plays shopping
• 24:00
  for the best line. Just a wealth of great features
• 24:03
  there when it comes to juice reel.
• 24:05
  So juice reel rhythm, go to the App Store, download both,
• 24:08
  recommend them to a friend and you'll be off and running making
• 24:11
  sharp bets left and right. So how about does it another pod
• 24:15
  here in the books. So ironically enough, if I'm
• 24:18
  good at math, this is episode 198.
• 24:21
  Tomorrow's 199 on a big fade the public Friday, January 17th.
• 24:26
  That'll be episode 200. So I can't believe we've already
• 24:29
  almost got 200 under our belt. I always get sentimental when
• 24:32
  when you get to big round numbers like that.
• 24:34
  But anyway, guys, leave with a couple things.
• 24:36
  One, whether I see you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin
• 24:40
  River in Rhode Island, the Brook of New Hampshire, Foxwoods or
• 24:42
  Mohegan Sun down in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston, or
• 24:45
  Plain Ridge Park Casino or MGM Springfield in my neck of the
• 24:48
  woods in Massachusetts, or out in the desert where the true
• 24:51
  grinders get down or Billy Walter sends his number runners
• 24:54
  where the lowest juice possible is found, the South Point or
• 24:57
  Sweat and sharp contrarian plays jumping in the stadium swimming
• 24:59
  pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 25:01
  Circa, wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 25:04
  You're going to show me a North Texas ticket, AUSC Trojans
• 25:08
  ticket, a Saint Louis Blues ticket.
• 25:10
  Guess what? First one's on me, next one's on
• 25:12
  you. We're going to post about the
• 25:14
  book Sweat sharp contrarian place all night long.
• 25:17
  So wish the best of luck, everyone.
• 25:19
  Three and two, two and three, five and OO and five, four and
• 25:23
  one, one and four again. The previous night's record
• 25:25
  should never influence your decisions the following day.
• 25:28
  And if you haven't realized yet, sports betting is difficult when
• 25:31
  you're struggling. Never get 2 down on yourself.
• 25:33
  This is a very difficult business to win at.
• 25:35
  You don't need me to tell you. But of course you got to beat
• 25:38
  these really sharp lines the odds maker set.
• 25:40
  We got to overcome the juice. You got to avoid bad beats and
• 25:43
  injuries and late scratches and all that kind of stuff in the
• 25:45
  refs who seem to always screw us.
• 25:47
  Here I am showing my my, my degenerate degeneracy
• 25:51
  tendencies, I guess. But anyway, just gives you
• 25:54
  perspective when you're hot, when things are going well,
• 25:57
  gives you confidence that you can win and you can win if you
• 26:00
  stick to the approach, which is a flat betting approach, a
• 26:03
  data-driven approach. If we can find that sweet spot
• 26:06
  bet games against the public, with the house, with the pros,
• 26:09
  flat bet, avoid parlays, get that CLV.
• 26:12
  If we can do that long term, we're going to be OK.
• 26:14
  We're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 26:16
  So have a fantastic Wednesday night guys.
• 26:18
  We'll be back at it for tomorrow, which will be a big
• 26:21
  thirsty Thursday. That'll be episode 199 of the
• 26:24
  All Systems Go sports betting podcast powered by rhythm.
• 26:28
  Good luck everybody and have a great Wednesday night.