Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Wednesday, 02/10/26
Transcript
- 0:09Speaker 1: All system's gone clear.
- 0:11Speaker 2: We're lifting.
- 0:40Speaker 1: What is going on ship at Nation YouTube station. We're
- 0:43Speaker 1: back with another edition of the NBA Show. It's your
- 0:46Speaker 1: boy Hamd filling in for title again in an undisclosed
- 0:50Speaker 1: location here in sunny Florida. Well there's beautiful here, Rio,
- 0:54Speaker 1: We're here to talk a four game slate today. Before
- 0:57Speaker 1: I pass it over to you, say, what's up to
- 0:58Speaker 1: the folks in the chat? Little neck? My got new ones,
- 1:01Speaker 1: new ones. I missed you yesterday. Man, didn't see you
- 1:04Speaker 1: in the chat. Giannis on the shelf, new Ones on
- 1:06Speaker 1: the shelf, Mike Daddy's in here, Marcus is in here,
- 1:08Speaker 1: Michael Peterson in here. As always, we started to appreciate
- 1:11Speaker 1: you tuning in. Make sure to hit that like, make
- 1:13Speaker 1: sure to hit that subscribe button. Helps us out of time.
- 1:16Speaker 1: But Rio, what you've been up to? Talk a little
- 1:18Speaker 1: pre show? Super Bowl loss eight That l was a
- 1:20Speaker 1: tough l for you. But hey, man, we're back in
- 1:22Speaker 1: it today. What's going on, my man?
- 1:24Speaker 3: Yeah, it wasn't the most exciting super Bowl, but still
- 1:27Speaker 3: think is a pretty big accomplishment when Patriots go from
- 1:30Speaker 3: being the worst team in the league last year to
- 1:31Speaker 3: get into the Super Bowl, so it's all really got
- 1:35Speaker 3: to say there, move on, got a lot of NBA
- 1:37Speaker 3: moving forward, big slate tomorrow, got the I think there's
- 1:40Speaker 3: a Millie slate tomorrow.
- 1:42Speaker 4: Obviously, golf is rolling.
- 1:44Speaker 3: Just had Tamba and Hoop Hop on a few hours
- 1:46Speaker 3: ago doing the PGA product stuff, and then we have
- 1:50Speaker 3: the Boots on the Ground show a little bit later today,
- 1:53Speaker 3: I think in an hour or two.
- 1:56Speaker 4: But yeah, not much else going on.
- 1:57Speaker 3: I'm excited to get through this last week of basketball,
- 2:01Speaker 3: get a little bit of a break in there, and
- 2:03Speaker 3: then be kind of a race of finish line. The
- 2:06Speaker 3: slates are going to be. The dynamic of the slates
- 2:08Speaker 3: will be changing in a lot.
- 2:10Speaker 4: Of ways when you know you got.
- 2:12Speaker 3: A third of the league is going to be tanking,
- 2:13Speaker 3: so there's gonna be a lot of weird lineup stuff happening.
- 2:16Speaker 3: I've already seen stuff happening with the Jazz, Pacers, Nets, Wizards.
- 2:20Speaker 3: All these guys are resting their players. But then the
- 2:24Speaker 3: playoff race be heating up as well, so we'll start
- 2:25Speaker 3: to see a little bit more condensed rotation as these
- 2:27Speaker 3: teams will be battling for playoff positions. I think it'll
- 2:30Speaker 3: be a good second half of the season, but definitely
- 2:33Speaker 3: excited about getting a little bit of.
- 2:35Speaker 4: A break in here in the next week or so.
- 2:37Speaker 1: Yeah, tomor night Slate is going to be a really
- 2:40Speaker 1: good one, and Thursday, I think there's a game or
- 2:42Speaker 1: two or three. Then yeah, Friday, I think, is we
- 2:45Speaker 1: don't have any NBA going into the All Star break?
- 2:49Speaker 1: Gang Green, what's going on? My man? Ricky's in here,
- 2:51Speaker 1: Avery's in here as well. Certainly appreciate you tune in pix.
- 2:54Speaker 1: Phoenix Rees is in here as well, but uh yeah,
- 2:58Speaker 1: let's we need we need five more wins I think
- 3:00Speaker 1: out of our jazz reo. I know you want them
- 3:02Speaker 1: to tank, but I need them to go like five
- 3:05Speaker 1: for twenty five the rest of the way to get
- 3:07Speaker 1: over what is it, nineteen and a half or twenty
- 3:09Speaker 1: and a half whatever their win total is for the season.
- 3:11Speaker 4: So hopefully it'll be talk.
- 3:14Speaker 3: The bottom third of the or the bottom eight teams
- 3:18Speaker 3: are all within a game or two of each other,
- 3:20Speaker 3: so I don't know what could happen, but they definitely
- 3:23Speaker 3: need to secure a bottom eight pick for sure, or
- 3:25Speaker 3: top eight pick.
- 3:27Speaker 1: Yeah, well, hopefully what's his face? Bryce sense of ball
- 3:31Speaker 1: keeps draining threes late in the fourth quarter to get
- 3:34Speaker 1: us a win, and new AND's just hurt my feelings.
- 3:36Speaker 1: New And said, hey, I saw ham was in there yesterday,
- 3:38Speaker 1: so I close the laptop taking shots out of in
- 3:40Speaker 1: it for my guy Newings. But hey, it's okay. We've
- 3:42Speaker 1: got Rio here today to carry me through these four games.
- 3:45Speaker 1: We're gonna break it all down for you. Hit that like,
- 3:48Speaker 1: hit that subscribe button and if you arnam Bret the nation,
- 3:50Speaker 1: head on over there now five days for nineteen dollars
- 3:53Speaker 1: that I'll get you all the NBA up to the
- 3:55Speaker 1: All Star break. As Rio mentioned, we got our golf
- 3:58Speaker 1: thing rocking and rolling right now, Bitter time to head
- 4:00Speaker 1: on over there. Let's get into the first game, though,
- 4:03Speaker 1: I got a pulled up. We got the Pacers know
- 4:05Speaker 1: Johnny Firfey towards ACL taking all these Knicks. Nicks will
- 4:08Speaker 1: be out without Mitchell Robinson tonight. So talking a little
- 4:11Speaker 1: bit about this game, pretty big spread. We know the
- 4:14Speaker 1: Pacers are tanking Rio, but the Pacers at the Knicks
- 4:19Speaker 1: in the garden.
- 4:21Speaker 3: Yeah, so both these teams play tomorrow the nets or sorry,
- 4:25Speaker 3: the Pacers played the Nets, so I feel like they
- 4:27Speaker 3: would probably play their guys tonight and then sit out
- 4:30Speaker 3: everybody tomorrow. That just make the most sense. Tomorrow's a
- 4:33Speaker 3: game you definitely want to lose, and then the Knicks
- 4:36Speaker 3: play Philly tomorrow, So I feel like if they could
- 4:40Speaker 3: give Og another day off, then probably make a little
- 4:42Speaker 3: bit of sense to do that tonight. But yeah, this
- 4:44Speaker 3: game has the most blow ut potential. Eleven and a
- 4:47Speaker 3: half point favorites are the Knicks, and they definitely should be.
- 4:50Speaker 3: I think this game is going to be largely non competitive.
- 4:54Speaker 3: Knicks are first in defense, fifth and offense, and first
- 4:56Speaker 3: and point differential over the last two weeks. Pacers are
- 4:59Speaker 3: twenty defense, twenty first and offense and actively trying to
- 5:02Speaker 3: lose games to hold on to their draft position. They
- 5:05Speaker 3: need to be bottom four, and I don't think that
- 5:07Speaker 3: there's gonna be any chance that they move up in
- 5:09Speaker 3: the standings.
- 5:10Speaker 4: I feel like they're going to just be a.
- 5:12Speaker 3: Team that's extremely frustrating and kind of giving a ton
- 5:15Speaker 3: of minutes to a lot of guys. So yeah, I
- 5:18Speaker 3: definitely think that you can attack the Spacers. Teams are
- 5:20Speaker 3: obviously really bad on defense. They are first in three
- 5:23Speaker 3: point defense, but bottom four and rim defense. They're also
- 5:26Speaker 3: bottom four pick and roll defense, So it sets up
- 5:28Speaker 3: pretty well for both Brunson and cat here. Both these
- 5:32Speaker 3: teams are kind of towards the bottom of the league
- 5:33Speaker 3: in transition defense. I think there's gonna be a good
- 5:35Speaker 3: bit of scoring, especially on the Knick side, and the
- 5:38Speaker 3: main weakness for the Knicks defense comes from their three
- 5:40Speaker 3: point defense, but their pick and roll defense definitely been
- 5:44Speaker 3: a little bit shoddy at times, especially with Og and
- 5:46Speaker 3: Mitch Robinson. Now I think that will definitely overall hurt
- 5:49Speaker 3: their defense. When both those guys miss. They go from
- 5:51Speaker 3: a one to nine defensive rating with those guys on
- 5:54Speaker 3: the court versus one fourteen with them off, So small,
- 5:57Speaker 3: small decrease in defensive rating. But yeah, on the Pacers side,
- 6:00Speaker 3: I just think there's no way that I can click
- 6:02Speaker 3: on either of Pascal Siakam or Andrew Nemhard at these
- 6:06Speaker 3: price tags. Like Siakam in eight point six K a
- 6:09Speaker 3: fully healthy team, not a great matchup, pretty easy fade
- 6:12Speaker 3: for me. I think Nemhard you can make the case
- 6:15Speaker 3: for him because we have seen him pay off this
- 6:16Speaker 3: price tag at times, and maybe they give him the
- 6:19Speaker 3: night off tomorrow for sure, not playing him over thirty
- 6:22Speaker 3: minutes against the nets. But maybe this would be a
- 6:24Speaker 3: game where he plays like thirty two thirty three if
- 6:26Speaker 3: it's close, and we have seen him pop off in
- 6:29Speaker 3: a few games recently, so I'd be more willing to
- 6:32Speaker 3: play him than Siakam, But I really don't want a
- 6:35Speaker 3: ton of either. I think the guys that you want
- 6:37Speaker 3: to focus on are Oh, okay, Lebron just get ruled out,
- 6:39Speaker 3: so got that news. I think the guys that you
- 6:42Speaker 3: want to be focusing in on on the Pacers is
- 6:45Speaker 3: the guys that will play regular rotation minutes and playing
- 6:50Speaker 3: the blowout last game versus Toronto. We saw who those
- 6:53Speaker 3: guys would be. It was Jay Huff, Jaris Walker, and
- 6:56Speaker 3: Ben Shephard, and then Michael Potter and Kim Jones were
- 6:59Speaker 3: also in the blow out line up. But Jay Huff
- 7:02Speaker 3: is a guy that's going to be starting and then
- 7:04Speaker 3: potentially playing in the blowoutside. Be the way that I'm
- 7:07Speaker 3: prioritizing these guys would be Jaris Walker first, he's starting
- 7:11Speaker 3: and playing a good amount of minutes and has an
- 7:13Speaker 3: okay price tag okay matchup at five point five K.
- 7:17Speaker 3: Then I would look to Jay Huff at five point
- 7:18Speaker 3: two K with the power forward center eligibility, and then
- 7:22Speaker 3: Michael Potter lasts. I feel like Potter is gonna be
- 7:24Speaker 3: the guy that everybody goes to in this game because
- 7:26Speaker 3: he's three point five K. But I really would not
- 7:30Speaker 3: want to get over the field on these guys at
- 7:32Speaker 3: all because I feel like this team just has a
- 7:34Speaker 3: lot of systemic risk and I just don't really have
- 7:37Speaker 3: a ton of interest in them, Especially now that we
- 7:39Speaker 3: got Lakers News. I feel like that's gonna be where
- 7:41Speaker 3: we look to for value now. So yeah, so we
- 7:44Speaker 3: have to wait to see what they do with all
- 7:46Speaker 3: these questional tags, the Thompson Jackson and Daleon Peter sorry
- 7:52Speaker 3: Taylor Peter questionable tags. We'll see what they do. If
- 7:54Speaker 3: those guys are ruled in, then it's just a lot
- 7:56Speaker 3: easier for me to get away from this game. I
- 7:58Speaker 3: definitely have a lot more interest on the Nick side here.
- 8:00Speaker 3: I really liked the matchup for both Brunson and Kat.
- 8:03Speaker 3: For Jalen Brunson, we have a pretty large sample over
- 8:05Speaker 3: the last couple of years. Nobody has defended Jalen Brunson
- 8:09Speaker 3: more than Andrew Namahar except for one guy. I think
- 8:12Speaker 3: Dyson Daniels has defended Brunson Moore. We have a pretty
- 8:15Speaker 3: large sample of how this head to head matchup looks like,
- 8:17Speaker 3: and not really that surprising that Brunson's done well against him.
- 8:20Speaker 3: He's averaging thirty point three points per seventy five possessions
- 8:24Speaker 3: and over the last three seasons has topped forty DK
- 8:26Speaker 3: points in all but one game against the Pacers. So
- 8:29Speaker 3: definitely have a good amount of interest in Brunson as
- 8:31Speaker 3: a spend up, and the same for Kat. With Mitchell
- 8:33Speaker 3: Robinson out, the minutes floor should.
- 8:35Speaker 4: Be a lot higher for him.
- 8:36Speaker 3: He also has double digit rebounds in seven straight games
- 8:38Speaker 3: and has a really good matchup. He crushed the Pacers
- 8:41Speaker 3: last year average fifty four DK points, somewhat waited to
- 8:45Speaker 3: one game. He put up seventy and a half against
- 8:47Speaker 3: the Pacers once last year, but all in all, it's
- 8:49Speaker 3: a really good matchup, really good price tag for Kat,
- 8:52Speaker 3: and then if Ogi were to miss, I kind of
- 8:55Speaker 3: think that would benefit Josey Elvarado the most. We saw
- 8:58Speaker 3: him make his debut last game, played twenty five minutes,
- 9:01Speaker 3: but did kind of play deeper in a blowout, but
- 9:03Speaker 3: he also played thirteen first half minutes. I think that
- 9:06Speaker 3: he would kind of fill in that role for OG
- 9:08Speaker 3: a little bit where they need some more on ball defense.
- 9:10Speaker 3: This will also be his first game playing at the
- 9:12Speaker 3: Garden End in Nick's uniforms. I feel like there's a
- 9:14Speaker 3: pretty big motivation factor as he is a guy that's
- 9:19Speaker 3: from New York, so I feel like this is a
- 9:20Speaker 3: pretty big night for him. It's a kind of a
- 9:22Speaker 3: good amount of interest in Josey Elvarado, and then I
- 9:25Speaker 3: think like Heart and McHale bridges are fine here. The
- 9:29Speaker 3: Pacers don't really have good rim or transition defense. That's
- 9:32Speaker 3: kind of a good spot for both of them. The
- 9:34Speaker 3: minutes have been really bad for Heart, but some of
- 9:36Speaker 3: that's a mixture of injury and blowout. Was on his
- 9:38Speaker 3: way to a pretty solid game versus Boston before resting
- 9:41Speaker 3: in the fourth quarter last game. So definitely think he
- 9:44Speaker 3: has a good amount of upside here. Some rules that
- 9:47Speaker 3: I'm looking to set it would be Max one of
- 9:49Speaker 3: Cat and Huckbarty. Also, Wardo did post in the discord
- 9:54Speaker 3: the Huck party is interesting at three K mid price
- 9:57Speaker 3: there center that should get a lot of minutes in
- 9:59Speaker 3: the blowout, and then I'm going to be a Max
- 10:01Speaker 3: two of the hard bridges of road O Shammitt and
- 10:05Speaker 3: Mohammed di Award grouping.
- 10:07Speaker 4: I think that would cover it all for this game.
- 10:10Speaker 1: Yeah, excellent breakdown there. I took some notes from you
- 10:13Speaker 1: on that, so that's some good stuff. Real quick. On
- 10:15Speaker 1: the Pacers, they just have to finish with one of
- 10:18Speaker 1: the four worst records that win. Those ping pong balls
- 10:21Speaker 1: do their thing. They got to be in the top
- 10:22Speaker 1: four or bottom portal, however you want to say it.
- 10:24Speaker 1: In those ping pong balls.
- 10:25Speaker 4: Yeah, they have to secure a top four pick.
- 10:28Speaker 1: Okay, yeah, all right, Well that's good to know. All right,
- 10:31Speaker 1: moving on to the next game. Just got some interesting news.
- 10:34Speaker 1: You said it with Lebron, but several others out as well.
- 10:37Speaker 1: With the Lakers. We'll get there. We'll talk about it
- 10:39Speaker 1: when we get there. But next up on the slate,
- 10:41Speaker 1: it's going to be the other LA team, the Clippers
- 10:44Speaker 1: going in to take on the Rockets. Rockets haven't been
- 10:47Speaker 1: playing the best basketball, but the Clippers are shorthanded. If
- 10:50Speaker 1: you will, Kawhi is gonna look nice tonight. Rockets should
- 10:53Speaker 1: look decent. You got a seven and a half point spread,
- 10:55Speaker 1: super low total rio of two hundred and thirteen and
- 10:58Speaker 1: a half. Talk to me about this. One LA Clippers
- 11:02Speaker 1: at the Houston Rockets.
- 11:03Speaker 3: Yeah, generally you'll just see a lot of low totals
- 11:06Speaker 3: in Houston games. They don't play with a lot of pace.
- 11:08Speaker 3: But yeah, you said it. They wore been kind of
- 11:10Speaker 3: struggling as of late. They come off of two really
- 11:12Speaker 3: bad losses against Boston at home and then to Charlotte,
- 11:17Speaker 3: and then they barely beat the shorthanded Thunder last game.
- 11:20Speaker 3: So they're just not looking too great right now. Still
- 11:23Speaker 3: been playing good defense though, top eight and defense over
- 11:25Speaker 3: the last two weeks, so that really hasn't been the issue.
- 11:27Speaker 3: It's been their offense though, twenty fifth in offense over
- 11:30Speaker 3: the last two weeks, and they just don't have a
- 11:33Speaker 3: lot of guys outside of KD really that can provide
- 11:36Speaker 3: offense for them. Very thin with guys that can actually
- 11:40Speaker 3: shoot the ball. They just the starting lineup just does
- 11:42Speaker 3: not have a good amount of three point shooters. Kind
- 11:44Speaker 3: of compare them to the Magic in some ways, where
- 11:46Speaker 3: they're just a very slow paced team. Good defense, but
- 11:49Speaker 3: just not a great offense. But yeah, the Clippers coming
- 11:52Speaker 3: off of back to back wins and they are two
- 11:55Speaker 3: to one post hard and trade. They have a one
- 11:59Speaker 3: hundred and eight point five offensive rating, which is the
- 12:02Speaker 3: third worst in the NBA since the hard and Trade,
- 12:05Speaker 3: but also have one hundred and twelve defensive rating, slightly
- 12:07Speaker 3: above their average.
- 12:11Speaker 4: You remove hard.
- 12:12Speaker 3: In Zubak off the court, the defensive rating is just
- 12:14Speaker 3: under one hundred and thirteen, but their offense at one
- 12:16Speaker 3: o eight point eight. So it's kind of perfectly in
- 12:18Speaker 3: line from what we've seen from them over the last
- 12:20Speaker 3: three games. But they will be introducing Benick Matherin and
- 12:24Speaker 3: Isaiah Jackson tonight. I don't really know if Isaiah Jackson
- 12:26Speaker 3: is going to play much, if at all, but Matheren
- 12:28Speaker 3: is a guy that they I feel like they have
- 12:31Speaker 3: a pretty solid view for him for the future, so
- 12:33Speaker 3: I feel like he could step into a decently big
- 12:35Speaker 3: role right off the bat. My guess is that he
- 12:38Speaker 3: comes off the bench because the second unit has been
- 12:40Speaker 3: really bad offensively when you take Kawhi off the court,
- 12:43Speaker 3: so I think it just makes the most sense to
- 12:44Speaker 3: get Benick Matheren out there. But yeah, if he's starting,
- 12:49Speaker 3: then there's like I actually think that regardless he's kind
- 12:52Speaker 3: of it's got a chance to play like thirty plus
- 12:54Speaker 3: minutes because they really need some more offense. Behind Kawhi
- 13:01Speaker 3: the Yeah, so what I'm looking at on the Clipper
- 13:03Speaker 3: side of things, I think it's going to be really
- 13:04Speaker 3: tough to get away from Kawhi Leonard here. I mean,
- 13:06Speaker 3: he's just put up some massive numbers with Hard and
- 13:09Speaker 3: Zubuk off the court.
- 13:10Speaker 4: The season.
- 13:10Speaker 3: We have about a two hundred and seventy two minute sample.
- 13:12Speaker 3: His usage jumps nearly ten points from up to forty
- 13:15Speaker 3: three and a half percent, has a thirty two and
- 13:17Speaker 3: a half percent assist percentage, thirteen percent rebounding rate, and
- 13:20Speaker 3: one point in eight fantasy points for a minute like
- 13:22Speaker 3: that's in line with Luca Wemby Jokic type of number.
- 13:26Speaker 3: Its a really really strong role for him over the
- 13:29Speaker 3: last three games forty two percent usage rate, fifty three
- 13:31Speaker 3: point three DK points per game, and has seen some
- 13:34Speaker 3: pretty tough matchups. He saw the Cavaliers put up forty
- 13:37Speaker 3: and just twenty seven minutes. Sacramento is an easy one.
- 13:41Speaker 3: Then Minnesota put up forty one real points sixty three
- 13:43Speaker 3: point five DK points. Obviously this is a tougher matchup,
- 13:47Speaker 3: but the role is really tough to overlook for Kawhi,
- 13:49Speaker 3: and now that we don't have Lebron or Austin Reeves
- 13:52Speaker 3: on the slate. I think that he's a pretty easy
- 13:54Speaker 3: spend up option tonight, so I definitely have a ton
- 13:56Speaker 3: of interest in Kawhi here after him, the falloff is
- 14:00Speaker 3: pretty big in terms of the guys that I have
- 14:02Speaker 3: interested on the Clipper side. Derek Jones Junes is getting getting,
- 14:06Speaker 3: Derek Jones Junior sorry is getting healthier. Benick Matheren making
- 14:09Speaker 3: his debut, likely playing a good amount of minutes, So
- 14:12Speaker 3: I think that these.
- 14:12Speaker 4: Secondary options are pretty unappealing. I'd probably be a max
- 14:16Speaker 4: two of anybody.
- 14:17Speaker 3: Not named Kawhi Leonard, and potentially even a max one,
- 14:19Speaker 3: but the guys that I want to take shots on
- 14:21Speaker 3: are Matheren and Dirk Jones Junior. And then I think
- 14:24Speaker 3: Niederhaeuser is a guy that you can consider. He has
- 14:27Speaker 3: shown pretty solid permanent upside at times. The rules that
- 14:31Speaker 3: upsetting to me max one of Lopez Neiederhaeuser, and then
- 14:34Speaker 3: Isaiah Jackson if you're considering him, which I don't really
- 14:36Speaker 3: think you should be tonight, and then a max one
- 14:39Speaker 3: of Kawhi Leonard and Kobe Sanders, and a max one
- 14:43Speaker 3: of Chris Dunn, Jordan Miller and Derk Jones Junior. I
- 14:47Speaker 3: think that pretty much covers it. You could probably just
- 14:49Speaker 3: be a max two of the Clippers overall if you
- 14:51Speaker 3: wanted to, because it's just a pretty low total and
- 14:54Speaker 3: not a ton of fantasy appeal from that side. On
- 14:57Speaker 3: the Houston side, we know that the starting five is
- 14:59Speaker 3: going to play a ton of minut so I feel
- 15:00Speaker 3: like those are the guys that you're looking to here.
- 15:02Speaker 3: It's gonna be a Max two of Houston for me,
- 15:05Speaker 3: and the guys that have the most interesting would be
- 15:07Speaker 3: Outprint Singun and nine point five k. I think it's
- 15:10Speaker 3: a tougher matchup just with the way that he plays,
- 15:12Speaker 3: where he's kind of a little bit slower and kind
- 15:15Speaker 3: of trying to get more physical with guys. Brook Lopez
- 15:18Speaker 3: is a huge body and he's really slow, but Sengun
- 15:21Speaker 3: is not the type of guy that can really blow
- 15:24Speaker 3: by brook Lopez. I feel like it's a worse spot
- 15:26Speaker 3: for him, but that being said, he has more ways
- 15:29Speaker 3: to score fantasy points than the guy like Kevin Durant
- 15:31Speaker 3: who's going to rely on a lot of scoring, and
- 15:33Speaker 3: we'll see a lot of Kawhi Leonard On defense, Kawhi
- 15:36Speaker 3: has been really good against Kadi in the head head
- 15:38Speaker 3: matchup over the last couple of seasons, So I don't
- 15:40Speaker 3: really like clicking on Kevin Durant's name in I k
- 15:42Speaker 3: would much rather try to find the money to get up.
- 15:44Speaker 4: To Singun here.
- 15:46Speaker 3: Of the non Katie and Sangun guys, don't really like it.
- 15:50Speaker 3: For Aman Thompson, thing he's going to see Chris done
- 15:52Speaker 3: tonight eight point five k not a great price sack
- 15:54Speaker 3: for him. Same thing for Jabari's very reliant on the
- 15:57Speaker 3: three point shot, but I like do like Tari here
- 16:00Speaker 3: was encouraging to see him get up to thirty four
- 16:02Speaker 3: minutes last game in his first game back. I think
- 16:04Speaker 3: it just had a one game injury absence, but put
- 16:07Speaker 3: up twenty six points of that game, so there should
- 16:08Speaker 3: be no minutes limitation for him moving forward. I think
- 16:11Speaker 3: it's sing Goun Atari is my one two option, then
- 16:14Speaker 3: it's KD, then Jabari, than I'm in, and then I'm
- 16:17Speaker 3: not really messing with any of the bench pieces here.
- 16:20Speaker 1: Hey question, are you okay with Kawhi and Benedict together?
- 16:28Speaker 4: Yeah, I think that's fine.
- 16:29Speaker 3: I think it's if you're playing those two guys, you're
- 16:31Speaker 3: probably playing no other Clippers though.
- 16:33Speaker 1: Yeah, yeah, good stuff there. Seeing if there's any questions
- 16:37Speaker 1: in the chat, I don't see any from this game on.
- 16:39Speaker 1: But that's excellent stuff right there. Excellent breakdown. If you
- 16:43Speaker 1: are just now joining us and you haven't done so already,
- 16:45Speaker 1: makes sure hitting that like makes you. Hitting that subscribe
- 16:48Speaker 1: button helps us out a ton over here. And this
- 16:50Speaker 1: game is gonna be a good one, I think from
- 16:52Speaker 1: a fantasy standpoint. Got the highest highest total on the day,
- 16:56Speaker 1: two hundred and twenty eight and a half points. Cooper
- 16:59Speaker 1: Flag turned into prom I don't know who's turning to
- 17:02Speaker 1: turn into somebody really good, but he's been playing good ball.
- 17:05Speaker 1: Devin Booker a lot of love for him in the chat.
- 17:07Speaker 1: No Grace and Allen tonight. But talk to me a
- 17:10Speaker 1: little bit about this game. Mavericks catching eight and a
- 17:12Speaker 1: half going into the desert to take on the Suns.
- 17:15Speaker 3: Yeah, Dallas, another team is going to be tanking, but
- 17:18Speaker 3: at least they are playing it a little bit closer.
- 17:20Speaker 3: When the game is close, you're going to see pretty
- 17:22Speaker 3: heavy minutes from the main guys. So I definitely agree
- 17:26Speaker 3: that this game probably has the most appeal from a
- 17:29Speaker 3: stacking standpoint. Chris Middleton is going to be making his
- 17:33Speaker 3: debut tonight. I think it's his first game. But we
- 17:35Speaker 3: did see Marvin Bagley play last game, and it sounds
- 17:39Speaker 3: like Klay Thompson's going to miss tonight. He was not
- 17:42Speaker 3: with the team yesterday. He's only listening questionable right now,
- 17:45Speaker 3: but from what I got from the Beat reporters, it
- 17:48Speaker 3: sounded like he's going to miss the tonight's game. And
- 17:51Speaker 3: then they also have doubtful techs and all the G
- 17:53Speaker 3: League guys, but doesn't really offen them out too much
- 17:55Speaker 3: because they do have Tyas Jones, Cale mar and aj Johnson.
- 17:58Speaker 3: All these guys will probably seees, especially if it's a blowout.
- 18:01Speaker 3: And then on the Sun side just Grayson Allen out
- 18:05Speaker 3: and then Cole Anthony not with the team just yet,
- 18:08Speaker 3: so I'm not sure if he's even gonna play for
- 18:10Speaker 3: them in all of this season. But yeah, Maps coming
- 18:13Speaker 3: off of a blowout semi blowout lost to San Antonio.
- 18:16Speaker 3: Otherwise they've been in some pretty competitive games. First tougher opponents,
- 18:19Speaker 3: Sons are one of the better defenses in the league.
- 18:21Speaker 3: They're twelfth in defense and ninth in offense over the
- 18:23Speaker 3: last two weeks, but a little bit higher on the
- 18:25Speaker 3: season long average, MAVs are twenty fifth and twenty fifth
- 18:29Speaker 3: on defense, twenty fourth in offense lately, so just not
- 18:32Speaker 3: playing great ball maps you lean a little bit more
- 18:34Speaker 3: of a brim funnel. Also lacks some mom ball defenders.
- 18:37Speaker 3: They're bottom half of the league and pick and roll defense,
- 18:39Speaker 3: so pretty decent spot for the guards. The Suns are
- 18:42Speaker 3: a little bit more vulnerable with three point shooting, but
- 18:45Speaker 3: they're also bottom five rebounding team, so it's an okay
- 18:47Speaker 3: spot for the Bigs. On the Dallas side, yeah, it's
- 18:52Speaker 3: pretty gross for Dallas. I think that Cooper Flag is
- 18:54Speaker 3: obviously the guy you want to look to at eight
- 18:56Speaker 3: point seven K. He's just had a massive role over
- 18:58Speaker 3: the last five games, increases across the boards to his usage,
- 19:02Speaker 3: touch time, potential, assist and scoring. Should keep that going
- 19:05Speaker 3: into the All Star break. Gonna see a lot of
- 19:07Speaker 3: Dylan Brooks tonight, but he was okay against him earlier
- 19:09Speaker 3: this season. Went for forty two DK points in just
- 19:12Speaker 3: thirty four minutes, and if it's a close game, we've
- 19:15Speaker 3: seen him get up to like thirty eight minutes, which
- 19:16Speaker 3: would make him a pretty solid spend up option. Marvin
- 19:20Speaker 3: Bagley played sixteen first half minutes last game, but mainly
- 19:23Speaker 3: due to Daniel Gafford picking up three fouls in the
- 19:25Speaker 3: first half. I think if you're playing him, you're obviously
- 19:28Speaker 3: a max one of Gaffin and Bagley, but I do
- 19:30Speaker 3: prefer Gafford here. He's shown a pretty solid permitted upside.
- 19:34Speaker 3: When you take off Anthony Davis and all these other
- 19:36Speaker 3: guys off the courts, he looks okay. And then we
- 19:39Speaker 3: have seen some of these other guys spike for decently
- 19:41Speaker 3: big games, like Naugie Marshall at times Max Christie, but
- 19:46Speaker 3: just don't really know what the roles are going to
- 19:47Speaker 3: look like for these guys when Middleton is playing for them.
- 19:51Speaker 3: So I'm really kind of focusing in on Cooper Flag
- 19:53Speaker 3: and then a little bit of interest in Gafford, a
- 19:55Speaker 3: little bit of interest in Nause and Max Christie, and
- 19:58Speaker 3: that's pretty much it. On the Phoenix side, Devin Booker
- 20:02Speaker 3: getting a lot of ownership. I think for a good reason.
- 20:03Speaker 3: He's only eight point one k, should be fully healthy.
- 20:06Speaker 3: Dallas definitely lacking on ball defenders that can slow him
- 20:09Speaker 3: down to get him the second most Fantasy points opposing
- 20:11Speaker 3: point guards. He's kind of splitting point guard shooting guard
- 20:15Speaker 3: duties with Colin Gillespie, but I just think that he's
- 20:17Speaker 3: way too cheap for this matchup here, and then if
- 20:20Speaker 3: we do get the snare with the game does stays close.
- 20:22Speaker 3: I think in mini sac with Booker and Cooper, Flag
- 20:25Speaker 3: is one that I could see scoring pretty well, So
- 20:27Speaker 3: I like those two guys correlated together. After that, the
- 20:30Speaker 3: prices on Gillespie and Jalen Green, and even Mark Williams
- 20:34Speaker 3: is not super peeling at six K, but at least
- 20:37Speaker 3: we know when he plays thirty minutes he can put
- 20:40Speaker 3: up some really big games. And Daniel Gaffort is a
- 20:42Speaker 3: guy that we do like to attack. So I think
- 20:44Speaker 3: Mark Williams is fine, but going to be splitting minutes
- 20:46Speaker 3: with Osu Gadaro, So it.
- 20:47Speaker 4: Would be Max one of those two guys.
- 20:51Speaker 3: And I really have nothing else to say on like
- 20:52Speaker 3: the Royce O'Neil, Jordan Goodwin, Gillespie Brooks side. I think
- 20:56Speaker 3: that Brooks is fine just because he's shown really strong
- 21:00Speaker 3: regardless of Devin Booker being in or out, He's going
- 21:02Speaker 3: to get his shots up, but he will be guarding
- 21:04Speaker 3: Cooper Flag tonight, and Flag's been pretty aggressive at drawing
- 21:08Speaker 3: fouls over the last five games, averaging six point two
- 21:11Speaker 3: free throw attempts per game, So he'll have to say
- 21:13Speaker 3: out of foul trouble. But he's done a really good
- 21:15Speaker 3: job of not foiling a ton of season. So I
- 21:17Speaker 3: feel like he's probably the second or third best option,
- 21:20Speaker 3: him and Mark Williams, and then that would be a
- 21:22Speaker 3: max two of Royce Goodwin and cong Gillespie max one
- 21:26Speaker 3: of OsO and Williams. And I think that Booker and
- 21:30Speaker 3: Brooks are pretty much fun with any pairing on the
- 21:32Speaker 3: Sun tonight.
- 21:34Speaker 1: You might have mentioned it, but do you are there
- 21:36Speaker 1: any concerns with them limiting flags minutes? I mean, he
- 21:39Speaker 1: played the think twenty something last game, but before that
- 21:42Speaker 1: he'd played like thirty four plus like in five straight.
- 21:46Speaker 4: Yeah, it was just mainly Yeah, it was mainly a blowout.
- 21:49Speaker 3: It was the score boxcour looks a lot closer than
- 21:52Speaker 3: it actually was. I can double check and see what
- 21:55Speaker 3: it was when they actually subed him out. But yeah,
- 21:57Speaker 3: it was the only lost by thirteen. He didn't play
- 21:59Speaker 3: in the last let me see, he didn't play in
- 22:05Speaker 3: the last like fifteen minutes of the game.
- 22:08Speaker 1: Oh wow, yeah, okay, yeah, hopefully they can keep it close.
- 22:13Speaker 1: And I like that what you said about Booker and
- 22:15Speaker 1: peering in We fly good stuff. There one game left
- 22:18Speaker 1: to talk about. It's got a lot of uh fantasy
- 22:21Speaker 1: appeal tonight because of the people that won't be there.
- 22:23Speaker 1: You're looking at the stone right now. This is over
- 22:26Speaker 1: on the site at shipenation dot com. But on the
- 22:28Speaker 1: right hand side you see Marcus Smart. He's not gonna
- 22:31Speaker 1: be playing Lebron James. He's not gonna be playing. We
- 22:34Speaker 1: already talked about Luca being out. I don't even see
- 22:37Speaker 1: him on here, but we already have Austin Reeves out
- 22:40Speaker 1: as well. DeAndre Ayton is listed. That's questionable. So Rio,
- 22:44Speaker 1: I'm gonna let you break down this Lakers side and
- 22:46Speaker 1: then on the flip side, which is gonna be the Spurs.
- 22:48Speaker 1: They are gonna be heavy favorites in this game. No
- 22:51Speaker 1: major injury concerns on their side. Uh Winby's only nine
- 22:56Speaker 1: to seven, which to me is is pretty inexpensive. But
- 22:58Speaker 1: talk to me a little bit about this game, Spurs
- 23:01Speaker 1: against the depleted Los Angeles Lakers.
- 23:04Speaker 3: I feel like it's probably better to start with the
- 23:06Speaker 3: Spurs side, just because kind of flying a little blind
- 23:10Speaker 3: with the Lakers stuff, but yeah, it should be a
- 23:12Speaker 3: really good spot for Stefan Castle and Wemby. I think
- 23:15Speaker 3: Wenby is going to be a guy that you get
- 23:17Speaker 3: to a ton of now with all the value that
- 23:19Speaker 3: opened up on the Lakers side, and I liked him regardless.
- 23:23Speaker 3: But if you take out DeAndre Aiden, they probably get
- 23:26Speaker 3: a little bit better, I would say defensively, because Aiden
- 23:29Speaker 3: hasn't been a great defender this season.
- 23:31Speaker 4: Lakers have been very vulnerable with the three. They're kind
- 23:34Speaker 4: of a.
- 23:34Speaker 3: Team that teams will shoot more threes against them, but
- 23:37Speaker 3: the room defense has been really bad this season. There's
- 23:41Speaker 3: sixteenth in defensive rim frequency but bottom four in effective
- 23:44Speaker 3: field goal percentage, so basically middle of the pack and
- 23:47Speaker 3: teams score looking to get shots about the rim, but
- 23:49Speaker 3: they're just not able to defend them when they do
- 23:52Speaker 3: get there. Wemby's been off for three days, so expect
- 23:54Speaker 3: them to be pretty full tonight, but we'll see what
- 23:57Speaker 3: that looks like with this game now likely blowing out. Yeah,
- 24:01Speaker 3: I feel like he's a really strong option at nine
- 24:03Speaker 3: point seven K. Price keeps coming down, but the production
- 24:06Speaker 3: has definitely been there in close ish games and we
- 24:08Speaker 3: just saw Sefon Castle have the best game of his
- 24:11Speaker 3: career forty point triple double in just thirty two minutes
- 24:13Speaker 3: against the Mavericks. Over the last two games, he has
- 24:16Speaker 3: seen an increased role as involvement percentage jump from forty
- 24:19Speaker 3: two and a half to fifty four percent so on
- 24:21Speaker 3: ball a lot more, averaging sixteen potential assists per game,
- 24:24Speaker 3: eighty percent true shooting over that span, and he's averaging
- 24:27Speaker 3: just under forty one DK points per game against the
- 24:29Speaker 3: Lakers this season. I feel like he's a pretty solid option,
- 24:32Speaker 3: and then Fox is kind of the odd man out
- 24:34Speaker 3: when when being Castle are healthy. I would much rather
- 24:38Speaker 3: spend down for Dylan Harper than up for Darren Fox,
- 24:42Speaker 3: because you're getting a little bit better points for upside
- 24:46Speaker 3: on a guy like Dylan Harper. He's averaging fourteen point
- 24:49Speaker 3: two points per game, seven point three potential assists per
- 24:51Speaker 3: game overs last five, and just under twenty eight d
- 24:53Speaker 3: K points per game. So definitely guy people are going
- 24:56Speaker 3: to look too for value, But I think for good reason.
- 25:00Speaker 1: That's pretty much.
- 25:00Speaker 4: I think it's just those four guys are really considering.
- 25:03Speaker 3: On the Spurs side, I think I'm gonna be a
- 25:04Speaker 3: max two of Wemby Castle Fox and then a max
- 25:08Speaker 3: two of Castle Fox and Dylan Harper, And that would
- 25:11Speaker 3: probably say if I'm playing both Wembing Castle, then I
- 25:14Speaker 3: don't really want more than one other Spurs player. I
- 25:19Speaker 3: just don't really think that you need to get to
- 25:21Speaker 3: like the Vassell and Champagnee and maybe Keldon Johnson he's
- 25:23Speaker 3: been playing pretty well lately. But there's gonna be better
- 25:25Speaker 3: value opening up on the Lakers side of things now
- 25:28Speaker 3: that Lebron Reeves and Luke are out. I think the
- 25:31Speaker 3: sample size is gonna be really small for the Lakers,
- 25:34Speaker 3: so it's kind of just depending on who starts. I
- 25:38Speaker 3: feel the best about the roles for La Ravia and
- 25:41Speaker 3: Ruie I kind of already did regardless of Reeves being
- 25:45Speaker 3: in er out. Those two guys are gonna see a
- 25:47Speaker 3: really big bump in their offensive roles. I think rue
- 25:50Speaker 3: is probably the number one option on offense now, and
- 25:52Speaker 3: then La Rabia probably gonna play that Lebron role where
- 25:55Speaker 3: he's more of like the point forward. So I think
- 25:58Speaker 3: those are the two guys that are probably sticking. I
- 26:00Speaker 3: was the best value plays in the slight to me
- 26:01Speaker 3: at four point six and four point four K both
- 26:04Speaker 3: have dual eligibility as well, so they fit pretty much
- 26:07Speaker 3: any any build. If Ayton is out, then we're probably
- 26:12Speaker 3: getting Jackson Hayes starting, and then I would imagine Luke
- 26:15Speaker 3: Carnard filling in or mexically be filling in behind them
- 26:18Speaker 3: or behind behind Jackson Hayes.
- 26:22Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know.
- 26:23Speaker 3: Hayes is a guy that's kind of reliant on having
- 26:26Speaker 3: a good point guard alongside him, like a Luca or
- 26:29Speaker 3: a Lebron that can throw him lob so I don't
- 26:31Speaker 3: really know how he's going to fit in with like
- 26:33Speaker 3: the Smart, La Ravia.
- 26:34Speaker 4: And Rui grouping.
- 26:35Speaker 3: I feel like it could be a better spot for
- 26:37Speaker 3: the vanderbiltz Er Mexical Libro where they can be a
- 26:39Speaker 3: little bit more of like a floor spacing guy. And
- 26:43Speaker 3: then Canard he might just sought into the starting point
- 26:46Speaker 3: guard role, probably him and Marcus Smart as the two guards.
- 26:48Speaker 3: Actually Mark Smart is out already, uh so, Yeah, Carnard
- 26:51Speaker 3: is definitely gonna start, but there's a chance that it's
- 26:53Speaker 3: Nick Smith Junior.
- 26:56Speaker 4: Yeah, I don't know.
- 26:57Speaker 3: I'm just gonna have to honestly wait to see what
- 26:59Speaker 3: minutes for ject looks like for these guys. I would
- 27:01Speaker 3: have a ton of interest in Nick Smith Junior because
- 27:03Speaker 3: we've seen him in the past be a guy that
- 27:05Speaker 3: can put up really solid numbers in limited time. And
- 27:09Speaker 3: he's probably playing in the blowout as well if he
- 27:12Speaker 3: starts like at three K. I don't see how you
- 27:14Speaker 3: don't play a lot of Nick Smith Junior personally.
- 27:21Speaker 1: Yeah, sorry, it's coming off with you. Yeah, I mean
- 27:22Speaker 1: an excellent breakdown there. I think you broke it down
- 27:25Speaker 1: to a t. I mean what else we broke through,
- 27:29Speaker 1: you know, broke down all four of those games. Anything
- 27:34Speaker 1: else you want to add before we get out of here?
- 27:39Speaker 3: No, I mean it's yeah, it's kind of tough to
- 27:42Speaker 3: really dig deep into the Lakers stuff because we just
- 27:44Speaker 3: don't really have much of a sample size. Just wanted
- 27:47Speaker 3: to look at some of the numbers real quick. If
- 27:49Speaker 3: you wanted to stall for a second while I can
- 27:52Speaker 3: pull this stuff up.
- 27:54Speaker 1: Yeah, we certainly can do that. I appreciate everyone tune
- 27:58Speaker 1: and in today four games, uh, two nights before the
- 28:01Speaker 1: uh before the All Star break. Hey, tomorrow night's going
- 28:04Speaker 1: to be a big, big show. You got my guy rio?
- 28:08Speaker 1: Uh No, real won't be on the be title and
- 28:10Speaker 1: Matt talking through the million dollars up top, so make
- 28:13Speaker 1: sure you're tune it in tomorrow. We'll be back at
- 28:15Speaker 1: four pm Eastern for Rio. One last thing before we
- 28:18Speaker 1: get out of here. What do you got for the people?
- 28:24Speaker 3: Sorry one second, I'm still pulling this stuff up. I
- 28:26Speaker 3: actually will be on the show tomorrow. It's me and
- 28:29Speaker 3: me and Matt tomorrow.
- 28:30Speaker 1: You and Matt tomorrow. Yeah. Uh, what's for dinner tonight?
- 28:34Speaker 1: I don't know any any good recommendations in in the
- 28:36Speaker 1: Orlando where if anybody lives in Orlando.
- 28:38Speaker 4: Gave up your location? You said close location.
- 28:41Speaker 1: Undisclosed location in Orlando. So that's why I'm in. I'm
- 28:46Speaker 1: in Sony, Orlando. Man, it's nice here. You can't beat it.
- 28:48Speaker 1: Sunshines out. I'm in long sleeves right now. But uh,
- 28:52Speaker 1: and then my boy where my boy Ricky Rose said?
- 28:55Speaker 1: He said, stop caving. Rio said, I heard you say
- 28:59Speaker 1: some other Nick Smith at the end. If he started
- 29:01Speaker 1: used to definitely play him. So, man, we're playing Nick
- 29:04Speaker 1: Smith in DFS in February. You know, it's a great
- 29:07Speaker 1: time to be alive when the former Charlott Hornet great
- 29:10Speaker 1: Nick Smith is getting getting some Yeah.
- 29:14Speaker 3: I mean it's there's like the largest minute sample that
- 29:17Speaker 3: we have from these Lakers guys. It's like Dalton to
- 29:19Speaker 3: Connect becomes a really strong option if he does see actual.
- 29:22Speaker 1: Minutes connect him.
- 29:25Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean they'll probably have to play him like
- 29:28Speaker 3: twenty minutes. I would think none of these projections have
- 29:32Speaker 3: been updated for anything yet, Like even Saber hasn't gotten
- 29:35Speaker 3: there yet. But I'm seeing we have like around sixteen
- 29:38Speaker 3: minutes for him, sixteen for Smith. I feel like those
- 29:40Speaker 3: numbers are fairly low. Maybe they want to see more
- 29:42Speaker 3: of like the G league guys. This Adu tierro guy
- 29:45Speaker 3: probably get in there.
- 29:48Speaker 1: Dalton Connect should be a G League guy, so maybe
- 29:50Speaker 1: maybe we'll give him some love.
- 29:52Speaker 3: It might be a Bronnie James. I mean he played
- 29:55Speaker 3: these guys off the court save a.
- 29:58Speaker 1: Couple of times last year though, I mean Connect did
- 30:01Speaker 1: go for like I don't remember forty, you know, DraftKings points.
- 30:04Speaker 4: I feel like in a couple of games I haven't
- 30:08Speaker 4: really sick.
- 30:09Speaker 1: I know last year, this was last year, not this year.
- 30:13Speaker 3: Well, that was probably against my Jazz. I remember he
- 30:16Speaker 3: had like a fifty pointer against us. Yeah, he hasn't
- 30:18Speaker 3: played more than nineteen minutes in a game of this season,
- 30:21Speaker 3: so I don't really know.
- 30:22Speaker 1: He strugged, he can't play, can't play defense. JJ is
- 30:26Speaker 1: trying to keep him down. He don't want him to succeed.
- 30:28Speaker 1: I guess, yeah, I guess. Not anything else before we
- 30:32Speaker 1: get on out of here, But yeah, I can't wait
- 30:34Speaker 1: to tune in tomorrow. You guys, they'll be rocking and
- 30:36Speaker 1: rolling on that show. I'll be tuning in for sure.
- 30:38Speaker 1: But if you don't have anything else, make sure you
- 30:40Speaker 1: hit us up in the discord. Have cours out tonight
- 30:43Speaker 1: here in the next hour, so slate playing will be
- 30:45Speaker 1: locked and loaded here in the next hour. So I
- 30:47Speaker 1: appreciate you tuning in. Rio always great chatting ball with you,
- 30:51Speaker 1: and we'll catch you next time. Good luck tonight in
- 30:53Speaker 1: your contest. Let's ship It.
- 31:11Speaker 2: Has bass and still, Mother has master hand still and
- 31:27Speaker 2: then still and unst and man still, Mother and unst
- 31:43Speaker 2: and mons still, Mother and buns still, mast and still
- 31:59Speaker 2: and games spotty t