Latest / Pod Save America / Kamala Harris's Path to 270
Transcript
- 0:20Speaker 1: Welcome to Pod Save America. I'm Jon Favreau.
- 0:21Speaker 2: I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 0:22Speaker 1: Good to be back from Chicago, but I really miss
- 0:25Speaker 1: not sleeping and... eating like shit.
- 0:28Speaker 2: What about you? It's weird to not be doing this
- 0:31Speaker 2: in eyeshot of a Michael Jordan statue or 15,000 of
- 0:35Speaker 2: our closest friends.
- 0:36Speaker 1: Yeah, that was a lot.
- 0:37Speaker 2: Super loud noise all the time behind us and no headphones.
- 0:39Speaker 1: Great week though.
- 0:40Speaker 2: Very fun.
- 0:41Speaker 1: Also, fantastic city.
- 0:44Speaker 2: Chicago, it was like what, 72, 75 every single day. Perfect.
- 0:48Speaker 2: I maybe want to move there again.
- 0:49Speaker 1: And we barely got to enjoy it.
- 0:51Speaker 2: I walked by the lake one time for about an hour.
- 0:54Speaker 2: Did you get out? Smart.
- 0:55Speaker 1: No, not at all. Sorry about that. I like two
- 0:58Speaker 1: blocks from the hotel, maybe. All right. On today's show,
- 1:01Speaker 1: the Trump campaign says Trump is serious about ramping up
- 1:04Speaker 1: his schedule and staying on message as we head into
- 1:06Speaker 1: the fall. And they really mean it this time. Kamala
- 1:10Speaker 1: Harris and Tim Walz get ready for a swing through
- 1:11Speaker 1: southern Georgia in their first big interview. Then you'll hear
- 1:15Speaker 1: Harris campaign's battleground state's director, our friend Dan Cannon, talk
- 1:19Speaker 1: to Pfeiffer and me about the campaign's path to 270.
- 1:23Speaker 1: and what they're doing on the ground to get there.
- 1:26Speaker 1: But first, now that both conventions are over, one of
- 1:29Speaker 1: the last, and potentially the last, big event between now
- 1:32Speaker 1: and Election Day is the September 10th presidential debate on
- 1:36Speaker 1: ABC News. But even that might not be a sure thing.
- 1:40Speaker 1: On Sunday night, Trump posted a rant about ABC News
- 1:43Speaker 1: on Truth Social, saying, quote, I ask, why would I
- 1:46Speaker 1: do the debate against Kamala Harris on that network? Ostensibly because...
- 1:51Speaker 1: Sunday's This Week roundtable triggered him in some way?
- 1:55Speaker 2: He also doesn't like George Slopidopoulos. Slopidopoulos. That could be
- 1:59Speaker 2: a thing.
- 1:59Speaker 1: He had complaints about Slopidopoulos, John Carl, Donna Brazile. Huh.
- 2:05Speaker 1: He was pretty angry.
- 2:05Speaker 2: It's been the same cast of characters on ABC for
- 2:07Speaker 2: a while. You probably should have seen this one coming.
- 2:10Speaker 1: So Playbook had more reporting on Monday morning that there's
- 2:12Speaker 1: actually a substantive disagreement between the campaigns about whether the
- 2:17Speaker 1: rule should be the same as the Biden-Trump debate. The
- 2:20Speaker 1: Trump campaign wants the mics muted again when the other
- 2:23Speaker 1: candidate is speaking. But this time, the Harris campaign wants
- 2:27Speaker 1: the mics on the whole time.
- 2:29Speaker 2: Got it.
- 2:30Speaker 1: Here's Trump when he was asked about it in an
- 2:32Speaker 1: event on Monday.
- 2:33Speaker 2: Would you want the.
- 2:34Speaker 1: Microphones muted in the debate whenever you're not speaking?
- 2:37Speaker 3: We agreed to the same rules. I don't know. It
- 2:39Speaker 3: doesn't matter to me.
- 2:40Speaker 4: I'd rather have it probably on.
- 2:41Speaker 3: But the agreement was that it would be the same
- 2:45Speaker 3: as it was last time. In that case, it was muted.
- 2:49Speaker 3: Didn't like it the last time, but it worked out fine.
- 2:52Speaker 3: Ask Biden how it worked out.
- 2:54Speaker 5: It was fine.
- 2:55Speaker 3: And I think it should be the same. We agreed
- 2:57Speaker 3: to the same rules. Same rules and same specifications. And
- 3:02Speaker 3: I think that's probably what it should be. But they're
- 3:05Speaker 3: trying to change it. The truth is they're trying to
- 3:07Speaker 3: get out of it because she doesn't want to debate.
- 3:09Speaker 3: She's not a good debater. She's not a smart person.
- 3:12Speaker 3: She doesn't want to debate.
- 3:14Speaker 1: On message.
- 3:15Speaker 2: I love there's like a takeout order coming in as
- 3:16Speaker 2: he's doing a press conference. So perfect.
- 3:19Speaker 1: I also like that he had like campaigns, messages, same rules.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 3:24Speaker 1: We agreed to the same rules, got to be the
- 3:26Speaker 1: same rules. And then he just can't help but just
- 3:27Speaker 1: do his own thing, which is, oh, I don't care
- 3:29Speaker 1: either way. Put them on. Maybe I think I'd rather
- 3:31Speaker 1: have them on, but they were off last time.
- 3:33Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 3:33Speaker 2: Also, we demand the Biden debate.
- 3:35Speaker 1: So after that, Brian Fallon from the Harris campaign tweeted basically, great,
- 3:39Speaker 1: we're agreed.
- 3:40Speaker 2: I like that.
- 3:40Speaker 1: Why do you think the Harris folks want Trump's mic on?
- 3:44Speaker 2: While Kamala is speaking because of what we just heard,
- 3:46Speaker 2: he's an angry, undisciplined jerk and swing voters dislike that
- 3:50Speaker 2: about him. When the Trump, the Twitter feed shows up,
- 3:52Speaker 2: I think Kamala Harris does well. And also I think
- 3:56Speaker 2: they probably know that Donald Trump is going to get
- 3:58Speaker 2: very triggered by criticism from Kamala Harris. Historically speaking, he's
- 4:03Speaker 2: especially thin skinned when criticized by a woman or a
- 4:05Speaker 2: person of color. And they want everyone to experience that
- 4:09Speaker 2: reaction in real time.
- 4:10Speaker 1: You don't think a lot of voters will find a
- 4:12Speaker 1: crazy old man interrupting Kamala Harris every five seconds attractive?
- 4:16Speaker 2: No, I don't. I think it'll be incredibly off-putting and
- 4:20Speaker 2: people could hate him.
- 4:21Speaker 1: It's interesting because I think you were one of the
- 4:24Speaker 1: first people... before the last debate, when they talked about
- 4:29Speaker 1: the mics muted, and I remember you saying like, you know,
- 4:32Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a great idea for Biden
- 4:35Speaker 1: to ask for the mics to be muted because Trump
- 4:37Speaker 1: will be interrupting him, but we won't get to hear
- 4:39Speaker 1: Trump saying all this crazy shit.
- 4:41Speaker 6: Right.
- 4:41Speaker 2: That was my concern. He started barking at him from
- 4:43Speaker 2: 12 feet away, but the mics don't pick it up. Yeah.
- 4:45Speaker 1: And I think like in one of his post-debate interviews,
- 4:48Speaker 1: Biden actually said that part of his problem was Trump
- 4:51Speaker 1: continuing to like yell at him and him not being
- 4:54Speaker 1: able to But yeah, no, I think it's a pretty...
- 4:56Speaker 1: I totally get why the Harris campaign wants the mics on.
- 5:01Speaker 1: It feels like the Trump campaign seemingly doesn't want that
- 5:04Speaker 1: for the same reason.
- 5:05Speaker 2: Yeah, I think that's right. I mean, we keep reading
- 5:07Speaker 2: these background quotes and stories from frustrated Trump aides who
- 5:11Speaker 2: want him to be... talk about policy, stay on the prompter,
- 5:14Speaker 2: just generally be disciplined and not be himself. And then
- 5:18Speaker 2: the best part is that Trump then complains about these
- 5:20Speaker 2: conversations with his aides at rallies. You and I were watching...
- 5:24Speaker 2: one of these in the bus the other day, right? Remember,
- 5:27Speaker 2: he did an audience poll about whether he should get
- 5:29Speaker 2: personal with his attacks. And then when they said yes,
- 5:32Speaker 2: he said he was going to fire whoever told him
- 5:33Speaker 2: not to do that. It was great.
- 5:35Speaker 1: I mean, I thought it was smart of the Harris
- 5:39Speaker 1: campaign to basically, this debate had been happening behind the
- 5:42Speaker 1: scenes and they basically made it public. They told Playbook
- 5:45Speaker 1: on the record that they think that the Trump campaign
- 5:49Speaker 1: didn't believe they could keep their candidate under control for
- 5:51Speaker 1: 90 minutes, but they suspect that Trump believes otherwise. And
- 5:55Speaker 1: sure enough, they drove a wedge between Trump and his campaign.
- 5:58Speaker 2: That's right. I mean, they know that any kind of
- 6:00Speaker 2: story like this about Trump being handled by a staff
- 6:03Speaker 2: is going to make him mad. And it's going to
- 6:05Speaker 2: lead him to want to overrule them publicly, which gets
- 6:07Speaker 2: Kamala Harris what she wants. It's also, you know, there's
- 6:10Speaker 2: been a lot of reporting, I think, correct reporting about
- 6:12Speaker 2: how the Trump campaign until recently was a lot smarter
- 6:15Speaker 2: and more disciplined. And we're also seeing them slowly bring
- 6:18Speaker 2: back the old names like the Corey Lewandowski's of the
- 6:21Speaker 2: world who are not disciplined, who are disruptive and chaotic.
- 6:24Speaker 2: And so if Kamala's spokespeople can like roll a grenade
- 6:28Speaker 2: into Trump HQ with these background staffs, make him pick
- 6:31Speaker 2: a fight with his own aides, that is a huge bonus.
- 6:33Speaker 1: And by the way, now he has, you know, they
- 6:35Speaker 1: can go back and do negotiations and being like, your
- 6:37Speaker 1: candidate just said publicly, he doesn't mind if the mics
- 6:40Speaker 1: are not muted. If for some reason, they can't agree
- 6:44Speaker 1: on this and they say same rules, let's just do that,
- 6:47Speaker 1: that's easier. I don't think it's like the worst thing
- 6:48Speaker 1: in the world for Kamala Harris, but I do think
- 6:50Speaker 1: it's much better if the mics are on.
- 6:52Speaker 2: Yeah, I think the mics on would be better, but
- 6:53Speaker 2: also everyone's just kind of like feeding the daily press
- 6:56Speaker 2: cycle beast here. Yeah.
- 6:58Speaker 1: I mean, do you have any doubts that we'll still
- 7:00Speaker 1: have a debate?
- 7:01Speaker 2: I mean, tell me if you disagree because I feel
- 7:03Speaker 2: too confident in this, but I think this debate happens
- 7:06Speaker 2: because at the moment, I could make the case that
- 7:09Speaker 2: it's in the best interest of both sides. Trump is
- 7:12Speaker 2: seething at Kamala Harris's good press. He wants to destroy her.
- 7:16Speaker 2: He says publicly that he hates her. He says publicly
- 7:18Speaker 2: that he thinks she's dumb. That's going to lead to overconfidence.
- 7:21Speaker 2: So he's going to want to debate. Kamala Harris and
- 7:23Speaker 2: her team, they know she's good at this, that she'll
- 7:25Speaker 2: put the time in, that she's disciplined. And also though
- 7:28Speaker 2: that most voters don't know her. So this is an
- 7:31Speaker 2: important opportunity. I also think The stakes, the downside risk
- 7:35Speaker 2: of being seen as ducking a debate when maybe it's
- 7:38Speaker 2: the only one is pretty high.
- 7:40Speaker 1: Yeah, I think I agree with all of that. I
- 7:42Speaker 1: think that it is in both of their best interest
- 7:44Speaker 1: to want the debate. The reason I'm not 100% certain
- 7:47Speaker 1: is because I don't think either of them absolutely needs
- 7:51Speaker 1: the debate at this point to win because the race
- 7:54Speaker 1: is basically tied. So you could see it falling apart
- 7:57Speaker 1: because like, you know, tied race, maybe Trump's up in
- 8:01Speaker 1: a couple battlegrounds. Maybe she's up in a couple battlegrounds.
- 8:03Speaker 1: If somehow this whole thing falls apart, you know, you
- 8:06Speaker 1: could see both of them thinking, all right, I'll just
- 8:08Speaker 1: grind it out, doing my rallies and interviews on my
- 8:11Speaker 1: own until November. But you're right for the reasons you said.
- 8:15Speaker 1: For both of them, I think they'd rather have the
- 8:17Speaker 1: debate each campaign.
- 8:18Speaker 2: Yeah, it'll be a lot of eyeballs. Yes. A huge opportunity.
- 8:20Speaker 1: And he wants to, you know, he wants to use
- 8:22Speaker 1: the debate to just plant more doubts with voters about her.
- 8:25Speaker 1: And she wants to reassure people who might not know
- 8:27Speaker 1: enough about her. So regardless of what happens with the debate,
- 8:30Speaker 1: the Trump campaign is telling reporters they're launching a new
- 8:32Speaker 1: strategy for the fall. More events and surprisingly smaller non-rally
- 8:36Speaker 1: events where Trump will allegedly drive a more focused message.
- 8:40Speaker 1: He took this strategy for a spin on Monday when
- 8:43Speaker 1: he addressed a National Guard Association conference in Detroit where
- 8:46Speaker 1: he was officially endorsed by former Democratic presidential candidate turned
- 8:49Speaker 1: Trump debate coach Tulsi Gabbard. She's had a journey. Then
- 8:54Speaker 1: he kind of sort of stayed on message. Let's listen.
- 8:57Speaker 6: Look at what's going on right now. with Ukraine disurging
- 9:02Speaker 6: into Russia, okay? You're going to end up in World
- 9:06Speaker 6: War III. Kamala Harris is letting terrorists come into our
- 9:12Speaker 6: country at record numbers and letting jihadists pour into our
- 9:17Speaker 6: homeland by the thousands and thousands and thousands. Can't do that.
- 9:22Speaker 6: Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are promising the exact opposite.
- 9:29Speaker 6: They want endless war, open borders, voting rights and free
- 9:32Speaker 6: health care for illegal aliens, Soviet-style price control, censorship, unlimited
- 9:39Speaker 6: migration from terrorist hotspots.
- 9:42Speaker 1: Does the new strategy involve horse tranquilizer?
- 9:45Speaker 2: Yeah, that's weird. I mean, also, like, your boss likes
- 9:48Speaker 2: one thing, big rallies and crowd events. And you're going
- 9:51Speaker 2: to say, actually, we're taking your toy away. You're doing
- 9:54Speaker 2: small events now. That's not going to go well. This
- 9:56Speaker 2: reminds me a little bit of 2008. when McKinney, picked
- 10:00Speaker 2: Sarah Palin and Sarah Palin starts having these big rallies
- 10:05Speaker 2: and their message about Obama was he's the biggest celebrity
- 10:07Speaker 2: in the world and all he can do is do
- 10:08Speaker 2: these big rallies. And so then we decided as a
- 10:11Speaker 2: campaign to like have Obama do these smaller events. And
- 10:14Speaker 2: then I remember one day there was the split screen
- 10:16Speaker 2: where Barack Obama, who could command these like huge crowds,
- 10:21Speaker 2: was like in a library with kids and he was
- 10:23Speaker 2: like reading the kids like George W.
- 10:25Speaker 1: Bush, My Pet Goat style. And so there's Obama with
- 10:30Speaker 1: a small little crowd and he's sort of trying to
- 10:31Speaker 1: do like an early childhood education message. And then there's
- 10:33Speaker 1: Sarah Palin with this huge fucking crowd. It's like, no, no, no,
- 10:35Speaker 1: we can't do that.
- 10:36Speaker 2: Fix this right now.
- 10:37Speaker 1: That's the whole point.
- 10:37Speaker 2: No, no.
- 10:38Speaker 1: The big rallies are the whole point for Donald Trump.
- 10:40Speaker 2: Yeah, I don't know why you take that away from him,
- 10:41Speaker 2: but he's not going to be disciplined no matter where
- 10:43Speaker 2: he is. So give up.
- 10:44Speaker 1: What did you think of the on-message Trump? I don't
- 10:46Speaker 1: know if it was much of a message.
- 10:47Speaker 2: So my favorite is when off-message or at least off-prompter
- 10:51Speaker 2: Trump disagrees with on-prompter Trump in the same event. So
- 10:55Speaker 2: this is my favorite example from the speech today. This
- 10:57Speaker 2: is verbatim, by the way. Trump says, quote, The National
- 10:59Speaker 2: Guard is America's first and last line of defense, and
- 11:02Speaker 2: you do not get the credit you deserve. But actually,
- 11:04Speaker 2: you do, because deep down, everybody knows it. You get
- 11:07Speaker 2: a lot of credit in your own way. It's so funny.
- 11:10Speaker 2: You can tell when he's reading the remarks for the
- 11:12Speaker 2: first time and then reacting to them like that.
- 11:14Speaker 1: I just, like, whatever. That's his message, I guess. He wasn't,
- 11:19Speaker 1: you know, he wasn't doubting Kamala Harris's racial identity. He
- 11:23Speaker 1: wasn't calling Tim Walls tampon Tim as he did on
- 11:26Speaker 1: Twitter last night.
- 11:27Speaker 2: He did it at the event too. Oh, he did
- 11:28Speaker 2: it today too. Sorry, I missed that part.
- 11:30Speaker 1: Okay, so he wasn't really on message. But I think
- 11:33Speaker 1: even that message, like they haven't, it doesn't seem like
- 11:36Speaker 1: they've settled on a message about her that is, that
- 11:40Speaker 1: seems effective to me. Like why he's talking about Russia, Ukraine,
- 11:43Speaker 1: like what?
- 11:44Speaker 2: He was all over the place. So the prompter remarks
- 11:46Speaker 2: and then he did a rally speech on top of it.
- 11:48Speaker 2: I thought, I mean, yeah, there was a lot of
- 11:49Speaker 2: talk that he was low energy and One thing I
- 11:52Speaker 2: thought was interesting was he was joined by Tulsi Gabbard,
- 11:55Speaker 2: who was an Army Reserve officer and then served in
- 11:58Speaker 2: Congress as a Democrat. When you have Trump going from
- 12:01Speaker 2: the RFK, Robert F. Kennedy Jr. endorsement, and then you
- 12:04Speaker 2: have Tulsi Gabbard on stage, I think that's kind of
- 12:05Speaker 2: an interesting bipartisan narrative. Now, sickos like us know this
- 12:10Speaker 2: is a misleading narrative because Tulsi quit the Democratic Party
- 12:13Speaker 2: in 2022, and RFK Jr. is a dino. He's a
- 12:16Speaker 2: Democrat in name only, literally. He is just an anti-vaccine person.
- 12:20Speaker 2: The rest of the speech was the greatest hits. I
- 12:22Speaker 2: did think the emphasis in front of a military audience, basically, that,
- 12:28Speaker 2: you know, the Afghanistan withdrawal was a mess and Trump
- 12:31Speaker 2: is the one who will keep the U.S. out of
- 12:33Speaker 2: wars could be compelling, but it's just mixed up with
- 12:35Speaker 2: all this other junk.
- 12:37Speaker 1: I mean, to your point about sickos like us, I
- 12:39Speaker 1: do think in these these bigger rallies or events or whatever,
- 12:43Speaker 1: like we're the only ones paying close attention to. And
- 12:46Speaker 1: watching this whole rally other than the people there.
- 12:48Speaker 6: Right.
- 12:49Speaker 1: And so all of this is about just like what
- 12:51Speaker 1: message headline do you want to generate every day? And
- 12:54Speaker 1: they're not coming anywhere close to doing that.
- 12:57Speaker 2: No. And they have no control over what the headline
- 12:59Speaker 2: of the day is because they can't control their boss.
- 13:01Speaker 1: Do you think there's any value then to the Trump
- 13:03Speaker 1: campaign signaling a new strategy? that their candidate is surely
- 13:07Speaker 1: going to be unable to follow? Or are they just
- 13:09Speaker 1: looking for like a narrative reset or what?
- 13:11Speaker 2: I can never tell if this is because Trump's staff
- 13:14Speaker 2: just constantly talks to him in the press. If this
- 13:18Speaker 2: is undisciplined people just kind of like mouthing off. But
- 13:22Speaker 2: it does set up the easiest gotcha in the world.
- 13:23Speaker 2: If you're going to be like, we're going to do small,
- 13:25Speaker 2: tighter rallies. And then he goes off script for 45 minutes.
- 13:29Speaker 1: Yeah. I was trying to think about this. Like you
- 13:32Speaker 1: do have, you have a structurally close election between, and
- 13:35Speaker 1: a press corps that's just going to get bored of
- 13:37Speaker 1: the Kamala honeymoon narrative. And so if you still have
- 13:41Speaker 1: a tide race a few weeks from now, or even
- 13:43Speaker 1: if Trump, you know, gains a point or two, maybe
- 13:46Speaker 1: they then want the coverage to treat that momentum as
- 13:49Speaker 1: if it was like fueled by a new Trump or
- 13:52Speaker 1: at least a new Trump strategy. So it's like, let's
- 13:54Speaker 1: go where the, let's go where the puck is headed.
- 13:56Speaker 2: That makes sense.
- 13:57Speaker 1: Yeah, I guess. I don't know. Cause I do think
- 14:00Speaker 1: we're already seeing it in some polling. Like this is,
- 14:03Speaker 1: It remains a close race. It was always going to
- 14:06Speaker 1: be a close race, except when a extenuating circumstance like
- 14:11Speaker 1: Joe Biden's debate performance happens. Donald Trump versus a generic
- 14:14Speaker 1: Democrat or most Democrats against a generic Republican. We're still
- 14:19Speaker 1: going to be like within five points. So everyone should just,
- 14:22Speaker 1: you know, buckle up. It's going to be a close race.
- 14:25Speaker 1: So a CNN story this morning said that the increased
- 14:27Speaker 1: pace of events is a, quote, direct response to the
- 14:30Speaker 1: enthusiasm spike. from Democrats since Harris replaced Biden atop their ticket,
- 14:35Speaker 1: sourcing that to people familiar with the plans. We love
- 14:38Speaker 1: a source familiar. I would also note Trump's truth post
- 14:44Speaker 1: the morning after the DNC that said, my administration will
- 14:47Speaker 1: be great for women and their reproductive rights.
- 14:50Speaker 2: That settles it.
- 14:51Speaker 1: Just wild. Maybe the first time he's used that phrase,
- 14:54Speaker 1: followed by a campaign statement sprinting away from conservative positions
- 14:58Speaker 1: on IVF and contraception. Another data point here, J.D. Vance,
- 15:02Speaker 1: who will reportedly be camping out in the blue wall states,
- 15:05Speaker 1: especially Pennsylvania, as part of this new strategy, reiterated on
- 15:09Speaker 1: Meet the Press that Trump would veto a national abortion ban.
- 15:13Speaker 1: Do you think the Trump campaign is genuinely nervous or
- 15:16Speaker 1: just this is just what a campaign normally does to
- 15:19Speaker 1: try to win?
- 15:20Speaker 2: I mean, I think that they thought when it was
- 15:22Speaker 2: Joe Biden running and maybe even before the debate, they
- 15:25Speaker 2: thought that the campaign was over. And that they were
- 15:27Speaker 2: going to win 400 plus electoral votes. You saw that
- 15:31Speaker 2: Tim Alberta at the Atlantic did this long piece where
- 15:34Speaker 2: he spent all this time with Susie Wiles and Chris LaCivita.
- 15:37Speaker 2: And they were so cocky. And they were talking about
- 15:39Speaker 2: this historic, you know, sweep of MAGA through the country.
- 15:43Speaker 2: Trump was barely doing events. He was just golfing every day.
- 15:46Speaker 2: And now they know it's a toss up. So I
- 15:48Speaker 2: think they're definitely trying to get him to refocus, be
- 15:51Speaker 2: more disciplined, mop up some problem positions. Unfortunately, you can't
- 15:55Speaker 2: mop up the choice of J.D. Vance, but maybe they're
- 15:57Speaker 2: just going to stick him in a state and never
- 15:59Speaker 2: see him again. But, you know, like those tweets you
- 16:01Speaker 2: just read aloud about, you know, protecting reproductive choice or
- 16:05Speaker 2: Trump vetoing a national abortion ban, don't believe that for
- 16:08Speaker 2: a second. It's bullshit, but it's a good strategy to
- 16:11Speaker 2: try to get ahead of those attacks before the debate
- 16:14Speaker 2: or just attacks generally about abortion.
- 16:16Speaker 1: It makes me think they're seeing something in their polling
- 16:19Speaker 1: that abortion is really hurting them, which, you know, should
- 16:22Speaker 1: not be a surprise to any of us, but it's
- 16:25Speaker 1: good to know that they're seeing this too. And part
- 16:28Speaker 1: of it, I think, is you're also seeing this sort
- 16:30Speaker 1: of widening gender gap.
- 16:32Speaker 2: I bet that's a lot of it.
- 16:33Speaker 1: And, you know, if we get to the point where,
- 16:36Speaker 1: you know, Kamala Harris is winning women by more than
- 16:39Speaker 1: Donald Trump was winning men, then that's sort of ballgame.
- 16:42Speaker 2: And more women turn out, I think. Right.
- 16:43Speaker 1: So that's kind of it. I also think that whether
- 16:46Speaker 1: the campaign's rattled or not, Trump is clearly rattled himself
- 16:51Speaker 1: by Because of anyone, he knows the value, the political
- 16:55Speaker 1: value of attention and celebrity. And he's looking over at
- 16:58Speaker 1: Kamala Harris and he's thinking that like her popularity is
- 17:00Speaker 1: sort of like reaching into more celebrity status. And he
- 17:05Speaker 1: doesn't like that.
- 17:06Speaker 2: No, not at all. And, you know, he saw Obama's
- 17:08Speaker 2: celebrity translate into massive electoral victories.
- 17:10Speaker 6: Yes.
- 17:11Speaker 1: So we haven't really talked about RFK Jr. 's endorsement
- 17:14Speaker 1: of Trump since it actually happened on Friday. We were
- 17:16Speaker 1: flying home. Trump and Kennedy appear together at an event
- 17:20Speaker 1: in Arizona. where Kennedy said Trump will make America healthy again,
- 17:25Speaker 1: which he's now abbreviated as MAHA. Which I didn't realize
- 17:30Speaker 1: until I was sort of looking at Twitter this morning,
- 17:32Speaker 1: and I see all these, like, hashtag mahas everywhere. Maha memes.
- 17:37Speaker 2: It sounds like something you get deboned at the table
- 17:40Speaker 2: at an expensive restaurant. Really weird. Yeah. Good luck with that, buddy.
- 17:45Speaker 2: Rebranding MAGA. Okay, RFK Jr.
- 17:47Speaker 1: Yeah, and then he had this, like, long tweet, too,
- 17:50Speaker 1: where he was trying to redefine MAGA, and he's like,
- 17:53Speaker 1: I know some people don't like it, but it's actually,
- 17:55Speaker 1: it can be kind, and it can be, like, welcoming.
- 17:58Speaker 2: Yeah, there's an audience.
- 17:59Speaker 1: And Donald Trump goes on like a like a 10
- 18:00Speaker 1: tweet thread just out of his fucking mind. Yeah.
- 18:03Speaker 2: The audience of one for that RFK tweet, trying to
- 18:06Speaker 2: redefine and make America great again for Cheryl Hines, his wife,
- 18:10Speaker 2: who I believe is furious at him reportedly about this decision.
- 18:14Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 18:14Speaker 2: He said at one point he said she would divorce
- 18:16Speaker 2: him if he endorsed Trump. So. Oh, wow. Do with
- 18:18Speaker 2: that what you will.
- 18:19Speaker 1: Kennedy said on Fox this weekend that Trump did not
- 18:21Speaker 1: offer him a cabinet position or anything else in exchange
- 18:25Speaker 1: for his government. Though he later said, he talked to
- 18:28Speaker 1: me about a unity government. So I don't know what
- 18:29Speaker 1: the fuck that means.
- 18:30Speaker 2: What? Yeah.
- 18:32Speaker 1: Unity government with like someone who got no votes.
- 18:35Speaker 5: Right.
- 18:35Speaker 2: Exactly.
- 18:36Speaker 1: By far the biggest news about RFK right now involves
- 18:39Speaker 1: yet another dead animal, Tommy.
- 18:41Speaker 6: I just.
- 18:42Speaker 1: In a newly unearthed interview with Town and Country in 2012,
- 18:47Speaker 1: his daughter, Kick Kennedy, who has reportedly been spending time
- 18:50Speaker 1: with Dunkin' Donuts spokesperson Ben Affleck. It's just a whole
- 18:53Speaker 1: nother story we can get into.
- 18:54Speaker 2: Yep.
- 18:55Speaker 1: She said that when she was a kid, her dad
- 18:58Speaker 1: cut off the head of a dead whale with a
- 19:00Speaker 1: chainsaw and tied it to the top of their minivan
- 19:04Speaker 1: to bring it home. Key quote, as if you needed
- 19:07Speaker 1: a quote. Every time we accelerated on the highway, whale
- 19:11Speaker 1: juice would pour into the windows of the car and
- 19:15Speaker 1: it was the rankest thing on the planet. We all
- 19:17Speaker 1: had plastic bags over our heads with mouth holes cut
- 19:21Speaker 1: out and people on the highway were giving us the
- 19:24Speaker 1: finger to But that was just normal day-to-day stuff for us.
- 19:27Speaker 2: Why don't you close the windows?
- 19:28Speaker 1: That is incredible.
- 19:30Speaker 2: If you have a whale carcass on your roof, close
- 19:32Speaker 2: the windows. How many stories like this does this family have? Infinity.
- 19:37Speaker 2: First of all, I want to say, Kick Kennedy is
- 19:39Speaker 2: a cool name.
- 19:40Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 19:40Speaker 2: And when Hannah and I were figuring out what to
- 19:42Speaker 2: name Lizette and James, I did not know that random
- 19:46Speaker 2: verbs were available to me as options.
- 19:49Speaker 1: Yeah, her little brother, Punch Kennedy.
- 19:51Speaker 2: Is that true? Shimmer Vitor. Also, did you know that
- 19:56Speaker 2: Connor Kennedy, the Taylor Swift ex, is also RFK Jr.
- 19:59Speaker 6: 's kid?
- 19:59Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 20:01Speaker 2: I did know that. These family gatherings must be wild.
- 20:04Speaker 2: You got Ben Affleck. You got Taylor Swift. Talk about
- 20:07Speaker 2: a black sheep, though.
- 20:08Speaker 1: Zero vaccines. Yeah, no vaccines anywhere. I would like you
- 20:12Speaker 1: to rank the whale head, the dead bear cub, and
- 20:15Speaker 1: the brain worm in order of which creeps you out
- 20:18Speaker 1: the most.
- 20:19Speaker 2: Brain worms run away number one for me. Disgusting. Worms
- 20:26Speaker 2: are generally disgusting. And anything in your brain, I think,
- 20:28Speaker 2: is like actual nightmare fuel. To rank the other two,
- 20:32Speaker 2: I need some more information, which is what kind of whale.
- 20:35Speaker 3: Really?
- 20:36Speaker 2: Well, the blue whale is the largest thing ever known
- 20:39Speaker 2: to live on the earth.
- 20:40Speaker 1: Do you want to do Charlie's bedtime? Because he has
- 20:42Speaker 1: been obsessed with types of whales, types of sharks. He's
- 20:47Speaker 1: very into marine life right now. And he has lots
- 20:49Speaker 1: of questions. And you're a big marine life guy.
- 20:52Speaker 2: Call me anytime. But a blue whale weighs between 100
- 20:54Speaker 2: and 200 tons. So that's a lot of head for
- 20:57Speaker 2: your roof. Now, even like a beluga, a baby beluga,
- 20:59Speaker 2: if you will, That's still, I think, like 1,000, 2,000
- 21:02Speaker 2: pound whale. So what I'm getting at is you're talking
- 21:05Speaker 2: about like 100 pounds of head on the roof and
- 21:07Speaker 2: all the associated juices. So I'm guessing, so baby bear
- 21:12Speaker 2: is gross because it's sad that it's a baby, but
- 21:14Speaker 2: I think it's probably brain worms one, whale head two,
- 21:19Speaker 2: bear three. Your rank?
- 21:20Speaker 1: So it depends on which category, right? Like if you
- 21:23Speaker 1: rank them by stories, like insanity of the stories, it's
- 21:27Speaker 1: got to be bear cub first.
- 21:29Speaker 2: You think even chainsawing off the head of a.
- 21:31Speaker 1: I just think that in terms of how hard I've laughed,
- 21:35Speaker 1: watching the video of him tell the bear cub story
- 21:38Speaker 1: to Roseanne is maybe the hardest I've laughed all cycle.
- 21:40Speaker 2: I was literally crying.
- 21:42Speaker 5: Me too.
- 21:42Speaker 2: Crying laughing.
- 21:43Speaker 1: And there's so many holes in the story. If you
- 21:46Speaker 1: talk about what I'd... Personally, I would not want the
- 21:49Speaker 1: brain worm.
- 21:50Speaker 2: Sure.
- 21:51Speaker 1: But of all the stories we've talked about on this podcast,
- 21:54Speaker 1: when I just said the words, whale juice would pour
- 21:57Speaker 1: into the windows of the car... I came closest to
- 21:59Speaker 1: actually gagging.
- 22:00Speaker 2: These poor kids.
- 22:01Speaker 1: Of all of the different stories. That is fucking gross.
- 22:04Speaker 2: Have you ever seen the video of the rotting whale
- 22:06Speaker 2: carcass on the beach that explodes?
- 22:09Speaker 1: Oh, yes.
- 22:09Speaker 2: Because they get all the juices and anyway. Google it.
- 22:12Speaker 2: YouTube it.
- 22:13Speaker 1: Now that we've had a few days of coverage and
- 22:15Speaker 1: we got the whale story in, what do you make
- 22:17Speaker 1: of how the Kennedy endorsement is playing for Trump so
- 22:20Speaker 1: far and how much it might matter?
- 22:22Speaker 2: Like, it's hard to tell. So I watched parts of
- 22:25Speaker 2: the Kennedy press conference and I watched parts of the
- 22:28Speaker 2: Trump event where he introduced him. And RFK got a
- 22:30Speaker 2: huge ovation at Trump's event. So that probably tells you
- 22:33Speaker 2: something about, as Kamala Harris would say, the Venn diagram
- 22:37Speaker 2: of overlap between their voters, like probably a little more MAGA.
- 22:41Speaker 2: Trump said that RFK, he wants RFK to investigate chronic
- 22:44Speaker 2: health problems and childhood diseases. And my favorite part of
- 22:47Speaker 2: the pitch was Trump praising Kennedy for his commitment to
- 22:50Speaker 2: providing safe and healthy foods to kids. Remember, this is
- 22:54Speaker 2: the guy who fed college athletes McDonald's every time they
- 22:57Speaker 2: came to the White House. Anyway, like Kennedy's message, it
- 23:00Speaker 2: was muddled. It was weird. He made it sound like
- 23:03Speaker 2: he cut some backroom deal. And then also he's going
- 23:05Speaker 2: to stay in on the ballot in some states. So
- 23:08Speaker 2: like none of it really makes sense. The polling on
- 23:11Speaker 2: this has shown that RFK pulled votes pretty evenly between
- 23:16Speaker 2: Trump and Harris. RFK was doing better with Latino and
- 23:20Speaker 2: Black voters. And so if he's able to peel off
- 23:23Speaker 2: some of them, that could be a problem. But that
- 23:25Speaker 2: might have been a legacy from the polling about RFK
- 23:29Speaker 2: from the Biden era. So my guess is it's a wash. Yeah.
- 23:32Speaker 1: And it may be too early to tell still. I mean,
- 23:34Speaker 1: Nate Silver- like reran his model without RFK Jr. said
- 23:39Speaker 1: that basically nothing changed. We had a poll out today,
- 23:42Speaker 1: maybe the first big national poll since the debate and
- 23:45Speaker 1: from Echelon, by the way, it has Trump 49, Kamala 48,
- 23:49Speaker 1: but they also, they ran it with Kennedy and then
- 23:52Speaker 1: without Kennedy, but still with the other third party candidates.
- 23:56Speaker 1: And it maybe helped Trump a smidge more without Kennedy
- 24:00Speaker 1: in the race. But when they did the four way
- 24:02Speaker 1: or five way now without RFK Jr., Kamala was up
- 24:05Speaker 1: like 48, 47. So it's hard to tell. It's all,
- 24:09Speaker 1: I think, around the margin of error. So it's sort
- 24:12Speaker 1: of tough to figure it out.
- 24:13Speaker 2: Right. Is Robert F. Kennedy, is he going to endorse
- 24:15Speaker 2: and then go do work in key battleground states? Or
- 24:18Speaker 2: is he going to endorse and then just like go
- 24:20Speaker 2: collect dead corpses of animals around his house?
- 24:24Speaker 1: And what audiences is he speaking to that aren't already
- 24:28Speaker 1: Trump people or, you know, so I don't think it
- 24:31Speaker 1: matters too much. Kamala Harris and Tim Walz have been
- 24:45Speaker 1: off the trail since the convention, meeting with advisors and
- 24:47Speaker 1: just letting the vibes permeate. We also know that she's
- 24:51Speaker 1: already started debate prep at Howard University with longtime Hillary
- 24:54Speaker 1: Clinton spokesman Philippe Reines playing Donald Trump.
- 24:57Speaker 2: Who went full method last time. Full method. He was
- 25:00Speaker 2: like in character for months. Yeah.
- 25:03Speaker 1: I wonder if Philippe has done that to himself again.
- 25:05Speaker 2: I wonder if he ever left.
- 25:06Speaker 1: We should reach out to Philippe and see what kind
- 25:08Speaker 1: of response we get back if he sounds like Trump
- 25:10Speaker 1: or not.
- 25:10Speaker 2: Okay, I'm on it.
- 25:11Speaker 1: On Wednesday, Harris and Walls are going to head out
- 25:13Speaker 1: on a bus tour through South Georgia together. And on Thursday,
- 25:16Speaker 1: Harris will hold a solo rally in Savannah. We're going
- 25:19Speaker 1: to hear from the Harris Campaign's Battleground States Director in
- 25:21Speaker 1: a minute. But what do you make of Harris and
- 25:23Speaker 1: Walls targeting Georgia for their first post-convention travel?
- 25:27Speaker 2: Okay, I'm going to do my best Dan impression here. So,
- 25:30Speaker 2: I mean... It suggests that they think there are multiple
- 25:32Speaker 2: paths to get her to 270, 270 electoral votes. I mean,
- 25:35Speaker 2: when Biden was a nominee, it really felt like the
- 25:37Speaker 2: only path to 270 was Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin, and the
- 25:41Speaker 2: Nebraska 2nd District, right? The other paths would involve Sunbelt states, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada,
- 25:47Speaker 2: and maybe North Carolina. That just seemed off the table
- 25:49Speaker 2: because actually Trump's numbers had been improving in those states because, well,
- 25:53Speaker 2: we'll get to that in a second. Kamala going straight
- 25:55Speaker 2: to Georgia. suggests that her team really thinks that they
- 25:59Speaker 2: might win the state. I mean, it's not like a
- 26:01Speaker 2: quick trip. It's a two-day bus trip. So the reason
- 26:06Speaker 2: for the previous sort of calculus with Biden was he
- 26:08Speaker 2: was doing well with older, whiter voters, but struggling with
- 26:12Speaker 2: young voters, Black voters, Latino voters. Kamala Harris has improved
- 26:15Speaker 2: the party's standing among all of those groups, which opens
- 26:18Speaker 2: up these Sunbelt states. So basically, whereas before, losing Pennsylvania-
- 26:23Speaker 2: was basically game over for Democrats. This means there could
- 26:27Speaker 2: now be viable alternatives.
- 26:29Speaker 1: And Pennsylvania and Georgia both loom so large for each campaign,
- 26:34Speaker 1: because I think if Kamala Harris loses Pennsylvania, it becomes
- 26:37Speaker 1: really tough for her to find a path to 270,
- 26:40Speaker 1: even winning a lot of the other swing states. Conversely,
- 26:43Speaker 1: if Trump loses Georgia, he would need not just Pennsylvania,
- 26:48Speaker 1: but another Biden state and maybe two, depending on which
- 26:51Speaker 1: ones it is. So if Kamala Harris can win Georgia,
- 26:54Speaker 1: she goes a long way toward putting Trump away. I
- 26:57Speaker 1: also think that for all the reasons you just said,
- 27:00Speaker 1: they wanted to, the Harris campaign wants to send a
- 27:02Speaker 1: message at post-convention that they're not just camping out in
- 27:05Speaker 1: blue wall states, right? That if they do really see,
- 27:08Speaker 1: which they do see multiple paths to 270, as Dan
- 27:11Speaker 1: Cannon will tell us soon, then they want to tell
- 27:13Speaker 1: everyone like, we're going for it. And also if, you know,
- 27:19Speaker 1: Even if the easiest path to 270 remains Pennsylvania, Michigan,
- 27:22Speaker 1: and Wisconsin, and Nebraska too, while you still have time,
- 27:26Speaker 1: now is the time to go to Georgia and Arizona.
- 27:29Speaker 1: If it's October, you know, maybe... and we see the
- 27:31Speaker 1: polling change or whatever, maybe you're back in those three
- 27:34Speaker 1: blue wall states all the time, but at least now
- 27:35Speaker 1: you should go to Georgia. And by the way, this
- 27:37Speaker 1: is how you win Georgia if you're Kamala Harris and
- 27:40Speaker 1: Tim Walz. And honestly, this is sort of how Joe
- 27:43Speaker 1: Biden won it as well. Like you go to, obviously
- 27:46Speaker 1: you win it in Atlanta and the suburbs, right? Like
- 27:49Speaker 1: you try to get a huge vote share, huge margin
- 27:52Speaker 1: out of there. But a lot of these like rural
- 27:54Speaker 1: Southern areas that are like heavily black population in Georgia are,
- 27:58Speaker 1: and probably haven't been visited by either campaign in a
- 28:00Speaker 1: while ever, ever. Like you want to cut those margins.
- 28:03Speaker 1: You want to increase black turnout. And it's great that
- 28:06Speaker 1: she can do that, you know, and she can have
- 28:08Speaker 1: a message in, in, in Southern Georgia. That's, you know,
- 28:11Speaker 1: economically populist and, uh, I don't know. And Georgia's and
- 28:14Speaker 1: Georgia has a weird relationship with Trump for a, for, uh,
- 28:18Speaker 1: you know, a purple, sometimes Republican leaning state.
- 28:21Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 28:21Speaker 2: I mean, back to the sort of discipline of the
- 28:22Speaker 2: Trump campaign and whether they've changed their tune on some things.
- 28:25Speaker 2: I mean, Trump, just seemingly, like a week ago, put
- 28:29Speaker 2: to bed this little online feud he's been having with
- 28:31Speaker 2: Brian Kemp, the very popular Republican governor of Georgia. So
- 28:35Speaker 2: they're clearly trying to get him to take the state
- 28:37Speaker 2: more seriously. Yeah, if nothing else, you want to run
- 28:39Speaker 2: down Trump's margin in these rural counties in every state, basically,
- 28:44Speaker 2: including Georgia. I mean, at the end of the day,
- 28:46Speaker 2: campaign strategists will both talk a big game and try
- 28:49Speaker 2: to suggest that they have an opportunity to win as
- 28:52Speaker 2: many states as possible. But what you should look at
- 28:56Speaker 2: is their money and their candidates' time. And the fact
- 28:58Speaker 2: that Kamala Harris and Tim Walz are spending two days
- 29:01Speaker 2: in Georgia suggests to me that they think it's a
- 29:04Speaker 2: very real target. Yeah.
- 29:06Speaker 1: And, you know, Plouffe told me on that last episode
- 29:09Speaker 1: of The Wilderness, he's like, head fakes don't make any sense.
- 29:11Speaker 1: He's like, it's too expensive. He's like, if you're going to,
- 29:15Speaker 1: you don't say like, oh, you know, head fake meaning
- 29:18Speaker 1: We're going to seem like we play in one state
- 29:21Speaker 1: only to like lure the other campaign in and whatever else.
- 29:23Speaker 1: He's like, if we're going to a state, we're going
- 29:25Speaker 1: to play in the state. We're going to spend the money.
- 29:26Speaker 2: Especially at Georgia where, you know, you've got the Atlanta
- 29:29Speaker 2: media market. Yeah, North Carolina is shockingly expensive to play
- 29:32Speaker 2: in on TV.
- 29:33Speaker 1: So word has leaked that Harris and Walz are going
- 29:35Speaker 1: to sit for an interview together during the Georgia swing.
- 29:38Speaker 1: We don't know yet with whom. As you all know,
- 29:41Speaker 1: the political press has been really into Harris doing an interview.
- 29:44Speaker 1: They've been a little annoyed that she hasn't done one yet.
- 29:47Speaker 1: Any chance that first interview was with us?
- 29:49Speaker 6: I think.
- 29:49Speaker 1: Surprise, maybe?
- 29:51Speaker 6: Much like.
- 29:51Speaker 1: Maybe you guys didn't tell me? Yeah.
- 29:54Speaker 2: Lovett just did it on Fiji or something.
- 29:56Speaker 1: That's where he is right now. Yeah.
- 29:58Speaker 2: I think several months ago, John, there was no chance
- 30:00Speaker 2: of us getting that interview. Now maybe there's a slim
- 30:02Speaker 2: to no chance.
- 30:03Speaker 1: There's more paths for us.
- 30:04Speaker 2: More paths for us. We know more people. Fewer people
- 30:08Speaker 2: in the organization want to kill us currently than a
- 30:10Speaker 2: month ago. Let's want to take some bets on what outlet. Yeah.
- 30:15Speaker 1: Oh, that's fun.
- 30:16Speaker 2: My money's still on 60 Minutes. 60 Minutes.
- 30:19Speaker 1: That's the one to do.
- 30:20Speaker 2: It's the obvious easy one. But if we put odds
- 30:23Speaker 2: on it, we could go down the way.
- 30:26Speaker 1: I wonder... I could see Lester Holt. Lester Holt, I
- 30:29Speaker 1: like Lester Holt. Lester Holt or Norah O'Donnell are both like,
- 30:34Speaker 1: you know, they're good, solid interviewers who are respected because
- 30:38Speaker 1: they don't lean one way or the other. But they're
- 30:40Speaker 1: also not like, they're not just like looking to get you.
- 30:44Speaker 2: Now, the question is.
- 30:45Speaker 1: And she had tough, she's had notoriously tough interviews with
- 30:49Speaker 1: both of them.
- 30:49Speaker 2: With Lester, yeah. The question is, will the press count
- 30:52Speaker 2: an interview if it's with a progressive host? Like if
- 30:55Speaker 2: you did a Rachel Maddow sit down, would anyone know?
- 30:57Speaker 2: They will not count it. Even though Trump never leaves
- 31:00Speaker 2: his Fox News space. Exactly.
- 31:01Speaker 1: Complete double standard. And she will just not get credit
- 31:05Speaker 1: for it, which is absurd. But I'm betting they know that.
- 31:07Speaker 2: NPR.
- 31:09Speaker 1: NPR.
- 31:09Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 31:10Speaker 1: A local Georgia?
- 31:12Speaker 2: I would do a lot of local interviews. I mean,
- 31:13Speaker 2: I think what they probably should do after this big
- 31:16Speaker 2: interview going into the event is just do a ton
- 31:18Speaker 2: of local press, a lot of local TV. They should.
- 31:21Speaker 1: What do you think are the toughest questions she'll get
- 31:25Speaker 1: and how should she answer them? Should we just, let's
- 31:27Speaker 1: do some interview prep.
- 31:28Speaker 2: Should we bucket them?
- 31:29Speaker 1: Yeah, let's bucket them.
- 31:30Speaker 2: So there's one bucket that's probably like, uh, what did
- 31:32Speaker 2: you know and when did you know it about Joe
- 31:34Speaker 2: Biden's health?
- 31:35Speaker 1: I hadn't even thought about that one.
- 31:37Speaker 2: Probably get a lot of those. Um, Do you think
- 31:41Speaker 2: that's that hard? I think obviously the guys can do
- 31:43Speaker 2: the job through the first term. I mean, we now
- 31:46Speaker 2: know that as obnoxious podcasters and others were trying to
- 31:50Speaker 2: push Joe Biden out of the race, he was negotiating
- 31:53Speaker 2: a massive hostage deal with Russia to get a bunch
- 31:56Speaker 2: of Americans home. So clearly the guy can do the job.
- 31:59Speaker 1: And I think she'll probably say something like that. She'll
- 32:00Speaker 1: use that as an example. She'll use all the legislation
- 32:02Speaker 1: they passed together as an example. She'll talk about, you know,
- 32:05Speaker 1: we saw him. We saw him at the DNC on
- 32:08Speaker 1: Monday night give a speech that was like a rousing
- 32:10Speaker 1: speech for the crowd. Yeah, there's plenty of answers.
- 32:13Speaker 2: To that, I think. Yeah, that's pretty easy. Okay, second
- 32:16Speaker 2: bucket may be positions you took in 2020 that you
- 32:19Speaker 2: walked away from now.
- 32:20Speaker 1: I think that's like the first one they ask her.
- 32:22Speaker 2: Yeah. So, John, aren't you going to ban fracking?
- 32:25Speaker 1: Look, on all these issues, my values haven't changed, but
- 32:29Speaker 1: I've always been realistic and pragmatic. I said that during
- 32:32Speaker 1: my DNC speech. And also, that's how Joe Biden and
- 32:35Speaker 1: I governed over the last four years. We worked with
- 32:37Speaker 1: Republicans to rebuild America with an infrastructure bill. We made
- 32:41Speaker 1: private health insurance more affordable for people and brought down
- 32:44Speaker 1: the cost of prescription drugs. And we worked with one
- 32:47Speaker 1: of the most conservative Republican senators in Congress to put
- 32:51Speaker 1: together a really tough border bill that Donald Trump killed.
- 32:55Speaker 1: So we know what it's like to be pragmatic and
- 32:57Speaker 1: work with the other side.
- 32:57Speaker 2: What I'm hearing from you is you value winning.
- 33:00Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 33:00Speaker 2: My values are- In it to win it. She should
- 33:02Speaker 2: just say that.
- 33:03Speaker 1: I'd be fine with that.
- 33:04Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 33:04Speaker 2: We worked with, what's his name? The super white looking guy,
- 33:07Speaker 2: the vampire one, Lankford. Lankford. He did the immigration. Well,
- 33:10Speaker 2: that's the third bucket in my little notes here. Immigration,
- 33:13Speaker 2: the border, what is your role in the sort of
- 33:16Speaker 2: policy generally been over the years? Now, there is some
- 33:20Speaker 2: helpful data for them where apparently, I can't remember if
- 33:24Speaker 2: it was crossings or like contacts at the border are
- 33:27Speaker 2: down something like 50%. after the executive order. So they'll
- 33:30Speaker 2: probably point to some successes, but people are still pretty
- 33:34Speaker 2: concerned about the border generally. Yeah.
- 33:36Speaker 1: And I do think that's the best. I think the
- 33:38Speaker 1: border is actually the easier one there because she can say, yeah,
- 33:43Speaker 1: you know what? People are concerned about the border and
- 33:44Speaker 1: that's why we want to pass. That's why I've said
- 33:46Speaker 1: that if I become president, we'll pass this border bill,
- 33:50Speaker 1: this bipartisan deal that was written by a conservative senator.
- 33:53Speaker 1: And Joe Biden had to take action on, we had
- 33:56Speaker 1: to take action on our own When Donald Trump killed
- 33:58Speaker 1: that deal, and guess what? Crossings are down, but we
- 34:00Speaker 1: got to do more, right? Like, I think that's an
- 34:02Speaker 1: easy one. I think on inflation, she could probably say,
- 34:06Speaker 1: you know, the steps that Joe Biden and I took
- 34:07Speaker 1: brought inflation down faster than almost any other country. But
- 34:11Speaker 1: we have a lot more to do to bring down costs.
- 34:14Speaker 1: And I'd love a Congress that would be willing to
- 34:16Speaker 1: do more. Like, Republicans... just blocked a bipartisan bill to
- 34:20Speaker 1: extend the child tax credit. That would lower costs for people.
- 34:23Speaker 1: Why aren't they passing that bill? Because it would hurt
- 34:25Speaker 1: my campaign because it wouldn't help Donald Trump. That's crazy.
- 34:28Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 34:28Speaker 2: I think what has been so great about her campaign
- 34:31Speaker 2: and message so far is that Kamala Harris seems far
- 34:33Speaker 2: more unburdened by what has been and doesn't feel as
- 34:36Speaker 2: obligated to defend the Biden record as much as paint
- 34:39Speaker 2: a picture of what she's going to do going forward.
- 34:41Speaker 2: And I think that's a lot better in this context.
- 34:43Speaker 1: She will not probably be starting the answer with I'm
- 34:46Speaker 1: the guy who passed the Inflation Reduction Act. The balance
- 34:52Speaker 1: of what we've done and what we need to do
- 34:55Speaker 1: will be much more weighted towards what we need to do.
- 34:57Speaker 2: Yeah, for a variety of reasons, we'll probably get zero
- 34:59Speaker 2: I'm the guy responses. And then if it was me,
- 35:03Speaker 2: I would love to know how she differs from Biden
- 35:06Speaker 2: on Gaza policy, whether she's willing to increase pressure on
- 35:10Speaker 2: Netanyahu to end the war, if there's anything we can
- 35:12Speaker 2: do in the next few months. I mean, I'm of
- 35:14Speaker 2: the personal opinion that Joe Biden might not be running again,
- 35:17Speaker 2: but that he is going to be very personally engaged
- 35:21Speaker 2: on all things through the remainder of his presidency, especially
- 35:24Speaker 2: foreign policy, especially the Bibi Netanyahu account. So I just
- 35:27Speaker 2: don't think she's going to have a lot of space
- 35:29Speaker 2: to change things. But I think she should signal that
- 35:33Speaker 2: she will do things differently going forward. I think the
- 35:36Speaker 2: progressives want to hear that, but also the war's been
- 35:39Speaker 2: going for 10 months. Like whatever we've been doing has
- 35:41Speaker 2: not affected change in the way that we, the United
- 35:44Speaker 2: States wants. We want a ceasefire. We want the hostages back.
- 35:47Speaker 2: We want to end the war. And showing some sort
- 35:50Speaker 2: of space between her and Biden and the willingness to
- 35:52Speaker 2: do something different, I think would be meaningful.
- 35:55Speaker 1: What could she say that is like meaningfully different in
- 35:58Speaker 1: terms of like, where do you differ with him?
- 36:00Speaker 2: I'm trying to remember who floated this idea. I think
- 36:03Speaker 2: it might've been Peter Beinart in the New York Times
- 36:06Speaker 2: was like, what she should say is I will enforce
- 36:09Speaker 2: current law Specifically, the Leahy Law, which says you cannot
- 36:12Speaker 2: give military or material support to military units that have
- 36:17Speaker 2: been accused of gross human rights violations and use that
- 36:21Speaker 2: kind of blanket statement as a signal that we would
- 36:23Speaker 2: condition aid to some of these units in Gaza that
- 36:27Speaker 2: have been accused of human rights violations. You know, you
- 36:31Speaker 2: can go deeper than that. But I think that's, you know,
- 36:34Speaker 2: that would be signaling a pretty large change because the
- 36:37Speaker 2: Leahy Law has never been applied to Israel before. but
- 36:39Speaker 2: you could also, there's other ways to do it. I mean,
- 36:42Speaker 2: I think you could have an advisor go out there,
- 36:44Speaker 2: someone like Phil Gordon, who's our top foreign policy guy
- 36:46Speaker 2: and give an interview and do some of this work
- 36:49Speaker 2: for you, you know? So I'd like to see something.
- 36:52Speaker 1: One question I have is how forward leaning should she
- 36:55Speaker 1: be on saying that she has changed those past positions
- 37:00Speaker 1: that she's taken during the 2020 primary? Do you, I mean,
- 37:03Speaker 1: because I'm sure if you're an advisor and you're writing
- 37:05Speaker 1: out the talking points, you do something like I just did,
- 37:08Speaker 1: but She'll get pressed by some interviewers and she'll certainly
- 37:11Speaker 1: get pressed in the debate. I wonder if at some
- 37:13Speaker 1: point you have to say, you know, I learned over
- 37:16Speaker 1: the last four years governing an entire country with Joe
- 37:19Speaker 1: Biden that you've got to be more pragmatic. And, you know,
- 37:23Speaker 1: like I wonder if she sort of signals a cleaner
- 37:25Speaker 1: break with her past positions than just trying to skirt
- 37:28Speaker 1: around it. Yeah.
- 37:29Speaker 2: I think I would advise her not to be cute
- 37:32Speaker 2: with it and be like, look, I spent four years
- 37:34Speaker 2: as vice president. I learned a lot of new information
- 37:37Speaker 2: and I changed my mind. Yeah. But if you do
- 37:39Speaker 2: that four or five different times on a bunch of issues,
- 37:42Speaker 2: I think you can, you could string it together in
- 37:44Speaker 2: a way for the Trump campaign that makes her look bad.
- 37:46Speaker 1: Yeah. You need to do fracking. You need to do
- 37:49Speaker 1: Medicare for all. And you need to do border policy.
- 37:53Speaker 1: And then some of the ones like, sure, I'd blame
- 37:56Speaker 1: plastic straws and that kind of stuff.
- 37:59Speaker 2: Were we for banning plastic straws? Was she?
- 38:01Speaker 1: Unfortunately, too many people are. Sorry, that's just my unpopular position.
- 38:04Speaker 2: Go ahead. Come at me, straw people. I love straw.
- 38:07Speaker 2: I'm different to straws.
- 38:09Speaker 1: I'm learning to go without straws. I'm trying to be
- 38:11Speaker 1: a good liberal in California.
- 38:12Speaker 2: Is it a tooth thing? Some people have sensitive teeth. Yeah,
- 38:15Speaker 2: it is. Okay.
- 38:16Speaker 1: Fair.
- 38:17Speaker 2: I'm just trying to unpack this. Thank you.
- 38:19Speaker 1: I appreciate that. What's the biggest pitfall with the debate
- 38:20Speaker 1: coming up? What are you most worried about?
- 38:22Speaker 2: With the debate itself?
- 38:24Speaker 1: Yeah, like for her and the debate.
- 38:25Speaker 2: I think it's just the stakes. That's such a funny,
- 38:31Speaker 2: obvious thing to say. No, I mean, like the last
- 38:32Speaker 2: debate ended a candidate's career. So I think there's going
- 38:36Speaker 2: to be some.
- 38:37Speaker 1: Yeah, it's a big deal.
- 38:38Speaker 2: It's going to be some eyeballs. We also, listen, we
- 38:41Speaker 2: also went from a race where I think, I remember
- 38:43Speaker 2: this number from a poll. I don't remember which poll
- 38:45Speaker 2: it was. 73% of voters said they had all the
- 38:48Speaker 2: information they needed about both candidates to make up their mind.
- 38:51Speaker 2: They all felt like they couldn't learn another thing about
- 38:54Speaker 2: these guys and they didn't want to. And that changed
- 38:57Speaker 2: the day Kamala Harris got into this race. So she
- 38:59Speaker 2: knows that if she's got a great debate, it will
- 39:03Speaker 2: benefit her enormously. Even if she has a good debate,
- 39:07Speaker 2: people just want basic information about like who she is,
- 39:09Speaker 2: who she'll fight for, what she'll do.
- 39:11Speaker 1: I'm sure there will be this debate as we head
- 39:14Speaker 1: into the debate about how much she should focus on
- 39:16Speaker 1: Donald Trump and talk about Donald Trump because most voters
- 39:19Speaker 1: have made up their mind about Donald Trump. And I
- 39:21Speaker 1: do think that her primary goal should be giving voters
- 39:24Speaker 1: information about her, voters who don't know enough about her
- 39:28Speaker 1: and want to know more, who are open to her candidacy.
- 39:29Speaker 1: Like that's number one, but he is going to try
- 39:32Speaker 1: to put her on defense the whole time. And so
- 39:34Speaker 1: are the moderators are going to probably ask her some
- 39:36Speaker 1: pointed questions. So you do want to have some offense
- 39:39Speaker 1: on Trump just to eat up the time so that
- 39:41Speaker 1: you're not spending 90 minutes just taking hits from Trump
- 39:44Speaker 1: and trying to defend yourself. Because even if you do
- 39:47Speaker 1: that well, it will still be judged as you were
- 39:50Speaker 1: on defense the whole time.
- 39:51Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a good question. I think she's got to
- 39:53Speaker 2: be on offense a lot. Yeah. You know, I mean,
- 39:55Speaker 2: you can do a lot of framing your positions through
- 39:58Speaker 2: as an attack on your opponent.
- 40:00Speaker 1: Yeah, and do a lot of comparison stuff.
- 40:02Speaker 2: But yeah, I mean, I hope.
- 40:02Speaker 1: I'm going to do this, he's going to do that
- 40:04Speaker 1: kind of thing.
- 40:05Speaker 2: Honestly, it's a good thing that they've been off the
- 40:06Speaker 2: trail for a while because I hope they're doing a
- 40:08Speaker 2: ton of debate prep.
- 40:09Speaker 6: Me too.
- 40:09Speaker 2: Because it helps. It does.
- 40:11Speaker 1: And he's not, he's doing... Policy discussions.
- 40:14Speaker 2: Do you believe that? I think he's a liar. I
- 40:16Speaker 2: bet they do real debate preps and he just is
- 40:18Speaker 2: too arrogant to say it.
- 40:20Speaker 1: Well, also, if Tulsi Gabbard is involved in debate prep,
- 40:24Speaker 1: which the reporting says that she is, and the reason
- 40:27Speaker 1: she is, I don't know if anyone remembers, but in
- 40:30Speaker 1: 2020 when she was running for president in the Democratic primary,
- 40:34Speaker 1: during a couple of debates with Kamala Harris, she picked
- 40:37Speaker 1: Kamala Harris to go after more than any other candidate.
- 40:40Speaker 1: And she claims to... I think with some good reason,
- 40:44Speaker 1: know a lot of Kamala Harris's positions and how to
- 40:46Speaker 1: get her and stuff like that. So I could imagine
- 40:49Speaker 1: Tulsi Gabbard just playing Kamala Harris in debate prep. I
- 40:52Speaker 1: don't know why you wouldn't do that unless you're just
- 40:54Speaker 1: an undisciplined, lazy fuck, which he is. Yeah, or the
- 40:58Speaker 1: only reason not to, I guess, is you probably want
- 41:00Speaker 1: that person to memorize verbatim some of the Harris lines
- 41:03Speaker 1: and maybe Tulsi won't do that work. I think the
- 41:05Speaker 1: same article that talked about Tulsi being at prep said
- 41:08Speaker 1: that Matt Gaetz was one of their best debate prep
- 41:11Speaker 1: secret weapons.
- 41:12Speaker 2: He's good at zingers.
- 41:13Speaker 1: I can see that just because he seems like a
- 41:16Speaker 1: terminally online individual who would know exactly what Kamala Harris
- 41:21Speaker 1: and Democrats have been saying because he just consumes that
- 41:23Speaker 1: much information.
- 41:24Speaker 2: That sucks. I hate to have to compliment him.
- 41:26Speaker 6: I know.
- 41:26Speaker 1: Well, I don't think it's a compliment. It's one of
- 41:29Speaker 1: the worst qualities about us.
- 41:30Speaker 2: That's true.
- 41:31Speaker 1: Being terminally online.
- 41:32Speaker 2: Yeah, that's fair. Come on our subscription show. And then
- 41:35Speaker 2: we'll always have that photo of him from Narency with
- 41:38Speaker 2: just the Putin-like Botox.
- 41:40Speaker 1: Yeah, it's tough. Okay, when we get back from the break,
- 41:43Speaker 1: Dan and I sat down with the Harris Campaign's Battleground
- 41:45Speaker 1: States Director, Dan Cannon, on the sidelines of the convention.
- 41:49Speaker 1: We decided to save it for today because it's about
- 41:51Speaker 1: exactly what we're talking about in this show, how the
- 41:53Speaker 1: Harris team is approaching the fall campaign and where they're
- 41:56Speaker 1: putting their resources. Before we get to that conversation, two announcements.
- 42:00Speaker 1: Speaking of Battlegrounds, Pod Save America is headed back to
- 42:03Speaker 1: Phoenix this on September 7th at the Celebrity Theater. Oh,
- 42:06Speaker 1: on the road again.
- 42:07Speaker 2: We just got home. Two weeks from now?
- 42:10Speaker 1: Two weeks from now, yeah.
- 42:11Speaker 2: You should tell Hannah. Yeah, same.
- 42:13Speaker 1: Same with Emily. Join me, Dan, Lovett, Tommy, and guest
- 42:16Speaker 1: host Jane Koston as we welcome Senate candidate Ruben Gallego
- 42:20Speaker 1: to ask him hard-hitting questions like, why is Carrie Lake
- 42:23Speaker 1: like that?
- 42:23Speaker 2: Do you think if we invited Carrie Lake, she'd show up? Probably.
- 42:27Speaker 1: She would. It's worth thinking about. Should we host a debate?
- 42:30Speaker 2: Yeah, why not?
- 42:30Speaker 1: An impromptu debate for Gallego. I'm sure he'd appreciate that.
- 42:33Speaker 1: We'll also be in Philly at the Met Philadelphia on Sunday,
- 42:37Speaker 1: October 6th. For a limited time, we're offering our listeners
- 42:40Speaker 1: 10% off select tickets. Use the code WEIRD10 to unlock
- 42:45Speaker 1: the tickets labeled DNC offer. Very specific. Get your tickets
- 42:49Speaker 1: at cricket.com slash events today. We would love to see
- 42:51Speaker 1: you in Philly. We are also very excited to share
- 42:55Speaker 1: that the trailer for Cricket's newest limited series, Empire City,
- 42:58Speaker 1: is here. In Empire City, the untold origin story of
- 43:02Speaker 1: the NYPD, Peabody award-winning host Chenjerai Kumanika takes you deep
- 43:07Speaker 1: into the hidden history of one of the largest police
- 43:09Speaker 1: forces in the world, from its origins rooted in slavery
- 43:13Speaker 1: to rival police gangs battling across the city to the
- 43:16Speaker 1: everyday people who resisted every step of the way. It's
- 43:19Speaker 1: a captivating and immersive look into New York City's past
- 43:22Speaker 1: and a must-listen primer for understanding today's debates around policing.
- 43:26Speaker 1: especially in this moment as we gear up for another election.
- 43:28Speaker 2: This is an excellent show. We've been working on it
- 43:30Speaker 2: for years. Chandra is an incredible host. Literally years now. Yeah.
- 43:33Speaker 2: He did a series in 2018 called Uncivil that folks
- 43:36Speaker 2: might have listened to that was unbelievable. So when we
- 43:38Speaker 2: had the chance to work with him, we jumped at it.
- 43:40Speaker 2: So check it out. Amazing show.
- 43:42Speaker 1: So you can listen to the trailer out now wherever
- 43:44Speaker 1: you get your podcasts and follow Empire City on your
- 43:46Speaker 1: favorite podcast platform to hear the first two episodes when
- 43:49Speaker 1: they premiere on September 9th. When we come back, Dan Cannon.
- 44:06Speaker 5: Joining us now is the Battleground States Director for the
- 44:09Speaker 5: Harris-Walls campaign, Dan Cannon. Dan, it's great to see you, buddy. Hey, Dan.
- 44:12Speaker 2: Hey, John.
- 44:12Speaker 4: Good to see you guys.
- 44:13Speaker 1: Thanks for coming on.
- 44:14Speaker 4: Happy to be here.
- 44:15Speaker 5: Let's start with the map, okay? Talk to me about
- 44:19Speaker 5: how you guys see your best path to 270.
- 44:22Speaker 7: The thing I'd say about the race today that's actually
- 44:24Speaker 7: pretty similar from the last, really the whole year, is
- 44:27Speaker 7: that there are seven or so states, and we talk
- 44:29Speaker 7: about them all the time. You guys talk about them
- 44:31Speaker 7: all the time, but you've got the Blue Wall states
- 44:32Speaker 7: in Michigan and Wisconsin and Pennsylvania and obviously the Sunbelt states.
- 44:36Speaker 7: in North Carolina, Georgia, and then the Western states in
- 44:39Speaker 7: Nevada and Arizona. And they've been close this entire time.
- 44:42Speaker 7: I know that some people obsess about the polls.
- 44:44Speaker 1: Not us.
- 44:45Speaker 4: Not you guys.
- 44:46Speaker 5: Other people, not us.
- 44:46Speaker 4: No polar coaster.
- 44:47Speaker 5: Yes, exactly right.
- 44:48Speaker 4: But people look at that and obsess a bit.
- 44:50Speaker 7: But in truth, all of those seven places share the
- 44:52Speaker 7: characteristic of having really close races for Senate, for governor,
- 44:56Speaker 7: for president in multiple cycles in a row. And we
- 44:59Speaker 7: all know that those election results are way more predictive
- 45:02Speaker 7: than We believe there's political gravity.
- 45:04Speaker 4: In this country.
- 45:04Speaker 7: Stuff's going to snap into a close race kind of regardless.
- 45:07Speaker 7: And we never really felt that they were out of
- 45:08Speaker 7: reach before. I think we're strengthened in the Sun Belt,
- 45:11Speaker 7: certainly over the last month or so. But I still
- 45:13Speaker 7: believe all seven of those places are destined to be
- 45:15Speaker 7: very close. I don't think about it. Jen does not
- 45:18Speaker 7: think about this like a blue wall path or a
- 45:20Speaker 7: southern path. There's seven places, any one of which could
- 45:23Speaker 7: be the tipping point state. And so we have operations
- 45:25Speaker 7: built to scale significantly. in all of them to win
- 45:27Speaker 7: a close election.
- 45:27Speaker 5: Are you thinking of North Carolina? Like, the way this
- 45:30Speaker 5: has been commonly thought of, not by you guys necessarily,
- 45:32Speaker 5: but by yahoos like us, is there are the six,
- 45:34Speaker 5: the six that put Biden over the top in 2020,
- 45:36Speaker 5: the six that Democrats did very well in 2022, and
- 45:39Speaker 5: then there's North Carolina, which is sort of the one
- 45:41Speaker 5: potential expansion state. Do you, are you treat them all,
- 45:44Speaker 5: is North Carolina in the same category as the other
- 45:46Speaker 5: six for you guys?
- 45:47Speaker 7: Sure, it was 1.3 points separating Biden and Trump.
- 45:50Speaker 5: 73,000 votes, right?
- 45:51Speaker 7: It's not that much, right. And the demographic changes have
- 45:53Speaker 7: been good for us in that state over the years. Also,
- 45:56Speaker 7: you've got a characteristic there, much like in Arizona with
- 45:58Speaker 7: Mark Robinson. I mean, what his rhetoric and what he
- 46:01Speaker 7: stands for, he's a living embodiment of Donald Trump and
- 46:04Speaker 7: mega extremism in that state. Josh Stein is going to
- 46:06Speaker 7: win that race for governor. We're going to link those
- 46:08Speaker 7: two guys. I think those politics are just toxic for
- 46:11Speaker 7: suburban voters and some of the new residents of that state.
- 46:14Speaker 7: So it's a tough place to win, Dan, no question
- 46:17Speaker 7: about it. But we think about that as one of
- 46:19Speaker 7: the core Seven battlegrounds.
- 46:20Speaker 1: Can you talk about why the demographic changes there? What
- 46:23Speaker 1: are the demographic changes that have made it seem more favorable?
- 46:27Speaker 7: Yeah, you've got more educated voters coming into the states.
- 46:29Speaker 7: You've got folks that are moving in from from northern
- 46:32Speaker 7: states as well. And you've got you've got obviously a
- 46:34Speaker 7: population center in the triangle with, you know, expansion in
- 46:37Speaker 7: the economy, you know, new housing, you know, a really
- 46:40Speaker 7: booming place to be.
- 46:41Speaker 4: The kind of voters that maybe are not very into politics.
- 46:44Speaker 7: They're not necessarily dyed-in-the-wool Democrats, right? But they are not
- 46:47Speaker 7: the kind of folks that are attracted to Donald Trump's
- 46:49Speaker 7: brand of politics. They just don't want that level of extremism.
- 46:52Speaker 7: And we did see some of that in 2016. I mean,
- 46:54Speaker 7: Hillary Clinton did well in the suburbs, you know, in
- 46:57Speaker 7: North Carolina and nationally. And we lost in some of
- 47:00Speaker 7: the rural parts of the state, and we didn't quite
- 47:01Speaker 7: turn out the cities like we had to. And so
- 47:03Speaker 7: I think what we've learned since then is it's not
- 47:05Speaker 7: enough to have the demographic shifts increase. work in your
- 47:07Speaker 7: favor if you just kind of cleave off a whole
- 47:09Speaker 7: section of the state. Which is why having an organizing
- 47:12Speaker 7: approach with 173 staff, 25 offices, people have been on
- 47:16Speaker 7: the ground since January, where in 2016 we had a
- 47:19Speaker 7: team built in July and August. We're just starting, really,
- 47:22Speaker 7: at this point in time in 2016. That gives you
- 47:25Speaker 7: a runway to really engage people and cut those margins
- 47:27Speaker 7: in rural North Carolina.
- 47:28Speaker 1: Can you talk a little bit about that organizing program
- 47:31Speaker 1: in all the states and sort of your strategy for
- 47:34Speaker 1: when you have your staff on the ground, your volunteers
- 47:36Speaker 1: on the ground, like how they're going about trying to
- 47:38Speaker 1: get voters?
- 47:39Speaker 6: Yep.
- 47:39Speaker 7: So one big advantage we think we have against Trump
- 47:41Speaker 7: campaign is they've not done any of this.
- 47:43Speaker 4: They've got no infrastructure.
- 47:44Speaker 7: In North Carolina, we've got 24 offices, 25 actually, to
- 47:48Speaker 7: their one they opened up last month.
- 47:50Speaker 4: Pennsylvania, 36 offices to three. Nevada, 12 to one.
- 47:53Speaker 7: You can rinse and repeat that story across all the
- 47:55Speaker 7: battleground states. I don't think Trump cares about having a
- 47:59Speaker 7: relationship with any person, but certainly not voters, right? He's
- 48:02Speaker 7: transactional and thinks his cult personality is good enough. But
- 48:06Speaker 7: we built 1,600 staff and growing, 300 offices and growing.
- 48:10Speaker 7: They're engaging tens of thousands of volunteers who are doing
- 48:13Speaker 7: hundreds of thousands and now millions of voter contact attempts nationwide.
- 48:17Speaker 7: in a week, and that's important on the mechanics of
- 48:19Speaker 7: an election. You can register people, you can turn people out,
- 48:22Speaker 7: you can cure ballots. There's lots of things you do
- 48:25Speaker 7: to win a tight race with that organization. But the
- 48:27Speaker 7: other thing it does that I think is really underrated
- 48:29Speaker 7: in politics is there's a presence and an engagement level.
- 48:32Speaker 4: People are bought in the election.
- 48:33Speaker 7: All this enthusiasm, the 400,000 people that came to this
- 48:36Speaker 7: campaign organically when Kamala Harris became the nominee, there was
- 48:40Speaker 7: a place for them to go, right? So this last weekend, 2,800
- 48:44Speaker 7: events in Battleground States just that weekend leading into the convention.
- 48:48Speaker 7: The Battleground States then shifted 24,000 people in action on Monday.
- 48:52Speaker 7: We had 400 phone banks on Tuesday night. We had
- 48:56Speaker 7: 500 watch parties coming tonight. Every day there's this new
- 48:58Speaker 7: momentum and a place for it to be channeled. And
- 49:01Speaker 7: what I think that does is it makes the conversation,
- 49:03Speaker 7: whether it's over paid media or earned media or just
- 49:06Speaker 7: in the discourse, it makes it more real to people
- 49:08Speaker 7: when they know someone who's been a part of the campaign,
- 49:10Speaker 7: they've seen an event in their community, people that look
- 49:12Speaker 7: like them and think like them and are part of
- 49:14Speaker 7: their area are connected to this. I think that's how
- 49:16Speaker 7: you cut through and actually connect with people in a
- 49:19Speaker 7: way that's more real and lasting.
- 49:21Speaker 5: Rumors are, reports are that on Friday, RFK Jr. is
- 49:24Speaker 5: going to drop out. Maybe he endorses Trump, maybe he doesn't.
- 49:27Speaker 5: We'll put that aside for now. But have you guys
- 49:29Speaker 5: thought a little bit about how that might impact the race?
- 49:33Speaker 7: I mean, I think his stock overall has tumbled pretty far,
- 49:37Speaker 7: sincerely part of the race. He's You know, he's obviously
- 49:39Speaker 7: toxic and has some pretty kooky ideas and is tumbled.
- 49:42Speaker 7: So I think less about him at this point, obviously,
- 49:45Speaker 7: especially if he decides to exit the race. There are
- 49:47Speaker 7: some voters that have been kind of parking themselves with
- 49:50Speaker 7: him or ain't really any third party candidate. And for
- 49:52Speaker 7: his voters in particular, I think those are people that
- 49:55Speaker 7: do not want to be with Donald Trump and MAGA
- 49:57Speaker 7: for one reason or another. And so they're kind of
- 49:59Speaker 7: sitting over there. So I think our approach has to
- 50:02Speaker 7: be to be inclusive, to be welcoming, to say, look,
- 50:04Speaker 7: there's a home here. There's a sane place for politics here.
- 50:07Speaker 7: that can responsibly govern this country, and you don't want
- 50:10Speaker 7: to be with that lunatic. And it may be a
- 50:11Speaker 7: hard sell for some of those voters, but I think
- 50:13Speaker 7: that we can make a good case. And so I
- 50:14Speaker 7: think less about him, but more the ability to welcome
- 50:16Speaker 7: those folks into this campaign.
- 50:18Speaker 5: And obviously, over the last month, a lot of the
- 50:23Speaker 5: Democratic coalition, the anti-MACA coalition has come home. We've seen
- 50:26Speaker 5: numbers go up with young voters, black voters, Latino voters
- 50:29Speaker 5: all across the board. Who are the folks that you're
- 50:31Speaker 5: still trying to get across the board? Give me an
- 50:34Speaker 5: example of some of your targets.
- 50:35Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 50:36Speaker 7: I mean, I think there's a bit of an all-of-the-above
- 50:38Speaker 7: strategy here because every state's going to be so close
- 50:40Speaker 7: that we can't have just one pathway.
- 50:42Speaker 4: So you named a few, Dan.
- 50:43Speaker 7: Those are definitely places that we've done well, I think,
- 50:46Speaker 7: in the last month. We still have to push on
- 50:48Speaker 7: expansion into the suburbs and do better, even better, with
- 50:52Speaker 7: Republican women and independent men, especially on reproductive rights, or
- 50:57Speaker 7: perhaps on January 6th, people that just cannot be with
- 51:00Speaker 7: Donald Trump. We want to keep bringing those folks into
- 51:02Speaker 7: the tent. I think we have to do really well
- 51:04Speaker 7: with union and labor households in places like Michigan and
- 51:07Speaker 7: Pennsylvania and Wisconsin. And the fact that the vice president's
- 51:10Speaker 7: been endorsed by 12 unions, Sean Fain, enthusiastic again on
- 51:14Speaker 7: both the convention and in Detroit with UAW, those are
- 51:18Speaker 7: huge targets for us as well. And then across rural America,
- 51:22Speaker 7: whether it's in Wisconsin or Eastern North Carolina, having a
- 51:25Speaker 7: presence so that we don't get killed.
- 51:27Speaker 4: It's not 80-20, it's 60-40 or even 70-30 in some places.
- 51:32Speaker 7: In Wisconsin, we've got 44 offices, which means a presence
- 51:34Speaker 7: there in community, in a state with 72 counties, right?
- 51:37Speaker 7: So we're kind of everywhere with the intent of cutting
- 51:39Speaker 7: those margins.
- 51:40Speaker 5: Do you think you guys will use walls in some
- 51:43Speaker 5: of those rural areas to try to drive those numbers down?
- 51:45Speaker 7: Yeah, I think so. I mean, and the vice president
- 51:46Speaker 7: as well. I think the two of them together actually
- 51:48Speaker 7: complement in their values. But certainly Tim Walls, you know,
- 51:52Speaker 7: the camo hat is pretty great.
- 51:54Speaker 4: You've seen us rock that out all week.
- 51:56Speaker 5: I have like a list of 12 people who want
- 51:58Speaker 5: me to bring home a camo hat. They can't be
- 52:00Speaker 5: found anywhere in America.
- 52:01Speaker 4: I have not been able to find the camo hat yet.
- 52:02Speaker 4: I've been looking for one all week.
- 52:03Speaker 2: I know. Same here.
- 52:05Speaker 1: One of the biggest challenges this cycle, and it's sort
- 52:08Speaker 1: of been a growing challenge over the last several cycles,
- 52:11Speaker 1: is reaching voters who just don't pay a lot of
- 52:14Speaker 1: attention to politics and sort of don't get their news
- 52:17Speaker 1: and information from the places that we all do. How
- 52:20Speaker 1: are you guys thinking about that challenge now? Are more people...
- 52:24Speaker 1: I'm guessing many more people are tuned in than they
- 52:28Speaker 1: were just a couple months ago. But how do you
- 52:30Speaker 1: see that universal voters right now?
- 52:32Speaker 7: So I think that's a great way of thinking about
- 52:33Speaker 7: what this moment does for us.
- 52:35Speaker 4: The race has not fundamentally changed.
- 52:37Speaker 7: It is still a very close race, as I said,
- 52:39Speaker 7: with states that are going to be tight and razor
- 52:43Speaker 7: close at the end.
- 52:44Speaker 4: But we have enthusiasm and people that can now carry
- 52:46Speaker 4: on that message to cut through. John, so... I mean,
- 52:49Speaker 4: you know this. It's a fractured media environment. People are siloed.
- 52:52Speaker 4: They can curate their own content.
- 52:53Speaker 7: They can go down a rabbit hole of their own
- 52:54Speaker 7: making and not really be part of a discourse on
- 52:57Speaker 7: a broadcast basis.
- 52:58Speaker 4: And if you don't have people that can.
- 52:59Speaker 7: Cut through at the doors or on phones, but also
- 53:02Speaker 7: in online spaces, our program is a blended organizing program.
- 53:06Speaker 7: If you're a volunteer, just like in real life, we
- 53:09Speaker 7: ask you to volunteer in WhatsApp groups, on Facebook chats.
- 53:12Speaker 7: A shift these days can mean spending some time on
- 53:15Speaker 7: a message board, having a conversation, the same way you
- 53:17Speaker 7: would do a phone bank, right? So we cut through
- 53:19Speaker 7: in all the places people have real conversations with real people,
- 53:23Speaker 7: and to do that at scale. So what this enthusiasm
- 53:25Speaker 7: does is take the infrastructure we've built, that intention, and
- 53:29Speaker 7: have enough people to carry forward into those places that
- 53:31Speaker 7: can cut through an otherwise.
- 53:32Speaker 4: Pretty fractured media environment.
- 53:34Speaker 5: How are you feeling about the 2nd District of Nebraska?
- 53:36Speaker 4: I'm feeling great about the 2nd District of Nebraska. We
- 53:38Speaker 4: had a great rally there.
- 53:39Speaker 7: We had 7,000 RCPs within a span of six hours
- 53:42Speaker 7: for Tim Walls. He sold the building out, of course.
- 53:46Speaker 7: Good team on the ground, and I think that we'll
- 53:47Speaker 7: have a great chance to win the 2nd District.
- 53:49Speaker 5: I mean, I hope so. I ask that only because
- 53:52Speaker 5: I know you guys don't think about paths, but the
- 53:56Speaker 5: one path depends on the 2nd District of Nebraska. Have
- 53:59Speaker 5: you heard anything about Republicans making another run and trying
- 54:02Speaker 5: to turn the state into a winner-take-all situation?
- 54:04Speaker 4: You know, it's not something we track too closely.
- 54:06Speaker 7: I think that our message here is to build something
- 54:08Speaker 7: on the ground that can be lasting and large. The
- 54:10Speaker 7: fact that Governor Walz came there and you saw such
- 54:13Speaker 7: tremendous enthusiasm for his candidacy I think helps on all
- 54:15Speaker 7: those measures, but we feel good about it.
- 54:18Speaker 1: There's obviously been a lot of focus on, you know,
- 54:21Speaker 1: the anti-MAGA coalition coming together over the last month since
- 54:24Speaker 1: the vice president's become the nominee and sort of the
- 54:26Speaker 1: polls have tightened. Is there anything with Kamala Harris as
- 54:29Speaker 1: the nominee that now opened up sort of new challenges
- 54:32Speaker 1: for you guys that you hadn't had before when Biden
- 54:35Speaker 1: was the nominee?
- 54:36Speaker 7: I mean, the challenge that we really have right now,
- 54:39Speaker 7: less so about her as a candidate, more so about
- 54:41Speaker 7: the fact that it's a different race from a structural standpoint,
- 54:44Speaker 7: not with the voters, not with the polls. but structurally
- 54:46Speaker 7: with the people coming in. We have to run a
- 54:49Speaker 7: different kind of campaign now in some respects. Yes, we
- 54:52Speaker 7: have the infrastructure built, yes, you have the offices, you
- 54:54Speaker 7: have the staff, you have an approach to people in
- 54:56Speaker 7: these battleground states, but now we have to meet the
- 54:58Speaker 7: demand of literally hundreds of thousands of people coming in
- 55:01Speaker 7: and wanting somewhere to go. One, they gotta know more
- 55:04Speaker 7: about Kamala Harris. They like her, the first impression's been phenomenal,
- 55:07Speaker 7: but we gotta fill that with a real story of
- 55:09Speaker 7: her bio before the other side does that against us, right?
- 55:13Speaker 7: And then arm them with the ability to go carry
- 55:14Speaker 7: that forward to other voters. So I think every day,
- 55:17Speaker 7: and this is what keeps me up at night to
- 55:18Speaker 7: the extent anything does, is racing to meet that demand.
- 55:22Speaker 4: You know, we caught the car in some respects.
- 55:23Speaker 7: And so the team has to be built fast enough
- 55:25Speaker 7: and stay up, keep up with that so that we
- 55:27Speaker 7: can service that.
- 55:28Speaker 1: Is there anything that you think the Trump campaign is
- 55:31Speaker 1: doing well that worries you?
- 55:34Speaker 7: Well, I'm not sure if something they're doing well that
- 55:36Speaker 7: worries me. I just know that they have the ability
- 55:38Speaker 7: and he has the ability to completely operate independently from.
- 55:42Speaker 4: Any ethics or morals.
- 55:45Speaker 7: And so whether it's election interference or denialism or whatever else,
- 55:49Speaker 7: you just can't trust that they'll play straight and fair.
- 55:50Speaker 4: They won't, right?
- 55:52Speaker 7: And so I think we're prepared for that. And on
- 55:54Speaker 7: that point, nothing like experience. We saw this in 2020.
- 55:57Speaker 7: We've had a really good voter protection team, of course.
- 56:01Speaker 7: but also a legal operation built way earlier than ever before,
- 56:05Speaker 7: taking on challenges even months or years ahead of, more
- 56:09Speaker 7: than a year ahead of the actual election, to help
- 56:11Speaker 7: set the stage for a strong legal defense in the fall,
- 56:14Speaker 7: because we know they'll bring stuff that's off the wall,
- 56:16Speaker 7: but you have to knock it all down, of course.
- 56:19Speaker 7: And so that's a place that's unknown for us, how
- 56:22Speaker 7: they'll do that, but we know that they'll try, and
- 56:25Speaker 7: the team is prepared.
- 56:26Speaker 5: Prior to Kamala Harris becoming the nominee, the Republicans were
- 56:30Speaker 5: making bones about competing in Virginia, New Mexico, New Hampshire.
- 56:37Speaker 5: Public polling I've seen shows that those are sort of
- 56:38Speaker 5: reverted back to where they are. Do you guys have
- 56:39Speaker 5: to play any defense there in terms of, do you
- 56:41Speaker 5: have operations built there at all?
- 56:43Speaker 2: We do.
- 56:43Speaker 7: We don't take any votes for granted. You know, we've
- 56:45Speaker 7: got a team in Virginia and in Minnesota, right, in
- 56:47Speaker 7: Maine and New Hampshire. And we don't expect that we
- 56:50Speaker 7: can just not talk to voters and have it work
- 56:52Speaker 7: out for us, right?
- 56:53Speaker 4: So, yeah, we'll treat voters with respect and have a
- 56:55Speaker 4: good operation there. It doesn't change for us that the
- 56:58Speaker 4: theory that those four.
- 56:59Speaker 7: Or seven yeah really the seven and you know we
- 57:01Speaker 7: have folks in florida too florida's not gonna be 2020
- 57:04Speaker 7: florida it's not you know the center of the battleground
- 57:06Speaker 7: map that's that's pretty clear but there's an interest there
- 57:09Speaker 7: because there's a ballot measure there's a really bad abandoned
- 57:12Speaker 7: abortion um the politics there have been untested in some
- 57:15Speaker 7: respects and i'll just point out that what ron desantis
- 57:17Speaker 7: has done which people think works because he's won and
- 57:20Speaker 7: now he keeps doing this stuff but his most extreme
- 57:23Speaker 7: politics have not been on the ballot it's all happened
- 57:25Speaker 7: since his election And when it has been on the ballot,
- 57:27Speaker 7: Daniel Cameron tried that playbook and lost in Kentucky, right?
- 57:31Speaker 4: So I think Florida's interesting. We'll test that out a
- 57:34Speaker 4: little bit.
- 57:34Speaker 6: Okay.
- 57:36Speaker 1: That's news.
- 57:37Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 57:38Speaker 1: Interesting.
- 57:39Speaker 2: It's interesting.
- 57:40Speaker 1: It is an interesting state.
- 57:42Speaker 5: Maybe news was a little bit of an exaggeration there,
- 57:44Speaker 5: but it was interesting to me. You know, one thing
- 57:47Speaker 5: that keeps us all up at night is whether the
- 57:50Speaker 5: data is correct, right? In 2020... The polls were off by,
- 57:55Speaker 5: you know, eight points in some cases. I think the
- 57:58Speaker 5: Biden campaign had better day than anyone else, but even still,
- 58:00Speaker 5: you know, that campaign was in Iowa and Ohio at
- 58:04Speaker 5: the end, right? Can you talk a little bit about
- 58:08Speaker 5: anything you guys have done or that may give you
- 58:11Speaker 5: more confidence that you're accurately assessing what the electorate will
- 58:15Speaker 5: look like in November?
- 58:17Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 58:18Speaker 7: I mean, I think over every single cycle, and you
- 58:20Speaker 7: know this, the Democratic data operation iterates.
- 58:22Speaker 4: It does not We iterated backwards for a little bit,
- 58:24Speaker 4: but we're iterating forward again. We're iterating in the correct direction, yes.
- 58:28Speaker 1: We're not going back.
- 58:28Speaker 4: We're iterating forward, yes.
- 58:31Speaker 7: But I have a great deal of confidence that we
- 58:33Speaker 7: have a robust operation there that's got a lot of data,
- 58:36Speaker 7: a ton of it, a very good approach to how
- 58:38Speaker 7: we think about it, a conservative approach to how we
- 58:41Speaker 7: evaluate what's real and.
- 58:42Speaker 4: What's not real.
- 58:43Speaker 7: I think people watching this, back to the polar coaster,
- 58:46Speaker 7: just shouldn't worry about the head-to-head stuff too much. The
- 58:49Speaker 7: data that's the best data, of course, is the actual
- 58:51Speaker 7: data election results. And we kind of know where that's been.
- 58:54Speaker 7: But in terms of our operations and what voters we
- 58:56Speaker 7: talk to, how we think about registration, how we think
- 58:58Speaker 7: about expanding the electorate, where we have to go, I
- 59:01Speaker 7: think we have a really sophisticated operation. Democrats have put
- 59:03Speaker 7: a lot of resources in the last several cycles into
- 59:05Speaker 7: making sure it's strong, it's robust, and we have access
- 59:07Speaker 7: to it.
- 59:09Speaker 1: Dan Kananen.
- 59:13Speaker 5: For our listeners who are fired up about Kamala Harris
- 59:15Speaker 5: and Tim Walz, where can they go to help you
- 59:18Speaker 5: elect them president?
- 59:18Speaker 2: Thank you, Dan.
- 59:19Speaker 4: I was going to get there.
- 59:20Speaker 2: They can go to go.kamalaharris.com I'll say it again, go.kamalaharris.com.
- 59:30Speaker 7: Phone bank canvas shift just get involved in any way
- 59:33Speaker 7: you can and we'll sign you up.
- 59:35Speaker 1: They'll put you to work guys they will sign up
- 59:37Speaker 1: Dan Cannon thank you so much for joining us and
- 59:40Speaker 1: good luck out there.
- 59:41Speaker 4: Thanks Sean thanks Dan.
- 59:47Speaker 1: That's our show for today we'll be back on Wednesday
- 59:49Speaker 1: with Lovett and guest host Simone Sanders Townsend friend of
- 59:52Speaker 1: the pod MSNBC host and of course former Kamala Harris
- 59:56Speaker 1: advisor jealous haven't seen Simone in a while talk to
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