Latest / Early Edition with Ryan Bridge / Full Show Podcast: 05 November 2024
Transcript
- 0:01Speaker 1: The issues, the interviews and the inside. Ryan Bridge new
- 0:08Speaker 1: for twenty twenty four on the early edition with Smith City,
- 0:12Speaker 1: New Zealand's furniture vans and a playing store.
- 0:14Speaker 2: News Talk sa'd be good morning, New Zealand. It is
- 0:17Speaker 2: six half to five year old. News Talk said b
- 0:19Speaker 2: coming up this morning. Right now, Donald Trump is speaking
- 0:21Speaker 2: at a rally in North Carolina and Thomas Coglan is there.
- 0:24Speaker 2: He's with us just before six donnod de Mayo on
- 0:26Speaker 2: who's going to win the Melbourne Cup. Today we will
- 0:30Speaker 2: look at the catch up classes supposedly going to fix
- 0:34Speaker 2: our students' maths results. Will they Plus do you need
- 0:37Speaker 2: a house to get ahead? In New Zealand? We've got
- 0:40Speaker 2: the survey results for you too.
- 0:43Speaker 1: The agenda.
- 0:44Speaker 2: It is Tuesday, the fifth of November. Welcome to the show.
- 0:47Speaker 2: Ten people have died in our volcanic eruption. This is
- 0:50Speaker 2: in eastern Indonesia. They're watching in Australia the airspace closely
- 0:54Speaker 2: to see if any flights might be affected. Rocks and
- 0:57Speaker 2: lava hit a village full killing me is away from
- 1:00Speaker 2: the crater. Indonesia's Disaster Release Agency says it's possible that
- 1:06Speaker 2: flash flooding and cold lava flows in the days ahead
- 1:10Speaker 2: are possible. A fifty eight day state of emergency has
- 1:12Speaker 2: been declared in Spain. They just can't catch a break.
- 1:16Speaker 2: Fifty flights have been diverted from Barcelona following a red
- 1:19Speaker 2: alert where they're warning just days after severe flooding in Valencia.
- 1:22Speaker 3: Red alert has been issued by the Meteorological Office and
- 1:28Speaker 3: there is torrential rain right now. This has affected Barcelona
- 1:32Speaker 3: Airport with flights being diverted. It's affecting rail travel with
- 1:36Speaker 3: several rail lines down at the moment. Is also affecting roads.
- 1:41Speaker 2: Here's what to watch today. The Aussies are expecting a
- 1:44Speaker 2: Reserve Bank decision on the OCR It's likely to hold.
- 1:47Speaker 2: Banks are predicting it won't be large to twenty twenty five.
- 1:50Speaker 2: Currently they're at four point three five percent. Inflation is
- 1:52Speaker 2: still a problem here. Tomorrow, our quarter three labor market
- 1:55Speaker 2: data is out. You'll probably see another rise in unemployment
- 1:59Speaker 2: from four point six per cent in quarter two to
- 2:01Speaker 2: around the five percent mark for quarter three. That would mean,
- 2:04Speaker 2: if you listen to the economists, probably a fifty basis
- 2:07Speaker 2: point cut to the interest rate here on November twenty
- 2:09Speaker 2: seven to get that seventy five basis point cut that
- 2:12Speaker 2: everyone wants. You'd have to see employment head around five
- 2:16Speaker 2: and a half percent. Also tomorrow, I'll be hosting The
- 2:19Speaker 2: Herald's live election coverage from four pm. You can go
- 2:22Speaker 2: to the Herald homepage. You'll see a TV screen live
- 2:25Speaker 2: streaming at the top of the page and you can
- 2:27Speaker 2: watch it. Then. We are not going We're running.
- 2:32Speaker 4: Against something far bigger than Joe or Kama.
- 2:36Speaker 5: They are indeed the enemy from within.
- 2:38Speaker 2: You'll see analysis from Thomas cognan on the ground, Mitch McCann,
- 2:42Speaker 2: ex trade negotiator, Charles Finny, political experts Trishus and Jose
- 2:45Speaker 2: mcganney will be at the US ambassador's party, plus all
- 2:48Speaker 2: the numbers in any action via our partner broadcasters out
- 2:51Speaker 2: of the States. News Talk ZB of course has live
- 2:54Speaker 2: coverage throughout the day too. Heather, We'll be on here
- 2:56Speaker 2: as usual during drive tomorrow. Now TOIA, they have banned
- 3:01Speaker 2: the importation of private petrol powered vehicles in part due
- 3:06Speaker 2: to soaring petrol prices. You're only now allowed to buy evs.
- 3:11Speaker 4: To avoid environmental pollution, a zulus for their country's economic benefits.
- 3:15Speaker 4: The Electric Cause Policy is signed to me, it isntly
- 3:18Speaker 4: what an electric cup and the continue me thoughts on
- 3:20Speaker 4: electric CAUs have changed for the better.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Only problem with that Ethiopia has serious issues providing consistent
- 3:28Speaker 2: power supply to its capital city and spare ev parts
- 3:32Speaker 2: are hard to get.
- 3:35Speaker 1: The news you need this morning and the in depth
- 3:38Speaker 1: analysis early edition with Ryan Bridge and Swift City, New
- 3:42Speaker 1: Zealand's furniture beds and applying store news talks it'd.
- 3:45Speaker 2: Be in the United States this morning, the dollar is
- 3:48Speaker 2: down point six of a percent, not a huge drop.
- 3:50Speaker 2: It's the lowest level in two weeks, but it tells
- 3:53Speaker 2: the story, and it tells the story of the strength
- 3:56Speaker 2: of the dollar in the US. So Donald Trump, obvious,
- 4:00Speaker 2: people think he well, people have thought he was sort
- 4:03Speaker 2: of a chewing to get into the White House, not
- 4:05Speaker 2: necessarily a chowin, but that it was more likely than
- 4:08Speaker 2: not that he would get into the White House. And obviously,
- 4:11Speaker 2: with his trade policies Trump trade as they call it,
- 4:14Speaker 2: Republican policies would push up inflation in the United States
- 4:19Speaker 2: and that would force the Federal Reserve to hike interest
- 4:22Speaker 2: rates again, which have been higher returns on US assets,
- 4:26Speaker 2: which would then make the dollar more attractive right now
- 4:28Speaker 2: because the Poles have started to some Poles have started
- 4:31Speaker 2: to turn a little bit in Harris's favor, with the
- 4:34Speaker 2: Poles shifting slightly towards Harris. That strength in the news
- 4:38Speaker 2: in the American dollar is coming off a bit. So
- 4:41Speaker 2: it's down point six overnight last night. That's the news
- 4:44Speaker 2: that's hiten just now. Also, what I find interesting about
- 4:48Speaker 2: the whole US election thing is this polster herding issue.
- 4:53Speaker 2: Have listened to Alex Costellonis. He is a respected pole strategist.
- 4:57Speaker 2: He campaigned for Bush and for rom but he set
- 5:00Speaker 2: up a bipartisan comms firm. This is what he says
- 5:04Speaker 2: about the fact that all the Poles seem to show
- 5:07Speaker 2: kind of the same thing.
- 5:08Speaker 6: We're all missing something because they're giving us the same
- 5:12Speaker 6: poll over and over again. There isn't even statistical variation.
- 5:17Speaker 6: You know, ninety five percent confidence level means that five
- 5:20Speaker 6: percent of the time you're going to get a crappy poll.
- 5:22Speaker 6: We hardly ever see that. It's like they're telling us
- 5:24Speaker 6: we're watching a basketball game. Wherever he plays a jump ball,
- 5:28Speaker 6: somebody is missing something.
- 5:30Speaker 2: Now, did we see that in Iowa yesterday? This an
- 5:34Speaker 2: outlier of a poll was that a rogue pole? Well,
- 5:36Speaker 2: I guess we'll have to wait and see. Not long now. However,
- 5:39Speaker 2: what is interesting is and what this will come down to,
- 5:42Speaker 2: is how much these Republicans and Democrats can get their
- 5:46Speaker 2: base out to vote versus where those independents are going.
- 5:51Speaker 2: Who are they breaking for? Is it for Harris or
- 5:54Speaker 2: is it for Trump? We'll ask Thomas Coglan about that.
- 5:56Speaker 2: He's on the show just before six, which.
- 6:01Speaker 3: Nothing of you and looking.
- 6:05Speaker 2: Sounds like a good idea giving students who aren't performing
- 6:08Speaker 2: in maths and extratuition. Is it going to work? We'll
- 6:11Speaker 2: look at that. Next News Talk, zaid B. It is
- 6:13Speaker 2: twelve after five.
- 6:16Speaker 7: Gotta green, run into my body.
- 6:19Speaker 2: Got a hord.
- 6:22Speaker 1: Get ahead of the headlines, Ryan Bridge, you for twenty
- 6:25Speaker 1: twenty four on early edition with Smith City, New Zealand's
- 6:29Speaker 1: furniture beds and a playing store.
- 6:31Speaker 2: News Talk sied B just gone fourteen after five year
- 6:34Speaker 2: on news Talk said, be a text from one of
- 6:36Speaker 2: our listeners this morning, Ryan, all the wailing from the
- 6:39Speaker 2: wet left over when he attending the Melbourne Cup. At
- 6:42Speaker 2: least he's not wandering across the stage at the World
- 6:45Speaker 2: of Wearable Arts he's there doing other stuff too. He's
- 6:48Speaker 2: meeting with the Australia has Australian counterparts, but also he's
- 6:51Speaker 2: meeting with his Indian counterparts, his peers from the Indian
- 6:56Speaker 2: government who were there as well. I'm probably all going
- 6:58Speaker 2: to the Melbourne Cup and I met. But I mean
- 7:01Speaker 2: that's part of the job, isn't it. A quarter past five,
- 7:05Speaker 2: The government's playing catch up on student maths failures, trialing
- 7:08Speaker 2: a targeted math program to help intermediate students. From term
- 7:12Speaker 2: one next year two thousand, year seven and eight students
- 7:16Speaker 2: will be part of an intensive program to get them
- 7:18Speaker 2: up to speed with the required curriculum level. The kids
- 7:22Speaker 2: will get thirty minutes extra online tuition for up to
- 7:25Speaker 2: four times a week. Kyle Brewerton is the Remuerra Intermediate
- 7:29Speaker 2: School principal. He's with us this morning, Kyl, Good morning,
- 7:32Speaker 2: Good morning, Ryan, Thanks for being with me. Will this
- 7:34Speaker 2: make a difference.
- 7:37Speaker 8: Well, that's what we'll find out. That's while we're doing
- 7:40Speaker 8: the trial. The approach has some merit. Using those online
- 7:44Speaker 8: tools they're very efficient generally at finding out where potentially
- 7:47Speaker 8: those gaps are. But having the human element as well
- 7:51Speaker 8: connected with it, I think, you know, the combination of
- 7:53Speaker 8: the two should certainly go some ways to help those
- 7:56Speaker 8: kids who we've found to be lacking.
- 7:59Speaker 2: How many of your kids are lacking?
- 8:02Speaker 8: They're not many. We're pretty pretty lucky where we are,
- 8:05Speaker 8: but certainly nationally we know that there's a substantial number
- 8:08Speaker 8: of kids who definitely need some extra help at the moment.
- 8:11Speaker 2: What does it what makes the difference for your kids?
- 8:14Speaker 2: Is it the fact they're getting a reinforced at home.
- 8:19Speaker 8: There's a host of different factors. We certainly, I mean
- 8:23Speaker 8: in our own school, we know that the gains that
- 8:25Speaker 8: they make when they're with us are pretty spectacular. We
- 8:29Speaker 8: know we have some great programs, we have some great teachers.
- 8:32Speaker 8: We also use some of those online tools. It's just
- 8:35Speaker 8: a combination of things.
- 8:36Speaker 5: Really.
- 8:36Speaker 2: Is it a real teacher doing a lesson in this
- 8:40Speaker 2: half hour online or is it like a multi choice
- 8:43Speaker 2: of questions and stuff.
- 8:45Speaker 8: Yes, again, it's a combination of the two.
- 8:48Speaker 5: Really.
- 8:48Speaker 8: So the software atself, as I said, is pretty good
- 8:52Speaker 8: at finding out where those gaps are and then giving
- 8:54Speaker 8: some sort of tuition, some guidance, some examples, but then
- 8:59Speaker 8: having also a teacher, or at least the trains teacher
- 9:02Speaker 8: ade alongside them helping them to understand that makes sense
- 9:06Speaker 8: of what it is that perhaps those gaps that they
- 9:09Speaker 8: might have to explain some of those concepts because maths
- 9:13Speaker 8: can be a little bit ambiguous at times, a little
- 9:16Speaker 8: bit abstract. So the human element combined with those software,
- 9:20Speaker 8: particularly the ones that do, as I say, find those gaps,
- 9:25Speaker 8: it's a powerful combination.
- 9:26Speaker 2: The testing that goes on. How often are you testing
- 9:30Speaker 2: at the moment your intermediate students for maths?
- 9:35Speaker 8: Yeah, so there's two parts, and I mean we tend
- 9:37Speaker 8: to sort of focus on the assessment piece, but the
- 9:40Speaker 8: testing is used largely to look at those big trends.
- 9:45Speaker 8: So we'll do that twice a year to see how
- 9:47Speaker 8: overall how our kids are tracking, how particular groups are
- 9:50Speaker 8: tracking over the two years with us. But then we
- 9:53Speaker 8: also as we move through the different parts of maths,
- 9:56Speaker 8: we'll do some little assessments. We're also obviously watching and
- 10:00Speaker 8: sitting alongside them the whole time, just seeing who's understanding
- 10:04Speaker 8: and who's not, and what sort of extra support might
- 10:06Speaker 8: be needed as we go.
- 10:07Speaker 2: Do you do that more than other schools? Because the
- 10:10Speaker 2: government's make from next year it'll be at least two
- 10:14Speaker 2: assessments per year for math. Are others not doing that?
- 10:18Speaker 8: Well, that's what we've been told, but I certainly can't
- 10:20Speaker 8: speak for other schools, certainly the schools around me and
- 10:23Speaker 8: people I talk to. It's a pretty standard approach because
- 10:27Speaker 8: you know, you want to do it a couple of
- 10:28Speaker 8: times a year just to see as I see those trends,
- 10:30Speaker 8: that movement, that progress, and also make sure you're catching
- 10:34Speaker 8: those ones who aren't keeping up.
- 10:37Speaker 2: Thanks so much for your time, Kyle. Great to have
- 10:39Speaker 2: you on the show. Kyl Bruce and the Auckland Primary Sorry,
- 10:42Speaker 2: who is the Remuer Intermediate School Principal? It is eighteen
- 10:46Speaker 2: after five. You're on News Talk, said B on.
- 10:49Speaker 1: Your radio and online on iHeartRadio Early edition with Ryan
- 10:54Speaker 1: Bridge and SMIT City, New Zealand's Furniture Beds and a
- 10:57Speaker 1: Playing Store News Talk Zaid B.
- 10:59Speaker 2: Simons numbers out as well. This is about the swing states.
- 11:02Speaker 2: So for Georgia, Michigan, and Wisconsin for early voting, they
- 11:05Speaker 2: don't break it down by party affiliation, but they do
- 11:08Speaker 2: for others. In Arizona, for example, they can tell you
- 11:12Speaker 2: that of the early votes that have been cast, the
- 11:14Speaker 2: Democrats have got seven hundred and thirty six thousand odd
- 11:17Speaker 2: Republicans nine hundred and twenty four odd thousand, so Republicans
- 11:21Speaker 2: more Republicans getting out early. In Arizona, Nevada, the same thing,
- 11:26Speaker 2: Republicans four hundred and seven thousand, the Dems three hundred
- 11:29Speaker 2: and sixty four. North Carolina, it's neck and neck about
- 11:32Speaker 2: one point four million each and interestingly unaffiliated. That's your independence.
- 11:37Speaker 2: Who are they voting for? There's one point four million
- 11:40Speaker 2: of them and votes still to be counted. In Pennsylvania
- 11:43Speaker 2: obviously the king of the swings the early votes so far,
- 11:47Speaker 2: the Dems are ahead there nine hundred and ninety thousand
- 11:50Speaker 2: to the Republicans five hundred and eighty three. It is
- 11:53Speaker 2: twenty two after five.
- 11:55Speaker 1: Bryan Bridge.
- 11:56Speaker 2: We've had some insight into home ownership, a new report
- 11:58Speaker 2: from Kiwibank revealing eight five percent of us think that
- 12:01Speaker 2: owning a home is important, and two out of three
- 12:04Speaker 2: of us think it's essential to getting ahead. In New Zealand,
- 12:08Speaker 2: two thirds of non homeowners feel lockdown of the market
- 12:11Speaker 2: and almost half are open to exploring other ways to
- 12:14Speaker 2: get onto it. Sam Stubbs is these simplicity founderies with
- 12:17Speaker 2: us this morning. Sam, Good morning, Good morning, Ryan. Big
- 12:21Speaker 2: issue here is obviously saving for a deposit cost a
- 12:24Speaker 2: living crisis makes that very hard. How do you get
- 12:29Speaker 2: over that barrier? I mean, do we just have to
- 12:31Speaker 2: wait until wages go up again? Yeah?
- 12:33Speaker 5: Look, it's super hard, isn't it. I Mean, an awful
- 12:36Speaker 5: lot of people are now using kiwisaver as they're effectively
- 12:39Speaker 5: their first home deposit vehicle, right and it's pretty well
- 12:42Speaker 5: pretty well sorted for that because you put some money in,
- 12:45Speaker 5: your employer put some money in, and you can't otherwise
- 12:48Speaker 5: touch it really until then. So that's that's working out
- 12:52Speaker 5: to be useful. But the problem is, as you say,
- 12:55Speaker 5: even deposits are a very large sum of money, so
- 12:58Speaker 5: it takes a long time to be saved that So yeah,
- 13:01Speaker 5: I mean, you're absolutely right. Either wages have to go
- 13:04Speaker 5: up or taxes have to go down, or effectively we
- 13:07Speaker 5: have to spend less on living and save more via
- 13:09Speaker 5: a Kiwi saver. It's probably going to be a combination
- 13:12Speaker 5: of all those three things over the years, but it's
- 13:14Speaker 5: absolutely tough. You're right. You know. The really interesting number
- 13:17Speaker 5: for me, Ryan is that back in nineteen eighty about
- 13:21Speaker 5: eighty two percent of New Zealand. New Zealand has owned
- 13:24Speaker 5: their own home. Now it's about sixty two percent. So
- 13:28Speaker 5: since nineteen eighty we've had about twenty percent of New
- 13:30Speaker 5: Zealanders that basically had had to rent because they couldn't
- 13:33Speaker 5: have to buy their home. So owning your own home
- 13:35Speaker 5: is the Kiwi dream is just becoming harder.
- 13:38Speaker 2: I thought the interesting thing here was sixty six percent
- 13:40Speaker 2: of us say yes, you do need to own a
- 13:43Speaker 2: home in New Zealand in order to get ahead, which means,
- 13:46Speaker 2: I mean there's still a good chunk who don't think that,
- 13:48Speaker 2: that believe you can get ahead through other means.
- 13:52Speaker 5: Oh. Absolutely. You know, you've got the share market, you've
- 13:55Speaker 5: got Kiwi Saver, you've got investing in your own business.
- 13:57Speaker 5: There's a whole lot of other ways to make money.
- 14:00Speaker 5: And of course, you know, if you look at countries
- 14:02Speaker 5: like Germany, right, you know, more than fifty percent of
- 14:04Speaker 5: the population rent, and they rent because they can rent
- 14:07Speaker 5: very long term. I met a family in Berlin years
- 14:10Speaker 5: ago who's I think up to their fifth generation of
- 14:13Speaker 5: renting in the same home, and because they had rights
- 14:15Speaker 5: as renters, they could live there as of right. You know,
- 14:18Speaker 5: they basically couldn't be kicked out the apartment, couldn't be
- 14:21Speaker 5: sold from underneath them. They thought renting was perfectly reasonable
- 14:24Speaker 5: and they'd use the extra money to invest in other stuff.
- 14:28Speaker 5: So it's certainly not the only option, and I think
- 14:30Speaker 5: too of course, remember Ian is you've got a whole
- 14:32Speaker 5: lot of younger people who are moving around a lot
- 14:34Speaker 5: more right now. They don't necessarily buy into the dream
- 14:36Speaker 5: of buying a home and living in the same city
- 14:39Speaker 5: or town. You've got a whole lot of older people
- 14:41Speaker 5: too who say, you know what, I'd rather actually sell
- 14:43Speaker 5: the house, free up the money rent so I can
- 14:45Speaker 5: spend it on other stuff that I want in my
- 14:50Speaker 5: elder years, as long as I have housing security. So
- 14:53Speaker 5: that's the issue. Once you provide people with security, they
- 14:57Speaker 5: know they can stay there as long as they want.
- 15:00Speaker 5: Find a whole lot of people saying I don't really
- 15:01Speaker 5: mind whether I own own or rent. The other thing too,
- 15:05Speaker 5: of course, is that we've lived in the last thirty
- 15:07Speaker 5: years right in the world where house prices have kept
- 15:09Speaker 5: on going up. So there's this is some and we've
- 15:12Speaker 5: had we've had a tax system which is incentivized people
- 15:15Speaker 5: to buy houses because those gains are tax free, whereas
- 15:19Speaker 5: if you know, in theory, if you're stuck it in
- 15:21Speaker 5: the share market as a trader, or here we save it,
- 15:23Speaker 5: you pay taxes. Now is that going to carry on?
- 15:27Speaker 5: You know? I mean houses have become so unaffordable, there
- 15:30Speaker 5: has to be a point at which the house prices
- 15:32Speaker 5: stop rising as fast as they have in the past,
- 15:35Speaker 5: So maybe it won't be quite as good an investment
- 15:38Speaker 5: as it used to be.
- 15:39Speaker 2: Yeah, I agree with you there, Sam, I just I mean,
- 15:41Speaker 2: and you look at those reports from Treasury and the
- 15:43Speaker 2: like that say, well and the Tax Working Group that
- 15:46Speaker 2: adding a capital gains tax isn't necessarily going to bring
- 15:49Speaker 2: those prices down. But I take your point. Sam. Thank
- 15:51Speaker 2: you very much for coming on the show. Always appreciate it.
- 15:54Speaker 2: Sam Stubbs, Simplicity Founder. It's twenty six after five News
- 15:57Speaker 2: Talk said Big the early.
- 15:59Speaker 1: Edition Fullso podcast on iHeartRadio, Power It by News.
- 16:03Speaker 2: Talks v It is twenty eight after five year on
- 16:05Speaker 2: News Talk Zaib. The youth Court is a good idea
- 16:08Speaker 2: in theory because it tries to steer kids away from
- 16:11Speaker 2: an adult prison and the life of crime. But when
- 16:14Speaker 2: it fails, it fails spectacularly and we all paid the
- 16:18Speaker 2: price for its leniency. Take the teenager at Dante Eden.
- 16:22Speaker 2: For example, when he was sixteen, he bashed a seventy
- 16:24Speaker 2: eight year old man nearly to death while the old
- 16:26Speaker 2: guy slept in his bed. The judge gave him a
- 16:28Speaker 2: warning and told him to keep out of trouble. If
- 16:31Speaker 2: that's not lenient, I don't know what it is. Did
- 16:33Speaker 2: he say, out of trouble? No stuff? Reports? Three months
- 16:36Speaker 2: later he robbed a bloke in Wellington, stole from a
- 16:38Speaker 2: petrol station and resisted arrest by the cops. Now he's eighteen,
- 16:42Speaker 2: he'll be dealt with by the same judge, but in
- 16:44Speaker 2: a district court, not a youth court. I'm all for
- 16:46Speaker 2: second chances and the youth court in some cases, but
- 16:49Speaker 2: surely if you beat nearly to death an old man
- 16:52Speaker 2: in his bed in such a brutal fashion, there's nothing
- 16:55Speaker 2: particularly youthful about your actions. You're not acting like a
- 16:58Speaker 2: youth who's made a wee mistake and need to hand
- 17:00Speaker 2: turning things around. You acted like a thug and more
- 17:03Speaker 2: should be done to stop another crime from being committed.
- 17:05Speaker 2: This guy was seen running from the old man's house
- 17:07Speaker 2: with a crowbar, for goodness sakes, so the judge in
- 17:11Speaker 2: these new charges has given him home detention for the
- 17:15Speaker 2: second round offending. So you can beat an old man,
- 17:18Speaker 2: mug another, rip off a gas station and fight with
- 17:21Speaker 2: the cops and never see the inside of a cell.
- 17:25Speaker 2: Keeping him out of jail might be better for him
- 17:28Speaker 2: in the long term, we're told, but is it better
- 17:30Speaker 2: for us the public walking down the street or god forbid,
- 17:34Speaker 2: sleeping in our own beds? At night?
- 17:41Speaker 1: News and Views you trust to start your day, It's
- 17:44Speaker 1: early edition with Ryan Bridge and Smith City, New Zealand's
- 17:47Speaker 1: furniture Beds and a flying store.
- 17:49Speaker 2: News Talk saidy, good morning, New Zealand. It is twenty
- 17:59Speaker 2: four to six. Welcome to your Tuesday, I for you're
- 18:01Speaker 2: just joining us. Dono demayo out of Australia in just
- 18:04Speaker 2: a few moments time. Melbourne cup on today obviously the
- 18:06Speaker 2: umpire that dressed up as though Sama bin Laden. Thomas
- 18:10Speaker 2: Coglin is in North Carolina, the swing state for us.
- 18:12Speaker 2: This morning, we'll get all the latest on the campaign
- 18:15Speaker 2: China watching that campaign too, and then analysts watching China
- 18:19Speaker 2: watching the American campaign, and we're expecting big things. They
- 18:24Speaker 2: were expecting a bazooka stimulus announcement out of China. This
- 18:28Speaker 2: is because they anticipated that Beijing was moving its announcement
- 18:33Speaker 2: about a stimulus till after the election, waiting to see
- 18:35Speaker 2: who got in and how big the stimulus might need
- 18:37Speaker 2: to be because obviously they've got an economic downturn, which
- 18:40Speaker 2: affects all of us because we trade so much with them.
- 18:43Speaker 2: Sarah was saying, oh, licking their lips, going well, then
- 18:45Speaker 2: waiting till the election's over, and then they're going to
- 18:47Speaker 2: announce the stimulus. And if Trump gets and it's going
- 18:49Speaker 2: to be a giant stimulus. Apparently it's a one moment.
- 18:52Speaker 2: They just moved the announcement because of DeLay's scheduling delays
- 18:57Speaker 2: with some legislative meetings that are going on. So that's boring.
- 19:02Speaker 2: It has just gone twenty three minutes away from six
- 19:04Speaker 2: year on news talks here'd be legendary music producer Quincy
- 19:09Speaker 2: Jones has passed away at the age of ninety one.
- 19:12Speaker 2: Have listened to how he talks about the job he loved.
- 19:15Speaker 1: I like to think about the studio as a place
- 19:17Speaker 1: that's real sacred, you know, where magical things happen. Hopefully, No,
- 19:21Speaker 1: that's what great breakfasts are supposed to be about.
- 19:23Speaker 2: And they did. Michael Jackson, Frank Sinatra, you name it.
- 19:27Speaker 2: He produced the thriller album. He took fly Me to
- 19:29Speaker 2: the Moon from a waltz to a swing, which is
- 19:33Speaker 2: obviously instrumental in making it successful. Ninety one years old
- 19:36Speaker 2: died peacefully at home, Ryan Bridge. It's time to go
- 19:40Speaker 2: to our reporters around the country and we start in
- 19:43Speaker 2: Dunedin this morning. Good morning to Culum. Have we got
- 19:50Speaker 2: Colum on the line? I don't believe we do. We
- 19:53Speaker 2: will get to Cullum in just a second. Colum's going
- 19:55Speaker 2: to talk to us about the save our Southern Hospital campaign.
- 19:58Speaker 2: It's apparently heading north. Culumn, you're there morning, you got
- 20:02Speaker 2: me there? Good morning, I've got you just find so
- 20:04Speaker 2: how far north are we going with this campaign?
- 20:07Speaker 9: Well, it's this campaign hits the capital tomorrow. Cliff the
- 20:11Speaker 9: protest Ambulance is en route to Wellington to deliver this
- 20:14Speaker 9: petition calling on the government to reverse its cuts to
- 20:18Speaker 9: the city's hospitals.
- 20:20Speaker 2: To drive up.
- 20:21Speaker 9: To the steps of Parliament about twelve thirty tomorrow along
- 20:24Speaker 9: with the delegation including all of our local mayors here
- 20:28Speaker 9: and a member of the New Zealand Nurses organization. This
- 20:31Speaker 9: protest ambulance has already driven around the South gaining support
- 20:34Speaker 9: for the protest. Me Jill's Radick says, there's been a
- 20:37Speaker 9: lot of interest even from people outside of the Southern
- 20:39Speaker 9: region who care about this government's decision. How's your weather, cloudy,
- 20:44Speaker 9: chance of an afternoon or evening shower southerly is developing
- 20:47Speaker 9: and seventeen today, no.
- 20:48Speaker 2: One, thank you, Clise Sherewards and Christy, it's this morning clear.
- 20:50Speaker 2: The Garden City is cementing its position as the events
- 20:53Speaker 2: capital of New Zealand. Now is that just propaganda from you?
- 20:57Speaker 2: No way, Ryan, you.
- 20:58Speaker 10: Bet And it's nice to have a positive store glory
- 21:00Speaker 10: for once. We've got more than one hundred thousand people
- 21:03Speaker 10: expected in christ Church this month across one hundred and
- 21:06Speaker 10: fifty three events. That's at a range of different venues.
- 21:09Speaker 10: It's certainly a different story from those early post quake days.
- 21:14Speaker 10: We've got around forty three thousand people to set foot
- 21:16Speaker 10: at Wolfbrook Arena in November. That's seven events, ranging from
- 21:20Speaker 10: the Crowded House Tour to Hosier Of course. Venus Auto
- 21:23Speaker 10: Tahi Chief executive Caroline Harvey Tear is very excited about it.
- 21:27Speaker 10: She says they're going to see a strong demand for
- 21:29Speaker 10: events in the city for a long time from now.
- 21:32Speaker 10: She says, it's a great platform for what's to come,
- 21:34Speaker 10: and we've got plenty of new infrastructure.
- 21:36Speaker 2: On the way as well.
- 21:37Speaker 10: Of course the new stadium Takaha not far off.
- 21:39Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm looking forward to that opening. How's your weather clear?
- 21:42Speaker 10: Scattered rain about this morning, will ease though to one
- 21:45Speaker 10: or two showers north of east turning southerly and the
- 21:48Speaker 10: high as eighteen.
- 21:49Speaker 2: Thank you, Max Tolsan Wellington. The fate of these two
- 21:51Speaker 2: cats in that vet fire? Max? What do we know?
- 21:54Speaker 11: Yeah, so there was a fire in Kilberni at the
- 21:58Speaker 11: two story cave That's clinic early Sunday morning. Two cats
- 22:03Speaker 11: have been found, two are missing. Four apparently seemed to
- 22:06Speaker 11: escape at the time of the fire. All the other
- 22:09Speaker 11: animals were able to be rescued, but these four cats
- 22:12Speaker 11: ran away, it seems. Owner Nick Cooper says he still
- 22:16Speaker 11: doesn't know exactly if one or two may have died
- 22:19Speaker 11: in the fire, but they are looking for the two
- 22:21Speaker 11: that are missing. Some humane cat traps have been set
- 22:23Speaker 11: up around the clinic to catch them. What's new is
- 22:27Speaker 11: we may know the cause of the fire, and it's
- 22:29Speaker 11: quite sad. A tenant above their building. Had seemed to
- 22:32Speaker 11: be smoking on their deck through their cigarette but over
- 22:36Speaker 11: the railing and into some foliage.
- 22:37Speaker 2: And that's it.
- 22:38Speaker 11: That's the end of the vets.
- 22:39Speaker 2: Gosh, wow, what do you do? I guess it. How's
- 22:44Speaker 2: your wither? Hopefully raining?
- 22:46Speaker 11: Well it is overcast with periods of rain around midday,
- 22:50Speaker 11: strong northerly seventeen in the city.
- 22:52Speaker 2: Thank you Neivas and Augland this morning and Neva, good morning.
- 22:55Speaker 12: Good morning. Let's go on and oh well tell you.
- 22:59Speaker 12: They going to have their say fung on what public
- 23:02Speaker 12: transport options that they would like to coincide with this
- 23:06Speaker 12: new highway. So we know that the pen Link it's
- 23:09Speaker 12: going to be seven kilometers highway is due in late
- 23:11Speaker 12: twenty twenty six and it's going to apparently create a
- 23:14Speaker 12: quicker route between the peninsula and into the central city.
- 23:17Speaker 12: So Auckland Transports consulting on three options. One that would
- 23:21Speaker 12: see the current bus and ferries services run more often,
- 23:24Speaker 12: there's what they're saying. The other two options and see
- 23:26Speaker 12: additional services created. But what eight is going to do.
- 23:29Speaker 12: For now, They're going to hold five drop in sessions.
- 23:31Speaker 12: This is over the month of November this month, and
- 23:34Speaker 12: then'll give people a chance to, you know, talk to
- 23:36Speaker 12: the project team one on one and give their views.
- 23:39Speaker 2: Did they say which mode of transport will give the
- 23:42Speaker 2: quicker route?
- 23:43Speaker 7: No, they didn't.
- 23:44Speaker 2: Because I'm assuming they'd be like one of those bus
- 23:47Speaker 2: lanes that you know happen.
- 23:48Speaker 12: Ye, I think, because wouldn't be one of the fairies.
- 23:51Speaker 12: What it's going to be a busy week. You're going
- 23:55Speaker 12: to be busy lot. We've got Guy Fawkes tonight we
- 23:58Speaker 12: do Melbourne Cut the UI selection and you are going
- 24:02Speaker 12: to be doing the Hero.
- 24:04Speaker 2: Herald coverage tomorrow at four pm. Yes, which would be good.
- 24:07Speaker 2: People can tune in on the Herald website lovely.
- 24:10Speaker 12: But you're right, well you have a pillow and blanket
- 24:12Speaker 12: because then you're going to be on your show on
- 24:14Speaker 12: early edition the next morning.
- 24:15Speaker 2: It depends how late we go with that Herald live coverage.
- 24:19Speaker 2: I don't know at this point with it.
- 24:21Speaker 12: I think you might go late because it's going to
- 24:22Speaker 12: be so close.
- 24:23Speaker 2: Yeah, we'll be close and things. It may take days,
- 24:25Speaker 2: it may take weeks till we find out a result.
- 24:28Speaker 2: So the live stream could go on a very long time.
- 24:30Speaker 12: Because Tuesday morning we're coming in an hour earlier because
- 24:33Speaker 12: we're going to be doing live bulletins for four aears.
- 24:36Speaker 12: I'll be here. I might be here before you, or
- 24:39Speaker 12: if I am and you're sleeping under your disk, I
- 24:40Speaker 12: can wake you up.
- 24:42Speaker 2: I can wake you up at three. How's the weather today?
- 24:44Speaker 12: Partly clouding?
- 24:44Speaker 2: Nineteen it's the high brilliant neither thank you seventeen to
- 24:47Speaker 2: six News Talk ZB We're live to North Carolina in
- 24:49Speaker 2: just a few moments. Plus Donald May out.
- 24:52Speaker 1: Of Australia International correspondence with ends and eye insurance, peace
- 24:57Speaker 1: of mind for New Zealand business.
- 25:00Speaker 2: Fourteen to sex News Talk said, be Dona Jamayo is
- 25:03Speaker 2: our Australia correspondent, Dona the Melbourne Cup? Who should we well?
- 25:07Speaker 2: Who do we want in our sweepsteak at the office here?
- 25:09Speaker 13: Oh?
- 25:10Speaker 7: Oh, such a good question. I did my research. There's
- 25:13Speaker 7: three New Zealand horses. One of them has my lucky
- 25:16Speaker 7: number twenty four. So there's trusting you. There's positivity and
- 25:20Speaker 7: sharp and smart if you want to back a New
- 25:22Speaker 7: Zealand horse. But as you know, do you know how
- 25:26Speaker 7: much the prize money is for if you win the
- 25:27Speaker 7: Melbourne Cup?
- 25:28Speaker 2: I don't. What is that?
- 25:29Speaker 7: It's nearly five million dollars, So that's that's not that's
- 25:34Speaker 7: a pretty penny, right. It's going to be run for
- 25:37Speaker 7: the one hundred and sixty fourth time this year. There
- 25:40Speaker 7: are four women trying to join Michelle Payne, who nine
- 25:44Speaker 7: years ago became the first female jockey to ever win
- 25:46Speaker 7: the Melbourne Cup. So we have Jamie Carr, we have
- 25:50Speaker 7: Rachel King, Wenona Costa and Holly Doyle. So you could
- 25:52Speaker 7: possibly want to back a female jockey for a change,
- 25:57Speaker 7: a quirky reason to you know, find a back there
- 26:01Speaker 7: or someone tore back there. And then we've got a
- 26:04Speaker 7: little bit of celebrity at the track today. We have
- 26:07Speaker 7: Liz Hurley coming to Flemington to check out the races.
- 26:10Speaker 7: We also have Nicky Hilton and Sir Bob Geldoff is
- 26:15Speaker 7: a late addition.
- 26:16Speaker 2: And they couldn't get Paris Hilton. They just stuck with
- 26:19Speaker 2: Nicky instead of the B team, isn't it. But I
- 26:23Speaker 2: tell you what, Liz Hurley always looks great, doesn't she.
- 26:26Speaker 7: Oh look, everyone's going to be looking at what everyone's wearing,
- 26:28Speaker 7: but particularly Liz Hurley. I do agree. And the person
- 26:32Speaker 7: that's singing the national anthem, I thought this was a
- 26:33Speaker 7: lovely touch. The granddaughter of Sir Donald Bradman will be
- 26:37Speaker 7: singing the Australian National anthem at Flemington just before the
- 26:40Speaker 7: big race, which I thought was a lovely touch.
- 26:42Speaker 2: Hey very quickly. The leading football umpire that's been forced
- 26:47Speaker 2: to apologize for wearing a controversial fancy dress costume. What
- 26:50Speaker 2: was the costume? Oh gosh?
- 26:52Speaker 7: The theme for this end of season gathering was characters
- 26:57Speaker 7: from the two thousands? How many people could he chosen from?
- 27:01Speaker 7: What does he do? He dressed up as a sam
- 27:04Speaker 7: I've bin laden? Oh my goodness me. The costume has
- 27:07Speaker 7: been deemed inappropriate, offensive and in portaste and the afl
- 27:11Speaker 7: umpire has been forced to well. He has apologized. He
- 27:15Speaker 7: says it was an error of judgment and never intended
- 27:18Speaker 7: to offend. He has been subsequently suspended for a short period.
- 27:22Speaker 2: When will they learn? Thank you so much for that?
- 27:24Speaker 2: Donna Donald to Moore Australia corresponded twelve away from six Bridge. Right,
- 27:30Speaker 2: it's election day tomorrow. Everyone is excited? Well is everyone excited?
- 27:34Speaker 2: I suppose people are highly anticipating the result of the election.
- 27:38Speaker 2: That's a fair way to put it. Thomas Cognan is
- 27:40Speaker 2: the New Zealand Herald, deputy political editor. He is in Pennsylvania,
- 27:43Speaker 2: Pennsylvania as the king of the swings, So what's his
- 27:47Speaker 2: pick for what is going to happen. We'll go to
- 27:48Speaker 2: IM Live now. Hey Thomas, Hey Lauren Ryan, good to
- 27:52Speaker 2: have you on the show. What are you feeling? What's
- 27:54Speaker 2: the vibe?
- 27:56Speaker 13: The vibe changes wherever I go. I've been asking myself
- 28:00Speaker 13: question since I got here. I was in North Carolina
- 28:02Speaker 13: a couple of days ago and it was feeling very
- 28:05Speaker 13: kind of trumpy. I'm in downtown Philadelphia at the moment,
- 28:08Speaker 13: that's that's always going to be pretty hars so, and
- 28:10Speaker 13: it does feel like that. And then I was in
- 28:12Speaker 13: the suburbs of Philadelphia a couple of days before that,
- 28:14Speaker 13: and that was feeling a.
- 28:15Speaker 5: Bit of a mix.
- 28:16Speaker 13: And all the poles are saying it's incredibly close, and
- 28:19Speaker 13: it honestly feels that way here. It feels like there
- 28:22Speaker 13: is no convincing lead right as side.
- 28:25Speaker 2: What about this idea of polster herding? Is there any
- 28:28Speaker 2: truth in this idea where the posters are all waiting
- 28:31Speaker 2: their outcomes to be roughly the same, because it does
- 28:33Speaker 2: seem odd that every pole pretty much, I mean, you
- 28:36Speaker 2: have that Iowa won the outliner the other day. But
- 28:37Speaker 2: every pole pretty much has the neck and neck. Shouldn't
- 28:40Speaker 2: we have more rows?
- 28:42Speaker 13: So you mentioned that Iowa way, Yeah, yeah, you mentioned that.
- 28:46Speaker 13: I think they are Trump by three points. And it's
- 28:49Speaker 13: a new like, it's a very it's not just any poles.
- 28:53Speaker 13: That's one that's been very young. The money for presidents
- 28:58Speaker 13: there is got it wrong. The last three elections, two
- 29:04Speaker 13: presidential elections and then the last mini elections are quite wrong.
- 29:07Speaker 13: They have been looking at the methodologies to improve them,
- 29:12Speaker 13: and in doing so there is a convincing em to
- 29:15Speaker 13: be made that they might be overdating Donald Trump's argument
- 29:18Speaker 13: on chances. We won't know the answers of that until
- 29:22Speaker 13: the results are counted, but that actually does seem like
- 29:26Speaker 13: a very kind of potential potential out kind of what's
- 29:30Speaker 13: going on here, just because it is really quite weird
- 29:32Speaker 13: that all these poles are clustering, and they had hundreds
- 29:35Speaker 13: of poles over here, Ryan, not like every day.
- 29:39Speaker 2: We have the well we pretty much have till bought
- 29:41Speaker 2: mills and the Taxpayers Union doing us proud exactly. Hey,
- 29:46Speaker 2: what about the Houses of Congress? So who's going to
- 29:49Speaker 2: get the Senate? Who's going to get the because there
- 29:54Speaker 2: was talk that Republicans will definitely keep the Senate. Do
- 29:56Speaker 2: you think that'll happen?
- 30:00Speaker 13: It looks like a toss up at the moment. So
- 30:02Speaker 13: there are half a dozen races. I mean, in Pennsylvania
- 30:05Speaker 13: at the moment, they've got quite a contenditive centate race.
- 30:08Speaker 13: So it honestly, they could be they could be split.
- 30:13Speaker 13: They could all go one way, they could all the
- 30:15Speaker 13: other way. Again, I'm not sure. Again, it's too close
- 30:19Speaker 13: to all.
- 30:20Speaker 2: How much of this do you think will come down
- 30:22Speaker 2: to the you know, the Democrats and the Republicans getting
- 30:26Speaker 2: their base out versus those independents breaking one way or
- 30:31Speaker 2: the other? Sorry, I see how much of this will
- 30:37Speaker 2: come down to the Democrats and the Republicans getting their
- 30:40Speaker 2: base out versus the independence breaking for Harris or Trump
- 30:44Speaker 2: one way or the other.
- 30:48Speaker 13: It actually it's I mean, it does seem like a
- 30:50Speaker 13: bit of both. I think the Democrats are focusing on
- 30:55Speaker 13: on on trying to do a bit of both. I'm
- 30:59Speaker 13: definitely doing it that turnout game, but also trying to
- 31:02Speaker 13: break independence that way. It seems like the Republicans are
- 31:05Speaker 13: just simply focusing and the Republicans have always been quite
- 31:10Speaker 13: skeptical of early voting, but this election they are very
- 31:13Speaker 13: very keen to get early voting, to get early voting across,
- 31:17Speaker 13: to encourage the voters to early vote, because they don't want,
- 31:21Speaker 13: you know, if there's a massive blizzard tomorrow or a
- 31:23Speaker 13: rain storm or something that keeps people away from the polls.
- 31:26Speaker 13: They want to make sure that there as many of
- 31:27Speaker 13: their voters of voters possible so that a free givent
- 31:29Speaker 13: that that doesn't doesn't them their chances.
- 31:32Speaker 2: Thomas, thank you very much. We'll let you get back
- 31:34Speaker 2: to the campaign. Thomas Coglan, Herald, Deputy Political editor with
- 31:38Speaker 2: US in Pennsylvania. It is eight minutes away from six
- 31:41Speaker 2: News TALKSB.
- 31:42Speaker 1: Bryan Bridge, new for twenty twenty four on early edition
- 31:46Speaker 1: with Smith City, New Zealand's furniture Beds and a playing store.
- 31:50Speaker 2: News Talk ZIBB every Tuesday, everybody six to six. This
- 31:53Speaker 2: new study, a Canterbury University study surveyed four hundred social
- 31:57Speaker 2: media users eighteen to forty four years old. So not
- 31:59Speaker 2: quite you might, good morning to you. So they looked
- 32:04Speaker 2: at Facebook and Instagram use average of two and a
- 32:06Speaker 2: half hours a day on the platforms. Signs of addiction
- 32:09Speaker 2: that's one month of your life every year. But look
- 32:11Speaker 2: at the younger ones and it's even worse. Seven or
- 32:14Speaker 2: eight hours per day.
- 32:16Speaker 14: Yet again, Good morning, Ryan morning, Yet again, another reason
- 32:20Speaker 14: why academics shouldn't be allowed to do studies because look
- 32:23Speaker 14: at what the headline says. The headline says, we spend
- 32:26Speaker 14: more time on social media than we do.
- 32:28Speaker 2: Eating, eating, and eating social So there's your clickbait.
- 32:31Speaker 14: But think about it. Certain activities in life take time,
- 32:35Speaker 14: whereas eating doesn't have to. You have a sandwich at work,
- 32:38Speaker 14: it's five minutes long. You don't, doesn't mean anything. You
- 32:41Speaker 14: wouldn't want people eating all day.
- 32:43Speaker 2: They'd be I.
- 32:44Speaker 14: Spent five hours to day eating.
- 32:45Speaker 2: They think you're mental. So you've been about to talk.
- 32:48Speaker 14: Of course you're going to be scrolling. It depends, and
- 32:51Speaker 14: surely it depends on what you're scrolling through.
- 32:53Speaker 2: But I think this is the journalist doing this angle
- 32:56Speaker 2: at the top. But the journal is seven hours a
- 33:00Speaker 2: day for young people on a phone. I mean that's well,
- 33:03Speaker 2: it depends. Well.
- 33:03Speaker 14: I mean when you say a phone so little media,
- 33:06Speaker 14: I reckon I would read six hours a.
- 33:08Speaker 2: Day, yeah, but not social media, not social tok.
- 33:11Speaker 14: No, no no. But it's all it's all tied up,
- 33:14Speaker 14: isn't if you're reading and your learning. I mean, if
- 33:16Speaker 14: you're just literally doom scrolling. I suppose you know you.
- 33:19Speaker 2: Do learn on TikTok. It's not all bad. What's on
- 33:22Speaker 2: the show today got Boris Johnson. Not bad, not bad.
- 33:26Speaker 14: And there's a story this morning floating about these these
- 33:30Speaker 14: military academies. Do you see the POSTCAB conference yesterday? He
- 33:33Speaker 14: who likes to spoke pretty eloquently and almost emotionally, I
- 33:36Speaker 14: thought about those and he's been to visit them and
- 33:38Speaker 14: looked at some of the young people in there. Anyway,
- 33:40Speaker 14: the story this morning is the Greens have got hold
- 33:42Speaker 14: of some official information and stuff. They haven't passed the
- 33:46Speaker 14: legislation yet as to how they're going to run them properly,
- 33:49Speaker 14: so it's just a trick.
- 33:50Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 33:50Speaker 14: But what they're suggesting is that there's a there's a
- 33:53Speaker 14: can you use force? Yeah question around it, and if
- 33:57Speaker 14: you can use force, are you then going down the
- 33:59Speaker 14: whole treating people badly in care? So we'll talk to
- 34:02Speaker 14: the Prime minister about that.
- 34:03Speaker 2: Brilliant Boris Johnson and the Prime Minister on with Mike.
- 34:06Speaker 2: Did they have a great day of run Sea tomorrow.
- 34:13Speaker 1: For more from Early Edition with Ryan Bridge, Listen live
- 34:16Speaker 1: to news talks it'd be from five am weekdays, or
- 34:19Speaker 1: follow the podcast on iHeartRadio