Latest / Turley Talks / Ep. 4008 The Trump PEACE DEAL Just Rendered Iran Completely POWERLESS!!!
Transcript
- 0:00[SPEAKER_00]: The liberal globalist order is on its brink and awakening a new conservative age.
- 0:06[SPEAKER_00]: Dr. Steve Turley, join me every day as we discover answers to today's toughest challenges and explore the re-bondalization of conservative civilization.
- 0:18[SPEAKER_00]: This is Turley Talks.
- 0:21[SPEAKER_00]: Everyone told Trump he was playing with fire.
- 0:24[SPEAKER_00]: The legacy media said he was reckless.
- 0:26[SPEAKER_00]: Turn cop oncasters said he was fighting Israel's war.
- 0:31[SPEAKER_00]: The left said he was going to start World War three.
- 0:33[SPEAKER_00]: And isolation has said he was being dragged into a forever war that would destroy his presidency.
- 0:40[SPEAKER_00]: and then the deal dropped and every single one of them was left with nothing to say.
- 0:48[SPEAKER_00]: Well, that obviously doesn't stop them from talking, but it's all sound and fury signifying nothing.
- 0:54[SPEAKER_00]: What President Trump just pulled off
- 0:56[SPEAKER_00]: It's not just a ceasefire, it's not just a memorandum, it's the complete and total strategic neutralization of the Islamic Republic of Iran, achieved in 60 days with no ground troops and at a lower casualty rate than Biden's disastrous Afghanistan withdrawal.
- 1:16[SPEAKER_00]: Stick with me in the very end of this video because I'm going to show you exactly what's in this deal.
- 1:21[SPEAKER_00]: Why Iran is now completely powerless and why every critic on the left and the right has just been proven catastrophically wrong.
- 1:33[SPEAKER_00]: Hey gang, it's me, Dr. Steve, you're a pageant professor.
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- 1:44[SPEAKER_00]: The full text of the MUU, the memorandum of understanding, signed by both President Trump and Iranian President Masood Pizashki in as well as the Iranian Parliament speaker.
- 1:56[SPEAKER_00]: Muhammad Galibov has now been officially released the 14 point memorandum, establishes an immediate cessation of hostilities on all fronts, commits Iran to ensuring free and unimpeded passage through the Strait of Hormuz, and requires Iran to verifiably dismantle its nuclear weapons program,
- 2:16[SPEAKER_00]: under international atomic energy agency supervision on Iranian soil.
- 2:21[SPEAKER_00]: In exchange, United States agrees to performance-based sanctions relief on Iranian crude oil exports, a pathway to lifting broader economic sanctions, and a $300 billion reconstruction framework all contingent on Iran's verifiable compliance step by step.
- 2:40[SPEAKER_00]: Now, now understand why this deal is so extraordinary.
- 2:45[SPEAKER_00]: We have to understand how it was made possible only by Trump successfully springing a trap.
- 2:53[SPEAKER_00]: on the Iranian regime.
- 2:55[SPEAKER_00]: For 47 years, the Islamic Republic constructed its entire geopolitical identity around a single strategic asset, the straight of Hormuz.
- 3:06[SPEAKER_00]: 20% of the world's daily oil supply passes through that narrow, 21-mile channel, coastal missile batteries, underground tunnel networks, packed with drones and anti-ship weapons,
- 3:17[SPEAKER_00]: fast attack boat swarms, radar systems covering every inch of the passage, the entire revolutionary guard, the RHGC, was built around one premise, make the straight so terrifying, so expensive to challenge that no American president would ever dare push Tehran to the bring.
- 3:38[SPEAKER_00]: The threat alone was sufficient.
- 3:40[SPEAKER_00]: The threat of a $200 barrel oil, the threat of mass cost-deliving crises, you know, just engulfing the West.
- 3:48[SPEAKER_00]: The threat of a global energy shock, no President wanted on his watch, seven presidents from Carter to Biden stood down in the face of that threat.
- 3:58[SPEAKER_00]: Then Donald Trump entered the scene, and he looked at the state of Hormuz and saw something different.
- 4:04[SPEAKER_00]: He didn't see a threat, he saw a trap.
- 4:08[SPEAKER_00]: A trap, he was gonna let Iran walk right into.
- 4:12[SPEAKER_00]: Here's the single most important thing you need to understand about this conflict.
- 4:17[SPEAKER_00]: Trump wanted Iran to close the straight.
- 4:22[SPEAKER_00]: I'll say that again, Trump wanted Iran to close the straight.
- 4:28[SPEAKER_00]: That's because the moment Iran shut, or moves,
- 4:31[SPEAKER_00]: United States didn't retreat, it counter-attacked economically.
- 4:37[SPEAKER_00]: The US Navy launched a counter-blockade, cutting off Iran's own ports.
- 4:43[SPEAKER_00]: and thus cutting Tehran off from its ability to export its own oil to the tune of losing $500 million of lost oil revenue per day.
- 4:54[SPEAKER_00]: All the while, simultaneously, U.S. forces launched a sustained escort operation, shepherding commercial vessels right through the straight under armed protection.
- 5:05[SPEAKER_00]: Iran's mosquito fleet could stop a single escorted ship, not one.
- 5:13[SPEAKER_00]: U.S. and Israeli forces first had to defang Iran militarily in order to do this.
- 5:19[SPEAKER_00]: So in the first two weeks of the war, U.S. and Israeli forces rendered Iran inert.
- 5:25[SPEAKER_00]: They destroyed nearly a trillion dollars in military infrastructure.
- 5:29[SPEAKER_00]: They destroyed their air force, their navy, 90% of their missile capacity, their launchers, a significant portion of their drones.
- 5:37[SPEAKER_00]: And so having been completely militarily defanged,
- 5:41[SPEAKER_00]: Iran was powerless to stop the counter-blockade, which again cut them off from a half a billion dollars a day of desperately needed oil revenue.
- 5:50[SPEAKER_00]: And like a rear naked chokehold and an MMA fight, right, UFC 250, they had to tap out.
- 5:58[SPEAKER_00]: Their central bank was in a free fall.
- 6:00[SPEAKER_00]: Their frozen assets were locked.
- 6:02[SPEAKER_00]: Gulf states refused to backstop them, even China runs long time economic lifeline quietly walked away as the war dragged on.
- 6:12[SPEAKER_00]: So the math was brutal and it was inexorable.
- 6:16[SPEAKER_00]: The longer Iran kept the straight closed,
- 6:19[SPEAKER_00]: the faster Iran was destroying itself.
- 6:22[SPEAKER_00]: That's the genius of Trump's counter-strategy.
- 6:27[SPEAKER_00]: He turned Iran's ultimate weapon into Iran's suicide vest.
- 6:33[SPEAKER_00]: And so they came, they had to.
- 6:35[SPEAKER_00]: They agreed, they didn't just agree, they actually offered a designer's standard to open Hormuz.
- 6:41[SPEAKER_00]: and because of the counter-blockade strategy employed by U.S. forces, Iran has had no choice but to open Hormuz permanently.
- 6:50[SPEAKER_00]: If they try to blockade or harass ships passing through the street ever again, U.S. forces are regional forces will just launch another counter-blockade and force them into an economic chokehold.
- 7:03[SPEAKER_00]: And as a result, take a look at Hormuz as of today.
- 7:08[SPEAKER_00]: traffic is returning to normal.
- 7:10[SPEAKER_00]: Ships are going in and out using Iran's traditionally designated shipping lanes over the last day.
- 7:16[SPEAKER_00]: Everything is moving along, rather smoothly, which of course is only contributing to the plunge and oil prices which are now at their lowest in months and they continue to drop by the day.
- 7:27[SPEAKER_00]: Now again, what's so key here?
- 7:30[SPEAKER_00]: is that left-wing agitators among the Democrats and legacy media, they're all saying, well, this is just a return to normalcy, a return to what we already had, which means for them, we got nowhere.
- 7:43[SPEAKER_00]: We did all this for nothing, just a return to where we were, this is patently false.
- 7:49[SPEAKER_00]: It's obviously false.
- 7:51[SPEAKER_00]: What we're seeing in Hormuz today is an entirely new
- 7:57[SPEAKER_00]: A world that can never, again, be held hostage by a hostile Iranian regime.
- 8:03[SPEAKER_00]: And that's precise because they walk straight into Trump's counter-blockade trap after having been completely militarily defanged.
- 8:12[SPEAKER_00]: So this is why Trump was so excited about this MOU, this memo of understanding because it confirmed that Iran had finally realized they had no air left.
- 8:22[SPEAKER_00]: They had to top out.
- 8:24[SPEAKER_00]: Again, Iran may certainly want to try to go back to their old shenanigans.
- 8:29[SPEAKER_00]: That's what everyone's worried about for sure.
- 8:31[SPEAKER_00]: But if anything involves harassing ships in the strait again, the rear naked chokehold comes back to make them temp out again.
- 8:43[SPEAKER_00]: In our media ecosystem here has yet to realize here is that President Trump has permanently changed the calculus and horror moves and that was the key, that was the lynch pin that locked in this deal.
- 8:57[SPEAKER_00]: And that's just the beginning of the winning.
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- 11:27[SPEAKER_00]: Now, for me, what was particularly impressive with this deals, how Trump basically bypassed, he kind of went in a, he took a third way between the two main factions that developed around the Iran war.
- 11:40[SPEAKER_00]: So of course, the single most vocal opponents of this war from its inception were, well, I guess we'll just call them the non-interventionists.
- 11:49[SPEAKER_00]: They immediately accused Trump of fighting Israel's wars.
- 11:53[SPEAKER_00]: That right, this was Trump doing the bidding of Netanyahu and being taken over by the other side and that was the Neocons.
- 11:59[SPEAKER_00]: And to be sure, they did form another side in this.
- 12:03[SPEAKER_00]: Netanyahu and the Neocons were very happy about what Trump was doing with Iran.
- 12:09[SPEAKER_00]: But as it turns out, as this comes to an end, who are the most upset about that which group is the most upset about the steel?
- 12:19[SPEAKER_00]: It's the Neocons, Netanyahu and the Neocons, right?
- 12:22[SPEAKER_00]: Ben Shapiro is calling the memorandum of disaster.
- 12:25[SPEAKER_00]: He's claiming it doesn't achieve any of Trump's core goals of ending Iranian nuclear enrichment or eliminating Iran's ballistic missiles.
- 12:32[SPEAKER_00]: Or he's even claiming it's allowing Iran to continue to toll the street of war moves all while getting sanctions relief on oil exports.
- 12:40[SPEAKER_00]: But of course, this assumes that the calculus in horror moves is the same as it was before the war.
- 12:48[SPEAKER_00]: which it's emphatically not.
- 12:50[SPEAKER_00]: It won lost or moves.
- 12:53[SPEAKER_00]: Permanently, the blockade and its ever-present threat, the counter-blockade, I should say, and its ever-present threat, has changed that calculus permanently.
- 13:02[SPEAKER_00]: They now have no choice.
- 13:04[SPEAKER_00]: to eventually comply with every demand Trump has on the table.
- 13:08[SPEAKER_00]: It's just that Trump believes that a carrot approach and approach a mutual benefit can work just as effectively or perhaps even more effectively than simply keeping them perpetually in a chokehold, the stick approach.
- 13:22[SPEAKER_00]: But that threat always remains, which is emphatically different from the way Obama or any other previous president approached Iran.
- 13:29[SPEAKER_00]: So the Neocons are upset because they didn't get what they wanted.
- 13:34[SPEAKER_00]: And that's in the end because Trump's goals were never Netanyahu's goals.
- 13:39[SPEAKER_00]: Trump's goals were never the Neocons' goals.
- 13:42[SPEAKER_00]: Trump had three overall geopolitical objectives here.
- 13:47[SPEAKER_00]: And he achieved every single one of them.
- 13:50[SPEAKER_00]: Goal one, remove the principal impediment to the Abraham Accord Security Architecture.
- 13:55[SPEAKER_00]: Done.
- 13:56[SPEAKER_00]: The Iranian proxy network has below Hamas who these, they have been decimated.
- 14:01[SPEAKER_00]: The architecture is now operational.
- 14:04[SPEAKER_00]: Goal number two, permanently boxed China out of the Middle East.
- 14:08[SPEAKER_00]: Done.
- 14:10[SPEAKER_00]: China, China's Iranian proxy is finished.
- 14:15[SPEAKER_00]: The street is under American aligned administration from this point forward, not Chinese.
- 14:21[SPEAKER_00]: goal three, recalibrate global energy geopolitics around American dominance.
- 14:28[SPEAKER_00]: Done.
- 14:29[SPEAKER_00]: United States has emerged for the first time in history as the world's largest oil and gas exporter.
- 14:35[SPEAKER_00]: An average index fund of US-based energy companies is up 67% the past 12 months, with the majority of those gains coming after the Iran conflict began.
- 14:45[SPEAKER_00]: All three goals, 60 days, no ground troops, fewer casualties than Biden's chaotic retreat from Afghanistan, this is not a neocon forever war, as much as they wanted it.
- 14:57[SPEAKER_00]: This is the antithesis of a forever war.
- 15:00[SPEAKER_00]: No 20-year occupation of Afghanistan producing zero structural benefit, no eight-year quagmire in Iraq, 60 days of air power, naval blockade,
- 15:17[SPEAKER_00]: And what about the non-intervention, especially those who claim that we're now descending into a forever war fighting Netanyahu's battles and appeasing the neocons?
- 15:28[SPEAKER_00]: You'll notice one of the most important factors in this whole detour is Trump like to call it.
- 15:34[SPEAKER_00]: all the claims by those same non-interventionists that this was going to ultimately fracture the Trump coalition.
- 15:42[SPEAKER_00]: That's what made all of this so bad.
- 15:45[SPEAKER_00]: Joining with Netanyahu and the Neoconsus we could have fractured the Trump coalition.
- 15:50[SPEAKER_00]: never happened.
- 15:52[SPEAKER_00]: All the polls show that Maggo solidly behind the president the entire time NBC actually at one point found a hundred percent support even CNN reported on that.
- 16:02[SPEAKER_00]: Fox News polling found 98 percent support of self-identified Maggo voters supporting president.
- 16:09[SPEAKER_00]: You got found 91 percent of self-identified Maggo voters approved of epic fury,
- 16:19[SPEAKER_00]: And then the irony is that the very neocons that the isolation is blamed for the war that once most upset over how it ended.
- 16:27[SPEAKER_00]: So here's the bottom line.
- 16:29[SPEAKER_00]: What Trump just did.
- 16:32[SPEAKER_00]: is he didn't just accomplish a ceasefire.
- 16:34[SPEAKER_00]: It's not just a pause.
- 16:36[SPEAKER_00]: It's not a piece of paper waiting to be violated.
- 16:40[SPEAKER_00]: It is the structural disarmament of the most dangerous state sponsor terrorism on the planet, achieved at a fraction of the cost in a fraction of the time that anyone thought remotely possible.
- 16:53[SPEAKER_00]: Iran can't close the straight again without triggering the immediate re-application of the counterblockade.
- 17:01[SPEAKER_00]: The economic visegrip is always one presidential order away, and it is infinitely worse for Iran than it is for the world.
- 17:10[SPEAKER_00]: Iran can't rebuild its nuclear program without sanction snapping back.
- 17:14[SPEAKER_00]: Iran can't rearm its proxies without forefitting the $300 billion reconstruction package on the table.
- 17:21[SPEAKER_00]: The carrots and the sticks are perfectly calibrated.
- 17:25[SPEAKER_00]: and Trump, as anyone who's ever read the art of the deal knows, is the master of exactly this kind of leverage architecture.
- 17:34[SPEAKER_00]: Every single critic said Trump couldn't do it.
- 17:37[SPEAKER_00]: Every single one of them was wrong.
- 17:40[SPEAKER_00]: The master of the art of the deal just changed the world.
- 17:45[SPEAKER_00]: Quick update before I go.
- 17:47[SPEAKER_00]: The Turley talks after hours meet up in Atlanta is filling up.
- 17:50[SPEAKER_00]: We're down to just a handful of VIP spots.
- 17:53[SPEAKER_00]: That's the upgrade with the one on one photo, signed book, and front row seating.
- 17:58[SPEAKER_00]: The free meet-up spots are moving too.
- 18:00[SPEAKER_00]: If you're registered for the ACCS conference, and you have an RSVPD yet, please go do that right now.
- 18:06[SPEAKER_00]: Link is in the description.
- 18:08[SPEAKER_00]: Atlanta June 25th through 27th, don't miss it.
- 18:12[SPEAKER_00]: Thanks so much for listening this episode of the Turley Talks podcast.
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- 18:29[SPEAKER_00]: Come back again tomorrow for another episode celebrating the rise of a new conservative age.