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NCAAB + NBA Best Bets Tuesday 2/24/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:05
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends the slump
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a
• 0:37
  Speaker 1: new peak. Actually, I'm going to burn my bruins hat man.
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know what is going on with the Bruins
• 0:44
  Speaker 1: arch hape? Is that what it is? I don't even
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know what data is anymore. But I don't
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: even know what data is anymore. Man, back with you
• 0:55
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am until I die at
• 1:02
  Speaker 1: least oh and two. Yesterday and yesterday did not go
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: well for me. Own five the worst month that I've
• 1:10
  Speaker 1: ever had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: know what to even tell you about this anymore. Slump perise,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody?
• 1:34
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you with Toadstool Sports for Tuesday,
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: February twenty fourth. We're on a four and oh or
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: on I believe, is that what it is? Yeah? Four
• 1:42
  Speaker 1: and oh. Over the last couple of days, win on
• 1:45
  Speaker 1: the one play gave out last night, Kansas turned it
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: on in the second half. I had it on while
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: I was doing the Racketology show last night, so thanks
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: for whoever hung out with for that show. It was
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: basically just already sock. Yeah, let's get into it, man.
• 2:05
  Speaker 1: We got college basketball, we got NBA. NHL returns tomorrow.
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: Tomorrow is gonna really be Yeah. I mean it's gonna
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: be a big day for handicapping. Like, it's gonna take
• 2:15
  Speaker 1: me a while. I think there won't be that much
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: NBA tomorrow, but still it's gonna be a big college
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: basketball board. Hockey is a big board. I'm a little
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: bit concerned about the work that I have to do,
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: and today I'm gonna give out seven plays today. I
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: just can't help myself. Man, there are just too many
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: spots that I like, and I don't even know if
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: the number is really that great on some of these.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: And I'm like, I don't care. We're playing the spot.
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: I'm feeling it. We're doing it. We have seven plays today,
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: five college basketball to NBA. You're gonna hate every single
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: one of them. But that's what I do. I play spots.
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: I play on bad teams. The NBA ones are gonna
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: be real ugly, so yeah, probably worse than the college ones.
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: Kyle Up, thanks for hanging out all right, start getting
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: into the man. Now, college basketball, we do have a
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: lot of big conference games tonight, so what I'm about
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: to say doesn't apply to too many of these games.
• 3:12
  Speaker 1: But what I will say is, when you get towards
• 3:15
  Speaker 1: the end of the season, you want to look at
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: a couple of different things. The handicapped changes a little bit.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: I still look for a lot of the same things.
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: And today, yeah, I got mostly sandwich spots today and
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: a huge letdown spot. But and some of the sandwich
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: spots are also letdown spots. But you also want to
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: look for is I don't really love fading teams in
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: their last home game of the season. And this applies
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: more to the smaller conferences. Really, it applies to everything,
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: but it's senior Day, you know, Senior night. The small
• 3:47
  Speaker 1: conferences are getting into that situation. Now, the big conferences
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: don't really have that yet, some of the small ones do.
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: So I talked about that on Saturday too. I think
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: it just it does give a little bit extra motivation
• 3:59
  Speaker 1: to the home teams to celebrate the seniors, similar to
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: what we talked about in football. And then the other
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: thing to look at is does the team have anything
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: to play for as far as their conference seeding. So
• 4:12
  Speaker 1: there are some teams that have already clinched their number.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: They're one seed in the conference. So those teams really
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: have nothing left to play for until the conference tournament starts,
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: because what do you have to gain by going all
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: out in the remaining games? Right, So that applies to
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: uh Merrimack. Now in the matt Act, which I guess
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: the matt Act is changing their name because I guess
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: they're sick of people calling them the matt Act and
• 4:35
  Speaker 1: sounding like they're the Mac but Vomiting Belmont has already
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: clinched the Missouri Valley. So these are teams that you
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: probably don't want to bet on, at the very least
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: in the remainder of the regular season games. Merrimack, Belmont,
• 4:49
  Speaker 1: Long Island, who I forgot to mention that on Saturday,
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: Long Island, I think already lost their first game after
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: they clinched the Northeast Conference regular season title. And then
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: I believe there are a couple other teams that have
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: already clinched as well. It's slipping my mind who they
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: are right now, though, But yeah, so those are teams
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: that you do I would say, at least you don't
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: want to play on those teams in the remainder of
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: the regular season. That is because they have nothing to
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  Speaker 1: gain from the rest of the games. Mister Pinsey, what's
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: up man? And that really only applies to small conferences, right,
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: because the big conferences you'll still see teams playing to
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: like try to affect their tournament resume and whatever. Small
• 5:31
  Speaker 1: conferences there's none of that, right because you have to
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: win your conference tournament to get in and that's the
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: only thing, right. So, so those teams really have like
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: nothing left to play for once they've wrapped up the
• 5:42
  Speaker 1: one seed in their conferences. Let's get into this, man.
• 5:46
  Speaker 1: There is a game at six pm in the Northeast
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: between Saint Francis and New Haven. But there's no line
• 5:52
  Speaker 1: on this game yet, so I don't even know if
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: the game might be getting postponed because of the snow
• 5:57
  Speaker 1: up here. I really don't know what's going on with
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: this game, so I don't know. I don't know if
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: it's worth talking about. But it is on the you know,
• 6:04
  Speaker 1: it's on the schedule for now. Number twenty one. Miami Ohio,
• 6:10
  Speaker 1: number twenty one. Such a joke, dude, because they're undefeated,
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: but they're still like eighty fourth and ken bom. They're
• 6:16
  Speaker 1: playing at Eastern Michigan at six point thirty. This game
• 6:20
  Speaker 1: only on ESPN plus Miami Ohio. Obviously they've not lost
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: the game yet. They're coming up a pretty big primetime
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: game where they got to host a game that was
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: on CBS Sports, so they got a nationally televised game
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  Speaker 1: against Bowling Green, got a nice win there in primetime.
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't want to lay it with Miami Ohio, man,
• 6:40
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm pretty much never gonna recommend laying the
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: points at Miami Ohio at this point. They've played a
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: lot of road games recently too. This would be their
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: fourth road game in the last six games, and they're
• 6:49
  Speaker 1: gonna play a fifth and seven on TV in the
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: next game at Western Michigan, So this game is actually
• 6:55
  Speaker 1: sandwiched in between two TV games. Eastern Michigan's really bad.
• 7:00
  Speaker 1: These two teams haven't played each other this year, I
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: don't think, but you gotta think that this will be
• 7:04
  Speaker 1: one of Eastern Michigan's big games of the season. They
• 7:07
  Speaker 1: get to host Miami Ohio. I think it's a bigger
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: deal to them. I would look to take the points here.
• 7:13
  Speaker 1: It's nothing that I really want to get involved in
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  Speaker 1: at all. But you're probably not gonna be getting any
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: value on Miami Ohio here. They're laying ten points now
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  Speaker 1: on the road, up from eight and a half ninety
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  Speaker 1: six percent of the tickets on them. Don't really see
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: a cash percentage yet, but I think they will be
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: a public side. I wouldn't want anything to do with
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: it though. That's it's an awful game though. Big ten
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: Network at six thirty pm Washington at Rutgers I mean,
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  Speaker 1: it'll be an interesting game of Eastern Michigan keeps it
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  Speaker 1: close late in the game. I will say that because
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: Miami Ohio is just constantly on on undefeated alert or
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: being defeated alert. I don't know what to say. Big
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: Ten Network at six thirty pm. Washington at Rutgers in
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  Speaker 1: the Big Ten, of course, feels weird still calling Washington
• 8:03
  Speaker 1: a Big Ten team. Washington's on a slide right now.
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: They've lost four or five here. They just lost at Maryland,
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: which is a pretty terrible loss. This Washington team is
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: really not as bad as that. Maybe now that they're
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: adjusted to the Eastern times though, maybe they'll put in
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: a better performance here. They're probably dealing with the snow
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: here playing in New Jersey, but I don't know how
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: much that's gonna affect this game. It's gonna affect both
• 8:27
  Speaker 1: teams though, but of course Washington is the team that well. Actually,
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: both teams have to travel because Rutgers is coming back
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: from Minnesota. Rutgers had a pretty ugly loss at Minnesota
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: as well. This game has, you know, nothing that I
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: look at situationally, So I have nothing to say about
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: this game. Really, it looks like the money is coming
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: in on Rutgers. For what it's worth, Washington down for
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: five and a half to five here, eighty three percent
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  Speaker 1: of the tickets, ninety eight percent of the cash on Rutgers.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: I don't have a strong disagreement with taking the points
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: with the Rutgers, but it's not a game that I
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: will really have any sense for it all. Next up,
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: best bets. First one, The best bets are all over
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  Speaker 1: the place. Then you know this one is coming. Man.
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: We're gonna take Notre Dame plus the points seventeen and
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: a half. They're getting a ton of points at home. Man,
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: in a game with a low total. First of all,
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: this is a fate of Duke. We're stepping in front
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: of Duke here, but I think this is a spot
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: where you gotta do it, Duke. They're gonna be public,
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: although we see these numbers moving around a lot. Sixty
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: percent of the tickets and cash on Duke. We got
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: a low total though, because both teams play slow. So
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: if points are gonna be at a premium here and
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: you're getting a ton of points at home and you're
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: fading a Duke team, that's in a horrible spot, which
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: I'll show you in a second, although you already know
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: one aspect of the of this handicap, probably if you
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: know what I do and you know what Duke's last
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: game was. But yeah, taking points with the home team
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: does make sense in a game where it's gonna be
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: a lower scoring game both teams play slow. Notre Dame
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: is actually not a terrible team, and we are getting
• 10:07
  Speaker 1: the benefit of the luck index here in ken Bum.
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: They're actually top one hundred in both offense and defense,
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: them being below five hundred record wise, ken Bum is
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: telling you not to totally buy that because they're a
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: bottom twenty basically luck team, so they've been unlucky, whereas Duke, Yeah,
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: ken Bum has the number two in the country. Duke's
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: obviously a legit team. We're not gonna argue, you know,
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: we're not arguing otherwise here, but they are eighty fifth
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: in lock. So Duke has had some luck this season
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: as well. But most of this is about the spot
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: and this game is on ESPN for whatever reason, so
• 10:42
  Speaker 1: you can watch, hopefully you watch yourselves get a winning
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: bet here. We know what Duke just did, man after
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: putting up one hundred points against Syracuse. They just beaten
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: Michigan and took over the number one overall seed in
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: the bracketologies monster win for Duke. That was a highly
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: publicized game, that was the huge game of the day
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: on Saturday. So now they're fresh off of that two
• 11:06
  Speaker 1: days later or three days later, and they got to
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: go to seuth Bend and Duke has not played on
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: the road since they failed to cover against pitt. They
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: failed to cover on the road at UNC and lost
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: outright in fact the game before that. So the last
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: couple of road games for Duke have not been great,
• 11:23
  Speaker 1: although they do have some good covers on the road
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: as well. But this is a really really dicey spot, man,
• 11:29
  Speaker 1: when they haven't been on the road for this long,
• 11:30
  Speaker 1: and look who they have next. They got to play
• 11:33
  Speaker 1: Virginia on Saturday, and that's gonna be a huge game
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: to Virginia is one game behind Duke in the ACC
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: right now. Virginia is a ranked teams. That's that is
• 11:43
  Speaker 1: a big deal. That's like the biggest opponent the Duke
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: could have right now upcoming as far as the conference
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: standings are concerned, because Clemson's fallen back, you know, the
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: North Carolina teams just aren't as good. So that is it.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: That is a pretty monster game, dude. This is a
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: huge sandwich spot with kind of a weird travel spot
• 12:02
  Speaker 1: out to South Bend. Notre Dame just took a loss
• 12:05
  Speaker 1: to Pit and they're coming back home from that. That
• 12:08
  Speaker 1: was a bad loss. I think they might have been
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: looking ahead. You know, you're gonna get a full effort
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: out of Notre Dame here, man, they get to host
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: Duke on prime time. I think they'll get up for
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: it on ESPN. So that's what we're gonna go with
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame. I believe them in better at home. They
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: only lost by three. Remember they took Virginia into like
• 12:26
  Speaker 1: double overtime, only losing by three at home. So that
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: was a really good performance from them. Yeah, they've had
• 12:33
  Speaker 1: some other losses in here, Clemson, Miami. They lost my
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: margin against those two teams, but they've shown more grit
• 12:40
  Speaker 1: at home and they're not as bad as people think
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: they are. So yes, Notre Dame is the first play.
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: It's a monster sandwich spot, Alexander, what's up, man, I'll
• 12:52
  Speaker 1: talk about all three of those games. Allow me to
• 12:55
  Speaker 1: get to those as I work my way through the
• 12:58
  Speaker 1: schedule here. None of those, I don't any I don't
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: think I have a play on any of those games though,
• 13:03
  Speaker 1: but I do. I'll give out an opinion on all
• 13:05
  Speaker 1: of them, though some of them might be stronger than others.
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: ACC Network at seven pm. NC State at number eleven, Virginia.
• 13:15
  Speaker 1: You know what I'm about to say already because I
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: just told you who Virginia is playing next. They're playing
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: Duke next, so I think NC State probably has to
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: be the right side in this game. These two teams
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: already played each other as well, and Virginia won at
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: NC State by fifteen, so this is a road revenge
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: angle for NC State as well. Now the reason why
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: I can't quite get there with NC State, although they
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: have more rest, I think they've had a week off
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: at this point or maybe more so. NC State is
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: a very rested team here in road revenge, but their
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: last game was a monster win. Man. They blew out
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: their big brother North Carolina, and I just never really
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: want to take NC State after they do something like that,
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: so I think I have to stay away from it.
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: But I do like NC State in this game. I
• 14:01
  Speaker 1: just worry a little bit about the letdown component here.
• 14:04
  Speaker 1: Although I think they still should get up for a
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: game against Virginia here, And like I said, Virginia, this
• 14:10
  Speaker 1: is not a good spot for them. They got Duke
• 14:12
  Speaker 1: on deck, that's a monster look ahead there are they
• 14:14
  Speaker 1: coming up a pretty competitive game against Miami, who is
• 14:18
  Speaker 1: going to be another tournament team. Now I know the
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: caveat here is Yeah, Virginia didn't cover in that game.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: Miami gave them a nice effort in that one. Sometimes
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: the team will play better if they fail to cover
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: and they still escape with the win. So you could
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: make that argument with Virginia here, but I see that
• 14:35
  Speaker 1: more like I see it more that that was a
• 14:38
  Speaker 1: big game for Virginia against Miami, although maybe NC State
• 14:41
  Speaker 1: will be a big game too, but I think it's
• 14:43
  Speaker 1: bigger for Ency State. I like the spot better for
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: Ency State. It is the road revenge angle, which might
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: make Virginia get a little bit complacent against NC State,
• 14:52
  Speaker 1: especially when they have Duke upcoming next. I don't agree
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: with the market percentages here, although it does look like
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: Virginia is public seventy percent of the tickets seventy eight
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them. I would take the
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: points with NC State in this one. This one is
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: not strong enough for me. I think both teams you
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: could definitely argue earn bad spots here, but my lean
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: would be towards taking the points in that one. It
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: is a somewhat high total for a Virginia home game though,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: Like we know, Virginia likes to play slow, but the
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: total being in the one fifties is kind of odd
• 15:25
  Speaker 1: for a Virginia game. Although I know this is not
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: Tony Bennett Virginia anymore. We're looking at who do they
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: They have? Is Ryan Odam their coach? Now? Is that
• 15:33
  Speaker 1: what it is? So they still play slow, just not
• 15:36
  Speaker 1: as slow as Tony Bennett, not to be confused with
• 15:39
  Speaker 1: the musician Tony Bennett. So I don't know why Tony
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: Bennett abruptly stepped down. I don't know if there was
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: gonna be a scandal coming out involving him or what.
• 15:48
  Speaker 1: But I don't know. He's he's kind of a good
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: looking dude. I don't know, no home though, Garrett, what's
• 15:54
  Speaker 1: up man? Thanks for hanging out all right, Garrett. North
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: Carolina team surprised me last night, but we know Louisville
• 16:04
  Speaker 1: high variance, man. They just Louisville's offense just was not good. So, yeah,
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: I got that game wrong last night, but it was
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: not a player or anything for me. He just didn't
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: want to deal with the nil And maybe that's true.
• 16:19
  Speaker 1: He likes to build up his team internally, or yeah,
• 16:24
  Speaker 1: the nil or the transfer stuff. I don't know, or
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: maybe both. I don't know. All right, ACC network or
• 16:30
  Speaker 1: excuse me, ESPN two excuse me at seven pm. This
• 16:33
  Speaker 1: one is for Alexander here the first game that he
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: that he asked about Cincinnati at number sixteen Texas Tech.
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: We know this is Texas Tech without JT. Top and
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: now he's their best player and he's out for the
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: rest of the season. Very unfortunate for Texas Tech, although
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: they looked good in the first game without him. But
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: you know, sometimes when your star player goes down, you'll
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: get a good performance out of that team and you're
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: you know, they were coming off a bad loss to
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: Arizona State, so I think that also gave Texas Tech
• 17:03
  Speaker 1: a lawn of motivation. They beat a not very good
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: Kansas State team. Cincinnati is better than Kansas State. Texas
• 17:10
  Speaker 1: Tech does also have Iowa State on deck, which could
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: be a look ahead here, but I really don't like
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: the spot for Cincinnati. Man. Now, the one thing that
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: is good for Cincinnati, as I talked about in my
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: bracketology last night, they're actually in the bubble discussion now
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: because of their most recent win. So you might still
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: have an argument for Cincinnati giving you a big effort
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: as an underdog here. That plus the fact that they're
• 17:33
  Speaker 1: playing a ranked team here. But I worry about how
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: this sets up for Cincinnati, Dude. They have three road
• 17:41
  Speaker 1: games in four games here, and they just pulled off
• 17:43
  Speaker 1: a massive upset against Kansas that was like win of
• 17:46
  Speaker 1: the year type of stuff for Cincinnati. Man, a double
• 17:49
  Speaker 1: digit underdog upset at Kansas. You know, Kansas was looking
• 17:54
  Speaker 1: ahead to last night's game against Houston. That was a
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Kansas. I talked about it on Saturday.
• 17:59
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati almost made my card. I didn't expect them to
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: win by sixteen, but I definitely thought they would cover.
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: So I think Cincinnati's gonna let down spot did. I
• 18:09
  Speaker 1: think Texas Tech's coming up the much easier effort. So
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: I would actually lay the points with Texas Tech here.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: If I was gonna do anything with this game, I
• 18:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to, but that's the way that I would lean.
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: I have some issues with how the spot sets up
• 18:22
  Speaker 1: for both teams. But I think the massive letdown that
• 18:25
  Speaker 1: Cincinnati might be in here is worse. And I mean
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: it's not really gonna be like a mental letdown necessarily
• 18:30
  Speaker 1: when you have another big game here, but what it
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: is is the team just might not be able to
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: put in that effort again, you know what I mean,
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: because that was just such a huge win for them,
• 18:40
  Speaker 1: and having another road game here, it's just difficult having
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: to go to Lubbeck and whatever. So Texas Tech gets
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: a decent set up here for themselves if they if
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: they don't allow themselves to look ahead, it's to their
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: big game up next. That's the one thing with them.
• 18:55
  Speaker 1: Eighty seven percent of takes ninety three percent of the
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: cash on Texas Tech, so it looks like they'll be
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: a public side. I'm not surprised by that, but I
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: think they might be the correct side in that one.
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: That's the way I would lean, but I don't want
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: anything to do with it. Kansas doesn't ever lose two
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: times in a row at home. Well yeah, and also
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: they've won like forty one games in a row on
• 19:19
  Speaker 1: Monday night at home. But the problem with looking at
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: some of these trends, is that Houston had not lost
• 19:26
  Speaker 1: three games in a row since twenty seventeen. Houston had
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: almost got a decade without losing three games in a row.
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, I mean, that wasn't really I
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: don't know. The reason for taking Kansas was that Kansas
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: was coming off a horrible performance and I think they
• 19:42
  Speaker 1: were looking ahead. So you got that. Plus you had
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: Houston in a bad spot playing three massive games in
• 19:48
  Speaker 1: a row where they put in huge efforts in the
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: first two. That was the reasoning behind that play. That's
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: why I gave out Kansas last night. All Right, we
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: have a Saint Louis number twenty three at Dayton. It
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: is kind of ridiculous to Saint Louis is ranked lower
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: than Miami Ohio. At this point, Saint Louis would be
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: like a probably a double digit favorite against Miami Ohio
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: on a neutral So that's a bit ridiculous, But Saint Louis,
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: it is what it is. They're at Dayton here looks
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: like a very very short number to lay with Saint
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: Louis here, man, so I think the public, we'll probably
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: want to lay it with Saint Louis here four and
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: a half, very very small number here. Dayton is not
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: a bad team. Dayton is definitely one of the better
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: teams in the Atlantic ten. Here, Saint Louis is close
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: to having the one seed wrapped up. Now they're coming
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: off beating their next closest opponent here and finishing the
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: season sweep against VCU, beating me unfortunately, that was in
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: a nice comeback there, good win for Saint Louis man
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: and now they're playing Dayton, who they already completely embarrassed.
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: At Saint Louis, they beat Dayton by thirty one, so
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: they might not really take Dayton totally see seriously. And
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: they got Ducaine on deck. And if you remember, Ducane
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: actually gave Saint Louis a scare, gave them a really
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: close game at Ducaine. So there is the potential that
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis doesn't take Dayton seriously. They might overlook them
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: and be looking at Ducaine for Dayton. Here, Dayton's coming
• 21:18
  Speaker 1: in a three game win streak. They did just beat Ducaine,
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: they beat me on Saturday. I thought it was a
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: great spot to take Ducane because Dayton had this huge
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: game on deck against Saint Louis and they'd beaten George
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: Mason the game prior. I'm I'm not happy about it.
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: Ducaine did not give us a good enough effort in
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: that one. But this game, it would be Dayton for
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: me if I was gonna play it. The money is
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: seemingly agreeing, although we lost some value on this with
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: Saint Louis down from six to four and a half.
• 21:46
  Speaker 1: Now they're a public side. It looks like seventy seven
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash or excuse me, seventy seven percent
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, excuse me, sixty six percent of the cash.
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: Though on Dayton, this looks like it might be a
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: pros versus Joe's game where the public is gonna be
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: on Saint Louis, us pros are gonna be on Dayton.
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: I don't disagree with Dayton, Yeah, I mean, I definitely
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: do agree with Dayton in that one. It's not on
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: my card, although you know it was a consideration for me.
• 22:13
  Speaker 1: That's on ESPN Plus. Unfortunately for them, not a televised game.
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: But it's an interesting game. But I am a fan
• 22:21
  Speaker 1: of Saint Louis. Man, they absolutely better make the tournament though.
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: That's the one thing we won't. We want to see
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: that team in the tournament. We want to see Robbie
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: Avila make the tournament. This tag on my hat is
• 22:33
  Speaker 1: itching my forehead. The the bad thing about being a
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: bald man man is like Ken Grivy Junior in my
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: head is such that caps fit me better when I
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: turn him backwards. But the like tag that's in the
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: front of it itches my forehead. All right, CBS Sports
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: is seven BM West Virginia at Oklahoma State. This game
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: is not a great game. I don't really have much
• 22:57
  Speaker 1: of a feel for this game at all. West Virginia
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: is coming off a close loss against TCU. Now, West
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: Virginia is in some of the tournament discussion right now
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: because Joe Lenardi does have them like eight teams away
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: from the tournament. Right now, West Virginia does have a
• 23:13
  Speaker 1: big game on deck against BYU. There is the potential
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: they overlook this Oklahoma State team. It's just falling off
• 23:19
  Speaker 1: the radar here. They're just really out of the picture
• 23:22
  Speaker 1: right now. They've lost five games in a row. They're
• 23:24
  Speaker 1: coming back home from a very unsuccessful trip to Colorado,
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: where I thought they were getting Colorado in a good
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: spot to catch Colorado, they still did bad now they're
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: coming back home, or they lost the last couple of
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: home games. Although we're still talking about an Oklahoma State
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: team that was able to beat BYU at home. They're
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: not as bad at home. They beat UCF at home.
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: Who's going to be a tournament team, although they're not great.
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: I think I would have to lean to Oklahoma State
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: in this one. They're going to try to speed up
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: West Virginia here. In this one, West Virginia wants to
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: go super slow. Well, the West Virginia is not laying
• 24:00
  Speaker 1: points here. Oklahoma State's minus one and a half fifty tickets,
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: seventy seven percent of the cash in Oklahoma State. I
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: think recentcy bias might be coming into play a little
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: bit here. I mean, I don't really think Oklahoma State's
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: a very good team, but in this spot, I think
• 24:15
  Speaker 1: it makes more sense to look their way than West
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: Virginia's way. It's not a great game either way, and
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: it will be a crazy pacing contrast. I think with
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: West Virginia wanting to go way slow, Oklahoma State wanting
• 24:29
  Speaker 1: to go extremely fast for the most part, and West
• 24:32
  Speaker 1: Virginia is the better defense though, so keeping that in mind,
• 24:35
  Speaker 1: I do like to lean towards the better defense more
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: often than not, especially if you're getting any sort of points,
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: and that is West Virginia there, So that is one
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: maybe concern there all right. Northwestern at Indiana Fox Sports one,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: seven pm. Northwestern. I keep telling you they're not as
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: bad as the record looks. They did just get a
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: win over Maryland which ended a five game losing streak.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: Not an impressive win. They didn't even cover. Believe it
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: or not, Northwestern. They're getting a lot of respect from
• 25:07
  Speaker 1: the market, and I think they should because I do
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: think that there's a very underperforming team this year. Ken
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: Bombasim is a very unlucky team. But now that they
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: got a non covering win and ended a five game
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: losing streak, I think that will give them momentum in
• 25:21
  Speaker 1: to this game, and I think they will get up
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: for a game against a team that just has a
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: lot of weight behind their name like Indiana, and I
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: think Indiana's gonna be overvalued in a game like this
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: where they're gonna be a home favorite here and everybody
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: knows that Indiana is trying to make the tournament here.
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: They're a bubble team for the tournament right now, so
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: I think everybody knows this. They're coming off two really
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: bad losses. I mean, there were two good teams, Illinois
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: and Purdue, both on the road, but they got absolutely
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: smacked in both of those games, so they lose. They
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: lost by almost thirty at Purdue against their rival. Purdue
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: did get revenge on them, and I thought Purdue was
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: a bit of an overvalued team in that game, so
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: I was wrong about that. I didn't think the revenge
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: was as much of a factor in that one. Indiana
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: had a horrible game, so debatably they should bounce back here,
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: but they do have Michigan State on deck. And again
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: the problem is everybody knows Indiana is trying to make
• 26:14
  Speaker 1: the tournament right now, so I think they're laying probably
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: too many points here. And again I will say Northwestern.
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: I think they're in a decent spot now where they
• 26:23
  Speaker 1: have some new momentum. I think they will show up
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: for a game like this, and they're an undervalue commodity,
• 26:28
  Speaker 1: so I think line value is definitely on the Northwestern side.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Indiana's up from eight and a half to nine here.
• 26:33
  Speaker 1: I would lean towards taking the points in that one,
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: but not a strong read for me there Peacock at
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: seven pm. This game was close to being a play
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: for me. It's Marquette at Georgetown. Marquette's coming of a
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: monster performance against Saint John's man where they were within
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: two points in the final like minute of that game.
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: I watched the end of it. They gave Saint John's
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: a real scare and I liked it. It was a good
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: spot to face Saint John's because Saint John's was coming
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: up that crazy physical game against Providence where it was
• 27:07
  Speaker 1: a revenge game for Saint John's against Providence and the
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: team started brawling. They really hate each other. So Saint
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: John's had to turn around off of that game and
• 27:16
  Speaker 1: they'd already beaten Marquette, I think by a big margin.
• 27:18
  Speaker 1: So Marquette really got up for that game against Saint John's.
• 27:22
  Speaker 1: Now they did fall short, so maybe there were reasons
• 27:24
  Speaker 1: will still show up for a game against Georgetown. It
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: is road revenge for Marquette, so that would be one
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: hesitation I have, as Georgetown did go into Marquette and
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: beat them earlier this year. But it's gonna be tough
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: for them, you know, having a close game almost beating
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: Saint John's and getting back up off the mat after
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: that end. They're having a third road game in four
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: games here, having to go back to the East Coast
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: for this one. Marquette, a Milwaukee school, having to go
• 27:48
  Speaker 1: to Washington, d C. For this Georgetown is also on
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: a losing street. They've lost four games in a row,
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: so I think you will get some effort out of
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: Georgetown here. They did play close at Seton Hall in
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: their last game, which was you know it was. That
• 28:04
  Speaker 1: was a reasonably big game where Georgetown played pretty well
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: as an underdog. In that game they did cover. So
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: sometimes I don't like playing against teams that played pretty
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: well as an underdog and almost pulled off the upset,
• 28:16
  Speaker 1: so I'll stay off of it. But I like Georgetown
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: in this game. They dropped from four and a half
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: to three and a half here, sixty four percent of tickets,
• 28:24
  Speaker 1: eighty nine percent of the cash on them. I agree
• 28:26
  Speaker 1: with the cashercentage in that one. It would be Georgetown
• 28:28
  Speaker 1: if I was gonna do anything with it. Rright, we're
• 28:33
  Speaker 1: keeming a going here, man. Some of these games are
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: just very uninteresting. We have a lot of Mac games
• 28:40
  Speaker 1: here Central Michigan and Kent State is interesting for really
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: one real reason, and that's that Kent State has lost
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: three games in conference play. Two of the games they
• 28:52
  Speaker 1: lost were to Miami, Ohio and Akron, so that's expected
• 28:55
  Speaker 1: because those are the top two teams in the conference.
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: Who was their other loss though, you know who it
• 29:01
  Speaker 1: is because I'm talking about it here, but nobody would
• 29:03
  Speaker 1: guess otherwise that their only other loss, they're only like
• 29:06
  Speaker 1: really bad loss and conference play, was to Central Michigan.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: So Kent State might actually get up for this game
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: just because they have a chance at revenge here and
• 29:15
  Speaker 1: this was their one really bad loss in conference play
• 29:18
  Speaker 1: was to Central Michigan, which was at Central Michigan. Central
• 29:22
  Speaker 1: Michigan got by them by two. This is a bad
• 29:26
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan team. Though it's a second road game in
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: three games, so then they are coming up a win
• 29:30
  Speaker 1: against one of their rivals, Western Michigan or the Western
• 29:33
  Speaker 1: Michigan's bad Central Michigan might still get up for a
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: game against Kent State, though, man, you know, I mean,
• 29:40
  Speaker 1: Kent State is near the top of the conference, so
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: Central Michigan might still get up for this game. Kent State,
• 29:47
  Speaker 1: though they're coming up a nice road win against Bowling Green,
• 29:50
  Speaker 1: and they got Akron on deck, so they have not
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: only a revenge game on deck against Akron, but a
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: much bigger game on deck against Akron. So they might
• 29:58
  Speaker 1: look ahead to that. And that's in Ohio rivalry as well.
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: Those two teams really don't like each other like Acron
• 30:03
  Speaker 1: is like basically Kent State's biggest rival. I think. So
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: that's gonna be an interesting look ahead there, man. But
• 30:10
  Speaker 1: maybe they take Central Michigan seriously because Central Michigan did
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: beat them. Now they're back at home and they do
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: get that chance at revenge. So that's you know, normally
• 30:21
  Speaker 1: looking at that spot, if you throw out that revenge angle,
• 30:25
  Speaker 1: it looks like a spot where you should fade Kent State.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: So that's the thing about this game, man. The money
• 30:30
  Speaker 1: is coming in at Central Michigan. Kent State's down to
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: a ten point favorite. They got sixty seven percent of
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: the tickets on them, eighty nine percent of the cash
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: at Central Michigan. I'm not gonna disagree because I do
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: think Kent State isn't kind of a weird sandwich esque
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: spot here. But again, that look the fact that they
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: did lose to Central Michigan earlier this year, I think
• 30:51
  Speaker 1: will potentially have them taking Central Michigan seriously, and if
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: kent State is battling for you know, seating in the
• 30:58
  Speaker 1: conference or whatever, they can't really overlooked games at this point.
• 31:03
  Speaker 1: I still lean to Central Michigan plus the points in
• 31:05
  Speaker 1: that one, but it's that one has to be a
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: stay away from me, all right, SEC Network seven pm.
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: Kentucky is at South Carolina this game. Kentucky, I mean
• 31:20
  Speaker 1: they're somewhat of a I mean I think they might
• 31:23
  Speaker 1: be somewhat of a bubble team at this point in
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: the tournament, even though I do have them more safely
• 31:28
  Speaker 1: in than that. But they've been a real roller coaster. Man.
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: They just lost to Auburn. Although I think Auburn deserves
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: me in the tournament, it's based on power ratings and whatever,
• 31:37
  Speaker 1: because they're actually a decent team. So that wasn't a
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: terrible loss. Really, it looks worse than it was. Auburn
• 31:43
  Speaker 1: was actually a favorite in that game. Kentucky blew the game.
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: Big win for Auburn there. But Kentucky might not fully
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: bounce back here, man, because South Carolina is a very
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: easy team to overlook. It's a third road game in
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: a row, or excuse a third road game in four
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: games for Kentucky and the multiple huge games in a row.
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: They played Tennessee Florida, didn't play too horribly against Florida,
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: played Georgia and then Auburn, and now they're coming off
• 32:09
  Speaker 1: that run. They play South Carolina in another road game,
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: and then up next they got Vandy, which is a
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: potential big look ah had spot. So I still don't
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: really love the spot for Kentucky here. I don't know
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: that they fully bounce back here, at least enough to
• 32:23
  Speaker 1: cover this number. South Carolina, I think is in a
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: better spot because they just ended a seven game losing streak.
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: And when you're on a losing slide like that and
• 32:31
  Speaker 1: you finally get a win against anybody, that gives you
• 32:34
  Speaker 1: some new confidence, some new momentum. They only beat a
• 32:36
  Speaker 1: pretty bad Mississippi State team, but that'll give this a
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: struggling South Carolina team some confidence. I think this will
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: be a big game for them. They get to host
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: Kentucky on TV, you know, so I think South Carolina
• 32:48
  Speaker 1: will get up for it. I would lean towards taking
• 32:51
  Speaker 1: the points with South Carolina, and this when the money
• 32:53
  Speaker 1: is in somewhat disagreement with me on that Kentucky's up
• 32:57
  Speaker 1: from seven to seven and a half here eight percent
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: to take its ninety eight percent of the casual Kentucky.
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: I slightly lean South Carolina though. All right, Missouri Valley.
• 33:08
  Speaker 1: Here we have Bradley at Illinois Chicago in an Illinois
• 33:11
  Speaker 1: rivalry of sorts. Here. There are some interesting handicapping scenarios
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: in this one. Where As I said, Belmont has already
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: wrapped up the conference now in the Missouri Valley, so
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: Belmont has nothing left to play for us. That's something
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: to keep in mind with Belmont, although they already won
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: and covered their most recent game of the I don't
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: know if that was before they had wrapped up the conference.
• 33:33
  Speaker 1: I think it probably was. I think that's how they
• 33:36
  Speaker 1: wrapped it up. But Bradley against Illinois Chicago, Murray State, whatever,
• 33:40
  Speaker 1: these teams are still fighting for positioning here, man, and
• 33:43
  Speaker 1: there are bys in this tournament, so you know, you
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: don't want to lose like one of the first round
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: byes in the Missouri Valley tournament, you know. So these
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: teams both still have something to play for here Bradley,
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: they are coming up a nice win over another Illinois team,
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: Illinois State, So you could argue they're in a bit
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: of a letdown spot here. They got Murray State on deck,
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: which could be a big deal because Murray State is
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: actually the closest to them in the standings. But I
• 34:09
  Speaker 1: don't really see Bradley overlooking UIC either, because they actually
• 34:12
  Speaker 1: lost at home by fifteen to u see this UC
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: team having a surprisingly good season, So there is a
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: road revenge angle here for Bradley and Bradley must have
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: been favorites in that game and loss. I clicked on
• 34:24
  Speaker 1: the wrong gameh Yeah, Bradley was seven and a half
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: point favorites in that one and lost the game outright,
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: So that might give them motivation in this game. But
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: it is a third road game in four games for them,
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: and they are coming off a big game. As far
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: as UIC is concerned, they are behind Bradley and the standings.
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: They did just lose at home to Valpo, which was
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: not a great loss. And what did I say earlier
• 34:47
  Speaker 1: in the show, this is UC's last home game of
• 34:50
  Speaker 1: the season, so I think they might get a little
• 34:52
  Speaker 1: bit of extra motivation from that, a little bit of
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: an extra boost for UIC for that. Now u S
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: is favored by quite a bit though, and that is
• 35:03
  Speaker 1: a concern, like where's the line value here, because of course,
• 35:06
  Speaker 1: if Bradley were seven and a half point favorites in
• 35:08
  Speaker 1: a home ui C should really not be a four
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: point home favorite here now, Like that's probably a little
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: bit too much of a swing, even though, yeah, the
• 35:16
  Speaker 1: odds makers, you know, you really had to raise UIC
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: up because they are actually better than we thought they
• 35:22
  Speaker 1: were earlier this year. They're not who we thought they were.
• 35:27
  Speaker 1: But I think four might be pushing it a little bit.
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: So I struggle with this game. We see fifty to
• 35:31
  Speaker 1: fifty on both the tickets and cash right now UIC
• 35:34
  Speaker 1: has gone up from two and a half to four.
• 35:36
  Speaker 1: Two and a half would have been a lot more
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: palatable because I think I do lean to U I
• 35:40
  Speaker 1: C in this game, like from a situational perspective, but
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: laying that many points is a little bit too much
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: for me. So yeah, I won't get there with that
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: one or anything like that, not that I would have anyway,
• 35:53
  Speaker 1: because there are some situation situational components that that go
• 35:57
  Speaker 1: in both directions. It's an interesting game to talk about though,
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: for sure, all right, I still have four more College
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: of Basketball plays here. Man, I'm gonna talk about the
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: next one in a second. I will return in a
• 36:12
  Speaker 1: second here. Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: were on OWN seven run over the last two days
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: after tonight. It was just complete bullshit. So that's that's
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna start off this show horrible Sunday one and five.
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what to tell you about that.
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: I just don't want to do this anymore. I have
• 36:44
  Speaker 1: never seen anything like this. Man, with the slump continuing,
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: two straight losses, not a good day at all. OWN four.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with Wickens,
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: the slump that I'm on, the slump continues. I've reached
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: into peak.
• 37:03
  Speaker 2: Actually, I'm going to burn my browins hat man, I
• 37:07
  Speaker 2: don't know what is going on with the Bruins arch Hape.
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 37:12
  Speaker 1: it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: don't know what day it is anymore. I don't even
• 37:18
  Speaker 1: know what day it is anymore. Man's back with you
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: after the worst day that I could possibly have, Back
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: with you as I always am.
• 37:26
  Speaker 2: Until I die at least oh and two yesterday and
• 37:30
  Speaker 2: yesterday it did not go well for me. Oh and
• 37:33
  Speaker 2: five the worst month that I've ever had in my
• 37:36
  Speaker 2: eighteen years doing this.
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to even tell you about this anymore.
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: To the slumps, the slump discontinuous, the slump continues. Somebody
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: fucking kill me, please. I don't even know what I
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: should do at this point, other than potentially end it all.
• 38:00
  Speaker 1: All right, next best bet here, we're gonna fade the
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: other side of that Duke Michigan game. We're gonna take
• 38:06
  Speaker 1: Minnesota to plus twenty two and a half at Michigan
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: at whatever the basketball equivalent of the Big House is there.
• 38:15
  Speaker 1: I think it's a bad spot for Michigan.
• 38:17
  Speaker 2: Dude.
• 38:17
  Speaker 1: This is on Big ten Network at eight thirty PM,
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: so I am giving you some TV games. That's just
• 38:22
  Speaker 1: the way this worked out. Michigan. They're coming off a
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: monster game against Duke, after a monster game where they
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: beat Purdue on the road, and look at this travel
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: they had to do. They went into Indiana to play Purdue,
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: they went to Washington, d C. To play Duke. Now
• 38:35
  Speaker 1: they're back at home and they're playing this Minnesota team
• 38:37
  Speaker 1: it's just ugly, really easy to overlook. Their players are
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: all ugly, is what I mean. No, but that was
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: just such a monster game, dude. It was such a
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: highly televised game, a hard fought game. It was a
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: close game, big game, Final four preview game. And now
• 38:52
  Speaker 1: Michigan's coming off of that, falling short in that game,
• 38:55
  Speaker 1: and by the way, they lost a huge win streak.
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: Michigan hadn't lost us since their other loss on the
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: season was to Wisconsin, which was I don't know, probably
• 39:04
  Speaker 1: over a month ago. When was the game. Let me see,
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: that was January tenth. They had won eleven games in
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: a row since then. And you know, I talk about
• 39:14
  Speaker 1: this when a team loses a long win streak, that
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: alone can hang them over because they're just not used
• 39:19
  Speaker 1: to it. I know, they actually did fine after the
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin game. They did win on the road at Washington,
• 39:25
  Speaker 1: although I think they didn't cover. Yeah, so Michigan did
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: not cover that next game after they took that first
• 39:30
  Speaker 1: loss to Wisconsin. They failed to cover at Washington. Kind
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: of a weird travel spot there. I know they're back
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: at home here, but I just see this being a
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: double hangover here, man, because they lost a huge win
• 39:41
  Speaker 1: streak and they had a huge game against Duke. And
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: you know, again, they had two huge games coming into
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: this game. And it's worse for them because on deck
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: they have a huge Fox game on Friday. I believe
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: this is against Illinois, so they have a big, isolated
• 39:56
  Speaker 1: primetime game against one of the other best teams in
• 39:59
  Speaker 1: the country Illinois. That's a monster game on deck, dude,
• 40:03
  Speaker 1: So this is a sandwich spot here. I think they
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: could easily overlook this Minnesota team that just plays an
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: ugly brand of basketball. But that's the thing. Minnesota's gonna
• 40:12
  Speaker 1: try to slow this thing way down. And how motivated
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: is Michigan really gonna be to go at an ultra
• 40:18
  Speaker 1: fast pace here, You know what I mean if you're
• 40:20
  Speaker 1: Michigan and yet Duke was able to successfully slow them down.
• 40:24
  Speaker 1: But that's Duke. Of course, Duke is way better than Minnesota.
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: But it is easier to slow the tempo down because
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: you can you know, you got to hang onto the
• 40:32
  Speaker 1: ball and whatever. But for a lesser team like Minnesota,
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: if you play slow, you might be able to slow
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: the thing down a bit and muddy it up because
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: you just have to hold onto the ball. You gotta
• 40:42
  Speaker 1: have longer possessions. But for Minnesota, do you really think
• 40:46
  Speaker 1: they're gonna have like that much of a reason to
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: go completely all out and go super fast and throw
• 40:52
  Speaker 1: Minnesota out of their game here in the spot that
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: they're in. I don't really think so, because Michigan needs
• 40:57
  Speaker 1: to save some of that effort for Illinois was also,
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: by the way, the team that's closest to them in
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: the Big Ten standings right now. Even though Michigan is
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: close to having the number one seed wrapped up, they
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: haven't quite done it yet, So that is a big
• 41:11
  Speaker 1: game for Michigan on deck. For Minnesota, they got a
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: little bit of momentum here. They went out to the
• 41:16
  Speaker 1: Pacific Coast. They were able to get a win out
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: of Oregon, which Oregon's been playing bad, but that was
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: a nice upset win for Minnesota. And then they came
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: back home and they got a nice win against Rutgers.
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: So I thought that was kind of a bad spot
• 41:29
  Speaker 1: for Minnesota and they still won easily, So they have
• 41:32
  Speaker 1: momentum coming into this one. I know it's a third
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: road game in four games, and two of the games
• 41:36
  Speaker 1: are on the Pacific Coast, so that is a little
• 41:38
  Speaker 1: bit ugly, but they're catching Michigan in a terrible spot,
• 41:42
  Speaker 1: and at the very least, this is a venue that
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: Minnesota is more familiar with because it's more in their
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: region of the country. So we're gonna do it. Man.
• 41:52
  Speaker 1: As far as ken Bomb is concerned, he does have
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: Michigan as the luckier of the two teams. He's got
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: them one hundred and twenty sixth in luck isn't that crazy.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: But he's got Minnesota as a very unlucky team, basically
• 42:06
  Speaker 1: like bottom sixteen in luck. So we're playing on another
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: team that has a big luck index disparity, and Minnesota,
• 42:13
  Speaker 1: believe it or not, is actually not horrible. Ken Bum's
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: got them seventy second in the country overall, which is
• 42:18
  Speaker 1: not that bad. So basically he's telling you the records
• 42:22
  Speaker 1: should be a little bit better than it is. And
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: they're fifty second in the country defensively according to Kem
• 42:27
  Speaker 1: bumb and defensive efficiency, So this is a Minnesota team
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: that can play defense to some extent. That's what you
• 42:34
  Speaker 1: want as a big underdog like this too. Obviously, Michigan
• 42:37
  Speaker 1: is still the better defensive team, the better team on
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: you know, in every phase of the game, There's no
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: question about that. But that's why we're getting a ton
• 42:44
  Speaker 1: of points here. I think the spot dictates dictates it.
• 42:48
  Speaker 1: We're gonna go with the Minnesota here. Man, the money's
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: not agreeing with me right now. I don't know why
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: Michigan did drop from twenty two and a half to
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: twenty two here, fifty to fifty on the tickets, ninety
• 42:58
  Speaker 1: two percent of the cash on Michigan. I obviously do
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: not agree with that. Minnesota is the is the side
• 43:05
  Speaker 1: for me in that one? All right? Next up, best
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: bet number three right away, we're going into it. ESPN
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: two nine pm. Number two Arizona at Baylor. This one
• 43:17
  Speaker 1: kind of worries me a little bit because the line
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: has dropped, but we are going to take the points
• 43:21
  Speaker 1: with Baylor plus eight and a half, which, by the way,
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: it looks way too easy to play Arizona here, So
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: that is one thing to be aware of here, is like,
• 43:31
  Speaker 1: what is going on with this line now? I'm wondering
• 43:34
  Speaker 1: if maybe you'd be able to wait on this and
• 43:36
  Speaker 1: get a better numbering because the line did drop from ten.
• 43:39
  Speaker 1: Although ten is not really a key number in basketball,
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: it's not football, So I think we're okay with that.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: But I think the reason why this dropped is because
• 43:46
  Speaker 1: Arizona has a lot of injury issues right now. Man.
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: I can't even remember these guys' names. What's that Their
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: main guy's name, Pete? Is that his name? Whatever his
• 43:59
  Speaker 1: name is, I think that's his last name. Is he Scottish?
• 44:03
  Speaker 1: I don't know, but Arizona's had some real injuries, man,
• 44:05
  Speaker 1: and now it looks like del Warsa I was dealing
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: with something formerly of Campbell del Warso, the Australian dude
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: who used to have a mohawk. And then I don't know,
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: there are a couple of other guys on this Arizona
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: team that are banged up too, So keep that in mind.
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: We're looking at the Arizona team that has a really,
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: really thin roster right now, which is another reason why
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: I'm shocked that they beat Houston on the road, because
• 44:28
  Speaker 1: Arizona is running a six man rotation right now, which
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: there are some college basketball teams that do that, and
• 44:34
  Speaker 1: Arizona's still a really good team, but still they really
• 44:37
  Speaker 1: are not well equipped on the bench, and I think
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: that might affect Arizona here because they're coming off some
• 44:43
  Speaker 1: monster games here. Look at this run of games they played.
• 44:45
  Speaker 1: In the last four games. They went to Kansas, it
• 44:48
  Speaker 1: took their first loss of the season in a huge game,
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: a close game. They had another tough game against Texas
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: Tech and took the loss at home. Then they took
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: they had BYU at home. B you gave them a
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: bit of a game too. Then they went on the
• 45:03
  Speaker 1: road and they upset Houston, which was a monster game,
• 45:06
  Speaker 1: and that was their most recent game. Now they're having
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: to play at Baylor, who's just having a really bad season.
• 45:12
  Speaker 1: So Arizona's coming up four ranked opponents in a row.
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: And who do they have up next? Oh yeah, they
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: have a revenge game against Kansas up next, the team
• 45:19
  Speaker 1: that ended their undefeated season. Kansas is who they play next.
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: That is a monster revenge game, and the of Iowa
• 45:27
  Speaker 1: State after that. So this is a ridiculous sandwich spot here, dude.
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: So this is why I have to do it. I
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: have to give you Baylor in this game. Man, get
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: as many points as you can on this Ken Bom
• 45:39
  Speaker 1: has this number at like eleven or twelve. But again,
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: I'm telling you the number has dropped a little bit
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: because Arizona is dealing with injuries, so that is affecting
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: the line a little bit. But this is college basketball, man.
• 45:51
  Speaker 1: I play spots, and I like the spot for Baylor here.
• 45:54
  Speaker 1: Baylor just got a win against Arizona State to end
• 45:57
  Speaker 1: a four game losing streak, so I think that will
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: give them a little bit of confidence coming into this game.
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: They're staying at home. They're playing a fourth home game
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: in five games, so they're the less traveled team here.
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: They ended their losing momentum in their last game. If
• 46:11
  Speaker 1: you look at what Baylor's done recently, look, I mean
• 46:14
  Speaker 1: look at their recent results. Dude. They lost my three
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: at Iowa State, even though I know Iowa State kind
• 46:18
  Speaker 1: of packed it in early and Baylor made a comeback
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: in that one. They lost by five at home against BYU,
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: So we're looking at some like competitive results from this
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: Baylor team recently. You know, Baylor at home, they've only
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: lost by this margin at home to well really like
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: the best Well I know Arizona is one of the
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: best teams, so I don't really want to say that,
• 46:39
  Speaker 1: but yeah, they've lost at home by margin to Texas Tech, Houston,
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: and Iowa State. I think we're the three teams, and
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: I guess Louisville, but but that's not a conference game.
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I know Arizona is an elite team, I
• 46:54
  Speaker 1: get it. But yeah, this is Baylor's second to last
• 46:57
  Speaker 1: home game. This is a TV game against one of
• 46:59
  Speaker 1: the top teams in the country. I think you know
• 47:01
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get You're gonna get an effort out of Baylor,
• 47:04
  Speaker 1: at least in this game. So that's where we're going.
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: We're going Baylor in this one. Ken bum Believing or Not,
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: has Baylor as the forty eighth best team in the country.
• 47:13
  Speaker 1: Nobody would ever think that, and they were sort of
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: in the tournament picture for a while. Ken Bom is
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: telling you their record should be better than it is.
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: They're a bottom thirty team in luck, so they're a
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: very unlucky team as well. Arizona's kind of a mid
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: tier luck team, So this is another game where we
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: do get a luck edge. According to ken Bomb here,
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: I know Baylor's not good on defense. That is a concern.
• 47:36
  Speaker 1: They're gonna give up some points here. They play kind
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: of a mid tempo style. Arizona plays fast, so this
• 47:43
  Speaker 1: will wind up being a fast paced game. And I
• 47:45
  Speaker 1: know I don't love taking points in fast paced games,
• 47:48
  Speaker 1: but given the spot, I just think we have to
• 47:51
  Speaker 1: do it, man, and hopefully Baylor can get us us
• 47:53
  Speaker 1: scoring here, because that is what they do. They score.
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: The total is not exorbitantly high, it's in the one fifth,
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: so you know, Baylor might actually try to slow the
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: game down, and hopefully that's what they do because they
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: don't play as fast as Arizona, and I think maybe
• 48:08
  Speaker 1: they know that if they're gonna try to stay in
• 48:10
  Speaker 1: this game, that means probably trying to slow Arizona downs
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: that Arizona can't go and do what they want to do,
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: which is speed the game up. I'm used to Baylor
• 48:20
  Speaker 1: being a slow pace team too, where I don't think
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: they have a different coach now right. I think they
• 48:24
  Speaker 1: still have Scott Drew there, don't they. Maybe I'm wrong
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: about that, I don't know, but they've been a slow
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: pace team more often than not with him, so I'm
• 48:32
  Speaker 1: not exactly used to Baylor being faster paced. But whatever,
• 48:36
  Speaker 1: we're gonna take the points with Baylor in that one man, horrible,
• 48:39
  Speaker 1: horrible spot that Arizona is in. Number four Iowa State
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: at Utah. This is the other one that Alexander wanted
• 48:47
  Speaker 1: to talk about I think I'm hitting all three of
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: his now with this one. Fox Sports won at nine pm.
• 48:53
  Speaker 1: I don't have anything on this game, really, Arizona. I mean,
• 48:56
  Speaker 1: excuse me. Iowa State did just lose at BYU. They're
• 48:59
  Speaker 1: coming up three big games. Or they beat Kansas, that
• 49:02
  Speaker 1: was a winner for me. I gave them out against Kansas.
• 49:04
  Speaker 1: They beat Houston on the heels of that, and then
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: they lost at BYU. So they're coming up three ranked
• 49:14
  Speaker 1: teams in a row, ranked opponents in a row. They
• 49:17
  Speaker 1: got Texas Tech and Arizona on decks, so those are
• 49:20
  Speaker 1: big games as well. And in the middle that they
• 49:22
  Speaker 1: got to play this really bad Utah team, second straight
• 49:26
  Speaker 1: game in elevation. But at least I guess Iowa States
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: now used to the elevation because they played at BYU,
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: so they're at least for them, they're staying in Utah
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: for this one, but they do have this game surrounded
• 49:37
  Speaker 1: by bigger games. Although I guess you might be able
• 49:39
  Speaker 1: to argue that Iowa State might bounce back a little
• 49:42
  Speaker 1: bit because that loss wasn't exactly great against byulthough BYU
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: is still a competitive team, so maybe they still consider
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: that to be a big game, even though it's BYU
• 49:51
  Speaker 1: without Saunders whatever. Utah is staying at home, so I
• 49:56
  Speaker 1: think the spot does set up better for them, although
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: they did just play pretty competitively against UCF, who's probably
• 50:02
  Speaker 1: gonna be a tournament team. In Utah, I believe must
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: have been an underdog in this game. Actually they were. Yeah,
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: they were a very small underdog. So this game, yeah,
• 50:12
  Speaker 1: it wasn't really a yeah. I mean, that's a game
• 50:14
  Speaker 1: that you can't really draw that much from. I don't
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: think I'll lean to Utah slightly in this one. I
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: think the spot does set up better for them. It's
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: not on my card though, because Iowa State is coming
• 50:26
  Speaker 1: off a fairly ugly loss. You could make that argument there,
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: but you're getting thirteen and a half now up from
• 50:32
  Speaker 1: thirteen at home with Utah. Iowa State. It's a very
• 50:35
  Speaker 1: public side. They're in the number one seed discussion now.
• 50:38
  Speaker 1: Ninety percent of tickets, ninety two percent of the cash
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: on Iowa State totals fairly low in the one forties.
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: Utah might try to just ugly this thing up a
• 50:47
  Speaker 1: little bit. I'll lean to Utah, but it's not really
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: a strong one for me, dead Fish, what's up? Man?
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: I miss it as well. Man, Yeah, I don't know
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: what else to say about that, but yeah, we I
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: don't know. We got loser casts tone you can check
• 51:07
  Speaker 1: that out. Although yeah, I mean it's not the same,
• 51:11
  Speaker 1: it's a different show, different vibe. Last week's was sort
• 51:14
  Speaker 1: of Tower Gang esque, I think on loser casts, so
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: you can check that out. Of ten pm tonight, ten
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: pm Eastern, all right. Number twenty two Tennessee at Missouri.
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: This is another best bet for me. I got two
• 51:29
  Speaker 1: more to go in college basketball. I know I'm splashing
• 51:32
  Speaker 1: the board here. Man. I usually don't like to do this.
• 51:34
  Speaker 1: I usually like to be more selective. But these games
• 51:37
  Speaker 1: pretty much meet my criteria, except for the fact that
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: the Baylor one in this one are a little bit
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: off as far as the numbers. Ken Bum I think
• 51:44
  Speaker 1: has this number at about five, but we're having to
• 51:47
  Speaker 1: take three and a half with Missouri here, but I
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: think it's worth it. Tennessee is back in the rankings,
• 51:53
  Speaker 1: and yes, well I do think this one. I'm fading
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: ken Bum's luck index in this one. Tennessee is kind
• 51:59
  Speaker 1: of an unlucky team, so usually I like Tennessee because
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: I think they're a bit of an underrated team usually,
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: but now they are back in the rankings. They're a
• 52:09
  Speaker 1: good defensive team. People overlook Tennessee, but I don't think
• 52:12
  Speaker 1: they're gonna overlook Tennessee in this spot now. Now they're
• 52:14
  Speaker 1: back in the rankings, So now they have a target
• 52:16
  Speaker 1: on their back again. And if you look at Tennessee's
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: scheduling spot here, it's bad, dude. They just had a
• 52:22
  Speaker 1: monster win at Vandy. That was a huge Tennessee rivalry
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: game where I think Tennessee has a bit of a
• 52:28
  Speaker 1: chip on their shoulder because hey, we're the big brother
• 52:31
  Speaker 1: in Tennessee man, not Vandy, right, So Tennessee tried to
• 52:36
  Speaker 1: prove that and they went into Vandy and beat them.
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: Probably Tennessee not happy that Vandy's the higher rated team
• 52:43
  Speaker 1: or was at that time. That was a big win
• 52:45
  Speaker 1: for Tennessee, man, big rivalry game. Now they're gonna go
• 52:48
  Speaker 1: out to Missouri, which is a bit more of an
• 52:50
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar venue for SEC teams have to go to because
• 52:53
  Speaker 1: Missouri still hasn't been in this conference for that long.
• 52:56
  Speaker 1: And on deck, Tennessee has another pretty big game against
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: ranked Alabama that's a big game, man, although they did
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: already beat Alabama once on the road, but that's still
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: a pretty big game on deck. So I think this
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: is a bad spot for Tennessee and the other thing
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: I talk about, even though yes, I know the line,
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: you know, we're losing a little bit of line value
• 53:17
  Speaker 1: on this one. I know I wish we could get it.
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: We could have gotten at four and a half. We
• 53:21
  Speaker 1: might be able to get it at four now. So
• 53:23
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna look and see what the numbers are on this.
• 53:26
  Speaker 1: But we're taking points against a team that is a
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: deepfensive team. So Tennessee not exactly the team you want
• 53:32
  Speaker 1: to really lay points with on the road because they
• 53:34
  Speaker 1: play better deepmense than offense. Missouri is probably gonna try
• 53:38
  Speaker 1: to speed this game up, which Tennessee does not want
• 53:40
  Speaker 1: to do. Tennessee plays slow, so if Missouri could try
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: to speed this thing up and get it all for
• 53:45
  Speaker 1: anetic that will make Tennessee uncomfortable. It's a bad spot
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: for Tennessee. And I think Missouri there is kind of
• 53:53
  Speaker 1: some need here. And I know that when a team
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: needs a game and they're like Missouri, they're a bubble team.
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: I keep talking about how these bubble teams tend to
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: be overvalued in the market. But we're getting a home
• 54:03
  Speaker 1: underdog here, man. So even though yeah, I think they
• 54:06
  Speaker 1: should be a little bit of a bigger underdog here,
• 54:09
  Speaker 1: I still think getting them as a home underdog at all.
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: I still think it's a decent, like a good way
• 54:14
  Speaker 1: to go here man with a team, because that's the
• 54:17
  Speaker 1: thing when you're getting a team that might be overvalued
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: because of you know, you know you're gonna get a
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: huge effort out of them because they're a bubble team.
• 54:23
  Speaker 1: But if you know you're gonna get a huge effort
• 54:25
  Speaker 1: out of them and they don't need to win the
• 54:27
  Speaker 1: game by margin, that's kind of the sweet spot there
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: where you know you're gonna get an effort out of them.
• 54:31
  Speaker 1: Tennessee's effort I think is in question in a spot
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: like this, Missouri. I think you know you're gonna get
• 54:36
  Speaker 1: an effort out of them because they need tournament resume
• 54:39
  Speaker 1: wins here and they're the underdog at home. So I
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: like that, man, because their goal is gonna be to
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: win the game. Like, where it really gets bad is
• 54:46
  Speaker 1: when you're having to lay points, like I said, with
• 54:48
  Speaker 1: like Indiana laying a ton of points. Is where you
• 54:51
  Speaker 1: really get into trouble with a team like that because
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: they don't need to win by margin. But Missouri, you
• 54:56
  Speaker 1: know they're gonna be trying to win the game here,
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: and you're gonna get an effort out of them. They're
• 55:00
  Speaker 1: getting points at home. Missouri is coming off a loss
• 55:03
  Speaker 1: at Arkansas. I know that was kind of a big game,
• 55:06
  Speaker 1: but they were coming off of a win over Vandy
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: the game before that, so kind of a tricky spot.
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: They're having to go to Arkansas, and that game wasn't
• 55:13
  Speaker 1: really that close. They lost by eight, but they were
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: down double digits. They were down like more than twelve.
• 55:19
  Speaker 1: I think in the final like a couple of minutes there.
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I just sort of weird noise. I
• 55:24
  Speaker 1: think it was my refrigerator behind me kicking in again
• 55:26
  Speaker 1: over there. It sounds weird though. Anyway, that game wasn't
• 55:31
  Speaker 1: that close, So I don't think Missouri is coming off
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: this like monster game or anything like that. Even though
• 55:35
  Speaker 1: Arkansas is one of their rivals. We're still going to
• 55:38
  Speaker 1: do it here. I think the spot's really bad for Tennessee.
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: We'll take Missouri plus the points here. The money looks
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: like it is kind of agreeing with me here. Sixty
• 55:46
  Speaker 1: four percent of tickets, sixty nine percent of the cash
• 55:48
  Speaker 1: on Missouri total is low, so it makes more sense
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: to take points in a game like that in the
• 55:54
  Speaker 1: one forties. Now, ken bum, I mean he does still
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: have Missouri as a competitive team there almost in the
• 56:00
  Speaker 1: top fifty overall, their top one hundred and both offense
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: and defense. Yes, I know they are very lucky. Missouri
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: actually plays slow, by the way, which I was thinking
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: they were a faster based team. I'm not used to
• 56:11
  Speaker 1: these teams that have changed their m O. Man, but
• 56:15
  Speaker 1: they still play a little bit faster than Tennessee. But
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: maybe I'm wrong about Missouri wanted to speed it up here.
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: Maybe it'll just be dude, if it's a slow game,
• 56:23
  Speaker 1: and it looks like it might be because the total
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: is low, I still think that's fine. Like taking points
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: with the home team in a game it's gonna be
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: a slow game, I think that's also quite alright to
• 56:33
  Speaker 1: be doing that. So that is what we'll do here.
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: The Missouri is not a good defense, though, so keeping
• 56:39
  Speaker 1: that in much that is still something. So that's you know,
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: I keep thinking of Missouri as a fast paced team
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: that doesn't play defense. They're a slow based team now
• 56:48
  Speaker 1: that doesn't play defense. So I don't know, although they're
• 56:51
  Speaker 1: not they're at least not atrocious defensively in the grand
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: scheme of things. But it's all about the spot, thank you, sir. Yes,
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: we will be on Missouri in that one, all right.
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: Fresno in Colorado State kind of it was interesting from
• 57:08
  Speaker 1: a handicapping perspective because Fresno they just had a big
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: game where they were I think almost double digit underdogs
• 57:14
  Speaker 1: at home to New Mexico and they almost pulled off
• 57:16
  Speaker 1: the upset against New Mexico. So that was a huge
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: game for Fresno. Now they're having to play Colorado State
• 57:23
  Speaker 1: and on deck they got Boise, so there's a potential
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: they might look ahead to Boise. Although Colorado State is
• 57:29
  Speaker 1: actually ahead of Boise in the standings now, and I
• 57:32
  Speaker 1: believe Fresno already. Fresno actually beat Colorado State already, my mistake.
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: So yeah, so there are a couple of things that
• 57:38
  Speaker 1: point you towards Colorado State here, because Fresno is coming
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: up a monster performance against New Mexico where they almost
• 57:45
  Speaker 1: pulled off the huge upset against one of the top
• 57:47
  Speaker 1: teams in the Mountain West, and they already beat Colorado State,
• 57:52
  Speaker 1: and they have one of the name teams in the
• 57:54
  Speaker 1: Mountain West on deck in Boise. Although I guess you
• 57:56
  Speaker 1: could argue Colorado is still one of the name teams
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: in this conference as well. But my hesitation with it
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: because it does look like you should lean to Colorado
• 58:04
  Speaker 1: State in this game based off of all that, because
• 58:07
  Speaker 1: it's a revenge game for Colorado State. Fresno is off
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: a huge performance as an underdog, but for Colorado State,
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a monster win themselves against San Diego State,
• 58:16
  Speaker 1: but they do have momentum winning five games in a row.
• 58:18
  Speaker 1: But that's still a huge win whenever you beat San
• 58:21
  Speaker 1: Diego State, who's usually the class of this conference. That
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: was a huge win for Colorado State, So they could
• 58:26
  Speaker 1: be in a letdown spot two. But I still prefer
• 58:30
  Speaker 1: Colorado State here against Fresno. I would still probably lean
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: towards laying it here. Colorado State. Again, they were probably
• 58:38
  Speaker 1: a road favorite at Fresno when they lost that game,
• 58:41
  Speaker 1: so they might have a little bit of an extra
• 58:43
  Speaker 1: revenge motive here. For that reason. Sixty seven percent of
• 58:46
  Speaker 1: the tickets eighty six percent of the cash on Colorado State,
• 58:50
  Speaker 1: I'll lean towards laying it. Like I said, they are
• 58:52
  Speaker 1: definitely the better team. They're on the rise in that conference,
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: but I think both teams are in bad spots, so
• 58:57
  Speaker 1: it's not really something I can get involved. And CBS
• 59:01
  Speaker 1: Sports at nine pm has Arizona State at TCU. TCU
• 59:06
  Speaker 1: might be laying too many points here because they do
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: fall into that category where they're a bubble team, everybody
• 59:12
  Speaker 1: knows it, and they're a home favorite, so they might
• 59:14
  Speaker 1: be a little bit overvalued. Man. Whereas when you get
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: into those other types of spots like the Tennessee Missouri game,
• 59:20
  Speaker 1: the oddsmakers can really only do so much because everybody
• 59:22
  Speaker 1: knows Tennessee is the better team, so the oddsmakers can't
• 59:25
  Speaker 1: really skew the line that much against them, you know
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: what I mean. But in a game like this, where
• 59:30
  Speaker 1: everybody knows TCU is the better team, they can skew
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: that number a little bit more towards TCU. Arizona State's
• 59:37
  Speaker 1: coming off a loss to Baylor, maybe they'll be in
• 59:40
  Speaker 1: bounced back mode here staying in Texas for this game. TCU.
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: We know the pressure's on, man. They've won four out
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: of five. They just beat West Virginia, who's also kind
• 59:49
  Speaker 1: of a bubble team right now, maybe they don't have
• 59:52
  Speaker 1: a huge game on deck. They just have Kansas State,
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: where they already beat, although they barely got by them,
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: so I guess maybe that's still kind of a look ahet.
• 1:00:00
  Speaker 1: Don't really see them being a ton of attention to
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 1: Arizona State here. I'm gonna i'd lean against TCU in
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 1: this one. I would lean towards Arizona State here plus
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: the points, the line might get up to seven. I
• 1:00:12
  Speaker 1: think the lines is probably a little bit too high
• 1:00:15
  Speaker 1: because everybody knows TCU is trying to make the tournament.
• 1:00:17
  Speaker 1: Here TCU at six and a half, it might get
• 1:00:22
  Speaker 1: up to seven sixty percent of tickets eighty seven percent
• 1:00:25
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Arizona State. I agree with the
• 1:00:27
  Speaker 1: money in that one. I would lean towards Arizona State
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: in that one. Slightly. Wyoming and Boise is kind of
• 1:00:34
  Speaker 1: an interesting one in the Mountain West Wyoming just pulled
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: off a big upset at Grand Canyon. They caught Grand
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 1: Canyon in a really good spot to catch them. Grand
• 1:00:42
  Speaker 1: Canyon was in a bad spot and then coming off
• 1:00:44
  Speaker 1: a big upset of San Diego State sweeping them on
• 1:00:48
  Speaker 1: the season, so Wyoming caught them in a good spot.
• 1:00:52
  Speaker 1: That's part of the reason why they won that game.
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: Now they get Boise. Wyoming did already lose at home
• 1:00:56
  Speaker 1: to Boise, though, so there is the chance that Boise
• 1:00:59
  Speaker 1: doesn't take them seriously coming into this one. But for Wyoming,
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: it's a third road game in four games, which is
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 1: not gonna be easy for Boise. They did just beat
• 1:01:10
  Speaker 1: San Jose State to end a little bit of a
• 1:01:11
  Speaker 1: losing streak for them, so I think the spot does
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 1: set up a lot better for Boise here. I think
• 1:01:16
  Speaker 1: it is debatably a letdown spot for Wyoming. Boise's coming
• 1:01:20
  Speaker 1: up a much easier win and staying at home, So
• 1:01:23
  Speaker 1: the travel edge definitely goes to Boise here. They're up
• 1:01:26
  Speaker 1: from eight to eight and a half. I would agree
• 1:01:28
  Speaker 1: with laying it with Boise in this one eighty percent
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 1: and tickets ninety eight percent of the cash on Boise.
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: It is just really tough to lay a bunch of
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: points with Boise at home though, generally, although they might
• 1:01:38
  Speaker 1: be in a situation where maybe they're gonna be overlooked
• 1:01:40
  Speaker 1: a little bit in this conference because they're not playing
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: well this season. But I think they're better than they
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: look at the very least. But they do play a slow,
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: ugly style of basketball, so laying that amount of points
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 1: at home isn't exactly something I want to deal with.
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 1: ACC Network at nine pm Miami at Florida State. This
• 1:01:57
  Speaker 1: is a huge rivalry game and Miami lost at home
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 1: to Florida State as big favorites. They're ten and a
• 1:02:03
  Speaker 1: half point favorites, so Miami might be showing up for
• 1:02:08
  Speaker 1: this one man, but it might be tough because Miami
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 1: just lost a four game win streak, so they might
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 1: be hungover after losing a win Street. But they did
• 1:02:15
  Speaker 1: it on the road at Virginia. That was a huge
• 1:02:18
  Speaker 1: game for Miami against Virginia. They played really close. So
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: that's kind of the problem with Miami here. They got
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: three road games in four games. They should be focused
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 1: because Florida State did upset them on their own floor,
• 1:02:31
  Speaker 1: so they're not gonna take Florida State lightly here, so
• 1:02:34
  Speaker 1: that's the one thing. But they are coming up a
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 1: big game, so that's gonna make it a little bit difficult.
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: But Miami, I think they should be mentally focused here.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: It's just how tired are they going to be coming
• 1:02:44
  Speaker 1: into this? But Florida State's coming up a big upset.
• 1:02:47
  Speaker 1: They just upset Clemson on the road. That was a
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: big win for Florida State, man, pulling off an upset.
• 1:02:52
  Speaker 1: Now they're coming back home. Yes, this is a big
• 1:02:55
  Speaker 1: deal for them. Still against Miami, it'll be a rivalry
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: game for them. But I prefer Miami in this one, man,
• 1:03:02
  Speaker 1: given the fact that they did lose that game at
• 1:03:04
  Speaker 1: home to them, Florida State coming out of a monster
• 1:03:07
  Speaker 1: upset themselves against Clemson. Miami's up from one and a
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: half to two and a half here. I don't know
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 1: if i'd really want to lay that many points. Maybe
• 1:03:15
  Speaker 1: you can find a nice money line on Miami. I mean,
• 1:03:17
  Speaker 1: this game's not on my card anyway, but seventy three
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: percent ticket seventy four percent of the cash on Miami.
• 1:03:22
  Speaker 1: They will be the public side. But I think Miami
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 1: might get some of the actual professional money in this
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: one too, given what the spot looks like. So I
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 1: lean to Miami in that one, but not a play
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: for me. Auburn at Oklahoma nine pm and ESPNU Auburn's
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 1: coming up a nice win over Kentucky. Man, Now how
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 1: big do they consider that win to be? I don't know, Like,
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: are they gonna be in a letdown spot here? I'm
• 1:03:49
  Speaker 1: not so sure, because Auburn continues to need wins for
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 1: their tournament resume because they are on the bubble. Man,
• 1:03:55
  Speaker 1: did you just end a five game losing streak and
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: they were a home favored in that game against Kentucky's.
• 1:04:00
  Speaker 1: So sometimes when you end a losing streak like that
• 1:04:04
  Speaker 1: and you win, you don't cover as a favorite. Sometimes
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 1: you will have momentum coming into the next game. But
• 1:04:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know, man, because I think they kind of
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: consider that to be a big game. They had to
• 1:04:12
  Speaker 1: put it in a big effort to come back. They
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 1: still be in a name team like Kentucky, so there
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: is still the worry that this is going to be
• 1:04:17
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot. It's a third road game in four
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: games for them, having to go to Oklahoma is kind
• 1:04:23
  Speaker 1: of a weird travel spot. Oklahoma's staying at home now.
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: They had a decent game in their last game against Texas.
• 1:04:29
  Speaker 1: A and M fell short, although we know A and
• 1:04:31
  Speaker 1: M's not really that good now, So what do we
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 1: do with this game besides obviously stay away from it.
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: Auburn is up to two and a half. But I
• 1:04:39
  Speaker 1: think given that Auburn is one of those bubble teams
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: and their favorite on the road, I don't think I
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 1: could lay it man, sixty two percent of ticket, sixty
• 1:04:47
  Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on Auburn two and a
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: half point road favorite. I probably slightly lean towards Oklahoma
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: and that one, you know, getting a TV game at home.
• 1:04:57
  Speaker 1: Maybe Oklahoma a little bit less used to being a
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: to do that than some of these other teams right now.
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: Not a strong opinion for me, though. Rest of these
• 1:05:06
  Speaker 1: games are all TV games, and I still have one
• 1:05:07
  Speaker 1: play left. UCF at number nineteen BYU in college basketball,
• 1:05:12
  Speaker 1: I mean this is ESPN two as we start getting
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: into the degenerate hours, the late night games where the
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: public tries to make their money back. You SEEF at
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: number nineteen BYU is what this is. You. CEF might
• 1:05:24
  Speaker 1: have a little bit more motivation here, man, because they
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: are a bubble team in the tournament right now. They
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 1: just got by Utah in their last game. Not a
• 1:05:31
  Speaker 1: big deal there. They're now used to the elevation because
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 1: they played in Utah, so the elevation won't be as
• 1:05:38
  Speaker 1: much as were concern I guess. So the maybe playing
• 1:05:40
  Speaker 1: two straight games in elevation, maybe you start losing oxygen
• 1:05:44
  Speaker 1: and getting tired out. I don't know. I don't know
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: which way it goes, like, do you get accustomed to
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 1: it or do you lose steam? I'm not really sure,
• 1:05:51
  Speaker 1: but I think they will get up for this game
• 1:05:53
  Speaker 1: against BYU. But it is an unfamiliar venue for UCF.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: A Florida team having to play in Provo, Utah or
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: whatever is really really strange. BYU is coming off a
• 1:06:04
  Speaker 1: big win though against Iowa State, and that's on the
• 1:06:07
  Speaker 1: heels of a pretty big game against Arizona where they
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: made a nice comeback laid and gave Arizona a bit
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: of a scare. So coming off two monster games there,
• 1:06:16
  Speaker 1: man BYU might not be totally ready for this. So
• 1:06:19
  Speaker 1: I think I do have to lean to UCF in
• 1:06:21
  Speaker 1: this game. I worry about just the location a little
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: bit for UCF here. The money's coming in on BYU,
• 1:06:29
  Speaker 1: which I don't really understand. I don't agree with that.
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: BYU up from ten to eleven and a half, seventy
• 1:06:33
  Speaker 1: five percent of the tickets are on Central Florida fifty
• 1:06:36
  Speaker 1: six percent of the cash on BYU. Don't really agree
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: with that. This is one of those situations where the
• 1:06:42
  Speaker 1: ranked home team is the team that you'd be fading
• 1:06:44
  Speaker 1: with the bubble team here. So I know I said
• 1:06:47
  Speaker 1: I warn against playing on bubble teams, but I think
• 1:06:50
  Speaker 1: if it's a bubble team, it's a massive underdog like this,
• 1:06:53
  Speaker 1: and BYU is also in kind of a bad spot.
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: I think it is definitely okay to be grabbing the
• 1:06:58
  Speaker 1: points with UCF, And that is the way I lean
• 1:07:00
  Speaker 1: in that one, because I think you know you're gonna
• 1:07:04
  Speaker 1: get an effort out of them at the very least
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: because they're trying to stay in the tournament. Although I
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: think if they lose it won't really like hurt their
• 1:07:11
  Speaker 1: resume that much. But yeah, that's how I look at
• 1:07:14
  Speaker 1: that game. But I don't think that UCF as being
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: like an undervalue team in that one. New Mexico at
• 1:07:19
  Speaker 1: Nevada eleven PM and CBS Sports. This is a very
• 1:07:22
  Speaker 1: addressing game. New Mexico is coming off that close game
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: against Fresno State where I told you New Mexico might
• 1:07:29
  Speaker 1: have been looking ahead man, because Nevada San Diego State.
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: These are just bigger games for them. They're already beat
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: Nevada at home by seven, but I believe New Mexico
• 1:07:37
  Speaker 1: didn't cover in that game, so maybe they'll take Nevada
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: a little bit more seriously. Or how close was this game?
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: Let me see, it was pretty close. Nevada was within
• 1:07:48
  Speaker 1: a couple possessions. Late. New Mexico were eight and a
• 1:07:50
  Speaker 1: half point favorites in that one. So New Mexico may
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: very well take Nevada seriously. And because New Mexico played
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: badly against Fresno State and almost lost as a big favorite,
• 1:08:00
  Speaker 1: I think that will have them focused here as well.
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: You gotta be a little bit concerned. I guess that
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: it's a third road game in four games. They do
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: have San Diego State on deck, so those are some
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: concerns with it. On Nevada. They're in a major letdown spot, though,
• 1:08:13
  Speaker 1: I think even though the fact that they're playing New
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: Mexico might keep them focused because they did lose them already,
• 1:08:19
  Speaker 1: New Mexico is right behind them in the standings wall
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: you no right ahead of them, excuse me, in the
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: standings by two games, so you Nevada still might show
• 1:08:29
  Speaker 1: up for a gaming. It's one of the top teams
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: in the conference. But they're coming out beating Utah State. Dude,
• 1:08:34
  Speaker 1: that was a huge win for Nevada against the best
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: team in the conference. And they do have UNLV on deck,
• 1:08:39
  Speaker 1: which is a rivalry game, although they did already beat UNLV,
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: so I'm not gonna say they're gonna overlook New Mexico.
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: But the fact that Nevada is coming off a big
• 1:08:47
  Speaker 1: win and having to put in that effort twice in
• 1:08:49
  Speaker 1: a row. Here, New Mexico is coming off a bad performance,
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: close loss, and they did not cover against Nevada at home.
• 1:08:56
  Speaker 1: I like New Mexico in this game, but the money
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: is disagreeing with me. Throw up from a pick them
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: to a one point favorite. Here seventy five percent of
• 1:09:03
  Speaker 1: tickets only fifty two percent of the cash, So New
• 1:09:05
  Speaker 1: Mexico does look like a public side with less of
• 1:09:08
  Speaker 1: the money on them. But I do actually lean to
• 1:09:10
  Speaker 1: New Mexico in that one based on what these teams
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: did in their last games. And finally, you know, the
• 1:09:15
  Speaker 1: best bet has got to be in this last one,
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: as we got five college basketball players here. Man, this one,
• 1:09:26
  Speaker 1: I would wait to see what the number you can
• 1:09:27
  Speaker 1: get on this is. But we're gonna take the much
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: maligned USC that everybody's talking about. Now. USC's falling out
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: of the bracket picture now, but now you're getting USC
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: as an underdog in a game where it's a rivalry game.
• 1:09:42
  Speaker 1: So I think you know you're gonna get an effort
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: out of USC for multiple reasons here. And they're an
• 1:09:46
  Speaker 1: underdog so they're trying to get into the tournament, whereas
• 1:09:49
  Speaker 1: UCLA is more safely in the tournament now, and you're
• 1:09:52
  Speaker 1: getting USC as an underdog here, even though yeah, they
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: deserve to be an underdog. They're not the better team here.
• 1:09:57
  Speaker 1: But the spot sets up pretty nicely for USC here. Man.
• 1:10:02
  Speaker 1: USC just lost as a home favorite against Oregon. They've
• 1:10:06
  Speaker 1: lost three games in a row, losing at Ohio State,
• 1:10:09
  Speaker 1: and I mean, fine, you can you can accept that loss.
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: You can accept losing at home to Illinois too, but
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: by almost forty points, it's pretty ridiculous. And then they
• 1:10:18
  Speaker 1: were not able to bounce back from that and they
• 1:10:20
  Speaker 1: lost to Oregon, which is pretty bad. They're staying in
• 1:10:23
  Speaker 1: California here, it's a familiar venue for USC. They're not
• 1:10:26
  Speaker 1: having to go too far Man. They're staying in southern California,
• 1:10:29
  Speaker 1: They're playing a very familiar rival to them, so I
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: don't think this is a bad travel spot at all. Yeah,
• 1:10:35
  Speaker 1: they got Nebraska on deck, but they're not gonna overlook Ucla.
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: Man Again, USC is an underdog that's fallen out of
• 1:10:41
  Speaker 1: the tournament picture here. They do have a tournament coach
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: with muscle men, so I think they will show up
• 1:10:46
  Speaker 1: for this one. I think you're you're gonna get an
• 1:10:48
  Speaker 1: effort here. Looks like you can get a better number
• 1:10:51
  Speaker 1: on this now, so I'm gonna update this in a second.
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: This one, I was gonna say you can wait on
• 1:10:55
  Speaker 1: this because it looked like the number was moving up.
• 1:10:57
  Speaker 1: But look at what Ucla just did, dude. After they
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: got bombed by both Michigan teams on the road, they
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: came back and they overcame a twenty three point deficit
• 1:11:07
  Speaker 1: and a twenty ozer Illinois run to beat Illinois in
• 1:11:11
  Speaker 1: overtime on Saturday. And now they have a quick turnaround
• 1:11:14
  Speaker 1: off of that, and they gotta play USC, who's just
• 1:11:16
  Speaker 1: falling apart right now. I think Ucla might be sky
• 1:11:20
  Speaker 1: high after that win. Man McK crone and finally saying
• 1:11:23
  Speaker 1: good things about his players. That's a new thing, because
• 1:11:26
  Speaker 1: usually he's doing the opposite. I don't really trust mc
• 1:11:30
  Speaker 1: crone in either though. Man, you could argue that USC
• 1:11:33
  Speaker 1: has the better coach with Muscle Miniere. Man, we gotta
• 1:11:37
  Speaker 1: I guess you gotta see if Baker Mazara is gonna
• 1:11:39
  Speaker 1: be playing for USC, because he's been hurt and he's
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: a guy that he was on uh he was on
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: Auburn's final four team last year, of course, so he
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: is one of the most experienced players on USC. So
• 1:11:51
  Speaker 1: I guess you gotta see if he is indeed playing.
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: But I'm not sure that I really care because UCLA
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: is coming up that monster winning against Illinois, Man, and
• 1:11:59
  Speaker 1: that pretty much slidified UCLA for the tournament. I think
• 1:12:02
  Speaker 1: I don't think the tournament really can't justify leaving them
• 1:12:05
  Speaker 1: out now. They have wins against two of the two
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: seeds in the tournament, Illinois and Purdue, So yeah, I
• 1:12:14
  Speaker 1: don't think that they can be left out at this point.
• 1:12:17
  Speaker 1: But this is a major letdown spot off a monster
• 1:12:20
  Speaker 1: monster comeback effort. I just don't know what they're gonna
• 1:12:22
  Speaker 1: have left in the tank. And you're getting USC off
• 1:12:24
  Speaker 1: losing as a home favorite, so I think they're gonna
• 1:12:27
  Speaker 1: be in a major bounce back mode here. Ucla has
• 1:12:30
  Speaker 1: got seventy percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the
• 1:12:33
  Speaker 1: cash for now, but yeah, this spot just screams us
• 1:12:39
  Speaker 1: seed to me. Yes, Ucla is the better team. We
• 1:12:41
  Speaker 1: know this. Ken Bomb's got them only forty second, which
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: isn't great. They're pretty lucky according to kem Bomb, almost
• 1:12:49
  Speaker 1: in the top one hundred in lock. Ucla usually pretty
• 1:12:53
  Speaker 1: good defensive team, but they're actually not a great defensive
• 1:12:55
  Speaker 1: team this year, so that's something to keep in mind.
• 1:12:58
  Speaker 1: And they're a slow team, so again, a team that's
• 1:13:01
  Speaker 1: gonna slow the game way down at home, laying points
• 1:13:05
  Speaker 1: in a letdown spot, all those things kind of indicate
• 1:13:07
  Speaker 1: that you should fade them. Yes, USC does want to
• 1:13:10
  Speaker 1: speed the game up and probably won't be able to,
• 1:13:13
  Speaker 1: but again, if it's a slow based game, it's gonna
• 1:13:15
  Speaker 1: be more difficult for the favorite to cover. So I
• 1:13:17
  Speaker 1: still think that's fine if the game does become slow,
• 1:13:20
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. USC is the better defensive team
• 1:13:23
  Speaker 1: even though they play fast. They're forty third in defense
• 1:13:26
  Speaker 1: according to kem Bum, and UCLA's fifty eighth, so we're
• 1:13:29
  Speaker 1: actually getting points with the better defense with USC. And yes,
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: USC is very high in Kempbam's luck Index, so we
• 1:13:36
  Speaker 1: are looking at two teams that are pretty high in
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: as luck index. That's something that's I don't love it.
• 1:13:41
  Speaker 1: I mean, I know USC is a top fifteen lucky
• 1:13:44
  Speaker 1: team in the country. I get it. They shouldn't have
• 1:13:46
  Speaker 1: a record that's as good as this, but UCLA probably
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: shouldn't either, So you know, I think it doesn't totally
• 1:13:53
  Speaker 1: in negate itself, but I think it's enough. Given the
• 1:13:56
  Speaker 1: spot that we're looking at here, I think USC has
• 1:13:58
  Speaker 1: got to be the play there. So that's what we're
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: doing there. You know, if I'm gonna wait the strength
• 1:14:05
  Speaker 1: of these plays, I would say Notre Dame because the
• 1:14:07
  Speaker 1: situation plus the number all kind of line up for
• 1:14:10
  Speaker 1: that one. Then then I guess Minnesota just because I
• 1:14:20
  Speaker 1: think the number is a little bit off in a
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: couple days. Then I guess I would still probably say USC,
• 1:14:25
  Speaker 1: then Missouri, then Baylor. But the Baylor spot is just
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: really strong, dude, So I don't know. So I guess
• 1:14:33
  Speaker 1: those are my thoughts on that. We still gotta talk
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: about NBA. Oh, Man, these games are so these shows
• 1:14:39
  Speaker 1: are so long. Tomorrow is gonna be long to although
• 1:14:43
  Speaker 1: at least the NBA won't be as bad tomorrow, but
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: a ton of NBA games here. First game up is
• 1:14:48
  Speaker 1: a play for me. So the best bet segment continues,
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: and this is one where I think it's just getting
• 1:14:54
  Speaker 1: a little bit out of control here, man, as we
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: might be able to get Indiana. We're gonna play Indiana here.
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: We might be able to get them at plus ten
• 1:15:03
  Speaker 1: and a half here against the Philadelphia team that do
• 1:15:06
  Speaker 1: you really think you should be laying this many points
• 1:15:08
  Speaker 1: on the road with Philadelphia. I'm not so sure about that, man, Philadelphia.
• 1:15:14
  Speaker 1: We don't know if Embiid is gonna play. I guess
• 1:15:15
  Speaker 1: he probably is based on the number. Paul George is
• 1:15:18
  Speaker 1: still suspended. But this is a Sixers team. It's just
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: they're pretty Jeck going hot. I don't think they're really
• 1:15:24
  Speaker 1: that good. We know that most of the reason why
• 1:15:26
  Speaker 1: the line is up like this is because Siakam is
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: not playing for the Pacers. So the Pacers are without
• 1:15:31
  Speaker 1: their best player here, and they have been without him
• 1:15:34
  Speaker 1: for a couple of games now, so that is a concern.
• 1:15:36
  Speaker 1: But that's why you're getting a ton of points with
• 1:15:39
  Speaker 1: the Pacers here, and the spot for the Sixers is
• 1:15:41
  Speaker 1: just awful, man, So I think the Pacers might be
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: able to step up their game here. This is definitely
• 1:15:46
  Speaker 1: a spot play. Plus, maybe there's a little bit of
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: extra value getting this many points with the Pacers at home.
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: Seventy four percent of tickets, ninety eight percent of the
• 1:15:54
  Speaker 1: cash on the Sixers. I don't agree with that cash percentage.
• 1:15:57
  Speaker 1: I think some of it might just have to do
• 1:16:00
  Speaker 1: with the fact that there's some money shifting around because
• 1:16:03
  Speaker 1: Indiana's got injuries here. Again, it's mostly Siakam being out
• 1:16:07
  Speaker 1: as what's moving that line that much. Look at what
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia just did though. I know Philadelphia just ended a
• 1:16:13
  Speaker 1: four game losing streak, but they just upset Minnesota on
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: the road by almost thirty points. That's just a ridiculous
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: win for Philadelphia, man, just a major outlier of a win.
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: They were almost double digit underdogs in the game. Philadelphia
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: hit twenty one to three pointers in the game, had
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: shot fifty seven percent from three point range. Yeah, do
• 1:16:33
  Speaker 1: you think they're gonna regress a little bit from that? Like,
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: I know Max, he can hit threes, but that's just absurd, man,
• 1:16:39
  Speaker 1: absolutely insane. And Minnesota had twenty one turnovers in the game,
• 1:16:44
  Speaker 1: so you can see why they lost the game. They
• 1:16:45
  Speaker 1: were minus ten in turnovers and Philadelphia shot out in
• 1:16:49
  Speaker 1: their minds from three. I think there's gonna be some
• 1:16:51
  Speaker 1: major regression here. That game was a huge outlier. Now
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia is in a letdown spot, playing a third road
• 1:16:58
  Speaker 1: game in four games, fourth game in six days, all
• 1:17:02
  Speaker 1: in different cities, and they got bigger games on deck
• 1:17:05
  Speaker 1: against Miami, who's likely headed for the playoffs, and then
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: Boston and San Antonio both TV games after that, so
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: this looks like a pretty big sandwich spot here as well.
• 1:17:15
  Speaker 1: For Indiana, I think they're just gonna be looking to
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: try to get a win here, man. I mean, you're
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: still playing for pride, like Indiana hasn't won since before
• 1:17:21
  Speaker 1: the All Star Break, and they came out of the
• 1:17:23
  Speaker 1: All Star Break and lost to Washington twice and to Dallas.
• 1:17:27
  Speaker 1: So the Siakam actually came back against Dallas. But I
• 1:17:30
  Speaker 1: do think he's hurt again. I'm pretty sure he's not
• 1:17:32
  Speaker 1: playing here, So that doesn't mean actually it's an injured
• 1:17:35
  Speaker 1: player spat for Indiana is what that means because he
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: played in that game against Dallas. And what do I
• 1:17:41
  Speaker 1: always say, when your key player goes down, you're usually
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: gonna get line value on that team, and the team
• 1:17:49
  Speaker 1: knows they got to step up their level of play
• 1:17:51
  Speaker 1: after that. So that's what we're getting here Indiana at
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: the very least, even though I know they're playing four
• 1:17:55
  Speaker 1: games in six days as well. They're staying at home though,
• 1:17:58
  Speaker 1: and they still haven't won coming out of the All
• 1:18:00
  Speaker 1: Star Break, and they've played bad teams coming out of
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: the All Star Break and had bad games and all
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: three of them. Although Dallas, you know I talked about Dallas.
• 1:18:09
  Speaker 1: They're not as bad as the record looks though. Dallas
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: isn't playing like they had a stretch where they just
• 1:18:13
  Speaker 1: played a lot of good teams. Man. So I'm not
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: gonna really knock out Indiana too much for that loss.
• 1:18:19
  Speaker 1: I think Indiana is gonna try to get a win here, man.
• 1:18:22
  Speaker 1: I think you will get effort out of them. When
• 1:18:24
  Speaker 1: a team hasn't won in that long of a period
• 1:18:26
  Speaker 1: of time, I think you'll get efforts. So, yes, we
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: were taking the points with the Pacers. And again I'm
• 1:18:31
  Speaker 1: gonna update the show description here with the actual numbers
• 1:18:34
  Speaker 1: that I put out for these plays, because I do
• 1:18:37
  Speaker 1: think we'll be able to get that key number seven.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: With USC Indiana, we might be able to get ten
• 1:18:42
  Speaker 1: and a half. If that's not really a big deal.
• 1:18:45
  Speaker 1: Washington at Atlanta, this is an ugly game that I
• 1:18:48
  Speaker 1: want nothing to do with. Washington coming out of a
• 1:18:50
  Speaker 1: loss to Charlotte on Sunday, they're going out on the road.
• 1:18:54
  Speaker 1: Maybe that'll be good for them. Just forget about that loss,
• 1:18:57
  Speaker 1: going on the road, focus on basketball. When you start
• 1:19:00
  Speaker 1: a road trip, a lot of times you will be focused.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: In that first game, Atlanta did just get a win,
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: but they're staying at home, and it was only a
• 1:19:07
  Speaker 1: win over Brooklyn, a non covering win, I believe, which
• 1:19:10
  Speaker 1: is not impressive really, So this game is not a
• 1:19:14
  Speaker 1: game that I have any read on at all. The
• 1:19:16
  Speaker 1: Hawks are up to a thirteen point favorite, though sixty
• 1:19:19
  Speaker 1: two percent of tickets ninety three percent of the cash
• 1:19:21
  Speaker 1: on the Hawks. I don't know about that. Man. It's
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: even though the money looks like it's coming in on
• 1:19:26
  Speaker 1: the Hawks, It's kind of like, who are the Hawks
• 1:19:27
  Speaker 1: really to be laying that many points? I don't know.
• 1:19:32
  Speaker 1: I don't exactly see it, So I don't know. I mean,
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: I would kind of lean towards taking the points in
• 1:19:36
  Speaker 1: that one, but I have no strong opinion on that
• 1:19:38
  Speaker 1: at all. Dallas at Brooklyn. As I said, Dallas just
• 1:19:42
  Speaker 1: beat Indiana the other day. Dallas is returning over no excuse.
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: They're continuing a road trip. Excuse me, playing a third
• 1:19:49
  Speaker 1: road game in five five days, which isn't that great.
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: But the thing for Dallas is they did just end
• 1:19:56
  Speaker 1: a losing streak, so they had him won since the
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: Anuary twenty second, believe it or not, so they've gone
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: a month without winning. But again, I told you they
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: played a lot of good teams during that stretch. There
• 1:20:07
  Speaker 1: wasn't a single bad team that they lost to during
• 1:20:10
  Speaker 1: that stretch. The only team of the losing record they
• 1:20:12
  Speaker 1: lost to was Charlotte by two points. And we know
• 1:20:15
  Speaker 1: Charlotte is kind of headed for the playoffs right now,
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: the play in tournament. At the very least, Dallas breaking
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: that losing momentum like that against a not very good
• 1:20:25
  Speaker 1: Indiana team I think will give them some momentum coming
• 1:20:28
  Speaker 1: into this one. They are the better team over Brooklyn.
• 1:20:31
  Speaker 1: Brooklyn's still not good. Brooklyn is returning over from a
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: road trev and they're actually playing a third They're playing
• 1:20:38
  Speaker 1: a fourth game in six days, all in different cities,
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: which isn't that great. Their road trip was not even
• 1:20:43
  Speaker 1: a week long, so it's not as bad. But I
• 1:20:46
  Speaker 1: do talk about when a team returns home from a
• 1:20:48
  Speaker 1: road trip, a lot of times they will be a
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: bit distracted. Still, they might have to get back to
• 1:20:52
  Speaker 1: family life. They got to do some things. They do
• 1:20:54
  Speaker 1: have San Antonio, Boston, Cleveland, Miami, twice, Detroit. Those are
• 1:20:59
  Speaker 1: all of their upcome games, which are all bigger than
• 1:21:01
  Speaker 1: this Dallas game. So I like Dallas in this game.
• 1:21:07
  Speaker 1: The money looks like it's disagreeing with me on that
• 1:21:09
  Speaker 1: one too, and I don't really get that one. Dallas
• 1:21:11
  Speaker 1: up from one and a half to two. I think
• 1:21:13
  Speaker 1: Dallas having that new momentum, finally breaking that losing streak
• 1:21:16
  Speaker 1: which was a lot less bad than it looked like
• 1:21:20
  Speaker 1: it was. The Nets still being in this kind of
• 1:21:22
  Speaker 1: return home spot. I know they still haven't won a
• 1:21:24
  Speaker 1: games since before the All Star break, but yeah, I
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: think the spot is just better for Dallas in my opinion.
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: Seventy three percent of tickets on them is fifty two
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: of the cash on the nets. Yeah, I disagree with
• 1:21:36
  Speaker 1: the market there. I lean Dallas Oklahoma City at Toronto.
• 1:21:39
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City just got a nice win against Cleveland. SGA
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: is still not back. I think he's still gonna miss
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: another game or two. I think he's slated to come
• 1:21:47
  Speaker 1: back in the Denver game, I believe. So we'll see
• 1:21:51
  Speaker 1: what happens. That won't be until Friday. Now, Oklahoma City
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: is coming off that big game against Cleveland. They got
• 1:21:58
  Speaker 1: to go to Toronto here, and they got Detroit on
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: deck on ESPN tomorrow, so you could make the argument
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: this is a sandwich spot. But back on January twenty fifth,
• 1:22:08
  Speaker 1: Toronto beat Oklahoma City at Oklahoma City with SGA, So
• 1:22:13
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma City might take Toronto seriously just for that reason.
• 1:22:18
  Speaker 1: It'll be interesting to see man and Toronto is not
• 1:22:21
  Speaker 1: that good at home. That's the other thing. Toronto's only
• 1:22:23
  Speaker 1: sixteen and thirteen at home straight off Oklahoma City is
• 1:22:26
  Speaker 1: twenty and seven on the road, and you will be
• 1:22:29
  Speaker 1: asking Toronto to cover as a favorite here, which you
• 1:22:32
  Speaker 1: know the public might look it in. And I think
• 1:22:34
  Speaker 1: it's weird to see Toronto as a favorite. And of
• 1:22:36
  Speaker 1: course it's because SGA is out. I think home Gren
• 1:22:39
  Speaker 1: is questionable, although I'm expecting that he will play for Toronto.
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: They are returning home here, but let me see only
• 1:22:48
  Speaker 1: a two game road trip, though they've had some days
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: off in the middle there. If they only played Thursday
• 1:22:52
  Speaker 1: Sunday and out of the returning home, they'll still most
• 1:22:55
  Speaker 1: likely get up for a game against Oklahoma City. Though,
• 1:22:57
  Speaker 1: I do think the spot is worse for the under
• 1:23:00
  Speaker 1: all though it was like the money is kind of
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: indicating on the Thunder, but the percentages are really close
• 1:23:05
  Speaker 1: to fifty percent here. Raptors flip from one and a
• 1:23:07
  Speaker 1: half dog to a one point favorite here, the tickets
• 1:23:11
  Speaker 1: around the Raptors fifty two percent of the cash on
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: the Thunder. I still think the spot is worse for
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: the Thunder though, like the Raptors, even though yeah, they
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: went into Oklahoma City and beat them with SGA, I
• 1:23:21
  Speaker 1: don't think the Raptors are gonna overlook the Thunder like ever,
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: so I don't know. And the Thunder seemed to be
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: in a worse spot here at that game between Cleveland
• 1:23:29
  Speaker 1: and Detroit, so I'll lean slightly to Toronto in that one.
• 1:23:35
  Speaker 1: Knicks at Cleveland on Peacock at seven thirty. I have
• 1:23:39
  Speaker 1: more of an opinion on this game, not one of
• 1:23:42
  Speaker 1: my plays, but the Knicks or now on a two
• 1:23:44
  Speaker 1: game win street. They had that huge comeback against Houston,
• 1:23:47
  Speaker 1: then I gave you guys, Chicago in the next game
• 1:23:49
  Speaker 1: in Chicago did cover against the Knicks. So the Knicks
• 1:23:52
  Speaker 1: now continued their momentum with kind of a bad game
• 1:23:55
  Speaker 1: and a non covering win against Chicago. So I think
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: they might have already been looking ahead to this Cleveland game.
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna step it up for this game
• 1:24:02
  Speaker 1: against Cleveland. But they are playing a third game in
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: four days, all in different cities, which is not that
• 1:24:07
  Speaker 1: easy to do. But look at what Cleveland is coming
• 1:24:10
  Speaker 1: off of. Man, Cleveland just played Oklahoma City and I
• 1:24:13
  Speaker 1: know they lost, so that was still a big deal,
• 1:24:16
  Speaker 1: big game for Cleveland, and they're playing a fourth game.
• 1:24:19
  Speaker 1: Both teams are playing a fourth game in six days.
• 1:24:21
  Speaker 1: Cleveland's playing a third game in No, they're playing a
• 1:24:25
  Speaker 1: third game in five days, I might say, but they
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: are playing a fourth game in six days though, and
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: Cleveland had won six games in a row before they
• 1:24:34
  Speaker 1: lost to Oklahoma Cities. They're coming off the much more
• 1:24:36
  Speaker 1: difficult game on the road at Oklahoma City, whereas the
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: Knicks just kind of put on cruise control and got
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: through the balls. So the fact that Cleveland's coming up
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: a much bigger game and having to maintain another effort
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: here and they lost a seven game win streak with
• 1:24:51
  Speaker 1: that loss, I lean to the Knicks in this game, man,
• 1:24:55
  Speaker 1: even though I know the Knicks are much better at
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: home than they are on the road, so that is
• 1:24:58
  Speaker 1: a concern. The Calves are laying four points here now,
• 1:25:01
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets and cash on the Calves.
• 1:25:04
  Speaker 1: I think the Calves are kind of the public side
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: here because everybody knows they have James hard and now
• 1:25:09
  Speaker 1: everybody kind of likes what the Calves are doing. Now
• 1:25:12
  Speaker 1: they look like they're kind of the team to win
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: the East at this point is kind of the narrative.
• 1:25:17
  Speaker 1: But I still would not overlook the Knicks and in
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: this spot getting points, I think you're usually not getting
• 1:25:22
  Speaker 1: points with the Knicks, So I think it might be
• 1:25:24
  Speaker 1: a spot to look towards the Knicks here as they're
• 1:25:27
  Speaker 1: going from a public The Knicks are going from a
• 1:25:29
  Speaker 1: public road favorite to being an anti public road underdogs.
• 1:25:33
  Speaker 1: That's the type of flip that I do like to
• 1:25:35
  Speaker 1: look for maybe an overreaction being in play from the
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: public's perspective there, which would have me leaning towards the
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: Knicks as well. Here. I know the Knicks are not
• 1:25:44
  Speaker 1: great on the road. They're only one game above five hundred,
• 1:25:48
  Speaker 1: and they were below five hundred I think pretty recently
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: Cleveland is better at home. I get all that, but
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: this is a spot where I think it makes more
• 1:25:55
  Speaker 1: sense to grab it with the Knicks. Charlotte at Chicago.
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: Here Charlotte coming off a win over Washington, which did
• 1:26:06
  Speaker 1: end a two game losing year. They lost to good
• 1:26:07
  Speaker 1: teams though, Houston and Cleveland, and they were competitive in
• 1:26:11
  Speaker 1: both games. So it was a good sign for Charlotte
• 1:26:13
  Speaker 1: that they came off of that, and they still won
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: by margin against Washington. They actually covered as a big
• 1:26:18
  Speaker 1: road favorite there, so now they have some momentum. They're
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: playing a Chicago team that just played pretty close against
• 1:26:24
  Speaker 1: the Knicks. Man, so Chicago's coming off a close call
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: in a big game against the Knicks. So I think
• 1:26:29
  Speaker 1: Chicago is in the worst spot here. I would lean
• 1:26:32
  Speaker 1: towards Charlotte in this one. You're gonna be laying points
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: on the road with Charlotte, though laying a lot of points.
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: They're up to an eight and a half point favorite,
• 1:26:40
  Speaker 1: which is, you know, not really in my repertoire, let's say,
• 1:26:44
  Speaker 1: unless it's like a real great situational lay points on
• 1:26:47
  Speaker 1: the road, which I did say in the NBA. There
• 1:26:49
  Speaker 1: are situations that make sense to do that. I don't
• 1:26:52
  Speaker 1: really think this is one of them. Fifty to fifty
• 1:26:54
  Speaker 1: on the ticket, seventy six percent of the cash on
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: the bulls, so the money's coming in on the bulls.
• 1:26:59
  Speaker 1: I don't actually agree with that. I would lean towards
• 1:27:01
  Speaker 1: Charlotte here based on the spot, but I think it's
• 1:27:04
  Speaker 1: a little too rich for my blood here. Man. Looking
• 1:27:09
  Speaker 1: at the injury report, looks like Simon's is still gonna
• 1:27:11
  Speaker 1: be out for Chicago. They just got him from my
• 1:27:14
  Speaker 1: Celtics not that long ago. He is a good scorer,
• 1:27:17
  Speaker 1: so he's gonna be out. Don't know what's gonna happen
• 1:27:20
  Speaker 1: with Kobe White for Charlotte because he has a chance
• 1:27:23
  Speaker 1: to it. He's probable, so he's going to play against
• 1:27:25
  Speaker 1: his former team, so he might have a little bit
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: extra motivation because he's playing against the team that got
• 1:27:30
  Speaker 1: rid of him. So a lot of times when the
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: team that got rid of you, you're playing against them
• 1:27:34
  Speaker 1: for the first time, a lot of times you'll get
• 1:27:36
  Speaker 1: up for that game. And I don't believe they played Chicago. Yeah,
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: they have not played them since the All Star breaks.
• 1:27:42
  Speaker 1: That's a little bit of a weird angle there where
• 1:27:44
  Speaker 1: White might have a little bit of personal motivation there
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: against the team that got rid of them. So that's
• 1:27:52
  Speaker 1: what's going on in that game. Miami at Milwaukee, this
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: is a pretty ugly game. Miami just beat a shell
• 1:27:59
  Speaker 1: of a Memphis team. They couldn't even beat the Kings
• 1:28:01
  Speaker 1: last night. I believe I was correct about the over
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: in that game last night, so I was correct about that.
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: I was correct about the Spurs, but I was not
• 1:28:07
  Speaker 1: correct about the Jazz covering last night. For my NBA
• 1:28:13
  Speaker 1: opinions there, Memphis is a bad team, so Miami beating
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: them doesn't really matter. I mean, again, we saw Memphis
• 1:28:19
  Speaker 1: lose to the Kings last night. Memphis really they're a
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: total mash unit. So that game is just whatever. But
• 1:28:25
  Speaker 1: it was an easy game, and Miami does come into
• 1:28:27
  Speaker 1: this game with momentum. But maybe they're going to be
• 1:28:30
  Speaker 1: looking past a yahnisless Milwaukee team to Philadelphia, who they
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: have on deck here. Milwaukee actually playing a little bit
• 1:28:39
  Speaker 1: better recently, although they did just lose the three game
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: wins stream with a bad blowout loss to Toronto, but
• 1:28:43
  Speaker 1: they were turning over from a road trip, although well
• 1:28:46
  Speaker 1: really it was just a single game road trip though
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: a quick road trip. I don't know what happened in
• 1:28:51
  Speaker 1: that game, but they might be in bounced back mode
• 1:28:53
  Speaker 1: after a really horrendous looking loss. You don't want to
• 1:28:56
  Speaker 1: lose by thirty to anybody man like these are still professionals.
• 1:28:59
  Speaker 1: You lose that bad, you're probably gonna show up for
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: a game. So I'll lean to the Bucks plus the
• 1:29:04
  Speaker 1: points slightly in this one. The heater up to a
• 1:29:07
  Speaker 1: six and a half point favorite with juice seventy two
• 1:29:10
  Speaker 1: percent tickets and only fifty seven percent of the cash
• 1:29:13
  Speaker 1: on the heat, so they do look at a public
• 1:29:15
  Speaker 1: road favorite there with the money coming in against them.
• 1:29:18
  Speaker 1: Maybe they're looking ahead to Philly and Houston on deck.
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: So yeah, slightly for me to the Bucks to bounce
• 1:29:23
  Speaker 1: back from a bad loss. Golden State at New Orleans.
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: This is a pretty weird one. Golden State's coming out
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: of a nice win over Denver, so they might be
• 1:29:33
  Speaker 1: riding a little bit high here. I believe we're still
• 1:29:34
  Speaker 1: looking at a pretty injured Golden State team here and
• 1:29:38
  Speaker 1: now they're having to go to New Orleans. Kind of
• 1:29:39
  Speaker 1: a weird spot, although when you start a road trip
• 1:29:42
  Speaker 1: sometimes you will be focused. And they only have Memphis
• 1:29:45
  Speaker 1: up next, which isn't that big a deal though Golden
• 1:29:47
  Speaker 1: State barely got by Memphis at home when they just
• 1:29:50
  Speaker 1: played them. But I think this could be a letdown
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: spot off a huge win over Denver. New Orleans is
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: coming into this of a nice win themselves beating Philadelphia,
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: but I think they will show up. Man, they have
• 1:30:01
  Speaker 1: two days off and they're staying at home, so I
• 1:30:03
  Speaker 1: think the spot is a lot better for New Orleans
• 1:30:06
  Speaker 1: travel wise. Rest Wise, I don't think they're gonna overlook
• 1:30:09
  Speaker 1: a Warrior team here, even though the Warriors are gonna
• 1:30:11
  Speaker 1: be an injured team here coming into this one. Uh,
• 1:30:14
  Speaker 1: Steph Curry is still out, so that's the biggest deal
• 1:30:17
  Speaker 1: for Golden State. Green Draymond is a question mark here.
• 1:30:23
  Speaker 1: I expect he'll probably go, but who knows because he
• 1:30:26
  Speaker 1: is old. But I don't know how big of a
• 1:30:28
  Speaker 1: deal that really is at this point for the Warriors.
• 1:30:31
  Speaker 1: But yes, I like the Pelicans in this one. The
• 1:30:33
  Speaker 1: Warriors are one and a half point favorite, fifty six
• 1:30:35
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets, fifty seven percent of the cash on
• 1:30:37
  Speaker 1: them right now. But I would only be able to
• 1:30:40
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points of the Pelicans in that one.
• 1:30:43
  Speaker 1: Next game up is, unfortunately, my other play where I'm
• 1:30:45
  Speaker 1: gonna fade my Boston Celtics. We're gonna play this Phoenix
• 1:30:50
  Speaker 1: team that is a very injured team. I know they're
• 1:30:52
  Speaker 1: without Booker and Brooks here, they're without Brooks are in
• 1:30:56
  Speaker 1: this game, so they're without they're two dbs, the two
• 1:31:00
  Speaker 1: defensive backs, they're without a Boat. They were without their
• 1:31:03
  Speaker 1: top two players. I know that. But that factor into
• 1:31:06
  Speaker 1: the lineman and it nicks Phoenix really easy to overlook,
• 1:31:09
  Speaker 1: I think. And this is not a good spot for
• 1:31:12
  Speaker 1: the Celtics. Like I know my team, the Celtics, and
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: I know I've given out a lot of plays in
• 1:31:17
  Speaker 1: their games, and I'm pretty sure that I'm up in
• 1:31:20
  Speaker 1: Celtics games this year. I usually have a good read
• 1:31:23
  Speaker 1: on them. They're coming off two big games, man in
• 1:31:26
  Speaker 1: the middle of this road trip here, and if they're
• 1:31:27
  Speaker 1: gonna like not pay attention in one game on this
• 1:31:30
  Speaker 1: road trip. It's gonna be this game against the Phoenix
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: team that's down their top two players. Look at what
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: the Celtics just did. They just beat Golden State to
• 1:31:38
  Speaker 1: start the road trip. I know, Golden State, Yeah they're
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: an injured team. Whatever, But then the Celtics had a
• 1:31:43
  Speaker 1: very satisfying blowout and win against a full strength Laker team.
• 1:31:47
  Speaker 1: And that's a big rivalry, Celtics Lakers. We all hate
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: each other, man, you know that Celtics Lakers. There's a
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: lot of hate that goes around there. And uh yeah,
• 1:31:58
  Speaker 1: the Celtics had already beaten the Lakers at home. I
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: thought they lost to the Lakers once in or two.
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: I guess they didn't. But that's still a monster win
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: for the Celtics against a full strength Laker team. Man.
• 1:32:08
  Speaker 1: Now they got this injured Phoenix team. And tomorrow the
• 1:32:11
  Speaker 1: Celtics have to play Denver, which is a revenge game
• 1:32:14
  Speaker 1: because Denver actually beat the Celtics in an upset in Boston.
• 1:32:18
  Speaker 1: I think it might have been without Jokic too, not
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: that long ago. So I think the Celtics are gonna
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: have their sights set on Denver in that huge TV
• 1:32:27
  Speaker 1: game on deck and overlook Phoenix in this one. So
• 1:32:29
  Speaker 1: we will grab the points with the Phoenix Suns. Here, Suns,
• 1:32:34
  Speaker 1: they're looking to bounce back from a terrible performance. I
• 1:32:36
  Speaker 1: gave you guys Portland in that game. Look at what
• 1:32:39
  Speaker 1: the setup was in that game. Though. The Suns had
• 1:32:41
  Speaker 1: come off that huge game against Orlando, and remember they
• 1:32:44
  Speaker 1: played most of that game. Booker was already out in
• 1:32:47
  Speaker 1: that game. Booker went down I think again in the
• 1:32:49
  Speaker 1: San Antonio game, and Brooks got injured right away in
• 1:32:53
  Speaker 1: that Orlando game. So Phoenix played almost an entire game
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: without those two guys. But look at what the setup was.
• 1:32:59
  Speaker 1: They played a double overtime game one on a buzzer
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: beater against Orlando with a thin roster. They just had
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: nothing left man playing on a back to back the
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: next game, and they put up only seventy seven points.
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: And I think when you're getting a team that had
• 1:33:12
  Speaker 1: that that bad of a performance and you can you
• 1:33:15
  Speaker 1: can explain why it was that bad, I think you're
• 1:33:18
  Speaker 1: gonna get a much better effort out of them. Now
• 1:33:20
  Speaker 1: they're staying at home, they had a day off to rest.
• 1:33:23
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna get a way better effort out
• 1:33:25
  Speaker 1: of Phoenix in this one. So Phoenix is the play here.
• 1:33:28
  Speaker 1: Celtics are a very public side, seventy one percent of tickets,
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: only fifty five percent of the cash. Hopefully you can
• 1:33:33
  Speaker 1: get the key number seven. I saw it at a
• 1:33:35
  Speaker 1: few different books out there this morning. I would still
• 1:33:39
  Speaker 1: probably do it at six and a half, but seven
• 1:33:41
  Speaker 1: is a bit more key because teams stop potentially fouling
• 1:33:44
  Speaker 1: at the three possession threshold. But yes, we'll take the points.
• 1:33:47
  Speaker 1: This is a very low total to it, two point seven.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: So in the NBA, I know like points are usually
• 1:33:53
  Speaker 1: not at a premium, but if they were, it would
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: be a game like this where the total is massively
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: low and the money's coming in on the under. So
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: expected to be a low scoring game here with the
• 1:34:03
  Speaker 1: Suns team that yeah, I know a lot of it
• 1:34:06
  Speaker 1: is because Phoenix is down their top two scores. But
• 1:34:08
  Speaker 1: this is gonna be a game where we will do
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: it based on the spot. I know the Celtics are
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: pretty good on the road, actually a better road record
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: than Phoenix's home record, but Phoenix has been pretty good
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: at home this year too, so we are taking the
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: points of Phoenix. There two more games. The second game
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: of the Peacock doubleheader is less interesting than the first one.
• 1:34:30
  Speaker 1: It's Minnesota at Portland. It's not a horrible game. I
• 1:34:33
  Speaker 1: think Minnesota might be in a bounce back mode here. Man.
• 1:34:36
  Speaker 1: That was a really, really disgusting loss against Philly that
• 1:34:39
  Speaker 1: I already talked about. It was a major outlier against
• 1:34:42
  Speaker 1: Philadelphia there, Man, Philadelphia again, they shot over fifty percent
• 1:34:47
  Speaker 1: from three point range, hit twenty three's or whatever. There
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: was a huge turnover disparity going against Minnesota. I think
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: one of the best things for Minnesota now is to
• 1:34:55
  Speaker 1: just forget about it go on the road coming off
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: an ugly leading loss where Minnesota is a huge favorite.
• 1:35:02
  Speaker 1: I think you will get a big effort out of
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: Minnesota here coming off of that game, even though they
• 1:35:06
  Speaker 1: did blow out Portland at home three games ago. I
• 1:35:09
  Speaker 1: just don't see Minnesota having a bad game coming off
• 1:35:12
  Speaker 1: of that bad game that they're coming off of. Portland
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: just had a nice, pretty impressive win over Phoenix, but
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: remember they caught Phoenix in a very bad spot. Now
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: they're coming back home from that, Yeah, they'll get up
• 1:35:24
  Speaker 1: for a TV game where they're hosting a Minnesota team
• 1:35:26
  Speaker 1: that just embarrass them, There's no doubt about that. I
• 1:35:28
  Speaker 1: think you'll get an effort out of the Blazers here,
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: but I think I would have to lay it with
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: the Tea Wolves if I was gonna do anything with
• 1:35:34
  Speaker 1: this game. They're up from five and a half to
• 1:35:36
  Speaker 1: six and a half with juice, so it is getting
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: close to that key number seven. Minnesota will be a
• 1:35:41
  Speaker 1: public side, which they are eighty five percent of the tickets,
• 1:35:45
  Speaker 1: but I think the actual money you might be agreeing
• 1:35:46
  Speaker 1: with it eighty nine percent of the cash right now,
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: the public is not always going to be an anti
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: professional side man, and they're gonna get some games, right,
• 1:35:55
  Speaker 1: which is what keeps them coming back to the window
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: because they need to get as of victory, so they
• 1:36:01
  Speaker 1: keep coming back, all right. And then we have Orlando
• 1:36:04
  Speaker 1: at LA to finish this off at the Lakers. I
• 1:36:06
  Speaker 1: should say Orlando just played the other LA team and
• 1:36:10
  Speaker 1: got a win, and when I thought was kind of
• 1:36:12
  Speaker 1: a crazy bad spot, playing on a back to back,
• 1:36:15
  Speaker 1: traveling in from Phoenix off a double ot game, I
• 1:36:17
  Speaker 1: don't know how they won against the Clippers with the
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: Lakers on deck. The Clippers were my lean in that game.
• 1:36:24
  Speaker 1: I don't know how that happened. I don't think Orlando's
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook LA and overlook the Lakers here, and at
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: the very least they're staying in the city of LA
• 1:36:33
  Speaker 1: for this one. So but they are still playing a
• 1:36:35
  Speaker 1: third game in four and as all in different arenas here.
• 1:36:40
  Speaker 1: The Lakers did just take an ugly home loss out
• 1:36:42
  Speaker 1: of Boston, so the spot is better for the Lakers.
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: They're just staying in LA. They're coming off kind of
• 1:36:47
  Speaker 1: an embarrassing loss that everybody saw. And when everybody sees
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: the team look that bad in primetime, I think you
• 1:36:52
  Speaker 1: kind of want to look or look that bad on TV,
• 1:36:55
  Speaker 1: I should say, I think you kind of want to
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: look towards that team. I think it was a primetime
• 1:36:58
  Speaker 1: game too. You kind of want to look towards that team,
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: and they look that bad in a highly publicized game
• 1:37:05
  Speaker 1: like that. Lakers down for six and a half to
• 1:37:07
  Speaker 1: five and a half year, but sixty four percent of tickets,
• 1:37:10
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the cash on the Lakers, so
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: the money is coming in on the Lakers. I agree
• 1:37:16
  Speaker 1: with the Lakers here, and I don't know why the
• 1:37:17
  Speaker 1: line moved down a little bit. Wagner is still out
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: for Orlando. As I said, he's not coming back for
• 1:37:23
  Speaker 1: a while. Suggs is questionable for the Magic. He did
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: not play in the game. He's not played as their
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: last two games he hasn't played. So maybe the line
• 1:37:34
  Speaker 1: moved down on the Lakers a little bit because Suggs
• 1:37:36
  Speaker 1: is coming back. But I still lean to the Lakers.
• 1:37:38
  Speaker 1: If Suggs is coming back, you get more value on
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: the Lakers, and he'll have to work his way back
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: into the lineup and whatever. Guys will have to reassume
• 1:37:46
  Speaker 1: their other roles, so that I don't think it's an
• 1:37:48
  Speaker 1: immediate positive for Orlando to have him coming back. So
• 1:37:52
  Speaker 1: that's what I think about that game. And that's gonna
• 1:37:54
  Speaker 1: do it. Man, long show today would be even longer tomorrow. Unfortunately,
• 1:37:58
  Speaker 1: I'm not looking forward to it, to be honest. I
• 1:38:00
  Speaker 1: like talking about these games. It's just I don't know.
• 1:38:03
  Speaker 1: I get really tired man doing it. So once again,
• 1:38:06
  Speaker 1: we have a ton of plays today, College of Basketball
• 1:38:08
  Speaker 1: or taking the points all over the place with Notre Dame, Minnesota, Missouri, Baylor, USC.
• 1:38:20
  Speaker 1: I think that's it for the College of Basketball, those
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: five plays, and then NBA all underdogs today. Man, where's Jeffrey.
• 1:38:27
  Speaker 1: I hope he's all right. I do see him on
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: Twitter sometimes. He hasn't been back in the chat for
• 1:38:31
  Speaker 1: a while though. He likes the underdogs and we're on
• 1:38:34
  Speaker 1: the Pacers and the Suns for the NBA card. There
• 1:38:40
  Speaker 1: a lot of plays today, a lot of stuff in
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: action today. Let's get it done, man, Let's have a
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: good day. Let's get some wins. Let's have a winning day.
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: As long as we have a winning day, I'm fine
• 1:38:48
  Speaker 1: with it, man. Four and three at least is the
• 1:38:51
  Speaker 1: aim here. Hopefully we can get that done. That's gonna
• 1:38:54
  Speaker 1: do it. Learn to toad on Twitter. You can subscribe
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: to me there, and that helps me out, man, because
• 1:38:59
  Speaker 1: you need to get some money in any way that
• 1:39:01
  Speaker 1: I can hear. But I will maybe start, actually, you know,
• 1:39:04
  Speaker 1: going full throttle with this, although that probably means that
• 1:39:06
  Speaker 1: I'm going to get throttled by some of the books.
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: But we will say so. Yeah, Learn a tone on Twitter,
• 1:39:14
  Speaker 1: learn it tone on Instagram, and check me out at
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: those places like it. Subscribe to the show here, man,
• 1:39:19
  Speaker 1: give me a good review here, or give me a
• 1:39:21
  Speaker 1: good review on audio. Excuse me, give me a good reply.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: I keep saying, review, Give me good replies here on
• 1:39:26
  Speaker 1: the channel, man, boost this channel up. I want to
• 1:39:28
  Speaker 1: monetize this YouTube thing, Dude. If I can make money
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: just by giving out picks, that would be awesome. Which
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: hopefully my picks are good enough that they're worth it.
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: But I'm giving it all out for free on the
• 1:39:39
  Speaker 1: show man, so yeah, like subscribe, It's pretty much all
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: I ask. Let's boost this thing. Let's get it monetized.
• 1:39:46
  Speaker 1: Listen on audio. I am back on audio on the
• 1:39:48
  Speaker 1: spreaker took me down again for uploading three episodes yesterday
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: to backfill it. I don't upload the bracketology ones there,
• 1:39:57
  Speaker 1: so check that out. Give me a good reviews on audio,
• 1:39:59
  Speaker 1: Like subscribe. Over there, Covered in yuc is my yuke
• 1:40:02
  Speaker 1: channel on YouTube. You can check that out and my
• 1:40:04
  Speaker 1: yuke covers. Gotta get my voice back. Oh god, I
• 1:40:07
  Speaker 1: see a huge, ugly mel kiper face over there. They're
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: talking about the NFL draft. Oh my god. I don't
• 1:40:13
  Speaker 1: like seeing his face. Man, It's like a horror movie
• 1:40:16
  Speaker 1: in action at this point, What else am I gonna say?
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: Patreon dot com slash learned to toad, I appreciate all
• 1:40:23
  Speaker 1: the support, mane, you can help me out. Over there.
• 1:40:25
  Speaker 1: I know I don't pay that much attention to it,
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: but I do do requests every once in a while
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: on the Yuke Uh Yeah and Loser casts tonight. So
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: check us out tonight at ten pm Eastern, the comedy
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: podcast that I'm on. I think that will do it.
• 1:40:40
  Speaker 1: I appreciate it, guys, thanks for hanging out. I'll be
• 1:40:42
  Speaker 1: back tomorrow with a long Wednesday episode of course. Peace