Latest / Brian Thomas / AFP - Social Security
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Deep Talk Station.
- 0:03Speaker 2: If if you've got KRC Decalk station, a happy Wednesday
- 0:05Speaker 2: to you their return as it is the case every
- 0:09Speaker 2: week Donovan and Neil from Americans for Prosperity AFP doing
- 0:12Speaker 2: everything that can help you help well us get some
- 0:15Speaker 2: good people elected in office, door to door campaigns, knocking
- 0:18Speaker 2: on doors, giving you all the tools and the equipment
- 0:20Speaker 2: you need to help do that, and also bringing up
- 0:23Speaker 2: issues like Bernie Moreno's op ed piece with Elizabeth Warren
- 0:26Speaker 2: with a really really apparently bad idea, welcome back Donald O'Neil,
- 0:29Speaker 2: eliminating the payroll cap. Where did this idea come from?
- 0:34Speaker 1: Uh, we're still trying to figure that one out. I
- 0:37Speaker 1: think it's born though, quite genuinely and sincerely. I think
- 0:40Speaker 1: it's born out of a desire from Bernie right to
- 0:43Speaker 1: go to Washington as a freshman senator and begin to,
- 0:46Speaker 1: you know, touch the third rails and tackle the big
- 0:48Speaker 1: issues that you know, have been punted down the field
- 0:52Speaker 1: for for decades. I agree, And taxes, though I'm not
- 0:56Speaker 1: sure if that's the right solution.
- 0:57Speaker 2: No, it can't be. So the backstory and this of
- 0:59Speaker 2: course security it has a problem on its hand. The
- 1:02Speaker 2: trust fund runs out in twenty thirty two, which means
- 1:04Speaker 2: they're going to start dipping into principle, which means that
- 1:07Speaker 2: translates into about twenty two percent cut in benefits you
- 1:11Speaker 2: currently get from your from the Social Security program. Now,
- 1:14Speaker 2: how do we fix it? And that's the third rail
- 1:16Speaker 2: donominans alluding to no one has bothered to solve this problem,
- 1:19Speaker 2: even though everyone saw it coming miles and miles away.
- 1:23Speaker 2: That's our elected officials. So Bernie Moreno says, well, let's
- 1:26Speaker 2: eliminate the payroll cap, which means that point in time
- 1:28Speaker 2: where our paychecks go up because they quit taking out
- 1:31Speaker 2: Social Security will never happen again.
- 1:34Speaker 1: Now what now? What?
- 1:35Speaker 2: How does how do the numbers work out on this? Donald,
- 1:38Speaker 2: Let's go straight to the chase and find out why
- 1:39Speaker 2: this is a bad idea.
- 1:42Speaker 1: Well, you know, our good friends of Americans for Tax
- 1:44Speaker 1: Rephon Grover Norquist, they fight these these ideas every day.
- 1:48Speaker 1: As they pointed out, what this would do is it
- 1:50Speaker 1: would create here in Ohio a combined income tax rate
- 1:53Speaker 1: of fifty six percent on small business owners. Right when
- 1:56Speaker 1: we talk about people making and that that number runs out,
- 1:59Speaker 1: So the Social Security payroll cap runs out of one
- 2:01Speaker 1: hundred eighty six thousand dollars, which is a lot of money.
- 2:05Speaker 1: It's good money, right, But the idea behind the program
- 2:08Speaker 1: has always been that at a certain point, right, you're
- 2:12Speaker 1: going to get less benefit from the program. It's designed
- 2:15Speaker 1: to help those of low means, you know, keep Grandma
- 2:18Speaker 1: from you know, being destitute on the street when it
- 2:20Speaker 1: was created in nineteen thirties. But what it's become is
- 2:23Speaker 1: a Ponzi scheme. And so if you increase that it
- 2:27Speaker 1: was from the beginning, but if you increase that payroll cap, right,
- 2:30Speaker 1: what you're doing is you're going to effectively tax small
- 2:33Speaker 1: business owners. Right, those are the folks making over two
- 2:35Speaker 1: hundred thousand dollars a year that we don't think about.
- 2:37Speaker 1: You're going to increase the taxes on those folks, by
- 2:39Speaker 1: the way, too. And I know this is a small
- 2:42Speaker 1: business owner. Myself, my wife and I we pay half
- 2:45Speaker 1: of the Social Security tax for our employees. Well, that
- 2:48Speaker 1: can go up on us as well. So you're going
- 2:50Speaker 1: to hit business owners in two ways, one on their
- 2:52Speaker 1: own income, two on their employees income you know, at
- 2:57Speaker 1: a certain level, and all around create three trillion dollar
- 3:01Speaker 1: tax increase to not fix the program for another one
- 3:04Speaker 1: hundred years, Brian, but just one more generation. We're going
- 3:08Speaker 1: to pump the can twenty more years without any other
- 3:11Speaker 1: material reforms to the program based on the idea they
- 3:15Speaker 1: floated publicly. So far, it's a bad deal and costs
- 3:19Speaker 1: the economy significantly as well, as you know American taxpayers
- 3:23Speaker 1: and workers.
- 3:24Speaker 2: Clearly the problem though, as you know you have pointed
- 3:28Speaker 2: out in assessing this issue, the problem is demographics, not
- 3:32Speaker 2: necessarily revenue. There are fewer workers. I think when the
- 3:34Speaker 2: program started it was like sixteen workers for every one
- 3:37Speaker 2: Social Security recipient, something along those lines, and now it's
- 3:41Speaker 2: down to something on the order of three, and everybody's
- 3:44Speaker 2: living a lot longer, Donovan. My understanding is back when
- 3:47Speaker 2: the program was started, people only lived to late sixties.
- 3:50Speaker 2: You know, you're lucky if you lived in the seventies,
- 3:52Speaker 2: so payout was only going on for a small period
- 3:54Speaker 2: of time, and that's a sustainable operation. But with fewer
- 3:58Speaker 2: workers and people living into their eighties and even nineties
- 4:01Speaker 2: and hundreds, these days, you got the baby boomers that
- 4:03Speaker 2: are illustrating that it's causing a problem. So how do
- 4:06Speaker 2: we fix it? What's because I can't imagine there being
- 4:09Speaker 2: more workers out there in a world of artificial intelligence,
- 4:12Speaker 2: where they're telling us there's not gonna be any workers
- 4:14Speaker 2: out there anymore. It's it's gonna take everybody's jobs away.
- 4:17Speaker 2: Someone's got to generate revenue and income.
- 4:20Speaker 1: Yeah, to be clear, that's a good problem, right. Longevity
- 4:23Speaker 1: is a good problem. It's great that somebody is you know, people,
- 4:26Speaker 1: people can live to their seventies, eighties, nineties, if you're wife, grandmother,
- 4:32Speaker 1: right into hundreds. Right.
- 4:34Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 4:34Speaker 1: The problem here, though, is in the programs that we've
- 4:37Speaker 1: designed to support that population, right, And what we need
- 4:41Speaker 1: to be doing is one meet those promises today for
- 4:44Speaker 1: those you know, those folks who have put their work
- 4:47Speaker 1: in and in that retirement age. But we need to
- 4:50Speaker 1: be thinking about a program for the future where we're
- 4:52Speaker 1: going to have a future where people get to live longer,
- 4:54Speaker 1: where people have more working years. Uh. And it's a
- 4:57Speaker 1: future where we empower people, not programs. And you know,
- 5:02Speaker 1: I think one of the things exists in the nineteen
- 5:04Speaker 1: thirties and only has really come about in vogue over
- 5:07Speaker 1: the last couple decades are things like HSA's or education
- 5:10Speaker 1: savings accounts or even I just finished putting my kids
- 5:13Speaker 1: Trump accounts together. Those are programs, right, Brian, that empower
- 5:17Speaker 1: the American worker, that empower the taxpayer to decide where
- 5:22Speaker 1: their money is going to go. Not a government program
- 5:25Speaker 1: like you know, single payer health care, not a government
- 5:28Speaker 1: program like the public education system, the government funded education system,
- 5:32Speaker 1: and not a retirement program like Social Security, but rather
- 5:35Speaker 1: putting my kid's money into a Trump account, right will
- 5:38Speaker 1: help it grow and grow and grow, so when they
- 5:41Speaker 1: hit retirement age, instead of depending on a broken Social
- 5:44Speaker 1: Security promise, they actually have money to draw from and
- 5:48Speaker 1: care for their family and by the way, pass that
- 5:51Speaker 1: wealth onto the next generation. I don't think anybody's getting
- 5:55Speaker 1: Social Security checks for the money their grandparents put in,
- 5:58Speaker 1: their parents have put in. That money just goes into
- 6:00Speaker 1: thin air, really the black hole of Washington, DC. So
- 6:03Speaker 1: there's a better way. That's both changing the structure of
- 6:06Speaker 1: the program for who it benefits and how the benefits
- 6:09Speaker 1: are unlocked. But two, I think in the long run,
- 6:12Speaker 1: it's actually empowering people, not programs to solve, to solve
- 6:17Speaker 1: the objectives of the Social Security is seeking to do.
- 6:22Speaker 2: Right And you know, that concept has come up many
- 6:24Speaker 2: times in my lifetimes, like why don't we get let
- 6:26Speaker 2: people give the people the opportunity to not take not
- 6:29Speaker 2: have the money taken from their check and put into
- 6:31Speaker 2: a government program with the attendant broken promises. You just
- 6:34Speaker 2: mentioned something they can keep and watch build, which also
- 6:39Speaker 2: I would argue would provide incentive for people to continue
- 6:41Speaker 2: to put money into those programs. They've got it, it's theirs.
- 6:44Speaker 2: No government can come and take it away from them.
- 6:47Speaker 2: That seems to me to be ideal. The problem though,
- 6:50Speaker 2: it seems to me Donovan, and maybe we haven't worked
- 6:52Speaker 2: this one out the transition, because the Social Security program
- 6:56Speaker 2: is alive and well and many people do rely on
- 6:58Speaker 2: it to live. How do you move from from that
- 7:03Speaker 2: program over to something where we're not putting money away
- 7:06Speaker 2: and giving it to the government, but we're managing on ourselves.
- 7:08Speaker 2: There's the dollars don't seem to be able to cover
- 7:11Speaker 2: both of those elements, at least as I see it
- 7:14Speaker 2: right now.
- 7:15Speaker 1: Well, one of the other big pieces of this as well,
- 7:18Speaker 1: and talking with our policy folks around the solutions here,
- 7:21Speaker 1: and this is a big one. I'm not naive to
- 7:23Speaker 1: the challenges it presents, but it comes down to Congress
- 7:25Speaker 1: doing better budgeting. Right. We've got to get Congress back
- 7:30Speaker 1: to its constitutional authority, where folks like Bernie Moreno and
- 7:33Speaker 1: Elizabeth Warren and others right who are Congress take control
- 7:38Speaker 1: of finances and say, hey, we're going to prioritize this
- 7:41Speaker 1: over that, We're going to prioritize meeting our obligation in
- 7:43Speaker 1: that case, right, prioritizing meeting our obligations to the current
- 7:47Speaker 1: generation of Social Security retirees and those within a decade.
- 7:51Speaker 1: And then we're going to also go create a better
- 7:53Speaker 1: program so our kids don't have to deal with the
- 7:56Speaker 1: same problem their parents left them. Right, it's not doing
- 7:59Speaker 1: something better for the future. It's not easy. The easy path, right, Brian,
- 8:03Speaker 1: is raise three trillion in new taxes, save the program
- 8:07Speaker 1: for thirty more years. Let the next Let our kids,
- 8:10Speaker 1: my kids deal with that when they're in Congress, right. Right.
- 8:13Speaker 1: The harder path, the more sustainable path, the real patriotic path,
- 8:18Speaker 1: right is actually going out and doing the hard work,
- 8:21Speaker 1: getting the concessions from both sides, which in this off
- 8:24Speaker 1: ed didn't exist, and getting the work done to make
- 8:27Speaker 1: sure that if you're going to really create a program
- 8:29Speaker 1: to help support folks you know late in life who
- 8:33Speaker 1: you know want to have dignity and retirement. Create a
- 8:36Speaker 1: program that I'll actually work for them and create wealth,
- 8:39Speaker 1: which is at the end of the day, what you're
- 8:40Speaker 1: trying to do here. Not a program that you know,
- 8:43Speaker 1: gets one dollar for every four dollars put into it,
- 8:46Speaker 1: gets one dollar return for every four dollars put into it.
- 8:48Speaker 1: It's a bad investment. Stephen Moore pointed out, and he's
- 8:50Speaker 1: on the America First Policy Institute board, you know, key pointing.
- 8:54Speaker 1: An advisor pointed out, you're better off burying that money
- 8:57Speaker 1: in the backyard and not even that rev that money
- 9:01Speaker 1: that you would earn then having it paid out.
- 9:03Speaker 2: In Social Security. Well, and one big worry more just
- 9:06Speaker 2: letting it sit there if you going to have in
- 9:07Speaker 2: your own account. One big worry. I see when you
- 9:09Speaker 2: mentioned raising taxes by millions and billions or however much
- 9:12Speaker 2: money they need to cover the Social Security program as
- 9:13Speaker 2: it currently exists. I'm a little worried they're going to
- 9:15Speaker 2: change the rate of taxation for when we withdraw our
- 9:18Speaker 2: four oh one k. So responsible people who've packed money
- 9:22Speaker 2: away are hoping to get the money out, but they're
- 9:24Speaker 2: going to side the taxation rate some point down the road,
- 9:27Speaker 2: and it's going to be a lot more than the
- 9:29Speaker 2: current taxation rate, and that's really gotten a big concern
- 9:32Speaker 2: at least in my world. Donald and Neil. Quickly you
- 9:35Speaker 2: give us a website where my listeners can get in
- 9:37Speaker 2: touch with you and well help us help ourselves.
- 9:42Speaker 1: Well, always go to Buckeye blueprint dot com. That far
- 9:44Speaker 1: website to build a bolder, better Buckeye state. We've got
- 9:47Speaker 1: county chapters across the region. Buckeye blueprint dot com.
- 9:50Speaker 2: Don Roeil will do it again next week. Keep up
- 9:52Speaker 2: the great work, and thanks for breaking this down for
- 9:54Speaker 2: my listening audience to me this morning.