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NCAAB Best Bets Friday 2/13/26 · Toadstool Sports

0:01
Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We are on
0:06
Speaker 1: OWN seven run over the last two days after tonight
0:08
Speaker 1: it was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna
0:12
Speaker 1: start off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I
0:15
Speaker 1: don't even know what to tell you about that. I
0:18
Speaker 1: just don't want to do this anymore. I have never
0:20
Speaker 1: seen anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two
0:25
Speaker 1: straight losses, not a good day at all. Own four,
0:28
Speaker 1: I have not had a good season. Man with wookends
0:34
Speaker 1: slump that I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached
0:38
Speaker 1: a new pink. Actually, I'm going to burn my browins
0:42
Speaker 1: hat man, I don't know what is going on with
0:44
Speaker 1: the bruins arch epe is that what it is? I
0:47
Speaker 1: don't even know it's March ninth, I think who even knows? Man,
0:52
Speaker 1: I don't know what day is anymore. I don't even
0:54
Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. Man, back with you after
0:58
Speaker 1: the worst day that I could possibly have, act with
1:00
Speaker 1: you as I always am until I die at least
1:04
Speaker 1: OWN two yesterday and yesterday did not go well for me.
1:08
Speaker 1: Own five the worst month that I've ever had in
1:12
Speaker 1: my eighteen years doing this I don't know what to
1:14
Speaker 1: even tell you about this anymore. To the slumpy, The
1:17
Speaker 1: slump discontinues, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
1:23
Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this point,
1:26
Speaker 1: other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody, It's
1:34
Speaker 1: sewed back with you toasl sports. Friday the thirteenth. Uh
1:39
Speaker 1: so we're all gonna die. Uh you know there's gonna
1:42
Speaker 1: be a a mass killer coming after us. Uh, there's no, dude,
1:48
Speaker 1: there's no hockey. Friday the thirteenth in a February and
1:52
Speaker 1: there's no hockey except for I guess the Olympics are
1:54
Speaker 1: going on. I'm not paying any attention to the Olympics
1:57
Speaker 1: because they banned fighting or something. So what good is that?
2:00
Speaker 1: The Olympics are lame? I watched a little bit of
2:03
Speaker 1: curling the other day when it was on. I'm like, oh, yeah,
2:05
Speaker 1: I forgot how boring curling is to watch. Yeah, that's right. Yeah.
2:11
Speaker 1: I don't have a whole lot to say Friday the thirteenth.
2:15
Speaker 1: By the way, people a lot of people don't know
2:18
Speaker 1: because people think about it like people talk about it,
2:21
Speaker 1: but they haven't even really actually seen the original. The
2:23
Speaker 1: original movie doesn't have Jason in it. He's not the
2:27
Speaker 1: killer in the first one. Oh whoop, spoiler. He comes
2:31
Speaker 1: into play in the future movies. But yeah, so I
2:35
Speaker 1: don't know. It seems like that's like a common misconception there.
2:39
Speaker 1: But whatever, it's Friday the thirteenth. Let's watch some horror
2:43
Speaker 1: movies or whatever. Hopefully it's not gonna be a horror
2:46
Speaker 1: movie with the one play that I give on. I
2:47
Speaker 1: don't even love this one play, but I have one play.
2:51
Speaker 1: Yesterday was a horror movie, dirty sock, what's up? Thanks
2:54
Speaker 1: for hanging out yesterday? The market moved against the Elon play.
3:00
Speaker 1: I guess today, even though I did hear some professionals
3:02
Speaker 1: mentioned that they did agree with that Elon play, I
3:06
Speaker 1: obviously thought it was I mean, I thought it was
3:09
Speaker 1: the right side, just because that's where my handicap led me.
3:12
Speaker 1: I mean, if you look at what happened in that game,
3:14
Speaker 1: the shooting percentages, I think were just major outliers. I
3:17
Speaker 1: think there was some very very crazy part of that
3:20
Speaker 1: box score that threw that game completely off. Elon couldn't
3:24
Speaker 1: hit anything. I mean, if you were to tell me
3:26
Speaker 1: that like part of the handicap was UNC Wilmington plays slow.
3:31
Speaker 1: If you were to tell me UNC Wilmington was gonna
3:34
Speaker 1: wind up in the in the sixties in that game,
3:36
Speaker 1: I would have been like, Yeah, this is a no brainer.
3:39
Speaker 1: You're taking the points here. Elon made it closer towards
3:42
Speaker 1: the end, but they lost my nine, I believe. So
3:45
Speaker 1: they fell one and a half points, or maybe it
3:47
Speaker 1: was eleven, whatever it was. They were not that far
3:50
Speaker 1: off from the spread. And then Tennessee Tech put themselves
3:53
Speaker 1: in a giant hole early in the game and they
3:56
Speaker 1: couldn't get out of it, and they almost did. They
3:57
Speaker 1: cut the game to like six points near the end
4:00
Speaker 1: of the game, and I'm like, oh my god, are
4:01
Speaker 1: they actually gonna cover this. No, they did not stop
4:05
Speaker 1: teasing me. Man plus at the end, you know you're
4:07
Speaker 1: gonna intentionally foul and whatever. So I think they lost
4:10
Speaker 1: by seven. I'm not happy about it. Both final scorers
4:14
Speaker 1: wound up being not that far off from the spread.
4:17
Speaker 1: We're gonna have an underdog in college basketball tonight. It's
4:20
Speaker 1: another sandwich spot. I don't know if it's the best
4:22
Speaker 1: because it's well, it is gonna fade a revenge, a
4:27
Speaker 1: potential revenge scenario, but I think it is the right move.
4:31
Speaker 1: I don't know, hopefully it is. We have a more
4:34
Speaker 1: typical college Friday board here where we have a lot
4:38
Speaker 1: of IVY League in action, which is very uninteresting. We
4:41
Speaker 1: have some matt ACT going on. Most of that conference
4:44
Speaker 1: I think is in play, and then later in the
4:47
Speaker 1: night there are some big games that are all getting
4:50
Speaker 1: TV billing early in the day. I mean, there is
4:53
Speaker 1: one weird isolated six thirty PM game with Manhattan and Niagara.
4:57
Speaker 1: I don't know who's gonna watch this game matt Act.
5:00
Speaker 1: You can watch it in ESPN plus I mean me,
5:03
Speaker 1: being a college of basketball obsessed person, I'm there's a
5:06
Speaker 1: chance I might throw that game on and just check
5:09
Speaker 1: it out briefly. But I don't really have a whole
5:12
Speaker 1: lot to say about the game. Teams did already play
5:14
Speaker 1: each other. Manhattan won the first matchup by nine at home,
5:18
Speaker 1: so there is the potential they don't take Niagara seriously,
5:21
Speaker 1: but they're only coming off of a win over Sacred
5:23
Speaker 1: Heart and it ended a losing streak, so I don't
5:25
Speaker 1: really see it being a horrible spot for Manhattan here.
5:29
Speaker 1: And they only have Canesius next, which is not a
5:32
Speaker 1: good team. Niagara might even be worse though Niagara is terrible.
5:36
Speaker 1: But actually the angle in this game, actually I would
5:39
Speaker 1: fade Niagara in this game and go against the revenge scenario.
5:45
Speaker 1: Revenge again, you know, that's not the only thing that
5:47
Speaker 1: you should look at, right, and I am going against
5:49
Speaker 1: it with my one play. There are a lot of
5:52
Speaker 1: other factors. Yeah, revenge is a factor, but it's not
5:55
Speaker 1: really revenge again, it's that the team that won, if
5:58
Speaker 1: they won in like an outlier way, they might overlook
6:02
Speaker 1: that team. Like if the team blew the team out
6:05
Speaker 1: in the first game, then yeah, that team might overlook
6:08
Speaker 1: that team. Right, So that's the revenge scenario that actually
6:12
Speaker 1: kind of works now for Niagara here though, the spot
6:15
Speaker 1: does not set up well for them because they just
6:17
Speaker 1: went to Quinnipiac and they were double digit underdogs in
6:20
Speaker 1: that game and they almost pulled off the upset. And
6:24
Speaker 1: that was after they got the season sweep of their
6:27
Speaker 1: Buffalo rival Kenesia. So they're actually coming off two really
6:31
Speaker 1: big performances. And you know, I talk about when a
6:34
Speaker 1: small underdog goes to the wire with the favorite, they'll
6:38
Speaker 1: I tend to not like them in the next game.
6:40
Speaker 1: I think They'll be in a bad spot in the
6:42
Speaker 1: next game more often than not and come up flat,
6:44
Speaker 1: So I would have to lean to Manhattan in that game.
6:47
Speaker 1: For that reason. The money is not agreeing with me.
6:50
Speaker 1: Niagara did drop from two and a half to two.
6:52
Speaker 1: We have fifty to fifty on the tickets and sixty
6:55
Speaker 1: four percent of the cash on Niagara. I don't agree
6:57
Speaker 1: with that one though. There's no way that I could
6:59
Speaker 1: play Niagar coming off of what they just did in
7:01
Speaker 1: their previous game. CBS Sports the first TV game in
7:06
Speaker 1: the night, the only TV game at seven pms. So
7:10
Speaker 1: the IVS all gets screwed, the MATC all gets screwed.
7:13
Speaker 1: They're all on the ESPN plus. I mean, some people
7:17
Speaker 1: can stream all those games online. But the actual TV
7:20
Speaker 1: game that A ten gets to play in it and
7:23
Speaker 1: it's there's actually a double header on CBS Sports. But
7:26
Speaker 1: the second game of the doubleheader is actually not the
7:29
Speaker 1: other A ten game. It's a Mac game. But it's
7:33
Speaker 1: the Battle of the Georges George Mason and George Washington
7:37
Speaker 1: Part two. George Mason won the first matchup at home
7:41
Speaker 1: only by five. I believe there are only one and
7:43
Speaker 1: a half pay favorites though. So it's interesting because if
7:47
Speaker 1: they were one and a half boy favorites in that game,
7:49
Speaker 1: then the oddsbagers are telling you that gw was actually
7:53
Speaker 1: the better team according to the oddsmakers at the time,
7:56
Speaker 1: and the oddsmakers are still the ods bakers are no
7:59
Speaker 1: longer telling you that. Excuse me, because they're now lining
8:03
Speaker 1: George Washington as a two and a half boy favorite,
8:06
Speaker 1: so they're actually telling you George Mason is now the
8:09
Speaker 1: better team. I think probably George Mason is the better
8:13
Speaker 1: team here. Ken Bum does have them in the top
8:16
Speaker 1: one hundred. He doesn't have George Washington that bad though,
8:20
Speaker 1: Oh no, excuse me, he is George Washington actually two
8:22
Speaker 1: ranking spots ahead of them. What am I saying? I
8:24
Speaker 1: think they've flip flop quite a bit throughout the season,
8:27
Speaker 1: so ken Bum is actually disagreeing with this, So it's interesting.
8:34
Speaker 1: George Mason did win the first game, so maybe there's
8:37
Speaker 1: the potential maybe they overlook George Washington here, but George
8:41
Speaker 1: Mason is coming off a pretty ugly loss to Richmond
8:44
Speaker 1: after George Mason was kind of cruising in this conference
8:47
Speaker 1: for a while. Although I don't believe they've had to
8:49
Speaker 1: play Saint Louis at all, yet they played them in
8:51
Speaker 1: the very last game of the season. How did the
8:53
Speaker 1: schedule makers know those would be the two best teams
8:56
Speaker 1: in the conference, well besides VCU, I guess, but have
9:00
Speaker 1: like the two best records. I don't know, But George
9:03
Speaker 1: Mason no longer has the second best record in the
9:05
Speaker 1: conference because they lost to Richmond. Could argue there's a
9:09
Speaker 1: bounce back a component to this, but they got a
9:11
Speaker 1: bigger game on deck with Dayton two. But maybe they
9:15
Speaker 1: show up because it's a TV game here. But George Washington,
9:19
Speaker 1: they might really get up for this because I think,
9:22
Speaker 1: first of all, they're underrated. I think Ken Bomb probably
9:24
Speaker 1: is gonna have GW. Yeah, Ken Bum has GW is
9:27
Speaker 1: literally the unluckiest team in the entire country. So he's
9:30
Speaker 1: telling you they have way underperformed at eleven, at fourteen
9:34
Speaker 1: and eleven, but they're a top one hundred team according
9:37
Speaker 1: to his rankings, whereas George Mason is the sixty fourth
9:41
Speaker 1: luckiest team, so they've been luckier. George Mason is the
9:45
Speaker 1: better defensive team and they play slow. George Washington is
9:48
Speaker 1: the better offensive team and they play fast. So that's
9:51
Speaker 1: it's kind of that typical style mismatch here. George Washington
9:56
Speaker 1: might be able to speed it up at home. But
9:57
Speaker 1: what I was gonna see is I think George Washington
9:59
Speaker 1: gets this primetime billing and basically having this being the
10:03
Speaker 1: one big game in this time slot, isolated from everything.
10:06
Speaker 1: I think George Washington is gonna get way up for
10:08
Speaker 1: this game. And they just ended a four game losing
10:11
Speaker 1: streak with a win that was not a win that's
10:14
Speaker 1: gonna make you over confident beating Rhode Island at home.
10:17
Speaker 1: So I have to lean to George Washington in this game.
10:20
Speaker 1: I think the odds makers are actually short changing them
10:22
Speaker 1: a little bit based on what we just looked at
10:24
Speaker 1: there in the power ratings. George Washington. Again, they're not
10:29
Speaker 1: even getting the complete home court advantage here for a
10:33
Speaker 1: game like this, So the odds makers are actually still
10:36
Speaker 1: telling you Mason is actually the slightly better team, or
10:38
Speaker 1: maybe they just have to skew it that way because
10:41
Speaker 1: the public is gonna probably come in on George Mason.
10:44
Speaker 1: I want to do it. A lot of things line
10:46
Speaker 1: up for George Washington in this one. That's the way
10:48
Speaker 1: I would play it would be to lay the two
10:50
Speaker 1: and a half or if you can find a really
10:53
Speaker 1: cheap money line on it, I think that would be
10:55
Speaker 1: fine as well. But also, I mean, the public's gonna
10:58
Speaker 1: look at this and think, oh my god, George Mason's
11:00
Speaker 1: clearly gonna bounce back. They have this really pretty looking record,
11:04
Speaker 1: they have the way better record, and you're giving me
11:06
Speaker 1: them as an underdog. It looks way too easy to
11:08
Speaker 1: take George Mason. So for that reason as well, I
11:12
Speaker 1: would not be doing that. So I like George Washington
11:15
Speaker 1: in that one. They dropped from three and a half
11:17
Speaker 1: to two and a half, so the opening line was
11:19
Speaker 1: actually more appropriate. I think ken Bum has this game
11:23
Speaker 1: being a three point game, so fifty eight percent of
11:27
Speaker 1: the tickets and cash on George Mason for what that's worth.
11:31
Speaker 1: I think they will wind up being a public side.
11:33
Speaker 1: The public is probably gonna want some TV action early,
11:36
Speaker 1: so they will probably have some action on this game. Kyle,
11:40
Speaker 1: what's up? They start hanging out all right? Well, it
11:47
Speaker 1: looks like Cornell actually changed their logo and it's actually
11:51
Speaker 1: a worse logo. What do their logo look like before?
11:54
Speaker 1: It's now there's just this big red sea. They're always
11:59
Speaker 1: the big red But I thought it was like some
12:01
Speaker 1: kind of animal or something. I forget. I don't like
12:03
Speaker 1: this logo change. It's so like boring man, it's so sterile.
12:07
Speaker 1: I don't know. At least Princeton, I mean, they've kept
12:10
Speaker 1: their logo for a long time, but at least they
12:11
Speaker 1: have tiger stripes and their p tiger stripes in your
12:16
Speaker 1: p you counsult the doctor man. Cornell coming into this game.
12:21
Speaker 1: They already beat Princeton by twenty three at home, so
12:24
Speaker 1: there's the potential they overlook Princeton here. They do have
12:28
Speaker 1: Penn necks and Penn is above Cornell and the standings.
12:32
Speaker 1: Although I keep saying I think Cornell might be the
12:35
Speaker 1: second or third best team in the IVY to Yale obviously,
12:38
Speaker 1: who was far and away the best team in this conference.
12:40
Speaker 1: So I don't love Cornell in this one. I would
12:43
Speaker 1: be leaning towards Princeton probably. I'm assuming they're gonna be
12:46
Speaker 1: an underdog in this game. Princeton, they are coming back home.
12:50
Speaker 1: Princeton did just have a close game on the road
12:52
Speaker 1: at Penn, but they were only small underdogs in that game,
12:56
Speaker 1: so I kind of expect them to show up there.
12:58
Speaker 1: So I would be looking towards taking the points with
13:00
Speaker 1: Princeton in that one. It looks like the money is
13:03
Speaker 1: definitely indicating on that side. Cornell's a three point road favorite,
13:07
Speaker 1: fifty to fifty on the tickets, ninety seven percent of
13:10
Speaker 1: the cash on Princeton. I would agree with Princeton in
13:13
Speaker 1: that one. Let me see, I mean a lot of
13:17
Speaker 1: these other games. I mean, if you want me to
13:19
Speaker 1: talk about some of these other games, I guess I can.
13:21
Speaker 1: A lot of them are not really particularly interesting, although
13:24
Speaker 1: we do have well. Saint Peter's Sacred Heart is a
13:27
Speaker 1: closely lined game, at least in the matt At Conference.
13:31
Speaker 1: I don't believe these teams have played each other this season.
13:33
Speaker 1: This might be the only time on Really the only
13:35
Speaker 1: thing I could really say about this is Saint Peter's
13:38
Speaker 1: is coming up a pretty big win over Siana. Sianna
13:42
Speaker 1: was tied with them in the standings, so they're right
13:44
Speaker 1: near the top of the standings. That was a big win.
13:46
Speaker 1: It ended a win streak for Sianna as well, so
13:49
Speaker 1: could be a letdown spot for Saint Peter's. I don't
13:51
Speaker 1: really see much of an additional angle here besides that
13:55
Speaker 1: Sacred Heart's on a three game losing streak. They just
13:57
Speaker 1: got blown out at Manhattan, so I would probably lean
14:01
Speaker 1: Sacred Heart in that one. Plus, if the public looks
14:04
Speaker 1: at this game, they're gonna think it looks really easy.
14:07
Speaker 1: Oh my god, you're basically like lining Saint Peter's with
14:09
Speaker 1: like a pick the winner type of price at one
14:12
Speaker 1: and a half point favorite, All you gotta do is
14:14
Speaker 1: pick the winner. Well, obviously I'm gonna pick the team
14:16
Speaker 1: with the better record, right, That's what the public is
14:19
Speaker 1: gonna do there, So I would go against that sentiment
14:22
Speaker 1: as well. There. I would lean towards Sacred Heart. It
14:25
Speaker 1: looks like you're getting more on that now. Saint Peter's
14:28
Speaker 1: is up to two with juice. Even at some spots,
14:32
Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets are on Saint Peter's, ninety
14:34
Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash on Sacred Heart. I agree
14:37
Speaker 1: with Sacred Heart in that one. Yale at Dartmouth. The
14:41
Speaker 1: only thing I could say about this is that there's
14:43
Speaker 1: the potential that Yale is looking ahead because they have
14:46
Speaker 1: two conference losses so far, and one of them was
14:48
Speaker 1: too The team it's tied with them in the standings,
14:51
Speaker 1: which is Havevid and that's who they're playing next, so
14:54
Speaker 1: they lost at home to Harvard, so I could see
14:56
Speaker 1: Yale possibly overlooking this Dartmouth game. Here They're already beat
15:00
Speaker 1: Dartmouth at home by fifteen. Yale's coming off a weird
15:04
Speaker 1: win against Howard. Although Yale didn't do well in that game,
15:07
Speaker 1: and I told you it was a weird spot where
15:08
Speaker 1: I just thought Yale was gonna barely show up, and
15:11
Speaker 1: they did enough to win the game. They obviously did
15:13
Speaker 1: not cover. Howard is a terrible, terrible team. That was
15:18
Speaker 1: just a very weird out of conference game. I don't
15:20
Speaker 1: know what that was. So it's a little bit of
15:23
Speaker 1: a weird travel spot for Yale because I think we're
15:26
Speaker 1: is Howard. I don't even know, Like, I think it's
15:28
Speaker 1: in DC, right, yeah, DC. Yeah, So that was kind
15:33
Speaker 1: of a weird travel spot for Yale to have to
15:35
Speaker 1: go down there. It's a little bit outside of the
15:39
Speaker 1: IVY League geography there, so that was a weird spot.
15:44
Speaker 1: They may be looking ahead to Harvard because that's gonna
15:46
Speaker 1: be a big revenge game against the team it's tied
15:49
Speaker 1: with them in the standings. It'll be a battle for
15:51
Speaker 1: first place. Assuming Yale's able to beat Dartmouth again. I
15:54
Speaker 1: would take the points to the Dartmouth in this one.
15:57
Speaker 1: Diartmuth is coming off losing fairly at home to Harvard
16:01
Speaker 1: and they're staying at home up in New Hampshire. Yale's
16:04
Speaker 1: laying nine points. It looks like it's headed up a
16:07
Speaker 1: little bit too, but I would take the points in
16:08
Speaker 1: that one. Quinnipiac and Seanna. Interesting game in the matt
16:14
Speaker 1: Ac Quinnipiac. These two teams are both near the top
16:18
Speaker 1: of the conference. They're both pretty good teams in the conference.
16:22
Speaker 1: I don't believe these teams have played yet this season.
16:26
Speaker 1: Quinnipiac just barely got by Niagara, which I just mentioned
16:29
Speaker 1: a little while ago. So I like the focus that
16:33
Speaker 1: that might bring. When you were a big favorite like
16:35
Speaker 1: Quinnipiac was. They were like twelve and a half point
16:37
Speaker 1: favorites in that game and you barely get by that opponent.
16:40
Speaker 1: I think some of it is because you're not paying
16:42
Speaker 1: attention to them and you're looking ahead. Potentially, I think
16:45
Speaker 1: that might have been what Quinnipiac was doing there. Oh
16:47
Speaker 1: Niagara sucks, we won't take them seriously. That's basically what
16:50
Speaker 1: happened there. Now they're coming up a real scare. I
16:53
Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for this game against Sianna. Sianna,
16:58
Speaker 1: they're a solid team in this conference for sure. They
17:00
Speaker 1: just lost a huge win streak though. They lost a
17:03
Speaker 1: six game win streak which got busted in a big
17:07
Speaker 1: game against Saint Peter's, who is close to the top
17:11
Speaker 1: of the conference here. That was a big game they
17:14
Speaker 1: lost by five, And I talk about how when you
17:17
Speaker 1: lose a win streak, that can hang you over to
17:19
Speaker 1: them into the next game, and also if it's a
17:23
Speaker 1: big game, that can also hang you over. So I
17:25
Speaker 1: think the spot sets up a lot better for Quinnipiac
17:28
Speaker 1: in my opinion, in this one, I would take the points.
17:30
Speaker 1: This one almost made my card. The money looks at
17:35
Speaker 1: it is coming in on Quinnipiac. It's a low total
17:37
Speaker 1: in the one forties as well. Sianna up from three
17:40
Speaker 1: to four, sixty seven percent of tickets and seventy four
17:42
Speaker 1: percent of the cash on Quinnipiac, And that would be
17:45
Speaker 1: the way I would lean in that one. Man, I'm
17:51
Speaker 1: tempted to do it. I mean, I think I looked
17:54
Speaker 1: at ken Bomb and it didn't quite entice me. At
17:56
Speaker 1: Quinnipiac is a very lucky team, though according to ken
18:00
Speaker 1: Bomb thirty first in luck. That's not great, meaning they've
18:03
Speaker 1: over performed a little bit. They're the better defense, though,
18:06
Speaker 1: one hundred and thirty fifth of Corney can bum A
18:08
Speaker 1: not a good offense, but they're a good deeppense although
18:10
Speaker 1: they actually play fast, which is weird. Sianna actually plays
18:14
Speaker 1: really slow, and Sianna is more of a balanced team.
18:17
Speaker 1: Or they're just not They're just mediocre at everything, basically
18:20
Speaker 1: mediocre on offense and on depfense. They're unlucky though Corney
18:24
Speaker 1: can bum two hundred and twenty eth then lock, so
18:26
Speaker 1: they're in sort of the bottom third of luck. Both
18:28
Speaker 1: teams have faced a very weak schedule though u because
18:31
Speaker 1: they're playing in this awful conference as well. But they
18:34
Speaker 1: I don't think they faced a strong out of conference
18:36
Speaker 1: schedule either. But you are getting the better deepfense with
18:40
Speaker 1: Quinnipiac in this one. I'm tempted, although I think Sianna
18:44
Speaker 1: might show up for the game too. But I am tempted, man.
18:48
Speaker 1: I mean Quinnipiac is right behind them in the standings.
18:54
Speaker 1: Let me see what happened in this game, real quick.
18:56
Speaker 1: Saint Peter's at Quinnipiac. Excuse me, Sianna at Saint Peter's.
19:02
Speaker 1: Excuse me, Sianna was actually a road favorite in this game. Interesting,
19:07
Speaker 1: So the Oswick is telling you Saint Peter's is not
19:10
Speaker 1: really legit. Both teams were terrible from three point range
19:13
Speaker 1: in the game. Uh. Saint Peter's actually had a ton
19:16
Speaker 1: of free throws in the game, but they did actually
19:18
Speaker 1: dominate the rebound battle too, So that's not a good
19:21
Speaker 1: sign for Sianna. Hmm. I'm tempted, man, I'm I'm considering it.
19:29
Speaker 1: I'm tempted. I don't want this show to go very long.
19:31
Speaker 1: Plus I have to do the Saturday card. I already
19:33
Speaker 1: have one play that I think I'm gonna have on Saturday.
19:41
Speaker 1: Should we do it? I don't know, man, I'm thinking.
19:46
Speaker 1: I'm still thinking about it because I do like how
19:48
Speaker 1: the spot sets up for Quinnipiac quite a bit. I
19:52
Speaker 1: don't know the way that my handicapping works. I'll leave it.
19:58
Speaker 1: I'll leave it alone. But man, that's close to a
20:00
Speaker 1: play for me. All Right. What else do we have here?
20:05
Speaker 1: Brown at Harvard? I mean, Harvard is probably gonna be
20:07
Speaker 1: looking ahead to Yale again. Here Harvard, they're on a
20:10
Speaker 1: three game win streak, including winning at Yale. But they
20:13
Speaker 1: also beat Brown during that win streak on the road
20:16
Speaker 1: by ten, so they might just not look they might
20:19
Speaker 1: not be focused in this game against Brown. Brown is
20:23
Speaker 1: at the bottom of the conference in the IVY. They're
20:25
Speaker 1: not a good team. Harvard. I think they might be
20:29
Speaker 1: looking ahead here man Yale and Cornell on deck. Those
20:32
Speaker 1: are both bigger games. So I would be leaning towards
20:34
Speaker 1: taking the points with Brown in that one, asking what
20:38
Speaker 1: can Brown do for you? Harvard up from eight to
20:41
Speaker 1: eight and a half. They're pretty big line there, especially
20:44
Speaker 1: with a total this law in the low one thirties,
20:46
Speaker 1: seventy five percent of tickets eighty seven percent of the
20:49
Speaker 1: cash on Harvard, so it looks like the money has
20:52
Speaker 1: come in on Harvard early. But I would not do that.
20:54
Speaker 1: I would fade Harvard in that one. You're playing Quinnipiac,
21:00
Speaker 1: all right, I mean, obviously I agree with it. I
21:04
Speaker 1: am tempted, but I'm gonna skip it. Now we get
21:07
Speaker 1: into the big games, the TV games. The TV games
21:10
Speaker 1: really start late at night. Man, we get the late
21:12
Speaker 1: night Friday card here Fox has number ten Michigan State
21:16
Speaker 1: at Wisconsin, and this is a difficult game to read man,
21:21
Speaker 1: both teams are coming off huge wins against Illinois. Now
21:25
Speaker 1: part of the question is gonna be well, which team
21:27
Speaker 1: played more recently, because that's the team that's gonna have
21:29
Speaker 1: less rest to get over it. That would be Wisconsin
21:33
Speaker 1: because Michigan hasn't played since Saturday, so they did go
21:37
Speaker 1: into overtime, but they've had since Saturday to get over it.
21:42
Speaker 1: That was a big game, no doubt about it. Huge
21:44
Speaker 1: win for Michigan State. This is gonna be a big
21:47
Speaker 1: game for both teams, I would say, But I think
21:50
Speaker 1: the game for Wisconsin, I think it just the situation
21:54
Speaker 1: just sets up a little bit worse for them. Wisconsin
21:57
Speaker 1: pulled off a bigger They actually went into overtime as well,
21:59
Speaker 1: and it was more recent and it was a bigger upset.
22:02
Speaker 1: I think, in fact, Michigan State was actually favored against Illinois,
22:06
Speaker 1: if I remember correctly. At home, I think I leaned.
22:09
Speaker 1: I got both these leans correct. By the way I
22:11
Speaker 1: leaned to Michigan State against Illinois, was considering making it
22:16
Speaker 1: a play, and then I did lean to Wisconsin in
22:18
Speaker 1: this game against Illinois as well. Wisconsin got the huge upset.
22:22
Speaker 1: There were nine and a half point underdogs in this
22:24
Speaker 1: game on the road at Illinois, so that was kind
22:26
Speaker 1: of a more monumental win. The Wisconsin went there over
22:30
Speaker 1: Illinois and that happened on Tuesdays, so they've only had
22:35
Speaker 1: a couple of days to get over and it was
22:36
Speaker 1: their second straight overtime game where they kind of got
22:40
Speaker 1: jobs by the refs on Saturday against Indiana. I think
22:44
Speaker 1: the spot is definitely worse for Wisconsin coming off of that,
22:47
Speaker 1: even though I know it's a big game, it's a
22:49
Speaker 1: Fox TV game, the crowd's going to be crazy, it's
22:52
Speaker 1: in Madison, you know all that. But I would have
22:56
Speaker 1: to lean to Michigan State in this one. They got
22:58
Speaker 1: the rest advantage in that win for Wisconsin was just
23:02
Speaker 1: a lot crazier than Michigan States was against the same
23:06
Speaker 1: opponent extra rests from Michigan State. I would have to
23:09
Speaker 1: go Michigan State here. They're up from two to two
23:11
Speaker 1: and a half on the road here. I mean, it
23:14
Speaker 1: does look too easy, I know, to lay points with
23:17
Speaker 1: the ranked team like this on the road, but I
23:19
Speaker 1: think the spot is just way better for Michigan State.
23:23
Speaker 1: Fifty five percent to take at sixty five percent of
23:25
Speaker 1: the cash on Michigan State I'm not gonna give it
23:27
Speaker 1: out as a player or anything like that, but I
23:29
Speaker 1: would lean to Michigan State in that one, and ken
23:33
Speaker 1: Bom he will kind of bear that out as well.
23:35
Speaker 1: He's got Michigan State as the tenth best team in
23:37
Speaker 1: the country. They're an excellent deepense, so they're not so
23:40
Speaker 1: good on an offense. But Wisconsin's not that good man.
23:44
Speaker 1: He's got them thirty sixth and he has them very
23:47
Speaker 1: weak defensively. They're they're the better offensive team, and they
23:51
Speaker 1: actually play fast, which is kind of a newer thing
23:54
Speaker 1: for Wisconsin. Michigan State will probably be able to successfully
23:58
Speaker 1: slow the game down a bit though, because the better
24:00
Speaker 1: team and it's easier to slow the game down anyway.
24:03
Speaker 1: And according to ken Bom, Wisconsin is the way luckier
24:07
Speaker 1: team over Michigan State too, so he's actually telling you
24:11
Speaker 1: Wisconsin's a little bit overrated, which is crazy to think about.
24:15
Speaker 1: Total somewhat low in the one forties, kind of indicating
24:18
Speaker 1: maybe Michigan State will control the pace. We have Number eighteen,
24:23
Speaker 1: Saint Louis at Loyola Chicago. Not exactly a great matchup,
24:27
Speaker 1: although people want to watch Saint Louis because people are
24:30
Speaker 1: hearing about the name they're hearing about Robbie Avila, Kareem
24:34
Speaker 1: abdul Jabbar, hey man. We were early on the on
24:37
Speaker 1: the Kareem abdul Jabbar train man or whatever. What what's
24:40
Speaker 1: his other nickname again, I forget, I don't know, dude.
24:45
Speaker 1: We should make up other nicknames for him. Just take
24:47
Speaker 1: a famous like take a famous big basketball player, big
24:54
Speaker 1: black basketball player, and like make his name a pun
24:58
Speaker 1: on whiteness, and then you get a Villa. Although I
25:01
Speaker 1: think isn't a villa Hispanic or something. I don't know, man,
25:05
Speaker 1: but he looks very white. But yeah, you'll get to
25:09
Speaker 1: watch him in this game against a terrible Loyola Chicago team.
25:12
Speaker 1: Although I don't know that Saint Louis is really gonna
25:15
Speaker 1: be that excited about this game. They're coming off absolutely
25:18
Speaker 1: trouncing LUSAL. I think Saint Louis might just go through
25:22
Speaker 1: the motions a little bit here. They got Rhode Island
25:25
Speaker 1: on deck, which is not a big deal either. Their
25:27
Speaker 1: big game against VCU is after that, but still they
25:30
Speaker 1: just might not take Loyola Chicago seriously really, although with
25:34
Speaker 1: Losal they'd already beaten them by double digits on the
25:36
Speaker 1: road and they still drilled them in the last game.
25:39
Speaker 1: So some aspect of this is just well, Saint Louis
25:42
Speaker 1: is just too good relative to their opponent, Loyola. I mean,
25:45
Speaker 1: they do get to host a primetime game though, so
25:48
Speaker 1: they might get up for this, so you know, I mean,
25:52
Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Loyola in this one.
25:55
Speaker 1: There's no way that I actually want to do it.
25:57
Speaker 1: But I mean there is a chance that Saint Louis
25:59
Speaker 1: could just effortlessly cover this. But Saint Louis is an
26:03
Speaker 1: eighteen and a half point road favorite here eighty seven
26:06
Speaker 1: percent of takes, ninety six percent of the cash on them.
26:10
Speaker 1: The only way that I could really play it if
26:12
Speaker 1: you forced me to give a lien, and that would
26:13
Speaker 1: be to take the points. But it is very ugly
26:16
Speaker 1: and Saint Louis is good. But at this point, I
26:19
Speaker 1: think the hype is too great on Saint Louis. Ken
26:21
Speaker 1: bamb has them as the twenty fourth best team in
26:23
Speaker 1: the country, and he does have them somewhat lucky, although
26:26
Speaker 1: they're legit, like people talk about how good their offense
26:29
Speaker 1: is and they I think they're like near the very
26:31
Speaker 1: top in the country and like the ability to score
26:36
Speaker 1: per possession, even though ken Bomba has them thirty seventh
26:39
Speaker 1: in offensive efficiency. But they have some like really really
26:43
Speaker 1: high fueld goal percentage because they take very high percentage shots.
26:47
Speaker 1: But they're actually better on the defensive side of a
26:50
Speaker 1: courtney kem palm and they play fast, which not something
26:53
Speaker 1: you usually see, but that's what they do. The big
27:00
Speaker 1: white Diesel, I don't it would have to be like
27:02
Speaker 1: I don't know, because Shaq was the diesel, right you
27:04
Speaker 1: gotta or is it's I don't know, it's gotta be
27:07
Speaker 1: I don't know. Something with diesel, but make it white.
27:10
Speaker 1: I don't know. The last white home. I don't know.
27:15
Speaker 1: That's just like white mamba. Is that a snake? I
27:18
Speaker 1: don't know. It needs to be like a I don't know,
27:21
Speaker 1: like a pond out of there? What's let me see
27:23
Speaker 1: what is his other nickname? He had one other nickname
27:25
Speaker 1: that was out there. I'm gonna look it up real quick.
27:36
Speaker 1: People are calling him Larry Blurred because he wears glasses
27:42
Speaker 1: and he has blurred vision. That's not what I was
27:44
Speaker 1: thinking of, And or they're calling him Larry Nerd Dude.
27:49
Speaker 1: He's a white white guy who went to Indiana State man.
27:51
Speaker 1: So he is like Larry Bird but with glasses. People
27:54
Speaker 1: have called him Steph Blurry, Milk Chamberlain. None of those
27:59
Speaker 1: are what I'm thinking of, though. What are the others?
28:03
Speaker 1: College Yokich. That's such a that is such a man.
28:09
Speaker 1: That's such a lazy nickname. Like, yeah, he's like Jokic,
28:13
Speaker 1: but he's in college College Jokic. None of those are
28:17
Speaker 1: the one that I was thinking of, though. I don't know, man,
28:20
Speaker 1: maybe I'm really out of it. I don't know there
28:22
Speaker 1: was some other nickname, unless maybe maybe it was Larry Nerd.
28:27
Speaker 1: I don't know, man, I thought there was. I don't know.
28:31
Speaker 1: For some reason, I thought there was some other nickname.
28:33
Speaker 1: We gotta come up with some other ones. Though sometimes
28:35
Speaker 1: I'm good at that, like when I'm in tower game mode,
28:38
Speaker 1: I'm good at that. I don't know, but yeah, they're
28:42
Speaker 1: gonna be a fun team to watch in the tournament.
28:45
Speaker 1: ESPN has oh Yeah, the Miami Ohio What are they again?
28:51
Speaker 1: Are they the RedHawks? Yeah, Miami Ohio. That team number
28:55
Speaker 1: twenty three in the country, though Ken Bomb has them
28:57
Speaker 1: eighty fourth or something like that. They're hosting Ohio. It
29:02
Speaker 1: is a big Ohio rivalry, and these teams will finish
29:05
Speaker 1: the season against each other at Ohio. Could be a
29:08
Speaker 1: weird spot for Miami Ohio. Man, if they go all
29:11
Speaker 1: the way to that game undefeated and they have to
29:14
Speaker 1: play on the road in that final game, all the
29:16
Speaker 1: pressure is gonna be on Miami Ohio and that one. Man,
29:19
Speaker 1: that'll be an interesting one. We'll see if that happens.
29:22
Speaker 1: I don't think Miami Ohio is gonna lose this game,
29:25
Speaker 1: but I think there's probably no value in laying points
29:28
Speaker 1: with them. They're coming up another They're coming up a
29:30
Speaker 1: pretty impressive win man against Marshall. I thought Marshall will
29:33
Speaker 1: put up a better fight there in that Max Sunbelt
29:36
Speaker 1: challenge at Marshall, I thought it was kind of a
29:39
Speaker 1: weird spot for Miami Ohio. But at least when you're
29:41
Speaker 1: in southern Ohio or wherever the hell you are, you
29:45
Speaker 1: don't really have to go that far to get to
29:49
Speaker 1: Marshall in West Virginia, so it wasn't I guess the
29:52
Speaker 1: weirdest travels spot. Now they're hosting an ESPN game, so
29:56
Speaker 1: my guess is that Miami Ohio will pack the stadium
29:59
Speaker 1: for this one. So I think the crowd will get
30:02
Speaker 1: excited for it because they're the talk right now. They're
30:05
Speaker 1: the only undefeated team left now man after Arizona loss,
30:09
Speaker 1: I think this is the first time Miami Ohio was
30:11
Speaker 1: playing as the lone undefeated team left. But of course
30:15
Speaker 1: that means it's a huge target on their back. Ohio
30:18
Speaker 1: had a bad game in the the Max Sunbelt Challenge,
30:22
Speaker 1: losing to Old Dominion, and that wasn't a good performance
30:25
Speaker 1: from them. They might have been looking ahead to this game,
30:28
Speaker 1: so again, I think probably you're looking at an overvalue
30:32
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio team. They're not. They're not as good as
30:35
Speaker 1: people think they are based on the fact that they're undefeated.
30:38
Speaker 1: They're up to a ten point favorite here. Seventy nine
30:40
Speaker 1: percent of tickets are on Miami Ohio. You know the
30:42
Speaker 1: public is gonna come in and want to play Miami
30:44
Speaker 1: Ohio here because that's just what they're gonna do. You
30:47
Speaker 1: get to watch this game on TV. But I would
30:50
Speaker 1: take the points of Ohio if I was gonna play
30:52
Speaker 1: at sixty three percent of the cash on Ohio, that's
30:56
Speaker 1: the way I would have to lean in that one.
30:57
Speaker 1: But no real stre long opinion from me on that one.
31:02
Speaker 1: CBS Sports in their doubleheader after the Battle of the Georgia's,
31:06
Speaker 1: they switch conferences and they got a Mac game. So
31:10
Speaker 1: a couple of Mac games. This one is You Mass
31:12
Speaker 1: an Akron. It's not exactly that interesting of a game.
31:17
Speaker 1: U Mass is coming up that ridiculous triple overtime game
31:20
Speaker 1: that I mentioned yesterday against Coastal Carolina that was on Saturday.
31:24
Speaker 1: That was an insane game. So I don't know how
31:27
Speaker 1: they're gonna respond coming off of that. I mean, you
31:28
Speaker 1: gotta think they will show up for a game against Akron.
31:31
Speaker 1: And of course, I've been telling you Akron is actually
31:33
Speaker 1: the best team in the MAC this whole time, and
31:36
Speaker 1: I think the osmakers are kind of bearing that out
31:38
Speaker 1: because Akron is a huge favorite in this game, bigger
31:42
Speaker 1: than Miami Ohio is against Ohio. Though, yeah, Ohio is
31:45
Speaker 1: probably better than you Mass, but you Mass. It's a
31:48
Speaker 1: difficult spot for them coming off that triple ot game. Man.
31:51
Speaker 1: They do also have Miami Ohio on dec. Although again,
31:54
Speaker 1: I don't really think they're gonna overlook Akron, who's a
31:57
Speaker 1: one loss team in the in the conference. Their only
31:59
Speaker 1: lost was at Miami Ohio. Akron did just lose a
32:04
Speaker 1: win streak though a long win streak did won ten
32:09
Speaker 1: games in a row or something like that, and they
32:10
Speaker 1: lost to the Sun Belt leaders Troy, and I think
32:15
Speaker 1: there is a big gap actually in the Sun Belt.
32:17
Speaker 1: I think Troy is easily the best team in that
32:19
Speaker 1: conference right now. So it's not a horrible loss for
32:22
Speaker 1: Akron having to go to an unfamiliar environment going down
32:25
Speaker 1: to Alabama to play Troy. But a lot of times
32:28
Speaker 1: you'll be hung over when you play a big game
32:30
Speaker 1: like that because they think it was a big deals.
32:33
Speaker 1: The teams that are that I would say are the
32:35
Speaker 1: best teams in their respective conferences playing each other and
32:40
Speaker 1: you lose a huge win streak, that could definitely hang
32:42
Speaker 1: you over into the next game. As I always say,
32:44
Speaker 1: teams that lose long win streaks, it is a hangover spot.
32:48
Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, this is a tough call, man,
32:54
Speaker 1: because I don't like the fact that U Mass is
32:56
Speaker 1: coming up that triple ot game either, but I probably
32:58
Speaker 1: would have to lead to its take the points with
33:01
Speaker 1: U Mass. They're thirteen and a half point underdogs year,
33:04
Speaker 1: fifty six percent tickets, ninety one percent of the cash
33:06
Speaker 1: on U Mass. The money is coming back in on you.
33:09
Speaker 1: Mass U Mass is not that bad of a team.
33:11
Speaker 1: They're like a middle tier MAC team. Akron though definitely
33:16
Speaker 1: actually a legit team though, which is why they're laying
33:19
Speaker 1: a ton of points. Acron's not as good on defense though,
33:23
Speaker 1: they're a fast team and they mostly play offense rather
33:26
Speaker 1: than defense. So as you can see ken Bum here,
33:29
Speaker 1: ken Bum has the sixty fifth in the country by
33:31
Speaker 1: the way, overall, still like twenty rankings spots higher than
33:36
Speaker 1: Miami Ohio. Two games left. You know one of them
33:39
Speaker 1: is my play. Well, it's gonna be this one. We're
33:47
Speaker 1: gonna grab the points with UNLV against Boise plus nine
33:51
Speaker 1: and a half here. Boise hasn't exactly been that great
33:54
Speaker 1: at home this year for one thing. And I know
33:57
Speaker 1: Boise already lost at UNLV, so there is a bit
33:59
Speaker 1: of a revenge mode of here where they might take
34:03
Speaker 1: UNLV seriously for that reason because they lost on the road.
34:06
Speaker 1: But I'm looking at what Boise has done recently and
34:09
Speaker 1: it's not good. It doesn't set up well for them.
34:12
Speaker 1: But also look at what they've done at home so far.
34:14
Speaker 1: Yet they did beat New Mexico at home. I know,
34:17
Speaker 1: out of conference, they had a really nice home win
34:19
Speaker 1: against Saint Mary's. But after that, New Mexico win at home,
34:22
Speaker 1: and maybe they just match up well against New Mexico
34:24
Speaker 1: because I'll tell you in a minute what they just
34:27
Speaker 1: did against New Mexico, which is part of the reason
34:29
Speaker 1: why I'm doing this. But they also have losses at
34:32
Speaker 1: home to Grand Canyon by double digits, a blowout loss
34:35
Speaker 1: to you Testate. I mean, a loss to U test
34:37
Speaker 1: State is acceptable, but a blowout one at home, I
34:41
Speaker 1: don't know, man. And then they have wins against Colorado
34:43
Speaker 1: State Air Force. Those are not good teams. They got
34:47
Speaker 1: by Nevada at home and that's it. So they really
34:49
Speaker 1: have not been an impressive home team. Man. Now they're
34:52
Speaker 1: coming up a win on the road against New Mexico.
34:55
Speaker 1: There are probably about six point underdogs in this game.
34:57
Speaker 1: I would guess four and a half. Actually I was
35:00
Speaker 1: opened five and I haven't dropped to four and a half.
35:03
Speaker 1: So Boise actually won outright at New Mexico at the pit.
35:08
Speaker 1: If you look at what happened in this game, New
35:09
Speaker 1: Mexico actually had a great shooting game. So what happened
35:12
Speaker 1: in this game? How did Boise win this game? Well,
35:15
Speaker 1: Boise took more free throws and they shot ninety six
35:18
Speaker 1: percent from the free throw line. I mean, that's kind
35:21
Speaker 1: of ridiculous. Man. Other than that, the game probably shouldn't
35:26
Speaker 1: have gone Boise's way, So it's kind of ridiculous. It
35:29
Speaker 1: was really just a free throw disparity that got boys
35:32
Speaker 1: of the game. How good is Boise really at the
35:34
Speaker 1: free throw line? I actually don't know. It looks like
35:39
Speaker 1: they actually get a lot of free throw attempts. They
35:42
Speaker 1: do get to the line a lot, but what's there
35:45
Speaker 1: the free throw percentage is not is not as good
35:48
Speaker 1: as that. They're twenty fifth in the country though, so
35:50
Speaker 1: it's like they're a bad free throw shooting team by
35:52
Speaker 1: Ken Bomb. By the way, I shouldn't be showing those
35:55
Speaker 1: paywalled numbers there, but yes, you should buy ken Bomb.
35:58
Speaker 1: But yes, Boise is a good for you throw shooting team.
36:00
Speaker 1: But no team shoots ninety six percent from from the
36:04
Speaker 1: free throw line on a nightly basis, man, Boise, even
36:08
Speaker 1: though they're twenty fifth in the country in free throw percentage,
36:10
Speaker 1: you just saw their free throw percentage is like seventy
36:13
Speaker 1: seven percent, which is good. Ninety six percent does not
36:17
Speaker 1: happen a game in you know, on a game by
36:19
Speaker 1: game Basis and Boise. By the way, the reason why
36:22
Speaker 1: I think they might overlook you, NLV, not just because
36:24
Speaker 1: they're coming up beating New Mexico on the road, which
36:26
Speaker 1: is a big win because New Mexico is third in
36:29
Speaker 1: the conference and Boise actually beating nevad I, who's fourth
36:32
Speaker 1: in the conference right before that. Boise also has Utah
36:35
Speaker 1: State on deck. Man, that is a monster game. It's
36:38
Speaker 1: a big revenge game too, because Utah State totally embarrassed
36:41
Speaker 1: them at Boise. And of course Utah is the best
36:44
Speaker 1: team in the Mountain West and they're atop the conference.
36:47
Speaker 1: So this is a sandwich spout for Boise. I'm gonna
36:50
Speaker 1: go with UNLV in this one. Man, UNLV, they're coming up,
36:54
Speaker 1: They're coming into this game with some momentum. I know
36:56
Speaker 1: they're going back out on the road. I know they
36:58
Speaker 1: haven't been that good on the road in conference play,
37:01
Speaker 1: except for the fact that they did beat Utah State
37:04
Speaker 1: on the road somehow, so that was a good road
37:08
Speaker 1: game for them. Their other road games were bad. I
37:10
Speaker 1: get it. Their only other road win was against San
37:13
Speaker 1: Jose State. But even so, we're going with it. We're
37:17
Speaker 1: getting a lot of points with them here. UNLV. Yeah,
37:21
Speaker 1: they're coming off beating San Jose State in their last game,
37:23
Speaker 1: not a win that's gonna make you over confident or
37:26
Speaker 1: anything like that. I in fact thought they might be
37:28
Speaker 1: looking ahead. I'm guessing UNLV did not cover this number. No,
37:32
Speaker 1: they didn't. They were twelve and a half point favorites.
37:34
Speaker 1: I leaned to San Jose State to cover in that one,
37:36
Speaker 1: which was correct because UNLV was in a sandwich spot
37:40
Speaker 1: kind of between Grand Canyon and this game. The other
37:45
Speaker 1: thing about this is Boise plays slow. Ken Bumb also
37:48
Speaker 1: has them as a pretty lucky team, ninety fifth in
37:50
Speaker 1: the country in luck, but they're also in the bottom
37:52
Speaker 1: third in pace. And I'm used to Boise being a
37:56
Speaker 1: bad offense. They're not really this year. They're like just
38:00
Speaker 1: they're okay in offense and defense, but they play slow. Man.
38:03
Speaker 1: They play these kind of slow, ugly games at home,
38:07
Speaker 1: which is what I'm hoping happens in this game. And
38:10
Speaker 1: for UNLV. I know unlv' is not as good on
38:13
Speaker 1: either side of the ball. They are less lucky. According
38:15
Speaker 1: to kem Bum, they're in the mid mid tier of
38:18
Speaker 1: luck and they are fast paced teams, so they're not
38:21
Speaker 1: gonna be able to speed the game up here. Boise
38:24
Speaker 1: is almost definitely gonna slow the game down. But if
38:27
Speaker 1: they do that, it's gonna make it more difficult for
38:29
Speaker 1: them to win this game by double digits, which is
38:31
Speaker 1: what you're asking him to do here. UNLV has sixty
38:34
Speaker 1: two percent of tickets. It's seventy nine percent of the
38:36
Speaker 1: cash on them. Loosely, you can get ten and a
38:38
Speaker 1: half on this now, so I would much prefer that.
38:41
Speaker 1: I think ken Bomb has this number actually at about ten.
38:45
Speaker 1: He might even have it eleven. I don't know, but
38:47
Speaker 1: maybe it'll maybe it'll go to eleven. Man, I'm not
38:51
Speaker 1: gonna play the drop right now, but that's gonna do
38:54
Speaker 1: it for now. Oh no way. We have one other
38:56
Speaker 1: game on ESPN two, but that is my play UNLV
38:59
Speaker 1: plus the points Michigan State money line. Depends on what
39:05
Speaker 1: price you can get on the money line. I agree
39:07
Speaker 1: with Michigan State as long as you can get like
39:12
Speaker 1: I guess, like minus one forty or cheaper than that. Yeah,
39:15
Speaker 1: I would agree money line. Yeah, all right, and then
39:20
Speaker 1: the final game here on ESPN two is not a
39:24
Speaker 1: good one. I don't know, dude, Why is this game
39:27
Speaker 1: at eleven PM when it's an East Coast game. This
39:30
Speaker 1: is absolutely bizarre. ESPN two has a late doubleheader in
39:35
Speaker 1: College of Basketball, and they might have some game before
39:38
Speaker 1: the first game. I don't know, but after the Saint
39:40
Speaker 1: Louis game, which is probably ugly enough because Loyola is terrible.
39:44
Speaker 1: Who's gonna watch this at eleven pm? Unless it's the
39:47
Speaker 1: degenerates trying to get you know, get their money back
39:52
Speaker 1: Hampton and NCA and T. This is an unbelievably bad game.
39:56
Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on here. Oh this is
39:58
Speaker 1: in California. Holy shit, No, wonder why it's at eleven pm?
40:02
Speaker 1: Why is this game in California? What? What? I don't know?
40:08
Speaker 1: This is? This is an odd game, dude. I don't
40:10
Speaker 1: know why this game is in California. Oh it's the
40:13
Speaker 1: HBCU Classic, the Historic Black and Colored Universities. Is that?
40:21
Speaker 1: Is that? What that stands or something like that. I
40:24
Speaker 1: don't know. They're playing in LA for whatever reason. Uh
40:28
Speaker 1: so both teams are gonna have to travel across country
40:30
Speaker 1: for it. Now. I guess one question then would be
40:33
Speaker 1: did either team actually have to travel out there this year?
40:37
Speaker 1: Hampton did not. It does not appear Hampton They're coming
40:43
Speaker 1: out of beating William and Mary though, so that's a
40:45
Speaker 1: big game for Hampton. Man they just be William and Mary.
40:48
Speaker 1: Now they have to fly across the country to play
40:50
Speaker 1: the worst team in the conference, n C A and T.
40:53
Speaker 1: Like really, I know, northeasterns below them, and n C
40:56
Speaker 1: A T is the worst team in the conference Man,
40:59
Speaker 1: and then they have on deck, which is a big
41:01
Speaker 1: look ahead as well, Hofstra near the top of the conference.
41:04
Speaker 1: So I think Hampton is actually in a sandwich spot
41:07
Speaker 1: after pulling off a home upset against William and maryam
41:10
Speaker 1: with Hofstra on deck, I would have to look to
41:13
Speaker 1: NCA and T here man. NCA and T has four
41:16
Speaker 1: losses in a row, so for them, maybe it'd be
41:18
Speaker 1: good to just leave go to the Pacific Coast. I
41:21
Speaker 1: don't believe either team has been out there this year,
41:23
Speaker 1: so that's kind of a wash. As far as the
41:25
Speaker 1: travel spot. They have Charleston on deck, but I don't
41:28
Speaker 1: think they're gonna overlook this. I would go with NCA
41:31
Speaker 1: and T in this one. Man Hampton already dropped from
41:33
Speaker 1: four to two. Though seventy five percent of tickets ninety
41:36
Speaker 1: one percent of the cash on Hampton I don't agree
41:38
Speaker 1: with that cash percentage. You would be NCA and T
41:41
Speaker 1: for may or pass on the game and NCAA T.
41:45
Speaker 1: Actually getting a a TV game is gonna be fun though,
41:50
Speaker 1: because you get to see what's his face, Lewis Walker.
41:54
Speaker 1: He's one of the best players in college basketball, dude,
41:57
Speaker 1: even though this team is awful, he's actually really good.
42:02
Speaker 1: So yeah, watch it for this guy. Man. He's averaging
42:06
Speaker 1: nineteen points per game as a freshman, hitting over fifty
42:09
Speaker 1: percent of his shots. Yeah, he's gonna probably transfer up
42:13
Speaker 1: to some better team. Man. Could be another one of
42:15
Speaker 1: the North Carolina teams. We'll see, but might be worth
42:20
Speaker 1: putting that game on for a bit just to see
42:21
Speaker 1: that guy play. But that is gonna do it for me. Man.
42:25
Speaker 1: Let me get to some of these comments here minus
42:28
Speaker 1: won twenty five. Yeah, that's a pretty good price. I
42:30
Speaker 1: like that. She squealed, what's up man? Thanks for hanging
42:35
Speaker 1: out Miami, Ohio's on T and T as well. Interesting
42:38
Speaker 1: all right, Alexander, what's up man? Yes, college of basketball
42:45
Speaker 1: is the only thing to look at right now if
42:48
Speaker 1: you're not looking at the Olympics or the NBA All
42:50
Speaker 1: Star Break. I don't have much to say about the
42:54
Speaker 1: NBA All Star stuff. Some of it is tomorrow. I
42:57
Speaker 1: think the actual All Star Game might be Sunday. It's stupid.
43:02
Speaker 1: I don't even know where. Actually there are multiple games now,
43:04
Speaker 1: I guess because it's not just East West. It's like
43:07
Speaker 1: US versus the world. I don't even know, dude, Like
43:10
Speaker 1: I don't know why, because they're trying to make the
43:13
Speaker 1: NBA International Now. I hate all that. It's all bullshit.
43:17
Speaker 1: The Dunk Contest is also kind of bullshit. I don't know.
43:20
Speaker 1: If I have well, I can look up the dunk
43:22
Speaker 1: Contest odds. When is the dunk Contest. I don't even
43:24
Speaker 1: know Dunk contest? When is it? I know the three
43:29
Speaker 1: Point Contest is tomorrow. Dunk Contest is tomorrow as well.
43:34
Speaker 1: I'm gonna look at the odds real quick. I know
43:36
Speaker 1: Mac McClung just signed with somebody, but I don't even
43:39
Speaker 1: think he's in it. Dude. I literally do not even
43:42
Speaker 1: know who most of the players are in the dunk contest,
43:45
Speaker 1: Like these guys just specialize in dunks now. It's stupid.
43:49
Speaker 1: It's a Carter Bryant, Jackson, Hayes, Kashaw Johnson, and Jace Richardson.
43:56
Speaker 1: Bryant has the best odds to win it at plus
43:58
Speaker 1: one point eighty. Hey is at plus two hundred. It
44:01
Speaker 1: looks like something around there. Yeah, I dude, I would
44:06
Speaker 1: not even I would not want to have my money
44:08
Speaker 1: on the dunk contest. It's all subjective, like I would
44:12
Speaker 1: not want to do anything with it. But I dude,
44:15
Speaker 1: I missed the nineties dunk contests where like, yeah, like
44:17
Speaker 1: the best players in the league still doing it and whatever,
44:20
Speaker 1: you know, uh, And it was less about the theatrics
44:24
Speaker 1: and more about like, holy crap, that is an insane
44:27
Speaker 1: like technically an insane dunk, like Michael Jordan doing a
44:32
Speaker 1: whole bunch of crazy crap. What do you mean you're
44:38
Speaker 1: saying minus ten, I would take the points of Ohio
44:40
Speaker 1: and that one ten is with the line is yeah,
44:45
Speaker 1: I would take it with Ohio Miami. Ohio is just
44:47
Speaker 1: a massively over hyped team. The hype is going to
44:50
Speaker 1: be all on them now because they're the only undefeated teams,
44:53
Speaker 1: so big time target on their back. They're both Yeah,
45:01
Speaker 1: I don't know who these players are. The three point
45:04
Speaker 1: contest is a little bit different. The three point contest,
45:08
Speaker 1: I could basically tell you that uh Car Nipple has
45:14
Speaker 1: the best odds. He's kind of like Noah Kniga, but
45:18
Speaker 1: but for Nipples instead con Canipple, the freshman out of
45:22
Speaker 1: Duke who gets overshadowed by Cooper flag. Car Nipple has
45:27
Speaker 1: the best odds to win the three point contest, but
45:29
Speaker 1: he's never done it before. He's a freshman, so I
45:31
Speaker 1: probably would not bet him in that thing. I think
45:34
Speaker 1: he's at like plus three hundred something, but Damian Lillard
45:37
Speaker 1: is right behind him. And Lillard I think he's won
45:39
Speaker 1: two in a row and has a lot of experience
45:42
Speaker 1: doing it, so Lillard might not be a bad shot
45:44
Speaker 1: at like plus three eighty or something like that in
45:48
Speaker 1: the contest, the three point contest I'm talking about. And
45:51
Speaker 1: then Devin Booker is in it. He's won it before.
45:56
Speaker 1: I think he won it years ago. He's like the
45:59
Speaker 1: third best. It's plus four hundred something. I think. I mean,
46:01
Speaker 1: he might be worth a look as well, but I
46:03
Speaker 1: think he hasn't even been injured recently. I don't know,
46:06
Speaker 1: but I guess he's been back for a little while,
46:08
Speaker 1: I guess, and he gets he's gonna be in the
46:11
Speaker 1: three point contest. I don't know. And then I forget
46:13
Speaker 1: who else is in it. I forget. I don't know.
46:17
Speaker 1: The three point contest has weird stuff going on though
46:21
Speaker 1: three point contest odds. Let me see, Jamal Murray is
46:25
Speaker 1: also in it. Booker actually has dropped all the way
46:28
Speaker 1: to plus five point fifty man, so he's actually the
46:32
Speaker 1: second lowest odds now, which is weird because you would
46:36
Speaker 1: think that he would have a decent chance to win it,
46:39
Speaker 1: just because he's experienced in it and he's done it before.
46:42
Speaker 1: Murray as plus four fifty MAXI plus six hundred. At
46:46
Speaker 1: least I know who these guys are. Donovan Mitchell plus
46:49
Speaker 1: six hundred. Norman Powell is at plus five hundred. Oh,
46:55
Speaker 1: so Booker does not have the second worst odds. These
46:58
Speaker 1: are just not in order in the Bobby Portis isn't
47:01
Speaker 1: he a big guy? I don't even know. Bobby bortis
47:04
Speaker 1: plus eight fifty. I don't even know, man, Yeah, I
47:10
Speaker 1: have no idea, dude. Uh Portis is I guess six'.
47:14
Speaker 1: NINE i don't. KNOW i consider him to be kind
47:15
Speaker 1: of a big, guy but he's he's got the least
47:18
Speaker 1: odds at plus eight fifty to win. It But booker
47:20
Speaker 1: actually has the fourth best odds After, Canipple, lillard And.
47:24
Speaker 1: MURRAY i don't. Know Jamal MURRAY i. SHOULD i don't
47:27
Speaker 1: know What murray might be able to do in the.
47:29
Speaker 1: THING i don't, know, MAN i, MEAN i all, Right
47:36
Speaker 1: lillard does not want to in a. Row my. Mistake
47:38
Speaker 1: he's won two times in the, past is WHAT i
47:40
Speaker 1: meant to, say my. Mistake so, YEAH i, MEAN i
47:46
Speaker 1: don't THINK i would want to go With canipple just
47:47
Speaker 1: because he hasn't done it. Before he's never participated in
47:51
Speaker 1: the three point contest, before SO i Think i'd be
47:54
Speaker 1: leaning towards people THAT i have more experienced in. It
47:56
Speaker 1: but that did not work out that well last, YEAR
47:58
Speaker 1: i don't, think, SO i don't. Know we'll see what.
48:01
Speaker 1: Happens you, Mean Steph curry's not in it this, year
48:05
Speaker 1: maybe because he's. HURT i don't. Know Donovan mitchell might
48:09
Speaker 1: actually be worth a look BECAUSE i think he's been
48:11
Speaker 1: in it before. TOO i don't, Know. Man tough to
48:16
Speaker 1: gauge the three point, CONTEST i don't. KNOW i would
48:19
Speaker 1: kind of lean To loward, though but he might be
48:22
Speaker 1: a little bit overvalue just because he's won it multiple times.
48:24
Speaker 1: Before but he definitely has the experience and we know
48:27
Speaker 1: he has the ability to do, it so that's gonna
48:30
Speaker 1: do it for. Me man once, again the one PLAY
48:32
Speaker 1: i have today IS unlv plus the. Points second strongest
48:36
Speaker 1: lean Was quinnipiac plus the. Points hopefully we can get
48:39
Speaker 1: a win and THEN i might have to be back
48:40
Speaker 1: tonight for the Awful saturday college basketball board that takes
48:45
Speaker 1: me two hours to break, down which is actually probably
48:48
Speaker 1: quick to break down over one hundred, games and then
48:52
Speaker 1: two like a three hour, show WHICH i gotta try
48:56
Speaker 1: to condense. Somehow but that's gonna do it for. Now
48:59
Speaker 1: have a good win of. Everybody i'll be back ou.
49:02
Speaker 1: TONIGHT i guess maybe for the college basketball. Show that's
49:08
Speaker 1: gonna do it for now at. Least, well, actually you know,
49:10
Speaker 1: WHAT i could do it in the, morning maybe because
49:12
Speaker 1: there's NO nhl OR nba SO i have nothing else
49:15
Speaker 1: to really talk about besides college, Basketball so MAYBE i
49:17
Speaker 1: will do it, tomorrow but do it a little. Early
49:20
Speaker 1: that's gonna do it for. Now, peace