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Ranking Every Week 6 Running Back as a Sit or Start · BDGE Fantasy Football

0:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Good morning friends and enemies.
0:02
[SPEAKER_00]: In today's video we will be going game by game letting y'all know whether you should sit or start every single fantasy relevant running back.
0:10
[SPEAKER_00]: In week 6, we do this every Wednesday.
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[SPEAKER_00]: We will be doing the wide receiver version every Thursday so make sure you're subscribed.
0:17
[SPEAKER_00]: If you are not already, let's jump into Thursday night football.
0:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Philadelphia travels to MetLifeStame to take on the New York Giants' Philly is seven point favorites in this one where they 40 and a half point total.
0:29
[SPEAKER_00]: That is excruciatingly low.
0:32
[SPEAKER_00]: Thanks to how Philadelphia's offenses operated last couple of weeks, but sick one Barclay nonetheless of course is going to the Mustard category.
0:38
[SPEAKER_00]: I know he's been a little bit underwhelming up to this point in the season.
0:41
[SPEAKER_00]: He's still a very, very high floor RB1.
0:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I'd imagine every time the Eagles play the Giants he's going to be on his best behavior.
0:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, you know, there were some rumblings about his knee, possibly causing him to miss some time.
0:53
[SPEAKER_00]: But yeah, he was a DMPL Monday.
0:55
[SPEAKER_00]: It's supposed to be just general sornus in this one.
0:58
[SPEAKER_00]: He was limited on Tuesday and he says he's going to be a full go.
1:00
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the bigger point here to make overall with the Eagles right now, and maybe one of the reasons why they're struggling is their offensive line.
1:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Most of the year, they've got some injuries on the on the front there, but I don't think it's going to matter much in terms of what say quans going to do in this one.
1:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Now on the flip side, we don't have lines for the giants running back straight now, because we don't know Tyrell Tracy's status.
1:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Now he did return to a limited practice still recovering from the dislocated.
1:24
[SPEAKER_00]: shoulder injury don't know whether or not he's going to play if I had to put money on it I would go 51 49 in favor of him not playing I still think it's a little bit early and the fact that they are on a short week if this was Sunday maybe but I'm going to proceed and I'm going to rank players as if Tyrone Tracy is not playing which means Camscatobo is going to be on the field playing his you know normal workhorse role as he has been for the last couple of weeks you know he's not
1:49
[SPEAKER_00]: And that's certainly breaking way big plays, but the volume is just so high that you can't really move away from him.
1:55
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think with Darius late in the likely to miss, we could see, you know, that target number continue to be a really, really high floor for a guy like Camp Scadabo.
2:02
[SPEAKER_00]: And there's no one else that I want to be playing in this game.
2:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to Denver at the New York Jets Denver 7.5 point favorites 43.5 point total.
2:11
[SPEAKER_00]: So really good game script.
2:13
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, I am hard press not to put JK Dobbins in the Mustard category.
2:16
[SPEAKER_00]: He is dominating touches.
2:18
[SPEAKER_00]: He's dominating snaps.
2:19
[SPEAKER_00]: I will say the only thing leaving him closer to the feels good category for me.
2:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Like I can't put him into the.
2:25
[SPEAKER_00]: Jimmy or Gibbs tier.
2:26
[SPEAKER_00]: I can't put him into that like, you know, really, really solidified must start despite how good he's been.
2:31
[SPEAKER_00]: He's not catching passes.
2:32
[SPEAKER_00]: He has not hit 10 receiving yards in a single game this year.
2:35
[SPEAKER_00]: So that's just not his role, which is a little bit of a surprise considering how many snaps he's playing and just how often Sean Payton's offense like does just dump down to running back for a guardless of what down in distance it is.
2:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Regardless, I mean, we feel great about JK Dobbins here.
2:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's going to be in the field's good category, but at the very very top of it on the flip side.
2:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Bree's hole.
2:55
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, his run out is very very pure right now without Braille and Allen.
2:59
[SPEAKER_00]: He's getting so many of the targets, so many of the snaps, so many of the just running back carries in general for the New York Jets tough match up against Denver.
3:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously, a lot of red across the board.
3:07
[SPEAKER_00]: They're one of the best defenses.
3:09
[SPEAKER_00]: in the NFL.
3:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Of course, that being said, though, like the work is going to be crazy.
3:13
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to get a lot of dump offs.
3:14
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to get a lot of garbage time work probably.
3:17
[SPEAKER_00]: His lines this week are crazy.
3:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Hi.
3:19
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, Vegas has him at 67 and a half rushing yards, which I would probably lean under on and 28 and a half receiving yards.
3:27
[SPEAKER_00]: He never really scores touchdowns, but like the yardage and the touches are going to be there.
3:31
[SPEAKER_00]: And as long as Braylon Allen is out, that's what the case is going to be here.
3:35
[SPEAKER_00]: RJ Harvey, it looked like he was kind of on the
3:38
[SPEAKER_00]: might have had a little bit of a, you know, hopefully a coming out party to Weesio didn't really happen last week.
3:43
[SPEAKER_00]: It's still now splitting touches again with Tyler, but day.
3:46
[SPEAKER_00]: So we don't really know what's going to happen here.
3:47
[SPEAKER_00]: The matchup is great.
3:48
[SPEAKER_00]: We could see some garbage time dump offs.
3:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Vegas actually has his line at 29 and a half rushing yards, 14 and a half receiving yards.
3:55
[SPEAKER_00]: So overall you're looking at 45 yards.
3:57
[SPEAKER_00]: It is a really good matchup against the jet.
3:59
[SPEAKER_00]: So I don't
4:00
[SPEAKER_00]: hate RJ Harvey this week.
4:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, obviously the way that these tears are going to shape up is this is likely going to end up being around the RB, I don't know, 35 to 40 range probably, but I think you could do a little bit worse.
4:11
[SPEAKER_00]: That worse would be a guy like Isaiah Davis.
4:13
[SPEAKER_00]: He'll catch a few passes, but ultimately not seeing any real running work in this one in the match is really, really tough.
4:19
[SPEAKER_00]: So we're going to put Isaiah Davis down the rather not tear.
4:22
[SPEAKER_00]: Arizona at Indianapolis, India's 6.5 point favorites, 47.5 point total.
4:29
[SPEAKER_00]: Arizona's defense really good against the run.
4:31
[SPEAKER_00]: 28th in terms of EPA per rush allowed, but that doesn't matter because we have Jonathan Taylor, who is just dominating everyone's face every single week.
4:39
[SPEAKER_00]: He's a 30
4:41
[SPEAKER_00]: fantasy point per game score.
4:42
[SPEAKER_00]: It is insane how good he's been despite sharing a ton of goal line carries with both Daniel Jones and Tyler Warren still leads a league by wide margin in terms of carries inside the five yard line.
4:53
[SPEAKER_00]: The flip side, that's where we have to have a conversation.
4:55
[SPEAKER_00]: Obviously Michael Carter.
4:56
[SPEAKER_00]: was the starter took the majority of the snaps got the majority of touches around 20 touches in this one got the goal line work so i'm going to say he's a very very strong flex play for me if not teetering on the feels good category we kind of have to figure out what happens with a more anymore kato you know we saw Jonathan Ganon rip him on the sidelines i kind of think they're gonna give him another chance like overall he's been a good player for them
5:16
[SPEAKER_00]: when they've needed him to fill in in certain roles and in certain situations, I think Team Arcado is going to end up having the same role that he had last week, which as we see wasn't really a good one, right?
5:28
[SPEAKER_00]: It's not one that I think is going to amount to a lot of fantasy points.
5:31
[SPEAKER_00]: And the only reason why he almost got home obviously fumbled at the goal line there, let it go before he got into the end zone, was because he broke a big play, right?
5:38
[SPEAKER_00]: It was like three carries 80 yards or something like that, which is obviously not repeatable.
5:42
[SPEAKER_00]: But I do think he could have a similar role to RJ Harvey.
5:44
[SPEAKER_00]: We saw Bam Nights on him and night get involved a little bit after Marty Marcato was bench.
5:48
[SPEAKER_00]: But I do think Ganon's probably going to give you Marcato a slight chance of redemption here.
5:53
[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, maybe benchism, whatever, like, you know, you don't really want to play Marty Marcato, but I just want to get that take out there.
5:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Cleveland at Pittsburgh coming off the buy for Pittsburgh.
6:04
[SPEAKER_00]: Cleveland is five and a half point underdogs.
6:07
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 37 and a half point total.
6:09
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, judgekins.
6:10
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know what else you could say.
6:11
[SPEAKER_00]: He needs to go right into the Mustard category.
6:13
[SPEAKER_00]: He's been just dynamite every every single week that he's been the starter averaging 22 and a half touches so far.
6:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Could have had another
6:19
[SPEAKER_00]: huge game last week, but had the 50R touchdown run negated by a holding penalty.
6:25
[SPEAKER_00]: So yeah, just not many more running backs that I want to own in fantasy on top of Quinshan, Judkins on the flip side, things got a little bit murky here here because Jalen warned mislast week, Kenny game will played so well that we don't know what the touch distribution is going to be here.
6:40
[SPEAKER_00]: And Cleveland obviously has
6:41
[SPEAKER_00]: the best run defense in the NFL right now, as you can see, they are 30 second in fantasy points allowed for running back position, 30 second in EPA per rush allowed.
6:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So dead last in terms of it being a good matchup for opponent running backs.
6:55
[SPEAKER_00]: I think dealing Warren comes back out and he reclaims most of the role.
7:00
[SPEAKER_00]: I do think kind of game well probably now put in the head of Arthur Smith that he should have a decent roll out here, but I still think it's Jalen Warren's backfield to really lose right now.
7:10
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm going to put Jalen Warren in the Dubflex category.
7:12
[SPEAKER_00]: I still think he gets enough work to Warren a spot in your line.
7:15
[SPEAKER_00]: But Kenneth Gain was going to be in the shaky flex category for me Dallas at Carolina another tricky one not on Dallas aside obviously Javante Williams at this point moves right into the Mustard category.
7:27
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean the over under for carries for him this week against his Carolina run defense has to be like 21 and a half
7:33
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, we saw, go, God, King, beast, three go doubtal, pop off last week.
7:39
[SPEAKER_00]: The big question here is, what happens if Chuba Hubbard returns?
7:42
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have any practice reports yet because it is only Wednesday morning.
7:45
[SPEAKER_00]: The first practice report will come out later today.
7:48
[SPEAKER_00]: They labeled him as day-to-day last week.
7:50
[SPEAKER_00]: However, he didn't practice at all.
7:52
[SPEAKER_00]: So, you know, it was great to have re-going our lineup, but I will say,
7:56
[SPEAKER_00]: as someone who in their main league now has to roster both Carolina running backs, I think we're about to be in hell if Chuba Hubbard plays right now.
8:03
[SPEAKER_00]: That being said, he suffered a setback with the calf injury, and then was all DNP to cross the week.
8:10
[SPEAKER_00]: So I still think there's a very real chance Chuba does not suit up in this one, which would put Rico pretty much directly into the Mustart category.
8:17
[SPEAKER_00]: If Chuba is sideline for another game, this is a fantastic matchup for both sides of the ball against the Dallas run defense.
8:24
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, doesn't get much better than that.
8:25
[SPEAKER_00]: Now, if Chuba plays this gets really murky, I actually think that Rico will be the better play if Chuba Hubbard is active.
8:34
[SPEAKER_00]: I think if he's active, he's still going to be a bit limited.
8:37
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think they're going to ride the hot hand of Rico and be able to just say, oh, Chuba is kind of still recovering.
8:43
[SPEAKER_00]: He's still, you know, getting better and we want to wait till he's at full strength to give him his workload back.
8:48
[SPEAKER_00]: But for right now, the way I'm going to play this in my lineup is that if Tuba ends up playing in this game, Rico is going to be a dub flex for me.
8:56
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to play him over Tuba and Tuba is going to go into the shaky flex category.
9:00
[SPEAKER_00]: And of course, if Tuba does some play, Rico is going to go into the Mustar category.
9:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving down to the Chargers at Miami, of course, A-Chance is going to go into the Mustart category.
9:08
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, of course, this is a murky backfield.
9:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Now that Amari Hampton is out, Naji Harris is out.
9:13
[SPEAKER_00]: Sorry, all the new players I put in this week don't have headshots for whatever reason.
9:16
[SPEAKER_00]: I can't figure out the goddamn software.
9:18
[SPEAKER_00]: Let me live.
9:19
[SPEAKER_00]: The reason it's important to get this right, of course, is that they play the dolphins, who are probably the best matchup in the league for opposing running backs.
9:29
[SPEAKER_00]: It's difficult to figure out how this game is going to play out right now.
9:32
[SPEAKER_00]: The charges are four and a half point favorites.
9:34
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a 44 and a half point total.
9:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Come on even doll feels like a more exciting upside play.
9:40
[SPEAKER_00]: I do feel like in the first week.
9:42
[SPEAKER_00]: They probably trust to son haskins more than they trust come on even doll.
9:46
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know how this backfield's going to play out.
9:48
[SPEAKER_00]: If there's not a running back touchdown in this one, both of them are likely going to disappoint.
9:53
[SPEAKER_00]: I could see that Chargers going extremely pass heavy in this one.
9:56
[SPEAKER_00]: A lot of short passes probably, but that's how their receiver core is kind of made out.
9:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Like they are made out with LAD, Keenan Allen, like they are built.
10:03
[SPEAKER_00]: to have that game plan be successful for them.
10:05
[SPEAKER_00]: We saw Herbert under a ton of pressure.
10:07
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't know how successful a running back can be in this offense running the ball without Ray Sean Slater and Joe Alt.
10:13
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'd imagine it's going to be a lot of quick passes, which could lend itself to some dump offs for the running back position.
10:18
[SPEAKER_00]: The way that I would play this backfield out for this first week.
10:22
[SPEAKER_00]: Is that I would actually have Haskins ranked above Crony Vidal, but they're both going to be shaky flexes for me.
10:28
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm going to have Haskins higher in the shaky flex category.
10:32
[SPEAKER_00]: Nearly towards the top of it, because I think he's a decent bet.
10:35
[SPEAKER_00]: When any time touchdown lines come out, I bet Haskins is in the like the minus 110 to plus 110 range, where you're playing against the dolphins.
10:44
[SPEAKER_00]: The charges are going to have a decent amount of scoring opportunities, and I think his on Haskins does get the goal line work there.
10:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So that's my way of thinking.
10:51
[SPEAKER_00]: It's really going to come down to whether or not, you know, those first few weeks, right?
10:55
[SPEAKER_00]: I said in yesterday's video, and I was talking to my waver wire thoughts on these two guys, through the first five weeks, they had one running back touchdown inside the 5-yard line, did a Marian Hampton.
11:06
[SPEAKER_00]: A lot of that has
11:06
[SPEAKER_00]: to do with the fact that Herbert was just slaying from all over the field, connecting Quentin Johnson on deep touchdowns, connecting with all these receivers on touchdowns from 30, 40, 70 yards out, which obviously does not allow for goal-line opportunities to happen.
11:18
[SPEAKER_00]: So if they end up going in that direction where Johnson connects for a deep touchdown, lad breaks free for a deep touchdown, then it's going to be hard for these guys to end up getting into the end zone.
11:27
[SPEAKER_00]: So ultimately, yeah, I don't feel great about them because we don't know the role of them.
11:31
[SPEAKER_00]: But I do think with these situations like week one, the coaching staff probably just goes with the guy that they have the most trust in.
11:37
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think for right now, it's probably haskins.
11:39
[SPEAKER_00]: Maybe the doll makes a big player to and then going forward, you have that role reversal happen.
11:44
[SPEAKER_00]: But for right now, I do think they're just going to lean on the guy that they trust a bit more.
11:47
[SPEAKER_00]: And I would project haskins.
11:49
[SPEAKER_00]: I have more touches than the doll on this one.
11:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got the Rams at Baltimore.
11:53
[SPEAKER_00]: So the Rams are seven and a half point favorites.
11:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Baltimore is obviously just decimated on both sides of the ball right now.
12:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't know if Lamar is going to play.
12:02
[SPEAKER_00]: Apparently there's some reports that he's trying to battle back for it, but they have the buy next week.
12:05
[SPEAKER_00]: So again, it's probably more of a long shot and they will likely rest him through the buy and be good on the other side of it.
12:11
[SPEAKER_00]: The more pressing issue is their defensive side of things.
12:14
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, we don't practice reports yet for this game, but last week, they were missing Kyle Hammett's in Rokon Smith, Marlon Humphrey, Metabekay, like their entire defense was just cooked Johnstein.
12:24
[SPEAKER_00]: So nothing that they were able to stop.
12:26
[SPEAKER_00]: So Kiron Williams, of course, just goes right into the Mustard category.
12:29
[SPEAKER_00]: I think based on gamescript, I think based on how many touches the backfield might get, I'm not going to say Blake Horms is shaky flex on us, I don't want to start him at all, but he's on the spectrum.
12:39
[SPEAKER_00]: The other side of the matchup gets difficult, because you have Derek Henry who's been pretty disappointing, following the first week or two of the fantasy season, hasn't had many explosive plays.
12:47
[SPEAKER_00]: This offense is obviously the bigger problem right now.
12:49
[SPEAKER_00]: Last week, they ran 40 plays, okay?
12:52
[SPEAKER_00]: They ran 40 plays, which is not something we're going to
12:57
[SPEAKER_00]: you're not going to be able to have success.
12:59
[SPEAKER_00]: Most teams run somewhere from, you know, 56 to 62 plays in a given game.
13:04
[SPEAKER_00]: So we should see an increase of 15 or so plays for them.
13:07
[SPEAKER_00]: If Lamar ends up playing obviously Derek Henry goes into the Mustard category, I still think, you know, you just have to start Derek Henry unfortunately.
13:14
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go into the feels good category.
13:15
[SPEAKER_00]: He won't be a Mustard for me, though.
13:17
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, maybe some of you guys drafted Javante Williams and got Quinchon Jenkins late and then you already had one of these stud running backs, there's a world where you have three two running backs that you're starting over Derek Henry and I really wouldn't blame you for that because one, the Rams are a very good defense to the state of the Ravens right now in terms of the game script for this one.
13:34
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, Stafford, if you want, if they go past heavy, Stafford could put up 14, 21 points within the first, you know, 18, 20 minutes of the game.
13:40
[SPEAKER_00]: if they're secondary is still depleted here.
13:42
[SPEAKER_00]: And if that's the game script, Derek Henry could end up with 10 carries in this one.
13:45
[SPEAKER_00]: And that's going to be a problem, obviously.
13:48
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving to New England at New Orleans, we have the Saints as 3.00 dogs at home.
13:54
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 45.5 point total Drake may is playing really well right now.
13:58
[SPEAKER_00]: The Saints coming off of their first win.
14:00
[SPEAKER_00]: Yeah, I mean, I don't really know what to do with Alvin Kumar right now.
14:02
[SPEAKER_00]: I want to put him in the Doug Flex category, but realistically, he's not getting
14:06
[SPEAKER_00]: getting enough work and Kendra Miller is eating more and more into his workload especially the rushing side of things.
14:11
[SPEAKER_00]: I tweeted this out yesterday, if you're not following me on Twitter, obviously go do so at Nick Urkologno.
14:16
[SPEAKER_00]: Alvin Kamara has scored two touchdowns over his last 13 games, and the other issue with the Saints right now is Kendra Miller got more carries than Kamara did last game.
14:28
[SPEAKER_00]: Taseam Hills return.
14:29
[SPEAKER_00]: People aren't really talking about it because the production was terrible, but he got six carries.
14:36
[SPEAKER_00]: I have absolutely no idea who's getting the goal line touches.
14:39
[SPEAKER_00]: It might be Kendra.
14:40
[SPEAKER_00]: It might be Jason Hill.
14:41
[SPEAKER_00]: It might be Kamara.
14:42
[SPEAKER_00]: So for me, right now, man.
14:43
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, also the way that the New England defense is starting to shape up.
14:46
[SPEAKER_00]: Like getting Christian and Zales back there, run defense is already been really, really good.
14:50
[SPEAKER_00]: As you can see, 28th and fantasy points per game allowed to the running back position, you know, bottom three matchup for running back in terms of EPA pressure allowed.
14:58
[SPEAKER_00]: I think you got to put Kamara.
14:59
[SPEAKER_00]: at the top of the shaky flex category, but there are a lot of players I would probably rather play over him.
15:04
[SPEAKER_00]: I think Kendra is kind of in the same mode.
15:05
[SPEAKER_00]: Like last week is exactly what I think you're going to be able to expect from Kendra more often than not.
15:10
[SPEAKER_00]: He doesn't get a scoring opportunity.
15:11
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to go and see 10 11 12 touches and probably have 55 to 60 yards, which is not great for your lineup, obviously.
15:19
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, we got Remandre, who fumbled again.
15:22
[SPEAKER_00]: Here's the reality of the situation.
15:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Trayvon Henderson's not going to be a full-time player.
15:26
[SPEAKER_00]: Antonio Gibson, though, is now out for the year with the Torn ACL, which raises the floor of Remandre and Trayvon Henderson, of course.
15:33
[SPEAKER_00]: I just don't think they're going to bench Remandre any time soon.
15:36
[SPEAKER_00]: I just think his skill set just works really well for this offense.
15:40
[SPEAKER_00]: And to be honest with you, I feel good about Remandre this week.
15:44
[SPEAKER_00]: actually think he's probably going to have 15 touches and I think in a matchup versus the Saints defense.
15:49
[SPEAKER_00]: I feel pretty damn good about it.
15:50
[SPEAKER_00]: Trayvon Henderson, I am less enthused about it.
15:53
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a good matchup again for the Saints and he could always explode for a touch any given any given week.
15:59
[SPEAKER_00]: And I do think the volume floor now raises pretty significantly based on the fact that Gibson is out.
16:04
[SPEAKER_00]: So maybe those five or seven touches that Gibson was getting.
16:06
[SPEAKER_00]: split between Remondrain and Traveon, and now he's touch floors around 10 touches, 11 touches a game.
16:12
[SPEAKER_00]: So I feel okay about him.
16:14
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not going to say he's a dope flex until he really proves that he can be in that category.
16:17
[SPEAKER_00]: He's definitely at the very, very top of this tier here, shaky flex.
16:20
[SPEAKER_00]: You could do worse, but you could also do better there.
16:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Next game, we got Seattle at Jacksonville.
16:25
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a one and a half point favorite game for Jacksonville.
16:29
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a 46 and a half point total here.
16:33
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a really, really tough Seattle run defense to succeed again.
16:37
[SPEAKER_00]: We saw her shot white get home because he scored some goal line touchdowns, but had a lot of trouble running the ball.
16:42
[SPEAKER_00]: I think that's going to be the same case with Travis CTN.
16:44
[SPEAKER_00]: He's played okay and tough matchups like we saw against the chiefs on Monday night.
16:47
[SPEAKER_00]: He's fine.
16:48
[SPEAKER_00]: He's still there guy.
16:49
[SPEAKER_00]: So I still think, you know, he definitely deserves to be in your lineup.
16:51
[SPEAKER_00]: two and it's not really touching the ball.
16:52
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's a rather not for me on the flip side.
16:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Again, I think I encapsulated this in a tweet I put out two days ago.
16:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Every single week Kenneth Walker is going to put together the most impressive 10 for 90 in zero touchdown stat line you've ever seen and Zach Sharberna is going to put together the least impressive 10 for 40 and a touchdown line you have ever seen.
17:11
[SPEAKER_00]: So with that being said, if a touchdown breaks in the right way for Kenneth Walker, he's going to have a big game.
17:17
[SPEAKER_00]: If it doesn't, he's going to be okay and probably be a decent flex for you.
17:20
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm going to put Kenneth Walker in the dub flex category.
17:23
[SPEAKER_00]: Charbon A is going to go into the shaky flex category.
17:25
[SPEAKER_00]: I know he continues to score touchdowns.
17:26
[SPEAKER_00]: The problem is if he doesn't get the touchdown, his floor is so low.
17:29
[SPEAKER_00]: He's a guy who's going to put you up for fantasy points if he doesn't get there.
17:32
[SPEAKER_00]: So he'll continue to be in the shaky flex category for me, unless one of them gets hurt.
17:37
[SPEAKER_00]: Next up, we got Tennessee at Las Vegas, all right?
17:41
[SPEAKER_00]: The Raiders are four and a half point favorites in this one.
17:43
[SPEAKER_00]: 41 and a half point total.
17:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Vegas loves Jenty this week.
17:47
[SPEAKER_00]: 72 and a half rushing yards.
17:48
[SPEAKER_00]: 17 and a half receiving yards.
17:49
[SPEAKER_00]: Anytime touchdown prop of minus 150, I just don't see how you would ever sit Jenty in this type of matchup versus Tennessee.
17:56
[SPEAKER_00]: You could see green across the board here.
17:58
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side things are a little bit tricky because Tajaj Spears returned and we expect him to continue to get a little bit more and more work as each week passes by Tony Pollard sells a very high workload volume floor, but we're going to expect him to start losing a little bit more the passing game.
18:13
[SPEAKER_00]: in this offense.
18:14
[SPEAKER_00]: It's a pretty good match against the Raiders.
18:16
[SPEAKER_00]: I think on a weekly basis, as you can see, as any time touchdown number is plus one 10, he's like a coin-ish flipped score touchdown.
18:23
[SPEAKER_00]: So ultimately, I still think I put Tony Pollard in the dub flex category, Tajaj Spears.
18:28
[SPEAKER_00]: He's in the rather nod until we see his workload actually increased, but Pollard's, you know, teetering between these two tears, dub flex and shaky flex for me.
18:35
[SPEAKER_00]: Cincinnati at Green Bay, Green Bay, two touchdown favorites here at home versus the atrocious Cincinnati Bengals right now, 44 and a half points total.
18:44
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, we said Javante's carry line was probably at 21 and a half Jacob's might be at 40 and a half.
18:49
[SPEAKER_00]: He goes right into the most star category coming off of the buy, well rested against a terrible run defense.
18:54
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, we haven't talked about Joe Flacco coming to the bankals.
18:58
[SPEAKER_00]: So what do I think it means?
18:59
[SPEAKER_00]: I think there are a lot of people that are trying to be too smart and be too cool and be like, Joe Flacco playing behind a bad offensive line.
19:06
[SPEAKER_00]: It's going to be the more of the same as every other landing spot that he's been in.
19:10
[SPEAKER_00]: Guys, it can't get worse in Jake Browning.
19:12
[SPEAKER_00]: Like Jake Browning is a little bit played the worst three, four week stretch of football that we've seen from a quarterback in a very, very long time they couldn't get first down.
19:20
[SPEAKER_00]: Like every time they got a first down, it was like a miracle for that offense, all you need is a QB that could put the ball in the vicinity of Jamar Chase and T. Higgins and Jake Browning was unable to do that.
19:30
[SPEAKER_00]: So this is of course an upgrade.
19:33
[SPEAKER_00]: The way I would order it in terms of like who it impacts the most.
19:36
[SPEAKER_00]: I think everyone gets a little bit of a higher floor.
19:38
[SPEAKER_00]: We already knew Chase's ceiling was wide receiver one on the week.
19:41
[SPEAKER_00]: We saw it last week with Browning.
19:42
[SPEAKER_00]: We saw it earlier on in the season with borrow.
19:44
[SPEAKER_00]: That's almost like quarterback irrelevant.
19:46
[SPEAKER_00]: I think the biggest winner by far is T Higgins.
19:48
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, T Higgins was liable to put up like zero to two fantasy points every single week with Jake Browning at quarterback.
19:54
[SPEAKER_00]: I think this allows him to have a legitimate floor going forward for Chase Brown.
19:58
[SPEAKER_00]: I mean, he's just doing nothing efficiently right now.
20:01
[SPEAKER_00]: He is getting some check downs from Jake Browning.
20:04
[SPEAKER_00]: And I expect that to continue with Joe Flacco, who's a guy that loves to check down to his running backs.
20:08
[SPEAKER_00]: And I think
20:09
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a much better situation for Flacco in terms of fantasy and padding stats because Cleveland had a great defense, you know?
20:15
[SPEAKER_00]: So it wasn't like they always needed him to throw the ball a lot, didn't need him to throw the ball downfield.
20:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Since then, that is going to allow 21-28-35-40 points per game going forward.
20:24
[SPEAKER_00]: So I like this for Flacco stats.
20:26
[SPEAKER_00]: Do I like ever chase brown?
20:27
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he's a little bit better now.
20:29
[SPEAKER_00]: The matchup again is really tough.
20:30
[SPEAKER_00]: It does open up though.
20:31
[SPEAKER_00]: Like down the stretch, the matchups get way, way easier for Cincinnati.
20:35
[SPEAKER_00]: This was always going to be a really tough stretch for Jake Browning and the Bengals offense.
20:40
[SPEAKER_00]: Chase Brown though has not topped 71 total yards in a game yet.
20:45
[SPEAKER_00]: So at this point, yeah, he's going to be in the shaky Flex category for me.
20:49
[SPEAKER_00]: He's a guy that, you know, we can project for 12, maybe more touches, but ultimately, yeah,
20:56
[SPEAKER_00]: San Francisco at Tampa Bay, San Francisco is three point underdogs, 47 and a half point total.
21:04
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't have a lot of line yet because we don't know the wider receiver situation.
21:07
[SPEAKER_00]: We don't know the quarterback situation.
21:08
[SPEAKER_00]: If I had to guess, I think Matt Jones probably gets another start in this one if not.
21:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Two more starts with Brock pretty re-induring that turf toe.
21:14
[SPEAKER_00]: Joanne Jennings Ricky pure soul.
21:15
[SPEAKER_00]: If I had to guess, I think at least one of them suits up.
21:18
[SPEAKER_00]: Most I
21:19
[SPEAKER_00]: would rank you at Joanne Jennings and then Ricky Peer saw, but I think there's a good chance both of them are back in this one.
21:25
[SPEAKER_00]: That actually doesn't matter at all for this video, because Christian McCaffrey, of course, is a must start.
21:29
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side of things, Bucky Irving is going to miss this game, so we're shot white.
21:32
[SPEAKER_00]: You know, we get home for fantasy last week, very, very tough match.
21:35
[SPEAKER_00]: We can see Addle, but gets into the end zone.
21:36
[SPEAKER_00]: I think we're going to see a lot more of
21:37
[SPEAKER_00]: That again, tough matchups against San Francisco, who's one of the better defenses all around in the NFL, but he's going to get a featured workload.
21:44
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to catch dump offs from Baker Mayfield.
21:45
[SPEAKER_00]: He's going to get a lot of carries.
21:46
[SPEAKER_00]: If they get by the goal line, he will be that back as well.
21:48
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's definitely in this tier.
21:50
[SPEAKER_00]: If not near the top of it.
21:51
[SPEAKER_00]: Sunday night football.
21:52
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got a fucking phenomenal game here.
21:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Detroit at Kansas City, Detroit two and a half points underdogs.
21:59
[SPEAKER_00]: 52 and a half point total in this one.
22:02
[SPEAKER_00]: You just want pieces.
22:06
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm skeptical about David Montgomery.
22:08
[SPEAKER_00]: I'm not going to lie to you, but he's definitely going to go into the dub flex category.
22:11
[SPEAKER_00]: It just feels like his game.
22:12
[SPEAKER_00]: His good games are very predictable.
22:13
[SPEAKER_00]: His bad games are very predictable as well.
22:15
[SPEAKER_00]: Like they just have clear game scripts of how they wanted to go that being said.
22:19
[SPEAKER_00]: The chiefs here, number three in EPA per rush allowed.
22:22
[SPEAKER_00]: So sneaky, not as good of a run defense this year as most people probably think that they are.
22:27
[SPEAKER_00]: Overall, I think Demont's fine.
22:28
[SPEAKER_00]: He's kind of a low floor.
22:30
[SPEAKER_00]: He has had games where he's been a very low floor player.
22:32
[SPEAKER_00]: And I wouldn't be totally surprised if we saw that.
22:35
[SPEAKER_00]: But he's always liable to score a touchdown, of course.
22:37
[SPEAKER_00]: On the flip side, cream hunting and Isaiah Pacheco are kind of like a bad version of Seattle, where it's like you know both of them are probably going to get 10 touches and you're just kind of figuring out who's going to score.
22:45
[SPEAKER_00]: or the touchdown.
22:47
[SPEAKER_00]: Unfortunately for Isaiah Pacheco, who is pretty much unplayable at this point, same thing with Perchard Smith until we actually see an increase in the workload.
22:53
[SPEAKER_00]: I will say with Perchard Smith, every time he's on the field, they are targeting him.
22:58
[SPEAKER_00]: He doesn't play a lot of snaps right now, and they're using him inside the red zone and inside the 10 yard line, and I'm definitely not playing him in fantasy, but if I were you, I would suggest hitting Perchard Smith's any time touchdown line.
23:09
[SPEAKER_00]: in each of the next two weeks.
23:11
[SPEAKER_00]: I think he scores a touchdown in one of the next two weeks.
23:14
[SPEAKER_00]: So he's plus 370 right now, which means if you play that in two weeks in a row, any hits, that's profitable.
23:19
[SPEAKER_00]: Cream hunt on the other hand is actually tied amongst running backs, top seven in terms of carries inside the five yard line.
23:26
[SPEAKER_00]: So we know who the goal line back is.
23:28
[SPEAKER_00]: We know who the short yardage back is.
23:30
[SPEAKER_00]: And if this is going to be a good and improving offense, and both
23:36
[SPEAKER_00]: At this point, you're just going to take the guy who's going to be on the goal line when they get down there.
23:40
[SPEAKER_00]: So, I don't want to start cream hunt, but if I'm choosing between hunting, but check out to me, it's pretty clearly hunting.
23:44
[SPEAKER_00]: Moving on to the double header of Monday, not football.
23:47
[SPEAKER_00]: We've got Buffalo at Atlanta at Atlanta, four and a half point underdogs, 49 and a half point total.
23:52
[SPEAKER_00]: And this one, of course, B. John's going to be a mustard.
23:54
[SPEAKER_00]: Of course, James Cook is going to be a mustard.
23:56
[SPEAKER_00]: Tyler out of the year, people are going to get cute with it.
23:58
[SPEAKER_00]: For me, he's barely a shaky flex.
24:00
[SPEAKER_00]: That's pretty straightforward here in that one.
24:03
[SPEAKER_00]: Chicago at Washington is the next Monday night game, starting an hour later.
24:08
[SPEAKER_00]: In the original game, we've got Chicago is four and a half point underdogs at Washington.
24:13
[SPEAKER_00]: another 50 and a half point total.
24:14
[SPEAKER_00]: So we've got some big games expected from these guys.
24:16
[SPEAKER_00]: This is a bit of a fun one to talk through because we've got the Andre Swift to everybody hates and everybody thinks is the worst running back of all time.
24:23
[SPEAKER_00]: I will let you know that through five weeks of the season he is averaging more fantasy points per game than he did last year when he was a 1300 yard running back and the previous year when he played in Philadelphia.
24:34
[SPEAKER_00]: So his fantasy points per game have been better this year than each of the last two years.
24:37
[SPEAKER_00]: And while everybody thinks Kalmanunga is like the savior of this fucking team, and everybody loves to cite the fact that Dianjrey Swift's EPA Perrush is bad, and his rushing yards over expected are bad.
24:48
[SPEAKER_00]: They're still better than Kalmanunga.
24:50
[SPEAKER_00]: So he is not the savior here.
24:51
[SPEAKER_00]: I am interested to see what changes the bear's mate coming out of the buy, because they're a very rookie heavy team.
24:58
[SPEAKER_00]: Like, I don't think Kalmanunga is good, but he's still getting a lot more work than almost any other day three running back pick.
25:04
[SPEAKER_00]: Like he's a clear part of their offense.
25:06
[SPEAKER_00]: You have Luther burden and colson lovelin top 40 top 10 picks here coming out of the buy.
25:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Do we see them entrenched more into the offense?
25:13
[SPEAKER_00]: So we could see changes in the Chicago offense.
25:17
[SPEAKER_00]: I don't think it's going to come to the backfield though.
25:19
[SPEAKER_00]: So for me, DeAndre Soips going to be a dub flex.
25:21
[SPEAKER_00]: Feel fine playing him.
25:23
[SPEAKER_00]: The flip side of the balls where things get really, really interesting.
25:25
[SPEAKER_00]: We have to quarry, crosskey, morette.
25:26
[SPEAKER_00]: who had his breakout game last week went crazy 150 from skirmidge touchdowns, playing really well and you have perfect storm here where playing against the bears, one of the worst run defenses in the NFL.
25:36
[SPEAKER_00]: I kind of look at him similarly to Michael Carter in terms of what I expect like workload wise.
25:41
[SPEAKER_00]: But the matchup is fantastic.
25:43
[SPEAKER_00]: Last week's breakout game did not really feel fluky.
25:46
[SPEAKER_00]: The other games that they played up to this year, everybody's been getting like eight touches.
25:50
[SPEAKER_00]: And someone scores a touchdown or someone has a breakaway play.
25:53
[SPEAKER_00]: Jacorey Kroskemeret kind of dominated the backfield in terms of snaps and terms of touches.
25:57
[SPEAKER_00]: And continuously made big plays.
26:00
[SPEAKER_00]: That felt like the week that the breakout was real, cemented and solidified.
26:04
[SPEAKER_00]: I love the matchup, especially with Jayden Dangles back.
26:06
[SPEAKER_00]: The holes are going to be big in the offensive line.
26:08
[SPEAKER_00]: Jacorey Kroskemeret get him into your fucking line-ups.
26:11
[SPEAKER_00]: So I'm in.
26:11
[SPEAKER_00]: Everybody else in this game is a is a rather not for me.
26:15
[SPEAKER_00]: And that's going to wrap up the running back preview for week six.
26:19
[SPEAKER_00]: As always, if you want my full rankings exactly how these guys stack up order flex running back wide receiver, all that kind of stuff, that is available in the big dog membership BDE.co that's where you can sign up or the cheapest way if you want it.
26:33
[SPEAKER_00]: free for three months.
26:34
[SPEAKER_00]: You can go to our partner, MGM, their app, their website, use code BDE if you're a first time deposit or $10 or more play any slip on that website and they're going to hit you with a promo code in their app and their little message system that you can use on our website, BDE.co to get our big dog membership free for the next three months, so basically the remainder of the season.
26:54
[SPEAKER_00]: So I should also note the two teams on buying weeks six, Houston and Minnesota.
26:58
[SPEAKER_00]: So you've got no Nick Chub, you've got no Woody Marx, you've got no Jordan.
27:01
[SPEAKER_00]: Mason, that probably should have been addressed at the beginning of the video, you guys play fantasy, you see the big buy next to the players in your lineups.
27:09
[SPEAKER_00]: Don't start guys that are on bio, okay?
27:10
[SPEAKER_00]: That's a pretty good piece of fantasy advice if I can give you any throughout the video.
27:14
[SPEAKER_00]: If you enjoyed the video, make sure you hit the button that looks like this.
27:17
[SPEAKER_00]: That is the finale of the week six running back preview.
27:20
[SPEAKER_00]: As always, we'll do the same exact thing for wider receivers tomorrow.
27:23
[SPEAKER_00]: So make sure you are subscribed.
27:24
[SPEAKER_00]: If you want to see that video, all right, I love y'all,