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Episode 492 - 4/15/26 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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  54321 All systems Go with Josh Applebaum starts now.
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  Hello and. Welcome to episode 492 of The
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  All. Systems Go sports betting
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  podcast powered by Rhythm. I'm your host, Josh.
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  Applebaum. What's going on?
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  Everyone happy? Wednesday, it's officially hump
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  day. Guys, that means we are halfway
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  through our work week. We.
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  Got more Major League Baseball? On tap for today so we're.
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  Going to keep. Grinding MLB, but now we are one
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  day closer to the weekend. One day closer to the.
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  NFL draft. That's right.
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  Each day we're ramping up. More and more, we're now a week
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  from tomorrow in terms of the draft coming up here on Thursday
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  the 23rd, and we talked. Earlier in the week about
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  screenshotting the odds. Odds across various sports books
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  and basically having a point of reference to see how lines are
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  moving and again want to mention.
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  This I want to keep. Updating just little tidbits.
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  You know, each day as we get closer.
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  It's really going to ramp up next week.
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  When we get to the official week of the draft.
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  But these lines can really move. So I'm going to give you an
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  example of just some observations what I'm seeing
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  across the market. We're also getting a lot of big
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  final NFL mock drafts. Coming out so Dane Bruegler.
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  Was very, very highly respected. He put out his latest mock draft
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  today. Mel Kiper put out another mock
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  draft. I like Pete.
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  Schrager too. He's.
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  Kind of become very popular in recent years as well as.
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  Who is it? Todd Mcshay, there's.
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  A lot of people. That I respect and I want to get
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  their Intel. The whole idea here is these
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  latest mock drafts closest to. The NFL draft official day.
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  Typically they get stronger and stronger and more accurate.
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  Because these guys are tied. In they're dialed in, they're
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  hearing from these different general managers and, you know,
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  staff people leaking out information.
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  So it's really important to. See kind of how these.
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  Mock drafts are are kind of adjusting late and again, it's
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  kind of like late movement coming in on a game.
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  But just a couple of. Observations here, you know, I'm
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  looking at obviously, you know, screenshotting the DraftKings
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  odds from Monday and now it's two days later.
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  So one big difference that I've noticed in terms of #1 pick,
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  nothing has changed here. It's going to be Mendoza.
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  He's -20,000. But the number two pick.
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  You know what's going to happen with The Jets pick number. 2
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  David Bailey's -160 Arville Reese's.
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  Plus 1/20. These guys have flip.
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  Flopped back and forth and if you look at.
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  Some of these. Latest mock drafts, they
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  actually have Arville Reese going second so well, the first
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  pick again, no value here because.
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  It's such a huge. Number.
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  It's a fait accompli. But it's too high to.
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  Bet. Keep an eye on #2 do we see?
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  Arville Reese flip back to. A favorite because those.
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  Two guys are pretty much. Head to head here the other.
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  Angle that I want to look at is just.
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  Not being tied into these these bets too early because you'll
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  see a lot of. Movement and a lot of change.
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  And I'll give you an example here, guys, back on Monday,
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  Caleb Downs, who is an incredible safety from Ohio
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  State, he's probably going to be the first.
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  Safety off the board, but if you go.
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  Back to Monday. His over under draft.
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  Position was 9 1/2. But the over was -265.
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  So that meant that there was a a big.
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  Price you had to pay and he was most likely going to go. 10 or
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  higher. Well, I just went to DraftKings
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  today, guys. Caleb Downs is 9.
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  And a half same position but now under -185.
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  South just goes to show you. 48 hours from Monday to Wednesday,
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  you just saw a massive. Juice shift.
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  From going over 9 1/2 to now under 9 1/2.
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  So you know, again, I'm someone who is not afraid of laying
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  minus numbers. But sometimes when you get these
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  minus numbers a little bit too early, you can really see a big
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  flip like you would hate to be holding Caleb.
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  Downs from Monday over 9 1/2. -265 now it's flipped to -185
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  under. And the over 9 1/2 is now plus
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  one. 40 So these lines can. Really, really move the other
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  angle that I'm looking at. Would be.
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  First player selected at various positions.
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  So first quarterback, he'll be Mendoza, but you know, first
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  running back, probably Jeremiah Love, you know, first offensive
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  lineman, yadda, yadda, yadda. I did notice here.
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  Another thing I like to do when it comes to NFL draft is playing
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  different sports. Books off of each other.
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  Because again, you might have, you know, the similar, you know,
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  this guy's favorite, this guy's second massage, yadda yadda.
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  But you could see vastly different prices.
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  So one thing that I noticed is when it comes.
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  To the first. Selected positions for offensive
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  lineman Francis Maui, Goa, who Dane Bruegler has I think going
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  third overall to where is it, Arizona?
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  He is -250 to be the first. Offensive lineman selected at at
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  DraftKings, but at. FanDuel he's -170 to be the
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  first. Offensive lineman selected, so
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  both DraftKings and FanDuel have.
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  Maui Yoga as the first. Offensive lineman selected.
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  But one's -250. One's -170 guys, I was tempted.
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  Quite a bit to take. Maui Goa -170 at FanDuel, you
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  know, in a vacuum, it's like -1. 70 Kind of a juicy.
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  Prop to bet, but again, DraftKings and other books got a
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  -, 250 -, 300, so I haven't officially bet that.
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  But that's another example of trying to play different books
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  off of each other and just try to get the best number.
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  The other thing I noticed is when my favorite draft Brett
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  bats. Is the head to head, so
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  basically which guy will be selected before?
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  The other guy I've been looking for this market and it just
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  popped up today on DraftKings. I think there's some value here.
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  For example, who will be the first player selected?
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  Makai Lemon the Wide. Receiver from USC or Kenyan
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  Sadiq, the big tight. End there from Oregon, while
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  Lemon is -175 Sadiq is plus 130 Kaden Proctor, big guy from Bama
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  lineman -120 Monroe Freeling from Georgia -110 so again,
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  Reuben Bain, even though he's got short arms and looks.
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  Like he was in a. Driving a car when someone was
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  killed. I don't know if you read that
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  story, but he's -1. 20 to be selected before Mansor Delaine.
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  Who's -110. So I.
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  Like to look at some of these head to heads because you can
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  play different mock drafts off of each other and you can.
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  Also. Compare the guys over under.
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  So if it's like a. -110 both sides, but one guys got an over
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  under of, you know, 24 1/2. The other guys got an over under
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  of 17 1/2. Might want to go that -110 on
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  the 17 1/2 because he's theoretically expected to go
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  prior. So again, no official bets for
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  me. I, I can tell you guys I could,
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  I want to get down on a lot of these right now.
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  But what I've learned betting NFL drafts for years and years
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  at this point, it kind of pays to wait a little bit.
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  And I'll give you a perfect example.
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  I'll never forget this one. This was, I don't even know,
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  three or four years ago at this point, but the NBA Draft, I'll
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  never forget that. Who is it?
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  He is on man. I forget.
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  Well, I know it's Paolo Banqueiro.
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  The magic had the number one pick.
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  And it was the guy. From the Houston Rockets.
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  Who was basically expected. To be the number one overall
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  pick for quite a while and I got to find his name because I it
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  just drives me nuts. Here the what this.
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  Happened. I'll never forget this.
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  Taught me a. Really, really good lesson.
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  About how to be patient. But it was Jabari Smith junior.
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  That's what I was thinking of. Jabari Smith, junior throughout
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  the entire process was a favorite to go first overall.
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  And then on the day of the draft, the number flipped and it
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  went to Bank arrow. So like, Jabari Smith was like
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  -200 -, 300 favorite pretty much the entire process, and then on
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  the last day before the draft. He became.
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  A dog and bank. Carroll flipped to like -200 -,
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  300 Why is that important? Probably news leaked out.
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  Somebody said something got picked.
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  Up and leaked to the. The betters and the market
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  moved. So it just goes to show you what
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  what. Looks like a lock, quote UN
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  quote, like Mendoza's going to go on a raw that's as close to a
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  lock as you're going to get. But some of these other bets,
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  they might look obvious now. They could really change.
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  The day of the draft, so just remember.
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  You know, be patient. Try to wait out these moves and
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  again, if you can get a like if you're betting any props now,
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  you're probably only betting plus money props like big, you
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  know, plus 200 + 500 + 1000 with the point of mindset of just
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  let's try to get a good number. But if you're betting any
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  minuses or looking at these, head to heads to me.
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  Wait it out. Let's look for that late
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  movement, but just some updates. There when it comes to the NFL
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  draft. With that being said, let's get
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  right. Back to Major League Baseball
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  today because you got a. Huge slate on a big hump day.
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  With 15 games. Overall, and I got a three pack
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  for you, a three pack of favorites and they're all very,
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  very short, like -110 -, 115. So of course going to try to go
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  2 and 1 eke out a winning day. Now looking back to our last
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  night guys. That's exactly what we did.
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  Second straight winning day to start the.
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  Week and love to see it. 2 and 1 + 0.7 units.
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  Had a amazing hit with the. Atlanta Braves, because the
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  Atlanta Braves played them two nights ago and they let us down,
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  played them last night. They get down.
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  I think it was 4, nothing. They were down 6 to I think six
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  to three or five to three in the bottom of the eighth.
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  They. They loaded the bases.
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  And Dom Smith. Dominic Smith, who I was reading
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  after the game. Signed a.
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  One year minor league contract for. 1.25 million.
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  Dollars. Well, he comes up to the plate.
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  Bases loaded down by two in ropes in oppo bases clearing
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  double to give the the Braves a six to five win luckily.
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  Who was at their? Closer came in there Iglesias
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  and and slammed the door. But shout out to our guy Dom
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  Smith. Huge, huge hit to give.
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  Us a winner with the Braves also got the pods late night.
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  Remember the Padres very sharp reverse line move like plus 110
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  down to plus one O 5 + 100. They got it done, winning 4 to
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  one against San Diego. And only loss was the.
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  Orioles. And that was frustrating because
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  the Orioles end up losing that game four to three, but they're
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  up two to nothing early and they could have gone up 3 nothing but
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  idiot Jackson got picked off of third base.
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  I think it was no outs or one out.
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  Maybe nobody was out, but again, SAC fly I think it was.
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  Who was it? Maybe Alonzo?
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  Up was it bat but. Those are the little plays
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  where. And if you get.
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  Picked off. It's 2, nothing and stays close.
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  And then Arizona came back, scored and hit a Homer and
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  basically, you know, held on there.
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  He doesn't get picked off. It's 3 nothing.
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  It's a different. Ball game, maybe we win that
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  one. So kind of annoying with the
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  Orioles. But again, if you bet baseball
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  long enough, you know how volatile and hard it is.
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  So we'll take a 2 and 1 + 0.7 unit night any night of the
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  week. So as always, guys, when you're
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  betting, whatever sport you're betting on, you have two
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  straight winning days. The The challenge today is to
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  have a third straight winning day.
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  If you have two straight losing days, challenge is to.
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  Try to get back in the green and have a winning day.
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  So luckily for us, we're in the the challenge that, I don't
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  know, it's a little bit more appealing.
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  To try to keep a winning streak going.
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  But anyway, 3 pack overall, let's dive right in. 1st but on
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  the board for me. This is a 7:40 PM Eastern Time
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  first pitch. Let's go to the South Side of
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  Chicago, where the Tampa Bay Rays are visiting the Chicago
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  White Sox. Now let's.
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  Set the stage. Talk splits.
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  Line movement system matches, sharp mush edges, juice reel and
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  rhythm. And I'll give you my play for
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  this one. So going into it, we got the
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  Rays who are 9 and seven. They won the series opener last
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  night. 8 to 5 came through as a -, 135 road favorite.
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  The rematch for tonight. The Rays are going to go with
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  the righty Jesse Scholten's. He's O&O with an ERA.
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  Of 0.00 White Sox, meanwhile, who are 6 and 11, they're going
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  to go with. The righty Sean Burke.
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  He is O. And one with a 3.6 O ERA.
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  So what we've seen across the board here this game.
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  Open with Tampa Bay listed. As a very short. -110 -, 115
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  road favorite white socks around and even money -105 + 100 dog
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  and. What have we seen across the
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  board? Well, nothing.
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  Huge, but a little. Bit of movement toward.
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  Tampa Bay. Because we've seen Tampa Bay
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  move here a little bit. The Rays opened again around
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  -110 -, 115 Some shops now a little bit higher, closer to
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  -120 so. Again, not a huge massive.
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  Steam move, but the line is inching up toward Tampa Bay now
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  if we look. At the bet splits.
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  For this matchup, look pretty good in favor of the Rays,
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  especially at circa out at circa 70% money line bets, 94% of
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  money line dollars are coming in on the Rays.
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  So that tells us that out in Vegas you got a big majority low
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  bets, higher dollars, smart money going with the.
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  Tampa Bay Rays. To get a winner here and take
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  the second game of the series. Now I always like to mention
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  this. Just to track.
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  To see if it wins or not. But if you look at.
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  How the run line here? Seeing a lot of action on the
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  Rays run line -1 1/2 + 145. Only 4048.
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  Percent of spread bets, but 73% of spread dollars on on the run
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  line. Here, going for Tampa Bay to win
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  by two or more. Now Tampa Bay, aside from a
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  little bit of line movement. As well as a really good bet
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  split out in. Vegas they also have some
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  correlative betting value so favorite low total told this one
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  is sitting at around 8. So again, for your amount of
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  expected run scored more likely to come from.
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  Quote UN quote that better team and non division.
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  Favorite Lack of familiarity also benefiting.
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  Quote UN quote the better team. Now hopefully.
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  Sholton's pitch as. Well, and we can get to Burke
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  tonight. But I'm also going to bank on
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  the Rays bats hopefully coming to play because Tampa Bay.
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  Is hitting 266 on the year with a 330. 6 on base percentage
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  they've. Scored 78 runs.
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  White Sox are. Only hitting $1.90.
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  One below the Mendoza Line. With a 280 on.
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  Base percentage and only 54 runs scored.
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  Lastly. We got 2.
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  Righties here on the bump. Tampa Bay has hit righties.
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  Far better they're. Hitting 269 against righties
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  this year. That is fifth best in baseball.
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  Chicago is hitting. Only $1.92.
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  Against righties, that ranks 30th in baseball.
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  And guess how many teams are in MLB 30?
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  Teams. That means the White Sox are
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  dead last in baseball against righties.
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  So. Little bit of line movement,
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  good splits. We got got the better bats, some
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  correlative betting, some non division favorite value as well
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  and oh by the way, popped open juice reel and noticed an 11%
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  sharp mush edge in favor of the Tampa Bay Rays.
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  So 11% more of the sharper winning batters are also going
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  with the rays in the spot. So I'm going to go Tampa Bay
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  guys can see we can catch a short number here with the rays
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  shop round. I got the rays at. -115.
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  That was available at Fanatics, but again, keep an eye out
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  because some books are a little bit.
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  Closer here to. Around -120 So let's go raise
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  next one for you. Let's look toward a couple.
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  Late night matchups here, Texas Rangers visiting the Athletics,
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  and it's always funny. I write sharp reports for
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  vison.com. I can't say Oakland Athletics
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  because they're not the Oakland A's, they're not the Vegas A's.
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  They're technically the Sacramento.
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  A's. Let's see if the the A's can
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  come through tonight. So this is the third game of A
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  Four. Game set The Rangers come in
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  nine and eight on the. Year they took the.
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  Opener 8 to 1 as a -. 125 road favorite.
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  Then we saw the A's, who are also.
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  Nine and eight come back with a 2 to one win yesterday, coming
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  through as a + 110 home dog. So what we've seen across the
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  board, well, first. Let's talk about the pitching
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  match up here. The Rangers are going.
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  To go with the ready. Kumar, Rocker O and.
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  One with a four. .5 O ERA you. Know the A's are going to turn
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  to. The fellow ready.
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  JT Ginn who's O&O with a 3.27 ERA.
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  So what are? You sitting across the market
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  here? Well, this game opened at.
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  Basically a pick em. You know, basically you look at
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  any other book or any book across the market was about -1 O
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  5, both sides -110 both sides. It was basically a coin flip
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  price. So what do you always talk
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  about? You know, pick em opener,
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  whether it's NFL and a spread or baseball -110 both sides.
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  Well, which direction does a line?
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  Move because maybe. Sharp shoes have their own, you
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  know, power ratings and set their own numbers.
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  They might agree and say this is a pick em, therefore they're not
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  going to bet the game because there's no edge either way.
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  But they might say, hey, you know, we got this team -120 so.
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  Therefore, we should. Bet this team at a pick em at
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  -110 because that is what we call an edge or an advantage
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  over the book. So it looks like sharps have
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  found an edge. With the A's because the A's.
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  Coin flip price have gone from -110 up to now -120 some shops
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  even as close as like -125 so we got a pick em to fave.
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  Move toward the A's. We also have some really good
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  bet. Splits on the A's, they are only
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  getting 45% of money line. Bets but 54%.
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  Of money line dollars at DraftKings, so it tells us, the
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  bigger, sharper wagers. Also going with the A's here.
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  And then over at circa. Get a load of this. 56.
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  Percent of money line bets, 87% of money line dollars.
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  So it tells us a lot of big money out in the desert also
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  going. With the A's.
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  Now. I want to fade.
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  Kumar Rocker on the road. This guy was a high draft pick,
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  but he's really. Struggle on the road in his.
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  Career again, hard to win on the road as a young pitcher.
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  But he has posted. Even though it's very short
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  start to the year, a 540 ERA on the road.
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  This year. But last year on the road he was
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  one in five with a 9.29 ERA. He's now facing a divisional
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  opponent who's faced them before.
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  So I want to fade Rocker. I want to go with this line move
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  with the A's. Meanwhile, the A's in Ginn's
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  last three starts, they're three and O, so hopefully you're
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  bringing some good momentum in favor of the A's pitching behind
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  Ginn. So we got to.
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  Pick them to a favorite. In the A for the A's we got good
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  sharp. Splits of both DK.
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  And especially at Circa, we're going to fade a guy who
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  struggled on the road in rocker. And also we have three rhythm
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  recommendations lighting up on the athletics, two of which are
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  official Green Star recommendations.
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  So it tells me a lot of AI models.
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  Also like the A's. Tonight.
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  So you add it. All up here, guys.
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  I'm going athletics to hopefully get a win for us tonight.
• 17:52
  I got them at -114 at at Ballybet.
• 17:57
  But again, shop around because some books are closer to -120
• 18:01
  maybe even -125. So let's go A's.
• 18:05
  Last bed of the night. One of those ain't broke.
• 18:08
  Don't fix it please. Going right.
• 18:10
  Back. To the.
• 18:11
  Greatest place in the world or one of the greatest places in
• 18:13
  the world? Sunny.
• 18:14
  San Diego, I tell you what, guys.
• 18:16
  My in laws, my wife's mom and dad and her family, they moved
• 18:20
  from San Diego to New Hampshire. To be.
• 18:23
  Closer to us to to save on no state income taxes.
• 18:26
  But now I don't get to visit San Diego anymore, so of course it's
• 18:30
  great having them close by, especially with a newborn baby
• 18:32
  who, by the way, is about to turn one month old on Friday,
• 18:36
  actually on Saturday. But I.
• 18:38
  I miss going to San. Diego, I miss the annual, you
• 18:41
  know, go out there for 4th of July, go to a Padres game.
• 18:44
  But hey, maybe we'll find a way to still get out there even
• 18:47
  though left and I'll pay for a hotel instead of staying with
• 18:49
  the in laws. But anyway, let's talk Mariners
• 18:52
  and the dads here for tonight. So this is.
• 18:55
  Another late night game, 9:40 PM Eastern Time, first pitch.
• 18:58
  The Padres come in 11 and six on the year.
• 19:01
  They won the opener last night for us 4 to 1, coming through as
• 19:04
  a + 100 home dog. For the pitching matchup.
• 19:08
  On tonight's rematch tonight, the Mariners, who are 8 and 10,
• 19:11
  are going to go with the righty Emerson Hancock.
• 19:13
  He's two and one with a 2 point O 4.
• 19:16
  ERA, you know the pods, they're going to tap the fellow ready,
• 19:19
  Randy Vasquez, who's one and O with.
• 19:21
  A1 point O2 ERA. Both guys have pitched.
• 19:23
  Pretty well to start the year. Now, what have we seen across
• 19:26
  the board? Well this game is very similar
• 19:28
  to Texas athletics because that was a pick em.
• 19:32
  Where is a little. Bit of movement toward the home.
• 19:33
  Favorite. Well, same exact thing here.
• 19:35
  I think if you like the A's, you'll like the dads tonight.
• 19:37
  Because we open this game around -110 both sides, now the public,
• 19:42
  they don't. They don't know what to do.
• 19:43
  It's basically 5050. Right down the middle at
• 19:45
  DraftKings and what we always talk about. 5050 bet.
• 19:48
  Split. Theoretically a line shouldn't
• 19:50
  move at all because you would expect the odds makers to have
• 19:53
  balanced action. Set the perfect number, Don't
• 19:56
  have to bring it up or down because again, you know you've
• 19:59
  you've basically generated perfect two way action.
• 20:02
  However. Even though it's 5050.
• 20:04
  We have seen a little. Bit of movement.
• 20:06
  Towards San Diego, because San Diego's.
• 20:08
  Gone from -110 up to around -1. 15 So that very subtle, sneaky
• 20:13
  smart money move 5050 in favor. Of the pods tonight.
• 20:17
  Now we go over to Circa. Love this split in favor of San
• 20:20
  Diego at Circa. Only 44.
• 20:22
  Percent of money line bets. But 83?
• 20:24
  Percent of money line dollars, so a great sharp contrarian, low
• 20:28
  bets, higher dollar split in their favor from the wise guys
• 20:30
  in Vegas now got the little bit of line movement.
• 20:34
  We got good splits. Now let's get.
• 20:35
  To some system matches interleague.
• 20:37
  Favorite lack of familiarity, benefiting quote, UN quote, the
• 20:40
  better. Team Well Interleague home
• 20:42
  favorites Who won the. First game of a new series in
• 20:45
  the second. Game, they've gone 58.
• 20:47
  And 3562. Percent.
• 20:49
  That is a 2% ROI since the start of last year, so nothing crazy,
• 20:53
  but it's been profitable to just ride that team.
• 20:56
  If they're favorite in the second game and they won the 1st
• 20:59
  as an interleague favorite, it's been a profitable spot.
• 21:02
  Now if those. Teams are moderately priced -125
• 21:05
  or less. Those home favorites in the
• 21:07
  second game after winning the first game have gone 13 and 7.
• 21:11
  65. Percent with a 21% ROI.
• 21:14
  Once again, I'm a bank on the Padres bats.
• 21:16
  Hopefully getting to Hancock tonight.
• 21:18
  They're hitting 233 with 78 runs scored.
• 21:21
  Mariners only hitting two O 5. With seventy runs scored, Padres
• 21:25
  are three and O and Vasquez is 3 starts this year and he's been
• 21:29
  really good at home. One and O zero point. 77 ERA
• 21:33
  pods again, it's home cooking, it's Don Orsillo on the call.
• 21:37
  It's, you know, all the small things. 7th inning stretch, or
• 21:41
  if it's 8th, 8th inning, I forget, but pods seven and four
• 21:44
  at home, Mariners just one and six on the road.
• 21:48
  Lastly, noticed a 29% pretty big 29% sharp mush edge in favor of
• 21:54
  the pods from our friends at Juice Reel and I also had. 2.
• 21:57
  Rhythm recommendations lighting up here on San Diego as well.
• 22:01
  So a little bit of line movement. 5050.
• 22:04
  Shouldn't move it all, but it has inched up toward the pods.
• 22:07
  We had good system matches, good splits from Circa.
• 22:09
  We got rhythm and Juice Reel behind us.
• 22:11
  I'm going with San Diego. Here guys, I got the pods -110
• 22:15
  at Bet MGM, but definitely shop around because some other books
• 22:18
  as high as around -115 or even -120 so 3 pack overall, very
• 22:24
  short numbers. Let's try to go 2 and one Tampa
• 22:26
  Bay, San Diego and the athletics.
• 22:29
  And I must just mention this guys because I saw it happen as
• 22:32
  I'm recording the pod something with Tampa Bay starting
• 22:35
  pitching. I thought it was Sholton's.
• 22:38
  Now it looks like the rays were out.
• 22:39
  The Rays are going to ray they're.
• 22:40
  Going to do this but if they may be opening.
• 22:42
  Cole Sulzer and then having. Schulten's be the bulk.
• 22:46
  Guy, I don't know the reason for that, but just keep in mind
• 22:49
  that. If you already bet, Tampa.
• 22:51
  Bay and you bet them listed pitcher and Schulten's is now
• 22:54
  going to be the bulk guy and Sulzer is going to start.
• 22:57
  That means your your bet's going to be.
• 22:59
  Voided, so you'd want to. Re bet Tampa Bay, but I would
• 23:01
  say even if Sulzer is the starter now and Schulten's is
• 23:05
  the bulk guy, the price hasn't changed at all.
• 23:08
  It's still Tampa Bay -115 -, 120 So again, if you had already bet
• 23:13
  it, just double check you got it.
• 23:14
  I'm still riding it but just wanted to mention that and also
• 23:17
  give a shout out. To underdog MLB.
• 23:20
  It's at underdog MLB. They're great.
• 23:22
  Follow on Twitter. They do a really good job when
• 23:24
  it comes to, you know, giving you updates with starting
• 23:27
  lineups and injuries and all that kind of stuff.
• 23:28
  So either way, let's go Tampa, San Diego.
• 23:32
  And the A's. So that about does it for
• 23:34
  episode. 492. Of the all systems go sports
• 23:37
  betting podcast powered by rhythm this is the part of the
• 23:40
  pod where we wrap things up and as always I start first by
• 23:43
  saying thank you thank you for listening thank you for.
• 23:46
  Tuning in. Thank you for grinding in the
• 23:48
  arena with me every single day through the good days, the bad
• 23:50
  days. The UPS and the downs, the wins,
• 23:52
  the losses, we wake up every day, whether we had a great
• 23:55
  night or a bad night with a positive, realistic, but also
• 23:59
  discipline attitude, knowing that it's hard to produce
• 24:02
  winning days. So we always just try to stick
• 24:04
  to the model, stick to the blueprint.
• 24:05
  And I'm very honored and humbled that you guys TuneIn and listen
• 24:08
  to this pod. Now I buttered you up so that
• 24:11
  I'm going to ask you. Something of you please Could
• 24:14
  you help? Me grow this podcast.
• 24:15
  Just give it a five star review on Spotify or iTunes.
• 24:18
  Leave a comment under rate and review if you want to click the
• 24:21
  follow button or recommend the pod to a friend or retweet the
• 24:24
  pod when I put it out everyday on Twitter at Josh under score
• 24:27
  insights. Any or all of those things will
• 24:29
  be very much appreciated next, if you enjoy this style of
• 24:33
  betting breakdown data-driven sharp contrarian betting
• 24:36
  focusing on line movement bet split system matches, taking a
• 24:39
  contrarian approach using our AI models from rhythm as well as
• 24:42
  our angles from juice rail well. If this style of betting has.
• 24:45
  Appealed to you You want to learn more?
• 24:47
  About data-driven betting. Or maybe you just want to make
• 24:49
  my day. Or maybe you have someone in
• 24:50
  your life who could use some data-driven tips.
• 24:53
  Or maybe you're looking for a birthday gift or a holiday gift
• 24:55
  for somebody you know who might be in the sports betting.
• 24:58
  Well, I'd love for you to go to Amazon.com and type in.
• 25:01
  One of two things either. One the NFL sharp betting
• 25:04
  playbook. Or two.
• 25:06
  The Everything Guide to Sports. Betting those are.
• 25:07
  The two books that I've written, very proud of both and if you
• 25:11
  want to. Grab a copy.
• 25:12
  Give it five stars and a nice review on Amazon.
• 25:14
  That'll be awesome. And then of course you can bring
• 25:16
  that those. Books to the sports book.
• 25:19
  I'll sign them for you and I'll buy you a beer or ginger ale and
• 25:21
  we'll get some Cracker Jacks and sweat some.
• 25:24
  And we'll be together tonight. Next, have you downloaded Rhythm
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  and Juice Real yet? My two favorite sports betting
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  apps they. Help me win.
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  They're going to help you win because they're all about data.
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  They're not about opinion and if you if.
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  You give me data over. Opinion I'll automatically be
• 25:37
  interested in what that data is saying because data don't lie
• 25:40
  but as always guys, if you haven't done it yet download
• 25:42
  rhythm great for their AI backed models and predictions for game
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  bets and player props Reminder today's Wednesday so that means
• 25:48
  tomorrow is our rhythm rundown. Myself and my buddy Kate Harper
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  hosting live on Twitter at Josh under score insights, but then
• 25:56
  also juice reel juice reel is another great sports betting
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  app. You can.
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  Sync up your sports books and get a running report card of
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  your action. Get that CLV.
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  Indicator before every game after.
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  You bet a game and then also you're get the robo Jackson best
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  bet picks the sharp mush indicators.
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  The arbitrage plays the shop for the best line futures as.
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  Well, as if you feel. So inclined to tip your podcast
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  host? You.
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  Can sign up to get. The all systems go.
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  Best bet picks from juice reel. It only cost $4.99 a week, so 5
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  bucks for a. Full week of plays.
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  Hopefully beat some closing lines so download rhythm.
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  Download Juice. Reel Give them both a.
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  Five star review. In the App Store.
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  Next you have a live odds page. If you don't have one, you need
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  one. Got to be able to track the
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  betting market in real time is this line.
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  Moving is getting lit. Up in red, pull up the line
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  history, tap the odds, get the all the games listed on the
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  board that. Day get the opening.
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  Line and all the current. Lines.
• 26:52
  See which direction. The line is moved.
• 26:53
  Get the live in. Game wagering odds.
• 26:55
  But most of all, shopping for the best line, finding the best
• 26:58
  price, finding A-Team at -115 when everyone else is -120
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  really makes a difference long term.
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  So I would highly recommend that you give a try to Odds Logic.
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  They're the best live odds page around.
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  All you got to do is go to oddslogic.com/josh 123.
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  That'll give you a 7 day free trial and 50% off your first
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  month of service. Next, have you given Profit XA
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  Shot yet? Well, Profit X is a sports
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  betting exchange. It's not a sports book.
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  So you're going to get way better juice prices because you
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  don't have to pay. Without any choice in the.
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  Matter what the odds makers are forcing you to pay -120 -, 115
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  -, 125 instead, because you're in an exchange you get with
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  other. Betters you're going to get. -1
• 27:41
  O 5 plus one O 2 - 1 O3. Therefore you're you're laying
• 27:45
  less juice or making more juice when you're on the plus money
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  side. So that means you're going to
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  turn a bigger profit. When you win, and you're not
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  going to get booted when you win either.
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  So go download profit X. That's PRO.
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  PHET. X and also use promo code Josh
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  for extra 20% deposit match. So that about does it.
• 28:04
  For episode 492. Of the all systems go sports
• 28:07
  betting podcast powered by rhythm two final thoughts as
• 28:10
  always guys one whether. I see you at the Borgata in
• 28:13
  Atlantic City Twin. River in Rhode Island, the
• 28:15
  Brooklyn, New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan Sun down in
• 28:18
  Connecticut at the Encore in Boston, Plain Ridge Park,
• 28:21
  Casino, MGM Springfield or the Nash and my neck of the woods on
• 28:24
  the border of Massachusetts and New Hampshire.
• 28:26
  They're out in the desert where the true grinders get down,
• 28:29
  where Billy Walter sends his number runners, where the lowest
• 28:31
  juice possible is found at the South Point.
• 28:33
  Or Sweat and Sharp Contrarian plays jumping in the stadium
• 28:36
  swimming pool. When you catch a big ticket at
• 28:38
  Circa, whoever it may be, you're going to walk up to me.
• 28:41
  You're going to show me an incredible Braves come from
• 28:43
  behind winning ticket and a dad's ticket with a little plus
• 28:46
  money. First one's on me, next one's on
• 28:48
  you. Will post about the book Sweat
• 28:50
  Sharp Contrarian. Plays all night long.
• 28:52
  So as always guys. Coming off a two and one or one
• 28:55
  and two or a four and two. Start to the week or.
• 28:57
  A2 and four start to the week. We just got to continue to
• 29:00
  grind. Never get too high when things
• 29:02
  are looking good, never get too low when things aren't going our
• 29:04
  way. Just stick to the model.
• 29:06
  Stick to the blueprint, discipline, bankroll management,
• 29:09
  flat betting, 1 unit per play. And if we can do that, find the
• 29:12
  games that fit our model. Check off our boxes against the
• 29:15
  public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet, avoid parlays
• 29:18
  and get that. CLV If we can do that, we're
• 29:20
  going to be successful sports betters.
• 29:22
  So hope everyone. Has a fantastic Wednesday guys.
• 29:25
  We'll be right back at it tomorrow.
• 29:26
  That'll be a big Thirsty Thursday Edition episode. 493.
• 29:30
  Of the all systems go sports betting podcast powered by
• 29:33
  rhythm good luck. Everybody and have a great
• 29:35
  Wednesday night.