Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 07/06/26

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MLB DFS Process | DraftKings & FanDuel Picks, Plays & Slate Breakdown | Monday, 07/06/26 · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:04
  Speaker 1: All systems gone clear the lift?
• 0:36
  Speaker 2: What's going on?
• 0:37
  Speaker 3: Everybody happy Monday, Hope everybody out there had a great
• 0:40
  Speaker 3: fourth weekend. I'm in for Naides. I'm excited to talk
• 0:43
  Speaker 3: some baseball with my man Matt. Seven games on tap,
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: early start time on both sides at six point forty eastern,
• 0:49
  Speaker 3: and we have one weather game and it is pretty
• 0:51
  Speaker 3: important the Astros and the Nats the highest total. I'm
• 0:56
  Speaker 3: looking at ross stuff on prop finder. It's free, you
• 1:00
  Speaker 3: can check him out. I am definitely not a weather
• 1:01
  Speaker 3: man over here. He has an orange yellow right now
• 1:04
  Speaker 3: and says scattered storms in the area during the game.
• 1:06
  Speaker 3: I can't really pinpoint details still closer to the first pitch,
• 1:09
  Speaker 3: so we should monitor what he has to say about it.
• 1:12
  Speaker 3: If you like reading the forecast, do that. We'll talk
• 1:15
  Speaker 3: like it does play. I don't think you have interest
• 1:17
  Speaker 3: on either side for pitching bats though most definitely so
• 1:21
  Speaker 3: fits a delay and it restarts, we'll be good to go.
• 1:23
  Speaker 3: But yeah, monitor that there's a chance that maybe you'll
• 1:26
  Speaker 3: have to get off. So yeah, but seven games, good slate,
• 1:30
  Speaker 3: six ford eastern start time, Popstoner, Scooter McGavin, Avery, Philly Phantom,
• 1:35
  Speaker 3: Hope what everybody out there doing great. Matt, how we doing.
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: How is your weekend thoughts on this slate?
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: We're good man, coming off a long weekend. Fourth of July.
• 1:43
  Speaker 1: It's been hot, as hot as whatever word you want
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: to put next to it here, bought as hot as
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: it gets in Cleveland. I can't remember it getting hotter.
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: It's feels like this week should be a little bit better,
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: but I'm definitely not complaining about the heat, with how
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: cold and nasty gets in the winter. Fourth was good.
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: Back in action today. We got seven games, one early
• 2:03
  Speaker 1: game going on right now. Should be a fun slate.
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: Hopefully that Houston Washington game plays, because yeah, that is
• 2:09
  Speaker 1: important and I feel like that's like the slate overview,
• 2:12
  Speaker 1: does that game player or not.
• 2:14
  Speaker 3: Totally agree with you? How hot are you talking? Is
• 2:17
  Speaker 3: it like ninety five in humid or what?
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: Yeah, it was like mid nineties last week, which is
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: like really like mid nineties and humid, and and you
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: know in the Midwest, like it gets hot, but it
• 2:28
  Speaker 1: usually doesn't get like that hot.
• 2:30
  Speaker 2: So yeah, it was really hot.
• 2:31
  Speaker 1: Like my four year olds in camp, they didn't play
• 2:34
  Speaker 1: outside like for four days last week because it was
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: too hot. That type of that type of heat.
• 2:38
  Speaker 3: Yeah, for sure, that's definitely up there. We got Jake
• 2:41
  Speaker 3: in here. Good to see you as well. Always great
• 2:44
  Speaker 3: to see uh. I love to see that Scooter McGavin
• 2:46
  Speaker 3: got some PG money to burn. I saw he definitely
• 2:49
  Speaker 3: has had some good weeks in the PGA streets recently.
• 2:52
  Speaker 3: No one better than our team in the PGA street.
• 2:54
  Speaker 3: Chiefs talks about it a lot. Our ownership, some of
• 2:57
  Speaker 3: the best out there projections as well. If you PLAYPGA. Obviously,
• 3:01
  Speaker 3: we have a bunch of sports over here. Actually, before
• 3:03
  Speaker 3: we do that, I'm gonna pull up ship in Nation
• 3:06
  Speaker 3: our homepage and share. But PGA locks at midnight Eastern.
• 3:10
  Speaker 3: I believe it is on Wednesday because it's a Scottish open,
• 3:12
  Speaker 3: I believe, so I just checked that out. So definitely
• 3:15
  Speaker 3: good time to get in, whether it's a five day pass,
• 3:17
  Speaker 3: all or all access. Always big prizes in the PGA streets,
• 3:21
  Speaker 3: MLB every day, Like you know, Connor McGregor, the Notorious
• 3:25
  Speaker 3: is back on Saturday, fourteen fights, big boy prizes in
• 3:28
  Speaker 3: the MMA streets. Super pumped for that NASCAR on Sunday.
• 3:31
  Speaker 3: You can see usually ninety nine dollars for all of
• 3:34
  Speaker 3: our sports with Sabersim and Discord just forty nine dollars
• 3:38
  Speaker 3: for your first month. If you want to try it
• 3:39
  Speaker 3: a little cheaper bottom left, join the Nation. We have
• 3:42
  Speaker 3: multiple different options. Five days for nineteen dollars gets you
• 3:45
  Speaker 3: Sabersim and the Discord as well. Again, that would take
• 3:48
  Speaker 3: you through MMA Saturday. You get PGA content. I think
• 3:51
  Speaker 3: a great time to try if you have not joined us.
• 3:54
  Speaker 3: If you just play MLB far right single sport. We
• 3:57
  Speaker 3: do have MLB only packages as well, and a dollar
• 4:00
  Speaker 3: a day for our content. Just twenty dollars more for
• 4:03
  Speaker 3: Sabersim if you would like, we'd love to have you.
• 4:05
  Speaker 2: Great community in the Discord.
• 4:07
  Speaker 3: We have all the sports like you can see above
• 4:09
  Speaker 3: and hey USA, go USA in a couple hours for
• 4:13
  Speaker 3: the World Cup. I've had some fun. Not a soccer
• 4:15
  Speaker 3: fan by any means, well, time to be one.
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: Are you a soccer I was about to ask if
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: you're a soccer guy.
• 4:20
  Speaker 3: No, not at all, but I mean, man, these matches,
• 4:22
  Speaker 3: and I mean I always appreciate all sports at the
• 4:25
  Speaker 3: highest level and just the and just the atmosphere, and
• 4:28
  Speaker 3: like the love that these fans have for their teams.
• 4:31
  Speaker 3: It's really really cool. To see a lot of good games.
• 4:34
  Speaker 3: So far, I'm playing a good amount of poker. Two
• 4:37
  Speaker 3: of the guys are professional betters and really big in soccer,
• 4:40
  Speaker 3: so I've been trying to hammer some stuff and tail them.
• 4:42
  Speaker 2: But now I've had a lot of fun watching. Have
• 4:44
  Speaker 2: you watched any.
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I've watched some. I'm not a soccer guy at all.
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: But to your point, like, it's hard not to like
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: get up for like I mean, yeah, elite athletes like
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: competing with fans going crazy like that in itself makes
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: it fun to watch. I was never just I just
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: was never a soccer guy. I mean, I grew up
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: like a football, baseball, basketball, and I just never love soccer.
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: That said, to all your points, like I can get
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: into the World Cup. I don't like go out of
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: my way to watch every game, but if it's on,
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: I'll watch it, you know for sure?
• 5:20
  Speaker 3: Yeah, yesterday two phenomenal games. And yeah, just the love
• 5:24
  Speaker 3: that these guys have. I mean, Mexico is shooting off
• 5:26
  Speaker 3: fireworks and stuff to keep their opponents up in the
• 5:28
  Speaker 3: hotel rooms, live and die with your team. So it's
• 5:31
  Speaker 3: cool to see ceiling fans popstone And I'm not back home,
• 5:34
  Speaker 3: but you will probably see a couple of streams in
• 5:37
  Speaker 3: the NFL season back.
• 5:39
  Speaker 2: With the ceiling fan in the background.
• 5:41
  Speaker 3: All right, I think we should get into it again,
• 5:43
  Speaker 3: like button subscribe, button helps us out a ton. We
• 5:45
  Speaker 3: would love to have you at the Nation interesting slave
• 5:48
  Speaker 3: again the Houston Washington game.
• 5:50
  Speaker 2: We're gonna talk like it plays.
• 5:51
  Speaker 3: It's not really relevant for pitching, which we're showing right now,
• 5:55
  Speaker 3: but man, pitching is actually. Let me do this filters
• 5:59
  Speaker 3: and then you can say show players with my projection
• 6:02
  Speaker 3: greater than we're gonna say six. And I'm gonna filter
• 6:05
  Speaker 3: just for pitching, and then I'm gonna say hide, remove players,
• 6:09
  Speaker 3: and then I'm gonna sort by salary. Actually, you know,
• 6:12
  Speaker 3: I'll sort by projection to start because I think this,
• 6:14
  Speaker 3: I'm taking the average of our shiping nation and sabers
• 6:16
  Speaker 3: in projections, but you are able to do on the
• 6:18
  Speaker 3: starter plan Camp Schlittler definitely the best picture on the
• 6:23
  Speaker 3: slate at eleven K. However, matchups not great, and eleven
• 6:27
  Speaker 3: K is way up there with the next highest and
• 6:29
  Speaker 3: Kevin Gosman two k cheaper at nine K. And sorting
• 6:33
  Speaker 3: by projection, I have pretty bullish Sabersim and us when
• 6:37
  Speaker 3: you take the average more so sabersim on Gossman. But
• 6:41
  Speaker 3: after that you get one and a half point drop
• 6:43
  Speaker 3: almost to the next highest price or highest projected pitcher
• 6:47
  Speaker 3: on the slate in Griffin Jacks. And he's only seven
• 6:49
  Speaker 3: point five k. And you can see shorting sorting by ownership.
• 6:53
  Speaker 3: Griffin Jacks is projected to be the highest own pitcher
• 6:56
  Speaker 3: on the slate. Then Schlittler Gossman. I think Lannon wrote
• 6:59
  Speaker 3: might get a little more than he's showing right now.
• 7:01
  Speaker 3: But with all that being said, it's a gross pitching slate.
• 7:05
  Speaker 3: One guy stands out in a tier of his own
• 7:07
  Speaker 3: in terms of price and real life in my opinion.
• 7:10
  Speaker 3: But again, projection isn't showing it too much. I will
• 7:13
  Speaker 3: have you go Slitler all the way. We'll go to
• 7:17
  Speaker 3: Griffin Jacks at seven point five K. I think that's
• 7:20
  Speaker 3: a good way to start break down this top range
• 7:22
  Speaker 3: for me.
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: Yeah, So to your main point, pitching is weak today.
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: He's not going to feel comfortable most likely with whoever
• 7:30
  Speaker 1: you use. If you do feel comfortable, God bless you,
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: I probably personally won't feel comfortable. I'm a Slitler guy.
• 7:36
  Speaker 1: I've used him a bunch this year. He's not in
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: like the best current form wasn't good last start. I
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: know he's had a couple really good starts recently mixed
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: in between a couple non good starts at all. You
• 7:51
  Speaker 1: mentioned it. His price is up there and it's not
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: even a good matchup at all. Tampa is a really
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: good offense and his floor is really low in this
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: spot because Tampa has been one of the best offenses
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: in baseball against right handed pitching. Now you presume if
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: every you know, if all the right's they faced were
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: Cam Schlitler asked, they wouldn't be as good. And Schlitler
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: is talented enough to dominate any matchup. But man, at
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: ownership at that price tag, I'm having a hard time
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: swallowing Schlitler tonight. I just the problem with not playing
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: him is then you got to use two other guys
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: And ultimately that's why I, like a lot of other people,
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: might just end up clicking Schlitler. He's gonna be over owned,
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: no doubt, He's gonna be higher on than he's projected everywhere,
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: just because the pitching options are weak and you can
• 8:44
  Speaker 1: generally make it work and there aren't any like elite
• 8:49
  Speaker 1: offensive spots. There's no Sacramento, there's no Cores, there's obviously
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: no Vegas, so you can make your work with some
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: cheap bets tonight. I think Schlitler to your point, he's
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: the by far the most talented pitcher on the slate,
• 9:02
  Speaker 1: but you're paying for it. The ownership's there. That's not
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: a good spot. I hate that combination. Obviously, Jacks has
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: been good. I've used him also, Man, he feels like
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: another guy. He's only getting ownership because of his price tag.
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: He projects well, and the pitching on this slate is
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: just so bad that I don't have anything bad to
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: say again about Jacks. Here just feels wrong him being
• 9:30
  Speaker 1: so highly owned against the Yankees team that generally has
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: been good, even without judge. I know they've recently slumped,
• 9:38
  Speaker 1: slumping however you want to put it. But I feel
• 9:41
  Speaker 1: like this offense is too good for a guy like
• 9:43
  Speaker 1: Griffin Jacks to be chalk against. But that's where we're
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: at tonight. His price tag is too good to be true,
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: and then you get to Gousman. I think those are
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: the main three tonight. Those are the three that are
• 9:52
  Speaker 1: gonna get to ownership, probably as they should. Goussman also
• 9:57
  Speaker 1: not in great form. Good start last time out, really
• 10:01
  Speaker 1: bad this two starts before that. You obviously don't mind
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: the matchup here against San Francisco, and you love the ballpark,
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: so man at ownership because I think Goussman might be
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: the lowest owned of the three. I might like Gusman
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: the best because I don't love any of them, and
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: you can pick holes in Gousman here, but I like
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: his price tag, love the ballpark, I like the ownership.
• 10:26
  Speaker 1: I hate the ownership on the other two, even though
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: there the two best pitchers. After that is a crap shoot.
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Dustin May can't do it in his recent form raup,
• 10:37
  Speaker 1: I guess, but it's not a good matchup. Toronto doesn't
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: strike out. They don't really scare you. You're using him
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: because of the ballparking, because of the lack of other options,
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: and as a pivot off of the high owned guys.
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: I guess that's why I would like Ralph was just
• 10:51
  Speaker 1: as a pivot off of the guys getting ownership. But
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: that's it. After that, I don't got a lot nice
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: to say about anyone.
• 10:58
  Speaker 3: I don't know if you do, No, not really, I
• 11:02
  Speaker 3: mean I think you mainly covered the ones that I
• 11:04
  Speaker 3: have interested in. With that being said, I do have
• 11:06
  Speaker 3: more interest in Roupe, Rope Route whatever it is than you,
• 11:11
  Speaker 3: and mainly, like you said, it's like it feels like
• 11:13
  Speaker 3: more of a floor play the ballpark. I'm a big
• 11:15
  Speaker 3: especially when there's not much that DIFFERENTI rates these pictures.
• 11:20
  Speaker 3: The price is fine, and it's a phenomenal ballpark, and
• 11:22
  Speaker 3: I just want I'm gonna play Gousman en Route in
• 11:25
  Speaker 3: the same teams.
• 11:27
  Speaker 2: Yeah, and just a.
• 11:27
  Speaker 3: Pitcher's park in San fran These long fly balls will
• 11:30
  Speaker 3: stay in the park if he gets three strikeouts in
• 11:33
  Speaker 3: five or six six innings, three strikeouts, it's a great no,
• 11:36
  Speaker 3: but fifteen or fourteen might be enough. Eighty three hundred
• 11:40
  Speaker 3: on this slate even if Schlitzler did get twenty.
• 11:43
  Speaker 2: I mean, so I rank.
• 11:44
  Speaker 3: Him Gusman Rope and then Schlitler just because, like ge Griffin,
• 11:49
  Speaker 3: Jacks being one of the chalkiest, if not the chalkiest
• 11:52
  Speaker 3: picture on the slate just worries me a little bit.
• 11:54
  Speaker 3: Yankees still have power. I can make Jacks work, So
• 11:57
  Speaker 3: give me like similarly to me.
• 11:58
  Speaker 2: Then yeah, yeah, yep.
• 12:01
  Speaker 3: It's like the three highest priced pitchers are my favorites,
• 12:04
  Speaker 3: and obviously that usually isn't too great, but eleven K
• 12:08
  Speaker 3: is expensive, but like you said, there's not There's plenty
• 12:10
  Speaker 3: of cheap bats that you can get to on this
• 12:11
  Speaker 3: slate and then Gossman nine K and Route eight point
• 12:14
  Speaker 3: three K, like that's not breaking the bank. Again, there's
• 12:18
  Speaker 3: solid bats on this slate, but there's not like spend
• 12:22
  Speaker 3: ups that you have to go to or like absolutely
• 12:24
  Speaker 3: jam In and the ones that you will like if
• 12:26
  Speaker 3: this game does play, like jordng and stuff is chalk.
• 12:29
  Speaker 1: I was about to say that, So the trickle down effect.
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: The reason I said, I think the big overview of
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: this slate is that game is because if that game
• 12:37
  Speaker 1: doesn't play, you take out like the two best bats
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: on the slate probably and they're both the two like
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: most expensive Wood and Alvarez. So all of a sudden,
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: like if that game plays, I think Schlitzler's a lot
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: lower on than if the game doesn't play. You know,
• 12:54
  Speaker 1: so yeah, I agree, there happens.
• 12:57
  Speaker 3: Yeah, Dustin May, I'd rather play May then Freddy Peralta
• 13:01
  Speaker 3: Walker Bueller.
• 13:02
  Speaker 2: Right now.
• 13:02
  Speaker 3: With that being said, a lot of unknowns with him
• 13:05
  Speaker 3: is you can see the pitch count over with Saberson
• 13:08
  Speaker 3: right now, only seventy six. If you think this is light, Actually,
• 13:11
  Speaker 3: I'll ask you, like, what would you said Dustin May's
• 13:13
  Speaker 3: pitchcount at today?
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: I think that's light. I think he got hurt his
• 13:16
  Speaker 1: last start, and yeah he did if he's pitching well.
• 13:19
  Speaker 1: He got hit with a ball that like Dom Smith
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: ended up hitting a double that hit off his foot.
• 13:24
  Speaker 1: He stayed in the game, but I think he left
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: like because of that. So I feel like if he's
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: if they're putting him out there and he's good to go,
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: like he's got a normal pitch count. Now, he wasn't
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: good in that start and he got shelled in the
• 13:36
  Speaker 1: start before that, so he might not pitch a lot
• 13:39
  Speaker 1: because he gets destroyed. But I don't feel like he's
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: got a pitch count if he's pitching well at.
• 13:43
  Speaker 3: All, because he pitched July second, four days ago, three
• 13:48
  Speaker 3: days ago, thirty four pitches, but again it was only
• 13:50
  Speaker 3: thirty four pitches. Prior to that, he had two weeks
• 13:53
  Speaker 3: off and only threw forty four. I mean yeah, so
• 13:56
  Speaker 3: like right there, would I like to look at seventy
• 13:58
  Speaker 3: six pitchcount you think that's light we'll just add ten
• 14:00
  Speaker 3: more pitches. I mean, that could possibly be a full inning,
• 14:04
  Speaker 3: even if it's a little more. Right there, if I'm
• 14:06
  Speaker 3: getting almost a full more full inning, more than what
• 14:10
  Speaker 3: Dustin May's like projected at, because right now they're projecting
• 14:13
  Speaker 3: them because of this number. If this is eighty six,
• 14:16
  Speaker 3: maybe this comes up to thirteen point five or something
• 14:19
  Speaker 3: at seven percent on a slate that's really tough. I'll
• 14:21
  Speaker 3: take a chance on Dustin May, so he'd be my
• 14:24
  Speaker 3: fourth right in that range. Don't like Freddie, don't like Walker,
• 14:28
  Speaker 3: Bueller and man when we go down Shane Johan all
• 14:31
  Speaker 3: the way down to Nicholas, Like, I have no clue.
• 14:35
  Speaker 3: I mean, the one that stands out for sure is
• 14:36
  Speaker 3: Eric Lauer. He gets the Rockies on the road, big
• 14:40
  Speaker 3: favorite at home, six K, Like, there's not too much
• 14:43
  Speaker 3: bad to say about him because he's only six K
• 14:45
  Speaker 3: and the matchup, but he's twenty two percent. Is that
• 14:48
  Speaker 3: something you're interested in? Any other pitchers you have interested
• 14:52
  Speaker 3: down below? Maybe a Ronaldo Lopez or something. No.
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: I feel like you almost have to be interested in
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: laur just because of the context of the even though
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: again you don't feel good about it and it's hard
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: to use in with confidence. He hasn't been good this year,
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: but better with the Dodgers, and it's the matchup. The
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: Rockies have been bad against left ease and you get
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: them out of cores. So, man, I don't love it,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: and like, I'm not gonna lock Lower and like build
• 15:22
  Speaker 1: around him, like if I love a stack and need Lower. Okay,
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: that's kind of the only way I want to play him,
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean?
• 15:30
  Speaker 3: For sure, I would get a little worried assuming that
• 15:33
  Speaker 3: the Washington Houston game gets the green light, starting your
• 15:36
  Speaker 3: lineup as Schlittler lower and then playing like the Houston side.
• 15:40
  Speaker 3: I think, like your Dong or James would. I think
• 15:42
  Speaker 3: it just makes it fits a little too easy. When
• 15:44
  Speaker 3: people go lower, it's probably because they want to spend
• 15:46
  Speaker 3: up for Slitler. Then you still have some chalky bats
• 15:50
  Speaker 3: or expensive bats you're able to get to. So I
• 15:52
  Speaker 3: think Austman and Roupe going with Lawer is definitely viable
• 15:56
  Speaker 3: on this late I mean, just sorting by my projection,
• 15:58
  Speaker 3: Lower is fit on the slate raw points projection wise,
• 16:02
  Speaker 3: and he's only six K. Obviously, only you have to
• 16:04
  Speaker 3: use two pictures on DraftKings so that does show you
• 16:07
  Speaker 3: can play lower with pretty much any combination of another pitcher,
• 16:13
  Speaker 3: and when you do go like a route or something,
• 16:15
  Speaker 3: then you can go Dodgers, which is a little harder
• 16:17
  Speaker 3: to do when you go Schlittler. So yeah, Lower's in
• 16:20
  Speaker 3: play for me. But I still do have Golesman, Rope,
• 16:23
  Speaker 3: Schlittler all above again the three highest price, but only
• 16:27
  Speaker 3: Schlittler has a real price tag. And I'm gonna be
• 16:29
  Speaker 3: hoping to see a pitching duel in San Franz today.
• 16:32
  Speaker 3: Any final thoughts to wrap up pitching before he talks
• 16:34
  Speaker 3: in bats?
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: No to your point about uh like lower, though, man,
• 16:40
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure how much higher owned he gets just
• 16:42
  Speaker 1: because you've got Griffin Jacks there, who projects better, who's
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: also cheap. But I think playing the ball together in
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: tournaments is interesting, Like and just spend all the bats.
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: I don't think people will do that, but yeah, interesting
• 16:58
  Speaker 1: slate in that regard sounds like you like or more
• 17:00
  Speaker 1: than Jacks.
• 17:05
  Speaker 3: Maybe because the fifteen hundred and seeing a fifteen percent
• 17:09
  Speaker 3: ownership discount, I think that kind of safe to say.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: But also, facing the Rockies instead of the Yankees at Lourel,
• 17:16
  Speaker 1: for sure your price tag not as good of a pitcher,
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: but Griffin Jacks is not some proven commodity either as
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: a starter.
• 17:22
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean I am a run total and stuff
• 17:25
  Speaker 3: like guy. So seeing three point nine only for the Yankees,
• 17:28
  Speaker 3: Jack's at home.
• 17:31
  Speaker 2: At pitching.
• 17:32
  Speaker 1: Yeah, in that ballpark.
• 17:33
  Speaker 3: Like it's like the more I look at it, the
• 17:35
  Speaker 3: more I'm like, man, But then I see thirty seven
• 17:37
  Speaker 3: percent on freaking Griffin Jackson, then it kind of sways
• 17:40
  Speaker 3: me the other way.
• 17:41
  Speaker 2: But like in a vacuum, Jacks.
• 17:44
  Speaker 3: Feels safe on this slate with like, I mean, eighteen
• 17:48
  Speaker 3: nineteen would surprise me at all. If he's getting you fourteen,
• 17:50
  Speaker 3: you take you definitely take it. Eighteen.
• 17:54
  Speaker 2: You're almost not a lock for the optimal.
• 17:56
  Speaker 3: But I mean, if I knew he was scoring eighteen
• 17:57
  Speaker 3: on this slate, I'm having like ninety percent. So yeah,
• 18:01
  Speaker 3: it'ch is man. Thirty thirty seven percent is what's standing out.
• 18:04
  Speaker 3: What about Lower? You like, you think we're hot here?
• 18:07
  Speaker 3: You think it's about twenty two? What do you think?
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: Yeah? I do. I'm like kind of contemplating whether Lower
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: gains steam and Jacks settles because people love picking on
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: the Rockies outside of cors and lower is so cheap.
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: I think a lot of it depends on that Houston
• 18:24
  Speaker 1: game because the need for cheap pitching, like is really
• 18:27
  Speaker 1: dependent on that game. Alvarez wood Abrams three guys that
• 18:32
  Speaker 1: are going to get a lot of ownership that are
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: th the you know, three of the most expensive bats
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: on the slate, So you know what I mean for sure.
• 18:40
  Speaker 3: Yeah, that's a big thing for sure on this lake
• 18:42
  Speaker 3: because it's it's the spot that people want to go
• 18:44
  Speaker 3: to four bats. If they don't go there, there's not
• 18:47
  Speaker 3: really too many other spend ups on the slate unless.
• 18:49
  Speaker 2: You want to go Dodgers, which some will go, but
• 18:52
  Speaker 2: by no.
• 18:52
  Speaker 3: Means are the Dodgers of must All right, we'll go
• 18:56
  Speaker 3: and talk some bats. Yeah, I appreciate everyone hanging out,
• 18:58
  Speaker 3: watching live or watching on play. All we ask is
• 19:02
  Speaker 3: the subscribe and the like button. It helps us out
• 19:04
  Speaker 3: a ton. First game talking bats not one that's gonna
• 19:08
  Speaker 3: get much interest on either side. The Rays and the
• 19:11
  Speaker 3: Yankee Schlittler and Jacks on the mound two pictures getting ownership.
• 19:15
  Speaker 3: We talked about them at good length. I mean, I'm
• 19:18
  Speaker 3: interested in the Yankees, like the more teams you're playing.
• 19:21
  Speaker 3: We just talked about everything with Jacks the chalk ist
• 19:23
  Speaker 3: picture on the slate. Yankees have power. Are they my favorite? No,
• 19:28
  Speaker 3: but with all the leverage you get at current ownership
• 19:31
  Speaker 3: right now, if you want to eat chalk in this
• 19:33
  Speaker 3: Astros Nats game to fill it out after play Schlittler,
• 19:37
  Speaker 3: play Gousman or route. Like, I'm fine with Yankees mainly
• 19:41
  Speaker 3: game theory, though in a vacuum, are they on the winner?
• 19:43
  Speaker 2: Probably not?
• 19:44
  Speaker 3: When they are on the winner, though forty percent of
• 19:47
  Speaker 3: the field's dead with Jacks, Yankees are low owned. They
• 19:50
  Speaker 3: can do it from the long ball, They're not too expensive.
• 19:52
  Speaker 3: It just makes sense, so there might prefer play over
• 19:55
  Speaker 3: the Rays. They're fine, not my favorite.
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I do think that like the Yankees will get
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: ownership from people that don't play Jacks, where the Rays
• 20:04
  Speaker 1: won't get ownership at all. So I get the leverage
• 20:08
  Speaker 1: point for the Yankees against Jacks, but almost take it
• 20:13
  Speaker 1: a step further and like say that the Rays are
• 20:15
  Speaker 1: it is just as in play against Slipy, who hasn't
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: been great, smaller slate and I think like way less
• 20:25
  Speaker 1: owned than even the Yankees because they're more expensive in
• 20:27
  Speaker 1: the worst spot. So like I don't love either of them,
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: and I'm not gonna play either of them, but if
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: we're talking leverage, I think both are in play. On paper,
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: neither of them look good at all. Sittler's the best
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: overall picture on the slate. Jacks has been good and
• 20:40
  Speaker 1: the Yankees haven't been good. So for me personally, I'm out,
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: But I get the leverage point. It's MLB. Look no
• 20:46
  Speaker 1: farther than this one, Burns Man, because I play so
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: much case. Look at the Royal Stillies game going on
• 20:53
  Speaker 1: right now, can see up seven to one, Sanchez just
• 20:57
  Speaker 1: getting actually destroyed by a weak Royal line up, Luke
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: Mainley with a three run homer.
• 21:01
  Speaker 2: So MLBMLB, Yeah, absolutely.
• 21:05
  Speaker 3: I mean it's one of the most very high variant
• 21:07
  Speaker 3: sports that we play. Sixty three out of ten times
• 21:10
  Speaker 3: you're a Hall of Famer someone not that succeeds. It
• 21:12
  Speaker 3: seems like seven out of ten times nowadays, though, is
• 21:15
  Speaker 3: Junior cameronaro Man. This dude is absolutely on one six
• 21:19
  Speaker 3: point three K, could be eight point three K from
• 21:21
  Speaker 3: what he's been doing.
• 21:22
  Speaker 2: But yeah, actually, the more.
• 21:23
  Speaker 3: You talk about it, because I do think this Yankees
• 21:26
  Speaker 3: ownership does come up a little bit, I mean, even
• 21:28
  Speaker 3: if you double all these guys, which maybe they are
• 21:31
  Speaker 3: all double, I don't think the Rays really get it,
• 21:34
  Speaker 3: Like people aren't gonna want to pick on Slitler at
• 21:36
  Speaker 3: eleven K. The Rays not too many bats that are expensive,
• 21:40
  Speaker 3: really only two, but they're going to be super super
• 21:43
  Speaker 3: low owned. So actually, I think I'm coming around to
• 21:45
  Speaker 3: the Rays, maybe even more than the Yankees, because I like,
• 21:48
  Speaker 3: I see right in here Scooter talking about it. I
• 21:50
  Speaker 3: see Philly talking Yanks for leverage. Maybe people keep talking
• 21:53
  Speaker 3: talk themselves into it. And I do still think you
• 21:56
  Speaker 3: get leverage, but maybe the individual Yankees themselves are a
• 22:00
  Speaker 3: little higher on than we're projecting.
• 22:02
  Speaker 2: And if they're like.
• 22:04
  Speaker 3: If there's six or seven percent, I mean, that could
• 22:07
  Speaker 3: still be over owned.
• 22:08
  Speaker 2: And then even though Jacks is forty percent or whatever.
• 22:11
  Speaker 3: So yeah, I was gonna, I was saying, that's kind
• 22:14
  Speaker 3: of what I'm seeing, like something you were saying that,
• 22:16
  Speaker 3: Yeah that like, yes, there's leverage against Jacks and you
• 22:19
  Speaker 3: could play the Yank.
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: It's not like the Yankees will be high owned, but
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: they might be over owned for like their role on
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: this slate, just because of whatever reason. It's the Yankees
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: the leverage ask whatever it is, and so just something
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: to think about, that's all.
• 22:33
  Speaker 2: Yeah.
• 22:34
  Speaker 3: No, at that point made my heads think as well.
• 22:37
  Speaker 3: So I appreciate that What's up song?
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: We got asked real quick, and I didn't mean to
• 22:41
  Speaker 1: cut you off, but someone said, would you stack the
• 22:43
  Speaker 1: Yankees or the Rockies? And at first I was thinking
• 22:46
  Speaker 1: definitely the Yankees, But I think my answers the Rockies.
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: Even though I think Wower's a little bit lower owned
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: than Jacks, I think the Rockies ceiling is higher.
• 22:57
  Speaker 2: We'll get there in a little bit. I like it.
• 22:59
  Speaker 3: Let's move to so what will be the chalkiest game
• 23:01
  Speaker 3: of the late assuming that it does play again, keep
• 23:04
  Speaker 3: an eye on it. Orange yellow check back in closer
• 23:07
  Speaker 3: to lock, which is at six forty eastern. We got
• 23:10
  Speaker 3: Mikolos and Mike Burrows on the mound, two pitchers that
• 23:14
  Speaker 3: have no business in the MLB. As far as Mikolas,
• 23:17
  Speaker 3: the dude cannot strike anybody out. Balls will be in play.
• 23:21
  Speaker 3: Both sides of the play hit him well as far
• 23:23
  Speaker 3: as the Washington side. Against Burrows, he gets barreled against
• 23:27
  Speaker 3: lefties more than righty's. Still not good against righty's either,
• 23:30
  Speaker 3: but does walk less batters and does k more. And
• 23:34
  Speaker 3: then you look though at the Nats. You want lefties,
• 23:37
  Speaker 3: and what do you see lefty, lefty, lefty, lefty, lefty, lefty.
• 23:41
  Speaker 3: Plenty of lefties in that order, only two players above
• 23:44
  Speaker 3: five K. This is where the ownership's going. There's no
• 23:47
  Speaker 3: secret throw the stone is showing it. And again on
• 23:50
  Speaker 3: the astro side, your doing six to two, no one
• 23:54
  Speaker 3: else above four K. I do think a one through
• 23:57
  Speaker 3: four will be pretty popular for the astro and I
• 24:00
  Speaker 3: also think on the other side one through four we'll
• 24:03
  Speaker 3: get some love as well. But again, when you are
• 24:05
  Speaker 3: playing the Nats one through four and then you're done,
• 24:08
  Speaker 3: that's where people are gonna go lower Gossman rope jacks
• 24:12
  Speaker 3: because that's where the savings will be and it's.
• 24:14
  Speaker 2: A little harder to play Schlitler. So, yeah, what are
• 24:16
  Speaker 2: you doing that ownership in this game? Assuming the green
• 24:18
  Speaker 2: light is given.
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: Yeah, I don't know what I'm personally doing yet, but
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: I think both these stacks look like the top two
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: on the slate. Like, presuming this game plays, ownership will
• 24:31
  Speaker 1: be there, so whether I play it or not, like
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: I'm not sure yet because I'm playing some like small
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: field higher dollars stuff tonight, and I think the ownership
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: is going to be I usually for that, but like
• 24:40
  Speaker 1: even smaller field type stuff tonight, just because that's how
• 24:43
  Speaker 1: the contests work out on Monday. So I think there's
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: you know, the smaller you get, there's even more leverage
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: in getting contrarian, even though it's harder to get contrarian,
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: you know what I'm saying. It's like the the age
• 24:56
  Speaker 1: old question in GPPs. But I think undoubted Lee Houston.
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: You know, I think you the Dodgers are right there
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: with these teams, certainly because they're facing Kyle Freeland. But
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: I think those are the three main beasts on this slate,
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers, Astros, and Nationals. Anytime you get a chance
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: to pick on on Miles Michaelis, I'm in so I
• 25:16
  Speaker 1: like Houston a little bit more than Washington. But Washington's
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: been much better than Houston. They've dominated right hand a pitching.
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: And it's not like Burrows is a guy I'm afraid
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: to pick on at all. I mean he's bad too,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: So both these teams look good. I think you can
• 25:30
  Speaker 1: gamestack this game. I played a Pittsburgh Nationals game stack
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: yesterday that almost got there. Just didn't get the pitching right.
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I mean, I don't think there's any question that, Like,
• 25:43
  Speaker 1: I guess, outside the Dodgers, these are the two top
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: stacks on the board with the highest ceiling. You get
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: bad bullpens all around here, a lot to like.
• 25:53
  Speaker 3: For sure, give me a couple of your favorite bats
• 25:55
  Speaker 3: five through nine for both the Astros and the Nats.
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: So, man, that's tough because the Astros lineup right now,
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: they I know they sent some guys down. Man, I
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: do think that they're what do we have their lineup
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: projected as right now?
• 26:11
  Speaker 3: You LaMonte Wade, Cam Smith, Janner Diez, Taylor, Tremon, Nick
• 26:17
  Speaker 3: all So.
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: I think I think that Nick Allen would you know,
• 26:20
  Speaker 1: if I'm any guy, I'm not playing to be Nick Allen.
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: He's just like a defensive guy. He is easy to fill.
• 26:25
  Speaker 1: A catcher. He homered I think yesterday or the last
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: game he played. Cam Smith has some power. So like
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: for me, it's not about wanting to play those guys,
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: it's just wanting to play against Miles Michaeliz and I
• 26:36
  Speaker 1: have no problems stacking them. If I were going in
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: on Houston, I would definitely do like a you know, seven, eight,
• 26:42
  Speaker 1: nine one two stack or six seven, eight nine to
• 26:45
  Speaker 1: one or you know, not nine, you know what I meant,
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: four or five, six, seven eight whatever it is like
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: to get a little bit different. Maybe stack them without
• 26:56
  Speaker 1: Alvarez and then the Nationals. Man, I don't think Ruiz
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: is gonna be in the lineup here. Uh he got
• 27:02
  Speaker 1: pulled early and after he got hit in the head
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: with a foul ball, so I think he's out.
• 27:07
  Speaker 2: But we'll see.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: Uh, the Nationals are definitely a lineup you can play
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: one through nine because they run Jose tan It down
• 27:13
  Speaker 1: at the bottom usually whoever their catcher is obviously easy
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: to fill. We'll see where. You know, Dylan Cruz and
• 27:21
  Speaker 1: Dalen Lyle are hitting, but both teams I feel like
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: you can just stack them fully because they're facing not
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: good pitchers and bad bullpens. So yeah, Nick Allen would
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: be the one guy on leave out, but he's probably
• 27:34
  Speaker 1: like two k I won't get any ownership. So like,
• 27:37
  Speaker 1: what if he's the guy that comes up with the
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: bases loaded twice, it gets two hits. So if I'm
• 27:42
  Speaker 1: stacking them, like, I'm not personally leaving out anyone as
• 27:44
  Speaker 1: much as I don't want to play, Nick Allen.
• 27:47
  Speaker 3: Yeah, no, two point five k second Bay shortstop eligible,
• 27:50
  Speaker 3: especially if you're running multiple teams you're on sabersim like,
• 27:53
  Speaker 3: I think it's a mistake to x out individual bats
• 27:57
  Speaker 3: because yeah, I mean there's a reason, like everything simulated,
• 28:01
  Speaker 3: hundreds of thousands of simulations.
• 28:02
  Speaker 2: It's what it gets you.
• 28:03
  Speaker 3: I mean, you see a zero in baseball if they're
• 28:06
  Speaker 3: cheap enough at a onesie position on the winner sometimes
• 28:09
  Speaker 3: even in large field tournaments, because.
• 28:11
  Speaker 2: It's what it gets you.
• 28:12
  Speaker 3: After that, I prefer the Nats of the Astros of choosing,
• 28:15
  Speaker 3: and I think mainly it has to do with the
• 28:17
  Speaker 3: bottom of the order. I feel better with the Nats
• 28:19
  Speaker 3: to roll it over than some of those guys on
• 28:21
  Speaker 3: the Astros. But both are definitely good. Sean said, can
• 28:24
  Speaker 3: you game stack it, Absolutely, but it's not gonna sneak
• 28:27
  Speaker 3: past anyone, So try and find a way to get
• 28:29
  Speaker 3: a little different. I think probably a little better in
• 28:32
  Speaker 3: magular Yeah, probably a little better in larger field than
• 28:36
  Speaker 3: smaller field.
• 28:37
  Speaker 2: Yeah, sack.
• 28:38
  Speaker 3: Both sides will be popular. Game stack will be popular.
• 28:40
  Speaker 3: At bats in this game will be very popular. But
• 28:44
  Speaker 3: like Matt said in the beginning, the smaller smaller field,
• 28:48
  Speaker 3: ownership usually concentrates more and the chalk gets more chalkier
• 28:52
  Speaker 3: because when there's sixteen people like people struggle to get different,
• 28:56
  Speaker 3: whereas in the flagship with twelve thousand or whatever it is,
• 29:00
  Speaker 3: ownership gets naturally spread out more from one to fifty
• 29:02
  Speaker 3: max ers.
• 29:03
  Speaker 2: So Michael's great to see.
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: You just just want to go real quick because you
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: asked me for the six through ninth. I didn't see
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: that the Nationals lineup had come out and Tanie's not
• 29:11
  Speaker 1: in there. But it's the same story. Like Nunya is
• 29:14
  Speaker 1: hitting ninth, he runs, he's got a bunch of steals
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: this year. You can play all these guys, uh while
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: through Nuniez, I mean one through nine. The Nationals have
• 29:23
  Speaker 1: been really really good against rities this year, so I
• 29:25
  Speaker 1: wouldn't be leaving anyone out. Obviously the top of the
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: lineup is more appealing, but those are the guys that
• 29:29
  Speaker 1: will get ownership. Yep, yeah, I mean for Big Aids.
• 29:33
  Speaker 3: Big Aids is on the lake up north, so I've
• 29:36
  Speaker 3: been enjoying a little break still in the MLB streets playing.
• 29:40
  Speaker 3: But yeah, obviously NFL season on an easy year round NBA,
• 29:44
  Speaker 3: it's a grind so I enjoy a little little break
• 29:47
  Speaker 3: during the summer, but always like hopping on talking.
• 29:49
  Speaker 2: What's up?
• 29:50
  Speaker 3: Easy, great to see. I hope you're doing well. All right,
• 29:53
  Speaker 3: We'll keep it rolling to the next game. On the slates,
• 29:55
  Speaker 3: Atlanta Braves and the New York Mets. Freddy Peralta world
• 29:58
  Speaker 3: not Al Lopez on the mound.
• 30:01
  Speaker 2: The Brews do.
• 30:02
  Speaker 3: A good job, a good job, lucky, whatever you may
• 30:05
  Speaker 3: call it. They get rid of pitchers at the right time,
• 30:07
  Speaker 3: especially when they're gonna get paid, and man, it has
• 30:10
  Speaker 3: not been good for mister Freddie Peralta. I have interested
• 30:13
  Speaker 3: in the Braves mainly in the top half of the order.
• 30:15
  Speaker 3: Like Drake Baldwin. I just want to play that guy
• 30:18
  Speaker 3: pretty much every single day. I think he's an elite
• 30:20
  Speaker 3: play against Freddy matt Olsen, I think is pretty good.
• 30:24
  Speaker 3: Top half of the order struggle a little bit when
• 30:27
  Speaker 3: I get to the bottom. As far as the Mets
• 30:29
  Speaker 3: against Lopez, Ewing, Juan Soto, Lindor prefer the lefties, I
• 30:36
  Speaker 3: don't know. I think especially if the Astros and the
• 30:38
  Speaker 3: Nats get canned and you need to find other spots
• 30:41
  Speaker 3: for bats, I think this is the game that i'd
• 30:43
  Speaker 3: want to get to But then yeah, I mean, if
• 30:46
  Speaker 3: the other game plays, this game is going to be
• 30:48
  Speaker 3: pretty low owned. And it is actually one of my favorites.
• 30:50
  Speaker 3: I think game stack on both sides is viable. I
• 30:54
  Speaker 3: think it's a tough slate for bats as bad as
• 30:56
  Speaker 3: pitching is. You think a lot of stacks stand out.
• 30:59
  Speaker 3: Not really the case for me. So yeah, I have
• 31:00
  Speaker 3: interested in both the Mets and the Braves, and ownership
• 31:03
  Speaker 3: is in check.
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: What about you, Yeah, I think you might like this
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: game a little bit more than me, But I don't
• 31:09
  Speaker 1: like I'm not. I completely understand why I should say
• 31:14
  Speaker 1: game what nuts. Yesterday, ten to ninth final, the Braves
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: scored a ton in the bottom of the ninth, including
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: a Baldwin grand slam. I had talked about the Braves
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: a bunch. They were the worst offense in baseball in June,
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: but there's a reason they were the best offense in
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: baseball prior to that. I mean, this team is loaded.
• 31:31
  Speaker 1: Their offense is really good. Obviously still missing Akunya, but
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: against the struggling Freddie Peralta, they're definitely in play here. Baldwin,
• 31:40
  Speaker 1: after really struggling coming back from the injured list. He's
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: been hot recently Grand Slam yesterday in the ninth So yeah,
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: Peralta is in current form. Not a guy I'm afraid
• 31:53
  Speaker 1: to pick on. I don't have to pick on him,
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: like he's not a gas can. But you're talking about
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: lower ownership than the team up top, like the Dodgers
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: Braid or the Dodgers Nationals and Astros. So yeah, I
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: get it. And then the Mets same story. Braves have
• 32:08
  Speaker 1: a good bullpen and it's not like Lopez is gonna
• 32:11
  Speaker 1: pitch crazy deep into this game, but he can get
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: got pretty sure. He got roughed up his last start
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: against the Cardinals. I believe the Mets. I mean, they
• 32:20
  Speaker 1: put up ten yesterday. They've underwhelmed much of the year,
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: but now Lindor back. They haven't had Lindor and Soto
• 32:27
  Speaker 1: in the lineup together like much at all. Now they
• 32:29
  Speaker 1: do so with bens Ewing in there as well. Yeah,
• 32:35
  Speaker 1: both these teams look good at stacks. There are a
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: couple other teams later that I think I might like
• 32:42
  Speaker 1: more than you, but I could see liking these teams
• 32:44
  Speaker 1: more than them. You know. It's the type of slate
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: where anything different from the Dodgers, Astros and Nats. Is
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: gonna be different, so I dig it.
• 32:53
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean you can just see right here on
• 32:54
  Speaker 3: this stone, like all these run totals. I mean, this
• 32:57
  Speaker 3: is kind of what we're comparing. I like the Braves
• 32:59
  Speaker 3: and the Met's personally more than his next four teams.
• 33:02
  Speaker 2: But you're all, you're just.
• 33:04
  Speaker 3: Flipping coins based on the run lines at that point.
• 33:06
  Speaker 3: So I am curious to hear which teams you like
• 33:09
  Speaker 3: a little more. Is it the Brewers or the Cardinals?
• 33:11
  Speaker 3: Shane Johan Dustin May on the mound Again, I talked
• 33:16
  Speaker 3: about Dustin may So. I don't like the brew Crew
• 33:18
  Speaker 3: as much. Cardinals they got some pop, I mean, Jordan Walker,
• 33:22
  Speaker 3: I definitely have interest in Nelson Blasquez Herrera. I'm fine
• 33:27
  Speaker 3: with the Cardinals. Again, I prefer Braves and Mets more,
• 33:30
  Speaker 3: and I'm gonna play a little Dustin May So.
• 33:32
  Speaker 2: I don't love the Brewers too much.
• 33:33
  Speaker 3: But again, it's a seven game slate with a possibility
• 33:36
  Speaker 3: to be a six game slate. Both of these teams
• 33:38
  Speaker 3: are low owned with a good amount of chalk around,
• 33:40
  Speaker 3: so it's baseball. Uh, do you like you to these
• 33:43
  Speaker 3: two teams?
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: Yeah? I think I like this game more than you,
• 33:47
  Speaker 1: but namely the Milwaukee side. Dustin May was not good
• 33:52
  Speaker 1: in his last start and got destroyed in the start
• 33:54
  Speaker 1: before that, and a little bit out of rhythm right now.
• 33:59
  Speaker 1: You mentioned he pitched three games ago. I'm kind of
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: counting that as more or less like a bullpen session
• 34:04
  Speaker 1: for his pitch count. But I don't know if everything's
• 34:07
  Speaker 1: right with Dustin May right now. And I think that
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee has real upsided tournaments. I think that like projections
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: and run totals aren't going to be as high on
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: Milwaukee as some of the teams facing Worset pitchers here,
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: and that makes sense. And I think they're floor is
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: probably lower than some of those teams, especially really expensive
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: price tags. But man, Milwaukee's got high ceilings all over.
• 34:29
  Speaker 1: We've seen them break a lot of slates this year,
• 34:32
  Speaker 1: and at low ownership, they were one of the teams
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: I was talking about as I think I like them
• 34:37
  Speaker 1: more than the Braves and Mets. That being said, I
• 34:40
  Speaker 1: view those teams like very similarly, like all on the
• 34:42
  Speaker 1: same tier, below the top teams on the slate, but
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: with really high upside that won't get love.
• 34:49
  Speaker 3: Yeah fair enough, I mean Brewers run a lot too.
• 34:51
  Speaker 3: Both teams gonna be low owned. I cannot argue at
• 34:54
  Speaker 3: one bit. We got a couple games left at first.
• 34:58
  Speaker 3: Anyone that's tuned in a little late first, well, we
• 35:00
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• 35:03
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  Speaker 3: months left. It is an absolute grind, so you cannot
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  Speaker 3: beat that band for your buck. Top back over to
• 36:03
  Speaker 3: the stone. We got three games left, the Padres and
• 36:06
  Speaker 3: the Diamondbacks Walker Bueller, Brandon fought, fought on the mound.
• 36:11
  Speaker 3: We have two ground ball pitchers, and I mean a
• 36:14
  Speaker 3: solid total. Again, if we're comparing, like these three games
• 36:18
  Speaker 3: all look so similar to me, at least like run totals,
• 36:21
  Speaker 3: ownership all that, I prefer the Mets and the Braves
• 36:23
  Speaker 3: the most. I don't have a strong lean between these four.
• 36:28
  Speaker 3: So you like the Brewers quite a bit. How do
• 36:30
  Speaker 3: the d Backs and the Padres stack up to the Brewers.
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: I also like both these teams a lot. You know,
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: tough going to this park anytime, but on this slate
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: with no cores, no Sacramento. If there was ever a slate,
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: like a main slate to go to San Diego, it
• 36:46
  Speaker 1: would be this one, smaller slate. They still won't get ownership.
• 36:52
  Speaker 1: You get an inconsistent at best, but that's the nicest
• 36:55
  Speaker 1: I can say about Brandon Fott and a bad bullpen.
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: I don't think the Padres get like any love tonight,
• 37:01
  Speaker 1: and I like them here coming off a long losing
• 37:02
  Speaker 1: streak last night with a win over the Dodgers, now
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: coming back home. They're so cheap too. Cronin Worth in
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: the two hole at two K like, yeah, a man.
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: I like the Padres, and then I also like the Diamondbacks.
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: Bueller was in a decent stretch before he got shelved
• 37:19
  Speaker 1: his last start. Now you're getting Arizona lineup that doesn't
• 37:24
  Speaker 1: strike out, gonna put the ball in play. Ballparked downgrade
• 37:27
  Speaker 1: for them, and I think they do get some ownership
• 37:31
  Speaker 1: because of the Walker Bueler. People like picking on him,
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: so I like. I personally like San Diego more, but
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: I also like Arizona, and I do view both these
• 37:39
  Speaker 1: teams like right on par with the Brewers, Braves, and Mets.
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: All right.
• 37:43
  Speaker 3: I think Corbyn Carroll is one of the best plays
• 37:45
  Speaker 3: on the slate at four point nine K. I also
• 37:48
  Speaker 3: think Jay cronin War is one of my least.
• 37:50
  Speaker 1: Under five K is crazy for Carol, Yeah, absolutely ridiculous
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: with you, that's crazy and then I think cronin Wors
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: probably one of the worst GPP plays, just because I
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: think it's gonna be so easy for people to plug
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: him in at two K.
• 38:05
  Speaker 3: If they go to the Nats in the Houston game,
• 38:07
  Speaker 3: they're gonna go to cronin Worth to fill at second
• 38:09
  Speaker 3: base for cheap. You're gonna go Schlitler. You need savings,
• 38:12
  Speaker 3: you can go to cronin Worth's for cheap. When I
• 38:14
  Speaker 3: am playing Croninworth, I wanted to be mainly in Podre
• 38:17
  Speaker 3: stacks or if I'm already getting different at pitcher or fading.
• 38:20
  Speaker 3: That Chalky game is kind of how I see it.
• 38:23
  Speaker 3: I struggle a little bit to play Chalk's one off, like,
• 38:27
  Speaker 3: oh he's gonna really I mean, you know what Chalk
• 38:30
  Speaker 3: and baseball is that all right? Maybe he's like fifteen
• 38:33
  Speaker 3: or sixteen percent in the flag Ship.
• 38:36
  Speaker 1: That's Chalky as hell. I mean, yeah, I played him
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: a bunch. I'll be in bad matchups against the Dodgers
• 38:41
  Speaker 1: and he was like three percent of but different slates
• 38:43
  Speaker 1: for sure.
• 38:44
  Speaker 2: And so yeah, and.
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: First personally, I'm with you, like I like chrona Worth
• 38:49
  Speaker 1: because I like the Padres, but I'm not playing him
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: as a one off most likely. I'm with you.
• 38:53
  Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean it's it's a two k price tag
• 38:55
  Speaker 3: when you have your dog. James Woods Slittler like it
• 38:58
  Speaker 3: just ones he position should't second base.
• 39:01
  Speaker 2: It just feels really easy to do it.
• 39:02
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I just I feel like al Tuve at
• 39:05
  Speaker 1: three to six will also be really popular. But you're right,
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: like the Nationals don't have a popular Specond basement because
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: they're guys hitting ninth to that point.
• 39:13
  Speaker 2: Yeah, you're right.
• 39:14
  Speaker 3: I do think it's gonna be al Tuove and then
• 39:15
  Speaker 3: Cronenworth is the two is the two chalkis?
• 39:18
  Speaker 2: I agree with that for sure.
• 39:19
  Speaker 3: All right, let's get to what I'm hoping to be
• 39:21
  Speaker 3: a picture's duel in San fran Landing Rope coming Gossman
• 39:25
  Speaker 3: on the Mound. We have a low total. I've already
• 39:28
  Speaker 3: talked about it. These are two of my favorite pictures.
• 39:30
  Speaker 3: But that being said, they're both going to get some ownership,
• 39:33
  Speaker 3: and I mean ownership on the bats and the stack
• 39:36
  Speaker 3: side is going to be very low owned. Gossman doesn't
• 39:39
  Speaker 3: ring too well in our picture rankings though, so if
• 39:41
  Speaker 3: you're just going based on our proprietary tools and ownership
• 39:45
  Speaker 3: and all that maybe you can make a case for
• 39:47
  Speaker 3: some of the giants, I mean Devers, maybe he can
• 39:49
  Speaker 3: keep it going. I don't love it, but yeah, I
• 39:53
  Speaker 3: think dev is a solid one off three point nine k.
• 39:55
  Speaker 2: I mean, some of these prices are ridiculous.
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: He should never be under four k. Like ever, it
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: doesn't matter where they're playing, who they're facing, He's been
• 40:02
  Speaker 1: consistently too cheap. I know he got got going in Colorado.
• 40:07
  Speaker 1: I feel like you get the same leverage off of
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: Gousman as you do Jackson, Schlitler and Man. Gousman's floor
• 40:16
  Speaker 1: is low, like when he doesn't have his best stuff,
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: he can get hit. If this were in any other ballpark,
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: I'd be more interested in San Frans just tough to
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: get there as a full stack here. I feel the
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: same about Toronto. You want to play a Vland one off, sure,
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: full stack probably.
• 40:32
  Speaker 3: Not totally with you. Not much more to add to
• 40:35
  Speaker 3: that game. Let's get to the last game of the night, Dodgers.
• 40:39
  Speaker 3: The highest run total taken on Kyle Freeland the Rockies
• 40:42
  Speaker 3: against Eric Lower Again, Lawer is going to get some ownership,
• 40:45
  Speaker 3: as you can see. At only six K against the
• 40:48
  Speaker 3: Rockies on the road. You mentioned it from the beginning.
• 40:51
  Speaker 3: You can hold in your excitement for the Rockies when
• 40:53
  Speaker 3: you're comparing him to the Yankees. He said that you
• 40:56
  Speaker 3: have some interests, and again makes sense. Lower is gonna
• 40:59
  Speaker 3: get some ownership. Rockies not getting much ownership, get the
• 41:02
  Speaker 3: guaranteed ninth in a at bats.
• 41:06
  Speaker 2: It's tough for me to do. There's no doubt about that.
• 41:08
  Speaker 2: Hunter Goodman is a stud.
• 41:10
  Speaker 3: Spending up overpaying at catcher five point seven k I
• 41:13
  Speaker 3: think is pretty interesting, don't mind, Tyler Freeman.
• 41:17
  Speaker 2: The Dodgers is the bigger question for me. They're gonna
• 41:19
  Speaker 2: get ownership regardless.
• 41:21
  Speaker 3: If we lose the Astros Nats game somehow, then this
• 41:24
  Speaker 3: game definitely gets ownership. A lot of five man Dodgers
• 41:27
  Speaker 3: stacks will be paired with Eric Lauer because of how
• 41:30
  Speaker 3: cheap he is, So just know all of that. And Freeland,
• 41:33
  Speaker 3: I mean, there's a good amount of lefties that the
• 41:35
  Speaker 3: Dodgers have projected in this order, and Freeland's tough on lefties.
• 41:39
  Speaker 3: With that being said Freddie Freeman, Kyle Talker, mun see,
• 41:42
  Speaker 3: you're talking about elite lefties that can figure out mediocre
• 41:46
  Speaker 3: left handed pitching.
• 41:47
  Speaker 2: So is.
• 41:50
  Speaker 3: This the spot that you're gonna jam the Dodgers and
• 41:51
  Speaker 3: then talk about the Rockies.
• 41:53
  Speaker 1: I feel like this is one where if the Nats
• 41:56
  Speaker 1: Astros game play is I like the Dodgers a lot
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: in tournaments, is even with a run total higher, I
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: think because of the left on left factor and price tags,
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: both Astros and Nationals will be as high owned as
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: the Dodgers full stacks here. So in that case, I
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: like the Dodgers. If the Astros and Nationals game doesn't play,
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: I think the ownership just gets two out of hand
• 42:21
  Speaker 1: against Kyle Freeland, who I'm with you, like, he's not
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: good and I like picking on him, but I don't
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: need to pick on him at like what I think
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: is probably double the ownership of any other team on
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: the slate at that point. So yeah, I mean the
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: Dodgers are very much like the Astros and Nationals here.
• 42:39
  Speaker 1: They're undoubtedly one of the top stacks on the board.
• 42:41
  Speaker 1: They're always a tough fade. Their lineup is amazing, and yeah,
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: you feel a little bit better fading them tonight because
• 42:49
  Speaker 1: Freeland's a lefty. But like to your other point, I mean,
• 42:53
  Speaker 1: if all the lefties Freeland we're facing, we're Freeman o'tani
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: Tucker like he wouldn't be good at all, So well, yeah,
• 43:01
  Speaker 1: tough eight. I think you can play the Dodgers as
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: many stacks one offs, but they're really really expensive. So
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: to your point, I do think that a lot of
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: builds are going to have lower with them, and at
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: that point, like I don't know if I want to
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: play them as such, like at such high ownership, but
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: I don't know, Like, is there any update on the
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: Astros and Nationals? Probably not too far.
• 43:24
  Speaker 2: Yeah, I literally just looked and no update so far.
• 43:28
  Speaker 3: And again he said in the write up that you
• 43:30
  Speaker 3: have to check that closer to game time because its
• 43:32
  Speaker 3: scattered storms. I'm just gonna hope it plays, and to
• 43:34
  Speaker 3: be honest, if it plays, like I'm fine eating that
• 43:37
  Speaker 3: chalk and I'm fine playing the Dustin may rope. Eric
• 43:40
  Speaker 3: Lauer like getting weird at pitcher combinations to jam in
• 43:44
  Speaker 3: that game on a good amount of teams, but we
• 43:46
  Speaker 3: gave a lot of like I like the Mets Braves
• 43:49
  Speaker 3: game and Matt liked Brewers, d Backs, Padres. Those are
• 43:54
  Speaker 3: kind of the stacks to get a little different if
• 43:56
  Speaker 3: you want to get all the way off the board
• 43:58
  Speaker 3: to get a lot of leverage Rays, Yankees. I like
• 44:02
  Speaker 3: I said, this is solid seven games late, you know,
• 44:05
  Speaker 3: like this is why I like twenty teams in a
• 44:07
  Speaker 3: lot of different sports. With baseball, for sure, you could
• 44:09
  Speaker 3: have two Yankee stacks, two Rocky stacks, six stacks or
• 44:17
  Speaker 3: five stacks on the Astros and the Gnats. Like right there,
• 44:20
  Speaker 3: you just got overweight on Astros, Nats, Yankees, Rockies without
• 44:25
  Speaker 3: and then you still have a couple teams left to
• 44:27
  Speaker 3: do what you want to do.
• 44:28
  Speaker 2: And that's just.
• 44:28
  Speaker 3: Because Rockies and Yankees and Rays get you so much leverage.
• 44:32
  Speaker 3: Then yeah, you're jamming some truck with the Gnats and
• 44:35
  Speaker 3: the Astros. But Saving Simon does a good job with
• 44:37
  Speaker 3: portfolio diversifier. That's important for baseball. You should if you're
• 44:41
  Speaker 3: playing twenty plus teams, probably have your pitcher on some
• 44:44
  Speaker 3: teams and then a stack against them on some others
• 44:48
  Speaker 3: for so much equity in first place. Nowadays, in all
• 44:51
  Speaker 3: DFS sports, all you care about is that one bubble
• 44:54
  Speaker 3: on the far right. Everything else could be on the
• 44:56
  Speaker 3: far left and you will not care one bit. So
• 44:59
  Speaker 3: I think some people get little too concentrated in their
• 45:01
  Speaker 3: portfolio or stacks sometimes anything like that. That's all seven
• 45:06
  Speaker 3: games anything on that on the slate before we get
• 45:08
  Speaker 3: on out of here.
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: No, So I agree with that. That's something that I
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: you know, still uh you know, work on in my
• 45:15
  Speaker 1: process is trying not to be too concentrated in MLB,
• 45:18
  Speaker 1: especially because the results are so random. I mean, I
• 45:21
  Speaker 1: mentioned it once already just in terms of like MLB
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: and how baseball will baseball in terms of the Royals
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: and the Phillies right now, but honestly, like you take
• 45:31
  Speaker 1: it a step farther, if this game were on the
• 45:34
  Speaker 1: main slate, the Royals would win the slate. You know
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: what I'm saying against Christopher Sanchez, like at no ownership,
• 45:40
  Speaker 1: So I mean you know what I mean, Like literally,
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: look no farther than that game, it's not on the
• 45:45
  Speaker 1: main slate, and Sanchez probably would have been on this slate. Honestly,
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: Sanchez would have been like seventy percent for sure.
• 45:53
  Speaker 2: I mean that just shows it right there.
• 45:54
  Speaker 3: You don't have to go back to any days a
• 45:56
  Speaker 3: current game right now that's going on. Sanchez by far
• 46:01
  Speaker 3: the best picture on this slate in real life for
• 46:03
  Speaker 3: matchup everything, and the Royals the opposite stack at what
• 46:07
  Speaker 3: probably would have been one percent ownership would have won
• 46:10
  Speaker 3: all the tournaments, lucky guess. As we talked about it,
• 46:12
  Speaker 3: you and I on this show, it's when you win.
• 46:14
  Speaker 3: How much do you win on a sport with this
• 46:16
  Speaker 3: much variance, when you're a Hall of famer, when you
• 46:18
  Speaker 3: succeed throughout it ten times, and even if you go
• 46:21
  Speaker 3: three for four and three singles and nothing else like
• 46:23
  Speaker 3: the long ball. But like baseball is such a unique sport,
• 46:27
  Speaker 3: ownership means so much, and I think you should really
• 46:30
  Speaker 3: concentrate on that if you're not already, and then really
• 46:34
  Speaker 3: even hyper focus on it. Even if you are, see
• 46:36
  Speaker 3: what the best players are doing, what's their cumulative ownership,
• 46:39
  Speaker 3: how are they building on a seven games slate versus
• 46:41
  Speaker 3: eleven games slate versus a four game slate and all
• 46:44
  Speaker 3: of that. So we have a great discord Reo phenomenal
• 46:48
  Speaker 3: in the MLB streets as well. He's in there. We
• 46:51
  Speaker 3: got Matt like our man choke set. Oh he's talking
• 46:54
  Speaker 3: about some good weed that he got with our man
• 46:56
  Speaker 3: pop Stonner. But yeah, Matt is a very very good
• 47:00
  Speaker 3: high stakes player in a lot of different sports. So
• 47:02
  Speaker 3: I always love talking baseball, talking DFS, sucking all theory
• 47:06
  Speaker 3: with you.
• 47:07
  Speaker 2: I hope tonight is a good night. For many final
• 47:09
  Speaker 2: thoughts before we get on out here, Matt.
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: No man should be a fun slate. Hopefully we get
• 47:14
  Speaker 1: newsbout that National's Astros game. Nothing worse than like not
• 47:17
  Speaker 1: going but or not knowing I should say, but yeah,
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: it should be a fun. A man always fund talking
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: ball with you, whatever support it may be at that time.
• 47:26
  Speaker 3: Absolutely, and yeah at least that game is at six
• 47:29
  Speaker 3: forty five Eastern with a six forty start time, so
• 47:32
  Speaker 3: do remember a little earlier start time than usual. Over
• 47:35
  Speaker 3: content will be up on the site MLB Slate Station.
• 47:38
  Speaker 3: We combine everything into one projections Ownership and the Stone
• 47:42
  Speaker 3: updated throughout the nights.
• 47:44
  Speaker 2: We will be back.
• 47:45
  Speaker 3: Tomorrow talking some baseball. Get over to the nation. Check
• 47:49
  Speaker 3: out all the packages like bun subscribe button on the
• 47:51
  Speaker 3: way out helps for mama, Matt. I'm titled good luck,
• 47:55
  Speaker 3: be safe pieces.
• 48:11
  Speaker 4: Hans, Hans, Hans mother Hans must have them step ten
• 48:27
  Speaker 4: ms and then still