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NCAAB Best Bets 2/7/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: Yep. Inside, I want to kill myself. We're on OWN
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: seven run over the last two days after tonight it
• 0:08
  Speaker 1: was just complete bullshit. So that's that's I'm gonna start
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: off this show horrible Sunday one and five. I don't
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: even know what to tell you above that. I just
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: don't want to do this anymore. I have never seen
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: anything like this. Man with the slump continuing. Two straight losses,
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: not a good day at all. Own four, I have
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: not had a good season. Man with wookends slump that
• 0:34
  Speaker 1: I'm on, and the slump continues, I've reached a new peak. Actually,
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: I'm going to burn my Bruins hat man. I don't
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: know what is going on with the Bruins arch hape?
• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Is that what it is? I don't even know it's
• 0:47
  Speaker 1: March ninth, I think who even knows? Man, I don't
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: know what data is anymore. But I don't even know
• 0:53
  Speaker 1: what data is anymore. Man, back with you after the
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: worst day that I could possibly have, Back with you
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: as I always am until I die at least oh
• 1:04
  Speaker 1: and two. Yesterday and yesterday it did not go well
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: for me. Own five the worst month that I've ever
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: had in my eighteen years doing this. I don't know
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: what to even tell you about this anymore. The slump,
• 1:16
  Speaker 1: the slump discontinuus, the slump continues. Somebody fucking kill me, please.
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: I don't even know what I should do at this
• 1:25
  Speaker 1: point other than potentially end it all. What's up, everybody,
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: It's towed back with you. This is Toadstool Sports. This
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: is the College Basketball Show, Late edition, well early or
• 1:41
  Speaker 1: late whatever, whichever you want to describe it as. February seventh, Saturday,
• 1:46
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna come back and I'm gonna do the normal
• 1:48
  Speaker 1: daily show, which is just gonna be NBA. And I
• 1:50
  Speaker 1: haven't even looked at NBA y at a full disclosure,
• 1:53
  Speaker 1: so I'm being selective with college basketball. I got four
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: plays that I'm gonna give out here. I like them
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: well off, trying to really whittle down, like to the
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: best situations that I see. Hopefully the numbers are all
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: right in these two. But we got to get into it. Man,
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: this is I hope this doesn't take very long. I
• 2:14
  Speaker 1: know last week it was like a three hour show.
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: I'm hoping that is not the case here. Last night,
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: of course, I was out Opeth. Good show, definitely good. Yeah,
• 2:25
  Speaker 1: they played for like two hours, and then of course
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: I wind up running into all these issues. The fucking subway.
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: The train system is an absolute disaster. It's even worse
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: in Boston any other city. Horrible, just delays for no reason.
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: I don't know what's going on. Train's full at midnight,
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: when nobody's even in the city anymore. You know. The
• 2:47
  Speaker 1: Celtics game was already over. We got the win on
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: the Miami Heat, by the way, although they blew the
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: outright win, but I'm happy as a Celtic fan. Got
• 2:54
  Speaker 1: the Celtics won, but Miami covered, so I'll take that,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: even though the money line part of the bet was
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: a loser. But uh the bet was a win one
• 3:03
  Speaker 1: and oh yesterday and then uh yeah, and then I'm
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: driving home and the main road that I cut through
• 3:11
  Speaker 1: to get well, it's a road that I cut through
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: to get between two other main roads, and it's like
• 3:14
  Speaker 1: the only way to really do it. It's just completely
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: blocked off by cops. I don't even know what they're doing.
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: So then I'm like, all right, well, I'll put it
• 3:23
  Speaker 1: in my GPS figure out with the quickest ways to
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: get around this, even though I live right here. I'm like,
• 3:29
  Speaker 1: I gotta figure, like tell me. But then of course
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: it's not in the GPS system in Google Maps. They
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: don't know that that road's blocked. So I'm like trying
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: to be like, no, take a different route here. I'm like, fuck,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: I have to just start driving to get it to
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: like change the root. I'm like, this is so stupid, man.
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: And it was snowing, which is awesome. Yeah, almost got
• 3:50
  Speaker 1: stuck or kind of got stuck in a snow bank
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: and had to get out of it, so that's awesome
• 3:54
  Speaker 1: as well. Kyle, what's up. Thanks for hanging out. Let's
• 3:57
  Speaker 1: get into this, man. I do not want to take
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: too long with this. I don't know how I could
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: shorten this, but I'm gonna try, because I know I
• 4:04
  Speaker 1: talk about most of the big games. I talk about
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: the TV games. A couple of my games are the
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: late ones. Let's get into it. Number nine Nebraska at
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: Rutgers on Big ten Network at noon. Nebraska. They are
• 4:18
  Speaker 1: coming off a couple of pretty big games, man, against
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: Michigan and the Illinois. And you know, I gave out
• 4:23
  Speaker 1: Illinois as a play because when a team loses their
• 4:26
  Speaker 1: undefeated season that deep into the season, and it's in
• 4:29
  Speaker 1: a massive game and they almost win as a huge underdog.
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: That was like a real confluence of events. I was like,
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: you gotta just fade Nebraska coming into that one, So
• 4:39
  Speaker 1: we did that. They did take that second loss. A
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: lot of times you lose the same game twice. Now,
• 4:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know how they were spawn because the game
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: was pretty much over, so it wasn't like they took
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: Illinois to the y or whatever. But it was still
• 4:52
  Speaker 1: a big game. They lost the game. Now they have
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: to go to Rutgers for third road game four games,
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: and they have Purdue on deck, which is a big game.
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: So I think this is still a negative spot for Nebraska.
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: It's not gonna be on my card, but I would
• 5:06
  Speaker 1: lean to Rutgers plus the points in this one. Rutgers
• 5:10
  Speaker 1: coming off a really embarrassing thirty two point loss. They
• 5:13
  Speaker 1: went out. I mean, they played a good game at
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: They played two good games in a row before that.
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: At home. They took Michigan State to overtime. Then they
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: had to go out to the Pacific Coast. They played
• 5:22
  Speaker 1: well again against USC. I think they might have caught
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: USC in a decent spot there, and then they got
• 5:29
  Speaker 1: drilled by Ucla in the next game, but coming back
• 5:32
  Speaker 1: home off of that, off of blowout loss, you can
• 5:35
  Speaker 1: kind of explain why they weren't that great in the
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: USC game, although USC is obviously better than they are,
• 5:41
  Speaker 1: but they have played decently in some of these games.
• 5:44
  Speaker 1: Rutgers has their only conference wins have been at home.
• 5:48
  Speaker 1: They played Ohio State fairly close at home. They almost
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: beat Michigan State at home, though they have a couple
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: of uglier games at home as well, and well really
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: just the Indiana destroyed them at home, but other than
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: that them better at home at the very least, I
• 6:02
  Speaker 1: would take the points with the Rotgers. Nebraska's up to
• 6:07
  Speaker 1: a thirteen and a half point favorite, ninety three percent
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, ninety nine percent of the cash. Probably
• 6:11
  Speaker 1: not accurate, but lean Rutgers for me in that one.
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: I feel like I'm gonna race through this, but I
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: don't know. Man ESPN at noon Syracuse at number eighteen Virginia,
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: I don't have a good feel for this. Syracuse did
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: just lose by ten at North Carolina. They are playing
• 6:28
  Speaker 1: a third road game in four games, playing two pretty
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: big road games in a row, but they were getting
• 6:32
  Speaker 1: destroyed in that game against North Carolina. I think North
• 6:35
  Speaker 1: Carolina basically just packed it in early because I think
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: they were looking ahead to Duke I believe when they're
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: playing today in one of the biggest games of the day.
• 6:44
  Speaker 1: So that score wasn't really indicative of what happened. Syracuse
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: really got blown out in that game. But they're not
• 6:51
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Virginia like they might show up before a
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: game against Virginia, and we know Virginia is gonna be
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: laying a lot of points. Virginia plays slow, but Virginia's
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: coming have an easy oneever, pit they don't really have
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: anything upcoming. Florida State not a great team, so this
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: doesn't look like a rorle spot for Virginia. So what
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: do we do with this game? I mean, obviously it's
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: not on my card. Virginia down from thirteen to twelve
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: and a half here, and you know I mostly do sides,
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: so you know, I might lean towards Syracuse taking the points.
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: Virginia they do play slow a lot of times, they
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: won't blow their opponent out. Yeah, I don't know the
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: totals in the one forties. I don't really have much
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: of a feel for that game. At all though. Number
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: twenty one Arkansas at Mississippi State ESPN two at noon.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: Arkansas did just lose as a home favorite to Kentucky,
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: so they may bounce back from that, although you could
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: also make the argument that was a pretty big game
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: because Kentucky has all that name recognition. They're going back
• 7:53
  Speaker 1: out on the road, second road game in three games.
• 7:56
  Speaker 1: I could see the I could see both arguments. I
• 7:58
  Speaker 1: could see the argument that this is a bounce because
• 8:00
  Speaker 1: when teams lose as a favorite at home a lot
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: of times they will bounce back. I could also see
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: the argument that was a big game. They only have
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: LSU on deck and as he was completely falling apart,
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: Mississippi State is not a very good team. Obviously, Arkansas
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: is the better team here. Mississippi State is coming back
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: home after they lost at Missouri. They played a fairly
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: tough game at Missouri. Missouri were pretty big favorites in
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: this game six and a half, and Mississippi State was
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: kind of in the game right to the end of
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: the game. So I do think that probably Arkansas is
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: the way to look in this one because they had
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: the worst game in the previous game, whereas they're facing
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: a weak Mississippi State team that almost pulled off an upset,
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: even though Mississippi State should get up for a big
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: team like Arkansas coming into their place. You can only
• 8:47
  Speaker 1: maintain that effort for so long when you're not a
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: good team, and if you're facing an Arkansas team, it's
• 8:52
  Speaker 1: gonna be mad off of that loss and will have refocused.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: I'd probably lay it with Arkansas. They're up from five
• 8:58
  Speaker 1: and a half to six here, seventy five percent of
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: the tickets eighty four percent of the cash on ourkets.
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: So I haven't even seen these percentages yet, but my
• 9:05
  Speaker 1: thoughts seem like they're kind of in alignment with what
• 9:08
  Speaker 1: we see in the market there. I'm number twenty four.
• 9:11
  Speaker 1: Louisville at wake Forest ACC Network Noon. Louisville coming off
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: a winterver Notre Dame at home, doesn't really matter. Not
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: an impressive win, but they may be looking ahead to
• 9:22
  Speaker 1: the NC State man. NC State's up near the top
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: of the conference right now. They're playing some good basketball
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: this season. They're a good team, and they've been under
• 9:29
  Speaker 1: the radar for a lot of the seasons. So there
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: is the possibility that Louisville does not totally pay attention
• 9:35
  Speaker 1: to Wake in this one. Wake not having a good season,
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: Wake off of four straight losses. They just kind of
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: got blown out on this home floor by NC State,
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: who are a good team though, and Wake's just sitting
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: at home, so I kind of need to waken this one.
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: Louisville up to a ten point favorite though, from seven
• 9:54
  Speaker 1: and a half, so I don't know why that line
• 9:56
  Speaker 1: moved like that, but I would lean towards taking the
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: points with Wake. Take the Wake in that one, Charles,
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: what's up? Thanks for hanging out all right. Espn U
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: at noon for some reason is televising Temple at East Carolina.
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: Don't ask me why. This game is pretty much garbage,
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: mostly because East Carolina sucks now. Temple beat East Carolina
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: in the first matchup already at Temple. But I believe
• 10:24
  Speaker 1: Temple did not cover. No, No, they did. I'm surprised
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: they were seven and a half way favorites. I guess
• 10:31
  Speaker 1: when the line went off, the line was right around
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: where the final score was. They won by eight, so
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: I just think that's something to really not even pay
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: much attention to there, the fact they won by almost
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: exactly what the spread was. What is a big factor
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: those Temple just beat South Florida. That's a big game.
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: South Florida is up near the top of the American
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: standings here, and they are indeed one of the best
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: teams in this conference along with Tulsa. I think those
• 10:57
  Speaker 1: are the top two teams in the conference rays wise,
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: and they're at the top right now. So Temple, you
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: could definitely argue they're in a letdown spot off of
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: that win against South Florida. Plus, yes, they did already
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: beat East Carolina, so maybe they don't take East Carolina
• 11:12
  Speaker 1: totally seriously. However, East Carolina is coming off pulling off
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: a big upset themselves at Florida Atlantic. There were double
• 11:20
  Speaker 1: digit underdogs in this game ten and a half, so
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't want to be on a team
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: that just pulled off a major upset like that. So
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: both teams are kind of in negative situations in this one.
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: I don't love the spot at all for either team. Really.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: I think it is probably worse for East Carolina though,
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: because they're coming off an upset of that magnitude at
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: ly spread wise, although I don't know if it was
• 11:40
  Speaker 1: in their mind, like how big of an underdog they
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: really were. The line has moved on Temple up from
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: two and a half to three and a half. I
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: guess I would agree with it with leaning towards Temple,
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: but they're also coming off a big win. I want
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: no part of the game, so it's a pass. The
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: game is on TV if people want to watch it,
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: but pass for me. Fox at noon Wisconsin at Indiana
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: a pretty big game in the Big Ten. The game
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: probably means more to Indiana though, because they're a bubble
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: team right now, and if you saw my bracketology from Thursday,
• 12:13
  Speaker 1: I have Indiana as one of the last teams in
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: the field right now. I think in the first four.
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: I believe it is where I have them right now.
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin is more securely in They've been on a really
• 12:21
  Speaker 1: nice run aside from a home loss to USC but
• 12:25
  Speaker 1: they had the win over Michigan is probably going to
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: put Wisconsin in alone now. They did just meet Ohio State,
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: decent win for them. They do have Illinois and Michigan
• 12:35
  Speaker 1: State on deck and those are two huge games as well.
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: So there is the potential that they do overlook Indiana
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: because Indiana's just had kind of a mediocre season so far.
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: Indiana's coming back from the Pacific Coast. They did just
• 12:47
  Speaker 1: lose at USC. I gave that out as a winner
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: on the show. Indiana was in a really bad spot.
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: They'd upset Perdue, then they'd gone on the road and
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: upset UCLA and double overtime, so I just think they
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: had nothing left. Fourth road game in five games, really
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: really difficult spot there. Now they're back at home, and
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: you know, this is a floor where they did beat Purdue.
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: They've played some decent games at home. They've been better
• 13:11
  Speaker 1: at home generally. They only lost by six at home
• 13:14
  Speaker 1: to Nebraska. That's a good result. They did lose by
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: seventeen to Iowa, but Iowa solid and they beat a
• 13:21
  Speaker 1: decent Washington team, and they destroyed Penn State on this floor,
• 13:25
  Speaker 1: although Penn State's awful. But yes, I would lead to
• 13:29
  Speaker 1: Indiana in this one. They're a four point favorite, believe
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: it or not. So that's another thing to look at.
• 13:34
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on them, sixty seven percent
• 13:37
  Speaker 1: of the tickets, seventy six percent of the cash on Indiana.
• 13:40
  Speaker 1: But that's another thing, like if you see a spread
• 13:42
  Speaker 1: like this that looks misleading, that is something you got
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: to take into account right, because the public is gonna
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: see this and think, why would I lay points with
• 13:49
  Speaker 1: the team with the worst record, Right, That's always what
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: they think. But the Oswegers are telling you there's not
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: much of a difference between these two teams. I don't
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: know how much Ken Pump has them separated. He's got
• 13:59
  Speaker 1: Wisconsin fortieth in the country actually, and has a pretty
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: lucky team, so that's not a good sign. He's got
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: Indiana as a better team at thirty fifth and less lucky.
• 14:09
  Speaker 1: So ken bum is basically in alignment with the odds
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: makers on that one. So yes, I would lean Indiana
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: in that one. Indiana is in fact, actually the better
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: team according to the power ratings guys, the odds makers, etc.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: TNT true TVs. Villanova and Georgetown in the Big East. Villanova,
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: I agree that they're the third best team in this conference.
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: I was correct about Saint John's yesterday, but I got
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: a lot of those college college leans right yesterday. Man.
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: I was correct about Belmont and Murray State as well,
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: even though they were somewhat public road teams public road favorites.
• 14:47
  Speaker 1: I still thought the spot was decent for them. Villanova
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: is coming up a decent win Overseaton Hall, but they
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: don't really have anything upcoming, although they did already beat
• 14:56
  Speaker 1: Georgetown as well, so there is the potential they might
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: overlook Georgetown even though they only have Marquette next, which
• 15:02
  Speaker 1: isn't a big deal really, Georgetown coming into this on
• 15:06
  Speaker 1: a nice role four wins in a row. They did
• 15:09
  Speaker 1: just be Creighton at home, which I believe was a
• 15:13
  Speaker 1: mild upset. Let me see or no, Georgetown might have
• 15:15
  Speaker 1: been favored. Yeah, they actually were. I remember that, yeah,
• 15:18
  Speaker 1: because I actually thought Creighton was gonna win that game
• 15:20
  Speaker 1: because they are the better team. Now, Georgetown does have
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: Yukon next, but I just don't think they're gonna overlook Villanova.
• 15:26
  Speaker 1: I think I would probably have to lean to Georgetown here.
• 15:29
  Speaker 1: Villanova dropped from four to three and a half. And
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: you know, with Villanova involved, if they're gonna slow the
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: pace down, which they may very well do that because
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: that's what they always do and they are the better
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: team and it is easier to slow the game down.
• 15:41
  Speaker 1: So a lot of things indicate that Villanova will be
• 15:44
  Speaker 1: able to control the pace here. But if that's the case,
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: covering is a road favorite still doesn't seem like it's
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: gonna be that easy to me. Total low in the
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: one thirties, So I would probably take the points with
• 15:55
  Speaker 1: Georgetown Virginia Tech at NC State on the CW at noon.
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech, you know they might need this game more. Again,
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: need isn't like really a great thing to look at.
• 16:08
  Speaker 1: But if you know you're gonna get an effort out
• 16:10
  Speaker 1: of a team and they're gonna be an underdog, that
• 16:11
  Speaker 1: is definitely something to look at. And I think that
• 16:14
  Speaker 1: does potentially apply here as Virginia Tech is on the bubble.
• 16:18
  Speaker 1: As far as the tournament is concerned, NC State's pretty
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: securely in right now. NC State's a good team, man,
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: and they're playing well. Virginia Tech. They're coming off of
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: a loss of Duke, but the game wasn't really that close.
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: I don't really see them overlooking NC State here, although
• 16:32
  Speaker 1: of course it's not gonna be that easy to go
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: win and beat NC State. NC State is coming off
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: a good win over SMU on the road. SMU I
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: assume was favored of this game. Maybe they weren't. No,
• 16:44
  Speaker 1: they were a slight underdog. It was basically a toss
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: up a pick them, and NC State does have a
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: big ESPN game two days from now on Monday against
• 16:52
  Speaker 1: ranked Louisville SOO, it does look like they're in a
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: sandwich here, even though on the service looks like Virginia
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: Tech is too. But I would say the spot is
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: actually is actually a sandwich for NC State here, and
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: it's a worst spot for MC State. My lead is
• 17:07
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech. And this one looks like the money agrees
• 17:09
  Speaker 1: with me on this one too. NC State down from
• 17:12
  Speaker 1: ten and a half to ten here is a favorite
• 17:15
  Speaker 1: fifty ticket seventy eight percent of the cash of Virginia Tech.
• 17:18
  Speaker 1: I agree with that. Virginia Tech would be my leen
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: in that one. Plus the points of course, Drexel at
• 17:24
  Speaker 1: Elon for some reason is on TV. Maybe because it's
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: because it's Elon. Does Elon musk own the school yet?
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: I don't know. The Elon Phoenix against the Drexel Dragons,
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: the mythical creature is facing off of this one. UH,
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: CBS Sports Again, this is another game where I'm questioning
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: why it has a TV slot. Drexel did just lose
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: a three game win streak getting blown out at Campbell.
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: I think I thought Drexel would cover that number and
• 17:52
  Speaker 1: they didn't. Now they've lost a three game win streak.
• 17:56
  Speaker 1: Will they bounce back? I don't know, man, Sometimes when
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: you lose a win streak, you get hung over a
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: little bit. It is a second straight road game, Elon
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: has kind of fallen apart, So I don't know if
• 18:04
  Speaker 1: Elon's really a team that is gonna be paid much
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: attention to At this point, Elon's lost two games in
• 18:10
  Speaker 1: a row, not great at home to stony Brook was
• 18:13
  Speaker 1: way overrated, and then at Hampton. So Elon, you know,
• 18:18
  Speaker 1: they might be able to bounce back from this, but
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: they do have a huge look ahead here. They play
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: UNC Wilmington and William and Mary next, and those are
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: two of the top teams in this conference for sure,
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: So there is kind of a worry about a look
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: ahead spot here. And I don't believe these seams have
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: played each other this year, so there's no second meeting
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: to analyze here. So what do we do with this
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: one besides not playing the game? Obviously, Elon down down
• 18:46
  Speaker 1: a little bit from four to four with reduced juice.
• 18:49
  Speaker 1: It's a pretty low total in one forty and a half.
• 18:51
  Speaker 1: I guess I would lean towards Drexel plus the points
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: just because I think the look ahead spot for Elon
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: might be the biggest factor in that one. That's the
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: way I would lean, But it's not a strong opinion
• 19:04
  Speaker 1: the Fighting Christians. That is that a joke? I don't
• 19:08
  Speaker 1: I don't have any idea, to be honest, I'm assuming
• 19:12
  Speaker 1: that's a joke. But yeah, I have no idea Elon.
• 19:15
  Speaker 1: I didn't even know that that, Like, I had no
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: idea that they were a sports school until recently. I
• 19:21
  Speaker 1: think they're not that. I don't think they've been in
• 19:25
  Speaker 1: D one for that long. Oregon at number twelve, Purdue
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: at CBS or on CBS at one pm. Excuse me,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna have to look that up. That's really bizarre
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: and they should have left it that way. I'd root
• 19:39
  Speaker 1: for them if they were the Fighting Christians. Ore Gonna Purdue.
• 19:43
  Speaker 1: Oregon's having a horrible, horrible season. Purdue is probably better
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: than the twelfth ranked team in the country. Ken Bom
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: has them in the top ten rightfully, So Purdue is
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: a really really strong team. Oregon is not. But Oregon
• 19:56
  Speaker 1: is gonna be looking for a win anyway they can
• 19:59
  Speaker 1: get it, though, so they're probab gonna show up at
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: the very least. But they're going to Purdue, which is
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: not a familiar venue for them. Because Oregon is a
• 20:06
  Speaker 1: West Coast team, They're pretty new to this conference. Uh.
• 20:10
  Speaker 1: Purdue just ended a three game losing streak with a
• 20:14
  Speaker 1: win over Maryland. Easy win. Maryland's not good. I thought
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: Maryland would actually be more competitive in that game. I
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: was wrong. Maryland sucks. Now Purdue at least did end
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: their losing streaks. They do a momentum coming into this,
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: but they do have to play Nebraska next and that
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: is the potential look ahead there. That's gonna be a
• 20:31
  Speaker 1: big game. So that is the concern with purduing this one. A.
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: Purdue likes to play slow basketball to an Oregon plays
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: these really ugly games too. I'm you know, Purdue is
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: gonna win the game. I'm pretty certain of that, But
• 20:45
  Speaker 1: will they cover a twenty and a half point spread?
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: O they're up from twenty Maybe not sixty percent of
• 20:51
  Speaker 1: ticket seventy eight percent of the cash on Purdue. I
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: mean I kind of lean towards Oregon getting the points.
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: Purdue just doesn't really have a reason to come in
• 21:00
  Speaker 1: and blow Oregon out like I think it might be.
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: Just get in get out. They could win this game
• 21:05
  Speaker 1: by double digits and not cover totals pretty low one
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: forty three and a half. Again, do play slow. Oregon
• 21:12
  Speaker 1: plays ugly as well, so a low scoring game might
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: be in order in that game. We do have this
• 21:21
  Speaker 1: Max sun Belt whatever Max sun Belts challenge going on
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: today where those conferences are playing each other, which becomes
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: a weird handicap because you have to kind of figure out,
• 21:33
  Speaker 1: like which team is going to be more focused on
• 21:36
  Speaker 1: the surrounding conference games. You know, though, I guess it's
• 21:39
  Speaker 1: a similar handicap for you Mass. They just barely got
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: by Central Michigan in the last games, so they did
• 21:44
  Speaker 1: not play well, so you could argue they're going to
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: bounce back from a bad performance like that. However, after
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: they play Coastal Carolina, which they might not care about
• 21:53
  Speaker 1: because it's out of conference. And I will say I
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: think these home teams that they do have the advantage
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: in this challenge here because it's an unfamiliar venue to
• 22:03
  Speaker 1: the road team because it's an out of conference game,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: So I think there is a little bit of an
• 22:06
  Speaker 1: extra home court here. U Mass might also be looking
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: ahead because they have Akron and Miami Ohio on deck,
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: who are the top two teams in the conference. So
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: that's not that easy. So they're conflicting factors coming into
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: this game for U MASS. For Coastal Carolina, they just
• 22:22
  Speaker 1: lost a close game to Arkansas State. Arkansas State, it's
• 22:25
  Speaker 1: a good team, but I don't know if teams realize
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: that because they're not that high up in the standings
• 22:30
  Speaker 1: right now because they've underperformed. So I don't know how
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: big of a game that really was very very difficult
• 22:36
  Speaker 1: game to handicap. U MASS has gone up from a
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: one point favorite to one and a half point favorite.
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: Oddsmaker's telling you that the better team over Coastal. I
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I might slightly lean against that towards
• 22:51
  Speaker 1: Coastals because I do worry about that look ahead spot
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: that U MASS is in. I don't know that they're
• 22:55
  Speaker 1: really going to be focused on this out of conference
• 22:58
  Speaker 1: game and go to Myrtle Beach and a team like
• 23:01
  Speaker 1: U MASS might be distracted because they get to leave
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: cold Weather for a bit and go down to Myrtle Beach.
• 23:06
  Speaker 1: Basically they can get distracted by that shit. So I
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, I don't love you Mass in that one.
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: I think I would lean against them towards coastal. It
• 23:16
  Speaker 1: almost becomes like a bowl handicap Garrett, what's up man?
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: They start hanging out? Yeah, that North Carolina has to
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: play Duke today. It's gonna be an interesting game. I
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: don't have a strong feel for that game. Eastern Michigan
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: at app State. I don't remember if I had any
• 23:32
  Speaker 1: thoughts on this or not. Yeah, I do. Eastern Michigan
• 23:35
  Speaker 1: just almost beat Akron in their last game, after they
• 23:37
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off an upset of you Mass the game
• 23:40
  Speaker 1: before that. So East Eastern Michigan's coming off two huge performances.
• 23:44
  Speaker 1: Now they gotta go to App State, they gotta go
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: down to boone North Carolina, and after that they have
• 23:50
  Speaker 1: another pretty big game in the MAC against Kent State,
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: who's near the top of the conference as well. So
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: this looks like a pretty awful spot for Eastern Michigan.
• 23:58
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna lie App State though, I mean, will
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: they focus because app State is second in the Sun
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: Belt right now? Maybe that will have Eastern Michigan still
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: focused here. I don't love the spot for app State
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: either though, because app State did just upset Troy on
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: the Road, and then they beat South Alabama after that,
• 24:19
  Speaker 1: So they just beat the teams that are closest to
• 24:21
  Speaker 1: them in the conference. Troy is above them, of course,
• 24:24
  Speaker 1: and then South Alabama was right behind them. So app
• 24:26
  Speaker 1: State's coming up two big wins themselves. So I can't
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: really do it. I can't do anything with this game.
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: I would probably lean towards laying it with app State,
• 24:36
  Speaker 1: but I don't want to do it. Sixty tickets, eighty
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: five percent of the cash on Eastern Michigan. I don't
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: really agree with that cash percentage. Apps stayed up from
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: six to six and a half. I would probably lay
• 24:46
  Speaker 1: it in that one. Eastern Michigan and coming up those
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: two big games and going to an unfamiliar venue, really
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: one huge game in their last almost upsetting Acron is
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: pretty massive, man, So I don't like it. It's snowing
• 25:01
  Speaker 1: in North Carolina? Are you serious Myrtle Beach? I'm assuming
• 25:06
  Speaker 1: it's not snowing in Myrtle Beach. Oh yeah, it's snowing
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: up here in Massachusetts, so yeah, you know, it's cold weather.
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: It's snowing. Boone is kind of more like in the
• 25:20
  Speaker 1: mountains though, right it's it's the Boone Docks down in
• 25:23
  Speaker 1: the Boone Docks. The Boone Docks, Boone is closer to
• 25:29
  Speaker 1: the Appalachian Mountains, right. I'm pretty sure Chicago State at
• 25:34
  Speaker 1: New Haven. I looked at this game briefly because Chicago
• 25:38
  Speaker 1: State did lose at home to New Haven by double digits.
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: Already they're coming up in okay performance against Central Connecticut,
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: who's third in the conference right now. But I don't
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: really think that was that massive of a game New
• 25:49
  Speaker 1: Haven because they already won on the road at this
• 25:52
  Speaker 1: terrible Chicago State team they met overlooked them, and New
• 25:56
  Speaker 1: Haven Digits have a huge road game at Long Island,
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: who are the leaders of the Northeastern Conference here. New
• 26:03
  Speaker 1: Haven was a fairly big underdog in that game, and
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: they came fairly close to pulling off the upset there,
• 26:08
  Speaker 1: so I think they're gonna be in a hangover spot
• 26:10
  Speaker 1: off of that. And they do have third place Central
• 26:12
  Speaker 1: Connecticut next and then Long Island again, so things do
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: pretty much line up on Chicago State there. It's just
• 26:18
  Speaker 1: the Chicago State is a god awful team, but you're
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: gonna be getting a lot of points with them. They're
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: a six point underdog now New Haven, who still doesn't
• 26:27
  Speaker 1: even have a name, nameless new Haven. In this pregame
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: board here, they're up from five to six years, a
• 26:35
  Speaker 1: very low total of one twenty seven and a half.
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: So points will be at a premium most likely, and
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: this wouldn't expect to be a really ugly game. Chicago
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: State is absolutely atrocious though, so it's not on my card.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't even know if I could
• 26:49
  Speaker 1: stomach it, but I would lean to taking the points
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: of Chicago State in that one. I don't think it's
• 26:53
  Speaker 1: a good spot for New Haven. Plus, Chicago State is
• 26:55
  Speaker 1: an avenging road underdog in that one. Boon is four
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: thousand feet crazy wind. That's yeah, that is pretty wild.
• 27:08
  Speaker 1: The wind isn't that crazy year. Although it did start
• 27:10
  Speaker 1: snowing last night. We're not gonna get a ton of
• 27:12
  Speaker 1: snow up here this time, but it is snowing throughout
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: the day today. We're gonna get like potentially half a foot.
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: I guess, I don't know, which really is not much
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: for up here. All right, Let's keep going, man, let's
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: keep going. If you want me to talk about some
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: of these other games, I will, I guess. So I'm
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: trying to get this done so then I can get
• 27:29
  Speaker 1: my Instagram videos up. I only four plays though, and
• 27:32
  Speaker 1: then I will put up the I will come back
• 27:36
  Speaker 1: and do the NBA for today. I would hopefully it's
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: not a lot of NBA games. I don't know, at
• 27:40
  Speaker 1: least there's no NHL today. SEC Network one pm. Missouri
• 27:45
  Speaker 1: at South Carolina. Not the greatest game in the SEC.
• 27:50
  Speaker 1: Lets just put it that way. Missouri is coming up
• 27:52
  Speaker 1: not the greatest performance against Mississippi State. A lot of
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: times when a team doesn't play well as a home
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: favorite like that, they will show up better in than
• 27:59
  Speaker 1: new game. But Missouri does have Texas A and M
• 28:02
  Speaker 1: on deck, and they're still sitting atop the SEC, even
• 28:05
  Speaker 1: though they're not even close to the best team in
• 28:08
  Speaker 1: the SEC. South Carolina. You know, at this point they're
• 28:12
  Speaker 1: probably kind of just starting to play out the stretch
• 28:14
  Speaker 1: and they're going nowhere this season, lost four games in
• 28:17
  Speaker 1: a row. Probably they'll show up for whatever game they
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: have in front of them. So this is a difficult
• 28:23
  Speaker 1: handicap man. Missouri has gone up from pick them to
• 28:27
  Speaker 1: a two point favorite, though they are the better team,
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: and if you do expect them to focus after they
• 28:31
  Speaker 1: didn't have the greatest performance in the last game. I
• 28:35
  Speaker 1: guess I wouldn't. I still want to disagree with laying
• 28:37
  Speaker 1: the points with the Missouri, but I don't know if
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: I really love it. I mean, I don't love it. Obviously.
• 28:42
  Speaker 1: That is nowhere close to my card. This next game,
• 28:45
  Speaker 1: I considered Middle Tennessee at Delaware, and Middle Tennessee continues
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: to be underperforming. Man, Like I thought they were like
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: the second best team in the Conference USA, and maybe
• 28:56
  Speaker 1: because they keep losing, we got to adjust our power
• 28:58
  Speaker 1: ratings on them. But I still don't think they that
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: bad of a team. And they keep losing. They're on
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: a four game losing street. They just lost again as
• 29:05
  Speaker 1: a home favorite. And you know, I keep talking about
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: when a team loses is a decent sized home favorite.
• 29:10
  Speaker 1: I think they were like five and a half six
• 29:12
  Speaker 1: against Florida International lost that game. Four losses in a row.
• 29:17
  Speaker 1: You gotta think they're gonna do something a bounce back here. Man.
• 29:20
  Speaker 1: They're playing Delaware. They have not played Delaware this year yet.
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: Delaware really not a good team. But Delaware is coming
• 29:28
  Speaker 1: off a game where they just played Liberty to within
• 29:31
  Speaker 1: six at home. Delaware on their home floor, Liberty probably
• 29:36
  Speaker 1: a little bit unfamiliar with Delaware because Delaware is new
• 29:38
  Speaker 1: to this conference. Liberty is the top team in this conference,
• 29:42
  Speaker 1: no question about that. So that was a huge game
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: for Delaware, so they could be a bit hung over
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: after that. Man, that was just such a monster game,
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: almost beating the best team in the conference. They only
• 29:52
  Speaker 1: have FIU up next Florida International, so it's not really
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: a look ahead or anything, but just simply I think
• 29:57
  Speaker 1: it would be a hangover spot for Delaware. So I
• 29:59
  Speaker 1: would lay points with Middle Tennessee in this one. And
• 30:02
  Speaker 1: also I don't think the public's gonna really want to
• 30:05
  Speaker 1: lay points with the basically a five hundred Middle Tennessee
• 30:09
  Speaker 1: team as a road team, even if they are up
• 30:11
  Speaker 1: against a team with a very bad record like Delaware.
• 30:14
  Speaker 1: But I would probably lay at Middle Tennessee is the
• 30:17
  Speaker 1: better team here in the better spot. They're down from
• 30:19
  Speaker 1: five to four. Here total is low at one thirty
• 30:23
  Speaker 1: and a half, so you might have to worry about
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: the total a little bit. Maybe points will be a
• 30:27
  Speaker 1: little bit of a premium, but I like Middle Tennessee
• 30:29
  Speaker 1: in that one. On New Hampshire Vermont, Vermont's on a
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: two game losing streak man Vermont after they lost their
• 30:36
  Speaker 1: three game win streak to nji T. Vermont losing is
• 30:40
  Speaker 1: a big favorite. They decided to follow that up by
• 30:42
  Speaker 1: also losing to Maine, who they hadn't beaten by that
• 30:45
  Speaker 1: much at home. Maine not having a good season either.
• 30:48
  Speaker 1: Vermont lost in Maine also is a favorite, So now
• 30:52
  Speaker 1: Vermont is I think they should be in a bounced
• 30:55
  Speaker 1: back spot here, but they're playing UNH and they already
• 30:57
  Speaker 1: beat UNH by almost twenty points on the road in
• 31:01
  Speaker 1: New Hampshire, So I don't know. Man, there's the possibility
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: that Vermont overlooks them, but I think after two ugly losses,
• 31:07
  Speaker 1: I don't really see Vermont overlooking them here, even though
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: they did already beat them once. So though UNH is
• 31:13
  Speaker 1: gonna show up too, UNH just lost at Brian, but
• 31:16
  Speaker 1: that did break a four game winning streak for them,
• 31:19
  Speaker 1: which sometimes that will hang you over into the next game.
• 31:22
  Speaker 1: It is a second straight road game for New Hampshire,
• 31:25
  Speaker 1: so I do actually think the spot is actually a
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: little bit better for Vermont, except for the fact that
• 31:29
  Speaker 1: New Hampshire will be an avenging road underdog here. Vermont
• 31:33
  Speaker 1: down from ten to nine and a half. I kind
• 31:35
  Speaker 1: of lean towards laying the points of Vermont in this one,
• 31:38
  Speaker 1: though I'm not really buying what New Hampshire has been
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: doing so far this year. They're never as good as
• 31:44
  Speaker 1: they look here in the conference this year, so I
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: just don't think that they are. The total is low,
• 31:50
  Speaker 1: the one thirty seven and a half, so if you
• 31:52
  Speaker 1: need Vermont to win by double digits, that is a
• 31:54
  Speaker 1: bit of an ask. And yeah, ken Bum has New
• 31:56
  Speaker 1: Hampshire pretty lucky in the top half of luck and
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: way outside of the top They're significantly outside of the
• 32:04
  Speaker 1: top three hundred in his rankings, so they're not a
• 32:06
  Speaker 1: legit team as usual. That whole conference is terrible, though.
• 32:12
  Speaker 1: Baylor at number seven Iowa State ESPN two PM, Baylor
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: is probably not quite as bad as the record makes
• 32:18
  Speaker 1: them look. They'll probably show up for a game against
• 32:21
  Speaker 1: Iowa State. They already lost at home to Iowa State
• 32:24
  Speaker 1: by double digits, so there's the potential Iowa State overlooks them.
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: Iowa State was only a three and a half way
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: favorite in that game, by the way, believe it or not,
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: so this Baylor team, they've underperformed a bit. They're coming
• 32:37
  Speaker 1: off two wins against West Virginia and Colorado, not huge wins,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: but enough that should give them some confidence back and
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: momentum coming into this game, although it's a third road
• 32:46
  Speaker 1: game in four games, having to go to Ames, Iowa,
• 32:49
  Speaker 1: which isn't that easy, but Iowa State might not take
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: them seriously at this point. Man, Iowa States coming up
• 32:55
  Speaker 1: just wrecking Kansas State on the road. They don't really
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: have anything big surrounding this game though. I Kansas State
• 33:00
  Speaker 1: not still not that impressive of a win, Kansas State
• 33:03
  Speaker 1: not having a good season at all, and they got
• 33:06
  Speaker 1: TCU up next, who is basically playing themselves out of
• 33:09
  Speaker 1: tournament contention. So I don't really know that this is
• 33:13
  Speaker 1: any sort of bad spot for Iowa State here, but
• 33:17
  Speaker 1: at least you probably know you'll get value grabbing the
• 33:20
  Speaker 1: points with Baylor here, and I think Baylor is at
• 33:22
  Speaker 1: least a somewhat competitive team. And if you consider the
• 33:25
  Speaker 1: fact that Iowa State was a three and a half
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: point favorite on the road against Baylor, like the fact
• 33:30
  Speaker 1: that they're a fifteen point favorite here, I know you
• 33:32
  Speaker 1: have to adjust the power ratings a bit, but this
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: seems like an over adjustment to me, Like I think
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: this line should probably be like eleven maybe something like that.
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: And that's with adjusting the power ratings a little bit.
• 33:46
  Speaker 1: I was state fifteen point favorite here, ninety five percent
• 33:49
  Speaker 1: of the ticket, seventy four percent of the cash on them.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: They're the public side, obviously, but I would I would
• 33:55
  Speaker 1: lean towards Baylor plus the points in that one. All right,
• 34:01
  Speaker 1: What other games that I even want to talk about here? Man,
• 34:06
  Speaker 1: I mostly wanted to talk about TV games. I think
• 34:08
  Speaker 1: Bonaventure and Fordham is kind of an interesting handicap. Bonaventure
• 34:13
  Speaker 1: just had two close games against George Mason and then
• 34:16
  Speaker 1: on the road at Dayton. They were surely an underdog
• 34:19
  Speaker 1: in both of those games, so Bonaventure is coming off
• 34:22
  Speaker 1: two big performances. Although I have been st Bonaventure is
• 34:25
  Speaker 1: not as bad as the record looks. I think they're
• 34:28
  Speaker 1: an underperforming team right now. But now they're playing a
• 34:30
  Speaker 1: third road game of four games, second straight road game
• 34:34
  Speaker 1: off of almost pulling off an upset of Dayton, who
• 34:36
  Speaker 1: was one of the top teams in the conference, and
• 34:38
  Speaker 1: that was after almost beating George Mason, one of the
• 34:41
  Speaker 1: other top teams. So this same Bonaventure team might run
• 34:44
  Speaker 1: out of gas here against Fordham. Problem is Fordham is
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: coming off a big game themselves. Well, they beat George
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Washington on the road two games ago and that was
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: a huge upset, and we had that one right that
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: was a winner on the show. George Washington was coming
• 34:57
  Speaker 1: up that huge game against Saint Louis, so they almost
• 35:00
  Speaker 1: upset them. Fordham pulled off that huge upset and they
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: didn't suffer a letdown. They hosted VCU and they put
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: it in another big performance and almost upset VCU. So
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: Fordham is coming up to really massive performances as well.
• 35:15
  Speaker 1: So they're also in a bad spot here, man, So
• 35:18
  Speaker 1: what do we want to do with this game? I
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: think that if both teams are in a bad spot
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: like that, I think you actually probably didn't have to
• 35:24
  Speaker 1: start leaning towards the better team, and that is Saint Bonadventure,
• 35:28
  Speaker 1: as the oddsmakers are telling you, because they're lining them
• 35:30
  Speaker 1: as a favorite here. Pretty much they're up from pick
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: them to one, even though they're on the road. So
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: even though people might look at this and see that
• 35:37
  Speaker 1: same Bonavencer's record is just really bad, actually worse than
• 35:42
  Speaker 1: Fordham's in in conference. Like, I don't know the public
• 35:45
  Speaker 1: if they look at this game, they're probably not gonna
• 35:47
  Speaker 1: want to lay a point or whatever with Bonadventure, but
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: I guess I probably have to lean that way. I
• 35:52
  Speaker 1: would be Bonadventure money line in that one if I
• 35:54
  Speaker 1: was gonna play it. Yeah, they were ten and zero,
• 35:59
  Speaker 1: but it was against an out of conference schedule that
• 36:02
  Speaker 1: I assume was also really weak. Yeah, I mean, look
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: at this schedule, this is weak as hell. Man. Although, yeah,
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: they played your nc UNC tar Heels. They lost that game,
• 36:15
  Speaker 1: of course. Yeah, they faced a really really weak out
• 36:17
  Speaker 1: of conference schedule. But I still think at this point
• 36:20
  Speaker 1: Bonaventure is not as bad as their record looks. They've
• 36:22
  Speaker 1: had some pretty competitive losses in the A ten here.
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: But you can't look at like just what their record was,
• 36:29
  Speaker 1: like what a team's record was out of conference. It
• 36:32
  Speaker 1: could be ten and zero, but it could be against
• 36:33
  Speaker 1: all absolute shit teams, you know what I mean. So
• 36:36
  Speaker 1: that record doesn't really matter much at all. You have
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: to look at who they played. You can be very
• 36:41
  Speaker 1: very misled by teams out of conference record. TNT two
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: pm Kansas State at TCU, Kansas State, Kansas State. Like
• 36:54
  Speaker 1: I said, they just got blown out at home by Iowa. State.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: They've lost a ton of games. Whatever they've lost. I
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: think this is eight of their last nine games going
• 37:03
  Speaker 1: back out on the road. I think you'll you probably
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: should at least get focused out of Kansas State here.
• 37:08
  Speaker 1: I mean, nobody really wants to have this many losses
• 37:10
  Speaker 1: and get blown out like that. TCU. I mean, they're
• 37:14
  Speaker 1: coming off losing fairly ugly at Colorado as well, getting
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: blown out, really having to go out to ev into elevation.
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: But they were coming off a somewhat tight game against
• 37:23
  Speaker 1: Houston the game before that, so it was it was
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: not a great spot for TCU. A TCU coming into
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: this game. I believe they are the better team here. Yeah,
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: they're a nine and a half point favor here, but
• 37:36
  Speaker 1: the public is kind of on them. Seventy five percent
• 37:38
  Speaker 1: of tickets, only seventy two percent of the cash. So
• 37:41
  Speaker 1: the Margaret Reed is saying to take the points of
• 37:43
  Speaker 1: Kansas State here. I I somewhat disagree with that. I
• 37:49
  Speaker 1: don't know. I think it is a spot where both teams
• 37:52
  Speaker 1: are going to be in bounced back mode. I kind
• 37:54
  Speaker 1: of lean George TCU unless they have some bigger well
• 37:57
  Speaker 1: they do have. Iowa stayed up next actually, maybe I
• 38:01
  Speaker 1: don't know. Maybe I would dial it back a little
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: bit on that, I guess, because maybe that is a
• 38:05
  Speaker 1: look ahead Iowa State in three days, even though both
• 38:08
  Speaker 1: teams to me seemed like they kind of should show
• 38:10
  Speaker 1: up here. But all right, yeah, I mean, I guess
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: I'll lean with the market in that one to Kansas
• 38:16
  Speaker 1: State plus the points, but don't love the game at all.
• 38:19
  Speaker 1: Long would have Winthrop interesting game here. Long would already
• 38:24
  Speaker 1: beat Winthrop at home, which is gonna be interesting because
• 38:27
  Speaker 1: how many losses does Winthrop have you in the Big
• 38:29
  Speaker 1: South this year? Yeah, they got one and it was
• 38:32
  Speaker 1: too long Wood. And I keep saying that if a
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: team has one loss in conference this latent conference playing,
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: they know who dealt them that loss, so they usually
• 38:40
  Speaker 1: show up in that game. So Longwood should show up
• 38:44
  Speaker 1: as well, because it's a big game against Winthrop and
• 38:46
  Speaker 1: they're only coming up beating Gardner. I almost said Georgia Webb.
• 38:50
  Speaker 1: Gardner Webb, who's terrible, very very bad, like one of
• 38:54
  Speaker 1: the three worst teams in Division one. Probably according to
• 38:57
  Speaker 1: ken Bom, Long would third road game games though, but
• 39:01
  Speaker 1: they're not gonna overlook Winthrop. But Winthrop is also not
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook them because, like I said, Winthrop's one loss
• 39:07
  Speaker 1: was to Longwood, so they gotta pay attention to this.
• 39:10
  Speaker 1: But they are coming up a pretty decent win on
• 39:12
  Speaker 1: the road against Radford who was sort of close to them,
• 39:16
  Speaker 1: right behind them in the standing, So I don't want
• 39:18
  Speaker 1: to do anything with this game. Winthrop did drop from
• 39:22
  Speaker 1: eleven and a half to ten and a half. You know,
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: I could see the argument for it, just because Winthrop
• 39:28
  Speaker 1: is coming off a better game, a bigger game against
• 39:34
  Speaker 1: Radford there, and they don't need style points here to
• 39:37
  Speaker 1: get their revenge against long With They just need to
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: win the games. So I don't know. Maybe I do
• 39:42
  Speaker 1: need towards taking the points there, but I usually I
• 39:44
  Speaker 1: do not love fading a team when they're facing that
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: one team at dealt them a loss. You know a
• 39:49
  Speaker 1: lot of times they'll come in and want to just
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: beat them up. So I would not be surprised if
• 39:53
  Speaker 1: Winthrop won that game by margin as well. Gardner Webb
• 39:57
  Speaker 1: at Presbyterian, Oh yeah, Gardner Webb, that team I just mentioned,
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: that's awful, Yes they are. But Presbyterian they're coming to
• 40:04
  Speaker 1: a couple of big games. Man. They just played Winthrop
• 40:06
  Speaker 1: High Point and Radford and were decently competitive in all three.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: They almost upset High Point on the road, they came
• 40:13
  Speaker 1: off of that, and they played a decent game against
• 40:15
  Speaker 1: Radford too. Now, coming up with all that, they got
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: to host Gardner Webb, who they already beat on the
• 40:21
  Speaker 1: road by thirty seven points. So I just don't know
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: if they're gonna have any focus here for this game
• 40:27
  Speaker 1: against Gardner Webb. Although they only have Charleston Southern up next,
• 40:30
  Speaker 1: but I believe that's at least an in state game
• 40:33
  Speaker 1: there between Presbyterian and Charleston Southern. I think they're both
• 40:36
  Speaker 1: South Carolina schools, although Gardner Webb is too. Wait is
• 40:40
  Speaker 1: Gardner Webb? No, I'm looking at a Presbyterian there. Wait
• 40:43
  Speaker 1: a minute. I don't know where Gardner Webb is, to
• 40:45
  Speaker 1: be honest, in North Carolina. Apparently boiling Springs. It doesn't
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: sound great boiling springs North Carolina. If you get in them,
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: you're gonna be boiled like a frog, like a toad.
• 41:00
  Speaker 1: I would lean to Gardner Webb in this one. I mean,
• 41:01
  Speaker 1: Gardner Webb is an avenging road underdog that got absolutely
• 41:04
  Speaker 1: embarrassed in that first game, So I think that is
• 41:08
  Speaker 1: the way, I would have to lean in that one
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: for Presbyterians coming up that run of games. It's not
• 41:13
  Speaker 1: on my card Presbyterian up from sixteen and a half
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: to seventeen. I know, I haven't hit any of my
• 41:17
  Speaker 1: plays yet, don't know. I don't have any plays that
• 41:19
  Speaker 1: are that early. Most of them are pretty late. Total
• 41:23
  Speaker 1: is fairly low in that one in one forty seven,
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: so taking the points kind of makes sense there too.
• 41:27
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports won two PM Butler at Marquette Butler. This
• 41:31
  Speaker 1: is the big Big East here. Butler's lost three games
• 41:34
  Speaker 1: in a row, but they did already beat Marquette at
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: home by double digits, and they have Yukon on deck,
• 41:40
  Speaker 1: so there is the potential they're gonna still overlook Marquette
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: and look towards that big game on deck. Man, I
• 41:45
  Speaker 1: don't know, because Butler's pretty much not going anywhere this year,
• 41:49
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if that's gonna be the case
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: or not. For Marquette here. This game is a difficult
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: handicap Man. Marquette is coming off a close game against
• 41:58
  Speaker 1: Seaton Hall where they almost upset Seaton Hall on the road.
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: Would have been a pretty big win for them that
• 42:02
  Speaker 1: they got it and they got a big game up
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: next to against Villanova, although I don't really think they're
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: gonna overlook Butler because they did lose to Butler on
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: the road. Here, the money is coming in on Marquette
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: for what it's worth, up from one and a half
• 42:17
  Speaker 1: to two. I guess I agree with it. A little
• 42:20
  Speaker 1: bit of a revenge angle there maybe is what wins
• 42:23
  Speaker 1: out in this one sixty percent taket sixty two percent
• 42:25
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Marquette. You don't want to overrate revenge, though,
• 42:29
  Speaker 1: you know what I mean. So that would worry me
• 42:31
  Speaker 1: a little bit of Butler is coming off a bunch
• 42:33
  Speaker 1: of losses, whereas Marquette is coming up a bit of
• 42:36
  Speaker 1: a tougher game against Villanova. So that definitely worries me,
• 42:40
  Speaker 1: you know. And sometimes I do kind of lean into
• 42:42
  Speaker 1: what just happened because what just happened affects you physically
• 42:45
  Speaker 1: and mentally, so whereas all the rest of the stuff
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: is just mental. So I don't know. Man, very very
• 42:55
  Speaker 1: very difficult handicap in that one c W two PM
• 42:59
  Speaker 1: SMU pit SMU. They're likely to make the tournament. Here
• 43:04
  Speaker 1: they've lost two games in a row, but to Louisville
• 43:07
  Speaker 1: and NC State two good teams, but they just had
• 43:09
  Speaker 1: a close game against NC State. Man now they're coming
• 43:12
  Speaker 1: off of that and having to go to Pitt, who
• 43:13
  Speaker 1: has not had a good season at all. SMU only
• 43:16
  Speaker 1: has Notre Dame up next to not really a look ahead.
• 43:19
  Speaker 1: They have not played any of these teams. This is
• 43:22
  Speaker 1: not a second meeting or anything like that, but it
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: is probably gonna be pretty easy to overlook pitt Man.
• 43:27
  Speaker 1: For a Dallas team like SMU going up to Pitt
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: a place that they're not very familiar with coming off
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: a big game against ETC. State, I'd probably have to
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: lean to Pitt here. Pitt just got blown out and
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: only scored forty seven points against Virginia. Virginia is definitely
• 43:41
  Speaker 1: a good defense for sure, but bad game for Pitt.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: They do have Duke on deck, but I just don't
• 43:47
  Speaker 1: really see them overlooking SMU here. I think I would
• 43:52
  Speaker 1: lean towards taking the points with Pitt in this one.
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: SMU is up from four to four and a half
• 43:55
  Speaker 1: to four and a half with Juice, but I would
• 43:57
  Speaker 1: probably take the points with Pitt. It also looks way
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: too easy to lay that number. It's not a huge
• 44:02
  Speaker 1: number with SMU there ACC Network two pm. Miami at
• 44:06
  Speaker 1: Boston College. Trying to fly through these games. Man, Like
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: I said, Miami to just lose as a huge favorite.
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: They just lost at home to Cal, so they might
• 44:17
  Speaker 1: bounce back from that, because a lot of times when
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: a team loses is a huge favorite, the bounce back.
• 44:22
  Speaker 1: The problem is they have North Carolina on deck in
• 44:24
  Speaker 1: three days, so Miami going up into cold weather into
• 44:27
  Speaker 1: BC might not be fun for them. They might not
• 44:30
  Speaker 1: care about this game. So that's the worry that I have,
• 44:32
  Speaker 1: even though ideally they should bounce back from losing is
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: a huge favorite, but maybe that won't be the case.
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: Maybe they just won't care about BC still, and they'll
• 44:40
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to UNC, NC State, Virginia Tech, Virginia
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: all coming up next, all teams that are better than
• 44:47
  Speaker 1: Boston College. Boston College coming into this one off losing
• 44:52
  Speaker 1: to do pretty ugly. They covered, but they only go
• 44:55
  Speaker 1: forty nine points on the road. Now they're coming back home.
• 44:58
  Speaker 1: Last time they were here, they actually decently against Virginia
• 45:02
  Speaker 1: but lost. So what do we want to do with
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: this game? I probably actually lead to just taking the
• 45:07
  Speaker 1: points with BC in this one, and maybe Miami doesn't
• 45:11
  Speaker 1: realize that they were that big of a favorite against
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: Cal because Col's record was still fairly good. Miami down
• 45:16
  Speaker 1: from eight to seven and a half here, so yeah,
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: they might not have fun coming up to into the
• 45:23
  Speaker 1: snow up here, man, So I'll probably take I would
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: take the points with BC probably if I was gonna
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: play it, but I do not want to. All right,
• 45:33
  Speaker 1: we do have some IVY action that maybe I'll talk about.
• 45:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know Cornell and Columbia. The thing I noticed
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: was that Cornell Colombia is a two and a half
• 45:41
  Speaker 1: boy favorite, so the Osiegers are kind of telling you
• 45:43
  Speaker 1: Cornell is a slightly better team even though they're a
• 45:46
  Speaker 1: five hundred team. Colombia, for the second straight year they
• 45:49
  Speaker 1: played a week out of conference schedule, so the record
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: is it makes them look better than they actually are.
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: Cornell just lost a three game win streak with a
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: pretty ugly home loss to hen who was definitely inferior
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: to them. I know Cornell is near the bottom of
• 46:03
  Speaker 1: the IVY right now, but they're not that bad. They're
• 46:06
  Speaker 1: probably one of the top three or four teams in
• 46:08
  Speaker 1: the IVY. Colombia, I think is slightly worse than that.
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: Colombia did just lose at home as well to Princeton.
• 46:15
  Speaker 1: I think Colombia is probably a favorite in this game.
• 46:17
  Speaker 1: There were five and a half, so both teams are
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: coming off losing as a favorite. So I don't know.
• 46:23
  Speaker 1: I don't know what I would want to do with
• 46:24
  Speaker 1: this game. It is the battle of the two New
• 46:27
  Speaker 1: York ivys, though Colombia from two to two and a half,
• 46:30
  Speaker 1: and you know, maybe the game does mean a little
• 46:32
  Speaker 1: bit more to Columbia because they're usually one of the
• 46:36
  Speaker 1: worst teams in the IVY. They did already beat Cornell
• 46:38
  Speaker 1: on the road, though, so I don't know. That's kind
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: of an issue that I have with the Cornell's a
• 46:42
  Speaker 1: bit of an avenging road underdog here, so you know,
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: maybe I don't really agree with that line. But if
• 46:48
  Speaker 1: even though Colombia I think they get up for games
• 46:50
  Speaker 1: against Cornell because Cornell is usually the better of the
• 46:53
  Speaker 1: two teams in New York, I don't know. Maybe I
• 46:58
  Speaker 1: do actually slightly taking the points with Cornell. That total
• 47:02
  Speaker 1: is very high at one seventy. By the way, I'm
• 47:05
  Speaker 1: not really that familiar with what these teams due, although
• 47:07
  Speaker 1: I know Cornell almost always is a fast paced team,
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: So it might be a situation where it's gonna be
• 47:16
  Speaker 1: a really really fast paced game. Maybe the over makes
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: sense in a game like that. Denver at North Dakota
• 47:22
  Speaker 1: and I apologize I was wrong about I forget who
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: that was in the chat that had Denver. They got
• 47:27
  Speaker 1: that game correct, Denver pulled off the upsetting. It's North
• 47:30
  Speaker 1: Dakota State. I was not expecting that. I thought North
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: Dakota State after suffering a scare, I thought they were
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: gonna show up for that game and Denver, I thought
• 47:40
  Speaker 1: it was coming up with the more difficult game. So
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: I thought the spot lined up for North Dakota State
• 47:46
  Speaker 1: pretty well. And it was a second meeting, I think, yeah,
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: where Denver almost had pulled off the upsetting inast Ord
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: Dakota State the first time. So I thought North Dakota
• 47:54
  Speaker 1: State had multiple reasons to be focused in that game,
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: and I was completely wrong. Denver pulled up the big upset.
• 48:00
  Speaker 1: But now they're playing a third road game in four games,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: they got to play both North Dakota's here now, North
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: Dakota might still draw your attention because they're in third
• 48:09
  Speaker 1: place in the conference right now. But Denver, after pulling
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: off the upset of the undefeated team in the Summit
• 48:14
  Speaker 1: here in North Dakota State, the best team in the Summit.
• 48:17
  Speaker 1: They could be in a letdown spot after this for sure,
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: or North Dakota. North Dakota coming up beating Omaha, which whatever,
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: it'll just continue their momentum here had a big win
• 48:26
  Speaker 1: over Saint Thomas is a huge underdog in the previous game,
• 48:31
  Speaker 1: but they did not really suffer the letdown. They were
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: able to win at least coming off of that. But
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: it might be a better spot for North Dakota now, however,
• 48:38
  Speaker 1: they did already beat Denver on the road, so there's
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: the possibility they overlook Denver just because Denver's not that
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: good of a team and they already beat them on
• 48:45
  Speaker 1: the road. But because they probably just saw what Denver
• 48:48
  Speaker 1: just did, they'll probably take them seriously because Denver did
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: just upset North Dakota State. I would lean to North
• 48:55
  Speaker 1: Dakota here, laying the points throughout from two and a
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: half to three and a half here, I would, but
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: I think that number is getting a little bit pricing.
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: Ken Bum's got North Dakota's the tenth luckiest team in
• 49:07
  Speaker 1: the country, which does worry me a little bit in
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: that one, and they're not a good defense, although he
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: has Denver is the better team, so that does worry me.
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: Denver a little bit less lucky, although he does have
• 49:18
  Speaker 1: both teams lucky, and he's got Denver as an atrocious defense,
• 49:23
  Speaker 1: like one of the worst in all of college basketball,
• 49:25
  Speaker 1: like eighth or ninth worst than d one. So North
• 49:28
  Speaker 1: Dakota despite having a bad defense, it's still better than Denver's.
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: But both teams are high up in the lucky Index,
• 49:34
  Speaker 1: especially North Dakota. So it's a stay away from me.
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: But I would lay it with North Dakota and then alternatively, yeah,
• 49:43
  Speaker 1: North Dakota State, I would probably expect to bounce back,
• 49:45
  Speaker 1: but I don't know. Man, That's the tough situation here
• 49:49
  Speaker 1: because Omaha just played pretty well at North Dakota, although
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: North Dakota is only one and a half way favorite
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: in that game, so they actually covered and one and
• 49:59
  Speaker 1: a half. I recommend playing the money line, which they
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: also hit on. Obviously. Now Omah is coming up that
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: they're having to play two big games in a row.
• 50:06
  Speaker 1: Three Actually it was with Saint Thomas on deck, but
• 50:08
  Speaker 1: this will be the second of those. It is also
• 50:11
  Speaker 1: a third straight road game, which makes it a little
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: bit more difficult here for North Dakota State, though you
• 50:16
  Speaker 1: could argue it will go either way here, right, because
• 50:18
  Speaker 1: I talk about how a lot of times when a
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: team takes their first conference loss and they lose a
• 50:22
  Speaker 1: long winning streak, a lot of times they will be
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: hungover coming off of that because they're not used to losing,
• 50:30
  Speaker 1: so they might effectively lose the same game twice. They
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: already beat Omaha on the road, but only by two,
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: so I'm assuming Omaha probably covered that game, So that
• 50:40
  Speaker 1: could go both ways too, because I talk about how
• 50:43
  Speaker 1: in that first meeting, when the underdog cover, a lot
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: of times, the favorite will take them seriously the next time.
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: But North Dakota did beat them on the road. North
• 50:50
  Speaker 1: Dakota State excuse he did beat them on the road,
• 50:53
  Speaker 1: And they do have a couple of big games on
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: deck against North Dakota, who's right behind them in the
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: standings and is one of their rivals in state rival
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: and celt Dakota State on deck was kind of just
• 51:03
  Speaker 1: a conference rival of there. So there's a lot of
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: things to consider in this game that go both ways.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: This is an interesting game handicapping wise, and it is
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: a game with factors going both ways that I do
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: not love in norder to go to state up from
• 51:17
  Speaker 1: nine to nine and a half years. So the money
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: looks like it is coming in on laying the points
• 51:21
  Speaker 1: in Norderakota State. But I really really worry about them losing.
• 51:25
  Speaker 1: That about you know, them losing the same game twice
• 51:31
  Speaker 1: in a situation like this, you know what I mean?
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: That does concern me quite a bit, even though they're
• 51:35
  Speaker 1: coming off a really ugly performance against a bad team
• 51:41
  Speaker 1: in a game like that, I mean that hangover spot
• 51:43
  Speaker 1: after losing. Along wins streak has been so strong, I
• 51:46
  Speaker 1: almost kind of lean towards Omaha getting the points there,
• 51:49
  Speaker 1: but I don't want to touch it. And then Cleveland
• 51:51
  Speaker 1: State at IU Indy. Cleveland is coming off. Cleveland State
• 51:56
  Speaker 1: has reeled off five upset wins in a row. Just ridiculous.
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: This Cleveland State team is still not good at all,
• 52:03
  Speaker 1: but they won five games in a row, three of
• 52:05
  Speaker 1: them on the road, all five of them is an
• 52:07
  Speaker 1: underdog and they're just upset Oakland, who's probably the best
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: team our rating wise in the horizon. At some point
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: they got to run out of something here man, and
• 52:17
  Speaker 1: maybe it'll be here against a bad IU Indy team
• 52:20
  Speaker 1: who they already beat once in Cleveland State they got
• 52:23
  Speaker 1: Robert Morris and then Right State up next. Robert Morris
• 52:27
  Speaker 1: not good this year, though the Right State is one
• 52:30
  Speaker 1: of the best teams in the conference. I U Indy,
• 52:32
  Speaker 1: I mean they're Both of these teams are terrible defensively.
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: IU Indy plays way way fast too. They might show
• 52:39
  Speaker 1: up because their last three games have all been on
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: the road. They lost the last two, and the last
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: time they were at home they lost. So IU Indy
• 52:47
  Speaker 1: I think should show up here. I would lean to
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: IU Indy. I just don't think this run from Cleveland
• 52:52
  Speaker 1: State could continue or I U p U I what
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: they formerly were. They flip from a two and a
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: half point dodge to a one point favorite. I U
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: Indy has I would have to lean that way. And
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: I think an over is worth a look in this
• 53:04
  Speaker 1: game too, because IU Indie plays ridiculously fast and both
• 53:08
  Speaker 1: deepenses are gone awful, So that's why the total is
• 53:11
  Speaker 1: one to seventy. I think the over does make sense
• 53:14
  Speaker 1: in a game like that, all right, Sianna and Saint
• 53:18
  Speaker 1: Peter's is a pretty good game, man, only in the
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: two PM games. This is bad at least i'mout in
• 53:24
  Speaker 1: an hour yet I'm trying to get this game, get
• 53:27
  Speaker 1: this done, maybe by ten o'clock my time. Let's say
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: this is a good game, man. Sianna has been on
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: a nice run, man. They've won a bunch of games
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: in a row, and now they's second place in the
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: matt Act. And I told you they were one of
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: the better teams in this conference. At the very least.
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: They just beat Iona. That's a nice win between two
• 53:46
  Speaker 1: geographic rivals that are both kind of somewhere north of
• 53:49
  Speaker 1: New York City. Now they're going to play Saint Peter's.
• 53:52
  Speaker 1: I don't think they're gonna overlook Saint Peter's. They haven't
• 53:54
  Speaker 1: played them yet this year. Saint Peter's is also having
• 53:57
  Speaker 1: a really good season, of course, and they're right behind
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: Sianna now in the standings. Sianna just overtook them. Saint
• 54:04
  Speaker 1: Peter's is coming up an uglier game, barely getting by Manhattan,
• 54:08
  Speaker 1: who's not a good team on the road, where Sianna
• 54:11
  Speaker 1: just won one of their rivalry games, and Saint Peter's
• 54:13
  Speaker 1: might be might be playing with a little bit of
• 54:16
  Speaker 1: extra chip on their shoulder because it's like, well, who
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: is the Sianna team and how did they just overtake
• 54:21
  Speaker 1: us in the standings, you know, But then again, the
• 54:24
  Speaker 1: osricas of Tony, Sianna is the better team as they're
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: out from one to one with juice on the road here,
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: But I kind of lean towards Saint Peter's after what
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: these teams just did in their last games. Although I
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: agree Sianna is the better team, but I think the
• 54:38
  Speaker 1: public's gonna look at this and think it looks pretty
• 54:40
  Speaker 1: easy to play Sianna with this very very pretty record.
• 54:44
  Speaker 1: Looks almost too easy to play them. So I think
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: I kind of lean to Saint Peter's in that one.
• 54:49
  Speaker 1: Not a huge game, not a huge opinion for me.
• 54:52
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, all right. Espn U does have Princeton and
• 54:58
  Speaker 1: penn who are kind of I guess geographic ish rivals
• 55:02
  Speaker 1: in the IVY. Because it's New Jersey against Pennsylvania. This
• 55:07
  Speaker 1: is at two pm. It's on ESPNU. For whatever reason,
• 55:10
  Speaker 1: these teams are not that good this year. Princeton a
• 55:14
  Speaker 1: lot of times is one of the better teams in
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: this conference. Princeton already beat Pennsylvania at home, but by
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: two as three and a half way favorite. It's not
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: a whole lot of not a whole lot to read
• 55:25
  Speaker 1: into there. Princeton didn't cover, but I don't think that's
• 55:28
  Speaker 1: a big deal. But Princeton, you just pull off that
• 55:30
  Speaker 1: road upset at Columbia, Man, so they are coming up
• 55:33
  Speaker 1: an upset and they are playing a third straight road game,
• 55:36
  Speaker 1: so it's not the easiest spot for Princeton. Penn, however,
• 55:39
  Speaker 1: just upset Cornell on the road and they're coming back
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: home off of that, so it's not the greatest spot
• 55:45
  Speaker 1: for them either, and that was a bigger upset, seven
• 55:47
  Speaker 1: and a half point upset. You might not know it, though,
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: because Cornell's record is terrible, so maybe mentally they don't
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: really think that way. And because Penn already lost to Princeton.
• 55:58
  Speaker 1: Princess facing a third straight road game, I probably need
• 56:03
  Speaker 1: depend in this one, and they are off from two
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: and a half to three and a half here, I
• 56:06
  Speaker 1: wouldn't really disagree with that move. I would probably lay
• 56:09
  Speaker 1: it as well in that one, all right. Citadel at
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga was an interesting one when I looked at it.
• 56:16
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to remember all these games that I thought
• 56:18
  Speaker 1: were interesting. Man, I've hit all of them so far,
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: I think. So Citadel just lost. I know, I haven't
• 56:24
  Speaker 1: hit any of my plays yet. I get it. I
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: forget when my first one is. I think it is
• 56:30
  Speaker 1: coming up. Citadel just lost at Samford. They're playing a
• 56:34
  Speaker 1: second straight road game here, but they did just lose
• 56:36
  Speaker 1: by double digits. They get Chattanooga here. They haven't played
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: Chattanooga yet, but I think the spot is not great
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: for Chattanooga. Hearing Man. They just ended a losing streak.
• 56:45
  Speaker 1: So yeah, sometimes when you end a losing streak, you
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: will carry that momentum forward. But they did it by
• 56:52
  Speaker 1: beating Mercer, and Mercer is one of the better teams
• 56:54
  Speaker 1: in this conference. That was a good win for Chattanooga.
• 56:57
  Speaker 1: It was at home. I think it was kind of
• 56:58
  Speaker 1: a mild upset. It's still a pretty good win. And
• 57:01
  Speaker 1: that was off of playing well against Furman in the
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: prior game. And they're one of the better teams in
• 57:06
  Speaker 1: the conference right now too. And Chattanooga has the big
• 57:09
  Speaker 1: boy on deck. East Tennessee State, which is an in
• 57:12
  Speaker 1: state rival. East Tennessee State is atop the conference right now.
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: In the Soacon Chattanooga just played them to within one
• 57:19
  Speaker 1: at Chattanooga on a TV game not that long ago,
• 57:22
  Speaker 1: so that is a huge game on deck. So the
• 57:24
  Speaker 1: only way that I could look at this game is
• 57:26
  Speaker 1: to play the Citadel, even though they're not very good.
• 57:30
  Speaker 1: But the money, I don't know. There are some there
• 57:33
  Speaker 1: are some factors that disagree with each other and the
• 57:36
  Speaker 1: market read here Chattanooga's got seventy five percent tickets ninety
• 57:39
  Speaker 1: eight percent of the cash. But I think they will
• 57:42
  Speaker 1: be public. I would agree with taking the points of
• 57:44
  Speaker 1: Citadel here. Chattanooga done from ten to nine and a
• 57:48
  Speaker 1: half here, and they spelled Chattanooga wrong on this website,
• 57:50
  Speaker 1: which always kind of bugs me. My autism starts peaking. Man.
• 57:55
  Speaker 1: The line droves a little from ten to nine and
• 57:57
  Speaker 1: a half with juice, but yeah, I would lean to
• 57:59
  Speaker 1: the Citadel in that one, plus the points ole Miss
• 58:02
  Speaker 1: at Texas ESPN two SEC game here. Ole Miss has
• 58:09
  Speaker 1: lost four games in a row, so probably they will
• 58:12
  Speaker 1: show up at least for a game like this, But
• 58:14
  Speaker 1: it's a fourth straight road game as well, which is
• 58:17
  Speaker 1: really not that easy. Although when you've lost four games
• 58:20
  Speaker 1: in a row, a lot of times you will show up.
• 58:22
  Speaker 1: But Ole Miss is just not that good. This year,
• 58:24
  Speaker 1: Texas is definitely under the radar and they're coming off
• 58:27
  Speaker 1: a game where they won. They're staying at home, and
• 58:28
  Speaker 1: they beat South Carolina not by much, so not an
• 58:32
  Speaker 1: impressive win there for Texas. So it may very well
• 58:35
  Speaker 1: come down to the fact that Texas is staying at home,
• 58:37
  Speaker 1: so it sets up a little bit better for them,
• 58:39
  Speaker 1: and they're the better team and they're under the radar,
• 58:42
  Speaker 1: and they need to keep winning to try to play
• 58:45
  Speaker 1: their way back into the tournament. Year they're in the picture.
• 58:47
  Speaker 1: I have them in the first four right now, but
• 58:51
  Speaker 1: like the last four teams into the tournament, they're nine
• 58:54
  Speaker 1: and a half favorites, and they're nine and a half
• 58:55
  Speaker 1: point favorites for a reason. Man, eighty three percent of tickets,
• 58:59
  Speaker 1: eighty seven percent of the Texas money looks like it
• 59:02
  Speaker 1: might be indicating on Texas here, I would agree. I
• 59:04
  Speaker 1: would probably lay it with Texas in this one. It
• 59:07
  Speaker 1: looks like a lot of points sligh with a team
• 59:08
  Speaker 1: that doesn't really have the greatest record, but the Oswegers
• 59:11
  Speaker 1: are telling you they're significantly better than Old Miss, And
• 59:13
  Speaker 1: I keep telling you Texas is a very underrated team
• 59:17
  Speaker 1: right now. They probably should be in the tournament. Ken
• 59:21
  Speaker 1: Bam as them I think in like the top forty
• 59:23
  Speaker 1: in his rankings, so I think they should be in
• 59:28
  Speaker 1: an ole miss is ass but they will probably at
• 59:31
  Speaker 1: least try to show up in the game. But I
• 59:32
  Speaker 1: would probably lay it with Texas. But other than that,
• 59:36
  Speaker 1: you know, I don't have too many thoughts on that.
• 59:38
  Speaker 1: Missouri State at Liberty on CBS Sports. So this is
• 59:41
  Speaker 1: a TV game for Justin's Missouri State team, but they're
• 59:44
  Speaker 1: going in there having to play Liberty, who is the
• 59:46
  Speaker 1: best team in this conference. I don't believe that they
• 59:50
  Speaker 1: played this season yet, maybe this might be the only
• 59:54
  Speaker 1: time they play. Actually they might play once this season.
• 59:57
  Speaker 1: Missouri State's coming up a winner for Jacksonville State, who's
• 1:00:01
  Speaker 1: one of the decent teams in this conference. At least
• 1:00:03
  Speaker 1: decent win from Missouri State. They're gonna be focused at
• 1:00:06
  Speaker 1: least on Liberty here. Liberty comes into this game off
• 1:00:10
  Speaker 1: of almost losing at Delaware, though man Liberty did not
• 1:00:14
  Speaker 1: have a good game at Delaware, only winning by six,
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 1: So I think Liberty might show up in this game
• 1:00:19
  Speaker 1: just because they almost lost, and a good team like
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 1: that a lot of times will show up with focus.
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 1: The next time. They are the better team here. They're
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 1: getting the money as well. I wouldn't disagree with laying
• 1:00:29
  Speaker 1: it with Liberty here. That's the way I would lean
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 1: as well. Liberty up from eight to nine here with
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 1: Jews sixty five percent of the cash on them fifty
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 1: to fifty on the tickets. So yes, I agree with
• 1:00:37
  Speaker 1: Liberty in that one Fox two thirty pm. Here we go,
• 1:00:41
  Speaker 1: best bet number one. We have a sandwich spot here. Man,
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 1: I know it's difficult to do this. We're gonna fade
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 1: Kansas in Allen field House at maybe where they're kind
• 1:00:54
  Speaker 1: of peaking market value wise, man, and everybody's kind of
• 1:00:57
  Speaker 1: in love with Kansas again. Now Kansas looks really good,
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 1: and yeah, they're good, certainly better than they were last year.
• 1:01:03
  Speaker 1: But we're gonna take the points with Utah plus nineteen
• 1:01:06
  Speaker 1: and a half. And I know it's ugly. Utah sucks,
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 1: but Utah sucks. Wait what, Oh my god, No, I
• 1:01:12
  Speaker 1: gotta do it, even though I want to get this
• 1:01:14
  Speaker 1: show done. All right, Yes, they do suck, but they're
• 1:01:33
  Speaker 1: in a good spot here, man. Kansas. First of all,
• 1:01:35
  Speaker 1: they're more of a defensive team and they play slow,
• 1:01:39
  Speaker 1: so that's not that conducive to winning by a huge
• 1:01:42
  Speaker 1: margin here there, and they're pretty much an elite defense
• 1:01:45
  Speaker 1: and ken Bomb's top ten, but they're outside of the
• 1:01:47
  Speaker 1: top thirty on offense, and they play in the slower
• 1:01:50
  Speaker 1: third and they're a little bit lucky according to ken
• 1:01:52
  Speaker 1: Bomb one hundred and thirty fifth in lock, even though
• 1:01:55
  Speaker 1: they have faced the third most difficult schedule. And yes,
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 1: Utah's bad, no doubt it. They're outside of the top
• 1:02:01
  Speaker 1: one hundred in ken bom wherever they are, they're one
• 1:02:04
  Speaker 1: twenty three. They're a little bit less lucky according to
• 1:02:06
  Speaker 1: kem Bum. They've played it still a reasonably difficult schedule,
• 1:02:09
  Speaker 1: fifty third st the schedule, two seventeenth and locks, so
• 1:02:12
  Speaker 1: they've underperformed slightly. According to kem Bum, they played kind
• 1:02:16
  Speaker 1: of a mid tempo game. If they wind up playing
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 1: a slower game, I think that's still fine for covering
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 1: the number here. But yes, Utah is very bad on defense.
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 1: I know they're in the top one hundred offensively at least,
• 1:02:27
  Speaker 1: but I think this is all about the fact that
• 1:02:29
  Speaker 1: Kansas's style, well, it's all about the situation. Really. The
• 1:02:32
  Speaker 1: situation is really the main part of this. But Kansas's
• 1:02:35
  Speaker 1: style isn't that conducive to covering a huge number. Like
• 1:02:39
  Speaker 1: I said, they play slow and they focus on defense.
• 1:02:42
  Speaker 1: But look at the spot that Kansas is in, man, uh,
• 1:02:45
  Speaker 1: look at their last three games. They had to play
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game coming out of elevation. By
• 1:02:51
  Speaker 1: the way, that Elevation game in Colorado was a game
• 1:02:54
  Speaker 1: that they played with Bill self in the hospital, so
• 1:02:57
  Speaker 1: it was it might have been one of those games
• 1:02:58
  Speaker 1: where it's like to get up and play for your coach,
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 1: you know. Even though they didn't play that well, they
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 1: came up with that. They had to go to their
• 1:03:05
  Speaker 1: rival Kansas State, who's the little brothers gunning for them,
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 1: and they beat down their little brother They came back home,
• 1:03:11
  Speaker 1: they beat ranked BYU and kind of sent them spiraling
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 1: a little bit. Then off of that, they went on
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 1: the road to Lubbock and they upset Texas Tech on
• 1:03:19
  Speaker 1: the road in a big primetime game. Huge win for
• 1:03:23
  Speaker 1: Kansas there. I thought Texas Tech was gonna get the
• 1:03:25
  Speaker 1: job done there and they didn't. So now off of
• 1:03:28
  Speaker 1: that run of games, now they host Utah. Really like,
• 1:03:31
  Speaker 1: I know, they're stepping down in class here, but come on, man,
• 1:03:34
  Speaker 1: do you think they're gonna be attention to Utah whatsoever? Here.
• 1:03:37
  Speaker 1: Utah literally in last place in the Big twelve. And
• 1:03:40
  Speaker 1: oh yeah, who does Kansas play next? They get Arizona
• 1:03:44
  Speaker 1: coming into their place in two days on ESPN on Monday,
• 1:03:47
  Speaker 1: and then they have to go to Iowa State after that.
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 1: So this is a megas. This is a double sandwich here, man,
• 1:03:54
  Speaker 1: this is like a double decker club sandwich with two
• 1:03:57
  Speaker 1: monster games on each side of this. Yeah, we're doing it.
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 1: We're in the club. We're playing Utah plus the points
• 1:04:05
  Speaker 1: in this one. I don't know what the market looks
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 1: like here. Yeah, the money's agreeing with me on this.
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 1: Kansas is down from nineteen to eighty eighteen and a half.
• 1:04:13
  Speaker 1: Hopefully it doesn't matter when you get up into numbers
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 1: this big. Hopefully the number doesn't matter that much. The
• 1:04:18
  Speaker 1: total is a little bit higher than I would like
• 1:04:20
  Speaker 1: at one fifty and a half, but the spot screams Utah. Here.
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets on Kansas, sixty six percent of
• 1:04:27
  Speaker 1: the cash on Utah. I love it. It's a mega
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 1: double deck or sandwich. We're on Utah plus the points.
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 1: That's playing number one. I think it's one of the
• 1:04:37
  Speaker 1: strongest plays of the day. I'm peaking. I don't know,
• 1:04:42
  Speaker 1: but that's one of the best bets. Miami Ohio. Hunter,
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 1: what's up man, I'll talk about Miami Ohio if if
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 1: you can wait, I'll talk about it when I or
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Should I skip over and get to
• 1:04:53
  Speaker 1: it now, No, it's coming out, it's coming up shortly.
• 1:04:56
  Speaker 1: I'll get to it. I'm not gonna talk about many
• 1:05:00
  Speaker 1: of these games between this one and that one. William
• 1:05:03
  Speaker 1: and Mary and Hampton I have to talk about though,
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 1: just because of the situation and I like Hampton. In
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 1: this one, it's very, very simple. William and Mary just
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 1: went on the road and upset you UNC Wilmington and
• 1:05:14
  Speaker 1: seasons swept UNC Wilmington. That's huge for William and Mary.
• 1:05:18
  Speaker 1: Man you and see Wilmington maybe the best team in
• 1:05:21
  Speaker 1: the Colonial Conference. Here in William and Mary to get
• 1:05:23
  Speaker 1: that second win against them on the road as an underdog,
• 1:05:26
  Speaker 1: I think they could be in letdown mode off of that.
• 1:05:28
  Speaker 1: Against Hampton. I don't think they play Hampton otherwise this year.
• 1:05:32
  Speaker 1: It's a second straight road game. They might not pay
• 1:05:36
  Speaker 1: total attention here. Hampton actually might get more up for
• 1:05:39
  Speaker 1: it because I believe both these teams are in Virginia
• 1:05:43
  Speaker 1: and Hampton at this point might consider themselves to be
• 1:05:45
  Speaker 1: a little brother to William and Mary. Here. Hampton did
• 1:05:47
  Speaker 1: just end a losing streak of the win over Elon,
• 1:05:50
  Speaker 1: which at this point I don't think is gonna be
• 1:05:52
  Speaker 1: a big deal beating Elon, but ending a losing streak
• 1:05:54
  Speaker 1: is good. It can give you some momentum moving forward here.
• 1:05:57
  Speaker 1: So I would only play Hampton in this game. It's
• 1:06:00
  Speaker 1: kind of a simple letdown spot for William and Marry.
• 1:06:03
  Speaker 1: They're four and a half boy favorites here. But yes,
• 1:06:06
  Speaker 1: I would take the points with Hampton and that one.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 1: All right, LaSalle Saint Louis. I guess I have to
• 1:06:12
  Speaker 1: shout it out just because I always talk about the
• 1:06:13
  Speaker 1: right teams. Lasal's coming off three straight losses. I mean,
• 1:06:18
  Speaker 1: sure they'll get up for a game against Saint Louis,
• 1:06:20
  Speaker 1: but it's a third, third road game in four games,
• 1:06:24
  Speaker 1: back to back road games. Not that easy, man. Saint
• 1:06:26
  Speaker 1: Louis coming off a game where they beat Davidson on
• 1:06:30
  Speaker 1: the road. It was a game where they didn't win
• 1:06:31
  Speaker 1: by that much. They don't really have anything upcoming. I
• 1:06:35
  Speaker 1: don't know, man, it's a game where Saint Louis is
• 1:06:39
  Speaker 1: gonna be laying a ton of points though they're down
• 1:06:41
  Speaker 1: for twenty three, and after twenty three, it's just are
• 1:06:43
  Speaker 1: they really gonna be so motivated that they're gonna just
• 1:06:46
  Speaker 1: blast Lasal like that? I don't know, man, I mean,
• 1:06:49
  Speaker 1: maybe they won't. Lasal might get up where maybe I
• 1:06:52
  Speaker 1: would lean towards taking the points there, but I have
• 1:06:54
  Speaker 1: no real read on that game at all. Saint Louis
• 1:06:56
  Speaker 1: is clearly the better team, it should win, and then
• 1:06:59
  Speaker 1: I think it just kind of comes down to will
• 1:07:01
  Speaker 1: they have so much motivation that they'll oh that they'll
• 1:07:05
  Speaker 1: win by that margin. I mean, I have no clue.
• 1:07:09
  Speaker 1: Western Michigan at Texas State. I don't know if I
• 1:07:12
  Speaker 1: had much of a feel for this. It is a
• 1:07:13
  Speaker 1: third straight road game for Western Michigan though, but they're
• 1:07:16
  Speaker 1: on a two game losing streak. For Texas State, yeah,
• 1:07:20
  Speaker 1: they have Troy on deck. That's really the big part
• 1:07:23
  Speaker 1: of this handicap here. Texas State did just beat Georgia
• 1:07:26
  Speaker 1: Southern on the road, and they were near the top
• 1:07:27
  Speaker 1: of this conference early on in conference play, but they're
• 1:07:30
  Speaker 1: not a good team really, so I don't know if
• 1:07:32
  Speaker 1: that win matters that much. Texas State does have momentum,
• 1:07:35
  Speaker 1: but I would worry about them looking ahead to Troy.
• 1:07:39
  Speaker 1: So I don't know, man. I think most of the
• 1:07:41
  Speaker 1: home teams do have an extra advantage, like I said,
• 1:07:43
  Speaker 1: in this Max sun Belt Challenge, because the MAC teams
• 1:07:46
  Speaker 1: are not familiar with these venues. But in this one,
• 1:07:49
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I mean Western Michigan. I don't know
• 1:07:51
  Speaker 1: they're gonna look ahead to Toledo, who's in the middle
• 1:07:53
  Speaker 1: of the pack, middle of the pack in the MAC,
• 1:07:56
  Speaker 1: middle of the MAC pack. I think in this one,
• 1:07:58
  Speaker 1: I would probably fade Tech State. They're up from five
• 1:08:02
  Speaker 1: to six here as a favor, but I would probably
• 1:08:04
  Speaker 1: take the points in that one because of the look
• 1:08:06
  Speaker 1: ahead to Troy. But I don't have a good read
• 1:08:08
  Speaker 1: for it. Kent State and Southern Miss. Kent State's coming
• 1:08:12
  Speaker 1: up beating Toledo decent win for them in kind of
• 1:08:15
  Speaker 1: a Ohio rivalry. They actually played three Ohio rivals in
• 1:08:20
  Speaker 1: a row, Ohio, Akron, and Toledo, and now they're playing
• 1:08:23
  Speaker 1: a third straight road game here. Off of that win
• 1:08:25
  Speaker 1: over to Leedo. They might run out of gas a
• 1:08:28
  Speaker 1: little bit here. Southern Miss, they've been good at home
• 1:08:31
  Speaker 1: this year. I think they're coming up, but they are
• 1:08:33
  Speaker 1: coming up losing to Marshall on the road, which was
• 1:08:36
  Speaker 1: a pretty big game. Marshall was a favorite in that one.
• 1:08:38
  Speaker 1: It's Southern Miss. I presume covered that one, and they
• 1:08:42
  Speaker 1: got Southern Alabia, Southern Alabama and Troy on deck. Man
• 1:08:45
  Speaker 1: So I worry about this. Actually, this is a bad
• 1:08:48
  Speaker 1: spot for both teams. Southern Miss has, yeah, two big
• 1:08:53
  Speaker 1: games on deck between two of the top teams in
• 1:08:55
  Speaker 1: the conference, So I worry about it. Even though Southern
• 1:08:58
  Speaker 1: Miss has been a good home team, both teams are
• 1:09:01
  Speaker 1: in bad spots here. Kent State dropped a little bit
• 1:09:04
  Speaker 1: from five and a half to five years, so they
• 1:09:06
  Speaker 1: are laying points on the road. It's a difficult handicap
• 1:09:12
  Speaker 1: man really really difficult. I think I would probably lean
• 1:09:17
  Speaker 1: towards laying it with Kent State, to be honest. I
• 1:09:20
  Speaker 1: think Southern Miss having all those big games in the
• 1:09:22
  Speaker 1: conference surrounding this one, I think makes it worse for them,
• 1:09:25
  Speaker 1: even though they are good at home and you're only
• 1:09:28
  Speaker 1: asking them to cover as a dog there. I don't know.
• 1:09:30
  Speaker 1: I don't like the spot for Southern Miss. Saren man
• 1:09:34
  Speaker 1: Or Suran Man, the Suran rap guy. What's up? Man?
• 1:09:38
  Speaker 1: I did already talk about NC State Virginia Tech. I
• 1:09:40
  Speaker 1: believe I said I leaned to Virginia Tech getting the points.
• 1:09:44
  Speaker 1: But hopefully you can go back and see my full
• 1:09:47
  Speaker 1: analysis on that. But I do have a lean to
• 1:09:48
  Speaker 1: Virginia Tech and that one. All right, let me see,
• 1:09:53
  Speaker 1: I think it was mostly NC State's coming up a
• 1:09:55
  Speaker 1: big game over SMU or whatever. And I think I
• 1:09:58
  Speaker 1: said they have Louis vaugh on deck right? Is that
• 1:10:00
  Speaker 1: what I said? So I'm just gonna reiterate it real quickly.
• 1:10:03
  Speaker 1: Like I said, I really want to get the show
• 1:10:04
  Speaker 1: done though, because I have so much to talk about. Ah. No,
• 1:10:10
  Speaker 1: that is not what I wanted. I did not want
• 1:10:12
  Speaker 1: to bring up the scot damn it, man, I don't
• 1:10:15
  Speaker 1: want to bring up all these inspector that was actually
• 1:10:17
  Speaker 1: an element inspector. I think whatever it was NC State, Yeah,
• 1:10:24
  Speaker 1: so big. Yeah, there's sandwiched in between SMU and Louisville
• 1:10:28
  Speaker 1: and then actually Miami UNC in Virginia on deck two.
• 1:10:31
  Speaker 1: See Yuah not a play for me, but I would
• 1:10:33
  Speaker 1: take the points with Virginia Tech in that one. Okay,
• 1:10:38
  Speaker 1: what did I just talk about Oh yeah, Southern miss.
• 1:10:44
  Speaker 1: Let's see ball State and uol Monroe is actually an
• 1:10:47
  Speaker 1: addressing handicap, believe it or not. And it's because juol
• 1:10:50
  Speaker 1: Monroe just pulled off a monster ups I know, not
• 1:10:53
  Speaker 1: a monster upset, but because jo Monroe is so bad.
• 1:10:56
  Speaker 1: I think they were like double digit dogs at Old Dominion.
• 1:11:00
  Speaker 1: That's just how bad ul Monroe is because Old Dominion's
• 1:11:03
  Speaker 1: not good. But that was an upset, man, a pretty
• 1:11:06
  Speaker 1: big upset. So they might be in a letdown spot here.
• 1:11:09
  Speaker 1: I don't know how up they're gonna get for ball State,
• 1:11:12
  Speaker 1: and then up next they have Arkansas State, who is
• 1:11:15
  Speaker 1: a good team in this conference in the Sun Belt. Man,
• 1:11:17
  Speaker 1: It's just I don't know if teams realize that because
• 1:11:19
  Speaker 1: the record's not that good. So I don't know. But
• 1:11:22
  Speaker 1: then there's the other factors that because juoll Monroe finally
• 1:11:25
  Speaker 1: got their first conference win, sometimes it'll give that team
• 1:11:27
  Speaker 1: some confidence moving forward and they'll actually play better coming
• 1:11:31
  Speaker 1: off of that win. So there are a lot of
• 1:11:32
  Speaker 1: things that factor into this game. Man. The money has
• 1:11:36
  Speaker 1: come in on juol Monroe, ball State down from four
• 1:11:38
  Speaker 1: and after three here I would probably still have to
• 1:11:42
  Speaker 1: lay it with ball State if I was gonna play it, man,
• 1:11:44
  Speaker 1: because jo Monroe. Again, I just cannot be on a
• 1:11:47
  Speaker 1: team that pulled off an upset of double digits like that.
• 1:11:49
  Speaker 1: But again, there are some positive factors for Joel Monroe
• 1:11:53
  Speaker 1: in that game. So those are my thoughts on that one.
• 1:11:56
  Speaker 1: Bowling Green and Arkansas State kind of an under the
• 1:11:58
  Speaker 1: radar game that should at least be good in the
• 1:12:01
  Speaker 1: max Sun Belt. Bowling Green ended a three game losing
• 1:12:03
  Speaker 1: Street with a win over ball State. Not a good win,
• 1:12:06
  Speaker 1: but they'll have momentum coming into this game, and they
• 1:12:08
  Speaker 1: don't have a big MAC game up next against Northern Illinois,
• 1:12:12
  Speaker 1: so they might actually throw their focus on Arkansas State here, man.
• 1:12:16
  Speaker 1: Arkansas State did end a three game losing Street themselves
• 1:12:19
  Speaker 1: as well, getting by Coastal Carolina in their last game,
• 1:12:23
  Speaker 1: and they only have Yula Monroe neck, so both teams
• 1:12:26
  Speaker 1: are in a very similar spot here, man, So I
• 1:12:31
  Speaker 1: might have to lean to the home team in this one,
• 1:12:32
  Speaker 1: even though the Osrikers are kind of telling you Bowling
• 1:12:34
  Speaker 1: Green is a slightly better team. Let me look at
• 1:12:37
  Speaker 1: what the records look like here. Very similar records too,
• 1:12:40
  Speaker 1: But Arkansas State is good at home and in this case. Yeah,
• 1:12:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, I'm gonna factor that in a little bit.
• 1:12:45
  Speaker 1: I probably would lean towards Arkansas State in that one.
• 1:12:48
  Speaker 1: Seven to three at home versus Bowling Green five hundred
• 1:12:51
  Speaker 1: on the road, going to an unfamiliar environment maybe not
• 1:12:54
  Speaker 1: the easiest thing to do there, So I guess that's
• 1:12:57
  Speaker 1: the way that I lean in that one. It would
• 1:12:59
  Speaker 1: be to Archie stayed a lot of Man, I'm talking
• 1:13:02
  Speaker 1: about so many games here. Sam Houston at Louisiana Tech
• 1:13:06
  Speaker 1: is kind of interesting just because sam Houston just barely
• 1:13:08
  Speaker 1: got by UTEP, So they might focus. Just because when
• 1:13:12
  Speaker 1: you're a team it's a double digit favorite, like Sam
• 1:13:14
  Speaker 1: Houston was against UTEP there and you barely get by,
• 1:13:19
  Speaker 1: you might be focused in the next game. Problem is,
• 1:13:22
  Speaker 1: they did just beat this Louisiana Tech team the game
• 1:13:24
  Speaker 1: before that by double digits, so they might not take
• 1:13:27
  Speaker 1: them seriously for that reason. So a couple of conflicting
• 1:13:30
  Speaker 1: factors in this one. LA Tech has lost a couple
• 1:13:33
  Speaker 1: of games in a row, should be focused at the
• 1:13:35
  Speaker 1: very least coming into that one. So what do we
• 1:13:38
  Speaker 1: do with that game? I don't know. I just accidentally
• 1:13:39
  Speaker 1: refreshed that's not good. The money's coming in on LA Tech.
• 1:13:42
  Speaker 1: By the way, so the revenge angle looks like it's
• 1:13:45
  Speaker 1: winning out and I guess I won't disagree with that.
• 1:13:47
  Speaker 1: Sam Houston down from five to three and a half,
• 1:13:49
  Speaker 1: sixty seven percent of tickets ninety nine percent of the
• 1:13:52
  Speaker 1: cash on LA Tech, which is probably not accurate, but
• 1:13:55
  Speaker 1: at least when I refreshed this page it kept me
• 1:13:57
  Speaker 1: where I was. But yeah, I probably towards LA Tech
• 1:14:01
  Speaker 1: in that one as well, but not a strong opinion.
• 1:14:04
  Speaker 1: What's Maggie Valley? I have no idea, Pete, what's up? Man?
• 1:14:09
  Speaker 1: I thought that said snow, white, snow and wind. Yeah,
• 1:14:12
  Speaker 1: that is that. That's not a ski resort in North Carolina,
• 1:14:16
  Speaker 1: is it? Maybe it is in the mountains. I don't know.
• 1:14:21
  Speaker 1: I don't know what goes on in the in the
• 1:14:22
  Speaker 1: Appalachian Mountains in the south. Man Oklahoma at number fifteen
• 1:14:26
  Speaker 1: Vandy on SEC Network. I'm getting to Miami, Ohio shortly.
• 1:14:30
  Speaker 1: I know this game. This game is at three thirty pm.
• 1:14:35
  Speaker 1: Eastern Oklahoma is on a bad losing streat. Man. They've
• 1:14:38
  Speaker 1: lost so many games in a row. I can't even
• 1:14:40
  Speaker 1: count eight games in a row. Maybe whatever that is, Yeah,
• 1:14:44
  Speaker 1: I think I think it's eight games in a row
• 1:14:46
  Speaker 1: something like that. I don't know, whatever it is, that's
• 1:14:51
  Speaker 1: what they're doing. They've lost a ton of games in
• 1:14:52
  Speaker 1: a row. I thought they had a decent spot to
• 1:14:55
  Speaker 1: catch Kentucky. I thought they were catching Kentucky in a
• 1:14:57
  Speaker 1: bad spot for Kentucky but didn't even Oklahoma was coming
• 1:15:01
  Speaker 1: up their Red River rivalry game, although they lost it
• 1:15:04
  Speaker 1: by double digits to Texas. They didn't play well at Kentucky.
• 1:15:09
  Speaker 1: Second straight road game here. But for a team like Oklahoma,
• 1:15:11
  Speaker 1: you gotta thinky'll at least get up for a game
• 1:15:13
  Speaker 1: like this. It's just do they have the ability to
• 1:15:17
  Speaker 1: do anything to cover this game? I don't know, man a.
• 1:15:19
  Speaker 1: Vandy looks like they should be in a focused spot too, though,
• 1:15:22
  Speaker 1: because they had blasted Kentucky two games ago, and then
• 1:15:25
  Speaker 1: after that they barely got buy Old Miss, who's not
• 1:15:28
  Speaker 1: good this year. So Vandy might actually show up with
• 1:15:32
  Speaker 1: focus and this, which is because they almost lost as
• 1:15:35
  Speaker 1: a home favorite to a bad Old Miss team. So
• 1:15:38
  Speaker 1: I could see Vandy showing up in this spot. And
• 1:15:40
  Speaker 1: they don't have anything big upcoming really. They got Auburn next,
• 1:15:43
  Speaker 1: who should be probably a tournament team, but Auburn's just
• 1:15:48
  Speaker 1: kind of under the radar. Still, Vandy's up from eleven
• 1:15:50
  Speaker 1: and a half way eleven and a halfway favorite to
• 1:15:52
  Speaker 1: her twelve point favorite. I would lay it with Vandy
• 1:15:56
  Speaker 1: in that one cattle. These names are all so ridiculous.
• 1:16:02
  Speaker 1: Go Duke Pete, You're gonna have to fight Garrett Man.
• 1:16:05
  Speaker 1: Duke versus North Carolina here the Tobacco Road. I haven't
• 1:16:09
  Speaker 1: talked about that game yet because I think it gets
• 1:16:11
  Speaker 1: a primetime slot. I think it's a night game. Obviously,
• 1:16:14
  Speaker 1: I'm going to talk about it, but I haven't gotten
• 1:16:16
  Speaker 1: to it yet. I don't have a strong opinion on
• 1:16:19
  Speaker 1: the game. I don't like Duke, just personal preference. I
• 1:16:23
  Speaker 1: can't stand Duke, so I pretty much always root against them.
• 1:16:27
  Speaker 1: But we'll see what I have to say about the game.
• 1:16:30
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State at Arizona Number one. Arizona, who is probably
• 1:16:35
  Speaker 1: still indeed one of the top two teams at least
• 1:16:38
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State got the job done for us the other day. Man,
• 1:16:40
  Speaker 1: they had a nice upset home win against BYU. I
• 1:16:43
  Speaker 1: think they caught BYU in a bad spot coming off
• 1:16:46
  Speaker 1: two huge games that they fell just short against Arizona
• 1:16:50
  Speaker 1: and Kansas. We got Oklahoma State in a good spot.
• 1:16:53
  Speaker 1: Now they pulled off a big upset, they have to
• 1:16:55
  Speaker 1: go on the road to Arizona. I just don't know
• 1:16:57
  Speaker 1: what they're gonna have left for this game against Arizona. Man.
• 1:17:00
  Speaker 1: Arizona's coming off a game where they didn't cover, I believe,
• 1:17:04
  Speaker 1: again against their rival Arizona State. Although that was a
• 1:17:06
  Speaker 1: road game, so I don't know. Maybe they did cover,
• 1:17:08
  Speaker 1: let me see, no, they did not. They won by
• 1:17:11
  Speaker 1: thirteen is fourteen and a half point favorites. So I
• 1:17:14
  Speaker 1: mean Arizona, you know, they may be focused on this game,
• 1:17:17
  Speaker 1: but I don't know, because they do have Kansas up
• 1:17:19
  Speaker 1: next to two days and then Texas Tech BYU Houston.
• 1:17:22
  Speaker 1: So Arizona's got a gauntlet of games coming up. Man,
• 1:17:25
  Speaker 1: We're pretty likely they're gonna lose a game during that stretch. Man.
• 1:17:29
  Speaker 1: You know, Arizona will not be undefeated anymore after that stretch.
• 1:17:33
  Speaker 1: Almost certainly will they show up for this game against
• 1:17:37
  Speaker 1: Oklahoma State. I don't know, But Oklahoma State's coming off
• 1:17:39
  Speaker 1: a big game, man, so they might just not have
• 1:17:42
  Speaker 1: a whole lot left in this game against Arizona. Though
• 1:17:44
  Speaker 1: I do worry about Arizona's look ahead here. The money
• 1:17:47
  Speaker 1: is coming into Oklahoma State. For what it's worth, Arizona's
• 1:17:50
  Speaker 1: down from twenty and a half to nineteen ninety three
• 1:17:53
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets seventy six percent of the cash, So
• 1:17:57
  Speaker 1: the money has come in on the Oklahoma State side.
• 1:17:59
  Speaker 1: I can't do it after they pulled off that upset.
• 1:18:02
  Speaker 1: But Arizona, I mean, they are coming up beating their
• 1:18:04
  Speaker 1: little brother, which is still I guess, a big game.
• 1:18:07
  Speaker 1: Even if they almost even though they didn't cover by
• 1:18:11
  Speaker 1: like a half point, it wasn't like it was a
• 1:18:12
  Speaker 1: close game or anything. It's gonna shock Arizona back into focus.
• 1:18:16
  Speaker 1: And Arizona does have those big look aheads looming, So
• 1:18:18
  Speaker 1: I guess I could definitely see the argument for Oklahoma
• 1:18:21
  Speaker 1: State there. I guess I won't disagree with it, but
• 1:18:23
  Speaker 1: I don't want to touch the game. You know, Number
• 1:18:28
  Speaker 1: twenty three. I laugh every time I say it. Miami
• 1:18:32
  Speaker 1: Ohio at Marshall in the Max Sunbelt Challenge. Miami Ohio.
• 1:18:39
  Speaker 1: I don't know what to say about this team at
• 1:18:40
  Speaker 1: this point. Man. They just barely got by Buffalo again
• 1:18:44
  Speaker 1: on the road. Miami Ohio was a favorite of probably
• 1:18:47
  Speaker 1: what were they like five and a half in that
• 1:18:49
  Speaker 1: game maybe let me see four and a half whatever,
• 1:18:53
  Speaker 1: So they didn't cover. They barely got by Buffalo, So
• 1:18:56
  Speaker 1: a lot of teams when they barely got by they
• 1:18:58
  Speaker 1: will focus in the next But I don't know. They
• 1:19:01
  Speaker 1: got Ohio on deck Man, and that's a big game.
• 1:19:03
  Speaker 1: It's a rivalry game. Ohio is fourth in the conference
• 1:19:06
  Speaker 1: standings right now, So I don't know. Does Miami Ohio
• 1:19:09
  Speaker 1: really care about Marshall. I don't know they care about
• 1:19:12
  Speaker 1: continuing to be undefeated. I guess because at this point
• 1:19:15
  Speaker 1: you got to continue to do it, just continue to
• 1:19:17
  Speaker 1: be undefeated. But Marshall probably will get up for this.
• 1:19:22
  Speaker 1: Marshall's coming up barely getting by Southern Miss. Like I said,
• 1:19:24
  Speaker 1: I think Marshall overlooked Southern Miss. Man Marshall with ten
• 1:19:29
  Speaker 1: and a half point favorites in this game at home
• 1:19:31
  Speaker 1: against Southern Miss, and we're fairly close to losing the game.
• 1:19:34
  Speaker 1: You know what I always say, when a team almost
• 1:19:35
  Speaker 1: loses a big, double digit favorite, they're usually focused in
• 1:19:39
  Speaker 1: the next game. And I think they were kind of
• 1:19:41
  Speaker 1: in a sandwich spot. If they won a nice road
• 1:19:44
  Speaker 1: game against Arkansas State the game prior to that. With
• 1:19:46
  Speaker 1: this Miami Ohio game on deck, staying at home. Miami
• 1:19:50
  Speaker 1: Ohio gonna be going to kind of an unfamiliar venue here.
• 1:19:53
  Speaker 1: I like Marshall in this one. The market seems to agree,
• 1:19:58
  Speaker 1: and Miami Ohio went all the way up from one
• 1:20:00
  Speaker 1: and a half to basically three here almost two and
• 1:20:03
  Speaker 1: a half with juice. But I would take the points
• 1:20:05
  Speaker 1: with Marshall. Seventy five percent of tickets, only sixty percent
• 1:20:08
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Miami Ohio. They're very public side
• 1:20:11
  Speaker 1: because of course they are. Everybody wants to see them
• 1:20:14
  Speaker 1: continuing to be undefeated here. But I know I've said
• 1:20:17
  Speaker 1: it a couple of times already, but maybe this is
• 1:20:19
  Speaker 1: it this time. I like Marshall in that game. If
• 1:20:22
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play it, I would take the points
• 1:20:23
  Speaker 1: with Marshall, North Carolina and Duke Yeah is uh is
• 1:20:30
  Speaker 1: your uh? Yeah? You're Christmas. Yeah. I'm big everywhere. Man,
• 1:20:35
  Speaker 1: I should get that. I'm kind of a big deal
• 1:20:37
  Speaker 1: Anchorman thing. Mike, what's up? Man? Is that Illinois? Or
• 1:20:41
  Speaker 1: you just calling me ill like I'm sick, baby, I'm
• 1:20:44
  Speaker 1: ill Ill in the good way. I'll talk. I'm gonna
• 1:20:49
  Speaker 1: talk about Illinois, but I don't know I talk about
• 1:20:50
  Speaker 1: all these games with sequential order, man, So I don't
• 1:20:53
  Speaker 1: know when that game is. I think it's a night game.
• 1:20:55
  Speaker 1: I haven't talked about it yet, but I will if
• 1:20:57
  Speaker 1: you stick around Central Michigan at Louisiana. I feel like
• 1:21:00
  Speaker 1: I should cut some of these games out, man, But
• 1:21:03
  Speaker 1: I talk about all these games just to give you
• 1:21:04
  Speaker 1: like kind of my thinking about it. Central Michigan just
• 1:21:08
  Speaker 1: almost upset you Mass, so having to go to an
• 1:21:12
  Speaker 1: unfamiliar road location to Louisiana could be a little bit
• 1:21:15
  Speaker 1: difficult for them coming off almost pulling off an upset
• 1:21:18
  Speaker 1: where I think they were like nine and a half
• 1:21:19
  Speaker 1: point dogs maybe or something against you Mass. Louisiana, though
• 1:21:23
  Speaker 1: they're coming off a big upset as well against James Madison.
• 1:21:27
  Speaker 1: I presume that was a pretty big upset on the road. Yeah,
• 1:21:30
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. So both teams are coming off
• 1:21:32
  Speaker 1: playing well as underdogs. So I don't like the spot
• 1:21:35
  Speaker 1: for either team man in that one. So what do
• 1:21:38
  Speaker 1: we do with that game besides leave it alone? From
• 1:21:40
  Speaker 1: a side perspective, And again, I'm not really a total
• 1:21:43
  Speaker 1: guy here. We're as louis Oh yeah, yeah, they have
• 1:21:45
  Speaker 1: them as ul La Fayette. The money looks like it's
• 1:21:50
  Speaker 1: coming in Louisiana a bit up from two to two
• 1:21:52
  Speaker 1: and a half there. I guess I won't disagree with it,
• 1:21:56
  Speaker 1: just because I think they probably have a little bit
• 1:21:57
  Speaker 1: of an advantage of being at home and an unfamiliar
• 1:22:00
  Speaker 1: environment there. But I can't touch the game. What I
• 1:22:03
  Speaker 1: do like is the other side of it. Though I
• 1:22:05
  Speaker 1: like James Madison, this is not gonna be a play
• 1:22:07
  Speaker 1: for me. But jam you man coming off that bad,
• 1:22:10
  Speaker 1: bad loss as a big favorite there. Yeah, I mean,
• 1:22:14
  Speaker 1: teams will usually bounce back from that, and they get
• 1:22:17
  Speaker 1: the advantage of being at home. There's seven and three
• 1:22:19
  Speaker 1: at home, by the way, playing Toledo, who's bad on
• 1:22:22
  Speaker 1: the road three and six, and this is an unfamiliar
• 1:22:25
  Speaker 1: venue for Toledo to have to go to to James
• 1:22:27
  Speaker 1: Madison in Virginia, I believe. So a lot of things
• 1:22:31
  Speaker 1: set up nicely for James Madison in this one, again
• 1:22:33
  Speaker 1: coming off a bad loss as a huge favorite here. Meanwhile,
• 1:22:38
  Speaker 1: Toledo's coming off a massive rivalry game against Kent State.
• 1:22:42
  Speaker 1: I watched the end of that game, by the way,
• 1:22:43
  Speaker 1: and it was a tough game. Towards the end of
• 1:22:45
  Speaker 1: the game, Toledo felt just short. Now they have to
• 1:22:47
  Speaker 1: go out and play James Madison. This is a bad
• 1:22:50
  Speaker 1: spot for Toledo. Dude. I they got Western Michigan on deck,
• 1:22:54
  Speaker 1: which is unfortunately not a big game, but this is
• 1:22:56
  Speaker 1: very close to making my card. I like James Madison
• 1:22:59
  Speaker 1: in this one man, Toledo went up from one to
• 1:23:02
  Speaker 1: one with juice here. I don't know do I want
• 1:23:06
  Speaker 1: to add this to my card. I'm looking at ken
• 1:23:08
  Speaker 1: Bum arias Toledo pretty unlucky. They're bad defensively though pretty
• 1:23:13
  Speaker 1: good offensively, but a very weak defensive team. And they
• 1:23:16
  Speaker 1: like to play fast. James Madison plays slow. They're gonna
• 1:23:19
  Speaker 1: slow the game down, but they're awful on defense. So
• 1:23:22
  Speaker 1: I guess, yeah, Toledo is the better the better defense,
• 1:23:25
  Speaker 1: but they are I think laying a point on the
• 1:23:27
  Speaker 1: road here James Madison in the middle of ken Bum's
• 1:23:32
  Speaker 1: lucky index, basically a little bit on the lower side.
• 1:23:34
  Speaker 1: I guess, so slightly unlucky. You know what, I kind
• 1:23:40
  Speaker 1: of want to do it, man, you should buy ken
• 1:23:43
  Speaker 1: Bum by the way, do it, because I'm about to
• 1:23:45
  Speaker 1: show his number real quick. Here. He's got James Madison
• 1:23:48
  Speaker 1: losing by one, so it's right in line with the
• 1:23:50
  Speaker 1: number here. I'm struggling. I like the I'll leave it off,
• 1:23:58
  Speaker 1: but I like it, man. I like James Addison in
• 1:24:00
  Speaker 1: that one. Either plus the point or you know, pick
• 1:24:05
  Speaker 1: them or whatever. Saint Joe's and George Mason, I have
• 1:24:08
  Speaker 1: a hard time figuring this game out. Saint Joe's is
• 1:24:12
  Speaker 1: just overrated, man, which is part of the reason why
• 1:24:14
  Speaker 1: George Mason's a fairly substantial favorite here. Saint Joe's is
• 1:24:18
  Speaker 1: amongst the top in the A ten standings here, but
• 1:24:22
  Speaker 1: it's misleading. Again. They're not as good as some of
• 1:24:24
  Speaker 1: these other teams in this conference. They've won four games
• 1:24:27
  Speaker 1: in a row. I know, they just beat George Washington
• 1:24:29
  Speaker 1: at home or I thought they were gonna lose that game.
• 1:24:31
  Speaker 1: But I don't think they're gonna overlook George Mason though.
• 1:24:35
  Speaker 1: Now for George Mason, they're coming in of a not
• 1:24:39
  Speaker 1: great loss at home to Duquine though, so George Mason
• 1:24:42
  Speaker 1: may show up with focus too. They were eight and
• 1:24:44
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites and lost that game. You know,
• 1:24:46
  Speaker 1: I talk about how when a team comes off a
• 1:24:48
  Speaker 1: bad loss as a favor a lot of times they
• 1:24:50
  Speaker 1: will refocus. Here staying at home They only have Richmond next,
• 1:24:53
  Speaker 1: which is not a huge game really, So I think
• 1:24:57
  Speaker 1: I like George Mason in this one. Man, the money's
• 1:25:00
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with me. But Saint Joe's is just they're a
• 1:25:03
  Speaker 1: fraudulent team. Man, There's no other way to put it.
• 1:25:06
  Speaker 1: George Mason down from seven and a half to six
• 1:25:08
  Speaker 1: and a half here ninety two percent of the tickets,
• 1:25:10
  Speaker 1: only seventy eight percent of the cash on George Mason.
• 1:25:13
  Speaker 1: So they are public with less than the money on them.
• 1:25:14
  Speaker 1: But I think I would have to lay it with
• 1:25:16
  Speaker 1: George Mason if I played that game, which I will not.
• 1:25:20
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports won at four pm. De Paul at Providence,
• 1:25:23
  Speaker 1: trying to speed up the pace again here as we
• 1:25:26
  Speaker 1: go through this, man, I'm trying to get this done
• 1:25:28
  Speaker 1: close to ten o'clock and then I will be back
• 1:25:30
  Speaker 1: with the actual daily show, which will only be NBA. Luckily,
• 1:25:34
  Speaker 1: thanks to the Olympics, I don't have to do hockey today,
• 1:25:37
  Speaker 1: even though hockey has been a decent money maker for me, man,
• 1:25:39
  Speaker 1: a good money maker. De Paul is coming up losing
• 1:25:42
  Speaker 1: at home to Saint John's by twelve. I don't believe
• 1:25:46
  Speaker 1: they've played Providence yet this year. Three straight losses, you
• 1:25:49
  Speaker 1: got to think maybe they will show up for a
• 1:25:51
  Speaker 1: game against Providence. But it is also a third road
• 1:25:53
  Speaker 1: game in four games, and they do have Creighton on deck,
• 1:25:56
  Speaker 1: which might be a bit of a bigger game. So
• 1:25:58
  Speaker 1: I don't know. This game is a little bit sandwich
• 1:26:00
  Speaker 1: in they were between two big games at least, And
• 1:26:02
  Speaker 1: if you look at the way this DePaul Saint John's
• 1:26:05
  Speaker 1: game played out, De Paul was kind of in this
• 1:26:08
  Speaker 1: game late. They were still within six with a few
• 1:26:10
  Speaker 1: minutes left, so the final score was a little bit
• 1:26:15
  Speaker 1: misleading in that game as far as what it looked like,
• 1:26:17
  Speaker 1: Providence might be in a bit more of a positive
• 1:26:19
  Speaker 1: spot because they ended a four game losing streak with
• 1:26:21
  Speaker 1: a win over Butler. Not a huge win, but winning
• 1:26:25
  Speaker 1: that might give them some winning. I'll bring up, dude,
• 1:26:27
  Speaker 1: I'll get the Charlie Sheen drop. I gotta think about
• 1:26:30
  Speaker 1: all these drops I want to bring in. But Providence
• 1:26:33
  Speaker 1: might have some new momentum off of that. They do
• 1:26:35
  Speaker 1: a seat in Hall next, which would that'll be a
• 1:26:38
  Speaker 1: revenge game because Hall beat them in Providence already. But
• 1:26:42
  Speaker 1: I don't know. Maybe they won't overlook the Paul. Maybe
• 1:26:45
  Speaker 1: they will still have focused in this game. The worry
• 1:26:48
  Speaker 1: for Providence is the look ahead. Of course, what does
• 1:26:50
  Speaker 1: the market say about this? On the market is taking
• 1:26:53
  Speaker 1: them taking the points with DePaul, it looks like Providence
• 1:26:56
  Speaker 1: dropped from five and a half to five sixty percent
• 1:26:58
  Speaker 1: of tickets in eighty three percent of the cash on
• 1:27:00
  Speaker 1: to Paul, I kind of lean against it, man, I
• 1:27:07
  Speaker 1: kind of lean towards laying the points with Providence. Market
• 1:27:10
  Speaker 1: doesn't agree with it, and it is a week lean
• 1:27:12
  Speaker 1: from Maso. I'm not gonna do anything with it. Florida
• 1:27:15
  Speaker 1: State at Notre Dame gets a TV billing here on
• 1:27:19
  Speaker 1: the CW network at four pm. It's not a great game.
• 1:27:22
  Speaker 1: I'll tell you that these two teams are not very good.
• 1:27:26
  Speaker 1: Florida State coming off two nice wins at home. There
• 1:27:28
  Speaker 1: were favorites though against Cal in Stanford, and they caught
• 1:27:32
  Speaker 1: two Pacific Coast teams having to go to Tallahassee, which
• 1:27:35
  Speaker 1: is pretty unfamiliar for them to do. But Florida State
• 1:27:38
  Speaker 1: was favored, So I don't know how big those games
• 1:27:40
  Speaker 1: really are. But they do it Virginia on deck, which
• 1:27:43
  Speaker 1: is not gonna be easy, so maybe they get a
• 1:27:46
  Speaker 1: little bit caught here. Having to go to soelth Bend
• 1:27:48
  Speaker 1: not an easy environment for them to go do not
• 1:27:51
  Speaker 1: that familiar with an environment for them. Notre Dame's coming
• 1:27:55
  Speaker 1: off losing to Louisville by eleven. How close was this
• 1:27:58
  Speaker 1: game though wasn't very close towards the end of the game.
• 1:28:03
  Speaker 1: A Notre Dame back at home off of that, and
• 1:28:05
  Speaker 1: they did lose last time they were home, but they
• 1:28:06
  Speaker 1: played well last time they were at home against Virginia,
• 1:28:11
  Speaker 1: almost pulled off the upset there, so maybe they will
• 1:28:14
  Speaker 1: want to redeem themselves coming back home from that. They
• 1:28:17
  Speaker 1: got SMU on deck. But I don't know, man, Notre Dame,
• 1:28:20
  Speaker 1: when you're losing games like this, I think you will
• 1:28:22
  Speaker 1: show up at least for a game like this. I
• 1:28:24
  Speaker 1: think I would lean a Notre Dame here. They dropped
• 1:28:26
  Speaker 1: a little bit from two to one and a half.
• 1:28:28
  Speaker 1: It looks like basically but seventy five tickets ninety two
• 1:28:31
  Speaker 1: percent of the casual Notre Dame. I won't disagree with
• 1:28:34
  Speaker 1: Notre Dame and that one probably lean that way. American
• 1:28:37
  Speaker 1: at Navy American coming into this game. This is a
• 1:28:41
  Speaker 1: big game in the Patriot League. I know it's a
• 1:28:44
  Speaker 1: horrible league. Navy's starting to kind of run away with
• 1:28:47
  Speaker 1: first place, but American is one of the more competitive
• 1:28:49
  Speaker 1: teams in the conference. American already beat Navy, by the way,
• 1:28:54
  Speaker 1: so something to consider here because guess how many losses
• 1:28:57
  Speaker 1: Navy has in conference. Oh yeah, they have won and
• 1:29:01
  Speaker 1: it was American that beat them at American by double digits.
• 1:29:05
  Speaker 1: So I think Navy's got this game circled man, but
• 1:29:08
  Speaker 1: American will probably show up as well. American did just
• 1:29:11
  Speaker 1: lose as a home favorite to Bucknell, so Bucknell is
• 1:29:14
  Speaker 1: not good at all this year. That was a bad
• 1:29:16
  Speaker 1: loss for American. They might have been looking ahead to Navy,
• 1:29:19
  Speaker 1: so I do think both teams will still show up
• 1:29:21
  Speaker 1: in this game. So even though yes, it is a
• 1:29:24
  Speaker 1: game where Navy is gonna have that chip on their
• 1:29:27
  Speaker 1: shoulder because it's their only conference loss so far, they
• 1:29:29
  Speaker 1: do a momentum coming into this with six straight wins.
• 1:29:32
  Speaker 1: They just beat La Fayette on the road Lafayette. Who
• 1:29:35
  Speaker 1: cares both teams will show up might come down to, well,
• 1:29:41
  Speaker 1: it comes down to the number. Of course, it also
• 1:29:43
  Speaker 1: comes down to which team is better. Navy, basically a
• 1:29:46
  Speaker 1: six point favorite five and a half with juice, hasn't
• 1:29:48
  Speaker 1: really moved. Total is low one thirty four, but I
• 1:29:52
  Speaker 1: don't know. I think Navy might just have a little
• 1:29:54
  Speaker 1: bit of extra juice here because American is the only
• 1:29:56
  Speaker 1: loss that they've taken. So I probably would lay it
• 1:29:59
  Speaker 1: with Navy, but I don't want to touch the game
• 1:30:02
  Speaker 1: Maine at Brian of course, Maye. Like I said, they're
• 1:30:05
  Speaker 1: coming off that big upset of Vermont. Anytime you beat
• 1:30:08
  Speaker 1: Vermont in the American East, it's a big deal, so
• 1:30:10
  Speaker 1: could be a letdown spot here against Bryant. However, they
• 1:30:13
  Speaker 1: did lose to Brian at home Maine did, so they
• 1:30:16
  Speaker 1: are in a little bit of a road revenge angle
• 1:30:18
  Speaker 1: here against Bryant. But may standings that's a big game,
• 1:30:29
  Speaker 1: and they also lost UNBC already, so Mayn is definitely
• 1:30:34
  Speaker 1: in a sandwich here. Man Bryant is coming off losing
• 1:30:38
  Speaker 1: at home to Albany, not really a great loss there.
• 1:30:42
  Speaker 1: Probably I would have to lean to Bryant in this one.
• 1:30:44
  Speaker 1: I think it is a sandwich spot for Maine. Yeah,
• 1:30:46
  Speaker 1: they're an avenging road underdog, which gives me a little
• 1:30:48
  Speaker 1: bit of pause. But Bryant is a two point favorite.
• 1:30:51
  Speaker 1: I would probably lay it with right Actually, I probably
• 1:30:54
  Speaker 1: lay the money line with Bryant unless the spread gets
• 1:30:57
  Speaker 1: up to two and a half, because that is more
• 1:31:01
  Speaker 1: advantageous to do that. CBS Sports at four pm Thousand
• 1:31:05
  Speaker 1: and Hofstra. This game is better than you might think.
• 1:31:08
  Speaker 1: The team's records don't look that good, but they're both
• 1:31:11
  Speaker 1: actually better than the records. Look, this is a decent
• 1:31:14
  Speaker 1: game in the Colonial. I don't mind this being a
• 1:31:16
  Speaker 1: TV game. Tousand just broke a losing streak by blowing
• 1:31:19
  Speaker 1: out Hampton, so they're in decent form coming into this one.
• 1:31:24
  Speaker 1: I mean, you know, I don't think they'll be overconfident,
• 1:31:28
  Speaker 1: even though they did just crush a team by thirty points.
• 1:31:31
  Speaker 1: I think they're gonna show up for Hofstra. They already
• 1:31:33
  Speaker 1: lost at home against Hofstra too, so it's a bit
• 1:31:35
  Speaker 1: of a road revenge angle for towsand here for Hofstra,
• 1:31:40
  Speaker 1: they dove Charleston on decks, so the warrior is they
• 1:31:42
  Speaker 1: might overlook towsand here they're coming off an easy one
• 1:31:45
  Speaker 1: over Northeast or not a big deal that they're not
• 1:31:48
  Speaker 1: a big deal there, but they played Charleston and UNC
• 1:31:51
  Speaker 1: Wilmington next. So the worry is the look ahead here
• 1:31:54
  Speaker 1: and that Hofstra might not take thousand, seriously after already
• 1:31:57
  Speaker 1: beating them in thousand. So I like toowsand and this
• 1:32:00
  Speaker 1: one host is a four point favorite. It's a low
• 1:32:02
  Speaker 1: total in the one thirties. I would take the points
• 1:32:05
  Speaker 1: with tousand in that one. All right, keeping it going, man,
• 1:32:10
  Speaker 1: we're keeping it going. Uh, don't know that I had
• 1:32:13
  Speaker 1: any real angles on some of these other games. I'm
• 1:32:17
  Speaker 1: trying to remember if I did or if I didn't.
• 1:32:19
  Speaker 1: I'm consulting my guide here too. I was like, I
• 1:32:21
  Speaker 1: was gonna talk about some of these other games here.
• 1:32:24
  Speaker 1: I already talked about Ball States. Did I talk about
• 1:32:26
  Speaker 1: South Alabama? I think I did. JM you Brant, These
• 1:32:28
  Speaker 1: were all leans for me. Yeah, all right, let's keep
• 1:32:32
  Speaker 1: it going. ESPN two four pm. We have the basketball
• 1:32:37
  Speaker 1: edition of the Iron It's the Iron Ball, right, Alabama
• 1:32:40
  Speaker 1: and Auburn. I think Auburn does consider it's supposed to
• 1:32:43
  Speaker 1: be a little brother in the state of Alabama, so
• 1:32:45
  Speaker 1: they pretty much always get up for Alabama. But I
• 1:32:48
  Speaker 1: think Alabama will show up as well because Alabama, well,
• 1:32:51
  Speaker 1: I could see it going both ways. Right, Alabama just
• 1:32:54
  Speaker 1: didn't cover as a favorite of about seven and a
• 1:32:56
  Speaker 1: half eight. I might have even been up to eight
• 1:32:58
  Speaker 1: and a half against Texas A and M. But the
• 1:33:01
  Speaker 1: awns makers were telling you A and M is just
• 1:33:03
  Speaker 1: not as good as the record looks. But the thing is,
• 1:33:05
  Speaker 1: maybe Alabama does still consider that to be a big
• 1:33:08
  Speaker 1: win because they beat the team. It's a top the
• 1:33:10
  Speaker 1: SEC standing wise, so even though they didn't cover, maybe
• 1:33:14
  Speaker 1: they still consider that to be a big win. They
• 1:33:17
  Speaker 1: only have Old Miss next. That's not gonna be a concern,
• 1:33:19
  Speaker 1: but it is Alabama coming up a big win at
• 1:33:22
  Speaker 1: the very least, and I think Auburn's gonna be gunning
• 1:33:24
  Speaker 1: for them. And Auburn is a team that needs wins
• 1:33:27
  Speaker 1: more in order to pad their tournament resume because they're
• 1:33:31
  Speaker 1: less safe than Alabama obviously as far as the tournament team,
• 1:33:34
  Speaker 1: Auburn did just lose a four game win streak though
• 1:33:37
  Speaker 1: with a loss at Tennessee, so I don't love that really.
• 1:33:40
  Speaker 1: When a team loses the win streak, it can hang
• 1:33:42
  Speaker 1: them over a little bit. But they're not gonna overlook Alabama.
• 1:33:45
  Speaker 1: And this game wasn't that close. They did get to
• 1:33:48
  Speaker 1: back like within seven at the end of the game.
• 1:33:50
  Speaker 1: And I know Tennessee is a physical team. They played
• 1:33:52
  Speaker 1: defense whatever, But if I was gonna play the game.
• 1:33:55
  Speaker 1: I think I don't know, man, I was gonna say.
• 1:33:58
  Speaker 1: I think I leaned towards Auburn. The money's coming back
• 1:34:01
  Speaker 1: on Bama in this one, though. Auburn down up from
• 1:34:04
  Speaker 1: two to three with juice here fifty tickets on them,
• 1:34:07
  Speaker 1: it's sixty nine percent of the cash coming back on Alabama.
• 1:34:10
  Speaker 1: This is a difficult, difficult handicap. I think the over
• 1:34:14
  Speaker 1: definitely makes sense. Probably that's the better way to look
• 1:34:16
  Speaker 1: at this game, rather than the side the over dropped
• 1:34:19
  Speaker 1: a little bit. But it's in the one seventies, and
• 1:34:22
  Speaker 1: I think you're gonna be looking at two teams that
• 1:34:23
  Speaker 1: are gonna be speeding this up. Alabama speeds the game
• 1:34:26
  Speaker 1: way up and they score a lot. And I don't
• 1:34:28
  Speaker 1: believe Auburn plays particularly slow either. If I spell it right,
• 1:34:34
  Speaker 1: Auburn's kind of more mid tempo. But yeah, they're also
• 1:34:37
  Speaker 1: not very good on the on the defensive side of things,
• 1:34:40
  Speaker 1: So over does make sense in that game. Both teams
• 1:34:43
  Speaker 1: better on offensive defense. But as far as the market
• 1:34:46
  Speaker 1: Reid is saying Alabama, man, I struggle with it. As
• 1:34:50
  Speaker 1: far as the situation will angle, I don't know. I
• 1:34:53
  Speaker 1: was kind of leaning towards Auburn based on the situation,
• 1:34:58
  Speaker 1: I guess do with that information what you want to
• 1:35:00
  Speaker 1: man espn U at four pm Ohio Valley, although it's
• 1:35:04
  Speaker 1: not a horrible Ohio Valley game. Morehead State if you
• 1:35:08
  Speaker 1: want Morehead at UT Martin. Morehead State coming into this
• 1:35:13
  Speaker 1: game on two straight losses, maybe they'll be looking to
• 1:35:16
  Speaker 1: bounce back here. They did already lose at home to
• 1:35:19
  Speaker 1: Tennessee Martin, And of course they don't even need that
• 1:35:22
  Speaker 1: much motivation here because UT Martin's atop the conference anyway,
• 1:35:25
  Speaker 1: So Morehead will have more motivation here as well, though,
• 1:35:29
  Speaker 1: just because they lost at home to UT Martin. But
• 1:35:31
  Speaker 1: what that might do is it might make UT Martin
• 1:35:33
  Speaker 1: overlook Morehead. Now they do have Lindenwood on deck, which
• 1:35:37
  Speaker 1: I don't know if that's a huge deal because they
• 1:35:39
  Speaker 1: did already beat Lyndenwood two and linden Wood's down in
• 1:35:42
  Speaker 1: fourth place, But they're a team that might catch your
• 1:35:44
  Speaker 1: attention more than Morehead. More than Morehead will uh not
• 1:35:49
  Speaker 1: a whole lot going on here. UT Martin coming up
• 1:35:51
  Speaker 1: an easy whatever Southern Illin Southern Indiana excuse me, but yeah,
• 1:35:58
  Speaker 1: I probably lean to taking the points with the Morehead
• 1:36:00
  Speaker 1: in this one. U T. Martin's an eight point favorite.
• 1:36:02
  Speaker 1: Totals low in the one thirties. Morehead plus the points
• 1:36:05
  Speaker 1: would be a lean there, but not a strong opinion.
• 1:36:08
  Speaker 1: And then SIU Edwardsville and Little Rock is kind of
• 1:36:11
  Speaker 1: a crazy handicap here where it's a fourth straight road
• 1:36:14
  Speaker 1: game for SIU Edwardsville. They just upset Lindham went on
• 1:36:18
  Speaker 1: the road is one of the better teams in the conference.
• 1:36:20
  Speaker 1: Now after they play Little Rock for a fourth straight
• 1:36:22
  Speaker 1: road game, they gotta play Simo Southern Missouri Southeast Missouri State,
• 1:36:27
  Speaker 1: and then U tam Martin. Those two teams are right
• 1:36:30
  Speaker 1: near the top of the conference. This is basically a
• 1:36:32
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot for SIU Edwardsville. One hesitation, though, might be
• 1:36:36
  Speaker 1: that they lost at home to Little Rock, so they
• 1:36:39
  Speaker 1: might show up for a game against Little Rock. But
• 1:36:41
  Speaker 1: it is still really difficult when you're in a sandwich
• 1:36:43
  Speaker 1: spot and a fourth straight road game, so I think
• 1:36:45
  Speaker 1: that probably negates the road revenge angle here. Little Rock
• 1:36:50
  Speaker 1: is coming off a tough game at home though against
• 1:36:54
  Speaker 1: lyndhen woodh they took a loss, and they played a
• 1:36:56
  Speaker 1: tough game the game before that at Tennessee Martin too,
• 1:36:59
  Speaker 1: so that's not exactly that easy for them as well.
• 1:37:02
  Speaker 1: But Little Rock will be looking for a win with
• 1:37:04
  Speaker 1: four or five straight losses whatever they have going on there. No,
• 1:37:08
  Speaker 1: I did not want to do that, Zach. What's up man?
• 1:37:12
  Speaker 1: Thanks for hanging out all right? Yeah, Little Rock's at
• 1:37:19
  Speaker 1: one point favorite eighty percent of tickets, ninety eight percent
• 1:37:21
  Speaker 1: of the coush on SYU Edwardsville. I have a slight
• 1:37:25
  Speaker 1: lean to Little Rock just because the sandwich spot that
• 1:37:27
  Speaker 1: Edwardsville is in there. But I don't love the game
• 1:37:30
  Speaker 1: at all. Not a strong opinion. Four thirty pm. Let's
• 1:37:33
  Speaker 1: keep it moving. Grand Canyon at UNLV. Interesting game in
• 1:37:37
  Speaker 1: the Mountain West. Grand Canyon is definitely a competitive team
• 1:37:41
  Speaker 1: in the Mountain West. Man so they've done pretty well.
• 1:37:44
  Speaker 1: It's stepping stepping up into this new conference. They're coming
• 1:37:47
  Speaker 1: up an easy blowout win over the conference dormat air Force,
• 1:37:51
  Speaker 1: so Grand Canyon didn't even suffer a let down off
• 1:37:53
  Speaker 1: of that boise they win. They might look ahead though,
• 1:37:56
  Speaker 1: because they got New Mexico on deck. In New Mexico
• 1:37:59
  Speaker 1: is one of the few teams that beat them in
• 1:38:01
  Speaker 1: conference so far. That is potentially a big look ahead here.
• 1:38:04
  Speaker 1: The man might not pay a total attention to UNLV,
• 1:38:07
  Speaker 1: and maybe they'll get distracted by the Vegas lights. I
• 1:38:10
  Speaker 1: don't know. UNLV's lost four games in a row, so
• 1:38:14
  Speaker 1: maybe they'll try to come in with some effort in
• 1:38:17
  Speaker 1: this one. Usually you do when you've lost four games
• 1:38:19
  Speaker 1: in a row. Those games were difficult though, against San
• 1:38:22
  Speaker 1: Diego State, New Mexico, Nevada, and then they almost be
• 1:38:25
  Speaker 1: Fresno on the road. Fresno is not very good though,
• 1:38:28
  Speaker 1: so UNLV that was kind of an ugly loss, but
• 1:38:32
  Speaker 1: it was on the heels of some big games, so
• 1:38:35
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I would probably take the points with
• 1:38:37
  Speaker 1: UNLV here. Grand Canyon is up from three and a
• 1:38:39
  Speaker 1: half to four, but seventy five percent of tickets only
• 1:38:41
  Speaker 1: seventy one percent of the cash on Grand Canyon. I
• 1:38:44
  Speaker 1: guess one thing you could say, though, is that Grand
• 1:38:46
  Speaker 1: Canyon was playing in the Whack, so they're not gonna
• 1:38:50
  Speaker 1: They're probably not gonna be that distracted by Vegas because
• 1:38:52
  Speaker 1: the Whack played their conference tournament there, which is whack
• 1:38:56
  Speaker 1: or maybe it isn't whack. I don't know, but maybe
• 1:38:58
  Speaker 1: that's one thing that will keep their on the game.
• 1:39:00
  Speaker 1: But I probably still lean to UNLV plus the points
• 1:39:03
  Speaker 1: in that one. All right, Robert Morris and Youngstown. I
• 1:39:09
  Speaker 1: thought there was some weird handicapping angle here. Robert Morris
• 1:39:12
  Speaker 1: just beat Right State. That was a pretty big win,
• 1:39:16
  Speaker 1: so potential let down I guess against Youngstown here. They
• 1:39:20
  Speaker 1: did already beat Youngstown at home, but only by three.
• 1:39:24
  Speaker 1: I would have to go back to look to see
• 1:39:25
  Speaker 1: if Robert Morris covered that number. I don't know if
• 1:39:27
  Speaker 1: they did. Youngstown's coming up absolutely annihilating IPFW though a
• 1:39:32
  Speaker 1: very satisfying win by almost thirty points on the road
• 1:39:35
  Speaker 1: against the team that's near the top of the standings,
• 1:39:37
  Speaker 1: and they have Oakland on deck, and Oakland may very
• 1:39:40
  Speaker 1: well be the best team in this conference. So they're
• 1:39:43
  Speaker 1: definitely in a sandwich. Is just a matter of will
• 1:39:45
  Speaker 1: they show up just because Robert Morris did beat them
• 1:39:50
  Speaker 1: already at Robert Morris. Yeah, Robert Morris covered barely as
• 1:39:53
  Speaker 1: two and a half boy favorites. Tough handicap in this
• 1:39:56
  Speaker 1: one man Youngstown. I do think they're in a fairly
• 1:40:00
  Speaker 1: significant sandwich spot though, down from four to three and
• 1:40:03
  Speaker 1: a half on youngstun there. I agree with that move.
• 1:40:05
  Speaker 1: I would probably take the points with Robert Morris, our
• 1:40:09
  Speaker 1: favorite guy, I guess in that one, But no real
• 1:40:12
  Speaker 1: strong opinion there as I feel like I always am saying, Okay,
• 1:40:18
  Speaker 1: what other games here? Do We have a lot of
• 1:40:20
  Speaker 1: these games I don't find to be interessing. Have it
• 1:40:22
  Speaker 1: at dot Meuth kind of indressing? Havevid is coming off
• 1:40:26
  Speaker 1: an upset at Yale? That was a huge upset. Yale
• 1:40:29
  Speaker 1: is the dominant team in the IVY. Harvard and Yale
• 1:40:32
  Speaker 1: have kind of a rivalry going on to Harvard were
• 1:40:34
  Speaker 1: like double digit underdogs in that game. That was a
• 1:40:37
  Speaker 1: huge upset, double digit underdogs. Kid Yale went it went
• 1:40:41
  Speaker 1: down to New Aven and beat beat Yale. Man beat
• 1:40:44
  Speaker 1: the Bulldogs. So Harvard, I mean, I think they're in
• 1:40:49
  Speaker 1: a letdown spot here. It's a third straight road game. However,
• 1:40:53
  Speaker 1: they did lose at home to Dot Myth already and
• 1:40:55
  Speaker 1: that's who they're playing here is So I don't know, Man,
• 1:40:57
  Speaker 1: maybe they will show up just because they lost at home,
• 1:41:00
  Speaker 1: but I think the letdown spot is very very significant
• 1:41:03
  Speaker 1: coming up the huge win Dot Myth comes into this
• 1:41:07
  Speaker 1: game off a beating Brown on the road. Not a
• 1:41:09
  Speaker 1: big deal there. They do have Yale on deck, but
• 1:41:12
  Speaker 1: I don't know that they're gonna overlook Haved, who's above
• 1:41:14
  Speaker 1: them in the standings here, So not on my card,
• 1:41:17
  Speaker 1: not on my cad. But I'm gonna I'll lean to
• 1:41:21
  Speaker 1: Havevid in this one, or excuse me, dot Meth. I'm
• 1:41:24
  Speaker 1: gonna lean to dot Meth in this one. Haved is
• 1:41:26
  Speaker 1: in the letdown spot. Havevid's only laying one and a
• 1:41:29
  Speaker 1: half on the road here too, So it looks pretty
• 1:41:31
  Speaker 1: easy to play Harvard, especially, Oh HAVEVID just beat Yale
• 1:41:34
  Speaker 1: and they have the better record here. It looks very
• 1:41:36
  Speaker 1: easy to play Harvard basically just to pick the winner.
• 1:41:39
  Speaker 1: But that's not what I would do. I would play Dartmouth.
• 1:41:41
  Speaker 1: My mistake, I would play Dartmouth in that one. I
• 1:41:44
  Speaker 1: wrote it as Harvard in my sheet, but I meant Dartmouth.
• 1:41:48
  Speaker 1: I changed it to Jackson Dartmouth. Yeah, all right. Incarnate
• 1:41:55
  Speaker 1: word at McNeice is kind of interesting. Incarnate word. They're
• 1:41:59
  Speaker 1: one of the only teams to beat macneese so far
• 1:42:01
  Speaker 1: in conference play. MacNeice has three losses and one of
• 1:42:05
  Speaker 1: them was too incarnate word at incarnate word really early
• 1:42:09
  Speaker 1: on a conference play. But I don't really seem I
• 1:42:12
  Speaker 1: don't see incarnate word overlooking MacNeice, but they are playing
• 1:42:15
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game, a third road game in
• 1:42:18
  Speaker 1: four games. Incarnate Word did just pull up an upset
• 1:42:21
  Speaker 1: on the road at Texas A and m Corpus Christie.
• 1:42:23
  Speaker 1: So there are still some negatives for Incarnate Word here,
• 1:42:27
  Speaker 1: man Or. I've listed all negatives actually so far. So yeah,
• 1:42:31
  Speaker 1: it should be maybe a revenge game for MacNeice Incarnate
• 1:42:34
  Speaker 1: Word coming off of an upset and playing a bunch of
• 1:42:36
  Speaker 1: road games recently, so none of that is good. The
• 1:42:38
  Speaker 1: problem for MacNeice is they're coming off a huge game
• 1:42:41
  Speaker 1: against Steven F. Austin where they fell short. So that
• 1:42:44
  Speaker 1: is the warrior that that was such a big game.
• 1:42:46
  Speaker 1: Then it will hang them over because that was a
• 1:42:48
  Speaker 1: game that had huge conference implications there. And you know,
• 1:42:54
  Speaker 1: I'm still kind of angry just because I had a
• 1:42:56
  Speaker 1: lean on MacNeice in that one, and I want to
• 1:42:57
  Speaker 1: be right about everything. Seeven have Austin was definitely a
• 1:43:01
  Speaker 1: square side and that on a public side and a
• 1:43:05
  Speaker 1: public home underdog in that one, So that kind of
• 1:43:07
  Speaker 1: pissed me off. We'll see. I don't know MacNeice is
• 1:43:10
  Speaker 1: laying sixteen points here. I just worry coming up that
• 1:43:13
  Speaker 1: Stephen have Austin game, even though there are a lot
• 1:43:15
  Speaker 1: of negatives for incarnate word, I probably would actually lead
• 1:43:18
  Speaker 1: towards taking the points with incarnate world there. But not
• 1:43:21
  Speaker 1: a huge game. Okay, we got some stuff going on
• 1:43:27
  Speaker 1: here in the the a Sun. Probably the interesting one
• 1:43:30
  Speaker 1: is actually Central Arkansas on Lipscomb. Central Arkansas has actually
• 1:43:34
  Speaker 1: overtaken Lipscomb in the standings. I've won a bunch of
• 1:43:38
  Speaker 1: games in a row, six games in a row. I
• 1:43:40
  Speaker 1: don't know if they're for real, man, And maybe we'll
• 1:43:42
  Speaker 1: find out here playing Lipscomb, who is actually a team
• 1:43:44
  Speaker 1: that's better than they are and that they haven't faced yet.
• 1:43:48
  Speaker 1: Lipscomb behind them in the conference standings out because Lipscomb
• 1:43:51
  Speaker 1: did just lose to Austin p so that's the concern.
• 1:43:54
  Speaker 1: That was a big game between Lipscomb and Austin p
• 1:43:57
  Speaker 1: so both teams coming off that game. Big game. But
• 1:44:00
  Speaker 1: Lipscomb was getting blown out pretty much towards the end
• 1:44:02
  Speaker 1: of that game. So maybe Lipscomb will get over that
• 1:44:05
  Speaker 1: and show up for this one and try to reclaim
• 1:44:09
  Speaker 1: second place in the conference. They are the better team
• 1:44:11
  Speaker 1: and they've gone up for two and a half to
• 1:44:13
  Speaker 1: three and a half here almost four. I guess I
• 1:44:15
  Speaker 1: would probably lay it with Lipscomb, although you're getting less
• 1:44:18
  Speaker 1: value on it now, but I guess I would lean
• 1:44:20
  Speaker 1: that way if I was gonna play it. And then yes,
• 1:44:22
  Speaker 1: I skipped over North Alabama and Austin P. North Alabama
• 1:44:25
  Speaker 1: did just lose badly to that Central Arkansas team and
• 1:44:28
  Speaker 1: they're playing a fifth straight road game though, so that's
• 1:44:31
  Speaker 1: the difficulty there. Five road games in a row is
• 1:44:34
  Speaker 1: not easy for anybody, man because normally I would say, well,
• 1:44:36
  Speaker 1: Austin P is gonna be inn a letdown. They just
• 1:44:38
  Speaker 1: beat Lipscomb. It was revenge for losing in them prior
• 1:44:42
  Speaker 1: in the for losing earlier in the season as well,
• 1:44:46
  Speaker 1: and this isn't a second meeting, I don't believe. But
• 1:44:49
  Speaker 1: they do have queens on deck, so that's a pretty
• 1:44:51
  Speaker 1: big game. Two queens still near the top of the
• 1:44:53
  Speaker 1: standings too, so it is a sandwich spot for Austin P.
• 1:44:56
  Speaker 1: So I was gonna say, well, you should probably fade them,
• 1:44:58
  Speaker 1: But then again, the problem is they're facing a team
• 1:45:01
  Speaker 1: it's phasing a fifth straight road game, so I can't
• 1:45:04
  Speaker 1: get there with it. Austin peas Lank thirteen, I'll still
• 1:45:07
  Speaker 1: lean North Alabama plus the points, but I don't want
• 1:45:10
  Speaker 1: to really deal with it. All right, one of the
• 1:45:12
  Speaker 1: games that I say I was gonna talk about NC
• 1:45:14
  Speaker 1: State and Duke. I think I already hit the other
• 1:45:18
  Speaker 1: ones that people asked about. Oh, in Illinois, I haven't
• 1:45:20
  Speaker 1: talked about yet, that's right. I'm definitely talking about that anyway.
• 1:45:24
  Speaker 1: But once I get to it. We're getting into the
• 1:45:26
  Speaker 1: night games now, so we're gonna get this done just
• 1:45:29
  Speaker 1: after ten pm, and then I'm gonna be I'm gonna
• 1:45:31
  Speaker 1: take a very short break and be right back with NBA,
• 1:45:34
  Speaker 1: which will hopefully be a short show, okay, and I'll
• 1:45:40
  Speaker 1: make it a new show, though I apologize it'll be
• 1:45:42
  Speaker 1: it'll be another stream, but be on the lookout for it.
• 1:45:45
  Speaker 1: Number six Gonzaga at Oregon State. Gonzaga is coming off
• 1:45:49
  Speaker 1: a loss. It was a ridiculous loss or there were
• 1:45:51
  Speaker 1: like twenty something point favorites on the road at Portland.
• 1:45:54
  Speaker 1: Took the loss, but of course you can see why
• 1:45:57
  Speaker 1: kind of because Gonzaga is coming up their huge win
• 1:46:00
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's always a huge deal between Gonzaga and Saint Mary's.
• 1:46:04
  Speaker 1: Whoever wins that game is gonna be in a bit
• 1:46:06
  Speaker 1: of a letdown. Still not really an excuse to lose
• 1:46:08
  Speaker 1: the game outright. I mean, covering is not covering is
• 1:46:11
  Speaker 1: one thing, but losing outright is another. Now they're going
• 1:46:14
  Speaker 1: on the They're continuing on the Roady's staying in Oregon.
• 1:46:17
  Speaker 1: They're gonna play Oregon State here. Was not a good team.
• 1:46:20
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga will still be a huge favorite here. But you know,
• 1:46:22
  Speaker 1: I talk about this when a team takes their first
• 1:46:24
  Speaker 1: conference loss and they haven't lost for a long time,
• 1:46:27
  Speaker 1: and in fact, Gonzaga had one loss all season. It
• 1:46:31
  Speaker 1: was a ridiculous blowout forty point loss to Michigan. After
• 1:46:36
  Speaker 1: that game, they did bounce back very nicely and absolutely
• 1:46:39
  Speaker 1: drill Kentucky. So Gonzaga does have some presit for bouncing
• 1:46:43
  Speaker 1: back here. But when it's this late in to the
• 1:46:45
  Speaker 1: season and you haven't lost in so long, I think
• 1:46:49
  Speaker 1: it could be a hangover spot. Man. So I really
• 1:46:51
  Speaker 1: worry about Gonzaga here, Whereas normally if a huge favorite
• 1:46:54
  Speaker 1: loses like that, I'm gonna think they're gonna bounce back.
• 1:46:56
  Speaker 1: Oregon State will show up here, but they are coming
• 1:46:59
  Speaker 1: on a nice rival win over Washington State, getting a
• 1:47:01
  Speaker 1: little bit of revenge there. I think they are worse
• 1:47:04
  Speaker 1: than Washington State, so they are coming up of a
• 1:47:06
  Speaker 1: decent win themselves. They won't overlook Gonzaga, though. I think
• 1:47:09
  Speaker 1: I would have to take the points with the Oregon
• 1:47:11
  Speaker 1: State if I was gonna play it Gonzaga. I really
• 1:47:13
  Speaker 1: really worry about the hangover when they hadn't lost since
• 1:47:16
  Speaker 1: way early in the season. They're down from eighteen to
• 1:47:19
  Speaker 1: seventeen and a half. Here eighty nine percent of tickets
• 1:47:21
  Speaker 1: and fifty seven percent of the cash on Gonzaga, so
• 1:47:24
  Speaker 1: they're very public with less than the money on them.
• 1:47:26
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with taking the points with Oregon State in
• 1:47:28
  Speaker 1: that one. I'm not gonna make my car though. Does
• 1:47:34
  Speaker 1: YouTube show how many hours of watch time? I don't know.
• 1:47:37
  Speaker 1: Maybe I'm not paying enough attention. I should pay more
• 1:47:40
  Speaker 1: attention to the stats. The number of views based on
• 1:47:44
  Speaker 1: the number of videos i'll put out is really really low.
• 1:47:47
  Speaker 1: But yes, you're right. The amount of people that watched
• 1:47:49
  Speaker 1: me probably watch for a long period of time. I
• 1:47:52
  Speaker 1: have loyal listeners, man, yes, thank you, But yeah, I
• 1:47:57
  Speaker 1: mean I still I want more viewers as well, though
• 1:47:59
  Speaker 1: I'm and I appreciate loyal viewers. Of course, I love
• 1:48:02
  Speaker 1: it all, but I want more, man, I want to
• 1:48:04
  Speaker 1: be able to monetize this thing and whatever. Six pm.
• 1:48:07
  Speaker 1: People just don't like this long format, man, where I
• 1:48:10
  Speaker 1: give out tons and tons of information six pm. And
• 1:48:13
  Speaker 1: I've been winning recently too, so you know, and I
• 1:48:15
  Speaker 1: have one long term doing this too, so you know,
• 1:48:18
  Speaker 1: I think I know what I'm doing. ESPN two six
• 1:48:21
  Speaker 1: pm The Big Max Sunbelt Challenge game between the best
• 1:48:25
  Speaker 1: team in both conferences. How did they schedule it like this? Man?
• 1:48:29
  Speaker 1: How did they know that these two teams would be
• 1:48:31
  Speaker 1: the best teams? Are things rigged? I don't know. But
• 1:48:33
  Speaker 1: it's Akron at Troy, Akron having to go down to Alabama.
• 1:48:37
  Speaker 1: I mean, kind of a weird spot for Akron. But
• 1:48:40
  Speaker 1: Akron is coming up a bad game against Eastern Michigan.
• 1:48:42
  Speaker 1: I told you I liked Eastern Michigan in that game,
• 1:48:45
  Speaker 1: it wasn't on my card, unfortunately, because Akron was coming
• 1:48:48
  Speaker 1: up their huge rivalry went over Kent State. It was
• 1:48:50
  Speaker 1: an easy win though, but they did have this Troy
• 1:48:53
  Speaker 1: game on deck. I thought they would overlook Eastern Michigan.
• 1:48:56
  Speaker 1: They're already beating them easily the other time this season two,
• 1:48:59
  Speaker 1: so I think they did overlook them. And they only
• 1:49:02
  Speaker 1: won by two, So Akron should refocus coming into this game.
• 1:49:06
  Speaker 1: I like teams that are coming off almost losing his
• 1:49:09
  Speaker 1: huge favorites because maybe they were looking ahead. They'll usually
• 1:49:13
  Speaker 1: refocus after a game like that because they know they
• 1:49:15
  Speaker 1: didn't play well. Troy coming into this game off of
• 1:49:18
  Speaker 1: beating Georgia State not a big deal there. So both
• 1:49:23
  Speaker 1: teams come into this indecent situations here. Akron is the favorite,
• 1:49:28
  Speaker 1: so the oddsmakers are telling you who's the better team here,
• 1:49:31
  Speaker 1: But the money is coming in on Troy. Akron down
• 1:49:34
  Speaker 1: for four and a half to four here, fifty to
• 1:49:35
  Speaker 1: fifty on the tickets, seventy two percent of the cash
• 1:49:37
  Speaker 1: on Troy. And yes, I do think the home teams
• 1:49:40
  Speaker 1: in this max Sunbelt thing have the advantage here, and
• 1:49:43
  Speaker 1: I think the sun Belt is hosting all of them,
• 1:49:45
  Speaker 1: I think, which is pretty stupid. If I was the MAC,
• 1:49:48
  Speaker 1: i'd be pissed. Although hopefully the tournament committee doesn't really
• 1:49:52
  Speaker 1: weigh these games here that heavily. Probably they won't. I
• 1:49:55
  Speaker 1: would be pissed if I was Miami, Ohio and I
• 1:49:57
  Speaker 1: lost a Boshall, I'd be like, why do we like?
• 1:50:01
  Speaker 1: Why do we have to be the road team in
• 1:50:02
  Speaker 1: this challenge. Man, it's stupid, which I believe is the case.
• 1:50:06
  Speaker 1: I don't think these are neutral. Yeah this is at Troy, Alabama,
• 1:50:09
  Speaker 1: so yeah, these are all hosted by the Sun Belt teams.
• 1:50:12
  Speaker 1: Maybe they might alternate year to year, right Like it
• 1:50:14
  Speaker 1: might have been the MAC that hosted last year, so
• 1:50:16
  Speaker 1: maybe they do that. So that's a little bit more fair.
• 1:50:21
  Speaker 1: The money is Sant Troy, man for what it's worth.
• 1:50:23
  Speaker 1: The saying to take the points with Troy, I was
• 1:50:26
  Speaker 1: kind of leaning towards Akron because they are the better
• 1:50:28
  Speaker 1: team and they're gonna be in a super focused spot
• 1:50:30
  Speaker 1: I think off of that bad game. So I kind
• 1:50:31
  Speaker 1: of disagree with that one, but not a huge opinion
• 1:50:35
  Speaker 1: from me. Santa Clara at Washington State, Santa Clara is
• 1:50:39
  Speaker 1: a top the West Coast Conference now, believe it or not. Briefly,
• 1:50:43
  Speaker 1: I think they should make the tournament this year. Man,
• 1:50:45
  Speaker 1: I think they should get in at large. Bit if
• 1:50:47
  Speaker 1: they don't win the West Coast Conference, Ken bomb as
• 1:50:50
  Speaker 1: them like in the top forty five now probably Santa
• 1:50:54
  Speaker 1: Clara is a legit team. They're coming up beating Pacific.
• 1:50:58
  Speaker 1: Third straight road game here. I don't believe they played
• 1:51:01
  Speaker 1: Washington State, yet maybe the only time they played them
• 1:51:04
  Speaker 1: may be a little bit of an unfamiliar venue because
• 1:51:06
  Speaker 1: Washington State is still new to the conference. It's a
• 1:51:08
  Speaker 1: third straight road game, and Santa Clara does have Seattle
• 1:51:11
  Speaker 1: and Gonzaga up next. Seattle maybe not a big deal.
• 1:51:14
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga definitely a big deal. What are they gonna do
• 1:51:19
  Speaker 1: with this? I don't know. Washington State's coming up an
• 1:51:21
  Speaker 1: ugly loss to Oregon State. O. That was a rivalry game,
• 1:51:23
  Speaker 1: but they did take that loss. However, they do have
• 1:51:26
  Speaker 1: Gonzaga up next, but they're not gonna overlook Santa Clara.
• 1:51:29
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara's actually at a Gonzaga, like I said in
• 1:51:32
  Speaker 1: the standings now, so I'd probably take the points with
• 1:51:35
  Speaker 1: Washington State in this one. Not a strong opinion. Santa
• 1:51:38
  Speaker 1: Clara done from May and a half to eight in
• 1:51:40
  Speaker 1: that game, all right, So the Margaret Reed is kind
• 1:51:45
  Speaker 1: of saying to lean that way. Peacock six pm, Big
• 1:51:48
  Speaker 1: East Seaton Hall Creighton decent game here. Senioral already beat
• 1:51:53
  Speaker 1: Creyton only by two at home, but I think senal
• 1:51:57
  Speaker 1: was probably a small favorite there as well, so I
• 1:51:58
  Speaker 1: don't know if they covered or not. It probably doesn't
• 1:52:00
  Speaker 1: matter because it wasn't a game with a huge favorite
• 1:52:03
  Speaker 1: one way or the other. Seaton Hall just lost to
• 1:52:06
  Speaker 1: Villanova and now they've gotta go out to Omaha, which
• 1:52:08
  Speaker 1: isn't really gonna be that easy, and they did already
• 1:52:10
  Speaker 1: beat Crayton once. Like I said, Creighton coming of a
• 1:52:13
  Speaker 1: loss to Georgetown which maybe a bit of a worse
• 1:52:17
  Speaker 1: loss there, and on a three game losing streak, you know,
• 1:52:21
  Speaker 1: probably gonna lead to Creighton in this one. It looks
• 1:52:25
  Speaker 1: like the money is kind of agreeing with that. Although
• 1:52:27
  Speaker 1: they're public set ninety three percent of tickets, ninety eight
• 1:52:29
  Speaker 1: percent of the cash on them, they're sitting at a
• 1:52:31
  Speaker 1: two point favorite here. I'd probably agree with Creighton. It
• 1:52:34
  Speaker 1: would probably be money line if I did anything with
• 1:52:37
  Speaker 1: Creighton in that one. But not a game that I
• 1:52:41
  Speaker 1: have a great read on at all. I just maybe
• 1:52:43
  Speaker 1: just because of the slight revenge mode of whatever and Creighton.
• 1:52:48
  Speaker 1: You know, it's just a weird spot for some of
• 1:52:50
  Speaker 1: these bas teams, so always have to go out too
• 1:52:52
  Speaker 1: out to Omaha. So I think Creighton has a decent
• 1:52:54
  Speaker 1: home advantage. The low it is factored into the line.
• 1:52:57
  Speaker 1: So the osmakers are telling you Seaton Hall is the
• 1:52:59
  Speaker 1: slight better team though, and they are the better deepfense
• 1:53:02
  Speaker 1: getting points. So there is that. Celt Dakota at South
• 1:53:06
  Speaker 1: Dakota State. CBS Sports has this game for whatever reason.
• 1:53:09
  Speaker 1: Although it's not the most uninteresting game, it is a
• 1:53:12
  Speaker 1: rivalry between these two teams. They're both doing okay in
• 1:53:15
  Speaker 1: the Summit League this year. Did they already know they
• 1:53:19
  Speaker 1: didn't play yet because they probably played the last game
• 1:53:21
  Speaker 1: of the season. Yeah, they do. Because it's a rivalries
• 1:53:24
  Speaker 1: that makes sense. Soelth Dakota just somehow beat me with
• 1:53:29
  Speaker 1: Kansas City there. Man, that was a horrible spot for
• 1:53:32
  Speaker 1: celt Dakota. They were coming off almost upsetting North Dakota
• 1:53:35
  Speaker 1: State and they had celt Dakota State, their big rival
• 1:53:37
  Speaker 1: on deck. Kansas City absolutely imploded blowing that game. They
• 1:53:42
  Speaker 1: had the outright lead for most of that game. I
• 1:53:44
  Speaker 1: am pissed off about that, and they took it into
• 1:53:46
  Speaker 1: overtime and still lost. So maybe South Dakota will be
• 1:53:49
  Speaker 1: more focused off of that, coming off that game where
• 1:53:52
  Speaker 1: they played a bad game against a bad team. But
• 1:53:55
  Speaker 1: they did have to go to overtime, so they did
• 1:53:58
  Speaker 1: have to play an extra period of basketball. There soult
• 1:54:01
  Speaker 1: Dakota State coming up a loss to Saint Thomas. They
• 1:54:04
  Speaker 1: are a good team, but it was a fifteen point loss,
• 1:54:06
  Speaker 1: so not a great loss at home of the South
• 1:54:08
  Speaker 1: Dakota State was actually in that game for a bit
• 1:54:10
  Speaker 1: before Saint Thomas really turned it on and then it
• 1:54:12
  Speaker 1: was kind of over after that. So you know, in
• 1:54:17
  Speaker 1: this game, I probably entwards soelth Dakota again, I think
• 1:54:22
  Speaker 1: they're coming off the more lackluster performance there. South Dakota
• 1:54:26
  Speaker 1: State is the better team, but they're laying a lot
• 1:54:28
  Speaker 1: up from ten to ten and a half here. Selt
• 1:54:30
  Speaker 1: Dakota probably kind of considers themself to be the little
• 1:54:32
  Speaker 1: brother even though they're the non state team, basically just
• 1:54:37
  Speaker 1: because South Dakota State is almost always the better team
• 1:54:41
  Speaker 1: out of the two. So South Dakota just you know,
• 1:54:45
  Speaker 1: if you forced me to give a lean on that one,
• 1:54:47
  Speaker 1: that's what it would be. But no strong opinion. Lamar
• 1:54:50
  Speaker 1: at Stephen F. Austin. Of course, I think Stephen of
• 1:54:53
  Speaker 1: Austin is in a letdown spot because they just gave
• 1:54:55
  Speaker 1: themselves some pretty big padding in the Southland. They're likely
• 1:54:58
  Speaker 1: to be the one seed in the Southland, although they'll
• 1:55:01
  Speaker 1: probably meet McNeese again in the conference final or something
• 1:55:04
  Speaker 1: we'll see. But Stephen of Austin just beat MacNeice. It
• 1:55:08
  Speaker 1: was in season revenge and it gave them a big
• 1:55:12
  Speaker 1: amount of padding two game lead over MacNeice. Huge game. Man.
• 1:55:15
  Speaker 1: Now they play Lamar, who they just beat on the
• 1:55:17
  Speaker 1: road not that long ago by seven. So it's an
• 1:55:21
  Speaker 1: in season revenge spot for Lamar road reversal revenge and
• 1:55:25
  Speaker 1: it's a letdown spot for Stephen of Austin. So yes,
• 1:55:27
  Speaker 1: I like Lamar on this one. This one almost made
• 1:55:29
  Speaker 1: my card. Stephen of Austin only plays East Texas A
• 1:55:33
  Speaker 1: and M next. They obliterated them the first time, so
• 1:55:36
  Speaker 1: it's not a big look ahead. I wish it was
• 1:55:38
  Speaker 1: a bigger look ahead here. I wish it was a
• 1:55:40
  Speaker 1: sandwich for Lamar. They're an okay team in the conference.
• 1:55:46
  Speaker 1: They're coming up beating Southeast Louisiana. They actually I lost.
• 1:55:50
  Speaker 1: That was a loser for me on the show here
• 1:55:52
  Speaker 1: because Lamar was coming up playing MacNeice, so I was like,
• 1:55:55
  Speaker 1: we're gonna fade them after they almost upset MacNeice and
• 1:55:58
  Speaker 1: they had this Stephen of Austin game on dec It
• 1:55:59
  Speaker 1: was a major sandwich. I don't know what that was,
• 1:56:03
  Speaker 1: but Lamar had an easy win in that game against
• 1:56:05
  Speaker 1: Southeast Louisiana. Even so, yes, I do think they'll show
• 1:56:08
  Speaker 1: up for a game against Stephen of Austin. Obviously for
• 1:56:11
  Speaker 1: all the reasons I just said, I like Lamar on
• 1:56:13
  Speaker 1: this one. Steven ev aust is up from eight to
• 1:56:15
  Speaker 1: eight and a half, but it would absolutely be Lamar
• 1:56:18
  Speaker 1: plus the points or pass on that one. Northwestern State
• 1:56:22
  Speaker 1: and East Texas A and M. Are you ready for
• 1:56:24
  Speaker 1: this one? This is the ugliest one of the of
• 1:56:26
  Speaker 1: the best bets. But this is kind of a unique
• 1:56:32
  Speaker 1: situation because of a weather postponement, and it's a very
• 1:56:35
  Speaker 1: very odd situation. We're gonna be on the Northwestern State
• 1:56:40
  Speaker 1: plus the one and a half, and now I do
• 1:56:42
  Speaker 1: think they're the better team here, even though when we
• 1:56:45
  Speaker 1: look at ken Palm here, I know there are some
• 1:56:47
  Speaker 1: things I don't like about it as well. Of course,
• 1:56:50
  Speaker 1: Northwestern State is bad defensively, I know, but I think
• 1:56:53
  Speaker 1: both teams are. So they're outside of the top three
• 1:56:56
  Speaker 1: hundred according to ken Palm in that realm, but they're
• 1:57:00
  Speaker 1: also pretty unlucky according to Kembum. They're in the bottom
• 1:57:02
  Speaker 1: third of luck whereas East Texas A and M is luckier.
• 1:57:06
  Speaker 1: According to kembom, they're in the top almost in the
• 1:57:08
  Speaker 1: top one hundred of luck. So ken Bum, even though
• 1:57:13
  Speaker 1: he does have East Texas A and M is the
• 1:57:14
  Speaker 1: better defense, they're not a great defense. They're a miserable offense.
• 1:57:19
  Speaker 1: So Northwestern State is the better offense. I know, usually
• 1:57:21
  Speaker 1: I like defense, but I'll show you the spot in
• 1:57:23
  Speaker 1: a minute. But ken Bum is telling you East Texas
• 1:57:26
  Speaker 1: A and M is a little bit overrated. He's got
• 1:57:28
  Speaker 1: them at two eighty eighth, and he's got Northwestern State
• 1:57:31
  Speaker 1: somewhere higher than that in his rankings. Actually only as
• 1:57:36
  Speaker 1: they're right there, he only has some two ranking spots higher.
• 1:57:40
  Speaker 1: H So I guess that's a bit of a concern.
• 1:57:41
  Speaker 1: But East Texas A and M gets basically no home
• 1:57:43
  Speaker 1: court advantage either, because you know, like nobody shows up
• 1:57:47
  Speaker 1: to these games. So formerly East formerly Texas A and
• 1:57:51
  Speaker 1: M Commerce because they're in Commerce, Texas. I don't really
• 1:57:54
  Speaker 1: know why they change their name. But this is a
• 1:57:57
  Speaker 1: zigzag spot first of all, because these seems just played
• 1:58:00
  Speaker 1: at Northwestern State, and Northwestern State was a three and
• 1:58:03
  Speaker 1: a half boy favorite and they lost the game outright
• 1:58:06
  Speaker 1: and looking at the statistics, there wasn't a whole lot
• 1:58:08
  Speaker 1: that went on in this game that was really an
• 1:58:11
  Speaker 1: outlier one way or the other, so not a whole
• 1:58:13
  Speaker 1: lot to see. Northwestern State was really bad at the
• 1:58:15
  Speaker 1: free throw line, though, so there was that, and then
• 1:58:18
  Speaker 1: East Texas A and M did hit a high percentage
• 1:58:20
  Speaker 1: of three pointers and they take more of them, so
• 1:58:23
  Speaker 1: that kind of was what wound up giving East Texas
• 1:58:26
  Speaker 1: A and M the win in the game. They had
• 1:58:29
  Speaker 1: a three point disparity there and they hit more of
• 1:58:32
  Speaker 1: their free throws, so things that could definitely even out
• 1:58:35
  Speaker 1: a little bit coming off of that. So I think
• 1:58:38
  Speaker 1: it's a zig zag spot where Northwestern State they've lost
• 1:58:40
  Speaker 1: a bunch of games in a row too, They've lost
• 1:58:42
  Speaker 1: six games in a row, and that game they were
• 1:58:44
  Speaker 1: supposed to play that game way back before they played
• 1:58:47
  Speaker 1: Steven of Awesome, but the game got moved because of
• 1:58:50
  Speaker 1: the weather, which set up this weird like quick revenge
• 1:58:54
  Speaker 1: spot zigzag spot they usually don't get in college basketball, man,
• 1:58:58
  Speaker 1: So I like it. People are gonna look at this
• 1:59:00
  Speaker 1: and think East Texas A and M is the better
• 1:59:02
  Speaker 1: team because they have the better record here, but the
• 1:59:05
  Speaker 1: oddsmakers and everybody can bomb. Everybody's telling you Northwestern State
• 1:59:08
  Speaker 1: is actually the better team here. So you know, pick
• 1:59:11
  Speaker 1: the winner looks too easy to Oh, East Texas A
• 1:59:13
  Speaker 1: and M just one at Northwestern State and they have
• 1:59:16
  Speaker 1: the better records. This is so easy, right, you pick
• 1:59:19
  Speaker 1: the winner? You pick East Texas A and M. Well,
• 1:59:21
  Speaker 1: I don't think so, man, we're going with the demons here.
• 1:59:24
  Speaker 1: Like I said, we're getting demonic here. Not only is
• 1:59:26
  Speaker 1: it a zig zag, but look at the spot for
• 1:59:29
  Speaker 1: East Texas A and M real quick. So yes, they
• 1:59:32
  Speaker 1: just beat Northwestern State, which did end a losing street
• 1:59:36
  Speaker 1: for them. Sometimes that's good and it will propel you forward.
• 1:59:39
  Speaker 1: But look at who they play next. In two days.
• 1:59:42
  Speaker 1: They have to go to Steven F. Austin and then
• 1:59:44
  Speaker 1: they have MacNeice right after that. So East Texas A
• 1:59:47
  Speaker 1: and M has these massive games coming up next to
• 1:59:49
  Speaker 1: Steven of Austin gave them one of their ugliest losses
• 1:59:52
  Speaker 1: of the season in their own place, beating them by
• 1:59:55
  Speaker 1: thirty something points. So of course they're gonna have that
• 1:59:57
  Speaker 1: game circled and be looking ahead to Steven HAVE Austin.
• 2:00:00
  Speaker 1: For all those reasons, they're gonna have McNeice Circle too.
• 2:00:03
  Speaker 1: McNeice blew them out as well in embarrassing fashion. Of course,
• 2:00:07
  Speaker 1: those are the best two teams in the conference and
• 2:00:09
  Speaker 1: it's not even close. So yeah, this is a horrible
• 2:00:12
  Speaker 1: spot for East Texas A and M. I think we're
• 2:00:14
  Speaker 1: going with Northwestern State. The line is hovering around two,
• 2:00:18
  Speaker 1: and don't see the percentages on this. It's a low
• 2:00:20
  Speaker 1: total one forty three. East Texas A and M is
• 2:00:23
  Speaker 1: gonna try to speed the game up. Northwestern State wants
• 2:00:26
  Speaker 1: to go slow. But you know, I say, the team
• 2:00:27
  Speaker 1: that slows the game down has an easier time of
• 2:00:30
  Speaker 1: doing that, So Northwestern State may be able to do
• 2:00:33
  Speaker 1: that for us in that one. So that's that play there,
• 2:00:36
  Speaker 1: Northwestern State plus the one and a half or two
• 2:00:39
  Speaker 1: whatever you can get there, whatever you can get. Some
• 2:00:43
  Speaker 1: of these big Sky games are somewhat interressing. Northern Colorado
• 2:00:47
  Speaker 1: on a nice little run here. They're up to, you know,
• 2:00:51
  Speaker 1: being more respectable in the conference. Down I still think
• 2:00:53
  Speaker 1: they're under the raidar Man. This Northern Colorado team is
• 2:00:55
  Speaker 1: not as bad as they looked. They've won a few
• 2:00:57
  Speaker 1: games in a row now, but now they're playing Idaho's
• 2:01:00
  Speaker 1: It was one of the only teams they actually beat
• 2:01:02
  Speaker 1: in conference play already, and they beat them a double digits,
• 2:01:05
  Speaker 1: So coming up a decent win on the road against
• 2:01:08
  Speaker 1: Weaver State, and maybe they won't have full focus against
• 2:01:10
  Speaker 1: this pretty weak Idaho State team. Although Northern Colorado only
• 2:01:14
  Speaker 1: a Sacramento State up next, but I do think that's
• 2:01:17
  Speaker 1: a revenge game. It is because they lost on the
• 2:01:20
  Speaker 1: road at Sacramento State, so maybe Northern Colorado will look
• 2:01:23
  Speaker 1: ahead to them. Idaho State coming up a pretty ugly
• 2:01:26
  Speaker 1: home loss to Northern Arizona, but that was after they
• 2:01:29
  Speaker 1: took a long trip home. I mean, it's not I know,
• 2:01:32
  Speaker 1: it's not the pros where you return to home life
• 2:01:36
  Speaker 1: and whatever, but sometimes I guess that could be a
• 2:01:38
  Speaker 1: bad spot just because of all the travel and whatever.
• 2:01:42
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I would lean towards Idaho State. And there's
• 2:01:44
  Speaker 1: one Northern Colorado up from one and a half to two,
• 2:01:46
  Speaker 1: but I think it's a worst spot for them, plus
• 2:01:49
  Speaker 1: a bounce back spot for Ido State plus a little
• 2:01:51
  Speaker 1: bit of revenge for Idaho State. And then Idaho at
• 2:01:54
  Speaker 1: Montana is a decent game in the Big Skies. Well,
• 2:01:58
  Speaker 1: these teams already played once and Idaho lost at home
• 2:02:01
  Speaker 1: to Montana, so it is a bit of a road
• 2:02:03
  Speaker 1: revenge game for Idaho. But the problem is this is
• 2:02:06
  Speaker 1: a fourth road game in a row for them, and
• 2:02:08
  Speaker 1: they just played at Montana State, so they're playing both
• 2:02:11
  Speaker 1: Montana's in a row. Here. This hat makes me itchy.
• 2:02:15
  Speaker 1: Haven't shaved my head in a while, which is why
• 2:02:16
  Speaker 1: I'm wearing it, But I guess I don't look that
• 2:02:19
  Speaker 1: bad right now. The head's still pretty much shaved. But yeah,
• 2:02:23
  Speaker 1: it's gonna be a tough spot for Idaho still, even
• 2:02:25
  Speaker 1: yes it is a road revenge spot for them, but
• 2:02:28
  Speaker 1: coming off Montana State other and another big game and
• 2:02:31
  Speaker 1: playing a bunch of road games in a row, that's
• 2:02:34
  Speaker 1: not easy. And in this game, they did cut it
• 2:02:36
  Speaker 1: close right near the end, and they got to within
• 2:02:38
  Speaker 1: three points in the final minute, so Idaho did not
• 2:02:42
  Speaker 1: go away. So they're gonna have to play two big
• 2:02:44
  Speaker 1: games in a row. That's difficult. Montana, they're coming off
• 2:02:48
  Speaker 1: a pretty ugly loss at home to Eastern Washington. Though
• 2:02:51
  Speaker 1: Eastern Washington is better than they look. I think they
• 2:02:53
  Speaker 1: might bounce back. But Montana does have their big rival
• 2:02:56
  Speaker 1: Montana State on deck, and that will be revenge because
• 2:03:00
  Speaker 1: they already lost to them once on the road. The
• 2:03:04
  Speaker 1: line dropped a little bit from two and a half
• 2:03:05
  Speaker 1: to two. But you know, there's just so much factoring
• 2:03:09
  Speaker 1: into this game. I think I lean to Montana, though,
• 2:03:11
  Speaker 1: because of what the teams are coming off of I
• 2:03:14
  Speaker 1: think makes it a little bit more difficult for Idaho.
• 2:03:16
  Speaker 1: But there are too many conflicting factors in the game
• 2:03:18
  Speaker 1: for me to like it in any way. Really, yeah,
• 2:03:22
  Speaker 1: these pretzels are making me thirsty. I'm trying to get
• 2:03:24
  Speaker 1: done with this before I run out of water. Georgia
• 2:03:28
  Speaker 1: at LSU SEC Network, six pm Eastern on that one.
• 2:03:35
  Speaker 1: Let me see here, and I got to do the
• 2:03:36
  Speaker 1: Instagram videos too, Probably got to do that before I
• 2:03:39
  Speaker 1: do the NBA show. Georgia coming of three losses in
• 2:03:43
  Speaker 1: a row hasn't been great for them. Really had a
• 2:03:46
  Speaker 1: decent game against Tennessee, but then they kind of got
• 2:03:48
  Speaker 1: blown out a little bit by Texas A and M.
• 2:03:50
  Speaker 1: Three straight losses. Probably they will show up, even though
• 2:03:53
  Speaker 1: they do have a big game on deck against Florida,
• 2:03:56
  Speaker 1: which is a rivalry and it's the best team in
• 2:03:59
  Speaker 1: the s see in Florida beat them by margin the
• 2:04:02
  Speaker 1: one time the one other time they played them, so
• 2:04:04
  Speaker 1: it's a revenge game for Georgia too, So there might
• 2:04:07
  Speaker 1: be the look ahead for Georgia here, man. LSU just
• 2:04:10
  Speaker 1: ended a losing streak with a not very impressive win
• 2:04:13
  Speaker 1: over South Carolina, so they're I think, in a decent
• 2:04:15
  Speaker 1: spot here, although they do have Arkansas and Tennessee on deck.
• 2:04:19
  Speaker 1: Might be reason for a look ahead here. So I
• 2:04:22
  Speaker 1: don't love how the sets up, man, I don't really
• 2:04:24
  Speaker 1: know what I would even do with this game. Georgia
• 2:04:26
  Speaker 1: flipped from a one point dodge a one point favorite,
• 2:04:29
  Speaker 1: eighty eight percent of tickets, ninety seven percent of the
• 2:04:31
  Speaker 1: casual Georgia. But I really worry about Georgia looking ahead here, man,
• 2:04:35
  Speaker 1: So I think I would probably in LSU in this one.
• 2:04:38
  Speaker 1: Maybe it looks like some of the money is coming
• 2:04:40
  Speaker 1: out of Georgia at least for now. Looks like there
• 2:04:41
  Speaker 1: will be public but I'm staying away, total stay away.
• 2:04:46
  Speaker 1: Oh oh sorry, I can't skip. Duke North Carolina six
• 2:04:50
  Speaker 1: thirty pm. There you go. It's earlier than I thought
• 2:04:53
  Speaker 1: it was on ESPN, of course, number four Duke number
• 2:04:56
  Speaker 1: fourteen North Carolina. But as ken bumb I tell you,
• 2:05:00
  Speaker 1: North Carolina, Sorry, Garrett, North Carolina is not the fourteenth
• 2:05:05
  Speaker 1: best team in the country. Ken Bum has them thirtieth,
• 2:05:08
  Speaker 1: so that's not a good sign. He's got Duke third,
• 2:05:11
  Speaker 1: so Duke is more legitimate as far as they're ranking
• 2:05:13
  Speaker 1: is concerned. North Carolina really struggles on the defensive side
• 2:05:18
  Speaker 1: of the ball. They're good on offense, but Duke is
• 2:05:19
  Speaker 1: actually better on both sides of the ball, extremely balanced
• 2:05:23
  Speaker 1: in the top five of both which the only other
• 2:05:28
  Speaker 1: team that I think could boast that is Arizona, So
• 2:05:31
  Speaker 1: that's pretty good for Duke. It's also going to be
• 2:05:35
  Speaker 1: a weird pacing contrast here, of course, where Duke wants
• 2:05:37
  Speaker 1: to slow it down. North Carolina's going to try to
• 2:05:40
  Speaker 1: speed the game up a bit, but Duke is the
• 2:05:42
  Speaker 1: better team and it's easier to slow it down, so
• 2:05:44
  Speaker 1: Duke may be able to ugly this thing up and
• 2:05:46
  Speaker 1: slow it down even though they are on the road.
• 2:05:51
  Speaker 1: Both teams are lucky according to Kembum, so that doesn't
• 2:05:53
  Speaker 1: really matter. But there are some things that are kind
• 2:05:57
  Speaker 1: of pointing towards Duke in this one man and that
• 2:05:59
  Speaker 1: North Carolina their ranking is making them look better than
• 2:06:03
  Speaker 1: they actually are. Duke is coming up a game over
• 2:06:06
  Speaker 1: Boston College at home. They're staying in North Carolina doesn't
• 2:06:10
  Speaker 1: even matter easy win. Who cares they didn't cover. They
• 2:06:13
  Speaker 1: just have momentum coming to this game. For North Carolina.
• 2:06:18
  Speaker 1: They actually pretty much blew out Syracuse, so they're staying
• 2:06:20
  Speaker 1: in their home arena, so that's fine for them. I
• 2:06:23
  Speaker 1: the only one by ten, but that game is a
• 2:06:25
  Speaker 1: massive blowout, So as far as the situation is concerned,
• 2:06:28
  Speaker 1: both teams will show up here. It's a huge game.
• 2:06:32
  Speaker 1: The money is coming in on North Carolina, but I
• 2:06:34
  Speaker 1: don't know if I agree with it. Man Duke went
• 2:06:36
  Speaker 1: up from five to five and a half. We see
• 2:06:38
  Speaker 1: fifty seven percent of tickets in, eighty nine percent of
• 2:06:40
  Speaker 1: the cash on Duke, but or excuse me on North Carolina.
• 2:06:43
  Speaker 1: Excuse the money's coming into North Carolina. But I kind
• 2:06:46
  Speaker 1: of disagree with it. I think I would lean towards Duke,
• 2:06:49
  Speaker 1: like I think the public. I thought the public might
• 2:06:52
  Speaker 1: make North Carolina a bit of a public underdog in
• 2:06:54
  Speaker 1: this one, thinking oh, they're at home, it's gonna be,
• 2:06:57
  Speaker 1: you know, a big rivalry game, a competitive game. The
• 2:07:00
  Speaker 1: line might look a little bit too big, you know.
• 2:07:03
  Speaker 1: The rankings kind of indicate that teams are close, and
• 2:07:05
  Speaker 1: I don't think they as close as the rankings makers
• 2:07:08
  Speaker 1: think or yeah, so I kind of disagree with it.
• 2:07:11
  Speaker 1: I kind of Dredduke. Sorry, guys, I don't want to
• 2:07:14
  Speaker 1: do it because I don't like Duke. But that's just
• 2:07:16
  Speaker 1: how I handicapped the game, sun Belt. As we get
• 2:07:19
  Speaker 1: into the seven PM, were almost done Ohio, and I
• 2:07:22
  Speaker 1: still have two plays that are late plays Ohio at
• 2:07:25
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion. This game is mostly about Old Dominion here,
• 2:07:29
  Speaker 1: but well it's not really actually because Ohio is a
• 2:07:32
  Speaker 1: huge look ahead to Miami Ohio. Okay, so that's a
• 2:07:36
  Speaker 1: rivalry game. I don't think these teams those yeah, they
• 2:07:38
  Speaker 1: haven't played yet because they played the last game of
• 2:07:40
  Speaker 1: the season. That's a big game to be looking ahead to. Man,
• 2:07:43
  Speaker 1: so Ohio might get caught looking ahead to Miami Ohio here.
• 2:07:47
  Speaker 1: And for Old Dominion, I mean, they have a bad record,
• 2:07:49
  Speaker 1: they're a bad team this year, but as I pointed out,
• 2:07:51
  Speaker 1: they just had a horrific game where they lost to
• 2:07:53
  Speaker 1: an even worse team and Yuel Monroe, horrible loss for
• 2:07:57
  Speaker 1: Old Dominion. They were big favorites in that game staying
• 2:08:02
  Speaker 1: at home, So I would have to look towards Old
• 2:08:04
  Speaker 1: Dominion here to bounce back with Ohio, even though Ohio
• 2:08:07
  Speaker 1: was only coming off of a Western Michigan game. That
• 2:08:10
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Miami Ohio might be huge for Ohio. Also,
• 2:08:13
  Speaker 1: they're having to go to an unfamiliar venue here, going
• 2:08:15
  Speaker 1: to wherever the hell Old Dominion is in Virginia, So
• 2:08:19
  Speaker 1: maybe a worry that Old Dominion might look ahead to Marshall.
• 2:08:22
  Speaker 1: Though that's the one concerning there, because Marshall's been playing
• 2:08:25
  Speaker 1: well in the conference. But if I was gonna play
• 2:08:27
  Speaker 1: the game, I would have to be on Old Dominion
• 2:08:29
  Speaker 1: in this one. The money looks like it may have
• 2:08:32
  Speaker 1: disagreed with that. I don't see the percentages yet though,
• 2:08:34
  Speaker 1: but Ohio went up from two to three and a half.
• 2:08:36
  Speaker 1: The only way I would I would play this game
• 2:08:38
  Speaker 1: is to take the points with Old Dominion, though the
• 2:08:41
  Speaker 1: spot sets up a lot better for them. I think
• 2:08:47
  Speaker 1: North Carolina fans are nuts. I mean, I dude, I
• 2:08:52
  Speaker 1: don't know what to tell I hate both fan bases, Dude,
• 2:08:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know what else to tell you about it.
• 2:08:58
  Speaker 1: So I don't know. I don't know. I can't stand
• 2:09:02
  Speaker 1: the fan bases for those two teams, but I can't
• 2:09:05
  Speaker 1: stand Duke more than I can't stand North Carolina though,
• 2:09:08
  Speaker 1: because again I just kind of considered North Carolina to
• 2:09:11
  Speaker 1: be the more like actual southern school and because they
• 2:09:15
  Speaker 1: had MJ who went there. Like I said, I've already
• 2:09:17
  Speaker 1: talked about this on the show. That's pretty much why.
• 2:09:20
  Speaker 1: And I grew up, you know, watching MJ. And he
• 2:09:22
  Speaker 1: was the best player in the NBA. Still think he's
• 2:09:24
  Speaker 1: the best player in history. Although I was a kid,
• 2:09:27
  Speaker 1: so what did I know, And I didn't really get
• 2:09:28
  Speaker 1: to know and see him when he was like really
• 2:09:31
  Speaker 1: in his heyday in the eighties. Well he was still
• 2:09:34
  Speaker 1: like amazing in the nineties though I was watching him then.
• 2:09:38
  Speaker 1: All Right, Radford at high Point, pretty good game in
• 2:09:40
  Speaker 1: the Big South. Radford's in third place in the conference.
• 2:09:44
  Speaker 1: High Point is definitely the better team than you can
• 2:09:46
  Speaker 1: see the state of things with Radford though, when one
• 2:09:48
  Speaker 1: of the best teams in the conference, Winthrop comes in,
• 2:09:50
  Speaker 1: if you see when I have on my screen here,
• 2:09:52
  Speaker 1: it's still nobody shows up for the game. And it
• 2:09:55
  Speaker 1: was a close game. That was a good game. So
• 2:09:58
  Speaker 1: that's pretty bad that Radford's just drawing nobody even when
• 2:10:02
  Speaker 1: they get these good teams coming. And this game is
• 2:10:04
  Speaker 1: at high Point, though, now Radford already played at already
• 2:10:08
  Speaker 1: played against high Point and lost at home, so Radford
• 2:10:11
  Speaker 1: does have a little bit of road revenge here, and
• 2:10:13
  Speaker 1: of course they're not gonna overlook high Point anyway. But
• 2:10:16
  Speaker 1: the schedule makers did them no favors by giving them
• 2:10:19
  Speaker 1: Winthrop right before this, and they played really well against
• 2:10:22
  Speaker 1: against Winthrops, and now they're having to play two big
• 2:10:24
  Speaker 1: games in a row. That's not easy for Radford. Man
• 2:10:28
  Speaker 1: high Points coming up an easy win over Charleston's Southern
• 2:10:31
  Speaker 1: and they don't have any big games coming up. So yeah,
• 2:10:35
  Speaker 1: it could be a game where high Point just comes
• 2:10:37
  Speaker 1: in on cruise control. They should win the game, of course,
• 2:10:40
  Speaker 1: but maybe they just will kind of just get in
• 2:10:43
  Speaker 1: get out, But maybe not, because Radford is still in
• 2:10:46
  Speaker 1: third place in the standings. High Point up for twelve
• 2:10:48
  Speaker 1: and after thirteen. I think I would probably agree with
• 2:10:51
  Speaker 1: that move, and I would lay it with high Point
• 2:10:53
  Speaker 1: in that one. I just think the spot's not great
• 2:10:55
  Speaker 1: for Radford there, But my opinion is not strong on
• 2:10:59
  Speaker 1: that one. Merrimack at Ryder, I think there was some
• 2:11:02
  Speaker 1: angle here. Merrimack mostly would be the fact that they
• 2:11:06
  Speaker 1: have a look ahead to Marris, which is gonna be
• 2:11:07
  Speaker 1: a big game, and then Quinnipiac and then Sianna, so
• 2:11:10
  Speaker 1: they and I own it even is kind of a
• 2:11:12
  Speaker 1: big game. So they have four big games coming up
• 2:11:14
  Speaker 1: after this Rider game where nobody's really gonna care about Ryder. However,
• 2:11:19
  Speaker 1: maybe Merrimack will actually care about Ryder because Merrimack almost
• 2:11:23
  Speaker 1: lost to Ryder at home already. You know what I
• 2:11:25
  Speaker 1: always say, when a team was a big home favorite
• 2:11:27
  Speaker 1: and they played poorly almost lost the game, a lot
• 2:11:30
  Speaker 1: of times, they will actually take that team seriously. The
• 2:11:32
  Speaker 1: next time. Merrimack were nine to hal point favorites in
• 2:11:35
  Speaker 1: that game and almost lost. So that is one reason
• 2:11:37
  Speaker 1: why they might show up for Ryder here. It is
• 2:11:40
  Speaker 1: a second straight road game. They got some momentum coming
• 2:11:42
  Speaker 1: into this though. They just be Mount Saint Mary's, which
• 2:11:45
  Speaker 1: is not a big deal. But the worry is the
• 2:11:47
  Speaker 1: look ahead to Maris. Although Merrimack did already beat Maris
• 2:11:51
  Speaker 1: once at home. Ryder, I mean, they're just a pitiful team.
• 2:11:54
  Speaker 1: They're coming off another loss to Marracks, so they got
• 2:11:56
  Speaker 1: absolutely annihilated, So you gotta think they will show up
• 2:11:59
  Speaker 1: for this game. At least they were able to beat
• 2:12:00
  Speaker 1: Saint Peter's, which is kind of a similar matchup at
• 2:12:04
  Speaker 1: least to Merrimack, although Saint Peter's was they think in
• 2:12:07
  Speaker 1: a worse spot than Merrimack is here. I think Saint
• 2:12:09
  Speaker 1: Peter's might have already beaten Ryder once, but the money
• 2:12:12
  Speaker 1: is all coming in on Merrimack here for what it's worth.
• 2:12:14
  Speaker 1: So I think that that refocused spot in the second
• 2:12:21
  Speaker 1: matchup from the home team that did poorly in the
• 2:12:23
  Speaker 1: first game. That seems to be a strong situational angle,
• 2:12:28
  Speaker 1: but it seems to maybe be factoring in here. Merrimack
• 2:12:32
  Speaker 1: up from nine and a half to ten eighty percent
• 2:12:34
  Speaker 1: of the cash on Merrimac sixty seven percent of tickets
• 2:12:36
  Speaker 1: on Rider, So right, why would Ryder be a public
• 2:12:40
  Speaker 1: side though? That doesn't make any sense to me, But
• 2:12:41
  Speaker 1: the money coming into Merrimac doesn't entirely surprise me. I
• 2:12:45
  Speaker 1: don't think I want to lay double digits with Merrimack, though,
• 2:12:48
  Speaker 1: as bad as Rider is the total at one thirty seven,
• 2:12:51
  Speaker 1: I don't love that man. So I'll agree with the market.
• 2:12:55
  Speaker 1: I'll agree with Merrimack just for the things that I
• 2:12:57
  Speaker 1: just said, but it's not a strong opinion. I have
• 2:12:59
  Speaker 1: some issues with that game. Jeff, what's up man? Nevada
• 2:13:03
  Speaker 1: is in a sandwich spot. I agree pretty much they are.
• 2:13:07
  Speaker 1: That one is not one of my plays, though, that's
• 2:13:09
  Speaker 1: not on my card, although I agree with you all right,
• 2:13:13
  Speaker 1: what's up next? Ipfw? Right State is a pretty good game.
• 2:13:16
  Speaker 1: How many games we have left? Man? Yeah, not too many,
• 2:13:18
  Speaker 1: are right? We're good? Actually, were still some pretty big
• 2:13:22
  Speaker 1: games left too. Man. Takes a lot out of me, Man,
• 2:13:25
  Speaker 1: But my NBA games, my NBA show is gonna be short, ipfw.
• 2:13:31
  Speaker 1: They're coming off a blowout loss at home to Youngstown State.
• 2:13:34
  Speaker 1: You gotta think they're gonna bounce back off of that. Man.
• 2:13:36
  Speaker 1: Maybe they were looking ahead because Right State's near the
• 2:13:39
  Speaker 1: top of the standings here in the in the horizon,
• 2:13:41
  Speaker 1: whatever it is, I don't know, man, but yeah, I
• 2:13:44
  Speaker 1: think they're gonna show up for this one. I don't
• 2:13:46
  Speaker 1: think they played Right State a secon. Yeah, this is
• 2:13:48
  Speaker 1: not their second meeting yet. But you get blown out
• 2:13:51
  Speaker 1: like that at home, you're gonna focus on your next game, man,
• 2:13:54
  Speaker 1: Right State, though they did just lose to Robert Morris,
• 2:13:56
  Speaker 1: that wasn't a great loss for them either, so they
• 2:13:59
  Speaker 1: may bounce back as well back at home. But I
• 2:14:01
  Speaker 1: just think that IPFW is probably the more embarrassed team
• 2:14:05
  Speaker 1: coming off of that, so you might get a little
• 2:14:06
  Speaker 1: bit of an extra effort out of them. Wright State
• 2:14:09
  Speaker 1: seven and a half way favorite. I would probably take
• 2:14:11
  Speaker 1: the points with with IPFW in that one, but not
• 2:14:14
  Speaker 1: a strong opinion for me in that one. All Right,
• 2:14:18
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna skip some of these other games. Uh, not
• 2:14:20
  Speaker 1: really that interesting. Fox has one of the huge games
• 2:14:23
  Speaker 1: of the day, Number five Illinois, Number ten Michigan State.
• 2:14:26
  Speaker 1: This almost made my card. I like this game, and
• 2:14:30
  Speaker 1: I like Michigan State in this game. I mean, the
• 2:14:34
  Speaker 1: public's gonna see this, are gonna probably love Illinois at
• 2:14:36
  Speaker 1: this point because they're they beat Nebraska, They're tied with
• 2:14:39
  Speaker 1: Michigan atop the Big ten. Right now, they're looking awesome.
• 2:14:42
  Speaker 1: I told you that Illinois was a legit team, man,
• 2:14:44
  Speaker 1: back when people were not considering them to be. But
• 2:14:47
  Speaker 1: now ken Bom has them fifth in the country. Everybody
• 2:14:51
  Speaker 1: knows that they're good. By the way, this is crazy.
• 2:14:54
  Speaker 1: The rankings makers have these rankings exactly in line with
• 2:14:58
  Speaker 1: ken Bombs. Right now he has ill Illinois fifth, in
• 2:15:00
  Speaker 1: Michigan State tenth. When do you ever see that? When
• 2:15:03
  Speaker 1: do the rankings makers actually have it exactly what ken
• 2:15:06
  Speaker 1: Bam says. That's crazy, But the public still probably wants
• 2:15:10
  Speaker 1: Illinois Man because I still think they're kind of the
• 2:15:12
  Speaker 1: more flashier team. They're number one on offense in the country,
• 2:15:17
  Speaker 1: so that's what the public likes, but they don't like
• 2:15:20
  Speaker 1: this Michigan State team that plays ugly. Michigan State plays slow,
• 2:15:23
  Speaker 1: though both teams actually play slow now, so it's not
• 2:15:26
  Speaker 1: gonna be a pace in contress. In Michigan State. They're
• 2:15:28
  Speaker 1: the better defense still, Man, And you know me, I
• 2:15:31
  Speaker 1: like the better defense, even though their offense hasn't been
• 2:15:33
  Speaker 1: very good and Michigan State's offense is enough of a
• 2:15:36
  Speaker 1: problem that I don't think they're a championship contender or
• 2:15:39
  Speaker 1: anything like that this year. But their defense is very good.
• 2:15:42
  Speaker 1: Michigan State fourth in the country, Illinois barely cracking the
• 2:15:46
  Speaker 1: top twenty. So you are getting the better defense with
• 2:15:48
  Speaker 1: Michigan State, and I think the spot is a lot
• 2:15:51
  Speaker 1: better for Michigan State, and looking when Illinois just did recently,
• 2:15:54
  Speaker 1: Man upsetting Purdue on the road, caught Purdue in a
• 2:15:57
  Speaker 1: decent spot there they'd be Washington know. That was a
• 2:16:00
  Speaker 1: game where I gave about Washington. Washington did cover in
• 2:16:03
  Speaker 1: that game. That wasn't a great game for Illinois, but
• 2:16:04
  Speaker 1: then they beat Nebraska, another win for me. So I've
• 2:16:08
  Speaker 1: had a good gauge on Illinois recently. I was right
• 2:16:10
  Speaker 1: about all three of those, well except I wasn't right
• 2:16:13
  Speaker 1: about Northwestern. I apologize think I have about a loser
• 2:16:16
  Speaker 1: in that one, but Northwestern just couldn't hit anything in
• 2:16:19
  Speaker 1: that game. Anyway, Illinois had that huge win over Nebraska, massive,
• 2:16:25
  Speaker 1: massive win, man, and then they just beat up their
• 2:16:28
  Speaker 1: rival Northwestern by forty points. I mean, that is an
• 2:16:33
  Speaker 1: extremely satisfying win. Yes, obviously they'll show up for a
• 2:16:37
  Speaker 1: game against Michigan State. It's gonna be huge, But I
• 2:16:39
  Speaker 1: think you're gonna be a little bit overvalued when you're
• 2:16:42
  Speaker 1: coming off of wins that look like that. Man, Northwestern
• 2:16:45
  Speaker 1: really had a horrible shooting game. They were awful in
• 2:16:47
  Speaker 1: that game. Whereas, speaking of awful Michigan State, one of
• 2:16:50
  Speaker 1: our winners the other day was Minnesota. Michigan State lost
• 2:16:54
  Speaker 1: at Minnesota. And why did they lose, Well, they lost
• 2:16:57
  Speaker 1: a long win streak. They lost in a game where
• 2:16:59
  Speaker 1: they battled back, took the lead, and then fell short. Anyway,
• 2:17:02
  Speaker 1: against Michigan in a monster game on a Friday night
• 2:17:05
  Speaker 1: primetime game, and they had this Illinois game up next,
• 2:17:08
  Speaker 1: so that was a huge sandwich spot Michigan having to
• 2:17:11
  Speaker 1: go to Minnesota where Minnesota is like sneaky pretty good
• 2:17:13
  Speaker 1: at home, sneakily. We got the outright win there. But
• 2:17:17
  Speaker 1: now that's what Michigan State's coming off of an ugly
• 2:17:20
  Speaker 1: loss that was very explainable. So I would have to
• 2:17:23
  Speaker 1: be on Michigan State in this one if I was
• 2:17:25
  Speaker 1: gonna play it. Not on my card, but yes, I
• 2:17:28
  Speaker 1: like Michigan State here. It looks like the money is
• 2:17:31
  Speaker 1: somewhat disagreeing with Illinois going up a little bit on
• 2:17:34
  Speaker 1: the pick them, but I don't agree with it. Fifty
• 2:17:36
  Speaker 1: five percent of tickets, fifty eight percent of the cash
• 2:17:38
  Speaker 1: in Illinois. But no, I like Michigan State in that one.
• 2:17:42
  Speaker 1: Clemson at cal acc eight pm. This game. Clemson is
• 2:17:47
  Speaker 1: of course ranked there whatever, twentieth, yeah, twentieth in the country.
• 2:17:51
  Speaker 1: Clemson's coming up barely getting by Stanford though, so Clemson
• 2:17:54
  Speaker 1: went out to the West Coast barely got by Stanford,
• 2:17:57
  Speaker 1: though Stanford has an okay record overall, but I don't
• 2:18:00
  Speaker 1: know they're starting to fade a bit. But I think
• 2:18:02
  Speaker 1: Clemson just wasn't in a great spot there having to
• 2:18:05
  Speaker 1: go to the Pacific Coast play a late night game.
• 2:18:08
  Speaker 1: But now they're they're adjusted out there, maybe they'll play
• 2:18:12
  Speaker 1: a little bit better. But the problem is I expect
• 2:18:14
  Speaker 1: a better effort out of Cal because Cal is coming
• 2:18:17
  Speaker 1: off barely getting by Georgia Tech. And I'm mad I
• 2:18:19
  Speaker 1: didn't add that to my car. Do you remember I
• 2:18:21
  Speaker 1: almost had that on my card because Cal had this
• 2:18:23
  Speaker 1: game against Clemson upcoming, but they also had upset Miami
• 2:18:27
  Speaker 1: as double digit dogs in Miami before traveling all the
• 2:18:30
  Speaker 1: way back home, so they got caught in a sandwich
• 2:18:33
  Speaker 1: spot there. Man. So Cow was bad in that game.
• 2:18:35
  Speaker 1: They should bounce back from that and play better against
• 2:18:38
  Speaker 1: Clemson here. As far as the lean here, the money
• 2:18:43
  Speaker 1: is all coming in a Cow, and I guess I
• 2:18:45
  Speaker 1: will agree with that. I think Cow is probably just
• 2:18:48
  Speaker 1: in the bigger bounce back spoty because they almost lost
• 2:18:50
  Speaker 1: as a big favorite and they're used to the venueers
• 2:18:53
  Speaker 1: Clems is still not used to these venues out here.
• 2:18:56
  Speaker 1: Clemson up from three to four, so the line did
• 2:18:58
  Speaker 1: go up on them, but fIF you on the tickets
• 2:19:00
  Speaker 1: and eighty three percent of the cash on Cal, so
• 2:19:03
  Speaker 1: the money is coming back on Cal here. I'll agree
• 2:19:06
  Speaker 1: with that. I would I would take the points with
• 2:19:08
  Speaker 1: Cal in that one as well. Clemson also plays notorious
• 2:19:11
  Speaker 1: as slow, which it looks like this game is going
• 2:19:13
  Speaker 1: to be one hundred and thirty six total, so the
• 2:19:16
  Speaker 1: points might be more at a premium, more difficult to
• 2:19:18
  Speaker 1: cover a number like that. All right, Utah State and
• 2:19:22
  Speaker 1: Wyoming eight pm, CBS Sports. Utah State is coming up
• 2:19:26
  Speaker 1: a pretty nice win at New Mexico. Man, it's not
• 2:19:28
  Speaker 1: easy to go into New Mexico and win. And they
• 2:19:31
  Speaker 1: blew them out by twenty points, and that was on
• 2:19:33
  Speaker 1: the heels of beating San Diego State, another big win
• 2:19:36
  Speaker 1: for Utah State. Utah State's starting to look quite good
• 2:19:39
  Speaker 1: again here. Man. Now they're going to Wyoming and they
• 2:19:42
  Speaker 1: already beat Wyoming easily by thirty two points at home.
• 2:19:46
  Speaker 1: Coming up these two big games and now a second
• 2:19:48
  Speaker 1: straight road game, I think it's a letdown spot in
• 2:19:51
  Speaker 1: a spot where they might not take Wyoming. Seriously, man,
• 2:19:54
  Speaker 1: they only have Fresno on deck, so it's not a
• 2:19:56
  Speaker 1: sandwich spot. Unfortunately. If it was, I'd probably be on
• 2:19:59
  Speaker 1: this one. But I like Wyoming here, although Wyoming did
• 2:20:02
  Speaker 1: just play pretty well in San Diego State though, so
• 2:20:05
  Speaker 1: I guess that's the other concern here. Are they only
• 2:20:07
  Speaker 1: lost by nine at San Diego State, which is a
• 2:20:10
  Speaker 1: pretty big game for Wyoming. The game wasn't really that
• 2:20:13
  Speaker 1: close down the stretch, though, so I think that's okay.
• 2:20:15
  Speaker 1: It's not like they played them to the wire or
• 2:20:17
  Speaker 1: anything like that. So I like Wyoming in this one.
• 2:20:21
  Speaker 1: This one is close to being on my card, and
• 2:20:22
  Speaker 1: the money seems to agree. Utah stayed up from seven
• 2:20:25
  Speaker 1: and a half to eight and a half with juice,
• 2:20:27
  Speaker 1: but fifty to fifty on the tickets and you're getting
• 2:20:29
  Speaker 1: extra value on Wyoming ninety nine percent of the cash.
• 2:20:32
  Speaker 1: Probably not accurate, but I think at least pregame is
• 2:20:35
  Speaker 1: telling you the real money will be on Wyoming in
• 2:20:37
  Speaker 1: that one. And I just told you why I agree
• 2:20:39
  Speaker 1: with Wyoming plus the points in that one. All right,
• 2:20:44
  Speaker 1: next game up is one of the last two best
• 2:20:46
  Speaker 1: bets in college basketball getting it done. Man, you know me,
• 2:20:53
  Speaker 1: we're gonna be on Seattle minus the points. Even though
• 2:20:55
  Speaker 1: I know ken Bum only has this line at you
• 2:20:59
  Speaker 1: know closer, I think he has at about one or two,
• 2:21:01
  Speaker 1: but we're still gonna do it. Man, if you want
• 2:21:03
  Speaker 1: to go money line on this, you could do that too.
• 2:21:05
  Speaker 1: This is a horrible spot for Portland. And you know
• 2:21:07
  Speaker 1: why already, if you know what happened, and you know
• 2:21:09
  Speaker 1: what I already talked about, because I already mentioned Portland
• 2:21:13
  Speaker 1: on this show. And I know, dude, we're gonna be
• 2:21:16
  Speaker 1: on two road teams here. I have both of these
• 2:21:18
  Speaker 1: games here, and then those are my last two plays.
• 2:21:21
  Speaker 1: And I know I've talked about how when the West
• 2:21:22
  Speaker 1: Coast Conference home deems have covered at a ridiculous rate.
• 2:21:25
  Speaker 1: But maybe at some point there's gonna be some regression here.
• 2:21:28
  Speaker 1: But this has to be a play on Seattle. In
• 2:21:31
  Speaker 1: this one, man, Seattle is coming up barely beating Pepperdine.
• 2:21:35
  Speaker 1: So they had a bad game in their last game.
• 2:21:36
  Speaker 1: There were big favorites in this game at home. You
• 2:21:38
  Speaker 1: can see they have the big inflatable red Hawk here,
• 2:21:42
  Speaker 1: the Seattle RedHawks, which is always prominent when you watch
• 2:21:48
  Speaker 1: their games. So look at this game, man. They had
• 2:21:49
  Speaker 1: Pepperdine done in the game, you know what I mean,
• 2:21:53
  Speaker 1: Like once it came into the second half, Seattle had
• 2:21:55
  Speaker 1: this game almost put away. But Pepperdine just refused to
• 2:21:59
  Speaker 1: go away and actually took the lead late. Seattle got
• 2:22:02
  Speaker 1: a huge scare in this game. And if you look
• 2:22:04
  Speaker 1: at what happened in the game, Pepperdine shot forty percent
• 2:22:07
  Speaker 1: from three point range. That was kind of the reason why.
• 2:22:10
  Speaker 1: And you know, I mean, the turnover battle just wasn't
• 2:22:13
  Speaker 1: good for either team. But really it was kind of
• 2:22:14
  Speaker 1: just the three pointers. Seattle doesn't hit a lot of
• 2:22:17
  Speaker 1: three pointers, they don't take a lot of them, but
• 2:22:19
  Speaker 1: they were twenty four percent. But really it was just
• 2:22:21
  Speaker 1: a Pepperdine got hot from three and that made the
• 2:22:24
  Speaker 1: game closer than it probably it should have been because
• 2:22:28
  Speaker 1: Seattle should have won the game more easily. And Seattle
• 2:22:30
  Speaker 1: were twelve and a half point favorites in this game. Man,
• 2:22:33
  Speaker 1: you know, I talk about this. When a team is
• 2:22:34
  Speaker 1: a huge favorite and they barely get by, you're gonna
• 2:22:38
  Speaker 1: get a pretty big effort out of them in the
• 2:22:39
  Speaker 1: next game more often than not. So I like that
• 2:22:42
  Speaker 1: from them. Uh maybe a'll worry they're gonna play Santa
• 2:22:46
  Speaker 1: Clara next, but and it's a third row game in
• 2:22:49
  Speaker 1: four games, and I still like this. And the main
• 2:22:51
  Speaker 1: component of this is because this is a monumental letdown
• 2:22:54
  Speaker 1: spot for Portland. They just beat Gonzaga at home, and
• 2:22:57
  Speaker 1: that might have been the first ranked team that Portland
• 2:23:00
  Speaker 1: has beaten in like program history or something. I don't
• 2:23:03
  Speaker 1: even know, man, it was a historically monumental win for Portland.
• 2:23:08
  Speaker 1: When you have a win that's that huge, and there
• 2:23:10
  Speaker 1: was a court storm, I mean, the party might still
• 2:23:13
  Speaker 1: be going on there. Man. That was just such an
• 2:23:15
  Speaker 1: insane win. Like, I just don't see them being able
• 2:23:18
  Speaker 1: to get back up after that and showing up for
• 2:23:20
  Speaker 1: this game. I don't believe these teams have played yet
• 2:23:22
  Speaker 1: this year. I think the only actually they do play
• 2:23:24
  Speaker 1: again later the season. But horrible, horrible letdown spot for Portland. Man,
• 2:23:28
  Speaker 1: nothing else that we could say about it. They got
• 2:23:30
  Speaker 1: San Diego up next, not a big deal, but uh,
• 2:23:33
  Speaker 1: it's just the letdown is such a monumental letdown in
• 2:23:37
  Speaker 1: this one. We got to do it. Plus the fact
• 2:23:38
  Speaker 1: that Seattle is in a positive spot here, the line
• 2:23:42
  Speaker 1: has gone up a little bit from three to three
• 2:23:43
  Speaker 1: and a half, We're still gonna do it, man. I
• 2:23:46
  Speaker 1: know for the reasons that I stated when I started
• 2:23:49
  Speaker 1: the handicap here there are some concerns, but I think
• 2:23:52
  Speaker 1: we got to do it. I know the totals is
• 2:23:54
  Speaker 1: a bit low at one forty and a half, but oh,
• 2:23:57
  Speaker 1: we have to look at ken Bomb real quick as well.
• 2:23:59
  Speaker 1: I know ken Bum makes this look a little bit
• 2:24:00
  Speaker 1: less great. But he's got Seattle ninety second in luck,
• 2:24:05
  Speaker 1: although I believe he has who were you talking about him? Portland.
• 2:24:10
  Speaker 1: He's got Portland very lucky. They'll guarantee it. Yeah, he's
• 2:24:13
  Speaker 1: got Portland eighty eighth in lock, so he is both
• 2:24:15
  Speaker 1: teams lucky. He's got Portland a little a bit better
• 2:24:18
  Speaker 1: defensively than offensively, and Portland being a fast paced team,
• 2:24:22
  Speaker 1: Seattle actually doesn't play that slow, but Seattle is actually
• 2:24:24
  Speaker 1: the better defense. Seattle's just really bad offensively, but they're
• 2:24:28
  Speaker 1: actually a very very good defense. And I know that's
• 2:24:30
  Speaker 1: not a great recipe for laying points. They're not gonna
• 2:24:34
  Speaker 1: be thrown off by the fast pace though, because Seattle
• 2:24:39
  Speaker 1: also plays somewhat fast, but their defense is very, very good.
• 2:24:43
  Speaker 1: They have a significantly better defense. That's really where the
• 2:24:47
  Speaker 1: advantage lies there. Although I believe Portland probably has a
• 2:24:50
  Speaker 1: slightly better offense, but I don't think it matters in
• 2:24:53
  Speaker 1: this one. It's a huge letdown. Spot. That's that play.
• 2:24:55
  Speaker 1: And then finally, like I said, we're laying another favorite
• 2:24:58
  Speaker 1: and it is Pacific against Pepperdine, so we're fading the
• 2:25:03
  Speaker 1: other side of that. This The money looks like it's
• 2:25:05
  Speaker 1: disagreeing with me on this, man, So I don't love that.
• 2:25:08
  Speaker 1: Sixty percent of tickets and only fifty three percent of
• 2:25:10
  Speaker 1: the cash on Pacific as an eight point favorite. I
• 2:25:13
  Speaker 1: don't love that. Don't love the totals at one point
• 2:25:15
  Speaker 1: thirty nine. It's low. But if you look at this spot,
• 2:25:18
  Speaker 1: I think it does bear itself out. Man a Pacific,
• 2:25:23
  Speaker 1: they're coming off well, they just played Santa Clara, but
• 2:25:25
  Speaker 1: the game wasn't close, So I think this is just
• 2:25:28
  Speaker 1: a game where Pacific is gonna be uh in line
• 2:25:31
  Speaker 1: for a winner. But really this it's all because of
• 2:25:33
  Speaker 1: the second Meeting though. That's why we're looking at this year.
• 2:25:35
  Speaker 1: So yeah, they played a game against a really good
• 2:25:37
  Speaker 1: Santa Clara team, but they didn't play that close against them.
• 2:25:40
  Speaker 1: An now they're stepping way down in class to play
• 2:25:43
  Speaker 1: Pepperdine and going to Pepperdine. Sometimes we'll throw some teams off,
• 2:25:46
  Speaker 1: but not Pacific. They play there like every year. But
• 2:25:49
  Speaker 1: if you look at what happened in the first meeting.
• 2:25:51
  Speaker 1: Pacific is the way better team over Pepperdine, which is
• 2:25:55
  Speaker 1: why they're laying this many points on the road. And
• 2:25:57
  Speaker 1: they were eleven and a half point favorites at home
• 2:25:59
  Speaker 1: and almost lost the game to Pepperdine. So I talked
• 2:26:03
  Speaker 1: about this when a team does that in the first meeting,
• 2:26:06
  Speaker 1: a huge favorite when they almost lose the game. Although
• 2:26:08
  Speaker 1: Pacific was winning this game the whole time, man, I
• 2:26:11
  Speaker 1: think they just took their foot off the gas late
• 2:26:13
  Speaker 1: and let Pepperdine get back into the game to give
• 2:26:15
  Speaker 1: them a bit of a scare. Pacific was clearly the
• 2:26:18
  Speaker 1: better team and the game was over. Besides that, a
• 2:26:21
  Speaker 1: Pacific had way too many turnovers in the game. That
• 2:26:24
  Speaker 1: was the main reason they lost was eighteen turnovers. That's
• 2:26:28
  Speaker 1: probably not gonna happen again. They should have won the game.
• 2:26:32
  Speaker 1: They dominated the rebound battle by double digits, so they
• 2:26:35
  Speaker 1: should have won the game way more easily than they did.
• 2:26:37
  Speaker 1: So I think looking at that, you gotta think, yeah,
• 2:26:39
  Speaker 1: Pacific is the better team here. Maybe if they were,
• 2:26:43
  Speaker 1: if they were eleven and a half at home, honestly,
• 2:26:44
  Speaker 1: they probably should be more than a seven and a
• 2:26:46
  Speaker 1: half point road favorite, man, I think right, well, actually,
• 2:26:49
  Speaker 1: hold on, let me think about it. No, actually they
• 2:26:50
  Speaker 1: should be last. My mistake, So yeah, eleven and a
• 2:26:53
  Speaker 1: half at home, yet they should probably be Pepperdine doesn't
• 2:26:56
  Speaker 1: get a ton for home court, even though their home
• 2:26:58
  Speaker 1: court is a weird home court. Yeah, I don't know.
• 2:27:01
  Speaker 1: I guess the numbers a little bit crazy. I guess
• 2:27:03
  Speaker 1: the numbers should probably be about Yeah, I don't know
• 2:27:07
  Speaker 1: six or so, but I think Ken Bomb has this
• 2:27:08
  Speaker 1: number right around seven, so I'm not or maybe even eight,
• 2:27:12
  Speaker 1: so I'm not too concerned about that. Maybe Pacific just
• 2:27:14
  Speaker 1: wasn't even favored by enough in that first game. But
• 2:27:17
  Speaker 1: of course, the other aspect of this is what I
• 2:27:19
  Speaker 1: just said. Pepperdine just almost pulled off the huge upset
• 2:27:22
  Speaker 1: against Seattle, so that's one part of this handicap. But
• 2:27:26
  Speaker 1: they're also in a sandwich spot because not only did
• 2:27:28
  Speaker 1: they go on the road and almost upset Seattle's double
• 2:27:30
  Speaker 1: digit dogs, but who do they play next? Oh? Yeah,
• 2:27:34
  Speaker 1: they play Saint Mary's next, which is a massive game.
• 2:27:37
  Speaker 1: So they're in a sandwich spot here. So we're on
• 2:27:39
  Speaker 1: Pacific minus the points in that one man and looking
• 2:27:43
  Speaker 1: at the at ken Bomb here, he's got Pacific almost
• 2:27:46
  Speaker 1: cracking the top one hundred. They're very balanced, almost to
• 2:27:49
  Speaker 1: the top one hundred both offensive defense. Yes, they play slow,
• 2:27:53
  Speaker 1: which does worry me a little bit as far as
• 2:27:55
  Speaker 1: laying a number like this, and they're sort of in
• 2:27:58
  Speaker 1: the mid range of lock according to ken Bomb. They're
• 2:28:01
  Speaker 1: up against who are we playing against here? I forget,
• 2:28:03
  Speaker 1: I forget already, Pepperdine. He's got Pepperdine as an unlucky team.
• 2:28:08
  Speaker 1: So yes, that does worry me. They're a very unlucky team.
• 2:28:11
  Speaker 1: But Pepperdine is outside of the top two hundred of
• 2:28:14
  Speaker 1: both offensive defense man, and they're horrible offensively. They just
• 2:28:18
  Speaker 1: can't score. So they're the much much worse team. I'm
• 2:28:21
  Speaker 1: significantly worse on both sides of the ball. And they
• 2:28:24
  Speaker 1: play a little bit slow, so it'll be a bit
• 2:28:28
  Speaker 1: of a slower paced game. Yeah, but I think we're
• 2:28:30
  Speaker 1: looking at maybe not getting a lot of points out
• 2:28:33
  Speaker 1: of Pepperdine in this one. In this game, man, So
• 2:28:37
  Speaker 1: that's my handicap on that one. Let's finish finish this
• 2:28:41
  Speaker 1: off here. Let's see here, did I I thought I
• 2:28:47
  Speaker 1: did I skip one of these games? Let me see
• 2:28:51
  Speaker 1: I don't know I have on my list. I had
• 2:28:52
  Speaker 1: one other lean towards Weber State. I haven't gotten to
• 2:28:56
  Speaker 1: that yet. All right, we gotta finish this off, man.
• 2:28:58
  Speaker 1: Georgia jacks Stanford at eight pm. Georgia Tack. Of course,
• 2:29:01
  Speaker 1: they almost pulled off the big upset on the road
• 2:29:03
  Speaker 1: at cal So I think they might just not have
• 2:29:05
  Speaker 1: much left here playing a second straight road game in California.
• 2:29:09
  Speaker 1: I don't really love it for them. And Stamford is
• 2:29:12
  Speaker 1: coming off, but actually it's a bad spot for Stanford
• 2:29:15
  Speaker 1: to because Stanford is coming off a close game against
• 2:29:18
  Speaker 1: Clemson at home. So both teams are in bad spots
• 2:29:21
  Speaker 1: coming out of those games. Man, So I don't know
• 2:29:24
  Speaker 1: what we want to do with that. The money is
• 2:29:25
  Speaker 1: coming back on Georgia Tech for what it's worth. Stanford
• 2:29:28
  Speaker 1: down up from seven a half to eight, but sixty
• 2:29:30
  Speaker 1: seven percent of the tickets on Stanford sixty percent of
• 2:29:33
  Speaker 1: the cash on Georgia Tech. I'll agree with Georgia Tech
• 2:29:39
  Speaker 1: in that one, but I yeah, I mean, not a
• 2:29:41
  Speaker 1: strong opinion for me on that one at all. You know,
• 2:29:45
  Speaker 1: it's a slightly but I can't really get involved in
• 2:29:47
  Speaker 1: Georgia Tech after what they just did. But Stanford arguably
• 2:29:50
  Speaker 1: is coming off the bigger game, playing Clemson really really close.
• 2:29:54
  Speaker 1: Fox Sports won for some reason is giving us an
• 2:29:56
  Speaker 1: air Force game against San Diego State thanks a Fox
• 2:30:00
  Speaker 1: Sports one. I don't know why they would be. San
• 2:30:02
  Speaker 1: Diego State is just coming off Wyoming, not a big deal.
• 2:30:05
  Speaker 1: They have Nevada on deck though, and Grand Canyon, which
• 2:30:08
  Speaker 1: is gonna be a revenge game, so those are big
• 2:30:10
  Speaker 1: games on deck, so they might be looking ahead. Air
• 2:30:15
  Speaker 1: Force doesn't even have a winning conference. They're terrible, obviously.
• 2:30:19
  Speaker 1: They already lost horribly at San Diego State eighty one
• 2:30:22
  Speaker 1: to fifty eight, so San Diego State really just might
• 2:30:24
  Speaker 1: not pay any attention. Air Force probably should at least
• 2:30:29
  Speaker 1: show up for the game, but they are bad, dude,
• 2:30:32
  Speaker 1: so I'm not gonna be on the game. But I
• 2:30:34
  Speaker 1: guess if you force me to lean, I would take
• 2:30:36
  Speaker 1: the points of the air Force. San Diego State does
• 2:30:39
  Speaker 1: play slow usually, or actually I think they're a little
• 2:30:41
  Speaker 1: bit faster this year, but there they play a lot
• 2:30:43
  Speaker 1: of low scoring games. I think though they're up from
• 2:30:46
  Speaker 1: twenty one and a half to twenty two, that's gonna
• 2:30:47
  Speaker 1: be difficult to cover that on the road against kind
• 2:30:50
  Speaker 1: of anybody, especially when you just don't care about the
• 2:30:53
  Speaker 1: game that much, which I don't think they will. Total's
• 2:30:56
  Speaker 1: pretty low in the one thirties, eighty percent of the
• 2:30:58
  Speaker 1: tickets and cash on San Diego State. But I would
• 2:31:00
  Speaker 1: take the points with the air Force if I was
• 2:31:02
  Speaker 1: gonna do anything with that game, all right, I don't know.
• 2:31:07
  Speaker 1: I had maybe some opinions on some of these other games.
• 2:31:10
  Speaker 1: We'll have a big SEC game between number seventeen Florida
• 2:31:13
  Speaker 1: and Texas A and M at eight thirty pm. Florida
• 2:31:17
  Speaker 1: is coming off beating Alabama, very very satisfying win, crushing Alabama,
• 2:31:22
  Speaker 1: knocking them from the rankings, and I believe Florida has
• 2:31:24
  Speaker 1: been sitting around for a bit after that, which may
• 2:31:26
  Speaker 1: not be great. So they could be maybe in a
• 2:31:29
  Speaker 1: letdown here going to A and M. Although I know
• 2:31:30
  Speaker 1: A and M is a top the standing so maybe
• 2:31:32
  Speaker 1: it is still a big game for both teams here.
• 2:31:37
  Speaker 1: Florida does have Georgia on deck, which is a rivalry game,
• 2:31:40
  Speaker 1: but it probably means more to Georgia on Georgia. You know,
• 2:31:43
  Speaker 1: we'll be in revenge as well, So yeah, I mean
• 2:31:46
  Speaker 1: it's mostly I think just maybe a letdown for Florida.
• 2:31:49
  Speaker 1: But again, I think because A and M is still
• 2:31:50
  Speaker 1: above them in the standings, I think maybe they will
• 2:31:52
  Speaker 1: show up for this game. And I don't really think
• 2:31:55
  Speaker 1: A and M is gonna win this game, man, So
• 2:31:56
  Speaker 1: I think Florida will jump into first place here. Finally, Texas,
• 2:32:01
  Speaker 1: A and M just played at Alabama too, but they played
• 2:32:03
  Speaker 1: them more recently, I think in the middle of the week,
• 2:32:05
  Speaker 1: and they played them close as seven and a half
• 2:32:07
  Speaker 1: boy dogs, or maybe even more than that, only lost
• 2:32:10
  Speaker 1: by three in a high scoring game. Man, So I
• 2:32:13
  Speaker 1: think the spot is better for Florida here. Man, all
• 2:32:17
  Speaker 1: of those things being considered, Even though it might look
• 2:32:19
  Speaker 1: too easy to oh the team that blew out Alabama, right,
• 2:32:22
  Speaker 1: it looks too easy to play them, But I would
• 2:32:25
  Speaker 1: only lean to Florida here. But you've lost some value.
• 2:32:27
  Speaker 1: They're up from four to six and a half, it
• 2:32:29
  Speaker 1: looks like it might be seven. And the odds rikers
• 2:32:31
  Speaker 1: are kind of telling you what you need to think here, right,
• 2:32:33
  Speaker 1: Like I would think the public might think that line's
• 2:32:35
  Speaker 1: too big, Whips, I clicked on the wrong game, I'd
• 2:32:39
  Speaker 1: be thinking like, oh my god, like Florida, why are
• 2:32:41
  Speaker 1: they laying this many points? Even though yeah, they're ranked
• 2:32:43
  Speaker 1: or whatever, but they people might look at this and
• 2:32:45
  Speaker 1: see A and M actually has the slightly better record
• 2:32:47
  Speaker 1: and think it makes sense to take the points there.
• 2:32:50
  Speaker 1: So it almost looks like the public would be on
• 2:32:53
  Speaker 1: A and M. Here. I don't know, but sixty three
• 2:32:55
  Speaker 1: percent to take A sixty eight percent of the cash
• 2:32:57
  Speaker 1: on Florida, I agree with Florida in that game. And
• 2:33:00
  Speaker 1: then we have number twenty five Tennessee at Kentucky. Good
• 2:33:03
  Speaker 1: game on ESPN at eight thirty PM. Tennessee back into
• 2:33:06
  Speaker 1: the rankings at number twenty five, and this is a
• 2:33:09
  Speaker 1: revenge game for Tennessee because they lost as a pretty
• 2:33:13
  Speaker 1: big favorite at home to Kentucky. I think they were
• 2:33:15
  Speaker 1: about six and a half point favorites in that game,
• 2:33:17
  Speaker 1: and that was the game that Tennessee dominated that game.
• 2:33:20
  Speaker 1: They led the entire game, and then I think they
• 2:33:22
  Speaker 1: were up double digits for a lot of that game,
• 2:33:24
  Speaker 1: and then somehow Kentucky snuck back into the game and
• 2:33:27
  Speaker 1: literally we're only leading in the final like a few
• 2:33:30
  Speaker 1: seconds of the game when they won the game. So
• 2:33:32
  Speaker 1: that was a very misleading result. Tennessee pretty much handled
• 2:33:36
  Speaker 1: Kentucky in that game, and now that they did lose
• 2:33:38
  Speaker 1: that game at home was a favorite. You know what
• 2:33:40
  Speaker 1: this is. It's road revenge time for Tennessee. So yes,
• 2:33:43
  Speaker 1: I do like Tennessee in this game. They're coming off
• 2:33:46
  Speaker 1: an easy win overall Miss, so no big deal there.
• 2:33:50
  Speaker 1: Kentucky is coming up beating Oklahoma, not really a big
• 2:33:53
  Speaker 1: deal there either, so they'll show up for the game.
• 2:33:55
  Speaker 1: These teams don't like each other, but I also trust
• 2:33:59
  Speaker 1: Tennessee's coaching more at this point to Mark Pope, mac
• 2:34:02
  Speaker 1: Pope seems like he's all over the place, so you
• 2:34:07
  Speaker 1: believe it or not. A trust Rick Barnes until he
• 2:34:09
  Speaker 1: gets deep into a tournament setting, and then I don't
• 2:34:11
  Speaker 1: trust him anymore. Kentucky's up from one to one and
• 2:34:14
  Speaker 1: a half. It looks like some of the money is
• 2:34:16
  Speaker 1: coming back on Tennessee though, and I agree with it,
• 2:34:18
  Speaker 1: even though the public might be coming in on Tennessee too.
• 2:34:21
  Speaker 1: I think if they do, they actually have this one right.
• 2:34:23
  Speaker 1: Seventy one percent of tickets eighty nine percent of the
• 2:34:26
  Speaker 1: cash on Tennessee. I agree with that one. Tennessee would
• 2:34:28
  Speaker 1: be the lean in that one. For me. Northern Arizona
• 2:34:31
  Speaker 1: at Weber State, I believe I had an opinion on this. Yeah,
• 2:34:34
  Speaker 1: Northern Arizona just had a nice road up set at
• 2:34:37
  Speaker 1: Idaho State, and they got Portland State on deck, which
• 2:34:40
  Speaker 1: is a big deal because Portland State not only beat
• 2:34:42
  Speaker 1: them already at Portland State, but Portland State is sitting
• 2:34:45
  Speaker 1: atop the Big Sky Conference. So it's pretty much a
• 2:34:48
  Speaker 1: sandwich body think for Northern Arizona. Hear, and Weber State's
• 2:34:51
  Speaker 1: kind of in the middle of the standings. The only
• 2:34:53
  Speaker 1: problem is Northern Arizona did lose at home to Weber already,
• 2:34:56
  Speaker 1: so they might show up for that reason, and Weber
• 2:34:59
  Speaker 1: might looked them for that reason. Weber is coming off
• 2:35:03
  Speaker 1: kind of an ugly home loss those against a Northern
• 2:35:05
  Speaker 1: Colorado team that, like I said, is a lot better
• 2:35:07
  Speaker 1: than people think they are. I'm gonna turn this hat around.
• 2:35:10
  Speaker 1: This tag on my forehead is just awful. I gotta
• 2:35:12
  Speaker 1: like cut it out or something. Man. Ah, that's more comfortable,
• 2:35:15
  Speaker 1: all right. I just think it looks better backwards, build
• 2:35:20
  Speaker 1: build better backwards. I don't know, built built backwards. Yeah,
• 2:35:24
  Speaker 1: there you go, just like me. But anyway, Yeah, Weaver
• 2:35:27
  Speaker 1: State I think sets up better in this game still though,
• 2:35:30
  Speaker 1: even though there is that revenge angle to it. They
• 2:35:32
  Speaker 1: don't really have bigger games surroundings. They do have Idaho next,
• 2:35:35
  Speaker 1: which maybe is a look ahead because they're close ish
• 2:35:38
  Speaker 1: to the top of the standings, but I think it's
• 2:35:40
  Speaker 1: Weaber State or pass and this one they're up from
• 2:35:42
  Speaker 1: six and a half to six and a half with juice.
• 2:35:45
  Speaker 1: Looks tough to lay six and a half with a
• 2:35:46
  Speaker 1: team that has a bad record like Weaver State, but
• 2:35:49
  Speaker 1: that's the way I would lean there. New Mexico State
• 2:35:52
  Speaker 1: against UTEP. I think I already mentioned UTEP. UTEP just
• 2:35:55
  Speaker 1: almost upset sam Houston, which is a big deal for
• 2:35:58
  Speaker 1: UTEP because it's an in eight big brother situation there
• 2:36:02
  Speaker 1: as well against sam Houston, so they almost pulled off
• 2:36:05
  Speaker 1: the big upset there. So I don't know what they're
• 2:36:06
  Speaker 1: gonna have left coming off of that game. So I
• 2:36:08
  Speaker 1: don't think it's a good spot for them in this
• 2:36:10
  Speaker 1: New Mexico State team that continues to lose. I still
• 2:36:13
  Speaker 1: think they're not as bad as the record looks, and
• 2:36:15
  Speaker 1: they finally ended a losing streak of the win over
• 2:36:18
  Speaker 1: Louisiana text, so they might show up in this game
• 2:36:22
  Speaker 1: finally having some momentum coming off breaking that losing streak,
• 2:36:26
  Speaker 1: but it's a third straight road game, and the other
• 2:36:29
  Speaker 1: big problem is they got Liberty on deck in a
• 2:36:31
  Speaker 1: few days, so that might be a big look ahead
• 2:36:33
  Speaker 1: for New Mexico State. So I can't get there with
• 2:36:35
  Speaker 1: that one. UTEP flipped from plus one to minus one
• 2:36:38
  Speaker 1: and a half. I probably still do lean to New
• 2:36:40
  Speaker 1: Mexico State there, but I really really worry about that
• 2:36:43
  Speaker 1: look ahead and it looks like there was an initial
• 2:36:45
  Speaker 1: market move on UTEB at the very least ESPN two
• 2:36:48
  Speaker 1: at nine to thirty pm. Where was I looking? Oh,
• 2:36:53
  Speaker 1: Arizona State at Colorado not a particularly interressing game really,
• 2:36:58
  Speaker 1: Arizona State having to go into elevator, but they're already
• 2:37:00
  Speaker 1: in elevation because they just played Utah and they just
• 2:37:03
  Speaker 1: beat Utah, so they got a little bit of momentum
• 2:37:05
  Speaker 1: at least coming into this one. For Colorado. Colorado coming
• 2:37:10
  Speaker 1: off losing at Baylor, not a good loss at all
• 2:37:13
  Speaker 1: coming back home, but they do have Texas Tech and
• 2:37:16
  Speaker 1: BYU on deck, so potential look aheads for Colorado. They're
• 2:37:19
  Speaker 1: with these teams that really aren't going anywhere this year,
• 2:37:22
  Speaker 1: so that would be the concern with Colorado there. Colorado
• 2:37:25
  Speaker 1: is up from two to four, though, But I do
• 2:37:28
  Speaker 1: worry about the look aheads, man. I think I kind
• 2:37:30
  Speaker 1: of Leanto Arizona State plus the points in that one.
• 2:37:33
  Speaker 1: I think you gotta worry about those Colorado look aheads there,
• 2:37:36
  Speaker 1: all right, Jeff, I think it was talking about Fresno Nevada.
• 2:37:39
  Speaker 1: I agree with them on this one. Fresno would be
• 2:37:42
  Speaker 1: the way I would look in this game. It's not
• 2:37:43
  Speaker 1: on my card. But Nevada is coming up a few
• 2:37:46
  Speaker 1: pretty big games in a row man. They played close
• 2:37:49
  Speaker 1: at New Mexico, beat Grand Canyon, who's been playing well
• 2:37:52
  Speaker 1: in the conference, back at home. Then they beat UNLV
• 2:37:56
  Speaker 1: at home. UNLV is not great, but they are Nevada's rival,
• 2:38:00
  Speaker 1: so that was a decent win. Then they went to
• 2:38:02
  Speaker 1: Boise and they lost the game to Boise. But the
• 2:38:05
  Speaker 1: question is how big is that game really against Boise?
• 2:38:07
  Speaker 1: Because we know, you know, if we're looking at power
• 2:38:11
  Speaker 1: ratings and stuff, we know Boise is actually not as
• 2:38:13
  Speaker 1: bad as the record looks. So it should be a
• 2:38:17
  Speaker 1: big game against Boising. But my worry is, I don't
• 2:38:19
  Speaker 1: know how big Nevada considered that game to be, you
• 2:38:22
  Speaker 1: know what I mean, because Boise just hasn't been playing
• 2:38:25
  Speaker 1: well this year. But at the very least, yes, they
• 2:38:27
  Speaker 1: have a huge game on dec. Although it's not for
• 2:38:29
  Speaker 1: a week. They do play San Diego State on the
• 2:38:31
  Speaker 1: road next, so that may be a concern. They did
• 2:38:35
  Speaker 1: already beat Fresno, Nevada did, but they only beat them
• 2:38:37
  Speaker 1: by one on the road, so that is my other concern.
• 2:38:40
  Speaker 1: Nevada were four and a half point favorites in this
• 2:38:42
  Speaker 1: game and they almost lost the game to Fresno, so
• 2:38:46
  Speaker 1: that game might actually make them take Fresno more seriously
• 2:38:50
  Speaker 1: in this game. So those are my concerns with Fresno
• 2:38:53
  Speaker 1: in this one. Fresno did just beat UNLV as well, barely,
• 2:38:58
  Speaker 1: so I think they set up okay in this game.
• 2:39:00
  Speaker 1: They do have Utah State on deck, but they're not
• 2:39:02
  Speaker 1: going to overlook Nevada. The money is actually coming into Nevada,
• 2:39:09
  Speaker 1: by the way. So even though I do slightly lean
• 2:39:11
  Speaker 1: to Fresno, this market re really worries me. And I
• 2:39:14
  Speaker 1: told you about my concerns there. Nevada up from nine
• 2:39:18
  Speaker 1: and a half to eleven year, fifty six percent of
• 2:39:19
  Speaker 1: the cash on them, fifty to fifty on the tickets.
• 2:39:23
  Speaker 1: That would worry me. That the line looks like it's
• 2:39:25
  Speaker 1: moving on the Nevada side, and the money looks like
• 2:39:27
  Speaker 1: it's there, although I do slightly lean to Fresno in
• 2:39:32
  Speaker 1: the game, but I have Yeah, again, I have a
• 2:39:34
  Speaker 1: lot of concerns with that one. Actually, Fox Sports won
• 2:39:38
  Speaker 1: at ten pm Washington at UCLA. Good old pack former
• 2:39:42
  Speaker 1: Pac twelve matchup here. Washington just lost to Iowa at home.
• 2:39:46
  Speaker 1: That game I don't think was that close down the stretch.
• 2:39:49
  Speaker 1: But they're probably gonna show up for a game against Ucla.
• 2:39:52
  Speaker 1: They are back on the Pacific coast at least, even
• 2:39:54
  Speaker 1: though it is the third road game in four games,
• 2:39:56
  Speaker 1: which is not easy, and a couple of them are
• 2:39:58
  Speaker 1: in the Midwest. But I think they'll show up for
• 2:40:01
  Speaker 1: a game against a superior UCLA team who's got a
• 2:40:06
  Speaker 1: big name behind them. Ucla just crushed Rutgers. But I
• 2:40:09
  Speaker 1: think the main part of this is that UCLA might
• 2:40:11
  Speaker 1: be looking ahead to their Michigan trip. They gotta play
• 2:40:14
  Speaker 1: Michigan and Michigan State on the road next sol, though
• 2:40:16
  Speaker 1: it's not for a week, and then they play Illinois,
• 2:40:19
  Speaker 1: so the Warrior there is the look ahead there and
• 2:40:21
  Speaker 1: also laying points with UCLA. I don't love usually because
• 2:40:25
  Speaker 1: they play slow and they make it ugly. Washington might
• 2:40:28
  Speaker 1: be able to hang around because Washington's actually not as
• 2:40:30
  Speaker 1: bad as their record looks. UCLA up from five to
• 2:40:32
  Speaker 1: five and a half, seventy seven percent of the tickets
• 2:40:34
  Speaker 1: on them, but the money looks like it's coming back
• 2:40:36
  Speaker 1: on Washington seventy one percent of the cash on Washington.
• 2:40:40
  Speaker 1: I agree, I would lean towards Washington in that game
• 2:40:43
  Speaker 1: as well, plus the points. CBS Sports ten BM we
• 2:40:46
  Speaker 1: have Boise at New Mexico. This game, interesting game, It's
• 2:40:53
  Speaker 1: a good game, one of the best Mountain West games
• 2:40:55
  Speaker 1: of the day, if not the best. Boise is coming
• 2:40:57
  Speaker 1: off beating at Nevada in overtime. I still think that's
• 2:41:00
  Speaker 1: a big probably a big game for both teams. Really.
• 2:41:03
  Speaker 1: I think that was a good win for Boys, even
• 2:41:05
  Speaker 1: though they probably didn't cover because they think they're actually
• 2:41:07
  Speaker 1: probably about six point favorites in that one. They're not gonna,
• 2:41:11
  Speaker 1: you know, overlook New Mexico or anything. Though they already lost.
• 2:41:14
  Speaker 1: Excuse me, they beat New Mexico at home though, so
• 2:41:16
  Speaker 1: it is a little bit of revenge for New Mexico.
• 2:41:18
  Speaker 1: But it's a big game for both teams. I think Boys.
• 2:41:21
  Speaker 1: He's gotta climb their way back up the Mountain West
• 2:41:24
  Speaker 1: standings here, man, they're gonna have to do something in
• 2:41:26
  Speaker 1: the Mountain West tournament. Though. For New Mexico they should
• 2:41:30
  Speaker 1: show up as well. You know, they already lost to
• 2:41:32
  Speaker 1: boys in. New Mexico is coming up a pretty ugly loss.
• 2:41:35
  Speaker 1: It was to Utah State, who is still the best
• 2:41:37
  Speaker 1: team in the Mountain West, but at least power ratings wise.
• 2:41:41
  Speaker 1: But yeah, I mean New Mexico should I guess bounce
• 2:41:46
  Speaker 1: back from that. I don't know, man. I mean sometimes
• 2:41:48
  Speaker 1: when you lose a game like that though, and it's
• 2:41:50
  Speaker 1: a game you really get up for, maybe you will
• 2:41:52
  Speaker 1: be going over a little bit because they did lose
• 2:41:54
  Speaker 1: a four game win streak there. So I don't know, man,
• 2:41:56
  Speaker 1: It's a difficult, difficult handicap in this one. Are it
• 2:42:04
  Speaker 1: looks like some of the money kind of came in
• 2:42:06
  Speaker 1: on the bois side. New Mexico down sitting at a
• 2:42:09
  Speaker 1: six point favorite here. I don't know why I keep
• 2:42:11
  Speaker 1: hearing like noise below me. Man, I'm gonna look at
• 2:42:15
  Speaker 1: my person spotted back door. I'm looking at my cameras here, man,
• 2:42:23
  Speaker 1: oh great, and my backdoor camera is yeah, is losing
• 2:42:28
  Speaker 1: battery life again even though it's plugged in. Yeah, that's great.
• 2:42:32
  Speaker 1: It has huge issues with the cold fucking bullshit. These
• 2:42:35
  Speaker 1: new doorbell cameras that Nests switched you over to with Google,
• 2:42:40
  Speaker 1: They're terrible, absolutely terrible. The old ones didn't have this
• 2:42:45
  Speaker 1: problem at all. But anyway, Yeah, I guess I would
• 2:42:48
  Speaker 1: slightly into taking the boys with Boise there because I
• 2:42:51
  Speaker 1: think they're a bit under the radar and I think
• 2:42:53
  Speaker 1: they're a little bit better than they look. At least
• 2:42:55
  Speaker 1: espn U has a good Big West game between you
• 2:42:58
  Speaker 1: See Irvine and you See Barbara. These two teams are
• 2:43:02
  Speaker 1: right near the top of the conference. Good game, good game.
• 2:43:06
  Speaker 1: We faded you see Irvine and we just got in
• 2:43:09
  Speaker 1: under the number there. Although you see Irvine dunked at
• 2:43:12
  Speaker 1: the end of that game, which I hated because the
• 2:43:15
  Speaker 1: game should have wound up fourteen. But yes, you see
• 2:43:17
  Speaker 1: Irvine wasn't in a good spot. They had huge wins
• 2:43:20
  Speaker 1: over you see San Diego and Hawaii prior to that,
• 2:43:22
  Speaker 1: so I liked Bakersfield in that one cal state Bakersfield did.
• 2:43:26
  Speaker 1: I think wire to wire cover for us, even though
• 2:43:29
  Speaker 1: they only cover by half a point. I think they
• 2:43:30
  Speaker 1: were never not covering. You see Irvent's coming up that
• 2:43:33
  Speaker 1: it was a whatever performance for them. They'll show up
• 2:43:36
  Speaker 1: for you see Santa Barbara, I think they haven't played yet.
• 2:43:38
  Speaker 1: I think they play again late in the season. You
• 2:43:41
  Speaker 1: see Santa Barbera's gonna show up as well, and they're
• 2:43:43
  Speaker 1: coming off a loss against UC Davis. So I think
• 2:43:46
  Speaker 1: this comes down to who's the better team, what the
• 2:43:50
  Speaker 1: number is, you know, all those things like you know,
• 2:43:53
  Speaker 1: when there's no situation, it does become more of a
• 2:43:55
  Speaker 1: numbers play. You see Irvine flip from one, one and
• 2:43:58
  Speaker 1: a half. Boint Dodge will pick them here. So the
• 2:44:00
  Speaker 1: ojsect is a telling you UC Irvine is the better
• 2:44:02
  Speaker 1: team on the road here. I believe they are the
• 2:44:06
  Speaker 1: better defense. I want to say, I think Irvine is
• 2:44:08
  Speaker 1: a pretty legit defense. Manh Yes, they are ken bomb as.
• 2:44:13
  Speaker 1: Their offense is pretty weak, but ken bum does have
• 2:44:15
  Speaker 1: them a top thirty defense in college basketball. So yeah,
• 2:44:19
  Speaker 1: I guess I willingan to Irvine in that one, but
• 2:44:21
  Speaker 1: not a strong opinion for me. Then we have a
• 2:44:23
  Speaker 1: couple of ESPN two games here. These last three games
• 2:44:26
  Speaker 1: are all pretty good. Actually, number eight Houston at number
• 2:44:30
  Speaker 1: sixteen BYU. This is a big game on ESPN, Houston
• 2:44:36
  Speaker 1: having to go into elevation. Man, I think they did
• 2:44:38
  Speaker 1: beat BYU both times last year, but I don't know, Man,
• 2:44:41
  Speaker 1: going into elevation still might be difficult. I don't know
• 2:44:43
  Speaker 1: if they went to BYU last year or not. Houston
• 2:44:46
  Speaker 1: is just kind of rolling right now. It's not a
• 2:44:47
  Speaker 1: terrible spot for them, but it might be a good
• 2:44:50
  Speaker 1: spot for BYU to bounce back. Man, now that everybody's
• 2:44:53
  Speaker 1: kind of off of BYU because of what they've looked
• 2:44:55
  Speaker 1: like recently. They've lost four of the last five, lost
• 2:44:58
  Speaker 1: three in a row. But look at what they lost.
• 2:45:01
  Speaker 1: Look at the games they lost also on the road
• 2:45:02
  Speaker 1: to Texas Tech, at home against Arizona, and they came
• 2:45:05
  Speaker 1: back and made it close on the road at Kansas,
• 2:45:08
  Speaker 1: and they played decently in that game too, So like,
• 2:45:11
  Speaker 1: what do you want? Like this BYU team is still
• 2:45:13
  Speaker 1: not that bad? Then we faded them in their last game.
• 2:45:17
  Speaker 1: Is I thought it was a bad spot coming up
• 2:45:19
  Speaker 1: those two huge performances against Arizona and Kansas almost coming
• 2:45:23
  Speaker 1: back in both games. Second straight road game, this huge
• 2:45:26
  Speaker 1: Houston game on deck. So I liked Oklahoma State in
• 2:45:29
  Speaker 1: that one. They got it done for us. That was
• 2:45:31
  Speaker 1: an ugly loss for BYU as a favorite, and now
• 2:45:33
  Speaker 1: I think this is the spot where BIU bounces back
• 2:45:36
  Speaker 1: back at home. So I have to lean to BYU
• 2:45:39
  Speaker 1: in this one. As much as I love Houston and
• 2:45:42
  Speaker 1: the way that they play and the way that they
• 2:45:43
  Speaker 1: played defense, the money is all over BYU in this one,
• 2:45:46
  Speaker 1: and I agree with it. Houston down from two to one.
• 2:45:48
  Speaker 1: It's not a horrible spot for Houston, but the travel
• 2:45:53
  Speaker 1: spot in the venue might be a little bit weird
• 2:45:55
  Speaker 1: to them. BYU still hasn't even been in this conference
• 2:45:58
  Speaker 1: for that long, so still not something some of these
• 2:46:01
  Speaker 1: that some of these teams are that familiar with doing
• 2:46:03
  Speaker 1: sixty three percent of tickets on Houston. Public's gonna be
• 2:46:06
  Speaker 1: on Houston because it's like, oh pick the winner, Yeah,
• 2:46:09
  Speaker 1: but seventy eight percent of the cash on BYU. I
• 2:46:11
  Speaker 1: agree with BYU in that one. Like I said, I
• 2:46:13
  Speaker 1: think the fact that BIU sixteenth now in the rankings, well,
• 2:46:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know, because Ken Bomb does have them sixty
• 2:46:19
  Speaker 1: ninth or sixty nineteenth. Why did I say sixteen sixty nine?
• 2:46:23
  Speaker 1: Oh God, that was a Freudian slip. No, uh, ken
• 2:46:26
  Speaker 1: Bom has BYU nineteenth instead of sixteenth, So I don't know, man,
• 2:46:30
  Speaker 1: he is saying they're a little bit overrated Houston. He's
• 2:46:32
  Speaker 1: got a sixth rather than eighth, so ken BOM's rankings
• 2:46:37
  Speaker 1: have a bit of a disparity there. But even so,
• 2:46:40
  Speaker 1: I agree with the BYU in this one. Man. Uh. Houston,
• 2:46:44
  Speaker 1: by the way, they're now looking like pretty legit. Their
• 2:46:46
  Speaker 1: offense has really improved recently, so Houston is actually in
• 2:46:49
  Speaker 1: the up to end in both offense and defense now,
• 2:46:52
  Speaker 1: and Boius outside of them and both. So yeah, Houston
• 2:46:55
  Speaker 1: is the better team here, which is why they're road
• 2:46:57
  Speaker 1: favored here. So there is always that to be considering.
• 2:47:01
  Speaker 1: But the spot I think is better for BYU. Yeah,
• 2:47:06
  Speaker 1: the BYU bounce back better. I don't know that they'll
• 2:47:09
  Speaker 1: definitely get it done there, but we'll see San Francisco
• 2:47:12
  Speaker 1: at Saint Mary's on ESPN two. This is a decent
• 2:47:14
  Speaker 1: game in the WCC, san Francisco coming up a pretty
• 2:47:19
  Speaker 1: ugly home loss to Loyal and Merrymount. I assume San
• 2:47:21
  Speaker 1: Francisco is a decent sized favorite there and they're probably
• 2:47:24
  Speaker 1: looking ahead to Saint Mary's. So San Francisco looks like
• 2:47:29
  Speaker 1: they're in a pretty good bounce back spot here for
• 2:47:32
  Speaker 1: Saint Mary's. They're coming up beating San Diego, so whatever
• 2:47:36
  Speaker 1: I mean, this kind of have some new momentum back
• 2:47:38
  Speaker 1: after they lost against Zaga. They already played San Francisco
• 2:47:42
  Speaker 1: and beating them on the road by double digits. Though
• 2:47:44
  Speaker 1: by the way, they don't have anything up next. They
• 2:47:46
  Speaker 1: got Pepperdine, so that's unfortunate. But Saint Mary's might not
• 2:47:49
  Speaker 1: totally take San Francisco seriously after beating them on the road.
• 2:47:52
  Speaker 1: So I would take the points with San Francisco if
• 2:47:54
  Speaker 1: I was gonna play this. Saint Mary's down from twelve
• 2:47:57
  Speaker 1: and a half to twelve fairly low total. As all
• 2:48:00
  Speaker 1: with Saint Mary's, we know they play slow, makes some
• 2:48:02
  Speaker 1: more difficult for them to cover as a big favorite
• 2:48:04
  Speaker 1: like that and a half is the total in that
• 2:48:08
  Speaker 1: one low total. And then you see San Diego at
• 2:48:11
  Speaker 1: Hawaii is the late night midnight degenerate special to try
• 2:48:15
  Speaker 1: to get your money back. You see San Diego. I
• 2:48:18
  Speaker 1: think it's still a decent team, even though the six
• 2:48:20
  Speaker 1: and six in conference. I don't think they're that bad.
• 2:48:24
  Speaker 1: They did just break a losing streak of the win
• 2:48:25
  Speaker 1: of a long beach, but it barely got by Long
• 2:48:28
  Speaker 1: Beach at home, and you see San Diego must have
• 2:48:30
  Speaker 1: been a big favorite in that game. So you know,
• 2:48:32
  Speaker 1: I talk about when a big favorite almost loses, they
• 2:48:35
  Speaker 1: usually refocus, and when you break a losing streak, you
• 2:48:38
  Speaker 1: usually refocus. So I think it is a focused spot here.
• 2:48:40
  Speaker 1: They're going out to Hawaii. They did already beat Hawaii
• 2:48:43
  Speaker 1: at home though, so Hawaii might have a little bit
• 2:48:46
  Speaker 1: of revenge on their minds here in Hawaii is the
• 2:48:48
  Speaker 1: better team. A travel spot to Hawaii is not always
• 2:48:51
  Speaker 1: the easiest. And Hawaii themselves they just played not that
• 2:48:54
  Speaker 1: well against Long Beach and we got to cover with
• 2:48:56
  Speaker 1: Long Beach in that when they just got there. They
• 2:48:59
  Speaker 1: were playing or earlier in that game. But Hawaiian had
• 2:49:01
  Speaker 1: that huge game against UC Irvine, which I think was
• 2:49:04
  Speaker 1: actually an overtime game. But yeah, even though the score
• 2:49:06
  Speaker 1: looks crazy, they watched by eleven, but it wasn't an
• 2:49:10
  Speaker 1: overtime game. And then they had this game on decks.
• 2:49:12
  Speaker 1: I was saying that Hawaii was in a sandwich spot.
• 2:49:15
  Speaker 1: They would be more focused on U see San Diego,
• 2:49:19
  Speaker 1: So how do we what do we do with this game?
• 2:49:21
  Speaker 1: I actually like how the spot sets up for U C.
• 2:49:23
  Speaker 1: San Diego a little bit better actually based on what
• 2:49:25
  Speaker 1: I just said, and the money seems to agree. Hawaii
• 2:49:28
  Speaker 1: up from six and a half to eight seventy five
• 2:49:30
  Speaker 1: percent of tickets on them, but fifty two percent of
• 2:49:32
  Speaker 1: the cash on U SEE San Diego. I agree with that.
• 2:49:35
  Speaker 1: You See San Diego is my lean. That's gonna do it.
• 2:49:38
  Speaker 1: I gotta get all my stuff out, man, I gotta
• 2:49:40
  Speaker 1: get the Instagram videos out. Be on the lookout because
• 2:49:42
  Speaker 1: I'll be back and we'll talk NBA. Hopefully it'll be
• 2:49:44
  Speaker 1: a short show and then that'll be it for the day.
• 2:49:49
  Speaker 1: NBA I think doesn't start until later in the day anyway,
• 2:49:51
  Speaker 1: so we'll get that done. The college plays are UK
• 2:49:54
  Speaker 1: top plus the points, Northwestern State plus those small amount
• 2:49:58
  Speaker 1: of points there, Seattle the points, and Pacific minus the points.
• 2:50:03
  Speaker 1: Those are the four. Trying to be super selective here today.
• 2:50:06
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it for now. I will be back shortly.
• 2:50:09
  Speaker 1: Learn it tone on Instagram, learn it tone on Twitter.
• 2:50:11
  Speaker 1: You know what all like? Subscribe here, give me good
• 2:50:14
  Speaker 1: comments here on the channel here of course, listen on
• 2:50:18
  Speaker 1: audio review on audio Spotify, Apple. I gotta get that
• 2:50:21
  Speaker 1: up too, so it'll it'll be a little while until
• 2:50:23
  Speaker 1: I come back, but yeah, gotta get all that done
• 2:50:27
  Speaker 1: as well covered in you because my yuke channel on YouTube, Patreon,
• 2:50:32
  Speaker 1: dot com, slash learned Toad, you can get some bonus
• 2:50:34
  Speaker 1: stuff there and then, and I know I slipped to
• 2:50:37
  Speaker 1: get up. I'll try to do it like maybe tonight
• 2:50:39
  Speaker 1: or something to get caught up with the yuke stuff
• 2:50:42
  Speaker 1: because they did just do that Green Day cover. But
• 2:50:44
  Speaker 1: it's only on Twitter right now and Loser casts every
• 2:50:49
  Speaker 1: Tuesday night the comedy podcasts, and I will be back
• 2:50:52
  Speaker 1: to talk just NBA because that's the only other thing
• 2:50:55
  Speaker 1: I'm not talking about Olympics. So yep, I've on that too.
• 2:51:00
  Speaker 1: Learn to Fly. I did that when Taylor Hawkins died.
• 2:51:03
  Speaker 1: I covered Yeah, make my way back home. I'm gonna
• 2:51:07
  Speaker 1: learn to fly. I did. I did do that. It
• 2:51:10
  Speaker 1: might still be out there and you on Twitter somewhere.
• 2:51:13
  Speaker 1: That's gonna do it. I'm busy. I'm a busy man. Man.
• 2:51:16
  Speaker 1: The vast majority of the stuff is now done, So
• 2:51:19
  Speaker 1: I'll be back and I may have some NBA play,
• 2:51:22
  Speaker 1: but we'll see. I'll be back. Peace for now,