Latest / Financial Survival Network / Prospera Energy Increases Reserve Valuation 5X (PDP) & Forecasts 2.5X Production by Q4
Transcript
- 0:00I'll just kind of go through a couple of the highlights we add in the
- 0:03press release that was released yesterday. You mentioned the PDP reserves the increased five
- 0:08hundred and eight percent. So last year, twenty twenty two's reserves were four
- 0:13point four PDP value of twenty seven million, this year at a discover right
- 0:18of ten percent, and so that's a direct reflection of the twenty twenty three
- 0:22development program that the team execute them your SAP, and what that really means
- 0:27is that it identifies our opens up a variety of different conventional financing options for
- 0:35prosper and non delude of financing options, asset based debt and so on.
- 0:42And what it allows us to do is get away from some of the higher
- 0:44red financing so we've done historically, take those that will consolidate our balance sheet
- 0:50and ultimately fund the upcoming twenty twenty four development program. The Financial Survival Network
- 0:58now more than ever, the Financial Survival Network. Welcome. This is Financial
- 1:07Survival Network. I'm your host, Carrie Lutz, and we were about to
- 1:10get a much requested update from CEO Samuel David and CFO Cress Lutkey of Prospera
- 1:15Energy yesterday, Sam, you released your latest reserve report for twenty twenty three,
- 1:22and I kind of thought there was a typo I was looking at it.
- 1:26It said five hundred and eight percent increase in reserve value PDP, and
- 1:33I mean, I've never seen numbers going up that high before. That's right,
- 1:40Kerrie Prospero team is very proud and pleased to convey that appreciation of the
- 1:49asset value. And really I feel we are just scratching the surface on the
- 1:56asset the real asset value of the entire reservoir we have and the oil in
- 2:02place, and we're just being to tap into the reserves. We're just accessing
- 2:08the reserves with the horizontals that we just drilled. There's a large upside to
- 2:15this asset value. For example, we haven't really started exploiting one of our
- 2:21largest oil in place property and we're just commencing that. The reason that hasn't
- 2:27commenced so far is because we've been doing a lot of due diligence, studying
- 2:31all the technical technical parameters, historical performance. It is pressure depleted and we're
- 2:38finding the most effective ways to apply that and we'll be quilting that this year.
- 2:44So you can see even the largest oil and place property is not reflected
- 2:51in this current appreciation of eight percent appreciation in approve and developed value. Chris,
- 3:00this reserve report really kind of a game changer in terms of how the
- 3:06company moves ahead, how it raises funds. You just tell us explain what
- 3:12the difference is now, Yeah, certainly, Carrie. I'll just kind of
- 3:15go through a couple of the highlights we adding the press release that was released
- 3:20yesterday, you mentioned the PDP reserves increased five hundred and eight percent. So
- 3:25last year, twenty twenty two's reserves were four point four PDP value of twenty
- 3:31seven million. This year at a discover right of ten percent, and so
- 3:35that's a direct reflection of the twenty twenty three development program that the team executed
- 3:39them out and what that really means that it identifies or opens up a variety
- 3:46of different conventional financing options for prosper and non delude of financing options, asset
- 3:55based debt and so on. And what it allows us to do is get
- 3:59away from some of the higher refinancings that we've done historically, take those out,
- 4:02consolidate our balance sheet, and ultimately fund the upcoming twenty twenty four development
- 4:09program from an np the standpoint, now, what do you reckon the NPV
- 4:15of the reserves? It is all of them, P two P and PDP.
- 4:19Well, the two P reserves value that was published yesterday as well as
- 4:25a total three million. That's the corporate number, and that's a proved plus
- 4:30probable number. It increased sixty one million year over year, and that's really
- 4:34a reflection of an increase in the undeveloped reserves value along with the twenty twenty
- 4:41three development program. So pretty much what you're telling me then, is that
- 4:46the market cap of the company, which currently look at my latest number is
- 4:50clus thirty six million. It's almost triple. Your MPV is almost triple the
- 4:57market cap, that's right. But we calculate the the two PE reserve value
- 5:02over the total amount of shares the air outstanding currently we get approximately thirty one
- 5:08cents, which is considerably higher than where we're at currently. Total proven number
- 5:14is about twenty one cents, but both were higher. Sam Basically, looking
- 5:19at this kind of I saw a current recovery rate of nine percent, but
- 5:25the release seems to imply that it could go much higher. Oh yeah,
- 5:30definitely there's ample amount of room to be recovered, ample amount of reserves to
- 5:35be recovered. That nine percent is an overall average between three properties. As
- 5:44I mentioned, the largest oil in place property and the largest oil in place
- 5:48has approximately two hundred and ninety million barrels in place. That property has only
- 5:55recovery. We have only recovered about six percent of the oil of place.
- 6:00There's plenty of remaining reserves to be recovered. This year, we got a
- 6:08drill program. It's going to take place, and you've gotten a much earlier
- 6:13start to the process, aven't you. Definitely? Definitely Yeah. Last year,
- 6:19you know, everything got delayed to actually, you know, for us
- 6:25to work through. That's the first time we were executing the large development program
- 6:30for Prospera, and it stretched it into the winter till end of December,
- 6:36and a lot of that production and corresponding revenue we stop reflected in the balance
- 6:42sheet. It will be reflected in this year's balance sheet. But this year,
- 6:46yes, we have paused everything and preparing for an early start right after
- 6:53the breakup to commenced, really so we could see that those new wells hit
- 7:00the income statement before the end of the year. Then yes, you know,
- 7:06since we were doing a much earlier drilling in the summer. The results
- 7:13from the drilling will be reflected in the year end statement. Right, So
- 7:16cash flow standpoint Chris, company's position to finance this program adequately in addition to
- 7:25perhaps taking on new financing. Yeah, that's right. Carry The additional financing
- 7:30that the reserves will provide, combined with the company's cash flow, will support
- 7:35the twenty twenty four top of the requirements allow us to achieve the year end
- 7:40targets have been published earlier this year. Sam, the reserve life is now
- 7:46thirty years, but we know in the market that once you go past seven
- 7:49ten years, you don't really get any respect for that to you. Well,
- 7:55you know, there's longevity in these as it were, and we could
- 7:59have a steady stream of supply of oil and a cash flow for this company.
- 8:07Right. So obviously to get to realize this additional production, you're going
- 8:13to have to do a substantial number of infrastructure improvements. We already discussed technical
- 8:18advancements that are going to be kicking in as the process goes along. It's
- 8:24a big project, isn't it. These properties have adequate infrastructure in place.
- 8:31It's a little bit outdated, and we've been attending to that on an ongoing
- 8:37basis, and actually we have a turnaround plant for this summer. The previous
- 8:41year. Wintery conditions affected as quite a bit last year, but this year
- 8:48we were able to bounce back and resume production and appreciating production from the cold
- 8:54weather. So already there's improvements in the infrastructure, and there'll be additional improvements
- 9:00to infrastructure this summer. And also because there's existing infrastructure, all the drilling
- 9:07that we do, all the optimization could be brought online fairly quickly on a
- 9:13quick turnaround and easier permitting because it's just additional production and the same project,
- 9:18the same field, right same, Yeah, these are all multi well padlese
- 9:24and we just say yes, it's not the same existing infrastructure curio, I
- 9:28don't go out that that that helps reduce the capital will lay considerably as well.
- 9:33We're adding these new wells so we get the production right away, but
- 9:37we're not adding to spend any money on pipeline infrastructure or anything along those lines.
- 9:41So we're drilling new wells. We're adding them at roughly about six dollars
- 9:46a barrel of capital expenditure and it's not plagued by additial infrastructure costs that would
- 9:52ultimately bring that number up. Now that's in Saskatchewan and the heavy oil property,
- 9:58the medium oil development, it does require some infrastructure, concentrated infrastructure to
- 10:05production. So Chris, So the decline in production that happens in the winter,
- 10:13it is not an isolated event. I mean, I see the chat
- 10:16rooms go a little that could overreact to the winter decline. But this isn't
- 10:22just a prospera phenomena. This is industry in this part of the world,
- 10:26right Cort. Across the board, we see our peers impacted in a similar
- 10:31way, big and small companies across the board. I mean, operating a
- 10:37negative sixty degree weather is tough. But we you know, we as say
- 10:43I'm talked about, there's a lot of infrastructure upgrades and things like that,
- 10:46and preparedness that happens. There's always events that are on plopped. You're expanding
- 10:52your team right now, I understand, adding more people and this can also
- 10:58make an impact. And obviously it helped keep the oil flowing during the winter.
- 11:01Two well, at minus c two celsius, not too many things move.
- 11:07However, However, we can that's right, yeah, give other people.
- 11:13Well, we have added experienced staff to both the operation and production engineering.
- 11:20We also, I think you've mentioned before, we have a VP of
- 11:24experienced VPF operation as well, so we have added significant experienced individuals to accommodate
- 11:35the development that we have planned. So the money is there to do all
- 11:39this, Chris, and the team is there to do it all, Sam,
- 11:45what do you think end of the year. I mean I saw in
- 11:48the release it said you got a target of five thousand boe per day.
- 11:52Now that's right. It's a fairly ambitious target, but we feel it's it's
- 12:00attainable and prosper has come a long way since the restructured in restructuring that happened
- 12:09in twenty twenty one onward. But Prospero is a different company now and there's
- 12:16a cohesive team management team, an operation team, and we have executed and
- 12:22demonstrated the reaccessing undrained reserves, and we have retired very good wells all along
- 12:30the way, and we're reducing our operating expansion and liability as at retiremental liability
- 12:37as well, and we also have proved up our medium oilplay. So here
- 12:43on word, it's mostly execution and development to appreciate production. Also we have
- 12:54we'll be adding a key strategic acquisition to diversify your product from our heavy old
- 13:01dependency, and these are all when we add up all of this, we
- 13:05feel and that ambitious target is attainable. All right, well, I think
- 13:11really happy to get this update. As you know, I'm a shareholder as
- 13:16well as a prespera being a sponsor of the show, and it's great to
- 13:20see it moving ahead. Hopefully the market will will give you some respect in
- 13:24the near term once this information gets out there. It seems like it's a
- 13:31good prospect. We will keep on doing what we're doing and we'll let rest
- 13:37take care of it. Stuff. Thank you, Kerry. All right,
- 13:39thank you, Chris Sam. It's always great to talk with you. Go
- 13:43over to the company's website prespar Energy dot com, SiGe up for notifications the
- 13:48ticker symbols in the US g x r FF and of course in Canada Pei
- 13:54and he will be going for follow ups in the coming months and hopefully everything's
- 14:01going to work out awesome. Thank you. Thanks Garry. The Financial Survival Network