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Transcript

Epic Ethereum Short-Squeeze Coming?🚀Revenge Pump🔥 · The Paul Barron Crypto Show

• 0:07
  Speaker 1: Today we're going to break down some eth news, take
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: a look at how Eth could be coiling up for
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: a resurgence.
• 0:12
  Speaker 2: You guys want to catch this one. It's a good one.
• 0:14
  Speaker 1: My name is Paul Baron, Welcome back in a tech path.
• 0:16
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• 0:45
  Speaker 1: Get started, all right. So a lot happening over the weekend.
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: We continue to see these issues with President Trump crashing
• 0:51
  Speaker 1: the crypto markets, so to speak. And President Trump says
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: he'll announced on Monday that the United States is imposing
• 0:56
  Speaker 1: another tariff twenty five percent on steel and imports, including
• 1:01
  Speaker 1: from Canada and Mexico. Some of the points that you
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: have to look at here the top five sources right
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: now and steel Canada, Mexico of course some of the biggest.
• 1:10
  Speaker 2: So I don't know.
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: I think it still is a scenario whether or not
• 1:13
  Speaker 1: this is going to happen or not, or is he
• 1:15
  Speaker 1: using this as a negotiation tactic or is this truly
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: going to be one of those narrows that plays out
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: on the tariff side of things if you look at
• 1:23
  Speaker 1: some of the other components. This is where Barclay's Head
• 1:27
  Speaker 1: Strategies talks about how this is going to impact the
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: markets in general, because it is having some impacts on markets.
• 1:34
  Speaker 3: Take a look so far, the whole debate has been
• 1:38
  Speaker 3: is do you take him literally or do you take
• 1:39
  Speaker 3: them seriously? And then last weekend you said you have
• 1:42
  Speaker 3: to take you both literally and seriously. A day later
• 1:45
  Speaker 3: then the market realized that maybe it's just a negotiating stance.
• 1:49
  Speaker 2: So I think that is the big debate.
• 1:50
  Speaker 3: But overall, though, to your point, my view is that
• 1:53
  Speaker 3: the market has been overly optimistic in pricing Trump related
• 1:57
  Speaker 3: growth policies, which is, you know, on taxes and deregulation
• 2:03
  Speaker 3: and less so on immigration and tariffs, So that's where
• 2:07
  Speaker 3: we are. So ultimately, what mattters is which wins out?
• 2:11
  Speaker 3: Do they even out? Or is growth better than the
• 2:16
  Speaker 3: constraining elements of immigration and tariffs. The market seems to
• 2:19
  Speaker 3: think so far that it's a growth side which has
• 2:22
  Speaker 3: an edge, and you would agree, but I think it's
• 2:24
  Speaker 3: a fine line.
• 2:26
  Speaker 1: So as you can see, we're looking at even the
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: issue on aluminum. It's kind of funny this tweet right here,
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: eth is it made of aluminum? Has that ability to
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: kind of get in there and bounce back after a
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: little bit of recovery here, and there are some points
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: that he was making, you know, in the video in
• 2:42
  Speaker 1: the sense of with President Trump, is he does you
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: never know if his strategy is using as a tactic.
• 2:50
  Speaker 1: So I think the market needs some time to get
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: their head around how he negotiates and also what kind
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: of implications this is going to have on markets in general.
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: If you look at what Polyme market had to say
• 3:00
  Speaker 1: about this around government shutdown, this is another one that
• 3:04
  Speaker 1: I think will probably start to play into. This is
• 3:06
  Speaker 1: right now it's at a sixty two percent chance, So
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: will Trump allow that to occur? Is you going to
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: start to leverage some things. Is this again just another
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: scenario where they're trying to get something played into these
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: shutdowns other things that are happening, of course over on bitcoin,
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: and we'll get to eth because this is all flowing
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: into where Eath's position is right now, and why but
• 3:26
  Speaker 1: bitcoin Michael Sailor's Michael Saylor's strategy now by seven hundred
• 3:31
  Speaker 1: and forty two million worth of bitcoin. That's not a misprint.
• 3:34
  Speaker 1: That's their new branding, so it's now called strategy. But
• 3:37
  Speaker 1: another seven and forty two million in bitcoin going forward.
• 3:40
  Speaker 1: So everybody's asking this point right here, and that is
• 3:43
  Speaker 1: the Ethereum's short positions now surging up as much as
• 3:46
  Speaker 1: five hundred percent. But there's a silver lining here and
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: I'll get to that in a second that you may
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: not be catching. And I think a lot of people
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: are looking at Ethereum right now and not necessarily understand,
• 3:56
  Speaker 1: especially if you're a brand new So if you look
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: at this from a short positioning in Ethereum, round now
• 4:01
  Speaker 1: up about forty percent in one week, five hundred cents November,
• 4:06
  Speaker 1: never in history has Wall Street Hedge fund has been
• 4:09
  Speaker 1: so short of Ethereum, and it's not even close so
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: you can kind of see the numbers right here.
• 4:13
  Speaker 2: This is the kind of scenario.
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: This is the chart you probably saw floating around crypto
• 4:17
  Speaker 1: Twitter over the weekend.
• 4:18
  Speaker 2: But these are the kind of numbers when.
• 4:20
  Speaker 1: You look at where Ethereum has been performing on the chart,
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: that has probably held it down to a certain extent.
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: But at the same time, remember ETH also hit four
• 4:28
  Speaker 1: thousand here this year or just over the past few months,
• 4:30
  Speaker 1: so we saw the effects of this strength this positioning.
• 4:34
  Speaker 1: On February second, Eth fell thirty seven percent sixty hours
• 4:37
  Speaker 1: trade war headlines and merged. Obviously, that's the thing that
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: where Trump plays into this, all these things around tariffs
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: and other things that will implicate ETH possibly in more
• 4:48
  Speaker 1: of a reactionary scenario as an asset. The other thing
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: I wanted to jump into is whether or not this
• 4:54
  Speaker 1: is a liquidation trap. So hear me out on this
• 4:56
  Speaker 1: is you've got liquidations, yes they are happening, but at
• 5:00
  Speaker 1: the same time, you've got acquisitions also happening.
• 5:03
  Speaker 2: Watch this clip. Take a look.
• 5:05
  Speaker 4: First of all, that reading of short positions from the
• 5:08
  Speaker 4: Chicago Mercantile Exchange are not reading all of the open
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: short positions across the entire globe, across all the centralizedcriptocurrency exchanges,
• 5:15
  Speaker 4: across all the markets, So take that into account. The
• 5:17
  Speaker 4: other things to take into account is that hedge funds
• 5:20
  Speaker 4: are the greatest market manipulators in the world.
• 5:22
  Speaker 2: Right.
• 5:23
  Speaker 4: It is definitely part of their game to open up
• 5:25
  Speaker 4: a ton of short positions in a theorem to get
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: people to shake out of their bags, and also for
• 5:28
  Speaker 4: them to open up short positions to copy their trades.
• 5:31
  Speaker 4: And all they can do is just close those short positions,
• 5:34
  Speaker 4: leave everyone else who's retail with their short positions open,
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: allow Ethereum to then go and liquidate them right, and
• 5:41
  Speaker 4: then they make money because what happens is they could
• 5:43
  Speaker 4: then buy a theorem through the etherorem ETFs, which by
• 5:46
  Speaker 4: the way they have been doing. We've seen over the
• 5:48
  Speaker 4: past seven days, if there hasn't been a single day
• 5:50
  Speaker 4: of outflows for the Etherem RETF, there's only been one
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  Speaker 4: day of net zero in six days in a row
• 5:55
  Speaker 4: of buying. And the hedge funds like to buy spot
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: products through these ETF producs. When you see record amounts
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: of short positions or long positions, this works both ways.
• 6:05
  Speaker 4: It is a it is a liquidation trap. It can
• 6:09
  Speaker 4: create an opportunity for a very very large turnaround in
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: a market in either direction, and right now with a
• 6:16
  Speaker 4: shit ton of shorts, there's an opportunity that when Ethereum
• 6:19
  Speaker 4: starts to move, it could move incredibly quickly.
• 6:25
  Speaker 2: Well, so I kind of agree with him.
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: If you do look at just the performance on the
• 6:29
  Speaker 1: spot etf netflows, you can kind of see it's exactly right.
• 6:33
  Speaker 1: Those are the inflows coming on over the last few days,
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: definitely cycling up, and of course we had that one
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: day where we absolutely exploded where we had almost one
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: hundred thousand eth added in. So this is a big
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: deal in the sense of where and if a short
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: squeeze is actually in play, and whether or not people
• 6:52
  Speaker 1: are going to kind of maybe paper hands this out.
• 6:54
  Speaker 2: Hopefully that's not the case with you, guys.
• 6:56
  Speaker 1: Eth has still been a strong performing asset, and there's
• 6:59
  Speaker 1: some other support things that I thinks start to push
• 7:02
  Speaker 1: things around a little bit.
• 7:03
  Speaker 2: One of was this tweet right here.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: Second of these massive shorts also showed up in the
• 7:08
  Speaker 1: bitcoin same group. Guess what, Bitcoin outperformed Ether while at
• 7:12
  Speaker 1: the same time massive net short phenomenon was happening. So
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: this has been happening before, and we've seen some indicators
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: here that and I think that's also when we started
• 7:24
  Speaker 1: to see Eth do that big rally into almost forty
• 7:27
  Speaker 1: one hundred. That is a factor that what the previous
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: video was getting at is we could see that kind
• 7:32
  Speaker 1: of recovery coming in on Eth in a very short
• 7:35
  Speaker 1: period of time. So a lot of people looking at
• 7:37
  Speaker 1: this extreme positioning means big swings back like the one
• 7:40
  Speaker 1: on February third will be more common. Since it starts
• 7:43
  Speaker 1: twenty twenty four Bitcoin out twelve times as much of ethereum.
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: And then of course we've seen the performance in the
• 7:48
  Speaker 1: past of how this is impacted ETH as a whole.
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: And if you look at gas, this is another indicator.
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: Gases it's lowest in a very very long time. Now
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: look at that low that has been and I think
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: as you see this extended scenario playing out for ethereum,
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: gas is going to be a factor here, and it's
• 8:08
  Speaker 1: not something that's not going to step around or stay around,
• 8:11
  Speaker 1: because remember gas limiting started back in December and now
• 8:16
  Speaker 1: it's continued to slowly come down. So if metallic is
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: definitely on the move here with trying to get eth
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: back in a position where it's ready to really move around.
• 8:25
  Speaker 1: A lot of things like RWA's and other scenarios in
• 8:28
  Speaker 1: the crypto market that are going to be very important
• 8:30
  Speaker 1: for Eth's growth. Flipping over to steaked eth, you're going
• 8:34
  Speaker 1: take a quick look. It's been moving along, gets these
• 8:37
  Speaker 1: nice little I want you to kind of look at
• 8:39
  Speaker 1: these areas right here. So this was back in May
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: March of last year or twenty three, had that plateau
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: and then that big spike up, and you get these
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: periods where there's a little bit of a plateau and
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: then these big moves up. So are we in that
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: phase right now where steaked eth is plateauing and getting
• 8:57
  Speaker 1: ready for another big up move in terms of steaked eeth.
• 9:01
  Speaker 2: So that in itself a big deal. Now.
• 9:04
  Speaker 1: Granted, yeah, gas price down stake valuation is going to
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: be a little bit different, but Leedo V three could
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: be starting to change all of that if V three
• 9:13
  Speaker 1: starts coming out, especially around timing as Eth starts to mooth.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: So lots of scenarios in play right now.
• 9:20
  Speaker 2: Don't forget.
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: We got Eth Denver coming up. This is coming up
• 9:23
  Speaker 1: at the end of February, So February twenty thirty to
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: March second. That's going to be in Denver. Most likely
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: we'll see a lot of things coming out of that.
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: Most of the time, what we've seen in the past
• 9:33
  Speaker 1: years is a lot of new dev projects, but even
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: more so is direction around some of the existing projects
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: that are in most cases waiting to really move. So
• 9:44
  Speaker 1: watch for some news coming out of eight Denver. Here's
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: a question right here eight about twenty seven hundred and
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: February fourteenth, that's this Friday. Many people are liking this
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: holding in a forty eight percent chance, so not too
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: bad in a position where we might see eth starting
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: its way back before Valentine's Day. Other points I want
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: to hit at, of course is Avalanche, because there is
• 10:06
  Speaker 1: a relationship here to Ethereum and Avalanche. But right now,
• 10:11
  Speaker 1: if you look at what's happening within AVAX and look
• 10:13
  Speaker 1: where the eight money is going, because it's looking for
• 10:16
  Speaker 1: a little bit of a new home. Most of it
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: has been around Solana transitioning into Avalanche along with a
• 10:22
  Speaker 1: handful of others, and this could mean some big things
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: because the other thing on Avalanche, if you just look
• 10:28
  Speaker 1: at the twenty four hour deposit right here, almost a
• 10:30
  Speaker 1: little over eight million The thing here is that if
• 10:33
  Speaker 1: you look at all of the previous lower chains, Avalanche
• 10:38
  Speaker 1: is leading the pack here in terms.
• 10:39
  Speaker 2: Of overall deposits.
• 10:41
  Speaker 1: So is in r some of these traders starting to
• 10:44
  Speaker 1: position in Avalanche going forward for some of the things
• 10:46
  Speaker 1: that are happening within that ecosystem. So look out for
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: that one as well. Now we will be doing the
• 10:53
  Speaker 1: hearing tomorrow and this is the one the golden Age
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: of digital assets. This is the first, I believe, the
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: first there positive hearing that we will see under the
• 11:02
  Speaker 1: Trump administration where we get past of all the problems
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: that have existed in the past, you know, the choke
• 11:07
  Speaker 1: point issues, the issues with the problems within crypto. This
• 11:10
  Speaker 1: is moving forward. So getting a real strategy going into
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: the next generation around where digital assets are going in
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: terms of not only legislation and a framework, but I
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: think also just hopefully the market we'll look at this
• 11:25
  Speaker 1: and see, all right, there really are serious about this.
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: This could be all very positive. Other things to look
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: at that or around eth is You've got to remember
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: eth is still king of the hill when it comes
• 11:36
  Speaker 1: to real world assets. And if you look at just
• 11:38
  Speaker 1: what's happening of the overall market caps. Let me kind
• 11:41
  Speaker 1: of zoom in on that right there, say Eth right
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: there kind of leading the way. You look at stable coin,
• 11:47
  Speaker 1: same kind of scenario. Ethereum just pretty much leading the way.
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: Also on our Toba holders also eth kind of leading
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: the way. So a couple of points within all that.
• 11:56
  Speaker 1: And if you look at the general market overview, let
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: me kind of show you something here real quick. This
• 12:01
  Speaker 1: is a pretty big deal right here. Look at the
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: RDBA league table right there, all right, so you see
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: Ethereum leading the pack. Sure we get all that, but
• 12:09
  Speaker 1: Avalanche holding a position right now, nine different issuers out
• 12:14
  Speaker 1: there in the RWA account. Look at the potential total
• 12:19
  Speaker 1: value right there, it's about to flip Solana. So as
• 12:23
  Speaker 1: we see this going into it is Avalanche really the
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: RWA play and the connection to Ethan the future. This
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: could be a big factor going forward, so not bad
• 12:34
  Speaker 1: for sure. All right, If you guys are not in
• 12:36
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• 12:38
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• 12:41
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• 12:44
  Speaker 1: I'm in there talking to people all the time. We
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: use a link down below, so use that as well.
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: And of course, follow me out there on x at
• 12:50
  Speaker 1: Paul Baron. We'll catch you next time, right here on
• 12:52
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