Latest / The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast / The Favorites - NFL Week 7 Betting Preview

Transcript

The Favorites - NFL Week 7 Betting Preview · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

• 0:00
  Speaker 1: It's the Favorites presented by FanDuel. Football season is here
• 0:04
  Speaker 1: and there's no better place to get in on the
• 0:06
  Speaker 1: action than FanDuel. I love betting with fandel because They're
• 0:09
  Speaker 1: app is safe, secure and easy to use, and when
• 0:11
  Speaker 1: I win, I get paid fast. So use promo code
• 0:15
  Speaker 1: Favorites and download the FanDuel app today to make every
• 0:17
  Speaker 1: moment more this football season. Must be twenty one or
• 0:21
  Speaker 1: older and in select states called one eight hundred gambler
• 0:25
  Speaker 1: or visit FanDuel dot com slash r g in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan,
• 0:29
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, and Virginia one eight hundred next
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: step or text next step to five three three F
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: two in Arizona one eight eight seven eight nine seven
• 0:39
  Speaker 1: seven seven seven or visit CCPG dot org slash chat
• 0:43
  Speaker 1: in Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it in Indiana,
• 0:46
  Speaker 1: visit ks gambling help dot com. In Kansas call one
• 0:50
  Speaker 1: eight seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: eight seven seven eight hope and why or text hope
• 0:57
  Speaker 1: and why four seven three six nine. In York, Tennessee,
• 1:00
  Speaker 1: redline is one eight eight nine called one eight hundred
• 1:05
  Speaker 1: five to two four seven zero zero in Wyoming or
• 1:07
  Speaker 1: visit www. Dot one Gambler dot net in West Virginia.
• 1:21
  Speaker 1: Welcome to the Favorites, the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network.
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: If you are listening live on AMP, Welcome to the
• 1:31
  Speaker 1: live version. I am Chad Moment, Chief Content Officer of
• 1:35
  Speaker 1: the Action Network. I am joined as I am for
• 1:38
  Speaker 1: every episode by my brother in Winning, my companion, my compadre,
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: my BFF, Professional Better in the City of Champions, Philadelphia, Timing, Hunt,
• 1:54
  Speaker 1: Flying Hide Chat, Top ten sports weekend as a Philadelphia
• 1:57
  Speaker 1: fan for me, Fly Eagles, Fly bro There man, listen,
• 2:00
  Speaker 1: it wasn't just the Phillies and what they did on
• 2:04
  Speaker 1: Friday and Saturday night. You know you and I went
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: to the Phillies game over the summer. That's a great
• 2:08
  Speaker 1: state of experience and it is beautiful, like when the
• 2:11
  Speaker 1: sun is setting. It is wonderful. Man, What a glorious
• 2:16
  Speaker 1: weekend to be in Philadelphia. It looked like people are
• 2:18
  Speaker 1: paying for it. I went to the game Sunday night
• 2:20
  Speaker 1: and they were bruised up. Brother, I mean, people were belligerent,
• 2:24
  Speaker 1: like more more so than they usually are for Philadelphia fans.
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: So it was definitely these games where like I could
• 2:30
  Speaker 1: feel the tension in the vibe. Again, I'm not here
• 2:32
  Speaker 1: to defend Dallas Cowboys fans. I saw a kid, he's
• 2:35
  Speaker 1: like sixteen and a Cowboys jersey, and this dude just
• 2:37
  Speaker 1: laying into him. He was clearly in his forties. And
• 2:39
  Speaker 1: it's like I had to tell the guy, like I
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: was another guy who's told and big like me. I
• 2:43
  Speaker 1: was like, dude, we don't wanna have to fight you,
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: but like, you're picking on a sixteen year old, what
• 2:46
  Speaker 1: is happening right now? So it was definitely a risky
• 2:49
  Speaker 1: weekend where guys who went to the Phillies game just
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: kept boozing. It was an eight o'clock Cowboys game. I
• 2:53
  Speaker 1: think they got fourteen straight points. You could feel attention,
• 2:56
  Speaker 1: you know, that feeling in the stadium of like this
• 2:59
  Speaker 1: is happening right now. But thank you, thank god for
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: those Cowboy fans that didn't uh, they all survived the night.
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: And yeah, just again, Eagles six and oh first half,
• 3:08
  Speaker 1: six and oh in the season, you know, a t
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: S crazy bet that keeps hitting and the fact that
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: their six and oh as well, it's yeah, it's magical.
• 3:16
  Speaker 1: Is a better and a fan of the team, By
• 3:18
  Speaker 1: the way, we had the the Eagles and the contest,
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: that the Cowboys and the contest, and we will talk
• 3:22
  Speaker 1: about the contest the other three and two weeks. You know,
• 3:25
  Speaker 1: I will remind everybody in this show we will start
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: to narrow down our favorite five. We will do our
• 3:33
  Speaker 1: Fox sold, we will do our Simon says, we will
• 3:35
  Speaker 1: do our exact decision. A reminder to everybody. By the way,
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: if you like betting, do you love the n b
• 3:41
  Speaker 1: A the way I love the n b A. I
• 3:44
  Speaker 1: am a League past freak. I love Zach Lows of
• 3:48
  Speaker 1: ESPN dot Com. I love as lead Past rankings. My
• 3:51
  Speaker 1: kid and I have been talking about it all week.
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: I will watch as many games on Lead Pass as
• 3:55
  Speaker 1: I can. I think it's just an incredible product. Another
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: great product Action Networks Buckets podcast, hosted primarily by Matt Moore,
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: who's one of the premier NBA writers of his generation.
• 4:10
  Speaker 1: He kind of invented writing about analytics on the NBA.
• 4:15
  Speaker 1: He will co host Buckets, the NBA Betting Podcast, every
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: single day during the week, the first time we're doing
• 4:21
  Speaker 1: this every day. It's the most actionable NBA betting podcast
• 4:25
  Speaker 1: you can get, and anyone will tell you that betting
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: on the NBA is just freaking phenomenally fun. It's great
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: to combine it with watching uh Lee pass the Go
• 4:36
  Speaker 1: Bowls over forty one and a half. I like it, Simon.
• 4:41
  Speaker 1: We went three and two. We ended up going with
• 4:43
  Speaker 1: Atlanta plus five and a half, no brainer. Never waffled.
• 4:46
  Speaker 1: Jaguars plus two, that's gonna hurt a lot. And then
• 4:50
  Speaker 1: the Jets. The Jets was absolutely the last one in.
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: It came down to the Jets and the Ravens. I
• 4:57
  Speaker 1: wouldn't let you put the Ravens. That would do We
• 4:59
  Speaker 1: cannot go against the Giants. You mis remember that it
• 5:01
  Speaker 1: was the Seahawks and Jets. No matter what, we're gonna
• 5:03
  Speaker 1: get that win. I just I told you, no matter what,
• 5:05
  Speaker 1: we weren't going against the Giants. I said, I don't
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: I don't care if it's a good number. They just
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: keep taking our money. We're not going against the Giants.
• 5:11
  Speaker 1: And you're like, that's interesting. I remember having a conversation saying,
• 5:14
  Speaker 1: we don't really think the Ravens can cover in the
• 5:16
  Speaker 1: second half. Why I would put the Ravings in there? Yeah,
• 5:18
  Speaker 1: I just remember that the whole Giants part. But yeah,
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: the Jets one. I got where you're coming from, and
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: you talked about you just didn't like the public money
• 5:25
  Speaker 1: on it, and it was just like I said, the
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: public does win shot, and it's seven and a half.
• 5:28
  Speaker 1: I feel like we kind of have to take it.
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: So thank god we did it. Just it definitely spooked me.
• 5:33
  Speaker 1: Zach Wilson looks like a deer and headlights sometimes and
• 5:36
  Speaker 1: you're just like God, but that that defense. The Jets team, man,
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: their fans are lapping, taking dance on people's graves right now,
• 5:43
  Speaker 1: and they should be like four and to the city
• 5:45
  Speaker 1: or New Jerseys, I should say them in the Giants,
• 5:47
  Speaker 1: it's buzzing and buffalo for New York. That's it's just
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: a wild time right now for all these teams. Should
• 5:53
  Speaker 1: we check in with Matt Mitchell right now and see
• 5:55
  Speaker 1: how we survived the Kansas City Bills game. I have
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: never been in more emotionally, personally, financially invested in a
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: football game that was not a playoff game in my
• 6:08
  Speaker 1: entire life. Over leveraged as they would say. And of
• 6:13
  Speaker 1: course it was in that dreadful window where I had
• 6:14
  Speaker 1: to get both kids to bed, bless my wife, taking
• 6:17
  Speaker 1: my kids out of the house for the entire first half.
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: She's the real M v P. And it was like
• 6:22
  Speaker 1: a heavyweight fight, and I was the one who ended
• 6:24
  Speaker 1: up feeling Badford and Bruce by the end. But you know,
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: got to slip on the latex gloves. Have my have
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: my lobats, have my delicious wings. And then as soon
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: as that game was over, I had my wife. She
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: was pretty excited because she knew I would go and
• 6:38
  Speaker 1: pick her up anything she wanted for dinner. So I
• 6:41
  Speaker 1: had to drive to the South Side to get her
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: her favorite sandwich and then I just got absolutely blasted.
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: So as I got back, So I want to thank
• 6:47
  Speaker 1: Josh Allen. I'm gonna play the Josh Allen alarm here
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: and I'll continue to do this until everyone's ears bleed,
• 6:53
  Speaker 1: because Josh Allen is the savior of Western New York.
• 6:57
  Speaker 1: I learned Allen looking for God. He's a los A.
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: He's a football player, through and through it, there's left
• 7:09
  Speaker 1: and there we go dr to excuse me, cuts down?
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: How many quarterbacks have you ever seen hurdle anyone? Goodness,
• 7:18
  Speaker 1: there's no fear, no way. He was put whole. He's
• 7:33
  Speaker 1: still going. Oh my god. The demands to do something
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: about this reaches man making Loader and Loader. Let me
• 7:45
  Speaker 1: just say this, when you talk about putting on the
• 7:47
  Speaker 1: latex gloves and for those who are listening live, Matt
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: Mitchell eats his wings with latex gloves because he doesn't
• 7:54
  Speaker 1: like to get his fingers dirty. Every time you do that,
• 7:57
  Speaker 1: I think you're a serial killer and more like a surgeon.
• 8:01
  Speaker 1: Like a surgeon. But surprise of that game though, right,
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: Like the pros were all over that. That line was
• 8:06
  Speaker 1: fishy all week a little bit. So you know, if
• 8:09
  Speaker 1: Chadwood came here on Sunday, so let's put the Bills
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: and I wouldn't be able to fight him on it.
• 8:12
  Speaker 1: But I took the first half. Felt really lucky to
• 8:14
  Speaker 1: get that. But as a Bills fan, I don't know.
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: I feel like you guys, one of them that you
• 8:18
  Speaker 1: would want the Bills to lose that game. Now you
• 8:20
  Speaker 1: gotta beat the Chiefs twice in the same year, you
• 8:24
  Speaker 1: have yet to do it. It's so to me, it
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: was like all set up perfectly, But Josh sounds so
• 8:29
  Speaker 1: damn good. He can't help but be the m v
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: P that he is and win that game. So I'm
• 8:33
  Speaker 1: scared for Bills fans. We already know how it's gonna
• 8:35
  Speaker 1: play out, right, NFC East is NFC beast this year
• 8:38
  Speaker 1: one of these three teams, Giants, Cowboys, Eagles get to
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: the Super Bowl to take down the Bills again for
• 8:43
  Speaker 1: the fifth straighte time. Madam Mitchell, I don't know how
• 8:46
  Speaker 1: you would handle that, but it just feels like it's
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: all studing up for the Bills to make it and
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: then play an NFC NFC East team history just can't
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: help but repeat itself. Simon, We're gonna get to these
• 8:56
  Speaker 1: games right now. Also a reminder, we in the Foxhole,
• 8:59
  Speaker 1: we had the same plus two that was that was
• 9:03
  Speaker 1: crushing defeat. If Latinimore played out of a different game
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: like that, she's getting away there at the end of
• 9:09
  Speaker 1: score that touchdown, No chance he does it against him,
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: So that that was just a glaring injury, Simon says,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: was in Atlanta plus five and a half, well done.
• 9:17
  Speaker 1: The exact decision was Cleveland minus three. Not good job
• 9:20
  Speaker 1: by me. The big balls better the week. I own it.
• 9:24
  Speaker 1: I own it. You said it on the podcast. It's
• 9:26
  Speaker 1: all me. I own it, Pittsburgh Steelers. What I don't
• 9:32
  Speaker 1: understand is why the fuck when I have a clip
• 9:36
  Speaker 1: where I say, the Pittsburgh Steelers on the right side.
• 9:40
  Speaker 1: Why can't we fucking find it and post it. I
• 9:42
  Speaker 1: don't understand this, Chad Wins. It's like it doesn't even exist.
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: It didn't post it, No they did. I didn't see it.
• 9:48
  Speaker 1: Just a pure ego. Manya god bluss chet even I
• 9:51
  Speaker 1: saw it. I'm never on Twitter. That's so classic chat.
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: But the scruture let guy who who bullied me in
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: the very beginning of the year because his record was
• 9:59
  Speaker 1: better than Survivor we had the ram scootlew led signed
• 10:02
  Speaker 1: at Seattle plus two and a half. Chat at the
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: Saints plus one and half Noman always ends up the
• 10:09
  Speaker 1: head my friend. Um, we gotta get into these games.
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: I think we've got some serious questions to ask ourselves
• 10:14
  Speaker 1: about the Jags, about the Browns, about the Colts. We're
• 10:18
  Speaker 1: gonna get to all that. Let's rock and roll with
• 10:21
  Speaker 1: the Thursday night game for this week, the Saints visiting
• 10:25
  Speaker 1: the Arizona Cardinals. These Saints are one and a half
• 10:29
  Speaker 1: point underdogs right now. I mean, look, the Cardinals now
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: have Robbie Anderson and that changes everything. Uh, tickets are
• 10:35
  Speaker 1: on the Cardinals. The money is on the Saints Thursday
• 10:39
  Speaker 1: night game. Here's what we can tell you. Tends to
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: favor the home team and favor the younger No. I
• 10:47
  Speaker 1: mean this Cardinals team, I feel like you just keep
• 10:49
  Speaker 1: it simple. You fade them in the first quarter, you
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: fade them in the first half. You can do whatever
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: the whatever you want with us of the game. But
• 10:56
  Speaker 1: it's literally like watching poetry there. There really are giving
• 10:59
  Speaker 1: us free money with this Ainos team. I think they
• 11:01
  Speaker 1: had the ball, it must have been fourth and two,
• 11:04
  Speaker 1: so like they should line up for a field goal
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: in the first quarter. They didn't. They let the time run,
• 11:09
  Speaker 1: so anything they took Seattle covered that first quarter and
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: then of course they went for the fourth and two,
• 11:13
  Speaker 1: didn't get it. Setta goes down the field scores, they
• 11:15
  Speaker 1: cover the first half and they just whatever it is
• 11:18
  Speaker 1: with this Cardinals team is just something wrong. And the
• 11:22
  Speaker 1: issue wasn't my receivers to me again, they're about to
• 11:24
  Speaker 1: get back Hopkins, right, So that was an interesting move
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: by them. Um again, could have because Marcus Brown's got
• 11:32
  Speaker 1: hurt and they thought, you know, Brown's got a foot injury.
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: Maybe that's why we make this move. But apparently it's
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: not serious that I thought it was gonna be. I
• 11:39
  Speaker 1: just I look at this Cardinals team is I just
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: don't know when I'm gonna get behind them. So if
• 11:44
  Speaker 1: you if you've been waiting to back them, this is
• 11:46
  Speaker 1: a good spot. But I just know all the professionals
• 11:48
  Speaker 1: will be on the Saints. The Saints are just a
• 11:50
  Speaker 1: more complete team. They're in that game without their three
• 11:53
  Speaker 1: top receivers against the Bengals. They're just a tough team.
• 11:57
  Speaker 1: So I see hard in New Orleans. I see no
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: heart with the Cardinals. I'll take New Orleans. The Saints
• 12:03
  Speaker 1: are what we like to say in the business, a
• 12:06
  Speaker 1: tough out. Yeah, they really are. They're They're just impressive
• 12:11
  Speaker 1: and uh they're they they're hyper competent. And I was
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: not a Dennis Allen fan coming into the year, but
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: it seems like he fully understands who he is and
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: who this team is and what their strengths are. They
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: don't try to be who they aren't. They're a They're
• 12:31
  Speaker 1: a sturdy, lunch pale team. Yeah, and when they don't
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: have enough talent like they did in this weekend, they
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: keep it close, but they might lose it in the end.
• 12:41
  Speaker 1: Kind of it pass for me is in the contest,
• 12:44
  Speaker 1: there's not it wouldn't do contest, but first at first quarter,
• 12:46
  Speaker 1: I'm just gonna keep riding these trends, like a couple
• 12:49
  Speaker 1: of trends brim me last week and other ones I
• 12:51
  Speaker 1: got super lucky with like that Giant under we joked
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: about it was it's been fourteen and one now one
• 12:57
  Speaker 1: took a knee at the one and it hit so again.
• 13:00
  Speaker 1: You can get lucky, but you just play those trends
• 13:01
  Speaker 1: and numbers and usually can work out for you. Well, listen,
• 13:04
  Speaker 1: you know how much I love the luck rankings, the
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: luck rankings that we're doing on Action Network, Action network
• 13:09
  Speaker 1: dot com down the Action Network happ is free, the
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: luck rankings. When there's a differential in luck as we
• 13:17
  Speaker 1: calculated of sixteen points or more, well ten or more
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: is one record, it's I think, uh, something like eighteen
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: and ten against the spread. But when it's sixteen or more,
• 13:33
  Speaker 1: the delta is like fourteen and two against the spread.
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: The Giants continue to be one of the luckiest teams
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: in the NFL. Yeah. Yeah. Meanwhile, the Colts. Are we
• 13:44
  Speaker 1: wrong about the Colts. They're on the road at the
• 13:46
  Speaker 1: Titans divisional game. There's some two and a half Titans
• 13:50
  Speaker 1: out there. There's some three out there. Is this one
• 13:55
  Speaker 1: of those where if you can get the home team
• 13:57
  Speaker 1: at two and a half off the by, you take it.
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: If not, you pass. Yeah, we're just We'll keep losing
• 14:03
  Speaker 1: money to the Colts. But I have no other choice here.
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: It's like Tennessee is a good team. They play good
• 14:08
  Speaker 1: at home. Colts. It's it's incredible what they've done this year.
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: They just even if they they're not playing well that
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: the Matt Ryan has just been unreal in these final
• 14:19
  Speaker 1: two minutes of these games, Like three different games they
• 14:21
  Speaker 1: flipped now on their season in the final two minutes.
• 14:24
  Speaker 1: So yeah, I could not understand it. It doesn't matter.
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: It's just like again, we'll talk about the Giants when
• 14:29
  Speaker 1: they come up. That's literally football, like it. Winning is
• 14:32
  Speaker 1: the hardest part. All the other stuff is pretty easy.
• 14:34
  Speaker 1: Belichick always talks about that you can have the smartest
• 14:37
  Speaker 1: game plan, you can have the best defensive scheme, did
• 14:40
  Speaker 1: you win because that is literally the hardest part of
• 14:42
  Speaker 1: these games. So like, I don't know if the hell's
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: going on the Giants. They keep winning, which is the
• 14:46
  Speaker 1: hardest part. I have no idea how the Colts keep
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: doing it. But the only thing I can think of
• 14:51
  Speaker 1: is like a team here that a veteran quarterback in
• 14:54
  Speaker 1: the final two minutes, he's just playing really well. So
• 14:58
  Speaker 1: I feel like the public eventually come in on the
• 15:01
  Speaker 1: Colts here because of what they saw last week. And
• 15:04
  Speaker 1: Tennessee is kind of just a team that feels a
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: little flukey at the record. But like I feel like
• 15:08
  Speaker 1: you just you talked about Chad minus two and a half,
• 15:10
  Speaker 1: it's it's hard for me not to take Tennessee here.
• 15:12
  Speaker 1: That's just a nice number for a team that beat
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: this cold team like two weeks ago by seven. By
• 15:17
  Speaker 1: the way, the Titans are minus two and a half
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: minus one twenty at FanDuel. Here's the benefit of listening live.
• 15:23
  Speaker 1: If if it's at minus one, they're basically saying get
• 15:28
  Speaker 1: it at two and a half while you can because
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: it's gonna go to three soon. If you're in a
• 15:32
  Speaker 1: state where you can get FanDuel and you're using the
• 15:34
  Speaker 1: Action Network app, you can go right from the app
• 15:37
  Speaker 1: to betting on FanDuel with quick Slip. It is so
• 15:40
  Speaker 1: freaking easy, and then are automatically then you can track
• 15:43
  Speaker 1: your bet right away. Um, I wouldn't do it though
• 15:47
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't. I would not take Tennessee right now. I
• 15:50
  Speaker 1: I need to run. I would have to look into
• 15:53
  Speaker 1: it more because this stinks. This line stinks like the
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: books aren't our friends, all right, guys, we all know that,
• 15:59
  Speaker 1: So I need to look into lines like this. I
• 16:02
  Speaker 1: just my first glance, My first gut is the hit it.
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: There's other games. I bet we're gonna talk about, but
• 16:07
  Speaker 1: this one. I like it. I like Tennessee. I just
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: would not buy it. It's the same thing with a
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: last week with the Saints, like they got me good, Like, honestly,
• 16:15
  Speaker 1: we did see those injuries coming. But that number right
• 16:17
  Speaker 1: away like stunk to me. It's like that's that's free money.
• 16:20
  Speaker 1: There's no way that Bangles should be favorite. So it
• 16:22
  Speaker 1: feels the same here with Tennessee. It feels like a
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: really low number for a home team. That's to me,
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: better than Colts. Simon. I'm trying to show for the
• 16:29
  Speaker 1: sponsor right here, and you're you're getting in the way
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: and you're trying to keep it real for the people. Yeah,
• 16:35
  Speaker 1: good lord, I haven't sold out yet. The Giants, the
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: very lucky Giants, are visiting the Jaguars Jaguars or minus
• 16:46
  Speaker 1: three right now? Are we wrong about the Jaguars. We
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: are in love with the Jaguars, and I feel like
• 16:51
  Speaker 1: the Jaguars have been the team where we have down
• 16:54
  Speaker 1: that our biases are getting in the way. Is it
• 16:57
  Speaker 1: the they were that took a third in last second touchdown?
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: Like that was brutal, um, But that's just gambling chat.
• 17:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know. I don't I don't react to it
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: too much. Both these teams are burned us in totally
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: opposite ways. Of course we should be. I'm betting, I
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: can tell you right. No, I'm betting Jaguars, no brainer.
• 17:13
  Speaker 1: I'm betting the Jaguar boxhol are the Jaguars assignment says,
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: I don't know, because I don't know if you're gonna
• 17:19
  Speaker 1: let me puts in the contest just because they literally
• 17:21
  Speaker 1: they just keep burning us, the Jaguars. They keep it
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: in good spots and then something happens where they lose
• 17:26
  Speaker 1: and don't cover at the end of these games. So listen,
• 17:29
  Speaker 1: I'm not afraid of the Jaguars. I just want to
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: know if we're evaluating them wrong, all right. I mean,
• 17:35
  Speaker 1: if you like the Giants, teak, I just think I'm
• 17:37
  Speaker 1: saying no, no, no, no, no no, I'm not saying I
• 17:39
  Speaker 1: like the Giants. Do you like that? Are you saying
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: you want to bet the Jaguars? You want to bet
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: the Giants? I would take the Jaguars. Nothing's changed in
• 17:47
  Speaker 1: my opinion. Like again, I don't care that they didn't
• 17:50
  Speaker 1: cover last week. I stay the course. It's like my
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: numbers say they're better than they are. Yeah, that sucked.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: What happened last week? How am I going to build
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: a model off of that? A guy on third and
• 18:00
  Speaker 1: tent off his back foot, there's a perfect strike to
• 18:02
  Speaker 1: the corner of the end zone seventeen seconds. It's just
• 18:05
  Speaker 1: it's not possible. I do have worries about their defense,
• 18:07
  Speaker 1: which consistently can't stop anybody down. Some weeks they're good,
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: some weeks they're bad. Again, that's the issue right now.
• 18:14
  Speaker 1: Like their offense shows up, their defense doesn't. Their defense
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: shows up, the offense doesn't. They're just inconsistent. So that's
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: so I don't know if I'm gonna make it in
• 18:21
  Speaker 1: one of our plays in the contest, but I can
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: promise you I'm betting this number. It's the Giants. Like
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: you just said, they're probably the luckiest team of football.
• 18:28
  Speaker 1: It's it's insane. They're five on one, but they are
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: their record right like their only loss was to a
• 18:33
  Speaker 1: division or foe. And the Cowboys just you know the
• 18:37
  Speaker 1: other team. That's the same way the Bills. The Bills
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: are five and one, they're only lost the divisional team.
• 18:42
  Speaker 1: How much world aparts are these two teams? It's football though,
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: it doesn't make sense, but they are what their record
• 18:47
  Speaker 1: says they are? Uh, do you want to make it?
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: Foxholder signon says no, I got something else for that,
• 18:53
  Speaker 1: all right, Buccaneers on the Road. I'm putting the Jaguars
• 18:57
  Speaker 1: on our list as one of our fives, just for
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: conversation starters. Buccaneers. Buccaneers on the road at the damned
• 19:05
  Speaker 1: dinner party. That's funny, It's funny. Listen, listen. My life
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: is all, you know, butlers and servers and candelabras and
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: genteel conversation in the hinterlands of New England. It's all
• 19:23
  Speaker 1: folly and habit and oh isn't it cute? Isn't it
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: all cute? This betting thing? I'll tell you right now.
• 19:29
  Speaker 1: The Jacks will be part of the conversation Buccaneers on
• 19:32
  Speaker 1: the road at the Panthers plus ten and a half.
• 19:36
  Speaker 1: In our world looking at the number, this is an
• 19:40
  Speaker 1: auto bet on the Panthers. Yes, but I don't know.
• 19:45
  Speaker 1: I don't know if I'll be in our contest. But
• 19:47
  Speaker 1: like Chad just said, it's a divisional game. You know what,
• 19:50
  Speaker 1: I probably feel more comfortable even think about right now,
• 19:53
  Speaker 1: I'll be on the undermost likely Like this in the
• 19:55
  Speaker 1: Jets game, what talk can we get to that one?
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: Those felt like automatic bangers on the unders because something,
• 20:00
  Speaker 1: the Bucks defense is pretty solid and Carolina's defense isn't
• 20:03
  Speaker 1: that terrible? Like they were getting pressure on Stafford all
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: of the last UM game, you she was the offense
• 20:11
  Speaker 1: got nothing like again McCaffrey gets his. But the defense
• 20:16
  Speaker 1: can only be on the field so long until they're done. So, um, yeah,
• 20:20
  Speaker 1: Carolina tend and a half. I feel like Chad nailed.
• 20:23
  Speaker 1: It's like a big divisional dog. We take them in
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: the spot. Um, I don't know if I can be
• 20:29
  Speaker 1: talking to them that being the contest that p J
• 20:32
  Speaker 1: Walker kid bad bad, bad bad, So it's it's a
• 20:36
  Speaker 1: hard one to swallow. Um again, there's they're coming up.
• 20:39
  Speaker 1: There's a couple of dogs. I really like this week.
• 20:41
  Speaker 1: The total on this game is fourty and a half
• 20:43
  Speaker 1: right now, it's such an interesting game. So let's say
• 20:47
  Speaker 1: you don't look at the number. Let's say you look
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: at the numbers blindly. But the Panthers, which we will
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: ye have it in eat so like I'm, I'm this
• 20:54
  Speaker 1: is good value. But it's like no confidence. I mean again,
• 20:59
  Speaker 1: leads with your pit spurg one. I saw the hell
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: you're talking about. You're like, it's a good spot. That
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: back Tomlin, Like, forget the team, this is a Tomlin spot.
• 21:06
  Speaker 1: So like that made sense. We got nothing here except
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: our morals of like a divisional dog double digits at home.
• 21:15
  Speaker 1: We we we have morals when it comes to betting,
• 21:17
  Speaker 1: and we like to do the right thing. The reason
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: why I liked the Steelers against the Bucks, I like that,
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: I like Mike Tomlin as a coach. I like I
• 21:26
  Speaker 1: think Pittsburgh is a challenging place to play. I thought
• 21:29
  Speaker 1: it was a good spot. I think there's a lot
• 21:31
  Speaker 1: of disarray on the Buccaneers right now. I don't think
• 21:34
  Speaker 1: any of those things exist with the Panthers right like
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: I don't believe like I believe in Kenny Picket threw
• 21:40
  Speaker 1: a guy off the sideline and train it all. Yeah,
• 21:43
  Speaker 1: but I don't think like they don't. There's not it's
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: not a coaching mismatch. There's no real home field advantage
• 21:49
  Speaker 1: when you're playing in Carolina. You know how I feel
• 21:51
  Speaker 1: about like the culture in Carolina. It's Jake Gleeson or
• 21:56
  Speaker 1: p J. Walker. I just think Kenny Pickett. He played
• 21:59
  Speaker 1: well enough in the first game that I had enough,
• 22:01
  Speaker 1: but of a belief that they put together a game
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: plan with him for a full week, um, all those things,
• 22:05
  Speaker 1: even though it was Mitch Dubisky for a lot of
• 22:07
  Speaker 1: the game. So I like the Panthers here, but you
• 22:11
  Speaker 1: know we're not gonna big balls it or anything. Uh. Meanwhile,
• 22:17
  Speaker 1: the Green Bay Packers are on the road five and
• 22:19
  Speaker 1: a half point favorites against the Washington Commanders, playing without
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: Carson wentz Fo. I mean, Simon says, give it to me.
• 22:29
  Speaker 1: I love it. Automatic bet best news I heard all
• 22:31
  Speaker 1: week that Carson was out. Simon says, but you gotta
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: name who you're betting Washington. I mean, the people know
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: what do you think he's People think I'm taking green
• 22:39
  Speaker 1: Bay here doing yeah, easy bet Washington again, nothing against Wentz.
• 22:49
  Speaker 1: I just think they've had he's had. He has good
• 22:52
  Speaker 1: weapons around him, he just hasn't been using them. And
• 22:54
  Speaker 1: to me, where were the next quarterback up? It's a
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: big deal, Like Brian Roberts is going to be the offense, right,
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: they'll run it through the running back, play action, everything
• 23:03
  Speaker 1: you could think of of Corson holds onto too long.
• 23:05
  Speaker 1: That's why they stopped running play action because this kid
• 23:07
  Speaker 1: doesn't get it. You make one read, you throw it
• 23:09
  Speaker 1: or you throw dump you dump it off. Carson is
• 23:12
  Speaker 1: always like I can't stand it. So to me, I
• 23:15
  Speaker 1: wanted to be on Green Bay. It seems that's saw
• 23:18
  Speaker 1: Carson was out automatically was gonna be and on this
• 23:21
  Speaker 1: Washington team. The fact that all the money, all the
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: bets are gonna be coming in all week on Green Bed,
• 23:25
  Speaker 1: they're gonna putting them in teasers again. We just talked
• 23:28
  Speaker 1: about you talked about last week with the four nineers.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: I looked at that number right away and said, this
• 23:31
  Speaker 1: is why you want Atlanta, Like they're giving you a
• 23:34
  Speaker 1: free number here at five and a half where people
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: will just tease down that that Forgers team like that
• 23:39
  Speaker 1: was gonna be a big team in that spot. Same
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: thing here, like iMedia, this is not number came out
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: green Bay. They're not what you guys think they are.
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: Like that. We made fun of that tenanto spread TENO
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: E t s number last week. It doesn't it doesn't play.
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: Davante Adams has gone. So to me, green Bay's issues
• 23:55
  Speaker 1: are way deep. Washington. They got talent, they got players
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: in this team. They shouldn't be as bad as a record, says.
• 24:01
  Speaker 1: They just didn't win these coin flip games. That's a
• 24:03
  Speaker 1: good n that's a good number for a team that
• 24:05
  Speaker 1: plays in coin flip games. So green Bay, this this
• 24:07
  Speaker 1: number close are three and a half three, then five
• 24:10
  Speaker 1: and a half six than it is, Simmons says, bet
• 24:14
  Speaker 1: the Washington Commanders plus five and a half couldn't agree more,
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: couldn't agree. More wins, wins being out the best thing
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: that can happen to this. He's just terrible. Why are
• 24:33
  Speaker 1: you laughing? Because I'm just thinking about the fact that
• 24:38
  Speaker 1: they they not again nothing against Carson, but the fact
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: that my number is like, go up just a little bit.
• 24:45
  Speaker 1: The fact they take him out, that's how bad he's been.
• 24:47
  Speaker 1: Where if you look on the on paper, he's not
• 24:50
  Speaker 1: that bad to get like ten touchdowns and thousand five yards.
• 24:55
  Speaker 1: But you look at the film, you break it down,
• 24:58
  Speaker 1: all the opportunities he lives on the field, it's bad.
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: So again, maybe I'm gonna be eating this next week
• 25:03
  Speaker 1: when Heineke gives up a pick six and we're down
• 25:05
  Speaker 1: twenty in the first half. But just a good spot
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: to take this Washington team against Screen Bay team that's
• 25:10
  Speaker 1: just reeling that they got major issues right now. Remember that.
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: Remember in two thousand seventeen when Carson Wentz was having
• 25:18
  Speaker 1: an MVP year and he injured his knee. Remember the
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: play really well, But there was we I was watching
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: the Thursday night game with the Bears, in which clearly
• 25:28
  Speaker 1: they should have won that game, and um, it was
• 25:32
  Speaker 1: third down from Washington, And there was a time when
• 25:36
  Speaker 1: Carson Wentz was on the Eagles in that magical year.
• 25:39
  Speaker 1: What if he dropped that to pass on third down?
• 25:42
  Speaker 1: It was like a Patrick mahomestead. You just automatically assumed
• 25:45
  Speaker 1: he was seeing it and it was going to convert
• 25:47
  Speaker 1: like you were afraid to be against Carson Wentz and
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: the Eagles on third down. Boy, how things have changed.
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: And we talked about the time. Confidence is one of
• 25:55
  Speaker 1: the most important things in sports, like you need it. Um,
• 25:59
  Speaker 1: do you watch that Ydeem the documentary? No, I'm dying too.
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: You would love it. I mean you would love it.
• 26:04
  Speaker 1: But the whole, the whole Kobe thing, like his mentality
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: of it. It's just one of the things like certain
• 26:09
  Speaker 1: guys have it and like you need that killer in you,
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: and Carson just seems completely gone with that. The confidence
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: just and has not seen there. So um yeah again,
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: I could be my words next week, but I do
• 26:21
  Speaker 1: think they've adjusted too much for Whence being out this
• 26:24
  Speaker 1: This is too big of a number for the Screen
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: Bay team. Lions plus seven on the road at the Cowboys.
• 26:31
  Speaker 1: Dak Prescott expected to start early money and tickets all
• 26:38
  Speaker 1: on the Lions at plus seven. I know, and like
• 26:41
  Speaker 1: I want to join them because like I love this
• 26:43
  Speaker 1: Detroit team, but the fear is like the Cowboys defense.
• 26:47
  Speaker 1: I know the Eagles did well against it, but I
• 26:50
  Speaker 1: don't know that. It feels like it's a lot to
• 26:52
  Speaker 1: ask of a Lions team that I absolutely dominated by
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: Patriots defense. Um, but seven is a lot of points,
• 26:57
  Speaker 1: so no real play for me yet. I feel like
• 27:00
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna end up on Detroit because like, I feel like, again,
• 27:03
  Speaker 1: that's a lot of points for an offense that can
• 27:05
  Speaker 1: move the ball right. Detroit can move the ball. But
• 27:09
  Speaker 1: there they sucking me in, chat giving me the seven
• 27:11
  Speaker 1: with Detroit. That's what I'm worried about here, because we
• 27:14
  Speaker 1: just saw the Cowboys lose on the main stage. Usually
• 27:17
  Speaker 1: that number would bump down a little bit and it
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: might have been seven a half on open and went
• 27:20
  Speaker 1: down to seven wherever it was. I'm not seeing seven
• 27:23
  Speaker 1: and a half. I see Open at seven, Open at seven.
• 27:26
  Speaker 1: So yeah, Butcher telling you something. They're they're clearly I
• 27:28
  Speaker 1: wanted to take a position here on Dallas se I wouldn't.
• 27:31
  Speaker 1: I wouldn't touch that one yet. Let me keep looking
• 27:33
  Speaker 1: into it. But as we sit here, I feel like
• 27:35
  Speaker 1: I'm being sucked in. I want to take Detroit sometimes,
• 27:39
  Speaker 1: you know. Sometimes, Look, we've talked about this a lot
• 27:43
  Speaker 1: A lot of times. Betting is about understanding inherently when
• 27:47
  Speaker 1: teams are going to peak and when the market has
• 27:51
  Speaker 1: sort of reached its apex, and that's when you sell
• 27:55
  Speaker 1: your position for for lack of a better turn. But
• 27:57
  Speaker 1: there's a lot of sort of anna terminology between betting
• 28:01
  Speaker 1: and investing. The Lions feel to me like a team
• 28:07
  Speaker 1: that you want to get off right now. Yeah, like
• 28:11
  Speaker 1: they're gonna go on a little slump here. Yeah, I
• 28:13
  Speaker 1: know they're coming off to buy. But they had they
• 28:15
  Speaker 1: had so many moments earlier in the year where they
• 28:18
  Speaker 1: kept it close, kept it close, found the back door
• 28:21
  Speaker 1: didn't work out. Are they coming off the by believing?
• 28:25
  Speaker 1: Are they coming off the by frustrated. I would not
• 28:29
  Speaker 1: want to play the Lions in this position yet. I
• 28:32
  Speaker 1: need to get a sense of who they are having
• 28:34
  Speaker 1: been in a really bad spot. And again, I got
• 28:36
  Speaker 1: a bunch of texts over the weekend about that they
• 28:39
  Speaker 1: knew for a fact that Doc was me back this
• 28:41
  Speaker 1: upcoming week. Is he being rushed back? We saw that
• 28:44
  Speaker 1: happen last year with Russell Wilson rushed back and he
• 28:46
  Speaker 1: could not do anything for that Seahawks team with that injury.
• 28:49
  Speaker 1: So something to think about if you are going to
• 28:51
  Speaker 1: bet Dallas. You've got Dak coming off a pretty serious
• 28:53
  Speaker 1: injury sooner than they thought, because not that he was
• 28:57
  Speaker 1: scared of Cooper rush, but like you know, guy does
• 29:00
  Speaker 1: like another guy taking a John the winning games like
• 29:02
  Speaker 1: he's humans, So that could be rushed back. Here, You've
• 29:04
  Speaker 1: got to realize that when you're back, I mean night,
• 29:07
  Speaker 1: might not be the running around, scrambling dock. You think
• 29:09
  Speaker 1: he's gonna be right when he comes back. Tip off
• 29:13
  Speaker 1: the NBA season with FanDuel, America's number one sports book.
• 29:16
  Speaker 1: New customers get one hundred and fifty dollars in free
• 29:19
  Speaker 1: bets gear Runty when you place your first five dollar
• 29:24
  Speaker 1: bat plus vandel is the only sports book that's giving
• 29:27
  Speaker 1: all customers three months of NBA Lead Pass when they
• 29:32
  Speaker 1: make a five dollar bet on the NBA. This is
• 29:34
  Speaker 1: not part of the script. I have lead Pass. It
• 29:37
  Speaker 1: is insanely fun to watch. You can get this stuff
• 29:41
  Speaker 1: from five dollar bet on the NBA. You gotta go
• 29:44
  Speaker 1: get it. Then you can watch all the action as
• 29:46
  Speaker 1: you bet on everything from the money line to point
• 29:49
  Speaker 1: spreads to totals this season, my favorite NBA bet is
• 29:55
  Speaker 1: Chicago Bulls over their season win total. So don't miss
• 30:01
  Speaker 1: your chance to get one hundred and fifty dollars in
• 30:04
  Speaker 1: free bets plus three months of NBA lead Pass with
• 30:07
  Speaker 1: promo code Favorites. Make every moment more with FanDuel Official
• 30:12
  Speaker 1: sports Book. Partner of the NBA must be twenty one
• 30:16
  Speaker 1: or older and in select States. New customers first online
• 30:20
  Speaker 1: real money wager only, ten dollar deposit required. Bonus issued
• 30:24
  Speaker 1: as non with raval free bets that expire in fourteen days.
• 30:28
  Speaker 1: Existing customers five dollar NBA wager required. Limit one pass
• 30:33
  Speaker 1: per customer across both offers. Restrictions apply void where prohibited.
• 30:38
  Speaker 1: See full terms for both offers at sports book dot
• 30:41
  Speaker 1: FanDuel dot com. Gambling Problem call one eight hundred gambler
• 30:44
  Speaker 1: or visit FanDuel dot com. Slash r G in Colorado, Iowa, Michigan,
• 30:50
  Speaker 1: New Jersey, Pennsylvania, Illinois, Virginia one eight hundred next step
• 30:54
  Speaker 1: or text next step to five three three four two
• 30:56
  Speaker 1: in Arizona one eight eight eight seven eight nine seven
• 30:59
  Speaker 1: seven seven seven or visit c CpG dot org slash
• 31:04
  Speaker 1: chat in Connecticut one eight hundred nine with it in Indiana,
• 31:08
  Speaker 1: k S Gambling Help dot com in Kansas one eight
• 31:11
  Speaker 1: seven seven seven seven zero stop in Louisiana one eight
• 31:15
  Speaker 1: seven seven eight Hope NY or text hope n Y.
• 31:18
  Speaker 1: In New York, Tennessee redline is one eight hundred eight
• 31:21
  Speaker 1: eight nine nine one eight hundred five hundred in Wyoming,
• 31:26
  Speaker 1: or visit www one eight hundred gambler dot net in
• 31:30
  Speaker 1: West Virginia Falcons uh six and oh against the spread.
• 31:36
  Speaker 1: We have bet them basically every week, talking about is
• 31:39
  Speaker 1: it time to get off a team? They are on
• 31:41
  Speaker 1: the road at the Bengals six point underdogs. It feels
• 31:46
  Speaker 1: like a really big number for the Falcons, But I
• 31:49
  Speaker 1: am starting to worry about regression for who the Falcons? Yeah,
• 31:55
  Speaker 1: I don't know. They're the run schemes teems to work
• 31:58
  Speaker 1: like it's really weird and oddic, and teams don't seem
• 32:01
  Speaker 1: like they now to defend against BECAU. They're the only
• 32:02
  Speaker 1: ones that are really running this. It's like an Army
• 32:05
  Speaker 1: Navy's three back set with Mariota the running back. Qb Um.
• 32:10
  Speaker 1: I looked the other way, like six points against since
• 32:14
  Speaker 1: he have they won a game? I win six points
• 32:16
  Speaker 1: and like seven months I don't know, like their whole
• 32:19
  Speaker 1: playoff run was this Um, it's it's bizarre like this
• 32:25
  Speaker 1: number again. I'm with Chad where it's like we gotta
• 32:28
  Speaker 1: hop off last week was simple for me. Where the
• 32:30
  Speaker 1: Atlanta like that that we we spotted that a mile
• 32:33
  Speaker 1: of way of just is gonna letdown spot Um. Bengals,
• 32:38
  Speaker 1: I want to say they're in due for a letdown spot,
• 32:40
  Speaker 1: but they're not really like this isn't a letdown spot
• 32:43
  Speaker 1: where it's more so for Atlanta, But it's a big
• 32:45
  Speaker 1: number and Atlanta keeps games close. So I feel like
• 32:47
  Speaker 1: I'm going against two things here where it's like I
• 32:50
  Speaker 1: know for a fact, since he doesn't like to win
• 32:52
  Speaker 1: big and they usually keep games closed, and I know
• 32:54
  Speaker 1: what Atlanta is. Atlanta keeps games closed and they just
• 32:56
  Speaker 1: run it. And I saw last week the Saints were
• 32:58
  Speaker 1: able to move the ball on the ground against this
• 33:01
  Speaker 1: um Bengals defense. Bengals again, I told the stat last
• 33:05
  Speaker 1: week they have only given up Wonders zero touchdowns in
• 33:07
  Speaker 1: the second half this year, Like their defense is better
• 33:10
  Speaker 1: than people think. That was their first over of the
• 33:12
  Speaker 1: year last year. Um, so maybe I'll be wrong and
• 33:16
  Speaker 1: their defense will show up and completely shut down this
• 33:18
  Speaker 1: Atlanta offense. And like Chad said, there's six and oh
• 33:21
  Speaker 1: a t s. They're due for a letdown spot and
• 33:23
  Speaker 1: a letdown game. But it's hard for me to get off.
• 33:26
  Speaker 1: That's just such a big number for a Bengals team
• 33:28
  Speaker 1: that just plays games close. So yeah, I'm surprised the
• 33:31
  Speaker 1: market isn't adjusting to this yet, are you though? Because
• 33:34
  Speaker 1: there's still plus seven to win their division, even though
• 33:37
  Speaker 1: they should have beat the Saints and they should have
• 33:39
  Speaker 1: probably upset the Bucks, and there's still plus seven hundred
• 33:42
  Speaker 1: and the Bucks are big favorites. It just seems like
• 33:45
  Speaker 1: we're adjusted. We're all on this Atlanta team. The market
• 33:48
  Speaker 1: is not. Like the public is still not buying in Atlanta.
• 33:51
  Speaker 1: So I'm gonna keep buying because I still think we're
• 33:53
  Speaker 1: getting good number year brother, all right, all right, Uh,
• 33:58
  Speaker 1: we still owe people a duxholl We still owe people
• 34:02
  Speaker 1: an executive decision from Chad. I believe we will be
• 34:05
  Speaker 1: coming upon both of those very very soon. The Browns
• 34:10
  Speaker 1: are six and a half point underdogs to the Ravens.
• 34:15
  Speaker 1: Are we wrong about this brown team? I was in
• 34:18
  Speaker 1: love with this Browns team. We had a two and
• 34:20
  Speaker 1: a half in the contest. I thought it was the
• 34:23
  Speaker 1: right side getting a really good coach. The best running
• 34:27
  Speaker 1: back in the NFL, Jacoby Prisette, had been a serviceable
• 34:31
  Speaker 1: too better than average quarterbacks so far this year. Their
• 34:35
  Speaker 1: running games, their rush defense is terrible. But I really
• 34:39
  Speaker 1: liked this past weekend against the Patriots that we just
• 34:43
  Speaker 1: got it wrong, playing wrong. Ravens can't seem to close
• 34:46
  Speaker 1: people out. Yeah, so I don't know if they will
• 34:48
  Speaker 1: do with it, Like we can't stop the run. The
• 34:51
  Speaker 1: Ravens want to run the ball. I mean again, Kenyan
• 34:53
  Speaker 1: and Rake came out of nowhere and looked like unbelievable
• 34:55
  Speaker 1: for the Ravens last week against the Giants. But I
• 34:58
  Speaker 1: don't know what to do with this, Like I'm looking
• 34:59
  Speaker 1: at a Ravens team that they should have covered last week,
• 35:02
  Speaker 1: they should have won. They let these teams back in.
• 35:04
  Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a boy turnover. Whatever they do.
• 35:07
  Speaker 1: What is the crazy stating now? I think it might
• 35:09
  Speaker 1: be there up to like a hundred and two seconds
• 35:11
  Speaker 1: of only trailing the season. That's now they've trailed this
• 35:14
  Speaker 1: entire season. They're three and three. So man, I don't
• 35:19
  Speaker 1: know what to deal with it. Like I want to
• 35:21
  Speaker 1: I want to back Baltimore. This's like usually a spot
• 35:23
  Speaker 1: where Baltimore blows out a bad team. Jacoby Brissett turned
• 35:26
  Speaker 1: back into a pumpkin, just keeps making big mistakes, throwing
• 35:29
  Speaker 1: those bad picks. Um, I don't know what to do,
• 35:32
  Speaker 1: Like I want to take I want to take the Ravens.
• 35:35
  Speaker 1: I know I shouldn't. I'll probably en up on Cleveland.
• 35:38
  Speaker 1: I'll just stay at because I just don't know. I
• 35:39
  Speaker 1: don't have a field for this game right now. This
• 35:41
  Speaker 1: is not a contest play right now. The only games
• 35:43
  Speaker 1: we've really picked for the contest of our Jags minus
• 35:46
  Speaker 1: three Washington plus five and a half. Let's move on
• 35:50
  Speaker 1: to the Jets visiting the Denver Broncos. Right now at
• 35:56
  Speaker 1: Fandel you can get Denver at minus two and a
• 36:00
  Speaker 1: half minus one ten over the Jets. Money pouring in
• 36:04
  Speaker 1: on the Jets, tickets pouring in on the Jets should
• 36:07
  Speaker 1: be Yeah, what you see is what you get? Was
• 36:10
  Speaker 1: he big man? I mean, you're you're only reason for
• 36:14
  Speaker 1: taking Denver right now would just be a fate on
• 36:16
  Speaker 1: Zach Wilson. It's like just getting really about to win
• 36:19
  Speaker 1: back to back road games and Lambeau and then go
• 36:21
  Speaker 1: up to Denver and one another one where it's like,
• 36:23
  Speaker 1: look from the other way, it's like a really good
• 36:26
  Speaker 1: defense and a two headed monster running back. You don't
• 36:28
  Speaker 1: need to ask Zach Wilson do that much to make
• 36:30
  Speaker 1: that work. So if we're Russell Wilson's out, actually might
• 36:34
  Speaker 1: get on Denver because their defense is really good, Like
• 36:37
  Speaker 1: their their defense is just as good as the Jets.
• 36:39
  Speaker 1: That's why, Like, I think it's a good underplay and um,
• 36:42
  Speaker 1: when I might be given out on some day a
• 36:43
  Speaker 1: little preview, but yeah, convinced me. So it just it
• 36:47
  Speaker 1: just feels like a no brain or play where you
• 36:49
  Speaker 1: have two really dominant defenses and two major question marks
• 36:53
  Speaker 1: at quarterback. Again, Zach Wilson, he made plays last week.
• 36:57
  Speaker 1: Once they got him outside of the pocket in the
• 36:58
  Speaker 1: second half the rain stopped a little bit, he was
• 37:00
  Speaker 1: actually making semi decent throws. Um. It's just there's always
• 37:04
  Speaker 1: these moments of him like he did nothing for the
• 37:06
  Speaker 1: entire first half. Again, I get it, Rogers did nothing either,
• 37:09
  Speaker 1: but he has good weapons right now. The Jets have good,
• 37:11
  Speaker 1: surprisingly good weapons on offense. Um, I really want to
• 37:16
  Speaker 1: take it. I won't lie to each other. I really
• 37:17
  Speaker 1: want to take this plus too, because again, the look
• 37:20
  Speaker 1: at was seven and a half. The Jets were seven
• 37:21
  Speaker 1: and a half dog against this every team. So that's
• 37:25
  Speaker 1: a big move, um, based on what's going on this season.
• 37:29
  Speaker 1: But again it's it's warranted. I feel like Chad just
• 37:32
  Speaker 1: talked about it. It's like what we see is what
• 37:34
  Speaker 1: you get these two teams. I feel like we know
• 37:37
  Speaker 1: the Exacuo. The identities are really good defenses. One has
• 37:40
  Speaker 1: an offense that actually can produce points. The other one
• 37:42
  Speaker 1: just has not. Denver just simply is not produced points. Again,
• 37:45
  Speaker 1: they covered and had a chance of winning overtime. Russellson
• 37:48
  Speaker 1: through for thirteen yards in that second half. Like, you
• 37:51
  Speaker 1: can't make it up. But that's how dominant that Denver defenses.
• 37:55
  Speaker 1: Brees Hal and Sauce Gardner uh, two of the odds
• 37:58
  Speaker 1: on favorites to win Rookies of the Year respective side
• 38:03
  Speaker 1: of the ball. No, it's no, it's a crazy time
• 38:07
  Speaker 1: like them and the Giants, I get it New York,
• 38:09
  Speaker 1: New York people. They're allowed right now. They deserve it.
• 38:11
  Speaker 1: That's that's insane that both these teams and the Bills.
• 38:14
  Speaker 1: Again can't forget about the Bills in saying these teams, Uh,
• 38:18
  Speaker 1: they're all just winning and they're like again, convincingly winning
• 38:21
  Speaker 1: like nothing to hand it to them. They're winning really
• 38:23
  Speaker 1: tough games. It's incredible, Simon, you said it. Best. Democracy
• 38:30
  Speaker 1: is in peril, personal freedoms are under assault, the economy
• 38:34
  Speaker 1: around the world is cratering. But the Jets, being as
• 38:38
  Speaker 1: good as they are, makes it a crazy time and again.
• 38:42
  Speaker 1: I talked about the Phillies win the World Series. Every
• 38:45
  Speaker 1: time our us UH market collapses, the money whenever all
• 38:48
  Speaker 1: everyone goes broken America. The Phillies of won World Series,
• 38:51
  Speaker 1: so feeling good. Put it all on the Phillies. That's
• 38:56
  Speaker 1: what we're saying against inflation. I got an exact decision
• 39:00
  Speaker 1: coming up because I got the Houston Texans on the
• 39:03
  Speaker 1: road at the Raiders plus seven. The choice between the
• 39:08
  Speaker 1: unthinkable and the impossible text executive decision. Houston Texans one
• 39:17
  Speaker 1: of the best teams against the spread this year. Of
• 39:20
  Speaker 1: the money, of the tickets coming in on the Raiders,
• 39:23
  Speaker 1: of the bets coming in on the Texans, show me
• 39:26
  Speaker 1: the Texans boom bought a boom bought a boom. Yeehaw.
• 39:31
  Speaker 1: Does that mean that's your executive play another no brainer,
• 39:36
  Speaker 1: play Houston. They play games close, are not as bad
• 39:39
  Speaker 1: as people perceive. Raiders hate to play with big leads.
• 39:43
  Speaker 1: I feel like every time they even have a lead,
• 39:45
  Speaker 1: they somehow give it back again. I can't get over
• 39:47
  Speaker 1: that Cardinals game. I really cannot go over, especially after
• 39:50
  Speaker 1: we've seen Cardinals so many weeks in. The Raiders should
• 39:54
  Speaker 1: be so much better than their records as they are.
• 39:55
  Speaker 1: But at the same time, who would they to be
• 39:58
  Speaker 1: catching seven against a Texas team that can move the
• 40:00
  Speaker 1: ball and has a pretty solid defense. So I know
• 40:05
  Speaker 1: there's a lot of questions to me on this Raiders
• 40:08
  Speaker 1: defensive side. I don't have his money for the Texans.
• 40:11
  Speaker 1: I think they actually have a pretty solid team all around.
• 40:14
  Speaker 1: Their biggest question marks just to the QB position. So
• 40:17
  Speaker 1: I'll be with each I'll take that seven put in
• 40:19
  Speaker 1: the contest. Yeah, isn't that strange. Uh? The Texans are
• 40:23
  Speaker 1: one of those teams where people that they're never going
• 40:25
  Speaker 1: to get respect from the market right now. There's not
• 40:28
  Speaker 1: a chance, um, and so they're going to continue to
• 40:31
  Speaker 1: be huge underdogs and that's why they're doing so well
• 40:34
  Speaker 1: against the spread. Yeah, great, glad we had that conversation
• 40:39
  Speaker 1: putting them on the list. Houston plus seven. They are
• 40:41
  Speaker 1: the exact decision reminder the sign and says is Washington
• 40:44
  Speaker 1: plus five and a half. We still owe everybody at Foxhole.
• 40:49
  Speaker 1: They know the people already knew before even happened was
• 40:51
  Speaker 1: gonna be. Uh. The Seattle Seahawks are on the road.
• 40:55
  Speaker 1: There are six and a half point underdogs against the
• 40:58
  Speaker 1: Los Angeles Charger is I don't see any reason at
• 41:02
  Speaker 1: this point to not bet the Seahawks when they are
• 41:05
  Speaker 1: nearly a touchdown underdog. The Chargers have shown me nothing
• 41:10
  Speaker 1: I know. But at the same time, this is a
• 41:12
  Speaker 1: coin flip game that's probably gonna end with a seven.
• 41:15
  Speaker 1: So like I feel more comfortable taking the Seahawks money line.
• 41:18
  Speaker 1: I do take in the six and a half, but
• 41:20
  Speaker 1: I'm a hundred percent with Chat. As soon as this
• 41:22
  Speaker 1: game came out, it's like seven, seven and a half
• 41:25
  Speaker 1: before the Chargers played, I grabbed it. Um. I just
• 41:28
  Speaker 1: like Gino the same reason we took Gino last week
• 41:30
  Speaker 1: against the Cardinals. We just think their offense is legit.
• 41:33
  Speaker 1: I did not see their defense showing up like they
• 41:35
  Speaker 1: did against the Cardinals. Again, that could be more about
• 41:37
  Speaker 1: the Cardinals, but their team could be improven every week. Um.
• 41:41
  Speaker 1: We joked about it. They're fourteen to one right now
• 41:43
  Speaker 1: to win this Division one Seattle and they're tired right now,
• 41:48
  Speaker 1: so the Rams are kind of falling apart. I wouldn't
• 41:51
  Speaker 1: back them in any ways. Could get healthier right as
• 41:54
  Speaker 1: the season goes along, and that's definitely the cream of
• 41:55
  Speaker 1: the crop in this division. But at fourteen one Seattle. Again,
• 41:59
  Speaker 1: they have a tough they have a tough stretch coming
• 42:01
  Speaker 1: down here. That's just that's that's pretty good value. So
• 42:04
  Speaker 1: they'll be the public side'll be like the Jets last week.
• 42:07
  Speaker 1: But again, the public gets something, They get things right.
• 42:09
  Speaker 1: So I'm cool with walking to a trap here and
• 42:11
  Speaker 1: take in Seattle, hoping it would go back to seven.
• 42:14
  Speaker 1: But we'll still take a six and a half. You
• 42:16
  Speaker 1: can still get a you know, six and a half
• 42:19
  Speaker 1: minus one oh seven. Right now, it's interesting all right
• 42:24
  Speaker 1: here we got oh boy, yeah, oh boy, oh god.
• 42:28
  Speaker 1: The kan City Chiefs are on the road. They're visiting
• 42:30
  Speaker 1: the San Francisco forty niners. They are three point favorites
• 42:35
  Speaker 1: right now, Foxhall, I knew it. Let's clide down into
• 42:43
  Speaker 1: the foxholes. God, I hate this. If you're new here,
• 42:51
  Speaker 1: Me and Chad West always fade Shannon as a favorite,
• 42:54
  Speaker 1: but we always back them as a dog. And this
• 42:57
  Speaker 1: is a dog position with Shannahan and a run ski
• 43:00
  Speaker 1: that historically does very well against the Chiefs defense that's
• 43:03
  Speaker 1: not that good against the run. So yes, the Chiefs
• 43:06
  Speaker 1: added players. Maybe they have improved that aspect of their team.
• 43:10
  Speaker 1: I think it's gonna catch up to win this spot.
• 43:11
  Speaker 1: This is a bad position to be in. Again, it's
• 43:14
  Speaker 1: rare they're gonna drop two in a row. I don't
• 43:15
  Speaker 1: know if they're gonna lose. I get grabbing that three
• 43:18
  Speaker 1: in this matchup where there should be closer to you know,
• 43:20
  Speaker 1: a pick minus one thet er. So I love the
• 43:24
  Speaker 1: value on this with the forty nine shoes. I saw
• 43:26
  Speaker 1: it open. I loved it. You can wait if you
• 43:28
  Speaker 1: want to wait and maybe got a three and a half.
• 43:30
  Speaker 1: I think you can because I just see no reason
• 43:32
  Speaker 1: why the public wouldn't hammer this Chief's team like you're
• 43:35
  Speaker 1: getting my homes as a short favorite. That's that's when
• 43:38
  Speaker 1: people are gonna grab him. But we'll see our guy
• 43:40
  Speaker 1: have AMers will put out an article. I know for
• 43:42
  Speaker 1: a fact the trends are gonna favorite taken at forty niners. Here.
• 43:45
  Speaker 1: Moms just has not been covering as a short favorite.
• 43:48
  Speaker 1: It's it's bizarre. He just hasn't been Like these games
• 43:51
  Speaker 1: they win, It's like that that Raiders game they win
• 43:53
  Speaker 1: by one, they went by two. They win these close games,
• 43:56
  Speaker 1: but it's it's just a different team. We've seen it.
• 43:58
  Speaker 1: We've seen it with this Chiefs team. They're just different
• 44:00
  Speaker 1: without Tyree kill. That's that's that's for sure. So to me,
• 44:04
  Speaker 1: forty nine ers their defensive team. Uh, there should be
• 44:07
  Speaker 1: a defensive battle another game. I'll be on a dog
• 44:09
  Speaker 1: in and under in this matchup. Yeah. The total in
• 44:12
  Speaker 1: this game, um is by the way, you talked about
• 44:15
  Speaker 1: the total in another game and I forgot which one
• 44:19
  Speaker 1: it was. Yeah, it was that total a half thirty
• 44:23
  Speaker 1: nine and a half. The total in this game is,
• 44:25
  Speaker 1: um looks like forty eight and a half right now.
• 44:29
  Speaker 1: And people keep messing me. I know these unders gonna
• 44:31
  Speaker 1: catch up with me, people, but we have to keep betting.
• 44:33
  Speaker 1: They just keep they keep hitting. I know what you
• 44:35
  Speaker 1: want from me, like I I get it, I get it,
• 44:38
  Speaker 1: But they keep hitting. We put out a statu Uh
• 44:41
  Speaker 1: unders are are hitting at a rate that we haven't
• 44:44
  Speaker 1: seen in nearly thirty years. Whereas fewer touchdowns this year
• 44:49
  Speaker 1: than ever before. Um, it's actually wreaking habit, with wreaking
• 44:54
  Speaker 1: havoc with the anytime touchdown markets, which people love. But
• 44:59
  Speaker 1: there are a lot of whack now because there are
• 45:01
  Speaker 1: so few, so many fewer touchdowns that people aren't cashing
• 45:04
  Speaker 1: these things. Look at justin Herbert last night, the odds
• 45:09
  Speaker 1: on him at another sports book to throw a touchdown pass.
• 45:13
  Speaker 1: We're boosted from like minus eight hundred to plus one hundred.
• 45:17
  Speaker 1: Everybody bet it and nobody cashed because he didn't do
• 45:20
  Speaker 1: any touchdown passes. I mean, I feel no, no pain
• 45:24
  Speaker 1: for any any time touched on betters. It's not that
• 45:26
  Speaker 1: I'm calling you a sucker if you bet those all
• 45:28
  Speaker 1: the time, but it is. It's like there's a lot
• 45:30
  Speaker 1: of guys on offense, who the hell called that touch
• 45:32
  Speaker 1: on the first one? Backup rookie tight end first. It's
• 45:36
  Speaker 1: a sucker bet people, but it's fun. So like that's
• 45:38
  Speaker 1: why I do anytime touchdowns, Like there are value, but
• 45:42
  Speaker 1: you're gonna get burned by these random things. I mean
• 45:44
  Speaker 1: that Herbert thing hilarious, right, that promo they give out
• 45:47
  Speaker 1: everyone's gonna bet it the guy can't throw one touchdown
• 45:50
  Speaker 1: first time and what like thirties six games something bizarre,
• 45:52
  Speaker 1: right chet. So yeah, it's I would say the big
• 45:56
  Speaker 1: thing people have been stressing about there, like what what's
• 45:58
  Speaker 1: why scoring down? Like Brady came out, Remember you made
• 46:01
  Speaker 1: that whole thing about all everyone's looking softly. See, I
• 46:04
  Speaker 1: honestly think Tom doesn't give a damn about anyone else's
• 46:07
  Speaker 1: football team. He was talking to his own team. I
• 46:10
  Speaker 1: really do think that. So to me, when I look
• 46:12
  Speaker 1: at football right now, the difference is the coverage two
• 46:16
  Speaker 1: and the athleticism on defense. Like again, you can throw
• 46:19
  Speaker 1: it on the refs. You want to say, the refs
• 46:20
  Speaker 1: of the big reason too, I can't fight you on it.
• 46:22
  Speaker 1: Like that Miami game was insane. That Vikings in Miami game.
• 46:26
  Speaker 1: I think that Miami had four d fifty yards and
• 46:28
  Speaker 1: the only seventeen points. Why because they're getting the red
• 46:31
  Speaker 1: zone and then all of a sudden be third and thirty,
• 46:33
  Speaker 1: they'll pick up our first down. All of a sudden
• 46:34
  Speaker 1: it's fourth and forty because they called it holding. It's
• 46:37
  Speaker 1: just it's been bizarre for a lot of these referee games. Um,
• 46:41
  Speaker 1: but I'm with you. Chat the unders. What can we do?
• 46:44
  Speaker 1: Like we like betting unders, we have to keep pounding them.
• 46:46
  Speaker 1: They keep hitting. Even when the books are adjusting, the
• 46:49
  Speaker 1: unders are still coming through, especially prime time unders. It's
• 46:52
  Speaker 1: it's a magical year. If you're an under. Better I'm
• 46:55
  Speaker 1: gonna say something that is sacrilegious. Right now, it's more
• 47:00
  Speaker 1: fun to watch college football and proad Ton in the NFL,
• 47:03
  Speaker 1: like these games are excruciating. Last night the Broncos and
• 47:06
  Speaker 1: the Chargers. I think in the first two series there
• 47:09
  Speaker 1: might have been eight plays and seven penalties, uh, including
• 47:12
  Speaker 1: on the first play of the game. It's really, it's
• 47:15
  Speaker 1: just terrible. It's a terrible product to watch. Who's the
• 47:19
  Speaker 1: starting quarterback of Georgia Bennett? Damn it? All right, so
• 47:23
  Speaker 1: you know sports at least, But I was just gonna say,
• 47:25
  Speaker 1: I get it people can hype up college. I still
• 47:28
  Speaker 1: think college is different where it's like, I think it's
• 47:31
  Speaker 1: better there than it is on TV because I I
• 47:33
  Speaker 1: just think college is said sloppy. But yeah, Obama Tennessee game,
• 47:37
  Speaker 1: I watched that any day of the week. But in
• 47:39
  Speaker 1: Iowa Nebraska game, there's no amount of money you can
• 47:42
  Speaker 1: give me to watch that game. So I just I
• 47:44
  Speaker 1: think NFL is a little cleaner. But I guess you're
• 47:47
  Speaker 1: kind of a point. Like this past weekend, I would
• 47:49
  Speaker 1: say College one. But this season I just think NFL
• 47:52
  Speaker 1: has been better. Um. The parody to me is everything
• 47:55
  Speaker 1: people don't like it. There's all these two and three
• 47:57
  Speaker 1: or two and four, three and three teams. I love it.
• 48:01
  Speaker 1: That's my favorite thing about the NFL. It's like, truly,
• 48:03
  Speaker 1: any given Sunday, um that's really been that this year
• 48:06
  Speaker 1: to the NAX right inch by inch, Simon Steveler was
• 48:12
  Speaker 1: visiting the Dolphins. Uh, there's seven point under dogs with
• 48:15
  Speaker 1: two expected to start, tickets and money coming in in Miami.
• 48:19
  Speaker 1: Does this Miami team return to form when they started
• 48:23
  Speaker 1: the year undefeated and we're so incredibly dynamic. Yeah, again,
• 48:27
  Speaker 1: I might be getting sucked in, but I feel like
• 48:29
  Speaker 1: I'm I'm really supposed to bet Pittsburgh here like Miami.
• 48:33
  Speaker 1: I don't know how two is gonna be coming off
• 48:35
  Speaker 1: that injury. I just have a lot of questions right
• 48:37
  Speaker 1: now with Miami team. Maybe maybe I'm buying fool's gold
• 48:40
  Speaker 1: back into a Pittsburgh team that just had the winner
• 48:41
  Speaker 1: the season for them. But at the same time, you
• 48:44
  Speaker 1: could say Pittsburgh might have found an identity there. I
• 48:46
  Speaker 1: would honestly feel better if it wasn't mitch Um than
• 48:49
  Speaker 1: Kenny where I like Kenny. I think he is a
• 48:52
  Speaker 1: better quarterback right now than Mitches, but prime time in Miami,
• 48:57
  Speaker 1: that's that's a lot um to put on a rookie,
• 49:00
  Speaker 1: where at least Mitch has been there before. A Nosy situations,
• 49:03
  Speaker 1: but can't bet it. Can't bet it when I know
• 49:05
  Speaker 1: I don't know who the quarterbacks are. Um, I'm assuming
• 49:08
  Speaker 1: it is gonna be too it. Like Chad just said
• 49:09
  Speaker 1: he's been cleared. God, Miami fans are hoping it is
• 49:13
  Speaker 1: like you need him back a sap because they've dropped
• 49:16
  Speaker 1: what three games now. Um, it's it's just been a
• 49:19
  Speaker 1: slide ever since his injury. The Bears are on the road.
• 49:32
  Speaker 1: They are eight point underdogars against the resurgent Bailey's Appy's
• 49:38
  Speaker 1: Bailey Zappy. I don't know, Chad knows we have to
• 49:41
  Speaker 1: do here, right, We're just gonna keep losing money. Yeah,
• 49:44
  Speaker 1: we gotta just keep losing money against New England. But
• 49:46
  Speaker 1: no choice. We have to take the Bears here. Um,
• 49:50
  Speaker 1: no way. I know I probably get convinced to put
• 49:53
  Speaker 1: us in the contest. But it feels like the Steelers
• 49:55
  Speaker 1: last week. It's like Chad talked about, they're just certain
• 49:58
  Speaker 1: games you have to play. You just follow the book.
• 50:01
  Speaker 1: The Bears buying as low as you can buy the
• 50:04
  Speaker 1: team they've just lost on prime time. Got embarrassed. I've
• 50:07
  Speaker 1: just been talked terribly for the last ten days. Playing
• 50:10
  Speaker 1: against the Patriots team that is just on absolute role
• 50:13
  Speaker 1: you got. You got Patriots fans talking about them being
• 50:15
  Speaker 1: a win their division now like delusional fan base love it.
• 50:19
  Speaker 1: I wish I could put this in the contest, saying
• 50:20
  Speaker 1: on Tuesday, but like we're putting this one in. I
• 50:23
  Speaker 1: just I feel like I'm just simply betting a number here.
• 50:25
  Speaker 1: I make this whatever it is, six and a half six,
• 50:28
  Speaker 1: What is it up to now? Chat? I think it
• 50:29
  Speaker 1: might be up to eight eight? Yeah, it's I want
• 50:33
  Speaker 1: to say it's no over adjusted. But maybe I'm too
• 50:36
  Speaker 1: low and zappy because this kid makes good throws and
• 50:39
  Speaker 1: they're scheming it up well. But I gotta look at
• 50:42
  Speaker 1: the teams. He just he's beaten right like Green Bay
• 50:45
  Speaker 1: and nothing. It looks like they're not that good. Detroit,
• 50:48
  Speaker 1: what are they one in four? Cleveland? Chad just said
• 50:52
  Speaker 1: it like they feel like they're making more mistakes themselves,
• 50:54
  Speaker 1: putting in in good positions to win. So I guess
• 50:57
  Speaker 1: I'm trying to play the numbers here and buy a
• 50:58
  Speaker 1: Bears team that no one else is gonna buy. But
• 51:01
  Speaker 1: just like Pittsburgh last week, zero confidence, but I have
• 51:04
  Speaker 1: to bet it. I think the big difference here is
• 51:06
  Speaker 1: that the Bears are going on the road against New England.
• 51:09
  Speaker 1: But I agree with you. We're just it's a Bilow
• 51:12
  Speaker 1: cell high. That's really what it is. And again we'll
• 51:15
  Speaker 1: be the only ones on every teaser. Everyone's gonna have
• 51:19
  Speaker 1: patriots in this. That's how they already ran it up
• 51:20
  Speaker 1: to eight. That's crazy. They already moves at eight, but
• 51:23
  Speaker 1: it opened at seven. I think something like that, right six,
• 51:27
  Speaker 1: So people came in heavy on that. Then they just
• 51:30
  Speaker 1: ran it right up because again that is low, like six,
• 51:33
  Speaker 1: I would bump it up to seven. That's my breaking point,
• 51:36
  Speaker 1: like eight. That's that's a lot of points for this
• 51:38
  Speaker 1: kid to be getting. So again, I mean I might
• 51:40
  Speaker 1: be missing the boat on Zappy here. I know the
• 51:42
  Speaker 1: college people love them, but we're just playing the number here, Simon, Simon,
• 51:48
  Speaker 1: I think you would find you're a lot more like me.
• 51:50
  Speaker 1: You know, once you grow up and get married and
• 51:52
  Speaker 1: have kids, and you've got to entertained, and you've got
• 51:55
  Speaker 1: to keep a positive attitude for your children. I'm the
• 51:57
  Speaker 1: most positive person ever. You gotta show them optimism and
• 52:00
  Speaker 1: you've got to entertain and you've gotta be happy. You know,
• 52:04
  Speaker 1: here's what we're talking about. I agree with you. By
• 52:06
  Speaker 1: the way, I think betters generally are incredibly optimistic. They
• 52:11
  Speaker 1: have to be. Everyone thinks they're curmudgeons and angry. But
• 52:15
  Speaker 1: you gotta believe like a hundred and it's not like
• 52:19
  Speaker 1: you gotta believe and you're blind about it. It's you
• 52:24
  Speaker 1: got to do the work and then believe in your
• 52:26
  Speaker 1: system and believe that you know what's right, and believe
• 52:29
  Speaker 1: in the history of what you've done and pull the trigger.
• 52:33
  Speaker 1: It helps you. When we've started the year sixth straight
• 52:35
  Speaker 1: winning weeks, yeah, I feel like that's. Ah, that's really
• 52:37
  Speaker 1: helping your boy over here, because it's just like, man,
• 52:40
  Speaker 1: that's the toughest part in these competitions. You get off
• 52:42
  Speaker 1: to a slow start. Again, we're only four back of
• 52:44
  Speaker 1: the leader. We can flip down a day. If you're
• 52:46
  Speaker 1: like ten back, yeah, you're pretty much done. It's it's
• 52:49
  Speaker 1: just really hard to catch up on these guys that
• 52:51
  Speaker 1: are in these contests. Man, it's their cut through nowadays,
• 52:54
  Speaker 1: like thirty and five, I mean thirty and thirty thirty
• 52:57
  Speaker 1: games right have been played the guy the leaders have
• 53:00
  Speaker 1: a five, Like, holy sh it, man, So that's what
• 53:02
  Speaker 1: we eacha up against. Twenty one and nine we're killing
• 53:05
  Speaker 1: it four back of this guy just don't believe how
• 53:07
  Speaker 1: good people are should be three fucking Jack's. Uh, here's
• 53:12
  Speaker 1: the foxel forty nine is plus three. And by the way,
• 53:15
  Speaker 1: I do think that number is going to go up.
• 53:16
  Speaker 1: There's so much money coming in on the on the Chiefs,
• 53:19
  Speaker 1: that number is gonna go up. Washington plus five and
• 53:22
  Speaker 1: a half. If it doesn't, sorry, if it doesn't, even
• 53:25
  Speaker 1: better people like, if that number doesn't, that means we're
• 53:28
  Speaker 1: taking a really nice position with the books. Like the
• 53:30
  Speaker 1: books just hanged that at three. I don't sandwich money.
• 53:33
  Speaker 1: I might be end the betting on that, but like,
• 53:35
  Speaker 1: that's a key thing you look for. When a book
• 53:37
  Speaker 1: doesn't move a number, a key number like three to
• 53:39
  Speaker 1: three and a half, it's because of sharp group came
• 53:41
  Speaker 1: in so heavy at three and a half. They just
• 53:43
  Speaker 1: will not go back to it. Uh. Simon says, Washington
• 53:47
  Speaker 1: plus five and a half the exact decision. Houston Texans
• 53:50
  Speaker 1: plus seven against the Las Vegas Raiders right now are
• 53:55
  Speaker 1: leans for the contest. Basically, what this means is you
• 54:00
  Speaker 1: might want to start thinking about them. Keep it. Keep
• 54:02
  Speaker 1: track of these lines. Jacks minus three, Washington plus five
• 54:05
  Speaker 1: and half Houston plus sevens plus three. UM, I also
• 54:10
  Speaker 1: would say we're probably looking at Falcons plus six, Seattle
• 54:12
  Speaker 1: six and a half in Bears plus eight. I love
• 54:15
  Speaker 1: it all right? Have you been listening on AMP We
• 54:19
  Speaker 1: Gotta do the Survivor am a Surviva We are the
• 54:26
  Speaker 1: greatest podcast in the world by the only ones left
• 54:29
  Speaker 1: and Survivor pools. I feel like every other show or
• 54:32
  Speaker 1: just people in general, have been knocked out. It's literally
• 54:34
  Speaker 1: a waste land out there after this past week. Yeah again,
• 54:37
  Speaker 1: if anyone had the Chargers last night, God damn you're lucky.
• 54:42
  Speaker 1: What do we think of Miami? Holy shit, that's two
• 54:47
  Speaker 1: balls for me. I was thinking playing it safe, the
• 54:50
  Speaker 1: safest of safe Belichick at home right, Like again, I
• 54:54
  Speaker 1: think the Bears can cover. Yeah, I get it. I
• 54:57
  Speaker 1: can't see the Bears winning that or when else are
• 55:01
  Speaker 1: we going to use them? The Bucks like this? This
• 55:05
  Speaker 1: is like I mean again, the fear of the Bucks
• 55:08
  Speaker 1: is this whole team could be collapsing right now and
• 55:11
  Speaker 1: we're walking right into it. But Carolina, man, they are
• 55:15
  Speaker 1: so bad. I just if the I don't know what
• 55:18
  Speaker 1: else we would look at the use the Bucks the
• 55:20
  Speaker 1: same reason I was cool with us taking the Rams
• 55:22
  Speaker 1: last week. It's like, I don't know we're gonna use
• 55:23
  Speaker 1: them again. Yeah. The big difference here the Rams were
• 55:27
  Speaker 1: at home, the Panthers are not. And as much as
• 55:29
  Speaker 1: I feel like playing in Carolina, you might as well
• 55:32
  Speaker 1: be playing like it doesn't matter. Um, but you're sitting here,
• 55:40
  Speaker 1: You're looking me in the face, and you're saying you
• 55:42
  Speaker 1: were scared. Brady is gonna lose the Panthers next week,
• 55:44
  Speaker 1: this weekend? Come on, alright? Fine? So that's so that's
• 55:50
  Speaker 1: how I feel like. Our two choices are like, if
• 55:52
  Speaker 1: you gotta, if you gotta pick between them, I would
• 55:55
  Speaker 1: say Chad agrees with me. The safest one feels like
• 55:57
  Speaker 1: New England. Um, don't Chad's idea of Miami, because again,
• 56:01
  Speaker 1: that's when you else you're going to use them. You
• 56:04
  Speaker 1: really wanted to be balls. I guess you could go
• 56:05
  Speaker 1: with Vegas, but I don't know. Houston's just a frisky
• 56:08
  Speaker 1: team to me. So a lot of bad matchups this week,
• 56:12
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be some big upsets. Usually on weeks like this,
• 56:14
  Speaker 1: you have some big upsets. So, man, if you've made
• 56:17
  Speaker 1: it this far and your pool is not over, um,
• 56:19
  Speaker 1: we somehow still have thousand people left in ours, which
• 56:21
  Speaker 1: is freaking crazy. But I don't know. Safest play to me,
• 56:25
  Speaker 1: seems like New England. Chad. I agree, I'd rather do
• 56:28
  Speaker 1: New England in the bucks. Okay, so again, maybe we'll
• 56:31
  Speaker 1: switch it up by this weekend, but I would say
• 56:32
  Speaker 1: nine chanced. A couple of reminders, don't forget listen to Buckets.
• 56:38
  Speaker 1: If you love the NBA, you want to bet in
• 56:41
  Speaker 1: the n b A, if you want to keep involved
• 56:42
  Speaker 1: with the drama of the n b A, if you
• 56:44
  Speaker 1: want to play the narrative of the m v P betting,
• 56:47
  Speaker 1: which is all that all that award is is narrative
• 56:50
  Speaker 1: and that more. We'll break it down better than anybody
• 56:55
  Speaker 1: covering the league. Uh. Listen to Buckets. Download Buckets Action
• 57:00
  Speaker 1: Network Podcast Buckets. I am Chad Mowman. He's Simon Hunter
• 57:04
  Speaker 1: for producer Matt Mitchell. If you're listening on app thank
• 57:07
  Speaker 1: you very much. Uh. Download the podcast from Spotify, from
• 57:11
  Speaker 1: Apple Podcasts wherever you get your podcast. Rate reviews, subscribe
• 57:15
  Speaker 1: to keep us five stars. Say whatever you want, because
• 57:17
  Speaker 1: we think feedback is a gift. Until next time, I
• 57:20
  Speaker 1: love you,