Latest / Best Betting Show Ever / Sharp Plays, MLB Futures Market, Parlay of the Day & More!
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: If you guys want to make some money, stay with us.
- 0:03Speaker 1: This is the best betting show ever. I'm Lawrence Presban.
- 0:06Speaker 1: We got a jam packed show today. Three guests, Art
- 0:09Speaker 1: the Caesar live from the West Gate, the single most
- 0:14Speaker 1: important guest on the show, Joe Ranary not so much.
- 0:18Speaker 1: And Steve Merrill, he pays to be here. Welcome everybody.
- 0:22Speaker 1: That was so Gutfeldt. Don't you think I kind of
- 0:25Speaker 1: had like a little opening for each of you.
- 0:29Speaker 2: No, tremendous.
- 0:31Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 0:31Speaker 1: I remind myself that Guttfeldt. I don't know if Steve Merrill,
- 0:35Speaker 1: I mean, I don't know if you watch Greg, but
- 0:37Speaker 1: don't you see me and him?
- 0:40Speaker 4: You're like a Canadian version of gutfeld And as normal,
- 0:44Speaker 4: you know that the American version is usually the and
- 0:48Speaker 4: the Canadian version is kind of the b version, okay version.
- 0:53Speaker 4: I want people to know that I am definitely not
- 0:55Speaker 4: paid to be on this show. So just making that
- 0:57Speaker 4: very clear.
- 0:59Speaker 1: You don't pay to be on the show.
- 1:05Speaker 3: That one. I think we're good.
- 1:06Speaker 4: I would Art, I would say I would pay on
- 1:09Speaker 4: to be on today's show. That with Art.
- 1:11Speaker 1: Yeah, Art's like our Tyrus. He's the former n w
- 1:17Speaker 1: A Chap Art Disease are Live from the West Gate Art.
- 1:23Speaker 1: I gave out almost every single NHL not NHL hockey game.
- 1:28Speaker 1: I called almost everyone right yesterday in the men's and
- 1:32Speaker 1: women's hockey. Uh, I want to know you're taking bets
- 1:36Speaker 1: in the Olympics. I want to know what type of
- 1:38Speaker 1: moves we need to take advantage of in college hoops today.
- 1:41Speaker 1: And I hear you might have some baseball for us.
- 1:44Speaker 1: The three of us will just kick back and be
- 1:47Speaker 1: regaled by your brilliance.
- 1:50Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean as far as the Olympics.
- 1:52Speaker 5: As you know, as I mentioned a couple of days ago,
- 1:54Speaker 5: it's really just on the men's and women's hockey when
- 1:57Speaker 5: USA is playing, if we get anything. Sometimes they're too
- 2:01Speaker 5: big of favorites to even see any action on these
- 2:04Speaker 5: type of games. I mean, you know, you want to
- 2:06Speaker 5: lay four and a half goals with the women or
- 2:08Speaker 5: you know, do something like that. It's really going to
- 2:10Speaker 5: come down to when we get the big matchups of
- 2:13Speaker 5: USA VERSUS Canada and both the men and women, then
- 2:16Speaker 5: we will see some action on those.
- 2:18Speaker 2: Yeah. You know, I think last week it was.
- 2:20Speaker 5: Friday, Friday of the Super Bowl, I had mentioned some
- 2:23Speaker 5: MLB win totals which we had put out that Tuesday.
- 2:26Speaker 5: So we obviously continue to see more money rolling in
- 2:30Speaker 5: on that market. Still seeing Dodger money. You know, we
- 2:33Speaker 5: opened one hundred and a half, we're now one oh two,
- 2:36Speaker 5: and that really seems to be public money. It's just
- 2:38Speaker 5: we're accumulating money on the Dodgers over. I had mentioned
- 2:42Speaker 5: that the Sharps took over eighty two and a half
- 2:44Speaker 5: with the Rangers. They've now also taken over eighty three
- 2:47Speaker 5: and a half with the Rangers, so we're now eighty
- 2:49Speaker 5: four and a half on the Rangers. Sharps also took
- 2:52Speaker 5: under sixty eight and a half on the NATS Washington
- 2:55Speaker 5: Nationals now sixty seven on that. It took over seventy
- 2:58Speaker 5: one and a half with the Twins. We're now looking
- 3:01Speaker 5: at a seventy three on Minnesota.
- 3:05Speaker 3: There's joke.
- 3:07Speaker 6: So we've already starting to see some win total money
- 3:10Speaker 6: coming in there. And how much do you I mean,
- 3:13Speaker 6: does it start to increases spring training games start to
- 3:16Speaker 6: go on here are or is it? I mean you
- 3:19Speaker 6: got some guys coming in real early at this point.
- 3:23Speaker 5: Yeah, I mean always, like I said, when we get
- 3:25Speaker 5: our early action where there are plenty of people who
- 3:27Speaker 5: are gonna look for metals, try to find the best
- 3:29Speaker 5: of you know, the number on each side.
- 3:32Speaker 2: We get plenty of that.
- 3:33Speaker 5: And listen, I told you we have plenty of teams
- 3:35Speaker 5: that we're booking towards. You know, we're booking towards the
- 3:39Speaker 5: Atlanta over, We're booking towards the Washington or the Chicago
- 3:43Speaker 5: White Sox over. So we don't mind to take a
- 3:46Speaker 5: little bit of under money initially if we're a little
- 3:49Speaker 5: bit ahead of the market.
- 3:50Speaker 2: And listen, we'll take enough for them.
- 3:52Speaker 5: We finally do move the number, probably to market, but
- 3:55Speaker 5: we don't mind early on the teams that we feel
- 3:57Speaker 5: good about maybe going over there win totals. Those two
- 4:00Speaker 5: I mentioned Pittsburgh, we feel pretty good about going over
- 4:03Speaker 5: their win total, so we don't mind taking some under money. No, please,
- 4:08Speaker 5: seventy eight and a half, oh on Pittsburgh.
- 4:11Speaker 6: Are you getting any of the those like the cy
- 4:13Speaker 6: Young Markets or MB any of those at all as well?
- 4:18Speaker 2: Yeah?
- 4:18Speaker 5: You know those, Actually we're gonna start putting up this week,
- 4:21Speaker 5: Joe so the yeah, the MVP, the cy Young Rookie
- 4:24Speaker 5: of the Year, We're gonna start putting up all those.
- 4:26Speaker 5: And then I think next week too, we're gonna start
- 4:28Speaker 5: doing a lot of the over unders as far as
- 4:31Speaker 5: home run totals, you know, like Aaron Judge forty eight
- 4:33Speaker 5: and a half, fifty and a half, whatever the number is,
- 4:35Speaker 5: we're gonna put up. So we'll start putting up a
- 4:37Speaker 5: lot of the individual player props win totals for pitchers,
- 4:42Speaker 5: so we'll start to do that. We just like I said,
- 4:44Speaker 5: when it was Super Bowl, we really felt it was
- 4:46Speaker 5: important for us to have as much baseball as we could,
- 4:49Speaker 5: and especially to have those win totals because not a
- 4:51Speaker 5: ton of people have the win totals out, so we
- 4:53Speaker 5: felt good about having those up early.
- 4:56Speaker 1: L Y, go ahead, kel Rawley, what do you want
- 4:59Speaker 1: to know about it?
- 5:00Speaker 3: Under whatever his home run prop is?
- 5:02Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm not going to say Joe. I mean that
- 5:03Speaker 4: was my first thought too, is I mean, you couldn't
- 5:05Speaker 4: possibly not play him to regress maybe, although you know
- 5:09Speaker 4: he didn't regress even after winning the home run derby,
- 5:12Speaker 4: which most guys do, so he was pretty amazing, all right.
- 5:15Speaker 4: I was thinking preseason, baseball, exhibition, baseball, spring training, whatever
- 5:19Speaker 4: you want to call it. What's the actually going to
- 5:21Speaker 4: be like on that? Do you guys worry about sharp
- 5:24Speaker 4: action there. It's not something I've dabbled with over the years,
- 5:27Speaker 4: but I know some people. Do you take it?
- 5:30Speaker 2: Well, we do.
- 5:30Speaker 5: I want to say there are games next Saturday, Yes,
- 5:33Speaker 5: well I want I want to Yeah, I want to say,
- 5:35Speaker 5: we have spring training baseball next Saturday. Yes, of course
- 5:37Speaker 5: we take it. Of course, the limits are very tiny.
- 5:41Speaker 2: Most of those.
- 5:43Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 5:43Speaker 5: I mean, you know, general public players can come and
- 5:46Speaker 5: get a nickel on that. This is how it goes.
- 5:49Speaker 5: Spring training Baseball goes up obviously day of. You don't
- 5:52Speaker 5: have overnights for spring training, so you always have day of.
- 5:55Speaker 5: Sometimes those lines might only go up two hours before
- 5:58Speaker 5: game time. I mean, it's just so crazy with how
- 6:02Speaker 5: that market is, and you know, you just try to
- 6:05Speaker 5: be as small as you can as far as what
- 6:08Speaker 5: you're offering, you know, limits wise, because it's only sharp mark,
- 6:12Speaker 5: it's only sharp players who've bet spring training.
- 6:14Speaker 2: I mean, there's no general public people. There's just not guys.
- 6:18Speaker 1: If you've never watched this show, Art the Caesar works
- 6:22Speaker 1: at the Westgate super Book. This is one of the sharpest,
- 6:25Speaker 1: most prestigious sports books in the world. This is a
- 6:28Speaker 1: market setting sports book and every day we have him on.
- 6:32Speaker 1: He tells us where the money is going, what's their
- 6:36Speaker 1: risk ratio on particular games. This is probably the most
- 6:40Speaker 1: important information out there. It's what makes this show the
- 6:43Speaker 1: best betting show ever, what makes this show different to
- 6:47Speaker 1: all other shows. Art, we can't thank you enough for
- 6:49Speaker 1: doing this. Dude, Please send your dollar, asked to Steve Merrill.
- 6:55Speaker 1: He'll take care of you.
- 6:57Speaker 4: I'm certain to think Art pays to be on here.
- 6:59Speaker 4: After that little spiel there, goodness, Yeah, I get love
- 7:06Speaker 4: like that. I will start paying. It'll be in Canadian dollars.
- 7:09Speaker 4: It might be a platinum if it keeps falling press.
- 7:11Speaker 4: But yeah, I'll consider do this.
- 7:14Speaker 1: Let's do this live on air. Boys Kelly, our great
- 7:19Speaker 1: partner in crime over at wagertalk dot com Kelly and Vegas.
- 7:22Speaker 1: Kelly Stewart asked me yesterday, pres what's going on with
- 7:27Speaker 1: the show in the summertime? So I'll ask all our
- 7:32Speaker 1: listeners what's going on with the show in the summertime.
- 7:35Speaker 1: I can tell you on equivocally there will not be
- 7:37Speaker 1: five days of shows in the summertime. That I can
- 7:41Speaker 1: say flat out. I am suggesting one day a week
- 7:45Speaker 1: in the summer. Any thoughts.
- 7:49Speaker 4: You must have a fun summer plan. That's my first thought.
- 7:51Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean, you must be in the things.
- 7:55Speaker 4: Talking about baseball.
- 7:56Speaker 3: I was gonna say seven days a week in the
- 7:59Speaker 3: base We're talking.
- 8:02Speaker 6: Five days in the Don't expect to see him in
- 8:06Speaker 6: the summer, is what he's telling us.
- 8:07Speaker 4: Yeah, yes, I'm betting show. Ever, we might do one
- 8:11Speaker 4: episode a week.
- 8:13Speaker 3: Twenty minutes.
- 8:15Speaker 1: There we go, everybody, I reverse engineered this to get
- 8:19Speaker 1: that to do five shows a week.
- 8:22Speaker 4: That is, I can't afford to pay to be on
- 8:24Speaker 4: the five shows a week. I cannot afford to do
- 8:26Speaker 4: that during the baseball season. It's too expensive, your favorite
- 8:32Speaker 4: sport in the world, to do that.
- 8:33Speaker 3: We're just gonna work.
- 8:35Speaker 1: I am Kelly saying we will be doing a daily
- 8:39Speaker 1: show in the summertimes.
- 8:41Speaker 4: While you type al. You know, we talked about this
- 8:43Speaker 4: last week. I said, why do you all do win totals?
- 8:45Speaker 4: I thought it was an excellent answer. You're talking about
- 8:47Speaker 4: having all the Super Bowl money coming in, you want
- 8:49Speaker 4: to have them up, but the fact that you get
- 8:51Speaker 4: almost nothing but sharp action on spring training betting. I mean,
- 8:56Speaker 4: I guess the answer to be, you guys want to
- 8:58Speaker 4: be the one of the biggest, boldest books out there.
- 9:00Speaker 4: You putting lines and everything, but why would you even
- 9:01Speaker 4: bother to waste the time to put lines up on
- 9:03Speaker 4: something you're hoping just to break even on.
- 9:05Speaker 2: Really, you just can't.
- 9:07Speaker 5: You can't sit there, you know, on a Tuesday, when
- 9:11Speaker 5: you know there's twelve spring training games and you don't have.
- 9:13Speaker 2: Lines on it. That's why you keep the limits very low.
- 9:17Speaker 2: You know. Sure you might.
- 9:18Speaker 5: Have a couple of people who put twenty bucks fifty
- 9:20Speaker 5: bucks down on it, but we're not going to sit
- 9:22Speaker 5: there with a blank MLB screen when there's plenty of
- 9:25Speaker 5: spring training games to book. So we just feel like
- 9:28Speaker 5: it's one of those things that you have to have
- 9:30Speaker 5: the content. You keep the limits low, and like you said,
- 9:32Speaker 5: if you break even, you break even.
- 9:34Speaker 2: It's not the end of the world.
- 9:36Speaker 1: Lots of show still to come. We got our sharp bets,
- 9:39Speaker 1: our parlay of the day. Rumor has it's Steve Merrill
- 9:42Speaker 1: wrecked it the last time he was on this show.
- 9:45Speaker 1: We got a predictive market segment. Steve, you'll enjoy it.
- 9:49Speaker 4: It was a week ago. Joe A dare press to
- 9:51Speaker 4: tell me right now what my last parlay pick was,
- 9:53Speaker 4: because I sure don't know.
- 9:56Speaker 1: It was in the NFL.
- 9:58Speaker 4: It would have been a Super Bowl prop.
- 10:01Speaker 1: New England. It was New England first half.
- 10:04Speaker 4: Plush That dude was the first half here on the show,
- 10:06Speaker 4: plus the three that did not win. By the way,
- 10:09Speaker 4: Art Art, you and I were the kiss of death
- 10:13Speaker 4: on Kenneth Kenneth Walker, by the way, because I went on,
- 10:16Speaker 4: I got on my soapboxter and my fade the public
- 10:18Speaker 4: video about how there's absolutely no value at seven one
- 10:22Speaker 4: even if he wins it. So I did say, if
- 10:23Speaker 4: he wins and there's still no value, sure, but I went, yeah,
- 10:27Speaker 4: I went down that rabbit hole. But and Art, now
- 10:28Speaker 4: we're talking about running backs never win anymore since nineteen
- 10:31Speaker 4: ninety eight is when Treell Davis had won it. And
- 10:34Speaker 4: I saw him at seven to one, like the third
- 10:36Speaker 4: favor for the Seahawks, and I was telling people that
- 10:38Speaker 4: is a fad, the public one right there, and of
- 10:41Speaker 4: course that was all it took for him to win.
- 10:43Speaker 4: Thought the kicker might get in, by the way, you
- 10:45Speaker 4: didn't you talk about getting some sharp money Art on
- 10:47Speaker 4: the kicking on the kickers for MVP, because I said
- 10:50Speaker 4: that would be one of the worst Super Bowls ever.
- 10:52Speaker 4: I thought we were seeing that for a while when
- 10:54Speaker 4: it was twelve nothing that would be here.
- 10:56Speaker 5: They zoned in on one kicker, and this year it
- 10:59Speaker 5: was Seattle kicker.
- 11:03Speaker 4: For you guys, Oh, of course kicker. That would have
- 11:07Speaker 4: been even with all the other ones, all the other bets,
- 11:10Speaker 4: you still would have been hurts.
- 11:12Speaker 1: There was no reason why he shouldn't have won it,
- 11:15Speaker 1: like Ken Wilker had a great day.
- 11:17Speaker 4: But I meant, I meant to look this up when
- 11:22Speaker 4: they flashed on the screen. I forgot when we were
- 11:24Speaker 4: talking that there's a fan element. Now I think, is
- 11:26Speaker 4: it like twenty five percent? I don't. I doubt fans
- 11:30Speaker 4: were voting for Myers. Is my thought is otherwise I
- 11:32Speaker 4: wonder if he could have won it. And here's the
- 11:34Speaker 4: other thing I'll throw out to you guys. In the
- 11:36Speaker 4: sixty Super Bowls, this had to be the only time
- 11:38Speaker 4: ever that the offensive MVP was an offensive player that
- 11:42Speaker 4: did not account for a point. And I said count
- 11:45Speaker 4: because I put on Twitter, did not score? Someone's like,
- 11:47Speaker 4: what about a quarterback throwing three touchdos? Yeah, he's accounting
- 11:49Speaker 4: for some points when he wins it before.
- 11:55Speaker 3: I guess maybe.
- 11:58Speaker 2: Offensive guys have won with scoring a touchdown.
- 12:02Speaker 4: Wow, non quarterbacks.
- 12:04Speaker 2: Yeah, you name it. No name it, becuse I'm a
- 12:07Speaker 2: trivia master. Name it. Throw the name it.
- 12:10Speaker 5: One didn't throw a touchdown. Dion Branch, Julian Edelman, and
- 12:16Speaker 5: Fred Blitnikoff all receivers.
- 12:18Speaker 4: Oh well, that's suppressed now I know that. See I
- 12:24Speaker 4: just assumed that the game.
- 12:26Speaker 2: Was like and the three.
- 12:27Speaker 3: That's correct, that's correct.
- 12:30Speaker 4: I did not take it.
- 12:31Speaker 2: Yeah he did.
- 12:32Speaker 3: Impressive.
- 12:33Speaker 1: The show moving art got some sharp bets for today.
- 12:38Speaker 2: Sure, absolutely, college basketball, of course, that's really all we have.
- 12:42Speaker 2: They took a bunch of totals under.
- 12:43Speaker 5: They took the Iona total under one thirty eight and
- 12:45Speaker 5: a half, the Rider total one under one forty and
- 12:49Speaker 5: a half. They took Over in the Akron game one
- 12:52Speaker 5: forty one fifty nine and a half. Those have all
- 12:55Speaker 5: moved two points. They took Manhattan plus two and a
- 12:58Speaker 5: half it's now one and a half.
- 13:00Speaker 2: Couple of games in the IVY League. They laid nine
- 13:02Speaker 2: with Yale and took nine with Brown. That's all your
- 13:06Speaker 2: sharp college basketball stuff.
- 13:08Speaker 3: Oh, there we go.
- 13:11Speaker 1: Before we get into our parlay of the day, I
- 13:13Speaker 1: want to just make a quick mention to the three
- 13:15Speaker 1: of you. The two of you, not Joe. So I
- 13:19Speaker 1: was on wager Talk Today yesterday, and that's a flagship
- 13:23Speaker 1: show over at wager Talk TV. It's live every day
- 13:26Speaker 1: at noon. Andy and Dan host the show. It's a
- 13:30Speaker 1: really really good show, tons of phenomenal information. But they
- 13:36Speaker 1: had a vote on who in wager Talk has the
- 13:39Speaker 1: best hair. Joe Ranieri was voted number one. Art How
- 13:45Speaker 1: do you feel about that?
- 13:48Speaker 2: Listen?
- 13:49Speaker 5: I am a team player. If Joe's going to be one,
- 13:53Speaker 5: let's say Dan two and I'll be three.
- 13:56Speaker 2: That's fine with it.
- 13:57Speaker 1: I'm one, No, I am fifty six years old.
- 14:03Speaker 4: How does that hat on every show? Hairs too gorgeous
- 14:07Speaker 4: for TV?
- 14:08Speaker 1: How?
- 14:09Speaker 2: Wait? You you want to win the award because you
- 14:11Speaker 2: still have your hair? That?
- 14:13Speaker 1: My hair is incredible, Joe hair, real hair.
- 14:19Speaker 6: If I if I auditioning for Back to the Future
- 14:23Speaker 6: the musical, you'd be great.
- 14:24Speaker 3: For the Doctor, that'd be great. You'd be great to
- 14:28Speaker 3: do that. Yeah, you'd be great.
- 14:30Speaker 4: Lloyd?
- 14:31Speaker 1: Is that what for Hitler?
- 14:33Speaker 4: What's the producers.
- 14:36Speaker 3: For Hitler or whatever? Mel Brook?
- 14:39Speaker 1: Yeah, well, I don't know if like from my perspective,
- 14:44Speaker 1: only because you put a factory of gel in your hair,
- 14:47Speaker 1: doesn't you have great hair, Steven, I guess.
- 14:51Speaker 6: It's been a month hard since he's since he has
- 14:54Speaker 6: to get fixed.
- 15:00Speaker 2: That.
- 15:00Speaker 4: If you want to be the Canadian gut felt, you
- 15:02Speaker 4: cannot be.
- 15:03Speaker 6: We'll give you the troll. It's all yours. As your
- 15:06Speaker 6: hair is amazing.
- 15:09Speaker 4: You can't contain. You need to clip that like mine.
- 15:13Speaker 4: That is where's my hair photo? Has Art seen my
- 15:16Speaker 4: hair photo?
- 15:18Speaker 3: Yes? I think have Has he not? And I know
- 15:21Speaker 3: you've got that with yeah, yeah, he's got.
- 15:26Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 15:27Speaker 3: That's what happened there. Damn it.
- 15:29Speaker 4: That's what you get, Okay, Joe. That was when ar
- 15:33Speaker 4: gave that Super Bowl trivia. That was my reaction. I'm
- 15:35Speaker 4: impressed by that. Political cough? How did you know political
- 15:38Speaker 4: won an m v P. I'm pretty good.
- 15:46Speaker 1: One handle bar? When are we getting the handlebar?
- 15:49Speaker 3: Here? Parlay of today? So you can go away? Please,
- 15:53Speaker 3: thank you. I'm sorry you had to be.
- 15:56Speaker 5: I'm gonna give you over in the Michigan State Wisconsin
- 16:00Speaker 5: game over one Mi Wow.
- 16:07Speaker 4: Well, I will look at the board and I don't
- 16:08Speaker 4: even know what Melo and Austin and Vince and t
- 16:11Speaker 4: mac means. I used to love to take the sophomores
- 16:13Speaker 4: over the freshman and they took that away from me
- 16:16Speaker 4: a couple decades ago. But I will rely on a
- 16:19Speaker 4: little bit of an early money move on Team Mellow
- 16:22Speaker 4: open four and a half's gone to five and a
- 16:23Speaker 4: half in some spots, but still four and a half
- 16:25Speaker 4: at other's team Mellow minus four and a half. If
- 16:28Speaker 4: you want some action tonight and whatever they're calling this
- 16:30Speaker 4: NBA weekend, I will go.
- 16:33Speaker 1: I will go with a game tomorrow. I'm gonna take
- 16:37Speaker 1: Slovakia plus two and a half goals at plus money
- 16:43Speaker 1: against Sweden. That's Slovakia. By the way, my wife is Slovakian,
- 16:48Speaker 1: so I do Slovak all the time.
- 16:51Speaker 3: Oh Slovakian, I love it all right. I am going
- 16:55Speaker 3: to go, Oh my.
- 16:57Speaker 6: Undefeated boys, Air of Miami of Ohio. Let's go the
- 17:03Speaker 6: Miami of Ohio Red Hawks to keep it rolling tonight
- 17:06Speaker 6: against Ohio, I'll lay the ten hard has that come on?
- 17:13Speaker 1: Okay?
- 17:14Speaker 4: So what's the NBA actually gonna be like this weekend?
- 17:17Speaker 4: Now that nobody even understands how these formats work with
- 17:22Speaker 4: four different all star teams.
- 17:24Speaker 2: Yeah, it's not gonna be great.
- 17:28Speaker 5: It's not gonna be great, but I'll say this, we
- 17:30Speaker 5: will get good action on the three point contest.
- 17:33Speaker 4: That'll be the one three point contest.
- 17:35Speaker 2: Yeah that that always sees good action.
- 17:37Speaker 3: All right, arm Pal, get out of your art. Damn it.
- 17:40Speaker 3: Thanks art to Caesar.
- 17:42Speaker 1: Everyone will see him on Monday. This is the best
- 17:45Speaker 1: betting show ever. Hit that like button. Subscribe to our
- 17:50Speaker 1: channel and guys, we got lotstill to come. We're gonna
- 17:53Speaker 1: do our predictive market segment. We got best bets all
- 17:56Speaker 1: in college hoops, uh and uh CBB rundown as well.
- 18:01Speaker 1: We'll figure out what that is. Joe, let's get to
- 18:05Speaker 1: some business.
- 18:06Speaker 3: Oh no way, hold on. The only I got ready
- 18:09Speaker 3: is right? Look at that face?
- 18:14Speaker 4: How does he hide that hair? Why does he Why
- 18:17Speaker 4: does he teases? Now he's teasing us?
- 18:19Speaker 1: Why does he hide that hair? I hide that hair
- 18:22Speaker 1: to give all of you guys hope.
- 18:24Speaker 4: Okay, what does he teases?
- 18:27Speaker 1: Shut up, Steve, it's time for some business. Why don't
- 18:29Speaker 1: you do a commercial for us?
- 18:32Speaker 4: So, no NBA Best Bets for the next few days
- 18:34Speaker 4: because of the NBA All Star Break. We're not going
- 18:36Speaker 4: to fiddle around with this new format. But there is
- 18:38Speaker 4: a ton of college basketball, so don't miss out College
- 18:42Speaker 4: Basketball Daily on my page. Steve Merrill wager Talk dot
- 18:45Speaker 4: com and instead of buying single plays or picking and choosing,
- 18:48Speaker 4: take an investment approach and you can still get the
- 18:50Speaker 4: Valentine's Day special. Nothing says Valentine's better than the pres
- 18:54Speaker 4: in the leisure suit except for this perhaps, and that's
- 18:57Speaker 4: the buy three days, get three days free, six days
- 19:00Speaker 4: all access for just sixty nine. There are so many
- 19:02Speaker 4: Valentine's Day jokes we can make with that, but it
- 19:04Speaker 4: is truly sixty nine, dude, for six days all access,
- 19:07Speaker 4: that's only the price of three. Or you can still
- 19:09Speaker 4: get ten days for the price of seven just ninety nine.
- 19:13Speaker 4: So six days for sixty nine, ten days for ninety nine,
- 19:16Speaker 4: all sports, all access, multiple cappers, and don't forget I
- 19:19Speaker 4: put daily free plays up as well. Also on my page,
- 19:22Speaker 4: Steve merrillwager Talk dot com, get there, Quicker, WT dot Buzz,
- 19:26Speaker 4: slash sm and I want to remind everybody college basketball
- 19:29Speaker 4: Top twenty five to deal for this Saturday we loaded
- 19:31Speaker 4: later tonight on Friday, so click subscribe click that bell
- 19:34Speaker 4: here on wager Talk TV to get a deep dive
- 19:37Speaker 4: into the biggest Saturday college basketball games for you free
- 19:39Speaker 4: here on the channel.
- 19:41Speaker 1: Guys, Joe Rnaerian, my promo ends tomorrow. There's one day
- 19:46Speaker 1: left to take advantage of the buy one, get one
- 19:49Speaker 1: offer at seventy nine dollars. It's a week of Joe
- 19:54Speaker 1: and my college basketball. I went one on one yesterday.
- 19:57Speaker 1: I'm now on a nineteen and nine run in college hoops.
- 20:00Speaker 1: I have one up tonight. I also have a bunch
- 20:04Speaker 1: of NHL bets coming your way. Stay tuned for the
- 20:07Speaker 1: best bet segment. Joe, what do you got.
- 20:10Speaker 3: Five percent outright winter? Last night on.
- 20:13Speaker 6: Cal Polly Prez, you got a love nice against UC Irvine.
- 20:17Speaker 3: They got the outright win.
- 20:19Speaker 6: Now, so only had a handful of those five percenters,
- 20:22Speaker 6: but we're three and zero on him so far this season,
- 20:25Speaker 6: and another one coming tomorrow because, like Steve said, this
- 20:30Speaker 6: college card this weekend, including tonight over the top good.
- 20:34Speaker 6: So a lot of great opportunities here this week and
- 20:36Speaker 6: to cash a few tickets. Take advantage of that deal
- 20:39Speaker 6: and head over to wager talk dot com.
- 20:42Speaker 1: There we go, guys, we're moving into our predictive market section. Joe,
- 20:45Speaker 1: you run this, the mic is yours well.
- 20:48Speaker 6: Basically here Meryl a predictive markets. In fact, I just
- 20:53Speaker 6: I just read a big article on how plshe crossed
- 20:58Speaker 6: just about the one billion dollar in trade volume on
- 21:03Speaker 6: the Super Bowl. So it's now between Calshi and poly market.
- 21:10Speaker 6: The amount of money that's coming in and being traded
- 21:13Speaker 6: there is over the top. So if you guys have
- 21:15Speaker 6: not dabbled in it yet, we talked about it the
- 21:18Speaker 6: other day, Steve. The predictive markets. I wouldn't ever bet
- 21:22Speaker 6: a future with a sports book again, if I'm looking
- 21:25Speaker 6: at future bets, win totals, those types of things, I
- 21:29Speaker 6: am heading to the predictive markets there because you're not
- 21:32Speaker 6: tied in until the actual event comes to fruition one
- 21:36Speaker 6: way or the other. You can cash in at any time.
- 21:40Speaker 6: But the one that the present I love is and
- 21:43Speaker 6: the press nailed the other day when we were on
- 21:45Speaker 6: the show, was what is bitcoin's price going to be
- 21:51Speaker 6: here before it is all said and done? Now, to
- 21:54Speaker 6: give a perspective, pres what is bitcoin right now?
- 21:59Speaker 1: It is sick sixty nine yes three two two.
- 22:03Speaker 6: Sixty nine three two two. So the question is you
- 22:08Speaker 6: ready for this here, Meryl? By five o'clock eastern tonight,
- 22:12Speaker 6: will it be over sixty nine thousand or will it
- 22:16Speaker 6: be under sixty nine thousand.
- 22:19Speaker 3: When it's all said and done, here.
- 22:21Speaker 4: I'll pull up my chart right now here. I'm gonna
- 22:23Speaker 4: use my phone for this. I do my mother mother
- 22:26Speaker 4: livelihood on my phone.
- 22:27Speaker 6: Twenty one twenty one cents to the yes, over sixty
- 22:31Speaker 6: nine eighteen cents to the under sixty nine.
- 22:36Speaker 4: Yes, I got a ton of bitcoin charts. I think
- 22:38Speaker 4: this is the actual cash mark I got now it's
- 22:40Speaker 4: sixty nine thousand and two oh four. Is that what
- 22:41Speaker 4: you guys said about right there?
- 22:43Speaker 3: That's about right? Yep?
- 22:45Speaker 4: So yesterday, yes, yeah, So this is the hyats. It's
- 22:48Speaker 4: been all week, basically since the open on Monday. It
- 22:51Speaker 4: was allas low as sixty six yesterday. The trend is
- 22:56Speaker 4: up today. It's been straight up all day long. What
- 22:58Speaker 4: is the final price for going over on sixty nine?
- 23:03Speaker 4: I think it pulls back a little bit. It's basically
- 23:05Speaker 4: been straight up all day. So I'll say under, yeah,
- 23:08Speaker 4: not above sixty nine.
- 23:09Speaker 1: A yeah, you think it's over, I'm gonna go with over.
- 23:13Speaker 1: We're up three thousand in the last twenty four hours
- 23:16Speaker 1: or twenty hours. I do think it is going to
- 23:20Speaker 1: go over, but my long term projection will still remain
- 23:23Speaker 1: that it will be under what did we do under
- 23:27Speaker 1: fifty again? I hope I'm wrong.
- 23:30Speaker 6: Yeah, fifty nine by the way, on how low it
- 23:33Speaker 6: will get this year, fifty nine cents under fifty thousand.
- 23:37Speaker 4: I think we'll have a pull back to the mid
- 23:39Speaker 4: seventies at some point, because I'm looking here. It had
- 23:42Speaker 4: a hard spike down. It had a hard spike down
- 23:45Speaker 4: in one day last week from seventy six to seventy
- 23:48Speaker 4: all the way down to like sixty after that, and
- 23:51Speaker 4: then I think that's probably the near turn bottom. So yeah,
- 23:53Speaker 4: it's kind of in a hover range. By the way,
- 23:55Speaker 4: Silver Platinum, like I said a week ago, they've just
- 23:57Speaker 4: been sideways ever since that big Friday two weeks ago,
- 24:01Speaker 4: and I think Bitcoin is gonna start getting that sideway
- 24:03Speaker 4: range as well. It's dropped, it's dropped almost half. It's
- 24:08Speaker 4: down almost fifty percent over the last seven it was
- 24:10Speaker 4: like it was like one twenty at one point. So
- 24:12Speaker 4: but I.
- 24:12Speaker 1: Will I will say this in regards to crypto, I
- 24:15Speaker 1: think we're gonna see a regression and then I think
- 24:18Speaker 1: we're gonna see pure boredom for a for like months
- 24:22Speaker 1: from months and months.
- 24:23Speaker 4: Yes, yeah, it's called a consolidation period and that's what
- 24:26Speaker 4: all the medals are in now. That's why everyone's like,
- 24:28Speaker 4: do I buy now or is it too late to sell?
- 24:30Speaker 4: It doesn't matter, it's gonna be sideways. Like you've missed
- 24:33Speaker 4: all the momentum in the metals markets, and you've probably
- 24:36Speaker 4: have missed a lot of the momentum here. Although this,
- 24:39Speaker 4: I'll tell you where the big gap is looking at
- 24:41Speaker 4: it now was down at the ninety eighty five ninety
- 24:44Speaker 4: and it just the floor fell out about two weeks
- 24:46Speaker 4: ago from that down to the sixties. So the high
- 24:49Speaker 4: side resistance would be like ninety again if it ever
- 24:52Speaker 4: gets back up that high.
- 24:53Speaker 1: Steve, let me let me ask you a question. I
- 24:56Speaker 1: know this is not Kelsha related, or maybe it is Teslau.
- 25:02Speaker 1: You think Tesla is a buy? This is a company
- 25:04Speaker 1: that I feel like is going to transition heavily into
- 25:06Speaker 1: the robotic space, uh and the AI space. I think
- 25:12Speaker 1: they might be an interesting buy.
- 25:15Speaker 4: Yeah, so I will. I will pull up Tesla because
- 25:18Speaker 4: it's not one that I look at individually.
- 25:20Speaker 6: On from calcis well Elon Musk be out as Tesla
- 25:25Speaker 6: CEO before twenty twenty seven, No.
- 25:31Speaker 4: No, before twenty twenty seven. I'd say No, also eighty six.
- 25:38Speaker 6: That he will or won't, that he won't be out
- 25:41Speaker 6: before twenty Yeah, well I would agree with that.
- 25:43Speaker 3: Yeah, so you'll say go ahead, Steve.
- 25:47Speaker 4: No, I was gonna say, I have a Model X
- 25:49Speaker 4: and I'd love it. I just talked to another guy
- 25:51Speaker 4: had one like two days ago, and he just said
- 25:53Speaker 4: that they announced they're not making the X or US anymore,
- 25:55Speaker 4: which i'd heard starting this second quarter. The S was
- 25:59Speaker 4: the original call, and they're the two bigger cars, so
- 26:01Speaker 4: they're going to the smaller cars like the three and
- 26:03Speaker 4: the Y. I see everywhere, so it's not a surprise,
- 26:06Speaker 4: but something he said. Also, some of these folcusing more
- 26:08Speaker 4: in robotics.
- 26:09Speaker 3: Yeah, that's why I haven't.
- 26:10Speaker 4: Looked into it. Yeah, So, I mean my guess would
- 26:13Speaker 4: be if he's looking at anything with Tesla like new
- 26:14Speaker 4: like robotics, he'll be there for a while. He's not
- 26:16Speaker 4: going to just cut run. So I think that's a yeah.
- 26:20Speaker 4: But eighty some sense is like minus five hundred, so
- 26:22Speaker 4: you know that's probably priced a little low, but not
- 26:25Speaker 4: a lot of value. People have to learn to convert
- 26:27Speaker 4: these odds. By the way, right, we're so used to
- 26:29Speaker 4: money lines, you got to get used to the eighty
- 26:31Speaker 4: seven thirteen is like minus six hundred or whatever, and
- 26:35Speaker 4: eighty like don't see that expensive. But then you realize
- 26:38Speaker 4: I'd be like laying minus six hundred, which you would
- 26:40Speaker 4: think twice about.
- 26:41Speaker 6: That's one hundred dollars bet that he won't be out
- 26:43Speaker 6: by twenty twenty seven.
- 26:44Speaker 3: Well we'll net you one hundred and fifteen back.
- 26:47Speaker 1: So yeah, yeah, that's he's staying right. And yeah, Steve,
- 26:51Speaker 1: there is a lot of talk that Tesla's gonna get
- 26:54Speaker 1: heavy into robotics and you know you're ready is involved
- 26:58Speaker 1: in AI. I listen, Elon Musk.
- 27:01Speaker 3: Is one it will buy a major sports team by
- 27:05Speaker 3: the end of this year.
- 27:06Speaker 4: No this year, No no, no, no, no, no, no no.
- 27:13Speaker 1: Let him in the club. They just won't let him, won't.
- 27:17Speaker 4: Yeah right, Yeah, I mean, Joe, that's got to be
- 27:19Speaker 4: like five cents.
- 27:20Speaker 3: That's ninety two cents, Dave. But that's my point. That's
- 27:23Speaker 3: free money. I mean, that's that one.
- 27:26Speaker 2: I like that one.
- 27:27Speaker 4: I would I would risk the.
- 27:28Speaker 1: What is the definition of a can he buy a
- 27:30Speaker 1: lacrosse team? Will that count?
- 27:32Speaker 4: Yeah? That we have to be that's where you have
- 27:34Speaker 4: to be careful.
- 27:34Speaker 6: Yeah, I'll give you exact Elon buys a major sports
- 27:39Speaker 6: team before January first one seven, one of the Big
- 27:43Speaker 6: four n b A, NFL, NHL, MLB, MLS and E
- 27:48Speaker 6: p L.
- 27:50Speaker 4: No, hell no, I've never even seen him talk about sports.
- 27:53Speaker 4: But you bring up a great point about the Insider Club.
- 27:56Speaker 4: I didn't even think about that. That makes me like
- 27:58Speaker 4: it even more. I like it regardless of that, because
- 28:00Speaker 4: I don't think that's his focus. I mean, he's kind
- 28:02Speaker 4: of a gek guy's hot sports guy. But you're right
- 28:05Speaker 4: about them letting them in. I don't think they would anyway.
- 28:07Speaker 4: He's a little he's a lot toxic right now that
- 28:09Speaker 4: in the you know, fifty fifty they would love them.
- 28:12Speaker 1: Wouldn't let Jim Bowlsley in from BlackBerry, even in the
- 28:16Speaker 1: middle of BlackBerry's heyday. So yeah, yeah, that that to
- 28:21Speaker 1: me is a great break. So what's the number? If
- 28:25Speaker 1: I lay one hundred dollars on no, I make one
- 28:27Speaker 1: hundred and one, what is the number? Oh Jesus, I'm
- 28:32Speaker 1: just sat. I mean, the market is something doggy brou.
- 28:37Speaker 6: If you're looking for long shots. Yah, I'm just saying.
- 28:40Speaker 6: I mean Elon Barker, I mean.
- 28:41Speaker 4: But you know, Joe, you do have to start doing
- 28:43Speaker 4: the cost of them holding your money for eleven months
- 28:45Speaker 4: to cash set. Probably's not probably not much better than
- 28:48Speaker 4: just putting it in a four percent in a CD
- 28:50Speaker 4: or something with no risks.
- 28:52Speaker 6: Give you if I'm not mistaken on cash about three
- 28:56Speaker 6: and a half interest on the money, whether it's yeah, ass.
- 29:01Speaker 4: Give it, Yeah, that's not a bad deal then yeah.
- 29:05Speaker 1: Okay, So let's keep moving boys. I love this Calche
- 29:10Speaker 1: segment Today's best Bets. So what I'm going to do
- 29:14Speaker 1: here is I'm going to give you a bet on
- 29:16Speaker 1: every single hockey game, and then I'm going to race through. Uh,
- 29:23Speaker 1: I'm going to race through a bet on the Wisconsin
- 29:27Speaker 1: Michigan state game. France is winning three to two right now.
- 29:32Speaker 1: No opportunity. We're in game betting because nobody's watching the
- 29:35Speaker 1: show live. But wow, check was up to nothing and
- 29:38Speaker 1: they were a sleeper. Okay, let's go boys. Canada minus
- 29:44Speaker 1: two and a half against Switzerland, I think they win
- 29:46Speaker 1: the game by four goals. We saw them play some
- 29:49Speaker 1: incredible hockey yesterday and Switzerland coming off of a four
- 29:53Speaker 1: to one win themselves, I think Canada demolishes them. Germany,
- 29:59Speaker 1: we bet them minus one and a half. Yesterday they
- 30:01Speaker 1: won three to one. We're betting them minus one and
- 30:03Speaker 1: a half again. Today they're playing a lot Via. They
- 30:06Speaker 1: win this game three to one, four to one. Slovakia
- 30:10Speaker 1: plus two and a half against Sweden. Sweden lost yesterday
- 30:13Speaker 1: against Finland. They're definitely in a bounced back spot. But
- 30:16Speaker 1: the Slovakia team is much better than everybody thinks. The
- 30:21Speaker 1: Finland Italy game, I would go with under the total
- 30:24Speaker 1: of six and a half, and I think USA demolishes Denmark.
- 30:29Speaker 1: Take them minus three and a half. Joe, I'll just
- 30:31Speaker 1: keep going bottom line. I like Wisconsin plus one and
- 30:35Speaker 1: a half against Michigan State. Rather than getting into a
- 30:40Speaker 1: whole lot of reasons why, I'll hand the mic over
- 30:42Speaker 1: to you. Take Wisconsin. I'll put this up as a
- 30:45Speaker 1: repick where I explain everything. Check it out at my page, Joe.
- 30:49Speaker 3: I'm going to ask you this.
- 30:50Speaker 6: Then Prez here and Meryl will bust out the avocates
- 30:54Speaker 6: here and tell you now, we've only got one about
- 30:57Speaker 6: ten days left in the in thes right, So who
- 31:02Speaker 6: wins the gold.
- 31:03Speaker 3: Medal in ice hockey Canada? Fifty one cents?
- 31:07Speaker 6: Right? Actually, yeah, fifty one cents right now that Canada
- 31:10Speaker 6: wins thirty seven, that the United States wins. But here's
- 31:14Speaker 6: the interesting part. Pres United States is also about a
- 31:18Speaker 6: forty cents bet to win the silver.
- 31:23Speaker 1: Yeah, but if they win the gold, then it's not
- 31:26Speaker 1: silver or better.
- 31:28Speaker 3: No, it's not. So basically Canada and the United States
- 31:31Speaker 3: that bet. That's one on two, right.
- 31:34Speaker 1: I don't love that bet.
- 31:35Speaker 6: Joe just Swedens finish third, who gets the bronze, because
- 31:41Speaker 6: that's where.
- 31:41Speaker 3: The money is. Sweden, but that's okay, that's eight cents.
- 31:48Speaker 1: But they could get the silver. I do not think
- 31:51Speaker 1: this American team is as good as everybody I think.
- 31:54Speaker 1: I think this is not the best American team that
- 31:56Speaker 1: they have sent. And I think the Canadian team is
- 32:00Speaker 1: freaking lights out.
- 32:02Speaker 6: For one hundred dollars bed for Sweden to get the bronze, Meryl,
- 32:06Speaker 6: and you only got to wait ten days.
- 32:08Speaker 4: Prays, I gotta ask you. I turned it on briefly
- 32:10Speaker 4: a few nights ago, and I saw the US was up.
- 32:12Speaker 4: The women were up for nothing on Canada. Are they
- 32:15Speaker 4: that much better than everybody else? I would have thought
- 32:17Speaker 4: that was like two teams and it will be.
- 32:21Speaker 1: Listen, Steve, we've seen this a million times, brother. I
- 32:24Speaker 1: mean you go in a seven game series, the Earth
- 32:27Speaker 1: team wins six nothing and then they lose every game
- 32:30Speaker 1: after that. Do I think women's American team is better
- 32:34Speaker 1: than the women's Canadian team without Canada's best star Mary Poulan?
- 32:40Speaker 3: Yes, I do.
- 32:41Speaker 1: I think America I should win the gold. I think
- 32:44Speaker 1: if we do get our superstar back, it'll be a
- 32:46Speaker 1: much closer game. But even at full health, I think
- 32:51Speaker 1: the American women's team wins the gold medal.
- 32:54Speaker 3: So what Canada second? Or do you think Canada drops?
- 32:58Speaker 1: Oh dude, there are only two tames in this competition.
- 33:02Speaker 1: Everything else is just made up to make a tournament.
- 33:06Speaker 6: Okay, Well, then the bronze medal is really where. That's
- 33:09Speaker 6: the market where the money's actors. Finland, Who's always correct
- 33:13Speaker 6: me if I'm wrong? You presidents in Finland always the
- 33:16Speaker 6: women's hockey like they are, they're like the best of
- 33:19Speaker 6: the rest, kind of situation outside of the US and Canada. Yeah,
- 33:24Speaker 6: they're thirty three cents right now to get it done
- 33:27Speaker 6: and to get the bronze medal over everybody else.
- 33:30Speaker 3: So pretty good price.
- 33:34Speaker 1: That I would go. So let's go with a Sweden.
- 33:37Speaker 1: Sweden parlay or bronze medals and the men and the
- 33:43Speaker 1: women's right, yeah, what's that going to pay us?
- 33:46Speaker 6: So Sweden to get it is actually a little bit better.
- 33:49Speaker 6: So that's thirty five cents right now. So yeah, so
- 33:54Speaker 6: under bucks there for the women, it's much where it's
- 33:57Speaker 6: eight cents for the men to get the bronze. So
- 34:00Speaker 6: that's actually you know, one hundred bucks will bring you
- 34:02Speaker 6: back about eleven hundred bucks there if the men, if
- 34:06Speaker 6: Sweden get the bronze in the Olympic in the Olympic Games,
- 34:09Speaker 6: I know you're telling me Sweden's got a shot for
- 34:12Speaker 6: the men to get the bronze.
- 34:14Speaker 3: That's an eight cent bet right now.
- 34:17Speaker 1: I listen, it's Sweden or Finland. And if check loses
- 34:23Speaker 1: today to France, that bet. But what I'm saying time,
- 34:28Speaker 1: yeah it it becomes unbelievable if that happens. Okay, So
- 34:35Speaker 1: there you go. So Wisconsin plus one and a half
- 34:38Speaker 1: plus two and a half, you can get two and
- 34:40Speaker 1: a Half's out there, guys, Joe and Steve, you guys
- 34:44Speaker 1: have best bets each and then Merrill, you'll handle the rundown.
- 34:47Speaker 6: Oh love it all right, Meryl? You want me to
- 34:51Speaker 6: go or you got you want to go with the
- 34:52Speaker 6: best bet here.
- 34:53Speaker 4: There you go ahead, you're in the middle. There you
- 34:55Speaker 4: go ahead.
- 34:56Speaker 6: I Am going to go here, and I'm gonna keep
- 34:58Speaker 6: it simple, guys. I'm gonna go shocker to college. And
- 35:02Speaker 6: if you haven't had a chance to watch the Saint
- 35:04Speaker 6: Louis Billigans play basketball, guys, tonight, it's an opportunity to
- 35:08Speaker 6: do it, because this is a fun group. As much
- 35:11Speaker 6: as I have loved Miami of Ohio and their run
- 35:15Speaker 6: to an undefeated season here, which they are likely going
- 35:20Speaker 6: to do, I think this Billigans team is the mid
- 35:24Speaker 6: major darling that could actually be somewhat of a Cinderella
- 35:29Speaker 6: come March.
- 35:30Speaker 3: This team is that good.
- 35:31Speaker 6: They are laying eighteen and a half here tonight against
- 35:35Speaker 6: Loyola Chicago.
- 35:36Speaker 3: Who boy, oh boy.
- 35:38Speaker 6: They what a difference a couple of years makes. Yeah,
- 35:41Speaker 6: they are going to get blown out. But when I
- 35:44Speaker 6: tell you a fun brand of basketball, they're gonna have
- 35:47Speaker 6: the national spotlight on them here tonight for a mid major.
- 35:51Speaker 6: They'll be the ESPN game. Check this team out. They've
- 35:55Speaker 6: lost one game all year, and I'm telling you this
- 35:58Speaker 6: is a team I don't think any buddy's gonna want
- 36:00Speaker 6: to play come March, and you'll see why tonight.
- 36:03Speaker 3: Check them out.
- 36:04Speaker 6: Give me the Billigans and lay it tonight. Merrill there
- 36:07Speaker 6: against Loyola.
- 36:10Speaker 4: Yeah, I'm gonna talk about them in a moment in
- 36:12Speaker 4: my college basketball Rundown. I agree with you, Joe. A
- 36:15Speaker 4: very exciting team and a legit team. Another team. I
- 36:17Speaker 4: think that's a mid major that we'll talk about more
- 36:20Speaker 4: as we get closer to is. Belmont did a video
- 36:23Speaker 4: on them yesterday against Northern Northern Iowa. Coming off of loss.
- 36:26Speaker 4: Here is still twenty two and four. I think Belmont
- 36:28Speaker 4: and Saint Louis obviously MINDI of Ohio will be in
- 36:30Speaker 4: that mix as well. But those are some teams that
- 36:33Speaker 4: can make some noise. But you know, the committee doesn't
- 36:35Speaker 4: want these teams to make any noise. And we saw
- 36:37Speaker 4: that last year when fourteen of the sixteen SEC teams
- 36:40Speaker 4: got in. We see the twelve five games or both
- 36:43Speaker 4: mid majors. We see the mid majors get eight nine seeds,
- 36:46Speaker 4: so they have to play a one seed the next round.
- 36:48Speaker 4: Like they've done stuff over the last decade or so
- 36:50Speaker 4: to like prevent these Cinderella stories. Everyone thinks the NCAA
- 36:54Speaker 4: wants Cinderella stories. They want them for the first two
- 36:56Speaker 4: days only. They don't want them from the Sweet sixteen on.
- 37:00Speaker 4: So yes, Saint louis a really good team, but they'll
- 37:02Speaker 4: be up against it. Don't forget last year the Atlantic
- 37:04Speaker 4: ten got only one team in all season into the tournament,
- 37:09Speaker 4: so we'll see if anything changes there. I'll go for
- 37:12Speaker 4: a free play on another Atlantic ten team. We'll look
- 37:14Speaker 4: at George Mason's see a little bit of money coming
- 37:16Speaker 4: on them today, gone from three down to two. I
- 37:18Speaker 4: think they're a live dog against GW two decent teams
- 37:21Speaker 4: in the Atlantic Ten. I think that one goes down
- 37:23Speaker 4: to the wires. I'll take George Mason plus two is
- 37:25Speaker 4: my free play for the show here on Friday Night.
- 37:29Speaker 4: There we go.
- 37:30Speaker 1: Okay, Steve Merrill, your CBB rundown, let's get to it.
- 37:36Speaker 4: Gonna look at two national TV games for Friday night
- 37:39Speaker 4: college hoops or there might not be in n Eba,
- 37:41Speaker 4: but there's a big college basketball car tonight on Friday.
- 37:43Speaker 4: I'm gonna give you two of the national TV games
- 37:46Speaker 4: free plays with analysis coming up right here right now.
- 37:50Speaker 4: Quick reminder though, if you are liking these free plays,
- 37:53Speaker 4: here a wager Talk TV. Click subscribe, click the thumbs up,
- 37:55Speaker 4: the like, but also check out my page every day
- 37:57Speaker 4: because I do post bonus free plays Steve merrillwager talk
- 38:01Speaker 4: dot com. You get there quicker WT dot buzz, slash
- 38:05Speaker 4: sm as you see on your screen, free daily plays
- 38:07Speaker 4: on my page as well with analysis. To look at
- 38:10Speaker 4: a Lake game in a moment UNLB Boys on Fox
- 38:13Speaker 4: Sports one. But let's start the earlier game at eight
- 38:15Speaker 4: point thirty Eastern Saint Louis and Loyola on ESPN two,
- 38:19Speaker 4: and Saint Louis is coming in ranked eighteenth. That might
- 38:22Speaker 4: seem like a nice season, but they're probably even better
- 38:24Speaker 4: than that. This is a really dangerous mid major team
- 38:27Speaker 4: that is solid at both ends of the court. First
- 38:29Speaker 4: of all, you look at the record this year. They're
- 38:31Speaker 4: for real. They've only lost one game all season twenty
- 38:34Speaker 4: three and one. They now stand eleven to zero conference.
- 38:37Speaker 4: By the way, the only loss was by one point
- 38:40Speaker 4: against Stanford way back in late November, and that was
- 38:44Speaker 4: the second of back to back neutral court games after
- 38:46Speaker 4: a one point win against a good Santa Clara team.
- 38:49Speaker 4: So Saint Louis is for real, And you look at
- 38:51Speaker 4: the statistics as I mentioned solid at both ends of
- 38:54Speaker 4: the court. They are a top ten two point offense
- 38:57Speaker 4: a top ten two point defense. But what really is
- 38:59Speaker 4: impressive is they're the second best three point offense and
- 39:02Speaker 4: defense in the country three hundred and sixty five teams.
- 39:05Speaker 4: They have the second best shooting percentage and second lowess allowed,
- 39:09Speaker 4: both from three point rans. So that's why they're gonna
- 39:10Speaker 4: be so dangerous come tournament time. But let's look at
- 39:13Speaker 4: this game specifically tonight. It's a big number to lay
- 39:16Speaker 4: eighteen and a half or nineteen, but I'm not getting
- 39:18Speaker 4: in front of this Billigan bandwagon, this Billigan steamroller, I
- 39:21Speaker 4: should say. And if you're gonna play it, I would
- 39:23Speaker 4: lay it with Saint Louis against a Loyola team that's
- 39:26Speaker 4: really a bad team at both ends of the court.
- 39:28Speaker 4: Turnover problems. They don't force turnovers, they turn the ball over,
- 39:31Speaker 4: and they also have a terrible three point defense and
- 39:34Speaker 4: a terrible three point offense, which means it's unlikely they're
- 39:37Speaker 4: going to catch lightning in the bottle and hit a
- 39:39Speaker 4: bunch of threes. And by the way, Loyola gives up
- 39:40Speaker 4: a ton of three point shots as well, so you
- 39:43Speaker 4: can definitely play it. If you're gonna play it, I
- 39:44Speaker 4: would lay it with Saint Louis. But something else I
- 39:46Speaker 4: recommend doing when we're playing these big favorites in college basketball,
- 39:49Speaker 4: if you have access to team totals, take a look
- 39:52Speaker 4: at their over team total. For them to cover and
- 39:54Speaker 4: win by twenty or more, they're gonna probably have to
- 39:55Speaker 4: score some points. I'm seeing their team total around the
- 39:58Speaker 4: eighty six and a half to eighty seven and a half,
- 40:00Speaker 4: So team total over eighty seven for Saint Louis, or
- 40:03Speaker 4: you could just play the minus eighteen and a half
- 40:04Speaker 4: to minus nineteen. Not a team I'm looking to get
- 40:07Speaker 4: in front of anytime soon, as the Billickins are for
- 40:09Speaker 4: real this year in college hoops, all right, your late
- 40:11Speaker 4: night games should be a little bit more competitive. This
- 40:13Speaker 4: is your late game at ten o'clock Eastern. Also a
- 40:15Speaker 4: national TV game for UNLV at Boise State. Thin air
- 40:19Speaker 4: and altitude for the Broncos. Currently about a ten point
- 40:23Speaker 4: favor we see some nine and hands out there mostly tens.
- 40:26Speaker 4: Total though has come down a bit overall from the
- 40:28Speaker 4: openers opened as high as one fifty six, one fifty
- 40:31Speaker 4: sevens down to one fifty three, So we have seen
- 40:34Speaker 4: some sharp money on the under in this UNLV Boise
- 40:37Speaker 4: State game, and I agree with that move. This is
- 40:40Speaker 4: a rematch from a high scoring overtime game a month ago,
- 40:43Speaker 4: exactly a month ago on January thirteenth, and now we're
- 40:46Speaker 4: here on Friday, February thirteenth through the rematch, and if
- 40:49Speaker 4: you look at the end of regulation, I believe that
- 40:53Speaker 4: game was tied up around low seventies, like one to
- 40:56Speaker 4: fifty two to one to fifty three mark heading into overtime.
- 40:59Speaker 4: We obviously now fifty three. I think it was either
- 41:01Speaker 4: one to fifty two or one to fifty four if
- 41:02Speaker 4: I recall so it was right around with this total
- 41:05Speaker 4: would have been at the end of regulation, but then
- 41:07Speaker 4: they got a lot of higher scoring obviously because of
- 41:09Speaker 4: the extra five minutes. One thing that jumps out to
- 41:12Speaker 4: is UNLV plays fast, and they did push the tempo
- 41:14Speaker 4: at home in that first meeting, but now they're on
- 41:16Speaker 4: the road, it gets a slow down half court Boise
- 41:19Speaker 4: State team that prefers a slower tempo, and the fact
- 41:22Speaker 4: that Boise lost the first game in overtime means this
- 41:25Speaker 4: is also a revenge spot for them as well. And
- 41:28Speaker 4: then as I mentioned, earlier. The thin air and altitude
- 41:30Speaker 4: is an issue for desert teams and West Coast teams
- 41:33Speaker 4: like UNLV that are not used to the altitude, so
- 41:35Speaker 4: I think they also could fatigue a little bit the
- 41:37Speaker 4: second half, which could hurt their offense. And as far
- 41:39Speaker 4: as the matchup in this game, I think that points
- 41:42Speaker 4: spreads pretty much where it should be at nine and
- 41:43Speaker 4: a half ten. But there is one edge Boise State
- 41:45Speaker 4: has and this is why they almost won the game
- 41:47Speaker 4: out right on the road when they played last month.
- 41:50Speaker 4: Both teams get to the free throw line a lot.
- 41:52Speaker 4: They get a lot of points at the free throw line.
- 41:55Speaker 4: UNLV does a good job, I'm sorry, Boise does a
- 41:57Speaker 4: good job and not allowing their opponents to get there
- 42:00Speaker 4: up a lot of free throw points. That is a
- 42:02Speaker 4: concern when you're playing an under. But both of these
- 42:04Speaker 4: teams are pretty mediocre offensively otherwise, and both teams do
- 42:08Speaker 4: not give up many three points shots, so I still
- 42:10Speaker 4: like the under here. I would lean Boise State minus
- 42:12Speaker 4: the nine and a half as well with the revenge
- 42:14Speaker 4: at home with the favorable matchup, so Boise minus nine
- 42:17Speaker 4: and a half and then that under as well under
- 42:20Speaker 4: one fifty three fifty three and a half and we've
- 42:22Speaker 4: definitely seen some sharp money on the under in that
- 42:25Speaker 4: late game tonight at ten o'clock Eastern. Don't forget if
- 42:28Speaker 4: you want bonus free plays on my page each and
- 42:30Speaker 4: every day at wager talk dot com Steve merrillwager talk
- 42:33Speaker 4: dot com at Daily free Play. It's the last cut
- 42:35Speaker 4: just a bit outside for my best bet card and
- 42:37Speaker 4: it's yours free every day, including Friday, Saturday, Sunday. Check
- 42:41Speaker 4: it out WT dot Buzz, slash sm and if you're
- 42:43Speaker 4: liking these free play videos, I will keep them coming.
- 42:46Speaker 4: All ask as a thumbs up, like and a positive
- 42:48Speaker 4: comment below because I do truly read the comments and
- 42:50Speaker 4: I reply back, who do you like on the Friday
- 42:53Speaker 4: night college basketball card? Hey drop some analysis as well.
- 42:56Speaker 4: Let's learn and earn and win together here on wager
- 42:59Speaker 4: Talk TV and at my college Basketball Saturday Top twenty
- 43:02Speaker 4: five video. We'll be ready this weekend, so make sure
- 43:05Speaker 4: you click subscribe and you click the bell here on
- 43:08Speaker 4: wager Talk TV so you never miss out when a
- 43:10Speaker 4: free play is posted each and every day right here
- 43:12Speaker 4: on the channel.
- 43:14Speaker 1: Let's learn and earn. That is that spectacular?
- 43:19Speaker 4: Yeah, Dan Alexander Dan likes that. Dan likes that line. Yeah,
- 43:24Speaker 4: he likes that one too. Yeah, I've been doing that
- 43:26Speaker 4: one for a while. We have to start trademarking some
- 43:28Speaker 4: of these though, because Dan really likes it as well.
- 43:30Speaker 3: So trademark away, dude.
- 43:32Speaker 4: We got to make sure because we don't want it.
- 43:34Speaker 3: We don't lawyer. We just got.
- 43:38Speaker 1: We just got a trademark approved on wager Talk.
- 43:41Speaker 3: So it's good. Yeah, there is is is it?
- 43:44Speaker 4: Which one is it? I like the see that this
- 43:46Speaker 4: shirt is nice, but the Nike Swiss always shows. I
- 43:49Speaker 4: can't get the w on it was told Kelly. I
- 43:52Speaker 4: was like, this is a great shirt, it's a great
- 43:54Speaker 4: golf shirt, pres but like it takes away from the
- 43:57Speaker 4: you know, it takes away.
- 43:58Speaker 3: From the w MOS important one on that shirt.
- 44:03Speaker 1: No mail back section. I cannot believe how fun this
- 44:07Speaker 1: show was given that only college basketball is going today.
- 44:11Speaker 1: A great stuff, man, Steve, thanks for doing this brother. Uh,
- 44:15Speaker 1: we'll get you in next week as well. You're obviously
- 44:18Speaker 1: a semi regular to the show. Uh, and you'll be
- 44:21Speaker 1: doing some hosting during March, uh and Joe.
- 44:25Speaker 4: But you're gonna say this summer job's like I'm not
- 44:27Speaker 4: hosting the four out of the five days of President
- 44:29Speaker 4: doing the show. You and I.
- 44:33Speaker 1: You and I are going to rotate hosting duties this summer, Dude, Like, I'm.
- 44:38Speaker 4: Actually fine with the one show a week because I'll
- 44:40Speaker 4: be very limited as well. We'll see. The office hours
- 44:43Speaker 4: are looking like I'm like a college professor in the summer.
- 44:45Speaker 4: I have limited office hours, as do you.
- 44:47Speaker 1: Pres Yes, yeah, guys, subscribe to our channel. Thanks for
- 44:53Speaker 1: watching the best betting show ever. Lots of love to
- 44:55Speaker 1: you all. Have a wonderful weekend and we'll see you
- 44:57Speaker 1: on Monday.