Latest / The Mike Blitz Show / Ohio State-Indiana, Notre Dame-BYU & Our 8-Leg Week 7 Parlay
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_01: Week seven gives us three top 15 fights at a grudge match.
- 0:06SPEAKER_01: Ohio State goes to Bloomington, Indiana at noon on Saturday.
- 0:10SPEAKER_01: The unbeaten Catholics take the show to the Mormons in BYU.
- 0:14SPEAKER_01: Missouri goes to Oxford to take on Ole Miss.
- 0:17SPEAKER_01: Texas, one week removed from being number one host, Florida.
- 0:21SPEAKER_01: Oklahoma State, Houston, Utah, Colorado after dark.
- 0:25SPEAKER_01: And Darren and Mike are going with the Hokies to take on Mendoza and Georgia Tech.
- 0:30SPEAKER_01: I aloho up.
- 0:31SPEAKER_01: I've got the whole week off.
- 0:32SPEAKER_01: $10.
- 0:34SPEAKER_01: Handful of legs.
- 0:35SPEAKER_01: One prayer.
- 0:36SPEAKER_01: Let's build a parlay.
- 0:38SPEAKER_01: This is the Mike Blitz Podcast.
- 0:44SPEAKER_03: Ladies and gentlemen, welcome to the Mike Blitz.
- 0:47SPEAKER_03: I'm your host, Darren Stebbman.
- 0:49SPEAKER_03: I'm excuse me, Mike Wade, my co-host.
- 0:52SPEAKER_03: Darren Stebbman and Mark Francis.
- 0:54SPEAKER_03: I'm just so excited to be here.
- 0:55SPEAKER_03: I'm getting away from the case.
- 0:55SPEAKER_03: I'm right here, Mike.
- 0:56SPEAKER_03: I'm right here.
- 0:57SPEAKER_03: You are Darren.
- 0:58SPEAKER_03: I am actually not Darren.
- 0:59SPEAKER_03: Some days I wish I was Darren, but I'm not today.
- 1:02SPEAKER_03: And today I'm not Darren.
- 1:02SPEAKER_03: I am Michael Wade.
- 1:04SPEAKER_03: Uh, folks, thank you so much for joining us tonight with the Mike Blitz.
- 1:06SPEAKER_03: As Mark wonderfully introduced, we are doing the parlay, which is our way, our fun way of talking about the week seven slate.
- 1:13SPEAKER_03: We're gonna kind of cruise through some games, offer some opinions, as you guys all know.
- 1:17SPEAKER_03: The ones we agree on, we will throw into a parlay.
- 1:20SPEAKER_03: Uh, we might even hit it.
- 1:22SPEAKER_03: We've been pretty hot recently.
- 1:23SPEAKER_03: We went six and two last week, seven and two the week before.
- 1:26SPEAKER_03: Of course, in week zero, we went five and oh and we got paid.
- 1:29SPEAKER_03: So we've been on the right track a lot.
- 1:32SPEAKER_03: So I really like the way we are kind of settling into this season.
- 1:34SPEAKER_03: We're doing really well.
- 1:35SPEAKER_03: Um, so this is gonna be that's what tonight's gonna be all about is kind of uh experiencing this week college football, giving a little, a little uh taste of all the action, what we think, what's gonna happen.
- 1:45SPEAKER_03: Please make sure you are like, subscribing on YouTube, Spotify, Apple, wherever you get the podcast, uh wherever you get your podcast.
- 1:50SPEAKER_03: We love having your support.
- 1:52SPEAKER_03: We love engaging with you guys.
- 1:53SPEAKER_03: We are so glad you're here.
- 1:54SPEAKER_03: Get in the Discord.
- 1:55SPEAKER_03: Uh, do that do that quick six from last night or two nights ago.
- 1:58SPEAKER_03: Um, always we are just so glad you're here.
- 2:01SPEAKER_03: With that, uh, anything else for the good of the order before we start?
- 2:05SPEAKER_01: It's just good to be positive money on the year so far.
- 2:08SPEAKER_03: Yeah, I'm I'm sure we've been being negative money.
- 2:11SPEAKER_01: Oh my gosh.
- 2:12SPEAKER_00: Uh Mike, like uh Mark said, Um, we're going to Blacksburg.
- 2:17SPEAKER_00: And this is Home Sweet Home from me.
- 2:19SPEAKER_00: I lived in Blacksburg for nine years and can't wait to go downtown.
- 2:24SPEAKER_00: Can't wait to see the good old uh drill field and the war memorial.
- 2:29SPEAKER_00: Uh we did it a couple years ago.
- 2:32SPEAKER_00: Um, Mike, and we're going back.
- 2:34SPEAKER_00: So yeah, so I'm so excited to wear the maroon and orange jersey and spend a spend a Blacksburg day.
- 2:41SPEAKER_00: Just look up the weather.
- 2:42SPEAKER_00: Guess what?
- 2:42SPEAKER_00: This is so so wonderful.
- 2:44SPEAKER_00: High of fifth a high of 51.
- 2:46SPEAKER_00: Ooh, it's gonna be a chilly, a chilly day, high of 51 at the heat of the sunny day.
- 2:53SPEAKER_00: Um, and then the sun's gonna go down about halftime on our side of the stadium, and it's gonna be chilly football weather.
- 3:00SPEAKER_01: Oh, can't wait.
- 3:01SPEAKER_01: It's gonna be so good.
- 3:02SPEAKER_01: You know, I'm good.
- 3:03SPEAKER_03: Mark mentioned it, and I guess I kind of buried the lead.
- 3:05SPEAKER_03: You're right.
- 3:05SPEAKER_03: That is the should be the headlining news is yeah, we are gonna go to Blacksburg.
- 3:08SPEAKER_03: I'm very excited.
- 3:08SPEAKER_03: You know what?
- 3:09SPEAKER_03: I was thinking about it.
- 3:09SPEAKER_03: The last time we went, it was kind of a disaster.
- 3:12SPEAKER_03: Wonderful trip.
- 3:13SPEAKER_03: Me and Mike and Darren and Darren's wife and my brother, the five of us, went to Blacksburg for the Purdue game for an overnight at uh at uh Mike Blitz Superfans House.
- 3:21SPEAKER_03: Uh Anna Monkey, thank you so much for putting us up again.
- 3:24SPEAKER_03: She's doing it again this time.
- 3:25SPEAKER_03: We are so grateful for her uh support, letting us use her house to crash.
- 3:29SPEAKER_03: Anyway, we got to the first quarter, it's Purdue game, it rained out.
- 3:32SPEAKER_03: My point, I'm not gonna get into it.
- 3:33SPEAKER_03: I'm not gonna relitigate all that.
- 3:34SPEAKER_03: Everybody who knows that only way direction is up.
- 3:38SPEAKER_03: That was the floor of our Virginia Tech football experience, and it was still a pretty good time.
- 3:43SPEAKER_03: So I just think this weekend coming up is gonna only gonna be better because there's only one direction from here relative to our lab.
- 3:49SPEAKER_00: It's a guarantee, it's a guarantee.
- 3:51SPEAKER_00: And our tailgate experience was pretty great as well two years ago, and so we'll do that again for sure.
- 3:58SPEAKER_00: Tailgate should be great.
- 3:59SPEAKER_00: We got a ton of um 20-year-old college kids walking around in maroon and orange striped bib overalls.
- 4:08SPEAKER_00: Uh, guys are shirtless, everybody's carrying around a milk jug full of red stuff.
- 4:14SPEAKER_00: That's the new thing, I guess.
- 4:15SPEAKER_03: With sharpie markers on like different like benchmarks of consumption.
- 4:19SPEAKER_03: Be safe, be careful with that, kids.
- 4:21SPEAKER_03: Be careful with that.
- 4:21SPEAKER_00: That's the that's the new thing.
- 4:23SPEAKER_00: So, you know, I won't be I won't be going there, but like a jungle juice type of thing.
- 4:27SPEAKER_00: Yeah, it's like a red.
- 4:28SPEAKER_03: That's kind of a situation.
- 4:30SPEAKER_03: They were all over Blacksburg when we were there two, three years ago.
- 4:32SPEAKER_03: I just assume nothing's changed since Blacksburg 2023 or 24, whatever there.
- 4:36SPEAKER_03: So probably the same thing.
- 4:38SPEAKER_01: They're just winning more.
- 4:39SPEAKER_03: Yeah, we're also gonna get there.
- 4:40SPEAKER_03: The game's at 3:30.
- 4:41SPEAKER_03: Last time was at noon, so we have an extra couple hours of tailgating.
- 4:43SPEAKER_03: So we're gonna have to we're gonna do a little bit more exploring this time, I think.
- 4:46SPEAKER_03: You know, especially if we're so close to stadium.
- 4:49SPEAKER_03: So very excited, very excited for that.
- 4:52SPEAKER_03: Um, with that said, uh, Mark, let's jump in.
- 4:55SPEAKER_03: Let's uh let's do let's make some picks.
- 4:58SPEAKER_01: We've got some great games to go over uh coming up this weekend, and let's start in the Big Ten, where the number four Ohio State Buckeyes take on number five Indiana Hoosiers in Bloomington on Saturday at noon on Fox.
- 5:14SPEAKER_01: Ohio State.
- 5:15SPEAKER_01: Last I checked is a three and a half point favorite.
- 5:17SPEAKER_01: The over-under is at 51 and a half.
- 5:20SPEAKER_01: Indiana has not looked good.
- 5:22SPEAKER_01: I mean, they've won, but not necessarily in a good fashion, guys.
- 5:25SPEAKER_01: What, Mike, what do you think about this game?
- 5:28SPEAKER_03: Everything sticks out to me that's a small line.
- 5:30SPEAKER_03: Um, I think Ohio State is a lot better.
- 5:32SPEAKER_03: And I'm gonna go ahead.
- 5:33SPEAKER_03: I'll just go ahead and I'll leave with what I want us to do.
- 5:35SPEAKER_03: I want us to bet Ohio State to cover, and now I'm gonna backfill with my reasoning.
- 5:39SPEAKER_03: Um, Ohio State University is not going to give up the big play to anybody.
- 5:43SPEAKER_03: They have got a really good secondary, secondary I like, and that's kind of how Indiana makes their hay is these big chunk plays.
- 5:48SPEAKER_03: I don't think Indiana's gonna be able to, I don't think Indiana's gonna be able to do.
- 5:52SPEAKER_03: Um, at the same time, Indiana's secondary is just not what it once was.
- 5:55SPEAKER_03: They don't really have a good answer for Jeremiah Smith.
- 5:59SPEAKER_03: I was not impressed with the Northwestern win.
- 6:01SPEAKER_03: I was not impressed with the Nebraska win.
- 6:03SPEAKER_03: Um I could there's two things, and this is Darren, I'll tell you right now, this is gonna be a theme for me.
- 6:08SPEAKER_03: Either lame or the under are my two plays.
- 6:10SPEAKER_03: I think I I like to lay the points or take the under in like seven of the games on the slate this week, and I kind of feel the same way with this one.
- 6:17SPEAKER_03: I don't think this game gets 51, gets gets to 51 and a half, probably nowhere near.
- 6:21SPEAKER_03: I think Ohio State wins this game.
- 6:24SPEAKER_03: I got 28-13, something like that.
- 6:27SPEAKER_03: Uh, I think it's gonna be smothering defense.
- 6:29SPEAKER_03: I don't think they're gonna get chunk play.
- 6:30SPEAKER_03: I think they're gonna score very much.
- 6:32SPEAKER_03: Um, what's your what's your paralysis analysis?
- 6:35SPEAKER_00: I agree, and um I'll I'll say a theme for me is that um looking at the weather of this weekend, uh uh the United States of America is just in sunny, beautiful, cool football weather sunshine, and like the weather conditions are gonna be perfect, which uh gives me a little bit more of Indiana love in this game.
- 6:58SPEAKER_00: Um but I don't know.
- 7:02SPEAKER_00: Um they have to air it out.
- 7:06SPEAKER_03: They're gonna have to air it out for sure.
- 7:07SPEAKER_03: The line hasn't moved at all, so it must be a pretty good number.
- 7:09SPEAKER_03: There is a little bit of juice, a little steam on the under.
- 7:11SPEAKER_03: It's already dropped out of points 50 and a half, 50 and a half and opened at like 52.
- 7:15SPEAKER_03: So we could chase some steam on the under.
- 7:18SPEAKER_03: What should what's the script for Indiana beating Ohio State?
- 7:21SPEAKER_03: If you're if you're if you're thinking feeling Indiana, what's your tell me why?
- 7:28SPEAKER_00: Um I think they're gonna have to pull that passing game together that they couldn't do against Nebraska.
- 7:34SPEAKER_00: Uh it was a windy, it was a windy day, so they had to like throw away a third of the of the passing game uh play calling, I think.
- 7:42SPEAKER_00: And so I I think they're gonna dial that back up and put Josh Hoover to work and put those receivers to work.
- 7:49SPEAKER_00: I don't think they're gonna have much success in the trenches, and so Indiana's just gonna, you know, and they might just fall on their face, they might just try that and just fail and get beat by a ton by Ohio State.
- 8:01SPEAKER_00: I don't see a situation where Indiana controls the game for more than half the game.
- 8:07SPEAKER_00: I think they're gonna have to get lucky in the end.
- 8:10SPEAKER_03: I think I prefer the under because I think both teams are actually really good at defending the run.
- 8:13SPEAKER_03: And yeah, I think that I think like obviously uh the only Julian Saiyan's a good quarterback, he can't really move, and most of those kalandria yards came on most of those, both of those Nebraska rush yards came on Calandria's being weird.
- 8:24SPEAKER_03: And we've seen that guy play in real life here in Charlottesville.
- 8:27SPEAKER_03: He could do that.
- 8:28SPEAKER_03: Julian Saiyan's a lot of things, he is not that.
- 8:31SPEAKER_03: Um, he's not that dynamic, and at the same time, I don't think uh Mendoza really is either.
- 8:36SPEAKER_03: So I think both teams are gonna really struggle to run the ball, and Indiana's not been good at third down.
- 8:41SPEAKER_03: The other team that had the only other team that had success running the ball with the other Nebraska with Northwestern, Nebraska's now running that wing T, whatever that thing is that Northwestern's kind of doing.
- 8:50SPEAKER_03: Like that's kind of a one-off modern day, like the triple option gives you fits.
- 8:55SPEAKER_03: You don't know how to play it for it.
- 8:56SPEAKER_03: My point, I consider those outliers.
- 8:58SPEAKER_03: I think both of these teams are very good against the run, in which case I think you're looking at a lot of third downs, a lot of punts.
- 9:04SPEAKER_03: Um I could see Indiana winning.
- 9:08SPEAKER_03: I could.
- 9:09SPEAKER_03: I'd rather take the under than the spread.
- 9:12SPEAKER_01: I agree.
- 9:12SPEAKER_01: I'll take the under and I'll take it at 51 and a half right now on DraftKings.
- 9:16SPEAKER_03: Okay, okay.
- 9:17SPEAKER_03: So we're gonna we're gonna hammer the under.
- 9:19SPEAKER_03: Yeah, do that.
- 9:20SPEAKER_01: All right, cool, sir.
- 9:22SPEAKER_01: All right, let's move on.
- 9:23SPEAKER_00: Not many possessions here.
- 9:25SPEAKER_00: No, no, not many possessions.
- 9:26SPEAKER_00: I like that.
- 9:27SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 9:28SPEAKER_01: Here's another one that may be a little bit of a defensive battle in Provo.
- 9:32SPEAKER_01: Uh, the Notre Dame Fighting Irish are finally going to take on a team in the top 10.
- 9:38SPEAKER_01: They go take on BYU.
- 9:39SPEAKER_01: This game is Saturday, 7.30.
- 9:41SPEAKER_01: On ABC, Notre Dame is a 10.5 point favorite with an over-under at 47 and a half.
- 9:49SPEAKER_01: Mike, tell me about the the Catholics and the Mormons.
- 9:55SPEAKER_03: I was impressed with what I saw at a Bear Bachmeyer last week.
- 9:59SPEAKER_03: And that's about it.
- 10:01SPEAKER_03: BYU still has no playmakers that make Notre Dame worry about Glasgow is a really good wide receiver.
- 10:07SPEAKER_03: Other than him, I'm not sure how many of those guys would even be able be even be on Notre Dame's roster if they had it.
- 10:13SPEAKER_03: BYU has been a pretty terrible to pass rush.
- 10:15SPEAKER_03: They have don't really have it, they've been blitzing a ton to get to it.
- 10:18SPEAKER_03: Notre Dame has a really, really good offensive line.
- 10:21SPEAKER_03: I have a really hard time seeing BYU getting Notre Dame off their spots.
- 10:25SPEAKER_03: Um, I also think Notre Dame's gonna say, okay, when they're playing defense, I think they're gonna stack the box a ton and they're gonna say, uh, Bear, you gotta beat us.
- 10:35SPEAKER_03: We have one of the best secondaries in the country, top three with several NFL NFL players.
- 10:40SPEAKER_03: And I don't, again, other than Glasgow, I don't see anybody other than Bear who could with maybe with his legs a little magic.
- 10:47SPEAKER_03: What I'm trying to say is I don't know how BYU scores.
- 10:50SPEAKER_03: Um, I can't bring myself to bet on BYU, but I would bet the under again.
- 10:55SPEAKER_03: Um, minus 10 and a half is a lot of points for a 46 and a half over under.
- 11:00SPEAKER_03: Like if you're laying 10 and a half, that does not live leave that many outcomes possible for you to cover and uh hit the under.
- 11:08SPEAKER_03: So I can't see what but I can't see BYU scoring.
- 11:12SPEAKER_03: Maybe maybe a BYU team under would be interesting to me.
- 11:15SPEAKER_03: I I mean I just don't see how BYU is gonna score in this game.
- 11:18SPEAKER_01: That'd be interesting.
- 11:19SPEAKER_01: Let's see what we have about a BYU team under.
- 11:24SPEAKER_00: That team under should be uh 19.
- 11:27SPEAKER_01: 16 and a half six and sixteen and a half gets you plus one oh five.
- 11:32SPEAKER_01: Nineteen and a half is minus one forty-five.
- 11:36SPEAKER_00: I mean, under BYU at home under 17 and a half.
- 11:41SPEAKER_00: Um this is a tough game um because it's at Provo.
- 11:49SPEAKER_00: And like what is the real Notre Dame?
- 11:51SPEAKER_00: Who is the real Notre Dame?
- 11:53SPEAKER_00: They went to North Carolina, they went to the Tar Heels and won by 11.
- 11:59SPEAKER_00: In a sloppy sloppy conditions, and so what we're saying is in sloppy conditions, North Carolina scored 26 points on them.
- 12:09SPEAKER_00: And so it doesn't mesh with the with the conversation of Notre Dame's defense is so good.
- 12:16SPEAKER_00: That North Carolina scored 26 in the rain, you know, and so who is the real Notre Dame defense?
- 12:25SPEAKER_00: Uh they just they just played Stanford at home and beat the bejesus out of them, same Purdue.
- 12:30SPEAKER_00: And so are they that team, or are they gonna grind, grind, grind?
- 12:35SPEAKER_00: Um yeah, this is I mean, I mean 47 is the total, and under sounds good and fine to me.
- 12:43SPEAKER_00: This this might just be that 19 to 18 game.
- 12:47SPEAKER_00: That's what I'm talking about.
- 12:48SPEAKER_00: Right?
- 12:49SPEAKER_00: And uh it's a it's a night game in Provo.
- 12:54SPEAKER_00: Um and so maybe that's gonna bring out the very best of BYU's defense, which is their strength.
- 13:00SPEAKER_00: Yeah, and yeah, and these these trenches are gonna are gonna show up.
- 13:06SPEAKER_00: Yeah, and I think it's gonna be a great out game.
- 13:08SPEAKER_03: I could easily yeah, I could easily see BYU getting within 10 and a half.
- 13:12SPEAKER_03: That's just I mean, I could see them losing by seven or eight, but I again I'm I'm looking around thinking how who's gonna score 46 points.
- 13:19SPEAKER_03: Both of these teams are not scoring 24 points, 23 points.
- 13:22SPEAKER_03: Like I just don't see it.
- 13:23SPEAKER_03: So I mean, we have been awesome with the totals.
- 13:26SPEAKER_03: Maybe this is the totals week.
- 13:27SPEAKER_03: Should we just go under 46 and a half and just pray for punts?
- 13:31SPEAKER_03: Do play the play the Iowa game.
- 13:33SPEAKER_03: I like the under market.
- 13:35SPEAKER_01: They're off.
- 13:36SPEAKER_01: We're on.
- 13:36SPEAKER_01: Let's do it.
- 13:37SPEAKER_01: All right.
- 13:38SPEAKER_01: All right, lock it in.
- 13:40SPEAKER_01: Uh 46 and a half.
- 13:41SPEAKER_01: I do I hate that it was at 47 and a half earlier today, and now it's at 46.
- 13:45SPEAKER_00: The under, yeah, it's dropped, it's dropped three points, so the steam is under.
- 13:48SPEAKER_01: Ste was on the card.
- 13:50SPEAKER_01: We're chasing steam here so far.
- 13:52SPEAKER_01: All right, the final top 15 match.
- 13:54SPEAKER_01: Now, there's five total ranked games this weekend, but of the teams that are ranked uh 15 or higher, Mizzou going to Ole Miss, taking on uh the Rebels Saturday, 3.30, SEC network.
- 14:08SPEAKER_01: Ole Miss is favored by six.
- 14:10SPEAKER_01: Now, this is a different case for the over-under.
- 14:13SPEAKER_01: Uh Missouri's defense is okay, but the over-under is 59 and a half.
- 14:17SPEAKER_01: Uh Mike, what do you've got on this one?
- 14:19SPEAKER_01: The number six offense in the nation against the number 10 defense in Mizzou.
- 14:24SPEAKER_01: What's going to happen?
- 15:06SPEAKER_03: I don't want to make take Mizzou and the points.
- 15:09SPEAKER_03: I mean, the over is really tempting.
- 15:10SPEAKER_03: I think both these quarterbacks are awesome.
- 15:12SPEAKER_03: I think they're both gonna deal really well.
- 15:14SPEAKER_03: I think I think Jamal Roberts is gonna have a big day.
- 15:16SPEAKER_03: I'm really suspect on Olmus's running defense.
- 15:18SPEAKER_03: I don't think it's very good at all.
- 15:19SPEAKER_03: I think uh Austin Simmons is kind of developing into an NFL quarterback, and Ulabate and Caden Lee are dealing.
- 15:25SPEAKER_03: Jamal Roberts has been one of the great he should have been in our positive surprise episode because obviously when Ahmad Hardy went down with that tragic um injury, uh he stepped up gloriously for the Missouri Tigers in a way that I don't I certainly wasn't paying.
- 15:39SPEAKER_03: I certainly was not betting on a Missouri rushing attack being nearly as good as it is this year.
- 15:44SPEAKER_03: Um I don't uh I don't really like Missouri's secondary.
- 15:50SPEAKER_03: Um and I I still like Missouri's pass rush, although Trinidad Chambliss is so good at getting away from that stuff and evading it.
- 15:58SPEAKER_03: Over would be fun.
- 16:00SPEAKER_03: Missouri plus six and a half.
- 16:01SPEAKER_03: I think if I if I was gonna go in with either way, I think I'd go Missouri plus six and a half.
- 16:06SPEAKER_03: I think I'd even go both.
- 16:07SPEAKER_03: Do you like any any any of those action?
- 16:09SPEAKER_03: What do you think?
- 16:13SPEAKER_00: Mark, what do you think?
- 16:14SPEAKER_01: Oh, I was gonna pass this one on to you.
- 16:16SPEAKER_01: I don't I I like the over score a ton of points.
- 16:19SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I I think I like that one better.
- 16:22SPEAKER_00: I I like the over.
- 16:23SPEAKER_00: Um, yeah, I think this this could just be the good old Big 12.
- 16:29SPEAKER_00: Uh, I know it's SEC, but the Big 12 Barn burner.
- 16:32SPEAKER_00: It feels shootout seven, seven, seven, seven, seven.
- 16:36SPEAKER_00: Yeah, that's that's what these two quarterbacks got.
- 16:38SPEAKER_00: And that was my quick six question, which you know, who throws for more passing yards.
- 16:43SPEAKER_00: That's what these guys can do.
- 16:44SPEAKER_00: This is their strength.
- 16:45SPEAKER_00: So it's just gonna go seven, seven, seven.
- 16:47SPEAKER_00: Um, I love over sixty.
- 16:50SPEAKER_03: Yeah.
- 16:50SPEAKER_03: Uh I'm I I see 50.
- 16:51SPEAKER_03: I got 58 and a half right now.
- 16:53SPEAKER_03: So it's even less than that.
- 16:55SPEAKER_03: You want to take the over on this one?
- 16:57SPEAKER_01: Yeah, lock it in.
- 16:59SPEAKER_01: Uh to the over.
- 17:00SPEAKER_01: Okay.
- 17:01SPEAKER_01: All right, guys.
- 17:02SPEAKER_01: Now we're going to Southern Florida, where in 2005, this game would have been a banger.
- 17:06SPEAKER_01: Florida State going to Miami in a weather game, allegedly, Saturday night, 7 p.m.
- 17:12SPEAKER_01: ESPN, where Miami is favored by 21 and a half.
- 17:16SPEAKER_01: Over under is 56 and a half.
- 17:18SPEAKER_01: Darren, this is an ACC game.
- 17:20SPEAKER_01: What are you thinking about this one?
- 17:22SPEAKER_00: Now I said last podcast, whatever the number is, it's not big enough.
- 17:26SPEAKER_00: Lay those points, take the hurricanes.
- 17:29SPEAKER_00: Um, I think I'll say it again.
- 17:31SPEAKER_00: I think lay lay the favorite.
- 17:34SPEAKER_00: This could, I mean, the way Florida State has looked outside of their UVA win at home, this should be a 30-point spread.
- 17:42SPEAKER_00: This is a this is a weak team against a top five team.
- 17:47SPEAKER_00: Uh, yeah, Florida State hasn't shown me that they're worth Miami, you know, 24 points, 28 points, or whatever.
- 17:56SPEAKER_00: Layham.
- 17:57SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I mean, they just lost to Louisville in Louisville 44 to 20.
- 18:01SPEAKER_01: They had that one win against Virginia, where now I'm counting central Arkansas as a big win.
- 18:06SPEAKER_01: They lost to Alabama, give up 50 to Alabama, 27 to SMU.
- 18:11SPEAKER_01: Hmm.
- 18:11SPEAKER_01: Mike, where are you at on this game?
- 18:14SPEAKER_03: A nice little collection of uh playmaker with Dan Z Croma and Deuce Robinson.
- 18:19SPEAKER_03: So they have some offensive guys, but that's where the positivity stops.
- 18:23SPEAKER_03: I got nothing in the trenches for them.
- 18:25SPEAKER_03: I got nothing in the defense.
- 18:27SPEAKER_03: We saw what Louisville just did their secondary.
- 18:29SPEAKER_03: Any team that can throw the ball is going to just gash them up.
- 18:32SPEAKER_03: I said that that's exactly what I said Louisville was gonna do, and it's exactly what they did.
- 18:36SPEAKER_03: And I like I am very high on Lincoln Keenoles.
- 18:39SPEAKER_03: Darien Mensa's even better.
- 18:40SPEAKER_03: Like, I just don't see how they have any answer for Malachi Tony or um uh Cooper Barkate, the uh the Duke transfer who I also really like, who came with Mensa.
- 18:50SPEAKER_03: My only hesitation, this is quite literally my only hesitation.
- 18:53SPEAKER_03: This is a rivalry game.
- 18:55SPEAKER_03: This is a weird spot.
- 18:56SPEAKER_03: It's not Red River.
- 18:57SPEAKER_03: I mean, Red River obviously, we saw what happened.
- 18:59SPEAKER_03: Red River, that was a nine-point spread, and Oklahoma won outright.
- 19:02SPEAKER_03: Like, this game is historic.
- 19:04SPEAKER_03: This is the wide right game with the famous field goals.
- 19:06SPEAKER_03: These teams have been bitter rivals going back to the 80s, back to Dion and Michael Irvin and all those storied teams.
- 19:14SPEAKER_03: These games get weird.
- 19:15SPEAKER_03: They get weird, they get weird, they get weird.
- 19:17SPEAKER_03: Um, that is my only hesitation, is the weirdness.
- 19:22SPEAKER_03: Uh, how do you feel about that?
- 19:24SPEAKER_03: Those are my thoughts.
- 19:25SPEAKER_03: What do you think?
- 19:26SPEAKER_01: I'd feel more weird if it was in Tallahassee versus being in Miami.
- 19:31SPEAKER_01: For sure.
- 19:32SPEAKER_01: I feel a lot better with it being in Miami.
- 19:35SPEAKER_01: Um 21 and a half is a weird number.
- 19:40SPEAKER_01: I like it better at like 19 and a half.
- 19:42SPEAKER_03: Yeah, I kind of want to massage it too.
- 19:44SPEAKER_03: Do you think uh, I mean, I'm just gonna say this.
- 19:46SPEAKER_03: Florida State's total total is 16 and a half points.
- 19:48SPEAKER_03: They're gonna score 16 and a half points.
- 19:50SPEAKER_03: That's too few, right?
- 19:51SPEAKER_03: That's too low.
- 19:52SPEAKER_00: Let me yeah, let me shift gears and let's let's jump this vehicle up on the median and pass a few cars in a in the oddest way possible.
- 20:01SPEAKER_00: And um, let's look at that first half line again.
- 20:05SPEAKER_00: Uh first half line.
- 20:07SPEAKER_00: All right, yeah, this is this is something we can control a little bit more than the full game.
- 20:13SPEAKER_00: Because you're right, it's a it's a rivalry game, and you know, the players are somehow going to be inspired by you know Bobby Baldon's ghost or whatever.
- 20:22SPEAKER_01: And so it goes.
- 20:26SPEAKER_00: But but in the still with us?
- 20:29SPEAKER_00: No, he's still with us.
- 20:30SPEAKER_00: He's still with us.
- 20:30SPEAKER_00: I'm just I'm just talking about it.
- 20:32SPEAKER_00: Are you sure?
- 20:33SPEAKER_03: Actually, he might be dead, though.
- 20:35SPEAKER_02: No, I'm not sure either.
- 20:38SPEAKER_00: Um the media, and that was that's on me.
- 20:45SPEAKER_00: That's my bad.
- 20:45SPEAKER_00: Yep.
- 20:46SPEAKER_00: So back on the back on the road, in between the lines, um, looking at the first half in a weird game where um so Miami's coming off their bye, right?
- 20:57SPEAKER_00: They are juiced up, they are coming off their bye week.
- 21:00SPEAKER_00: Florida State is not.
- 21:02SPEAKER_00: Miami is the home team.
- 21:03SPEAKER_00: Miami is gonna cover 11 and a half points in the first half.
- 21:07SPEAKER_03: I like that.
- 21:08SPEAKER_03: I like that.
- 21:08SPEAKER_03: That leaves no room for second half, like weirdness, put all the C squad in and backdoor.
- 21:14SPEAKER_03: I could so you're the bet is then changing to who will come out hot.
- 21:18SPEAKER_03: And I really do like Miami in that respect.
- 21:21SPEAKER_03: I'll tell I'm I'm good with that.
- 21:22SPEAKER_03: I'm good with I'm I'm good with laying 11 and a half in the first half.
- 21:25SPEAKER_03: Mark?
- 21:26SPEAKER_01: Uh legendary Bobby Bowden died at the age of 91 in 2021.
- 21:31SPEAKER_01: May he rest in peace.
- 21:32SPEAKER_01: And yeah, no, I think Miami's gonna rest in peace.
- 21:35SPEAKER_03: RP Bobby makes respect.
- 21:37SPEAKER_03: All right, cool.
- 21:37SPEAKER_03: Let's lock it in.
- 21:39SPEAKER_01: Man, all right.
- 21:40SPEAKER_01: Uh 11 and a half first half spread with Miami at home Saturday night on ESPN.
- 21:45SPEAKER_01: Let's uh stay with one of the other Florida teams, the Gators.
- 21:49SPEAKER_01: They are going to Austin to take on the Texas Longhorns, and the Longhorns coming off their big loss against Oklahoma in the Red River rivalry.
- 21:57SPEAKER_01: This game is noon Saturday on ABC.
- 22:00SPEAKER_01: Texas is a nine and a half point favor, and it's 52 and a half, is the overunder.
- 22:06SPEAKER_01: Uh, Mike, you got uh you got us some ideas on this game.
- 22:10SPEAKER_03: Yep.
- 22:10SPEAKER_03: This is easy for me.
- 22:12SPEAKER_03: If Florida can't run, they can't score.
- 22:14SPEAKER_03: And the one thing I have confidence in Texas is their defense.
- 22:17SPEAKER_03: They got 10 sacks in the Tennessee game, and Oklahoma's Oklahoma did not do much.
- 22:22SPEAKER_03: Nobody has done much on Texas this year.
- 22:24SPEAKER_03: Will Muschamp, who I was kind of out on coming back as the DC, has really revitalized himself and proved to be an outstanding defensive quarters.
- 22:32SPEAKER_03: Biles and Colin Simmons are just absolute game wreckers.
- 22:35SPEAKER_03: I think Florida's gonna get shut down again.
- 22:37SPEAKER_03: That said, I am out on On Sark and Arch.
- 22:40SPEAKER_03: Now I've already made my case for that.
- 22:42SPEAKER_03: I love the under.
- 22:43SPEAKER_03: The under is 52 and a half.
- 22:45SPEAKER_03: This is not going to 52 and a half.
- 22:47SPEAKER_03: This is a 24 to 13 type game, 27.
- 22:51SPEAKER_03: I could see 35, 16, and we still hit the under.
- 22:55SPEAKER_03: 52 and a half is a big number for these teams.
- 22:57SPEAKER_03: Arch is inconsistent.
- 22:59SPEAKER_03: I don't see him doing, I don't see him scoring that well.
- 23:02SPEAKER_03: I think Sark's not that good either.
- 23:03SPEAKER_03: Frankly, Florida's offense is going to get shut down again, I think, because they're going to shut down Jaden Ball, who can't run.
- 23:09SPEAKER_03: And if you have an inconsistent offense and a shutdown offense, and I just I got a lot, I got a lot of faith in Texas defense.
- 23:16SPEAKER_03: That's the best thing in this game.
- 23:17SPEAKER_03: That's the best thing in this game is the Texas defense.
- 23:19SPEAKER_03: Um, so I love the under in this game.
- 23:22SPEAKER_03: That's where I want to play.
- 23:23SPEAKER_00: That's where that's where I want to play.
- 23:24SPEAKER_00: So the numbers, the numbers add up to this a final score of 21 to 31.
- 23:30SPEAKER_00: And that still hits our under 52 and a half.
- 23:33SPEAKER_00: Yes, 21 to 31 is way too much points, too many points for both of these teams.
- 23:39SPEAKER_00: Uh nobody, yeah, no, like nobody's getting a 30 in this game, right?
- 23:43SPEAKER_00: No way.
- 23:44SPEAKER_00: So under 52 is uh love it.
- 23:46SPEAKER_00: Let's go.
- 23:47SPEAKER_00: Let's roll.
- 23:48SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 23:49SPEAKER_00: Weather's gonna be beautiful, by the way.
- 23:51SPEAKER_01: It is you run a hard bargain there.
- 23:53SPEAKER_01: You run a hard bargain there.
- 23:55SPEAKER_01: All right, let's move on.
- 23:57SPEAKER_01: Um let's stay.
- 23:59SPEAKER_01: Another Texas team.
- 24:00SPEAKER_01: This one in Houston is gonna be hosting Mike's Oklahoma State Cowboys.
- 24:05SPEAKER_01: Number 18, Oklahoma State's going to number 20, Houston, Saturday night, 7.30 on Fox Houston, a four and a half point favorite.
- 24:13SPEAKER_01: The over-under on this one's huge, guys.
- 24:15SPEAKER_01: It's 62 and a half.
- 24:17SPEAKER_01: Mike, what are your thoughts on your Cowboys and Mestimaker, who has been talked about in the top 10 pick of the NFL draft coming up?
- 24:26SPEAKER_01: What do you think of your team?
- 24:29SPEAKER_03: One for a long time.
- 24:30SPEAKER_03: And so ultimately, I think I'm gonna try and talk you guys into a stay-away.
- 24:33SPEAKER_03: I want to bet on Oklahoma State here, but I think Oklahoma's I think the spread's already moved a point against them.
- 24:39SPEAKER_03: The juice is going the wrong way.
- 24:40SPEAKER_03: I think it was three and a half, now it's four and a half.
- 24:42SPEAKER_03: These are two good quarterbacks.
- 24:44SPEAKER_03: Uh, Connor Wagman um is was the Texas for the former five-star number one quarterback of the country with the Texas AM.
- 24:49SPEAKER_03: Kind of didn't work out there.
- 24:50SPEAKER_03: He has refound himself in Houston um with uh Amari Thomas, with um really good coaching, whose name I'm blaming on right now.
- 24:59SPEAKER_03: Uh the running back that took over the two lane with the Oregon.
- 25:01SPEAKER_03: They've got a lot of really good pieces, and their defense is kind of coming around.
- 25:04SPEAKER_03: Oklahoma State has been good at defense.
- 25:06SPEAKER_03: That's the what's really holding me back here.
- 25:09SPEAKER_03: I love um I love what we what we have out of our our offensive battery in Hawkins and Wyatt Young, and obviously Drew Messmaker, I feel really good about two really good offenses.
- 25:19SPEAKER_03: Other problem here is the total's 62 and a half.
- 25:22SPEAKER_03: That shootout is already priced in.
- 25:24SPEAKER_03: So if we're gonna bet the over, we're already behind the eight ball.
- 25:28SPEAKER_03: That's already a really big number.
- 25:30SPEAKER_03: I'm blabbering because I have no, I don't know, I don't know what's gonna happen in this game.
- 25:33SPEAKER_03: I really want Oklahoma State to win, but that's just like my heart, I have no read.
- 25:37SPEAKER_03: What do you guys think?
- 25:40SPEAKER_01: I don't I don't like to bet a game where you're where there's a lot of emotional attachment to it, where you you really your heart wants to bet Oklahoma State.
- 25:48SPEAKER_01: But yet again, I've not seen enough Houston this year.
- 25:50SPEAKER_01: I've watched probably twice two of their games, but not enough to make a decision to put my money down on one of these teams, Darren.
- 25:58SPEAKER_00: So looking at the list of quarterbacks right now, uh, and their passing yardage, Connor Wegman is in a little group of four, and here are the names he's right beside.
- 26:08SPEAKER_00: Connor Wegman, Austin Simmons, Trinidad Chambliss, Darien Mensa.
- 26:14SPEAKER_00: That's elite.
- 26:15SPEAKER_00: And so he's he has thrown for that many yards, um, the same as those guys right there.
- 26:21SPEAKER_00: And so yeah, this is this is a shootout game.
- 26:24SPEAKER_00: Mesta maker.
- 26:25SPEAKER_00: Do they have the which team is gonna show up with defense?
- 26:29SPEAKER_00: I think Houston does have the defensive edge here.
- 26:32SPEAKER_00: Not much so, but yeah.
- 26:34SPEAKER_00: Except Oklahoma State does have like such explosive, they have more explosiveness.
- 26:39SPEAKER_00: If they need 14 points, Oklahoma State will get it easier than Houston.
- 26:43SPEAKER_00: I think a stay away is just fine.
- 26:45SPEAKER_00: The numbers are are like good.
- 26:49SPEAKER_00: Houston by four at home is probably where it should be.
- 26:52SPEAKER_00: So staying away from this game.
- 26:54SPEAKER_00: Can't wait to watch it.
- 26:55SPEAKER_00: I mean, classic Big 12, an actual Big 12 classic shootout barn burner, uh, is gonna be awesome.
- 27:02SPEAKER_00: But let's keep it out of the out of the parlay.
- 27:05SPEAKER_03: No, I mean I think I think these are two of the three best quarterbacks in the Big 12.
- 27:08SPEAKER_03: I think this is gonna be a vintage Big 12 shootout game, like we were so used to for 20 years.
- 27:13SPEAKER_03: I would say number three would probably be Noah Fafita for my money.
- 27:16SPEAKER_03: Um, really like the quarterbacks in this matchup, and I think they're both will ultimately be NFL quarterbacks, at least drafted.
- 27:23SPEAKER_03: We'll see if they're starters or not.
- 27:24SPEAKER_03: But I mean, I really am gonna this is gonna be really, I think it's gonna be the Big 12 game uh that everyone should everyone's gonna be talking about.
- 27:32SPEAKER_03: It's gonna be instant classic.
- 27:33SPEAKER_03: Really high, but no idea what's gonna happen, so we're not gonna bet on it.
- 27:36SPEAKER_01: Let's punt on that one.
- 27:37SPEAKER_01: Let's uh take a look.
- 27:40SPEAKER_01: What are you gonna say, Darren?
- 27:43SPEAKER_01: Oh, they were gonna say something that cleared my throat at the same time.
- 27:45SPEAKER_01: We are going to go to UCLA.
- 27:48SPEAKER_01: They are hosting Wisconsin now.
- 27:50SPEAKER_01: UCLA is gonna be out.
- 27:52SPEAKER_01: Uh will be without their quarterback um in this game, but with Wisconsin coming to town 7.30 Saturday night, NBC.
- 28:01SPEAKER_01: UCLA still favored by two and a half with an over-under at a low 43 and a half.
- 28:07SPEAKER_01: Uh, Darren, what are your thoughts on this game?
- 28:10SPEAKER_00: Without Nico, what is UCLA?
- 28:13SPEAKER_00: They're gonna run, run, run the ball.
- 28:15SPEAKER_00: Um, Wisconsin is coming off their by uh and traveling across the country.
- 28:24SPEAKER_00: Can they stop a pretty dedicated run attack at UCLA?
- 28:30SPEAKER_00: I think so.
- 28:30SPEAKER_00: Maybe Wisconsin is the favorite here.
- 28:33SPEAKER_00: They're only getting three points here at UCLA.
- 28:38SPEAKER_00: Usley has got a lot of a lot of buzz, a lot of a lot of hype right now, a lot of press.
- 28:45SPEAKER_00: Um, but I think Wisconsin might be ready to to shut them down and keep this a keep this a tie ball game to the last possession.
- 28:52SPEAKER_03: So you're you're we you're you want to bet Wisconsin plus two and a half, is that what I'm hearing you say?
- 28:57SPEAKER_00: Not really.
- 28:58SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 28:59SPEAKER_00: I just don't I just don't know if UCLA is that actual favorite here.
- 29:02SPEAKER_00: It's just kind of a point flip.
- 29:04SPEAKER_03: What I hate about betting on this game is I don't know, I don't have any idea on the quality of the UCLA quarterback.
- 29:10SPEAKER_03: We we like Nico, but Nico was not that good of a as a thrower.
- 29:14SPEAKER_03: And if you look at his stats, they're not that great.
- 29:16SPEAKER_03: He was really able to move the chains with his feet.
- 29:18SPEAKER_03: He was that long strider, fast guy.
- 29:20SPEAKER_03: The backup, Diffendurfer, what's his name?
- 29:22SPEAKER_03: We're we're I got it wrong like 17 times yesterday.
- 29:24SPEAKER_03: So don't know his name.
- 29:25SPEAKER_03: Diffendbach.
- 29:26SPEAKER_03: I'm gonna go with Diffendurfer.
- 29:28SPEAKER_03: Um, he I don't how big of a drop-off he is from Nico, I have no idea.
- 29:32SPEAKER_03: Like let me ask you this.
- 29:34SPEAKER_03: If this was if Nico was healthy, this is a seven-point line, right?
- 29:38SPEAKER_03: Eight?
- 29:38SPEAKER_03: Yeah.
- 29:39SPEAKER_03: So we are this is this is pricing in that Diffendurfer is five points worse than Nico, which I just don't know.
- 29:46SPEAKER_03: And I don't feel good about that at all, which is why I don't like that betting on it.
- 29:52SPEAKER_03: And so I mean, my gut would be like take the under, but 44 and a half is like a smidge over a Service Academy game.
- 29:58SPEAKER_03: The number is already low.
- 30:00SPEAKER_03: Like at 44 and a half, you're talking about a tight back and forth, three yards in a cloud of tusk, big 10 game already, which I kind of think is gonna happen, but I don't know that.
- 30:10SPEAKER_03: What if Diffendurfer throws like four turn four interceptions?
- 30:14SPEAKER_03: For all I know.
- 30:15SPEAKER_03: Um, they they didn't they turn the ball over like three times in the uh Oregon game?
- 30:19SPEAKER_03: I know that Oregon turned the ball over seven times, so that worked.
- 30:22SPEAKER_03: They still had like a plus four ratio.
- 30:24SPEAKER_03: Um, there's just too many X Factors.
- 30:26SPEAKER_03: This is game's all over the map for me.
- 30:28SPEAKER_03: Um, I'm really excited about UCLA and Bob Chesney and Wayne Knight and JMU West.
- 30:34SPEAKER_03: Um, I think he might win the coach of the year.
- 30:37SPEAKER_03: I think he might end up end up in Indianapolis.
- 30:39SPEAKER_03: I think it's either gonna be honestly, I think it might be UCLA or Iowa taking on Iowa State.
- 30:43SPEAKER_03: So I'm very I mean, take on Ohio State.
- 30:46SPEAKER_03: So I'm very excited for the Bruins long term, but in this spot, I don't know, man.
- 30:50SPEAKER_03: And Wisconsin off a bye, like who knows?
- 30:55SPEAKER_00: Too many unknowns for us to bet on, too many unknowns for their own team to count on.
- 31:00SPEAKER_00: You know, just uh a new quarterback.
- 31:03SPEAKER_00: They also don't know what he's you know what he's gonna do.
- 31:07SPEAKER_00: Uh different different Dufeldorf when he um starts making a decision and checking down to read number two and three.
- 31:15SPEAKER_00: How's how's he gonna respond with a little heat in his face?
- 31:18SPEAKER_00: So who knows?
- 31:19SPEAKER_01: I've got to say uh the LA Times has uh announced that Diffenbach will be the starter, not Madden.
- 31:26SPEAKER_01: Uh not pronounced Nico's last name.
- 31:29SPEAKER_00: I keep Iamalyaba.
- 31:31SPEAKER_00: Iamalia.
- 31:32SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 31:33SPEAKER_01: I mean it soon as I like No, go ahead.
- 31:36SPEAKER_01: I was gonna go.
- 31:39SPEAKER_03: In addition to looking up injuries, Leonard Moore, uh Notre Dame's all-world cornerback, is a top five pick.
- 31:44SPEAKER_03: So it's like he's questionable.
- 31:45SPEAKER_03: Looks like he is going to play.
- 31:47SPEAKER_03: It was like he is he was out last week.
- 31:49SPEAKER_03: It looks like he is gonna play in the BYU game, which means he's going to be following Glasgow around most likely, which really means I don't know how BYU is gonna get any offense because Leonard Moore is the best cornerback in the country.
- 32:01SPEAKER_03: Uh he's, you know, he's so that makes me it makes me feel better about a runner.
- 32:06SPEAKER_03: That's all.
- 32:06SPEAKER_03: Let's go anyway, forward looking.
- 32:07SPEAKER_03: Yep.
- 32:08unknown: Yep.
- 32:08SPEAKER_01: All right, let's take a look at uh here we go, the number one team in the nation, the Georgia Bulldogs are hosting the Auburn Tigers on Saturday, 3.30 on ESPN.
- 32:17SPEAKER_01: Georgia is a 19.5 point favorite, and it the over-under is 48 and a half.
- 32:22SPEAKER_01: Guys, you have any thoughts on this game?
- 32:23SPEAKER_01: Are you leaning anywhere in this matchup?
- 32:26SPEAKER_03: No, this is a this is this is a with this is an SEC storied rivalry game as well.
- 32:30SPEAKER_03: Georgia Auburn's had these incredible wars over the year.
- 32:33SPEAKER_03: 20-point spread and a fit over under 49 and a half means it's already, they're already kind of the under the under bet's already been taken out from under this.
- 32:42SPEAKER_03: Like Georgia might cover, maybe they don't.
- 32:45SPEAKER_03: Maybe Auburn sprinkles a little fairy little pixie dusk on the rivalry game.
- 32:51SPEAKER_03: I also like I'm Georgia came out flat.
- 32:54SPEAKER_03: I mean, that was a monster, monster win at Tuscaloosa.
- 32:58SPEAKER_03: There's got to be an emotional letdown here.
- 33:00SPEAKER_03: Um, Auburn also could be getting up for this.
- 33:02SPEAKER_03: Where was Auburn last week?
- 33:03SPEAKER_03: Do we know anybody know off the top of their head what Auburn football was doing last week?
- 33:08SPEAKER_00: Bye.
- 33:08SPEAKER_00: By week.
- 33:09SPEAKER_00: Bye week.
- 33:10SPEAKER_03: Coming off a bye.
- 33:12SPEAKER_03: I again I don't like doing that.
- 33:14SPEAKER_03: I don't like betting on teams.
- 33:15SPEAKER_03: I don't like betting against teams coming off a bye.
- 33:18SPEAKER_03: Like that's that has bitten me more times than I can count.
- 33:21SPEAKER_03: So my thoughts are stay away, but Darren, what do you got?
- 33:26SPEAKER_00: Well, you know, let's just take a quick little peek under the hood at the first half lines.
- 33:33SPEAKER_04: All right.
- 33:34SPEAKER_00: Um looks like the first half, uh, you'd you'd be getting Auburn plus 10 and a half points at halftime.
- 33:43SPEAKER_00: Um, I don't want to take it.
- 33:45SPEAKER_00: I don't want to take it.
- 33:46SPEAKER_00: I mean, I've you know, when I'm when I'm uh you know late night Friday night uh with nothing better to do, I might take it Auburn plus 10 and a half first first half.
- 33:58SPEAKER_03: But if I have if I had to take one here, I'm with you.
- 34:02SPEAKER_03: I would take Auburn 10 and a half, but I know there's gonna be a time at 3 30 on Saturday when the score is 21 to 3.
- 34:09SPEAKER_03: I'm gonna be like, why did we talk ourselves?
- 34:11SPEAKER_03: What were we thinking?
- 34:12SPEAKER_03: Betting on Auburn's.
- 34:14SPEAKER_03: Yeah, I feel the same way.
- 34:14SPEAKER_03: I feel the same thing.
- 34:15SPEAKER_00: I'm just I'm just goofing around.
- 34:17SPEAKER_00: I'm just goofing with you.
- 34:19SPEAKER_01: Let's move over to the Big 12.
- 34:23SPEAKER_01: Um, and we have uh Arizona State.
- 34:26SPEAKER_01: So they have been hot and cold.
- 34:27SPEAKER_01: They went to Hawaii last week in 130 to 12.
- 34:30SPEAKER_01: The week prior, they destroyed our parlay, getting destroyed by Baylor.
- 34:35SPEAKER_01: They are going to Texas Tech.
- 34:37SPEAKER_01: And that's game is again 3:30 on Saturday on Fox.
- 34:41SPEAKER_01: Texas Tech is a 14.5 point favorite, and the over-unders at 48 and a half.
- 34:46SPEAKER_01: Darren, do you still love Texas Tech?
- 34:49SPEAKER_01: Are they still your number one team in the Big 12?
- 34:53SPEAKER_00: Oh my gosh, you're talking to the wrong guy.
- 34:55SPEAKER_00: Texas Tech is not my number one team in the Big 12.
- 34:59SPEAKER_00: Who my guys are?
- 35:00SPEAKER_00: Yeah, he's the BYU guy.
- 35:03SPEAKER_00: Of course, of course.
- 35:04SPEAKER_03: We don't have a Texas Tech stand on this pod this year, this season.
- 35:07SPEAKER_03: We did last year.
- 35:08SPEAKER_00: No, no, no, no.
- 35:09SPEAKER_00: I think Texas Tech is Fool's Gold.
- 35:11SPEAKER_00: They have a big number 10 beside their name right now, and I would love to take Arizona State plus 14 and a half, even though the situation is so dumb.
- 35:20SPEAKER_00: Um, it's Texas Tech at home coming off their bye week, ready for the Arizona State Sun Devils.
- 35:29SPEAKER_00: Um, but 14 and a half is a lot of points for a team, Texas Tech, that I think is fakers.
- 35:37SPEAKER_01: Arizona State's as much of a faker as they are.
- 35:40SPEAKER_01: Like that's a team I just do not trust.
- 35:42SPEAKER_01: I didn't like them in London.
- 35:44SPEAKER_01: I didn't like them uh where they played Texas AM.
- 35:47SPEAKER_01: I didn't like them against Baylor.
- 35:48SPEAKER_01: I remember there was one other game I watched this year where I was just underwhelmed by Arizona State.
- 35:52SPEAKER_01: This is not your Sam Levitt camp scataboo of a couple years ago.
- 35:56SPEAKER_03: Mike, thoughts I've watched Arizona State play three games this year.
- 36:00SPEAKER_03: The Texas AM game where they got run out of the row, which is by 28 points, which we now know is actually a terrible football team.
- 36:06SPEAKER_03: The Kansas game, which was in England, which I think I bet on Arizona State to cover and they won by seven.
- 36:11SPEAKER_03: I don't think they did.
- 36:12SPEAKER_03: I think they did not cover that game.
- 36:15SPEAKER_00: Arizona did well for us in London.
- 36:17SPEAKER_00: They scored.
- 36:18SPEAKER_03: Did they okay?
- 36:19SPEAKER_03: Okay, okay, okay.
- 36:20SPEAKER_03: Uh, but still only being Kansas by seven is not impressive.
- 36:24SPEAKER_03: And then they got shellacked by Baylor in a big, bad, unbeautiful way.
- 36:29SPEAKER_03: At my point, every time I've watched Arizona State, I've been disappointed relative to my expectations.
- 36:35SPEAKER_03: I got nothing.
- 36:37SPEAKER_03: I liked Arizona.
- 36:38SPEAKER_03: I really like Reed Harris.
- 36:39SPEAKER_03: I like Cutterbole, I like Kenny, Kenny Diddy, Ken, Kenny Diddlingham.
- 36:43SPEAKER_03: I think they've got guys, I think they have a couple weapons, but they are one of the they're actually one of my more disappointing teams this year.
- 36:49SPEAKER_03: Um, I mean that 14 and a half is juicy.
- 36:53SPEAKER_03: I think I think I think that's Vegas telling us we dare you.
- 36:56SPEAKER_03: Have these points.
- 36:57SPEAKER_03: Have them.
- 36:58SPEAKER_03: Have them.
- 37:00SPEAKER_03: But on the other side of the coin, like I'm I'm not signing up for the Texas Tech offense.
- 37:03SPEAKER_03: I'm not signing up for their defense.
- 37:04SPEAKER_03: I don't know whether I don't know what business they have laying 14 and a half points against anybody in the Big 12.
- 37:09SPEAKER_03: They are not a dominant football team by any means.
- 37:12SPEAKER_03: But off a bye at home, they might they might have something in Corpus Christi.
- 37:18SPEAKER_03: I'm I'm out I think about I think I'm out on this one.
- 37:21SPEAKER_00: The uh total has come down three points.
- 37:24SPEAKER_00: Uh so the under is the under is steaming, but we may have missed the boat on a good number.
- 37:30SPEAKER_03: Well, that makes me want to that makes me that makes me want to bet the over then.
- 37:33SPEAKER_03: Because Arizona State, Arizona State's defense stinks.
- 37:36SPEAKER_03: And um, I mean, I don't know.
- 37:37SPEAKER_03: Maybe Arizona.
- 37:38SPEAKER_00: So the over, so I mean, if we could bet over 48 and a half, getting that good number at 49, maybe.
- 37:46SPEAKER_00: Uh I don't know.
- 37:47SPEAKER_00: I mean, the number's steaming down.
- 37:49SPEAKER_00: It's going down.
- 37:50SPEAKER_03: Yeah, it's like again, what are you doing going against gravity?
- 37:52SPEAKER_03: I mean, I think I would take the no, I'm not, I'm I don't want to bet into steam.
- 37:57SPEAKER_03: No, I think I would a great stay away.
- 37:59SPEAKER_03: Uh great stay away.
- 38:00SPEAKER_03: Yeah, stay away.
- 38:01SPEAKER_03: I've got a good one for you.
- 38:02SPEAKER_03: I've I've got a good one.
- 38:03SPEAKER_01: I got a juicy burger that you're gonna want to bite into right here, okay?
- 38:06SPEAKER_01: Yes.
- 38:07SPEAKER_01: We're going to we're going to Boulder, Colorado.
- 38:09SPEAKER_01: The Dion Primetime Colorado Buffaloes will be hosting the Utah Utes.
- 38:16SPEAKER_01: Utah, 1015, Saturday night, ESPN, 15.5 point favorite.
- 38:21SPEAKER_01: The over-under at 49 and a half.
- 38:23SPEAKER_01: Utah's got the defense.
- 38:24SPEAKER_01: Utah's got the offense, and Colorado, they've got nothing.
- 38:30SPEAKER_03: They got a pretty stadium.
- 38:31SPEAKER_03: They got a pretty stadium.
- 38:32SPEAKER_01: They got a beautiful campus, don't get me wrong.
- 38:36SPEAKER_01: But on the football field, no.
- 38:38SPEAKER_03: Yeah.
- 38:39SPEAKER_03: Um, dude, I love Utah.
- 38:41SPEAKER_03: I've loved Utah all year.
- 38:42SPEAKER_03: Every time we bet them, they've hit it.
- 38:44SPEAKER_03: I've got no, I've got Devin Dampier is absolutely dealing.
- 38:47SPEAKER_03: Morgan Scally has stepped right into a great situation when uh uh the former coach uh Kyle Winningham left for Michigan and even took some players with him.
- 38:55SPEAKER_03: It hasn't mattered.
- 38:56SPEAKER_03: Utah is good, they are really good, and I think they're now number two in the odds to win the wins the win the Big 12.
- 39:02SPEAKER_03: And I think they started the season seven or eight.
- 39:04SPEAKER_03: Utah's a wagon.
- 39:05SPEAKER_03: They're five and oh against the spread this year.
- 39:07SPEAKER_03: They're about to be six and oh.
- 39:09SPEAKER_03: I love betting on Utah, and I think I'm gonna try and talk you guys into betting on Utah every time covering the spread until they do us dirty, which I don't think they're gonna do this week.
- 39:18SPEAKER_03: Colorado is a lifeless organization.
- 39:20SPEAKER_03: Sean Marion and the go-go offense, it was supposed to be a thing, and it is not.
- 39:24SPEAKER_03: It's just not.
- 39:25SPEAKER_03: They're bad, they're bad everywhere.
- 39:26SPEAKER_03: And all three, um, all three aspects of the ball.
- 39:29SPEAKER_03: I don't think Dion's even gonna be there very long.
- 39:31SPEAKER_03: Utah is on a meteoric rise.
- 39:33SPEAKER_03: I wouldn't be surprised at all if they end up in Dallas and win the Big 12 for that matter.
- 39:36SPEAKER_03: Colorado is trending in the opposite wrong direction.
- 39:39SPEAKER_03: I don't care that all that's priced in.
- 39:41SPEAKER_03: I got Utah win this game by 30.
- 39:46SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I'm gonna try to I'm gonna try to balance the scales a little bit.
- 39:51SPEAKER_00: Um Colorado has just lost three in a row to to good teams.
- 39:55SPEAKER_00: They lost at Northwestern, they got shellaced uh at Baylor, who's turning out to be pretty good.
- 40:02SPEAKER_00: And at home versus Texas Tech, they only put up seven points.
- 40:06SPEAKER_00: The first seven points of the game, by the way.
- 40:08SPEAKER_00: Uh, but then they got they got goose egged the rest of the way.
- 40:13SPEAKER_00: Um gosh, this is I I want to believe you so much.
- 40:18SPEAKER_00: But you know what's giving me pause though?
- 40:20SPEAKER_00: I'm trying really hard here because what we said just a day or so ago is that we got in trouble betting road favorites, and so we lost our two on the parlay by betting the road favorites.
- 40:34SPEAKER_00: So we we lost Indiana going to Nebraska, and they only won by a couple points, luckily.
- 40:40SPEAKER_01: Yeah, and Nebraska went in like a strong team.
- 40:44SPEAKER_03: Colorado's not a strong team, but yeah, and uh also but also Tennessee, Arkansas.
- 40:49SPEAKER_03: Arkansas is Arkansas's vibes might be as bad as they are in Colorado, and they did not come close to covering.
- 40:56SPEAKER_03: Um, I just have a lot of faith, and you're right.
- 40:58SPEAKER_03: You're everything you're saying is right.
- 40:59SPEAKER_03: Everything you're saying is right, but also, I mean, like, Colorado is a mess.
- 41:02SPEAKER_03: Did you hear about that?
- 41:03SPEAKER_03: Deion Sanders, one of his players left the uh script, the game script, like in the hotel lobby in the Texas Tech.
- 41:10SPEAKER_03: Yeah, and the Texas Tech player found it.
- 41:11SPEAKER_03: I think we are looking at like a a quit watch, a no one cares, no one's trying.
- 41:17SPEAKER_03: And I think Utah's this is like chum.
- 41:19SPEAKER_03: This is like chum on the ocean.
- 41:21SPEAKER_03: And Utah are some sharks, and they've got their foot on their neck, and they're just gonna they're they're gonna put them away.
- 41:27SPEAKER_03: I got I got nothing that I like about um what is Mark.
- 41:31SPEAKER_03: What did what what's the S P um on Utah?
- 41:34SPEAKER_03: What S P plus on their offense and defense?
- 41:36SPEAKER_03: Do you know do you have that handy?
- 41:39SPEAKER_01: Yeah, they're uh their offense is ranked number eight, Utah's defense is ranked number 13, Colorado's defense is ranked 49, Colorado's offense is 102.
- 41:50SPEAKER_03: What are we doing here?
- 41:51SPEAKER_03: What are we doing here?
- 41:52SPEAKER_03: This is it.
- 41:53SPEAKER_03: We're we're all youtes.
- 41:54SPEAKER_03: This is this is a youth podcast.
- 41:55SPEAKER_03: Call it the Mike, the Mike Mike Utes podcast from now on.
- 41:59SPEAKER_03: Forget it.
- 41:59SPEAKER_03: I love this.
- 42:00SPEAKER_00: The Utes only have to um the Utes only have to cover nine and a half points in the first half, and they only have to cover six and a half points in the second half.
- 42:11SPEAKER_03: I don't I will I don't like the second half because that that's when the I think the game they might be at my third.
- 42:15SPEAKER_00: The weird stuff happens.
- 42:16SPEAKER_03: That's the weird stuff happens as well.
- 42:18SPEAKER_03: And you said yourself, Colorado scored first in the last game.
- 42:21SPEAKER_03: Like some of some of these big 12 teams, some of these big 12 teams get a little weird.
- 42:24SPEAKER_03: It's gonna be it's 10 o'clock Eastern time, which means it's gonna be 8 o'clock, so it's gonna be chilly.
- 42:29SPEAKER_03: This game might take a little bit of settling.
- 42:31SPEAKER_03: I'm still on the I can't I'm I'm I'm gonna I'm I'm dead set.
- 42:36SPEAKER_03: I want to cover.
- 42:37SPEAKER_03: I want to cover the 15 and a half.
- 42:38SPEAKER_03: Can do you in the words of Deion Sanders, do you believe?
- 42:42SPEAKER_03: Do you believe?
- 42:43SPEAKER_03: Can I get you to come with me on the Utes?
- 42:47SPEAKER_03: Have I ever led you?
- 42:48SPEAKER_03: Have I ever led you astray?
- 42:49SPEAKER_03: Don't answer that.
- 42:50SPEAKER_03: Yeah.
- 42:50SPEAKER_03: To say yes.
- 42:51SPEAKER_00: Don't answer that.
- 42:53SPEAKER_00: Don't be honest.
- 42:55SPEAKER_00: Michael, I'm with I am with you.
- 42:58SPEAKER_00: I tried my best, and I think you and your um football knowledge and experience uh prevails.
- 43:06SPEAKER_00: And go you.
- 43:07SPEAKER_00: Let's lay them.
- 43:08SPEAKER_03: Yes, lay them.
- 43:09SPEAKER_03: All right, man.
- 43:10SPEAKER_03: I if I if I get one leg right this week, it's gotta be that one.
- 43:14SPEAKER_03: Better be this one.
- 43:16SPEAKER_01: Oh yeah.
- 43:17SPEAKER_01: All right, though.
- 43:18SPEAKER_01: Here's a big one, guys.
- 43:19SPEAKER_01: Kentucky is coming off back-to-back overtime victories.
- 43:22SPEAKER_01: They are going to Oklahoma, who just defeated the number one team in the nation, the Red River Rivalry.
- 43:27SPEAKER_01: This game is 7.30 Saturday on the SEC Network.
- 43:31SPEAKER_01: Oklahoma is favored by seven with an over-under at 43.5 mic.
- 43:38SPEAKER_01: There come, you watch this game, you got frustrated with Kentucky as they beat LSU.
- 43:42SPEAKER_01: What's gonna happen with Kentucky at Oklahoma this Saturday?
- 43:47SPEAKER_03: The most impressive part about uh Willstein's offensive game plan was his ability to neutralize our pass rush, which Oklahoma has as well.
- 43:53SPEAKER_03: And Willstein got the ball out a ton, and he's did a really good job of letting his guys do his thing.
- 43:59SPEAKER_03: I don't have a lot of faith in John Matir laying any points, especially in that spot coming off such an crazy emotional win.
- 44:06SPEAKER_03: This has got to be a monster letdown spot.
- 44:09SPEAKER_03: I I kind of think Kentucky might win this game.
- 44:11SPEAKER_03: That's what's what the only thing I'd I'm I'm not betting us to win.
- 44:15SPEAKER_03: I don't want to see the money line.
- 44:16SPEAKER_03: The money line's like paying like two and a half to one.
- 44:18SPEAKER_03: That's too, that's that's a little too rich for my blood or too expensive.
- 44:21SPEAKER_03: But like getting six and a half points, like if anything, I think I'm going that way.
- 44:27SPEAKER_03: The over-under is also low.
- 44:29SPEAKER_03: So there aren't that many outcomes where one team is going to be that far ahead of the other team anyway.
- 44:34SPEAKER_03: So this game might could very easily be a 17 to 13.
- 44:39SPEAKER_03: Kind of game.
- 44:40SPEAKER_03: 20 to 14.
- 44:42SPEAKER_03: 24-20.
- 44:44SPEAKER_03: Like, there's a lot of outcomes with with with Utah with that.
- 44:48SPEAKER_03: Oklahoma winning with some level of convincingness, but Kentucky covering.
- 44:54SPEAKER_03: I don't love this.
- 44:55SPEAKER_03: This is not my Utah play.
- 44:56SPEAKER_03: Utah's my favorite play of the week.
- 44:58SPEAKER_03: I've always just I'll die on that hill.
- 45:00SPEAKER_03: I don't love Kentucky, but uh I have a lot more I have a lot more faith in Kenny Minchie than I do John Mateer.
- 45:06SPEAKER_03: Kenny Darby is a dude.
- 45:08SPEAKER_03: CJ Baxter, the former five-star running back from Texas who's now at Kentucky, is starting to show why he was so high.
- 45:14SPEAKER_03: And that offensive line is really damn good.
- 45:17SPEAKER_03: It's just a good offensive line.
- 45:18SPEAKER_03: It's not a good offensive line for Kentucky standards.
- 45:21SPEAKER_03: It's a good offensive line because it's a good offensive line, because it's a good offensive line.
- 45:24SPEAKER_03: So if I was gonna bet on anything, it would be Kentucky plus six and a half, but I don't love it.
- 45:30SPEAKER_03: What do you got?
- 45:31SPEAKER_00: Make it seven.
- 45:33SPEAKER_00: Uh make it seven and a half.
- 45:37SPEAKER_00: Yeah.
- 45:38SPEAKER_00: I do.
- 45:38SPEAKER_00: Go over a touchdown.
- 45:39SPEAKER_00: Yeah, because the numbers say that this final score is Oklahoma winning 25 to 18.
- 45:45SPEAKER_00: I think that's too many points for Oklahoma.
- 45:48SPEAKER_00: And Kentucky can score 18.
- 45:50SPEAKER_00: I mean, they can they can score 17, 20, 17, 20 points.
- 45:55SPEAKER_00: That sounds perfectly uh reasonable for Kentucky that I've been watching the last couple weeks that have scored third over 30, over 30.
- 46:03SPEAKER_00: And so, yeah, Kentucky plus seven and a half uh sounds great.
- 46:08SPEAKER_03: Yeah, I'm gonna be honest with you guys.
- 46:10SPEAKER_03: I'm the when I'm when I'm on the when I'm on the car ride back from our Virginia Tech victory, Georgia Tech, I'm gonna sprinkle a bit of money on Kentucky winning outright.
- 46:17SPEAKER_03: Because I'm a crazy person.
- 46:18SPEAKER_03: Not for the parlay, but I'm gonna pull a little bit of money on Kentucky winning this game.
- 46:22SPEAKER_03: I'm I don't I'm they're not gonna be they're not gonna be overwhelmed by uh Oklahoma's defense.
- 46:29SPEAKER_03: They're not gonna be out physically up front, they're not gonna be pushed around.
- 46:32SPEAKER_03: Um LSU's defense is as good as Oklahoma's, despite what happened last week.
- 46:37SPEAKER_03: So no, I'm I'm all I'm all over, I'm all over the uh big blue nation this one.
- 46:42SPEAKER_01: That sounds good.
- 46:42SPEAKER_01: Let's go on to Cal, who is hosting Wake Forest.
- 46:46SPEAKER_01: This is a late night game Saturday, 1030 on ESPN 2.
- 46:49SPEAKER_01: Wake Forest comes in ranked 21st in the nation.
- 46:52SPEAKER_01: Cal, sorry, Darren, coming off of a big victory over Virginia Tech at home.
- 46:57SPEAKER_01: Wake Forest is a nine and a half point favorite.
- 46:59SPEAKER_01: 53 and a half is the over-under.
- 47:01SPEAKER_01: Do you guys have any thoughts on this game?
- 47:10SPEAKER_00: Did we lose you?
- 47:13SPEAKER_00: Lost him for a second, but I think uh Mark said, What do we think about this game?
- 47:17SPEAKER_00: And what I think is tip my cap to Wake Forest.
- 47:20SPEAKER_00: I'm not betting a penny on this.
- 47:21SPEAKER_00: This is weird.
- 47:22SPEAKER_00: Hell no, me neither.
- 47:23SPEAKER_00: Weird, weird versus weird.
- 47:25SPEAKER_03: Weird versus weird.
- 47:26SPEAKER_03: Wake forest, wake forest football laying nine and a half points on the Pacific Ocean?
- 47:32SPEAKER_03: On the Pacific playing Pacific Ball over there.
- 47:35SPEAKER_03: I don't care if they're playing Sisters of the Poor.
- 47:37SPEAKER_03: There ain't no way I'm giving up 10 and 9.5 points.
- 47:39SPEAKER_03: And what are you betting on with uh Cal?
- 47:41SPEAKER_03: No JKS.
- 47:42SPEAKER_03: He's out for the year, which really sucks.
- 47:44SPEAKER_03: Um, Tashu Pai is like kind of a disaster.
- 47:46SPEAKER_03: They're calling for 53 points.
- 47:48SPEAKER_03: I don't I don't want any part of this game.
- 47:50SPEAKER_03: I have no idea what's gonna happen.
- 47:52SPEAKER_03: I hope Jake Dickert stone stone rolls them and Wake Forest is a surging team and they get rematch with Miami.
- 47:58SPEAKER_03: So they I think they actually might be the second best team in the ACC, but I got I got no kind of confidence in Wake or Cal or the under over and under at 10:30 Eastern on Saturday night.
- 48:09SPEAKER_03: Yeah, good luck, boys.
- 48:11SPEAKER_03: Let's go on to a big 10 game.
- 48:12SPEAKER_01: We'll catch up with Sunday.
- 48:15SPEAKER_01: Northwestern, number 25, going to Michigan State Saturday noon.
- 48:20SPEAKER_01: Peacock, Northwestern, a seven and a half point favorite, over under a 48 and a half.
- 48:24SPEAKER_01: Uh Mike, you've got thoughts on this one.
- 48:29SPEAKER_03: Northwest, Northwestern is another one of those team that's a wagon.
- 48:33SPEAKER_03: I think they're five or six and oh after the spread this year as well.
- 48:36SPEAKER_03: Uh, Chip Kelly is doing wonderful, wonderful things with Aiden Chiles.
- 48:40SPEAKER_03: I don't love this game as on the road, but there has been nothing that I've seen out of Michigan State.
- 48:45SPEAKER_03: I think Michigan State is two and four right now.
- 48:47SPEAKER_03: They're terrible.
- 48:49SPEAKER_03: Um, I think Northwestern is Northwestern might be my second best play next to Utah.
- 48:53SPEAKER_03: Same situation.
- 48:54SPEAKER_03: Northwestern is good.
- 48:56SPEAKER_03: They are running the bejesus out of the ball.
- 48:58SPEAKER_03: I don't see anything on Michigan State that's gonna stop them.
- 49:00SPEAKER_03: If we're gonna doing, I would lay seven and a half, I'd lay ten and a half without without batting an eye.
- 49:05SPEAKER_03: Um, I really like Northwestern.
- 49:07SPEAKER_03: I think they are surging, and I think Michigan State is bad, bad, bad.
- 49:11SPEAKER_03: Um, can I talk either of you into backing the Wildcats?
- 49:15SPEAKER_03: Aiden Child's revenge game.
- 49:18SPEAKER_03: A little bit, little bit, homecoming, sure.
- 49:20SPEAKER_03: Although he left them, but yeah, revenge.
- 49:23SPEAKER_03: Um, also, also, Michigan State's quarterback Alessandro Milichovic.
- 49:27SPEAKER_03: He stinks.
- 49:28SPEAKER_03: Is he is he?
- 49:29SPEAKER_03: I think I don't even know if he's in if I don't even know if he's still under center anymore for uh Michigan State.
- 49:33SPEAKER_03: I think he is.
- 49:33SPEAKER_03: Yes, he is.
- 49:34SPEAKER_03: Ums and three interceptions through six games.
- 49:39SPEAKER_03: Like, what are we talking about here?
- 49:41SPEAKER_00: He threw for 103 yards at Wisconsin.
- 49:45SPEAKER_03: Gross.
- 49:46SPEAKER_03: 103 is not gonna get her done.
- 49:49SPEAKER_03: Gross.
- 49:49SPEAKER_03: And Northwestern is better than Wisconsin.
- 49:51SPEAKER_03: At least I'm pretty sure they are.
- 49:53SPEAKER_03: I'm laying them.
- 49:53SPEAKER_03: I'm laying them and I'm laying them and not thinking much, not thinking twice about it.
- 49:57SPEAKER_00: Yep.
- 49:57SPEAKER_00: Lay the lock it in.
- 49:59SPEAKER_00: Lay the seven and a half.
- 50:00SPEAKER_00: Don't even don't even massage it.
- 50:02SPEAKER_00: Just lay the seven, lay nine and a half.
- 50:04SPEAKER_00: Hell, you know, whatever.
- 50:06SPEAKER_00: Okay.
- 50:07SPEAKER_01: All right, it's homer time, guys.
- 50:09SPEAKER_01: It's time to go through the games of the teams that we seem to love this year or forever.
- 50:15SPEAKER_01: Uh, we'll start with Mike White's team at the Tennessee Volunteers are hosting the Alabama Crimson Tide.
- 50:21SPEAKER_01: Saturday, 3:30 on ABC.
- 50:22SPEAKER_01: Alabama comes in at an eight and a half point favorite with a over-under at 51 and a half.
- 50:28SPEAKER_01: Mike Wade, give me your thoughts.
- 50:30SPEAKER_03: So a little context for this game.
- 50:32SPEAKER_03: This is uh this is called the third Saturday in October.
- 50:34SPEAKER_03: This is one of the things that makes college football great.
- 50:36SPEAKER_03: This is one of the legendary college football games.
- 50:38SPEAKER_03: A little fun fact for a long time, actually, both teams wear their home uniforms in this game.
- 50:43SPEAKER_03: So it's actually the crimson shirts against the orange shirts in the game.
- 50:47SPEAKER_03: It makes for awesome TV viewing.
- 50:49SPEAKER_03: Uh the Hen and Hooker game against uh Bryce Young in 2023-22.
- 50:54SPEAKER_03: That was one of the best college football games I've ever seen.
- 50:57SPEAKER_03: Um, they won again two years later with Joe Milton.
- 51:00SPEAKER_03: So this game has gone back and forth a lot.
- 51:02SPEAKER_03: Um, the winner lights up cigars, bragging rights for a year.
- 51:06SPEAKER_03: This is one of the this is one of the most historic, oldest rivalries.
- 51:09SPEAKER_03: That said, this game can UT run the ball and get some plus matchups for uh George McIntyre or Faison Brandon?
- 51:15SPEAKER_03: I don't know.
- 51:16SPEAKER_03: Alabama's front is a little dinged up, but they're still really, really good.
- 51:20SPEAKER_03: Can you can can Tennessee's defensive line continue to be absolutely dominant?
- 51:24SPEAKER_03: They've been one of the better units in college football that nobody's talked about.
- 51:27SPEAKER_03: Jim Knowles has really elevated their game.
- 51:30SPEAKER_03: Is Keelon Russell in a uh letdown spot?
- 51:33SPEAKER_03: Uh coming off a frustrating close loss in the rain in Georgia.
- 51:38SPEAKER_03: Maylon's gonna be absolutely bonkers.
- 51:40SPEAKER_03: Place is gonna be 100,000 strong.
- 51:42SPEAKER_03: There's gonna be a flyover.
- 51:43SPEAKER_03: I wouldn't be surprised if Trump shows up for all I know.
- 51:45SPEAKER_03: I haven't heard that, but I'm just making I'm just making it up.
- 51:47SPEAKER_03: I don't really know.
- 51:48SPEAKER_03: No Ryan Coleman Williams.
- 51:49SPEAKER_03: I know he's out, although Alabama's got no shortage of playmakers outside or in the backfield.
- 51:55SPEAKER_03: I'm very excited to watch this game.
- 51:57SPEAKER_03: I have no idea what's gonna happen.
- 51:59SPEAKER_03: I don't have a betting lean, but this is one of the best TV viewing football games.
- 52:05SPEAKER_03: This is, if you're an NFL fan, this is Niners, Seahawks, this is Bears, Packers.
- 52:11SPEAKER_03: This is gonna be an absolute war, fabulous game to watch.
- 52:14SPEAKER_03: But from a betting standpoint, I I I want to have a lean, but I don't.
- 52:21SPEAKER_01: Stay away on it, Darren.
- 52:23SPEAKER_00: Anyway, it's great.
- 52:24SPEAKER_00: Yeah, this is really tough.
- 52:25SPEAKER_00: Uh McIntyre's and his redshirt freshman is second year.
- 52:29SPEAKER_00: He's too young to be put in here against the Alabama Crimson Tide defense.
- 52:33SPEAKER_00: I think Faison's gonna get in there and play and just mess it up.
- 52:41SPEAKER_00: You know, like he's got the more he's got more experience.
- 52:43SPEAKER_00: I know he's a younger guy, but like, but he's got a couple games of experience under his belt.
- 52:49SPEAKER_00: He's got a higher upside, which is what they need.
- 52:52SPEAKER_00: Uh they're gonna put they're gonna put him in.
- 52:55SPEAKER_00: He's just not good enough.
- 52:56SPEAKER_00: Neither of these guys are good enough to beat Alabama, I don't think.
- 53:00SPEAKER_00: And so the line is great.
- 53:01SPEAKER_00: You know, the the line is right where it should be.
- 53:04SPEAKER_00: Um Alabama's gonna win handily.
- 53:07SPEAKER_00: I mean, I can see it under I can see it.
- 53:09SPEAKER_03: Oh it's you you want you wanna you want to lamb?
- 53:12SPEAKER_00: Not really.
- 53:13SPEAKER_00: No, no, no.
- 53:14SPEAKER_00: I'm just yeah, yeah, I'm just saying it's it's it's it's on.
- 53:17SPEAKER_00: It's on there.
- 53:18SPEAKER_00: Yeah, and 51 points, uh yeah, that's I mean, that's uh yeah, that's right on seven twenty-four, twenty-seven, no, twenty-eight, twenty-eight, twenty-one.
- 53:28SPEAKER_03: That sounds about right, you know, like that sounds about right.
- 53:31SPEAKER_00: 3123, uh, you know, Alabama could absolutely score 28 points or so.
- 53:37SPEAKER_00: It's right on where it should be.
- 53:38SPEAKER_00: It's right where it should be.
- 53:39SPEAKER_03: So if I were for if you're look if you're listening to this podcast and you're looking for something, I would go under if I was gonna do anything, but I'm like 51% confidence on that.
- 53:48SPEAKER_03: I got no part of me.
- 53:50SPEAKER_03: I've if if there's 70 points in this game and turn into a shootout, like that would be, I don't know.
- 53:55SPEAKER_03: Just because of the story, although I have a really hard time seeing how Tennessee would get the ball down the field that fast, but I don't know, it could happen.
- 54:02SPEAKER_03: We're at spot.
- 54:03SPEAKER_01: Stay away.
- 54:03SPEAKER_01: Let's take a look at two of the best offenses in the SEC are gonna go head to head this Saturday at noon.
- 54:10SPEAKER_01: Mississippi State's going to LSU Saturday, noon, ESPN.
- 54:14SPEAKER_01: LSU is favored by two touchdowns, Mike.
- 54:17SPEAKER_01: The over-under is at 58 and a half.
- 54:20SPEAKER_01: Now, I'm not gonna talk much about the Mississippi State defense, but you have talked about Camario all year.
- 54:25SPEAKER_01: We've talked about Sam Levitt and his turnovers all year.
- 54:28SPEAKER_01: What's gonna happen in this game?
- 54:29SPEAKER_03: So here's what you need to know.
- 54:31SPEAKER_03: This line is priced that Camario's not playing.
- 54:33SPEAKER_03: He's hurt, and it was gone up a lot this week.
- 54:36SPEAKER_03: It was, if Camario was playing, we'd be too the wood, the line would be eight points, ten points, maybe eleven.
- 54:43SPEAKER_03: This is priced in that they're saying Camario's not playing.
- 54:46SPEAKER_03: And based on what I'm seeing and hearing on the Tiger Rant and my LSU Messers boards, it sounds like he's not going to play.
- 54:52SPEAKER_03: Lane Kiffin is pissed.
- 54:53SPEAKER_03: Uh, we play very, very well at home.
- 54:55SPEAKER_03: Our defense has been outstanding at home.
- 54:58SPEAKER_03: Uh, whenever against LaTeX, Clemson, um, and uh Texan M.
- 55:03SPEAKER_03: I'm expecting the defense to be very, very good here as well.
- 55:07SPEAKER_03: Mississippi State's with a bad offensive line.
- 55:10SPEAKER_03: I love Anthony Efforts.
- 55:11SPEAKER_03: I love Bluff Bothwell.
- 55:12SPEAKER_03: But if they're not doing what they can, what Jeff Levy can do with Camario, Camario is a one-of-one.
- 55:17SPEAKER_03: He is such a good player and he's so good for them.
- 55:19SPEAKER_03: He could do a lot.
- 55:20SPEAKER_03: Without him, I don't see it.
- 55:22SPEAKER_03: I think this game is actually, I think it's a get-right game for Lane.
- 55:25SPEAKER_03: I think he's pissed.
- 55:26SPEAKER_03: I think uh Tiger Nation's pissed.
- 55:27SPEAKER_03: I think they are kicking themselves for the way they lost the Kentucky game.
- 55:31SPEAKER_03: That fourth and one call is gonna haunt our dreams for 12 months that we play until next season.
- 55:35SPEAKER_03: Um, lay him is what I'm I'm feeling pretty good about laying the points here because I'm pretty darn sure Camario's not playing.
- 55:43SPEAKER_03: And that our defense in Death Valley, a backup Mississippi State quarterback with a bad offensive line, it could get really ugly.
- 55:51SPEAKER_03: I'm so I'm I if you can talk me out of this, because obviously I I can't I can't see my team very squarely, but I think LS wins this game huge numbers.
- 56:02SPEAKER_00: So status uncertain for Camario.
- 56:05SPEAKER_00: They're coming off their bow week.
- 56:06SPEAKER_00: Is this just a is this just a play by the coach to keep him on the questionable list until the very last minute and say game time decision?
- 56:16SPEAKER_00: Oh, he was healthy all along and he's gonna come out and light it up.
- 56:19SPEAKER_00: Because they're coming off two weeks, he's coming off a bat week.
- 56:22SPEAKER_03: I don't know.
- 56:22SPEAKER_03: So I would say I would agree with you, but if that were true, there are people in in Starkville, there are people close to him who are watching him practice and they're putting the money down.
- 56:30SPEAKER_03: They're like the like the the these markets are smart.
- 56:33SPEAKER_03: They're they are they are seeing him practice, they are seeing the reports, they're seeing what's going on.
- 56:37SPEAKER_03: If you're in Mississippi State, it might be look, this is one we're not gonna get, and we need Camario.
- 56:43SPEAKER_03: Like you could it's not hard for me.
- 56:45SPEAKER_03: If I'm not saying Jeff Levy doesn't want to win, I'm not saying he's trying to lay down and quit, but it's pretty easy for me to see a scenario where he is not putting his A game out there, protecting his best, best asset, and he wants to get Michigan wants to get Mississippi State back on track for down the stretch.
- 57:00SPEAKER_03: We can stay away if you guys want to, but if I'm I'm not betting on Mississippi State, I'll tell you that right now.
- 57:05SPEAKER_03: Um over under 50 58 and a half, 50.
- 57:09SPEAKER_03: I mean, LSU might get that on their own.
- 57:11SPEAKER_03: Um I would bet on LSU to cover or the over if I was betting on anything, but I'm cool with neither as well.
- 57:22SPEAKER_01: Yeah, I'm a hard pass on this one.
- 57:26SPEAKER_01: I just don't trust.
- 57:26SPEAKER_01: I don't know.
- 57:27SPEAKER_01: I don't trust LSU.
- 57:28SPEAKER_01: I don't trust Mississippi State without Camario.
- 57:31SPEAKER_03: We're a different team, we're a different team when we're at home.
- 57:34SPEAKER_03: I don't if we're I mean, I don't try I don't trust us again next week at Auburn, but in Tiger Stadium, we have been lights out.
- 57:40SPEAKER_03: We've won uh we've won a we we win a lot.
- 57:43SPEAKER_03: We win a lot.
- 57:44SPEAKER_03: I don't like that it's at noon.
- 57:45SPEAKER_03: That's kind of a bummer.
- 57:46SPEAKER_03: You know, obviously Death Valley at night is when it's known for.
- 57:48SPEAKER_03: Um SC's just it's just you know uh lock of the draw went to the BYU Notre Dame games.
- 57:54SPEAKER_03: They got the they got the prime time, but what are you gonna do?
- 57:56SPEAKER_00: Uh dare we're sure what what number do you say do you see right now?
- 58:01SPEAKER_00: LSU lay in how many points?
- 58:03SPEAKER_00: 14 and a half.
- 58:04SPEAKER_00: Yeah, 14.
- 58:05SPEAKER_00: Yeah, lay in 14.
- 58:07SPEAKER_00: Um, and that's like you said, that's steaming upwards.
- 58:11SPEAKER_00: It was 10 and a half at some point, 11.
- 58:13SPEAKER_00: That's exactly what I'm saying.
- 58:14SPEAKER_03: That I'm telling you that difference.
- 58:16SPEAKER_03: They are telling people they're smarter, they're people smarter than us.
- 58:20SPEAKER_03: Camario's not playing.
- 58:21SPEAKER_03: So I'm that that's what that's what you're betting on.
- 58:24SPEAKER_03: If you're the only way you're betting 14 and a half is if you really do know something nobody else knows, you are his athletic trainer, and you're like, oh yeah, he's playing.
- 58:32SPEAKER_03: He's like, you know, it's like that's what it would take to justify the 14 and a half.
- 58:36SPEAKER_03: This mark, that's what that line is baking in, telling you Camario's out.
- 58:39SPEAKER_03: Does it matter?
- 58:41SPEAKER_03: Hold on.
- 58:42SPEAKER_00: There are people smarter than us.
- 58:44SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I'm just saying that.
- 58:46SPEAKER_03: I'm just I don't I just don't want to come off as uh, you know, I just want to come off with Popus, but no, no one's smarter than me.
- 58:50SPEAKER_03: Okay.
- 58:53SPEAKER_01: Right, Brainiacs.
- 58:54SPEAKER_01: You guys are going to Blacksburg on Saturday, 3 30.
- 58:57SPEAKER_03: So we're staying away.
- 58:58SPEAKER_03: We're not betting that one.
- 58:59SPEAKER_01: Oh, we just punted on third down.
- 59:00SPEAKER_03: We put we're punted on this one.
- 59:03SPEAKER_01: I would have punted on that one.
- 59:04SPEAKER_01: All right, fine.
- 59:04SPEAKER_01: Uh Georgia Tech at Virginia Tech.
- 59:06SPEAKER_01: Uh Virginia Tech's favored by nine and a half.
- 59:09SPEAKER_01: You guys will be in the stands.
- 59:11SPEAKER_01: Uh, we can't bet on it here in the state of Virginia, but 55 and a half is the over-under.
- 59:16SPEAKER_01: There's uh Virginia Tech get back, you know, after that loss to Cal, the last to Pitt, going up against Men Little Mendoza.
- 59:23SPEAKER_01: Is it time?
- 59:24SPEAKER_01: Is it redemption at Lane Stadium?
- 59:27SPEAKER_01: Darren.
- 59:29SPEAKER_00: I'm kind of like walking punch drunk a little bit, you know.
- 59:32SPEAKER_00: Like I'm I'm kind of stumbling through the hallways here.
- 59:36SPEAKER_00: I don't know what just happened.
- 59:37SPEAKER_00: We just lost two games somehow by winning the game for like 95% of the game.
- 59:44SPEAKER_00: And both of them.
- 59:45SPEAKER_00: Yeah, and or more.
- 59:48SPEAKER_00: And so I don't know what's happening with Virginia Tech.
- 59:51SPEAKER_00: I tell you what didn't happen was all night up downs, which I called for three weeks ago.
- 59:56SPEAKER_00: Coach Franklin pulling these boys out of their jammies, out of their beds in the 2 a.m.
- 1:00:02SPEAKER_00: Um, to make sure they never fumble a football again.
- 1:00:05SPEAKER_00: Um, so Virginia Tech is simply a better team top to bottom than Georgia Tech.
- 1:00:11SPEAKER_00: Georgia Tech has not shown any sort of life.
- 1:00:15SPEAKER_00: Uh they they beat Duke, sure.
- 1:00:17SPEAKER_00: They beat Duke at home by three points.
- 1:00:20SPEAKER_00: So they they, you know, won one for the Gipper last week.
- 1:00:24SPEAKER_00: So what's this their letdown spot on the road?
- 1:00:27SPEAKER_00: I don't know.
- 1:00:27SPEAKER_00: I think we should beat them by 10.
- 1:00:29SPEAKER_00: Uh, but do I have any confidence?
- 1:00:31SPEAKER_00: Not really.
- 1:00:33SPEAKER_00: Pass it to you guys while I continue to, you know, mourn the losses and impossible to look forward because we lost those two just now.
- 1:00:44SPEAKER_03: Things like that I like and don't like.
- 1:00:46SPEAKER_03: Uh what I what I do, what I don't like is the vibes are all off on this game.
- 1:00:51SPEAKER_03: Georgia Tech just went to Duke and just got or they played Duke, just got a there were seven-point dogs in that game, got a big upset.
- 1:00:58SPEAKER_03: After that ridiculous Colorado and Utah shellacking, and losing to Stanford too, like they're when beating Duke was a was just a straight up good win.
- 1:01:06SPEAKER_03: That's a good wins, good wins, good wins.
- 1:01:08SPEAKER_03: So they're coming off that.
- 1:01:09SPEAKER_03: Virginia Tech has lost was started the season 4-0 or 5-0, and they've lost two in a row now.
- 1:01:14SPEAKER_03: So that's the vibes are wrong there.
- 1:01:16SPEAKER_03: What I do like, Virginia Tech is healthy.
- 1:01:19SPEAKER_03: Pretty much everybody is a full go.
- 1:01:21SPEAKER_03: I like that.
- 1:01:21SPEAKER_03: Virginia Tech is at home.
- 1:01:23SPEAKER_03: Like that.
- 1:01:23SPEAKER_03: The biggest thing I like about Virginia Tech is despite all those bad vibes, this is a 10-point spread.
- 1:01:29SPEAKER_03: So that's I'm taking that with me to Blacksburg down the road, thinking we're gonna take care of business.
- 1:01:33SPEAKER_03: It might be, it might be it's gonna be fine.
- 1:01:35SPEAKER_03: If I was betting on this game, I would not because I again the vibes are off for me, and Georgia Tech might have turned a corner.
- 1:01:43SPEAKER_03: I don't think so, but they might have turned a corner.
- 1:01:46SPEAKER_03: So if you're listening to this podcast out of state, my get my guess is stay away or Georgia Tech Plus 10.
- 1:01:52SPEAKER_03: But since I can't bet on it anyway, I got Virginia Tech winning, and I'm gonna be there to watch it in person with my buddy Darren, and I'm very excited.
- 1:01:58SPEAKER_03: That's all I got.
- 1:01:59SPEAKER_01: Guys, I hope you have a wonderful time at that game this Saturday.
- 1:02:04SPEAKER_01: Earlier on Saturday, as you'll be sitting in your tailgate and you'll be looking at a TV, uh, UVA, University of Virginia, is going to SMU to take on Kevin Jennings on the CW.
- 1:02:14SPEAKER_01: Kevin Jennings and SMU are an eight and a half point favorite.
- 1:02:17SPEAKER_01: The over-under is 52 and a half.
- 1:02:19SPEAKER_01: Does Bo Prabula get the yakt?
- 1:02:21SPEAKER_01: Does he get the ship pointed in the right direction here against SMU?
- 1:02:25SPEAKER_01: What's going to happen here this weekend for UVA?
- 1:02:28SPEAKER_03: So here's the good news for Virginia.
- 1:02:30SPEAKER_03: This is a chance to flip their flip their entire season on its head and change the script entirely.
- 1:02:37SPEAKER_03: Uh, if they go to Dallas and they win this game, everything is back in front of them.
- 1:02:42SPEAKER_03: A trip to Charlotte, a squeaking to the playoffs.
- 1:02:45SPEAKER_03: Like, I mean, look at the rest of the schedule, all could go well.
- 1:02:48SPEAKER_03: However, SMU is really good.
- 1:02:50SPEAKER_03: Uh, and if Virginia can't tackle, which has been their big problem, then SMU is going to yak yards all over them.
- 1:02:58SPEAKER_03: That's my big concern for Virginia in this spot.
- 1:03:00SPEAKER_03: Is uh SMU's got some guys out wide that can run like deer, and they are tough to catch up to catch and bring down in space.
- 1:03:08SPEAKER_03: And this is what Florida State did to them, and I'm a little worried about that.
- 1:03:12SPEAKER_03: I like what uh I like what UVA did last week.
- 1:03:14SPEAKER_03: That the comeback uh against Syracuse showed some moxie.
- 1:03:17SPEAKER_03: The team clearly hasn't quit.
- 1:03:18SPEAKER_03: They're still playing hard.
- 1:03:19SPEAKER_03: I do like that.
- 1:03:20SPEAKER_03: I feel good about that, but um, this offensive line has been a monster disappointment relative to what we thought it was gonna be.
- 1:03:26SPEAKER_03: Bo Probula, his ability to be a passing threat is still really suspect.
- 1:03:31SPEAKER_03: I don't really know I don't really know the path to victory for the Wahoos for this game, unfortunately.
- 1:03:37SPEAKER_03: But doesn't mean they doesn't mean they won't don't win.
- 1:03:40SPEAKER_03: Uh if Virginia wins this game, in my opinion, I think we're gonna see something we haven't seen.
- 1:03:44SPEAKER_03: I think it's gonna be the offensive line playing way better, the secondary having its best day ever, Bo Prabula having some can uh chemistry with one or two of his guys really blowing up, but uh none of that we've seen yet.
- 1:03:58SPEAKER_03: Um, here's your chance, Virginia.
- 1:04:00SPEAKER_03: You're halfway through the season.
- 1:04:01SPEAKER_03: Turn the ship around, get it right, but you're gonna have to show us something we have not seen yet.
- 1:04:06SPEAKER_03: So can't bet on anyway.
- 1:04:08SPEAKER_03: If I was, I would take SMU to cover.
- 1:04:10SPEAKER_03: Aaron, any thoughts?
- 1:04:12SPEAKER_00: Is Eli Holstein the better quarterback for this game?
- 1:04:16SPEAKER_00: Because they're gonna need to sling the ball, they're gonna need to put up points, points, points.
- 1:04:19SPEAKER_00: SMU sure will.
- 1:04:21SPEAKER_00: SMU's, you know, they're gonna, it's a very real scenario.
- 1:04:24SPEAKER_00: UVA will be down by 14 somewhere in the middle of the game, and Prabula is not your down by 14 quarterback.
- 1:04:32SPEAKER_00: Um Eli Holstein might be though.
- 1:04:34SPEAKER_00: He's got the he's got the arm and the experience, and he can he can send the ball down the field.
- 1:04:40SPEAKER_00: So, you know, that's a that's a tough question.
- 1:04:42SPEAKER_00: That's an awful question to have to face as a head coach, and I'm glad it's not me, of course.
- 1:04:46SPEAKER_00: Uh, but that might don't be surprised if that happens.
- 1:04:50SPEAKER_00: Um, I think SMU is just a better team.
- 1:04:52SPEAKER_00: They're a team a lot like West Virginia.
- 1:04:55SPEAKER_00: Let's not forget what happened in West Virginia, and that's what's gonna happen to UVA, I think.
- 1:05:00SPEAKER_00: And I'm not gonna love it.
- 1:05:02SPEAKER_00: I'm rooting from uh from uh listeners and friends who are UVA fans.
- 1:05:06SPEAKER_00: I hope it works out well for them.
- 1:05:07SPEAKER_00: It's not a great spot.
- 1:05:09SPEAKER_03: No, it isn't.
- 1:05:10SPEAKER_03: And then I think about SMU is like, you know, SMU was sloppy in their Louisville loss, and they were sloppy in their Florida State win.
- 1:05:17SPEAKER_03: If they that was kind of early season jitters, there's a there is a world, and I think this is probably it's one of two things is gonna happen.
- 1:05:24SPEAKER_03: SMU is gonna play better football than they've played to date because they're more experienced, or they're cleaning up the cleaning up the pet stupid penalties, they're more in sync, blah, blah, blah.
- 1:05:32SPEAKER_03: Or UVA is gonna show something it just hasn't done before.
- 1:05:35SPEAKER_03: I'm betting on the former, not the latter.
- 1:05:37SPEAKER_03: So yeah, I got this is a bad spot.
- 1:05:40SPEAKER_03: I got SMU big.
- 1:05:41SPEAKER_03: Uh, I hope I'm wrong.
- 1:05:42SPEAKER_03: Go wahoo's wahoo wa.
- 1:05:45SPEAKER_01: All right.
- 1:05:45SPEAKER_01: I love that.
- 1:05:46SPEAKER_01: In a world.
- 1:05:48SPEAKER_01: You said that in the just that voice plays in my head.
- 1:05:51SPEAKER_01: A lot of buys this week, guys.
- 1:05:52SPEAKER_01: Iowa, my team is off with number 20, number 23, Boise State is off.
- 1:05:56SPEAKER_01: Penn State, USC, Iowa, Kansas State, Nebraska, all off this week.
- 1:06:01SPEAKER_01: So get prepared to talk about them next week when they're coming off their bye.
- 1:06:05SPEAKER_01: Um, any of these G6 games you guys are interested in, Georgia State at JMU, Nevada at North Dakota State, and Memphis going to Tulane.
- 1:06:14SPEAKER_03: Uh pay attention, JMU.
- 1:06:15SPEAKER_03: Georgia State's good.
- 1:06:16SPEAKER_03: They're better than you thought.
- 1:06:17SPEAKER_03: This is the I mean, obviously, Jamie's cruising.
- 1:06:19SPEAKER_03: They should be.
- 1:06:20SPEAKER_03: I think with uh with North Dakota State going down, JMU's probably slid itself number two in the number two spot.
- 1:06:26SPEAKER_03: But uh teams like UNLV and Memphis are right on their heels.
- 1:06:29SPEAKER_03: So Georgia State is pretty good.
- 1:06:31SPEAKER_03: Don't sleepwalk through that one, come ready to play.
- 1:06:33SPEAKER_03: That's all I got on uh on them.
- 1:06:35SPEAKER_00: Uh Memphis game is Memphis game is Friday night, so that's a fun Friday night watch.
- 1:06:40SPEAKER_00: Yeah um Memphis at two Memphis is a road favorite.
- 1:06:43SPEAKER_00: They're favored by seven at two lanes.
- 1:06:46SPEAKER_00: So I'm you know, go go Memphis.
- 1:06:48SPEAKER_00: We started the week as week zero off talking about these guys.
- 1:06:52SPEAKER_00: Um and so yeah, hope Memphis making some noise towards the end of the season.
- 1:06:56SPEAKER_00: Uh Friday night, Friday night watch.
- 1:06:58SPEAKER_00: Go yeah.
- 1:06:59SPEAKER_00: Yeah, we're gonna be at Beamers.
- 1:07:01SPEAKER_03: Beamers uh down in town Roanoke by about 7:30 on Friday night, drinking beers and eating burgers.
- 1:07:06SPEAKER_03: I'm I'm gonna bet on I'm gonna bet on the Memphis Tigers on that one.
- 1:07:10SPEAKER_03: But uh yeah, I'm gonna lay some points on that.
- 1:07:12SPEAKER_03: Yeah, all right.
- 1:07:12SPEAKER_03: Are we is it time for a quick parlay review?
- 1:07:15SPEAKER_01: Yeah, let's go.
- 1:07:15SPEAKER_01: What do we pick?
- 1:07:17SPEAKER_03: Uh Ohio State at Indiana under 15 and a half.
- 1:07:20SPEAKER_03: Notre Dame at BYU under 46.5, Missouri at Ole Miss over 58.5, Miami, Florida laying 11.5 in the first half.
- 1:07:29SPEAKER_03: Uh Florida at Texas under 52 and a half, Utah laying the 15 and a half, Kentucky plus seven and a half, alt spread at Oklahoma, Northwestern laying seven and a half at Michigan State,$10 wins you.
- 1:07:44SPEAKER_03: $1,684.67 as of this moment, right now on FanDuel.
- 1:07:50SPEAKER_03: We will put that link to the bet uh in the Discord.
- 1:07:53SPEAKER_03: Uh will be uh if you want to tail, you'll see it.
- 1:07:56SPEAKER_03: Uh please be sure to ride along.
- 1:07:57SPEAKER_03: Uh don't bet any money you can't lose, obviously.
- 1:07:59SPEAKER_03: Let's all be responsible.
- 1:08:00SPEAKER_03: This is just for fun.
- 1:08:01SPEAKER_03: But those are our eight favorite plays of this week.
- 1:08:05SPEAKER_03: Anything that was like that was fun.
- 1:08:06SPEAKER_03: That was like I feel good.
- 1:08:07SPEAKER_03: We're gonna win this week.
- 1:08:08SPEAKER_01: We're gonna we're gonna odds are a little better.
- 1:08:10SPEAKER_01: Odds are a little better on DraftKings.
- 1:08:12SPEAKER_01: Uh no, not no, no free ads.
- 1:08:14SPEAKER_01: Nobody we're not getting paid by there, though.
- 1:08:17SPEAKER_01: What are you getting?
- 1:08:18SPEAKER_01: Are they big?
- 1:08:18SPEAKER_03: Are they big different?
- 1:08:19SPEAKER_03: What are you getting?
- 1:08:20SPEAKER_01: I don't know.
- 1:08:20SPEAKER_01: I was trying to follow you, but it was so fast I was like, oh my god, I can't I can't follow this.
- 1:08:25SPEAKER_01: I'm gonna post a just send me the damn thing.
- 1:08:28SPEAKER_03: Yeah, yeah.
- 1:08:28SPEAKER_03: I'm gonna post a picket quick bot link, which will give you the the eight bets populated across every book.
- 1:08:34SPEAKER_03: So shop around.
- 1:08:35SPEAKER_03: So if you have multiple books, obviously click the one that's the best.
- 1:08:38SPEAKER_03: I'm just doing FanDuel.
- 1:08:39SPEAKER_03: That's the one I like, but you don't have to, you can do whatever one you want.
- 1:08:41SPEAKER_03: So but it's gonna be somewhere in that range.
- 1:08:44SPEAKER_03: It's gonna be somewhere in the 10, one to about 170, 160, 165.
- 1:08:49SPEAKER_03: That's the boost.
- 1:08:51SPEAKER_03: And get a boost.
- 1:08:52SPEAKER_01: With or without a boost.
- 1:08:53SPEAKER_03: That's without a boost.
- 1:08:54SPEAKER_03: If you get a boost, you kick it up to one to 220, to you know, win 2,000 bucks, something like that.
- 1:08:59SPEAKER_03: Something crazy.
- 1:09:00SPEAKER_03: Crazy.
- 1:09:01SPEAKER_03: So uh, all right, folks.
- 1:09:03SPEAKER_03: Uh, that is the end.
- 1:09:04SPEAKER_03: We will come back, be coming back at you later this week with some punt or uh go for it.
- 1:09:09SPEAKER_03: So be looking on that.
- 1:09:10SPEAKER_03: Um, thank you so much, please.
- 1:09:11SPEAKER_03: Be sure to like, subscribe.
- 1:09:13SPEAKER_03: Please subscribe.
- 1:09:14SPEAKER_03: We need more subscribers.
- 1:09:15SPEAKER_03: Uh, in the words of Camario, who I really do hope gets better this week.
- 1:09:18SPEAKER_03: I hope you're healthy.
- 1:09:19SPEAKER_03: Um, we're gonna beat you, but not this week.
- 1:09:22SPEAKER_03: Wait, what is it?
- 1:09:23SPEAKER_03: Be safe, be smooth, and have a great night.
- 1:09:42SPEAKER_00: It's gonna be chili.
- 1:09:44SPEAKER_00: It's gonna be chili Saturday.
- 1:09:45SPEAKER_00: Bring your sweatshirt.