Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NBA Show | January 4, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

Transcript

NBA Show | January 4, 2025 | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

• 0:01
  Speaker 1: Fall system's going clear. We lived on what is going
• 0:33
  Speaker 1: on ship a Nation YouTube station beautiful Saturday. We got
• 0:38
  Speaker 1: some NBA to chat about. Coming at you with this
• 0:42
  Speaker 1: video at eleven forty four on the West Coast, So
• 0:48
  Speaker 1: just over four hours until Locke. We have seven games
• 0:52
  Speaker 1: tonight on the DraftKings slates. We're going to go through
• 0:54
  Speaker 1: those kind of give you a slate overview, kind of
• 0:59
  Speaker 1: where my thoughts are at four hours from lock before
• 1:03
  Speaker 1: we dive in and really start making some lineups. I've
• 1:06
  Speaker 1: started the slate plan that should be finished by the
• 1:08
  Speaker 1: time you guys are watching this, as well as all
• 1:11
  Speaker 1: of our cores that we posted today. It's a good
• 1:14
  Speaker 1: time to have a good night. So you know, we
• 1:17
  Speaker 1: have some PGA going, we have some NFL going today,
• 1:20
  Speaker 1: but you know we do have some money to be
• 1:22
  Speaker 1: won in the NBA streets. Speaking of PGA, we're running
• 1:26
  Speaker 1: PGA one hundred. This is now, you know, kind of
• 1:30
  Speaker 1: like the week one of PGA as it's starting up.
• 1:33
  Speaker 1: So take advantage of code PGA one hundred. Get one
• 1:37
  Speaker 1: hundred dollars off the annual PGA package and it gets
• 1:40
  Speaker 1: you full access all the way through the middle of February.
• 1:44
  Speaker 1: Second week of February all the way through Super Bowl.
• 1:47
  Speaker 1: Take advantage of all the sports. This is a great deal.
• 1:49
  Speaker 1: If you are not a member of the ship at
• 1:51
  Speaker 1: Nation community, frankly, you're missing out. So come in, use
• 1:56
  Speaker 1: the discount code, come use the tools, come use the stone,
• 1:59
  Speaker 1: and most importantly, come be a member of the discord
• 2:02
  Speaker 1: where we have you know, sharp talk all day long,
• 2:06
  Speaker 1: every sport, every chat room. It makes you a better player,
• 2:10
  Speaker 1: and it certainly gets the wheels turning on how to
• 2:13
  Speaker 1: make better lineups. But let's dive in. We have, like
• 2:17
  Speaker 1: I said, seven games here. We're gonna keep this a
• 2:19
  Speaker 1: little bit shorter, use this as a slate kind of
• 2:23
  Speaker 1: starter overview, kind of just get the get the wheels
• 2:27
  Speaker 1: turn in a little bit before we dive into the
• 2:29
  Speaker 1: slave plan and cores and making some lineups utilizing the stone.
• 2:33
  Speaker 1: We are utilizing the stone today. We're gonna show that off.
• 2:36
  Speaker 1: I use this, use this to make lineups in every sport.
• 2:40
  Speaker 1: This is a great way to kind of look at
• 2:41
  Speaker 1: the slate as a whole and break down some stuff
• 2:44
  Speaker 1: so you're not going over multiple tabs. So first and foremost,
• 2:48
  Speaker 1: let's break it down seven games. Like I said, there's
• 2:51
  Speaker 1: gonna be four games that I'm gonna look to target. Additionally,
• 2:58
  Speaker 1: there's two games we'll call them in the middle that
• 3:01
  Speaker 1: have middling spreads uh and then you know, kind of
• 3:05
  Speaker 1: one blowout risk and then a game that you know
• 3:07
  Speaker 1: we're gonna find ourselves wanting to target, but out of
• 3:10
  Speaker 1: two seventeen and a half over under in the Minnesota
• 3:13
  Speaker 1: Detroit game might be a little tough to get to.
• 3:17
  Speaker 1: So those four games are Nixon Bowls two thirty eight
• 3:20
  Speaker 1: with a five and a half point spread, Denver and
• 3:24
  Speaker 1: San Antonio running it back from last night two thirty six.
• 3:28
  Speaker 1: Denver's favored by four, Phoenix at Indy two thirty five
• 3:32
  Speaker 1: and a half the Pacers are favored by two UH,
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  Speaker 1: and Memphis at Golden State two thirty three and a half.
• 3:39
  Speaker 1: Golden State favored by two and a half with no Curry.
• 3:42
  Speaker 1: Those middle games are Portland Milwaukee to twenty eight, with
• 3:45
  Speaker 1: the possible blowout risk of Milwaukee at twelve and a half.
• 3:49
  Speaker 1: And then the Jazz at the Heat, the Jimmy buttlss,
• 3:53
  Speaker 1: the the Jimmy Butler liss heat that's he got suspended
• 3:58
  Speaker 1: for seven games. That's probably right. You know, when you
• 4:00
  Speaker 1: start to see some of the stuff he's saying in
• 4:02
  Speaker 1: the media, it's kind of a tough spot to go
• 4:05
  Speaker 1: ahead and get rid of them, So just to spend him.
• 4:08
  Speaker 1: That's a two and a half point spread the last game,
• 4:11
  Speaker 1: Like I alluded to t Wolves and Pistons two seventeen
• 4:14
  Speaker 1: and a half, where I think the field might be
• 4:16
  Speaker 1: a little scared to target, and rightfully so, but I
• 4:19
  Speaker 1: think we could find something there, which we'll get to
• 4:22
  Speaker 1: some important injuries today. Let's talk about the guys that
• 4:24
  Speaker 1: are out and then questionable and the guys that are
• 4:27
  Speaker 1: going to play. So NRK is out, Jimmy Butler's obviously out,
• 4:32
  Speaker 1: jaw Smart and Aldama are all out, and Curry is out.
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  Speaker 1: So those are kind of like the big injuries slash
• 4:40
  Speaker 1: suspensions that are going to you know, kind of dictate
• 4:42
  Speaker 1: some of the value on this slate. Some stuff to
• 4:44
  Speaker 1: watch as we kind of get through the afternoon, is
• 4:47
  Speaker 1: Bradley Beal is questionable Fontechi Oh, that might mix up
• 4:51
  Speaker 1: that pision's rotation with no Ivy. As we saw last night,
• 4:55
  Speaker 1: they started more and kind of ran Beasley off the
• 4:58
  Speaker 1: bench more than Thompson. Tom Scott's ownership Yesterday kind of
• 5:02
  Speaker 1: a tough spot all day. We thought he was slated
• 5:04
  Speaker 1: to start in one of the top values, and like
• 5:07
  Speaker 1: I said, some discussions in the discord ten minutes before
• 5:09
  Speaker 1: Locke really you know, kind of fixed us getting off
• 5:12
  Speaker 1: that value. Duce McBride is questionable, Sohan is questionable after
• 5:19
  Speaker 1: he missed last night in the exact same matchup, So
• 5:21
  Speaker 1: kind of curious to break that down as we get
• 5:23
  Speaker 1: closer to Locke, and those are all the questionable tags
• 5:26
  Speaker 1: really mean something. Wiggins, Giannis and Middleton are all going
• 5:30
  Speaker 1: to play as they're listed as probable. So let's kind
• 5:34
  Speaker 1: of go through where the obvious value is first before
• 5:37
  Speaker 1: the game by game, it's gonna be the Golden State guys.
• 5:40
  Speaker 1: It's gonna be Buddy Heeled at at thirty four hundred,
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  Speaker 1: Trace Jackson, Davis at five K, Dennis Schroedier at fifty
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  Speaker 1: two hundred, and Wiggins at fifty six hundred. Those guys
• 5:49
  Speaker 1: are all going to be popular. I'll throw Kaminga into
• 5:51
  Speaker 1: that mix as well. Coming off the bench. His tag
• 5:54
  Speaker 1: is a little elevated, but he's going to project well
• 5:56
  Speaker 1: as a top value on the slate. And then just
• 5:59
  Speaker 1: you know, kind of the obvious studs as we have
• 6:01
  Speaker 1: you know, Joker and would be going back at it
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  Speaker 1: as they just you know what a fun matchup. Last
• 6:06
  Speaker 1: night Joker went for forty one, eighteen and nine and
• 6:09
  Speaker 1: when we went for thirty five and eighteen. So we
• 6:12
  Speaker 1: get to watch that again tonight. This one's in San Antonio,
• 6:15
  Speaker 1: coming from Denver, so I think, you know, we kind
• 6:18
  Speaker 1: of talked about in the discord. I saw I wasn't
• 6:19
  Speaker 1: talking about I saw some people talking about it. That
• 6:21
  Speaker 1: flight is probably about two and a half maybe three hours.
• 6:25
  Speaker 1: But let's dive in. Let's get rid of the ugly
• 6:27
  Speaker 1: game first. So let let's let's go here. Let's let's
• 6:30
  Speaker 1: start at the top here with the t Wolves and Pistons.
• 6:34
  Speaker 1: This one is going to be, you know, not as
• 6:36
  Speaker 1: target as Target did on this slate because the high
• 6:39
  Speaker 1: totals that we have, but the Pistons defense has not
• 6:42
  Speaker 1: been great over the last month. Now, people might look
• 6:45
  Speaker 1: at some recent scores like last night versus Charlotte and say, well,
• 6:48
  Speaker 1: they kept Charlotte under one hundred, but that was Nola
• 6:50
  Speaker 1: mellow Ball, no Brandon Miller. That was the Miles Bridges
• 6:54
  Speaker 1: led Charlotte Hornets. And I'm not going to put much
• 6:58
  Speaker 1: value into that. So I'm going to continue to look
• 7:01
  Speaker 1: to target this bad Pissons defense over the last thirty days.
• 7:05
  Speaker 1: And really I just you know, want to go to
• 7:06
  Speaker 1: the two studs and Ant and Julius Randall and at
• 7:10
  Speaker 1: eighty six, they want him to attack the rim more.
• 7:14
  Speaker 1: I think, you know, he's going to get better at that.
• 7:15
  Speaker 1: I think he's going to get more free throws. Eighty
• 7:17
  Speaker 1: six as his price is coming down as we saw
• 7:19
  Speaker 1: it up around the nine k's might be a spot
• 7:22
  Speaker 1: to target. Additionally, Julius Randall has been facilitating the ball
• 7:25
  Speaker 1: really well, getting you know, his increased sis rate which
• 7:28
  Speaker 1: at seventy four hundred I mean versus rough look in
• 7:31
  Speaker 1: Pistons defense, this might be a real good spot to
• 7:34
  Speaker 1: target and looks like the field degrees at fifteen percent ownership.
• 7:38
  Speaker 1: The one value piece that I will add is Jaden McDaniels.
• 7:41
  Speaker 1: Jaden McDaniels had you know, he does get the minutes
• 7:44
  Speaker 1: in the low thirties. Last time out versus Boston, he
• 7:46
  Speaker 1: played for thirty five minutes, had thirty two and a
• 7:49
  Speaker 1: half DraftKings points. That smashes that four K tag. This
• 7:52
  Speaker 1: is the guy that we targeted last year, specifically in
• 7:55
  Speaker 1: the playoffs, and was very popular piece to a lot
• 7:59
  Speaker 1: of lineupsn't really played well this season, but I think
• 8:02
  Speaker 1: this is a time that we can start kind of
• 8:04
  Speaker 1: looking to get back to him. You know, he shot
• 8:05
  Speaker 1: six for twelve from the field. He did hit four threes,
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  Speaker 1: but at four K when everybody's going to be all
• 8:10
  Speaker 1: over this Golden State Warriors value and we know how
• 8:13
  Speaker 1: those rotations kind of have been, you know, happening this year,
• 8:17
  Speaker 1: I think this might be an interesting spot to kind
• 8:19
  Speaker 1: of go back to. As he is getting sub twenty
• 8:22
  Speaker 1: percent ownership from the Piston side. I mean with no
• 8:26
  Speaker 1: Ivy last night, they started more, but Beasley, I want
• 8:31
  Speaker 1: to get this right. I have it down. So Beasley
• 8:32
  Speaker 1: got thirty one minutes and took sixteen shots. Now you know,
• 8:36
  Speaker 1: he was one for ten from the three point line,
• 8:40
  Speaker 1: which is interesting because yesterday on the show, I talked
• 8:42
  Speaker 1: about how his price you know, might be kind of capped.
• 8:45
  Speaker 1: But at sixteen shots taking ten threes, I don't think
• 8:48
  Speaker 1: it's capped. I think, you know, if he continues to
• 8:50
  Speaker 1: get this shot, the shot will fall. If he can
• 8:53
  Speaker 1: rebound like he did in the past when Ivy was out.
• 8:55
  Speaker 1: This could be a really interesting spot at essentially no ownership.
• 9:00
  Speaker 1: And like I said, he came off the bench and
• 9:01
  Speaker 1: played thirty one minutes, so we could see an area
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  Speaker 1: where he could start tonight. Two guys, I'll kind of
• 9:07
  Speaker 1: go on before we get off this ugly game. Kate
• 9:10
  Speaker 1: at ninety nine hundred. I mean, you know, he did
• 9:12
  Speaker 1: not play well last night, kind of let some people down,
• 9:15
  Speaker 1: But this would be a good spot to kind of
• 9:16
  Speaker 1: go back. In my opinion, if you're not getting to
• 9:19
  Speaker 1: some of these studs, you kind of want to stay
• 9:21
  Speaker 1: in the mid tier of studs. He'd be on my list.
• 9:25
  Speaker 1: And then Tobias Harris, whose price only increased by two
• 9:28
  Speaker 1: hundred last night. You know he got his mid thirties
• 9:31
  Speaker 1: minutes he did, you know, I think it was you know,
• 9:34
  Speaker 1: high forties and high forties and DraftKings points. If he's
• 9:37
  Speaker 1: going to get the run like he did, which I
• 9:39
  Speaker 1: do anticipate, there is definite upside at that tag. Let's
• 9:45
  Speaker 1: go to the two ugly games before we kind of
• 9:46
  Speaker 1: break down the good games. We have Utah and the
• 9:50
  Speaker 1: Heat here. Now. No Jimmy Butler is going to make
• 9:53
  Speaker 1: the heat side very interesting. I don't want to get
• 9:55
  Speaker 1: too cute in all of this. I mean, you know,
• 9:58
  Speaker 1: we're seeing some ownership on on Rogie off the bench
• 10:00
  Speaker 1: at sub five K. But but I think I'm just
• 10:03
  Speaker 1: focused on the two studs here. I'm looking at Tyler
• 10:05
  Speaker 1: Hero and I'm looking at bam Otebayo. This would be
• 10:08
  Speaker 1: a matchup that I want to tag Hero more than Bam,
• 10:12
  Speaker 1: but Bam has been passing the ball really well. And
• 10:15
  Speaker 1: now that the Heat kind of get to take their
• 10:17
  Speaker 1: ex hel and know that Jimmy's not going to be
• 10:19
  Speaker 1: in the facility, He's not going to be a part
• 10:20
  Speaker 1: of these games. Actually that's a good point. I'm not
• 10:23
  Speaker 1: I think if you're suspended, you aren't allowed in the facility.
• 10:27
  Speaker 1: So anyways, saw the interview with Tyler Hero after Jimmy
• 10:32
  Speaker 1: Butler went on and said that he wants to get
• 10:34
  Speaker 1: his happiness back. I think this is kind of an
• 10:36
  Speaker 1: awkward spot. As we know he's not super confrontational as
• 10:40
  Speaker 1: far as the the Thompson stuff goes. So I think
• 10:43
  Speaker 1: everybody in that room, specifically Tyler Hero, gets to take
• 10:45
  Speaker 1: a deep breath and say, Okay, Jimmy's gone. Now we
• 10:48
  Speaker 1: can play basketball. So I want to look at target
• 10:50
  Speaker 1: those two Teller hero more than Bam, but both are
• 10:52
  Speaker 1: great plays in my opinion in a pace up spot
• 10:54
  Speaker 1: versus a bad jazz team. But I'm going to keep
• 10:58
  Speaker 1: it simple with the heat and not get real cyte
• 11:00
  Speaker 1: outside of that. For the jazz side, I mean not
• 11:03
  Speaker 1: much here. I mean John Collins is going to be back.
• 11:05
  Speaker 1: He's missed like two weeks with a hip. I would
• 11:08
  Speaker 1: assume he gets a minute's restriction, so he's not coming
• 11:11
  Speaker 1: back to his you know, mid thirties and minutes. For
• 11:14
  Speaker 1: some reason, he did come back into mid thirties and minutes.
• 11:17
  Speaker 1: The seven K tag is really interesting, but I do
• 11:19
  Speaker 1: not anticipate that we'll drop down here to Bucks and Blazers.
• 11:26
  Speaker 1: This is another interesting spot. I mean, you get Dang
• 11:28
  Speaker 1: versus old team Jannis at eleven to five, who's you
• 11:31
  Speaker 1: know gonna be? You know what is that eight hundred
• 11:34
  Speaker 1: dollars cheaper than Joker? I'm gonna lean Joker today. I
• 11:37
  Speaker 1: think this Bucks team can take advantage of this Blazers team. Really,
• 11:42
  Speaker 1: just the main guys for me, I do have written
• 11:45
  Speaker 1: down here. You know, you can explore builds with the
• 11:49
  Speaker 1: Bucks blowout, but it might be kind of tough kind
• 11:51
  Speaker 1: of narrowing down who that's going to be. If I
• 11:54
  Speaker 1: am targeting this game, my ranking is gonna go Yiannis, Brooke,
• 11:59
  Speaker 1: old player Brook, Lopez, and then Dame. But that's kind
• 12:04
  Speaker 1: of like the basic beginner kind of breakdown of that
• 12:07
  Speaker 1: team for me, I won't be targeting it it is.
• 12:10
  Speaker 1: You know, it's kind of split down the middle. Do
• 12:12
  Speaker 1: you target games as if blowouts were going to happen
• 12:15
  Speaker 1: or do you just know it's the NBA and then
• 12:17
  Speaker 1: any team can hit shots and this game stays close
• 12:20
  Speaker 1: on tonight's slate, I am gonna go with the thought
• 12:24
  Speaker 1: process of that the Bucks will blow the Blazers out.
• 12:27
  Speaker 1: Because of that, I just really have you know, Avdya
• 12:30
  Speaker 1: on the other side at sixty one hundred, he's been
• 12:32
  Speaker 1: playing awesome. But aside from that, I don't really love
• 12:36
  Speaker 1: anything else in this game. So Ovdy on one side,
• 12:38
  Speaker 1: and then Jannis, Lopez and Dame on the other side.
• 12:42
  Speaker 1: Now let's talk about fun games, so we'll jump back
• 12:45
  Speaker 1: up to the top. We'll start with the game that
• 12:48
  Speaker 1: I kind of have the most questions about, not questions,
• 12:53
  Speaker 1: but kind of the toughest to build through. So, like
• 12:56
  Speaker 1: I said, Bradley, Beal is questionable for the Sun side.
• 12:59
  Speaker 1: I don't love anything if he is back. I mean
• 13:02
  Speaker 1: Devin Booker at nine, k KD at ninety six, Bill
• 13:06
  Speaker 1: at seventy seven. This is a This is a tougher
• 13:10
  Speaker 1: spot for me if he isn't If he's not in,
• 13:13
  Speaker 1: I'm looking at Kevin Target, Kevin Durant, and Tias Jones.
• 13:18
  Speaker 1: But that's kind of like, you know, pretty set for
• 13:20
  Speaker 1: how I always target the Suns. I'm not a huge
• 13:23
  Speaker 1: Devin Booker guy unless both Beal and KD are out,
• 13:26
  Speaker 1: and even at that point, I look to target Tyas
• 13:28
  Speaker 1: Jones a little bit more, especially at the mid five
• 13:31
  Speaker 1: tier range. So if Bal is in, don't have much interest,
• 13:35
  Speaker 1: you could make a case for Tyas Jones in the
• 13:38
  Speaker 1: mid tier at fifty four hundred. As I said, you
• 13:41
  Speaker 1: know on a previous show about a week ago, I
• 13:43
  Speaker 1: like him when all these guys are in, just because
• 13:45
  Speaker 1: he could facilitate the ball. He gets the fourth, you know,
• 13:48
  Speaker 1: defender on the team, sometimes the worst defender on the
• 13:51
  Speaker 1: team when you have to guard Booker, Beal and Durant.
• 13:54
  Speaker 1: So I think there are times that we can take
• 13:56
  Speaker 1: advantage of that. But no real love here in a
• 14:00
  Speaker 1: great total. Like I said, it's a it's a two
• 14:02
  Speaker 1: thirty five and a half. My math maybe two thirty,
• 14:05
  Speaker 1: you know, two thirty five and a half my math
• 14:06
  Speaker 1: is correct. But yeah, it's interesting. You know, I'm hoping
• 14:11
  Speaker 1: we get more clarity before Locke on the Beal stuff.
• 14:13
  Speaker 1: If Bell is out, I want to go KD and
• 14:16
  Speaker 1: Jones over book her. For the Pacers, Haliburton going off
• 14:20
  Speaker 1: winning our guy Rio one hundred grand the other night,
• 14:23
  Speaker 1: I think you had like seventy something DraftKings points and
• 14:26
  Speaker 1: he's kind of the guy that you know, you target,
• 14:28
  Speaker 1: knowing that you know he might, you know, hurt you
• 14:30
  Speaker 1: for five six games in a row. But he's always
• 14:33
  Speaker 1: gonna throw in a giant number and he always gets
• 14:36
  Speaker 1: his low ownership. So uh. But for the Pacers, I
• 14:39
  Speaker 1: mean Haliburton, Nem hard Mathrin, uh, Siakam, Turner, those guys
• 14:44
  Speaker 1: are all in play. And this is what makes this
• 14:45
  Speaker 1: game so hard in my opinion, is that any one
• 14:48
  Speaker 1: of these guys go off. I think we're gonna doc
• 14:50
  Speaker 1: Mathrin a little bit with them. Hard In as we've
• 14:53
  Speaker 1: seen before, you know, he could take it kind of
• 14:55
  Speaker 1: take away a few shots. I mean Siakam whenever he's
• 14:57
  Speaker 1: in the low seven K's is certainly an interesting player
• 15:00
  Speaker 1: to me, and Miles Turning in the low six case two,
• 15:03
  Speaker 1: I mean, plumb Lee's gonna be a little bit better
• 15:05
  Speaker 1: of a defender than Nerk in my opinion. So but
• 15:11
  Speaker 1: needless to say, I mean, you know, Turner does kind
• 15:14
  Speaker 1: of play that stretch five kind of game where he
• 15:16
  Speaker 1: can you know, hit shots from beyond the three point line,
• 15:19
  Speaker 1: So I wouldn't be too scared of that matchup. But
• 15:21
  Speaker 1: if I had to rank them, I think it's gonna
• 15:24
  Speaker 1: be Seawkham with the discount Halliburton, then Turner and then
• 15:27
  Speaker 1: nim Harden Mathrin. I'm just gonna kind of throw out
• 15:30
  Speaker 1: of the pool. When both of those guys are in,
• 15:31
  Speaker 1: they take away from each other. So no, thank you,
• 15:35
  Speaker 1: Nix and Bowles. This is going to be a very
• 15:38
  Speaker 1: fun one highest total on the slate. And we love
• 15:42
  Speaker 1: targeting bulls games as far as you know playing DFS.
• 15:45
  Speaker 1: But additionally, on top of that, we get the Knicks
• 15:49
  Speaker 1: where we know they're gonna get you know, their strong
• 15:52
  Speaker 1: minutes in the mid to high thirties and in a
• 15:56
  Speaker 1: game where they go up and down. This is gonna
• 15:58
  Speaker 1: be a popular set of players. I think the ownership
• 16:00
  Speaker 1: will increase as we get closer to lock. But you
• 16:03
  Speaker 1: can play all of these guys. So, like I said
• 16:05
  Speaker 1: Duce McBride, he is questionable. And with the increase to
• 16:09
  Speaker 1: Cameron Pain, I think if Deuce is out, I don't
• 16:12
  Speaker 1: want to find myself playing Cameron Pain at forty four
• 16:16
  Speaker 1: hundred on a seven game slate. But I mean the
• 16:21
  Speaker 1: decision is going to be, Hey, we played Cat at
• 16:23
  Speaker 1: ten to three, do we play Brunson at eighty nine?
• 16:26
  Speaker 1: Do I get a couple of these middling knicks in
• 16:28
  Speaker 1: the mid price range that have been playing real well?
• 16:31
  Speaker 1: I guess the kind of the answer is what phils So,
• 16:34
  Speaker 1: you know, as my top kind of target on the slate,
• 16:36
  Speaker 1: the first thing that I looked at was is I'm
• 16:37
  Speaker 1: going to play multiple knicks with a bulls runback. I
• 16:41
  Speaker 1: mean that's not you know, that's not you know, surprising
• 16:45
  Speaker 1: to anybody. But I think it's gonna go Cat just
• 16:48
  Speaker 1: because he has the upside. I think he can attack
• 16:50
  Speaker 1: this boots defense. On the other side, I believe you know,
• 16:53
  Speaker 1: he will play well in a kind of a back
• 16:55
  Speaker 1: and forth pace with a ton of shots, extra rebounding
• 16:59
  Speaker 1: increase with the did you know twenty thirty shots that
• 17:01
  Speaker 1: may happen in this game, So I'll label him first. Brunson.
• 17:05
  Speaker 1: You know he is going to play today after missing
• 17:08
  Speaker 1: a game un be League two ago, but you know
• 17:11
  Speaker 1: it got his full minutes last night versus Oksee played
• 17:14
  Speaker 1: decent in those, but I think sub nine K with
• 17:17
  Speaker 1: the matchup versus the Bulls, I think there is upside there.
• 17:20
  Speaker 1: And then as far as Bridges, Heart and og Go,
• 17:23
  Speaker 1: I mean this is this is like throwing a dart.
• 17:25
  Speaker 1: I mean, Bridges, you know, been shooting the ball real
• 17:27
  Speaker 1: well but not really adding any peripheral stats. Heart's been
• 17:31
  Speaker 1: doing the opposite. He's been atting all the peripheral stats.
• 17:34
  Speaker 1: You know, doubled triple doubled in two straight two times ago.
• 17:38
  Speaker 1: And then Og been playing well as well. So I
• 17:42
  Speaker 1: think the way I'm gonna rank this is I'm gonna
• 17:44
  Speaker 1: go Towns and then Towns and then Brunson, and then
• 17:48
  Speaker 1: I think it's Bridges in Heart who are very close,
• 17:51
  Speaker 1: and then Og. But all these guys are going to
• 17:53
  Speaker 1: be good plays versus the Bulls jumping over the Bulls side.
• 17:55
  Speaker 1: I mean, my favorite play by far here is Vouch
• 17:58
  Speaker 1: I want to play Vooche first. Cat. It might be
• 18:01
  Speaker 1: kind of tough to get both these guys in because
• 18:03
  Speaker 1: it'd make it impossible to get Joker, but I think,
• 18:06
  Speaker 1: you know, we could take advantage of the field not
• 18:08
  Speaker 1: playing Voots recently, as well as a matchup versus Karl
• 18:12
  Speaker 1: Anthony Towns, and then kind of the saying goes for
• 18:15
  Speaker 1: these guys. I mean, I'm gonna throw Giddy out just
• 18:16
  Speaker 1: because his price tag is high. I know Io is out,
• 18:20
  Speaker 1: but but he he doesn't really get as many minutes
• 18:23
  Speaker 1: as White and Levine in some of these games. So
• 18:26
  Speaker 1: I'm gonna go White for the discount over Levine. But
• 18:29
  Speaker 1: as we've seen, it's pretty sharp to kind of go
• 18:31
  Speaker 1: Levine and White in some of these games knowing that
• 18:34
  Speaker 1: there's gonna be a million shots. Now, the matchup with
• 18:36
  Speaker 1: the Knicks is a little bit tougher, and that's why
• 18:39
  Speaker 1: the ownership is going to be lower. But I mean,
• 18:41
  Speaker 1: when when both these teams starts to shoot the ball,
• 18:43
  Speaker 1: I mean, it's the Bowls effect when you shoot the
• 18:45
  Speaker 1: ball and under ten seconds of every possession, you kind
• 18:48
  Speaker 1: of force the other team into transition. It kind of
• 18:50
  Speaker 1: takes them out of their half court defensive sets. So
• 18:54
  Speaker 1: that's where I'll kind of leave it here. I mean Lonzo,
• 18:56
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's been a popular value piece over the
• 18:58
  Speaker 1: last couple of weeks. This could be another game where
• 19:00
  Speaker 1: we could target at forty one hundred, but I am
• 19:02
  Speaker 1: not loving it scrolling down here, Nuggets and Spurs. So
• 19:07
  Speaker 1: we get the matchup again from last night. What a
• 19:11
  Speaker 1: fun one. I mean, like I said at the beginning
• 19:13
  Speaker 1: of the show, Joker forty one, eighteen and nine. Weinby
• 19:16
  Speaker 1: thirty five and eighteen four to six from the three
• 19:18
  Speaker 1: point line. Kind of had a heat check there where
• 19:20
  Speaker 1: he hit a three and then was not looking to
• 19:22
  Speaker 1: pass with a step behind the line and and drilled
• 19:24
  Speaker 1: that as well. Now it is interesting to see. I
• 19:27
  Speaker 1: don't have the exact minutes, but you guys can look
• 19:30
  Speaker 1: it up. He did get in foul trouble last night,
• 19:33
  Speaker 1: so that was a concern of mine as we got
• 19:35
  Speaker 1: closer to lock last night. I was on the Wimby stuff,
• 19:37
  Speaker 1: but I ended up going Joker because of the foul risk.
• 19:41
  Speaker 1: And that was the case. I mean, when we did
• 19:44
  Speaker 1: miss out on a few minutes in the first half
• 19:46
  Speaker 1: and in the fourth quarter. Now not a ton we're
• 19:49
  Speaker 1: talking five minutes, maybe six minutes, but he had five
• 19:52
  Speaker 1: fouls and even Zach Collins coming off the bench had
• 19:54
  Speaker 1: five quick ones. So I believe that is going to
• 19:57
  Speaker 1: be the Nuggets kind of strategy again today. Is they
• 20:01
  Speaker 1: saw how easy it was to get him in early
• 20:02
  Speaker 1: foul trouble and kind of dictate the game. I think
• 20:05
  Speaker 1: we can go back to that strategy again today. I'm
• 20:07
  Speaker 1: going Joker over Wimby, even though it's very close, and
• 20:09
  Speaker 1: obviously when he has the upside, but Joker had like
• 20:12
  Speaker 1: mid eighties and DraftKings place last night to high sixties.
• 20:17
  Speaker 1: I think it was like sixty eight or sixty nine
• 20:18
  Speaker 1: for Wimby. But that's where Alean there. They're both going
• 20:21
  Speaker 1: to be fantastic plays. I'm gonna lean Joker over Wimby
• 20:24
  Speaker 1: for the increased foul risk. Now, going over to the
• 20:26
  Speaker 1: Spurs side with Sohan out, yesterday, Castle did get the start.
• 20:30
  Speaker 1: It was a very very popular value piece and as
• 20:35
  Speaker 1: they started this exact lineup that we have projected here now,
• 20:38
  Speaker 1: Sohan is questionable. I would anticipate him him playing if
• 20:42
  Speaker 1: he does not play. Bump the Castle stuff again and
• 20:44
  Speaker 1: is he's thirty four hundred, but it is interesting. Keldon
• 20:48
  Speaker 1: Johnson what is he today forty five hundred and Champagne
• 20:52
  Speaker 1: at forty one hundred. Both of those guys closed the
• 20:55
  Speaker 1: game in the final five to six minutes with no
• 20:58
  Speaker 1: Barns and no Castle, so that'd be interesting. Again. I
• 21:01
  Speaker 1: think if this game does stay close, which is what
• 21:03
  Speaker 1: Vegas is projected, I believe that they will go back
• 21:07
  Speaker 1: to those sets earlier. So that's kind of a check
• 21:09
  Speaker 1: mark to Keldon Johnson. If Sohan is out, if Sohans out,
• 21:13
  Speaker 1: are in, no Castle, no Barns for me, and even
• 21:19
  Speaker 1: really no Keldon Johnson. I think, you know, uh, Champagne.
• 21:23
  Speaker 1: I mean he kind of fits that line up more
• 21:25
  Speaker 1: when you throw Sohan in and if you take Harrison
• 21:27
  Speaker 1: Barnes out with Wimby and Sohn. So that's where I'll lean.
• 21:30
  Speaker 1: But I'm hoping he's out, and I'm hoping that the
• 21:32
  Speaker 1: field gets to Castle because that would make it really
• 21:35
  Speaker 1: interesting to see he got twenty four minutes last night
• 21:38
  Speaker 1: and did not close for just under eighteen DraftKings points.
• 21:42
  Speaker 1: If the field goes there and he's really popular, I
• 21:45
  Speaker 1: don't mind going back to Champagne and Keldon Johnson for
• 21:47
  Speaker 1: kind of that sneaky closed run and may it a
• 21:50
  Speaker 1: few extra minutes over Castle tonight. But like Vasil six
• 21:54
  Speaker 1: two hundred, Wimby's off of the floor. They give him
• 21:57
  Speaker 1: the show, both him and both Wimby and Chris Paul
• 22:02
  Speaker 1: Roth of last night, and it was the Devin Facelle Show,
• 22:04
  Speaker 1: So I would check him as a preferred play for
• 22:09
  Speaker 1: the Nuggets side. I mean it's Joker and then everybody else.
• 22:12
  Speaker 1: I mean, this might be a good spot or not
• 22:14
  Speaker 1: might be. I mean we saw it last night with
• 22:15
  Speaker 1: Murray didn't shoot the ball well, kind of missed out
• 22:18
  Speaker 1: on a few extra shots. But when Joker's not shooting
• 22:20
  Speaker 1: the ball, took thirty six shots last night. But when
• 22:23
  Speaker 1: he's not shooting the ball, it's Jamal Murray next sub
• 22:26
  Speaker 1: Ak he gets his match up again, I'm gonna check
• 22:28
  Speaker 1: the box. There no Westbrook for me at sixty six hundred.
• 22:32
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's been getting the start. I've been playing well,
• 22:34
  Speaker 1: but sixty six is a big boy tag. So I'll
• 22:37
  Speaker 1: leave it there with Murray and Joker on the Nuggets side,
• 22:42
  Speaker 1: Warriors and Grizzlies. I think this is the last game
• 22:45
  Speaker 1: we have to chat about as the Clippers and the
• 22:47
  Speaker 1: Hawks are off. So this is the most interesting moment
• 22:50
  Speaker 1: with all the value that we have. So Curry's out,
• 22:53
  Speaker 1: Draymond is gonna play, Wiggins is probable. So we're gonna
• 22:56
  Speaker 1: find ourselves in a bucket of Buddy Trace, Jackson, Davis, Dennis, Schrodier,
• 23:00
  Speaker 1: and Wiggins and throw Kaminga in there. We're gonna have
• 23:04
  Speaker 1: to distinguish these value pieces. I think I'm going to
• 23:10
  Speaker 1: agree with the fields here in Schrodier being one. No,
• 23:17
  Speaker 1: I'm not gonna agree Schrodier is gonna be one for me,
• 23:20
  Speaker 1: Buddy Healed, if he's gonna be thirty five forty percent,
• 23:23
  Speaker 1: I know his tag is thirty four hundred, but not
• 23:26
  Speaker 1: a ton of trust coming from current the gang over there.
• 23:30
  Speaker 1: Over the last three games, Buddies zero for seven, one
• 23:33
  Speaker 1: for eight, and one for five from the field. This
• 23:36
  Speaker 1: is gonna be kind of a scary fade as we
• 23:38
  Speaker 1: know that he can absolutely fill it up. And I'm
• 23:41
  Speaker 1: not saying go fade Buddy Heeled if he gets to start,
• 23:43
  Speaker 1: but it's certainly something to look at that at thirty
• 23:46
  Speaker 1: four hundred, if he goes his one for eight, two
• 23:49
  Speaker 1: for five, whatever need from the field, he's not adding
• 23:52
  Speaker 1: a ton of peripheral stats to that tag. So in
• 23:56
  Speaker 1: a vacuum, I mean, I'm gonna go Castle over Buddy
• 23:59
  Speaker 1: if both these guys get the starts, or if Shawhan's
• 24:02
  Speaker 1: out for Castle. But interesting if the field is going
• 24:06
  Speaker 1: to go there over Castle, because I'm gonna be looking
• 24:09
  Speaker 1: to get away. Can we get sixty four off the bench?
• 24:11
  Speaker 1: He's gonna be popular and that might be another fade
• 24:13
  Speaker 1: for me. I mean sixty four hundred coming off the bench.
• 24:16
  Speaker 1: He's a great player and get a ton of uses
• 24:18
  Speaker 1: when he's on the floor, but damn, sixty four is
• 24:20
  Speaker 1: a big number, so I'm gonna stay away from him.
• 24:23
  Speaker 1: I think trace Jackson Davis. You know, he played really
• 24:25
  Speaker 1: well in three out of four. The last matchup was
• 24:27
  Speaker 1: real tough for him, So I think this might be
• 24:30
  Speaker 1: a real good target tonight at five K getting some
• 24:34
  Speaker 1: Brandon Clark and Jay Huff on the other side don't
• 24:37
  Speaker 1: love Jaron Jackson as a defender, so we can target
• 24:39
  Speaker 1: him if he does play the five. And then for
• 24:42
  Speaker 1: the grizzly stuff, I mean, it's kind of the usual suspects.
• 24:44
  Speaker 1: They bumped up Scottie Pippen, Desmond Baines, at Ak Jalen wells.
• 24:49
  Speaker 1: I mean, he's been playing okay, but I think at
• 24:51
  Speaker 1: forty seven hundred, I think we kind of lose some
• 24:53
  Speaker 1: upside there. Jaron Jackson at ninety three, I mean he
• 24:57
  Speaker 1: destroyed this matchup for fifty something like a a week
• 25:00
  Speaker 1: or two ago. But ninety three, I mean, now we're
• 25:02
  Speaker 1: getting into talks about, you know, some other studs that
• 25:04
  Speaker 1: I'd rather play. I think I'd rather play Brunton over him, definitely.
• 25:08
  Speaker 1: You know, Jamal Murray for the discount, So I'm gonna
• 25:11
  Speaker 1: be away from that. But I think as we look
• 25:13
  Speaker 1: at this game as a whole, it's going to be
• 25:15
  Speaker 1: trying to drill the correct Warriors value. And if you
• 25:19
  Speaker 1: find yourself in a spot to run somebody back, I
• 25:22
  Speaker 1: think that you know it's going to be tough. But
• 25:25
  Speaker 1: I think that's where you kind of get your edge tonight,
• 25:27
  Speaker 1: maybe getting off some Brandon Clark ownership love at just
• 25:31
  Speaker 1: on hundred thirty percent and kind of maybe getting a
• 25:33
  Speaker 1: sneaky Pippen at an increased price price tag or a
• 25:37
  Speaker 1: sneaky Desmond Bane at an increased price tag. But yet again,
• 25:40
  Speaker 1: the Warriors defense has been real tough this season, so
• 25:44
  Speaker 1: I don't love it Damn, I did it again. Guys.
• 25:48
  Speaker 1: I said, we're gonna keep this video short. Somehow we're
• 25:50
  Speaker 1: looking at twenty five minutes. But one more time before
• 25:53
  Speaker 1: you go, if you're not if you are not a
• 25:54
  Speaker 1: member yet, take advantage of the discount. I mean, this
• 25:57
  Speaker 1: is great. I mean, just the discord alone is gonna
• 26:00
  Speaker 1: be worth the money. Let alone, you get one hundred
• 26:02
  Speaker 1: dollars off of the PGA package, which you're absolutely crushing with.
• 26:05
  Speaker 1: I mean, you know, I don't know anything about handicapping
• 26:07
  Speaker 1: PGA golf. Just load up the stone, load up the cores,
• 26:11
  Speaker 1: load up you know, the articles that are written the
• 26:13
  Speaker 1: value report. They do a fantastic job. And I feel
• 26:16
  Speaker 1: like I'm always in contention every week and I don't
• 26:19
  Speaker 1: know anything about professional golf. So utilize it. Get in
• 26:22
  Speaker 1: the discord, take advantage of the multi sport package. As
• 26:26
  Speaker 1: as as you've seen if not on if you haven't heard,
• 26:30
  Speaker 1: or if you've seen on Twitter, I mean, we're we're
• 26:32
  Speaker 1: having some winner. Shoutout to Reo with one hundred k
• 26:34
  Speaker 1: and they're running back Showdown again last night. But everybody,
• 26:37
  Speaker 1: I appreciate the watch. I will be jumping over to
• 26:40
  Speaker 1: finish up the slave plan now and take a dive,
• 26:44
  Speaker 1: a deeper dive into what we have going for tonight's slate.
• 26:48
  Speaker 1: But guys, everybody, thanks for watching. If you're not a member,
• 26:51
  Speaker 1: sign up and get luck to on your contest and
• 26:54
  Speaker 1: let's ship it had mons, mother, hanns and man still.
• 27:19
  Speaker 1: Mother had had ms, most have still. Mother has ten
• 27:27
  Speaker 1: ns and mother still mother p est most f ns
• 27:38
  Speaker 1: mothers with f mans