Latest / Three For The Money / NFL Week 18 Gambling Picks, Player Incentives, Hot Dog Strategies
Transcript
- 0:003 for the money is brought to you by the Trend
- 0:02Center app. This is the best tool for sports
- 0:06betting research. The Trend Center app, you can
- 0:09test betting systems from the past 20 years,
- 0:11explore thousands of existing trends and systems
- 0:14from top betting experts, choose from hundreds
- 0:16of filters to test different systems for each
- 0:19sport. Save these trends and get notified when
- 0:21their systems have games. Download the app and
- 0:24use our code TFTM for 15 % off a premium membership.
- 0:28after a two -day free trial. the pod didn't drop
- 0:59this morning at Thursday, 6am central per use,
- 1:04but you know, things happen. And now we're doing
- 1:09it on Thursday, and it's coming out on Thursday.
- 1:13So information will be more up to date, or something
- 1:18that was coming out today. Yeah, I'm gonna edit
- 1:21it and just put it out. So I have to think about
- 1:25it. I mean, I'm not doing anything else today.
- 1:28But last time we met, it was before Christmas.
- 1:33Now it's after Christmas, and it's also after
- 1:36the New Year. Just to kind of kick us off here,
- 1:40week 17 for me felt really terrible in terms
- 1:46of betting. It felt like I didn't win a bet until
- 1:51Sunday night, which was kind of the case. I won
- 1:55the Broncos chiefs under on Christmas. Um, but
- 2:00then I didn't win another bet until Sunday night
- 2:02football, which happened to be my sure fire.
- 2:05Uh, so that was great. And then the overhead
- 2:07on Monday night, uh, the Rams Falcons. So I actually
- 2:12ended up going three and four won the sure fire.
- 2:14So I'm about even not too bad. A lot worse than,
- 2:20uh, than I, I, I, it felt a lot worse than, than
- 2:24what it actually was, but But yeah, I spent the
- 2:29holidays with screaming children so that was
- 2:33also Not fun. It was fun seeing family but the
- 2:37children aspect was Lack thereof I don't know
- 2:44if I'll regale y 'all with some stories today,
- 2:46but We'll see we'll see what happens Chris. How
- 2:51did your holiday week go? It was pretty similar
- 2:57to you. I felt like I didn't really win a bet
- 2:59for a long time. I went over on Christmas. I
- 3:03only won one bet and like the Sunday, um, or
- 3:07like the noon to afternoon slate with, which
- 3:11happened to be my sure fire Titan saints over,
- 3:13which was one of the easiest wins I've had in
- 3:15a while. Um, but yeah, it was rough. I ended
- 3:20up going three and five, um, with a sure fire
- 3:22when one, the Sunday night over, which shout
- 3:26out to will those clutch and then won the Monday
- 3:29night game. So that, so with three and five,
- 3:32but really won my last two bets. So, I mean,
- 3:37that's something, um, we'll roll that into week
- 3:4018. Uh, yeah, pretty sad. So yeah, pretty sad
- 3:45that the regular season is over, but you know,
- 3:48let's go out the bank. Uh, Sean, how'd you do?
- 3:52Yeah, I think we're kind of all in the same boat.
- 3:54I think it could have been better I Had two bets
- 3:59per game on Christmas Day went three and three
- 4:03Then went oh and three on Saturday Surefire Didn't
- 4:10cash that had no chance in hell. I mean rest
- 4:14in peace that that Ravens Packers under I mean,
- 4:19shit. God. Fuck. I mean, I think the Ravens hit
- 4:26the over by themselves. They did. But went four
- 4:31and four on Sunday. Since I was planning on taking
- 4:37the Titans over as my surefire pick last week,
- 4:41I made another one. I'd put two units on the
- 4:46Titans over but I did buy up to 41 and a half
- 4:50at plus 115 so that was a nice little boost and
- 4:56then Falcons covered on Monday, so Hey, we take
- 5:02week we could get at this point. But um Yeah,
- 5:07I'm one to know in 26 right now since Oregon
- 5:11Moneyline just cashed so hell yeah let's keep
- 5:15it going. Oh yes let's keep it going I have not
- 5:19paid a single attention to college football really
- 5:22since the YouTube TV thing happened and I know
- 5:25it's back but like I don't know it just kind
- 5:28of got me out of it I'm like not in college football
- 5:31I'm just solely NFL right now well Oregon just
- 5:35got done bitch slapping Texas Tech so Yeah, I
- 5:38have it on the TV. Well, it was on the TV. Now
- 5:41it's just waiting for the Rose Bowl. In the Rose
- 5:46Bowl, there's a monsoon coming down. So I had
- 5:51there was this morning. So I hammered the under.
- 5:56OK, we'll have 30 minutes to make a decision
- 5:59on a bet. So we can talk about that later, though.
- 6:04OK, it's week 18. The regular season is all but
- 6:08over. We're only really talking about four games
- 6:12here and I'm ready. I'm ready for the playoffs.
- 6:19I'm ready to watch meaningful football and not
- 6:23not tiptoe around certain kind of bets that that
- 6:29we need to happen for like seeding and playoffs
- 6:32and shit. There are two win -in -win -in games,
- 6:36which is exciting. The first one we're going
- 6:40to talk about here, Saturday game in the afternoon,
- 6:43Panthers at the Bucs, NFC South matchup win -in
- 6:48-in. The Bucs are favored by three and a half,
- 6:50by three. Playing in Tampa Bay over or under
- 6:54is 43 and a half. I have zero stats to back up
- 7:00this game. I'm taking the Panthers plus three
- 7:04Just it's purely vibes purely vibes and if this
- 7:08loses I will be okay I really really want the
- 7:12Panthers in the playoffs I think that would be
- 7:15hilarious If you if you don't have a dog in the
- 7:19fight, I think if you're a sports fan you crave
- 7:23chaos And this is what I crave and I'm going
- 7:26Panthers plus three. It's divisional matchup.
- 7:28It's not a lot of points, but There's no match
- 7:33was pretty close and the Panthers beat the Bucks
- 7:35the last time they played a couple weeks ago,
- 7:37so I'm going Panthers plus three also the Bucks
- 7:40are still a little bit beat up not so much on
- 7:44offense, but Still a little bit on defense and
- 7:47the Panthers are just a generally more healthy
- 7:50team right now Chris, what do you think about
- 7:53Panthers box? I agree. I'm on Panthers You can
- 7:58keep your damn points. I'm gonna take them on
- 7:59the money line Uh, Tampa Bay is just a free fall
- 8:02right now. One in seven, the last eight with
- 8:05that one win coming against Arizona. They're
- 8:07just, they're just bad right now. They're really,
- 8:10really bad. I don't think Carolina is particularly
- 8:13great, but they deserve it more than Tampa Bay.
- 8:18And I, I think they win this game. Um, really
- 8:22nothing more than that. I do have a stat from
- 8:23our friends at the trend center. Um, since 2014,
- 8:27NFC South dogs of less than 10, when with a total
- 8:30between 41 and 53 are one 95, one 14 and six,
- 8:35but nine and one in the last 10. So yeah, I think
- 8:40they covered the spread. Obviously I think they
- 8:41win the football game out. Right. Um, yeah, I
- 8:45just don't think the buck. I think the bucks
- 8:46just want the year to end. They, they're terrible
- 8:50right now. So yeah. Panthers money line. Let's
- 8:52have some fun. Let's get the Panthers in the
- 8:54playoffs. Sean, do we have a clean sweep? Uh,
- 8:58yes, we do. Sorry. Um, when you said I'm taking
- 9:01Panthers money line, I know the people at home
- 9:03didn't see it, but will made the shack on hot
- 9:06ones face. He went, and that just kind of broke
- 9:12me for a second. I was over here laughing at
- 9:14it. Uh, yes. Uh, Panthers plus three. Yeah. I
- 9:18think the only way that the Panthers can thrive
- 9:20is when they're Underdogs I gave out that stat
- 9:24that they are 26 and oh Or that was 26 and oh
- 9:28on the trend center. They've lost 26 straight
- 9:31being favorites Plus this season they are seven
- 9:37to know against the spread after a straight -up
- 9:39loss They played pretty bad against the Seahawks,
- 9:44but they've got a good defense And with the division
- 9:49on the line, I at least like them to cover. I'm
- 9:52going to play it safe, go for plus three, but
- 9:54that money line is kind of, it's tempting. It
- 9:57is very tempting. But Panthers can still win
- 10:02this division, even if they lose. Really? Yes.
- 10:08If the Saints win, or is it the Falcons? The
- 10:13Bucks will be like holding out for a prayer.
- 10:15If the Bucks win they will be holding out for
- 10:18a prayer that the Saints or the Falcons lose
- 10:21to the Saints That Rams win that the Falcons
- 10:25got on Monday night that set them up to also
- 10:28be eight nine Which these three teams could be
- 10:32all end up they could all end up being eight
- 10:34nine and only one of them is gonna make the playoffs
- 10:37pretty crazy But the Panthers have the it comes
- 10:42down to the head -to -head record and the Panthers
- 10:45are three and one in the head -to -head record.
- 10:48So even if the Bucks lose, Panthers could still
- 10:51win this division. Crazy. But I like that even
- 10:55more. I think the Panthers like to keep this
- 10:57one close. I think they'll just wrap up this
- 11:00division with a nice tight bow. Also, I'll be
- 11:05taking Rico Dowell for a touchdown at plus 130.
- 11:09He only needs one more to get a quarter mil bonus.
- 11:13Adding that in. Locking that in. I had a bunch
- 11:18of incentive stats as well. I was going to save
- 11:21them for the end because as my like extra plays,
- 11:24because I don't, there's only like four games
- 11:26that matter. But we didn't talk about it, so
- 11:29that's fine. We were on the topic. Yeah, we're
- 11:32on it. I'm in. Whatever. OK, moving on. I'm gonna
- 11:39have to get that stat later because it immediately
- 11:41went out of my head. Or that incentive moving
- 11:45on next game on Saturday Seahawks at the 49ers
- 11:4949ers at home underdogs by point and a half over
- 11:53under is 47 and a half Is this whoever wins gets
- 12:01the one seed Yes, it's the battle one seed. This
- 12:05is the battle for the one seed Sean I'm gonna
- 12:06let you take this one first. I Just want to yeah
- 12:12I just want to say how blessed we are for this
- 12:15to be such a standalone matchup on Saturday night.
- 12:18I mean, I'm not even joking. Seahawks Niners
- 12:21for the one seed, that fucking rocks. But I am
- 12:26going with the Niners on the money line, riding
- 12:29with the hot hand. Six straight wins. Brock Purdy
- 12:32is back. He is no longer Brock Turdy. Last three
- 12:36games, he's passing for at least 300 in just
- 12:40about every one. 11 TDs, just two interceptions.
- 12:45This kind of just comes down to I feel more confident
- 12:48in Purdy than I do Sam Darnold right now. Seahawks
- 12:54are also Purdy's best opponent. In his career,
- 12:58he is six and one straight up and five and two
- 13:00against the spread. And he's been listed as a
- 13:04favorite in all seven of those contests. And
- 13:08as a favorite of four points or less, the 49ers
- 13:13are 3 -0 straight up and against the spread.
- 13:16But I could very much see someone winning by
- 13:21one with a walk -off field goal here. I kind
- 13:26of really hope this one comes down to the wire.
- 13:29I really want a good 49 -second drill down the
- 13:34field. This is a playoff game. And it rocks.
- 13:39And we're blessed to get it early. So, yes, 49ers
- 13:45money line. Also, Joon Jennings TD, scored in
- 13:49six straight games. Coincidence, they've won
- 13:52six straight. He's scored in six straight. I
- 13:54don't think so. This hot streak has to start
- 13:56somewhere, so I will be taking him as well. Chris,
- 14:00I saw you shaking your head. You probably do
- 14:03not agree with me, but... It's not that I disagree
- 14:07with you. Everything you said is correct. Um,
- 14:09Brock Purdy is playing probably the best football
- 14:12he's ever played. Um, but I'm, I was very torn
- 14:17on this game. I'm going with the Seahawks on
- 14:19the money line. Uh, I've been riding them on
- 14:21the road all season, so I can't abandon ship
- 14:25now and the most important game of the year.
- 14:28Um, yeah, I said a few weeks ago, I thought they
- 14:31could win the Superbowl. So. I feel like I have
- 14:34to take them to win this game. So, yeah, I don't
- 14:38love it. Especially the stats you read, but I
- 14:40do have a stat from the trend center is a road
- 14:43division favorites of less than two and a half.
- 14:46Um, and a game between two winning teams over
- 14:49the last 18 years are 27, seven and two against
- 14:52the spread nine and one last 10. So they cover
- 14:56one and a half that wouldn't football. So I'm
- 14:57gonna take Seahawks on the money line. Um, yeah.
- 15:00Do we have a tiebreaker? Will. No We have a different
- 15:06play. I like the over in this game over forty
- 15:09seven and a half It feels like the last five
- 15:12weeks the Niners have just been dog walking teams
- 15:17putting up like 30 to 40 points, but also giving
- 15:22up like 20 so I think to piggyback off of Sean
- 15:28I think this game will rock and For that reason,
- 15:33I choose fun. I don't I don't like choosing sides
- 15:36here. Let's go with the over over forty seven
- 15:39and a half. I think both teams are very capable
- 15:41of of winning this game. But I mean. The last
- 15:47five weeks, the Niners Niners overs have just
- 15:50been cruisin Seahawks, very good defense. That
- 15:55is a bit of a worry, but I think. The Niners
- 16:00offense kind of overcomes this and I feel like
- 16:04if the Seahawks want a shot in hell at this game
- 16:07They need to put up some points and so I think
- 16:11I think this keeps gonna rock I think it's gonna
- 16:13be a point to Palooza over 47 and a half Yeah
- 16:19moving on next game lions at the Bears NFC North
- 16:25matchup bears favored by three points in Chicago
- 16:29over under is 50 and a half Lions put up a stinker
- 16:34last week knocked him out of the playoffs Lions
- 16:38will not be making the playoffs this year. They're
- 16:40back to sucking some are saying The Bears it
- 16:45feels like every game that they play at least
- 16:48as of recently has been awesome kind of crazy
- 16:53Kind of crazy to say that a Bears game was awesome.
- 16:58Kind of like, what year are we in? And the Lions
- 17:00are out of the playoffs. This is like, this is
- 17:02like 10 or 15 years ago. This is crazy. Chris,
- 17:07I'm gonna let you take this one first. All right.
- 17:10I'm taking the under 50 and a half. Feels like
- 17:14too many points for a relatively meaningless
- 17:16game. I know the Bears, it's pretty much, if
- 17:20they win, they get the two, if they lose, get
- 17:21the three. Uh, that doesn't really seem like
- 17:23that much of an incentive to run it up. Um, and
- 17:27the lions, like you said, they've just been laying
- 17:29stinkers lately, especially on offense. Um, this
- 17:33doesn't help that it's out in the cold. Um, on
- 17:36the road, Jared golf sucks in the cold outside.
- 17:39Um, so I just don't think Detroit's really going
- 17:42to move the ball that well. Almanra might not
- 17:44be playing really. There's no point in him playing.
- 17:47I, I think the Bears probably win. I don't want
- 17:52to say comfortably, but I think they control
- 17:53the pace of this game. I, I just don't see them
- 17:57really trying to light it up. I know Ben Johnson
- 17:59maybe has like some personal reasons. Maybe that
- 18:02would come into it, but also you can say, well,
- 18:03Matt Campbell doesn't want him to his former
- 18:06employee to run it up on him. So yeah, it seems
- 18:09like too many points for a meaningless game.
- 18:11So yeah, give me under 50 and a half. Uh, well,
- 18:13what do you think? I think the opposite. I think
- 18:17this game is also going to rock. Um, bears. I
- 18:21mean, they got Ben Johnson. They got. A little
- 18:24bit of something to prove in that aspect. Seating
- 18:29not too important. But also, I think the main
- 18:35factor in this is this is a Dan Campbell Lions
- 18:39team. No matter if they're kicked out of the
- 18:42playoffs, they're they're going balls to the
- 18:45wall. And that's just that's just what they do.
- 18:48It doesn't matter that it's week 18 and they're
- 18:50not in the playoffs Dan Campbell expects the
- 18:53most from his guys And I think this game's gonna
- 18:57rock I like the over over 50 and a half The Bears
- 19:02have been playing in shootouts the past couple
- 19:04of weeks I like that and the Lions Have definitely
- 19:09shown in the past that they can run it up. So
- 19:13I'm going over 50 and a half here. I think I
- 19:18think this is a game neither team wants to lose,
- 19:21um, regardless of whatever is at stake. So I
- 19:27like the over, uh, Sean, what do you think? Yeah,
- 19:31I, uh, I also liked the over. Um, yeah, Dan Campbell,
- 19:36I, yeah, it's just grit for grit. You know, he's
- 19:40a great guy. He's going to grind it out till
- 19:43the very end. Um, And he's definitely not letting
- 19:46Ben Johnson get the easy dub here. And I'm not
- 19:50asking for a bloodbath, but I think this one's
- 19:54going back and forth, point for point. Give me
- 19:57the over. Just one last chance, one last good
- 20:04licking against a heavy playoff contender. I
- 20:08think this goes well over if Goff doesn't turn
- 20:11over the ball five fucking times. Looking for
- 20:15a week 18 bounce back game, you know the classic
- 20:18spot And you know bears been humming they've
- 20:23been humming right now getting hot at the right
- 20:25time Even though they lost putting up 38 on San
- 20:29Fran that game was nuts More or less looking
- 20:34for a sequel to that game, I guess even though
- 20:38this game has way less implications. So yeah,
- 20:42give me the over 50 and a half. Let's have some
- 20:44fireworks. All right, there it is. Okay, last
- 20:49game we're talking about here. For the main slate.
- 20:52It's Ravens Steelers win and in the Steelers
- 20:59at home. Dogs by three and a half. DK Metcalf
- 21:03still suspended because he's a bum that can't
- 21:06control his temper. Ravens beat the shit out
- 21:10of the Packers last week Surprisingly with Tyler
- 21:16Huntley at the helm Which kind of begs the question?
- 21:20What kind of Ravens team are we getting here?
- 21:24Is who do we do what do we know who's playing
- 21:27a quarterback Lamar is likely to return. He's
- 21:31been practicing this week. Hmm. Okay I gotta
- 21:36be straight up I don't have a pick for this game.
- 21:39I have no idea what to pick. I kind of hate this
- 21:43game. The implications of, you know, this being
- 21:48Sunday Night Football and winning it in and you
- 21:50know, there's no Monday Night Football this week.
- 21:52So it's that's this is kind of it. And it's like,
- 21:55I don't. It's like, it's like I think this game
- 21:59is going to suck, but also this game has the
- 22:03potential to not suck. So I don't uh, I don't
- 22:06really have a pick for this game. I would love
- 22:08to be Steered in the right direction or at least
- 22:12Collect some of your thoughts Chris I'm pretty
- 22:18surprised you I'm pretty surprised you don't
- 22:20have a pick for this. Well, I mean it's death
- 22:23taxes Raven Steelers unders under 41 and a half.
- 22:26I know With Huntley it felt it feels like they're
- 22:31a competent team And it's like, I don't, I don't
- 22:34know if that guy's playing, but if Lamar's likely,
- 22:37then I, uh, yeah. Yeah. I mean, anyway, uh, DK
- 22:43now you're good. I would say Pittsburgh has no
- 22:46downfield attack without your boy, DK and Baltimore
- 22:50finally kind of realized like, Hey, if we just
- 22:53give the ball to Derek Henry, like every other
- 22:55play, we're probably going to win the football
- 22:57game. So, um, I don't know if Harbaugh will.
- 23:01do that this game? I hope he does. Sometimes
- 23:03he will do it for most of the game and then just
- 23:05stop like you did against New England. So I think
- 23:08they keep it on the ground primarily in this
- 23:10game. Pittsburgh can't do anything offensively.
- 23:14It's prime time. It's cold. It's week 18. This
- 23:17is just where defenses rise up. The under is
- 23:21nine and two in the last 11 games between these
- 23:23two teams. Five have known the last five in Pittsburgh.
- 23:26This game, I mean, We've seen this a billion
- 23:29times. It's going to be a rock fight under 41
- 23:31and a half. Sean, what do you think? I'm going
- 23:37Ravens minus three and a half. Just to kind of
- 23:41piggyback off of Chris here. Yeah, I don't think
- 23:46that was so much a Tyler Huntley game as much
- 23:49as it was a Derek Henry game. Derek Henry had
- 23:52231 yards and four touchdowns. The Ravens have
- 23:58not really been relying on Henry like that last
- 24:02week, too much this season. So hopefully this
- 24:06game awakened something in Harborough that he
- 24:09was like, hey, we have one of the best running
- 24:12backs to ever do it. Maybe let's get him going
- 24:16here a little more and let's make a run into
- 24:18the playoffs because as we know, playoff Henry
- 24:22is different. He's a different animal. Plus,
- 24:28Rogers just doesn't have anyone to throw it to.
- 24:31And that really showed during that cleavage game,
- 24:34which, by the way, hilarious. Throwing to MVS
- 24:39three times in a row, the game on the line, and
- 24:43it not working three times, is the literal definition
- 24:47of insanity. But he kinda had no other choice.
- 24:52He had nobody else to throw it to. So DK not
- 24:57being out there is actually a huge difference
- 24:59major Rogers went 3 and 15 in completions when
- 25:05throwing it 10 yards or more downfield Against
- 25:08Cleveland. That's fucking bad And I I kind of
- 25:13think they're gonna be forced into this situation
- 25:15again had their backs against the wall forced
- 25:17to throw it downfield No one there to catch it
- 25:21Little stat I found Under Harbaugh Baltimore
- 25:26is 8 -0 straight up when playing a back -to -back
- 25:29night game all other teams in this spot or 45
- 25:32in 49 and 45 over the last five seasons We all
- 25:39know that Tomlin as a dog is amazing, but I want
- 25:44to raise the question If the Ravens lose this
- 25:47game and miss the playoffs Harbaugh's gone, right?
- 25:53Mean it kind of feels like they have they have
- 25:57to move in another direction it this this feels
- 26:00like I've heard some people talk about this game
- 26:02and It kind of feels like a loser leaves town
- 26:06like the losing coach kind of leaves town, you
- 26:09know it's like Tomlin has been here for like
- 26:11fucking 20 years and like he has a negative playoff
- 26:15record like All he does is go above 500 by like
- 26:21one is so Yeah, I think I agree with what I think.
- 26:25I don't know if it's a loser leaves town like
- 26:27official. I think it's a loser next year. Their,
- 26:30their seat is incredibly hot. I don't, I mean,
- 26:34Tomlin, I think more so if they lose, I could
- 26:35see them firing him hardball just cause they've
- 26:38actually had great success in the last ham ever
- 26:42since I've had Lamar really, um, it'd be hard
- 26:45to see them firing it. I mean, if he, if he just
- 26:48bungles this game and he's the reason they lose,
- 26:51I can see it. But if they just lose straight
- 26:53up, like whatever, then I think his seat is incredibly
- 26:57hot next year. But if either coach got fired
- 27:01after this game, I wouldn't be surprised. Yeah.
- 27:04So, I mean, I'm kind of going off the Ravens
- 27:07just for that fact. I mean, they, they've got
- 27:10to make it. I mean, I mean, they don't have to,
- 27:14the world's not going to end, but like, man,
- 27:17if you want to. keep coaching this team for at
- 27:20least one more game after this. It feels like
- 27:22you need to win this game. So I'm going to go
- 27:25with the Ravens minus three and a half. I kind
- 27:27of took a long time trying to figure out what
- 27:31this pick actually is because I liked the under
- 27:36as Chris said, but there was I've been burned
- 27:41by those those Ravens unders for far too long
- 27:44now. And yeah. But will did did we did we sway
- 27:51anything? Yeah, I'm gonna take the under I do
- 27:55think the Ravens will win this game Hopefully,
- 27:59you know piggybacking off you Sean Hopefully
- 28:02they figured it out with with their if you just
- 28:05keep feeding them It's you're gonna win as long
- 28:10as doesn't fumble which has been an issue, but
- 28:15But yeah I was a bit afraid of the under because
- 28:19I was looking at the The Raven schedule this
- 28:23year and the last time they played it went over
- 28:25and I remember I remember watching that game
- 28:27at the bar and That game like accidentally went
- 28:32over I think if I'm if I remember correctly Yeah,
- 28:36a bunch of like fuck shit happened in the second
- 28:37half. Yeah, so But I was looking at the score
- 28:42and I was like that definitely went over for
- 28:43a Raven Steelers game I was like, I don't know
- 28:46so But I'm taking the under this this week. Because
- 28:52it's like I think. I think Ravens minus three
- 28:55and a half is a little bit too juicy, and it's
- 28:56like I don't want to take the money line, so
- 28:59just just just ride the under. Does does DK come
- 29:06back if they make playoffs or like was he just
- 29:09suspended for two games? OK, yeah, OK, so I didn't
- 29:13know if it was like suspended for rest of the
- 29:15season. Regardless of what happens or what no,
- 29:19I think if he would have punched that fan in
- 29:22like week five He would have been suspended for
- 29:2412 weeks Yeah, it was like you got it. You got
- 29:27to sit out the rest of the regular season Yeah,
- 29:30okay. No, I mean like yeah, but playoffs. It's
- 29:33like hey, we need we need that TV money Of course
- 29:38You can't hit a fan Okay, well You're a millionaire.
- 29:47Why do you give a fuck about what anyone else
- 29:49thinks? Jesus Christ. Oh my God. If I had that
- 29:54money, I'd be like... Bro, you can say anything
- 30:00to me. I wouldn't care. That guy could have hit
- 30:04me. Yeah. And I would have been cool with it.
- 30:09Anyway. In the face of a snow shovel, I would
- 30:12have been like, thanks! Would you hit your 45
- 30:15million dollars? Yeah, you can hit me in the
- 30:17face with a snow shovel. Will, would you hit
- 30:21your wife for a million dollars? Yeah. I'd do
- 30:27it for a million. Who wouldn't? What's the don't
- 30:31care about your lowest. I don't know if we can
- 30:37have that discussion right now. I don't know.
- 30:41I don't know if you want that recorded. I don't
- 30:44think we can have it off air, but... Yeah, we
- 30:47can do that. Kota mysteriously disappears. Like,
- 30:52uh, we have this recording. Kota's gone and you
- 30:57bought a boat? What's that about? Anyway. Okay,
- 31:04that's the slate. Now moving on to surefires.
- 31:08Not much to choose from. If if you see fit Depending
- 31:13on what type of type of game you're looking for
- 31:15here, but I'll go first here I love the Seahawks
- 31:19Niners over. I think this game is going to rock.
- 31:22I have zero stats I need to come better with
- 31:26stats, but The Niners have just been kind of
- 31:30on fire right now and the Seahawks have as well
- 31:33But it's kind of like the one seat on the line
- 31:36like Sean alluded to last week If the Niners
- 31:39win this game, and they get the one seed, that's
- 31:45where the Super Bowl is. You know? So it's kind
- 31:48of like, I mean, they're going to be firing on
- 31:51all cylinders. And if the Seahawks want a prayer
- 31:54in this game, not that they need a prayer because
- 31:58they're a good team, but if they want to compete,
- 32:02I guess, with the kind of effort that the Niners
- 32:06are putting out, then I think You're going to
- 32:08need to figure it out on offense a little bit
- 32:10more. So I like the over 47 and a half. Sean,
- 32:14what is your sure fire? Going at the Rams minus
- 32:19seven and a half versus the Arizona Cardinals.
- 32:22For this one, I'm going to turn to our friends
- 32:24at the Trends Center for a 91 and a half percent
- 32:27win rate supporting my sure fire pick. It's called
- 32:31Rams bounce back in late season after a loss
- 32:3511 and one all time. That pesky one comes from
- 32:40the Monday night game versus the Falcons. But
- 32:44the Falcons are a much better team than this
- 32:48Cardinals team is. Jacoby is, I don't know, I
- 32:53feel like he's better than Kyler, but he's still
- 32:550 -8. And yeah, he's just yet to win a game.
- 33:02They've lost all of those games by at least 15
- 33:06points. Rams put up a beating on them four weeks
- 33:11ago. They beat them 45 to 17. Also McVay is one
- 33:17of the most profitable coaches on short rest
- 33:20going 18 and eight against the spread. So give
- 33:24me the Rams. The only thing that worries me is
- 33:29resting the starters kind of later in the game.
- 33:32But depending on how this Niners game goes, Rams
- 33:35could still be playing for the five seed in which
- 33:38they'll play the winner of the Panthers bucks
- 33:41or the Raven Steelers. However, those seedings
- 33:44fall. But yeah, give me the Rams minus seven
- 33:48and a half. Chris, you're sure for our double
- 33:52unit guaranteed play not to lose. Go. All right.
- 33:56I am going to everyone's favorite division in
- 33:59football, the NFC South, the New Orleans Saints
- 34:02plus three and a half. against the Atlanta Falcons.
- 34:06Tyler Schuck might be the best quarterback in
- 34:08football. This guy's fucking amazing. He's gonna,
- 34:13I wanna say gonna, he might win rookie of the
- 34:15year and he's only played like, well, I don't
- 34:18know how many games exactly, but he hasn't even
- 34:20played the entire season. That's incredible.
- 34:24I think they're just a better team than the Falcons.
- 34:28Falcons on short rest. They almost choked to
- 34:31the Rams on Monday night football with a 21 point
- 34:34lead at halftime. Um, yeah, I just, I like the
- 34:38saints. I mean, they've been balling out. They've
- 34:40won five in a row or they've won four in a row
- 34:42with, I think for a lost season, we loved in
- 34:46on a five game win streak. Um, yeah. And I'm
- 34:49going back to our friends at the trend center.
- 34:51Uh, I've used this, um, before on a sure fire
- 34:55Atlanta. in their last 109 games playing at 1
- 35:00p .m eastern with a spread of less than nine
- 35:02is 36 and 73 against the spread i use this i
- 35:07believe it was seahawks minus seven a few weeks
- 35:10ago and seahawks won by 30 so um legitimately
- 35:15i think like it was like 36 to 6 so saints plus
- 35:20three and a half uh they might went out right
- 35:23but w unit i'll play it safe keep it with three
- 35:25and a half uh yeah guaranteed not to lose hell
- 35:29yes that is a surefire picks this week um hell
- 35:34yeah hopefully we can catch one more surefire
- 35:38parlay uh before the end of the regular season
- 35:41um that would be tight um but yeah that's uh
- 35:48that's pretty much it Oh, yeah, he died yesterday.
- 35:56Who's that? The guy from the wire. I forget his
- 35:59name. Oh. That's where that comes from. Oh, I
- 36:04didn't know that's what people said. Oh, all
- 36:10right. Well, you learn something new every day.
- 36:13That's the main slate of games. Now talk about
- 36:16our extra plays. I don't have any, but I do have
- 36:21some player incentives. Do we want to? Do you
- 36:23guys have extra plays or do we want to save the,
- 36:27the, the props for later? I've got three extra
- 36:30plays that aren't like incentive or prop base.
- 36:33If we all want to just go through those before
- 36:35getting into props. Let's do that. All right.
- 36:39Um, okay. We'll do it. Yeah, go first. Okay.
- 36:44Okay. Um, first one, I'm going to double dip
- 36:46on my sure fire take over 43 and a half and saints
- 36:49Falcons. I just want that game to rock. I think
- 36:52it's two electric offenses, not playing for shit.
- 36:55Just go out there, ball out. It's going to be
- 36:57fun. Uh, bingles my seven and a half against
- 37:00the Browns Browns let down spot kind of big win
- 37:02against the Steelers. Um, right there. They're
- 37:05not that good a team. Um, they especially suck
- 37:09on the road. Brown's defense has given a 28 points
- 37:11per game away from home this season. I think
- 37:15Bing was just put it on a Bingles defense playing.
- 37:18better the last couple of weeks, uh, gave up
- 37:2121 to the dolphins, 14 to the Cardinals. I know
- 37:24that's not great, but for their standards, I
- 37:26feel like anything under four touchdowns is not
- 37:28that bad. So bingles minus seven and a half.
- 37:32And then the stinker of the week Packers Vikings
- 37:35under 35 and a half to third string quarterbacks,
- 37:38duking it out. Uh, I think this game is going
- 37:42to blow. Yeah. Uh, Brian Flores says that Vikings
- 37:45defense playing lights out the last couple of
- 37:47weeks. saying it's gonna suck. Don't watch this
- 37:49game. Just bet the under and check the score
- 37:52later. So yeah, under 35 and a half. Those are
- 37:55my three. Malik not playing? No, they're not
- 37:58today. That's Clayton Toon is going to start.
- 38:01Did the Packers make the playoffs? Yeah, they
- 38:03got the seventh seed regardless. That's why they're
- 38:06not even playing like win or lose there. I see.
- 38:10Okay. So yeah, those are my three. They were
- 38:13playing for the one like two weeks ago. Crazy.
- 38:20The mighty have fallen. Fucking way she goes.
- 38:25Sean, what do you got? All right. First one,
- 38:29Cowboys Giants, first half over 24 and a half.
- 38:32Running it back again. One more time, one more
- 38:35for the road. This has been the most profitable
- 38:38system all season long. Cowboys first half overs
- 38:41are 15 and one. This season so last chance to
- 38:46get it saying this cashed on Christmas What was
- 38:50the number 24 and a half Next one Patriots minus
- 38:57ten and a half Patriots have given no risk signal
- 39:01as of yet Dolphins take the cold McDaniels is
- 39:050 and 6 straight up and 2 and 4 against red and
- 39:08temperatures under 40 degrees. Foxboro currently
- 39:12has a high of 28 degrees. Yucky. It's pats all
- 39:18day. Last one. Bengals minus seven and a half.
- 39:23Another one from our friends at the Trends Center.
- 39:25Fade the Browns after allowing less than 14 points
- 39:28in previous game. 23 and 3 in the last 11 years.
- 39:325 game win streak. Give me Joey B and the bungles
- 39:36minus seven Will I would love to hear I think
- 39:41we would all love to hear your player incentive
- 39:44picks for this okay, so I have I've like five
- 39:53or six Did that shock you Sean Mean it should
- 40:01but no Okay, so I Was only able to find a line
- 40:16for one of these The player prop lines are not
- 40:21currently out yet except for the one that I found
- 40:24which will get you later sake one Barkley Only
- 40:29needs 87 yards for an extra 500 K and They're
- 40:35playing the commanders who have the league's
- 40:39third worst run defense Those are scrimmage yards
- 40:43so that he can get them on check downs as well
- 40:46so like Take like 90 rushing yards or 90 all
- 40:51-purpose yards What have you? Next Keenan Allen
- 40:57Only needs 11 more yards for 250k. Um, again,
- 41:0211. Yes. Okay. Um, against the Broncos, uh, which
- 41:09they have a tough secondary. Uh, however, this
- 41:12parlays into, well, I'm not parlaying it, but
- 41:15just a term. Um, he is six catches away from
- 41:21750k. So, um, Might be a little tough with that
- 41:26secondary. However, the last time these two teams
- 41:30played, uh, Kenan and Allen had seven catches
- 41:32the last time they played Denver. So, um, however,
- 41:37uh, Justin Herbert is not playing. So. Is that
- 41:41official? Yeah. Pretty sure. Yeah. That makes
- 41:45sense why the line's 11 and a half. Right. So,
- 41:50um, consider that, um, Eat I mean he only needs
- 41:5511 more yards for for one incentive the six catches,
- 41:58you know I'm probably still gonna bet it but
- 42:02All of these are gonna be like half unit plays
- 42:06for me just so I can you know Bet them all and
- 42:09I don't have my whole bankroll on these player
- 42:12props Season though It uh that that's a possibility.
- 42:22Um, okay next player prop, uh debo samuel only
- 42:26needs 93 receiving yards, uh for an extra 450k
- 42:32So consider that um marquise brown. This is the
- 42:37one that I found the line marquise brown, uh
- 42:40only needs one more touchdown to Get an incentive
- 42:44of 250k. Um on smash wings, uh, that line is
- 42:49plus 320 for any time touchdown score. So that
- 42:54one could be pretty big. That one will be sprinkled.
- 43:01Yeah. Okay. And then the next one is Hunter Henry
- 43:05needs five plus catches for 250K. So hit the
- 43:12five plus catches button on the little sports
- 43:16book there. And who are they playing this week?
- 43:19Dolphins the Dolphins. Oh, yeah, I mean Is Drake
- 43:24may plan do we know that? Yeah. Yes. Okay Then
- 43:29yeah, I mean consider that one cashed and then
- 43:31um, what was that recap battle? One you had shown
- 43:35He needs one touchdown for 250 K. Okay adding
- 43:40it And that's all I got I did find a video on
- 43:47Instagram which I will send both of you of this
- 43:50guy who had every single incentive on the line
- 43:55for this week and I was thinking about taking
- 43:59them all but I didn't want to write them all
- 44:01down so I will I'll let I'll let you guys Take
- 44:09a look at that as well, but that's all I got
- 44:11Sean. Do you have any other? I Do not have any
- 44:18more player props, okay Christopher I don't have
- 44:22any I okay didn't really I've totally forgot
- 44:26about the incentives Okay. Well, I'll send you
- 44:29that video Yes, and then uh Stay tuned on the
- 44:35the X When we we we post our our updated picks
- 44:40all of my player props are gonna be maximum two
- 44:44units not two units half units sorry okay it's
- 44:49like well living on the wild side here well I'm
- 44:55not doing that no I want to be sane when when
- 44:59Sunday comes and Saturday but yeah that's that's
- 45:05pretty much all I got I did write down something
- 45:08else The Raiders are playing the Chiefs this
- 45:11week would love to see the Raiders beat the Chiefs,
- 45:15which could be Travis Kelsey's last game in the
- 45:19NFL I Have also written down slash If they win,
- 45:25I think we go up a spot. Maybe I don't know Could
- 45:29be could be wishful thinking that if the Raiders
- 45:32win the Titans move up I Think because I mean
- 45:36like the Raiders beat us And if the Raiders win,
- 45:40I think they would have more wins than us. So
- 45:43I think that would put us up. But honestly, at
- 45:47this point, like, I mean, you could still trade
- 45:51back for a haul, but we can talk about the draft
- 45:54much later. But that's just wishful thinking,
- 45:58personal preference. And that's really all I
- 46:00got. I don't know. Titans might win this Sunday.
- 46:07Good for them. Will they? I don't think so. 12
- 46:12point dogs. I don't think the Jags are resting
- 46:15anymore. They're not. The AFC South's kind of
- 46:19coming down to the wire. Yeah. The Texans are
- 46:23playing the Colts and then the Jags are playing
- 46:26us. That kind of sucks. Yeah. I wish it was the
- 46:30Jags -Texans to be honest, but. So can the Texans
- 46:33make the playoffs? They can win the division.
- 46:36Yeah. Oh. Both teams I think are already have
- 46:41already clinched. Oh, okay, but It depends on
- 46:47who's gonna win this division or not. Okay, so
- 46:50there's no winning in situation. No Okay, that
- 46:54was that's why I was like what? But I think depending
- 46:58I think right now If it plays out the way that
- 47:04we think it is that the the Jags the Titans and
- 47:08the Texans beat the Colts, they'll play each
- 47:10other in the first round. I'm pretty sure that's
- 47:14how the seeding is going to come down to. Interesting.
- 47:18Texans are becoming that team where it's like,
- 47:22dude, I don't want to play them in the playoffs.
- 47:26They figured it out. Yeah. They've won how many
- 47:30in a row? Seven? Like eight? Seven or eight?
- 47:37Like, uh, it's like, I mean, they may not even
- 47:41win the division, but there's, it's, it's, there's
- 47:45those sneaky teams. So like they're super sneaky.
- 47:49Aren't they like the third or the second team
- 47:52to ever make the playoffs after starting Owen
- 47:54three or something like that or Owen for one
- 47:57of those two. That sounds correct. I don't have
- 48:01anything to. I think I saw that on TV. I think
- 48:06it was after they beat the Chargers, because
- 48:08that's what clinched the playoffs. Jags have
- 48:13won seven in a row, Texans have won eight in
- 48:15a row, Colts have lost six in a row. Hilarious.
- 48:19They started out seven -two. Geez. Now they're
- 48:24eight -and -eight. Could the Jags get the one
- 48:28seed still, like, technically? Like I think the
- 48:31Broncos and Patriots both have to lose, but yeah,
- 48:36I think they as double digit favorites, but yeah.
- 48:41Okay. The Jags win. Bronco. Did the Jags beat
- 48:47the Broncos this year? Did they play? Yeah, they
- 48:50played a couple of weeks ago. Yeah, they beat
- 48:54them in Denver, which is nuts. Kind of like handedly
- 48:57too. Yeah. Oh yeah, I remember that now. Did
- 49:01the, did the Patriots play the, play the Jags?
- 49:06I don't think, no, because the Patriots have
- 49:09only been one team with a winning record. I want
- 49:10to say that, but also, um, I'm taking whoever
- 49:14the Patriots are playing first game of the playoffs,
- 49:16I'm taking the other team. I'm going to take
- 49:18the spread and then Moneyline. The team's not
- 49:20that good. They're just not. The New England
- 49:24Patriots may be the worst 13 and three team to
- 49:28ever. Like, yeah, congrats. Like this is a hell
- 49:31of a turnaround. You beat one team with a winning
- 49:33record. And then it, which was the bills. And
- 49:36then you turn around and lost them the second
- 49:37time you played and blew like a three touchdown
- 49:39lead. So I just don't think, I don't think they're
- 49:43that good. Sorry, Sean, just going back to your,
- 49:49um, so if the Patriots lose and the Jags win,
- 49:55they'll have the same record, but they didn't
- 49:57play each other. how does that how does that
- 50:00get determined probably like common opponents
- 50:04or strength of i don't know some schedule um
- 50:08which the jags definitely have over right yeah
- 50:13and that that's not happening yeah that's not
- 50:17happening the only thing it could be okay the
- 50:22only thing i'll say about the patriots that i'm
- 50:24like all right uh that's good is they are undefeated
- 50:29on the road. They have, they have not gone into
- 50:33a home stadium and lost, which is kind of nuts
- 50:37because like it, even being in a fourth, fourth,
- 50:41fourth place opponent, like any given Sunday,
- 50:45any team can run it up on you. Yeah. I mean,
- 50:48they're very good team. I'm not saying they're
- 50:50bad or anything. They're not the best team in
- 50:53the AFC or the NFL. Like they, they're just not.
- 50:57No, but Drake may is going to win MVP. Yeah,
- 51:02I see the betting favorite now. I mean. Probably
- 51:07I just I checked the only future lines I checked
- 51:11was Chuck offensive Ricky of the year and he's
- 51:15plus 105. Yeah, pretty good started. I really
- 51:18want to mention this earlier. He started out
- 51:2050 to one. Hey, that's for that guy. Dude, that's
- 51:26plus 5 ,000. Just give it to him. That's crazy.
- 51:33Oh yeah, Drake Mays minus 295. Yeah, he's going
- 51:36to win MVP. I mean, he deserves it. I mean, hell
- 51:43of a turnaround. He's been playing lights out.
- 51:48He's been playing really well, but it's just
- 51:51like, I don't want to call them frauds. But they
- 51:55have a fraudulent schedule. Yeah, yes I mean
- 52:00they've been you can't really call them frauds
- 52:02because I mean, yeah They've won their games
- 52:04You know, yeah for sure if they get beat the
- 52:08first round we can call them frauds. Yes. Yes,
- 52:10that's the that's the fraudulent Determining
- 52:15factor, I guess well Didn't they lose yet? They
- 52:20lost to the Raiders Week one yeah, but that's
- 52:26like the Raiders are like objectively the worst
- 52:28team in the league. Oh I think yeah, yeah That
- 52:33was an almost one against the Broncos week one
- 52:36We could have won technically. Yeah, it was a
- 52:40one -score game. We could have won Yeah, but
- 52:47the bad man is gone yes the bad man doesn't know
- 52:53football is gone. Who doesn't know he doesn't
- 52:56know the rules. He didn't know the rules. I'd
- 53:03kind of forgotten about that. Glad you reminded
- 53:05me. Well, I reminded myself, I guess. Actually,
- 53:10I was probably thinking about that like a day
- 53:11or two ago. I was like, that guy didn't even
- 53:13know the fucking rules. I didn't know the rule,
- 53:16but I'm not a fucking NFL head coach. Like It's
- 53:22not my job to make millions of dollars to know
- 53:25the rules. You know the rules, rules, rules.
- 53:28God, it's a bum. Are the bills resting starters?
- 53:33Do we know? I don't think so because I think
- 53:36they still have a chance to like move up in seating.
- 53:39This is like the year where it's like seating
- 53:42is not yet determined for literally anybody but
- 53:46the Green Bay Packers sitting at seven. I might,
- 53:49might have a play on the bills. We'll see if
- 53:52any news about that comes out. Um, cause I was
- 53:55trying to look it up before and it was like,
- 53:58according to McDermott, it was like everyone
- 54:00who's healthy will like, we'll start. And then
- 54:02I was reading like a bunch of like block, like
- 54:05fan, like, or not fan, but like websites, like
- 54:09around the team, they're like, well, it's like,
- 54:11yeah, they're going to start. But if they get
- 54:12up by like two touchdowns in the second half,
- 54:15they'll probably pull them. And they were like,
- 54:18yeah, they definitely like Josh Allen should
- 54:19not be playing this game. A lot of people were
- 54:21saying, especially, I think it's going to snow.
- 54:25So depending on what happens with them might
- 54:29have a plan, the bills. Um, so yeah, check out
- 54:31their follow the Twitter or the X, excuse me.
- 54:35The bills have a chance of being the five, six
- 54:37or seven seed. So I don't know what you're playing
- 54:41for, but so many things have to happen. like
- 54:44i'm just like looking at these scenarios and
- 54:46it's like 60 win plus chargers loss plus houston
- 54:52win plus jacksville win and or uh chargers win
- 54:56houston loss and i'm like dude this is crazy
- 54:59i don't even know how like people keep up with
- 55:01this there's like one guy in the end up in the
- 55:05espn studio where like his job is it's like the
- 55:08last like three or four weeks of the year is
- 55:10always like this team has a 5 % chance to make
- 55:14the playoffs. They just win their games and this
- 55:17guy loses their games and this team also loses
- 55:20their games and this team, their plane has to
- 55:25crash in the middle of nowhere and their team
- 55:28has to die and then they make the playoffs. There's
- 55:33always that one guy who's like, it's his sole
- 55:36job for like, you know, four weeks, the last
- 55:39four weeks of the NFL season. similar vein to
- 55:43Mel Kuiper. I was just about to say this, very
- 55:46Mel Kuiper -ish of him. Only being relevant for
- 55:53four weeks out of the year. Yeah, like a month,
- 55:55Mel Kuiper is like the guy. Well, I don't know
- 56:00if you'd say he's the guy, but he's the guy at
- 56:04the end. He's there. He's in the mix. He's the
- 56:07draft guy. He wrote that book that one time.
- 56:10Yeah, that one time like 40 years ago. So I think
- 56:15good for him. Never been wrong about anything.
- 56:18I mean, he only has to work one month a year.
- 56:22Well, I mean, yeah. So you think he'd be half
- 56:24decent at his job, but whenever. Hey, man. If
- 56:29he's really, if he really has to like work like
- 56:32a lot, like one month out of the year, he's a
- 56:36lot more right than I am. Well, I have, I have
- 56:38more respect for this stats guy than I do Mel
- 56:41Kuiper. I mean, at least like he's giving you
- 56:43like actual like facts. It's like this, this
- 56:46guy, this team has a 2 % chance to make the playoffs
- 56:50at this, this, this, and this. And also that
- 56:53has to happen. That's, that's just fucking that's
- 56:58ball knowledge right there. That's certified
- 57:01ball knowledge. What I don't really get is like,
- 57:04these draft guys, these draft experts, quote
- 57:07unquote, why are they never like talking college
- 57:10football during the season? Like if you're a
- 57:13draft expert, you know, like you think like you
- 57:17watch, you would probably watch a shit ton of
- 57:19college football, but we never hear from them
- 57:22like at all during the college football season.
- 57:24So that could just be maybe ESPN doesn't want
- 57:27to put them on or whatever, but also it's like,
- 57:29maybe they don't actually watch that much college
- 57:31football. Why is Mel Kuyper never on college
- 57:34game day? Because I don't think he watches college
- 57:37football. He just looks at numbers and clips.
- 57:41Yeah, yeah. That's why I thought Shudder Sanders
- 57:44was the greatest quarterback of all time. His
- 57:47numbers weren't that great either. They were
- 57:50fine for Colorado. Yeah. 12 -13. Who's to say?
- 58:04Well Other than the ball, how was your your holidays?
- 58:12I haven't had mine yet Had some family illnesses,
- 58:17so didn't get to celebrate also Sister and brother
- 58:20-in -law were out of town but we're doing it
- 58:23tonight and little hot dog update I bought my
- 58:28dad a fire pit That you know, you've like put
- 58:32wood in and stuff, but it's got Retractable grill
- 58:38grates on the top of it. Oh, that's pretty cool.
- 58:40So good I am definitely going to meal prep some
- 58:45campfire dogs because If I'm gonna have to eat
- 58:49hot dogs, I'm gonna eat them the best way which
- 58:51is on an open flame That's a good strat I like
- 58:55that. Yes, this was a big brain move. I bought
- 58:59it like, I literally bought this on Christmas
- 59:03day. And I was like, hey, this is a good idea.
- 59:10I do not have anywhere to put that Chris. I guess
- 59:13that's true. Plus it's something for that my
- 59:19dad can use. And also I can use and exploit.
- 59:24when I go over there. And it's something we could
- 59:26do together. Grilling wieners. Grilling wieners.
- 59:31And other things. Hey, you might want to flip
- 59:35that one over. Yeah, he doesn't know about it
- 59:41yet, but this episode is dropping tonight, so
- 59:45whatever. So hopefully he likes it, first of
- 59:49all. Yeah, hopefully. I will be exploiting the
- 59:55hell out of that thing, especially for these,
- 59:58these hot dogs. Yeah. Uh, which I will be starting
- 1:00:03next week. Next. All right. Next week. Um, after
- 1:00:09the holidays, you know, back to our regularly
- 1:00:12scheduled program. Um, I'm thinking that I might
- 1:00:15start it on the show. Just. So we have visual
- 1:00:22reference of me actually eating hot dogs. I like
- 1:00:26it. Okay. Are you going to like next week? Are
- 1:00:31you thinking like you're going to like eat one
- 1:00:33at the end and be like, Hey, here's to the next
- 1:00:35hour for me. Or are you going to like just like
- 1:00:37throughout the episode? I think with every pick
- 1:00:42that we have, which I'm assuming with the playoffs,
- 1:00:46we're going to have a pick for every game. Yeah,
- 1:00:49probably. So I'm just gonna down six hot dogs.
- 1:00:53All right. Hot dogs are however many games there
- 1:00:56are in the there's six right in the wild card.
- 1:01:00Yes. Because there's 18 there's eight teams,
- 1:01:03but to eat two teams get a buy. Yeah. So okay.
- 1:01:06So yeah. Yeah. So I think I'm gonna just down
- 1:01:09six during the shot for every pick that we have.
- 1:01:14All right. Do you have a strat? when it comes
- 1:01:18to like, are you going to eat like three per
- 1:01:20meal per day? And then do it that way? Or are
- 1:01:24we just like, yeah, you know, I have three, I
- 1:01:27can, I can do like two more. I think we talked
- 1:01:31about this a little last week, but the strat
- 1:01:35is like two, three, three, like throughout the
- 1:01:38day. But two, three, three. Yeah, two breakfast,
- 1:01:44three lunch, three dinner. Okay. Um, but you
- 1:01:50know, there, there may be a point where I'm like,
- 1:01:52you know, I could eat another one. It's just
- 1:02:01funny thing about breakfast hot. Did you put
- 1:02:07an egg on a hot dog? That sounds pretty good.
- 1:02:10Well, fried egg on a hot dog. Fried egg. Okay.
- 1:02:12I was about to ask what kind of egg you do it.
- 1:02:15over medium? Do you do it more runny? I don't
- 1:02:19do, I don't eat hot talks for breakfast. Okay.
- 1:02:24I'm just throwing out ideas. Neither do I, but
- 1:02:27I'm just asking how you like your eggs. Jesus.
- 1:02:32Well, how do you like your eggs? Um, recently.
- 1:02:36Well, when you get an egg, you've had an egg
- 1:02:39on a burger though, right? It's kind of the same
- 1:02:42principle. Yeah. Do you like it more runny? Or
- 1:02:45do you like it more cooked? I like it more runny.
- 1:02:50I think like cooked egg yolk is like, I don't
- 1:02:54know. It's not really a great experience. It's
- 1:02:57just like a chalky. I'm the opposite. I don't
- 1:03:01like it runny. It's icky. I also hate having
- 1:03:06to say like over hard when you order. Yeah. You
- 1:03:12just scrambled the egg. Yeah. Sprinkle it with
- 1:03:19like some bacon bits or something. Yeah. But
- 1:03:22I mean, scrambled also kind of works for like
- 1:03:24hot dogs because you can like shape it, you know,
- 1:03:28with the dog. Very true. Recently, I've been
- 1:03:35doing my eggs over easy, which is like kind of
- 1:03:40like on a low heat, you put the top on it. after
- 1:03:43you crack it and then it it kind of cooks the
- 1:03:46top a little bit um but not the yolk so much
- 1:03:51and so it takes like a couple minutes longer
- 1:03:56but it's like pretty good and then if uh sometimes
- 1:04:02I do like so that sometimes I do like uh like
- 1:04:07a fried egg with like the yolk uh runny But that
- 1:04:13one's like really quick because it's like kind
- 1:04:15of high heat you crack it in there and Then you
- 1:04:20put the top on it for like 30 seconds and it's
- 1:04:23like the edges are like kind of crispy and then
- 1:04:25you flip it and then you let that cook for like
- 1:04:28maybe 10 seconds and then you flip it back over
- 1:04:32and Hopefully you haven't busted the yoke And
- 1:04:35you're done down the hatch Right anyway, this
- 1:04:40was egg toss me will Yeah, real egg talk. This
- 1:04:44is Will Palmer's breakfast corner. This is breakfast
- 1:04:50nook, if you will. Yeah. Oh, that's good. Yeah.
- 1:04:56I think the strat is just take it day by day.
- 1:04:59Just eat as many as I can without feeling too
- 1:05:02sick. I could eat another one. I mean, we've
- 1:05:08all had those days. You know, or you you feel
- 1:05:11like you're done eating hot dogs and then you're
- 1:05:13like, I don't know. Yeah, I used to be a pack
- 1:05:17a week guy. Pack of hot dogs a week. I don't
- 1:05:26eat hot dogs often. Like at all. Yeah, on like
- 1:05:32special occasions like when it's for survival,
- 1:05:37pretty much. Like at Bonnaroo or, or maybe the
- 1:05:424th of July. I don't know. I was going to say
- 1:05:44it was 4th of July the last time I've had a hot
- 1:05:46dog. It's even then I'm not sure if I had one.
- 1:05:50Something that's appropriate for a hot dog, but.
- 1:05:55Interesting. Well, Christopher, how was your
- 1:05:57holiday? It was good. Um, not much really to
- 1:06:02write home about, uh, went to. Uh, Kelsey's family's
- 1:06:05house on Christmas day. And then my family's
- 1:06:08the weekend after, but, um, I guess I can't share
- 1:06:11this. Came down the stairs Christmas morning.
- 1:06:15Looked over at the tree. See what Santa bought
- 1:06:17me. There's this big ass present wrapped underneath
- 1:06:2055 inch screen television. All right. It's not
- 1:06:26expecting that. Let's go get Santa. See. Okay.
- 1:06:36We said this year, we're only, we're only going
- 1:06:39to do one big gift, but, and then like, just
- 1:06:42like stocking stuffers after that, essentially,
- 1:06:44because getting married, trying to save money.
- 1:06:46So she, her thing she wanted, really wanted was
- 1:06:49to go to the Nate Varghese thing at Bridgestone
- 1:06:51a couple of weeks ago. So we did that. And that
- 1:06:54wasn't like cheap. So we were, I think monetarily
- 1:06:58we're even, but She didn't really have anything
- 1:07:01to like unwrap Christmas Day because that was
- 1:07:03a couple weeks ago And I come down I see this
- 1:07:06big -ass box and I saw it in my first words like
- 1:07:09what the fuck did she get me? Unwrap it and I
- 1:07:14saw I was like I'm very grateful. I love this,
- 1:07:17but I'm mad at you No I was like you did so much
- 1:07:25better than I did this bullshit I can enjoy this
- 1:07:29for years yeah and years yeah but it was when
- 1:07:36we because we're gonna hang it up in the uh living
- 1:07:38room and to get the tv up that we had right now
- 1:07:41was a pain in the ass then we have to get like
- 1:07:42a new bracket and i just i said it's like well
- 1:07:46i guess it'll even out because i'm gonna get
- 1:07:48furious when we have to hang this thing so right
- 1:07:52might have to hire a guy I mean, we've done it
- 1:07:57before. Like we can't, it's just a pain in the
- 1:07:59ass, but whatever. Yeah. So that was, that was
- 1:08:04very nice. I'm very, very happy. I'm very, the
- 1:08:08present is one of the best I've ever got. So
- 1:08:10I don't want to seem ungrateful. I was just mad
- 1:08:14because she won. She won Christmas. Christmas
- 1:08:20is only just a construct. You can win today,
- 1:08:23even tomorrow. or even the rest of your life.
- 1:08:28I'm gonna win January 3rd. January 3rd will be
- 1:08:34mine. What's January 3rd? I was just down a couple
- 1:08:39days from now. How was your Christmas, Will?
- 1:08:43Oh, for tomorrow. Oh yeah, Will. I talked to
- 1:08:46you about this, but yeah, tell Chris. Yeah, so
- 1:08:49I told Sean the whole story, but I'll tell an
- 1:08:53abridged version. So we went to my brother -in
- 1:08:56-law's place in Indiana Christmas Eve and we
- 1:09:00got there like nine and the kids were asleep
- 1:09:03and I was like okay thank God I don't have to
- 1:09:08deal with them today and then they were like
- 1:09:10we were sleeping on an air mattress in their
- 1:09:12living room and I was like this is fine and they
- 1:09:15were like hey they're they're gonna wake up early
- 1:09:18and I'm like that's fine they are children there's
- 1:09:22three of them They're only young once I I have
- 1:09:27no business being upset about this and so they
- 1:09:31woke up at like 6 and then Came out there did
- 1:09:35their whole Christmas thing And you know, that
- 1:09:39was cool and then Christmas was like kind of
- 1:09:41you know Pretty pretty pretty doable in a household
- 1:09:46with three small children both one five and seven
- 1:09:52And then we went to Waffle House. And the oldest,
- 1:09:59he was just like, off the wall at Waffle House.
- 1:10:02And I was like, hey, man, you know, the servers
- 1:10:06here fight. This is Waffle House. This isn't
- 1:10:10this is a Chili's. This is Waffle House. Put
- 1:10:13your ass in that seat. And he wasn't having it.
- 1:10:17But yeah, it's funny. Not wrong. I'm not wrong.
- 1:10:23No. Um, and then Christmas was, you know, it
- 1:10:28was cool. Um, and then, uh, then whenever they
- 1:10:31went to bed, uh, at night, I started drinking
- 1:10:35heavily and then, um, I left a bottle of whiskey
- 1:10:38over there and, uh, which I was kind of sad about
- 1:10:42it, but also like this guy needs it a lot more
- 1:10:45than I do. Um, so I was like, you know what?
- 1:10:48You can, you can have this, uh, And then the
- 1:10:52day after Christmas, um, they were supposed to
- 1:10:55stay in their room still seven 30, uh, but at
- 1:10:57six 45, um, the two oldest had walkie talkies
- 1:11:02and they were on a secret mission, uh, to go
- 1:11:07get their toys from the living room, which is
- 1:11:09where me and my wife were sleeping. And, um,
- 1:11:12I don't know if you guys ever put this together,
- 1:11:14but walkie talkies are famously not quiet. And
- 1:11:21neither are two two five and seven year olds
- 1:11:25running through the house trying to be quiet
- 1:11:29So I was woken up. I wasn't hungover But you
- 1:11:34know, I had a couple the night before and you
- 1:11:37know, you obviously need your sleep after that
- 1:11:39so I was a bit upset and then and then my brother
- 1:11:45-in -law made breakfast and This part is hilarious
- 1:11:50He makes this oatmeal bake thing, and he slices
- 1:11:54up some strawberries, gives it to the middle
- 1:11:56child, who's a five -year -old girl. And she
- 1:12:02takes it, and she looks at her plate, and she
- 1:12:04goes, I don't want strawberries. Jesus Christ.
- 1:12:10And I was just like, they're on the side. They're
- 1:12:13not mixed in with the main, the entree. They're
- 1:12:20just on this you don't even have to eat them
- 1:12:22and then she stomped And went into a room and
- 1:12:25started crying and I was just like what the fuck
- 1:12:27is happening right now. What are we even doing?
- 1:12:31This is this is crazy and so That happened. It's
- 1:12:37great birth control. Yeah, it is and then uh
- 1:12:42After breakfast I got our shit ready and I was
- 1:12:44like we should go home. She was like, okay That
- 1:12:50was part one of my Christmas weekend extravaganza,
- 1:12:57which part two was also a bit not great, but
- 1:13:04different story for a different time. Stay tuned
- 1:13:07for next week. Roshani's hot dogs and I tell
- 1:13:11another story about children. We'll see y 'all
- 1:13:14next week. And also gambling. And also gambling.
- 1:13:16We'll see y 'all next week. Check out the Trends
- 1:13:19Center app. Greatest tool on the planet for sports
- 1:13:21bettors. Use code TFTM to check out. Follow us
- 1:13:23next for Up To The Picks. There's three of us.
- 1:13:25Now let's make some money. Alright, let's go
- 1:13:32see. Motherfucking TFTM.