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The Favorites - Preakness and MLB Betting Update · The Favorites Sports Betting Podcast

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Speaker 1: the Tennessee red Line one nine or visit one eight
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Speaker 1: Gambler dot Net in West Virginia. Welcome to the Favorites,
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Speaker 1: the podcast from the Volume Podcast Network. I'm Chad Mollman,
1:22
Speaker 1: Chief Content Officer of the Action Network. The sports season
1:26
Speaker 1: never stops, NHL playoffs, NBA playoffs. This weekend we have
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Speaker 1: the one hundred and forty seven running of the Preakness
1:40
Speaker 1: Stakes at Pimlico in Baltimore, Maryland, home of the David
1:48
Speaker 1: Simon Epics. Television extraordinaire. We're a quarter of the way
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Speaker 1: through the Major League Baseball season. In a moment, Seansillo
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Speaker 1: Action Network Senior writer, hardest working man in sports, co
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Speaker 1: host of Payoff Pitch Are Major League Baseball Betting podcast
2:11
Speaker 1: on the Action Network. Co host of the Action Network
2:14
Speaker 1: podcast UFC Betting Preview, which comes out every Friday. He's
2:19
Speaker 1: gonna join us. US is me and my bff, my companion,
2:25
Speaker 1: my compadre, the newest member of the construction world in
2:32
Speaker 1: Northern New Jersey, professional better summon hunter. Bad buddy, You
2:39
Speaker 1: were so you nail on the head there. This really
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Speaker 1: is like the just never ending sports time of year,
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Speaker 1: got playoffs every night in hockey, got basketball every night,
2:48
Speaker 1: we got baseball going on during the day, then we
2:50
Speaker 1: got a little bit of horse racing on the weekend.
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Speaker 1: It's it's the best. You gotta love this time of year.
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Speaker 1: May it's a look. You guys know, I tend to
3:00
Speaker 1: go to sleep pretty early, um, and I am in
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Speaker 1: this point of the year in the NBA playoffs where
3:10
Speaker 1: there's a game every night, no nights off, And last
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Speaker 1: night the game didn't even start until nine o'clock. So
3:19
Speaker 1: I napped for most of the second quarter and then
3:22
Speaker 1: was able to be alert and alive for the third
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Speaker 1: quarter to see the Warriors blow them out. And honestly,
3:29
Speaker 1: I kind of didn't want to go to bed. I did,
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Speaker 1: but I didn't want to because even when the Warriors
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Speaker 1: are blowing a team out, they're so fun to watch,
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Speaker 1: Like their ball movement, the passes they make, staffs passes
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Speaker 1: are so beautiful, the way Clay cuts, the way Draymond
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Speaker 1: grabs rebounds. Looney was unreal, Like that is just beautiful basketball.
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Speaker 1: Like what a joy for the coaches to be able
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Speaker 1: to watch that every night. It's it's glorious. Yeah, and
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Speaker 1: it was. That's one of those games where when Wiggins
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Speaker 1: your highest score for Golden State. They're they're gonna win
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Speaker 1: those games every time. So that was I mean, you, Chad,
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Speaker 1: we're the only ones. Just said. I really love Golden State,
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Speaker 1: and this is why they're just when they're all healthy,
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Speaker 1: when it's all clicking, it's just there's no other team
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Speaker 1: in the NBA that can do what they do. Reminder,
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Speaker 1: what did I say, Warriors in five? I love it
4:20
Speaker 1: calling your shot, calling my shot. You know who else
4:23
Speaker 1: likes to call his shots? Our good friends Shanzarillo Shanzaillo,
4:27
Speaker 1: once upon a time started at Action Network. Very first day,
4:33
Speaker 1: did a podcast with me. He had never done any
4:35
Speaker 1: kind of audio ever. Now Shanzarello's hosting to podcasts. He's
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Speaker 1: got like seventy thou followers in our app. He's writing
4:44
Speaker 1: about baseball every day, he's writing about UFC, He's covering
4:48
Speaker 1: horse racing. He bets more hockey than just about anybody
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Speaker 1: not named Mike Leeboff. Action Network analysts seans Aillo, what's
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Speaker 1: going on doing well? Chat? I got a new be
5:00
Speaker 1: so I'm completely exhausted. I hope be able to give
5:02
Speaker 1: out some good information. Hopefully she doesn't start barking in
5:04
Speaker 1: the middle of the episode. She needs to go out
5:06
Speaker 1: every thirty minutes, so we'll try to keep this tight.
5:08
Speaker 1: But I'm doing well, and I'm trying to find time
5:11
Speaker 1: to manage my time amongst all the puppy pea breaks.
5:15
Speaker 1: What kind of don't you got? We have a second
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Speaker 1: basset town. We had a Bassett hound previously. She's now
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Speaker 1: five years old, and now we have another puppy to
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Speaker 1: become her best friend. But the older dog has rejected
5:24
Speaker 1: the younger dog, and the younger dog is now rejecting
5:26
Speaker 1: the rain. So I've got a lot of rejection going
5:29
Speaker 1: on in my house. Trying to adapt everybody to their
5:31
Speaker 1: current environment. Oh my god, people and their dogs. I
5:36
Speaker 1: love my dog so much. The way my wife and
5:40
Speaker 1: I talked to our dog, it's almost embarrassing how we
5:45
Speaker 1: communicate with her, and our son who's home looks at
5:51
Speaker 1: us like we are just pathetic, pathetic people. But she like,
5:58
Speaker 1: she brings me such joy, Like just looking at her
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Speaker 1: the way she just flops into the house, just pure love.
6:07
Speaker 1: Are our puppy let out her first house last night.
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Speaker 1: The older dog never learned how to howl, but baskets
6:13
Speaker 1: are notorious for howling, So I started running the blender
6:17
Speaker 1: and she started letting out her first house. So hopefully
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Speaker 1: this doesn't become a habit and she doesn't teach the
6:22
Speaker 1: older dog how to howl. But definitely one of the
6:24
Speaker 1: cutest things I've ever seen. Oh my god, I love it.
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Speaker 1: I love it for you next time recorded the how
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Speaker 1: put it on the podcast? Uh, speaking of animals we love.
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Speaker 1: We got a Preakness, and it's gonna be hard for
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Speaker 1: the Preakness to live up to the Derby in the
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Speaker 1: drama in the spectacle, it's almost like doesn't have any
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Speaker 1: of the horses that sort of had the buzz at
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Speaker 1: the Derby lay it out for us. What are we
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Speaker 1: looking for here? Is there going to be attention in
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Speaker 1: the Preakness? What are we thinking about here? So I
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Speaker 1: think the biggest storyline is the fact that Secret Oath,
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Speaker 1: who is your Kentucky Oaks winner, is trying to become
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Speaker 1: I believe the seventh Philly to ever win the preak
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Speaker 1: Mistakes had Swiss Skydiver back in though that race was
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Speaker 1: ran in March, and then more famously, probably in two
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Speaker 1: thousand nine, Rachel Alexandra won the Preakness and that was
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Speaker 1: a huge storyline. So seeing a secret Oa can be
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Speaker 1: your Preakness winner. I think it's a very interesting story.
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Speaker 1: She'll probably be second or third on the odds board.
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Speaker 1: And this is I believe, just the second time in
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Speaker 1: forty years that the Kentucky Derby winner ended up skipping
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Speaker 1: the Preakness for a reason other than health concerns. So
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Speaker 1: that's definitely going to open up the field from a
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Speaker 1: betting perspective. You're gonna get all that public money, reallocate
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Speaker 1: different horses. And as a result, Epicenter, who finished second
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Speaker 1: in the Kentucky Derby, looked like he was going to
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Speaker 1: be the winner until the final fifth yards. I expect
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Speaker 1: him to take a ton of money. A lot of
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Speaker 1: people view them has the clear favorite, and I think
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Speaker 1: will be an odds on favorite by post time. Six
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Speaker 1: to five on the morning line, I expect him would
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Speaker 1: go off probably closer to four to five or even
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Speaker 1: three to five on the tailboard. Why would Epicenter thrive
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Speaker 1: at the Preakness Is there's something specific about that horse
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Speaker 1: that makes it predisposed to racing well at the Preakness
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Speaker 1: versus obviously at race well at the Derby. But breakdown
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Speaker 1: sort of what kind of horses thrive at the Breakness. Yeah,
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Speaker 1: I don't know if there's necessarily a specific style that
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Speaker 1: thrives at the Preakness. Now it is a sixteenth of
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Speaker 1: a mile shorter than the Derby. Derby's a mile and
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Speaker 1: a quarter. Preakness is a mile in three sixteen. That said,
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Speaker 1: we do see closers win the Preakness fairly often. It
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Speaker 1: doesn't necessarily mean because it's shorter, that you're going to
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Speaker 1: get a horse on the lead that ends up running
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Speaker 1: away with it. There is, though, in this particular race,
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Speaker 1: one speed of the speed that is the number five
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Speaker 1: early voting and early voting if they let him loose
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Speaker 1: on the lead, especially we had the fastest opening quarter
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Speaker 1: mile in Derby history last time. Oftentimes you see an
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Speaker 1: overreaction from the jockeys where now nobody wants to be
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Speaker 1: on the lead. So if they get early voting out
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Speaker 1: on an uncontested pace, he can run away with it.
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Speaker 1: The thing with Epicenter, though he likes to be honored
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Speaker 1: near the lead, but he's very versatile. He sort of
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Speaker 1: sit where he needs to and eventually find his run
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Speaker 1: down the stretch. May not be the fastest closing kick.
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Speaker 1: Secret Oath probably has the fastest closing kick in the race.
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Speaker 1: But Epicenter is very handy, very versatile, and if you're
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Speaker 1: just looking at speed scores, he is the fastest horse
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Speaker 1: in the race. I like to use Buyer speed scores.
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Speaker 1: He's the only horse in this field with a hundred
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Speaker 1: Buyer speed figure. He's done it twice in a row
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Speaker 1: now one or two two races back on the Derby.
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Speaker 1: The highest other speed figures in the race belong to
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Speaker 1: Secret Oath at nineties six and also Simplification, who finished
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Speaker 1: fourth in the Derby. In the one hole, He's also
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Speaker 1: at the ninety six and then Secret both down at
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Speaker 1: the ninety four. So the reason why people love Epicenter
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Speaker 1: here either he needs to take a step back for
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Speaker 1: these other horses need to take a step forward, or
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Speaker 1: both in order for one of them to end up
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Speaker 1: upsetting this race. I understand why people like him to
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Speaker 1: a significant degree, but he's had a long campaign coming
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Speaker 1: off of an effort in the Derby where he ran
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Speaker 1: ten furlongs and was battling back and forth in the stretch.
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Speaker 1: Maybe the tank is empty at this point. He is
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Speaker 1: the best horse in the field, but there are reasons
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Speaker 1: to believe why he could take a step back in
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Speaker 1: this race. Now, we just saw one of the greatest
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Speaker 1: upsets obviously ever in horse racing class race in the Derby.
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Speaker 1: Look at this one. There are any long shots you're
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Speaker 1: you're eyeing up to your think yourself, you know what,
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Speaker 1: there's pretty good value here in this race with a
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Speaker 1: good long shot. So the three, I'm gonna toss the
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Speaker 1: number three Fenwick, the number six Happy Jack, and also
10:20
Speaker 1: I'm gonna toss the number seven Armagnac probably as well.
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Speaker 1: Know of those three, Armagnac is down at twelve to
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Speaker 1: one on the morning line, probably will be a bit
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Speaker 1: higher by post time. I mentioned Epicenter, I expect to
10:30
Speaker 1: get about down even below six to five, so that's
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Speaker 1: gonna inflate everybody else's odds. Armagnac probably wants to be
10:36
Speaker 1: on or near the lead as well. One is last
10:38
Speaker 1: going Wire to Wire, trained by Tim Yachten, who is
10:41
Speaker 1: a prodigy of Bob Baffort. So that is your quote
10:44
Speaker 1: unquote Bafford horse in this race. I don't think he
10:48
Speaker 1: has the early speed to be at the lead, and
10:50
Speaker 1: I don't think he loves the pass horses either, So
10:52
Speaker 1: I'm kind of tossing Armagnac out of the picture, even
10:54
Speaker 1: though he's sitting at twelve to one. Fenwick and I
10:57
Speaker 1: mentioned Happy Jack as well. I don't think they have
11:00
Speaker 1: any chance of winning this race. Don't really give them
11:02
Speaker 1: much of a chance of hitting the board. So the
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Speaker 1: two longer shots that I do like Skippy long Stocking
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Speaker 1: the nine and then Creative Minister the two attend to one.
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Speaker 1: I think those odds will float up a little bit
11:12
Speaker 1: from where they are currently. I've seen a lot getting
11:14
Speaker 1: a lot of both getting a lot of buzz. I
11:16
Speaker 1: should say Creative Minister ran on the undercard on Derby Day.
11:19
Speaker 1: He's two for two going around two turns and is
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Speaker 1: his owners paid a hundred and fifty dollars supplemental feed
11:25
Speaker 1: just to put him in the race. That reflects the
11:27
Speaker 1: confidence they have and what he showed there came wide
11:30
Speaker 1: around the turn and that Churchill Downs race had had
11:33
Speaker 1: to pass horses after getting kicked dirt in his face
11:36
Speaker 1: all the way around the track. It was a very
11:37
Speaker 1: impressive effort. But this is his first time going against
11:39
Speaker 1: stakes competition, so it is a step up in competition.
11:43
Speaker 1: But I think he's on a path where he's progressing.
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Speaker 1: And then Skippy long Stocking his last race in the
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Speaker 1: Wood Memorials six weeks ago. Generally, I like the horses
11:51
Speaker 1: that are coming back on six weeks arrest between races
11:53
Speaker 1: instead of two weeks arrest, which you have from the
11:56
Speaker 1: horses running on Churchill Downs Derby Day. So six weeks
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Speaker 1: between those race, says sitting a twenty two one in
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Speaker 1: the morning line. I like him at that price. I
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Speaker 1: think he can hit the board at that price. Underneath
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Speaker 1: liked his race in the Wood Memorial had some excuses
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Speaker 1: for why he didn't run better. All right, there's more
12:15
Speaker 1: than one way to win when betting on the Preakness.
12:20
Speaker 1: Exact is triffect is the boxes in general? How are
12:24
Speaker 1: you thinking about the race? What are your favorite exotics? Yeah,
12:27
Speaker 1: so I have three scenarios how I see this race
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Speaker 1: playing out. The first is Epicenter sitting right off of
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Speaker 1: the pace leader early voting, sitting in second or maybe
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Speaker 1: even third if Armagnac pressures as well, ends up getting
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Speaker 1: the ideal trip, passing both of those horses in the stretch,
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Speaker 1: and then winning. So the way I would play that
12:43
Speaker 1: is Epicenter on top and an EXACTA with the two
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Speaker 1: long shots. I just mentioned the number two creative Minister
12:48
Speaker 1: in the number nine skippy long stocking, you could put
12:50
Speaker 1: them in second place Epicenter on top that exacta would
12:53
Speaker 1: pay out a pretty nice price. The other two ways
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Speaker 1: I view the race going early voting I mentioned, could
12:59
Speaker 1: get an unco tested pace pressure up top, end up
13:02
Speaker 1: running a merry go round around the track, finishing in first,
13:06
Speaker 1: and then you may either get Epicenter just not able
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Speaker 1: to catch up to him and not running his race.
13:11
Speaker 1: That is how I see an upset happening here. Either
13:14
Speaker 1: uncontested pace pressure where you get early voting running around
13:18
Speaker 1: the track by himself, or Epicenter just doesn't run his race.
13:22
Speaker 1: So there's the b option for that, right early voting wins,
13:25
Speaker 1: or if early voting gets contested, an Epicenter doesn't run
13:28
Speaker 1: his race. I think that's where you have a closer
13:31
Speaker 1: like Secret Oath potentially get in their simplification, who is
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Speaker 1: a very handy horse as well, very versatile and hidd
13:36
Speaker 1: in terms of his running style. Actually think called be
13:38
Speaker 1: closer to the lead here than he was in the
13:40
Speaker 1: derby where he was sitting fifteen and then pass everybody
13:42
Speaker 1: to finish fourth. So either you get Epicenter on top
13:47
Speaker 1: with those two long shots, or you look to target
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Speaker 1: a horse like Early Voting or a horse like Secret
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Speaker 1: Oath on top, then Epicenter somewhere hitting the board underneath them,
13:56
Speaker 1: and then he mixed in those long shots like I said,
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Speaker 1: Skippy long Stocking and creative Minister third and four. So
14:00
Speaker 1: that's probably how I see the race playing out, is
14:03
Speaker 1: one of those three scenarios. But really it just comes
14:06
Speaker 1: down to does anybody contest Early Voting on the lead,
14:09
Speaker 1: and to does Epicenter run his race? That is what's
14:11
Speaker 1: going to determine most of the betting options. Still kind
14:13
Speaker 1: of figuring out how I want to play it myself.
14:16
Speaker 1: I think I'm gonna end up with Secret Oath on
14:18
Speaker 1: top here. I don't necessarily see anywhere near the type
14:20
Speaker 1: of pace that we had in the derby. Of course,
14:22
Speaker 1: that was a record setting suicidal paste that we may
14:25
Speaker 1: never see again. But all the same, I think Early
14:27
Speaker 1: Voting has a pretty clear path of victory if nobody
14:29
Speaker 1: can test them early. And other than that, I do
14:32
Speaker 1: love secret Os late kick, and I think the Philly
14:34
Speaker 1: is always a little bit undervalued going into the breekness.
14:37
Speaker 1: The television ratings and the derby were ridiculous. Uh, and
14:41
Speaker 1: then the follow up social interactions because of uh, the
14:45
Speaker 1: upset nature of the race outstanding. There's nothing more exciting
14:51
Speaker 1: than a Triple Crown race. Uh. Those are three minutes
14:54
Speaker 1: that are just heart pounding. I'm gonna bet it, I'm
14:58
Speaker 1: gonna look forward to it, probably gonna watch it, and
15:02
Speaker 1: then I look forward to the Belma. Belmont Steaks Day
15:06
Speaker 1: is my favorite day of the year. I call it
15:08
Speaker 1: the Midsummer Classic. Usually get eight or nine Grade one
15:10
Speaker 1: Steaks races in addition to the Belmont Steaks, so really
15:14
Speaker 1: it is sort of a preview of the Breeders Cup
15:16
Speaker 1: that we end up getting later in the year November.
15:18
Speaker 1: A lot of the horses who end up competing for
15:20
Speaker 1: the Breeders Cup they both qualify for it through racing
15:23
Speaker 1: on Belmont Steaks Day, but you also get a preview
15:25
Speaker 1: of a lot of those races. And my favorite race
15:27
Speaker 1: in particular is the Metropolitan Mile. I don't know if
15:29
Speaker 1: we're gonna talk before that. My favorite race every year.
15:32
Speaker 1: It is in the sequence leading up to the Belmont Steaks.
15:35
Speaker 1: That's where you get the sprinters who are trying to
15:37
Speaker 1: extend out to a mile and the horses like these,
15:39
Speaker 1: the route horses who typically run a mile and a
15:41
Speaker 1: quarter or longer looking to cut back in distance that
15:44
Speaker 1: mile race, so you get the best sprinters and the
15:47
Speaker 1: best route horses trying to compete their older horses, not
15:50
Speaker 1: three year olds, but the met mile I think is
15:52
Speaker 1: my favorite race of the year every year, other than
15:54
Speaker 1: probably Breeders Cup that the playoffs are heating up and
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17:32
Speaker 1: in West Virginia. Zeroo, everything is going your way right now.
17:39
Speaker 1: We had a incredibly exciting derby which shines a brighter
17:44
Speaker 1: light on the prekness even if Fritz Strike isn't going
17:46
Speaker 1: to be in it. Lo and behold. You mentioned the
17:50
Speaker 1: phrase Metropolitan. The New York Metropolitans are leading the NL
17:57
Speaker 1: East right now by a y margin. They are one
18:01
Speaker 1: of the best teams in baseball. Simon's shaking his head
18:04
Speaker 1: because they're up on the Phillies by about six games,
18:08
Speaker 1: and the New York Yankees, as usual, they got to
18:11
Speaker 1: steal the Mets thunder have the best record in baseball,
18:16
Speaker 1: and if you look to the NL West, Dodgers, Padres,
18:19
Speaker 1: Giants all have north of towny wins. Baseball has been
18:24
Speaker 1: incredible this year. Ratings are up, games are exciting. Manfred
18:31
Speaker 1: can't figure out a way to get out of his
18:32
Speaker 1: own way, and yet it's still succeeding at the highest levels.
18:37
Speaker 1: We're a quarter of the way through the season. What
18:39
Speaker 1: do people need to know if they're just catching up
18:41
Speaker 1: right now? I think if you haven't been paying attention
18:46
Speaker 1: everybody trying to adjust to the totals environment and the
18:48
Speaker 1: run scoring environment has clearly been the story of the year. Now,
18:52
Speaker 1: if you just bet the under in every game in April,
18:55
Speaker 1: you would have been up hundred hours per game. You
18:57
Speaker 1: would have been up over four thousand dollars. With the
18:59
Speaker 1: thirty percent are all I absolutely absurd. The totals at
19:03
Speaker 1: the start of the year opened on average across the
19:06
Speaker 1: board around eight point eight. That was your average total
19:09
Speaker 1: for the day. By the end of April it had
19:11
Speaker 1: dropped the full run to seven point eight. For the
19:14
Speaker 1: first two weeks of May, we were as low as
19:16
Speaker 1: seven point three seven point four. So the books were
19:18
Speaker 1: aggressively trying to adjust these totals, one for their being
19:21
Speaker 1: humanors in all thirty parks, two for bad weather, and
19:24
Speaker 1: then three for these new baseballs that we haven't played. Now,
19:27
Speaker 1: nobody has really been able to put a finger on
19:29
Speaker 1: whether they're still mixing in old baseballs in addition to
19:31
Speaker 1: the new baseballs. But what I can tell you is
19:34
Speaker 1: home runs are down about year over year, and remember
19:40
Speaker 1: they were up even higher than they were last year.
19:42
Speaker 1: I mean we hit records setting home run totals then
19:44
Speaker 1: so and even more substantial drop relative to what looked
19:48
Speaker 1: like the second juice ball erat drop in terms of
19:52
Speaker 1: home run per fly ball rate, So substantial decrease in
19:56
Speaker 1: the number of balls that are leaving the guard. You
19:58
Speaker 1: can put it number on exactly, or I should shouldn't
20:01
Speaker 1: say exactly, but around thirty to forty balls that last
20:04
Speaker 1: year would have been guaranteed home runs that have died
20:06
Speaker 1: at the warning track this year. From watching these games,
20:09
Speaker 1: I feel like I see one or two at night,
20:10
Speaker 1: so I could put the number even higher. But it's
20:12
Speaker 1: very apparent based on the hitter's body language that when
20:15
Speaker 1: they get into a ball and then it dies at
20:17
Speaker 1: the warning track, they give that little hop that's Sammy
20:19
Speaker 1: Sosa hot when they connect with the ball, and then
20:21
Speaker 1: they're just throwing their hands up like how did it
20:23
Speaker 1: fall into a glove? So the ball is clearly on
20:26
Speaker 1: more often than not circumstances dying at the wall this year,
20:29
Speaker 1: which is very frustrating watch, particularly if you have overs.
20:33
Speaker 1: But we've seen these totals come all the way back
20:34
Speaker 1: up now to eight point two As of today, eight
20:37
Speaker 1: point four one course field is involved. Overs are hitting
20:40
Speaker 1: about as often as you'd expect now for the month
20:43
Speaker 1: of May. Earlier in the month they were hitting around
20:45
Speaker 1: fifties six percent, so I think the books have certainly
20:47
Speaker 1: leveled it out. I said earlier in the month they
20:49
Speaker 1: were sitting around seven point three seven point four. We've
20:52
Speaker 1: middled out now on your average total for the day,
20:54
Speaker 1: so books seem like have finally adjusted to what the
20:57
Speaker 1: run environment should be also things like the left field
21:00
Speaker 1: and Camden yards to contend with. They move that left
21:03
Speaker 1: field back fort and right handed hitters at Cannon Yards
21:07
Speaker 1: are hitting about two versus hitting about two fifty last year.
21:10
Speaker 1: So there's a lot of factors at play, but it's
21:13
Speaker 1: certainly the human oars and the baseballs are toying with
21:15
Speaker 1: everything more than anything else. Just one more thing I'll mention,
21:19
Speaker 1: if you just took the same batted balls that we
21:21
Speaker 1: had last year and carried them over to this year,
21:24
Speaker 1: you look at the expected metrics. Expected batting average should
21:27
Speaker 1: be to fifty three, it is two thirty three. Expected
21:31
Speaker 1: slugs should be four thirty five, it's three seventy one.
21:34
Speaker 1: So substantial gaps between the performance of the baseball's last
21:37
Speaker 1: year versus this year. So I was not laughing about
21:41
Speaker 1: the Mets chat being up six games. I was laughing
21:44
Speaker 1: at the sense that I'm remembers this and I think
21:47
Speaker 1: it might have an o six that those are ten
21:49
Speaker 1: games behind them. That's since September we came back, we
21:52
Speaker 1: won the division, and that's just baseball. So and may, Yeah,
21:56
Speaker 1: being six games back, it kind of stinks. At the
21:58
Speaker 1: same time, I don't know it be worse like last
22:01
Speaker 1: night's shows, are had an elbow thing and I don't
22:03
Speaker 1: be an evil guy, but you know, deep down inside,
22:05
Speaker 1: I was like, good, great, but apparently he's not that hurt,
22:09
Speaker 1: so all things gonna go and good for the Mets.
22:12
Speaker 1: Will get the ground back pretty soon. It's it's a
22:14
Speaker 1: good time to be a Mets fan. Um. They were
22:16
Speaker 1: playing well until the JUNI last year, though, I mean
22:18
Speaker 1: they were on top of the division and then absolutely
22:20
Speaker 1: tank in the second half once the ground got hurt.
22:22
Speaker 1: So I mean this stuff changes on a fly. Like
22:24
Speaker 1: like you said, if Scho is hurt and the ground
22:26
Speaker 1: doesn't come back healthy, I would certainly have significant concerns
22:28
Speaker 1: about the Bats. I'm not touching their futures because I
22:31
Speaker 1: know the moment I do, they're gonna go down now.
22:33
Speaker 1: And it's Sean, just you talk about this year started.
22:36
Speaker 1: I talked a couple of pros who you know, baseball
22:39
Speaker 1: is the ultimate grind. There's really nothing comparable to it.
22:43
Speaker 1: If you're sports better, it's truly. I mean I talk
22:46
Speaker 1: all the time with I'll chat with it like I'll
22:47
Speaker 1: lose a ton of money on a Sunday and by
22:50
Speaker 1: Monday morning. It has to kind of be out of
22:51
Speaker 1: my mind. Baseball is that on steroids, Like literally, I
22:55
Speaker 1: might have one game that bet on that Monday, you know,
22:57
Speaker 1: the Monday night game, and then I'm good for the
22:58
Speaker 1: rest of the week. I might have a Thursday of
23:00
Speaker 1: them good n til Sunday. Baseball, these guys every day
23:03
Speaker 1: you have ten games going on. Whatever. What's that been
23:06
Speaker 1: like this season where so much is unknown with the balls?
23:09
Speaker 1: You know, you're saying they are different balls. Different guys
23:12
Speaker 1: are saying that maybe it's because of the no spring
23:14
Speaker 1: training or the shorter spring training, that's why the bats
23:16
Speaker 1: were still behind the pitching where you should the other
23:19
Speaker 1: way and it just should just hearing you talk about it.
23:21
Speaker 1: What's that been like? The grind this season, trying to
23:23
Speaker 1: get down, you know, taking these dogs or taking these
23:25
Speaker 1: unders where it's really there's no rhythm to it. Yeah,
23:28
Speaker 1: And with the short and spring training as well, you
23:30
Speaker 1: also had expanded rosters and more relief pictures on those
23:32
Speaker 1: rosters too, so starters were going shorter in games, and
23:35
Speaker 1: then managers were playing matchups much more heavily the rest
23:38
Speaker 1: of the game as well, So that contributed to the
23:39
Speaker 1: unders two now those rosters have shrunk a little bit,
23:42
Speaker 1: the relievers are starting get tired, so I think things
23:44
Speaker 1: are normalizing back to what we'd expect a little bit.
23:47
Speaker 1: I've been all over the place though. I was down
23:49
Speaker 1: as early as much as seven units early in the season.
23:52
Speaker 1: Ended up finishing April up nine units. So we had
23:54
Speaker 1: a big run to end the month. And then the
23:56
Speaker 1: first day of May May one, it was a Sunday,
23:59
Speaker 1: bloody sun. I lost eight units on that day. It's
24:01
Speaker 1: the biggest losing day I've had in four years of
24:03
Speaker 1: doing this, Absolutely miserable. I've ended up calling some of
24:06
Speaker 1: that back. I believe I'm sitting around plus four and
24:08
Speaker 1: a half plus five in the year. We're going to
24:10
Speaker 1: continue to grind. Usually that May month, as in season
24:14
Speaker 1: data starts to get factored in and I start to
24:17
Speaker 1: trust the instate that in season data that we're seeing
24:19
Speaker 1: around the quarter pole forty games, thirty five games. That's
24:22
Speaker 1: when I start to have more successes we get into
24:24
Speaker 1: the summer because I figure out who these players are
24:26
Speaker 1: in season. But you're right, it's an absolute grind. You
24:29
Speaker 1: sort of have to put your worst days behind you
24:31
Speaker 1: immediately and look forward to the next day, just sort
24:34
Speaker 1: of put that completely out of your head. You can't
24:36
Speaker 1: judge or adjust your projections based off of what you
24:38
Speaker 1: saw today. You could do it off of recent data
24:41
Speaker 1: and seeing how these totals are adjusting, how the weather
24:43
Speaker 1: is improving, etcetera. But I've had to aggressively adjust my
24:47
Speaker 1: totals as I mentioned, and I'm actually proud to say
24:49
Speaker 1: I've been ahead of the market in both months. Even
24:52
Speaker 1: though unders were winning at a fifty nine percent rate
24:55
Speaker 1: in April, I actually hit six of my bets on unders.
24:58
Speaker 1: Overs were winning, like I said, percent of the time.
25:01
Speaker 1: I think I hit of those in April, and then
25:04
Speaker 1: the same thing has been true in May. I've been
25:06
Speaker 1: about two to three percent ahead of the market on totals.
25:09
Speaker 1: The real difficulty has been with the favorites. Favorites were
25:11
Speaker 1: crushing early in April, and particularly first five favorites, first
25:15
Speaker 1: five favorites percent of the time. That's dropped over twelve
25:18
Speaker 1: percent in May. So everything has sort of come back
25:21
Speaker 1: to earth. There always is a regression to the mean.
25:24
Speaker 1: That's that I still try to protect these games on
25:26
Speaker 1: an individual basis and bet my numbers, don't bet teams.
25:29
Speaker 1: I can't tell you most of the time, aside from
25:31
Speaker 1: the Reds, who I know are absolute crap, I can't
25:33
Speaker 1: tell you what these teams records are most of the time.
25:35
Speaker 1: I don't look at standings. I don't really carry over results.
25:39
Speaker 1: I really do try to filter out everything as much
25:41
Speaker 1: as possible. I'm aware of who's on top of the
25:43
Speaker 1: division generally, how teams are doing. I knew that all
25:46
Speaker 1: the NL West was trending over five at one point,
25:48
Speaker 1: but by and large, if you asked me a random
25:50
Speaker 1: teams record on a random day, I probably couldn't tell you.
25:53
Speaker 1: Would you still take the under on the Red sixty
25:55
Speaker 1: wins for the season, that's right about where they're trending
25:59
Speaker 1: right now. Uh, they were a mid seventies team coming
26:03
Speaker 1: into the year. Was roughly their season win total. If
26:07
Speaker 1: you still play them out as that the rest of
26:09
Speaker 1: the way, I think they're pacing for sixty three or
26:11
Speaker 1: sixty four wins. But it's so hard to project this
26:14
Speaker 1: team because their owner or team president, I should say.
26:17
Speaker 1: On on opening Day they traded Jesse Winker to Seattle,
26:21
Speaker 1: and he basically admitted, like, go route for somebody else.
26:23
Speaker 1: If you don't care about us not spending money. It
26:26
Speaker 1: was pretty insulting, and it seems like the players with
26:29
Speaker 1: that had just quit from the jump. So there's six
26:31
Speaker 1: and four in their last ten. I said at some
26:33
Speaker 1: point people would lose money trying to fade them on
26:35
Speaker 1: the night Tonight basis. That has definitely happened of late.
26:37
Speaker 1: But yeah, I don't see any reason why their players
26:40
Speaker 1: have any means to be competitive other than wanting to
26:42
Speaker 1: keep a job. Of the major leagues. When you had
26:46
Speaker 1: that's Sunday, bloody Sunday, give me the details. Where were you?
26:52
Speaker 1: Did you watch every game? What? What kind of bets
26:56
Speaker 1: were you losing? Simon? What are you laughing at? Wasn't that?
26:59
Speaker 1: I believe that a mother's day no better wants to
27:02
Speaker 1: relive their worst days. These are like, I want to
27:04
Speaker 1: know every detail of that mystery now. So it was
27:07
Speaker 1: it was it was the week before, so it was
27:09
Speaker 1: May one. I was actually at my parents house, and
27:11
Speaker 1: it's very difficult to be with people who you love
27:13
Speaker 1: and want to spend time with them and not be
27:16
Speaker 1: distracted by what's going on. But then you flip open
27:18
Speaker 1: the action app and you see that you're trending for
27:21
Speaker 1: like a four and twenty day, and you're just like
27:23
Speaker 1: what is going to happen because usually, you know, at
27:25
Speaker 1: the start of my nights, I mean, they're doing very
27:27
Speaker 1: well and all my bets are doing very poorly on
27:29
Speaker 1: all my bets. By the end of the night, things
27:31
Speaker 1: usually swing. You know, there's always that regression and games
27:34
Speaker 1: sort of flip laid. Bullpen blowing. Blow up season is
27:37
Speaker 1: back in full effect now that we have fewer relievers
27:40
Speaker 1: on these teams. But it's very difficult to be with
27:42
Speaker 1: people that you love and want to spend full time
27:44
Speaker 1: with them and not be completely distracted by you having
27:47
Speaker 1: the worst professional day you've had in four years. So yeah,
27:50
Speaker 1: I mean it's difficult. Maybe shut that phone off, put
27:52
Speaker 1: it away when you're with the people that you love
27:54
Speaker 1: so you're not completely distracted, but listen. By by the
27:58
Speaker 1: next day, I had not completely forgotten about it because
28:01
Speaker 1: I was still bummed out, but I had to forward,
28:03
Speaker 1: move forward, and focus because you have a full slate
28:05
Speaker 1: of games on that Monday to reallocate your capital and
28:08
Speaker 1: your time too. And if you're going to be distracted
28:10
Speaker 1: by those results, it's not the game for you. Sean,
28:13
Speaker 1: you are a surprisingly emotional guy. I don't buy the
28:17
Speaker 1: fact that by Monday, you had let it all go.
28:21
Speaker 1: Not all of it go, but you have to let
28:22
Speaker 1: most of it go. You know, if I'm gonna sit
28:25
Speaker 1: down and project out these games, these fifteen games we
28:27
Speaker 1: usually have every day in my model and take three
28:30
Speaker 1: to four hours with it, in addition to finding all
28:33
Speaker 1: these lines, shopping all these lines and putting in my money.
28:35
Speaker 1: Believe me, there's that hesitancy there. You're you don't want
28:38
Speaker 1: to put out twenty units worth of allocation knowing that
28:42
Speaker 1: you just lost eight the day before, and am I
28:45
Speaker 1: gonna lose all twenty of these today? Like yeah, I
28:47
Speaker 1: mean it's it's definitely difficult, but you have to find
28:49
Speaker 1: a way to overcome it if you want to just
28:51
Speaker 1: keep plugging along with this, Like Simon said, it's an
28:53
Speaker 1: absolute grind. You never know when your good days are
28:56
Speaker 1: gonna come. You never know when you're bad days are
28:57
Speaker 1: gonna come. You just have to keep at it. Sometimes
29:00
Speaker 1: times I love a slate and end up getting killed.
29:01
Speaker 1: Sometimes I hate a slate ended up having a phenomenal day.
29:04
Speaker 1: I really don't know. It's honestly why I hate the
29:06
Speaker 1: concept of quote unquote best bets in general. I may
29:09
Speaker 1: love a bet absolutely love a bat may have two
29:11
Speaker 1: units on at three units on it. I generally don't
29:13
Speaker 1: go over two or three units on an individual baseball
29:16
Speaker 1: game because there is so much variants. But I may
29:18
Speaker 1: absolutely love a game and they may lose the love
29:20
Speaker 1: of nothing. There's there's just no way to control it.
29:23
Speaker 1: It's not like a football game where you see it
29:25
Speaker 1: play out of her four records and have ability to
29:27
Speaker 1: jumping live multiple points or what have you. I think
29:31
Speaker 1: each individual baseball game is just such a random sample
29:34
Speaker 1: of who teams are that you just kind of have
29:36
Speaker 1: to throw it away. Baseball is a professionals game in
29:40
Speaker 1: every single way. What do you make of You know,
29:44
Speaker 1: sports is nothing without conspiracy theories? What do you make
29:48
Speaker 1: of the conspiracy theories about the games on Apple TV,
29:54
Speaker 1: ESPN plus um. Just to sort of define it a
29:59
Speaker 1: little bit, there are stories out there that sort of
30:03
Speaker 1: these prime time games juice balls are making those games
30:07
Speaker 1: in particular go over. I'm starting to buy into it
30:11
Speaker 1: a little bit. There's some funky stuff going on with
30:14
Speaker 1: these Apple TV games Prime Now they're on Peacock as well,
30:17
Speaker 1: replacing some of the soccer covers that they had. I
30:21
Speaker 1: need to dig into it. Further and actually go through
30:23
Speaker 1: each of these individual games and figure out what the
30:25
Speaker 1: trend is for overs and unders. But I can tell
30:28
Speaker 1: you it's definitely higher than whatever our percentages on the season. Now.
30:31
Speaker 1: I don't know if it's a huge sample enough to
30:33
Speaker 1: say definitively so, but I know that they're mixing in
30:37
Speaker 1: old balls and new balls. It's very obvious when you
30:39
Speaker 1: get two batted balls that are hit at the same
30:41
Speaker 1: launch angle, the same velocity in the same park, and
30:45
Speaker 1: one goes out and the other does. So they're mixing
30:48
Speaker 1: in new and old baseballs. Where they're mixing them in.
30:51
Speaker 1: I don't really know. Are they doing it with intentionality.
30:54
Speaker 1: I couldn't tell you, but I've seen enough conspiracy theories
30:57
Speaker 1: from hitting coaches, players, what have you. There's a good
30:59
Speaker 1: article about the Phillies out there. I think it was
31:01
Speaker 1: from Sports Illustrated. I could be wrong, but about how
31:04
Speaker 1: they're batted ball data on the home at home and
31:06
Speaker 1: on the road is virtually identical. They're actually top five
31:11
Speaker 1: and expected metrics. I believe we're both pitching and hitting.
31:13
Speaker 1: I do like how the Phillies are trending. I have
31:15
Speaker 1: a World Series feature on them, and I think they're
31:17
Speaker 1: cool start at home offensively, maybe contributing to the fact
31:20
Speaker 1: that they're sub five hundred at the moment. The run
31:22
Speaker 1: differential is plus eighteen, so they should be trending a
31:25
Speaker 1: bit better. But there are certain teams like the Phillies
31:27
Speaker 1: whose home road splits are so dramatic that it's almost
31:31
Speaker 1: telling that there's something going on with the ball. Addition
31:34
Speaker 1: to the fact that we have those human doors in
31:36
Speaker 1: all thirty parks now. Last year, I believe they were
31:38
Speaker 1: only in seven or eight parks. Now they're in all thirty.
31:41
Speaker 1: MLB has said that offense should increase actually due to
31:44
Speaker 1: the humand oars and what would normally be warmer climates
31:47
Speaker 1: as we get into the summer. So we'll see if
31:49
Speaker 1: we end up getting more offense during the summer than
31:51
Speaker 1: we had relative to last year. Maybe it's gonna be
31:53
Speaker 1: a dip and cooler temperatures than an increase in warmer temperatures.
31:57
Speaker 1: But we haven't seen him play out yet, so for
31:59
Speaker 1: now it's a game. But I rely on what the
32:01
Speaker 1: hitting coaches and what the players are saying. They say
32:04
Speaker 1: there's something up with the balls, I tend to believe Yeah.
32:06
Speaker 1: As a Phillies fanom hoping that Dodgers series kind of
32:09
Speaker 1: a turning point for this team because they yeah, right, exactly.
32:15
Speaker 1: So when you're looking at this point of the season,
32:16
Speaker 1: are there any futures Like there are teams that you
32:19
Speaker 1: haven't met coming to the year that now you're looking
32:20
Speaker 1: at their future saying, you know what, these teams cann
32:22
Speaker 1: have a nice little run or they have a favorable
32:24
Speaker 1: schedule or division that they can make our run to
32:26
Speaker 1: the postseason. Do you have anything that's like to be
32:29
Speaker 1: a launch at just a future you've been eyeing up
32:30
Speaker 1: lately for this, you know, half of the quarter of
32:33
Speaker 1: the season, and who you like at this point. Yeah,
32:35
Speaker 1: So the Yankees aren't gonna win at a hundred and
32:36
Speaker 1: twenty two win paced the rest of the year. That's
32:38
Speaker 1: where they're trending right now. The Razors still sitting around
32:42
Speaker 1: six six and a half to one in the AL East.
32:44
Speaker 1: The Yankees have another game with the Oaths today. They
32:46
Speaker 1: have three more with them until they start their season
32:49
Speaker 1: series with the Rays. I believe March or May so
32:52
Speaker 1: a week from now. That's when I jump in on
32:54
Speaker 1: the Rays. The Rais ended up pulling away to win
32:56
Speaker 1: that division last year. I have preseason futures on the
32:59
Speaker 1: Blue Jays, they fall on pretty far back, but knowing
33:02
Speaker 1: that you're going to get that entire season series with
33:04
Speaker 1: the Rays factored and against the Yankees getting six and
33:06
Speaker 1: a half to one, if you want to pounce on
33:08
Speaker 1: a bigger long shot to win a division, I'd say
33:10
Speaker 1: that's where I jump in the Phillies. The one concern
33:14
Speaker 1: that I have is Bryce Harper may need Tommy John.
33:16
Speaker 1: Apparently he's gonna try d ching for a little while
33:18
Speaker 1: and seeing how that goes. He's been tremendous at the plate,
33:22
Speaker 1: I mean, looks right back to his MVP self. We'll
33:25
Speaker 1: see if he can keep that up. They're terrible defensively,
33:28
Speaker 1: but they should hit as well as anyone. And I said,
33:30
Speaker 1: they're actually one of four teams who are in the
33:32
Speaker 1: top five for expected stats both offensively and on the
33:35
Speaker 1: pitching side, so they're trending very well. I like how
33:38
Speaker 1: their offense shapes up. I've said, if they can add
33:40
Speaker 1: bullpen pieces, I think they're as good at as a
33:43
Speaker 1: World Series long shot as anyone. I bet them forty
33:45
Speaker 1: two one preseason. They're still around that number now, guaranteed
33:49
Speaker 1: three game wild Card series you're giving me Nolah Wheeler
33:51
Speaker 1: and Rangers Suarez in those three games. They can play
33:54
Speaker 1: with anybody. So if they're able to get into the dance,
33:56
Speaker 1: the Phillies can make a run. And I like the
33:58
Speaker 1: way the Brewers are trending. That's one of my other
34:00
Speaker 1: preseason futures too. Eric lower starting on Friday, you could
34:04
Speaker 1: take a look at him, and he has developed into
34:05
Speaker 1: the top of the rotation starter. They have four lead
34:08
Speaker 1: starting pitchers, a great bullpen. And by the way, their
34:11
Speaker 1: offense was around sixt eight and expected metrics last year,
34:14
Speaker 1: their top five this year, so that offense has much improved.
34:17
Speaker 1: Christian Yellowish looks healthy again, rowdy to les, crushing the ball.
34:20
Speaker 1: Really like the way the Brews are shaping up. Bet
34:22
Speaker 1: them big in the Central again this year, and I
34:25
Speaker 1: think they're live to win the World Series. Just real quick.
34:27
Speaker 1: Isn't that crazy? This Yankees thing? Because I I know
34:31
Speaker 1: just of just two groups that are real high level groups,
34:34
Speaker 1: they were huge on fading the Yankees coming to the season.
34:37
Speaker 1: They bet their underwin totals. They bet them I think
34:39
Speaker 1: third or fourth come in that division like they had Tampa.
34:42
Speaker 1: They had the Blue Jays above them. And they had
34:43
Speaker 1: them in Boston fighting for that last spot there. I mean,
34:47
Speaker 1: it is crazy what the Yankees are doing, but there
34:48
Speaker 1: you can say they're the best team in baseball right now.
34:50
Speaker 1: Right then are the Dodgers Certainly, I believe they have
34:53
Speaker 1: the highest rob They have a seventy five un differential
34:55
Speaker 1: the Daughters of eighty three, so they have a high
34:57
Speaker 1: Senior American league. Their pitching has been tremendous and very deep.
35:00
Speaker 1: Gary Cole has gotten to the point where people are
35:02
Speaker 1: underrating him based off of the sticky stuff that whole Fiasca.
35:05
Speaker 1: He's been tremendous. But their rotation is much deeper than
35:07
Speaker 1: it has been in previous years. Got a guy like
35:10
Speaker 1: Michael King and the bullpen who looks completely untouchable. Chapman
35:13
Speaker 1: has been a little bit concerning, but buying large besides
35:16
Speaker 1: the back end of their lineup. I think the Yankees
35:18
Speaker 1: are pretty much a complete team, and we know they're
35:20
Speaker 1: gonna add pieces of the deadline, So getting off to
35:22
Speaker 1: a hot start like this is only going to increase
35:25
Speaker 1: pressure on ownership to end up spending, which they haven't
35:28
Speaker 1: done in previous years. You know, they did go out
35:30
Speaker 1: and get a couple of bats last year. But yeah,
35:32
Speaker 1: I think the Yankees are definitely shaping up well. There
35:35
Speaker 1: was some projection systems that had them around nineties seven
35:37
Speaker 1: wins coming into the season. That's where I put their
35:39
Speaker 1: paraded total. I had them closer to ninety. I think
35:42
Speaker 1: fanger Ass had them closer to ninety. Pakota had them
35:44
Speaker 1: closer to ninety seven. So there was a discrepancy between
35:47
Speaker 1: whether the Blue Jays or the Yankees were the best team.
35:49
Speaker 1: But I mean, as of now, it certainly looks like
35:52
Speaker 1: since they were able to beat up on the Blue
35:53
Speaker 1: Jays in the head the head that they're going to
35:55
Speaker 1: come out on top. But listen, like I said, they're
35:57
Speaker 1: not gonna play a d and twenty two one paced
35:59
Speaker 1: the to the way. At some point they will hit
36:01
Speaker 1: a skid. And my whole point of that was just
36:03
Speaker 1: too if you're a better understand that you're gonna get
36:07
Speaker 1: a lot of value this rest of the year getting
36:09
Speaker 1: going against the Yankees. Yankees are already a public team,
36:12
Speaker 1: so you might be getting extra plus forty plus fifty
36:14
Speaker 1: bump every game going against them now, just because again
36:18
Speaker 1: they're nine and one their last ten twenty and nine
36:20
Speaker 1: to start the season. People are just really hyping up
36:22
Speaker 1: the Yankees team. So if you're at Baseball Better and
36:25
Speaker 1: you're looking for a lazy method, I'm telling you, fade
36:28
Speaker 1: the Yankees is gonna be very profitable coming up pretty
36:30
Speaker 1: soon because they just reek of that team that you
36:32
Speaker 1: just talked about, their way above people's projections. And this
36:36
Speaker 1: isn't the San Francisco Giants of last year, right, This
36:38
Speaker 1: isn't one of those models where you know they break
36:40
Speaker 1: the mold. This is the Yankees. People kind of knew
36:42
Speaker 1: what they were gonna be. I disliked the value of
36:44
Speaker 1: thinking you're gonna get good bets fading them later on
36:47
Speaker 1: in the season. Yeah, I mean their floor was so high,
36:49
Speaker 1: and you look at the opposite spectrum, a team like
36:51
Speaker 1: the Reds that were trending better. Finally, you've been able
36:54
Speaker 1: to get value in the Reds for about a week
36:55
Speaker 1: to ten days. The Red Sox fifteen and twenty two,
36:58
Speaker 1: they're they projected closer to eight five one team. They
37:00
Speaker 1: haven't had injuries. Chris Sale will come back at some point, probably,
37:04
Speaker 1: but there's no reason to believe that the Red Sox
37:06
Speaker 1: are gonna win their games the rest of the way.
37:08
Speaker 1: They should eventually regress play like a team the rest
37:11
Speaker 1: of the way. They may finish a five hundred, but
37:13
Speaker 1: that's exactly where I put them if I was the
37:15
Speaker 1: parade out their win total. Shans are rello. As always,
37:19
Speaker 1: you have proven you are more eloquent about baseball than
37:24
Speaker 1: just about anybody in the United States of America. Shans
37:28
Speaker 1: Arillo the most eloquent baseball analyst in the country. That's
37:33
Speaker 1: that's your new moniker. Well, Billy Beans said, it's hard
37:36
Speaker 1: not to be romantic about baseball, but it's hard for
37:38
Speaker 1: me not to be eloquent about baseball. You're a hundred right.
37:42
Speaker 1: It is like such a good game to wax poetic about,
37:46
Speaker 1: even when we're talking numbers. You know what you can do, fans,
37:50
Speaker 1: If you don't know anything about betting baseball, you can
37:53
Speaker 1: follow Shanzillo in the Action Network gap. He tracks every
37:56
Speaker 1: one of his bets. He gives explanations on what he's doing.
37:59
Speaker 1: You can follow him on Twitter at Shanzarillo on Twitter,
38:03
Speaker 1: where he will link to his bets in the Action
38:07
Speaker 1: Network app. It's the best way to go. Shan Zarillo,
38:11
Speaker 1: you are a true professional. Thank you for coming on
38:14
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