Latest / DEEP INSIGHT / Why does Britain keep changing prime ministers
Transcript
- 0:00Speaker 1: Hello and welcome to the Global News podcast from the BBC.
- 0:03Speaker 1: I'm Celia Hatton and today I'm joined by our UK
- 0:05Speaker 1: political correspondent Rob Watson. On a very consequential day in
- 0:10Speaker 1: British politics, the UK's Prime Minister, Keir's Starmer, has just
- 0:14Speaker 1: announced his resignation. Rob, great to have you with us.
- 0:18Speaker 2: Big day.
- 0:19Speaker 1: The UK's about to have its seventh prime minister in
- 0:23Speaker 1: ten years. Can you talk us through it?
- 0:25Speaker 3: Goodness, Well, we've had so many big days in British
- 0:28Speaker 3: politics and we'd have another one. And it's both dramatic
- 0:32Speaker 3: and unsurprising. I mean dramatic because yes, it is the
- 0:36Speaker 3: sixth prime minister to be claimed by events in Britain
- 0:41Speaker 3: and it was after Sekure Starmer had won such an
- 0:44Speaker 3: enormous majority just two years ago. And it's all gone
- 0:48Speaker 3: horribly wrong. But unsurprising in the sense that, given how
- 0:52Speaker 3: many other prime ministers have gone by the wayside this
- 0:55Speaker 3: last decade, and given how incredibly unpopular Keir Starmer had become,
- 1:00Speaker 3: I mean it's not really in that sense surprising that
- 1:03Speaker 3: he lost the support of his governing Labor Party. But again,
- 1:07Speaker 3: you know, if you step back from it, Celia, it
- 1:10Speaker 3: just is head scratching. I mean, I couldn't and I
- 1:12Speaker 3: don't think anyone would have believed if you'd said twenty
- 1:15Speaker 3: thirty forty years ago, there'd be a decade where Britain
- 1:18Speaker 3: would have seven prime ministers.
- 1:21Speaker 1: Rob you mentioned that cure Starmer is pretty unpopular. Earlier today,
- 1:25Speaker 1: we spoke to some voters in the City of York.
- 1:28Speaker 1: Let's take a listen to what they had to say.
- 1:30Speaker 2: I mean, it's not been that popular with a prime
- 1:33Speaker 2: minister as he I feel like he's not done a
- 1:35Speaker 2: terrible job, but it's just not populist. And it's very
- 1:38Speaker 2: hard in this sort of type of politically now to
- 1:42Speaker 2: be a prime minister that just does okay without you know,
- 1:45Speaker 2: making it. You kind of have to do grand things
- 1:47Speaker 2: doing you these days in politics, it's not about you know,
- 1:50Speaker 2: doing an all right job. It's about making a mark.
- 1:53Speaker 4: I'm not sure this was a great news for me
- 1:56Speaker 4: in my opinion, because I don't think it will solve
- 1:59Speaker 4: the problem. I think the problem is deeper than that,
- 2:03Speaker 4: and I'm a bit worried that populists are pushing forward
- 2:08Speaker 4: their agenda. I think it's the same unfriends, and it's
- 2:10Speaker 4: the same situation. Franz, Well, it's overdue, in my opinion,
- 2:15Speaker 4: well over du He's been a failure for some time.
- 2:19Speaker 1: So we've just heard those people ending with that last gentleman.
- 2:23Speaker 1: Why was Keirstarmer so deeply unpopular?
- 2:27Speaker 3: It's a great question, and it's certainly not in doubt
- 2:29Speaker 3: that he was. I mean, there seems to have been
- 2:31Speaker 3: a visceral dislike for the Prime Minister among the voters.
- 2:35Speaker 3: I mean that the polling evidence and focus groups suggests
- 2:37Speaker 3: it's because, you know, fairly or unfairly, Celia, they saw
- 2:42Speaker 3: him as variously inauthentic, a sort of typical politician, indecisive,
- 2:48Speaker 3: kind of cold bureaucratic, a bit out of touch with
- 2:53Speaker 3: the way this country felt to live in. And for
- 2:57Speaker 3: some people that the sort of personification of the the
- 3:00Speaker 3: woke bureaucracy as they would see it. So, you know,
- 3:03Speaker 3: absolutely extraordinarily unpopular.
- 3:06Speaker 1: So the Prime Minister's position was already under threat, and
- 3:10Speaker 1: now his main rival, Andy Burnham has a seat in Parliament.
- 3:14Speaker 1: Tell us why that matters and how things might change
- 3:17Speaker 1: moving forward.
- 3:19Speaker 3: Well, the reason it matters is that the rules of
- 3:21Speaker 3: the governing Labor Party is that you can't challenge for
- 3:23Speaker 3: the leadership. You can't become Prime Minister unless you're an MP,
- 3:27Speaker 3: and Andy Burnham is now an MP, so that was
- 3:31Speaker 3: that the vital step for him to challenge Kis Starmer.
- 3:34Speaker 3: And of course it's the reason why Kis Starmer has
- 3:37Speaker 3: had to step aside, because essentially within the governing Labor
- 3:40Speaker 3: Party that the mood, the tide has turned against him
- 3:45Speaker 3: towards Andy Burnham. And there's a very very simple reason
- 3:49Speaker 3: for that, Celia, and that is that Labor MPs felt
- 3:52Speaker 3: when they looked at the standing of mister Starmer in
- 3:55Speaker 3: the country and of their party in the country, they
- 3:57Speaker 3: were facing an existential threat. So there's the sort of
- 4:01Speaker 3: you could almost describe it as a level of panic
- 4:04Speaker 3: amongst MPs, Labor MPs worried about losing their job. Andy
- 4:08Speaker 3: Burnham has just won a special election or by election
- 4:11Speaker 3: as we call them, in the North of England where
- 4:14Speaker 3: he defeated. One of the part is that frightens Labor
- 4:17Speaker 3: most the populists of Reform and Nigel Farrarch who've done
- 4:22Speaker 3: well in appealing to the sort of white working classes
- 4:25Speaker 3: who used to vote who used to vote Labor.
- 4:27Speaker 4: I mean, it all.
- 4:28Speaker 1: Seems a bit crazy doesn't it. Rob andy Burnham is
- 4:31Speaker 1: now serving as the mayor of the northern city of Manchester,
- 4:36Speaker 1: but he could leap frog to become Prime minister. Why
- 4:39Speaker 1: does so many people see so much potential in Andy Burnham?
- 4:43Speaker 3: His attraction to labor politicians and the people who like him,
- 4:47Speaker 3: the voters of Greater Manchester, is that he's quite clearly
- 4:50Speaker 3: more relatable, more friendly, if you like, than Kirstarmer. He
- 4:57Speaker 3: comes over as being much more likable. He comes over
- 5:00Speaker 3: as being more normal. He likes sort of football, he
- 5:03Speaker 3: likes trendy clothing for a middle aged guys. He loves music.
- 5:08Speaker 3: So they think that if nothing else, that even if
- 5:11Speaker 3: their policies don't change particularly radically, at least there'll be
- 5:15Speaker 3: someone as Prime Minister who can communicate to be a
- 5:18Speaker 3: much better messenger than Kirs Starman. Now, of course, you
- 5:22Speaker 3: know whether that would be enough without other policies, is
- 5:25Speaker 3: I guess the absolute key question in British politics.
- 5:28Speaker 1: Now, okay, so you've mentioned policy, Rob, just quickly domestically,
- 5:33Speaker 1: what would Andy Burnham do differently because voters just had
- 5:36Speaker 1: an election not too long ago to put Keir Starmer
- 5:39Speaker 1: in place to do certain things.
- 5:41Speaker 3: Yeah, and the short answer is we just don't know Celia, right.
- 5:44Speaker 3: I mean, in some ways the two men seem very
- 5:47Speaker 3: similar in terms of ideology and policy. They're both center
- 5:50Speaker 3: left politicians. You would recognize that all over Europe. They
- 5:54Speaker 3: both believe that the priority should be on increasing the
- 5:56Speaker 3: living standards of ordinary people. They both believe, eve a
- 6:00Speaker 3: center left politicians, that the state is a force for good.
- 6:04Speaker 3: But here's the thing. You then say, well, okay, what
- 6:07Speaker 3: might Andy Burnham do differently? And those more on the
- 6:10Speaker 3: left of the Labor Party would love to see more
- 6:13Speaker 3: public spending, more taxes on the rich. And the problem
- 6:18Speaker 3: here is that economists will tell you that Britain already
- 6:22Speaker 3: has is up to its eyes in debt, that it
- 6:25Speaker 3: already has historically and relatively speaking, high levels of public
- 6:29Speaker 3: spending and taxation on businesses on the rich. So there's
- 6:33Speaker 3: a danger, of course, and if you're from the left
- 6:36Speaker 3: of the Labor Party, that you're going to end up
- 6:38Speaker 3: being very disappointed that mister Burnham will be will be
- 6:41Speaker 3: boxed in, just like Keir Starmer was, and in fact,
- 6:45Speaker 3: just like prime ministers and presidents are all over the
- 6:48Speaker 3: world by the kind of financial constraints they find themselves in.
- 6:52Speaker 1: Rab just to focus on the big picture a bit.
- 6:55Speaker 1: I mean, Britain keeps changing leaders so far, no one's
- 6:59Speaker 1: been able to to stick in place for very long
- 7:02Speaker 1: over the past ten years. Why is Britain so difficult
- 7:06Speaker 1: to govern.
- 7:09Speaker 3: Well? The polling, evidence and focus groups and just going
- 7:11Speaker 3: out there and talking to people suggests they're three really
- 7:14Speaker 3: big drivers. And those drivers are number one, stagnation, stagnating
- 7:20Speaker 3: living standards, and that actually goes back beyond this ten
- 7:23Speaker 3: years and six prime ministers. It goes back to the
- 7:25Speaker 3: financial crash of two thousand and eight, and that makes
- 7:28Speaker 3: people's lives miserable and it makes them unhappy and angry.
- 7:32Speaker 3: The second thing, which is sort of connected, is a
- 7:34Speaker 3: sense that nothing works properly in Britain Celia. The public
- 7:38Speaker 3: services don't work thanks to underinvestment. And then the third
- 7:42Speaker 3: massive issue is a concern over immigration and social cohesion
- 7:48Speaker 3: and all the evidence suggests that is what is driving
- 7:51Speaker 3: vote anger and anger, which in turn is driving enormous
- 7:55Speaker 3: political volatility in this country and the threat to the
- 7:58Speaker 3: two main parties governed Britain for the last one hundred years,
- 8:02Speaker 3: the Conservatives before and now Labor and it is of course,
- 8:06Speaker 3: why if people are sort of stepping back from it all,
- 8:09Speaker 3: will say, you know what, maybe you know Britain's political
- 8:12Speaker 3: crisis is not just about the person who's in Downing Street,
- 8:16Speaker 3: given that we've gone through six of them, maybe it's
- 8:18Speaker 3: these bigger issues.
- 8:20Speaker 1: It's interesting, Rob, I mean listening to you, to