Episode 307: What's in the BOX?
David and Tamler talk about two famous puzzles that for different reasons have bedeviled the rationalist community – The Monty Hall Problem and Newcomb's "paradox." Why is it so hard for people to see that a 66% chance of winning a car is better than a 33% chance? Why do famous mathematicians struggle with this problem? And David and Tamler split on the Newcomb case – can you guess which one of us is the one boxer?
Plus since we're basically a TV recap podcast now, some thoughts on White Lotus Season 3.
The White Lotus [imdb.com]
Monty Hall Problem [wikipedia.org]
Numberphile on the Monty…
The skinny
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