Latest / Toadstool Sports / Saturday BEST BETS | Lopsided NL Series? | NHL & MLB Divisional Series & NCAA Football | 10/3/26

Transcript

Saturday BEST BETS | Lopsided NL Series? | NHL & MLB Divisional Series & NCAA Football | 10/3/26 · Toadstool Sports

• 0:17
  Speaker 1: You got a slip in your palm and a hole
• 0:20
  Speaker 1: in your chest. Black coffee on the felt, man, you
• 0:23
  Speaker 1: look like a mess. Three-team parlay turned to dust in
• 0:28
  Speaker 1: your head. Now you stare at the chips like they
• 0:32
  Speaker 1: made you this mad. But don't you go quiet, don't
• 0:36
  Speaker 1: you fade from the floor. Your name still means something
• 0:40
  Speaker 1: to somebody for sure. Put the glass down, baby.
• 0:45
  Speaker 2: Look at me.
• 0:46
  Speaker 3: Now Hold on, hold on.
• 0:54
  Speaker 2: Not tonight, not now Hold on, hold on Let me
• 1:03
  Speaker 2: pull you out That fell apart by.
• 1:08
  Speaker 3: Its heart But it don't get the crown Hold on,
• 1:16
  Speaker 3: hold on, stay with me.
• 1:26
  Speaker 4: Now. What's up, everybody? It's Toad back with you. Toadstool
• 1:30
  Speaker 4: Sports Saturday, October 3rd. I always have to look. I'm like, wait,
• 1:36
  Speaker 4: what day is it again? Look at the corner of
• 1:39
  Speaker 4: my screen here where the clock and date are. Dude,
• 1:43
  Speaker 4: I'm on no sleep, as you know. I was at
• 1:45
  Speaker 4: the Smashing Pumpkins show last night, got home, had to
• 1:49
  Speaker 4: eat something, did a real late-night college football show. You
• 1:52
  Speaker 4: can go watch it now. There's still some time there.
• 1:56
  Speaker 4: Added four college football plays to the card because, obviously,
• 2:00
  Speaker 4: the last night's went so well. So this will obviously
• 2:03
  Speaker 4: go really well. It's going to go great. We have
• 2:08
  Speaker 4: no WNBA playoffs today, so this show is going to
• 2:10
  Speaker 4: be hockey and MLB playoffs. And it'll be reasonably quick,
• 2:15
  Speaker 4: although we do have a full slate of hockey games
• 2:18
  Speaker 4: here for the first time. It's Saturday, usually one of
• 2:21
  Speaker 4: the most full days of hockey. It's usually Saturday and
• 2:24
  Speaker 4: I want to say Tuesday usually have the most. I
• 2:28
  Speaker 4: can't remember. It's all a blur, man. I'm going to
• 2:33
  Speaker 4: give out one hockey play here. I'm going to go
• 2:34
  Speaker 4: through all these games. Somewhat quickly, hopefully. Chicago at Buffalo
• 2:39
  Speaker 4: is the first game up. Buffalo, definitely the better team.
• 2:42
  Speaker 4: As much as I'm not that high on them, Chicago
• 2:44
  Speaker 4: is still not a good team. And Buffalo is coming
• 2:46
  Speaker 4: off an ugly loss, which, as you guys mentioned in
• 2:50
  Speaker 4: the comments, I was correct about Columbus. I kept saying Buffalo.
• 2:54
  Speaker 4: When I recapped that, I meant I was correct about Columbus.
• 2:57
  Speaker 4: But I was correct about the Columbus-Buffalo game. Buffalo had
• 2:59
  Speaker 4: a bad game in that one. Lost 6-3. You dive
• 3:04
  Speaker 4: into the box score, like was it misleading? Yeah, it
• 3:06
  Speaker 4: kind of was. I mean, it was a close game statistically,
• 3:10
  Speaker 4: so statistically it was not a three-goal loss. Columbus had
• 3:15
  Speaker 4: a couple power play goals plus an empty net goal there,
• 3:18
  Speaker 4: so I think Buffalo may bounce back here. They're not
• 3:23
  Speaker 4: as bad as that, but Chicago has been awful as well. Yeah,
• 3:27
  Speaker 4: I mean, Chicago's been awful, I should say. They lost
• 3:30
  Speaker 4: their first two games by a combined score of 11-2,
• 3:34
  Speaker 4: getting embarrassed by Utah last time out 6-0. Might still
• 3:39
  Speaker 4: be difficult for them, though. It's three straight road games
• 3:42
  Speaker 4: for them to start the season. That's not easy. Buffalo,
• 3:46
  Speaker 4: probably the weakest of the three opponents that they're facing
• 3:49
  Speaker 4: so far, to be honest, but... Will Chicago be able
• 3:52
  Speaker 4: to actually cover this or something like that? I don't know, man.
• 3:55
  Speaker 4: To me, it looks like a bounce-back spot for both teams.
• 3:59
  Speaker 4: Buffalo is a big favorite at minus 230. The money
• 4:03
  Speaker 4: line has dropped a little bit from an opener of
• 4:06
  Speaker 4: around minus 240. 79% of tickets, 66% of the cash
• 4:10
  Speaker 4: on Buffalo. They're public. The money is indicating on Chicago.
• 4:14
  Speaker 4: I would not want to do it. Buffalo, the better team.
• 4:18
  Speaker 4: could be focused in a spot like this after a
• 4:21
  Speaker 4: bad opening game, and like I said, it was misleading. Chicago,
• 4:25
  Speaker 4: I mean, they just are bad. That's just the way
• 4:27
  Speaker 4: that it is. Buffalo does have bigger games on deck
• 4:30
  Speaker 4: against Minnesota and Dallas, but I think when you're 0-1,
• 4:33
  Speaker 4: you start the season poorly. I expect focus out of
• 4:37
  Speaker 4: a team like that, so I really don't want Chicago
• 4:41
  Speaker 4: in that game. Yeah, I mean, I think both teams...
• 4:45
  Speaker 4: have looked maybe even worse than they both are up
• 4:48
  Speaker 4: to this point. But, yeah, Chicago just is still bad.
• 4:50
  Speaker 4: I think they're still one of the worst teams. So
• 4:52
  Speaker 4: I don't want any part of them here, even though
• 4:54
  Speaker 4: the money's coming in on them, whatever. Charles, what's up?
• 4:57
  Speaker 4: Thanks for hanging out. We all get no sleep here, man.
• 5:02
  Speaker 4: I would recommend not doing what I do. I would
• 5:05
  Speaker 4: get sleep. Montreal at Pittsburgh. Pittsburgh won 7-0 in their
• 5:09
  Speaker 4: first game. So right away that would have me leaning
• 5:11
  Speaker 4: towards fading them. Just a ridiculous win for them over Philadelphia.
• 5:16
  Speaker 4: That was a big win. That was revenge for getting
• 5:18
  Speaker 4: eliminated from the playoffs last year. Pittsburgh and Philadelphia are
• 5:22
  Speaker 4: also Pennsylvania rivals. That was a big win for Pittsburgh,
• 5:26
  Speaker 4: so I expect a letdown coming off of that facing
• 5:29
  Speaker 4: Montreal here, although it's not like they're going to overlook Montreal,
• 5:33
  Speaker 4: but you can't do better than 7-0 in playoff revenge
• 5:37
  Speaker 4: against your rival, you know what I mean? Montreal's coming
• 5:40
  Speaker 4: off a pretty big win themselves, though. I mean, they're
• 5:44
  Speaker 4: It was against their rival, one of their rivals, Toronto.
• 5:47
  Speaker 4: So Montreal, I would say it's kind of a negative
• 5:49
  Speaker 4: spot for them too coming off that game. And they
• 5:51
  Speaker 4: have Carolina on deck. That's a monster game against Carolina,
• 5:56
  Speaker 4: which I believe is playoff revenge, if I'm not mistaken.
• 5:58
  Speaker 4: Let me see. Am I right about that? Did Carolina
• 6:02
  Speaker 4: eliminate Montreal? Let me see. Yes, they did. That was, yeah,
• 6:07
  Speaker 4: the conference finals too. So yeah, Montreal has playoff revenge next.
• 6:11
  Speaker 4: That's a big game for them against Carolina. So, I
• 6:14
  Speaker 4: don't like the spot that either team is in here.
• 6:17
  Speaker 4: So this is a game that I'm staying away from.
• 6:21
  Speaker 4: I'll probably lean Montreal just because Pittsburgh looked way too
• 6:23
  Speaker 4: good in their first game. I mean, 7-0. It's almost
• 6:27
  Speaker 4: like you have to automatically fade that team after that,
• 6:30
  Speaker 4: especially when it was a pretty big game for them.
• 6:32
  Speaker 4: 65% of tickets, 93% of the cash on Montreal. They're
• 6:36
  Speaker 4: a minus-130 road favorite here. I think it's also a
• 6:39
  Speaker 4: situation where the public might think, oh, yeah, Both these
• 6:43
  Speaker 4: teams are good. They were both in the playoffs last year.
• 6:46
  Speaker 4: Oddsmakers are telling you Pittsburgh is not that good. The
• 6:50
  Speaker 4: fact that they're an underdog at home against the Canadians.
• 6:54
  Speaker 4: I mean, Canadians are definitely an upstart team. But yeah,
• 6:57
  Speaker 4: the oddsmakers are telling you Pittsburgh was an overrated team
• 7:00
  Speaker 4: last year with that line. So I would lean into
• 7:04
  Speaker 4: that a little bit. I'd lean to Montreal. But the over,
• 7:07
  Speaker 4: I think, kind of makes sense in this game, too.
• 7:09
  Speaker 4: Total six and a half. It's high. The money's coming
• 7:12
  Speaker 4: in on the over. When you have two teams that
• 7:13
  Speaker 4: are both in bad spots and they could be a
• 7:16
  Speaker 4: little bit distracted, it can affect the defense more so.
• 7:19
  Speaker 4: So I think maybe the over could be worth considering
• 7:22
  Speaker 4: in that game too. Yes, Canada. Yeah, I mean, whatever, man.
• 7:30
  Speaker 4: I just want to give out winners here on the show.
• 7:33
  Speaker 4: The next game up is going to be my only
• 7:35
  Speaker 4: hockey play here. This, because the price is a little
• 7:43
  Speaker 4: bit high, I want to take Tampa Bay here, but
• 7:45
  Speaker 4: we're going to have to do it in a different way. Whoops,
• 7:48
  Speaker 4: I didn't format that well. But Tampa Bay, this is
• 7:52
  Speaker 4: partially a puck line, partially a money line. You know
• 7:54
  Speaker 4: what I do with these split bets. You're basically making
• 7:57
  Speaker 4: your own plus one puck line here, but if you
• 8:00
  Speaker 4: can shop around, you can find better numbers. These are
• 8:02
  Speaker 4: both from the B book that's also a gym, which
• 8:06
  Speaker 4: even though they limit me and whatever, fuck them, but they, dude,
• 8:11
  Speaker 4: It's their fault if they're going to have, you know,
• 8:14
  Speaker 4: worse numbers than every other book, and you can take
• 8:16
  Speaker 4: advantage of them. They're fucking idiots. They're going to go
• 8:19
  Speaker 4: out of business, whatever. I like Tampa Bay here. If
• 8:22
  Speaker 4: you wanted to just play the money line, I guess
• 8:24
  Speaker 4: you could do that at minus 150, whatever here. I
• 8:27
  Speaker 4: found it at minus 152. I'm splitting it with part
• 8:30
  Speaker 4: of the bet on the puck line at minus 1.5
• 8:33
  Speaker 4: at plus 163. It comes out to, I don't even know.
• 8:38
  Speaker 4: What were the splits on this? I still have it up, actually. Yeah,
• 8:41
  Speaker 4: here it is. those are the splits on it. So
• 8:44
  Speaker 4: whatever it was, this is to win 300, but if
• 8:47
  Speaker 4: you want to do it to win a hundred, it
• 8:49
  Speaker 4: was about 58 of that on the money line part
• 8:52
  Speaker 4: of it. And then you win about 38 from that
• 8:54
  Speaker 4: and put the 38, you know how I do this
• 8:57
  Speaker 4: on the, uh, uh, plus money part of it, which
• 9:01
  Speaker 4: is the puck line part of it makes a plus
• 9:04
  Speaker 4: one Oh four minus one puck line. Um, so yeah,
• 9:07
  Speaker 4: that's how we do it here. Um, And as far
• 9:12
  Speaker 4: as the market read on this, Tampa Bay looks like
• 9:15
  Speaker 4: they're getting the money. 73% of tickets, 92% of the
• 9:18
  Speaker 4: cash on them. They're around minus 160 now. Money looks
• 9:22
  Speaker 4: like it agrees with me, and I can explain why.
• 9:25
  Speaker 4: Washington is coming off a monster win against Carolina, 5-2.
• 9:30
  Speaker 4: Bad start to the season for Carolina. I told you
• 9:33
  Speaker 4: Washington was going to be an underrated team early in
• 9:35
  Speaker 4: the season, but I am looking to fade them here
• 9:37
  Speaker 4: because that was a big win for them. over the
• 9:40
  Speaker 4: returning champs. 5-2 looks really good, although if you look
• 9:44
  Speaker 4: at the box score, it really wasn't what it appeared
• 9:48
  Speaker 4: on the scoreboard. Let's put it that way. Carolina had
• 9:50
  Speaker 4: more shots, more hits. They were the more physical team.
• 9:54
  Speaker 4: Faceoff battle was pretty close, so this game statistically was
• 9:57
  Speaker 4: not a 5-2 win for Washington, even though I know
• 10:00
  Speaker 4: shots can be a little bit misleading because the team
• 10:02
  Speaker 4: that's behind is going to start firing more of them. But, yeah,
• 10:06
  Speaker 4: it was just a game where Carolina got into an
• 10:08
  Speaker 4: early hole, maybe some bad goaltending, and that was that. Carolina,
• 10:13
  Speaker 4: Busse is now their starting goalie. Anderson, I don't know
• 10:18
  Speaker 4: if he's somewhere else now or retired or what, but
• 10:22
  Speaker 4: Busse is their guy now. Even though they went back
• 10:25
  Speaker 4: to Anderson in the playoffs, throughout their playoff run, Busse
• 10:29
  Speaker 4: is not off to a good start. Busse, however you
• 10:32
  Speaker 4: pronounce his name. I call him Busse because it's way funnier.
• 10:34
  Speaker 4: He's not off to a good start, man, even though
• 10:36
  Speaker 4: he looked pretty good last year. He's young. There are
• 10:39
  Speaker 4: some growing pains there, but we're not talking about Carolina here.
• 10:41
  Speaker 4: We're talking about the fact that Washington beat them in
• 10:45
  Speaker 4: kind of a misleading way, whereas Tampa Bay, I mean,
• 10:48
  Speaker 4: look at the loss they're coming off of, losing to
• 10:51
  Speaker 4: the Rangers at home. The Rangers were an absolutely pathetic
• 10:55
  Speaker 4: team at home last year. This is a bad loss
• 10:58
  Speaker 4: for Tampa Bay, so I think they bounce back after this.
• 11:01
  Speaker 4: You have a team that's in a bounce-back spot, and
• 11:04
  Speaker 4: it was even more embarrassing because Shesterk and the goalie
• 11:08
  Speaker 4: for the Rangers put an empty net goal in at
• 11:10
  Speaker 4: the end. which is also kind of a misleading thing,
• 11:13
  Speaker 4: you know what I mean? When you look at the
• 11:14
  Speaker 4: box score here, the game was pretty close, except that
• 11:18
  Speaker 4: the Rangers won the face-off battle by a lot, but
• 11:20
  Speaker 4: they started the game right off of the power play goal. Again,
• 11:23
  Speaker 4: Tampa got into a big hole, couldn't get out of it.
• 11:26
  Speaker 4: The shots were even. Tampa Bay had more hits in
• 11:28
  Speaker 4: the game, so they were a bit more physical. So
• 11:31
  Speaker 4: I think that result was also a bit misleading. So
• 11:33
  Speaker 4: you have two misleading results here that both kind of
• 11:36
  Speaker 4: go in favor of Tampa here. Washington is in a
• 11:39
  Speaker 4: letdown spot of a huge win, and Tampa Bay is
• 11:41
  Speaker 4: coming off a disgusting-looking loss, so I like all that.
• 11:45
  Speaker 4: And also, Washington's on a back-to-back, although I'm not as
• 11:48
  Speaker 4: concerned about that for them because they've only played one
• 11:51
  Speaker 4: game so far, so it's not like you get that
• 11:53
  Speaker 4: tired after one game. But even so, they're having to
• 11:56
  Speaker 4: travel from Carolina to Tampa Bay with no time off here,
• 11:59
  Speaker 4: whereas Tampa Bay, yeah, they're coming back from New York,
• 12:02
  Speaker 4: but they've had one day off here, so... That is
• 12:05
  Speaker 4: factored into the line, though. Tampa, without the rest edge,
• 12:08
  Speaker 4: it would not be this heavy of a favorite. So
• 12:11
  Speaker 4: you have to gauge whether or not this price is
• 12:13
  Speaker 4: entirely warranted. But I'm going to say yeah, because I
• 12:16
  Speaker 4: don't think the price is taking into account the situational
• 12:20
  Speaker 4: spot otherwise that I just laid out. So Tampa Bay,
• 12:23
  Speaker 4: make your own minus one puck line. Yes, Metallica, ride
• 12:28
  Speaker 4: the lightning. That is what we're going to do in
• 12:31
  Speaker 4: that game. Ottawa at Toronto. Ottawa, I think, might be
• 12:34
  Speaker 4: the only team left that has not played a game yet.
• 12:37
  Speaker 4: They have not played yet. Ottawa snuck into the playoffs
• 12:40
  Speaker 4: last year. I'm not sure if they're like this up-and-coming
• 12:43
  Speaker 4: team or if they overperformed a little bit last year.
• 12:47
  Speaker 4: Maybe it's a combination of both, to be honest. Toronto,
• 12:50
  Speaker 4: I think, underperformed last year. I think Toronto's a little
• 12:53
  Speaker 4: bit better than what they showed last year. These two
• 12:55
  Speaker 4: teams really do not like each other. I mean, they're
• 12:57
  Speaker 4: both In Ontario, of course, Toronto is the original sixth team,
• 13:01
  Speaker 4: so Ottawa always kind of considered to be the little
• 13:04
  Speaker 4: brother to Toronto here. Toronto's already 1-1. They've already played twice,
• 13:09
  Speaker 4: and Ottawa has yet to play. Toronto has also had
• 13:12
  Speaker 4: multiple days off, so they played Tuesday and Wednesday. They
• 13:16
  Speaker 4: beat the Islanders to get their first win in their
• 13:18
  Speaker 4: last game. Toronto's staying at home here. I think Toronto
• 13:22
  Speaker 4: might be in the better spot here because they already
• 13:24
  Speaker 4: have two games under their belt. And, you know, I
• 13:27
  Speaker 4: talk about that. When a team has games under their belt,
• 13:32
  Speaker 4: they tend to do better than a team that's coming
• 13:34
  Speaker 4: in cold, ice cold. So I like the team that
• 13:37
  Speaker 4: has games under their belt already because they get used
• 13:39
  Speaker 4: to it. They get their momentum. They can shed the nerves, whatever.
• 13:42
  Speaker 4: Ottawa's got to come into this cold, although Ottawa, you know,
• 13:45
  Speaker 4: they're going to show up. I mean, it's a situation where,
• 13:49
  Speaker 4: by the way, they lost both preseason games to the
• 13:52
  Speaker 4: Maple Leafs, although I don't think that really matters much.
• 13:55
  Speaker 4: In fact, that makes me not like Toronto as much
• 13:58
  Speaker 4: here because I think people will put some weight into
• 14:00
  Speaker 4: that where they shouldn't at all. But Ottawa's going to
• 14:03
  Speaker 4: show up for this. Again, like I said, they're the
• 14:07
  Speaker 4: little brother. I think the Maple Leafs are probably their
• 14:10
  Speaker 4: biggest rival to them, if you want to call it that.
• 14:14
  Speaker 4: It's kind of a one-way rivalry, I would say. Because
• 14:19
  Speaker 4: I think Toronto probably hates Montreal more than they hate Ottawa.
• 14:23
  Speaker 4: 84% of tickets, 93% of the cash on Toronto. They're
• 14:27
  Speaker 4: a minus 120 favorite. I still do lean Toronto in
• 14:30
  Speaker 4: that game just because I think having games under their
• 14:32
  Speaker 4: belt will help them, but not a strong opinion there.
• 14:35
  Speaker 4: Carolina at Philadelphia. Carolina's a road favorite here, so the
• 14:39
  Speaker 4: oddsmakers are telling you not to buy into Carolina's slow
• 14:43
  Speaker 4: start here. Philadelphia hasn't looked good either, though. Both teams
• 14:46
  Speaker 4: are 0-2. Philadelphia looked a lot better in their second game, though.
• 14:50
  Speaker 4: They almost beat the Devils. Don't mess with the Devils.
• 14:55
  Speaker 4: So Philadelphia's coming off a big game against the Devils.
• 14:59
  Speaker 4: I don't know if the spot is that good for
• 15:01
  Speaker 4: Philadelphia off that. I mean, they got embarrassed in their
• 15:04
  Speaker 4: first game by Pittsburgh, like I said, but that set
• 15:06
  Speaker 4: up a bounce back for them the very next night.
• 15:08
  Speaker 4: I leaned towards Philly in that one. They were a
• 15:10
  Speaker 4: big underdog in that game against New Jersey. They took
• 15:13
  Speaker 4: them into overtime and fell just short. Now they're coming
• 15:16
  Speaker 4: back from that. Now they're not going to overlook Carolina,
• 15:19
  Speaker 4: but the spot might just be better for Carolina because
• 15:22
  Speaker 4: Carolina's been, they've looked bad in both, kind of in
• 15:25
  Speaker 4: both games so far. I mean, scoring zero against the
• 15:28
  Speaker 4: Panthers doesn't look that good. Although the Panthers are going
• 15:31
  Speaker 4: to be a good defensive team, I'm pretty sure. We
• 15:34
  Speaker 4: had that one right on the show. That was to
• 15:35
  Speaker 4: kick off the hockey season. We got a win with
• 15:38
  Speaker 4: that one. Then Carolina in their last game, like I said,
• 15:41
  Speaker 4: they got out, they got not outplayed, but they got, uh,
• 15:45
  Speaker 4: wrecked scoreboard-wise by Washington. But again, I said it was misleading,
• 15:50
  Speaker 4: which is why I'm fading the Capitals in the game today.
• 15:53
  Speaker 4: But Carolina, on the other side of that, that game
• 15:56
  Speaker 4: was not what it appeared on the scoreboard for them either.
• 15:59
  Speaker 4: So Carolina was not as bad as that looked. You
• 16:01
  Speaker 4: have 2-0 in two teams. Carolina's the better team here.
• 16:04
  Speaker 4: Carolina's coming off the grosser-looking loss, which was misleading. So
• 16:08
  Speaker 4: I think I have to link Carolina in this game.
• 16:10
  Speaker 4: 80% of tickets, 87% of the cash on them. Minus
• 16:14
  Speaker 4: 130 is a road favorite. The lean is Carolina in
• 16:18
  Speaker 4: that game. Money seems to agree. Utah at Columbus. Columbus
• 16:23
  Speaker 4: looked good in their first game. 6-3, went over the Sabres.
• 16:26
  Speaker 4: But like I said, that game wasn't exactly what it
• 16:28
  Speaker 4: looked like on the scoreboard. Now they're playing the Mammoth,
• 16:32
  Speaker 4: who I think are about as good as Buffalo is
• 16:35
  Speaker 4: pretty much. I think maybe the Mammoth might be a
• 16:38
  Speaker 4: little bit better. Utah did look really good in their
• 16:40
  Speaker 4: first game, though. A 6-0 win over Chicago. I know
• 16:44
  Speaker 4: Chicago's not good, but that win... Whenever you come off
• 16:48
  Speaker 4: a 6-0 win, you're going to be riding a little
• 16:50
  Speaker 4: bit high. Utah going out on the road now. I
• 16:53
  Speaker 4: don't believe either team played yesterday or anything like that. No,
• 16:58
  Speaker 4: I don't believe so. Yeah, so both teams coming off
• 17:01
  Speaker 4: good-looking wins that maybe were both a little bit misleading here.
• 17:05
  Speaker 4: Utah used that... Well, this one wasn't actually... Utah actually
• 17:09
  Speaker 4: completely dominated this game. This was not misleading, really. Utah
• 17:14
  Speaker 4: had more than double Chicago's shots. They had more than
• 17:18
  Speaker 4: triple the amount of hits, and they won 72% of
• 17:22
  Speaker 4: the face-offs. That is... I had not looked at this
• 17:25
  Speaker 4: box score yet. That is insanity. Whenever you see a
• 17:29
  Speaker 4: 6-0 win, it's almost always misleading, but this is about
• 17:33
  Speaker 4: as realistic or as legitimate of a 6-0 win as
• 17:36
  Speaker 4: you'll ever see. This was complete domination by Utah statistically,
• 17:40
  Speaker 4: so that was legit. What do we do with this game?
• 17:44
  Speaker 4: I have no fucking clue. The money is coming in
• 17:47
  Speaker 4: on Utah. 60% of tickets, 82% of the cash on them.
• 17:51
  Speaker 4: They're about a minus 112% favorite or so. Money says Utah.
• 17:56
  Speaker 4: I have no clue on this game. Both teams look
• 17:59
  Speaker 4: like they, I mean, maybe you could, what you could
• 18:01
  Speaker 4: argue is that maybe Columbus, right?
• 18:04
  Speaker 5: Yeah.
• 18:04
  Speaker 4: Maybe Columbus is in the worst letdown spot because that
• 18:08
  Speaker 4: was a nice win over Buffalo, a playoff team where
• 18:11
  Speaker 4: nobody's going to care that Utah beat Chicago. But when
• 18:14
  Speaker 4: you look at to that box score, that was a
• 18:16
  Speaker 4: really impressive performance from Utah. I don't care who you beat.
• 18:20
  Speaker 4: If you dominate like that, that is domination you do
• 18:23
  Speaker 4: not usually see in the NHL. Even if it was
• 18:26
  Speaker 4: against one of the worst teams in the league, that's insane.
• 18:29
  Speaker 4: So yeah, alright, I could see it. Utah, with the
• 18:33
  Speaker 4: market read there, not a strong opinion. Not at all.
• 18:37
  Speaker 4: That was probably the least strong opinion that I have
• 18:39
  Speaker 4: out of any of these games. Alright, Seattle at Edmonton.
• 18:44
  Speaker 4: Edmonton hasn't really looked good so far with two... Really high. Well,
• 18:48
  Speaker 4: I mean, they played high scoring games, which does look
• 18:51
  Speaker 4: good in the public's eye, but the fact that they
• 18:52
  Speaker 4: lost to Vancouver and then did beat them, but only
• 18:55
  Speaker 4: beat them nine to seven. The public might worry about
• 19:00
  Speaker 4: that a little bit for Edmonton. This Edmonton defense is
• 19:02
  Speaker 4: still not good, man. They can score a ton, but
• 19:05
  Speaker 4: they give up a ton. That last game against Vancouver,
• 19:09
  Speaker 4: this was an insane game. They were winning 5-0, and
• 19:12
  Speaker 4: they were also winning 8-2, Edmonton was, after they scored
• 19:16
  Speaker 4: two shorthanded goals in about a 30-second span in the
• 19:20
  Speaker 4: second period. That is insane. That is just insane. Such
• 19:23
  Speaker 4: horrible play by Vancouver. That must have been because Vancouver
• 19:26
  Speaker 4: was on the power play there. How do you give
• 19:28
  Speaker 4: up two straight shorthanded goals in 30 seconds, man? The
• 19:31
  Speaker 4: only way you do that is by just turning it
• 19:34
  Speaker 4: over completely. Yeah, ridiculous. But then Edmonton's defense still couldn't hold.
• 19:40
  Speaker 4: After they were up 8-2, they let it slip to
• 19:42
  Speaker 4: 8-6 by the middle of the third period. Man, this
• 19:46
  Speaker 4: is a bad defense. But what do we do here?
• 19:48
  Speaker 4: I don't know. I mean, Edmonton did win the shot
• 19:50
  Speaker 4: battle in that game, although they actually lost the physicality
• 19:54
  Speaker 4: battle in the game. Edmonton, you know, kind of more
• 19:57
  Speaker 4: of a finesse team here. They're playing another bad team, though,
• 20:01
  Speaker 4: in Seattle. Will Edmonton be able to win this game?
• 20:04
  Speaker 4: I mean, they should. They're a huge favorite here. Seattle
• 20:07
  Speaker 4: looked pretty good in a 6-1 win against the Flames
• 20:10
  Speaker 4: in their first game, but the Flames are really bad.
• 20:13
  Speaker 4: They're definitely way worse than the Oilers are. So Seattle
• 20:17
  Speaker 4: staying in Alberta here, but they played the really bad
• 20:21
  Speaker 4: Alberta team, won that game, and it was misleading, I'm
• 20:24
  Speaker 4: pretty sure. I think I looked at the box score.
• 20:26
  Speaker 4: That game was actually fairly close statistically. So a 6-1
• 20:29
  Speaker 4: win was misleading there. Now they're going to go on
• 20:32
  Speaker 4: the road and face an oiler team that really hasn't
• 20:35
  Speaker 4: looked that good so far. Yeah. I mean, Seattle will
• 20:40
  Speaker 4: try to get up for this for sure, but Seattle
• 20:42
  Speaker 4: is a pretty bad team. I don't know. The money
• 20:44
  Speaker 4: is coming in towards Seattle though. Edmonton, 94% of tickets,
• 20:47
  Speaker 4: 69% of the cash on them. Minus two Oh five
• 20:50
  Speaker 4: or so is the price here. Minus two 10. I
• 20:54
  Speaker 4: see minus two 18, uh, DK. Um, I would not
• 21:01
  Speaker 4: want to take Seattle here, even if they will try
• 21:03
  Speaker 4: to get up for a game against Edmonton like this.
• 21:06
  Speaker 4: I know Edmonton's defense sucks. maybe this game is an over,
• 21:10
  Speaker 4: even though that seems way too obvious. The money is
• 21:12
  Speaker 4: coming in on the over the totals high six and
• 21:15
  Speaker 4: a half. I mean, it almost feels like if you
• 21:17
  Speaker 4: just blindly play Edmonton's games over, you're probably going to
• 21:20
  Speaker 4: win money. Um, it almost feels that way. Seems too
• 21:24
  Speaker 4: obvious because all three of the games that these two
• 21:26
  Speaker 4: teams have played so far have gone over the total,
• 21:28
  Speaker 4: but I don't see any reason this game won't. Um,
• 21:32
  Speaker 4: I mean, again, both teams, I think, are pretty poor defensively. So, yeah,
• 21:38
  Speaker 4: maybe the over is the best way to play that
• 21:40
  Speaker 4: game because I don't have a good feeling on the
• 21:41
  Speaker 4: side there. To me, it seems like Edmonton should win.
• 21:44
  Speaker 4: And for some reason, that's the game that's on NHL Network.
• 21:48
  Speaker 4: What are we doing here, guys? Also, none of these
• 21:51
  Speaker 4: games are in the afternoon today, by the way. I
• 21:53
  Speaker 4: don't know why that game gets the television billing. What
• 21:56
  Speaker 4: are we doing? New Jersey at the New York Islanders.
• 22:01
  Speaker 4: The Islanders lost their first game at the Maple Leafs,
• 22:04
  Speaker 4: as I mentioned. New Jersey, I believe their last game
• 22:08
  Speaker 4: was that overtime win. Yeah, that was their only game
• 22:11
  Speaker 4: so far. The overtime win over the Flyers. Now they're
• 22:13
  Speaker 4: going to the Islanders. The Islanders, I think at this
• 22:18
  Speaker 4: point the Islanders are considered to be the little brother
• 22:21
  Speaker 4: out of the three. I think they're already the little
• 22:23
  Speaker 4: brother against the Rangers, but I think they're the little
• 22:26
  Speaker 4: brother against the New Jersey Devils as well. Cause you
• 22:30
  Speaker 4: have three teams that are all kind of competing for
• 22:32
  Speaker 4: that market there. I think the Islanders lose out to
• 22:35
  Speaker 4: both of the other teams. Uh, New Jersey, nice overtime
• 22:39
  Speaker 4: win over Philadelphia. Not a bad win there. Now they
• 22:42
  Speaker 4: go to the Islanders. It's a quick trip obviously over to, uh,
• 22:45
  Speaker 4: wherever the hell, where do the Islanders play now? Uh,
• 22:48
  Speaker 4: I think they play in, do they play in the
• 22:50
  Speaker 4: Barclays center now? I don't even know where the fuck
• 22:52
  Speaker 4: they play now. They used to play in the Nassau
• 22:54
  Speaker 4: County Coliseum. Um, I guess they play in Elmont, New York.
• 22:58
  Speaker 4: I'm not even sure where the fuck that is. I
• 23:00
  Speaker 4: guess they have a new stadium.
• 23:01
  Speaker 5: I don't know.
• 23:02
  Speaker 4: It's either in Brooklyn or Queens, though. It's got to
• 23:05
  Speaker 4: be on Long Island at least, right? Islanders, 2-1 loss
• 23:11
  Speaker 4: to Toronto. They have more time off. So the Islanders
• 23:15
  Speaker 4: are the 0-1 team. New Jersey is the 1-0 team here.
• 23:19
  Speaker 4: New Jersey is the better team, but the Islanders being
• 23:22
  Speaker 4: the 0-1 team, coming off a loss like that and
• 23:24
  Speaker 4: being the little brother, Who does New Jersey have next?
• 23:30
  Speaker 4: That's what I want to know. Who do they play next?
• 23:33
  Speaker 4: I looked earlier, but I can't remember. I don't keep
• 23:35
  Speaker 4: any of this straight. They only play Utah next, but
• 23:39
  Speaker 4: Utah's off to a good start, though, so maybe that
• 23:42
  Speaker 4: is bigger than we think. I'd probably lean to the
• 23:44
  Speaker 4: Islanders here, but the money doesn't agree. 62% of tickets,
• 23:48
  Speaker 4: 90% of the cash on New Jersey. They're like a
• 23:50
  Speaker 4: minus 130-something favorite here. I don't really agree with it, though.
• 23:54
  Speaker 4: I think I'd lean to the Islanders in that one,
• 23:56
  Speaker 4: but the oddsmakers are telling you the Islanders are not
• 23:58
  Speaker 4: very good if they're a home underdog in that one.
• 24:03
  Speaker 4: My Boston Bruins at Minnesota. Bruins are on a back-to-back.
• 24:07
  Speaker 4: They won in overtime yesterday against a Jets team that
• 24:10
  Speaker 4: I really don't think is going to be that good.
• 24:12
  Speaker 4: I would not pay attention to the fact that the
• 24:14
  Speaker 4: Bruins are 2-0. I mean, they beat the Rangers and
• 24:17
  Speaker 4: the Jets in overtime against the Jets. Not impressive. Neither
• 24:22
  Speaker 4: of those teams are going to be good, most likely.
• 24:24
  Speaker 4: The Bruins I don't think are good either. Now they're
• 24:26
  Speaker 4: on a back-to-back, having to go to Minnesota and play
• 24:29
  Speaker 4: a real team for once. I don't really think the
• 24:32
  Speaker 4: Bruins are going to be able to step up and
• 24:33
  Speaker 4: win this thing. Minnesota coming off a win over Nashville,
• 24:36
  Speaker 4: I mean, that's like whatever. Doesn't really matter. I don't
• 24:41
  Speaker 4: think that win over Nashville... Minnesota is the better team here.
• 24:44
  Speaker 4: They're slightly getting the money, but this is a difficult
• 24:47
  Speaker 4: game to handicap. 50-50 on the tickets, but you know
• 24:50
  Speaker 4: that because the Bruins are on a back-to-back, the line
• 24:52
  Speaker 4: is going to be moved up on Minnesota for that
• 24:55
  Speaker 4: reason because the line always takes into account the rest disadvantage.
• 24:59
  Speaker 4: So I think normally Minnesota would probably be about minus
• 25:02
  Speaker 4: 190 here, but they're up to about minus 205 because
• 25:06
  Speaker 4: of that. 52% of the cash on Minnesota here. No
• 25:10
  Speaker 4: good read for me on that. I don't think the
• 25:12
  Speaker 4: Bruins are going to win that game, though, so I
• 25:14
  Speaker 4: don't know. I mean, with a minus 200 favorite, though,
• 25:19
  Speaker 4: not really a good way of playing it. I don't
• 25:21
  Speaker 4: feel that strongly about Minnesota winning that game either, so
• 25:24
  Speaker 4: no good angle for me on that. I mean, if
• 25:27
  Speaker 4: you make me guess, I think the Bruins are going
• 25:28
  Speaker 4: to lose, obviously. I mean, they are a big underdog
• 25:30
  Speaker 4: for a reason. They're the lesser team, but you need
• 25:34
  Speaker 4: Minnesota to be worth paying the price for it. I
• 25:37
  Speaker 4: don't really know if they are. or you'd have to, um,
• 25:41
  Speaker 4: ask them to cover like a minus one and a
• 25:42
  Speaker 4: half puck line, which I don't love doing in the NHL.
• 25:46
  Speaker 4: Like I like making my own minus one puck line,
• 25:48
  Speaker 4: but a game, a game at a price range like this,
• 25:51
  Speaker 4: I pretty much just always stay away from it. So yes,
• 25:56
  Speaker 4: the Seinfeld, uh, devil, dirty sock. What's up? Uh, thanks
• 26:00
  Speaker 4: for hanging out. Yeah. Three. All right. Three out of
• 26:04
  Speaker 4: four NHL. That's good. I mean, I'm more selective than that.
• 26:08
  Speaker 4: I would, uh, I did not recommend playing any of
• 26:11
  Speaker 4: those games yet. I don't even know which games I
• 26:12
  Speaker 4: was right about yesterday. I have no fucking clue, to
• 26:15
  Speaker 4: be honest. I would not have played any of my
• 26:18
  Speaker 4: leans yesterday. I didn't feel strongly about any of those
• 26:21
  Speaker 4: games yesterday. So I don't know how you could have
• 26:24
  Speaker 4: played four of those games out of five. I would
• 26:27
  Speaker 4: not recommend doing that. Playing 80% of the games on
• 26:31
  Speaker 4: the board, yeah, I mean, you're going to lose if
• 26:33
  Speaker 4: you do that long term. So, you know, I can't.
• 26:37
  Speaker 4: I can't get 80% of all NHL games right. It's impossible.
• 26:43
  Speaker 4: Dallas at Nashville. Dallas, of course, looked really bad yesterday
• 26:47
  Speaker 4: in that loss to the Blues. Yes, they're on a
• 26:49
  Speaker 4: back-to-back here, but you've got to think this is a
• 26:52
  Speaker 4: bounce-back spot for Dallas. The back-to-back isn't as bad when
• 26:56
  Speaker 4: that was the first game of the season. You're still
• 26:58
  Speaker 4: going to have your energy after playing one game, especially
• 27:00
  Speaker 4: when it was a horrible game for Dallas. Look at
• 27:04
  Speaker 4: the box score here. Yeah, I mean, it was misleading.
• 27:08
  Speaker 4: Dallas won all the different statistics here, although it was close,
• 27:11
  Speaker 4: but they won the shots, they won the hits, they
• 27:13
  Speaker 4: dominated the face-offs. There were two empty net goals at
• 27:16
  Speaker 4: the end, too, so this was a misleading result for sure.
• 27:20
  Speaker 4: So I think a bounce-back spot for Dallas is probably
• 27:23
  Speaker 4: in order here. I think Nashville is ass, even though
• 27:26
  Speaker 4: they'll probably get up for this game, and they have
• 27:28
  Speaker 4: rest here. I still don't like it. I still think
• 27:31
  Speaker 4: Dallas probably wins this game in the bounce-back spot here.
• 27:35
  Speaker 4: They're public, 88% of tickets on them, but maybe they're
• 27:37
  Speaker 4: getting the money too, 94% of the cash. I don't know.
• 27:41
  Speaker 4: I don't like seeing a cash disparity that's small like
• 27:44
  Speaker 4: that on a public side because the side is still public,
• 27:47
  Speaker 4: but public's not always wrong. I think Dallas may be
• 27:50
  Speaker 4: the right side in that one. They're about minus 130.
• 27:53
  Speaker 4: They're the better team in what looks like a focus spot,
• 27:56
  Speaker 4: but I still don't love the back-to-back, but it's not
• 27:59
  Speaker 4: as bad given that it's only the second game of
• 28:02
  Speaker 4: the season.
• 28:03
  Speaker 2: St.
• 28:03
  Speaker 4: Louis at Colorado.
• 28:05
  Speaker 5: St.
• 28:05
  Speaker 4: Louis is on a back-to-back and coming off that misleading
• 28:09
  Speaker 4: big upset win over Dallas and with no time off
• 28:12
  Speaker 4: and having to go to Colorado. So, yeah, needless to say,
• 28:15
  Speaker 4: I do not think St. Louis is going to win
• 28:17
  Speaker 4: this game against the Avalanche. I mean, they have a
• 28:19
  Speaker 4: lot of negatives here, even though they should get it
• 28:22
  Speaker 4: up for a game against Colorado. But, I mean, come on, man.
• 28:25
  Speaker 4: Having to play two huge games in two days, coming
• 28:28
  Speaker 4: off a misleading upset win, which could put you in
• 28:31
  Speaker 4: a letdown spot. There's no way I would try to
• 28:34
  Speaker 4: play St. Louis in this game. Would I lay this
• 28:37
  Speaker 4: price for Colorado? Absolutely not. I would not do that either.
• 28:40
  Speaker 4: Colorado just beat the Kings 8-4. This was not what
• 28:45
  Speaker 4: it appeared. The Kings won the face-off battle in this game.
• 28:48
  Speaker 4: 64% of face-offs went to the Kings, and they had
• 28:52
  Speaker 4: more shots in the game as well, although part of
• 28:54
  Speaker 4: that was because they were losing. But... Yeah, this game
• 28:58
  Speaker 4: was not what it looked like on the scoreboard. An
• 29:01
  Speaker 4: 8-4 Colorado win. The game was a lot closer than that.
• 29:04
  Speaker 4: So I think Saab kind of got screwed with his L.A.
• 29:07
  Speaker 4: play there. I still didn't want to do it because L.A.
• 29:09
  Speaker 4: looks like they just have matchup problems with Colorado. But still,
• 29:14
  Speaker 4: I think Colorado is probably not worthy of laying a
• 29:18
  Speaker 4: price that's this high. Minus 285? I mean, come on, man.
• 29:23
  Speaker 4: Even though I don't think St. Louis is going to
• 29:24
  Speaker 4: win this game, 93% of tickets and cash are Colorado.
• 29:29
  Speaker 4: They're a hugely public side. I mean, if you really
• 29:32
  Speaker 4: need to play this game, I mean, you could Moneyline
• 29:36
  Speaker 4: Parlay this thing. You know, I still don't like it,
• 29:38
  Speaker 4: but you could. do a two-leg Moneyline Parlay with two
• 29:42
  Speaker 4: favorites in a similar price range to get the number down.
• 29:45
  Speaker 4: Like maybe Colorado and, you know, if you watch my
• 29:48
  Speaker 4: college football show, I liked Arizona. They're both public sides,
• 29:52
  Speaker 4: but if you play Arizona, the Avs money line here,
• 29:55
  Speaker 4: and you parlay it with the Arizona money line in football,
• 29:58
  Speaker 4: because I do think they're in a good spot. Parlay
• 30:02
  Speaker 4: those two money lines and get a cheaper price out
• 30:04
  Speaker 4: of it. You do need them both to win, though.
• 30:07
  Speaker 4: You could do something like that, but I still don't know, man.
• 30:09
  Speaker 4: I mean, money line parlays and using a hockey game
• 30:12
  Speaker 4: for it, which is always a closer game.
• 30:15
  Speaker 5: I don't know.
• 30:16
  Speaker 4: It doesn't seem to really sit right with me, but
• 30:19
  Speaker 4: I do think the spot's really bad for St.
• 30:21
  Speaker 5: Louis.
• 30:21
  Speaker 4: Of course, the other option you have here is to
• 30:23
  Speaker 4: take Colorado's team total over. You know what I mean?
• 30:26
  Speaker 4: You could definitely do that. The total's pretty high. It's
• 30:30
  Speaker 4: between 6-6.5, and the money is definitely coming in on
• 30:32
  Speaker 4: the over in this game. So Colorado's team total over
• 30:36
  Speaker 4: makes some sense here as well.
• 30:38
  Speaker 2: St.
• 30:38
  Speaker 4: Louis, after shutting out Dallas, needless to say, I do
• 30:41
  Speaker 4: not think they're going to shut out Colorado with no
• 30:45
  Speaker 4: time off. So, yeah, their defense might be a little
• 30:48
  Speaker 4: bit tired after that too. So, yeah, Colorado's team total
• 30:51
  Speaker 4: over doesn't seem horrible in that game to me. You'll
• 30:54
  Speaker 4: need him to score four goals probably, but it's definitely
• 30:58
  Speaker 4: a possibility. You need way more. Dude, you're in fucking Colorado.
• 31:03
  Speaker 4: You should have eight sportsbooks at least. Yeah, what are
• 31:07
  Speaker 4: you doing here, man? Get every sportsbook that you can
• 31:11
  Speaker 4: possibly have, although you're going to get banned from some
• 31:14
  Speaker 4: of them. How the fuck are the Blues a hated
• 31:18
  Speaker 4: rival of Colorado? I don't even understand that. It makes
• 31:22
  Speaker 4: no sense to me. And there's no history there either, right?
• 31:26
  Speaker 4: Because Colorado used to be the Quebec Nordiques. So what
• 31:30
  Speaker 4: are we talking about here? I have no clue how
• 31:33
  Speaker 4: that's a rivalry game. And yeah, like I don't see
• 31:38
  Speaker 4: Colorado showing up with full intensity against St. Louis. Divisional rival? Yeah, okay. No.
• 31:48
  Speaker 5: No. No.
• 31:51
  Speaker 4: They're in the same division as Dallas, right, Colorado is,
• 31:54
  Speaker 4: Dallas is like, Dallas and Minnesota are obviously their threats
• 31:58
  Speaker 4: in the division, the Blues are not a threat, so no,
• 32:02
  Speaker 4: just because a team is in the same division as you,
• 32:05
  Speaker 4: what the fuck, no, absolutely not, that's, I'm trying to
• 32:10
  Speaker 4: come up with an example here, like, what's a good
• 32:12
  Speaker 4: example here, I'm like, Give me a team that's total ass.
• 32:17
  Speaker 4: That's like saying that Vancouver is a massive rival of,
• 32:22
  Speaker 4: I don't know, Edmonton. But even that is probably more
• 32:26
  Speaker 4: true than what you just said because those are both
• 32:27
  Speaker 4: Western Canada teams. So those are kind of both rivals.
• 32:31
  Speaker 4: Colorado and St. Louis have no history. They're not close geographically.
• 32:36
  Speaker 4: What you're saying makes no sense to me. I don't
• 32:38
  Speaker 4: give a fuck if they're in the same division or not.
• 32:41
  Speaker 4: not every team in your own division is a huge
• 32:43
  Speaker 4: hated rival of you, especially when you're the way better
• 32:46
  Speaker 4: of the two teams. Colorado could easily overlook St. Louis,
• 32:51
  Speaker 4: but this is a spot where I don't really think
• 32:53
  Speaker 4: that they will just because St. Louis looked really good
• 32:56
  Speaker 4: in their first game, at least on the scoreboard. You
• 33:01
  Speaker 4: cannot be lazy about this. You have one of the
• 33:03
  Speaker 4: biggest sports betting markets ever. In the entire country, Colorado,
• 33:07
  Speaker 4: and you only had one sportsbook? There's no excuse for that. So, well,
• 33:13
  Speaker 4: I mean, fuck St.
• 33:14
  Speaker 1: Louis.
• 33:14
  Speaker 4: There's no way they should have fucking won the cup
• 33:17
  Speaker 4: in 2018. So, they can suck my ass for that reason.
• 33:22
  Speaker 4: Calgary at Vancouver. I feel a little bit more strongly
• 33:26
  Speaker 4: about these last two games, actually. I like Calgary in
• 33:28
  Speaker 4: this one. I think Vancouver coming off looking really good
• 33:31
  Speaker 4: against the Oilers in two games is going to have
• 33:34
  Speaker 4: them overvalued here. Vancouver's still an ass team. The fact
• 33:38
  Speaker 4: that they made that huge comeback attempt against the Oilers,
• 33:43
  Speaker 4: that took a lot of energy out of them, I think.
• 33:45
  Speaker 4: And as I already mentioned, the Flames had kind of
• 33:47
  Speaker 4: a close game statistically against Seattle, even though they got
• 33:50
  Speaker 4: blown out on the scoreboard.
• 33:53
  Speaker 2: 6-1.
• 33:53
  Speaker 4: This game was not really what it appeared on the scoreboard.
• 33:57
  Speaker 4: Seattle won the shot battle. Calgary won the face-off battle
• 34:00
  Speaker 4: by a little bit and the hit battle, so it
• 34:03
  Speaker 4: was not really exactly what it seemed to be on
• 34:05
  Speaker 4: the scoreboard. Calgary, they're a bad team too, but people
• 34:09
  Speaker 4: are going to look at these results so far and think, oh,
• 34:11
  Speaker 4: Vancouver actually can play because they beat Edmonton one out
• 34:15
  Speaker 4: of two games, and they only lost by two in
• 34:16
  Speaker 4: the other one. Looked really good in a high-scoring loss
• 34:19
  Speaker 4: to a good team, whereas Calgary looked really bad and
• 34:22
  Speaker 4: a loss to a bad team. I think Calgary is
• 34:25
  Speaker 4: the right side here in this one. It looks like
• 34:27
  Speaker 4: the money agrees with this. 54% of tickets, 64% of
• 34:31
  Speaker 4: the cash on them. Maybe I'm being too selective, but
• 34:33
  Speaker 4: I do like this one. If I was going to
• 34:36
  Speaker 4: add a second play in hockey, it would be this one.
• 34:39
  Speaker 4: It's basically a pick-em price here. So yeah, I would
• 34:41
  Speaker 4: play Calgary on the money line in that one. And
• 34:45
  Speaker 4: then I do also like this last game. I would
• 34:47
  Speaker 4: fade San Jose, even though they were kind to us
• 34:50
  Speaker 4: in the other game. They won in overtime against the Panthers.
• 34:54
  Speaker 4: San Jose was better in that game than the score
• 34:56
  Speaker 4: makes it look, though, actually. They were winning the game 3-0.
• 35:00
  Speaker 4: They won the shot battle. They did lose the hit
• 35:02
  Speaker 4: battle in the face-offs, though, so they were the less
• 35:05
  Speaker 4: physical team in the game, but we got the win
• 35:08
  Speaker 4: in overtime, but any way you look at it, I
• 35:09
  Speaker 4: think that was a Big win for the Sharks. So
• 35:12
  Speaker 4: they could be in a letdown spot here now playing L.A.,
• 35:15
  Speaker 4: although maybe San Jose won't be in total letdown mode, though.
• 35:18
  Speaker 4: That's the thing where my first instinct was we got
• 35:21
  Speaker 4: to fade San Jose here off a win like that.
• 35:24
  Speaker 4: But maybe not because San Jose and L.A. are in
• 35:26
  Speaker 4: the same division and L.A. also in the same league.
• 35:30
  Speaker 4: uh state as them i think they consider la to
• 35:33
  Speaker 4: be one of their bigger brothers here so i think
• 35:34
  Speaker 4: san jose will get up still for a game against
• 35:38
  Speaker 4: la and la has been the better of the two
• 35:40
  Speaker 4: teams recently and keeps making the playoffs and whatever i
• 35:43
  Speaker 4: will see if la continues being a good road team
• 35:46
  Speaker 4: um you know like last year they were a good
• 35:48
  Speaker 4: road team but the year before that they were a
• 35:50
  Speaker 4: good home team so You never know year to year,
• 35:53
  Speaker 4: and yes, LA did lose their first game on the
• 35:55
  Speaker 4: road at the Avs, but like I said, that game
• 35:58
  Speaker 4: was not what it looked like on the scoreboard. That
• 36:00
  Speaker 4: game was a lot closer than that statistically, so LA
• 36:04
  Speaker 4: coming off a loss that was misleading. Sharks coming off
• 36:07
  Speaker 4: a nice win there. I like LA in this game,
• 36:10
  Speaker 4: but the money's coming in on San Jose. 60% of tickets,
• 36:12
  Speaker 4: 79% of the cash on them. at about minus 120.
• 36:16
  Speaker 4: So the market read is saying San Jose. I could
• 36:19
  Speaker 4: still see them getting up for this game, but I
• 36:20
  Speaker 4: slightly disagree with that one. I would lean towards the
• 36:23
  Speaker 4: Kings in that game. But yeah, I mean, obviously you
• 36:27
  Speaker 4: got my play, which is Tampa Bay, make your own
• 36:29
  Speaker 4: minus one puck line. I think that's the best coinciding
• 36:34
  Speaker 4: situational play here. But if I was going to add
• 36:36
  Speaker 4: another one, I like Calgary as a second play, if
• 36:39
  Speaker 4: I was going to add any. All right, I am
• 36:41
  Speaker 4: going to have a baseball play here as well. I
• 36:44
  Speaker 4: considered White Sox and Cleveland. This will be the first
• 36:46
  Speaker 4: game up in the ALDS here, which, by the way,
• 36:49
  Speaker 4: the AL series are much closer on the series lines.
• 36:53
  Speaker 4: Cleveland is a small-ish favorite, like around minus 140-something, I think,
• 36:57
  Speaker 4: in their series. And the Yankees are favored on the
• 37:00
  Speaker 4: road at Tampa Bay as about a minus 120 favorite. And,
• 37:05
  Speaker 4: you know, I have the Yankees winning the AL in
• 37:07
  Speaker 4: my bracket, and I don't see them losing. These teams
• 37:09
  Speaker 4: in the AL are awful, dude. The NL is so
• 37:12
  Speaker 4: much better than the AL. It's a fucking joke. So
• 37:16
  Speaker 4: the Yankees basically get a free pass to the World Series,
• 37:19
  Speaker 4: in my opinion. On the other side, though, the Dodgers
• 37:22
  Speaker 4: and Milwaukee are both massive favorites in their series. The
• 37:26
  Speaker 4: Dodgers are like minus 230 in their series, and Milwaukee
• 37:29
  Speaker 4: is like minus 200 or something in theirs. So they're
• 37:32
  Speaker 4: both huge favorites. You know, there might be a little
• 37:35
  Speaker 4: bit of an edge with San Diego in that series. Honestly,
• 37:38
  Speaker 4: I don't think the Dodgers are going to lose to
• 37:40
  Speaker 4: the Braves. Braves just do not have the starting pitching
• 37:43
  Speaker 4: depth at all. And the Dodgers, they don't have a
• 37:46
  Speaker 4: single bad starting pitcher. Although there might be some pitchers
• 37:49
  Speaker 4: that don't have a good matchup, which I am going
• 37:51
  Speaker 4: to talk about in their game today. But for San Diego,
• 37:54
  Speaker 4: I actually think they're being a little bit undervalued in
• 37:56
  Speaker 4: their series against Milwaukee. Milwaukee just looked way too good
• 38:00
  Speaker 4: during the regular season. You know, they had one of
• 38:01
  Speaker 4: the best records in baseball history. first time in franchise history,
• 38:06
  Speaker 4: winning a hundred plus games. Milwaukee's got a lack of
• 38:10
  Speaker 4: experience though. And they're a small ball team, which is
• 38:12
  Speaker 4: why I don't love them here. Even though I did
• 38:15
  Speaker 4: pick them to win the series in my bracket, but
• 38:17
  Speaker 4: I would not be shocked if they lost the series.
• 38:20
  Speaker 4: And Clint, uh, if you watch bald with me and Clint,
• 38:23
  Speaker 4: he picked San Diego to beat Milwaukee. I'm pretty sure,
• 38:26
  Speaker 4: which I didn't think that was that unreasonable really. Um,
• 38:32
  Speaker 4: So we'll see what happens. And I picked the Yankees
• 38:34
  Speaker 4: over Tampa Bay, which obviously is not unreasonable because they're
• 38:37
  Speaker 4: actually favored. He went against me on that and took
• 38:40
  Speaker 4: Tampa Bay in that series. We'll see what happens there.
• 38:45
  Speaker 4: So we each took the opposite of the small ball
• 38:49
  Speaker 4: teams there. But anyway, White Sox and Cleveland, we know
• 38:52
  Speaker 4: this was a close divisional race, and Cleveland wound up
• 38:54
  Speaker 4: winning the division in the end. I still don't love
• 38:58
  Speaker 4: Chicago here, man, because, again, they're a team that was
• 39:01
  Speaker 4: historically bad the last couple seasons, and now all of
• 39:03
  Speaker 4: a sudden they're in the playoffs. I just think this
• 39:06
  Speaker 4: lack of experience is going to catch up to Chicago.
• 39:09
  Speaker 4: I really don't see them being able to win this series,
• 39:11
  Speaker 4: even though the White Sox have the better offense. But
• 39:14
  Speaker 4: Cleveland has the better pitching everywhere, too. Cleveland has the
• 39:17
  Speaker 4: better starting pitching rotation. Cleveland has the better bullpen. And
• 39:21
  Speaker 4: I think Cleveland is better off in this pitching matchup
• 39:23
  Speaker 4: as well, although the White Sox are going with yet
• 39:26
  Speaker 4: another bullpen game, it looks like. And they're going to
• 39:28
  Speaker 4: have Hagan Smith start. this game again. He's been good.
• 39:33
  Speaker 4: I'm wondering if they're going to extend him into an
• 39:35
  Speaker 4: actual starter because he pitched three scoreless against Houston in
• 39:39
  Speaker 4: that wildcard series against Houston. He was good in that one,
• 39:42
  Speaker 4: although he only had one strikeout. He had good numbers
• 39:45
  Speaker 4: on the season too, 1.29 ERA,. 96 whip. And he's
• 39:50
  Speaker 4: been good against Cleveland as well. They have 19 at-bats
• 39:53
  Speaker 4: against him. They only have two hits. One is a
• 39:56
  Speaker 4: double from Ramirez. But, yeah, they have a 105 average,
• 40:00
  Speaker 4: 478 OPS against him, eight strikeouts, six walks. That's not
• 40:03
  Speaker 4: a good ratio, but all these other numbers are really good.
• 40:07
  Speaker 4: So I think Smith will at least be able to
• 40:09
  Speaker 4: hold Cleveland down in the early going in this game.
• 40:12
  Speaker 4: Chicago's bullpen is actually not that bad either. I actually
• 40:17
  Speaker 4: think this game might wind up being an under. I
• 40:20
  Speaker 4: think that might be the better way to play this.
• 40:21
  Speaker 4: Parker Messick is pitching for Cleveland. We know he is inexperienced.
• 40:25
  Speaker 4: He's a rookie this year, I'm pretty sure. I believe
• 40:28
  Speaker 4: he's the frontrunner for rookie of the year, but I'm
• 40:30
  Speaker 4: not entirely sure about that. 2.56 ERA, 1.06 whip for him.
• 40:36
  Speaker 4: Really good season, but we'll see what he can do
• 40:39
  Speaker 4: in the playoffs here, but neither of these pitchers are experienced.
• 40:41
  Speaker 4: You know what I mean? Their combined age between both pitchers,
• 40:45
  Speaker 4: their combined age is like 48, which is not that
• 40:50
  Speaker 4: much older than Justin Verlander himself, who just retired, I believe.
• 40:55
  Speaker 4: So that's, you know, that's insane to think about. Both
• 40:59
  Speaker 4: of these pitchers are very inexperienced, so the Experience Edge
• 41:02
  Speaker 4: does not favor one pitcher over the other. Messick, you know,
• 41:05
  Speaker 4: he pitched well down the stretch. I think they just
• 41:07
  Speaker 4: kind of limited him in his last outing because they
• 41:09
  Speaker 4: were getting ready for the playoffs. He did pitch against
• 41:12
  Speaker 4: the White Sox a couple of starts back and pitched
• 41:14
  Speaker 4: pretty well in that one. Now, the White Sox will
• 41:16
  Speaker 4: be familiar with him, but they have not been able
• 41:19
  Speaker 4: to figure him out. They have 91 at-bats against him,
• 41:21
  Speaker 4: 28 strikeouts, four walks, 209 average allowed, or 209 average against,
• 41:26
  Speaker 4: I should say, and 649 OPS. Messick has been good. Um,
• 41:32
  Speaker 4: so I, yeah, I think the under is the better
• 41:35
  Speaker 4: way to play this game really, even though I don't
• 41:37
  Speaker 4: like bullpen games, but this is a bad Cleveland offense. Um,
• 41:41
  Speaker 4: 72% of tickets, 66% of the cash on the over.
• 41:45
  Speaker 4: I think both starting pitchers at least have the upper hand.
• 41:48
  Speaker 4: If you're worried about the bullpens at all, like the
• 41:50
  Speaker 4: White Sox bullpen, I guess you can go first five
• 41:53
  Speaker 4: innings under here and Smith will probably pitch the majority
• 41:56
  Speaker 4: of that. Um, You can find a seven full game, though.
• 42:00
  Speaker 4: That's what I would look for is playing under seven
• 42:03
  Speaker 4: full game in that one. I think that's the better approach.
• 42:06
  Speaker 4: I think both bullpens are okay, even though the White
• 42:08
  Speaker 4: Sox bullpen is going to come into the game earlier.
• 42:11
  Speaker 4: Cleveland's bullpen was very good down the stretch. And like
• 42:13
  Speaker 4: I said, the White Sox pitching might do a little
• 42:16
  Speaker 4: bit better because Cleveland's offense is so bad. So that's
• 42:20
  Speaker 4: the one thing that the White Sox might be able
• 42:23
  Speaker 4: to somehow hang around in this series because Cleveland can't
• 42:25
  Speaker 4: score offensively. so that might be what kind of keeps
• 42:28
  Speaker 4: them around a little bit. All right, 4 o'clock Eastern
• 42:32
  Speaker 4: on Fox. That first game's on TBS and TruTV. The
• 42:35
  Speaker 4: AL games are on TBS and TruTV, and Fox has
• 42:38
  Speaker 4: the NL games on Fox and Fox Sports 1. Atlanta
• 42:41
  Speaker 4: at the Dodgers. Atlanta has not decided on a pitcher yet,
• 42:45
  Speaker 4: so I think the question is, are they going to
• 42:47
  Speaker 4: actually pitch Chris Sale on short rest or not? We
• 42:51
  Speaker 4: know Scooble is pitching for the Dodgers here. So they're
• 42:55
  Speaker 4: going with him as their number one starter. I guess
• 42:57
  Speaker 4: that's why they traded for him. Although, honestly, I don't
• 43:00
  Speaker 4: think he's their best starter in this series. But they're
• 43:04
  Speaker 4: going to go with him in game one. When did
• 43:07
  Speaker 4: Chris Sale last pitch? Let me see. That's what I
• 43:09
  Speaker 4: wanted to know. How many days rest does he have here? Sale,
• 43:14
  Speaker 4: he made a full start last time. which was actually
• 43:18
  Speaker 4: he pitched him relief as well. I didn't even realize
• 43:21
  Speaker 4: they did that. He pitched one in the third scoreless
• 43:24
  Speaker 4: in the final game of that series. So, yeah, I
• 43:28
  Speaker 4: don't know, man. Closed. I mean, it wasn't a save situation, but, yeah,
• 43:33
  Speaker 4: I don't know. So I don't think Sale is actually
• 43:38
  Speaker 4: going to start in this game. I could be wrong,
• 43:40
  Speaker 4: but he pitched on the 29th, so we have, you know, No,
• 43:44
  Speaker 4: I mean, he's not on enough rest, so I doubt
• 43:47
  Speaker 4: that they're going to start him in this game. They'd
• 43:49
  Speaker 4: be a little bit crazy to do that. So I
• 43:53
  Speaker 4: don't think he's going to start in this one. So
• 43:54
  Speaker 4: you have an undecided pitching matchup here from Atlanta's side.
• 43:59
  Speaker 4: No idea what they're going to do, because I think
• 44:01
  Speaker 4: Grant Holmes pitched in that game too, so I don't
• 44:03
  Speaker 4: know what they're going to do, to be honest, against
• 44:05
  Speaker 4: Tarek Skubal. Now, the Braves have the better bullpen here,
• 44:09
  Speaker 4: so I'll give them that. Dodgers' bullpen is okay, but
• 44:13
  Speaker 4: the Braves have the better bullpen. Both offenses are pretty good.
• 44:16
  Speaker 4: We know the Dodgers' offense is elite, though, so the
• 44:18
  Speaker 4: Dodgers have the better offense here out of these two teams.
• 44:23
  Speaker 4: Scooble is pitching for the Dodgers, which you might say, well,
• 44:25
  Speaker 4: he's more trustworthy than some random arm or whatever the
• 44:29
  Speaker 4: hell Atlanta's doing. Yeah, that might be true. I might
• 44:32
  Speaker 4: trust Scooble over a bullpen game. I don't know if
• 44:35
  Speaker 4: I fully trust him in this one, although we know
• 44:37
  Speaker 4: Scooble's good. 2.72 ERA this year,. 96 whip. The Dodgers
• 44:42
  Speaker 4: won most of his starts since he came over to them,
• 44:46
  Speaker 4: and he allowed two or fewer earned runs in all
• 44:48
  Speaker 4: but one start with them, finishing with a shutout of
• 44:51
  Speaker 4: the Giants, which was the last time we saw him. However,
• 44:55
  Speaker 4: as I was alluding to, Scooble is actually not that
• 44:58
  Speaker 4: good against this Atlanta lineup. They have 52 at-bats against them,
• 45:01
  Speaker 4: a 269 average, 826 OPS, 15-6 strikeout walk ratio. So
• 45:07
  Speaker 4: this is not the best matchup for Scooble. So you
• 45:10
  Speaker 4: have Scooble, even though he is really good, matchup-wise doesn't
• 45:13
  Speaker 4: look that great against undecided for Atlanta. I think if
• 45:17
  Speaker 4: you're going to play this game, I would play the over.
• 45:19
  Speaker 4: I think that's the better way to play this. The
• 45:21
  Speaker 4: total is the highest one on the board by far.
• 45:24
  Speaker 4: All three other totals are sitting at a pretty low
• 45:26
  Speaker 4: number at 7%. This is the one total that's not.
• 45:30
  Speaker 4: It's at 8.5, so the oddsmakers are telling you they
• 45:33
  Speaker 4: think there are going to be some runs in this game. Now,
• 45:35
  Speaker 4: the one thing that concerns me is the Dodgers have
• 45:37
  Speaker 4: had a lot of time off, and having a lot
• 45:39
  Speaker 4: of time off can cool off your offense a bit,
• 45:42
  Speaker 4: so that would worry me a little bit, but it's
• 45:43
  Speaker 4: not that unreasonable of a total, obviously, at 8.5. That's
• 45:47
  Speaker 4: high for a playoff total, but still, it's high for
• 45:51
  Speaker 4: a reason, like I always say. That's high for a
• 45:54
  Speaker 4: school game too, but I think it's that way for
• 45:56
  Speaker 4: a reason. I like the over in that game. 58%
• 45:58
  Speaker 4: of tickets, 65% of the cash on the over. That
• 46:02
  Speaker 4: would be how I would approach that game if I
• 46:03
  Speaker 4: was going to play it. As far as the side,
• 46:05
  Speaker 4: Dodgers are minus 212 or so here. They're public, 84%
• 46:09
  Speaker 4: of tickets. The money is fading them though. Only 52%
• 46:13
  Speaker 4: of the cash on the Dodgers. So the money is
• 46:16
  Speaker 4: seemingly backing Atlanta even though we don't even know who's
• 46:18
  Speaker 4: pitching for them. I think it's just because the price
• 46:21
  Speaker 4: is too high on the Dodgers and I think that
• 46:24
  Speaker 4: might be why. Yeah, maybe it is. I think the
• 46:27
  Speaker 4: Dodgers should somehow get through the series and win the series.
• 46:32
  Speaker 4: I think they should win this game. Even though school
• 46:36
  Speaker 4: doesn't have good matchup numbers, I think I still prefer
• 46:38
  Speaker 4: him over whatever the hell Atlanta's doing here. I'd still
• 46:43
  Speaker 4: play the over, though, if I was going to play
• 46:44
  Speaker 4: this game. I don't want to try to figure out
• 46:46
  Speaker 4: the side. It's difficult to figure it out, in my opinion.
• 46:50
  Speaker 4: You are probably paying too much of a price here.
• 46:52
  Speaker 4: For school bowl, you know what I mean? You're paying
• 46:54
  Speaker 4: for school bowl, basically, with that price. And it's not
• 46:58
  Speaker 4: his best matchup. So I think the Dodgers are overpriced
• 47:01
  Speaker 4: in that one. So I guess, you know, Atlanta on
• 47:04
  Speaker 4: the run line in the full game, you could make
• 47:07
  Speaker 4: the argument for it. And Atlanta should have the better
• 47:09
  Speaker 4: bullpen as well. Yankees in Tampa Bay. I'm going here
• 47:13
  Speaker 4: for my one baseball play here. We need to get
• 47:15
  Speaker 4: a win in baseball in the playoffs here. We're 0-1 here.
• 47:20
  Speaker 4: You know what we're going to do in this game.
• 47:22
  Speaker 4: You know me. We're taking the under 7 here in
• 47:24
  Speaker 4: this one. I found the 7. Multiple books had a
• 47:27
  Speaker 4: 7 out there, although some of them were like minus
• 47:30
  Speaker 4: 115 juice. But you know me. Get the 7. Don't
• 47:33
  Speaker 4: take a 6.5 on this. Again, dirty sock. Get an
• 47:38
  Speaker 4: account at every single book. Find the 7. Multiple books
• 47:42
  Speaker 4: have the 7 out there. I found one at minus 109.
• 47:44
  Speaker 4: I believe it was the Roman Emperor book had this number. Um,
• 47:50
  Speaker 4: I think this is going to be an under, I mean,
• 47:51
  Speaker 4: I think you have Tampa Bay with extra rest. Okay.
• 47:54
  Speaker 4: So Tampa Bay's offense might come into this game a
• 47:56
  Speaker 4: little bit cold. Plus they're a small ball team. So
• 47:59
  Speaker 4: I don't really see Tampa putting up a ton of
• 48:01
  Speaker 4: offense here. Tampa Bay's bullpen will be ready to go.
• 48:04
  Speaker 4: They'll be rested. They're not a bad bullpen. The Yankees
• 48:07
  Speaker 4: are one of the top bullpens out there. So you
• 48:09
  Speaker 4: get them as well here and they at least have
• 48:11
  Speaker 4: a couple of days rest. So all of that looks
• 48:13
  Speaker 4: good to me. And obviously I like to start in
• 48:16
  Speaker 4: pitching as well for this. Garrett Cole is getting the
• 48:18
  Speaker 4: start for the Yankees. He's their number three starter. He
• 48:22
  Speaker 4: was going to pitch in game three in the wild
• 48:25
  Speaker 4: card series if they needed to play that game. By
• 48:29
  Speaker 4: the way, the other thing I was going to say
• 48:30
  Speaker 4: before I look at the starters is the Yankees' offense
• 48:34
  Speaker 4: looked better than they actually are in that Red Sox series.
• 48:38
  Speaker 4: Both of those games were really low scoring early on,
• 48:40
  Speaker 4: and for some reason... Chad Tracy, horrible managerial decisions. I
• 48:45
  Speaker 4: don't know what the fuck that guy's doing. He took
• 48:48
  Speaker 4: both Peyton Tolley and Sonny Gray out of the game
• 48:52
  Speaker 4: when they were losing 1-0 in the fifth inning. He
• 48:55
  Speaker 4: took both of them out and didn't let them finish
• 48:57
  Speaker 4: the fifth inning, even though they had only thrown, whatever,
• 49:00
  Speaker 4: 70-something pitches, whatever, and it was a 1-0 game. What
• 49:03
  Speaker 4: the fuck are you doing, man? And Sonny Gray seemed
• 49:06
  Speaker 4: to be upset about that, and it seemed like his
• 49:08
  Speaker 4: teammates were backing him and agreeing with that Like, Wilson
• 49:11
  Speaker 4: Contreras made some comments about it. Gray basically said, like, yeah,
• 49:16
  Speaker 4: you know, like, I wish they trusted me to stay
• 49:19
  Speaker 4: out there and let... you know let me you know
• 49:21
  Speaker 4: finish my job out there or whatever and I agree
• 49:24
  Speaker 4: with him and with them I thought it was fucking
• 49:26
  Speaker 4: stupid who the fuck takes you know those are their
• 49:30
  Speaker 4: top two starters totally Gray who the fuck as a
• 49:33
  Speaker 4: manager is going to take those pictures out when they
• 49:35
  Speaker 4: don't have a hype that I have a pitch count
• 49:37
  Speaker 4: yet and They've only allowed one run, and you're in
• 49:40
  Speaker 4: the fifth inning of a 1-0 game. What the fuck
• 49:42
  Speaker 4: are you doing? And then the Red Sox bullpen totally imploded,
• 49:46
  Speaker 4: and I believe the Yankees had one really big inning
• 49:48
  Speaker 4: in both those games. So I think the Yankees scoring
• 49:51
  Speaker 4: a lot of runs in that series was actually a
• 49:53
  Speaker 4: little bit misleading because those games were 1-0 in the
• 49:56
  Speaker 4: middle of the game, and the Yankees had one outburst
• 50:00
  Speaker 4: late in the game against the Red Sox bullpen both times.
• 50:03
  Speaker 4: The Red Sox bullpen... Whatever. They have a bunch of injuries.
• 50:06
  Speaker 4: They got mismanaged in that series. Tampa Bay's not going
• 50:10
  Speaker 4: to do that. For whatever reason, Tampa Bay, they know
• 50:13
  Speaker 4: how to manage their pitching staff. So I don't see
• 50:16
  Speaker 4: the Yankees having an explosion offensively like they did in that, uh,
• 50:21
  Speaker 4: series there. I don't know if Aaron judge is going
• 50:22
  Speaker 4: to be back or not. I'm still playing the under
• 50:25
  Speaker 4: here anyway, though. Now, Garrett Cole going to the starting
• 50:27
  Speaker 4: pitching here, 3.61 ERA, 1.1 whip. He's still good. He
• 50:32
  Speaker 4: had a good season. He just pitched against Tampa by
• 50:34
  Speaker 4: the way, but it's, it's not like Tampa's not already
• 50:38
  Speaker 4: familiar with them. You know what I mean? They are
• 50:39
  Speaker 4: already familiar with them. So I don't care that they
• 50:42
  Speaker 4: just saw him. He pitched okay in that start, but
• 50:45
  Speaker 4: I expect him to do fine again in this one. Uh,
• 50:49
  Speaker 4: Tampa Bay has a 235 average against them. It's 635 OPS,
• 50:52
  Speaker 4: 41 to 14 strikeout walk ratio, and it's in a
• 50:55
  Speaker 4: big sample of 170 at-bats. So like I said, I
• 50:59
  Speaker 4: don't think it matters that they have a ton of
• 51:01
  Speaker 4: at-bats against them. They only have two guys that really
• 51:03
  Speaker 4: do damage against them, although those are the guys with
• 51:05
  Speaker 4: the big sample sizes, Diaz and Mullins. But even so,
• 51:11
  Speaker 4: I think Cole can hold this offense down like he
• 51:13
  Speaker 4: did in that other game, even though that game was
• 51:16
  Speaker 4: an over the last time he pitched against Tampa, but
• 51:21
  Speaker 4: I don't expect that again here. Was that against Rasmussen?
• 51:24
  Speaker 4: Let me see. I don't think it was.
• 51:27
  Speaker 5: No.
• 51:28
  Speaker 4: That was a bullpen game for Tampa Bay in that game,
• 51:31
  Speaker 4: so that's why the Yankees scored a bunch of runs
• 51:33
  Speaker 4: in that game. It's not a bullpen game this time, man.
• 51:35
  Speaker 4: It's Drew Rasmussen pitching for Tampa here. He's their best pitcher. 2.67 ERA,.
• 51:41
  Speaker 4: 91 whip on the season. He was basically the same
• 51:45
  Speaker 4: home and away. He was slightly worse at home. I
• 51:47
  Speaker 4: forget to look at the home road splits. I apologize,
• 51:50
  Speaker 4: but I don't think Messick or Scooble have really extreme
• 51:52
  Speaker 4: home road splits. None of these pitchers really do. Messick
• 51:57
  Speaker 4: was actually slightly worse at home, by the way. So
• 52:00
  Speaker 4: do with that what you want. Cole, I believe, is
• 52:02
  Speaker 4: a little bit better on the road. Let me see.
• 52:05
  Speaker 4: The Yankees have a hitter-friendly ballpark, so that's a little
• 52:09
  Speaker 4: bit of the reason why. His ERA was a little
• 52:11
  Speaker 4: bit better on the road, although his opponent batting average
• 52:13
  Speaker 4: is actually worse. But still, either way, I think Cole
• 52:15
  Speaker 4: pitches well here, and I think Rasmussen will as well.
• 52:19
  Speaker 4: Rasmussen actually did pitch against the Yankees in that last
• 52:21
  Speaker 4: series and he held them to one run in 62
• 52:23
  Speaker 4: thirds innings he faced them I think at least four
• 52:26
  Speaker 4: times this season one of them he was really bad
• 52:29
  Speaker 4: in but he's generally dominated the Yankees so that looks
• 52:33
  Speaker 4: like a fluke to me because I think he pitched
• 52:34
  Speaker 4: against them three other times and did well and you
• 52:37
  Speaker 4: can see the numbers here 129 at bats for the
• 52:39
  Speaker 4: Yankees against Rasmussen 46 strikeouts 10 walks that ratio is
• 52:44
  Speaker 4: good 163 average and 479 OPS allowed those are Really
• 52:49
  Speaker 4: weak offensive numbers. I believe that does not include Judge,
• 52:53
  Speaker 4: so it looks like he's not active right now. But
• 52:56
  Speaker 4: whether he's in or he's out, Rasmussen has really good
• 52:59
  Speaker 4: numbers against the Yankees. So I like the pitching in
• 53:02
  Speaker 4: this game. We're taking the under in this game. The
• 53:06
  Speaker 4: money doesn't seem to agree necessarily, but it looks like
• 53:09
  Speaker 4: the over is a bit public. 67% of tickets, 73%
• 53:11
  Speaker 4: of the cash on the over. I think the public,
• 53:15
  Speaker 4: you know, they'll see, oh, the Yankees scored a bunch
• 53:17
  Speaker 4: against the Red Sox, Yankees, Tampa Bay. You know, everybody
• 53:20
  Speaker 4: kind of is going to think a little bit like
• 53:22
  Speaker 4: they're going to think offense generally in this game. And
• 53:26
  Speaker 4: I don't really think so. And Rasmussen is still not
• 53:28
  Speaker 4: really a name pitcher, although Cole is, but still overlooks
• 53:33
  Speaker 4: a little bit public here. But yeah, I like the
• 53:34
  Speaker 4: under in this one. I would find the under, um,
• 53:37
  Speaker 4: under seven, um, even pay a little bit of juice
• 53:40
  Speaker 4: for it. But yeah, I think that's, that's the right
• 53:42
  Speaker 4: way to go. Um, Yes. Correct.
• 53:47
  Speaker 2: Yes.
• 53:47
  Speaker 4: I would.
• 53:49
  Speaker 5: Yes.
• 53:50
  Speaker 4: If you're Sonny Gray, you mean? Yeah. I would not
• 53:53
  Speaker 4: be happy. And then we have San Diego, Milwaukee to
• 53:55
  Speaker 4: finish this off. Milwaukee, they're a big favorite in this game.
• 53:59
  Speaker 4: You know that's because Miz Uroski is on the mound.
• 54:01
  Speaker 4: That's part of the reason why. He'll pitch two games
• 54:04
  Speaker 4: in the series if the series goes deep. Milwaukee hasn't
• 54:07
  Speaker 4: played for a while. Now, I do think that there
• 54:08
  Speaker 4: is a momentum thing, too. Like, the teams that played
• 54:11
  Speaker 4: in the wild card, which would be, of course, all
• 54:14
  Speaker 4: the road teams here, all the underdogs here, I think
• 54:16
  Speaker 4: they do have a little bit of a momentum edge
• 54:18
  Speaker 4: because they all already played and they got through a series,
• 54:21
  Speaker 4: you know what I mean? Whereas these other teams had
• 54:23
  Speaker 4: some time off to rest, which is not necessarily a
• 54:27
  Speaker 4: good thing, in my opinion. Now, for San Diego... They
• 54:31
  Speaker 4: looked probably the best out of any of these teams.
• 54:34
  Speaker 4: Maybe the Yankees did, I guess, but San Diego beating
• 54:37
  Speaker 4: the Cubs in two straight games like that, I think
• 54:40
  Speaker 4: the public is going to take note of that. I
• 54:43
  Speaker 4: think that was the most impressive series, you know what
• 54:46
  Speaker 4: I mean? But remember, the Cubs got screwed by the league,
• 54:49
  Speaker 4: along with the Red Sox. They had to play that
• 54:51
  Speaker 4: meaningless game in Tampa Bay, and the Cubs had to
• 54:54
  Speaker 4: go all the way out to the West Coast. It
• 54:56
  Speaker 4: was just a bad spot for them, and then they
• 54:58
  Speaker 4: wound up getting swept in that series. But San Diego,
• 55:02
  Speaker 4: I mean, they've been a really, really hot team. They're
• 55:04
  Speaker 4: one of the hottest teams in baseball. So I'm not
• 55:06
  Speaker 4: necessarily going to be looking to fade them in this
• 55:09
  Speaker 4: particular game here. Both bullpens are really good. So this
• 55:12
  Speaker 4: might be another under. It is a low total here.
• 55:16
  Speaker 4: You can trust the bullpens here. hitting wise both offenses
• 55:20
  Speaker 4: are fairly good San Diego's got more power hitting which
• 55:24
  Speaker 4: I think is better in the playoffs Milwaukee's more of
• 55:26
  Speaker 4: a small ball team but they did have a really
• 55:29
  Speaker 4: good offense they scored a lot of runs this year
• 55:30
  Speaker 4: there's no doubt about that maybe it doesn't translate to
• 55:34
  Speaker 4: the playoffs though Robbie Ray is pitching for San Diego
• 55:38
  Speaker 4: here which Might be unfortunate because I don't think he's
• 55:40
  Speaker 4: that good, but when you see his numbers against the Brewers,
• 55:43
  Speaker 4: it looks less bad for San Diego. Ray had a 3.59
• 55:47
  Speaker 4: ERA this year between San Francisco and San Diego. Not bad,
• 55:51
  Speaker 4: but a 1.35 whip isn't really that good. Ray is
• 55:54
  Speaker 4: also not as good on the road. His ERA was
• 55:56
  Speaker 4: a bit higher, almost 4.00. And pitching in San Diego
• 56:00
  Speaker 4: and San Francisco, those are both pitcher-friendly parks. So going
• 56:02
  Speaker 4: out on the road, not necessarily as good. Ray was
• 56:05
  Speaker 4: not very good down the stretch. He had a 14-11
• 56:07
  Speaker 4: strikeout walk ratio in September. 7.56 ERA in September. That's
• 56:12
  Speaker 4: not good. He mostly didn't pitch that well since joining
• 56:15
  Speaker 4: San Diego. However, he pitched okay against Milwaukee with San Diego.
• 56:21
  Speaker 4: He had a four-inning, two-run performance against them at home, though,
• 56:25
  Speaker 4: back in August. But if you look at Ray's numbers
• 56:27
  Speaker 4: against Milwaukee... He actually has the upper hand against them.
• 56:31
  Speaker 4: They have 79 at-bats against them, and they only have
• 56:34
  Speaker 4: a 190 average and 610 OPS against them. 21 strikeouts,
• 56:37
  Speaker 4: 10 walks is not good, though. So Ray does have
• 56:41
  Speaker 4: walk issues. That's, like, his main issue is the walks.
• 56:44
  Speaker 4: But he is generally actually okay against Milwaukee. And, you know,
• 56:48
  Speaker 4: even though he's inexperienced, I— Doubt that Miz Yerowski is
• 56:51
  Speaker 4: going to be bad. You know what I mean? I'm
• 56:53
  Speaker 4: pretty sure Miz is the NL Cy Young winner here.
• 56:55
  Speaker 4: He had a 1.8 ERA this year, which I believe
• 56:58
  Speaker 4: was the lowest starter ERA in all of baseball. A.
• 57:02
  Speaker 4: 8 whip is ridiculous as well. He was really good
• 57:05
  Speaker 4: at home with a 1.52 ERA. His opponent batting average
• 57:09
  Speaker 4: on the entire season was like 157, 158. Completely absurd.
• 57:15
  Speaker 4: And he's a little bit wild, but he got that
• 57:18
  Speaker 4: kind of under control too. Milwaukee won his last nine
• 57:22
  Speaker 4: starts of the season. Yeah, I mean, he's the best
• 57:25
  Speaker 4: pitcher in baseball, man. It's just he's inexperienced right now,
• 57:29
  Speaker 4: although I believe he pitched in the playoffs last year, though,
• 57:31
  Speaker 4: a little bit, right? Because Milwaukee was in the playoffs
• 57:34
  Speaker 4: and they had him last year, so I assume they
• 57:36
  Speaker 4: used him. Actually, I could check probably. Let me see. 2025, yeah,
• 57:41
  Speaker 4: he pitched in the postseason. He did well. He had
• 57:43
  Speaker 4: a 1.5 ERA in the postseason last year, so he
• 57:46
  Speaker 4: does have some experience, actually. So, yeah, I don't think
• 57:49
  Speaker 4: he's going to do bad. I mean, they threw him
• 57:51
  Speaker 4: into the playoffs last year, and he pitched well. San
• 57:55
  Speaker 4: Diego does hit him for contact, though, for whatever reason.
• 57:57
  Speaker 4: They have 25 at-bats against him, so they actually have
• 58:00
  Speaker 4: a 320 batting average against him, but only a 640
• 58:03
  Speaker 4: OPS really isn't that high. They have no extra base
• 58:05
  Speaker 4: hits against him, six strikeouts, no walks. Would I put
• 58:09
  Speaker 4: that much weight into that? Not really. I mean, I
• 58:11
  Speaker 4: think Miz is still going to pitch well here, more
• 58:14
  Speaker 4: likely than not. The under, I think, is what makes
• 58:16
  Speaker 4: the most sense in this game. You have two good bullpens, too,
• 58:19
  Speaker 4: that can kind of save you if Ray falters a
• 58:21
  Speaker 4: little bit. And Miz Uroski might be able to do
• 58:25
  Speaker 4: well enough on the other side to counter Ray here,
• 58:30
  Speaker 4: if Ray pitches poorly, I mean. 52% of tickets on
• 58:33
  Speaker 4: the over, 64% of the cash on the under, so
• 58:35
  Speaker 4: the money is on the under here. You're looking at
• 58:37
  Speaker 4: a 7-2. for the most part. It is juiced to
• 58:40
  Speaker 4: the under, but I think that's the better way to
• 58:42
  Speaker 4: play this, is to take the full game under seven.
• 58:45
  Speaker 4: The money's also backing San Diego. The money line, again,
• 58:50
  Speaker 4: is high, just like in the Dodgers game, minus 200
• 58:54
  Speaker 4: on Milwaukee. You know you're paying for Mizurowski here, but
• 58:58
  Speaker 4: like I just showed you, Ray's matchup numbers are actually
• 59:00
  Speaker 4: a little bit better, believe it or not, even though
• 59:02
  Speaker 4: I really don't think he's actually the better pitcher here,
• 59:04
  Speaker 4: but maybe you're paying a little bit too much of
• 59:06
  Speaker 4: a price for Milwaukee, given what this matchup is maybe
• 59:11
  Speaker 4: San Diego can hang around in this game and you'd
• 59:13
  Speaker 4: be able to take them plus one and a half
• 59:15
  Speaker 4: on the run line here the money is indicating that
• 59:18
  Speaker 4: way and it's a low total so the lower the
• 59:22
  Speaker 4: total the more easy it is for the underdog to
• 59:25
  Speaker 4: hang around in a game like that so Yeah, the
• 59:29
  Speaker 4: Padres' side makes some sense just based on how insane
• 59:33
  Speaker 4: the price is in that game, given that the matchup
• 59:35
  Speaker 4: actually doesn't look that one-sided. So those are my thoughts there,
• 59:40
  Speaker 4: and I gave you the one play. That's it. Go
• 59:42
  Speaker 4: check out the football show. Actually, hold on. We'll do
• 59:45
  Speaker 4: the final market read for the games that I have here.
• 59:48
  Speaker 4: So for college football, we're taking Stanford plus 14, Michigan
• 59:52
  Speaker 4: State plus 9.5. Unfortunately, the 10 is gone. You're not
• 59:54
  Speaker 4: going to find the 10 on that, but I'm still
• 59:57
  Speaker 4: going to do it because the spot is just awful
• 59:59
  Speaker 4: for Wisconsin. We're on Auburn plus 7. Hopefully, you can
• 1:00:02
  Speaker 4: find the 7 on that because the public, I'm hoping,
• 1:00:05
  Speaker 4: is keeping the number up on that one. And then
• 1:00:08
  Speaker 4: Washington plus 9.5. That one, I don't think, the 10
• 1:00:11
  Speaker 4: was never out there on that one. I don't think
• 1:00:13
  Speaker 4: it will be. Then we have a puck line, money
• 1:00:16
  Speaker 4: line split play to make your own minus one puck
• 1:00:18
  Speaker 4: line on my favorite hockey play of the day, which
• 1:00:21
  Speaker 4: is the Tampa Bay Lightning. Or you could just play
• 1:00:24
  Speaker 4: money line on it, but it is a little bit
• 1:00:26
  Speaker 4: juicy there. So I'm splitting the bet and making it
• 1:00:28
  Speaker 4: a minus one puck line, although that means if they
• 1:00:30
  Speaker 4: win by one, it'll be a push, so it's a
• 1:00:33
  Speaker 4: pussy play. play, obviously, but whatever. And then we're also
• 1:00:36
  Speaker 4: on the under in the Yankees in Tampa Bay, under seven.
• 1:00:40
  Speaker 4: Get the best number. So that's what I'm looking at today.
• 1:00:43
  Speaker 4: That's the card today. Let's look at these. Let's look
• 1:00:47
  Speaker 4: at the market here really quick. Stanford is still getting
• 1:00:50
  Speaker 4: the cash against Wake Forest being a public side, so
• 1:00:53
  Speaker 4: that number still looks good. You can get a 14.5
• 1:00:55
  Speaker 4: out there right now, it looks like. Wisconsin is still
• 1:01:00
  Speaker 4: getting the slight amount of tickets, but Unfortunately, the public
• 1:01:05
  Speaker 4: is not holding that number up, so you're not going
• 1:01:07
  Speaker 4: to get the 10 on that. You'll definitely be able
• 1:01:09
  Speaker 4: to get a 9.5 still or 9, basically. But even that,
• 1:01:13
  Speaker 4: it's a low total in that game. And as long
• 1:01:15
  Speaker 4: as you're above 7, 7.5 or better, there's no key
• 1:01:19
  Speaker 4: number there except until you get to 10. There's almost
• 1:01:22
  Speaker 4: no difference between 7.5 and 9.5, basically. So I don't
• 1:01:27
  Speaker 4: want to eat my words, but it is also a
• 1:01:29
  Speaker 4: low total there. And the real money is definitely on
• 1:01:31
  Speaker 4: Michigan State in that one. keeping that number down. So yes,
• 1:01:34
  Speaker 4: the market read looks good on that one. As far
• 1:01:37
  Speaker 4: as Auburn, it does look like it's all six and
• 1:01:41
  Speaker 4: a halves across the board right now. I did find
• 1:01:43
  Speaker 4: a seven. I would wait on this one. Hopefully you
• 1:01:46
  Speaker 4: can get a seven on this, man. I still like
• 1:01:48
  Speaker 4: it at six and a half, to be honest. Tennessee's
• 1:01:51
  Speaker 4: not in a good spot here. Auburn, I think, is
• 1:01:53
  Speaker 4: in a positive spot. You can go watch my analysis.
• 1:01:56
  Speaker 4: from the show that I did last night. But the
• 1:01:58
  Speaker 4: fact that it's six and a half is also telling
• 1:02:00
  Speaker 4: that the oddsmakers know they're getting a ton of the
• 1:02:02
  Speaker 4: tickets on Tennessee in this game and the majority of
• 1:02:05
  Speaker 4: the cash as well, but less of the cash than
• 1:02:07
  Speaker 4: the ticket percentage, which to me means that the real
• 1:02:11
  Speaker 4: big bets are actually sneaking in and taking Auburn here.
• 1:02:13
  Speaker 4: It's just that the public money is really overwhelming on
• 1:02:17
  Speaker 4: Tennessee here in this game. which leads me to believe
• 1:02:19
  Speaker 4: that at some point it might tick back to 7.
• 1:02:22
  Speaker 4: We'll see. I still like it at 6.5, but again,
• 1:02:25
  Speaker 4: the 6.5 is telling because if the oddsmakers know all
• 1:02:28
  Speaker 4: that ticket percentage and money percentage is coming in on
• 1:02:30
  Speaker 4: Tennessee and they're not moving the number, that tells you
• 1:02:33
  Speaker 4: they're okay with taking all those bets on Tennessee, and
• 1:02:36
  Speaker 4: they think there's a decent chance Tennessee just doesn't cover there.
• 1:02:40
  Speaker 4: So even at the 6.5, the books are telling you
• 1:02:43
  Speaker 4: they're okay with taking all that action, so... That is
• 1:02:46
  Speaker 4: telling to me, which I also believe means Auburn is
• 1:02:49
  Speaker 4: the right side. And then Washington is kind of in
• 1:02:53
  Speaker 4: a similar scenario. I don't know if this is going
• 1:02:56
  Speaker 4: to get to 10.5. I kind of doubt it. I
• 1:02:59
  Speaker 4: guess there's no harm in waiting on this one if
• 1:03:01
  Speaker 4: you think it might hit 10. It's been sitting at 9.5.
• 1:03:03
  Speaker 4: If you lose a little bit on it and it's
• 1:03:06
  Speaker 4: 9 or 8.5, who cares, right? Like I said, there's
• 1:03:08
  Speaker 4: no real difference there. And USC is very public here
• 1:03:12
  Speaker 4: with less of the money on them too, so I'm
• 1:03:14
  Speaker 4: maybe see a 10 come up on that one. That's
• 1:03:16
  Speaker 4: a night game. So possibly, but I'm not gonna, you know,
• 1:03:21
  Speaker 4: I don't think it will, but you know, if you're
• 1:03:24
  Speaker 4: really looking for the 10, you definitely could wait to
• 1:03:26
  Speaker 4: try to find the better number on that. All right.
• 1:03:29
  Speaker 4: That's the show. That's going to do it. Uh, yes.
• 1:03:32
  Speaker 4: Thank you. Um, all right. Thank you everybody. Dirty sock, Charles. Um, Clint,
• 1:03:38
  Speaker 4: I don't know if Clint, Clint, I don't know if
• 1:03:39
  Speaker 4: he's actually betting on this, but he definitely wants San
• 1:03:42
  Speaker 4: Diego to win. And I would not be upset if
• 1:03:45
  Speaker 4: they did, but I want the Yankees to lose. That's
• 1:03:48
  Speaker 4: all I really give a shit about. Get rid of
• 1:03:50
  Speaker 4: the Yankees. That's all I fucking care about. Fuck the
• 1:03:52
  Speaker 4: fuck them. Fuck their entire fan base. Uh, Clint's, uh,
• 1:03:56
  Speaker 4: Clint is not 48 years old, but his pillows might
• 1:03:59
  Speaker 4: be older than him. Clint is only like a year
• 1:04:02
  Speaker 4: older than me. Um, You would not lay a price.
• 1:04:06
  Speaker 4: I forget what I was talking about. Lay some price.
• 1:04:08
  Speaker 4: I don't know what I was talking about. That's going
• 1:04:10
  Speaker 4: to do it. Learn to tote on Twitter. Learn to
• 1:04:11
  Speaker 4: tote on Instagram. Like, subscribe to the channel here. You'll
• 1:04:14
  Speaker 4: get notified when I go live. I'll be back with
• 1:04:16
  Speaker 4: an NFL show tonight. I hate the NFL board this week.
• 1:04:19
  Speaker 4: I really fucking hate it. I think I might wind
• 1:04:21
  Speaker 4: up with two plays this week, but... you got to
• 1:04:25
  Speaker 4: be selective. So it's a bad, bad board. Last week,
• 1:04:28
  Speaker 4: I loved the board and we still took a loss.
• 1:04:30
  Speaker 4: And I was 11 and five last week with, with
• 1:04:33
  Speaker 4: all my picks in like the ESPN pool where you
• 1:04:35
  Speaker 4: have to pick every game. I went 11 and five,
• 1:04:38
  Speaker 4: four of those five losses were in my pick five
• 1:04:40
  Speaker 4: contest entry. And two of them were plays on the show.
• 1:04:44
  Speaker 4: And another one was that, uh, what was it? Houston
• 1:04:46
  Speaker 4: was one of my other strong leans. It's absolutely ridiculous, man.
• 1:04:49
  Speaker 4: I'm I loved the board last week, and my strongest
• 1:04:52
  Speaker 4: opinions were all wrong, and then I got everything else right.
• 1:04:55
  Speaker 4: Completely ridiculous. Except Washington was the savior for us as
• 1:05:01
  Speaker 4: far as my actual plays. Anyway, subscribe anyway.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 5: Listen.
• 1:05:05
  Speaker 4: Listen on audio. Apple, Spotify, Spreaker. We're getting the weekend
• 1:05:08
  Speaker 4: spike again over there, so keep that going. Covered in
• 1:05:11
  Speaker 4: uke on YouTube for ukulele covers. Patreon.com slash learn to
• 1:05:16
  Speaker 4: tote if you want to support me that way. Loser
• 1:05:19
  Speaker 4: cast every Tuesday night. And, yeah, I believe that's it. Thanks, everybody. Peace.
• 1:05:29
  Speaker 5: If the dark starts talking, hand me the phone.
• 1:05:33
  Speaker 4: Let somebody answer.
• 1:05:35
  Speaker 5: Let somebody know you do not have to.
• 1:05:41
  Speaker 3: Lose this round alone.
• 1:05:46
  Speaker 1: Hold on.
• 1:05:48
  Speaker 5: Hold on, not tonight, not now Hold on, hold.
• 1:05:58
  Speaker 4: On Let me.
• 1:05:59
  Speaker 3: Pull you out That bad luck bites hard But it don't.
• 1:06:09
  Speaker 5: Get the crown Hold on, hold.
• 1:06:15
  Speaker 3: On Stay with me now Hold on, hold
• 1:06:23
  Speaker 5: On You're still here now guitar solo