Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / NFL Conference Championship | DraftKings & FanDuel DFS Picks, Plays and Process
Transcript
- 0:04Speaker 1: All systems go clear.
- 0:06Speaker 2: You lift up.
- 0:36Speaker 1: What's up everyone? Talleer Tamberline here aka to Tag and
- 0:39Speaker 1: Tambo back for another edition of the NFL Playoff shows.
- 0:42Speaker 1: This is the conference championship. It's in Denver and Seattle.
- 0:45Speaker 1: We've got the Patriots at Denver the Rams at Seattle.
- 0:48Speaker 1: I don't know whop if we would have thought this
- 0:50Speaker 1: would be the case at the start of the season.
- 0:52Speaker 1: But as usual, Hoop is here with me. We're gonna
- 0:54Speaker 1: be breaking down everything for the two game slate. We'll
- 0:56Speaker 1: go position by position, talk, roster construction, ownership. We see
- 1:00Speaker 1: things shaking out for these big slates. Two million makers
- 1:03Speaker 1: out there on DraftKings as well. Hoopster, what's going on?
- 1:05Speaker 1: Did you see this at the start of the season,
- 1:07Speaker 1: Broncos and Seahawks hosting these games.
- 1:09Speaker 3: It just got me thinking when you said that, it's
- 1:11Speaker 3: like you think back, and that's I think the beauty
- 1:13Speaker 3: of the NFL, Like how quickly teams are able to
- 1:16Speaker 3: turn it around, like you have a good draft, like
- 1:18Speaker 3: you can instantly get like right back into the game,
- 1:20Speaker 3: and coaching changes and things like that go go a
- 1:24Speaker 3: long way, and like no other sport, is it really
- 1:26Speaker 3: possible I think to be so surprised. I guess at
- 1:30Speaker 3: the end, I mean, you look at the AFC side,
- 1:33Speaker 3: I think, very surprising on both sid No one would
- 1:35Speaker 3: have guessed Patriots or Denver really really being here. You're
- 1:39Speaker 3: thinking Bills, You're thinking Chiefs, that sort of thing. So
- 1:43Speaker 3: some new blood here in those two teams. You go
- 1:45Speaker 3: to the NFC. I guess maybe you could have made
- 1:47Speaker 3: the case for the Rams a little bit, but I
- 1:49Speaker 3: mean they're more of like a people probably had them
- 1:52Speaker 3: pegged for, like a fringe playoff team. And then Seattle
- 1:56Speaker 3: a complete surprise, great defense, Sam Darnold coming overlooking solid.
- 2:02Speaker 3: So I guess the only team that I guess you
- 2:03Speaker 3: could probably have made the case for early on in
- 2:06Speaker 3: the season or before the season would.
- 2:08Speaker 2: Have been the Rams.
- 2:09Speaker 3: But the other three teams, you know, pretty surprising. And
- 2:12Speaker 3: again it just goes to show the I guess, the
- 2:15Speaker 3: parody in the NFL, the how quickly it is to
- 2:18Speaker 3: turn things around, like you see it in baseball the time,
- 2:20Speaker 3: certain teams that are just buried forever NBA say the
- 2:24Speaker 3: same thing. I mean, teams are bad for a really
- 2:26Speaker 3: long time. It's kind of impossible to turn it around.
- 2:28Speaker 3: I really can't speak for the NHL because I don't
- 2:30Speaker 3: follow the NHL at all, but NFL does a phenomenal
- 2:34Speaker 3: job with giving the teams the ability to rebuild rather
- 2:38Speaker 3: quickly two to three year process and right back in
- 2:40Speaker 3: the game. And it's good for the sport. And yeah,
- 2:44Speaker 3: two good games and big prizes obviously for DFS.
- 2:48Speaker 1: Yeah, I love what you said there too. Like the
- 2:50Speaker 1: one thing I like about it especially is like the
- 2:51Speaker 1: buys and the one and done basically, you know, not
- 2:54Speaker 1: the golf want and done like we have over at
- 2:55Speaker 1: our friends with Splash Sports do a little marketing in
- 2:57Speaker 1: there too, but just noting it in like baseball. You know,
- 3:01Speaker 1: people hate on the Dodgers and all, I get it, whatever,
- 3:03Speaker 1: but you can't do nothing about it. Just is the
- 3:04Speaker 1: way it is. It makes a really good underdog story
- 3:06Speaker 1: no matter who plays them. But it's really tough to
- 3:09Speaker 1: beat someone in a series when their team is that strong,
- 3:11Speaker 1: that good, that much depth, like all these different factors
- 3:14Speaker 1: in all these other sports, that's typically what you're up
- 3:16Speaker 1: against in football. You better show up for this one game.
- 3:19Speaker 1: If Sam Darnold is seeing ghosts on Sunday, and we'll
- 3:21Speaker 1: get there in a minute. It could be a bad thing
- 3:23Speaker 1: for those Seahawks after just winning forty one to six
- 3:26Speaker 1: against the forty nine ers, getting all the way here,
- 3:28Speaker 1: et cetera, et cetera. The one most interesting thing, and
- 3:31Speaker 1: i'll get your your Grand Scheme overview, is the the
- 3:34Speaker 1: people are betting the Patriots and the lines moved to
- 3:36Speaker 1: four and a half, so the reverse line movement four
- 3:38Speaker 1: and a half now from five and a half. I mean,
- 3:40Speaker 1: people were saying at the start of the week, like,
- 3:42Speaker 1: how are the Patriots only five and a half point
- 3:44Speaker 1: favorites against Jared Stidham. No bone Nicks obviously the unfortunate
- 3:48Speaker 1: injury for him, So give me your thoughts on that,
- 3:50Speaker 1: and then the grand scheme overview before we hop into
- 3:52Speaker 1: this slate.
- 3:53Speaker 3: Definitely the big talking point kind of all week with
- 3:56Speaker 3: bone Knicks very surprisingly getting injured knocked out for the
- 4:00Speaker 3: rest of the playoffs. No one really saw it as
- 4:02Speaker 3: the game was going on, and then shortly after the
- 4:04Speaker 3: game ruled out for the rest of the playoffs. Broken
- 4:07Speaker 3: ankled pretty wild. It's very important obviously for this week
- 4:16Speaker 3: for DFS purposes, because a lot of times when you
- 4:20Speaker 3: have a backup quarterback come in somewhat unknown backup quarterback
- 4:24Speaker 3: is just automatically Okay, this team is done, like there's
- 4:28Speaker 3: no way they can win. And I think that was
- 4:29Speaker 3: the initial reaction. I don't know much about Stidham. I
- 4:34Speaker 3: mean a little bit. I mean, I've done a little
- 4:36Speaker 3: research on him, but it's hard to know because we
- 4:39Speaker 3: really haven't seen him play in the NFL, so you
- 4:41Speaker 3: don't know what you're getting. The coach speak is good,
- 4:43Speaker 3: but obviously it has to be good. Like Sean Payton
- 4:45Speaker 3: can't come out and say we're fucked now. Bo Nicks
- 4:48Speaker 3: got hurt. He has to sell everyone on Stidham, and
- 4:51Speaker 3: I get that. You know, the one thing that's definitely
- 4:55Speaker 3: working his favor. He's been with this team for a while,
- 4:57Speaker 3: like he's been with this team, I think three years.
- 5:00Speaker 3: He knows the system. I think another thing working in
- 5:03Speaker 3: his favor. And I don't know if it's like necessarily
- 5:06Speaker 3: like a hot take or anything, but to me, bow
- 5:09Speaker 3: Knicks has been decent. It's not like bow Knicks has
- 5:11Speaker 3: been like super elite. He's had some good spots this year.
- 5:15Speaker 3: He's had some really bad spots this year. The strength
- 5:17Speaker 3: of this team is clearly their defense. The pressure they
- 5:20Speaker 3: get on the quarterback. So the big question for that
- 5:23Speaker 3: game is can stit them, like just not make a
- 5:27Speaker 3: ton of mistakes, Like, can he be a serviceable quarterback?
- 5:31Speaker 3: Get the ball the guys he needs to, don't turn
- 5:33Speaker 3: it over, you know, believe limit the nerves.
- 5:37Speaker 2: Obviously it's going to be a nervous situation. But can
- 5:39Speaker 2: he limit the nerves?
- 5:41Speaker 3: I think Denver's totally live, you know, after all this,
- 5:44Speaker 3: like just thinking through it, Like they have a very
- 5:47Speaker 3: very good defense that's to strength of their team. Can
- 5:50Speaker 3: they get after Drake may can stick them, limit the pressure,
- 5:55Speaker 3: limit the nerves like I think he can. So I
- 5:58Speaker 3: think Denver's live in this game mostly though I mean
- 6:01Speaker 3: it obviously could go the other way where they get
- 6:02Speaker 3: their ass kicked like that can happen anytime. But I
- 6:06Speaker 3: think Denver's relatively live for DFS purposes.
- 6:09Speaker 2: Stidham is forty five hundred. You know.
- 6:12Speaker 3: The one thing, though, wist it and we'll get into
- 6:14Speaker 3: it more as we go throughout this show is when
- 6:18Speaker 3: you play the pricing is terrible again and I bitch
- 6:21Speaker 3: about it all the time. We bitch about it all
- 6:23Speaker 3: the time. If you play Stidham, your team is going
- 6:26Speaker 3: to look very similar to what a lot of other
- 6:27Speaker 3: people got it are.
- 6:28Speaker 2: Going to do.
- 6:29Speaker 3: So when you play his hit, when you play teams
- 6:31Speaker 3: with him, you gotta be careful what you do because
- 6:34Speaker 3: a majority, a large majority of those teams are going
- 6:37Speaker 3: to have Kenneth Walker, JSN, and Puka because it's very
- 6:42Speaker 3: easy to fit in those three. Those three are projected
- 6:45Speaker 3: much higher than everyone else. So maybe if you're building
- 6:50Speaker 3: a lot of teams, you make a rule where you're
- 6:52Speaker 3: not necessarily make a rule.
- 6:53Speaker 2: But make sure you're getting teams where there's only.
- 6:55Speaker 3: Two of those guys or maybe one of those guys.
- 6:58Speaker 3: You're obviously going to play at least one of those
- 7:00Speaker 3: guys in just about every build this week. But the
- 7:03Speaker 3: Stidham teams, man, those three guys, the three highest projected
- 7:06Speaker 3: guys on the slate by a wide margin, are going
- 7:09Speaker 3: to be in such a large majority of those Stidham
- 7:11Speaker 3: teams where you need to really take a deeper look
- 7:14Speaker 3: at what you're doing in those in those Stidham teams.
- 7:17Speaker 1: Yeah, and what do you think from a perspective, like
- 7:19Speaker 1: how I mean the ownership is out that we're going
- 7:21Speaker 1: to go position by position the second anyway, just because
- 7:22Speaker 1: it makes it easier on a two game slate. But
- 7:25Speaker 1: you know it looks like Drake May, then probably Donald,
- 7:28Speaker 1: then Stafford than Stidham. But what is sort of the
- 7:31Speaker 1: theme you talked about it there with like Walker, JS
- 7:34Speaker 1: and Pooka. I think Walker Puka for sure will be
- 7:36Speaker 1: the highest owned combination of anything on the slate. They
- 7:39Speaker 1: just fit so easily no matter where you go. But
- 7:41Speaker 1: do you see more people like tippy toeing around the
- 7:44Speaker 1: first game and then being heavier on the game stack
- 7:46Speaker 1: of the second game, or because we see that Drake
- 7:49Speaker 1: May looks to be the more popular quarterback, that's just
- 7:51Speaker 1: because people are like, well, if I'm on Walker, maybe
- 7:54Speaker 1: not Donald. If I'm putting an expensive Pooka in there,
- 7:57Speaker 1: not sure if we're going to be able to afford.
- 7:59Speaker 1: Stafford ever, is only three hundred bucks more than May.
- 8:02Speaker 1: So I'm currently seeing May as the most popular quarterback.
- 8:04Speaker 1: It can segue us in to the quarterback position. But
- 8:07Speaker 1: how do you see sort of overall builds looking at
- 8:10Speaker 1: first glance.
- 8:10Speaker 3: It's all going to be based on projections. The only
- 8:13Speaker 3: reason Drake May is the going to be the highest
- 8:15Speaker 3: zone is because he's the highest projected and he's only
- 8:17Speaker 3: six six thousand, so you're not sacrificing anything to play
- 8:20Speaker 3: the highest projected guy on the slate, and at every
- 8:25Speaker 3: position you're going to see that. I mean, the ownership
- 8:27Speaker 3: is basically just going to fall in line with what
- 8:29Speaker 3: the projections are at each position because it's easy to
- 8:32Speaker 3: play the top guy, the top projected guy at every
- 8:35Speaker 3: position because the pricing is so bad. So you've got
- 8:39Speaker 3: to try to use that to your advantage. And for me,
- 8:43Speaker 3: I guess we can kind of hop into the quarterback thing,
- 8:46Speaker 3: like if it's going to be Drake may as the
- 8:48Speaker 3: highest zone quarterback on the slate, like I'll be looking
- 8:52Speaker 3: to do something different just because first off, I don't
- 8:56Speaker 3: love the spot traveling. They are favored obviously, but Denver's
- 8:59Speaker 3: a tough spot to play in. You have the altitude
- 9:01Speaker 3: stuff and Denver's defense is very good. And clearly what's
- 9:05Speaker 3: Denver going to try to do. They're going to try
- 9:06Speaker 3: to slow this thing down and win this ballgame like
- 9:10Speaker 3: thirteen to ten. Now, I can't always do that. If
- 9:13Speaker 3: that's the game plan, doesn't mean it's gonna work, right,
- 9:15Speaker 3: but that's what they're going to want to do, and
- 9:18Speaker 3: highestone quarterback on the road against a good defense, like man,
- 9:23Speaker 3: I'll go anywhere else. I mean, we currently have Drake
- 9:26Speaker 3: May at thirty five, Sam Darnold twenty six, Matthew Stafford
- 9:31Speaker 3: twenty two, and then Stidham fifteen percent, and I hope
- 9:36Speaker 3: that holds true because you know, if I personally am
- 9:39Speaker 3: going to rank these quarterbacks, factoring in ownership and everything,
- 9:43Speaker 3: I would almost be reverse on what.
- 9:45Speaker 2: The ownership showing. So that's good.
- 9:47Speaker 3: If Stafford is going to be the third highest quarterback,
- 9:49Speaker 3: give me Stafford is my highestone quarterback. If Stidham's going
- 9:53Speaker 3: to be the lowest, I will, I'll find a way
- 9:55Speaker 3: to get some unique Stidham builds in there. I'd be
- 9:58Speaker 3: good with him, and then I would probab I go
- 10:00Speaker 3: to Drake May, and then Darnold would probably be my
- 10:04Speaker 3: least favorite quarterback on the slate. So really the only
- 10:08Speaker 3: reason Drake May is getting this ownership is because of
- 10:11Speaker 3: the projection. We haven't projected at nineteen and a half.
- 10:15Speaker 3: We have Stafford right around seventeen and a half, so
- 10:18Speaker 3: he is two points higher than Stafford. Everyone has a
- 10:22Speaker 3: very similar difference between the two. Saber has it as
- 10:27Speaker 3: a two point different difference. Other sites everything's right around
- 10:31Speaker 3: two points difference between Stafford and May. If that was flip,
- 10:36Speaker 3: if Stafford was showing the higher projection, Stafford would would
- 10:39Speaker 3: be the highest on quarterback on the slate. So yeah,
- 10:43Speaker 3: I mean, I like this setup with Drake maybe in
- 10:46Speaker 3: the highest one because when you factor that in, he's
- 10:49Speaker 3: my third favorite.
- 10:51Speaker 2: So it would be Stafford.
- 10:53Speaker 3: I guess I kind of have to say, say Stidham,
- 10:56Speaker 3: and there is a little bit of rushing up side,
- 10:57Speaker 3: like he has a rushing prop Stidam, I think that
- 11:00Speaker 3: is important, Like he's not going to take off twenty
- 11:02Speaker 3: times fifteen times, but his rushing prop titles not here,
- 11:06Speaker 3: So I had to do a little research before the show.
- 11:08Speaker 3: Is right around fifteen sixteen, and that's that's that's a number.
- 11:12Speaker 3: Like if you can get twenty yards, that's two free
- 11:14Speaker 3: points on a forty five hundred quarterback. If he throws
- 11:17Speaker 3: a touchdown, could be free rolling him. It's a two
- 11:20Speaker 3: games slate, like your expectations or what you're what you
- 11:23Speaker 3: want to get out of a guy as much lower
- 11:26Speaker 3: on the two games slate. So yeah, I'd kind of
- 11:29Speaker 3: flip it on the ownership stuff and go the opposite direction.
- 11:33Speaker 3: Stafford stateum May and then Darnold for me, Yeah.
- 11:36Speaker 1: That is interesting to see. Like I say, fifteen ish
- 11:38Speaker 1: and you talk about title not being here obviously the
- 11:41Speaker 1: you're usually looking at this stuff for us, but over
- 11:42Speaker 1: two hundred yards for his passing right, if you're looking
- 11:45Speaker 1: at him from that perspective. For I don't think I
- 11:48Speaker 1: have any touchdown over under for some reason. But yeah,
- 11:51Speaker 1: that was the other thing too. No, no real weather,
- 11:53Speaker 1: like if you look at New England and Denver, it's
- 11:55Speaker 1: a little bit cold, but that's about it. And then
- 11:57Speaker 1: at the other game, you know, mild temps, light wins,
- 12:00Speaker 1: no issues. So I know only people are going to
- 12:02Speaker 1: be doing anything based around that. I think that's something too,
- 12:04Speaker 1: will be prevalent and we'll see. Is that, like Drake
- 12:06Speaker 1: May could come down a little bit, which is interesting.
- 12:09Speaker 1: If you have the stone over at ship a Nation,
- 12:10Speaker 1: you'll be able to see what you know, his optimal
- 12:12Speaker 1: looks like. So if his ownership was to come down
- 12:14Speaker 1: and that would be similar, you'd look at that as
- 12:16Speaker 1: like an opportunity. But it makes sense that when people
- 12:18Speaker 1: end up on Walker, Pooka, JSN, some combination of those guys,
- 12:22Speaker 1: they're willing to go to Barner or who else do?
- 12:26Speaker 1: They usually play like the cup Shaheeds, the Parkinson's, the Higbees.
- 12:29Speaker 1: Once you go to that, I think people will be
- 12:31Speaker 1: able to go to the game stack higher total if
- 12:33Speaker 1: they think the first game is going to be more defense.
- 12:36Speaker 1: You could see Stafford and Darnold pick up a little bit.
- 12:39Speaker 1: But I still think Drake may stays, you know, pretty
- 12:41Speaker 1: close to where he's at now. Like you said, so
- 12:43Speaker 1: the other thing I would say, too, is just like
- 12:45Speaker 1: the stidam one, probably a little bit more uncomfortable for
- 12:48Speaker 1: people because they don't real I mean, you got Courtland Sutton. Sure,
- 12:51Speaker 1: Pat Bryant has no injury designation as of last night.
- 12:54Speaker 1: Obviously they were feeding him early on. I was with
- 12:56Speaker 1: Bo Nixon, but they were feeding him quite early three
- 12:58Speaker 1: for thirty two before the concussion had to leave the game.
- 13:02Speaker 1: Week after, you get Parker Washington coun cuss who comes
- 13:04Speaker 1: back and then breaks the slate. You cannot get that
- 13:06Speaker 1: from Pat Bryant. He has to just completely be out
- 13:08Speaker 1: of the game. But he'll be back in there at
- 13:10Speaker 1: forty four hundred. So I guess people know where to go.
- 13:12Speaker 1: But I think, like you said, a key point there
- 13:14Speaker 1: if you're going Stidham got to be very careful or
- 13:16Speaker 1: thinking about what you're doing, because it's just gonna be
- 13:18Speaker 1: a lot of You can instantly plug in Walker, JSN,
- 13:21Speaker 1: Puka the best of every spot and then kind of
- 13:24Speaker 1: fill it out from there. It's not saying you'll be
- 13:25Speaker 1: completely duped every lineup like that that you build, but
- 13:28Speaker 1: you'll definitely have a lot of commonalities with those other builds.
- 13:31Speaker 1: So I think that's kind of one thing to look
- 13:33Speaker 1: at there. But at forty five hundred bucks, he's definitely viable,
- 13:36Speaker 1: especially when you mentioned a running aspect of it. I
- 13:39Speaker 1: also think we'll wait and see, you know, when we
- 13:42Speaker 1: get to wide receiver. But I think just because Puka
- 13:44Speaker 1: is so easy to fit, I think the delta between
- 13:48Speaker 1: Puka and Adams could get even further apart because Puka
- 13:51Speaker 1: is just so simple and people look at Puka for
- 13:53Speaker 1: good reason, Like even if you didn't have Stafford, or
- 13:55Speaker 1: even if you weren't really in on that game that heavy,
- 13:57Speaker 1: still play Puka because the guy could have like seven
- 14:00Speaker 1: for seventy in the first half, first quarter really and
- 14:02Speaker 1: then he can have you know, his game where it's
- 14:04Speaker 1: like nine for one hundred and ten and one or
- 14:06Speaker 1: maybe zero even and you're still good on a two
- 14:08Speaker 1: game slate and slim pickens like people like going to
- 14:12Speaker 1: digs sometimes, but they don't always like picking between like
- 14:14Speaker 1: Booty and Pop when they go to Sutton maybe, but
- 14:17Speaker 1: will they go back to Mims or Bryant you know,
- 14:20Speaker 1: JSN sure, but they don't really love Cup and Shaheed,
- 14:22Speaker 1: So it just makes it so you see that happen
- 14:24Speaker 1: a lot more often. So from an overall build perspective,
- 14:26Speaker 1: I think even when people are on May staying with
- 14:29Speaker 1: the quarterback here, I think it's still just gonna be
- 14:31Speaker 1: automatic to see Pooka and Kenneth Chalker the third for
- 14:34Speaker 1: good reason. No, Charpenay will get to that in a second.
- 14:37Speaker 1: Anything else you want to cover at quarterback before we
- 14:39Speaker 1: go to running back.
- 14:41Speaker 3: No, I mean, I do agree, though I think that
- 14:43Speaker 3: that Drake May stuff could flatten out like a little bit.
- 14:47Speaker 3: But I guess the one takeaway for sure is he's
- 14:49Speaker 3: definitely it's almost certain he's going to be the highest
- 14:51Speaker 3: dome regardless, like he's gonna be up there. It's just
- 14:54Speaker 3: how big is the gap between him and I don't know,
- 14:57Speaker 3: based on the well we have Donald is too. I think
- 15:02Speaker 3: it would be Stafford.
- 15:03Speaker 2: I don't know.
- 15:03Speaker 3: I still think it's gonna end up going Drake May,
- 15:06Speaker 3: Stafford Donald and then Stidham in terms of ownership.
- 15:09Speaker 1: I think that's the other flip. Great call out there,
- 15:11Speaker 1: because I think you easially see the Stafford number flip
- 15:15Speaker 1: with Donald and then maybe you know, they both come
- 15:18Speaker 1: up a little bit and Drake May comes down a
- 15:20Speaker 1: little bit or we and we have seen this. The
- 15:23Speaker 1: Stidham number could be off, like the Stillam number could
- 15:26Speaker 1: could come down.
- 15:27Speaker 3: I think it could come down because people are still
- 15:30Speaker 3: going to look at it, like, man, I really want
- 15:32Speaker 3: to play Stidham and the forty five hundred really doesn't
- 15:34Speaker 3: do that much, Like you're not saving a ton the
- 15:37Speaker 3: salary suit, everything's super soft, the pricing, so it's not
- 15:41Speaker 3: like necessary to go down to Stidham. If people are
- 15:44Speaker 3: handbuilding teams, they're not starting with Stidham.
- 15:46Speaker 2: They're going to start with the more stable options.
- 15:48Speaker 1: So he could he could be like ten to twelve
- 15:51Speaker 1: instead of.
- 15:52Speaker 3: Yeah, I agree, Yeah, I hope that's the case, and
- 15:56Speaker 3: I think there is a legitimate chance the.
- 15:58Speaker 1: Yeah, second last big NFL show of the season. Obviously
- 16:01Speaker 1: we'll be back with the full crew with title included
- 16:04Speaker 1: for the super Bowl. To break that down, he's he's
- 16:05Speaker 1: coming off one hundred and thirteen thousand dollars win on
- 16:08Speaker 1: the most recent super Bowl, soe you talk about a
- 16:10Speaker 1: recent form for a title, he'll be back to break
- 16:12Speaker 1: down the super Bowl with us. But just noting on
- 16:14Speaker 1: this one one. The golf package is back. So if
- 16:16Speaker 1: you guys are wanting to get in on the PGADFS,
- 16:18Speaker 1: if you haven't looked at the leaderboards, if you're playing
- 16:20Speaker 1: PGADFS and you're not at Shipper Nation, you're most certainly
- 16:23Speaker 1: missing out if you look at the leaderboards. Last week alone,
- 16:25Speaker 1: we had the two hundred dollars single entry winner. Shout
- 16:27Speaker 1: out to our guy wins a lot. We had our
- 16:28Speaker 1: guy Jerry matt in Showdown. We had Butter win twenty
- 16:32Speaker 1: five hundred bucks, another person win four thousand. These are
- 16:35Speaker 1: just the biggest wins, all kinds of others within the
- 16:37Speaker 1: discord and huge ROI returns already this week. Ranger ten
- 16:40Speaker 1: k yesterday like it's just gonna be Winner Circle, like crazy,
- 16:43Speaker 1: but we do have the Winner Circle program. You could
- 16:45Speaker 1: check that out. But the biggest thing for this weekend, specifically,
- 16:49Speaker 1: if you don't know, we'll make sure everybody knows about
- 16:51Speaker 1: is the trials. Obviously you can get in any time
- 16:53Speaker 1: for a nine dollars day pass. You do not get discord.
- 16:56Speaker 1: It's pretty limited that way, but it's way better deal,
- 16:59Speaker 1: the best value for sure, just to go to the
- 17:00Speaker 1: five days for nineteen dollars. It gets you five times
- 17:03Speaker 1: the amount of coverage, it includes discord, and it's only
- 17:06Speaker 1: nineteen bucks. You can then convert it to whatever all
- 17:09Speaker 1: access or single sport package that you want. And then lastly,
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- 17:52Speaker 1: All right, hoop, let's move on to the running back position.
- 17:56Speaker 1: We you know, the elephant in the room was pretty
- 17:58Speaker 1: the room was taken up by this elp and Kenneth Chalker,
- 18:00Speaker 1: the third we've made fun of it forever. Doesn't really
- 18:03Speaker 1: matter if you've been playing him or not. At this point,
- 18:04Speaker 1: it's a two game slate. His optimal rate is through
- 18:07Speaker 1: the roof. People are gonna say, like, just plug him
- 18:09Speaker 1: in and lock him because it doesn't even matter if
- 18:11Speaker 1: he does or he doesn't. He can argue that obviously,
- 18:14Speaker 1: But what's your thoughts on Kenneth Walker's start there, and
- 18:16Speaker 1: then let's talk about the position as a whole.
- 18:19Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean tough, because obviously, you know, you could
- 18:22Speaker 3: make some sort of arguments. I guess if he is
- 18:24Speaker 3: like a little more expensive, but he's not the most
- 18:27Speaker 3: expensive guy in the slate. He's sixty two hundred coming
- 18:30Speaker 3: off an absolute banger performance that everyone saw Charboney out.
- 18:35Speaker 3: He's gonna get all the work. I mean, they are
- 18:38Speaker 3: activating guys like what George Halani and Vellas Jones Junior,
- 18:45Speaker 3: like these are the guys behind him. He's gonna be
- 18:46Speaker 3: out there basically every single down. The projections big what's
- 18:52Speaker 3: the case? I guess really it's like, what's the case
- 18:54Speaker 3: for fading him? Or how does he really fail on
- 18:57Speaker 3: the slate? You know, he needs a moderate performance. He
- 19:01Speaker 3: needs probably I don't know, fifteen or below, needs two
- 19:04Speaker 3: of these other guys to have games that beat them,
- 19:07Speaker 3: whether it's Kyrin Williams, RJ. Harvey, one of the Patriots guys.
- 19:12Speaker 3: Just really tough to make the case against him because
- 19:15Speaker 3: because when you factor in a two game slate, like
- 19:17Speaker 3: I said, like your expectation for performance from these guys
- 19:21Speaker 3: comes way down, like ten could be enough for RB two,
- 19:25Speaker 3: twelve can be enough for RB two. So it makes
- 19:28Speaker 3: it very very difficult, obviously hard to take an overweight
- 19:31Speaker 3: stance on him if you don't just lock them in.
- 19:33Speaker 3: If you're building a lot of teams, a lot of
- 19:34Speaker 3: people will end up doing that. We're showing eighty two
- 19:37Speaker 3: percent ownership seems pretty standard, like right around eighty percent
- 19:43Speaker 3: is probably where he's going to be. Do you just
- 19:46Speaker 3: hit the lock button on him? Yeah, I mean it's
- 19:50Speaker 3: not doing really anything. Like he has a good game,
- 19:52Speaker 3: he's going to be on optimal regardless. I mean, if
- 19:55Speaker 3: he has a middling game, he's probably going to be unoptimal.
- 19:58Speaker 3: So just bad pricing, you know, it could be. What
- 20:00Speaker 3: would make this slate interesting is if he was eighty
- 20:03Speaker 3: five hundred instead of sixty two hundred, which that's kind
- 20:06Speaker 3: of where he should be priced on the slate, but
- 20:09Speaker 3: he is.
- 20:10Speaker 2: He's cheap, so.
- 20:12Speaker 3: Yeah, it's tough to avoid that situation after him. Kyen
- 20:16Speaker 3: Williams also had a big game, but a much tougher matchup.
- 20:20Speaker 3: I guess the nice thing about the Kenneth Walker situation
- 20:23Speaker 3: when you start considering some of these other options is
- 20:26Speaker 3: their ownership's all going to be a little lower because
- 20:28Speaker 3: a little lower than it would be because of this
- 20:30Speaker 3: Kenneth Walker situation.
- 20:32Speaker 2: Tough matchup for Kyraen coming off.
- 20:34Speaker 3: The one thing about Kyen, though, you know, we saw
- 20:36Speaker 3: in the regular season a lot of Blake Korum, Like
- 20:40Speaker 3: Blake Korum was getting pretty consistently around, you know, ten eleven, twelve, touches. Well,
- 20:45Speaker 3: last week that kind of fell off a little bit
- 20:48Speaker 3: and Blake Korum only got I think it might have
- 20:51Speaker 3: been like six carries. Yeah, only six carries, no targets
- 20:56Speaker 3: in the passing game. Definitely did not get as much
- 20:59Speaker 3: work as he did in the regular season, and I
- 21:02Speaker 3: kind of expect that to continue this week as well.
- 21:06Speaker 3: If it is a competitive game, it's just it's clearly
- 21:08Speaker 3: Kyen over Korum. I think you know they're probably using
- 21:12Speaker 3: Korum a little bit more in the regular season to
- 21:15Speaker 3: preserve Kyrien.
- 21:16Speaker 2: R J.
- 21:17Speaker 3: Harvey's the other guy that gets all the work. Most
- 21:20Speaker 3: of the work. They did use McLoughlin, I think a
- 21:22Speaker 3: little bit more than people thought. But again with these
- 21:24Speaker 3: backup running backs, they kind of get into that.
- 21:26Speaker 2: It's like the.
- 21:27Speaker 3: Pricing is just so close to the starters where it's
- 21:30Speaker 3: so tough, like with a k With Blake Korum, he
- 21:33Speaker 3: got six carries, he doesn't catch passes, Like what's his path,
- 21:37Speaker 3: Like he has to score a touchdown, he might need
- 21:40Speaker 3: two touchdowns, so it's really tough. And he's five K
- 21:42Speaker 3: like Kenneth Walker sixty two hundred, Blake Korum is five K.
- 21:46Speaker 3: It's a twelve hundred dollars difference when salary doesn't really
- 21:49Speaker 3: matter this week.
- 21:50Speaker 2: It's just hard for these backup guys.
- 21:53Speaker 3: Quorum McLoughlin, like, I just can't even come close to
- 21:57Speaker 3: click in those names just because of the price stuff.
- 22:00Speaker 2: So back to R J.
- 22:02Speaker 3: Harvey should get almost all the work fifty nine hundred.
- 22:05Speaker 3: Then you got the Patriots guys, which I think is
- 22:08Speaker 3: somewhat interesting. Ramondre Stevenson looking like he's gonna get a
- 22:13Speaker 3: lot of ownership at forty seven.
- 22:15Speaker 2: And he clearly is.
- 22:18Speaker 3: It's probably I don't know the exact numbers, but it
- 22:20Speaker 3: seems more of like a sixty to forty situation in
- 22:22Speaker 3: his favor. He got what sixteen carris he got twenty
- 22:28Speaker 3: touches last week. But Henderson still has a legitimate role.
- 22:32Speaker 3: I mean Henderson had twelve carries on one target, like
- 22:37Speaker 3: he will be used around the goal line. I think
- 22:40Speaker 3: Henderson is the one guy that's somewhat interesting. He's gonna
- 22:43Speaker 3: be obviously much lower on than all four of those
- 22:47Speaker 3: guys above him, Walker, Kyleen Williams, RJ. Harvey, Stevenson. We
- 22:53Speaker 3: have Henderson at sixteen percent, Saber has at thirteen. So
- 22:59Speaker 3: we'll all at fifteen. I think it is two touchdown upside.
- 23:03Speaker 3: It is a tougher matchup, But I guess the main
- 23:06Speaker 3: point is it's really tough to make a case for
- 23:09Speaker 3: anyone after Henderson, Kenneth Walker.
- 23:13Speaker 2: Kyron Williams, R. J.
- 23:14Speaker 3: Harvey, Stevenson, and then then Henderson. But all those other
- 23:19Speaker 3: guys are getting solid ownership. I guess I'll rank them
- 23:23Speaker 3: outside of Walker, like Walker's in a group of his own.
- 23:26Speaker 3: I think this week, I don't know it's gonna be.
- 23:31Speaker 3: I guess, I don't know. It's tough. I guess Kyraen Williams, Harvey, Stevenson, Henderson.
- 23:39Speaker 3: I don't know if it's a tough position to kind
- 23:40Speaker 3: of analyze and make any sort of move on. Really,
- 23:43Speaker 3: I don't know, like what's the play here. It's hard
- 23:46Speaker 3: to have like a hot take. I guess at the
- 23:47Speaker 3: running back position on this two game late maybe you
- 23:50Speaker 3: have something because I really don't.
- 23:51Speaker 1: Not really no, Actually, I think the Henderson one was
- 23:53Speaker 1: the best one, and I'll go more on that in
- 23:54Speaker 1: a second. Just a round out. So some people don't
- 23:56Speaker 1: look at the numbers, or they try and like do
- 23:58Speaker 1: the no ball thing and all this other stuff. It's like,
- 24:00Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker has one hundred and thirteen and a half
- 24:02Speaker 1: all purpose yard prop Puka has ninety seven and a half.
- 24:07Speaker 1: Puka is plus one twenty five to score a touchdown,
- 24:11Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker is minus one fifty different position. Sure, Kenneth
- 24:14Speaker 1: Walker is sixty two hundred Puoka's nine k You can
- 24:17Speaker 1: play them both. I'm just explaining, like that's why you're
- 24:19Speaker 1: not really looking to get too different. It's you can
- 24:22Speaker 1: get different with the play, not who you play, how
- 24:24Speaker 1: you play. And we talk about a ton many people
- 24:26Speaker 1: that don't play Walker are at least gonna consider, Okay,
- 24:29Speaker 1: if I'm not playing Walker, then what am I doing?
- 24:31Speaker 1: I think in your MM sets and pools and things
- 24:33Speaker 1: like that. Yes, some Donald with asn with Cup with
- 24:37Speaker 1: Barner likes do that, I think honestly. The other way
- 24:40Speaker 1: is to go uh and it'll be a late swap
- 24:42Speaker 1: thing too. By the way, Kyron and the Rams or
- 24:45Speaker 1: Corum and the Rams with your Walker Seahawks lineups, because
- 24:48Speaker 1: Seahawks were popular last week and got twenty one points,
- 24:50Speaker 1: so makes sense. The other thing would be playing Walker
- 24:55Speaker 1: with Donald. Our guy Newan's mentioned it in the chat.
- 24:58Speaker 1: You go back to week eleven. Week eleven and Kenneth Walker,
- 25:01Speaker 1: even with Sharboney getting eleven carries, he had sixty seven
- 25:04Speaker 1: yards a touchdown. Kenneth Walker this is had had sixty
- 25:07Speaker 1: seven yards a touchdown, three catches for forty four yards.
- 25:11Speaker 1: That's in a lower scoring game, and that's what other
- 25:13Speaker 1: dudes getting all kinds of touches. By the way, JSN
- 25:16Speaker 1: had a huge game. Barner had like eleven targets that game.
- 25:19Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker still just crushed. You go to week sixteen
- 25:22Speaker 1: and look at it again. These games don't mean this game,
- 25:25Speaker 1: as we always say, it's a totally different game, but
- 25:26Speaker 1: just noting this stuff and what could happen that week
- 25:29Speaker 1: He got eleven to nine from for carries to charbon Ay,
- 25:33Speaker 1: still got the one hundred yard bonus, still got a touchdown,
- 25:36Speaker 1: still got three catches on three targets for sixty four yards,
- 25:40Speaker 1: like Kenneth Walker can get there in a ton of
- 25:42Speaker 1: different ways. A lot of these things. You're gonna be
- 25:44Speaker 1: looking at ways to get different. But if you are
- 25:46Speaker 1: fading him, think about what you're doing instead, and why
- 25:49Speaker 1: don't just fade to fade because the ownership, because you
- 25:51Speaker 1: know there's gonna be tons of opportunities, so I think
- 25:54Speaker 1: that's important. The one that I will mention a couple
- 25:57Speaker 1: things about is the Henderson one. I can't have no
- 25:58Speaker 1: other story outside of that after that. I like RJ.
- 26:01Speaker 2: Harvey.
- 26:02Speaker 1: I think Harvey with Denver could be interesting because if
- 26:04Speaker 1: you think about them and they end up doing something
- 26:06Speaker 1: at home, it could be because of that. And that's
- 26:08Speaker 1: why it's not that it's an easy rush matchup. It's
- 26:11Speaker 1: a kill the clock, touchdowns near the end zone type thing.
- 26:14Speaker 1: You know, Stidham trying to keep him protected. He'll run
- 26:17Speaker 1: some You could have like a Stidham Harvey Denver lineup
- 26:20Speaker 1: and then fill it out. That would be a way
- 26:21Speaker 1: to pivot and get different in your stidem lineups. But
- 26:23Speaker 1: just noting it. The Henderson thing is all based on
- 26:27Speaker 1: their latest Remandre stuff. It's been back and forth and
- 26:30Speaker 1: plenty of times that we've seen it switch on the dime.
- 26:32Speaker 1: That's one hoop where you could actually, comfortably, in my opinion,
- 26:36Speaker 1: just change their projection, swap it and say, you know what,
- 26:40Speaker 1: re Remandre doesn't get it going early. It's not as
- 26:42Speaker 1: much Romandre. I'm gonna have Romandre and my mm stuff.
- 26:45Speaker 1: I'm just explaining to you on what you can look
- 26:46Speaker 1: at it from us, Even if you have the stone,
- 26:48Speaker 1: you'll be able to see the optimal percentages. Nowhere close
- 26:51Speaker 1: on any of these multiple running back spots, but in
- 26:54Speaker 1: that one it's close because no one ever really knows.
- 26:56Speaker 1: And what if the Patriots, again we said Denver might
- 26:59Speaker 1: be able to at least put up a little bit
- 27:00Speaker 1: of a fight in the beginning. Well, if you agree
- 27:03Speaker 1: with that, it could be because Remandre doesn't come through
- 27:05Speaker 1: early Henderson gets involved. If you don't agree with that
- 27:08Speaker 1: and you say, nah, it's gonna be Patriots blowout, Okay,
- 27:12Speaker 1: Well then if you think that, what if Remandre causes
- 27:15Speaker 1: it in the beginning, or if the pass game causes
- 27:17Speaker 1: it in the beginning, and then they go to Henderson
- 27:19Speaker 1: and he ends up just all again, remember in a
- 27:21Speaker 1: two running back lineup, or if you go all the
- 27:24Speaker 1: way to a three running back line up with your
- 27:25Speaker 1: flex you only need to get too right. If you
- 27:27Speaker 1: got Kenneth Walker right, and it hurts Kiren and it's
- 27:30Speaker 1: not Denver getting there, it's one of Remandre or Henderson.
- 27:33Speaker 1: So that would be where the case would be made
- 27:35Speaker 1: for Henderson without getting too cute. The last thing I'll
- 27:37Speaker 1: ask you, though, I had a conversation with this with
- 27:40Speaker 1: somebody yesterday about this is what about playing two running
- 27:43Speaker 1: backs from the same team.
- 27:47Speaker 2: The only spot I would be willing to do it
- 27:49Speaker 2: would be the Patriots, just because I.
- 27:50Speaker 3: Just cannot play I just Koram McLoughlin, like it's gonna
- 27:56Speaker 3: take three to four guys above them almost fully busting.
- 28:00Speaker 3: Like if you're playing like Koram or McLoughlin, you need
- 28:05Speaker 3: three of Walker, Williams, Harvey Henderson to bust, like fully bust,
- 28:11Speaker 3: like they could score a touchdown. So for me, it
- 28:13Speaker 3: would only be the Patriots situation, and then it would
- 28:17Speaker 3: kind of just be like a Patriots onslaught. I think
- 28:20Speaker 3: it would be like Drake May, Stevenson Henderson, where you know,
- 28:26Speaker 3: Stevenson catches one, Henderson runs into Drake May picks up
- 28:30Speaker 3: some additional rushing yards on the ground. Like that sort
- 28:34Speaker 3: of setup is where I would play it. But only
- 28:35Speaker 3: for me it would only be the Patriots. I can't
- 28:37Speaker 3: play you know, Corham and Knerine Williams, I can't play
- 28:42Speaker 3: Harvey and McLoughlin. I can't play Kenneth Walker, And I'm
- 28:47Speaker 3: not even gonna say their names.
- 28:48Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah, those dudes.
- 28:50Speaker 3: Like I'm not I'm not clicking double there, No way, I.
- 28:53Speaker 1: Can't even find Holani props. But I mean I would
- 28:55Speaker 1: just do that through props. Like you said, you need
- 28:56Speaker 1: you only need to play two running backs anyway and
- 28:59Speaker 1: new ones. We had this conversation last week with somebody
- 29:01Speaker 1: else on here. The scarier it is, or the more scary,
- 29:04Speaker 1: I should say it is, the better on a two
- 29:05Speaker 1: game slate. Like Trevion Henderson is not crazy. You're not
- 29:10Speaker 1: picking some random diamond in the rough. He literally could
- 29:13Speaker 1: be the Stevenson projection.
- 29:16Speaker 3: The only spot to make a play at running back, Like,
- 29:19Speaker 3: if you're looking to make some sort of move at
- 29:21Speaker 3: running back, it's the most reasonable spot to make the play,
- 29:26Speaker 3: Like it just it clearly is, and you're getting you're
- 29:29Speaker 3: making the pivot from Stevenson, who's looking to be forty
- 29:34Speaker 3: some percent owned, Like there's a thirty looks like what
- 29:37Speaker 3: like a thirty percent difference somewhere in that range between
- 29:41Speaker 3: Henderson and Stevenson. And like you said, you can just
- 29:43Speaker 3: flip the projections. Why can't it be Henderson. Henderson had huge,
- 29:48Speaker 3: huge weeks all season long, and if he gets hot
- 29:51Speaker 3: and breaks off of fifty yard You think they're just
- 29:53Speaker 3: going to go away from his ass, Like, no, he's
- 29:55Speaker 3: going to get more opportunities. So it's just the most
- 29:57Speaker 3: realistic spot to make a move. A pretty boring position.
- 30:02Speaker 3: I said, running back is just boring, man, It's just
- 30:04Speaker 3: a boring position.
- 30:05Speaker 1: And it's what you said too, like the Jilani truthers
- 30:08Speaker 1: out there, like, I mean, he's gonna be it's eighty
- 30:10Speaker 1: to one on ownership, like the ones you like. And
- 30:13Speaker 1: I talk about this in golf in pgadfs all the time.
- 30:16Speaker 1: It's like when everybody's talking about people but not clicking them.
- 30:19Speaker 1: It's like, in this case, there's enough people still clicking Henderson.
- 30:23Speaker 1: But it's very clear that's where people feel best. If
- 30:25Speaker 1: they're going to a backup but they're not fully committed,
- 30:27Speaker 1: they're still going to Remandre first. And it's only five
- 30:31Speaker 1: hundred bucks more, You're almost always gonna have that five
- 30:33Speaker 1: hundred dollars, so certainly want to make note of that.
- 30:35Speaker 1: The last thing I would say, it's really tricky because
- 30:37Speaker 1: I think you just end up leaving a bunch of
- 30:39Speaker 1: money on the table. But as if you did do
- 30:41Speaker 1: Williams and Korum and hope that it's just a Rams
- 30:44Speaker 1: beat down and it's Darnald seeing ghosts. It's like you
- 30:47Speaker 1: could have Williams Korum and Rams, you'd be that would
- 30:50Speaker 1: be something that really hurts Walker, So at least it
- 30:53Speaker 1: could make sense, But then you kind of just end
- 30:55Speaker 1: up that really, if they're really scoring those touchdowns, it's
- 30:58Speaker 1: hurting Puka's upside, you know, are they throwing a bunch
- 31:01Speaker 1: of JSN? Possibly, so you could at least have him
- 31:03Speaker 1: for some spend, But after that, what do you spend on?
- 31:05Speaker 1: And you can't even get the running backs in the
- 31:07Speaker 1: other game unless you put one at flex Drake may Diggs.
- 31:10Speaker 1: You cap out on prices as Stidham Sutton. So do
- 31:14Speaker 1: that in your MM stuff if you're doing it where
- 31:15Speaker 1: you want to leave three thousand bucks on the table.
- 31:17Speaker 1: But overall, I don't think it's the best move for
- 31:19Speaker 1: this slate. All right, smooth the wide receiver. I don't
- 31:23Speaker 1: think this is going to go very long either, because
- 31:25Speaker 1: you know, as much as you said the running back
- 31:27Speaker 1: is a boring position, it's not quite the same. But
- 31:29Speaker 1: Puka's going into a lot of lineups. JSN is going
- 31:32Speaker 1: into a lot of lineups, and both are going into
- 31:35Speaker 1: a lot of lineups regardless of how you look at it.
- 31:37Speaker 1: So what's your thoughts here at the wide receiver position.
- 31:40Speaker 3: Yeah, I mean there's really like what do we need
- 31:42Speaker 3: to say about JSN and Puka. I mean, they've been
- 31:45Speaker 3: two of the best fantasy wide receivers all season long,
- 31:49Speaker 3: Like I mean real life wide receivers too, not just fantasy.
- 31:53Speaker 3: They're going to be highly owned on the slate. Obviously,
- 31:56Speaker 3: pricing is super soft. It's easy to play them. In
- 32:00Speaker 3: terms of ownership. We're showing JSN at like seventy four,
- 32:05Speaker 3: and that's because he's only eight k He's one thousand
- 32:07Speaker 3: dollars less than Puoko. We're shown Puka at at sixty percent.
- 32:12Speaker 3: I think it's probably closer between the two. Maybe they're
- 32:15Speaker 3: both I don't know, mid mid to upper sixties or
- 32:19Speaker 3: either way, they're going to be highly owned, easy to
- 32:22Speaker 3: fit into lineups, that's the main thing. Easy to do
- 32:25Speaker 3: whatever you want with them. So like, there's no point
- 32:27Speaker 3: to really go in to talking about those two. The
- 32:30Speaker 3: important part is talking about the rest because you got
- 32:32Speaker 3: to play three and then maybe four, which I think
- 32:35Speaker 3: is definitely viable. The four wide receiver builds just going
- 32:41Speaker 3: by projection DeVante Adams to six K, Like if you're
- 32:45Speaker 3: not playing Puka, like what's the best way to get
- 32:48Speaker 3: the leverage there? It's just go to DeVante Adams. The
- 32:51Speaker 3: problem is he's still going to be highly on two
- 32:52Speaker 3: we're showing forty three percent, so it's not like a
- 32:56Speaker 3: big play, but it is like, Okay, if it's not Puka,
- 32:59Speaker 3: then it's like do we do we want Stafford DeVante
- 33:02Speaker 3: Adams and maybe throwing Kyraen and and that's how they
- 33:05Speaker 3: get their points. Like DeVante Adams, fine play obviously like
- 33:10Speaker 3: the next guys though, like after after that group, because
- 33:12Speaker 3: you can make you can definitely make the case obviously
- 33:15Speaker 3: for JSN Puka DeVante that to have big games. After that,
- 33:19Speaker 3: it gets pretty difficult and the projection number comes way down.
- 33:24Speaker 3: I mean, you're talking what we have. Courtland Sutton is
- 33:28Speaker 3: the next guy after DeVante Adams. We have his projection
- 33:31Speaker 3: at eleven point eight, Sabers him has it at ten.
- 33:37Speaker 3: Other spots have it, you know, right around ten eleven twelve,
- 33:41Speaker 3: so somewhere in that range you're talking about low projected
- 33:44Speaker 3: guys with you know, what is this He's fifty seven hundred.
- 33:49Speaker 3: I do think there's a good point when just talking
- 33:50Speaker 3: about the the Denver guys per a minute, maybe we will,
- 33:53Speaker 3: maybe I will kind of do what title doesn't go,
- 33:55Speaker 3: like team by team and talk through it, because I
- 33:57Speaker 3: do think there is simpolidity this with with still them
- 34:00Speaker 3: like you put any wait into MiBBs and Brian getting
- 34:03Speaker 3: more a little extra love. You know, he's obviously been
- 34:06Speaker 3: practicing with these guys a little bit more. The guy
- 34:08Speaker 3: for sure is Brian, because Bryant was already the next
- 34:13Speaker 3: guy in like he had a much bigger role than
- 34:15Speaker 3: Franklin down down the final stretch of the season and
- 34:18Speaker 3: what we see first game in the playoffs, they were
- 34:21Speaker 3: beating them. I mean literally is three for thirty two
- 34:23Speaker 3: in the first drive and then he got hurt. Bryant
- 34:26Speaker 3: to me is the guy, and I hope the ownership
- 34:30Speaker 3: remains relatively low because he was you know, with the
- 34:33Speaker 3: concussion stuff, you never really know how bad it truly is.
- 34:37Speaker 3: He practiced, I believe on Wednesday, and then by Thursday
- 34:40Speaker 3: fully cleared good to go off the injury report. I
- 34:43Speaker 3: don't think there's any lingering issues for him. They're always
- 34:49Speaker 3: very cautious with this concussion stuff, and sometimes there's a
- 34:52Speaker 3: little fishy business on like the big name guys like oh,
- 34:54Speaker 3: how do you clear the concussion protocol so quickly? They're
- 34:57Speaker 3: not doing that shit for Pat Bryant, and that just
- 35:00Speaker 3: leads me to believe that he's fully good to go.
- 35:03Speaker 3: Ownership on him is we're showing ten, like it probably
- 35:08Speaker 3: ends up a little higher than ten. Maybe it gets
- 35:10Speaker 3: the fifteen, but on a two game slate, fifteen percent play,
- 35:15Speaker 3: I think Pat Bryant just a phenomenal, phenomenal play. The
- 35:18Speaker 3: rest of the Broncos guy Sutton, I don't like Sutton
- 35:21Speaker 3: a ton here. I mean, yes, he can be fine,
- 35:24Speaker 3: But for me, with the Broncos guys, it's definitely Pat
- 35:26Speaker 3: Bryant and then probably Mims and then Sutton in order
- 35:29Speaker 3: of my preference. On the Patriots side of things, it's
- 35:33Speaker 3: gonna be. It sounds like it has a chance to
- 35:35Speaker 3: be a little more muddied up this week than last week,
- 35:38Speaker 3: because it sounds like Mac Collins has a legitimate chance
- 35:41Speaker 3: to play. And it's already a tough situation with the
- 35:43Speaker 3: Patriots all year long because they're willing to use so
- 35:47Speaker 3: many guys Obviously Diggs is the number one, but who's
- 35:51Speaker 3: the what is it pass? I'm not a huge matchup
- 35:54Speaker 3: guy and cornerbacks first wide receivers. I think the wide
- 35:56Speaker 3: receivers usually always have an advantage. But is it certain? Yeah,
- 36:02Speaker 3: he's legit. I mean he's very legit. So a little
- 36:05Speaker 3: worried about Diggs. You got Booty who had the big game.
- 36:10Speaker 3: You got Mario Douglas who had the touchdown. But now
- 36:12Speaker 3: Matt Collins is going to be in the mix. A
- 36:15Speaker 3: lot of these pass catchers for the Patriots. I just
- 36:17Speaker 3: prefer when I'm playing Drake May. So if I'm playing
- 36:20Speaker 3: Drake May, I'm fine playing these guys. But it's like
- 36:22Speaker 3: one off lineup filler stuff. I just don't love the
- 36:26Speaker 3: Patriots guys all that much. Going to the Rams Puka Davante,
- 36:31Speaker 3: I mean that's pretty much it. Like you can't really
- 36:34Speaker 3: play whitting him or any of these other guys. We
- 36:36Speaker 3: already kind of talked about them, and then Seattle got JSN.
- 36:40Speaker 3: But another very interesting play. Cooper Cup five for sixty
- 36:45Speaker 3: I believe last week. Yeah, five for sixty, so we
- 36:48Speaker 3: got five targets, caught them all. I think he's a
- 36:54Speaker 3: really solid player and this lady is getting the ownership.
- 36:56Speaker 3: But ATTY only thirty eight hundred, we are showing like
- 37:02Speaker 3: that's not an ideal number for Cooper Cup. Don't get
- 37:04Speaker 3: me wrong, like twenty five percent, but it's a two
- 37:06Speaker 3: game slate. I mean, so seventy five percent of people
- 37:08Speaker 3: not playing him, I think he's a really good option.
- 37:12Speaker 3: And then Shaheed you can do the what the double
- 37:17Speaker 3: dip worked out on Shaheed a little bit.
- 37:19Speaker 2: I don't think he did anything receiving.
- 37:20Speaker 3: Wise, but he had the kickoff return to start the
- 37:23Speaker 3: game and then after that just two targets like tough.
- 37:28Speaker 2: To really go to him.
- 37:30Speaker 3: So you know, outside of Puka, I'm gonna put Davonte
- 37:34Speaker 3: in there to Cucka, JS and DeVante. You know, those
- 37:37Speaker 3: are kind of the main guys. My favorite after those guys,
- 37:41Speaker 3: definitely Pat Bryant. I think Pat Bryant's phenomenal plan the
- 37:44Speaker 3: slate and then Cooper Cup are the two that that
- 37:48Speaker 3: definitely stand out to me outside of like the main
- 37:50Speaker 3: those main three.
- 37:52Speaker 1: Well thing I just you brought Shahied I definitely am
- 37:54Speaker 1: not in on it for the double dip. That's just
- 37:56Speaker 1: randomized to how that happens. Obviously it worked out last
- 37:59Speaker 1: week and on shorts late, et cetera, et cetera. But
- 38:01Speaker 1: one thing I was wondering, So he did get twenty
- 38:03Speaker 1: seven rush yards last week and now no Charbonay in
- 38:06Speaker 1: the mix, Like I guess there'd be like a little
- 38:08Speaker 1: bit of Bakeman potential just because of that. So at
- 38:11Speaker 1: forty one hundred, big play guy, they could be saving him,
- 38:14Speaker 1: Like you know that, we keep talking making fun of
- 38:16Speaker 1: how teams save guys they've been they went and got
- 38:19Speaker 1: him for a reason. Sometimes you see that like what
- 38:21Speaker 1: what what for? Well, we'll show you in the conference
- 38:24Speaker 1: championships when people think that the rams for this big
- 38:27Speaker 1: dog team, Let's see what happens here, even though they
- 38:29Speaker 1: are the favorite at home slightly.
- 38:30Speaker 3: You have to imagine like he's going to get some
- 38:33Speaker 3: opportunities out of the backfield, whether it's to end around
- 38:36Speaker 3: or like a you know, wide receiver screen where he's
- 38:39Speaker 3: getting the ball behind the line of scrimmage and you
- 38:41Speaker 3: know just go, you know, break a couple of tackles
- 38:43Speaker 3: and go like he's clearly the guy.
- 38:45Speaker 2: So yeah, maybe I do bump Shaheta.
- 38:47Speaker 3: I think that's a good point, Like no Sharbonday they're
- 38:49Speaker 3: not gonna like, there's only so much kind of Walker
- 38:51Speaker 3: can do, Like obviously he's gonna get a ton of work,
- 38:54Speaker 3: don't get me wrong, but man like other Yeah, that's
- 38:58Speaker 3: that's a good point on Shihidah.
- 38:59Speaker 1: I do like cool and just to say this, so
- 39:02Speaker 1: last week I was wrong and I always take my ales,
- 39:05Speaker 1: but like, Houston didn't get all the way there like
- 39:07Speaker 1: I said they would, but Seahawks did come down from
- 39:08Speaker 1: twenty six to twenty one, Houston bumped up to like
- 39:12Speaker 1: sixteen or something. It was still close. I was trying
- 39:14Speaker 1: just to say, like I could see that this week
- 39:16Speaker 1: though nobody's respecting the Seahawks d even though you think
- 39:19Speaker 1: some people are gonna put them with Walker whatever, people
- 39:21Speaker 1: are gonna be game stacking that the minute people go
- 39:23Speaker 1: Puka the Handbuilders especially, they don't go to Seattle. And
- 39:27Speaker 1: remember Stidham is playing, it's just auto assumed it's two
- 39:30Speaker 1: hundred bucks more. We could be off at thirty percent
- 39:33Speaker 1: on the Patriots because at the end of the day,
- 39:35Speaker 1: when people are like I can just play the Patriots
- 39:36Speaker 1: versus Stidham, perfect might as well do that. That's an
- 39:39Speaker 1: interesting tidbit as well. So I just think just so
- 39:42Speaker 1: consider those things when you're thinking about it. And so
- 39:45Speaker 1: I think that's just one note. There other stuff you know,
- 39:48Speaker 1: new ones had asked about others as well, Like you
- 39:50Speaker 1: definitely play Adams, and if Adams is two goal line
- 39:54Speaker 1: touchdowns that hurts Pooka. It does give two touchdowns to Stafford,
- 39:59Speaker 1: but the challenge that is then Stafford can still be
- 40:01Speaker 1: beat because Stafford's not usually again not usually going to
- 40:04Speaker 1: run stuff in. He's not gonna pick up a ton
- 40:06Speaker 1: on the ground if he's not getting the three hundred
- 40:09Speaker 1: yard bonus that affects him. And you know, if Puka
- 40:12Speaker 1: ends up with six for eighty and zero but Adams
- 40:16Speaker 1: has three for forty five and two, that doesn't really
- 40:20Speaker 1: mean Stafford is required. So that's one note that's different
- 40:23Speaker 1: on a two game slate than on like a main game,
- 40:26Speaker 1: a main thirteen game slate, where I'm like, okay, if
- 40:28Speaker 1: Adams is actually a ceiling receiver with hundreds of options
- 40:32Speaker 1: that we can use, then I'm probably gonna want to
- 40:34Speaker 1: have Stafford. And on a two game slate, it's not
- 40:36Speaker 1: even close to the same thing. So you can definitely
- 40:38Speaker 1: play Adams there instead, I think it's not too cute.
- 40:41Speaker 1: It's just you know what you're doing. You're saying, give
- 40:44Speaker 1: me some of that Nikua over to Adams. We've done
- 40:46Speaker 1: this tons of weeks with T Higgins versus Jamar Chase.
- 40:50Speaker 1: Sometimes you get the two touchdown T Higgins game. Sometimes
- 40:53Speaker 1: you get the one early touchdown to T Higgins and
- 40:56Speaker 1: then Jamar Chase still scores forty. It's like, that's sometimes
- 40:59Speaker 1: how this can go. Interestingly enough, Hoop, in the Week
- 41:01Speaker 1: sixteen matchup, if you remember the battle of Puka versus JSN,
- 41:06Speaker 1: everyone was talking shit at halftime. It was like MeVis
- 41:10Speaker 1: Field goals and Charbonnet touchdowns, like what some battle between
- 41:13Speaker 1: these two, and then they absolutely went off in the
- 41:16Speaker 1: second half. It was like ten ninety six and one
- 41:18Speaker 1: and like seven to ninety and one. It was just
- 41:20Speaker 1: a huge second half for both of those guys. So
- 41:22Speaker 1: that's the thing. They can turn it on at any time.
- 41:24Speaker 1: Everybody knows this, But it's like Hoop said, if you're
- 41:27Speaker 1: not in on Digs and you don't want to play
- 41:30Speaker 1: roulette with the rest, you're not in on Sutton and
- 41:32Speaker 1: you're not sure. I think the the Mims Bryant stuff
- 41:35Speaker 1: you talked about, Lil Jordan Humphrey one. He was point
- 41:38Speaker 1: one six percent on two nowhere to be found. Not
- 41:40Speaker 1: just because he's point one ver six own. It's like
- 41:42Speaker 1: eight points ain't gonna cut it. That's good for him.
- 41:44Speaker 1: That's a prop hope, you bet as anytime touchdown. Mims
- 41:47Speaker 1: was a product I think of the injury, but obviously
- 41:49Speaker 1: he's capable here and so is Bryant. Again, Bryant being
- 41:52Speaker 1: forty four hundred, five hundred bucks more than last week
- 41:54Speaker 1: and coming off concussion protocol leads me to believe people
- 41:57Speaker 1: are gonna go to Mims more for dred bucks. It
- 42:00Speaker 1: could have easily been Bryant that was in the Mims
- 42:02Speaker 1: role last week taking it away. Mims got there, you
- 42:04Speaker 1: know a little bit, most likely because of that concussion.
- 42:06Speaker 1: So interesting they're in on the cup Shaheed stuff I
- 42:10Speaker 1: talked about already and agree with you on the cup side.
- 42:13Speaker 1: I think the other thing, too is if you're gonna
- 42:14Speaker 1: go like a way to play it different, you could
- 42:17Speaker 1: play Donald Walker, Shaheed and Barner. I know Royo's back.
- 42:21Speaker 1: I actually liked him earlier in the season, won me
- 42:23Speaker 1: some showdown money, but again, Barner is still the guy.
- 42:26Speaker 1: He literally got ten targets or something the last time
- 42:28Speaker 1: one of the times these guys played, so not even
- 42:30Speaker 1: about the matchup, just how they can use him in
- 42:33Speaker 1: so many different ways. That would be a way that
- 42:35Speaker 1: would really hurt JSN. So if you were looking for
- 42:37Speaker 1: a way to get different with Kenneth Walker, it's to
- 42:40Speaker 1: not have JSN paired in with him and Pooka, and
- 42:43Speaker 1: then to use him with Donald most will go one
- 42:45Speaker 1: or the other, and then to play a guy like
- 42:47Speaker 1: Shaheed mixed in to kind of slice and dice that
- 42:50Speaker 1: ownership a little bit. So I'm certainly thinking about that
- 42:52Speaker 1: as well. Booty and Pop Douglas, even Mac Collins all
- 42:55Speaker 1: fine and think, but you know what you're getting zero's
- 42:57Speaker 1: are you know zero ten or twenty. There's almost like
- 43:00Speaker 1: it's not like boom or bust. It's like boom bust
- 43:04Speaker 1: or just shitty mediocre score that's no good for you.
- 43:06Speaker 1: So that kind of sucks as well. It's not like
- 43:07Speaker 1: they're they're guarantees in that way. But on a two
- 43:09Speaker 1: game slate, I think it's possible anything else from that
- 43:12Speaker 1: you want to hit on hoop if not take us
- 43:14Speaker 1: into the tight end position.
- 43:16Speaker 3: Yeah, tight end, Yeah, nothing more at uh, at the
- 43:19Speaker 3: wide receiver, I will say, yeah, I kind of already
- 43:22Speaker 3: said it, but like, based on your points, I think
- 43:26Speaker 3: Shahid is definitely he has to get some work behind
- 43:29Speaker 3: the behind the line of strimmage, and he has the
- 43:32Speaker 3: ability to take anything to the house.
- 43:34Speaker 2: So I will say, definitely, look.
- 43:35Speaker 1: Bast it's insane watching highlights and stuff the guys.
- 43:39Speaker 3: He's going to get the He's going to get at
- 43:41Speaker 3: least a couple opportunities behind the line of scrimmage, and
- 43:44Speaker 3: it's you know, can he break one?
- 43:46Speaker 2: And he definitely can. I doubt it, But uh, I
- 43:52Speaker 2: had this stuff.
- 43:53Speaker 1: Up, Oh they do give him one? Four and a half?
- 43:57Speaker 2: Yeah, I would, I would, man.
- 43:59Speaker 3: I guess it depends if it's if he gets a pass,
- 44:02Speaker 3: but I would.
- 44:03Speaker 2: I wouldn't bet that man like I would. I would
- 44:05Speaker 2: definitely bet that.
- 44:07Speaker 1: I bet that, not just because it's lower, but Holanis
- 44:10Speaker 1: is eight and a half and I know he's a
- 44:12Speaker 1: literal running back for them. Yeah, people are thinking, but
- 44:14Speaker 1: that number seems like that's like, why is it only
- 44:17Speaker 1: eight and a half If he's really gonna spell walker?
- 44:20Speaker 1: You know, fine, but I think Shaheed is interesting at
- 44:22Speaker 1: four and a half. I think they're definitely gonna give
- 44:24Speaker 1: an opportunity. And by the way, the I said it wrong.
- 44:27Speaker 1: Everyone knows he's fast, he's shifty. The way he works
- 44:30Speaker 1: towing that quickly is different than others. Every A lot
- 44:33Speaker 1: of people in the NFL are very fast. He's extremely shifty.
- 44:35Speaker 1: So I think that's something that's at least somewhat interesting
- 44:38Speaker 1: as well. If you're looking for upside. We just saw
- 44:41Speaker 1: Cooper Cup is solid. It's still upside by the way,
- 44:43Speaker 1: at thirty eight hundred to get like five for fifty.
- 44:45Speaker 1: But I'm just saying it seems more floor, more capped,
- 44:48Speaker 1: more like outside the red zone, end zone. Get some catches,
- 44:51Speaker 1: move the ball, move the chains. Shaheed's the big play,
- 44:54Speaker 1: the big opportunity could be rushing some I think he's
- 44:56Speaker 1: pretty interesting on the slate.
- 44:58Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, all there for sure.
- 45:01Speaker 2: Tight end stuff.
- 45:02Speaker 3: Uh. You know another position where sort by projection, ownership
- 45:07Speaker 3: is falling right in line, Hunter Henry the highest projected guy,
- 45:12Speaker 3: highest ownership, Barner second highest projection, second highest ownership, Parkinson
- 45:18Speaker 3: third highest projection, third highest ownership.
- 45:21Speaker 2: You know where I'm going with this goes all the
- 45:23Speaker 2: way down. I like Henry.
- 45:26Speaker 3: I mean, Henry's my favorite pass catcher for the Patriots
- 45:29Speaker 3: this week, Like if I if I'm playing, Uh, Drake
- 45:33Speaker 3: May Henry for me is option number one. He is
- 45:36Speaker 3: the highest owned, but all these guys are gonna be
- 45:39Speaker 3: high owned, so it's like you can't really, you know,
- 45:42Speaker 3: be too concerned with it, but you know, definitely prefer
- 45:45Speaker 3: him over Stefan Diggs if deciding who to pair Drake maywith.
- 45:50Speaker 3: I think he's a solid option for me. I'm gonna
- 45:53Speaker 3: have a lot of him. Uh Barner, you know did
- 45:56Speaker 3: nothing last week, and you know I'm fine with him.
- 45:59Speaker 3: Like I definitely will play some but not my favorite
- 46:02Speaker 3: tight end play Parkinson.
- 46:04Speaker 2: I like quite a bit just to touch on those.
- 46:08Speaker 3: Rams guys like Parkinson seven. I think it was like
- 46:12Speaker 3: seven targets last week. I mean he is like what
- 46:15Speaker 3: wide receiver number three on this team. I mean he's
- 46:17Speaker 3: behind Kouka, He's behind Devanta Adams, like he's the next
- 46:22Speaker 3: best option Higby and then Ferguson. Five targets for Ferguson
- 46:28Speaker 3: last week.
- 46:29Speaker 2: I mean that's the right him again too.
- 46:30Speaker 1: They try to get him in the end zone.
- 46:31Speaker 3: For you, dude, I'm telling you, it's like it's not
- 46:34Speaker 3: just like bullshit little you know, three yard passes like
- 46:38Speaker 3: they use him when they're trying to score touchdowns, and
- 46:40Speaker 3: that's very valuable on the two games later if he
- 46:42Speaker 3: finds the if he finds the end zone, like you,
- 46:46Speaker 3: you're probably gonna need him. But I think my favorite
- 46:49Speaker 3: spot and someone in the check kind of kind of
- 46:52Speaker 3: hit on it right here is h is Ingram. I think,
- 46:57Speaker 3: like you see these these backup quarterbacks or you know,
- 47:00Speaker 3: young quarterbacks, like they love going to the tight end
- 47:03Speaker 3: and Ingram hasn't really done shit all season long, but
- 47:06Speaker 3: he's out on the field a lot, thirty three hundred, Like,
- 47:10Speaker 3: I think.
- 47:10Speaker 2: He is a really really good play.
- 47:11Speaker 3: We're showing eleven percent, Saber has it right around ten,
- 47:16Speaker 3: like it's hard to find you know ten, you know,
- 47:18Speaker 3: sub fifteen percent plays on the slate. I think I
- 47:22Speaker 3: think Ingram is a is a really solid option for
- 47:26Speaker 3: that reason, Like I mean, bo Nix hasn't used him
- 47:29Speaker 3: a ton, but you know maybe Stidham well, and you
- 47:32Speaker 3: see it all the time with these backups or young
- 47:34Speaker 3: quarterbacks where they do look to the tight end quite
- 47:36Speaker 3: a bit, and I think that could be the case here.
- 47:40Speaker 3: So definitely like Ingram as as well.
- 47:44Speaker 1: Yeah, I want to talk about that for two seconds.
- 47:46Speaker 1: I'm just looking up his I'm just curious to see
- 47:48Speaker 1: other props. I would like to look at them too.
- 47:50Speaker 1: But yeah, twenty yards for him, and it's like only
- 47:51Speaker 1: twenty eight for Barner. For example, Hunter Henry's forty three
- 47:55Speaker 1: and a half. But you know Hunter Henry, We've seen
- 47:57Speaker 1: bhombust from plenty of times. The one thing interesting about
- 47:59Speaker 1: bar could be the toush push guy. Also, he's got
- 48:02Speaker 1: the point five rushing for Barner, they might use him
- 48:06Speaker 1: for a shot as well. Somebody mentioned it earlier that
- 48:09Speaker 1: two rush yards last week, that's four xes prop. So
- 48:12Speaker 1: give that a shot if you want to. But yeah,
- 48:14Speaker 1: and DFS Jones down here says Rams love thirteen personnel.
- 48:18Speaker 1: All their tight ends are live. I think the most
- 48:19Speaker 1: interesting is for me, Barner really hurts the jazz ND stuff.
- 48:24Speaker 1: Not that you can't play them both together. I actually
- 48:26Speaker 1: think more people would play that. But for me, if
- 48:27Speaker 1: I'm going like Darnald Walker Shaheed Barner, I can still
- 48:31Speaker 1: play whoever I want everywhere else, And it's a way
- 48:34Speaker 1: to move off of js N and still go up
- 48:36Speaker 1: against those Rams. I like the Ingram play, not just
- 48:38Speaker 1: because of the safety blanket thing, but thinking about Sean
- 48:43Speaker 1: Payton in the past and just the way it can
- 48:45Speaker 1: work and how you'd want to set up your backup quarterback.
- 48:48Speaker 1: He can run if he has to, go ahead and
- 48:50Speaker 1: use your legs if you think you need him Son,
- 48:51Speaker 1: Like you can hear him telling him that, Like, that's
- 48:53Speaker 1: go ahead if you need him. Right, if you don't
- 48:55Speaker 1: look for this guy, he's open. You can just get
- 48:57Speaker 1: it across to him. Let's just move the chains, let's
- 48:59Speaker 1: kill the clock, Let's keep the Patriots off the field.
- 49:02Speaker 1: Vrabel wants the opposite, So how do we do it
- 49:05Speaker 1: as a battle? Like this is a good coaching battle.
- 49:07Speaker 1: That's the other thing that people forget is you got
- 49:08Speaker 1: good coaches here. People make fun of McVeigh and had
- 49:11Speaker 1: some pluses and minuses over his time, but his playoff
- 49:14Speaker 1: stuff they were showing the other day is pretty solid.
- 49:16Speaker 1: The Seahawks coach, I always forget his name, but he's
- 49:18Speaker 1: newer and obviously very solid. Peyton, you got Vrabel. I
- 49:22Speaker 1: think that's part that people always forget. It's the good
- 49:24Speaker 1: coaches typically moving on the NFL moving through a lot
- 49:27Speaker 1: of coaches these days. So we'll see how it shapes
- 49:28Speaker 1: out for the future. But definitely think that is somewhat
- 49:31Speaker 1: interesting there as well on the Ingram side. And also
- 49:34Speaker 1: that's a double leverage. You can play them together. Don't
- 49:37Speaker 1: get me wrong. We've seen where who was it earlier
- 49:40Speaker 1: this season, like Michael Mayer for the Raiders and then
- 49:43Speaker 1: it was the defense versus the Raiders that still got there.
- 49:46Speaker 1: I might even have been the Rams at the time,
- 49:47Speaker 1: but just noting it. A lot of people you could
- 49:50Speaker 1: play Ingram and Patriots, but because the Patriots are going
- 49:52Speaker 1: to be so high owned, it's double leverage to play
- 49:56Speaker 1: Ingram because it also makes sense if you're playing Ingram,
- 49:59Speaker 1: you're probably not on the Patriots D for the most part.
- 50:01Speaker 1: Some will be like I said, but if you're doing that,
- 50:04Speaker 1: it's you're saying the game plan is going to be
- 50:06Speaker 1: to move the change short pad like, not a lot
- 50:08Speaker 1: of opportunities for the defense, So it double Whammy's the
- 50:12Speaker 1: Patriots D here where people think, oh, backup quarterback, I'm
- 50:15Speaker 1: going to get all the opportunities in the world. Maybe not.
- 50:17Speaker 1: It's a five and a half spread that's moved to
- 50:19Speaker 1: four and a half. Add altitude in Denver et cetera,
- 50:23Speaker 1: et cetera. A really good defense, certain like the things
- 50:26Speaker 1: that you talked about, there's other things that they can
- 50:27Speaker 1: do to lead this in their favor. It could just
- 50:29Speaker 1: lead to a really low scoring game and that's where
- 50:32Speaker 1: the battle in the trenches happens. That doesn't always give
- 50:35Speaker 1: the other defense the advantage. So I think that's somewhat
- 50:37Speaker 1: interesting as well. Do you want to talk anything further?
- 50:41Speaker 1: That was kind of my segue to defenses as well, Hoop, Like,
- 50:43Speaker 1: you know, the Patriots going to be super popular for
- 50:45Speaker 1: that reason, we get it, but what if they don't
- 50:48Speaker 1: get ahead, what if things don't lean in their favor.
- 50:50Speaker 1: That's where things can change quite quickly. And Seahawks going
- 50:54Speaker 1: way overlooked on this, like could go over me in
- 50:56Speaker 1: the most popular to the least popular in just the
- 50:58Speaker 1: run of a week based on they're playing the high
- 51:00Speaker 1: powered Rams now right is the way people see it.
- 51:02Speaker 1: But they are still a favorite at home and two
- 51:04Speaker 1: hundred bucks less than the Patriots. Any any quick defense
- 51:07Speaker 1: adds for you?
- 51:08Speaker 3: Yeah, yeah, I mean I think the Seahawks one is
- 51:11Speaker 3: interesting because you look at these games and you know,
- 51:13Speaker 3: a lot of teams are gonna want to be running
- 51:16Speaker 3: the ball, like Denver. If they can get away with
- 51:17Speaker 3: just running the ball as much as possible, they're going
- 51:20Speaker 3: to Patriots defense.
- 51:22Speaker 2: Is going to be popular.
- 51:23Speaker 3: It's not ideal when you're playing a defense. Same with
- 51:25Speaker 3: the Broncos. Like Broncos look to be pretty popular. The
- 51:29Speaker 3: Patriots are gonna run the ball if they can. Like,
- 51:30Speaker 3: who's the one team that you know is throwing the
- 51:32Speaker 3: freaking ball this weekend? It's the Rams, right, Yeah, I
- 51:35Speaker 3: think both sides of yeah, yeah.
- 51:37Speaker 2: Both are gonna throw it.
- 51:38Speaker 3: So like when you're playing a defense, you kind of
- 51:40Speaker 3: want to be going against teams that are throwing the ball.
- 51:42Speaker 3: The Rams are definitely throwing it the most, and Seattle
- 51:45Speaker 3: will probably throw it quite a bit as well. And
- 51:47Speaker 3: they're the two lowest ownes, so U you know, no real,
- 51:51Speaker 3: I guess hot takes at the position, but you know,
- 51:55Speaker 3: any it's so random and volatile. But if you're looking
- 51:58Speaker 3: for any reason to get off the popular Patriots or
- 52:02Speaker 3: the popular Broncos, it's Seattle and.
- 52:08Speaker 2: The Rams are gonna be playing.
- 52:09Speaker 3: Offenses that are just much more likely to pass the football,
- 52:12Speaker 3: which is kind of what you want when picking the defense.
- 52:15Speaker 1: Yeah, and I think this is where people like make
- 52:17Speaker 1: fun of it and whatever, do whatever you want. Like
- 52:19Speaker 1: both Hoop and I think our track records are pretty solid.
- 52:21Speaker 1: But like when we like to talk about this stuff,
- 52:23Speaker 1: it's because we love the game so much, and this
- 52:24Speaker 1: would be an opportunity where I would say, like, think
- 52:26Speaker 1: about this what we just said with the Ingram thing.
- 52:29Speaker 1: Ingram is thirty three hundred, how much is Parkinson thirty
- 52:32Speaker 1: five hundred? Higbee three thousand. If someone's playing a Rams
- 52:36Speaker 1: tight end or even Barner at four k whatever, they're
- 52:39Speaker 1: likely to have the Patriots in there because they're not
- 52:41Speaker 1: gonna have I mean, if you're on Parkinson with your
- 52:44Speaker 1: Kenneth Walker and whatever else in that game, you're probably
- 52:46Speaker 1: not playing the Seahawks D. You're probably not playing your
- 52:48Speaker 1: Rams D, and you're probably not on the Broncos. You're
- 52:50Speaker 1: probably on the Patriots because you can afford it and
- 52:52Speaker 1: it's there. The flip side of that is Parkinson and
- 52:57Speaker 1: the Patriots D is seven K for six hundred, you
- 53:01Speaker 1: can play Ingram and the Seahawks, and that just flips
- 53:03Speaker 1: it completely. It's like the it's Ingram against the Patriots,
- 53:07Speaker 1: it's the Seahawks two hundred bucks less than the Patriots.
- 53:09Speaker 1: It's the Seahawks against the tight ends of Parkinson and Higbee.
- 53:13Speaker 1: Just little little little things like that that you can
- 53:15Speaker 1: work to your favor and do differently. I think it's
- 53:18Speaker 1: just little ways to look at it. On this slate,
- 53:20Speaker 1: the Seahawks D not as popular as the Patriots, like
- 53:24Speaker 1: I said, now the least popular. But the other thing is,
- 53:26Speaker 1: if you're not on Kenneth Walker or you want a
- 53:28Speaker 1: way to get different, why not play the rams D.
- 53:30Speaker 1: If it's if it's not Kenneth Walker, it's probably because
- 53:33Speaker 1: they're behind in this game now and they're chasing now.
- 53:36Speaker 1: Darnold does have to throw who can see ghosts and
- 53:39Speaker 1: make bad mistakes and things like that, twenty eight hundred
- 53:41Speaker 1: dollars rams that'd be a way to flip it when
- 53:44Speaker 1: you're not in on Walker. And by the way, with
- 53:47Speaker 1: the rams D, you can most certainly still play Barner
- 53:50Speaker 1: to beat up a pretty ugly tight end position. He
- 53:52Speaker 1: can still rack up the catches. He can still have
- 53:53Speaker 1: seven for seventy and this team could score six points
- 53:56Speaker 1: like that could happen. You could see ingram or sorry,
- 53:59Speaker 1: you could see if you play the rams D, you
- 54:02Speaker 1: could still play JSN sorry and eight thousand he's not
- 54:05Speaker 1: as expensive as Pooka, most won't have him against them,
- 54:08Speaker 1: but he could still rack up seven for ninety five
- 54:11Speaker 1: and one. But the RAMS D could still be the
- 54:13Speaker 1: D that's needed on the slate, and then that's still
- 54:15Speaker 1: a killer score for JSN. So I think those are
- 54:17Speaker 1: some of the things that I'm thinking about more than
- 54:18Speaker 1: just saying Patriots versus a backup. If it gets there,
- 54:21Speaker 1: it gets there. Just think about your lineups when you're
- 54:24Speaker 1: building it out. And this is not again, you know
- 54:29Speaker 1: everything about football, so you're just playing football. We're playing DFS.
- 54:32Speaker 1: Why would they want to prompt They don't that. That's
- 54:34Speaker 1: why the Walker's in the mix. That's why Walker's almost
- 54:38Speaker 1: ninety percent. You're right, what we're playing for is a
- 54:40Speaker 1: realistic option. How many times now, do this for all
- 54:43Speaker 1: season long, matuas, and go back and do this for
- 54:46Speaker 1: every game you thought you knew what was going to happen,
- 54:48Speaker 1: and see how many of them you got wrong. Probably
- 54:51Speaker 1: eighty percent or more, because that's what usually happens. So
- 54:53Speaker 1: what they want to do and what they end up
- 54:55Speaker 1: doing are two totally different things. And that's literally the
- 54:58Speaker 1: whole point of DFS because your lineup is telling the story.
- 55:02Speaker 1: If in your lineups where you think that's what they
- 55:03Speaker 1: want to do and that's what they get to do,
- 55:05Speaker 1: you probably want to have Kenneth Walker. But in lineups
- 55:08Speaker 1: where that's not what they get to do and the
- 55:09Speaker 1: Rams get out ahead, why would you not want to
- 55:12Speaker 1: recognize that the other way that they would get there
- 55:14Speaker 1: is they'd be trying to pass. They could be down.
- 55:16Speaker 1: So just the way it goes. Think about San Francisco
- 55:20Speaker 1: last week against the Seahawks. They really wanted to run
- 55:22Speaker 1: the ball and play it through CMC. Doesn't work when
- 55:25Speaker 1: you're down forty one to six in the end of
- 55:27Speaker 1: the game. Like, what you want to do and what
- 55:29Speaker 1: you end up getting to do are not always the
- 55:31Speaker 1: same thing. So everybody has a plan, Mike Tyson until
- 55:34Speaker 1: they get punched in the face, punched in the mouth
- 55:36Speaker 1: exactly that there's definitely a plan there. But all these
- 55:39Speaker 1: teams to Hoops point earlier. The Patriots Bronco is even
- 55:41Speaker 1: better example of it. Both teams have the same plan.
- 55:44Speaker 1: How's it going to work?
- 55:45Speaker 2: Though?
- 55:45Speaker 1: We're gonna find out on the first game on Sunday.
- 55:48Speaker 1: And it's a game of leverage, It's a game of correlation,
- 55:52Speaker 1: think about what you're doing, but also what you're not
- 55:55Speaker 1: doing and what you need to account for in your
- 55:57Speaker 1: DFS lineup. So nothing else hoop on that. Do you
- 56:02Speaker 1: have anything else you wanted to add there at all?
- 56:04Speaker 1: As far as the slate's concerned.
- 56:06Speaker 3: Uh, yeah, it was a good point here, and you
- 56:09Speaker 3: know title always brings it up as well, like the
- 56:12Speaker 3: on full slates. I mean, but this is a great
- 56:13Speaker 3: opportunity for for swapping, you know, in between games. I
- 56:17Speaker 3: mean the best situation I think on the slate is
- 56:20Speaker 3: the most obvious one, Like if you have Kenneth Walker
- 56:24Speaker 3: and something else, I mean you I think you use
- 56:26Speaker 3: the defense uh as a as a reference point and
- 56:29Speaker 3: you're trailing, I mean you just go to Cadyn Williams.
- 56:33Speaker 3: I mean it's it's not that hard. I mean it's
- 56:35Speaker 3: pretty basically pretty easy, same situation. You can look at
- 56:39Speaker 3: it at wide receiver. I mean you can use it
- 56:41Speaker 3: to extreme situations too, Like if you have Puka and
- 56:45Speaker 3: you're you're you're chasing, you can just leave three thousand
- 56:49Speaker 3: and go to Devanta Adams and like there's certain situations
- 56:54Speaker 3: that that would make sense and would be the right move.
- 56:56Speaker 3: So you really got to look at things in between,
- 56:59Speaker 3: whether it's head to heads, fifty to fifties, single entry,
- 57:04Speaker 3: large field tournaments, all that stuff. It's going to be
- 57:06Speaker 3: important in between games to check out some potential swaps.
- 57:11Speaker 1: Yeah, I'm glad you brought that up. I really like
- 57:13Speaker 1: that one. I also think it's like Walker and Seahawks
- 57:16Speaker 1: directly flips to Kyen and the Rams.
- 57:18Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 57:19Speaker 1: I mean, if you're probably have the money left anyway,
- 57:21Speaker 1: but I will not. We just saw this a few
- 57:23Speaker 1: weeks ago, and so I'll bring it up now just
- 57:25Speaker 1: so people have it. Is like the Walker to Kirene
- 57:29Speaker 1: swap will be very common if things bust in the
- 57:33Speaker 1: first game. The popular pieces we saw it. Remember the
- 57:36Speaker 1: Genty Tracy Junior week and then everyone was like, oh shit,
- 57:39Speaker 1: everybody swapped from genty to Tracy Junior because genty was
- 57:42Speaker 1: so popular. That will be similar here. So I wouldn't
- 57:45Speaker 1: be afraid. I know it's way more risk in projection,
- 57:48Speaker 1: but if you're behind and you need to catch up,
- 57:50Speaker 1: I would actually like in some cases, at least depending
- 57:53Speaker 1: on the tournament you're in and all these different things.
- 57:54Speaker 1: The more you know or have experienced with late swap,
- 57:56Speaker 1: the more you understand, but I think you could go
- 57:58Speaker 1: to like from Walker to Seahawks, you could also go
- 58:00Speaker 1: to like you could go to Korum and Rams. Well
- 58:04Speaker 1: one thing from like Walker alone, you could go if,
- 58:06Speaker 1: especially if you got him in the flex, you could
- 58:08Speaker 1: go to Shaheed and just say I'm gonna play the
- 58:10Speaker 1: forty one hundred dollars hope that he busts something big
- 58:13Speaker 1: in that game, or if or just go to Devonte
- 58:15Speaker 1: Adams for six thousand, and the flex would be even better.
- 58:18Speaker 1: I like the Puka to Adams move better because that's
- 58:20Speaker 1: leaving the money. But it's someone that can easily do it.
- 58:23Speaker 1: But remember a lot of people will go from Walker
- 58:26Speaker 1: to Kyroen to flip the script. You could go from
- 58:28Speaker 1: Walker to Adams. It's definitely projection risk. You're down like
- 58:32Speaker 1: eight points now, but one touchdown catch that could be
- 58:35Speaker 1: the difference. Something like that. I think it's important to
- 58:37Speaker 1: know to how to work the late swap in your
- 58:40Speaker 1: favor when that comes up. All right, I think that's
- 58:44Speaker 1: kind of it. Who But I don't have too much
- 58:46Speaker 1: else to add. I'm just trying to see here what
- 58:48Speaker 1: else what else we got and covered? But we talked
- 58:51Speaker 1: about the golf packages. Obviously, if you guys are looking
- 58:53Speaker 1: to get in to the PGA street, certainly think now
- 58:55Speaker 1: is the time to do just that. If you haven't
- 58:58Speaker 1: checked out the site yet, make sure you go over
- 59:00Speaker 1: even under join the Nation and you can just click
- 59:02Speaker 1: the trials. The best deal right now to get in
- 59:04Speaker 1: on is the five days, four nineteen dollars. You get
- 59:07Speaker 1: all the stuff through this weekend. It's a huge MMA
- 59:09Speaker 1: slate tonight. If you're in the UFC streets, that's big.
- 59:12Speaker 1: So we got you covered for all of that. We've
- 59:14Speaker 1: got the projections, the ownership. We've got obviously really good
- 59:17Speaker 1: players over that use our stuff and they've back tested.
- 59:19Speaker 1: The ownership extremely strong. The projection's good. You've got the
- 59:22Speaker 1: slate plan, the Core Report, the Stone, Tier rankings, Fight rankings.
- 59:26Speaker 1: That's just for UFC tonight. NBA is daily covering. We
- 59:29Speaker 1: just got the new DVP rankings added as well. The
- 59:31Speaker 1: Stone is a staple across all sports. We still have
- 59:35Speaker 1: the NFL stuff that we talked about. We've got all
- 59:37Speaker 1: the PGA stuff, another big round of showdown coming up.
- 59:40Speaker 1: All the logos there, anything else as far as the
- 59:42Speaker 1: site goes hoop that you want to add before we
- 59:43Speaker 1: get out of here.
- 59:44Speaker 3: No love to have you obviously get in the Discord.
- 59:47Speaker 3: I mean the friendliest discord in the industry, very active,
- 59:51Speaker 3: like minded individuals trying to build the same thing. Community
- 59:55Speaker 3: has been very so phenomenal. I mean so many people
- 1:00:00Speaker 3: in there willing to help, just good conversations, all sports,
- 1:00:04Speaker 3: different topics. So I just wanted to add in the
- 1:00:07Speaker 3: Discord piece. We obviously love to have you.
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: Yep, that's the five days from nineteen is like the
- 1:00:12Speaker 1: best way to just check it out. We have a
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: ton of people that access that and use it right now.
- 1:00:16Speaker 1: It's a really good spot because also if you are
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: getting even wunning before you want to try out the
- 1:00:20Speaker 1: special the best deal for the golf package. If you
- 1:00:24Speaker 1: get in now, not only you get the showdown and
- 1:00:25Speaker 1: stuff for the weekend, the MMA, the NBA and the
- 1:00:28Speaker 1: NFL most importantly, but you will also get the NFL,
- 1:00:32Speaker 1: the story, the PGA for next week. Because you'll get Sunday, Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, Thursday,
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: you'll be all the way through this week's PGA as well.
- 1:00:40Speaker 1: So hopefully that helps.
- 1:00:41Speaker 2: Guys.
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