Latest / Pod Save the World / Can Germany’s Far Right Be Stopped?
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- 1:38Speaker 1: Thank you, Remy, for sponsoring this episode. Welcome back to
- 1:54Speaker 1: Pod Save the World. I'm Tommy Vitor.
- 1:56Speaker 2: I'm Ben Rhodes.
- 1:57Speaker 1: Ben, you are wise to escape Los Angeles. We don't
- 1:59Speaker 1: have to disclose where you are. Ben's overseas at the moment.
- 2:01Speaker 1: You can disclose if you want. But it's literally like
- 2:04Speaker 1: a rainforest here right now. It's going to be 100
- 2:06Speaker 1: degrees on Wednesday, and the dew point is basically where
- 2:10Speaker 1: it is in a rainforest. That's how miserably humid it
- 2:13Speaker 1: is in Los Angeles.
- 2:15Speaker 2: When I left, it was like pouring like it was
- 2:17Speaker 2: a tropical climate too.
- 2:19Speaker 1: Yeah, that was fun.
- 2:20Speaker 2: You've had pouring rain and scorching heat. There's no climate
- 2:22Speaker 2: change or anything. No. No. That's not normal in Los Angeles.
- 2:26Speaker 1: I don't remember El Nino sucking this bad. Is it
- 2:29Speaker 1: always a huge nightmare?
- 2:30Speaker 2: Apparently. Well, this is supposed to be the mega El Nino, right?
- 2:33Speaker 2: This is supposed to be worse than all the other ones.
- 2:35Speaker 2: So buckle up.
- 2:36Speaker 1: It's not as fun as.
- 2:37Speaker 2: You move out to LA as a New Yorker and
- 2:38Speaker 2: everybody's like, and I'm like, ah, I miss New York.
- 2:40Speaker 2: And everybody's like, oh, but the weather will be great.
- 2:42Speaker 2: And now we can't even say that.
- 2:45Speaker 1: Here we are. Well, boo-hoo, LA us. Our first world problems.
- 2:50Speaker 1: We got some additional- some problems for the other parts
- 2:53Speaker 1: of the first world that we're going to talk through today,
- 2:55Speaker 1: starting with some regional elections in Germany that have rocked Europe, frankly,
- 3:00Speaker 1: rocked a lot more places than Europe. We're also going
- 3:01Speaker 1: to talk about the Trump emissaries, Steve Woodcuff and Jared Kushner,
- 3:05Speaker 1: their trip to Russia and Ukraine. We'll talk about the
- 3:08Speaker 1: scary resurgence of ultra nationalist fervor and, you know, celebration
- 3:14Speaker 1: of genocide in Serbia. Some major news updates from Israel,
- 3:17Speaker 1: including a policy change by the U.K., I'll talk about
- 3:20Speaker 1: the latest in the war with Iran. And then finally,
- 3:22Speaker 1: another massive corruption scandal swirling around far right British MP
- 3:27Speaker 1: Nigel Farage. Lots of UK focused stuff, Ben. Then you
- 3:30Speaker 1: just did our interview, Ben. What are we talking about there?
- 3:32Speaker 2: So, yeah, I talked to Lawrence Wright. He's really one
- 3:34Speaker 2: of my favorite writers. And he wrote The Looming Tower,
- 3:38Speaker 2: which is kind of the definitive book that was about
- 3:41Speaker 2: the lead into 9-11, the failures of the U.S. government
- 3:43Speaker 2: and Al Qaeda and its intentions. So we talked about,
- 3:47Speaker 2: and he's written a new introduction for that book, by
- 3:48Speaker 2: the way. So if people want to check it out,
- 3:50Speaker 2: they should. We talk about essentially how to make sense
- 3:54Speaker 2: of the failures. There's no other way to put it.
- 3:56Speaker 2: I've lost 25 years. How did the US get it
- 3:58Speaker 2: so wrong? Some of his concerns that actually given all
- 4:01Speaker 2: the destruction of the US government and the direction of
- 4:06Speaker 2: intelligence agencies to focus on weird Trump priorities, that we
- 4:09Speaker 2: actually might be complacent. We might be kind of going
- 4:11Speaker 2: through the cycle again, where we're letting our guard down.
- 4:13Speaker 1: You don't think Al Qaeda is plotting in the Fulton County,
- 4:16Speaker 1: Georgia elections office? That's not what we're searching for.
- 4:18Speaker 3: Exactly.
- 4:18Speaker 2: You know, yeah. Or the, you know, immigration enforcement division.
- 4:23Speaker 2: And then, you know, really interesting conversations about, you know,
- 4:28Speaker 2: how do we learn, how do we see the world
- 4:33Speaker 2: and understand it better so that we don't make the
- 4:34Speaker 2: kinds of mistakes that we made after 9-11? Some of
- 4:37Speaker 2: the unanswered questions about the 9-11 attacks, including the potential
- 4:41Speaker 2: Saudi involvement that has always been something that bugged Lawrence
- 4:45Speaker 2: Wright as well as other people. And just kind of
- 4:48Speaker 2: how 9-11 changed his life and changed the country. So
- 4:50Speaker 2: it's a good reflective conversation. I think that as we
- 4:53Speaker 2: head up to this anniversary, it's worth checking out.
- 4:58Speaker 1: Absolutely. Looming Tower is truly one of the best books. Also,
- 5:00Speaker 1: I think it's one of the things that Hugh Hewitt
- 5:02Speaker 1: always quizzes you on if you go on his show.
- 5:04Speaker 1: So make sure you read that before you go on
- 5:07Speaker 1: that podcast. All right, Ben. Let's start with the weekend's
- 5:12Speaker 1: elections in Germany, which were historic for all the wrong reasons,
- 5:16Speaker 1: all the worst reasons, really. The Alternative for Germany party
- 5:19Speaker 1: or the AFD won 43.8% of Sunday's vote in the
- 5:22Speaker 1: Saxony-Anhalt regional elections. So the AFD now holds 39 of
- 5:27Speaker 1: that state's 83 regional assembly seats, which is not a
- 5:30Speaker 1: full majority, but it's damn close. In the past, other
- 5:33Speaker 1: German political parties have refused to go into coalition with
- 5:35Speaker 1: the AFD to keep them out of government, to prevent
- 5:38Speaker 1: them from governing. It's a so-called firewall policy that may
- 5:42Speaker 1: happen again here. But the AFD is going to try
- 5:45Speaker 1: to convince three members of the conservative CDU party to defect.
- 5:49Speaker 1: CDU was Angela Merkel's party, now Friedrich Merz's party. Or
- 5:53Speaker 1: they may go into coalition with this kind of fringe
- 5:56Speaker 1: leftist party called the BSW, which shares some of the
- 5:58Speaker 1: AFD's views on immigration, Russia and the war in Ukraine,
- 6:02Speaker 1: despite having communist origins. It's the classic horseshoe. If the
- 6:06Speaker 1: AFD forms a coalition, it'll be the first time a
- 6:08Speaker 1: right-wing party held power in Germany since World War II,
- 6:11Speaker 1: and we all remember how well that went. A little
- 6:13Speaker 1: context before people get too freaked out about all this.
- 6:17Speaker 1: We are talking about a regional election. Saxony-Anhalt is a
- 6:20Speaker 1: small eastern state of about 2 million people. It has
- 6:22Speaker 1: been sort of an economic and population decline for a
- 6:26Speaker 1: while since German reunification. It's more conservative and kind of
- 6:29Speaker 1: AFD-curious than the rest of the country as a whole. Also,
- 6:33Speaker 1: even if the AFD does take power— These regional governments
- 6:36Speaker 1: have limited authority. They'd be able to control education, school curriculum, policing,
- 6:40Speaker 1: some elements of migration policy, which is bad, but it's
- 6:44Speaker 1: not like being the chancellor, the chancellor being AFD. However,
- 6:49Speaker 1: it's still a really big deal and quite bad. The AFD,
- 6:52Speaker 1: for those who don't know, it's an extreme right-wing political party.
- 6:56Speaker 1: They talk openly about the re-migration of immigrants. They want
- 7:01Speaker 1: to segregate disabled kids and refugees into separate classrooms and
- 7:04Speaker 1: They want to downplay Germany's Nazi past. They have close
- 7:07Speaker 1: ties with Putin's Russia and want to end support for Ukraine.
- 7:11Speaker 1: Saxony-Enhalt is a regional– they have a regional intelligence service.
- 7:15Speaker 1: And there's a lot of fear now that Russia could
- 7:17Speaker 1: use AFD politicians with access to that intelligence to penetrate
- 7:21Speaker 1: the German spy services and figure out who might be
- 7:23Speaker 1: spying for Germany. The list of concerns goes on and
- 7:26Speaker 1: on and on. The AFD has been steadily gaining in
- 7:28Speaker 1: the polls nationally. They did well in this election for
- 7:30Speaker 1: a couple of reasons, a bunch of reasons. Germany– German
- 7:33Speaker 1: voters are fed up with the sort of establishment centrist parties.
- 7:37Speaker 1: That's not an unfamiliar story to anyone who's been watching
- 7:39Speaker 1: elections over the last decade. They're also pissed about the economy.
- 7:43Speaker 1: They're very mad about immigration and support for Ukraine. And
- 7:47Speaker 1: in the Saxony and Halt region, there is a feeling
- 7:50Speaker 1: that the state has been left behind compared to Western Germany.
- 7:53Speaker 1: And there's some major regional industries like the chemical industry
- 7:56Speaker 1: have really struggled recently. The AFD did especially well with
- 7:59Speaker 1: male voters, voters aged 35 to 59. And they turned
- 8:03Speaker 1: out an estimated 170,000 previous non-voters. Turnout was 78%, which
- 8:09Speaker 1: is massive. So, Ben, notable here that the AFD has
- 8:13Speaker 1: improved across the board and that Germans have seemingly gone
- 8:16Speaker 1: from treating a vote for the AFD as kind of
- 8:18Speaker 1: solely a protest vote against, you know, the establishment to
- 8:22Speaker 1: now wanting them to actually govern. The CDU, Merz's party,
- 8:26Speaker 1: Chancellor Merz's party got routed. He said he was shocked,
- 8:29Speaker 1: which is, I mean, he shouldn't have been. Everyone saw
- 8:31Speaker 1: this coming. And that the next election would have consequences.
- 8:34Speaker 1: We don't know what those will be, but he said
- 8:35Speaker 1: he will not resign. But the next test for the
- 8:38Speaker 1: AFD will be in the Mecklenburg-Vorpommern regional elections on September 20th.
- 8:44Speaker 1: So we could see another story like this pretty soon. Ben,
- 8:48Speaker 1: thoughts on these elections and kind of the rise of
- 8:50Speaker 1: the AFD generally so far?
- 8:52Speaker 2: Well, it's not great. You never like to see the
- 8:54Speaker 2: far right ascendant in Germany. And I think there are
- 8:58Speaker 2: a couple of reasons that I'd underscore about why to
- 9:01Speaker 2: be concerned. Number one, the AFD is really a far-right party.
- 9:06Speaker 2: I think sometimes people have grown accustomed to, say, Giorgia Maloney,
- 9:10Speaker 2: when she got elected to be prime minister of Italy.
- 9:13Speaker 2: She's been pretty far-right, but not like an extreme figure
- 9:17Speaker 2: in any sense, beyond some of her kind of hardline
- 9:20Speaker 2: immigration policies. The AFD is to the right of Maloney.
- 9:26Speaker 2: The AFD is to the right of Marine Le Pen.
- 9:30Speaker 1: The AFD- It's gotten more radical if they have moderated.
- 9:33Speaker 2: Yeah, exactly. They've not moderated. If you look underneath the hood,
- 9:38Speaker 2: these guys, they're not trying to smooth off the rough edges.
- 9:43Speaker 2: They're still hanging out with the Holocaust deniers and the
- 9:47Speaker 2: neo-Nazi elements. That's why they were designated as an extremist
- 9:51Speaker 2: organization by German intelligence services. So let's be clear. This
- 9:57Speaker 2: is not just kind of like a right-wing party that
- 10:00Speaker 2: we call far-right. This is a far-right party. So that's bad.
- 10:05Speaker 2: That doesn't mean that everybody who voted for them is
- 10:08Speaker 2: a far-right person. And that leads to the second point,
- 10:12Speaker 2: the firewall that keeps them out of governance. government, right?
- 10:17Speaker 2: They can't be in coalitions with other governments in the
- 10:20Speaker 2: German system, is helping them. Because what keeps happening is
- 10:26Speaker 2: all the parties get together, they keep the AFD out,
- 10:30Speaker 2: and then those parties get blamed for the fact that,
- 10:33Speaker 2: you know, the prices are high and, you know, the
- 10:36Speaker 2: government doesn't seem responsive. Frankly, those coalitions are not ideologically coherent. Like,
- 10:42Speaker 2: you know, Merz is governing with the Social Democrats in
- 10:44Speaker 2: the same way that Olaf Scholz had to govern with
- 10:47Speaker 2: the Christian Democrats, the center-right. And so you're kind of
- 10:51Speaker 2: stuck in this doom spiral where the AFD may be
- 10:55Speaker 2: kept out of governance, but then that kind of gives
- 10:59Speaker 2: them this outsider status, this anti-establishment status, and everybody else
- 11:02Speaker 2: is the establishment. And so that's that combination of their
- 11:06Speaker 2: extremism and this kind of strange situation where the firewall,
- 11:10Speaker 2: which I think is necessary or makes good sense in
- 11:13Speaker 2: a place like Germany with their history, is kind of
- 11:16Speaker 2: collaborating to normalize extremism. Now, I do think that the
- 11:21Speaker 2: message to politicians has to be like pretty fundamental change
- 11:26Speaker 2: in how you're governing and how you're communicating. You know,
- 11:29Speaker 2: you can't just govern by saying the AFD is really bad.
- 11:33Speaker 2: Like we've been through this in the United States. Like
- 11:36Speaker 2: the Democrats tried to be, you know, Trump is really bad.
- 11:38Speaker 2: Then like, look what we got. And I think it's
- 11:42Speaker 2: time to really question, you know, how can you demonstrate Sure,
- 11:47Speaker 2: maybe you're not going to win over the most extreme
- 11:48Speaker 2: anti-immigrant people, but how can you demonstrate that– Merz has
- 11:52Speaker 2: really prioritized foreign policy. He's really prioritized kind of like
- 11:56Speaker 2: defense spending and countering Russia, which is– again, that's good,
- 12:01Speaker 2: but like maybe it's time to kind of put that
- 12:03Speaker 2: a bit like on the back burner and actually focus
- 12:06Speaker 2: on some of these bread and butter issues.
- 12:07Speaker 1: Ben's saying Germany first.
- 12:08Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 12:09Speaker 1: I mean, a little bit.
- 12:11Speaker 2: I mean, honestly, like not in the AFD, not the
- 12:14Speaker 2: AFD version of Germany First. That's the scary version. But
- 12:17Speaker 2: I do think that we've seen center left. I mean,
- 12:21Speaker 2: shameless plug. I have a piece in The New York
- 12:23Speaker 2: Times today about that might be for the Democratic Party
- 12:25Speaker 2: in this regard. We have this trend of center left
- 12:28Speaker 2: parties or in Germany's case with Merz center right parties
- 12:31Speaker 2: sometimes kind of becoming these defenders of the establishment and
- 12:36Speaker 2: the defenders of the norms. And you've got to shake
- 12:39Speaker 2: yourself out of that and figure out a way to
- 12:41Speaker 2: speak to populism. And if you don't, I just worry
- 12:47Speaker 2: that you're going to be in a situation where each
- 12:49Speaker 2: election the AFD is making these incremental gains. And at
- 12:51Speaker 2: some point, maybe not at the national level, but certainly
- 12:55Speaker 2: at the state level, they're going to start winning majorities.
- 12:57Speaker 1: To your point, I mean, there's a few things. First,
- 12:59Speaker 1: there's like a communications problem, which is the AFD is
- 13:02Speaker 1: starting to run much more kind of a young, dynamic
- 13:05Speaker 1: kind of internet business. literate candidates that are doing well
- 13:09Speaker 1: and able to sort of sand off the scary edges
- 13:11Speaker 1: of the AFD and present a more exciting version of
- 13:14Speaker 1: politics that is enticing people obviously. Merck is your classic
- 13:18Speaker 1: German politician. He's kind of like– he's a big hit
- 13:21Speaker 1: at security summits but he's kind of old.
- 13:22Speaker 2: He looks like a technocrat.
- 13:24Speaker 1: Yeah. To your point on the economic stuff, it does
- 13:28Speaker 1: seem like he is doing things– designed to further piss
- 13:31Speaker 1: off working class people. They're pushing, they're talking about raising
- 13:36Speaker 1: the retirement age. They're talking about raising the minimum age
- 13:39Speaker 1: at which you can retire. They're talking about some sort
- 13:41Speaker 1: of tax and health insurance reforms. And meanwhile, like Mertz,
- 13:45Speaker 1: as you said, is rearming the country and really committed
- 13:47Speaker 1: to Ukraine. And people don't like that. And they're sick
- 13:50Speaker 1: of the way the Russian invasion has harmed their economy.
- 13:53Speaker 1: And then Trump goes and invades, you know, starts bombing
- 13:55Speaker 1: Iran and that piles up. on top of the economic lows.
- 13:59Speaker 1: So we're making it worse. The flip side of that, though,
- 14:02Speaker 1: in Texas and the on-haul, 7.9% of the regional population
- 14:09Speaker 1: is immigrants. That is compared to 14.9% nationally. So it's
- 14:14Speaker 1: a way lower percent of the population is actually a migrant.
- 14:17Speaker 1: But immigration is still the top concern. And so it's
- 14:20Speaker 1: tempting to be one of the parties that comes in
- 14:22Speaker 1: like Bernie and is like, well, this is clearly just
- 14:24Speaker 1: the working class. It's getting screwed. and to talk about
- 14:27Speaker 1: big social services that you're going to provide them, et cetera.
- 14:30Speaker 1: But that is not what voters were mad about when
- 14:33Speaker 1: you asked them why they voted for the AFD. They're
- 14:36Speaker 1: talking about security and immigration and hating the establishment. There
- 14:40Speaker 1: were other leftist parties that were offering them a much
- 14:42Speaker 1: bigger social safety net or welfare state, and they rejected
- 14:45Speaker 1: that in favor of the AFD. So it's like, I
- 14:47Speaker 1: think there will be people that try to approach this
- 14:50Speaker 1: from the classic lens of you got to fight populism
- 14:53Speaker 1: with populism, but there is this reality that There's just
- 14:56Speaker 1: a lot of people in Germany that are rip shit
- 14:59Speaker 1: pissed about immigration. A lot of it goes back to
- 15:01Speaker 1: Angela Merkel's decision to allow in lots of Syrian immigrants.
- 15:04Speaker 1: And what year was that? 2015, I think. And, you know,
- 15:07Speaker 1: we don't need to relitigate that. But it's just like
- 15:09Speaker 1: clearly that has a very long tail that has helped
- 15:12Speaker 1: the AFD go from this kind of like just Euro
- 15:14Speaker 1: skeptic party to something a lot scarier and a lot
- 15:18Speaker 1: more xenophobic that is really helping get ideas like remigration,
- 15:23Speaker 1: which is like, you know, expelling people from the country
- 15:26Speaker 1: basically mass deportation a bunch of different ways uh to
- 15:29Speaker 1: the four.
- 15:30Speaker 2: Yeah look i mean clearly germany like other countries like
- 15:34Speaker 2: the united states there's a feeling that you want to
- 15:36Speaker 2: make sure that the borders are secure it's a little
- 15:39Speaker 2: more complicated than you obviously i do think though that
- 15:43Speaker 2: as in the united states i hear you and i
- 15:45Speaker 2: like Maybe the answer is not necessarily economic populism, but
- 15:51Speaker 2: it is like the manner in which you do politics.
- 15:53Speaker 2: Because I think what happens is the immigration concerns get
- 15:58Speaker 2: married to this concern that there's just this clubby establishment
- 16:02Speaker 2: that is completely out of touch and is kind of
- 16:05Speaker 2: just not focused on what I care about. Yeah. Yeah.
- 16:09Speaker 2: And if you, there, there have to be ways, and
- 16:12Speaker 2: some of it is communications, but some of it is
- 16:14Speaker 2: policy and some of it is like how you show up.
- 16:16Speaker 2: Some of it is how you acknowledge like what you
- 16:18Speaker 2: did wrong. You know, like sometimes you can deal with, um, some,
- 16:22Speaker 2: some of the past mistakes, um, by, by speaking more
- 16:25Speaker 2: candidly about them. I will say, uh, on this Ukraine thing,
- 16:31Speaker 2: this is the problem, you know, Trump berating them to
- 16:33Speaker 2: spend 5% on defense and now they're rearming and, I'm
- 16:37Speaker 2: all for NATO countries spending a little more on defense
- 16:40Speaker 2: and obviously for them providing some budgetary and other support
- 16:44Speaker 2: to Ukraine. But I think maybe that's moving too fast.
- 16:53Speaker 2: You're going to undermine NATO. You're going to undermine Ukraine
- 16:57Speaker 2: if people are so pissed. that it seems like that's
- 16:59Speaker 2: all you're doing. It seems like all you're focused on
- 17:01Speaker 2: is that. Because then that kind of ties into this sense.
- 17:04Speaker 2: It's just like the United States. You don't care about us.
- 17:07Speaker 2: You care about these immigrants, and you care about Ukraine,
- 17:09Speaker 2: and you care about NATO, and you're doing five-year defense plans,
- 17:13Speaker 2: and I'm just not happy with the circumstance. I don't
- 17:20Speaker 2: claim to have the exact formula, but man, if you
- 17:23Speaker 2: look at both Schultz and Mertz, they did not seem
- 17:26Speaker 2: like the kind of politicians that were in touch with
- 17:29Speaker 2: what is on the minds of a working class person
- 17:32Speaker 2: in Saxony. And so you have to get at least
- 17:35Speaker 2: part of the way there to just take some.
- 17:37Speaker 1: Of that support.
- 17:38Speaker 2: The only other thing I want to throw into this mix, Tommy,
- 17:39Speaker 2: is that, you know, shit. I mean, we've alluded many
- 17:43Speaker 2: times to the kind of weaponization of debates about anti-Semitism,
- 17:47Speaker 2: about anything anybody says about Israel.
- 17:50Speaker 1: J.D.
- 17:51Speaker 2: Vance flew to Europe. This is a thing that happened.
- 17:55Speaker 2: He flew to Munich, the place where Hitler had the
- 17:58Speaker 2: beer hall push and gave a speech to Germans saying
- 18:00Speaker 2: they had to accept the AFD and then met with
- 18:03Speaker 2: the AFD. And then Elon Musk endorsed the AFD. Like
- 18:07Speaker 2: if you want to talk about anti-Semitism, let's talk about
- 18:09Speaker 2: the fact that like the administration of the United States
- 18:12Speaker 2: has been supportive of like far right German political movements,
- 18:17Speaker 2: you know, like that should be a bigger topic of
- 18:20Speaker 2: discussion than, you know, what, the latest thing online is
- 18:24Speaker 2: that somebody didn't like that somebody said, you know?
- 18:26Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 18:26Speaker 2: Agreed.
- 18:26Speaker 1: And also like the AFD is a totally incoherent organization.
- 18:30Speaker 1: If you look into it, like Alice vital, one of
- 18:32Speaker 1: their national leaders, um, is a lesbian in a party
- 18:36Speaker 1: that is virulently, uh, anti-LGBT. She is married to a
- 18:40Speaker 1: Sri Lankan woman. Uh, they have adopted kids again. They're
- 18:45Speaker 1: like super opposed to migration. Uh, and they're very opposed to, uh,
- 18:51Speaker 1: gay couples adopting kids. She also seems to spend most
- 18:54Speaker 1: of her time in Switzerland. So it's like this is
- 18:57Speaker 1: the person that's beating the entire establishment in Germany. How
- 19:00Speaker 1: are you losing so badly to these people?
- 19:02Speaker 2: And that's the part of the point is some of
- 19:04Speaker 2: this is you just got to do politics better. I mean,
- 19:07Speaker 2: because in some ways they don't treat the AFD like
- 19:09Speaker 2: a genuine political party, which means that they're kind of
- 19:12Speaker 2: not like maybe you have to kind of start going
- 19:15Speaker 2: after these people, not just by saying they're far right
- 19:17Speaker 2: and they're crazy, but by some things you just said,
- 19:20Speaker 2: like these people are hypocrites. These people are disorganized. These
- 19:23Speaker 2: people could never govern. They can capture grievance, not actually
- 19:27Speaker 2: solve your problem. So there's a lot of work to
- 19:29Speaker 2: be done here.
- 19:30Speaker 1: Alice Vidal also has really close ties with China. I
- 19:34Speaker 1: think she spent a bunch of time there. I think
- 19:35Speaker 1: she speaks Mandarin. She only talks positively about China. It's
- 19:40Speaker 1: just sort of like another kind of weird element to
- 19:42Speaker 1: her background. Again, so this is weird, terrible election outcome.
- 19:48Speaker 1: We got another one coming up that we're watching on
- 19:50Speaker 1: September 20th. The next national election wouldn't be until 2029,
- 19:55Speaker 1: the federal election. But, you know, Mertz's political standing is
- 20:01Speaker 1: not great right now. So pretty unnerving to see this
- 20:04Speaker 1: kind of Lack of stability in Germany, of all places.
- 20:08Speaker 2: This drift.
- 20:09Speaker 1: Yeah, this drift rightward at a time when Trump is
- 20:11Speaker 1: pushing them to rearm while also undercutting NATO, as you said.
- 20:15Speaker 2: Maybe they'll be rearmed just in time for the AFD
- 20:17Speaker 2: to win the election.
- 20:18Speaker 1: Yeah, perfect.
- 20:19Speaker 4: Wonderful.
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- 23:12Speaker 1: Trump's two failed peace envoy is Jared Kushner. His son-in-law
- 23:16Speaker 1: and then Steve Witkoff, his old golf buddy, hit the road.
- 23:18Speaker 1: They went to Russia and then also to Ukraine. So
- 23:21Speaker 1: in Moscow, the two idiots met with Vladimir Putin. Witkoff
- 23:25Speaker 1: said later, Ben, that he has made about eight visits
- 23:28Speaker 1: to Moscow to meet with Putin and his team and
- 23:30Speaker 1: that Jared has made three. I'm wondering, the about qualifier
- 23:34Speaker 1: kind of confused me there. I wonder if there's a
- 23:36Speaker 1: ninth one we don't know about, a ninth visit. But
- 23:40Speaker 1: as we've discussed in the past, a lot of those
- 23:41Speaker 1: Witkoff meetings were one-on-one with Putin. Often there was like
- 23:45Speaker 1: no note taker, no State Department Russia experts were allowed in.
- 23:48Speaker 1: Sometimes he relied on the Russian translator to translate for
- 23:51Speaker 1: him too. One time Putin gave Wyckoff like a painting,
- 23:54Speaker 1: which he said he found really moving and emotional. So
- 23:56Speaker 1: like the whole thing is just a weird mess. This
- 23:59Speaker 1: was their first visit, Wyckoff and Kushner, to Ukraine, which
- 24:05Speaker 1: is strange. Here's a couple of clips of the Wyckoff-Kushner-Zelensky
- 24:08Speaker 1: press conference from Keith.
- 24:10Speaker 2: Hello, everybody.
- 24:11Speaker 5: I just want to disagree with one thing that President
- 24:15Speaker 5: Zelensky said. I didn't like the train. I loved the train,
- 24:18Speaker 5: President Zelensky. I had a wonderful time on it. It
- 24:21Speaker 5: reminded me of my... days taking the train to see
- 24:24Speaker 5: my grandmother down to Florida. And it was great. Me
- 24:27Speaker 5: and Jared had a great time.
- 24:29Speaker 6: You know, President Trump comes from the business world, which
- 24:31Speaker 6: in the business world, you think about things in the
- 24:33Speaker 6: context of win-win. You know, how do you create opportunities
- 24:37Speaker 6: for both sides to do what's in their interest? War
- 24:39Speaker 6: is negative some. You know, everyone loses from war. Whereas,
- 24:43Speaker 6: you know, business and peace is positive some. And hopefully
- 24:45Speaker 6: you can find big benefits from that in a big way.
- 24:49Speaker 1: It's just shockingly stupid commentary all around. Witkoff said he was, quote,
- 24:54Speaker 1: very encouraged by the meetings. Jared said he, quote, learned
- 24:57Speaker 1: a lot from the trip. Glad to hear it. What
- 24:59Speaker 1: Jared should have learned is that things are getting worse
- 25:01Speaker 1: and worse and worse for Ukraine. They are critically low
- 25:04Speaker 1: on interceptor missiles, as we discussed many times, which means
- 25:06Speaker 1: the cities are just getting pounded by Russian ICBMs, not ICBMs,
- 25:11Speaker 1: Russian ballistic missiles. Russia has been just hammering their energy infrastructure.
- 25:17Speaker 1: going into the winter, which means that once again, there's
- 25:19Speaker 1: a big chance that a bunch of Ukrainians will just
- 25:22Speaker 1: have to live in the freezing cold for months on end.
- 25:25Speaker 1: Attacks in the Black Sea could lead to global grain shortages.
- 25:27Speaker 1: That's something people are very worried about. And then NATO
- 25:30Speaker 1: countries are increasingly sounding the alarm about Russian sabotage attacks
- 25:33Speaker 1: in Europe, including this recent drone attack in Germany at
- 25:37Speaker 1: an airport that was a near miss. The only benefit
- 25:40Speaker 1: for Ukraine out of all this, Ben, was that Putin
- 25:42Speaker 1: ordered a 72-hour pause in airstrikes on Kyiv while Witkoff
- 25:46Speaker 1: and Kushner were there. However, the rest of the country
- 25:49Speaker 1: got hammered by drones and missiles throughout. So I don't know, Ben,
- 25:53Speaker 1: like any thoughts? These guys are so stupid that they're
- 25:56Speaker 1: easy to make fun of. But like any thoughts on
- 25:57Speaker 1: the value of this trip and continuing to, I don't know,
- 26:00Speaker 1: keep these channels open? I guess I'm pro-diplomacy in general.
- 26:03Speaker 1: I don't know what's become of it.
- 26:05Speaker 2: It's hard to decouple. I have to, just a word
- 26:07Speaker 2: on Jared and Witkoff, because there was a comment that
- 26:10Speaker 2: Witkoff made before the meeting with Putin. It was in
- 26:13Speaker 2: like a pool spray, I think, where he's like, oh,
- 26:16Speaker 2: you know, you told Putin that he was just talking
- 26:18Speaker 2: to the guys outside and saying this, and all these
- 26:20Speaker 2: great memories, he's getting this job.
- 26:22Speaker 1: When we retire, we'll tell these amazing stories and you'll
- 26:24Speaker 1: be there.
- 26:25Speaker 2: Yeah, we've got this Florida real estate developer guy who
- 26:29Speaker 2: knows nothing about diplomacy, who's living fantasy camp, like all
- 26:32Speaker 2: these Trump people are living fantasy. I'm so glad he
- 26:35Speaker 2: had a nice train ride and reminded him of going
- 26:37Speaker 2: to grandma and, you know, the Ukrainians gave him a
- 26:39Speaker 2: good meal and he's flattered to be in the same
- 26:41Speaker 2: room as Vladimir Putin. Meanwhile, Jared sounds like a guy
- 26:45Speaker 2: who's taping an audition tape for a McKinsey job, an
- 26:50Speaker 2: internship or something. This is how we do business. These
- 26:53Speaker 2: guys are just so completely out of their depth. They're
- 26:58Speaker 2: talking to Vladimir Putin, who's been on the world stage
- 27:01Speaker 2: for over a quarter century. You really think those guys
- 27:06Speaker 2: can be able to move Putin on issues? And then
- 27:09Speaker 2: they're going to Ukraine, a country that is rapidly running
- 27:13Speaker 2: out of interceptors, in part because these guys help start
- 27:16Speaker 2: a dumb war in Iran. So there's just something so
- 27:20Speaker 2: nauseating about seeing them there. But yes, the problem is,
- 27:24Speaker 2: we really desperately do need some aggressive diplomatic effort to
- 27:28Speaker 2: try to bring this war to an end, or at
- 27:30Speaker 2: least to get it to some kind of ceasefire. Because otherwise,
- 27:33Speaker 2: you're going to have a situation where the Russians are
- 27:35Speaker 2: going to escalate in the winter. They're going to bombard Kiev.
- 27:38Speaker 2: They're going to try to break them once again. And
- 27:40Speaker 2: this time, they may have more success because of the
- 27:42Speaker 2: low amount of interceptors and just the wear and tear
- 27:45Speaker 2: on Ukrainian society. Meanwhile, the Ukrainians will probably respond with
- 27:48Speaker 2: ever more aggressive attacks into Russia at ever more targets,
- 27:53Speaker 2: like pushing the envelope there, which then raises the stakes
- 27:56Speaker 2: of the potential escalation into Europe. This thing is not
- 27:59Speaker 2: moving in the right direction. I think part of what
- 28:01Speaker 2: needs to happen is you need other countries more aggressively
- 28:05Speaker 2: mediating here. I'm not sure that the United States is
- 28:08Speaker 2: up to this. Obviously, the United States has got to
- 28:09Speaker 2: be brought in. Maybe we can find some actual diplomats
- 28:12Speaker 2: at the State Department to just sit in With the
- 28:14Speaker 2: Europeans and the Turks and the Qataris and whoever the
- 28:16Speaker 2: hell's fuck can get in there. But I think we
- 28:19Speaker 2: need to take this. This should not be a Jared
- 28:21Speaker 2: and Witkoff bilateral channel to the Russians bringing in the Ukrainians.
- 28:24Speaker 2: They need to multilateralize this a little bit more than
- 28:28Speaker 2: is the case now.
- 28:29Speaker 1: Yeah, I mean, did you see they called their train?
- 28:31Speaker 1: Apparently they had a sign on it that said the
- 28:32Speaker 1: Peace Express on the train, Wyckoff and Tarantino.
- 28:35Speaker 2: Yeah, riding on the peace train. They're probably listening to
- 28:38Speaker 2: Cat Stevens on their iPhone.
- 28:39Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 28:40Speaker 2: It's totally absurd.
- 28:41Speaker 1: To your point, I mean, the Zelensky meeting was about
- 28:43Speaker 1: three hours. There was another set of talks that included
- 28:45Speaker 1: national security advisors from the UK, France, and Germany. I
- 28:49Speaker 1: think that's good and necessary. But yeah, Trump's policy is
- 28:52Speaker 1: basically we're cutting off Ukraine. We're not going to give
- 28:54Speaker 1: them more military support. Europe has to do it. So therefore,
- 28:57Speaker 1: I feel like Europe should have a much bigger role
- 28:58Speaker 1: in these talks. They should be in the room always.
- 29:01Speaker 1: The Putin meeting was three hours. Yuri Ushakov, a Putin aide,
- 29:06Speaker 1: said it was constructive and useful but also that it
- 29:08Speaker 1: included a potential joint economic ventures between the US and Russia.
- 29:11Speaker 1: You know that's the part. that Witkoff and Jared liked
- 29:15Speaker 1: because Putin's been dangling the sovereign wealth fund guy from
- 29:20Speaker 1: Russia in front of their faces forever long and possible
- 29:23Speaker 1: future deals. And they know they have a couple of
- 29:26Speaker 1: corrupt marks there. And I don't know if you've watched
- 29:28Speaker 1: the press conference, Ben. Richard Engel was there from NBC News.
- 29:30Speaker 1: He was like, why should people have any confidence in
- 29:34Speaker 1: your capacity to succeed here? He's like, Gaza's a wasteland.
- 29:37Speaker 1: The Iran war's still going. The Russia-Ukraine war is getting
- 29:40Speaker 1: more intense. And Jared's like, oh, blah, blah, blah, blah.
- 29:42Speaker 1: And he said something about how, like, Gaza was, quote,
- 29:44Speaker 1: built by NGOs and terrorists and has been a dystopian
- 29:47Speaker 1: place for a long time, which is a nice way
- 29:49Speaker 1: to talk about a couple million people, most of.
- 29:52Speaker 2: Whom were kids when this war started.
- 29:55Speaker 1: But I don't know. Like, it was pretty demoralizing, the
- 29:57Speaker 1: whole thing, because, like, Ukraine has certainly had some momentum.
- 30:01Speaker 1: Their kind of deep strike drone campaign has been effective
- 30:04Speaker 1: at increasing the cost on Russia, but it just doesn't
- 30:07Speaker 1: feel like we're any closer to the end of this war.
- 30:10Speaker 2: And again, honestly, I truly believe that if you had
- 30:12Speaker 2: a normal American administration, Republican or Democrat, this is inept diplomacy.
- 30:21Speaker 2: There should be a way to facilitate some kind of
- 30:24Speaker 2: multilateral track that is trying to bring ceasefires into play,
- 30:28Speaker 2: it's trying to put the issues on the table. They've
- 30:30Speaker 2: been at this for almost two years, and they're nowhere
- 30:34Speaker 2: further along than they were on day one when Trump
- 30:36Speaker 2: said he was going to solve the war. So I
- 30:39Speaker 2: really do think that maybe the grain shortages, like last
- 30:43Speaker 2: time that brought in more multilateral framework because the whole
- 30:46Speaker 2: world cares about that. I just don't have any confidence
- 30:48Speaker 2: in these guys, but I do believe in the diplomacy
- 30:51Speaker 2: of it all. And I think you've got to get
- 30:53Speaker 2: other countries in the table. And hopefully... Again, like just
- 30:56Speaker 2: keep Jared Woodcroft in the Middle East, not that they're
- 30:58Speaker 2: solving that problem. Like just get some other people from
- 31:01Speaker 2: the US government that are normies to please do this.
- 31:05Speaker 2: I'm not holding my breath.
- 31:06Speaker 1: I think it's fair to criticize the Biden team for
- 31:08Speaker 1: not having more of a diplomatic track to end the war.
- 31:10Speaker 1: But now we're a couple of years into this failed
- 31:12Speaker 1: diplomatic effort. And the only thing the Trump administration has
- 31:15Speaker 1: not tried is putting more pressure on the Russians. So yeah,
- 31:17Speaker 1: I'd like to see them internationalize this and try that.
- 31:20Speaker 1: Let's turn to Serbia, Ben. We're There has recently been
- 31:23Speaker 1: a disturbing celebration of the country's bloody history and genocidal past.
- 31:28Speaker 1: So last month, Reko Mladic, a war criminal known as
- 31:32Speaker 1: the butcher of Bosnia, died in prison at the Hague
- 31:35Speaker 1: where he'd been serving out a prison sentence for genocide.
- 31:38Speaker 1: One might think that that would be kind of a solemn,
- 31:40Speaker 1: if not embarrassing moment for the country of Serbia. But instead,
- 31:44Speaker 1: it's been the opposite. Mladic's body was returned to Serbia
- 31:47Speaker 1: last week. He has basically been treated like a national
- 31:50Speaker 1: hero ever since or like a head of state. His
- 31:53Speaker 1: coffin was flown on a government jet. It was carried
- 31:55Speaker 1: off the plane by soldiers. Thousands of people came out
- 31:58Speaker 1: to honor him. His casket featured parts of his uniform
- 32:02Speaker 1: and medals that he wore when he was conducting the
- 32:05Speaker 1: genocide itself. The Guardian reported that the head of the
- 32:08Speaker 1: Serbian Orthodox Church said, quote, we know that his name
- 32:11Speaker 1: will remain deeply etched in the memory and prayers of
- 32:13Speaker 1: the majority of our Serbian Orthodox people. who feel and
- 32:16Speaker 1: nurture a deep sense of gratitude towards him. And then
- 32:19Speaker 1: on Sunday night at a soccer match in Belgrade, the
- 32:22Speaker 1: Red Star Belgrade fans held up a photo of Mladic.
- 32:26Speaker 1: They observed a moment of silence and they were chanting
- 32:27Speaker 1: his name during the match. Let's watch a clip of that.
- 32:31Speaker 5: Thank you.
- 32:43Speaker 1: Pretty disturbing stuff. So let's talk about why this is shocking,
- 32:47Speaker 1: but not surprising. It's shocking because Mladic was one of
- 32:50Speaker 1: the key architects of the ethnic cleansing policy during the
- 32:53Speaker 1: Bosnian War that killed over 100,000 people. He was found
- 32:57Speaker 1: guilty of genocide for the Srebrenica Massacre in 1995, in
- 33:00Speaker 1: which 8,000 Bosnian Muslim men and boys were murdered. It's
- 33:04Speaker 1: considered the worst massacre since World War II in Europe.
- 33:08Speaker 1: And he was behind the Siege of Sarajevo and all
- 33:10Speaker 1: these other horrific war crimes that But it is not
- 33:13Speaker 1: surprising because, you know, look, the current Serbian president, Alexander Vucic,
- 33:17Speaker 1: is a far right nationalist who has himself made genocidal
- 33:21Speaker 1: comments in the past, like, quote, for every Serb killed,
- 33:24Speaker 1: we will kill 100 Muslims. So obviously he thinks this
- 33:27Speaker 1: kind of ultra nationalist fervor is good politics for him
- 33:31Speaker 1: and his party. So, Ben, let's just pause there. Like
- 33:34Speaker 1: the combination of the AFD winning the German elections, Russia
- 33:38Speaker 1: escalating the war in Ukraine, these images from Serbia. They're
- 33:42Speaker 1: pretty scary if you're worried about kind of nationalism and
- 33:45Speaker 1: far-right politics in Europe.
- 33:48Speaker 2: Yeah, it makes you worry about Europe. And there are
- 33:50Speaker 2: a number of things going on. Like one is that Vucic,
- 33:53Speaker 2: the leader of Serbia, is one of these far-right guys,
- 33:56Speaker 2: is an ultra-nationalist. And you look at that picture, it
- 34:02Speaker 2: looks like North Korea, uniformity in the stadium. I mean
- 34:07Speaker 2: nothing like having a war criminal– like for a moment
- 34:09Speaker 2: of silence before watching a soccer game.
- 34:11Speaker 1: Can you imagine? It's like, okay, you get the ear. Okay,
- 34:13Speaker 1: your son will be holding up his scarf. Like, what
- 34:15Speaker 1: are we doing here? It's psycho shit.
- 34:18Speaker 2: And this is the thing is like, first of all,
- 34:20Speaker 2: this wasn't a close call with this guy. Like this
- 34:22Speaker 2: is the guy literally carrying out the massacres. Nobody denies
- 34:26Speaker 2: those happened. They're mass graves. Like we know those things happened, right? Sure,
- 34:30Speaker 2: like there's clearly resentment inside of Serbia. They feel somehow
- 34:33Speaker 2: singled out. But that's why you need like responsible political
- 34:36Speaker 2: leadership to kind of keep a lid on this stuff.
- 34:38Speaker 2: Instead of pouring gasoline on the fires, including, by the way,
- 34:42Speaker 2: even the religious leaders, the head of the Serbian Orthodox Church.
- 34:45Speaker 2: That's going to have consequences. Serbia wants to be on
- 34:49Speaker 2: the pathway to the European Union. That's not happening anytime soon.
- 34:52Speaker 2: The EU is not going to let in. And you
- 34:53Speaker 2: saw these statements from EU leaders. That is not exactly...
- 34:58Speaker 2: suggesting you're moving in the direction of integration with Europe.
- 35:01Speaker 1: Yeah, let me read you part of that. The EU
- 35:03Speaker 1: statement said, quote, any glorification of war criminals, genocide denial,
- 35:06Speaker 1: and revisionism contradict the most fundamental European values and have
- 35:09Speaker 1: no place in the EU or in EU candidate countries.
- 35:13Speaker 1: And then the EU enlargement commissioner canceled her visit to
- 35:17Speaker 1: Belgrave this week. So yeah, this should, I mean, this
- 35:19Speaker 1: will likely be a serious roadblock to Serbia getting into
- 35:22Speaker 1: the EU anytime soon.
- 35:23Speaker 2: Yeah. Yeah. And look, it is entirely tied to a
- 35:27Speaker 2: lot of things happening in the world. It's tied to
- 35:28Speaker 2: the rise of the far right around the world and
- 35:30Speaker 2: in Europe. It's tied to the rise of nationalism. But also,
- 35:33Speaker 2: let's just talk about the fact that, again, he died
- 35:37Speaker 2: in the Hague. He was convicted of war crimes. The
- 35:41Speaker 2: United States is currently sanctioning the ICC at the Hague
- 35:47Speaker 2: for trying to prosecute people for war crimes. Israel has
- 35:50Speaker 2: acted with complete impunity in its conduct against war crimes
- 35:54Speaker 2: in Gaza. Vladimir Putin has acted with complete impunity with
- 35:57Speaker 2: his conduct of war crimes in Ukraine. It was kind
- 36:01Speaker 2: of something, Tommy, it felt like a throwback hearing about
- 36:05Speaker 2: everybody talking about international law and genocide and war crimes
- 36:09Speaker 2: and the Hague as if they were things that everybody
- 36:12Speaker 2: agreed on because they don't. And if you want to
- 36:15Speaker 2: know why it's dangerous to sanction the ICC and to
- 36:20Speaker 2: look the other way when Israel commits war crimes with
- 36:22Speaker 2: American weapons, it's because you're cracking open the door to
- 36:25Speaker 2: things like this. Because the people in Serbia are probably thinking, well,
- 36:29Speaker 2: this is all double standard. This is all bullshit. They
- 36:31Speaker 2: only singled us out. The only way that you really
- 36:34Speaker 2: make a norm fortified against war crimes is by applying
- 36:37Speaker 2: it to everybody. And the moment you start to say, well,
- 36:40Speaker 2: it's only for some people, well, then you open the
- 36:43Speaker 2: door to this kind of behavior. Because I'm sure what's
- 36:45Speaker 2: on the minds of some of those people is, wait
- 36:47Speaker 2: a second, like how come us, because we're a small country, Serbia,
- 36:51Speaker 2: we get singled out, our leaders end up dying in
- 36:54Speaker 2: the Hague, but not Netanyahu, not Putin, right? And so again,
- 36:58Speaker 2: it speaks to the need to strengthen international justice, international
- 37:02Speaker 2: law across the board. And this should be a project
- 37:05Speaker 2: for hopefully, knock on wood, a next democratic president.
- 37:08Speaker 1: Yeah, look, Vucic has been in power for I think
- 37:10Speaker 1: nine years now. He started as an ultra-nationalist, but he's
- 37:13Speaker 1: now more of sort of in the populist vein these days,
- 37:16Speaker 1: but that DNA is still there. His like he can't
- 37:19Speaker 1: run again for a third term, but he's trying to
- 37:21Speaker 1: run for he was nominated to be prime minister. The
- 37:24Speaker 1: next election was supposed to be in December 2027. He
- 37:27Speaker 1: used this moment to call for a snap election. And
- 37:31Speaker 1: this comes after years of like massive protests against corruption.
- 37:34Speaker 1: So like authoritarian leaders like Vucic are seeing ultra nationalist, genocidal,
- 37:41Speaker 1: you know, political moments like this. as their way of
- 37:45Speaker 1: suppressing the will of the people and clinging to power.
- 37:47Speaker 1: It is really bleak, scary, scary stuff.
- 37:51Speaker 2: Yeah, this is a big story. I mean, because again,
- 37:54Speaker 2: it shows you, we talked to Larry Wright about 25
- 37:57Speaker 2: years since 9-11, like the, I don't know, 30 whatever
- 38:00Speaker 2: years since the 90s in Bosnia. It shows you how
- 38:03Speaker 2: far we've kind of fallen in a way, right? Because
- 38:06Speaker 2: in a way, the system worked. This was the case
- 38:09Speaker 2: of the system working. There was humanitarian interventions. There was
- 38:12Speaker 2: a diplomatically brokered agreement to end that war. Then there
- 38:15Speaker 2: was international justice against people carried out war crimes. And
- 38:18Speaker 2: now here we are in the world of 2026, and
- 38:21Speaker 2: we're celebrating the war criminal, right? And that is a
- 38:24Speaker 2: bit of a snapshot of how the international system is unraveled. Yeah.
- 38:27Speaker 1: Before we take a break, I just have a quick
- 38:29Speaker 1: but big announcement for you. The first episode of our
- 38:32Speaker 1: brand new series is coming out this evening, still counting,
- 38:35Speaker 1: hosted by our friends Nate Silver, Galen Druke, and Claire Malone.
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- 40:18Speaker 1: com slash world. This episode is sponsored by BetterHelp. Mental
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- 41:22Speaker 1: That's BetterHelp.com slash Crooked World. Two updates that come from Israel.
- 41:33Speaker 1: So the first actually is out of the UK in
- 41:35Speaker 1: Andy Burnham's new government where the new foreign secretary, Ed Miliband,
- 41:39Speaker 1: announced a major shift in the government's policy towards the
- 41:42Speaker 1: occupied West Bank in a speech Tuesday. Let's listen to
- 41:45Speaker 1: some of that.
- 41:46Speaker 7: The British government agrees that there is ethnic cleansing of
- 41:49Speaker 7: Palestinians in areas of the West Bank, perpetrated by settler terrorists.
- 41:54Speaker 7: And all too often, the Israeli government has turned a
- 41:56Speaker 7: blind eye to this, and worse, members of it have
- 41:59Speaker 7: made statements and taken actions to support the forced displacement
- 42:03Speaker 7: of Palestinians. Now, Madam Deputy Speaker, I recognize the gravity
- 42:07Speaker 7: of saying this. but the truth is, it is the
- 42:13Speaker 7: least the people who face such suffering deserve, and it
- 42:17Speaker 7: should be the prelude to justice. Now, for a long time,
- 42:21Speaker 7: the British government has rightly said settlements are illegal, but
- 42:24Speaker 7: we have remained silent on the question of the legality
- 42:27Speaker 7: of the occupation as a whole, which in 2024, the
- 42:30Speaker 7: International Court of Justice concluded was unlawful. Today, I announce
- 42:35Speaker 7: that the official view of the British government is that
- 42:37Speaker 7: the occupation is unlawful. The government believes the unlawfulness of
- 42:43Speaker 7: the occupation should be reflected in the economic relationships we
- 42:47Speaker 7: choose to have with the occupied territories.
- 42:50Speaker 1: So what this means in practice is basically, there's a quote,
- 42:55Speaker 1: import ban on goods from illegal settlements in the occupied territories,
- 42:58Speaker 1: action against specific companies and individuals who provide services such
- 43:01Speaker 1: as construction, infrastructure, financing, or real estate for settlement expansion.
- 43:06Speaker 1: I'm reading quotes from him. They also said they'll refuse
- 43:09Speaker 1: all license applications for arms and other exports that materially
- 43:12Speaker 1: contribute to the occupation, ban the advertising in the UK
- 43:15Speaker 1: of illegal settlements. There's going to be some sanctions on
- 43:17Speaker 1: extremist settlers, some sanctions on Hezbollah's finance arm. And then
- 43:22Speaker 1: Miliband reaffirmed that he opposes BDS and supports trade with Israel.
- 43:26Speaker 1: This is just about products coming out of the occupied territories.
- 43:29Speaker 1: The speech, the whole speech was quite interesting. I think
- 43:32Speaker 1: it's worth watching. It was framed as an attempt to, quote,
- 43:36Speaker 1: salvage the two-state solution. And then the UK quickly had
- 43:40Speaker 1: some folks following their lead here. So France and Canada
- 43:43Speaker 1: said they'd be joining the import ban. About a dozen
- 43:45Speaker 1: countries released a letter explaining their intent to sort of
- 43:49Speaker 1: pass laws to follow suit. In practice, like this, the
- 43:53Speaker 1: ban of these goods from the occupied territories will be
- 43:56Speaker 1: very small economically. I think we're talking about like tens
- 43:58Speaker 1: of millions of dollars out of over $ 6 billion worth
- 44:02Speaker 1: of trade in 2025. But it's a big deal symbolically,
- 44:05Speaker 1: which you can tell from Israel's reaction, which was quite strong.
- 44:09Speaker 1: They are closing the UK's consulate in East Jerusalem. They're
- 44:12Speaker 1: banning a bunch of British politicians from entering Israel. They
- 44:15Speaker 1: are booting the UK from the International Gaza Support Center.
- 44:18Speaker 1: And then the crazy wing of the Israeli government, the
- 44:21Speaker 1: crazier wing of the Israeli government, the finance minister, Basil Smotrich,
- 44:24Speaker 1: who Miliband mentioned in the speech itself, called for the
- 44:27Speaker 1: expulsion of Britain's ambassador. And the national security minister, Itamar Ben-Gavir, said, quote,
- 44:32Speaker 1: It's time for the state of Israel to publicly recognize
- 44:34Speaker 1: that the Malvinas Islands are Argentine territory under occupation, which
- 44:38Speaker 1: the British violently steal from the Argentine people. So he's
- 44:41Speaker 1: trying to bring up the Falklands, which is interesting timing here,
- 44:44Speaker 1: given that Argentina just announced a criminal case against an
- 44:47Speaker 1: Israeli company that's leading the oil drilling project in the Falklands.
- 44:51Speaker 1: Then there's a blockbuster story about Netanyahu on October 7th
- 44:54Speaker 1: that we'll get into. But Ben, let's just focus on
- 44:56Speaker 1: this UK policy announcement piece. What did you make of
- 44:58Speaker 1: Miliband's speech and sort of the totality of what they
- 45:01Speaker 1: actually announced.
- 45:03Speaker 2: I actually think this is a seismic moment. I think
- 45:06Speaker 2: this is a huge deal. And not just because of
- 45:09Speaker 2: what it means about Israel and Palestine. Because look, this
- 45:15Speaker 2: is not going to bring about a two-state solution. But
- 45:18Speaker 2: what it does, the United Kingdom, let's be very clear,
- 45:21Speaker 2: as usually the closest ally of the United States has
- 45:25Speaker 2: been like a pretty stalwart supporter of Israel over the years.
- 45:30Speaker 2: for them to break. And Miliband used language that there's
- 45:35Speaker 2: ethnic cleansing, that there's terrorism happening in the West Bank.
- 45:38Speaker 2: It shows that there's really nobody left backing Israel and
- 45:42Speaker 2: its government than the United States and then kind of
- 45:45Speaker 2: like a weird eclectic group of kind of Trumpy people, right?
- 45:49Speaker 2: And so that matters. Like the West Bank is clearly
- 45:54Speaker 2: going to be the main event in the coming years.
- 45:56Speaker 2: And this is essentially Europe moving collectively into including the
- 46:00Speaker 2: major powers, Britain and France and others, to say this
- 46:04Speaker 2: is ethnic cleansing, this is against the law, this is illegal.
- 46:06Speaker 2: And once you start down that road, you usually continue
- 46:11Speaker 2: down that road, right? And so I think we could
- 46:13Speaker 2: expect to see sanctions further in the future. So that matters.
- 46:17Speaker 2: It just deepens this kind of isolation that Netanyahu has
- 46:20Speaker 2: created for Israel. But here's why I think it's a
- 46:23Speaker 2: bigger deal. Because they're breaking with the United States. Like
- 46:27Speaker 2: the United Kingdom does not usually say, you know, this
- 46:30Speaker 2: is really important to you and we don't give a shit.
- 46:33Speaker 2: And not only are they breaking with the United States,
- 46:35Speaker 2: they're breaking with the United States and bringing other allies
- 46:37Speaker 2: with them in Europe to also break with the United
- 46:40Speaker 2: States and do this. And that tells me a couple
- 46:42Speaker 2: of things. One, good for you, Ed Miliband. Good for you,
- 46:45Speaker 2: Andy Burnham. We've been hard on Labor Party. Like this,
- 46:48Speaker 2: they are not doing the kind of cautious tiptoe around
- 46:51Speaker 2: things approach Secure Starmer did where they were trying to
- 46:54Speaker 2: kind of flatter Trump and, you know, not really weigh
- 46:57Speaker 2: in on Gaza and things like this. This is them
- 46:59Speaker 2: saying like declaring independence.
- 47:01Speaker 8: Right.
- 47:02Speaker 2: And so this is a big move for the Labor
- 47:04Speaker 2: Party under Annie Burnham. You know, he's been pretty, you know,
- 47:07Speaker 2: he's been a good communicator, but this is him taking
- 47:09Speaker 2: a pretty big, bold step.
- 47:11Speaker 3: Right.
- 47:11Speaker 2: And Ed Miliband clearly got in there, by the way.
- 47:14Speaker 2: the Jewish son of Jewish refugees from the Holocaust, right?
- 47:17Speaker 2: So that matters.
- 47:18Speaker 1: And for those like, look, you're probably not listening to
- 47:20Speaker 1: the show anymore if you are kind of bothered by
- 47:22Speaker 1: this policy announcement from the UK, but it's worth listening
- 47:25Speaker 1: to the full speech if anything about this rubs you
- 47:27Speaker 1: the wrong way. Because like you said, Ben, he talks about,
- 47:29Speaker 1: you know, Miliband is Jewish. He talked about his deep
- 47:31Speaker 1: connection in history with the Jewish state, you know, like
- 47:35Speaker 1: spending time on a kibbutz. He calls out Hamas. They
- 47:38Speaker 1: talk about sanctions on Iran. He calls out anti-Semitism in
- 47:41Speaker 1: the UK and the need to do more to combat it.
- 47:44Speaker 1: Which is not like– it wasn't just throat clearing. It
- 47:47Speaker 1: felt like pretty authentic to him. And then he goes
- 47:49Speaker 1: into this, as you said, very intense conversation about settlers.
- 47:54Speaker 1: He talked about settler terrorism. He said settler terrorism is rampant.
- 47:58Speaker 1: As you said, he said ethnic cleansing. Like it was
- 48:00Speaker 1: a tough speech.
- 48:02Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 48:03Speaker 2: Yeah. So that matters with the Brits. And then also, again,
- 48:07Speaker 2: this– watch in the next couple of years. The Europeans
- 48:11Speaker 2: are starting to– they're looking at Mark Carney. You know,
- 48:13Speaker 2: they're looking at Trump's political standing and they're starting to
- 48:16Speaker 2: go in the other direction, right? And so for them
- 48:19Speaker 2: to break en masse, not just the Brits, and, you know,
- 48:22Speaker 2: it seems like the Brits have some leadership here too,
- 48:24Speaker 2: which is something we haven't seen out of them in
- 48:25Speaker 2: a while in that fashion. It's just a sign that
- 48:29Speaker 2: the rest of the world is not going to take
- 48:30Speaker 2: orders from Trump in the same way that they did
- 48:32Speaker 2: the first year. Yeah. And that matters.
- 48:34Speaker 1: And it's happening not long before a big election in Israel,
- 48:38Speaker 1: which gets us to the second story. So there was
- 48:40Speaker 1: an explosive investigative report out this week from Haaretz that
- 48:45Speaker 1: details this stark warning about a potential Hamas attack that
- 48:49Speaker 1: was given directly to Prime Minister Bibi Netanyahu shortly before
- 48:52Speaker 1: the October 7th massacre. The gist of the story, and
- 48:55Speaker 1: it's a long story and we recommend reading all of it,
- 48:58Speaker 1: is that about a week and a half before October 7th,
- 49:00Speaker 1: the president of the UAE, Mohammed bin Zayed, or MBZ,
- 49:04Speaker 1: warned Netanyahu of a potential major Hamas attack on Israel.
- 49:10Speaker 1: But Netanyahu just like inexplicably did not relay the message
- 49:13Speaker 1: to his top security staff. And the warning, it was
- 49:17Speaker 1: not derived from like kind of vague intelligence. It stemmed
- 49:21Speaker 1: from comments made directly by Yahya Sinwar, the Hamas leader,
- 49:26Speaker 1: the mastermind of October 7th, to a guy referred to
- 49:29Speaker 1: in the story as Cole Eyes, who served as this
- 49:32Speaker 1: intermediary between the Israelis and Hamas leaders. And sort of
- 49:36Speaker 1: this is from the report about some of the specifics
- 49:38Speaker 1: of what Sinwar said. Quote, tell the Israelis that if
- 49:42Speaker 1: they don't make progress, I'm preparing a huge surprise for them,
- 49:45Speaker 1: Sinwar declared emphatically. Here he dropped a key word for
- 49:48Speaker 1: the first time, one that should have triggered red flags.
- 49:51Speaker 1: Tell them to expect a zelzal, an earthquake. In a
- 49:55Speaker 1: second meeting, Sinwar says, convey a message to them, the Israelis,
- 49:58Speaker 1: that I'm preparing the mother of all surprises, a terrifying operation,
- 50:01Speaker 1: something extraordinary. Again, he said the word that means earthquake.
- 50:06Speaker 1: please convey to the Israelis what I am saying word
- 50:08Speaker 1: for word, he demanded. So it's a complicated story of like,
- 50:11Speaker 1: you know, this getting back to the Israeli security chiefs
- 50:15Speaker 1: via staffers who are working for MBZ and, you know,
- 50:19Speaker 1: folks should go read it. But like, basically, Ben, I've
- 50:21Speaker 1: lost count of the number of stories that we've read
- 50:23Speaker 1: like this about missed warnings by Netanyahu or the sort
- 50:27Speaker 1: of Israeli security establishment that could have helped them prevent
- 50:30Speaker 1: October 7th. And if you look back, A lot of
- 50:33Speaker 1: top defense and military and intelligence officials have resigned. They
- 50:37Speaker 1: have taken responsibility for October 7th. Netanyahu is the only
- 50:41Speaker 1: one who has not. He says he's always says like, oh,
- 50:43Speaker 1: now is not the time. First, we win the war.
- 50:45Speaker 1: Then we look back, blah, blah, blah. But this story
- 50:48Speaker 1: implicates him directly in the timing of dropping this a
- 50:52Speaker 1: month before the election was not subtle. I think the
- 50:55Speaker 1: question is, will it have the impact you think it
- 50:58Speaker 1: would politically? We don't know yet.
- 51:01Speaker 2: This has always bothered me. We've talked about this. There's
- 51:04Speaker 2: just something that never felt right about why their regard
- 51:06Speaker 2: was so down. Again, not having the information to tip
- 51:09Speaker 2: into the conspiracy theory that like then you let it
- 51:11Speaker 2: happen intentionally. It is the case that it never made
- 51:14Speaker 2: any sense that Gaza is one of the most surveilled
- 51:18Speaker 2: places in the entire world. And the idea that they
- 51:22Speaker 2: were kind of caught that flat footed. and didn't respond
- 51:27Speaker 2: for hours while it was happening, it really does demand
- 51:31Speaker 2: serious inquiry. Netanyahu is not permitted to happen. He is
- 51:35Speaker 2: not permitted. He's used the fact of an ongoing war
- 51:38Speaker 2: to allude having any kind of commission, any kind of
- 51:42Speaker 2: inquiry here. But there's huge fucking questions about Maybe he
- 51:46Speaker 2: didn't think it would be that big of an attack,
- 51:48Speaker 2: but maybe he thought some attack would be convenient. And
- 51:51Speaker 2: if you think that's cynical, we're talking about Bibi fucking Netanyahu,
- 51:54Speaker 2: like the most cynical person on earth. Because now we've
- 51:57Speaker 2: heard the Egyptians warned him. We've heard security chiefs warned him.
- 52:01Speaker 2: We've heard of reports from inside of Israeli intelligence. It
- 52:04Speaker 2: was quite specific about some of the preparations being made
- 52:06Speaker 2: for the major attack. They had the plan, like a hero. Yeah,
- 52:08Speaker 2: the actual plan. These are not subtle pieces of warning.
- 52:12Speaker 2: This is not like coming up on the 9-11 anniversary.
- 52:15Speaker 2: you know, that one PDB article, presidential daily briefing to Bush,
- 52:18Speaker 2: you know, bin Laden determined to strike in the United States.
- 52:21Speaker 2: It didn't really have any specificity. This is like a
- 52:24Speaker 2: lot of blinking lights and people telling Netanyahu, hey, they're
- 52:27Speaker 2: about to attack you and him doing nothing, right? And that,
- 52:31Speaker 2: at minimum, that was massive incompetence. Like anything else is
- 52:39Speaker 2: much more troubling. The only other thing that I thought
- 52:41Speaker 2: was interesting, Tommy, the report is about MBZ doing this,
- 52:45Speaker 2: Mohammed Zayed, the leader of the United Arab Emirates, who's
- 52:47Speaker 2: been their best friend, like.
- 52:48Speaker 1: Their closest ally, closest friend in the region.
- 52:51Speaker 2: This seemed like it came out, if not from the Emiratis,
- 52:54Speaker 2: like the Emiratis must've had to confirm it, you know? Um, and,
- 52:58Speaker 2: and it made me wonder whether the Emiratis are sick
- 53:01Speaker 2: of Bibi. I mean, I don't know, I'm just speculating here,
- 53:03Speaker 2: but it's people who've dealt in the kind of weird
- 53:05Speaker 2: machinations of leaks that happened before elections. Not saying we've
- 53:08Speaker 2: done that. I'm just saying like that happens out in
- 53:09Speaker 2: the world. Um, It suggests to me that maybe the
- 53:13Speaker 2: Emiratis were OK with this coming out like right before
- 53:16Speaker 2: the election to harm Bibi.
- 53:17Speaker 6: I don't know.
- 53:18Speaker 2: We don't know the answer to that either. But like
- 53:19Speaker 2: it's it's worth thinking about because they've tended to have
- 53:22Speaker 2: his back and maybe they're just sick of him, too.
- 53:25Speaker 2: I don't know if it's going to have any impact
- 53:26Speaker 2: on him, though, because he's the guys managed to wiggle
- 53:29Speaker 2: out of, you know, anybody who's inclined to believe these
- 53:32Speaker 2: things that Bibi probably wasn't voting for him to begin with.
- 53:34Speaker 2: But we'll see.
- 53:35Speaker 1: Yeah, the whole story is worth reading. It's quite confusing.
- 53:38Speaker 1: I mean Netanyahu gets criticized from every direction in this
- 53:41Speaker 1: thing because this guy coalized his intermediary, was part of
- 53:45Speaker 1: an effort to try to sort of improve relations between
- 53:48Speaker 1: the Israeli government and Hamas, maybe get to a prisoner release,
- 53:52Speaker 1: maybe take some steps on the Israeli side that make
- 53:55Speaker 1: life better for the people in Gaza. And what it
- 53:57Speaker 1: sounds like, what the reporting suggests is that Netanyahu dragged
- 54:01Speaker 1: his feet on cutting a deal with Hamas, a deal
- 54:03Speaker 1: with Sinmar, And Sinmar got pissed and issued this warning
- 54:07Speaker 1: to maybe, I don't know, threaten Netanyahu, but also you
- 54:11Speaker 1: have sort of national security or to try to go
- 54:14Speaker 1: Netanyahu into acting. And then you also have national security
- 54:17Speaker 1: side staff like, you know, Ronan Barr, the Shin Bet
- 54:20Speaker 1: and others telling Netanyahu that they're worried about something happening
- 54:27Speaker 1: by Hamas, Hamas doing something. and that they wanted, it says,
- 54:30Speaker 1: Barr recommended an operational method of a fire extinguishing bomb,
- 54:34Speaker 1: a codename for a powerful and sudden attack designed to
- 54:36Speaker 1: quickly neutralize a major threat, or at least implementing strong
- 54:39Speaker 1: defensive efforts in Gaza and the West Bank. So on
- 54:42Speaker 1: the one hand, you have Netanyahu getting criticized for not
- 54:44Speaker 1: getting a deal done with Hamas that could have improved relations.
- 54:48Speaker 1: On the other hand, you have the national security staff
- 54:49Speaker 1: saying that Netanyahu was being too soft on Hamas and
- 54:53Speaker 1: not letting them do like decapitation strikes or something to
- 54:56Speaker 1: kind of I don't know, try to deter or prevent
- 54:59Speaker 1: some sort of attack. So all around, it's just the
- 55:01Speaker 1: worst possible story for Netanyahu. But like you, Ben, I
- 55:04Speaker 1: have no idea if it will matter at all.
- 55:06Speaker 2: In this election. Yeah, no, we'll see. We'll see.
- 55:08Speaker 1: A couple of Iran updates. So the kind of tit
- 55:10Speaker 1: for tat airstrikes continue. Iran launched missiles at two U.S.
- 55:14Speaker 1: Navy ships on Friday. They didn't hit them, but the U.S.
- 55:16Speaker 1: retaliated by bombing three Iranian oil tankers. The CENTCOM commander said,
- 55:20Speaker 1: let the message to the IRGC be clear. If you
- 55:22Speaker 1: shoot at two of our ships, we'll impose an even
- 55:24Speaker 1: higher economic cost, taking out three of yours. Trump repeated
- 55:28Speaker 1: his threat to maybe bomb Pickaxe Mountain last week, Friday,
- 55:31Speaker 1: which I'm sure got Hugh Hewitt all excited. Iran said
- 55:35Speaker 1: they're going to announce a new restricted zone and punish
- 55:37Speaker 1: ships that enter it. There's not a lot of details
- 55:39Speaker 1: on that one, but it seems like they're kind of
- 55:41Speaker 1: proceeding apace on their effort to just take control of
- 55:43Speaker 1: the Strait of Hormuz. Trump administration announced some new sanctions
- 55:46Speaker 1: specifically on Iranian airplanes.
- 55:50Speaker 2: Again, I don't think that'll happen much. That'll win the war.
- 55:52Speaker 1: Yeah, that'll do it.
- 55:52Speaker 2: It's economic D-Day right there.
- 55:53Speaker 5: Yeah.
- 55:54Speaker 1: Over at the Pentagon, the New York Times reported that
- 55:56Speaker 1: 50 people on the military's joint staff were subjected to
- 55:59Speaker 1: polygraph tests. This is because of leaks about depleted U.S. munitions,
- 56:03Speaker 1: which like in fairness is a pretty sensitive leak, the
- 56:06Speaker 1: kind of thing you might expect to be investigated. But
- 56:09Speaker 1: also at the same time, Ben, like think tanks have
- 56:12Speaker 1: been tracking this issue way before that war even started.
- 56:14Speaker 1: They just use kind of open source data to monitor
- 56:17Speaker 1: as best they can the stockpile. So it was already
- 56:19Speaker 1: out there regardless of who may or may not have
- 56:21Speaker 1: been talking at the Pentagon, but notable. Over the weekend, U.S.
- 56:25Speaker 1: Energy Secretary Chris Wright seemed to suggest that they've given
- 56:28Speaker 1: up on getting a nuclear deal with Iran. He told ABC,
- 56:31Speaker 1: there may not be a nuclear agreement. It may be
- 56:35Speaker 1: simply destroying their capabilities to do it. The problem may
- 56:38Speaker 1: await a next administration. So it sounds like that big success,
- 56:42Speaker 1: you know, is alluding to them. Yeah, me too. And
- 56:45Speaker 1: then most concerning to me, Ben, the fighting between the
- 56:48Speaker 1: Saudis and the Houthi rebels in Yemen keeps escalating. At
- 56:51Speaker 1: least 73 people were injured in Houthi strikes on Saudi
- 56:54Speaker 1: oil infrastructure sites over the last couple of days. The
- 56:57Speaker 1: Houthis say it was in response to previous Saudi strikes.
- 57:00Speaker 1: But of course, you know, the Saudis are now preparing
- 57:02Speaker 1: to retaliate. This could kick up the civil war in
- 57:05Speaker 1: Yemen that led to hundreds of thousands of deaths, literally.
- 57:08Speaker 1: So very, very disconcerting. But anything in that kind of
- 57:10Speaker 1: Iran news jump out at you is particularly important.
- 57:13Speaker 2: The tit for tat stuff, it just feels very forever worse,
- 57:16Speaker 2: which we've been saying. The polygraph thing. is actually pretty
- 57:20Speaker 2: fucking nuts. I've never heard of kind of mass polygraph
- 57:26Speaker 2: of joint staff members. These are like senior members. And
- 57:29Speaker 2: there's a McCarthyism to this that makes me wonder, like,
- 57:32Speaker 2: when is the military just going to say, have you
- 57:34Speaker 2: no decency, Pete Hegseth, you know? So the kind of weird,
- 57:38Speaker 2: the paranoia and intimidation is just getting weirder and weirder,
- 57:42Speaker 2: and it's only moving in one direction. And I'm curious
- 57:45Speaker 2: whether that brings about the opposite result that they want.
- 57:47Speaker 2: They're trying to bring them in line. It might have
- 57:49Speaker 2: the opposite effect.
- 57:50Speaker 1: We'll see.
- 57:51Speaker 2: I do agree with you that the Saudi Houthi thing
- 57:54Speaker 2: is the biggest news of all this, because if that
- 57:57Speaker 2: becomes anywhere near a hot war, it is going to
- 58:02Speaker 2: just further destabilize things. The Saudis are, yes, frustrated, but
- 58:10Speaker 2: at the same time, if the Houthis start hitting Saudi
- 58:12Speaker 2: oil fields, if the Houthis start trying to mess with
- 58:16Speaker 2: traffic in the Red Sea, all these shortages that we've
- 58:19Speaker 2: been talking about that are acute because countries have kind
- 58:22Speaker 2: of spent down their reserve capacity to make up for
- 58:26Speaker 2: lost supply. Certain refineries have been taken offline. If you
- 58:30Speaker 2: just start to see Saudi oil infrastructure get hit, if
- 58:33Speaker 2: you start to see disruptions in the Red Sea, prices
- 58:35Speaker 2: are just going to get worse for everybody. The global
- 58:37Speaker 2: economic impacts are going to get worse. So that's something
- 58:40Speaker 2: to watch because there's nothing good about the war escalating
- 58:43Speaker 2: between the Saudis and the Houthis, including obviously for the
- 58:45Speaker 2: people of Yemen.
- 58:46Speaker 1: Yeah, and what I just wonder is whether the Iranians
- 58:48Speaker 1: are watching our political calendar closely and decide to do
- 58:51Speaker 1: something to try to kind of jack up oil.
- 58:53Speaker 2: And gas prices.
- 58:54Speaker 1: They will.
- 58:54Speaker 2: I bet you they will. That's a very smart point.
- 58:56Speaker 1: We'll see. Finally, Ben, so corruption allegations have once again
- 59:00Speaker 1: engulfed right-wing Reform UK leader and British MP Nigel Farage.
- 59:04Speaker 1: For those unfamiliar with Farage, imagine if kind of an
- 59:07Speaker 1: early shitty version of Grok AI wrote a book about
- 59:10Speaker 1: Winston Churchill, then you soaked it in stale beer, and
- 59:13Speaker 1: then it morphed into a creepy old man with strong
- 59:16Speaker 1: views about immigrants. That's Nigel Farage. The latest scandal comes
- 59:20Speaker 1: via this kind of nonprofit investigative journalism organization called Verbatim
- 59:24Speaker 1: that was then fact-checked and aired by Channel 4. In
- 59:27Speaker 1: the report, You got two high-up officials in reform. There's
- 59:30Speaker 1: a policy guy named James Orr and then Farage's right-hand
- 59:32Speaker 1: man named Dan Jukes. They are caught on camera conspiring
- 59:36Speaker 1: to break British law on political donations from foreigners, like
- 59:39Speaker 1: dead to rights. The reform staffers, they solicited money from
- 59:42Speaker 1: a guy they believed was the British-based son of an
- 59:44Speaker 1: American businessman. And first, they get the American to pay £ 30, 000
- 59:49Speaker 1: for three polls for reform, two of which Channel 4 notes, quote,
- 59:54Speaker 1: helpfully galvanized support for the party ahead of the local
- 59:57Speaker 1: elections in May. And those results were run in the
- 59:59Speaker 1: Daily Telegraph and other newspapers without noting reforms involved in
- 1:00:03Speaker 1: any way. They also talk about getting a much larger donation,
- 1:00:07Speaker 1: maybe 500,000 pounds, and arrange a meeting with the fake
- 1:00:10Speaker 1: father and son with Farage himself. So here is some
- 1:00:14Speaker 1: audio in video, which makes it quite clear that everyone
- 1:00:19Speaker 1: knew that they were doing something pretty shady. Let's watch.
- 1:00:22Speaker 4: I wouldn't bring a word of this to anybody, obviously,
- 1:00:25Speaker 4: and Nigel Whitebeard doesn't know Whitebeard.
- 1:00:29Speaker 1: He's the kind of thing he doesn't want to hear.
- 1:00:30Speaker 3: What you're doing right now means that you can contribute.
- 1:00:36Speaker 1: It's an amazing sweet spot.
- 1:00:38Speaker 2: You're making relatively good value of.
- 1:00:39Speaker 3: Money with huge impact, and they don't show up anywhere
- 1:00:43Speaker 3: in public records.
- 1:00:45Speaker 4: You're having a part with who's effectively going to be.
- 1:00:47Speaker 3: The chief of staff at number 10.
- 1:00:49Speaker 1: Yeah, exactly.
- 1:00:49Speaker 4: If that isn't a business interest, I don't know what is.
- 1:00:52Speaker 1: No, exactly.
- 1:00:53Speaker 3: Obviously, the support that we've offered so far had to
- 1:00:56Speaker 3: be necessarily private, discreet. But the mechanism now for this
- 1:01:02Speaker 3: next phase is we've had some discussion with Dan, with James.
- 1:01:14Speaker 1: So this comes, obviously, as Farage is mired in a
- 1:01:17Speaker 1: whole bunch of scandals. We've talked about the £ 5 million
- 1:01:20Speaker 1: gift that he can't seem to explain that he got
- 1:01:22Speaker 1: from this Thailand-based crypto billionaire. This new investigation and this
- 1:01:28Speaker 1: blockbuster report may undercut the brilliant Farage plan of dropping
- 1:01:32Speaker 1: out of Congress, or talking about a parliament rather, and
- 1:01:34Speaker 1: then running against an intergalactic trash can named McCount Binface
- 1:01:38Speaker 1: to try and clear his good name. Not sure that
- 1:01:40Speaker 1: one worked as he hoped. Farage sat down with the
- 1:01:43Speaker 1: BBC to defend himself. If his goal was to remind
- 1:01:46Speaker 1: people that he does not feel shame and will lie
- 1:01:49Speaker 1: about anything, it was a great success. Let's watch a
- 1:01:52Speaker 1: clip from that.
- 1:01:53Speaker 2: Look.
- 1:01:54Speaker 4: My job wasn't to do compliance. My job wasn't to
- 1:01:57Speaker 4: do background checks. My job was to turn up at
- 1:01:59Speaker 4: a lunch, have a glass of wine and shake someone's hand.
- 1:02:01Speaker 1: Did you not know that it was illegal for foreign
- 1:02:04Speaker 1: firms to donate to UK political parties?
- 1:02:07Speaker 2: Of course I know that.
- 1:02:08Speaker 6: But were you just not then paying attention?
- 1:02:10Speaker 2: You weren't asking the question?
- 1:02:11Speaker 4: No, because I was told he was giving it to
- 1:02:12Speaker 4: a UK family trust. Oh, sorry, a family office that
- 1:02:16Speaker 4: was based in the UK.
- 1:02:18Speaker 1: He said in your presence, I run an American family.
- 1:02:21Speaker 4: I am not a compliance officer. I was in the
- 1:02:23Speaker 4: middle of canvassing in the Clapton by-election. I turn up.
- 1:02:26Speaker 4: I frankly wasn't even listening.
- 1:02:28Speaker 2: You weren't listening?
- 1:02:28Speaker 4: I just asked, is it all above board? I was
- 1:02:31Speaker 4: just there to come and say hello.
- 1:02:32Speaker 7: So you weren't listening when you were discussing donations of
- 1:02:37Speaker 7: thousands and thousands.
- 1:02:38Speaker 4: Of pounds to your party? I was told there was
- 1:02:41Speaker 4: a global family office based in London.
- 1:02:45Speaker 1: His defense is literally, blah, blah, blah, blah, blah. I
- 1:02:47Speaker 1: wasn't listening. Not quite the buck stops here. So the
- 1:02:50Speaker 1: two aides, Orrin Jukes, They have stepped down pending an investigation.
- 1:02:53Speaker 1: Farage obviously has not. I don't know, man. How is
- 1:02:57Speaker 1: this not the end of this guy? I mean, it's
- 1:02:59Speaker 1: not just this scandal. It's that Farage and Reform are
- 1:03:02Speaker 1: facing a threat from an even more right-wing anti-immigrant party,
- 1:03:06Speaker 1: Restore UK. But the corruption is just so brazen.
- 1:03:12Speaker 2: Everything about this story I love. First of all, great work.
- 1:03:16Speaker 2: And more of this.
- 1:03:16Speaker 1: More of this stuff.
- 1:03:17Speaker 4: This is awesome.
- 1:03:18Speaker 2: This is great, intrepid, kind of quasi... quasi, like, you know,
- 1:03:23Speaker 2: Nathan Fielder, Elizabeth Holmes movie happening here. I mean, for
- 1:03:27Speaker 2: people who couldn't watch this, too, it's, like, the most
- 1:03:29Speaker 2: British thing. Like, everybody's wearing, like, natty clothes. They're drinking, like,
- 1:03:33Speaker 2: gin and tonics. People are smoking cigs in the footage.
- 1:03:36Speaker 2: They're in, like, red armoire chairs. Like, it just oozes, like,
- 1:03:40Speaker 2: this kind of preppiness. Like, everything you hate about reform, actually,
- 1:03:43Speaker 2: you know, like, just kind of rich guys sitting around, like,
- 1:03:46Speaker 2: making corrupt deals, getting drunk in the middle of the day.
- 1:03:48Speaker 2: Not that there's anything wrong with that. But the core
- 1:03:52Speaker 2: point is this guy is just like hopelessly corrupt. I
- 1:03:56Speaker 2: mean like scandal after scandal of him just taking money
- 1:04:01Speaker 2: from anybody. It goes back to what we're seeing about
- 1:04:03Speaker 2: BB too. Like his best defense is that he was
- 1:04:07Speaker 2: completely incompetent.
- 1:04:08Speaker 1: Right.
- 1:04:08Speaker 2: His best defense is that like– That he wasn't paying attention.
- 1:04:13Speaker 2: I didn't listen to what I agreed with the person about,
- 1:04:16Speaker 2: which was I was like saying like, thank you for
- 1:04:18Speaker 2: your foreign donation, sir. They just need to keep driving
- 1:04:23Speaker 2: this corruption narrative too, by the way, because just to
- 1:04:26Speaker 2: be pure political brass tacks here, like Reform UK is
- 1:04:31Speaker 2: being hopelessly corrupt is probably better than saying Reform UK
- 1:04:34Speaker 2: is extreme. It's just pure politics because nobody likes corrupt people.
- 1:04:39Speaker 2: Nobody likes people that are double dealing like this and
- 1:04:40Speaker 2: then lying about it. So it's a thing that they
- 1:04:43Speaker 2: should run on. I do think that, you know, Nigel
- 1:04:45Speaker 2: could like make up a lot of this money if
- 1:04:47Speaker 2: he just, you know, did more of those cameos, right?
- 1:04:50Speaker 2: I mean, I guess his fees went down. So he
- 1:04:53Speaker 2: needed to go to the Thai crypto guy in the
- 1:04:55Speaker 2: sky and the American billionaire or whatever he was supposed
- 1:04:58Speaker 2: to be.
- 1:04:59Speaker 1: The only way I feel like this doesn't take this
- 1:05:01Speaker 1: guy down, or at least down a couple of serious pegs,
- 1:05:04Speaker 1: is if the rest of the British media doesn't run it.
- 1:05:06Speaker 1: I mean, that's one challenge with Farage is he has
- 1:05:08Speaker 1: often gotten a pass He doesn't get nearly the coverage
- 1:05:11Speaker 1: that the Green Party head gets despite being talked about
- 1:05:15Speaker 1: as the heir apparent.
- 1:05:16Speaker 2: Come on, Fleet Street. Can you imagine? They savage people
- 1:05:20Speaker 2: for like tiny things over there. Like let's do it.
- 1:05:23Speaker 1: Freebie gifts and things.
- 1:05:24Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:05:25Speaker 1: This is a no-brainer.
- 1:05:26Speaker 5: OK.
- 1:05:27Speaker 1: We are going to take a quick break. But when
- 1:05:28Speaker 1: we come back, you're going to hear Ben's interview with
- 1:05:30Speaker 1: Lawrence Wright about the 25th anniversary of 9-11, where the
- 1:05:34Speaker 1: risks still exist from an attack like that and much,
- 1:05:36Speaker 1: much more. So stick around for that one. This podcast
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- 1:06:52Speaker 2: Okay, my guest today is Lawrence Wright, his Pulitzer Prize
- 1:06:55Speaker 2: winning book, The Looming Tower, Al Qaeda and the Road
- 1:06:58Speaker 2: to 9-11, really is, I think, the definitive account of
- 1:07:02Speaker 2: the lead up to the 9-11 attacks. Wonderful, colorful, heart-wrenching,
- 1:07:07Speaker 2: revealing story. One of many books from Lawrence Wright, of course.
- 1:07:13Speaker 2: The Looming Tower has a new introduction, timed to the
- 1:07:16Speaker 2: 25th anniversary of the attacks, which are obviously coming up
- 1:07:18Speaker 2: in the next few days. So it's a perfect time
- 1:07:20Speaker 2: to catch up with him. And I, again, encourage everybody,
- 1:07:23Speaker 2: if you have not read The Looming Tower, please pick
- 1:07:25Speaker 2: it up. There's no better book to understand what happened
- 1:07:28Speaker 2: before 9-11. I say that as someone who worked with
- 1:07:30Speaker 2: the 9-11 Commission. But Lawrence Wright, thanks for joining us.
- 1:07:34Speaker 8: It's a pleasure to be with you, Ben.
- 1:07:37Speaker 5: All right.
- 1:07:37Speaker 2: So I was thinking about this a lot. You know,
- 1:07:40Speaker 2: you and I have talked about these events over the years.
- 1:07:42Speaker 2: 9-11 obviously played a pretty fundamental role in my life.
- 1:07:47Speaker 2: And I read the new introduction a couple of times,
- 1:07:50Speaker 2: and it triggered something that has gnawed at me as
- 1:07:55Speaker 2: someone who worked in, obviously, national security, has had interaction
- 1:07:59Speaker 2: with 9-11 even before that time in the White House
- 1:08:02Speaker 2: with the 9-11 Commission. And it And the question is this,
- 1:08:05Speaker 2: even though bin Laden didn't achieve his kind of stated objectives, right,
- 1:08:09Speaker 2: of overthrowing Arab regimes and driving the United States out
- 1:08:15Speaker 2: of the region, you could mount an argument, couldn't you,
- 1:08:18Speaker 2: that 9-11 is one of the most successful terrorist attacks
- 1:08:23Speaker 2: in history viewed from the vantage point of where the
- 1:08:27Speaker 2: United States stands today and our overreaction. I mean, how
- 1:08:31Speaker 2: do you assess that? the impact of 9-11, both against
- 1:08:36Speaker 2: bin Laden's intentions and against the outcome that we're living
- 1:08:41Speaker 2: with today?
- 1:08:43Speaker 8: You know, there was a question in my mind, Ben,
- 1:08:47Speaker 8: did bin Laden win? Of course, he didn't win. I mean,
- 1:08:51Speaker 8: but he triggered this catastrophic, nearly suicidal reaction in our country. And,
- 1:09:01Speaker 8: you know, just think about the lives that have been lost,
- 1:09:05Speaker 8: you know, 3,000 on 9-11, but hundreds of thousands since then. Yes,
- 1:09:12Speaker 8: there has not been another 9-11, but there have been
- 1:09:15Speaker 8: countless smaller attacks. It's not as if the terrorist movement
- 1:09:19Speaker 8: is dead. But the loss of faith in America is
- 1:09:24Speaker 8: the thing that is really striking to me. The country
- 1:09:26Speaker 8: is so divided. We've shed the most important allies that
- 1:09:30Speaker 8: we've had. We're really quite alone in the world in
- 1:09:34Speaker 8: a way that we haven't been in the lifetime of
- 1:09:37Speaker 8: anybody still alive in America. The country is drifting and
- 1:09:43Speaker 8: now being shunned. And the other thing that troubles me
- 1:09:47Speaker 8: about is that we're so complacent now where terrorism is concerned,
- 1:09:54Speaker 8: as we were before 9-11. Could it be that we
- 1:09:58Speaker 8: have gone so far around the circle that we're back
- 1:10:01Speaker 8: where we were, unprepared? Our attention is far away from terrorism,
- 1:10:09Speaker 8: and yet I look especially at the new developments in
- 1:10:14Speaker 8: technology and wonder what bin Laden would have done with
- 1:10:18Speaker 8: such tools as artificial intelligence and crypto money and easy
- 1:10:25Speaker 8: access to cyber warfare. Those kinds of tools are incredibly
- 1:10:31Speaker 8: empowering to terrorists and to tyrants. And I can't help
- 1:10:36Speaker 8: but feel for all the great things that technology may
- 1:10:39Speaker 8: bring to us, we're going to head to a golden
- 1:10:44Speaker 8: age of terrorism and tyranny and crime, because these tools
- 1:10:50Speaker 8: are going to be very well adapted for those.
- 1:10:53Speaker 2: Yeah, your book obviously traced the story both of al-Qaeda's
- 1:11:00Speaker 2: emergence and its intentions and ambitions and ultimately its success
- 1:11:04Speaker 2: in attacking the United States, and also the failures of
- 1:11:08Speaker 2: the United States government to effectively defend the country, the
- 1:11:12Speaker 2: failures of in information sharing from the CIA to the FBI.
- 1:11:16Speaker 2: I mean, you know, we don't have to detail them here.
- 1:11:20Speaker 2: What I wanted to ask you, picking up on that
- 1:11:21Speaker 2: last point you made, is now we're seeing this administration
- 1:11:26Speaker 2: kind of target the intelligence community. You know, the FBI
- 1:11:31Speaker 2: is run by Kash Patel. Their, you know, agents are
- 1:11:35Speaker 2: doing immigration enforcement instead of counterterrorism. The DNI was Tulsi Gabbard.
- 1:11:41Speaker 2: And now, you know, we've had musical chairs there The CIA,
- 1:11:46Speaker 2: Trump seems to have an almost adversarial relationship with.
- 1:11:49Speaker 1: How would you.
- 1:11:50Speaker 2: Describe, informed by your experience of seeing a series of
- 1:11:54Speaker 2: policy and bureaucratic failures before 9-11 and the looming tower,
- 1:11:59Speaker 2: how would you compare the things that concern you about
- 1:12:02Speaker 2: the state of play today when you look at those
- 1:12:06Speaker 2: same agencies, those same instruments of U.S. government power and
- 1:12:09Speaker 2: intelligence gathering and law enforcement today? as it relates to
- 1:12:12Speaker 2: the different terrorist threat we're facing?
- 1:12:16Speaker 8: You know, it was, I firmly believe till this day,
- 1:12:19Speaker 8: had the Central Intelligence Agency cooperated with the FBI, that
- 1:12:25Speaker 8: 9-11 wouldn't have happened. You know, the agency knew that
- 1:12:30Speaker 8: two future hijackers were in America, and they came in
- 1:12:35Speaker 8: January of 2000, and the CIA found out about it
- 1:12:38Speaker 8: in March of 2000. So a year and a half
- 1:12:41Speaker 8: They had, you know, knowledge that al-Qaeda was present in
- 1:12:46Speaker 8: America and yet did not tell the FBI. So there's that.
- 1:12:51Speaker 8: There's also the fractures between these two institutions, the FBI
- 1:12:56Speaker 8: and the CIA. Not only were they reluctant to share information.
- 1:13:00Speaker 2: They hated each other.
- 1:13:01Speaker 8: They actually hated each other to the point of subversion.
- 1:13:05Speaker 2: And that.
- 1:13:08Speaker 8: It's hard to account for. For instance, you know, you
- 1:13:10Speaker 8: look back at the bombing of the coal, uh, in
- 1:13:13Speaker 8: October of 2000. Uh, this was, uh, partly a poor
- 1:13:20Speaker 8: planning on the part of the government to park an
- 1:13:22Speaker 8: American warship in Aden, Yemen Harbor, you know, where it's
- 1:13:27Speaker 8: just sitting there as a, as a big prize. But, um, anyway,
- 1:13:31Speaker 8: you had, uh, was it 17 sailors die? And, um,
- 1:13:37Speaker 8: The CIA had information about the– they had actually surveilled
- 1:13:43Speaker 8: a meeting in Malaysia of al-Qaeda leaders. And from there,
- 1:13:48Speaker 8: several of them went to Yemen with a plan to
- 1:13:52Speaker 8: bomb the coal. And so that knowledge was also present
- 1:13:57Speaker 8: and hidden. Bear in mind, we already had dead sailors.
- 1:14:03Speaker 8: You know, this was a mass murder, you know. And
- 1:14:10Speaker 8: in my opinion, back starting from then, there should have
- 1:14:13Speaker 8: been prosecutions. The intelligence agencies had to be forced somehow
- 1:14:19Speaker 8: to work together. And it's a pattern that I see
- 1:14:26Speaker 8: in our agencies now that they are so fractious at
- 1:14:31Speaker 8: this present time. Not so much that they hate each
- 1:14:35Speaker 8: other the way the CIA and the FBI did before 9-11,
- 1:14:38Speaker 8: but they've been corralled into partisan ventures. And they've turned
- 1:14:44Speaker 8: their eyes away from terror and really, in many respects,
- 1:14:50Speaker 8: away from the main adversaries toward American citizens. And so
- 1:14:57Speaker 8: how can we be prepared for foreign threats if we're
- 1:15:01Speaker 8: preoccupied with trying to control our own populations?
- 1:15:07Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:15:07Speaker 2: And, and, and, you know, particularly parts of the population
- 1:15:11Speaker 2: that really are not the area where you would see
- 1:15:13Speaker 2: terrorism emerging from generally. I mean, I want to kind
- 1:15:16Speaker 2: of connect this back to where we weren't wrong. Cause
- 1:15:19Speaker 2: I think it's kind of related to how you focus
- 1:15:21Speaker 2: things and get them right now because, uh, on the
- 1:15:26Speaker 2: story of the failure to prevent nine 11 was not
- 1:15:29Speaker 2: one of the United States failing to kind of invade
- 1:15:32Speaker 2: foreign countries and remove their governments. And, um, it was just,
- 1:15:36Speaker 2: as you said, it was like potentially as simple as
- 1:15:39Speaker 2: the CIA sharing information with the FBI better, you know, um, or,
- 1:15:42Speaker 2: you know, having better aviation security, you know, regulations as
- 1:15:46Speaker 2: related to, you know, box cutters and, and we could
- 1:15:49Speaker 2: go down the list. And yet the response was to
- 1:15:53Speaker 2: invade Afghanistan, topple its government and stay there, invade Iraq,
- 1:15:58Speaker 2: topple its government and stay there. Um, Because I think
- 1:16:01Speaker 2: some people might hear you and me talking about the
- 1:16:04Speaker 2: need to focus on terrorism and think, oh, here they
- 1:16:06Speaker 2: go again. How do we separate out the need to
- 1:16:12Speaker 2: actually protect the nation, to guard against terrorist attacks? When
- 1:16:18Speaker 2: did it become and why did it become about your
- 1:16:21Speaker 2: willingness to go fight wars overseas? I remember John Kerry
- 1:16:26Speaker 2: had this almost gaffe, people thought at the time, when
- 1:16:29Speaker 2: he said during the 2004 campaign, we need to get
- 1:16:31Speaker 2: back to this being a law enforcement problem. I guess
- 1:16:33Speaker 2: he could have said intelligence and law enforcement. But how
- 1:16:35Speaker 2: do you think about where we went wrong after 9-11
- 1:16:40Speaker 2: and what the right scope of the government's focus on
- 1:16:44Speaker 2: this is, where we're not spending trillions of dollars in
- 1:16:46Speaker 2: fighting wars, but we are defending the country?
- 1:16:49Speaker 8: Well, there are several different areas we can talk about. One, though,
- 1:16:53Speaker 8: that strikes me is that the invasion of Iraq– was
- 1:17:00Speaker 8: perhaps the most colossal diplomatic and intelligence failure in American history.
- 1:17:06Speaker 8: It's just hard to, it's hard to imagine, you know,
- 1:17:12Speaker 8: America has always had a problem dealing with other countries
- 1:17:17Speaker 8: because we know so little about the world and the
- 1:17:19Speaker 8: world knows so much about us. It's, it's, You know,
- 1:17:23Speaker 8: it's a total, I mean, we're essentially blinded when we
- 1:17:27Speaker 8: go into a country where we don't speak the language.
- 1:17:30Speaker 8: Do you remember back when we first were going into
- 1:17:34Speaker 8: Iraq and I forgot the reporter's name, he went through
- 1:17:37Speaker 8: the Capitol talking to legislators and asked them, can you
- 1:17:41Speaker 8: tell me the difference between a Sunni and a Shiite?
- 1:17:45Speaker 1: Nobody could. This is the.
- 1:17:46Speaker 8: Most fundamental division in Islam. And they didn't even know
- 1:17:50Speaker 8: how to answer the question. And yet, we're willing to
- 1:17:53Speaker 8: go fight a war in a country that was so
- 1:17:57Speaker 8: far away from our way of understanding. And so, you know,
- 1:18:02Speaker 8: we should know more about the world. There's no question
- 1:18:04Speaker 8: about it. It's a big issue, but we should know
- 1:18:07Speaker 8: more about ourselves. We should know that we're not good
- 1:18:11Speaker 8: at this. How many wars is it going to take
- 1:18:14Speaker 8: for us to realize that winning wars is not one
- 1:18:18Speaker 8: of the things that we do well, but damaging our
- 1:18:20Speaker 8: own country is something that we have so much power
- 1:18:23Speaker 8: to do. And America has been badly damaged since 9-11,
- 1:18:28Speaker 8: but not by terrorists.
- 1:18:30Speaker 2: Yeah.
- 1:18:31Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:18:32Speaker 2: Well, part of that, too, is Uh, understanding, you know, the,
- 1:18:39Speaker 2: the rest of the world and, uh, also, um, understanding honestly,
- 1:18:45Speaker 2: like who we're fighting against, you know, because like, clearly,
- 1:18:49Speaker 2: Trump does not understand the Iranian government at all. And that,
- 1:18:53Speaker 2: you know, if you did understand the Iranian government, you
- 1:18:55Speaker 2: would know they were not going to collapse, because we
- 1:18:57Speaker 2: bombed them for a few days, right. And I always
- 1:19:00Speaker 2: kind of bugged me that, you know, bin Laden's having
- 1:19:03Speaker 2: a moment and you allude to this in the introduction,
- 1:19:06Speaker 2: you know, on his his fatwas have reemerged on tiktok
- 1:19:10Speaker 2: and young people are saying yeah maybe he had a
- 1:19:12Speaker 2: point but i do think that uh i mean as
- 1:19:17Speaker 2: someone who was reporting on this at the time and
- 1:19:20Speaker 2: and wrote this kind of meticulous account understanding and you
- 1:19:23Speaker 2: would travel to these places understood al-qaeda i remember i
- 1:19:27Speaker 2: was assigned by my boss lee hamilton the coach of
- 1:19:29Speaker 2: the 9-11 commission go read all bin laden's fatwas you
- 1:19:32Speaker 2: know because hamilton actually wanted to understand like well what
- 1:19:35Speaker 2: is this about yeah And whatever we think of bin Laden,
- 1:19:39Speaker 2: clearly he's an absolutely reprehensible, violent individual. His actions are unjustified.
- 1:19:43Speaker 2: He was saying for a long time that what he
- 1:19:46Speaker 2: objected to was our foreign policy. And putting yourself back
- 1:19:51Speaker 2: in that time when George Bush was saying they hate
- 1:19:53Speaker 2: our freedoms, they hate what they see in Congress. What
- 1:19:59Speaker 2: we learn from the need to actually separate out that
- 1:20:03Speaker 2: you can– Try to understand your enemy and put yourself
- 1:20:07Speaker 2: in your enemy's shoes without justifying or celebrating them, as
- 1:20:11Speaker 2: people may be doing on TikTok. Like, why do we
- 1:20:14Speaker 2: struggle so hard? And how much of what we got
- 1:20:17Speaker 2: wrong about the response was about just not even trying
- 1:20:21Speaker 2: to understand why it happened?
- 1:20:24Speaker 8: I think there's an arrogance there that suggests that we
- 1:20:28Speaker 8: don't need to know all the answers to your questions.
- 1:20:32Speaker 8: We have the power to do whatever we want. And
- 1:20:36Speaker 8: it's true. We have a tremendous amount of power. And
- 1:20:41Speaker 8: in a way, it reminds me of the old cartoon character,
- 1:20:43Speaker 8: Baby Huey. Do you remember? Baby Huey was this 400-pound
- 1:20:47Speaker 8: baby who carried a club. That's the way the world
- 1:20:53Speaker 8: views us. And in many respects, given how powerful and
- 1:20:57Speaker 8: clumsy we are in the world, it's a fair comparison.
- 1:21:02Speaker 8: But I just want to say about intelligence, understanding the
- 1:21:06Speaker 8: world is what intelligence is supposed to be doing. It's
- 1:21:10Speaker 8: supposed to be gathering information and providing that to policymakers.
- 1:21:18Speaker 8: But when I was roaming around the Arab world and
- 1:21:23Speaker 8: South Asia after 9-11, there were so few Americans or
- 1:21:28Speaker 8: even Westerners in that area then. And I remember in Afghanistan,
- 1:21:35Speaker 8: I was given a briefing, I suppose, by some CIA guy.
- 1:21:40Speaker 8: But he said to me, I'd like to do what
- 1:21:43Speaker 8: you do. I said, what do you mean? Talk to people,
- 1:21:46Speaker 8: he said. And I said, there they are.
- 1:21:49Speaker 1: Go out the door.
- 1:21:51Speaker 8: You can talk to them. I think that on the
- 1:21:54Speaker 8: ground kind of intimacy with another culture is one of
- 1:21:58Speaker 8: the main things that we lack. We just didn't... And
- 1:22:01Speaker 8: that's true of journalism, too, Ben. You know, there used
- 1:22:04Speaker 8: to be, you know, news bureaus all over the world.
- 1:22:07Speaker 8: You know, like ABC at one point had like 40
- 1:22:10Speaker 8: around the world. Now it's a handful of news bureaus
- 1:22:16Speaker 8: in the world, American news bureaus.
- 1:22:20Speaker 1: And so what happens?
- 1:22:22Speaker 8: You know, somebody like me parachutes in with no history
- 1:22:27Speaker 8: of a region or something. What's also true is we
- 1:22:31Speaker 8: accept the news that the governments of these other countries
- 1:22:34Speaker 8: are putting out, like whatever is on Saudi television. We
- 1:22:39Speaker 8: don't have anybody there, so we'll broadcast their view of it.
- 1:22:43Speaker 8: That's not journalism. Essentially, we're allowing other points of view
- 1:22:50Speaker 8: to dominate our thinking, and we need to have independent
- 1:22:54Speaker 8: intelligence gathering both by reporters and by our own intelligence agencies.
- 1:23:00Speaker 3: Yeah.
- 1:23:01Speaker 2: I always, uh, one of my, you know, when I
- 1:23:03Speaker 2: look at the biggest failures of my time in government, um,
- 1:23:08Speaker 2: I look at like a Afghanistan and, um, when I
- 1:23:13Speaker 2: think back, cause I've gotten to know a lot of
- 1:23:15Speaker 2: Afghans over the years and, um, what every single one
- 1:23:19Speaker 2: of them tells me is any one of us, if
- 1:23:22Speaker 2: you just talk to a smart, normal Afghan, they could
- 1:23:26Speaker 2: have told you, you were backing all the wrong people.
- 1:23:28Speaker 2: You're making all the mistakes. And then I thought about
- 1:23:31Speaker 2: it and in all those rooms I was in the
- 1:23:32Speaker 2: situation where people were making decisions about Afghanistan, there are
- 1:23:34Speaker 2: never any Afghans there. Um, and it's like, if we
- 1:23:37Speaker 2: just talk to these people, maybe we would have avoided that.
- 1:23:39Speaker 2: I mean, I do wonder, you know, a big part
- 1:23:41Speaker 2: of your story takes place in Afghanistan. Um, it feels
- 1:23:46Speaker 2: like there's a, an effort to kind of just forget
- 1:23:48Speaker 2: that that happened. You know, um, we're four years after
- 1:23:51Speaker 2: the collapse of Kabul, um, the Taliban is back in control. Um,
- 1:23:56Speaker 2: I'm wondering how you feel about that. I don't know
- 1:23:58Speaker 2: if you still have contacts there. How do you put
- 1:24:02Speaker 2: in context of all these different pieces of the 9-11 story,
- 1:24:06Speaker 2: like how do you digest the experience in Afghanistan? And
- 1:24:08Speaker 2: what do Americans maybe continue to owe Afghans at a
- 1:24:12Speaker 2: time when Donald Trump is having ICE deport people that
- 1:24:16Speaker 2: worked with our military and we're kind of not really
- 1:24:18Speaker 2: doing anything to help avert humanitarian crises there? You know.
- 1:24:24Speaker 8: Our longest war. Would you have ever predicted that we
- 1:24:28Speaker 8: would have been tied down in a 20-year war in Afghanistan?
- 1:24:33Speaker 8: And the Taliban was not our enemy. They harbored al-Qaeda, yes,
- 1:24:38Speaker 8: but they were not our enemy. They were not waging
- 1:24:43Speaker 8: war against America. So from the very beginning, we had
- 1:24:47Speaker 8: no business invading Afghanistan. I remember when I was there,
- 1:24:54Speaker 8: it was a kind of hopeful period. It was a
- 1:24:56Speaker 8: brief interlude. You know, there seemed like, you know, they were,
- 1:25:01Speaker 8: the Taliban had been put to bay. And, you know,
- 1:25:05Speaker 8: I remember the sound of hammers and saws, you know,
- 1:25:10Speaker 8: as they began to rebuild. And I was very hopeful
- 1:25:13Speaker 8: that that would happen. If there's anything we should get
- 1:25:17Speaker 8: from this is that we have not got a solution.
- 1:25:22Speaker 6: Works.
- 1:25:23Speaker 8: Our diplomacy doesn't work. Our war making doesn't work. So
- 1:25:27Speaker 8: what works? And if you don't have an answer to
- 1:25:31Speaker 8: those questions, don't wage war. It's a catastrophe. And I
- 1:25:39Speaker 8: think it's been so much on my mind recently, the
- 1:25:42Speaker 8: preciousness of all the lives that were lost. Tragedy becomes
- 1:25:48Speaker 8: kind of blurred when it becomes so vast, you know,
- 1:25:52Speaker 8: hundreds of thousands of people dead. That's a great loss
- 1:25:58Speaker 8: to humanity. And then, of course, the individual loss to
- 1:26:02Speaker 8: families and lovers and so on is just, it's hard
- 1:26:05Speaker 8: to imagine the heartbreak that we spread across the world.
- 1:26:11Speaker 8: Not that other countries have responsibilities, of course, on this,
- 1:26:16Speaker 8: but I But I look at the, you know, easy
- 1:26:18Speaker 8: to think about the $ 8 trillion that we lost in
- 1:26:22Speaker 8: Afghanistan and Iraq, but all the Americans, the Afghans, the
- 1:26:27Speaker 8: Iraqis who have perished in this experience, it's just a
- 1:26:34Speaker 8: catastrophe that I don't think we've really taken in, in
- 1:26:38Speaker 8: part because I don't think we want to absorb the
- 1:26:40Speaker 8: responsibility that we have.
- 1:26:43Speaker 1: Yeah.
- 1:26:43Speaker 2: Well, and I mean, one way, you know, is to
- 1:26:46Speaker 2: also think about the alternative history. What if we didn't
- 1:26:49Speaker 2: do those things? What could we spend a trillion dollars on?
- 1:26:52Speaker 2: How would America be different today if we didn't make
- 1:26:55Speaker 2: those mistakes?
- 1:26:57Speaker 8: I think it's a profound question. It's not one that
- 1:26:59Speaker 8: is being asked these days. All the things that even
- 1:27:06Speaker 8: the democratic socialists, their entire agenda could be could be
- 1:27:11Speaker 8: enacted and there's still be plenty of money for rice
- 1:27:14Speaker 8: and beans. It's just not, it's a heartbreaking thought to
- 1:27:21Speaker 8: think that we could have spent that money on educating
- 1:27:23Speaker 8: our children and scientific advances, curing cancer, whatever. We could
- 1:27:29Speaker 8: have been so much better, but we spent all that
- 1:27:32Speaker 8: money so fruitlessly and with such devastating consequences.
- 1:27:37Speaker 2: You allude in your introduction you know, as someone who
- 1:27:40Speaker 2: knows as much about, you know, the history of the
- 1:27:43Speaker 2: 9-11 attacks as anybody certainly who wasn't in government, and
- 1:27:48Speaker 2: probably more than people in government, you alluded to the
- 1:27:52Speaker 2: fact that we still don't know the full story, right?
- 1:27:53Speaker 2: There's some unanswered questions that people continue to raise about
- 1:27:56Speaker 2: Saudi involvement, most notably. Frankly, we still can't seem to
- 1:28:00Speaker 2: prosecute people for 9-11 because we tortured them and their
- 1:28:04Speaker 2: confessions are inadmissible in court. What do you think, as someone,
- 1:28:07Speaker 2: you know, who's You probably finished your book with some
- 1:28:10Speaker 2: questions in your mind. What do you think the unanswered
- 1:28:11Speaker 2: questions are?
- 1:28:14Speaker 8: Well, I think there must have been some kind of
- 1:28:16Speaker 8: conspiracy between the Saudi government and the operatives of 9-11.
- 1:28:21Speaker 2: And to me, the.
- 1:28:25Speaker 8: Most damning recent evidence is that cardboard box that was
- 1:28:29Speaker 8: in the FBI warehouse had come from the investigation that
- 1:28:36Speaker 8: went on by the FBI in England. uh there were
- 1:28:40Speaker 8: a lot of jihadis living there and they've stored all
- 1:28:43Speaker 8: this stuff in a card cardboard box and uh somebody
- 1:28:48Speaker 8: in the bureau was going through to see you know
- 1:28:50Speaker 8: cleaning out old stuff that's no longer needed and there
- 1:28:54Speaker 8: was this box and it full of uh investigative notes
- 1:28:58Speaker 8: from 9-11 And so he called one of the FBI
- 1:29:02Speaker 8: guys who was still around and said, would you like
- 1:29:05Speaker 8: this box?
- 1:29:06Speaker 4: Oh, sure.
- 1:29:07Speaker 1: Send it over.
- 1:29:08Speaker 8: And inside there is, uh, a lot of the material
- 1:29:11Speaker 8: from Omar Abayomi, who was, uh, a 40 something year
- 1:29:17Speaker 8: old Saudi student who didn't go to class. Um, and
- 1:29:21Speaker 8: he was on the Saudi payroll. Uh, he is, uh,
- 1:29:26Speaker 8: he's the guy who, um, met with the hijackers after
- 1:29:33Speaker 8: they arrived in January of 2000. In San Diego, right? Well,
- 1:29:37Speaker 8: they arrived and he met them in a halal restaurant
- 1:29:41Speaker 8: in Los Angeles. And he said he overheard the Gulf
- 1:29:45Speaker 8: Arabic being spoken, you know, and just sidled up to
- 1:29:48Speaker 8: them and said, let me help you. I'll get you
- 1:29:52Speaker 8: a place in San Diego in an apartment in my building.
- 1:29:56Speaker 8: I'll pay your rent. And then some of the, you know,
- 1:30:01Speaker 8: there are these videos, and one is of him introducing
- 1:30:06Speaker 8: these two hijackers to members of the Islamic community in
- 1:30:11Speaker 8: San Diego. Now, on the 9-11 Commission, you might have
- 1:30:15Speaker 8: seen an edited version of that video, but the full
- 1:30:19Speaker 8: version is much more damning. And it's always struck me
- 1:30:23Speaker 8: that the case has never really been made, but the
- 1:30:27Speaker 8: They were introduced to the imam of the mosque in
- 1:30:30Speaker 8: San Diego, who was Anwar al-Awlaki, who became the head
- 1:30:36Speaker 8: of al-Qaeda in Iraq and Yemen. And eventually we killed him.
- 1:30:43Speaker 8: But these kinds of scraps are on the table. And,
- 1:30:47Speaker 8: you know, Bayoumi also had, there's one video that looks
- 1:30:51Speaker 8: like he's a newscaster standing in front of the Capitol and,
- 1:30:55Speaker 8: you know, pointing out, you know, And here's the airport
- 1:30:58Speaker 8: over here and so on. He's actually giving a stand-up
- 1:31:04Speaker 8: report about, it appears, a prospective target. And there's more
- 1:31:12Speaker 8: to it. But the FBI took the box, looked into it, said,
- 1:31:20Speaker 8: oh my, and put it away for years.
- 1:31:23Speaker 2: Yeah, yeah.
- 1:31:24Speaker 1: And that, you know, this.
- 1:31:27Speaker 8: when we start thinking if we'll ever hold anybody accountable
- 1:31:30Speaker 8: for the errors that took place both in the FBI
- 1:31:35Speaker 8: and the CIA, you know, there's more to the crime
- 1:31:41Speaker 8: than we have solved. And, you know, you rightly point
- 1:31:46Speaker 8: out that Guantanamo is a problem in terms of getting
- 1:31:49Speaker 8: to the bottom of some of this, but there's so
- 1:31:53Speaker 8: much that we could know. And But it would require
- 1:31:57Speaker 8: holding not just foreign terrorists responsible, but members of our
- 1:32:01Speaker 8: own intelligence community.
- 1:32:03Speaker 2: Yeah. And a degree of transparency that I noticed when
- 1:32:06Speaker 2: I'm down here releasing all these files today that show
- 1:32:08Speaker 2: that New York City was covering up the air quality.
- 1:32:10Speaker 2: I mean, transparency is something that people are usually uncomfortable with.
- 1:32:15Speaker 4: Yeah.
- 1:32:16Speaker 2: Last thing I want to ask you is because I
- 1:32:19Speaker 2: think this is on a lot of people's minds, certainly
- 1:32:20Speaker 2: on mine right now. How did how did 9-11 change
- 1:32:23Speaker 2: your life?
- 1:32:25Speaker 8: Oh, my God. There's Larry before 9-11, Larry after. I
- 1:32:34Speaker 8: guess one thing. Years ago, I made a vow that
- 1:32:40Speaker 8: I would only do things that were important or fun.
- 1:32:42Speaker 8: I didn't want to lose the joy. But at the time,
- 1:32:47Speaker 8: I was sort of drifting. And I was thinking about
- 1:32:50Speaker 8: becoming a movie director or something. I had vague dreams.
- 1:32:55Speaker 8: dreams of Hollywood. And then suddenly, I had a mission.
- 1:33:02Speaker 8: And it wasn't just a reporting job. It was from
- 1:33:06Speaker 8: the very first day I was on the case. And
- 1:33:11Speaker 8: I just knew that this is the most important thing
- 1:33:13Speaker 8: I'll do with my life. And that afternoon, David Remnick
- 1:33:20Speaker 8: called with It was a small group of New Yorker
- 1:33:25Speaker 8: writers that he delegated to go out and try to
- 1:33:28Speaker 8: collect stories, and he would put it into what became
- 1:33:31Speaker 8: the famous Black Issue. And I had the good fortune
- 1:33:39Speaker 8: of finding this young reporter named Kurt Jelson, who wrote
- 1:33:44Speaker 8: for an investment magazine. And he was supposed to have
- 1:33:48Speaker 8: an appointment that day on the 101st floor of the
- 1:33:52Speaker 8: World Trade Center. And he, for the first time in
- 1:33:56Speaker 8: his life, slept through his subway stop. And so he
- 1:33:59Speaker 8: got off at the next station, ran back to the
- 1:34:02Speaker 8: Trade Center. And if you remember, the elevators were up
- 1:34:08Speaker 8: a flight of escalator. And so he rushed up the escalator,
- 1:34:12Speaker 8: got into the elevator, and a woman was coming across
- 1:34:16Speaker 8: the lobby, and she was moving too slowly for him.
- 1:34:19Speaker 8: And She stepped into the elevator, and he noticed that
- 1:34:22Speaker 8: on her ankle she had a rose tattoo, and the
- 1:34:26Speaker 8: plane struck. And the elevator door was accordioned, and nobody knew.
- 1:34:34Speaker 8: I mean, it was an earthquake. Nobody could fathom what
- 1:34:39Speaker 8: had happened. And Kurt stepped into the lobby, and there
- 1:34:44Speaker 8: were objects around it. size of a shoebox or office desk,
- 1:34:49Speaker 8: you know, various, you know, probably bits of plaster that
- 1:34:53Speaker 8: had fallen out of the ceiling. And his eerie, smoky environment,
- 1:35:00Speaker 8: he saw trees and went to get outside. And of course,
- 1:35:06Speaker 8: it was up a flight of stairs and it was
- 1:35:08Speaker 8: a plaza. And so he walked out into the plaza
- 1:35:12Speaker 8: and there were hundreds of shoes. And there were objects
- 1:35:17Speaker 8: that he thought were luggage, but they were human torsos.
- 1:35:22Speaker 8: And his journey to try to get back home to
- 1:35:26Speaker 8: Bronx became the bookend of the New Yorker black issue.
- 1:35:31Speaker 8: And I count that as a moment that I became
- 1:35:37Speaker 8: whatever I am now. That's when I made that decision
- 1:35:42Speaker 8: that I was all in on this and I had
- 1:35:43Speaker 8: to get to the bottom of it.
- 1:35:45Speaker 6: Yeah.
- 1:35:46Speaker 2: Well, we appreciate all the work you've done. It's helped
- 1:35:50Speaker 2: us understand. And in a strange way, it led to
- 1:35:52Speaker 2: some of your other work, which is interrogated power and
- 1:35:55Speaker 2: what's happening in America and what's happening in the Middle East.
- 1:35:57Speaker 2: Everything is kind of in some way a branch off
- 1:36:00Speaker 2: the tree of that decision you made. So people should
- 1:36:03Speaker 2: check out The Looming Tower. If they haven't already, check
- 1:36:05Speaker 2: out your other work. And we could have talked. I mean,
- 1:36:08Speaker 2: there's so many things to talk about this, but we
- 1:36:09Speaker 2: covered a lot. So thanks so much for joining us.
- 1:36:12Speaker 8: I enjoyed it quite a lot, Ben. It's good to
- 1:36:14Speaker 8: catch up with you.
- 1:36:16Speaker 2: Yeah, good to see you always.
- 1:36:17Speaker 8: All right, take care.
- 1:36:18Speaker 1: Thanks again to Lawrence Wright for joining the show and
- 1:36:20Speaker 1: talk to you guys next week. Pod Save the World
- 1:36:22Speaker 1: is a Crooked Media production. Our show is produced by
- 1:36:25Speaker 1: Ilona Minkowski, Michael Goldsmith, and Anisha Banerjee. Our team includes
- 1:36:28Speaker 1: Matt DeGroat, Ben Hethcote, Jordan Cantor, Kenny Moffitt, David Tolles,
- 1:36:32Speaker 1: and Ryan Young. Our staff is proudly unionized with the
- 1:36:34Speaker 1: Writers Guild of America East.