Latest / All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum / Episode 60 - 6/20/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

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Episode 60 - 6/20/24 - All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum · All Systems Go with Josh Appelbaum

• 0:19
  Hello and welcome to episode 60 of the All Systems Go sports
• 0:25
  Betting podcast powered by Rhythm.
• 0:28
  I'm your host, Josh Applebaum. What's going on everyone?
• 0:34
  Happy Thirsty Thursday. Our work week is coming to an
• 0:38
  end here guys. Got a big Thursday today.
• 0:40
  Got a Friday coming tomorrow. Looking forward to a big UFC
• 0:44
  card this weekend. Little bit of biting in the
• 0:46
  arena as I await the last batch of data, which is our routine
• 0:50
  with UFC. My buddy John Ewing from BET MGM
• 0:52
  sending that information, then boom, have a couple sweats maybe
• 0:56
  for this weekend. I'm also excited for this
• 0:58
  weekend because my buddy, one of my best friends, is getting
• 1:01
  married this weekend so the whole crew is getting together.
• 1:04
  We're going to spend the weekend together.
• 1:06
  The wedding is on Sunday but we all arrived Saturday around noon
• 1:10
  time and we'll be staying the night Saturday night.
• 1:12
  Sunday night we might be going to Plain Ridge Park Casino
• 1:15
  Saturday night with the boys. The group chat is popping so it
• 1:18
  should be a a great week. Weekend here upcoming.
• 1:21
  Also second day of the heat wave.
• 1:23
  So if you're in Boston like me, you're in New England.
• 1:25
  It is hot right now, 100° basically.
• 1:28
  So I'm very much looking forward to the last day of the of the
• 1:32
  heat wave ending and also say had a great night last night.
• 1:35
  I mentioned this, but the softball team, the softball
• 1:38
  team, the beer league softball team last night, I don't know if
• 1:41
  I told you guys this, but we started the season.
• 1:42
  I want to say O and nine, O and 10, O and 11.
• 1:46
  And luckily everyone makes the postseason.
• 1:48
  We made the postseason last night.
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  I was joking that we were a + 800 dog.
• 1:52
  We won last night, our first win of the year.
• 1:55
  So it was a it was a great game. And actually I have a couple
• 1:58
  people who listen to the pod who are on the snot Rockets, which
• 2:01
  is the name of our team, who were excited about the shout out
• 2:03
  yesterday. And guess what, you're starting
• 2:05
  the pod today with a shout out as well.
• 2:07
  I got that tingly feeling winning a game, getting the
• 2:10
  sweat. We're actually, it was back and
• 2:12
  forth through up by one in the bottom of the seventh inning and
• 2:15
  we shut the door and we're able to get out there with a win.
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  I even battled the the umpire 'cause he made a couple bad
• 2:19
  calls which almost screwed us, but luckily we got the win.
• 2:22
  Anyway. You didn't come here to hear me
• 2:24
  talk about softball. You came for some sharp
• 2:26
  data-driven plays. Now looking back to her last
• 2:29
  night, sadly our two day winning streak came to an end.
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  We were three and three, but because we had some minus
• 2:34
  numbers -0.83 units, had a couple good winners there.
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  Where there with the Astros, that was really short number.
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  Got that one done in a low scoring game.
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  The Brewers came through the two nothing win.
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  The Guardians blanked, Seattle ate nothing which was a great
• 2:49
  hit. The losers were the Royals.
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  Come on, man, you're losing the Oakland A's.
• 2:54
  That was pathetic. Arizona snakes earlier in the
• 2:56
  day. I tip my cap to Patrick Corbin
• 2:59
  calling my daddy. We've been making a lot of money
• 3:00
  fading Corbin. Well, Corbin pitched well in
• 3:03
  Arizona, could not come through. And then pour one out for
• 3:06
  Grimace, our McDonald's guy who threw out the first pitch.
• 3:09
  Mets at one seven in a row ended last night out at the Mets
• 3:13
  losing. So either way, guys looking to
• 3:15
  start a new streak today now looking toward today.
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  It's kind of a, you know, light day in sports betting.
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  There are only nine games in Major League Baseball.
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  We got a lot of day sweats that are already in play right now.
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  I got a couple that I'm sweating.
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  No NHL tonight. We have the NHL returning
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  tomorrow night. As you all know, the NBA is
• 3:33
  over, Celtics are the Champs, the parade is tomorrow and we do
• 3:37
  have WNBA though. So I'm going to only going to
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  give you 2 bets today. I think it's important not to
• 3:42
  force plays. I think it's very, very critical
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  because when you're betting on sports, I think you got to be
• 3:47
  fearless but disciplined. And what does that mean To me,
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  fearless of discipline means that, hey, if there's a system
• 3:53
  match out there that meets our criteria, sharp contrarian,
• 3:57
  elements of wiseguy money, good system matches, boom, we'll make
• 4:01
  the bet. But we don't want to force it.
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  We want to be fearless in terms of, hey, it may look gross on
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  paper, but it's a system match, they'll play it.
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  We also want to be disciplined and not bet too many games and
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  not force the action if it's not there.
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  So today's one of those days where there's not a lot going on
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  and of the games that are going on, not a ton of system matches.
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  So I only got 2 bets. I got one in Major League
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  Baseball, I got one in the WNBA, and hopefully we can go 2 and O
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  and just have a winning day, but I don't want to force it.
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  There are a couple baseball games that I had to lean on.
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  I know there's a big game at Rickwood Park or Rickwood Field,
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  which is the home of the Birmingham Black Barons of the
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  Negro Leagues, is a pretty cool game in baseball.
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  Tonight obviously takes on more meaning with Willie Mays having
• 4:40
  just passed, but that's the Giants and the Cardinals had a
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  lien there. But again, I don't want to force
• 4:45
  anything. So today's just one of those
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  days where, hey, two bets, let's get in and out of here.
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  Can we go 2 and O and have a winning day?
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  That is the goal. So that being said, I want to
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  start off with some WNBA because WNBAI think we've only made a
• 5:00
  few plays so far this this season.
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  But I don't want to overlook it because WNBA to me is a great
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  opportunity to take advantage of kind of a niche market.
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  Obviously with the rise of Caitlin Clark and the interest
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  in Caitlin Clark and Angel Reese, WNBA is really on the
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  rise here. But it's still kind of a smaller
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  market. Obviously the attendance is up,
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  but if you look at the betting market, it is rising, but it
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  still pales way in comparison to the other sports here.
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  So with WNBAI want to take advantage of the way the market
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  is moving because typically if you see line moves in sports
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  like the WNBA or Canadian Football League or some of these
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  niche sports that are lower bet, you got to think, hey, the
• 5:37
  public may not be betting any sports, but wise guys, wise gals
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  are probably betting them moving numbers.
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  So to me the line moves are even more important.
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  Also, we have Rhythm to help us here and Rhythm does a great job
• 5:48
  of powering this pod. If you haven't done it yet, I
• 5:50
  want you to go sign up for that free seven day rhythm trial.
• 5:54
  Rhythm is fantastic with AI backed models and projections.
• 5:58
  And I'm going to tell you again about a new feature that Rhythm
• 6:01
  is going to unveil shortly, which is in play here for our
• 6:04
  bet for tonight. So there are two games, say
• 6:07
  there's actually an early game that just ended Wings and Sky.
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  But I'm going to look at the game here tonight, 7:00 the LA
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  Sparks and the New York Liberty. Now on the surface, this looks
• 6:15
  like a huge mismatch. Sparks are four and 11.
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  Liberty are 12:00 and 3:00. So Sparks stink, Liberty are
• 6:21
  great. Huge number here.
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  Liberty Open is around a 14 point favorite.
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  They're now up to -15 So looks like there is some money here on
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  Liberty here to just, you know, have a big blowout winning
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  cover. But I'm going to focus on the
• 6:33
  total. There's one thing that I noticed
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  about this total that just automatically jumped out to me.
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  It's risen quite a bit. It opened as low as 162 1/2.
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  It's now been bet up to 165 1/2. Sort off the bat, 3 point
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  adjustment line ticked up tells us that there was a lot of smart
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  money as soon as this line opened and even after it opened,
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  you get a 162 and a half, 63 and a half 64 1/2 boom.
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  It's been getting hit, hit, hit with no buy back.
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  I even see a couple shops that are closer to 166, so the line
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  has gone up with no buyback. Right off the bat, I got alarm
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  bells here saying hey, we got some smart money coming in on
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  the over high scoring game. Hopefully.
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  Then I go to the bet splits. Great bet splits here.
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  If you look at the percentage of tickets or bets, that's where we
• 7:16
  can identify where the public is.
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  The majority of just raw tickets or wagers, only 52% of bets are
• 7:23
  taking the over. So it's basically 5050 down the
• 7:25
  middle. But what is one thing that I've
• 7:27
  taught you guys over the years, 5050 line moves.
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  That's when the betting line has an adjustment, even though the
• 7:33
  tickets are Even so you would think 5050 no reason for the
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  odds makers to move the line. Theoretically you have even
• 7:39
  action both sides. You know you shouldn't expect a
• 7:41
  line move one way or the other. But when you have 5050 bets
• 7:44
  splits, yet the line moves tells us that even though the public
• 7:47
  is undecided, wise guy or wise gal money has taken a position
• 7:51
  and move the number. So I'm getting at here is for
• 7:53
  the sparks and the liberty tonight.
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  Only 52% of bets are going with the over, but 87% of the money
• 8:00
  the handle is on the over. So that is a massive plus. 35%
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  smart money discrepancy. Again, only half the tickets,
• 8:08
  but nearly nine out of $10 are on the over and that coincides
• 8:11
  with this rise here in the total.
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  So again, lines rising, Smart money over, great bet split.
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  Smart money over. Liberty, by the way, are
• 8:20
  averaging 87 points per game. That's the second most in the
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  WNBA. Sparks are are down the list a
• 8:25
  bit. They're 10th.
• 8:26
  They're 77 points a game, but a couple other reasons like this
• 8:29
  other one is in terms of pace, so tempo, how quickly do you get
• 8:33
  up and down the court? Liberty are ranked 5th in pace.
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  The Sparks are ranked 7th. So basically, you know, top half
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  here in terms of pace. Liberty in particular, they're
• 8:42
  number one in the WNBA in three-point attempts per game.
• 8:46
  If you're a Celtics fan, Joe, Joe Missoula once said that 3
• 8:48
  point attempts per game is the most important stat in
• 8:50
  basketball, which agree to disagree.
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  But anyway, the average 29 attempts per game, so more
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  attempts at shooting threes more makes, you know, theoretically
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  more points. Liberty are also #2 and free
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  throw percentage 84%. So if you get fouled, go to the
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  line, make your free throws. Also, I have a system match
• 9:08
  here, overs that are on the rise.
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  So if you see the total go up at least a .1 full point, take the
• 9:14
  over. It's very simple.
• 9:15
  But it's 21 and 13 this year, 62% with a 20% ROI.
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  So what does that tell us? It tells us that hey, when you
• 9:22
  see the total tick up, you know so far the proof is in the
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  pudding. Total rises.
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  These overs have been coming through and then lastly, to put
• 9:31
  a little bow and ribbon, a little cherry on top for this
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  total, I pop open my rhythm app again, who is who are the best
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  around when it comes to AI backed pics and props?
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  But rhythm for a projection here, the AI backed model is
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  projecting 166.9, so we can round that up to 167.
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  So if we're going over 165 1/2, that means we need 166.
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  And again, there are some 166 out there, but shop around.
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  The 1515165 and a half is available.
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  Make sure you have multiple outs.
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  And again, today's a slow day, not a lot of action.
• 10:05
  So if you've been waiting to open up that extra account so
• 10:08
  you can shop around, today is not a bad day to do that.
• 10:11
  But 166.9, that gives us a tiny little edge here, about 1 1/2
• 10:15
  point edge to the total. And then lastly, the new Rhythm
• 10:20
  AI community model. So I've been going back and
• 10:23
  forth with my guy Brian, who is the brains behind Rhythm.
• 10:26
  He said, hey, I got this new feature you want to beta test.
• 10:28
  I said you're damn right I want to beta test it.
• 10:30
  Remember this was the same thing the Celtics under in game five
• 10:33
  where I think 80% of the community was on the under.
• 10:37
  Well, if you look at this total AI community model, 72.5% of
• 10:42
  people who have a Rhythm account and have created a model have
• 10:45
  the model pointing to the over. So again, I tried to make this
• 10:49
  point the other day, but like when you see as a contrarian
• 10:52
  80%, seventy 2.5%, automatically your brain says, hey, that is a
• 10:56
  majority number and that's a bad thing.
• 10:58
  I don't want to be with the masses.
• 11:00
  But I think you got to look at this a little bit differently.
• 11:02
  People who have a Rhythm account are smart betters who are really
• 11:06
  believers of data, of analytics. And if they're creating models
• 11:10
  based on, you know, a data-driven approach, I want to
• 11:14
  be with these sharp people who have Rhythm accounts.
• 11:16
  I don't want to be against them. So to me, you know, again,
• 11:20
  Celtics game five, under 80% of the under, that was a good sign
• 11:23
  to me. That tells me other smart people
• 11:24
  at Rhythm also had models that are pointing under.
• 11:27
  Well, this is the opposite, but same sort of thing basically
• 11:30
  because 72.5% have the over and the total is rising.
• 11:34
  So tells me smart money or smart betters at Rhythm also like the
• 11:38
  over here. So again, the community model
• 11:40
  feature, I know my guy Gary Garrison is, is scratching and
• 11:43
  clawing, getting ready. Can't wait to get this feature
• 11:46
  here unveiled. It is coming shortly.
• 11:48
  But again, this is just another angle, another reason to love
• 11:50
  rhythm because they're continuously innovating and
• 11:53
  coming up with new sharper ways to win bets.
• 11:55
  But you add it all up here guys, sparks liberty totals risen
• 11:59
  great low bets, higher dollars bet split, good offense, fast
• 12:02
  pace, shoot a lot of threes system match overs that rise a
• 12:06
  point are 62% to the over and a rhythm community and AI
• 12:10
  projected edge or advantage over the sports book.
• 12:13
  So add it all up. Only two bets today.
• 12:15
  First one for me, sparks liberty 7:00 Eastern tonight.
• 12:19
  I'm going sparks liberty over or as we like to say in Boston, the
• 12:23
  ova OVA 165 1/2. Now over to some Major League
• 12:28
  Baseball couple games here to talk about actually just one.
• 12:32
  I didn't want to force it too much, but the one bet that
• 12:35
  caught my eye here for tonight, big match up between the
• 12:39
  Yankees, the New York Yankees and the Baltimore Orioles.
• 12:42
  So to set the stage here we have the rubber match of a three-game
• 12:46
  series. I'm actually holding Baltimore
• 12:48
  over 89 1/2 wins and I got him. I want to say I forgot the
• 12:52
  number, but I happened to win the AL East two and they're
• 12:54
  they're getting close so they're in the running here.
• 12:56
  But anyway, Yankees are 51 and 25.
• 12:59
  They took the opener of this series four to two, cashed as a
• 13:02
  -, 135 home favorite. Orioles, by the way, 48 and 25.
• 13:07
  They won last night. So bounce back with a win seven
• 13:10
  to six and extra innings as a + 125 row dog.
• 13:13
  So for this late afternoon series finale, this is a 4:00
• 13:16
  Eastern start. Orioles are going with lefty
• 13:18
  Cole Irvin, who's six and three with a three-point O3 ERA.
• 13:22
  Yankees, by the way, going with Louise Heel, not Louise Gill,
• 13:25
  Luis heel, Gil nine and one, two point O3 Rai think heel is, I
• 13:30
  want to say a -, 200 favorite for the American League Rook of
• 13:32
  the year. Guy's been great.
• 13:33
  We're going to get back to him in a second.
• 13:34
  What have we seen across the market here?
• 13:37
  Well, you can say, hey, two good teams take the dog, right?
• 13:40
  Baltimore, take the plus money or those are like plus 1:30.
• 13:43
  I'm going to go the other way. I'm going to go Yankees here.
• 13:45
  Looks like a lot of smart money. Hit the Yankees.
• 13:48
  Yankees open as low as -130 now they're up to -145 -, 150.
• 13:53
  So the fact that we have two good teams and yet big steam is
• 13:55
  not on the dog saying hey, equal good teams, might as well take
• 13:59
  the plus money. No, it's going the other way
• 14:01
  toward the Yankees. So Yankees are taking in quite a
• 14:03
  bit of steam. They're getting 81% of bets, but
• 14:06
  almost 85% of dollars telling us we have basically heavy one way
• 14:10
  support for both wise guys and the betting public.
• 14:12
  In addition to that big steam move in their favor.
• 14:15
  Yankees, by the way, they've been great as a chalk favorite.
• 14:18
  They're 40 and 1968% with a 14% ROI.
• 14:22
  That's the second best favorite in Major League Baseball
• 14:26
  favorites off a loss, playing an opponent off a win.
• 14:28
  So kind of buy low, sell high because the Yankees lost last
• 14:31
  night, 239 and one, 5061 percent, 5% ROI.
• 14:36
  Little cherry on top, Nothing crazy here, but Ryan Addison, I
• 14:39
  noticed who's the home play dump.
• 14:40
  He's one of the better home teams or home team on Pier.
• 14:44
  Home teams are winning 58% of the time when Addison is the
• 14:47
  home play dump heel we mentioned previously.
• 14:50
  He's been great this year. 2.16 ERA in three June starts.
• 14:53
  He's only giving up, Giving up four earned runs and 16.2
• 14:57
  innings pitched. New York is 9 and O and Heel's
• 15:00
  last nine starts he has a 1.58 ERA at home versus 2.48 on the
• 15:05
  road. You know, 2.48 on the road,
• 15:07
  That's good too. But he's been even better at
• 15:08
  home. Also, just a match here when 2
• 15:12
  elite teams play each other. I defined elite by having a win
• 15:15
  percentage of 600 or more. Take the favorite, very simple,
• 15:18
  but it's 29 and 2158% with a 4% ROI.
• 15:23
  So that would match here with the Yankees.
• 15:26
  So again, rubber match. Yankees won the opener, dropped
• 15:29
  the second game yesterday. I'm liking them to win this
• 15:32
  series here. Hopefully get to Cole Irvin.
• 15:34
  They've been pretty decent against left-handed pitchers.
• 15:36
  I'm going Yankees shop around. I got New York at -145 so that
• 15:42
  about does it for episode 60 of the all systems go sports
• 15:45
  betting pod. It's a quick one for you today,
• 15:47
  guys, one of those weird Thursdays getaway day.
• 15:50
  Not a ton of action here, but again, I want to make sure that
• 15:53
  we are disciplined, not forcing anything and just playing our
• 15:55
  top matches here. So felt like sparks liberty over
• 15:58
  and the Yankees were our top matches so so we can get both of
• 16:01
  them here for tonight. But anyway, if you enjoy this
• 16:04
  podcast, if you look forward to the pod dropping each day,
• 16:08
  whether you tail or fade or just listen and maybe pick out one or
• 16:12
  two bets to maybe help you get more confidence in a play that
• 16:15
  you've already been leaning on or played.
• 16:17
  Or maybe you, you know, decide to get one little nugget of
• 16:21
  information that sends you over the edge and gives you
• 16:23
  confidence to to fire on a wager, whatever the case may be.
• 16:26
  First off, thank you. Thank you for listening to the
• 16:28
  pod each day. The number of viewers, the
• 16:30
  number of listeners, the the downloads, the follows were up.
• 16:34
  We're rising. So I love to see this community
• 16:36
  grow because again, sports betting is hard.
• 16:38
  It is not easy. Anyone who tells you it's easy,
• 16:40
  Vegas, Dave or whoever, it's not.
• 16:43
  And you guys know that by now. But the fact that we approach
• 16:46
  betting transparently from a data germ perspective makes me
• 16:49
  proud because I think we're doing it the right way.
• 16:51
  But anyway, can you please help me grow this podcast?
• 16:54
  You can do it by doing 2 very simple things.
• 16:57
  One, can you please, please give this podcast a 5 star review.
• 17:01
  It'll only take you 2 seconds, but if you're listening on
• 17:03
  Spotify or iTunes, just click five stars.
• 17:06
  Boom. It'll help us to rake in some
• 17:08
  more likes, some some five star reviews, rise up the ratings,
• 17:12
  the charts. It really goes a long way.
• 17:13
  It's helping grow the pod. Secondly, if you want to just
• 17:16
  recommend it to a friend or maybe give it a follow so you
• 17:20
  can follow the pod and get alerted every time it drops,
• 17:22
  that would also be extremely helpful.
• 17:25
  Of course, if you enjoy the pod from a data-driven perspective,
• 17:28
  you like the breakdowns you notice.
• 17:29
  I don't say I like this team today because oh, this guy's
• 17:32
  great or they're hot. No, we always like games based
• 17:36
  upon the market, not our opinion, but what the market is
• 17:39
  doing, where the money is flowing.
• 17:40
  So if this approach to sports betting speaks to you or you
• 17:44
  feel like you have been getting a little bit better, a little
• 17:46
  bit sharper by listening to the pod, approaching betting maybe a
• 17:49
  little bit differently from a data-driven perspective, looking
• 17:51
  at line movement and system matches and bet splits and going
• 17:55
  contrarian and being on the sharp side and flat betting and
• 17:58
  and not parlaying. If any of that has helped you to
• 18:01
  become a sharper better, then guess what?
• 18:03
  I wrote a book or you can learn more about being a sharp
• 18:06
  data-driven better. It's called the everything guide
• 18:09
  to sports betting. So just go to Amazon.com, type
• 18:11
  in the everything guide to sports betting.
• 18:13
  Pick up a copy for you or for a friend.
• 18:15
  It's got everything I've learned in the industry, how lines are
• 18:17
  set, how and why they move, how to read line movement, how to
• 18:20
  locate sharp action, how to place the bet in person or
• 18:23
  online, how to shop for the best line, how to set up a bankroll
• 18:26
  management plan all included in the everything guide to sports
• 18:29
  betting. So pick one up and when I see at
• 18:31
  the book and actually we're talking about on Saturday night,
• 18:34
  because the the my buddy's wedding is in Milford, we're
• 18:38
  thinking about maybe taking an Uber to Plainridge Park Casino
• 18:41
  and which is one of the one of the three sports books basically
• 18:44
  in Massachusetts. So maybe if I meet you there,
• 18:47
  I'll sign the book and I'll buy you a beer or I'll buy a ginger
• 18:50
  ale if you don't drink. But anyway, guys, that about
• 18:53
  does it for today's pod. Last thing I just want to
• 18:55
  mention after you take the time to download and take advantage
• 18:59
  of the rhythm 7 day free trial again with WNBA, if you're
• 19:03
  betting it or golf, I don't even give golf the do the credit it
• 19:06
  deserves because the AI caddy at rhythm is unbelievable.
• 19:09
  I've noticed a lot of people have been winning.
• 19:11
  It basically gives you a hole by hole.
• 19:12
  It's almost like a live betting approach each hole to take
• 19:15
  advantage of. So if you like golf, another
• 19:17
  great reason to download rhythm. You can also click that link at
• 19:20
  the top of my Twitter page at Josh under score insights or the
• 19:24
  bio description in the pod will have a link for rhythm.
• 19:26
  But also make sure you download the juice Reel 7 day free trial.
• 19:30
  Juice Reel is great in terms of syncing your sports books so you
• 19:33
  can learn more about yourself as a sports better, have a detailed
• 19:37
  breakdown of your performance. And then, of course, you're
• 19:39
  going to get the robo Jackson plays.
• 19:41
  Think they went two and O yesterday.
• 19:42
  So shout out to juice reel arbitrage opportunities, sharp
• 19:46
  mush opportunities all available when you download that juice
• 19:48
  reel app, which is also a custom link in the bio description of
• 19:52
  this pod. But lastly, guys, whether I see
• 19:55
  you at the Borgata in Atlantic City, Twin River in Rhode
• 19:58
  Island, the Brook in New Hampshire, Foxwoods or Mohegan
• 20:00
  Sun down in Connecticut, at the Encore in Boston or Plain Ridge
• 20:03
  Park Casino R.E.M. Jim Springfield in my neck of
• 20:06
  the woods in Massachusetts, We're out in the desert where
• 20:09
  the true grinders get down, where Billy Walters sends his
• 20:11
  number runners where lowest who's possible's found the South
• 20:13
  Point or sweating sharp can train plays jumping in the
• 20:16
  stadium, swim pool at circle. When you catch a big bet,
• 20:19
  wherever it may be, you're going to walk up to me, going to show
• 20:21
  me a few winners from last night.
• 20:23
  Show me an Astros ticket, a Brewers ticket, a Guardians
• 20:25
  ticket. Guess what?
• 20:27
  First one's on me, next one's on you.
• 20:28
  We're going to post about the book Sweat Sharp Contrarian
• 20:31
  plays all night long. So wish you the best of luck,
• 20:33
  everyone. Again, I'm sorry for a a smaller
• 20:36
  than usual slate, but don't want to force it.
• 20:38
  Two bets tonight. See, we can get both of them.
• 20:41
  And my parting words, as always, stay sharp, stay contrarian.
• 20:44
  Bet against the public, place yourself on the side of the
• 20:45
  house. Always be with the smart money,
• 20:47
  never against it. Will smart money win every time?
• 20:50
  Of course not. You know by now that hey,
• 20:52
  betting's hard. It's unpredictable, but it
• 20:54
  doesn't mean it's impossible if we can consistently fearless
• 20:57
  with discipline approach, get down on games that fit our model
• 21:00
  against the public, with the house, with the pros, flat bet,
• 21:04
  avoid parlays, get some closing line value.
• 21:06
  If we can do that, we're going to be successful sports bettors.
• 21:09
  So enjoy the sweats. Everyone have a great thirsty
• 21:11
  Thursday. Be back at it tomorrow,
• 21:13
  hopefully leading off the pod with some UFC biting place for
• 21:17
  this weekend. I'll see you tomorrow for a big
• 21:19
  Friday for episode 61 of the All Systems Go Sports Betting
• 21:23
  podcast powered by Rhythm. Have a great day everybody,
• 21:26
  enjoy your Thursday.