Latest / Parallax Views w/ J.G. Michael
13 Keys to the White House: A Model for Predicting Presidential Elections w/ Allan Lichtman/Russia & Conflict-Related Sexual Violence Crimes w/ Kateryna Busol
On this edition of Parallax Views we've got a double feature. In the first half hour of the program historian Allan Lichtman of American University discusses his The Keys to the White House model for predicting Presidential election. This model has proven extremely robust at getting election predictions right and is based on 13 true/false statements about the candidates and/or their parties preceding the election. According to the model, "If five or fewer of the following statements are false, the incumbent party is predicted to win the election. If six or more are false, the incumbent party…
The skinny
The skinny isn't ready yet — notes appear once the transcript is processed.