Latest / Simply Bitcoin / Bitcoin's Most Dangerous Rally is Happening Right Now! | Truth Block
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- 0:00We have a node on the Bitcoin network right now.
- 0:03US leadership over the long term secures the primacy of the
- 0:07dollar as the reserve currency. The acceleration of war and the
- 0:10acceleration of financial profits go hand in hand.
- 0:13You can't vote to end this bank government Nexus.
- 0:17Bitcoin is rallying of a 50% drawdown and nobody can believe
- 0:21it. With funding rates flat to
- 0:22negative, bears are getting squeezed by spot buyers.
- 0:25Meanwhile, A4 star Admiral told Congress that Bitcoin is a power
- 0:29projection to and confirm the US military is running a node.
- 0:32The same week the Treasury Secretary demanded Congress pass
- 0:35legislation to protect the dollar.
- 0:37Welcome to the most dangerous rally in Bitcoin history.
- 0:40My goal today is to show you what this week actually revealed
- 0:43and why the real danger isn't in the price.
- 0:45It's in what happens when the most powerful institutions on
- 0:48earth realize they can't Co opt the one thing that was built to
- 0:51replace them. This is truth block.
- 0:53I'm Hurley. Let's mind truth.
- 1:02Let's start by talking about what's actually happening here
- 1:04with this Bitcoin rally, because the price move is a bit strange.
- 1:07When Bitcoin rallies on leverage, you see it in the
- 1:09funding rates. Longs pile in, funding goes
- 1:13positive, and the whole thing unwinds.
- 1:15The second sentiment shifts. We've all seen that movie, but
- 1:18this isn't it. Right now, funding is flat to
- 1:20negative. Shorts are paying longs, bears
- 1:24are actively betting against the move and getting squeezed by
- 1:27spot buyers who just don't care. As Checkmate put it, this is a
- 1:31setup we haven't really seen before and it gets more
- 1:33interesting when you zoom out. Since the start of the US Israel
- 1:36conflict with Iran, Bitcoin has been quietly outperforming gold.
- 1:40The Bitcoin to gold ratio just bounced off its lowest RSI
- 1:43reading in history. And every time that's happened
- 1:45before, it marked the start of a multi year bull run.
- 1:48So it sure looks like the bottom is in and this rally is real.
- 1:51But take a look at the world it's rallying into.
- 1:54The UAE told the Trump administration through the Wall
- 1:56Street Journal that if they don't get dollar swap lines,
- 1:59they'll start transacting oil in yuan.
- 2:02Now if you don't know what swap lines are, they're basically
- 2:04emergency credit lines where the Fed lends U.S. dollars to
- 2:07foreign central banks so those countries can keep settling
- 2:09trade in dollars. So when a country like the UAE
- 2:12says give us the swap lines or we trade in yuan, they're saying
- 2:16out loud, we have options. Now that's a direct shot at
- 2:19dollar hegemony. Meanwhile, head of the European
- 2:22Central Bank, Christine Lagarde, is warning about food rationing
- 2:251/3 of the world's fertilizer ships through the Strait of
- 2:27Hormuz, which is sitting in the middle of a conflict zone right
- 2:30now. And the US is on what Jeff Ross
- 2:32is calling wartime economic footing, which is spending like
- 2:35the economy depends on it because it does.
- 2:38OK, so that's the backdrop. Now, let me show you what
- 2:41happened in Washington. Treasury Secretary Scott Besson
- 2:43sat in front of the Senate Appropriations Committee this
- 2:45week and demanded that Congress pass the CLARITY Act.
- 2:48Now, Congress already passed the GENIUS Act.
- 2:51That's the stable coin focus legislation.
- 2:53The CLARITY Act is broader. It's the full digital asset
- 2:56market structure framework. And Besson wants it done.
- 2:58But listen to how he frames it, not why digital assets matter,
- 3:02why they matter to the dollar. Can you talk about why it's so
- 3:05important that Congress pass digital asset legislation?
- 3:11Senator, when the United States leads in best practices, safety
- 3:16and soundness in the financial world, whether it's our banking
- 3:21system, the our securities or now digital assets, it's
- 3:26important for the US to lead for several reasons.
- 3:29One US leadership over the long term secures the primacy of the
- 3:34dollar as the reserve currency. 2 The our best practices will
- 3:40emanate to the rest of the world because what had happened is did
- 3:44digital assets were in dark unregulated places and they will
- 3:50come into the US and we will be able to use our anti money
- 3:56laundering and the KYC and have a much better handle on digital
- 4:04assets the both for payments. And I think this is going to be
- 4:08a very important payment rail. And again the the US has to lead
- 4:13here. We are the technological leader
- 4:15in the world. We should be the payments leader
- 4:17in the world. Did you catch it?
- 4:19US leadership secures the primacy of the dollar as the
- 4:22reserve currency. Not freedom, not sovereignty,
- 4:25not sound money. Dollar primacy.
- 4:28That's the whole game. Every move this administration
- 4:31has made on digital assets, the stable coin push, the regulatory
- 4:34framework, the Clarity Act, it all makes sense when you see it
- 4:37through that one lens. They're not adopting Bitcoin.
- 4:40They're trying to build a regulatory Moat around the
- 4:42dollar in a world that's looking for exits.
- 4:45The monetary order is changing. They know it.
- 4:47And Besson just told you the plan.
- 4:49But we need to slow down here because the question isn't just
- 4:51whether the dollar keeps its throne.
- 4:53The question is what the monetary system has already done
- 4:56to us, to our communities, to the things that used to hold
- 4:59people together. Natalie Smolensky is an
- 5:00anthropologist, a software executive and the editor of the
- 5:04Satoshi papers. And when Natalie Brunell asked
- 5:06her what happened, why America feels so different now, why
- 5:09community has fallen apart, why it feels like nobody cares
- 5:13anymore, Smolensky didn't start with politics.
- 5:15She went somewhere deeper. I think there are a number of
- 5:19factors. There's a sense in which there's
- 5:22been a fundamental, I mean there have been fundamental
- 5:26transformations and in the structure of the family in
- 5:31religious practice. The third spaces, you know, that
- 5:35people used to go to that weren't work or home have for
- 5:39many people gone away or they've they've become a lot of
- 5:43additional work, discretionary effort that they don't have the
- 5:47time to do. Financial procuritization, a
- 5:51debt economy, a sense of institutions scaling up.
- 5:58So like, let's say college, you know, universities, these are
- 6:03these are often when you raise children in the United States,
- 6:07or at least this used to be the case.
- 6:09Their trajectory was to go through, you know, education,
- 6:13make it to college and then, you know, find a career.
- 6:17These these institutions which you know, used to be much
- 6:21smaller, have a lot less capital, were nevertheless able
- 6:27to afford a kind of care of the soul of the children or the
- 6:32young people coming there. That is no longer the case.
- 6:34Now they're factories, they have customers, they're, you know,
- 6:38hedge funds, maybe with educational institutions
- 6:41attached to them. So I think that there's been a
- 6:47financialization of everything and an erosion of local
- 6:52communities and local power that together have created this
- 6:57precarious dystopia. Notice what she names alongside
- 7:01the financial factors? The decline of religious
- 7:03worship. We don't talk about this enough
- 7:05in Bitcoin circles because it makes people uncomfortable, But
- 7:08she's naming something upstream of even the money.
- 7:11When a society stops orienting itself around something
- 7:13transcendent, the state fills that vacuum.
- 7:16The government becomes the highest authority, the central
- 7:19bank becomes the priest, and the money becomes the sacrament.
- 7:23You worship what you trust, and when God leaves the picture, you
- 7:27end up trusting Caesar. That's not a new observation.
- 7:30That's as old as civilization. But it matters here because Fiat
- 7:33money doesn't just debase your savings, it debases the social
- 7:36order that money was supposed to serve.
- 7:38The community erosion Smolensky is talking about didn't happen
- 7:41in a vacuum. It happened because we built a
- 7:43system that financializes everything it touches, including
- 7:47the things that used to hold us together.
- 7:49So if spiritual and cultural erosion is the root, Smolensky
- 7:53then connects it to the machine that drives it.
- 7:55It seems like the financialization of the world or
- 8:00the economy seems to be going hand in hand with an
- 8:03acceleration of warfare. And how are these things
- 8:06possibly connected? Well, I think one of the
- 8:10intuitions that many Bitcoiners had, which has been proven out
- 8:14is that there's, there's something about the relationship
- 8:17between bank and state that isn't good for the people.
- 8:23And you know, the, the nature of that problem has been described
- 8:28in various ways. But I think at root the the
- 8:32issue is that once once banks historically consolidated as
- 8:41protectors of commodities and facilitators of exchange, they
- 8:45were in a position to issue credit and bank credit.
- 8:48Who's, you know, the biggest customer for bank credit
- 8:51governments. And what do they use bank credit
- 8:54for? Largely to wage war, which in
- 8:57turn the banks profit off of. And So what we've seen over the
- 9:03last few 100 years is this kind of social ratchet effect where
- 9:07you have these two institutions, banks which control the money,
- 9:11governments which control violence.
- 9:13And they're mutually in, in this like symbiotic relationship
- 9:17where they're all profiting. And So what does that lead to?
- 9:21It leads not only to war, but to the proliferation of credit,
- 9:26asymmetric, asymmetrically of course, through the Canteon
- 9:29effect. So that generates high
- 9:33inflation, makes saving impossible, and and also creates
- 9:41volatility, high asset volatility, which in turn is an
- 9:46opportunity for those with insider knowledge to profit.
- 9:51And so the acceleration of war and the acceleration of
- 9:54financial profits go hand in hand.
- 9:57They are tied together. And the challenge that Americans
- 10:01have right now is that it's not possible to solve this problem
- 10:08by voting it away anywhere in the near term.
- 10:12Like you can't vote to end this bank government Nexus.
- 10:18The the most effective thing you can do is take back financial
- 10:24sovereignty and actually as an individual be your own bank
- 10:29without an intermediary. And that's why obviously
- 10:33governments don't don't like this because their entire model
- 10:36falls apart. Banks control the money,
- 10:38governments control violence, and they're mutually in this
- 10:41symbiotic relationship where they're all profiting.
- 10:44That's not a conspiracy theory. That's just how the incentives
- 10:47work. And the part that should land
- 10:48hardest? You can't vote your way out of
- 10:50it because this Nexus operates below the level that elections
- 10:54reach. The ratchet only turns One
- 10:56Direction. More credit, more inflation,
- 10:59more war, more concentration of power, and the cantelon effect.
- 11:03Make sure that people closest to the money printer benefit first
- 11:06while everyone else eats the cost.
- 11:08That is the system Scott Besson is trying to preserve.
- 11:11When he says dollar primacy, that's what he means when you
- 11:13follow it all the way down. But here's where the story takes
- 11:16an unexpected turn. In 2023, AUS Space Force officer
- 11:20named Jason Lowry submitted his master's thesis at MIT calling
- 11:24it soft war, and the argument was pretty radical.
- 11:27In Lowry's eyes. Bitcoin is not primarily money,
- 11:29it's a power projection technology.
- 11:32Proof of work is the first system that imposes real
- 11:34physical cost in cyberspace. Energy that can't be faked,
- 11:38can't be games, can't be overridden by some
- 11:41administrator. In his view, that makes Bitcoin
- 11:43a strategic security system, not just a financial network.
- 11:47The thesis was very controversial in the Bitcoin
- 11:49space for obvious reasons. But then, mysteriously, Lowry
- 11:52went dark. The book was pulled from print
- 11:54with no explanation. I'll let you draw your own
- 11:56conclusions about what happens when a military officer argues
- 11:59Bitcoin is a national security technology and then goes quiet.
- 12:04Now Fast forward to this week. An Admiral Samuel Pappero, 4
- 12:07star commander of US Indo Pacific Command, testified
- 12:10before the Senate that Bitcoin shows incredible potential as a
- 12:14tool for national security. Sounds a lot like Lowry, doesn't
- 12:16it? The next day he sat down in
- 12:18front of the House Armed Services Committee and he went
- 12:21even further. Admiral Papparo, yesterday you
- 12:24testified that Bitcoin held potential as a tool for national
- 12:28security. Recent research from the Bitcoin
- 12:30Policy Institute estimates China has approximately 194,000
- 12:36bitcoins, while the United States has approximately 328,000
- 12:40bitcoins. In this era of digital
- 12:43competition, would it be to our strategic advantage to maintain
- 12:46a lead in this regard as we do with other strategic resources
- 12:49like gold and oil? Sir, our interest in Bitcoin is
- 12:54as a tool of cryptography, a blockchain and reusable proof of
- 12:58work, as an additional tool to secure networks and to project
- 13:03power. And so I am, I think this
- 13:06protocol is here to stay. I think the computer science of
- 13:10it has direct implications for the projection of power, not
- 13:15financial, but from a computer science standpoints, from the
- 13:19securing of networks. And so I am supportive of those
- 13:23applications. All instruments of national
- 13:26power are important, but from the military application
- 13:28standpoint, my interest in Bitcoin is as a computer science
- 13:32tool as projection of power. I appreciate that I agree with
- 13:36you, and I'd also like to hear your thoughts on monetary
- 13:38competition over the coming decades.
- 13:41What role does Bitcoin play in spreading digital property
- 13:44rights? Well, I, I, you know, people use
- 13:47Bitcoin today, right now to protect their own intellectual
- 13:51property. And that's the reusable proof of
- 13:54work protocol that's combined with blockchain for
- 13:57accountability and cryptography for security.
- 14:01And so that's the role that I see for it.
- 14:04I see direct national security implications.
- 14:06And then I'm supportive for anything that maintains our own
- 14:11dollar dominance worldwide. I appreciate that.
- 14:15Do you think we're adequate, adequately prepared to counter
- 14:18China's strategic direction regarding digital assets?
- 14:22I think that our recent act with the Genius Act is a great step
- 14:26forward that moves us in that direction and I'll.
- 14:29Lastly, I'll ask you, as we continue to craft the NDAA, what
- 14:32authorities and resources does Indo Paycom need to address as
- 14:37respects the national security dimensions of digital assets?
- 14:41Presently we're in experimentation, so I'll give
- 14:43you a deeper look into that. Presently we have a node on the
- 14:47Bitcoin network. Right now we're not mining
- 14:50Bitcoin, we're using it to monitor and we're going to,
- 14:52we're doing a number of operational tests to to secure
- 14:56and protect networks using the Big Call Bitcoin protocol.
- 15:00I appreciate that, Admiral. Thank you.
- 15:02I yield back, Mr. Chairman. The United States military is
- 15:04running a Bitcoin node. Let that sink in.
- 15:07They're not studying it, not running a report.
- 15:10They're running the software, performing operational tests,
- 15:13using the Bitcoin protocol to secure and protect networks.
- 15:16The software thesis just walked into the Congressional Record in
- 15:19military uniform. And the coolest thing?
- 15:22The node the US military is running is identical to yours
- 15:25and mine, or the one some kid is running out of his mom's
- 15:27basement right now. Same software, same rules, same
- 15:30transactions being verified. It doesn't matter if you're a
- 15:33four-star Admiral running the largest military command on
- 15:35earth or you're stacking stats from your living room, Your node
- 15:39has the same power as theirs. Nobody gets a special version.
- 15:42That's Bitcoin. Now let's think about the game
- 15:44theory here. If the US military is running a
- 15:47node, who else is? China's central think tank
- 15:49already published research on Bitcoin as a strategic asset.
- 15:52This pressure is not theoretical anymore.
- 15:55Nation state adoption isn't coming from the financial system
- 15:57down. It's coming from the military
- 15:59up. So the game theory is real.
- 16:02The military sees it. The treasury sees it.
- 16:04But here's the complication. And this is where you need to
- 16:07listen carefully, because what they're building may not be what
- 16:10you think it is. Stable coins are they're
- 16:12interesting. I mean, they're they can be
- 16:15likened to different types of like commercial money bank, it
- 16:22bank created money, bank issued money.
- 16:25You know, they've been called crypto dollars by some to liken
- 16:30them to the euro dollar, for example.
- 16:33They're a source of demand for U.S.
- 16:35Treasuries. So some some people like them
- 16:39for that reason. But they, I mean, they're
- 16:44ultimately still connected in with the central banking system
- 16:51that is a part of this ratchet effect of war and inflation.
- 16:57And so they can only do so much. They're they're not a self
- 17:01sovereign technology. They don't promise the same kind
- 17:04of individual empowerment that let's say a Bitcoin does.
- 17:10And they are a path to CBDC's for, for many countries,
- 17:15including in the United States, the same, the same technologies
- 17:18you use to implement stable coins can and likely will be
- 17:22used to create a CBDC. And so there's no there's no
- 17:28expecting bank and state to police themselves to limit their
- 17:33own power. Whatever they can do, they will
- 17:36do. And so the individual now has
- 17:38the responsibility. Whatever they can do, they must
- 17:43do. I know most of you already know
- 17:45this, but stable coins are not sovereignty, they're dollar
- 17:48hegemony with a blockchain wrapper.
- 17:50As Smolensky makes clear, the same technologies used to build
- 17:52stable coins can and will be used to build the CBDC.
- 17:55Besson already told you the goal Dollar primacy, not your
- 17:59freedom. And Brian Armstrong, the CEO of
- 18:01Coinbase, is still out there calling stablecoins the best
- 18:04form of money while knowing full well that Bitcoin solves the
- 18:07problem stablecoins are pretending to solve.
- 18:09But stablecoins make Coinbase money.
- 18:12Bitcoin in cold storage doesn't. So what are we actually looking
- 18:15at here? The monetary order that's held
- 18:17since Bretton Woods is breaking down.
- 18:19The UAE is threatening to price oil in yuan. the US military is
- 18:22quietly running Bitcoin, notes the Treasury Secretary just told
- 18:25Congress. The quiet part out loud in the
- 18:27cultural decay that people feel every day.
- 18:30The loss of community, the financialization of everything.
- 18:34The wars nobody voted for. Smolensky showed us that none of
- 18:37that is random. It's downstream of a monetary
- 18:39system that turns everything it touches into a financial
- 18:42product, including the things that used to hold us together.
- 18:45And in the middle of all that, Bitcoin just rallied 35% off its
- 18:48lows on nothing but spot demand. This is the most hated rally in
- 18:52Bitcoin history. So what does this tell you?
- 18:54It tells you that the vote is already happening.
- 18:56Not at the ballot box, but on chain.
- 18:59People are slowly choosing to exit 1 SAT at a time.
- 19:02But here's the part that's not mentioned enough.
- 19:04Buying Bitcoin is not the whole answer.
- 19:07Smolensky named something real when she talked about the
- 19:09erosion of community. The monetary system broke the
- 19:11social fabric. Fixing the money doesn't
- 19:13automatically stitch it back together again.
- 19:15That part's on us. It's local, it's face to face.
- 19:19It's showing up for your neighbors, your church, your
- 19:22community. The unglamorous actual work of
- 19:24rebuilding trust from the ground up, peer-to-peer, the way
- 19:27Bitcoin does it, the way we used to do it.
- 19:29The most dangerous rally in Bitcoin history isn't dangerous
- 19:32because of the price. It's dangerous because it's real
- 19:35and real things. Real money, real community, real
- 19:38conviction. That's what the current system
- 19:40can't survive. But now I want to hear from you.
- 19:44What's the most important thing you've done to build community
- 19:47outside of Bitcoin? Did the Admiral Paparo testimony
- 19:50change how you think about Bitcoin's role?
- 19:52Leave your thoughts in the comments below.
- 19:53And if you're still here, don't forget to like the video and
- 19:56share it with someone whose news feed doesn't give them the full
- 19:58picture. And if you haven't already,
- 20:00subscribe to the Simply Bitcoin channel so you don't miss the
- 20:03next one. Have a great weekend everyone,
- 20:05and I'll catch you on Monday.