Latest / Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation / CFB DFS - WEEK 5 | Saturday Slate | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process

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CFB DFS - WEEK 5 | Saturday Slate | DraftKings DFS Picks, Plays and Process · Daily Fantasy Sports by Ship It Nation

0:09
Speaker 1: All systems go. Clear for liftoff.
0:41
Speaker 2: Week five is here, and Minnesota's on a slate with
0:45
Speaker 2: Big Noon Saturday coming to the Twin Cities. What's going on, everybody?
0:50
Speaker 2: Welcome to the Ship It Nation college football preview show.
0:52
Speaker 2: My name's Bill. Put a dollar in front of it.
0:53
Speaker 2: You'll find me on Twitter slash X. And with me today,
0:57
Speaker 2: I have my good friend and colleague at Ship It Nation, Ian.
1:00
Speaker 2: I am Robbins. What's going on, Ian? We got both
1:03
Speaker 2: of our teams on the slate this Saturday.
1:05
Speaker 1: Yeah, both riding high after massive wins last week. You know,
1:09
Speaker 1: another good Saturday. You know, we're well into the thick
1:12
Speaker 1: of things with college football here. Conference play, hit in October. Really,
1:18
Speaker 1: really exciting time, you know, starting to get a picture
1:20
Speaker 1: about some of these teams. It's the best time, best
1:23
Speaker 1: time of year for it right here.
1:25
Speaker 2: Absolutely. More data. It's more data is what we love.
1:29
Speaker 2: Our good friend Kenny is not with us today. He
1:31
Speaker 2: was very bitter that Nebraska wasn't included on the slate.
1:33
Speaker 2: I think that's the reason he couldn't make it. No,
1:36
Speaker 2: but we are pre-recording. Obviously, this is not live. I'm
1:39
Speaker 2: on the road. Kenny's unable to make it. We had
1:41
Speaker 2: to switch some things around, but we're going to be
1:43
Speaker 2: here regardless. And before we get into college football, I
1:46
Speaker 2: do want to talk about Ship It Nation, as we
1:48
Speaker 2: do every week, you know, I've talked about the NFL-only
1:51
Speaker 2: package all week, one of the best deals in all
1:53
Speaker 2: of fantasy sports. I've talked about the Ship It Games,
1:56
Speaker 2: one of the coolest things that only Ship It Nation
1:58
Speaker 2: is doing. You can just get college football if you
2:01
Speaker 2: want it, less than a dollar a day. Or, hey,
2:03
Speaker 2: look at the border. Look up there, and I think
2:06
Speaker 2: a little that way. I don't know if this mirrors
2:07
Speaker 2: or not. Five days for 19 bucks with code SHIP19
2:10
Speaker 2: if you just want to try us out. But NHL
2:13
Speaker 2: season has started. It sneaks up on me every year.
2:16
Speaker 2: they've added two games this year, but we added a
2:19
Speaker 2: new line combos page to help along with our slate station,
2:22
Speaker 2: along with the stone, along with the 2.0, just all
2:25
Speaker 2: of the information you need. And I think we've already
2:27
Speaker 2: had some big winners. It's been like three days of
2:30
Speaker 2: NHL and the community's already raving about this page. It's
2:34
Speaker 2: going to flag the lines in question and, I don't
2:37
Speaker 2: know how much crossover we have between college football fans
2:39
Speaker 2: and hockey fans when it comes to DFS. But as
2:42
Speaker 2: a nerd, I love this stuff. I love having all
2:45
Speaker 2: of this information in one place. So if you've been
2:48
Speaker 2: waiting for winter sports, they are officially here and we
2:51
Speaker 2: have you covered at Ship It Nation. But let's get
2:53
Speaker 2: to the reason we are all here today. College football
2:57
Speaker 2: week five. Starting off with a banger, Alabama, Mississippi State,
3:02
Speaker 2: a clash of SEC teams that I think have gotten
3:05
Speaker 2: better as the season's gone on. Keelan Russell is one
3:08
Speaker 2: of those guys. Seems like he's finding his groove. And
3:11
Speaker 2: Mississippi State's defenses look good against non-mobile quarterbacks. Lenora Sellers
3:16
Speaker 2: had a solid showing. And Russell has the upside, both
3:20
Speaker 2: yards and touchdowns. But his passing has looked better, too,
3:24
Speaker 2: with a 33-point team total, even at 8,800. The upside
3:27
Speaker 2: is there. I'm personally not touching this running back room
3:29
Speaker 2: until somebody emerges. It seems like Daniel Hill is the
3:32
Speaker 2: number one, but it's such a low volume. But the
3:36
Speaker 2: wide receivers, Ryan Coleman-Williams had a monster game last week.
3:41
Speaker 2: He did have two touchdowns, but he was also two
3:43
Speaker 2: yards away from the 100-yard bonus. And then Lazier Brooks
3:47
Speaker 2: had an eight-catch, 100-yard game a couple weeks ago, so
3:49
Speaker 2: the volume's been there for him. On a slate that's
3:52
Speaker 2: starved for value, Rico Scott doesn't even look bad at 3,911
3:56
Speaker 2: targets over the last two games. And then the Mississippi
3:58
Speaker 2: State side, they've just been completely locked in all year.
4:01
Speaker 2: And now we're getting a little discount on Super Camario.
4:05
Speaker 2: Absolute stud all year. Alabama allowed Ashton Daniels to throw
4:09
Speaker 2: for 377 yards. I don't think I need to elaborate
4:12
Speaker 2: much more on that. Fluff Bothwell, the spotlight's been on
4:16
Speaker 2: Taylor all year, but he's just casually on pace for
4:18
Speaker 2: a 1,200-yard nine touchdown season. Nobody knows about it because
4:22
Speaker 2: everybody's talking about Camario. And one other thing, he had
4:26
Speaker 2: 31 touches against Missouri between rushes and receptions. And Matt
4:30
Speaker 2: Fuller had a five-reception game and ran for six a
4:34
Speaker 2: carry against this team. So I.
4:39
Speaker 2: Fluff is on my radar at 7,100. And then in
4:41
Speaker 2: the wide receiver room, you could argue this has been
4:44
Speaker 2: the best collective of pass catchers as a whole. With
4:48
Speaker 2: Anthony Evans, still sub-K. He's the number one. But you
4:51
Speaker 2: got Sanfrisco McGee, who's got the touchdown upside. Marquise Johnson
4:55
Speaker 2: and Zion Reagans, both on the field a ton and
4:59
Speaker 2: provide a little bit of value. But I mean, a
5:03
Speaker 2: long-winded way of saying this game is super juicy from
5:06
Speaker 2: a DFS perspective right off the bat.
5:10
Speaker 1: One of our highest totals on the slate, no doubt
5:11
Speaker 1: about it. Two quarterbacks that really are star-studded quarterbacks. You know,
5:15
Speaker 1: guys who are very well, very well much in the
5:18
Speaker 1: mix to be in the Heisman Trophy finalist ceremony in
5:22
Speaker 1: New York at the end of the season. Keelan Russell
5:24
Speaker 1: maybe has been, you know, one of the top few quarterbacks,
5:29
Speaker 1: top few players in the league last few weeks, in
5:31
Speaker 1: the nation last few weeks, really. His upside is massive.
5:34
Speaker 1: He's a true dual threat. His passing game was a
5:36
Speaker 1: little bit behind the running game, but that's caught up
5:39
Speaker 1: a little bit. You mentioned Ryan Coleman-Williams. He had two
5:42
Speaker 1: touchdowns and 98 yards out. Most of that damage was
5:44
Speaker 1: done in the first half when they ran up the score.
5:47
Speaker 1: He's really been coming on. Keep in mind, his freshman year,
5:51
Speaker 1: he was side-by-side with Jeremiah Smith coming out, and he struggled.
5:55
Speaker 1: Certainly not nearly the same caliber of player, but he's
5:59
Speaker 1: got some massive pedigree. Now with Keelan Russell doing his thing, um,
6:03
Speaker 1: don't definitely have some upside there. Um, so definitely interesting
6:07
Speaker 1: side to take note of there on the road with
6:09
Speaker 1: the cowbells, uh, getting loud Mississippi state, just find ways
6:13
Speaker 1: to win as they do find ways. Uh, well, super Camario, man,
6:17
Speaker 1: does anybody throw a better deep ball than him?
6:18
Speaker 2: Uh, he's been good this.
6:21
Speaker 1: Year, man. He's He hasn't been running the same way
6:25
Speaker 1: he was. He put up a monster running game against
6:28
Speaker 1: your boys up in Minnesota, but I think defense is
6:31
Speaker 1: in the conference especially trying to contain him a little bit.
6:33
Speaker 1: But he's just been airing it out and making that known.
6:35
Speaker 1: But you mentioned Fluff. Really, really solid play. Solid floor,
6:39
Speaker 1: solid upside kind of guy. Anthony Evans is a guy
6:41
Speaker 1: I want to single out here. Anthony Evans has just
6:44
Speaker 1: been one of the, outside of Jeremiah Smith, one of
6:48
Speaker 1: the best receivers in the country. We talk about Super Mario.
6:52
Speaker 1: Anthony Evans has been the number one guy. You know,
6:54
Speaker 1: they throw it to him underneath. They throw it to
6:55
Speaker 1: him deep. He makes catches. He makes run after catches.
6:58
Speaker 1: He's tough. He gets touchdowns. Evans is having an amazing
7:03
Speaker 1: year on the heels of the passing attack of Mario Taylor.
7:07
Speaker 1: And this game just screams everything for me. One-off guys,
7:09
Speaker 1: I think, in receiver rooms. Evans and Coleman, you could
7:12
Speaker 1: start your lineups there. I think both quarterbacks are massively
7:15
Speaker 1: in play for a single entry in cash. You know,
7:17
Speaker 1: I think the floor and upside is there for both
7:19
Speaker 1: guys there. Pretty fairly priced at 8K. You know, it's
7:22
Speaker 1: a pretty fairly priced slate, as you alluded to. Definitely
7:26
Speaker 1: want to find a way to get some pieces of
7:27
Speaker 1: this game in here. Really exciting game. Really good game.
7:30
Speaker 1: You know, Mississippi State wins this game. Look out. That
7:33
Speaker 1: hype train will be massive for Kamara Taylor.
7:36
Speaker 2: Yeah, and there's already been talk in our Discord group
7:39
Speaker 2: about Mississippi State handing Texas their first loss of the season.
7:43
Speaker 2: Like Mississippi State and Florida are both in that conversation
7:46
Speaker 2: right now, right? So we'll get to Florida later. Yeah,
7:50
Speaker 2: definitely a great game to start off. Not as good
7:53
Speaker 2: of a game. We're going to drop off a little bit.
7:55
Speaker 2: UCF at Houston. UCF is a big underdog on the road.
8:00
Speaker 2: Keewon Jenkins, I think, is on the report, but it's probable.
8:03
Speaker 2: I don't know if we care.
8:07
Speaker 1: I don't know.
8:08
Speaker 2: I don't know if I can touch this UCF side.
8:10
Speaker 2: Duke Watson is probably 2%. too high priced. And then
8:13
Speaker 2: these wide receivers, Dylan Wade's on the report, but nobody's
8:16
Speaker 2: really emerged as the wide receiver one. We thought it
8:19
Speaker 2: would be Derry. Then it looked like it was Wade
8:21
Speaker 2: and Charles. There's 20 points here. So if you can
8:24
Speaker 2: find a more power to you, you're going to get
8:26
Speaker 2: a huge ownership discount on most of these guys. On
8:29
Speaker 2: the Houston side, Connor Wegman, 8,400. It seems like he
8:34
Speaker 2: should be more expensive. We know what he does. He
8:37
Speaker 2: can throw it. He can run it. Man, like Texas
8:39
Speaker 2: A & M could really use a quarterback like him.
8:41
Speaker 1: Explain that joke.
8:46
Speaker 2: Yeah. I mean, college football fans know. I actually got
8:50
Speaker 2: to give credit to Kenny for that one. Our good
8:52
Speaker 2: friend Hamhock brought it up and just, yeah. Well, A
8:59
Speaker 2: & M is not on the slate. We can talk
9:00
Speaker 2: about them another time, but Hughes and Sanford kind of
9:03
Speaker 2: own this backfield. We can see both get double digit carries.
9:05
Speaker 2: We can see both hit the hundred yard bonus. Like
9:08
Speaker 2: it's just, Pick which one you want if you want
9:11
Speaker 2: to play this backfield. On a 12-game slate, it's tough
9:14
Speaker 2: to play both, but I think you can. I'm okay
9:18
Speaker 2: with either one. And then the wide receivers, same sort
9:21
Speaker 2: of thing, same song and dance week after week. Amari
9:24
Speaker 2: Thomas is the stud. Patrick Overmeyer gets a ton of
9:27
Speaker 2: looks and is 4,300, maybe one of the best value
9:30
Speaker 2: wide receivers on the slate. And then Trent Walker had
9:33
Speaker 2: a decent game last week, but it seems like he
9:35
Speaker 2: and Kobe Young are in that 3A, 3B in terms
9:39
Speaker 2: of pass catchers, so I don't mind taking some shots
9:43
Speaker 2: on Kobe Young either, but how are you looking at
9:46
Speaker 2: this UCF-Houston game?
9:49
Speaker 1: Yeah, UCF just keeps finding its way on the slate here.
9:52
Speaker 1: We were talking about that earlier, but they've kind of
9:55
Speaker 1: had a weird win last week against TCU, and they've
9:59
Speaker 1: kind of slid it up against two chalkier opponents the
10:02
Speaker 1: last few weeks against Pitt and TCU. So some were weather-wise,
10:09
Speaker 1: some were pace-wise, but they're just kind of a weird
10:13
Speaker 1: team this year. They've been finding ways to win, but
10:16
Speaker 1: I'm going to focus in on the Houston side because
10:19
Speaker 1: They're a really good squad, and Mario Thomas has been
10:22
Speaker 1: a stud wide receiver for a year and a half now.
10:25
Speaker 1: It's the same kind of deal as Evans. He's been
10:28
Speaker 1: one of the better receivers. He's very dependable. He's a
10:31
Speaker 1: known quantity, and at 6'6, he's just fairly priced in
10:35
Speaker 1: there as a guy that you could definitely play. You
10:37
Speaker 1: mentioned Overmeyer, tight end, coming over from UTSA, and it
10:41
Speaker 1: was always a solid play. He's a really good player.
10:45
Speaker 1: He's been Increasing his target share. He's been increasing his role.
10:48
Speaker 1: Definitely the number two guy there for Connor Wegman. I
10:52
Speaker 1: wish we had some clarity at the running back room,
10:54
Speaker 1: but it seems to be a pretty good split there
10:55
Speaker 1: because they both have some decent high upside. But just
10:58
Speaker 1: hard to trust one of them in a one-off situation
11:02
Speaker 1: with the split. One could go off, one not. Who
11:07
Speaker 1: wants to make that call? Wegman does have a pretty
11:08
Speaker 1: high upside, though. I think he's got a pretty high floor.
11:11
Speaker 1: Pretty solid upside there. Team totals in the 30s. We
11:15
Speaker 1: know where his target share is going to go. Pretty
11:18
Speaker 1: interesting play. One-off guys. Definitely in the receiver room. I
11:22
Speaker 1: think it's a pretty sneaky stack there if you want
11:24
Speaker 1: to get a little creative with it. All the numbers
11:29
Speaker 1: scream pretty good environment there for Houston.
11:33
Speaker 2: Yeah, and with a team total where they're at, like
11:36
Speaker 2: I said, if you can find the right run back
11:38
Speaker 2: on UCF, you're probably going to be on an island
11:41
Speaker 2: or close to it. So I think The Houston side
11:45
Speaker 2: looks really good this week, though, with that team total.
11:49
Speaker 2: Now on to a Big 12 game that, man, I
11:52
Speaker 2: don't know if it's going to get overlooked, but I
11:54
Speaker 2: think this has some sneaky good upside, too. West Virginia
11:58
Speaker 2: at Iowa State. West Virginia is such a weird team
12:04
Speaker 2: to attack for DFS because you see Cam Cook and
12:06
Speaker 2: you think workhorse. You think he's going to get 25
12:08
Speaker 2: carries upside of 200 yards, three touchdowns, like, That's normal
12:13
Speaker 2: Cam Cook that we think of, and the workload is
12:15
Speaker 2: still there. However, there's this guy named Michael Hawkins playing
12:19
Speaker 2: quarterback who's got about 640 rushing touchdowns on the season
12:24
Speaker 2: this year already, I think.
12:25
Speaker 1: I don't know.
12:26
Speaker 2: It's a lot. We talked a lot about Hawkins earlier
12:32
Speaker 2: and what his upside is, because if Cam Cook gets
12:36
Speaker 2: half of those touchdowns inside the 10-yard line, we're not
12:40
Speaker 2: talking about Michael Hawkins at 8,500. We're probably talking about
12:43
Speaker 2: Michael Hawkins at 7,500. So it's going to come down
12:48
Speaker 2: to a decision. What you think is upside is I'm
12:49
Speaker 2: not going to blame you for playing him this week,
12:52
Speaker 2: but you're definitely not playing him for his arm. I mean,
12:53
Speaker 2: if you're going to, if you're going to stack him
12:55
Speaker 2: with somebody, you're probably stacking him with cam cook. It
12:57
Speaker 2: just gets expensive. DJ apps is a target leader, but
12:59
Speaker 2: it's nothing that that's going to jump off the paper
13:02
Speaker 2: at you. And then Iowa state Jalen Rainer threw the
13:05
Speaker 2: ball 40 times last week, which is 21 more times
13:07
Speaker 2: more than, than he's thrown in any other game this season. So, uh,
13:12
Speaker 2: if you do think he's going to pass more 6,600
13:15
Speaker 2: is a really nice price. I don't know if it's
13:17
Speaker 2: going to be necessary like it was against Utah. Um,
13:20
Speaker 2: but then Aiden Flora, man, uh, at 6,300, he's probably underpriced.
13:25
Speaker 2: We call them C Mac 2.0 last week. He definitely
13:27
Speaker 2: looked like he was going to get the volume there. Um,
13:31
Speaker 2: but our grades have West Virginia at an F in
13:34
Speaker 2: run defense, uh, Even if they do throw the ball more,
13:37
Speaker 2: he had five catches on seven at targets last week.
13:41
Speaker 2: He's safe whether they run the ball or pass the ball.
13:43
Speaker 2: So he's at 6,300. He just seems like a stellar play.
13:46
Speaker 2: And then the wide receivers, again, it really depends on
13:50
Speaker 2: what this team is going to do. If they throw more,
13:52
Speaker 2: Omari Hayes had nine targets against Utah. Overby had seven
13:56
Speaker 2: targets and a touchdown. But I really like Flora, and
14:02
Speaker 2: I like the run games for both of these teams.
14:07
Speaker 1: Yeah, you know, I think when you look at the
14:09
Speaker 1: West Virginia side, Rich Rod has certainly installed his offense
14:12
Speaker 1: in there with Hawkins and Camp Hook. And Camp Hook is,
14:15
Speaker 1: you know, in that 9K range as a skill guy.
14:17
Speaker 1: He's in some pretty elite company there.
14:18
Speaker 2: And.
14:20
Speaker 1: He really needs to hit some upside if he's going
14:22
Speaker 1: to be able to cash that in. Hawkins, you know,
14:27
Speaker 1: that's the trouble when you have a Russian quarterback like
14:29
Speaker 1: you do with Hawkins because the quarterback's the guy that
14:31
Speaker 1: starts with the ball. So if he's the first one
14:33
Speaker 1: to take it, he's going to get the first line
14:35
Speaker 1: to the end zone, which has happened this year. I
14:37
Speaker 1: think we saw kind of his typical game that we're
14:40
Speaker 1: going to see last week on the ninth slate against
14:42
Speaker 1: Oklahoma State where he got the 100-yard bonus in the rushing.
14:47
Speaker 1: They had a few touchdowns. They got down late, and
14:52
Speaker 1: he just could not find the passing game. I think
14:55
Speaker 1: that just kind of gives him a really, really, really
14:58
Speaker 1: solid four if you're looking for that. But I think
15:01
Speaker 1: it just kind of caps and limits his upside unless
15:03
Speaker 1: he really pops off for it three plus touchdowns. Right.
15:07
Speaker 2: You're hoping for West Virginia to get the lead. Right.
15:10
Speaker 1: And you know, they're, they're slight underdogs are on the road,
15:13
Speaker 1: tough game in Iowa state. But you mentioned the other
15:16
Speaker 1: side being underpriced. Nothing that I've seen from Western defense
15:20
Speaker 1: says that it it's fierce at all. Jalen Rainer is
15:24
Speaker 1: a guy that's been playing college football for a long
15:27
Speaker 1: time in Arkansas state before this. He's a guy that
15:30
Speaker 1: we played in the midweek slates a lot and he's
15:33
Speaker 1: a solid quarterback. He's a really good athlete. He just
15:39
Speaker 1: has a lot of experience. He's been there. He's done that.
15:42
Speaker 1: At 6,600 in a game where they have a 28-point
15:46
Speaker 1: team total, slight favorite at home, it seems like a
15:51
Speaker 1: pretty decent spot for an experienced quarterback who does have
15:56
Speaker 1: some rushing upside as well. You mentioned some of his
15:58
Speaker 1: pass catchers, very fairly priced, condensed target share. You can
16:02
Speaker 1: match him up with Flora, who seems like a plug-and-play
16:05
Speaker 1: type running back just for the volume base. Just a
16:07
Speaker 1: really intriguing side. When you see 28-point team total, you
16:10
Speaker 1: expect to have some guys in the 7Ks, 8Ks. We
16:12
Speaker 1: got none of that. Not even the quarterback.
16:16
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's a really good point. And I think the
16:18
Speaker 2: passing game on the Iowa State side is going to
16:20
Speaker 2: end up being a way to get different and still
16:22
Speaker 2: get exposure to this team if you want it. So, yeah,
16:26
Speaker 2: I think, again, a sneaky, sneaky good game upside here overall.
16:30
Speaker 2: I could... it could be a really fun game to watch.
16:34
Speaker 2: We've seen a few of those on paper that like, oh,
16:36
Speaker 2: these are two middle of the road or even bad
16:37
Speaker 2: football teams are like, oh, so they can just put
16:39
Speaker 2: up points against each other. And it ends up being
16:41
Speaker 2: like a 15 to 12 game Pittsburgh UCF.
16:44
Speaker 1: All we can do is look at the numbers, you know,
16:46
Speaker 1: all we can do is read the numbers and try
16:48
Speaker 1: to predict based on that.
16:50
Speaker 2: Speaking of the numbers, there's a lot on this Notre
16:52
Speaker 2: Dame side to talk about. 21 point favorites at North Carolina.
16:57
Speaker 2: CJ Carr priced down a few bucks last week. One
17:00
Speaker 2: thing I want to point out at ShipIt, we just
17:03
Speaker 2: added our leverage, optimal rate and leverage on the stone.
17:07
Speaker 2: And CJ Carr was one of our highest leverage plays.
17:10
Speaker 2: And he ended up going for 27 and a half points,
17:13
Speaker 2: which I'd have to look back and see what that
17:15
Speaker 2: meant in different contest structures. But it was over 3X' s price.
17:20
Speaker 2: So it was good for cash for sure. So one thing,
17:24
Speaker 2: if you look at leverage, nobody was going to play
17:27
Speaker 2: CJ Carr. And we had that on our stone. The running,
17:31
Speaker 2: but I think he's fine. 8,200 is fair. Nolan James
17:35
Speaker 2: and Aeneas William at their prices, fair. And Jordan Faison
17:40
Speaker 2: and Micah Gilbert priced, like Gilbert's priced up to where
17:44
Speaker 2: he should be this week. So the fact that they're
17:48
Speaker 2: a little bit more expensive than we want to pay,
17:51
Speaker 2: I think at each, especially like the running backs in
17:53
Speaker 2: a split, that gives you an opportunity to maybe get
17:57
Speaker 2: an ownership discount. And who's to say, A CJ Carr,
18:01
Speaker 2: Micah Gilbert skinny stack isn't going to go for 50 plus,
18:05
Speaker 2: 55 points. It's very possible. But Notre Dame could get
18:10
Speaker 2: there 75 different ways. So it's a little bit tougher
18:14
Speaker 2: to predict, but I think if you're MMAing, it's a
18:16
Speaker 2: good place to find some different combinations. On the North
18:19
Speaker 2: Carolina side, they got a 12-point team total. The running
18:22
Speaker 2: backs are tough. uh ship and thurman seem to get
18:25
Speaker 2: a lot of the volume humphrey maybe a little bit
18:28
Speaker 2: more i know in that cleansing game i heard humphrey's
18:31
Speaker 2: name quite a bit and you got a cheap quarterback
18:33
Speaker 2: but maybe you like it a little bit because they're
18:35
Speaker 2: at home but notre dame really should go in and
18:38
Speaker 2: demolish this team and make it tough to play any
18:40
Speaker 2: tar heels and dfs.
18:42
Speaker 1: Yeah i mean that's i think that's the mode that
18:44
Speaker 1: we got to think about notre dame arguably the best
18:46
Speaker 1: defense in the land um Kind of a dream as
18:49
Speaker 1: such until proven otherwise, or at least until they step
18:52
Speaker 1: up in competition to some of their own size, which
18:54
Speaker 1: will be coming pretty soon for Notre Dame. You mentioned
18:57
Speaker 1: Mikey Gilbert and the pricing on Notre Dame's side, very fair.
19:00
Speaker 1: Last week, I think we saw some unfair pricing on
19:02
Speaker 1: them with Purdue. That's what made them, ownership drive them
19:05
Speaker 1: a little bit more. You mentioned Mikey Gilbert being priced
19:07
Speaker 1: up now at $ 5, 700, probably a fair price for who
19:09
Speaker 1: he is. Last week at $ 4, 100. So here's the difference
19:13
Speaker 1: between how we're trying to think about Is this guy
19:15
Speaker 1: cash plays? Is he high upside play? 4,100 for a
19:18
Speaker 1: guy like Micah Gilbert, who's been the top target for
19:22
Speaker 1: Notre Dame. He gets there on like one or two caches.
19:26
Speaker 1: He got a touchdown, a long touchdown catch that basically
19:28
Speaker 1: hits him at 12 points right there with one play,
19:30
Speaker 1: and that hits his 3X, and that's solid cash play.
19:32
Speaker 1: Anything above that is pretty much the gravy that you're
19:35
Speaker 1: looking for. So that's kind of– now when you price
19:38
Speaker 1: him up to 5,700, now you've got to decide, does
19:40
Speaker 1: he have the upside to go for a 100-yard bonus,
19:44
Speaker 1: a double touchdown game Something like that where he gets
19:46
Speaker 1: five catches to raise that point total up to 20. 20s.
19:50
Speaker 1: So now you've got to really think about, does he
19:52
Speaker 1: have that, as opposed to when the guy is really underpriced,
19:54
Speaker 1: he doesn't have to hit that much to get that,
19:57
Speaker 1: to hit that value. So making you think a little bit,
20:01
Speaker 1: as you said with them, and I think they're all
20:02
Speaker 1: just kind of thinking, who knows what this game is,
20:04
Speaker 1: it's Bill Belichick. Yeah, it's just a weird spot. I
20:09
Speaker 1: think there's Notre Dame kind of playing the same game
20:13
Speaker 1: that they were the last few weeks.
20:15
Speaker 2: Yeah, and I think if North Carolina keeps it competitive,
20:18
Speaker 2: it's not because they're going to blow the doors off offensively.
20:21
Speaker 2: I think they're more likely to hit their team total
20:23
Speaker 2: in a competitive game. So they could get 12 points
20:28
Speaker 2: either way. But yeah, I wouldn't just completely gloss over
20:32
Speaker 2: that game, but Notre Dame's side is definitely the favorite
20:35
Speaker 2: for DFS. Now to the game of the week. Like
20:38
Speaker 2: I said, big noon Sunday, coming to Minnesota. Michigan coming
20:42
Speaker 2: off of a loss to Iowa, a sweet catch that
20:45
Speaker 2: we'll probably refer to later. As much as I despise Iowa,
20:49
Speaker 2: I wanted Michigan to lose ever since they had the
20:52
Speaker 2: extra second to beat Western Michigan. And one other thing
20:58
Speaker 2: away from DFS, I'll say if the fans don't paint
21:01
Speaker 2: their faces red for this game, what are they doing?
21:04
Speaker 2: The whole student section. Should have red paint on their faces.
21:08
Speaker 2: What was that? What a psychopath. What was that? Bryce Underwood, though,
21:15
Speaker 2: back to DFS. At sub 7K, 69, nice. And he
21:22
Speaker 2: can get there with his legs. He did a dual
21:23
Speaker 2: threat quarterback under 7,000 after we saw what Camario Taylor
21:27
Speaker 2: did to Minnesota. I'm not saying Bryce Underwood's Camario Taylor.
21:30
Speaker 2: Don't get that twisted. But I think at this price,
21:33
Speaker 2: the opportunity is certainly there, especially when he has a
21:35
Speaker 2: couple of stud wide receivers like J.J. Buchanan and Andrew Marsh,
21:39
Speaker 2: who both hit the 100 yard bonus last week. And
21:43
Speaker 2: Marsh has had back to back 100 yard games. So
21:47
Speaker 2: these guys can help carry Underwood there through the air.
21:50
Speaker 2: Now Marsh is on the injury report, so we'll have
21:52
Speaker 2: to see what that does. If it is just Buchanan
21:56
Speaker 2: out there, John Nestor is one of the best cover
22:00
Speaker 2: corners in the Big Ten. So maybe he shadows. He's
22:03
Speaker 2: been playing in the slot a little bit more this year.
22:05
Speaker 2: But Underwood, Buchanan, and Marsh I have my eyes on.
22:08
Speaker 2: They can get there even with a lower team total.
22:11
Speaker 2: The running game, I need to see somebody step up
22:13
Speaker 2: and take advantage of this backfield before I play him.
22:15
Speaker 2: It's just been ho-hum, especially with Underwood running the way
22:18
Speaker 2: that he is so far in the season. Jordan Marshall
22:22
Speaker 2: is averaging four and a half yards a carry, but
22:24
Speaker 2: less than 50 yards a game. And we don't care
22:26
Speaker 2: how much he's averaging per carry if he's not getting
22:27
Speaker 2: the volume. On the Minnesota side, Drake Lindsey is cheap,
22:31
Speaker 2: but probably not cheap enough in this matchup. It's one
22:35
Speaker 2: of those situations where if he hits the potential that
22:38
Speaker 2: everybody's hyped him up to be, Maybe, but in this P.J.
22:42
Speaker 2: Fleck offense, I don't know. I think his ceiling is
22:45
Speaker 2: a little bit capped even at 63, especially against a
22:47
Speaker 2: good defense. Tough to roster Darius Taylor until we see it.
22:52
Speaker 2: I could mark him injury prone, injury risk every single week.
22:56
Speaker 2: If I'm playing this Minnesota side, it's one or two
22:59
Speaker 2: of these pass catchers that is on my list. Javon
23:01
Speaker 2: Tracy and Noah Jennings are getting a heavy target share.
23:05
Speaker 2: Noah Jennings is a little bit cheaper, so I prefer him.
23:08
Speaker 2: It's just his catch rate is only 63% or 60%
23:10
Speaker 2: compared to Tracy's 83. The one thing with Tracy is
23:15
Speaker 2: last week his ADOT was less than zero, his average
23:17
Speaker 2: depth of target. But that means he has higher percentage catches,
23:22
Speaker 2: like a more likelihood of catching the ball. Plus he
23:24
Speaker 2: returns punts. He's already had a couple to the house.
23:26
Speaker 2: I mean, it was against a bad team. But really
23:28
Speaker 2: just looking at them, maybe you can look at Jalen Smith,
23:31
Speaker 2: who I thought had potential to be wide receiver one.
23:33
Speaker 2: I'd like him more if he was like 3,300 this week.
23:36
Speaker 2: But really for DFS purposes, even in a sloggy-looking game,
23:41
Speaker 2: the usage on the Michigan side is where my eyes
23:43
Speaker 2: are in this one.
23:45
Speaker 1: Yeah, it seems like condensed receiver share for Michigan with
23:50
Speaker 1: a running upside quarterback. I don't know what it's best
23:53
Speaker 1: asset right now. I think he's been finding his legs
23:55
Speaker 1: and trying to learn how to play offensively. I learned
23:57
Speaker 1: how to play quarterback with his legs underneath him. We
23:59
Speaker 1: saw him kind of improve week to week with that.
24:04
Speaker 1: Quarterback is kind of weird this week. There's not like
24:06
Speaker 1: standout quarterbacks, but Underwood might be the guy that becomes
24:10
Speaker 1: that kind of single entry most owned guy. Just because
24:12
Speaker 1: he's just under 7K, he's got some rushing upside. It's
24:15
Speaker 1: Michigan known product. So we'll see about that. You know,
24:20
Speaker 1: you got Minnesota covered. Not much more to say about
24:22
Speaker 1: this game after.
24:25
Speaker 2: Yeah, and under was just a name everybody knows because
24:27
Speaker 2: Michigan is a big-time college football program. And it's on
24:30
Speaker 2: a slate that is actually a little bit starved for
24:33
Speaker 2: value when you really step back and look at it. So, yeah.
24:37
Speaker 2: And when you say there's no standout quarterbacks, you don't
24:39
Speaker 2: mean there's no good quarterbacks on the slate. It's just
24:41
Speaker 2: that nobody's jumping off the page as the lock and
24:44
Speaker 2: load DFS player.
24:45
Speaker 1: I think you're going to have to make decisions, which
24:46
Speaker 1: we could talk about. But I think the decision at
24:49
Speaker 1: who you play at quarterback– I think there's a lot
24:53
Speaker 1: of options, a lot of different ways you can go.
24:54
Speaker 1: There's not just one guy that stands out. This is
24:59
Speaker 1: the guy, the plug-and-play guy. I think there's a lot
25:01
Speaker 1: of people that you can play and mix around with
25:04
Speaker 1: that makes it that much interesting for us.
25:07
Speaker 2: Absolutely, absolutely. To the other Michigan team in the Big Ten,
25:12
Speaker 2: Michigan State at Wisconsin. Michigan State, with half of a defense...
25:17
Speaker 2: Not much to say on that side of the ball.
25:20
Speaker 2: Alessio Milivojevic, I mean, even against Eastern Michigan, he only
25:25
Speaker 2: had 170 yards. And you still have to worry about
25:28
Speaker 2: Cam Fancher sniping a rushing touchdown, like taking Milivojevic off
25:31
Speaker 2: the field. So even like 5,300, it's even tough to
25:35
Speaker 2: pull the trigger. Cam Edwards, the one guy might have
25:38
Speaker 2: been interested on this Michigan State side, is now done
25:40
Speaker 2: for the season.
25:41
Speaker 1: So tough.
25:43
Speaker 2: Maybe it forces the passing game a little bit more,
25:45
Speaker 2: but Jason Patterson and Marvis Parrish don't do a whole
25:49
Speaker 2: lot for me either. The one guy I might look
25:53
Speaker 2: at is Jaden Savory, the tight end for Michigan, because
25:56
Speaker 2: he's been getting the looks. He's been tight end one.
25:59
Speaker 2: You know, Rodney Bullard has a big play potential. Kryshon
26:03
Speaker 2: McCray came in expected to be wide receiver one. I'd
26:07
Speaker 2: Just another team I'd like to see more from. They
26:09
Speaker 2: almost lost to Toledo. So it's not even like the
26:12
Speaker 2: Notre Dame game is all we're looking at here. Just
26:16
Speaker 2: a tough spot, especially with how depleted they are on
26:20
Speaker 2: the Wisconsin side. This is one of those quarterbacks that
26:24
Speaker 2: you could take a hard look at because Michigan State's
26:27
Speaker 2: depleted on defense. Four cornerbacks down, their top linebacker, maybe
26:30
Speaker 2: top defenders out. So Colton Joseph could have a field day.
26:35
Speaker 2: He is capable of running the ball. He's not running
26:41
Speaker 2: it like he was at ODU, but he is capable.
26:44
Speaker 2: Abu Sama is on the report. If he goes, I
26:51
Speaker 2: want a piece of this running game, but I like
26:53
Speaker 2: Dupree a lot more if Sama can't go. Maybe a
26:57
Speaker 2: little bit. If he does, I'll get a little Sama,
27:00
Speaker 2: but In this wide receiver room, another guy that you're
27:02
Speaker 2: looking at for maybe a value option, Tyrell Henry, target
27:06
Speaker 2: leader by a long ways. Now, a lot of that
27:08
Speaker 2: has to do with 17 targets in one game, but
27:12
Speaker 2: he's still on the field enough and priced low enough,
27:15
Speaker 2: maybe a little bit underpriced. Eugene Hilton, who I thought
27:20
Speaker 2: could be wide receiver one, just the production hasn't been there.
27:22
Speaker 2: His catch rate is sub 50%. He had two drops
27:25
Speaker 2: against Penn State. Chris Brooks is on the field enough
27:30
Speaker 2: and he's cheap. Jacob Harris is on the field enough
27:33
Speaker 2: and he's cheap. Kenny earlier today mentioned Malachi Coleman as
27:40
Speaker 2: a way to get value in the MME world. But
27:42
Speaker 2: he does like he does like the Wisconsin stack for
27:45
Speaker 2: MME quite a bit. That's one thing he mentioned to us.
27:49
Speaker 2: But outside, I don't know how much more there is
27:53
Speaker 2: to say about this game. Just I hate I don't
27:56
Speaker 2: like Wisconsin. and I don't want to play Michigan State.
27:59
Speaker 2: I'll probably get some Badgers, though. I'll probably get some Badgers.
28:02
Speaker 1: I'm going to try to sell you a little bit
28:03
Speaker 1: on Wisconsin. You know, great comeback for them last week.
28:06
Speaker 1: I don't think you can look at Michigan State at all.
28:08
Speaker 1: Numbers are not screaming them in any way, shape, or form.
28:11
Speaker 1: But Wisconsin has been playing a little bit better. You know,
28:14
Speaker 1: the 3-1, they lost that game to Notre Dame, but
28:15
Speaker 1: they have also put up the most points against Notre Dame.
28:18
Speaker 1: You mentioned the running game of Wisconsin, and you mentioned quarterbacks. Well,
28:22
Speaker 1: I think the running game from Wisconsin runs through the quarterback,
28:25
Speaker 1: Colton Josephs. who is a true dual threat. He was
28:28
Speaker 1: really good at ODU. That's what he did. And then
28:33
Speaker 1: he's always got that rushing threat. His prop lines are
28:35
Speaker 1: about in the 40 to 50-yard range. And if Sama
28:40
Speaker 1: is hurt or banged up at all, he's, again, a
28:43
Speaker 1: quarterback who's got the line to it with some upside
28:46
Speaker 1: at the passing game here as well with Henry and Brooks,
28:48
Speaker 1: some of the pass catchers you mentioned. So, again, another team,
28:52
Speaker 1: upper 20s team total. double-digit favorite at home, whatever the
29:00
Speaker 1: weather is, with some upside there in their team because
29:05
Speaker 1: the pricing is just not very high. It's not very low.
29:09
Speaker 1: We don't have that cheap kind of pump play, but
29:13
Speaker 1: we have some value plays here within that 4K to
29:16
Speaker 1: 5K range where you could build out your full lineup
29:18
Speaker 1: with some of these guys. If we start with Joseph,
29:23
Speaker 1: same conversation with Underwood there.
29:25
Speaker 2: Yeah, they're priced very nicely. And that's one line of
29:29
Speaker 2: construction you could look at is going to middle of
29:31
Speaker 2: the road quarterbacks. Now it's scary fading the Camarios, the
29:35
Speaker 2: Keelan Russells, some of these other higher priced quarterbacks. But
29:38
Speaker 2: you have to look at what it does for the
29:39
Speaker 2: rest of your lineup. Does it allow you to get
29:40
Speaker 2: Jaden Baugh? Does it allow you to get Jeremiah Smith?
29:42
Speaker 2: A couple guys we're going to talk about here in
29:44
Speaker 2: a few minutes. So, yeah, lineup construction is big when
29:47
Speaker 2: we're looking at the price of these two quarterbacks that
29:49
Speaker 2: have the dual threat upside for sure. Not much upside
29:54
Speaker 2: on the Vanderbilt side. 12.5 point implied team total on
29:58
Speaker 2: the road against Georgia. Jared Curtis is on the report.
30:01
Speaker 2: So we're not even entirely sure if he's going to play.
30:04
Speaker 2: He let me down last week. I can't imagine that
30:06
Speaker 2: Georgia is a better matchup than Auburn. I don't like
30:10
Speaker 2: maybe you hope for garbage time, but that's, I don't
30:14
Speaker 2: like it. I don't like either of these running backs,
30:16
Speaker 2: even at cheaper prices. I mean, if, if you think
30:20
Speaker 2: they can get there on receptions, that I think is
30:22
Speaker 2: the only route to play them, but it's still like
30:25
Speaker 2: an unmaintained gravel road. So it's, it's, it's, That's a
30:29
Speaker 2: no from me, dog. Junior Sherrill just feels a little
30:32
Speaker 2: bit too expensive for me. I think he can still
30:35
Speaker 2: produce in this matchup. I don't hate it completely, though,
30:39
Speaker 2: because Arkansas and Oklahoma both had some success passing the
30:43
Speaker 2: ball against Georgia, and we don't care if it's in
30:46
Speaker 2: garbage time. Even if they get garbage time yards, it
30:49
Speaker 2: counts for DFS.
30:51
Speaker 1: Yeah, you wish he was in the 4Ks.
30:54
Speaker 2: Yeah, for sure. For sure. Maybe that's why you look
30:56
Speaker 2: at Javante Conner, a guy who's at least on the
30:58
Speaker 2: field and could have some opportunity. And that would be
31:01
Speaker 2: the reason to play Curtis, too, if he's healthy at 5,100.
31:05
Speaker 2: But again, that's probably an MME route. That's not something
31:09
Speaker 2: we're talking for cash. And then on the Georgia side, you're...
31:14
Speaker 2: Gunnar Stockton is another dual-threat quarterback. He hasn't needed to
31:17
Speaker 2: be this year, but he did end up with 120
31:19
Speaker 2: on the ground when all was said and done against Arkansas.
31:22
Speaker 1: 80 on one play.
31:23
Speaker 2: Yeah, that's going to skew your stats a lot. Nate Frazier,
31:27
Speaker 2: if he goes, I think he's in play. Chauncey Bowens
31:32
Speaker 2: is in play even if he goes. But if Frazier
31:34
Speaker 2: doesn't go, Bowens quickly climbs the charts as one of
31:36
Speaker 2: my favorite plays on the slate. And then this wide
31:41
Speaker 2: receiver room, I mean, Talon Taylor– we talked about earlier tonight,
31:45
Speaker 2: we've talked about in the past that, you know, he
31:47
Speaker 2: could be the guy finally had seven targets. It was
31:50
Speaker 2: the first time all year. Anybody on Georgia had more
31:52
Speaker 2: than four targets in a game. The rest of these
31:54
Speaker 2: guys are going to be out there. You can take
31:56
Speaker 2: a shot on Sokovia. You can take a shot on Dandridge.
32:00
Speaker 2: You can take a shot on loss and lucky. If
32:03
Speaker 2: you want to get real greasy, fire up Thomas Blackshear.
32:07
Speaker 2: He's actually run the most routes on the team, despite
32:10
Speaker 2: only playing in three of the four games. does come
32:12
Speaker 2: with some risk because he's only got two catches on
32:15
Speaker 2: nine targets this year and zero on his last five targets. However,
32:21
Speaker 2: he is bottom of the barrel in pricing. So like,
32:24
Speaker 2: I'm not going to recommend that play. I just want
32:26
Speaker 2: to give you the numbers I'm looking at. That wasn't
32:28
Speaker 2: a complete cross off for a guy like Thomas Blackshear,
32:31
Speaker 2: but I don't know how comfortable I feel in cash
32:35
Speaker 2: with any of these guys, unless Frazier's out.
32:39
Speaker 1: Yeah, if we get some clarity on that running back situation,
32:41
Speaker 1: Frazier or Bowen, if Frazier's out, Bowen is just a
32:46
Speaker 1: smash cash play, especially at 6,500. Saw him take the
32:50
Speaker 1: reins last week, and he really delivered in that spot
32:53
Speaker 1: if you're able to get to him. I do think,
32:55
Speaker 1: just reading the tea leaves, reading a little bit, Talon
32:58
Speaker 1: Taylor is the guy that's stepping up as their number one,
33:00
Speaker 1: and they certainly need to find that guy. They have
33:02
Speaker 1: some big games coming up in the next few weeks
33:04
Speaker 1: here into October. So they're definitely trying to figure out
33:08
Speaker 1: who that guy is going to be. He was a
33:09
Speaker 1: big-time recruit. He's been increasing his workload each week as
33:13
Speaker 1: we get further into conference play. You know, he had
33:15
Speaker 1: his best game last week. I do think that it's
33:18
Speaker 1: going to continue. You know, at 4,400, not a lot
33:22
Speaker 1: of value there, not a lot of paydown options. Depending
33:26
Speaker 1: what your roster build is, depending how you use your salary,
33:30
Speaker 1: I think he's definitely going to play as a one-off
33:32
Speaker 1: guy if you're looking for some save or spot at receiver.
33:37
Speaker 2: Yeah, one of those stacks that if you stack Stockton
33:40
Speaker 2: with Taylor, I think you're going to be in a
33:43
Speaker 2: very select group. Florida at Missouri, I believe the highest
33:48
Speaker 2: team total on the slate, if not as close.
33:53
Speaker 1: Back up, get my Florida shirt up. All right.
33:56
Speaker 2: Yeah, I'm not going to talk too much about this
33:57
Speaker 2: game because I know you have it covered like a blanket.
34:00
Speaker 2: A couple of things I do want to mention, though,
34:03
Speaker 2: is with Aaron Filo– I Mississippi state just torched Missouri. Aaron, again,
34:11
Speaker 2: Aaron Philo is not Camario Taylor. Um, but I think
34:15
Speaker 2: if you wanted to look at him, that's, that's one
34:16
Speaker 2: of the things you can look at Jaden Bach. I mean,
34:18
Speaker 2: his price shocks you at first, but when we were
34:21
Speaker 2: getting $ 10, 000 Caleb Hawkins last year, I think 9,800 Jaden
34:25
Speaker 2: boss fine, uh, in the passing game, a lot of
34:28
Speaker 2: moving parts here because Brunel Brown's on the report. Bailey
34:32
Speaker 2: Stockton is on the report, but he came back last week, um,
34:36
Speaker 2: You know, Brown and Wilson's still the top two guys. Obviously,
34:39
Speaker 2: if Brown's out, that changes things. But then Eric Singleton's
34:41
Speaker 2: a guy that came back last week. And the one
34:44
Speaker 2: thing I'll mention about him is average depth of target
34:46
Speaker 2: was 43 yards. There's only two targets, but that's, I mean,
34:50
Speaker 2: for DFS, that's fun. That's high risk, high reward. If
34:53
Speaker 2: he catches both of those for touchdowns, that'd be nuts.
34:56
Speaker 2: And then on the Missouri side, Austin Simmons is probably underpriced.
34:59
Speaker 2: And I think you can get to Florida through the air,
35:02
Speaker 2: you know, especially if Florida's ahead. Again, it doesn't matter
35:06
Speaker 2: when the production happens. It's just that it happens. Jamal Roberts,
35:09
Speaker 2: a volume monster, and we love that for running backs.
35:12
Speaker 2: He's averaging 22 carries a game and more the last three.
35:16
Speaker 2: I think last week was 26, and he's also getting
35:19
Speaker 2: a couple of targets a game. So if we're talking volume,
35:23
Speaker 2: Jamal Roberts fits that mold. And then Caden Lee and
35:27
Speaker 2: Donovan Elubide, I think that's right. I did check to
35:31
Speaker 2: pronounce her, but I already forgot.
35:33
Speaker 1: Yeah.
35:34
Speaker 2: Lou Bidet. Lee had the monster game last week. I mean,
35:36
Speaker 2: he was having success prior to that. Lou Bidet, five
35:40
Speaker 2: touchdowns already and at least six targets in every game. And,
35:44
Speaker 2: you know, I'll let you give the eye test. But
35:46
Speaker 2: from what I've seen and obviously looking at the numbers,
35:51
Speaker 2: Florida gets beat a little bit more on the outside,
35:53
Speaker 2: which is where both of these guys play. So. Or
35:55
Speaker 2: they would favor a little bit, at least in the slot.
35:58
Speaker 2: But I think both are viable here because they just
36:00
Speaker 2: get all of the targets.
36:02
Speaker 1: Yeah, that's pretty condensed right there. And Caden Lee was
36:05
Speaker 1: the guy that came over with Austin Simmons from Mississippi
36:07
Speaker 1: in the transfer portal. So they kind of come together
36:10
Speaker 1: as a package deal. Saw him just be the go-to guy.
36:14
Speaker 1: One thing I'll mention, another thing I'll mention, Missouri said
36:15
Speaker 1: he covered them pretty well. Nashawn Montgomery was at Florida
36:20
Speaker 1: last year. He was one of the first guys out
36:22
Speaker 1: of the portal once the coaching change happened. And he
36:25
Speaker 1: was one of the first guys out that locker room.
36:27
Speaker 1: So this might be a little bit meaningful game for him.
36:30
Speaker 2: I love a good revenge game.
36:31
Speaker 1: There was, you know, there was about three former Gators
36:36
Speaker 1: on the Mississippi defense last week. And one, a couple
36:39
Speaker 1: of them got run over pretty good. Some of the
36:41
Speaker 1: highlight packages. That's my biased take on that. Yeah, we
36:48
Speaker 1: have definitely seen quarterbacks against Florida hit their value in
36:52
Speaker 1: the In the second half, obviously, Florida's been rolling. This
36:55
Speaker 1: is a weird spot. Going on the road into the Midwest.
36:59
Speaker 1: They haven't really played well at Missouri in the past. Obviously,
37:01
Speaker 1: this is a whole new regime, whole new team, whole
37:03
Speaker 1: new identity, so don't want to let that carry over.
37:06
Speaker 1: It's just one of the longer trips in the SEC
37:08
Speaker 1: from Gainesville out to Columbia, Missouri. I'm more of a
37:13
Speaker 1: Midwest town where I am now in the Chicago area
37:16
Speaker 1: than it is in the South, but Looking at the
37:21
Speaker 1: Florida side, I know you mentioned a lot of things.
37:23
Speaker 1: Jaden Baugh has 11 touchdowns in four games.
37:27
Speaker 2: That's a lot.
37:28
Speaker 1: Yeah, that is a lot. And they want to feed
37:33
Speaker 1: him the ball. It's no secret. That's his goal. That's
37:36
Speaker 1: their goal. That's, you know, he's been great. He's just
37:40
Speaker 1: been on a tear, and he's just had a tremendous
37:44
Speaker 1: start to the season. $ 9, 800, I think, is a very
37:47
Speaker 1: fair price for him. You know, he's got that floor
37:48
Speaker 1: upside that we want to see. Duke Clark did pop
37:53
Speaker 1: off for 120 yards. He's been getting touches. He's been
37:56
Speaker 1: spelling them. The thing with Florida is they're just, like,
37:58
Speaker 1: continuing to pound the ball. And he had 120 yards
38:01
Speaker 1: and two touchdowns last week, and he made some crazy
38:03
Speaker 1: highlight moves. He was a four-star recruit. He stayed nailed
38:06
Speaker 1: over in there. He's been great, too. I mean, just,
38:10
Speaker 1: you know, he's not going to be the number one
38:12
Speaker 1: ball on the field. I think that it is significant.
38:14
Speaker 1: Vernell Brown did leave. They said he was okay. You know,
38:17
Speaker 1: they didn't push him to come back. He did have
38:19
Speaker 1: a touchdown taken off the board. Dallas Wilson did end
38:22
Speaker 1: up having a rushing touchdown last week as well. And
38:24
Speaker 1: around Vernal Brown, my kind of gut feeling is I
38:28
Speaker 1: don't think he plays. Kind of knee. He's such a
38:31
Speaker 1: shifty guy. He's so talented. I think they just maybe
38:35
Speaker 1: want to give him another week and see, especially with
38:37
Speaker 1: Singleton coming back. Singleton's not on the injury report at all.
38:40
Speaker 1: He played last week when Brown came out, and he
38:42
Speaker 1: literally just ran six straight lines down the field. Got
38:45
Speaker 1: a PI, got a catch. You mentioned his average as
38:47
Speaker 1: a target. He got tackled at the one on his catch.
38:50
Speaker 1: But I think Singleton's the guy they're going to mix in.
38:52
Speaker 1: Singleton was with Buster Faulkner in Georgia Tech before he
38:54
Speaker 1: went to Auburn last year. He was a very high-priced
38:57
Speaker 1: recruit in the portal coming in. So he was a
39:01
Speaker 1: pretty big get. And I think this is a game,
39:03
Speaker 1: especially if Bernal Brown is out, that he will see
39:06
Speaker 1: some volume at 4'6. It makes it a little bit viable.
39:11
Speaker 1: Dallas Wilson at 6'9. I don't think he's going to
39:13
Speaker 1: get the targets that we want to see there. But
39:15
Speaker 1: Singleton 4-6 does make it a little interesting. I mean,
39:17
Speaker 1: other than that, the pass catchers down there are just
39:19
Speaker 1: more than just guys who would be on the field.
39:23
Speaker 1: I think if you have a salary for ball, if
39:25
Speaker 1: you want to make a decision, if you want to
39:26
Speaker 1: find a way to pay up for him, you're paying
39:29
Speaker 1: up for a guy who has 11. touchdowns in four
39:30
Speaker 1: games and could run for 120, and his prop line
39:33
Speaker 1: right now is at 120 and two touchdowns. So that's
39:35
Speaker 1: kind of what people expect him to do at this point.
39:39
Speaker 2: I mean, the consistency is certainly there. And I love
39:42
Speaker 2: the Duke-Clark call. Just circle back to that because in
39:44
Speaker 2: the last two games, Florida has run the ball 53
39:47
Speaker 2: times in each game. So even if Jaden Baugh gets
39:52
Speaker 2: 30 carries, that's 23 more rushing attempts to go between
39:55
Speaker 2: Duke Clark and, you know, if Aaron Filo falls forward
39:58
Speaker 2: a couple of times or whatever. But there's plenty of
40:01
Speaker 2: meat on the bone even after Baugh. And for the discount,
40:06
Speaker 2: that's an MME play if I ever heard one for
40:09
Speaker 2: sure because nobody's playing Duke Clark.
40:11
Speaker 1: Yeah. I'm excited. I'm excited. Florida football is, you know,
40:16
Speaker 1: it's got me pumped up. I don't want to talk
40:17
Speaker 1: too much about that game.
40:19
Speaker 2: Yeah, it doesn't make you feel good. As a Minnesota fan,
40:22
Speaker 2: especially like Minnesota Vikings, I don't know if– I know letdown.
40:26
Speaker 2: I know hopes dashed. I know disappointment. I've watched several
40:30
Speaker 2: Super Bowl teams not make it to the Super Bowl.
40:32
Speaker 2: So I get it. Auburn at Tennessee. Auburn a seven-point
40:38
Speaker 2: dog on the road. A lot of points in this
40:41
Speaker 2: game too. Byron Brown is priced down. Not much, but
40:45
Speaker 2: it rhymed, so I wanted to say it.
40:47
Speaker 1: NSEE.
40:48
Speaker 2: The best quarterback who's faced Tennessee this year. God, I
40:54
Speaker 2: just want to trigger people.
40:56
Speaker 1: You will really though.
40:58
Speaker 2: Byron Brown, in terms of his dual threat, he's really
41:00
Speaker 2: come into his, like what we expected from Byron Brown
41:03
Speaker 2: over the last few games. I think 8,000 is probably
41:05
Speaker 2: too cheap. He can get there with his arm or
41:08
Speaker 2: his legs. So AK, I think is a fair price,
41:12
Speaker 2: maybe a little underpriced, honestly. The running back room is
41:15
Speaker 2: hard to figure out. Jeremiah Cobb is still the clear
41:17
Speaker 2: number one, and he averaged seven yards a carry last week,
41:20
Speaker 2: but he still only got eight carries. And then in
41:23
Speaker 2: terms of safety at the wide receiver position, you look
41:26
Speaker 2: at Singleton and Nimrod for pass catchers. They're the guys
41:29
Speaker 2: who get fed targets. Koger and Spencer are more your
41:32
Speaker 2: dart throws. They're on the field enough. They just don't
41:35
Speaker 2: have the volume. But, you know, those two, Singleton and Nimrod,
41:38
Speaker 2: especially if Auburn's trailing. We saw against Florida that Auburn
41:42
Speaker 2: will chuck the ball around And then Tennessee phase on Brandon.
41:47
Speaker 2: It's like, I think it's a price play. He's dual
41:50
Speaker 2: threat upside as well. He just turned 18 in June.
41:53
Speaker 2: So he's maybe, maybe the youngest starting quarterback in college football.
41:58
Speaker 2: I haven't verified that, but he's gotta be close. And
42:03
Speaker 2: for a 30 point team total, I like the price
42:05
Speaker 2: for the dual threat ability, take away the sacks against Texas.
42:08
Speaker 2: And he had 75 yards rushing. And I, I mean,
42:11
Speaker 2: Auburn's not going to sack. him as much. In theory,
42:15
Speaker 2: they shouldn't. They might not even sack him as much
42:17
Speaker 2: as Simmons did by himself. So that's something you have
42:21
Speaker 2: to consider when you're looking at that stat line from
42:24
Speaker 2: last week. The split is a little bit scary, but
42:27
Speaker 2: Deshaun Bishop, man, still the number one guy at Tennessee,
42:31
Speaker 2: priced fairly, I think has extreme upside as well, even
42:35
Speaker 2: at 7,600. Personally watching the game, it seemed like every
42:39
Speaker 2: time I looked up, DeJuan Morris was on the field.
42:41
Speaker 2: So I might have a little bit of an eye
42:43
Speaker 2: test bias, but I think, honestly, both guys are viable
42:47
Speaker 2: depending on how your lineup looks. Bishop, more of the
42:49
Speaker 2: cash single entry. Morris would be your MME guy. The
42:54
Speaker 2: wide receivers, Mike Matthews has been the guy. His price
42:57
Speaker 2: is getting up there. Braylon Staley, though, his increase is
43:00
Speaker 2: starting to creep up higher and higher. And he's actually
43:03
Speaker 2: run more routes than Mike Matthews. So maybe if you
43:06
Speaker 2: look at it as, oh, it's just taken a few
43:08
Speaker 2: games for Faison Brandon to get in a rhythm with Staley.
43:11
Speaker 2: I like the $ 1, 300 discount if you want a piece
43:13
Speaker 2: of this passing game. And then Jackson and Brown are
43:16
Speaker 2: just out there again. But with the Alabama-Mississippi State game,
43:23
Speaker 2: with the Florida-Missouri game, there's a chance this Auburn-Tennessee game
43:26
Speaker 2: gets overlooked, and there's potential for 60 points in this
43:29
Speaker 2: game as well.
43:30
Speaker 1: You know, it's crazy to think that Tennessee's team total,
43:33
Speaker 1: implied team total, is pretty similar to Florida's, the game
43:35
Speaker 1: we just talked about. So it just kind of makes
43:37
Speaker 1: you think a little bit, and And Faison Brandon is
43:40
Speaker 1: the type of guy that at 7'4, just kind of
43:42
Speaker 1: theme of it. You know, he's got some rushing upside there.
43:45
Speaker 1: He has 20 carries for about two yards. But like
43:47
Speaker 1: you said, you take away the 10 sacks and he's
43:49
Speaker 1: in the 70s and 10 carries. And he was running.
43:51
Speaker 1: He's got that ability. You know, Auburn, we know where
43:56
Speaker 1: Bryson– not Bryson, what Byron Brown is. This is just
44:01
Speaker 1: USF's offense, just playing at Auburn. I think we know
44:04
Speaker 1: what to expect from it. Maybe not as– high upside
44:08
Speaker 1: playing at a higher level of competition on defense, but
44:10
Speaker 1: pretty predictable. But I really am interested in the Tennessee game.
44:14
Speaker 1: Like the 30-point team total makes it really intriguing, and
44:18
Speaker 1: I think that is something to look at. Faison Brandon
44:21
Speaker 1: in 7-4, he's in that range, the same as like
44:23
Speaker 1: Colton Joseph, similar to Underwood, like just that same range
44:27
Speaker 1: where he's got a similar type of floor upside ability
44:30
Speaker 1: with the rushing, with the passing, with the game environment,
44:34
Speaker 1: touchdown favorite, 30-point team total. On paper, it looks great.
44:39
Speaker 1: You know, I don't know. Is he beat up from
44:40
Speaker 1: getting sacked from running the ball 20 times as a
44:44
Speaker 1: just-turned-18-year-old from last week? Who knows? Only we'll find out Saturday.
44:49
Speaker 1: But it does really intrigue us on paper to look
44:51
Speaker 1: at that.
44:52
Speaker 2: Yeah, I mean, I think NCAA football, the video game,
44:56
Speaker 2: should raise his toughness rating for sure after last week
44:59
Speaker 2: because that kid took a beating. But, yeah, I mean,
45:03
Speaker 2: another game that could be super fun to watch. All right,
45:06
Speaker 2: moving on. Virginia at Florida State. Hey, we're finally out
45:09
Speaker 2: of the SEC.
45:12
Speaker 1: Not for good.
45:13
Speaker 2: Not for good. No, we have a weird game to
45:14
Speaker 2: talk about coming up. Virginia at Florida State. Bo Pribula
45:20
Speaker 2: has thrown the ball pretty effectively, and the last couple
45:23
Speaker 2: weeks they've thrown the ball more effectively. So if he
45:25
Speaker 2: can maintain, like if he can scale that up and
45:27
Speaker 2: they're going to throw the ball more, obviously 7,600 is a, again,
45:32
Speaker 2: just like you said, another quarterback that's probably on your
45:35
Speaker 2: list because he's got the rushing upside too. He has
45:40
Speaker 2: more rushing upside than anybody in this running back room.
45:43
Speaker 2: This is such a weird running back room. Like we
45:46
Speaker 2: could see all four of these guys, Middlebrook, Brown, Davis, Vaughn.
45:50
Speaker 2: And that's just not something I really want to touch
45:52
Speaker 2: again until we get a clear A clear number one guy.
45:57
Speaker 2: The wide receiver room, though, is interesting because Rico Flores
46:00
Speaker 2: missed the first two games of the year, came back
46:02
Speaker 2: in week three, had a couple of targets, a couple
46:04
Speaker 2: of catches, but then last week had nine catches on
46:08
Speaker 2: 10 targets, got the 100-yard bonus, scored a touchdown, and
46:12
Speaker 2: he's only 4,500. I got to imagine people are going
46:18
Speaker 2: to look at the recent more than the whole, because
46:23
Speaker 2: as a whole, if you look at his stats on
46:25
Speaker 2: the year they don't look great they don't jump off
46:27
Speaker 2: the page at you once you dig in and see
46:30
Speaker 2: hey this is only in two games and most of
46:32
Speaker 2: it was in one Flores is the number one guy
46:35
Speaker 2: in this room that's what we predicted he was just
46:37
Speaker 2: hurt Cam Courtney Deshaun Martin are going to be on
46:39
Speaker 2: the field and you know I like Dakota Twitty because
46:41
Speaker 2: he's a tight end but the Florida State side might
46:44
Speaker 2: have the best play in this game Ashton Daniels in
46:47
Speaker 2: a decent spot for this price again it just depends
46:50
Speaker 2: on where you want to spend your money this week
46:51
Speaker 2: in your lineup construction Virginia's defense looks good on paper,
46:55
Speaker 2: but the best team they played was West Virginia, and
47:00
Speaker 2: they ran for nearly five yards of carry against them.
47:03
Speaker 2: So they're going to grade out high because of who
47:06
Speaker 2: they played. But then, I mean, that's why I like
47:10
Speaker 2: Usman Chroma, 5,900. He's a cheap workhorse. Sam Singleton's already out.
47:16
Speaker 2: Are we finally going to see more Trey Wisner? I
47:19
Speaker 2: don't know. We saw more of him last week, but
47:21
Speaker 2: that was against Central Arkansas. So we can't really take
47:24
Speaker 2: much from that game. But Chroma, man, just jumps out
47:27
Speaker 2: as one of those first guy in sort of clicks
47:30
Speaker 2: when you're scrolling through. And I think all of these
47:33
Speaker 2: wide receivers, like these top three wide receivers are all
47:35
Speaker 2: in play. Deuce, I mean, could be sitting on a
47:38
Speaker 2: huge game. He's always got that ceiling. Jabin Boggs' target
47:42
Speaker 2: share the last couple of weeks has been super high.
47:44
Speaker 2: I'd like him to catch a few more of those,
47:46
Speaker 2: but he's getting more involved. I mean, Makai Danzy, he's
47:51
Speaker 2: a fine wide receiver three. You're playing him because you
47:55
Speaker 2: get a $ 1, 000 discount from Boggs and $ 600 from Deuce.
47:59
Speaker 2: But a lower team total than some of these other
48:01
Speaker 2: games we talked about, but with the way pricing shapes
48:04
Speaker 2: up in this one, this could be a sneaky full-on
48:06
Speaker 2: game stack.
48:07
Speaker 1: Yeah, this is the game I think you'd find the
48:09
Speaker 1: best value, especially at the lower end here at the
48:13
Speaker 1: receiver room. But the quarterbacks just are the same guys
48:16
Speaker 1: we've been talking about, some dual-threat guys with some running floors,
48:21
Speaker 1: with some passing upsides. Rabulu, you said, is one of
48:25
Speaker 1: the better rushing ones. He's a guy that's been there,
48:26
Speaker 1: done that. It's a guy that we've seen it before,
48:29
Speaker 1: and we've seen it. I think we'd expect to see
48:32
Speaker 1: it again here with a 27-point team total. Flores, you mentioned.
48:36
Speaker 1: Flores definitely got jumps off the paper just coming in.
48:39
Speaker 1: Injury just uptick in production. Exactly the trajectory we want
48:42
Speaker 1: to see going on the road here as a short favorite.
48:45
Speaker 1: Daniels is fantastic. Floor is probably a little capped from
48:50
Speaker 1: his passing, but, you know, he did throw for over
48:53
Speaker 1: 300 yards against Alabama. He's always got that rushing outside.
48:55
Speaker 1: But Croma, man, Croma's the man. Croma's the man here.
48:58
Speaker 1: He's been a workhorse since day one, since week zero.
49:00
Speaker 1: He's very, very, very, very affordable there at 5'9, for
49:05
Speaker 1: a workhorse running back in this kind of game environment.
49:08
Speaker 1: You know, injuries behind him, you know, should get the
49:11
Speaker 1: volume that we would look for in that cash running back.
49:13
Speaker 1: And Croma's definitely the guy. You know, how many guys
49:15
Speaker 1: do you want to play from this game? That's the
49:17
Speaker 1: decision you've got to make for yourself. I probably wouldn't
49:20
Speaker 1: want to have very many, but definitely Cromwell with a quarterback,
49:26
Speaker 1: Cromwell with a receiver or two, I think is viable.
49:29
Speaker 1: Just because of the– you can do a lot more
49:31
Speaker 1: with the rest of your lineups, with the rest of
49:34
Speaker 1: your build with it. Because Deuce, Boggs, you guys mentioned,
49:38
Speaker 1: those– seem to be the two guys out there. Box
49:41
Speaker 1: is coming on lately, but Deuce has been there for
49:44
Speaker 1: two years as the man, you know, hard to ignore.
49:47
Speaker 2: Yeah. And one of those games that if we don't
49:49
Speaker 2: see ownership float to this game, afternoon pivot, if you
49:53
Speaker 2: need to catch up, because there's plenty of salary space
49:56
Speaker 2: to work with here. I hit, Hit the like button
49:59
Speaker 2: if you haven't already. Got a couple of games left. Again, pre-recording.
50:02
Speaker 2: Y'all already know that. If you see my attention go
50:04
Speaker 2: over there, it's because we're recording this Thursday night, breaking
50:07
Speaker 2: down the fourth wall. I got Thursday night football up
50:09
Speaker 2: on the screen. And it's a one-score game. So exciting
50:15
Speaker 2: NFL night, too. Ohio State at Iowa. We were done
50:19
Speaker 2: with Ohio State last week. They're just too expensive, and
50:22
Speaker 2: they're not going to pay off. Boy, did they prove
50:25
Speaker 2: us wrong. You know what? I'm going to say, though,
50:28
Speaker 2: on this slate, Julian Sane is still tough to get to.
50:30
Speaker 2: I might regret it, but it's still tough to get
50:33
Speaker 2: to him. The Jackson brothers, Bo and Jaboby, a little
50:40
Speaker 2: expensive for the timeshare they're in. Either one of them
50:43
Speaker 2: could get there. A risky play. Jeremiah Smith, $ 9, 400, another
50:49
Speaker 2: price that jumps off the page as a little bit
50:51
Speaker 2: of shock value on the high end. Is 60 points
50:54
Speaker 2: even enough at this price? I mean, really, do we
50:56
Speaker 2: want to play Jeremiah Smith? No, you can play Jeremiah
50:58
Speaker 2: Smith at 9,400. Go for it. I mean, we saw
51:03
Speaker 2: his ceiling. It could happen again. I think Iowa is
51:06
Speaker 2: a better secondary than Illinois, but not by enough that
51:09
Speaker 2: it scares me off of Jeremiah Smith if he fits
51:12
Speaker 2: my lineup. The Iowa side, I'd love being able to
51:18
Speaker 2: crap on Iowa because they are one of the gods.
51:22
Speaker 2: I don't remember the last time the Gophers won Floyd
51:25
Speaker 2: of Rosedale without fair catch interference. So Hank Brown, never
51:30
Speaker 2: going to jump off the page for you. Not going
51:33
Speaker 2: to jump off the page this game. Tough to play
51:34
Speaker 2: the running backs in this game. You have three pass catchers.
51:38
Speaker 2: I think it starts with Diaz and Bonamy. Diaz still
51:42
Speaker 2: got the targets last week, just didn't get the catches.
51:43
Speaker 2: Vandersee obviously going to be on a lot of people's
51:47
Speaker 2: notes because of the big catch he had last week.
51:49
Speaker 2: And Bonamy is fine, but I don't know how much, like,
51:52
Speaker 2: These are one-off guys if you're playing any of them,
51:55
Speaker 2: regardless of which one you're playing. The Ohio State side
51:58
Speaker 2: is what you're looking at, but it's just– I mean,
52:00
Speaker 2: it's expensive. This is not a fun game to have
52:03
Speaker 2: to project for DFS. I'll tell you that.
52:06
Speaker 1: No, and, you know, Julian Sane, you mentioned him. Can
52:10
Speaker 1: you play him without Jeremiah Smith? That's the big question
52:13
Speaker 1: is I don't think you can. I think if you're
52:14
Speaker 1: playing Sane, you want to bring him back with somebody.
52:17
Speaker 1: And it's got to be Jeremiah Smith, and that's just
52:19
Speaker 1: so much salary in two guys right there. It's really,
52:21
Speaker 1: really tough to see Jeremiah Smith as a one-off for sure, though,
52:24
Speaker 1: for sure. You know, we just have no kind of
52:28
Speaker 1: idea of what the running back room is kind of
52:30
Speaker 1: eating itself up, and every pass catcher behind Jeremiah Smith
52:33
Speaker 1: is kind of eating itself up. Illinois did fire their D.C.
52:36
Speaker 1: last week after that game, so maybe credit that to
52:39
Speaker 1: Jeremiah Smith. Probably fairly priced at 9-4, make a decision.
52:44
Speaker 1: You may want to play one of those 9K guys
52:46
Speaker 1: this week. I think you can find a way to
52:48
Speaker 1: build to it. It's really hard to play multiple guys
52:51
Speaker 1: from that team. They only have a 30-point team total.
52:56
Speaker 1: It's not like they did last week with a 40-point
52:57
Speaker 1: team total. But we do expect to see all that
53:01
Speaker 1: run through Jeremiah Smith. So decision there is definitely he
53:06
Speaker 1: is the cash receiver. Gene Ball was a cash running back.
53:09
Speaker 1: He's the cash receiver. You've got to make a decision there,
53:10
Speaker 1: and it really comes from how you build out the
53:12
Speaker 1: rest of your lineup. I'm not going to talk too
53:14
Speaker 1: much about the Iowa guys.
53:16
Speaker 2: Yeah. And historically the best part of Iowa's game is
53:19
Speaker 2: their punt game. So maybe, maybe that's why you play
53:22
Speaker 2: Jeremiah Smith. He's going to have potential for 95 yards
53:24
Speaker 2: every single time. Right.
53:26
Speaker 1: Exactly.
53:28
Speaker 2: Speaking of a game that I didn't think we were
53:30
Speaker 2: going to talk a lot about, but it's competitive two
53:33
Speaker 2: teams in the mid to high twenties team total and valuable.
53:37
Speaker 2: Like there's value here on the Kentucky side, Kentucky, Kenny
53:41
Speaker 2: Minchey is cheap. Ken plays for Kentucky. Uh, and that's,
53:45
Speaker 2: I think that's why Kenny likes Kentucky. He, we talked
53:48
Speaker 2: about him a few weeks ago. There's a lot of Ken's,
53:50
Speaker 2: a lot of Ken's on the board again at 6,100.
53:53
Speaker 2: I think you can keep him on your list. Uh,
53:56
Speaker 2: he's going to be without one of his top pass catchers.
53:58
Speaker 2: So DJ Miller, uh, is doubtful. Uh, but he's still
54:02
Speaker 2: got Kenny Darby with the big play potential. He's still
54:04
Speaker 2: got Willie Rodriguez at tight end. Who's a target hog. Um,
54:09
Speaker 2: So there's a potential for a stack to get here,
54:11
Speaker 2: or even, like, they're cheap wide receivers and tight ends,
54:14
Speaker 2: so you could do a one-off there. The running back
54:16
Speaker 2: room is interesting, though, too. Like, I think C.J. Baxter's
54:18
Speaker 2: still number one, but there's kind of a 50-50 split
54:22
Speaker 2: or close, too. Like, in terms of production, it could
54:24
Speaker 2: be either one of these guys, and then Joe Barnes
54:27
Speaker 2: is still kind of there and could see the field.
54:31
Speaker 2: So it's a little bit tougher. I think I wouldn't
54:33
Speaker 2: blame you for playing one, but they're priced weird, too,
54:36
Speaker 2: all above 5K. Baxter at six. On the South Carolina side,
54:40
Speaker 2: probably too cheap for Lenora Sellers at 7,200 because he
54:43
Speaker 2: can get you there with his legs. Still running the
54:46
Speaker 2: ball at nine yards a carry this season if you
54:47
Speaker 2: take out sacks. Matt Fuller's just been an absolute stud.
54:50
Speaker 2: He can catch the ball. He can run the ball.
54:52
Speaker 2: He's finally priced where he should be. We got him
54:55
Speaker 2: in the 4Ks a couple weeks ago, and it was awesome.
54:58
Speaker 2: Now he's 7,200, but I think he's still cash viable,
55:01
Speaker 2: viable in all formats. And then the wide receiver room, man,
55:04
Speaker 2: Nick Harbour and Mazeo Bennett, are target hogs, but Harbor's
55:09
Speaker 2: catch rate is 50%. Bennett's catch rate is like 47.6%.
55:13
Speaker 2: Both have four drops. They could be slate breakers if
55:17
Speaker 2: they could catch the ball, but this is oddly one
55:20
Speaker 2: of those games that I thought was going to be
55:22
Speaker 2: a little boring, but for DFS purposes, not a bad
55:26
Speaker 2: late afternoon hammer.
55:27
Speaker 1: You look at the numbers, you got a total in
55:29
Speaker 1: the mid-50s. You got two team totals, 25 and above, 28,
55:33
Speaker 1: 29 for South Carolina. You got one of those high
55:38
Speaker 1: upside quarterbacks you mentioned with the rush pass option with
55:41
Speaker 1: Lenore Sellers. People kind of quitting on him, but he
55:45
Speaker 1: has receivers that definitely let him down. His most reliable
55:48
Speaker 1: guy has been Matt Fuller, who really has come through
55:50
Speaker 1: the last few weeks. He's just been pretty much a
55:53
Speaker 1: stud at the running back spot. And then you got
55:56
Speaker 1: the Kentucky side, who all these guys are priced down,
56:01
Speaker 1: but they've just been winning by running the ball. with
56:05
Speaker 1: multiple guys. And if you had one guy there, one
56:10
Speaker 1: go-to running back, they'd be a smash play at one
56:12
Speaker 1: of their prices. But you've got two, and it's really
56:15
Speaker 1: hard to say. You make some lineups, you want to
56:17
Speaker 1: split them. It seems like a pretty decent game stack
56:20
Speaker 1: where maybe you stack up the South Carolina side running
56:22
Speaker 1: back with one of the running backs, do the same
56:24
Speaker 1: thing with the other running back. That could be an
56:27
Speaker 1: interesting play there because Sellers does pass the ball to
56:32
Speaker 1: Bennett and Harper and Fuller. Fuller catches it. The other
56:36
Speaker 1: guys that really have it, Harbert can get. We've seen
56:39
Speaker 1: Harbert get those 60, 70. He's just a freak. I
56:41
Speaker 1: think he was number one on the freak list in
56:43
Speaker 1: the offseason. He looks like a guy that if he's
56:48
Speaker 1: listed at 4-2, should be absolute smashing, especially in a
56:53
Speaker 1: game where the projections score 29 points. So it's a
56:57
Speaker 1: really interesting, unique game. I think it's one that we
56:59
Speaker 1: can't ignore in the late hammer game. I think one
57:03
Speaker 1: that you try to get creative with. Take some shots in.
57:06
Speaker 1: One-off guys fuller for sure, as you mentioned. But don't,
57:10
Speaker 1: you know, if you want to take a shot on
57:11
Speaker 1: one of those cheaper receivers from South Carolina, I wouldn't
57:15
Speaker 1: be opposed to that either. I might be thinking about
57:16
Speaker 1: that myself.
57:18
Speaker 2: Yeah, and it's one of those games where if you
57:21
Speaker 2: do want to force a late stack, a late game hammer,
57:24
Speaker 2: maybe put some additional rules in there so you don't
57:27
Speaker 2: end up with a double running back on one side or,
57:29
Speaker 2: you know, over stacking with, you know, like, again, super
57:33
Speaker 2: high ceilings but not safe at all However, I don't know.
57:37
Speaker 2: It's cheap enough, like you said. It can open up
57:39
Speaker 2: your lineups for a lot in some of the other games,
57:42
Speaker 2: but that's going to do it. I think a pretty
57:47
Speaker 2: fun slate because there's a lot to consider. There's a
57:50
Speaker 2: lot to think about. You've got to decide where you
57:51
Speaker 2: want to spend your money. The value is not incredibly clear,
57:55
Speaker 2: especially under 4K.
57:56
Speaker 1: I think the value is in your build, not necessarily
57:59
Speaker 1: the players. I think the value is in the way
58:01
Speaker 1: that you build your lineups. and where you go for that.
58:04
Speaker 1: I think there's really a lot of good questions at
58:06
Speaker 1: quarterback that make this really fun to think about. Absolutely.
58:11
Speaker 2: And what better a day than to have the Gophers
58:14
Speaker 2: in the early window, the Gators in the late window,
58:18
Speaker 2: get the double G going. Let's get, let's get a
58:20
Speaker 2: couple more big wins for our teams. Any other final
58:23
Speaker 2: thoughts on this lady?
58:24
Speaker 1: Yeah, no, every week is every week is different. That's
58:26
Speaker 1: what makes this game so, so much fun because of
58:28
Speaker 1: the different players that we get each week, different pricing,
58:32
Speaker 1: that we get each week. So another challenge ahead of us,
58:35
Speaker 1: you know, we are in October. This is college football
58:37
Speaker 1: season right here. It's conference season. It's college football season.
58:40
Speaker 1: Another exciting Saturday on tap for us. Let's win some money. Absolutely.
58:45
Speaker 2: And again, appreciate the pre-recording late Thursday night. We hope
58:51
Speaker 2: to be back live next Friday at 1230 Lord's time zone,
58:57
Speaker 2: one 30 Eastern time. For those of you who are
58:59
Speaker 2: new here, But we'll end this show the same way
59:01
Speaker 2: we end every show with the big guys rule number one.
59:05
Speaker 2: College football is fun. Enjoy building your lineups. Enjoy the sweat.
59:09
Speaker 1: Love.
59:10
Speaker 2: The fact and be thankful that we have college football
59:13
Speaker 2: on our TVs every single Saturday. 61 straight days of
59:16
Speaker 2: football started Thursday night between college and pros. What a
59:21
Speaker 2: time of year. We're going to get some Tuesday college
59:23
Speaker 2: football next week. That's exciting. That fits right into this
59:26
Speaker 2: rule number one. But the most important thing, Don't take
59:30
Speaker 2: a single day for granted because we never know which
59:33
Speaker 2: one's going to be our last. But with that, for
59:36
Speaker 2: my friend Ian, I'm Dollar Bill. We'll see you in
59:38
Speaker 2: the college football streets this Saturday. Let's go out and
59:40
Speaker 2: ship one for the big guy.