Latest / Crosstabs / Oregon Senate Democrats Do the Leadership Shuffle
Transcript
- 0:00SPEAKER_01: This ad brought to you by... We're cleared to engage.
- 0:03SPEAKER_02: Time on target.
- 0:05SPEAKER_02: Five mics.
- 0:24SPEAKER_00: Welcome back to Crosstabs.
- 0:26SPEAKER_00: Everyone, I'm your host, Reagan Canope, with my co-host, Brian Iverson.
- 0:31SPEAKER_00: How are you, Brian?
- 0:32SPEAKER_01: I'm good.
- 0:34SPEAKER_01: I feel like Reagan, we need an intro.
- 0:37SPEAKER_01: Like you and I, we just go, hey, welcome.
- 0:40SPEAKER_01: We're back.
- 0:42SPEAKER_01: So we'll have to come up with a better way of coming up with your signature,
- 0:47SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 0:48SPEAKER_01: intro line or something like that.
- 0:49SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 0:51SPEAKER_00: I agree with you, Brian.
- 0:52SPEAKER_00: Maybe we should ask the listeners to write us.
- 0:56SPEAKER_00: We haven't gotten a lot of fan mail yet or hate mail.
- 0:59SPEAKER_00: Send both.
- 1:01SPEAKER_01: I've got a little bit of hate mail.
- 1:05SPEAKER_01: I like the hate mail better than the fan mail, to be honest.
- 1:07SPEAKER_01: I think it's more fun.
- 1:09SPEAKER_01: It's kind of like when we send text messages out for campaigns that we work on.
- 1:14SPEAKER_01: I love reading those responses that people get.
- 1:20SPEAKER_01: Only the negative ones.
- 1:21SPEAKER_01: The positive ones are well and good.
- 1:23SPEAKER_01: But I love some of the negative stuff that people,
- 1:26SPEAKER_01: especially when they say they're going to report us to the FBI.
- 1:29SPEAKER_01: I think that's the best.
- 1:32SPEAKER_00: I save a few of those in my file.
- 1:33SPEAKER_00: I'll have to find them and we'll read some of the funniest ones,
- 1:36SPEAKER_00: Brian,
- 1:37SPEAKER_00: because people write back some entertaining stuff.
- 1:41SPEAKER_00: For our listeners,
- 1:42SPEAKER_00: I did want to note,
- 1:42SPEAKER_00: you can probably hear a little bit of difference in our voices because Brian,
- 1:47SPEAKER_00: you and I have set up our professional microphones.
- 1:50SPEAKER_00: We're really coming up in the podcasting world.
- 1:52SPEAKER_01: The studio is getting better.
- 1:55SPEAKER_01: Cross tab studio.
- 1:56SPEAKER_01: I can't wait till we actually have our own studio,
- 1:59SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 2:00SPEAKER_01: glass studio,
- 2:02SPEAKER_01: people walk by,
- 2:03SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 2:04SPEAKER_01: we're like in a fishbowl.
- 2:05SPEAKER_01: I'm just kidding.
- 2:07SPEAKER_01: Maybe we'll see if we can set it up inside the Capitol and have our own like
- 2:10SPEAKER_01: fishbowl right there on the first floor by the hearing rooms.
- 2:13SPEAKER_01: Wouldn't that be great?
- 2:13SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 2:15SPEAKER_00: If you're listening and you want to sponsor the Crosstab Studio, get in touch with Brian or myself.
- 2:20SPEAKER_00: We'd love to talk to you about sponsorships.
- 2:23SPEAKER_00: Eventually we will sell, I think, some sponsorships on this.
- 2:27SPEAKER_00: And Brian, you and I, we can do the ad reads.
- 2:29SPEAKER_00: It'll be really fun.
- 2:30SPEAKER_01: That would be good.
- 2:31SPEAKER_01: Hey, I'm in the midst of, before we get going, we got a lot of things to go over today.
- 2:36SPEAKER_01: For sure,
- 2:37SPEAKER_01: there's a lot of news kind of out there in the world,
- 2:40SPEAKER_01: and it's great that we get to discuss that together.
- 2:43SPEAKER_01: I always enjoy your takes on them, and of course, I love giving my takes on them.
- 2:48SPEAKER_01: So I think we have some pretty good topics we're going to cover today.
- 2:51SPEAKER_01: I do want to give,
- 2:52SPEAKER_01: because maybe one day he'll actually listen to this,
- 2:55SPEAKER_01: but today my oldest son is graduating from high school.
- 2:59SPEAKER_01: So after we're done recording this crosstab studio,
- 3:02SPEAKER_01: I am going to be driving back to the ranch,
- 3:06SPEAKER_01: hopping in my tractor with my trailer and driving and hauling a bunch of seniors
- 3:11SPEAKER_01: through the parade that they have this afternoon,
- 3:15SPEAKER_01: which is kind of fun.
- 3:16SPEAKER_01: And then tonight he gets to walk on stage and get his diploma and stuff.
- 3:21SPEAKER_01: And he's heading off to Grand Canyon University down in Phoenix, a private school.
- 3:25SPEAKER_01: I wouldn't send my kids to a public university.
- 3:29SPEAKER_01: There's no way that I'm going to let him get indoctrinated by the far lefties there.
- 3:32SPEAKER_01: So this was his decision, not his dad's.
- 3:35SPEAKER_01: But tell me I was proud of him that he made it.
- 3:37SPEAKER_01: That's for sure.
- 3:39SPEAKER_01: I wanted to mention also that Vicki gets to be up on stage and shaking hands of all
- 3:45SPEAKER_01: the graduating seniors.
- 3:46SPEAKER_01: And normally she doesn't like to do this as the state representative because it
- 3:51SPEAKER_01: just seems a little tacky.
- 3:52SPEAKER_01: But this one, she was pretty special just because it's her oldest son.
- 3:56SPEAKER_01: So she's pretty excited about that.
- 3:59SPEAKER_01: But the rituals around graduation, Regan,
- 4:04SPEAKER_01: I didn't really have much of a graduation party.
- 4:06SPEAKER_01: I think my parents came to my graduation and that was about it, right?
- 4:09SPEAKER_01: My mom and dad were, they weren't rich or had any sort of money.
- 4:13SPEAKER_01: They were pretty poor.
- 4:14SPEAKER_01: So I don't know what you did for graduation.
- 4:16SPEAKER_01: It'd be fun to hear what you say,
- 4:17SPEAKER_01: but I mean,
- 4:18SPEAKER_01: I gotta be,
- 4:20SPEAKER_01: I went to the bank yesterday,
- 4:21SPEAKER_01: Reagan,
- 4:21SPEAKER_01: and I took out a thousand dollars in cash so I can get $50 bills to all these kids
- 4:26SPEAKER_01: that send me their graduation cards.
- 4:29SPEAKER_01: I mean, I think I'm out two or three grand on this deal at this point already.
- 4:34SPEAKER_01: having a party tomorrow, like the whole thing.
- 4:37SPEAKER_01: And then they give my son money, right?
- 4:38SPEAKER_01: I mean, he's supposed to get money when he sends out graduation announcements and all the things.
- 4:43SPEAKER_01: And I seem to be the only one paying.
- 4:45SPEAKER_01: I don't know.
- 4:46SPEAKER_01: So son,
- 4:48SPEAKER_01: when you listen to this and I need to go into the home and somebody has to pay for it,
- 4:55SPEAKER_01: this is this plus interest.
- 4:58SPEAKER_00: Well,
- 4:59SPEAKER_00: Brian,
- 5:00SPEAKER_00: my understanding is you're supposed to put that on the final invoice that you give
- 5:03SPEAKER_00: to your kids and they move out.
- 5:04SPEAKER_00: So I'm working on compiling all the expenses for my kids.
- 5:09SPEAKER_00: But they've got a few years.
- 5:11SPEAKER_00: But that's probably the national debt that we're talking about, right?
- 5:14SPEAKER_00: Start saving now, Reagan.
- 5:18SPEAKER_00: a hundred percent and there's a few kids at our church that have graduated so we
- 5:23SPEAKER_00: got them cards and been giving them some money and for my graduation I not
- 5:28SPEAKER_00: everybody knows this probably if some might but I was homeschooled so all the
- 5:32SPEAKER_00: homeschool guys in my area we got together and we did like a graduation at a local
- 5:38SPEAKER_00: church and we did like a whole ceremony and stuff like that and
- 5:41SPEAKER_00: My diploma is around here somewhere.
- 5:42SPEAKER_00: It says Canope Preparatory Academy and signed by my parents and all that stuff.
- 5:46SPEAKER_00: Cause I didn't get, I didn't actually graduate with a real degree.
- 5:49SPEAKER_00: We didn't do like a program that was certified.
- 5:51SPEAKER_00: I just tested into COCC and then I transferred my credits after a year or two to
- 5:56SPEAKER_00: Chemeketa while I was working in Salem.
- 5:57SPEAKER_00: And I have a two year degree from Chemeketa that transfers to another university if I ever want to go.
- 6:04SPEAKER_00: But yeah, that's what, that's what we did.
- 6:07SPEAKER_00: And it was a lot of fun and yeah.
- 6:10SPEAKER_01: Do you feel you've missed out on anything by being homeschooled?
- 6:15SPEAKER_00: That's a good question.
- 6:16SPEAKER_00: I played sports,
- 6:16SPEAKER_00: like I played baseball,
- 6:17SPEAKER_00: and I was always able to enroll in Little League or the public high schools for sports.
- 6:25SPEAKER_00: So I would say not a ton.
- 6:27SPEAKER_00: We also had a group that met for PE once a week, and we would play dodgeball when it was cold out.
- 6:34SPEAKER_00: in a big gymnasium or we'd play soccer when it was nice out at the park by tumalo
- 6:38SPEAKER_00: well not by tumalo by um pilot butte there's a park behind pilot butte that's
- 6:43SPEAKER_00: pretty big and you can play like and we played ultimate frisbee and stuff like that
- 6:46SPEAKER_00: so um i would say not a ton but i also while i was in high school basically or
- 6:53SPEAKER_00: right after i graduated high school went to
- 6:55SPEAKER_00: Salem and learned how to socialize and talk on the phone from just working in the front of the office.
- 7:03SPEAKER_00: I probably did miss out on something, but I don't know it, so it doesn't really bother me.
- 7:07SPEAKER_00: I never sat in a school bus.
- 7:09SPEAKER_00: That's one thing I never did that I haven't experienced.
- 7:12SPEAKER_00: I never got to sit in a big yellow school bus, but
- 7:16SPEAKER_00: I still feel really blessed and privileged for all that I did learn.
- 7:20SPEAKER_00: So I think I got maybe a non-standard education, but I'm also a unique non-standard person.
- 7:26SPEAKER_00: I think more non-standard education would be good for people.
- 7:31SPEAKER_00: I think...
- 7:32SPEAKER_00: We're doing a lot of one size fits all.
- 7:33SPEAKER_00: And I've just found that I was on a school board, a charter school board in Medford when I was there.
- 7:39SPEAKER_00: And they had a unique hybrid system where it's one day in class with kids and then at home.
- 7:44SPEAKER_00: And they'd send the teachers out your home once a week, too.
- 7:46SPEAKER_00: So there's a lot of hands on education.
- 7:48SPEAKER_00: I was really successful.
- 7:49SPEAKER_00: We always had a high 90 percent graduation rates and all that.
- 7:52SPEAKER_00: So we need more experimentation in education.
- 7:56SPEAKER_00: We need less of the one size fits all systems.
- 8:00SPEAKER_01: Well, I would agree 100%.
- 8:01SPEAKER_01: We're going to touch on the PDX, Portland Teachers Unions for Palestine, a little later in the podcast.
- 8:10SPEAKER_01: I think less going to school might be good for a lot of kids out there.
- 8:16SPEAKER_01: More learning, less in school is what I would say.
- 8:20SPEAKER_01: My kids...
- 8:21SPEAKER_01: you know, I feel very strong.
- 8:23SPEAKER_01: They they've got a,
- 8:24SPEAKER_01: Alex has a couple of really good friends that were both homeschooled,
- 8:27SPEAKER_01: both very good athletes too.
- 8:28SPEAKER_01: So they would come and do the, the sports and both my boys play a lot of sports and everything.
- 8:33SPEAKER_01: And so I,
- 8:34SPEAKER_01: I don't feel like the only thing they probably miss is the,
- 8:38SPEAKER_01: the social aspect of right of going to school,
- 8:41SPEAKER_01: like being in the high school,
- 8:43SPEAKER_01: but everything else,
- 8:44SPEAKER_01: it seems like they were around.
- 8:45SPEAKER_01: They were part of the things, heck one of them, Eddie free off.
- 8:48SPEAKER_01: He's going to be suiting it up and,
- 8:51SPEAKER_01: And he's playing for the Beavers this fall in football.
- 8:55SPEAKER_01: And he's an incredible athlete.
- 8:57SPEAKER_01: And I think his mom, he's an adopted African kid.
- 9:02SPEAKER_01: And they adopted all of him and his brothers.
- 9:05SPEAKER_01: And they were all homeschooled.
- 9:06SPEAKER_01: And he's got some...
- 9:08SPEAKER_01: They have some real kids and adopted kids,
- 9:11SPEAKER_01: but I think she runs a school of like nine or 10 kids in that homeschool thing.
- 9:15SPEAKER_01: And one of the smartest people I know,
- 9:17SPEAKER_01: and he's going to be an incredible student athlete at Oregon State University.
- 9:22SPEAKER_01: So I do think that there is something to our schools and what value that brings.
- 9:29SPEAKER_01: But I think that you can still be a quality young person
- 9:34SPEAKER_01: regardless of whether you go to public school or private school,
- 9:37SPEAKER_01: I do believe at the end of the day,
- 9:39SPEAKER_01: parents matter.
- 9:41SPEAKER_00: it's the core values they teach their kids, Brian.
- 9:43SPEAKER_00: And it's that I think we don't have a lot of shared societal values.
- 9:47SPEAKER_00: Now those are kind of divided into two camps and that's been damaging for our country and for our state.
- 9:52SPEAKER_00: And so we need more of those shared values to really make that work better and,
- 9:57SPEAKER_00: and encourage our kids and build them into,
- 9:59SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 10:01SPEAKER_00: contributing to society.
- 10:03SPEAKER_00: I mean, that's, that's the thing I care about the most when I think about is like,
- 10:06SPEAKER_00: I want my kids to contribute.
- 10:07SPEAKER_00: I don't want them to be a drain on society.
- 10:10SPEAKER_00: I don't want them to be a scourge of society.
- 10:12SPEAKER_00: So that's,
- 10:13SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 10:13SPEAKER_00: that's why I do what I do in terms of raising my kids and teaching them right from
- 10:17SPEAKER_00: wrong and going to church and all that.
- 10:21SPEAKER_00: Very good point.
- 10:22SPEAKER_01: You're raising them on the, on the Reagan, the Reagan ranch too, you know?
- 10:26SPEAKER_01: So, I mean, we'll, we'll,
- 10:28SPEAKER_01: those sort of values that they're going to learn every day are going to be pretty important,
- 10:32SPEAKER_01: even though you're,
- 10:32SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 10:32SPEAKER_01: you have a ranchette out there and I have a real ranch,
- 10:35SPEAKER_01: but we can always talk about size later on ranches.
- 10:39SPEAKER_01: We'll have to discuss that because it really is a,
- 10:42SPEAKER_01: a rule of thumb of what you can call a ranch.
- 10:46SPEAKER_00: But we'll talk about that.
- 10:47SPEAKER_00: I mean, I agree with you, Brian.
- 10:48SPEAKER_00: I just,
- 10:49SPEAKER_00: I call mine the,
- 10:50SPEAKER_00: I always refer to mine as the Yellowstone,
- 10:52SPEAKER_00: the Albany Yellowstone,
- 10:54SPEAKER_00: which really,
- 10:55SPEAKER_00: really gives people a different idea on size,
- 10:57SPEAKER_00: but it's really 4.2 acres.
- 11:00SPEAKER_00: I think yours is just a touch more than that.
- 11:03SPEAKER_00: I was just cleaning out
- 11:04SPEAKER_00: The horse stalls.
- 11:06SPEAKER_00: I went riding this morning,
- 11:07SPEAKER_00: which is,
- 11:07SPEAKER_00: by the way,
- 11:07SPEAKER_00: if you can tell that I sound congested,
- 11:10SPEAKER_00: it's because I have horrible allergies,
- 11:11SPEAKER_00: but I power through anyway because it's still good for me to be outside despite the
- 11:16SPEAKER_00: damage it does to me.
- 11:18SPEAKER_00: But it's not permanent, so I power through.
- 11:20SPEAKER_00: But one of the things I was thinking about, Brian, is it is the end of the first week of June.
- 11:26SPEAKER_00: And I'm thinking about campaigning.
- 11:29SPEAKER_00: We just had the May primary and a lot of candidates and a lot of political
- 11:36SPEAKER_00: consultants in that they're trying to figure out how to arrange their calendars and
- 11:39SPEAKER_00: what to do.
- 11:40SPEAKER_00: And so I just wanted to ask you,
- 11:41SPEAKER_00: Brian,
- 11:41SPEAKER_00: you've been through a lot of campaigns,
- 11:43SPEAKER_00: a lot of different kinds of campaigns.
- 11:46SPEAKER_00: I'm guessing you've worked on stuff from Congress all the way down to school board.
- 11:50SPEAKER_00: What,
- 11:51SPEAKER_00: what are you supposed to be doing in the summer months and what should you not do
- 11:54SPEAKER_00: in the summer months in terms of the,
- 11:55SPEAKER_00: of the campaigns?
- 11:57SPEAKER_01: Well, it kind of depends, right?
- 12:00SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 12:00SPEAKER_01: if you're,
- 12:00SPEAKER_01: I worked on a couple of governor races as well,
- 12:04SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 12:05SPEAKER_01: they,
- 12:05SPEAKER_01: they have a different,
- 12:06SPEAKER_01: different thought process in there,
- 12:07SPEAKER_01: but I always say,
- 12:08SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 12:09SPEAKER_01: the summer comes down to two things,
- 12:12SPEAKER_01: raise money,
- 12:12SPEAKER_01: talk to voters.
- 12:14SPEAKER_01: That's it.
- 12:15SPEAKER_01: Like,
- 12:15SPEAKER_01: there's really nothing else you do in the summer,
- 12:18SPEAKER_01: except for that,
- 12:19SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 12:20SPEAKER_01: and,
- 12:20SPEAKER_01: and I have a candidate now that he was just,
- 12:24SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 12:25SPEAKER_01: like,
- 12:25SPEAKER_01: Oh,
- 12:25SPEAKER_01: I want to,
- 12:25SPEAKER_01: I want to run some banner ads and do this and that.
- 12:28SPEAKER_01: And I'm like, no, nobody's going to run one.
- 12:30SPEAKER_01: Nobody knows you and nobody cares.
- 12:33SPEAKER_01: And I hammer that to so many people all the time that nobody knows you and nobody cares.
- 12:39SPEAKER_01: And that's because they don't, right?
- 12:41SPEAKER_01: Especially during the summer.
- 12:43SPEAKER_01: And so your job is to go out and hit doors, go door to door and do as many campaign events as possible.
- 12:50SPEAKER_01: I believe that in raising money, meaning like,
- 12:53SPEAKER_01: every $100 check at a time, and every $200 check, small little campaign coffees, all those things.
- 13:01SPEAKER_01: This is the grind time.
- 13:03SPEAKER_01: The next three months is grind time.
- 13:06SPEAKER_01: This is where the difference between winners and losers is made, is during this time over the summer.
- 13:14SPEAKER_01: What are you going to do?
- 13:15SPEAKER_01: How many events are you going to hit?
- 13:17SPEAKER_01: How many doors are you going to hit?
- 13:19SPEAKER_01: How many
- 13:20SPEAKER_01: campaign events are you going to have at people's front yards backyards coffee
- 13:24SPEAKER_01: shops to raise three four five hundred bucks at a time i don't care if you're
- 13:29SPEAKER_01: running for city council county commissioner state senate or what have you now
- 13:33SPEAKER_01: statewide those guys are going to be working more on you know getting around the
- 13:37SPEAKER_01: state right but it's really just more a macro level versus a micro level in a
- 13:42SPEAKER_01: district but these i think there's a
- 13:49SPEAKER_01: You want to like, oh, let's go, let's go, let's get these voters.
- 13:52SPEAKER_01: And the reality is,
- 13:53SPEAKER_01: is when you're down ballot races,
- 13:56SPEAKER_01: it's very hard to garner the attention of a mass electorate until you get really
- 14:00SPEAKER_01: close to election time when people are paying attention.
- 14:03SPEAKER_01: So stay focused.
- 14:07SPEAKER_01: And I bet the Democrats say the same thing to their candidates, man, in these targeted races.
- 14:11SPEAKER_01: Raise money, talk to voters.
- 14:12SPEAKER_01: Raise money, talk to voters.
- 14:14SPEAKER_01: Like that's all you can do and that's all you should do.
- 14:17SPEAKER_01: Everything else is just noise and a waste of money.
- 14:21SPEAKER_00: Well,
- 14:21SPEAKER_00: I think,
- 14:22SPEAKER_00: too,
- 14:23SPEAKER_00: when you think about your campaign budget and just as you would in a primary,
- 14:28SPEAKER_00: if you've got a contested primary,
- 14:30SPEAKER_00: you and you'll see this,
- 14:31SPEAKER_00: you'll watch this.
- 14:32SPEAKER_00: Lori Chavez,
- 14:33SPEAKER_00: Dreamer and Salinas and whoever's in these contested races,
- 14:37SPEAKER_00: the fourth,
- 14:38SPEAKER_00: they are going to bank money over the summer and they're going to try to keep their
- 14:41SPEAKER_00: spend as low as possible.
- 14:44SPEAKER_00: Because they need cash for the three weeks of voting that we have in Oregon to
- 14:51SPEAKER_00: really blanket the airways and fill up mailboxes and fill up inboxes,
- 14:56SPEAKER_00: right?
- 14:57SPEAKER_00: And if you burn that cash in the summer...
- 15:01SPEAKER_00: you may not have it there when you need it in the fall.
- 15:03SPEAKER_00: And that's the mistake I think a lot of candidates will make is they will say,
- 15:07SPEAKER_00: well,
- 15:08SPEAKER_00: I need to be in a position to have my polling look good in August because you're
- 15:12SPEAKER_00: going to have the caucuses and the NRCCs and the Senate leadership funds polling in
- 15:18SPEAKER_00: August and September.
- 15:19SPEAKER_00: And sometimes the lobby will pull too.
- 15:22SPEAKER_00: They're like, well, if I don't spend now, I'm not going to have my name ID where it is.
- 15:25SPEAKER_00: But guess what?
- 15:26SPEAKER_00: That mailer and that stuff that you're sending out
- 15:29SPEAKER_00: is name ID that gets erased or forgotten faster than being at events,
- 15:36SPEAKER_00: door knocking,
- 15:37SPEAKER_00: making phone calls,
- 15:39SPEAKER_00: right?
- 15:39SPEAKER_00: Texting, I think, is the one is cheapest enough where I'd allow it during the summer.
- 15:43SPEAKER_00: If you're trying to get a message through,
- 15:44SPEAKER_00: you're trying to get a hey,
- 15:47SPEAKER_00: I'm working on this to try to define yourself as a candidate.
- 15:49SPEAKER_00: I think that's OK.
- 15:50SPEAKER_00: But if you're burning cash in the summer,
- 15:53SPEAKER_00: people are going to be confused why you're broke in the fall when you had three
- 15:56SPEAKER_00: months to fundraise June,
- 15:57SPEAKER_00: July,
- 15:58SPEAKER_00: August,
- 15:58SPEAKER_00: right?
- 15:59SPEAKER_00: And so don't be caught dead without money in September and October when you really
- 16:05SPEAKER_00: actually need to spend it in October and November.
- 16:08SPEAKER_01: Well, I would agree, especially microtexting isn't a bad thing.
- 16:12SPEAKER_01: I mean, that all goes to talking to voters, right?
- 16:14SPEAKER_01: When you're going door to door in a neighborhood and you want to text those voters
- 16:18SPEAKER_01: and let them know you're in their neighborhood,
- 16:20SPEAKER_01: door knocking,
- 16:21SPEAKER_01: I hope I get a chance to meet you.
- 16:22SPEAKER_01: Those sort of things are great, right?
- 16:23SPEAKER_01: Those are just good field strategies that...
- 16:26SPEAKER_01: whether you are Lori Chavez Dreamer or your state rep candidate,
- 16:31SPEAKER_01: city council candidate,
- 16:32SPEAKER_01: they're deploying those same tactics.
- 16:34SPEAKER_01: So I think that is really good to do on that micro level.
- 16:39SPEAKER_01: The caucuses on their level,
- 16:42SPEAKER_01: like you said,
- 16:43SPEAKER_01: if you raise,
- 16:45SPEAKER_01: say,
- 16:46SPEAKER_01: $100,000 you have in the bank or $75,000 and you show up after Labor Day and you
- 16:51SPEAKER_01: have like 1,200 bucks,
- 16:53SPEAKER_01: and they're going to be like,
- 16:54SPEAKER_01: well,
- 16:55SPEAKER_01: what happened?
- 16:58SPEAKER_01: Well,
- 16:58SPEAKER_01: we did a mailer back in July or we sponsored the county fair for a bunch of money
- 17:06SPEAKER_01: or some kind of...
- 17:09SPEAKER_01: I would just say silly expense.
- 17:12SPEAKER_01: You know,
- 17:13SPEAKER_01: it should be you should raise enough money that you can pay for your operations,
- 17:17SPEAKER_01: which is your people.
- 17:18SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 17:18SPEAKER_01: Pay for that sort of stuff and then try to keep those other expenses at a minimum.
- 17:24SPEAKER_01: I mean, at a bare minimum as you can.
- 17:26SPEAKER_01: I mean, be frugal.
- 17:28SPEAKER_01: Keep those dollars because when it comes down to.
- 17:32SPEAKER_01: people that want to support you and people that want to help you when really you
- 17:36SPEAKER_01: need them to show up in September,
- 17:38SPEAKER_01: you can say,
- 17:39SPEAKER_01: Hey,
- 17:39SPEAKER_01: I got 30 grand on hand and I got,
- 17:43SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 17:43SPEAKER_01: 50 and you never know when that money's going to dry up.
- 17:46SPEAKER_01: So the more that you have going into October in the bank,
- 17:51SPEAKER_01: the more likely your chance of being success is.
- 17:54SPEAKER_01: And I don't care if it is a city council race or, you know, a local County commissioner race.
- 17:59SPEAKER_01: And if you have, uh,
- 18:01SPEAKER_01: The other person has zero dollars in October and you're sitting on 10 grand and
- 18:05SPEAKER_01: you're a county commissioner.
- 18:07SPEAKER_01: Chances are you're going to be able to move that needle five or seven points while they're doing nothing.
- 18:12SPEAKER_01: So it does.
- 18:13SPEAKER_01: You know, it's all varying degrees.
- 18:15SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 18:16SPEAKER_01: I mean, take Lori Chavez Dreamers race, which will collectively probably spend 20 million dollars.
- 18:22SPEAKER_01: that's probably not going to matter as much, but they also have a huge, huge organization.
- 18:27SPEAKER_01: So the difference for them is like, Oh, are they spending 5 million in October?
- 18:31SPEAKER_01: Are they spending 3 million?
- 18:33SPEAKER_01: And that's where money does make a difference.
- 18:35SPEAKER_01: It's just relative.
- 18:37SPEAKER_00: I'm glad you brought up that example, Brian.
- 18:39SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 18:39SPEAKER_00: we always appreciate people who contribute to the community and sponsor the fair,
- 18:43SPEAKER_00: but let the corporations handle that because I don't remember who sponsored the
- 18:46SPEAKER_00: fair last year.
- 18:47SPEAKER_00: I don't remember whose logo was on the bags.
- 18:51SPEAKER_00: That's not stuff you remember.
- 18:52SPEAKER_00: And even the mail I got last week, I can't remember.
- 18:55SPEAKER_00: I do remember if a candidate comes through my door.
- 18:57SPEAKER_00: I do remember if a candidate calls me.
- 18:59SPEAKER_00: And people right now are not in the make up their mind stage.
- 19:03SPEAKER_00: they will not, you know, the partisans have made up their minds already.
- 19:06SPEAKER_00: A lot of them are bought in.
- 19:07SPEAKER_00: You need to meet them so they know you exist.
- 19:10SPEAKER_00: But most of them are going to come home for November, right?
- 19:12SPEAKER_00: So most people are trying to decide not if they're going to vote for you,
- 19:18SPEAKER_00: but if they're not going to vote for you.
- 19:20SPEAKER_00: Like if they hate you, if they think you suck, if they think you're weird, if they think you're whatever.
- 19:25SPEAKER_00: So be out there and be normal so that you're in contention to win their vote when
- 19:29SPEAKER_00: the mail is fast and furious and the phone calls are flying and the texts are...
- 19:33SPEAKER_00: are going right you can take yourself out of contention this summer you can't win
- 19:36SPEAKER_00: the race in the summer with the swing voters they haven't made up their minds yet
- 19:41SPEAKER_00: but you can lay the groundwork to win them by knocking on doors by texting you know
- 19:46SPEAKER_00: i think if i were republicans right now i would be texting i would be figuring out
- 19:52SPEAKER_00: a way to talk to women
- 19:54SPEAKER_00: and inoculate yourself on the abortion issue that's what i would be doing right now
- 19:59SPEAKER_00: over the summer i think that that would be money that's well spent with texting and
- 20:03SPEAKER_00: phone calls and door knocking and targeted messaging because i think that's the
- 20:07SPEAKER_00: biggest you know one of the bigger problems we had we didn't message on abortion
- 20:11SPEAKER_00: very well in in 22 we need to do better on that in 24 but you also don't know if
- 20:17SPEAKER_00: the issue set could be totally different in the fall
- 20:19SPEAKER_00: So going too hard, too fast on a particular issue in the summer may not matter in the fall.
- 20:24SPEAKER_00: And that's where I see people waste their money.
- 20:26SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 20:27SPEAKER_01: Well, think about 2022, Greg.
- 20:29SPEAKER_01: And I mean,
- 20:30SPEAKER_01: when I was working for the caucuses and running,
- 20:33SPEAKER_01: running all the races with your dad and with Vicki and the whole team there and all
- 20:39SPEAKER_01: the state reps and senators,
- 20:40SPEAKER_01: and we were looking at some polling coming out of the primary going,
- 20:43SPEAKER_01: well,
- 20:44SPEAKER_01: man, this is looking freaking great.
- 20:48SPEAKER_01: After going through 2021 redistricting where some people left to go run for other
- 20:54SPEAKER_01: things because they thought we were a lost cause.
- 20:57SPEAKER_01: And I think that we started looking at polling and the numbers were great.
- 21:01SPEAKER_01: And then the Supreme Court decided on Roe v. Wade.
- 21:06SPEAKER_01: And that was late June.
- 21:08SPEAKER_01: And over the summer,
- 21:10SPEAKER_01: our leads or everything we had in polling that was good,
- 21:13SPEAKER_01: it just kept getting eroded further and further down the line.
- 21:19SPEAKER_01: Like, it didn't matter what race.
- 21:20SPEAKER_01: More so, to your point, we lost women.
- 21:23SPEAKER_01: They were all ready to vote for us.
- 21:26SPEAKER_01: we were our messaging on crime and crime was horrible, right?
- 21:29SPEAKER_01: And drugs was off the charts,
- 21:31SPEAKER_01: all the things that hasn't really gotten a whole bunch better,
- 21:34SPEAKER_01: to be honest with you on crime and drugs.
- 21:36SPEAKER_01: But I,
- 21:37SPEAKER_01: I think what we,
- 21:38SPEAKER_01: what we didn't see,
- 21:40SPEAKER_01: or if we were to came out and we were,
- 21:42SPEAKER_01: it would have been running and spending a bunch of money,
- 21:44SPEAKER_01: uh,
- 21:45SPEAKER_01: in some of those races,
- 21:46SPEAKER_01: and then abortion just comes in and knocks us over the head,
- 21:51SPEAKER_01: we would have been out of money.
- 21:52SPEAKER_01: So I think spending money, especially as a caucus now, is dumb.
- 21:55SPEAKER_01: I mean, running TV ads now is dumb.
- 21:58SPEAKER_01: And I think that Republicans need to focus on raising money,
- 22:03SPEAKER_01: going to doors,
- 22:03SPEAKER_01: to your point,
- 22:04SPEAKER_01: women especially,
- 22:06SPEAKER_01: because they're the ones that are still a little uneasy.
- 22:10SPEAKER_01: moms even more so uneasy, but, but they also, we have something we didn't have before.
- 22:15SPEAKER_01: We have a,
- 22:16SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 22:17SPEAKER_01: an incredible transgender agenda that's trying to turn,
- 22:21SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 22:22SPEAKER_01: our kids into,
- 22:24SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 22:24SPEAKER_01: transsexuals and really that's just been exploded into stuff with,
- 22:29SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 22:29SPEAKER_01: men competing in girls sports.
- 22:32SPEAKER_01: I mean, we just got the illegal aliens crossing the border and,
- 22:36SPEAKER_01: So those moms are nervous.
- 22:38SPEAKER_01: And so it's a good opportunity to really go talk to them.
- 22:41SPEAKER_01: And, and then you have inflation hovering over all of it that we didn't have even a couple of years ago.
- 22:46SPEAKER_01: So the more that you can go talk to those people as a Republican candidate and say,
- 22:52SPEAKER_01: listen,
- 22:53SPEAKER_01: I know you're scared and I know this,
- 22:54SPEAKER_01: that,
- 22:55SPEAKER_01: and I know that,
- 22:55SPEAKER_01: but,
- 22:56SPEAKER_01: but believe you me,
- 22:58SPEAKER_01: nothing's going to change with abortion,
- 23:00SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 23:00SPEAKER_01: and,
- 23:01SPEAKER_01: and especially in Oregon and,
- 23:03SPEAKER_01: And Roe v.
- 23:04SPEAKER_01: Wade was already decided,
- 23:05SPEAKER_01: but these other things are way more important to your day to day life and whether
- 23:09SPEAKER_01: or not,
- 23:09SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 23:10SPEAKER_01: Republicans in Oregon could ever possibly muster up enough of a
- 23:16SPEAKER_01: majority to even overturn anything that's a constitutionally protected scenario so
- 23:21SPEAKER_01: the reality is it's not but the democrats sure love to punch that that ticket again
- 23:28SPEAKER_01: you know i mean i heard even i saw on twitter today i should wish i should give
- 23:32SPEAKER_01: them up but there's they were saying that late-term abortion is a hoax put on by
- 23:37SPEAKER_01: republicans like it doesn't happen and i was like
- 23:41SPEAKER_01: Really?
- 23:41SPEAKER_01: I think they have stats on that stuff.
- 23:43SPEAKER_01: They have to track it.
- 23:45SPEAKER_00: They collected them during the Trump administration.
- 23:47SPEAKER_00: They don't track it as closely or publish the results as easy to understand because
- 23:51SPEAKER_00: they know it undermines their position.
- 23:54SPEAKER_00: And the ultimate tell is that they'll never support a ban on it.
- 23:57SPEAKER_00: They say, oh, well, we can't ban it.
- 23:58SPEAKER_00: It's like if it never happens, then what's the loss for banning it?
- 24:01SPEAKER_00: And that's the tell.
- 24:03SPEAKER_00: One of the issues I think, Brian, that is always...
- 24:06SPEAKER_00: salient but that republicans really struggle on is education and i think you know
- 24:11SPEAKER_00: you and i've been talking about this over the last week i think education is an
- 24:14SPEAKER_00: issue where republican pick up a lot of ground we saw that especially during covid
- 24:21SPEAKER_00: when teachers unions and far-left democrats wanted to close schools and kept
- 24:26SPEAKER_00: schools closed longer than any other state in the country and
- 24:31SPEAKER_00: And in Albany and Crook County and other places, there was takeovers of school boards.
- 24:36SPEAKER_00: And Brian, in Albany, we ran on three words, keep schools open.
- 24:42SPEAKER_00: That's what we ran on 100 percent.
- 24:43SPEAKER_00: And we dominated.
- 24:45SPEAKER_00: And I'm guessing similar stuff happened for you.
- 24:47SPEAKER_00: But so I'm thinking about what are the education issues that are going to be salient?
- 24:50SPEAKER_00: And there's some headlines out there right now.
- 24:53SPEAKER_00: that are really causing some consternation among parents.
- 24:58SPEAKER_00: And I don't want people to misunderstand this.
- 25:00SPEAKER_00: I'm talking about,
- 25:02SPEAKER_00: we'll link this Oregonian article,
- 25:05SPEAKER_00: Portland Teachers Union links to lessons urging students to pray to Allah,
- 25:09SPEAKER_00: write Biden to stop funding Israel.
- 25:12SPEAKER_00: And Brian, I'll tell you, I didn't think prayer was ever coming back to schools, but apparently it is.
- 25:18SPEAKER_00: But now we're going to teach kids to pray to Allah instead of God, which is interesting to me.
- 25:25SPEAKER_00: But I just want to read you some of the stuff that's in these lesson plans.
- 25:28SPEAKER_00: Now,
- 25:28SPEAKER_00: this isn't sanctioned by the Portland Public Schools,
- 25:32SPEAKER_00: but this is their teacher's union,
- 25:34SPEAKER_00: and they don't seem to be doing a very good job stamping this out.
- 25:37SPEAKER_00: So...
- 25:38SPEAKER_00: These are quote-unquote optional materials,
- 25:41SPEAKER_00: but we all know that if a teacher is far left enough,
- 25:43SPEAKER_00: they're not optional.
- 25:44SPEAKER_00: They believe these are important.
- 25:46SPEAKER_00: A guide for kids as young as kindergarten entitled So You Made It to a Protest
- 25:52SPEAKER_00: lists signs,
- 25:54SPEAKER_00: police,
- 25:54SPEAKER_00: ambulances,
- 25:55SPEAKER_00: tear gas,
- 25:56SPEAKER_00: and shutter bombs among the things you might see.
- 25:58SPEAKER_00: We're going to teach kids that they're going to get tear gassed if they go to a protest?
- 26:02SPEAKER_00: Like, what?
- 26:04SPEAKER_00: Kindergarteners.
- 26:06SPEAKER_00: This doesn't make sense to me.
- 26:07SPEAKER_00: How about a workbook that tells the story of a Palestinian child who wears torn clothing,
- 26:14SPEAKER_00: is barefoot,
- 26:15SPEAKER_00: and is bullied by a group of Zionists that wanted their land and stole it by force
- 26:22SPEAKER_00: and hurt many people.
- 26:24SPEAKER_00: Then they ask students to fill in the blank on how they can help free Palestine.
- 26:31SPEAKER_00: I kid you not, a student workbook is what's going to free Palestine apparently based on this.
- 26:35SPEAKER_00: I'll read one more.
- 26:36SPEAKER_00: There's too many in here really to read them all, but I got to read at least one more.
- 26:42SPEAKER_00: An activity pack entitled Palestine Close to Our Hearts.
- 26:46SPEAKER_00: It encourages students to pray to Allah.
- 26:48SPEAKER_00: You can raise your hands to the sky and pray for the people of Palestine.
- 26:51SPEAKER_00: Pray for them to be safe and pray for them to be happy.
- 26:54SPEAKER_00: And then there's also one that says the U.S.
- 26:56SPEAKER_00: gives $3 billion to Israel to buy weapons to fight Palestinians, which is, of course, not true.
- 27:02SPEAKER_00: They send them to fight terrorists like Hamas and ISIS.
- 27:07SPEAKER_00: Incredible distortion.
- 27:08SPEAKER_00: So anyway,
- 27:09SPEAKER_00: the Jewish community had an outcry over this,
- 27:12SPEAKER_00: and there was an article a couple of days ago that said that they removed most of
- 27:19SPEAKER_00: these materials,
- 27:20SPEAKER_00: and then they reposted them in a harder to find spot.
- 27:24SPEAKER_00: So you can just tell the disdain that the Portland teachers have for the Jewish
- 27:28SPEAKER_00: community and really incredible stuff that they're trying to get taught in public schools.
- 27:35SPEAKER_00: We'll also link to this.
- 27:36SPEAKER_00: Chris Rufo,
- 27:37SPEAKER_00: who you may have heard of,
- 27:37SPEAKER_00: is an education reform advocate nationally,
- 27:41SPEAKER_00: and he's got an article titled The Intifada Starts in Kindergarten.
- 27:45SPEAKER_00: Just incredible.
- 27:47SPEAKER_01: I sometimes don't even have words when I read these because here's the stupidity of it.
- 27:55SPEAKER_01: Palestinians and people that worship Allah, let's just say, right?
- 28:02SPEAKER_01: They want to kill gay people.
- 28:06SPEAKER_01: If you were transgender and you were gay and you went over to Palestine, they would kill you.
- 28:14SPEAKER_01: So out of one side of your mouth,
- 28:17SPEAKER_01: you sit there and say,
- 28:18SPEAKER_01: oh,
- 28:18SPEAKER_01: from the river to the sea,
- 28:20SPEAKER_01: Palestinians will be free.
- 28:22SPEAKER_01: And you want to kill Zionists and Jews, right?
- 28:25SPEAKER_01: and basically run this propaganda crap with kindergartners all while you're trying
- 28:30SPEAKER_01: to tell them that pride is okay?
- 28:32SPEAKER_01: Do you realize that you're on the wrong side?
- 28:34SPEAKER_01: They're on the wrong side.
- 28:36SPEAKER_01: And I don't know,
- 28:37SPEAKER_01: it has to just,
- 28:39SPEAKER_01: ultimately has to be focused on that idea,
- 28:43SPEAKER_01: the communist theory of oppressor versus oppressed,
- 28:46SPEAKER_01: right?
- 28:46SPEAKER_01: It just has to be that they just see this group of people as Palestinians as being oppressed.
- 28:53SPEAKER_01: So therefore,
- 28:55SPEAKER_01: they have to make it a wedge issue.
- 28:57SPEAKER_01: And,
- 28:57SPEAKER_01: and I can't wait until I see plenty of my Jewish friends become Republicans,
- 29:05SPEAKER_01: because at what point is the Jewish community kind of realize that the democratic
- 29:11SPEAKER_01: party no longer has a place for them,
- 29:13SPEAKER_01: no longer has a place for them in their hearts or in their party.
- 29:18SPEAKER_01: I mean, this, if they're not looking at this stuff and you're, and you're a Jewish teacher somewhere,
- 29:23SPEAKER_01: You you should go down and well, you don't have to go down.
- 29:27SPEAKER_01: You should go online and change your party registration today or at least leave the
- 29:31SPEAKER_01: Democrat Party behind,
- 29:33SPEAKER_01: because these are the people Union President Angela Bonilla couldn't be reached for comment,
- 29:39SPEAKER_01: which I find it great.
- 29:40SPEAKER_01: There's forty five hundred members, which I also find crazy that.
- 29:44SPEAKER_01: Portland Teachers Union has like 4,500 members, which is insane.
- 29:49SPEAKER_01: But they just like, oh, it must have been a mistake.
- 29:54SPEAKER_01: One of the union committees had reviewed all the lesson plans and other resources
- 29:59SPEAKER_01: before they were posted last month.
- 30:01SPEAKER_01: That's a bunch of crap, and it's lies.
- 30:04SPEAKER_01: Like it's all lies, Reagan.
- 30:05SPEAKER_01: There is no way that they didn't know.
- 30:08SPEAKER_01: Or have this in their hearts and in their minds that they're going to go after and
- 30:12SPEAKER_01: push this stuff as badly as they want to.
- 30:16SPEAKER_01: And they want to so bad.
- 30:18SPEAKER_01: They want to just destroy everybody in this thing.
- 30:21SPEAKER_01: And we talked about the food bank last week.
- 30:23SPEAKER_01: They're no different.
- 30:24SPEAKER_01: They're in the same group.
- 30:27SPEAKER_00: Brian,
- 30:27SPEAKER_00: you bring up an excellent point about Jewish voters looking at changing their party
- 30:32SPEAKER_00: or at least leaving the Democratic Party.
- 30:34SPEAKER_00: I also think the teachers in Portland that think this is bad – I understand if
- 30:38SPEAKER_00: you're in a position where you don't really want to speak out because you think you
- 30:41SPEAKER_00: might get fired or that the union may come after you,
- 30:43SPEAKER_00: but leave your union.
- 30:45SPEAKER_00: Go to the Freedom Foundation.
- 30:46SPEAKER_00: They have the paperwork there to leave the union.
- 30:48SPEAKER_00: Go.
- 30:48SPEAKER_00: Start crippling the union by leaving so that you don't pay their fees anymore
- 30:53SPEAKER_00: because they still have to negotiate.
- 30:55SPEAKER_00: This is the great thing about it.
- 30:56SPEAKER_00: They still have to negotiate your contract and salary and you'll get all that same stuff,
- 30:59SPEAKER_00: but you aren't using the money to pay for all of this propaganda that's being pushed.
- 31:08SPEAKER_00: I also just think that the other thing is it's amazing that
- 31:12SPEAKER_00: education results are as bad as they are.
- 31:15SPEAKER_00: We were one of the few states, the New York times did this.
- 31:17SPEAKER_00: I'll see if I can find the chart that lost ground after COVID when everyone was
- 31:22SPEAKER_00: pushing to,
- 31:23SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 31:24SPEAKER_00: close those gaps that were created from online education,
- 31:27SPEAKER_00: which didn't work for a lot of kids while schools were closed.
- 31:30SPEAKER_00: We were one of the few that actually got worse after those pushes, which is just truly incredible.
- 31:34SPEAKER_00: So the results are so bad.
- 31:36SPEAKER_00: These same unions that are pushing this propaganda, instead of focusing on core subjects for kids,
- 31:42SPEAKER_00: are also asking for enormous raises,
- 31:46SPEAKER_00: striking in Portland,
- 31:47SPEAKER_00: nearly striking in Bend and Salem,
- 31:49SPEAKER_00: forcing gigantic budget cuts in other districts.
- 31:52SPEAKER_00: And enrollment is declining because a lot of parents realize that after...
- 31:58SPEAKER_00: the schools were closing in COVID,
- 32:00SPEAKER_00: that maybe their individual teacher had their kids' best interests at heart,
- 32:05SPEAKER_00: but the collective teachers' union cares more about the teachers and their fear of
- 32:10SPEAKER_00: being in the classroom during COVID than they did about student excellence.
- 32:14SPEAKER_00: And of course, we know that young people were most immune to COVID.
- 32:19SPEAKER_00: Young people weren't dying from COVID.
- 32:21SPEAKER_00: It was older people, right?
- 32:22SPEAKER_00: It was people, you know, 65 and older or people with significant health issues.
- 32:26SPEAKER_00: And
- 32:28SPEAKER_00: It's just like we sacrificed an entire generation of kids and their achievement for,
- 32:34SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 32:35SPEAKER_00: these unfounded,
- 32:36SPEAKER_00: misinformed,
- 32:37SPEAKER_00: disinformation campaign that the teachers unions were putting out.
- 32:41SPEAKER_00: And they can't stop.
- 32:42SPEAKER_00: You want to talk about misinformation and disinformation?
- 32:45SPEAKER_00: It's the teachers unions and the food bank that are pushing all of the dis and misinformation.
- 32:50SPEAKER_00: And, you know, if people don't stand up, it's going to keep it's going to keep happening.
- 32:54SPEAKER_00: Can't just be the Republicans that say no, because we say no to a lot of stuff.
- 32:58SPEAKER_00: It's got to be the parents in the swinging districts and Democrat parents that say
- 33:02SPEAKER_00: this is enough before it actually stops,
- 33:05SPEAKER_00: because right now they control Democrats control the government.
- 33:07SPEAKER_00: So.
- 33:09SPEAKER_01: This group,
- 33:10SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 33:10SPEAKER_01: let's just,
- 33:10SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 33:11SPEAKER_01: Portland teachers,
- 33:12SPEAKER_01: this is the same group that striked in November and forced their kids.
- 33:18SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 33:18SPEAKER_01: luckily,
- 33:18SPEAKER_01: my kids don't go to that school district,
- 33:21SPEAKER_01: but they forced Oregonians kids that they couldn't go to school for nearly a month.
- 33:27SPEAKER_01: Right.
- 33:27SPEAKER_01: I think it was maybe even over a month.
- 33:30SPEAKER_01: And then they took away their Christmas break because, you know, they had to strike to get more money.
- 33:35SPEAKER_01: And they use kids as bargaining chips.
- 33:38SPEAKER_01: And they're doing the same thing with this crap.
- 33:40SPEAKER_01: Like, it's no different that what they're doing.
- 33:43SPEAKER_01: And even Democrat lawmakers stood up to them when they were striking,
- 33:46SPEAKER_01: saying,
- 33:48SPEAKER_01: we literally gave you money.
- 33:49SPEAKER_01: You know, we appropriated the money.
- 33:51SPEAKER_01: I mean, what, five months before that?
- 33:53SPEAKER_01: So they could figure out their budget stuff.
- 33:55SPEAKER_01: It's never enough.
- 33:57SPEAKER_01: There will never be enough money for them.
- 33:59SPEAKER_01: They always want more administration.
- 34:01SPEAKER_01: They want more teachers.
- 34:03SPEAKER_01: They want more.
- 34:04SPEAKER_01: More, more, more, more.
- 34:05SPEAKER_01: It's always more.
- 34:07SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 34:07SPEAKER_01: I think they got a billion dollar,
- 34:09SPEAKER_01: nearly a billion dollars more,
- 34:11SPEAKER_01: not for the whole school system in Oregon.
- 34:14SPEAKER_01: I mean, we spend 10.2, 10.3 billion dollars on just public education in this state, just this state.
- 34:25SPEAKER_01: And it's always more and they always want more.
- 34:28SPEAKER_01: And then they do this crap to our kids and then parents leave and send their kids to private school.
- 34:34SPEAKER_01: And then they cry because they have no money.
- 34:36SPEAKER_01: It's like you're causing the problem.
- 34:39SPEAKER_01: You understand you're causing your own problem by putting out this crap that you're
- 34:46SPEAKER_01: doing now for being a terrorist organization.
- 34:50SPEAKER_01: and promoting terrorism over education.
- 34:53SPEAKER_01: It's just, it's stupid.
- 34:55SPEAKER_00: And the funding stuff,
- 34:56SPEAKER_00: Brian,
- 34:57SPEAKER_00: these strikes,
- 34:58SPEAKER_00: I understand the inflationary pressures,
- 35:01SPEAKER_00: but this to me looks like a coordinated attack from teachers unions.
- 35:05SPEAKER_00: Instead of working with schools to figure out a plan to get more money into the classroom,
- 35:09SPEAKER_00: cut administration,
- 35:10SPEAKER_00: whatever it is,
- 35:12SPEAKER_00: They're turning the school boards and the districts into the bad guys and just
- 35:17SPEAKER_00: calling on them to either pay them or we're going to strike instead of figuring out
- 35:21SPEAKER_00: a collaborative solution with the district or working together with the district to
- 35:26SPEAKER_00: get more resources or something,
- 35:28SPEAKER_00: a different solution.
- 35:29SPEAKER_00: funding formula in 2025.
- 35:31SPEAKER_00: I mean, this is a coordinated political attack and it's intended to benefit Democrats.
- 35:35SPEAKER_00: And guaranteed, Brian, I'm just laying down the marker right now.
- 35:38SPEAKER_00: Democrats will say we need to raise taxes in 2025 to pay teachers.
- 35:42SPEAKER_00: And it's not true because there's so much money available in the education system.
- 35:47SPEAKER_00: You know what we could do?
- 35:48SPEAKER_00: Cut positions at ODE to put money in the classrooms.
- 35:51SPEAKER_00: You know what the district should do?
- 35:53SPEAKER_00: They should cut non-essential programs to get money in the classroom.
- 35:56SPEAKER_00: That's really the problem.
- 35:58SPEAKER_00: if that's really a problem, but I suspect it's not.
- 36:00SPEAKER_00: I suspect this is just another attempt to try to raise taxes on taxpayers because
- 36:04SPEAKER_00: they don't like the property tax limits and they messed up.
- 36:09SPEAKER_00: They thought,
- 36:09SPEAKER_00: I think they thought that when they asked for 10.3 last year and Democrats gave
- 36:13SPEAKER_00: them 10.2 plus 100 million in unexpected property tax revenue,
- 36:18SPEAKER_00: they thought we wouldn't be able to get there and would be forced to raise taxes
- 36:21SPEAKER_00: and they're mad about it.
- 36:22SPEAKER_00: And so now they're coming back and they're trying to force it
- 36:27SPEAKER_00: uh the issue again they were the same people that were supportive of measure 97 and
- 36:31SPEAKER_00: voters voted it down there is a levy to fund schools in ben lapine school district
- 36:36SPEAKER_00: which brian is not a conservative leaning school district all of the school
- 36:40SPEAKER_00: district members are democrats i don't think for a minute they sat across from the
- 36:44SPEAKER_00: teachers and said we hate teachers and we're not going to pay you they said we just
- 36:47SPEAKER_00: don't have the money and they went out for a levy
- 36:50SPEAKER_00: and it failed because taxpayers are done.
- 36:52SPEAKER_00: They said, obviously money's not the problem.
- 36:54SPEAKER_00: We're in the top 10 or 15 for people funding,
- 36:58SPEAKER_00: and our scores have not never been lower,
- 37:01SPEAKER_00: but they've close to never been lower than they are right now.
- 37:04SPEAKER_00: So I just want to lay that out for everybody because I think it's easy to look at
- 37:10SPEAKER_00: this and go,
- 37:10SPEAKER_00: wow,
- 37:10SPEAKER_00: these strikes,
- 37:11SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 37:11SPEAKER_00: this must be really bad.
- 37:12SPEAKER_00: No, it's not.
- 37:13SPEAKER_00: That's not what it is.
- 37:15SPEAKER_00: Because the unions,
- 37:16SPEAKER_00: the state unions got their raises at six and a half percent,
- 37:20SPEAKER_00: basically,
- 37:21SPEAKER_00: and six and a half percent for two years,
- 37:22SPEAKER_00: which is 12 percent over two years.
- 37:24SPEAKER_00: And the unions are asking for more than that.
- 37:27SPEAKER_01: Here's I'm going to, you know, go back while that Portland teachers union strike was happening.
- 37:32SPEAKER_01: Three brave House Republicans, your state representative, Jamie Cate, and my lovely wife.
- 37:40SPEAKER_01: And of course, my state representative, Vicki Brice Iverson and Representative Goodwin.
- 37:45SPEAKER_01: you know, penned a letter to call on.
- 37:48SPEAKER_01: And we actually wrote the bill that never got a hearing that these teachers unions
- 37:53SPEAKER_01: could not strike while kids and kids are in school,
- 37:56SPEAKER_01: strike all you want,
- 37:58SPEAKER_01: strike on the weekends,
- 37:59SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 38:00SPEAKER_01: create the,
- 38:00SPEAKER_01: what you need to do over the summer.
- 38:02SPEAKER_01: I get all that.
- 38:03SPEAKER_01: I'm fine with that, but don't do it at the expense of kids.
- 38:06SPEAKER_01: And in the Willamette week, when they wrote the article about it, it was great.
- 38:12SPEAKER_01: Nigel quoted, maybe it wasn't as, yeah, it was Nigel.
- 38:15SPEAKER_01: Yeah.
- 38:16SPEAKER_01: But the House Republicans introducing legislation,
- 38:19SPEAKER_01: the three of them,
- 38:21SPEAKER_01: and Vicki's quote was great because it says,
- 38:24SPEAKER_01: Portland public schools are the gold standard for how not to run a school district,
- 38:30SPEAKER_01: despite record investments from the state.
- 38:34SPEAKER_01: It is time they be held accountable.
- 38:37SPEAKER_01: And I think that's the reality is like, we need our parents.
- 38:40SPEAKER_01: And they were kind of pissed in Portland then,
- 38:42SPEAKER_01: but they have to,
- 38:43SPEAKER_01: they got to hold them accountable for their budgeting and they got to hold them
- 38:47SPEAKER_01: accountable for,
- 38:47SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 38:48SPEAKER_01: this crap that they're trying to shove down our kids' throats there.
- 38:51SPEAKER_01: You know,
- 38:52SPEAKER_01: it's just,
- 38:53SPEAKER_01: and just because they see it,
- 38:54SPEAKER_01: they try it out in Portland because usually people in Portland are a little more
- 38:58SPEAKER_01: acceptable to far left-wing agenda things.
- 39:02SPEAKER_01: And then it just kind of permeates out of there and heads into your school districts and mine.
- 39:07SPEAKER_01: And but it always starts in Portland.
- 39:09SPEAKER_01: And we just have to put a put an end to it there.
- 39:11SPEAKER_01: And I really hope this is an eye opening thought process,
- 39:16SPEAKER_01: even for our Democrat lawmakers who don't aren't from Portland that aren't in this
- 39:23SPEAKER_01: craziness scenario.
- 39:24SPEAKER_01: But they won't,
- 39:25SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 39:25SPEAKER_01: hopefully they'll stand up and say,
- 39:27SPEAKER_01: I think we're I think you guys are gone too far on this.
- 39:31SPEAKER_01: I just don't know if they will,
- 39:32SPEAKER_01: because Portland Teachers Union is one of the biggest funders of their campaigns.
- 39:37SPEAKER_00: And it'll be really interesting to see if the media actually holds them accountable
- 39:40SPEAKER_00: and asks candidates who get endorsed by the Portland Teachers Union,
- 39:44SPEAKER_00: hey,
- 39:45SPEAKER_00: do you agree with the kids should be able to pray to Allah in schools or should be
- 39:50SPEAKER_00: encouraged by their teachers to pray to Allah that we should write letters to Joe
- 39:54SPEAKER_00: Biden saying defund and abandon Israel,
- 39:58SPEAKER_00: calling community members and parents and students Zionists?
- 40:02SPEAKER_00: whether they're Jewish or not, which is because they support Israel.
- 40:05SPEAKER_00: I mean, is that something you actually support?
- 40:06SPEAKER_00: Is your support of the Oregon Food Bank predicated on them continuing to oppose a
- 40:12SPEAKER_00: war in Gaza and oppose Israel?
- 40:14SPEAKER_00: Those are questions that journalists should ask this fall of candidates when they...
- 40:19SPEAKER_00: Because they will.
- 40:20SPEAKER_00: They'll trumpet the endorsement because it's forty five hundred teachers.
- 40:22SPEAKER_00: And so theoretically, it's around forty five hundred votes or some large percentage of that.
- 40:27SPEAKER_00: They should also be asked, do they support these radical positions?
- 40:30SPEAKER_00: And I'm sure there are Republican opponents will be holding them accountable.
- 40:34SPEAKER_00: But the media should also hold them accountable,
- 40:36SPEAKER_00: just like when every candidate endorsed by Urban Right to Life.
- 40:39SPEAKER_00: gets dinged because the organization organ rights life doesn't support any um
- 40:44SPEAKER_00: abortion any version of abortion even though they allow candidates to oppose rape
- 40:49SPEAKER_00: incest and all those other things the candidates always get tagged for that
- 40:51SPEAKER_00: position okay and the journalists print okay fine but then let's be fair on the
- 40:55SPEAKER_00: other side of the issue and say oh but these groups have radical positions and
- 40:59SPEAKER_00: you're not going to report on them because why because oh because you live in
- 41:02SPEAKER_00: portland and are afraid of the response you're
- 41:07SPEAKER_01: You put down a marker, Reagan.
- 41:09SPEAKER_01: I'm going to put down a marker.
- 41:10SPEAKER_00: Go for it.
- 41:12SPEAKER_01: If you are a Democrat candidate and I am running a race against you and you take
- 41:20SPEAKER_01: money from the teachers union,
- 41:22SPEAKER_01: you will see a mailer that talks about how you are in bed with Hamas.
- 41:29SPEAKER_01: and the horribleness that these, that these teachers union is representing in Oregon.
- 41:34SPEAKER_01: So it is coming.
- 41:36SPEAKER_01: If you take a dollar from the teachers union, just know it.
- 41:42SPEAKER_00: Wow.
- 41:42SPEAKER_00: Brian, you're not normally one to telegraph your campaign plans in advance.
- 41:45SPEAKER_00: So, I mean, that's, you've sent the warning out.
- 41:48SPEAKER_00: So anyone who makes the mistake now is, is just asking for it.
- 41:53SPEAKER_01: It's horrible, Reagan.
- 41:54SPEAKER_01: It's just, it's just not what,
- 41:58SPEAKER_01: they should be doing in the Portland teachers union.
- 42:00SPEAKER_01: And they're by far and away with 4,500 members.
- 42:03SPEAKER_01: That's probably 30% of the union members in the entire state teachers union.
- 42:07SPEAKER_01: So we're 25 and they're probably the ones that give all the money to it.
- 42:10SPEAKER_01: So I don't mind going against,
- 42:11SPEAKER_01: of course,
- 42:12SPEAKER_01: now I don't have many candidates running against Portland Democrats,
- 42:15SPEAKER_01: but there is one up in East County up around up in there that might have to be careful.
- 42:23SPEAKER_01: We'll see.
- 42:24SPEAKER_01: We'll find out.
- 42:25SPEAKER_01: Speaking of,
- 42:26SPEAKER_01: I want to just,
- 42:26SPEAKER_01: before we move on to the next topic,
- 42:28SPEAKER_01: one last thing I just want to say,
- 42:29SPEAKER_01: talking about,
- 42:31SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 42:31SPEAKER_01: cause we,
- 42:31SPEAKER_01: we kind of reported on,
- 42:32SPEAKER_01: it was kind of a mixed bag of some school districts,
- 42:37SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 42:37SPEAKER_01: getting funding and passing some of their levies or sorry,
- 42:40SPEAKER_01: not levies,
- 42:41SPEAKER_01: their property tax renew,
- 42:44SPEAKER_01: usually renewal bonds for fixing stuff.
- 42:46SPEAKER_01: A lot of them were renewal bonds.
- 42:47SPEAKER_01: There was a couple of new ones.
- 42:49SPEAKER_01: So in Crook County where everybody else is failing,
- 42:54SPEAKER_01: Our we just had an article came out with Central Oregonian or maybe that'll be the new name.
- 43:00SPEAKER_01: Maybe they'll change the name.
- 43:01SPEAKER_01: Who knows what the sale of all the newspapers.
- 43:04SPEAKER_01: But our our school districts in great shape.
- 43:09SPEAKER_01: Our enrollment's up 400 kids over the last four years.
- 43:13SPEAKER_01: Things are fine.
- 43:15SPEAKER_01: Our budget is gone from 20 million revenue from kids gone from 20 million to 25 million.
- 43:21SPEAKER_01: And I hope that we can attribute that to a couple of things.
- 43:24SPEAKER_01: And I think growth is definitely one of them.
- 43:27SPEAKER_01: There's no doubt that younger families in Central Oregon are moving to Crick County
- 43:31SPEAKER_01: because it's more affordable than living in Bend.
- 43:34SPEAKER_01: That's for sure.
- 43:35SPEAKER_01: But also, I think they're coming over here because our school district is not Portland.
- 43:43SPEAKER_01: It's not Ben Lapine School District.
- 43:45SPEAKER_01: And I think there's something to that.
- 43:47SPEAKER_01: I think when we flipped the school board over here,
- 43:49SPEAKER_01: you talked about when you guys ran on keep the school open,
- 43:53SPEAKER_01: we ran on don't sexualize our kids.
- 43:56SPEAKER_01: And we ran away with that one as well.
- 43:58SPEAKER_01: And there's been a lot of challenges with the school board and the things that the
- 44:03SPEAKER_01: ladies have had to deal with,
- 44:06SPEAKER_01: which is just,
- 44:07SPEAKER_01: again,
- 44:07SPEAKER_01: teachers unions,
- 44:08SPEAKER_01: they were running ads against the candidates over here because they were so afraid.
- 44:14SPEAKER_01: But I would say school districts and school board races are all up less than a year
- 44:19SPEAKER_01: from now at this point.
- 44:21SPEAKER_01: So start finding candidates and get them talking about if you want your school
- 44:26SPEAKER_01: district to be funded with state funding,
- 44:31SPEAKER_01: get students in the classroom.
- 44:32SPEAKER_01: And the way to do that is stop teaching them this,
- 44:35SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 44:36SPEAKER_01: this other crap and sexualizing our kids and just teach them how to read and write
- 44:40SPEAKER_01: and play baseball and basketball and,
- 44:43SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 44:43SPEAKER_01: and be good,
- 44:44SPEAKER_01: be good stewards of the community and move on.
- 44:48SPEAKER_00: I would also say that if you're a Republican candidate who's run recently for state
- 44:52SPEAKER_00: legislature in a hard district to win this last cycle or in this cycle and you
- 44:58SPEAKER_00: don't end up winning for whatever reason,
- 45:00SPEAKER_00: pivot that right.
- 45:00SPEAKER_00: Take that name ID and try to turn it into a school board victory.
- 45:03SPEAKER_00: There were a couple candidates that did that after the 22 elections in school
- 45:07SPEAKER_00: districts that are hard to win.
- 45:08SPEAKER_00: Be that voice of rational reason on your school board, even if you're the only one that wins.
- 45:13SPEAKER_00: I mean, just...
- 45:14SPEAKER_00: utilize that to a benefit.
- 45:16SPEAKER_00: Don't let that work go to waste because you probably built something and got some
- 45:21SPEAKER_00: people on board and those are much more winnable races.
- 45:24SPEAKER_00: So go win a school board race,
- 45:26SPEAKER_00: even in a tough school district where there's fewer resources and there's more
- 45:31SPEAKER_00: upset parents that might be willing to do something on that front.
- 45:33SPEAKER_00: I mean, that's a great way to take your name ID and
- 45:37SPEAKER_00: And then that helps us build a bench for next time, right?
- 45:40SPEAKER_00: When we have these school board members to pull from,
- 45:42SPEAKER_00: they get that education credit from voters who say,
- 45:45SPEAKER_00: oh,
- 45:45SPEAKER_00: this person was on the school board and they worked on education.
- 45:48SPEAKER_00: That's a benefit to you as a candidate next time.
- 45:50SPEAKER_00: So just a little hint there for people if that's not obvious.
- 45:54SPEAKER_01: And sometimes, two points, two salient points in that.
- 45:59SPEAKER_01: One is sometimes it takes a canary in the coal mine.
- 46:04SPEAKER_01: to know that the oxygen's good, right?
- 46:06SPEAKER_01: Sometimes somebody has to step up
- 46:10SPEAKER_01: and go down and go into the fight.
- 46:12SPEAKER_01: And we talked about this with the Multnomah County Commissioner.
- 46:15SPEAKER_01: Wouldn't it be great if we have one Republican voice on there?
- 46:17SPEAKER_01: Same with the city council in Portland, just one voice.
- 46:21SPEAKER_01: I mean, you're not gonna win the vote, but you can at least make the argument.
- 46:25SPEAKER_01: And I think there's something to that that matters.
- 46:28SPEAKER_01: And I really do.
- 46:29SPEAKER_01: And also,
- 46:29SPEAKER_01: by the way,
- 46:30SPEAKER_01: if you are a state representative,
- 46:32SPEAKER_01: you actually can run for a school board because in Oregon,
- 46:36SPEAKER_01: You can hold multiple elected offices.
- 46:38SPEAKER_01: You just can't be paid for multiple elected offices.
- 46:41SPEAKER_01: So we've had a few county commissioners and other ones that have taken on school boards,
- 46:46SPEAKER_01: including your own there,
- 46:48SPEAKER_01: where they just said,
- 46:49SPEAKER_01: listen,
- 46:49SPEAKER_01: if nobody else is going to step up,
- 46:51SPEAKER_01: I will.
- 46:51SPEAKER_01: And I think most people don't know that.
- 46:54SPEAKER_01: But if you have a city councilor, that's great.
- 46:57SPEAKER_01: And your school board needs some help.
- 46:58SPEAKER_01: Have the city councilor go run.
- 47:00SPEAKER_01: They can hold both offices at once.
- 47:03SPEAKER_00: Yeah, that's a great another great tip, Brian.
- 47:06SPEAKER_00: All right.
- 47:06SPEAKER_00: Well, you know where you can't hold two positions, Brian, that's in the legislature.
- 47:10SPEAKER_00: You can't be the majority leader and the co-chair of Ways and Means.
- 47:13SPEAKER_00: And that's why this article that hit this was a Monday morning.
- 47:19SPEAKER_00: Well, this had been rumored for a little bit, but really only in the insider circles.
- 47:22SPEAKER_00: So I think to most people, this was a surprise.
- 47:26SPEAKER_00: Oregon Senate Democrats shuffle leadership ahead of November election from our good
- 47:31SPEAKER_00: friend Dirk Vander Hart at OPB.
- 47:35SPEAKER_00: Senator Elizabeth Steiner is stepping down as the chief budget writer.
- 47:38SPEAKER_00: She's the co-chair for Ways and Means.
- 47:41SPEAKER_00: And the Senate Majority Leader Kate Lieber is going to take her place.
- 47:44SPEAKER_00: And that's all operative July as of July 15th.
- 47:49SPEAKER_00: And there's also a note here about how they will have an election to replace Lieber
- 47:53SPEAKER_00: as majority leader before July 15th.
- 47:57SPEAKER_00: Brian, I've got some thoughts on that, but I kind of wanted to get your thoughts first.
- 48:01SPEAKER_00: Is this a smart move for Democrats?
- 48:04SPEAKER_00: What do you think?
- 48:05SPEAKER_01: Well, I think if you're Elizabeth Steiner, I believe that she's probably doing the right thing.
- 48:11SPEAKER_01: She needs to focus on her race and her campaign.
- 48:14SPEAKER_01: And going back to the beginning of the podcast,
- 48:17SPEAKER_01: where we talked about statewide candidates got to do a lot of traveling,
- 48:20SPEAKER_01: they got to get out and
- 48:22SPEAKER_01: And, you know, work the state and get everybody to know who she is.
- 48:26SPEAKER_01: And Elizabeth Senator Steiner.
- 48:28SPEAKER_01: I'm not in the building, so I don't have to call her Senator Steiner, I guess.
- 48:32SPEAKER_01: But I have that tendency always to want to call them by their title.
- 48:36SPEAKER_01: But the senator is was a great ways and means senator.
- 48:42SPEAKER_01: Co-chair for a Democrat.
- 48:43SPEAKER_01: Let's just preface that.
- 48:45SPEAKER_01: You know, I think when Senator Betsy Johnson and her were both co-chairs, that was a pretty good.
- 48:51SPEAKER_01: And with Peter Courtney as president, I mean, Oregon had some, I think some solid Democrats there.
- 48:58SPEAKER_01: who were,
- 48:59SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 48:59SPEAKER_01: they understood that they couldn't step outside of the normal thing and go crazy
- 49:04SPEAKER_01: left and fund a bunch of crazy stuff and go after taxes and all the things.
- 49:09SPEAKER_01: And I think Senator Steiner was part of that group.
- 49:12SPEAKER_01: And she's part of the leadership in that realm.
- 49:15SPEAKER_01: But replacing her,
- 49:18SPEAKER_01: If you look around,
- 49:19SPEAKER_01: and this will lead into our next topic,
- 49:21SPEAKER_01: but I really feel that majority leader Lieber,
- 49:25SPEAKER_01: that's kind of a fun one to say,
- 49:27SPEAKER_01: kind of was the only one really that I felt that could step into that role.
- 49:33SPEAKER_01: and have, at least from our standpoint, and still have that same sensibilities that was there before.
- 49:40SPEAKER_01: I really believe that Kate has some strong sensibilities.
- 49:46SPEAKER_01: I like to think that we're friends.
- 49:48SPEAKER_01: She gives me a hug when I see her, so I consider that to be better.
- 49:51SPEAKER_01: She's just being nice.
- 49:52SPEAKER_01: I don't know if she wants to backstab me, but I think that it's a step down politically,
- 50:01SPEAKER_01: but it's a step up in the building, if that makes sense.
- 50:05SPEAKER_01: So you politically speaking,
- 50:07SPEAKER_01: if you're the majority leader,
- 50:09SPEAKER_01: you definitely get to have your name at lights more.
- 50:12SPEAKER_01: Your, your name's more on press releases going out all the time.
- 50:15SPEAKER_01: You're involved in the campaigns and all your other members and kind of working to make things happen.
- 50:20SPEAKER_01: You're working in conjunction with Senate president's office to,
- 50:24SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 50:25SPEAKER_01: get legislation passed that you need to all that sort of stuff.
- 50:28SPEAKER_01: So really politically speaking,
- 50:30SPEAKER_01: it's a way more powerful position, but in the building,
- 50:34SPEAKER_01: Co-chair Ways and Means is being the chief budget writer is a pretty powerful
- 50:40SPEAKER_01: position within the structure of government.
- 50:43SPEAKER_01: And so I think it would be great if Kate Lieber would come on our program.
- 50:48SPEAKER_01: I would love to talk to her about what her priorities are going to be and also why she made that move.
- 50:54SPEAKER_01: In my mind, I would say it's because she's not thinking she needs to be in the limelight.
- 51:02SPEAKER_01: as majority leader because she's not,
- 51:04SPEAKER_01: maybe she's looking down the road and not seeing,
- 51:06SPEAKER_01: well,
- 51:06SPEAKER_01: I'm not going to run for governor in two years because Kotech's up for reelection.
- 51:12SPEAKER_01: What potential congressional seats, maybe she's not seeing a path there, doesn't want to go.
- 51:17SPEAKER_01: And then, of course, we have all the state whites now.
- 51:21SPEAKER_01: So now you're four years from now before any of those are up again.
- 51:24SPEAKER_01: And all three Democrats are relatively young.
- 51:28SPEAKER_01: So I don't see any of them resigning or moving on to anything else after they win
- 51:34SPEAKER_01: their statewide elections this time if they do.
- 51:37SPEAKER_01: So I guess maybe she's probably looking at the course of time and just saying it
- 51:45SPEAKER_01: doesn't make a lot of sense.
- 51:46SPEAKER_00: President Wagner is pretty young,
- 51:48SPEAKER_00: too,
- 51:48SPEAKER_00: so she's probably not seeing a lot of movement there unless he loses a bunch of
- 51:52SPEAKER_00: seats to jump into that Senate president role.
- 51:56SPEAKER_00: Right.
- 51:56SPEAKER_00: Which is normally,
- 51:57SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 51:58SPEAKER_00: the majority leader is typically the favorite for that next job at the Senate
- 52:02SPEAKER_00: president's office.
- 52:03SPEAKER_00: So I think you're right.
- 52:05SPEAKER_00: A step up in influence.
- 52:06SPEAKER_00: I also think.
- 52:08SPEAKER_00: One of the secrets of these majority leader,
- 52:11SPEAKER_00: minority leader jobs is you're dealing with a lot of complaining from your members.
- 52:16SPEAKER_00: They come to you with problems.
- 52:17SPEAKER_00: And if you're the majority leader, maybe you can solve them.
- 52:20SPEAKER_00: If the minority leader, you almost always can't solve them.
- 52:23SPEAKER_00: But whatever the complaint is, it's just like you are taking a lot of incoming.
- 52:29SPEAKER_00: You're taking a lot of criticism, sometimes for things outside of your control even.
- 52:33SPEAKER_00: And so in terms of having the ability to actually solve problems as the co-chair, you can do that.
- 52:39SPEAKER_00: You can make some things happen.
- 52:41SPEAKER_00: You can move money and move agencies.
- 52:45SPEAKER_00: I mean this is – the co-chair of Ways and Means I think actually –
- 52:48SPEAKER_00: The legislature can set policy,
- 52:50SPEAKER_00: but the co-chair,
- 52:51SPEAKER_00: ways and means,
- 52:51SPEAKER_00: can control an agency via the pocketbook.
- 52:54SPEAKER_00: And I think that that's,
- 52:55SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 52:55SPEAKER_00: I think it's an underutilized tool sometimes where the ways and means as a group or
- 53:01SPEAKER_00: even just the co-chairs and the vice chairs should really push harder on some of
- 53:04SPEAKER_00: these agencies to really justify policy.
- 53:07SPEAKER_00: a lot of these failures, um, a lot of them are, a lot of them are money failures.
- 53:11SPEAKER_00: A lot of them are misuse of resource failures.
- 53:13SPEAKER_00: A lot of them are decision-making failures because of how much resources they have.
- 53:18SPEAKER_00: And so you can, you can have a lot of controls there, um, with the, with the co-chair, um, gavel.
- 53:24SPEAKER_00: And so, you know, great, great for her.
- 53:26SPEAKER_00: I think I get your point also with co-chair Steiner, I think for a Democrat, obviously there's stuff that
- 53:32SPEAKER_00: she funded or didn't fund that we don't agree with or wouldn't agree with but i do
- 53:37SPEAKER_00: think a lot of people recognized that she put in the work and you know sometimes
- 53:42SPEAKER_00: had some really good reasons for why she did or didn't do certain things and she
- 53:48SPEAKER_00: wasn't one of those that always looked for that easy route of well i guess we're
- 53:51SPEAKER_00: just going to raise taxes she found creative ways to do stuff and
- 53:55SPEAKER_00: And I think that's,
- 53:56SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 53:56SPEAKER_00: that's where Senator Lieber also I have similar experience with her where she's not
- 54:01SPEAKER_00: always looking for that easy partisan button push.
- 54:05SPEAKER_00: She's looking for to work on real solutions.
- 54:07SPEAKER_00: So I wish her the best.
- 54:08SPEAKER_00: I think she will do a good job.
- 54:10SPEAKER_00: Yeah, I think both Democrats.
- 54:12SPEAKER_01: I think both of them don't yet, right?
- 54:14SPEAKER_01: We always got to preface that.
- 54:16SPEAKER_01: But I think that there isn't,
- 54:18SPEAKER_01: I haven't seen a desire and heard them publicly,
- 54:22SPEAKER_01: either one of them,
- 54:23SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 54:23SPEAKER_01: talk about raising taxes.
- 54:25SPEAKER_01: I don't think there's been a,
- 54:26SPEAKER_01: and I guess that goes back to my point of when President Courtney was there and everything,
- 54:34SPEAKER_01: like raising taxes seemed to be their last resort.
- 54:38SPEAKER_01: And I can appreciate that as a Republican, right, as a small government Republican.
- 54:42SPEAKER_01: And our government is already way too big.
- 54:44SPEAKER_01: And we don't need to raise more raise more taxes on any level for working class Oregonians anymore.
- 54:50SPEAKER_01: And I think they get that.
- 54:52SPEAKER_01: I know that Republicans feel that way, right?
- 54:56SPEAKER_01: I mean,
- 54:57SPEAKER_01: a few of them maybe vote here or there on a small tax that is more like a fee,
- 55:02SPEAKER_01: but I still consider them taxes.
- 55:05SPEAKER_01: And we'll see.
- 55:06SPEAKER_01: We'll see what happens.
- 55:07SPEAKER_01: I think it would be very curious to see what happens.
- 55:10SPEAKER_01: Senator Lieber does as co-chair.
- 55:12SPEAKER_01: I know that they're really good friends, Senator Lieber and Senator Steiner.
- 55:16SPEAKER_01: So I think having that ability to call a lot of times,
- 55:20SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 55:20SPEAKER_01: they when these changes happen,
- 55:22SPEAKER_01: they don't really want to talk to the former chairs or the former leaders.
- 55:26SPEAKER_01: There's not really there's sometimes some animosity or some political competition
- 55:31SPEAKER_01: that causes a lot of these both sides of the aisle.
- 55:34SPEAKER_01: I've seen it right where they just don't really want to talk to each other because,
- 55:37SPEAKER_01: well,
- 55:38SPEAKER_01: I'm going to do it my way.
- 55:39SPEAKER_01: You did it your way.
- 55:40SPEAKER_01: I'm going to do it my way.
- 55:41SPEAKER_01: And I think these two are friends outside of that.
- 55:44SPEAKER_01: And I would would hope that that institutional knowledge is transferred as best as possible,
- 55:51SPEAKER_01: because that's what ultimately we need as just the populace.
- 55:54SPEAKER_01: So.
- 55:56SPEAKER_01: So I'll do a transition then, Reagan.
- 55:58SPEAKER_01: Who do you think is going to be the next majority leader?
- 56:00SPEAKER_01: I'm looking at that Senate caucus and I put it in our notes here that you and I are looking at.
- 56:06SPEAKER_01: OPB is thrown out.
- 56:09SPEAKER_01: Senator Salmon and Senator Taylor are both interested.
- 56:12SPEAKER_01: I haven't heard a press release or seen a press release for them.
- 56:17SPEAKER_01: I think Lieber obviously was a good majority leader because she didn't have any
- 56:20SPEAKER_01: primaries and things like that.
- 56:21SPEAKER_01: So she was able to navigate that space.
- 56:25SPEAKER_01: And I think those two both are on Ways and Means currently.
- 56:31SPEAKER_01: So that'll be interesting.
- 56:32SPEAKER_01: And then the other ones out there, and I'm really curious about you because I am at a loss on this.
- 56:37SPEAKER_01: So Senator Campos, Gelser Bluen, Frederick, Golden, Gorsuch, Jama, Manning, Meek.
- 56:47SPEAKER_01: Patterson, Prozansky, Salmon, Taylor, and Woods, right?
- 56:50SPEAKER_01: That's all the other ones out there that we know aren't running for anything else that are around.
- 56:55SPEAKER_01: I also heard today that potentially Senator Manning might be interested in it,
- 57:00SPEAKER_01: which is interesting because he's president pro tem.
- 57:02SPEAKER_01: So that'll be an interesting election.
- 57:05SPEAKER_01: I can see a few things going sideways there.
- 57:07SPEAKER_01: What's your thoughts?
- 57:08SPEAKER_00: Well, I have a couple different ones.
- 57:09SPEAKER_00: I think one of the things,
- 57:10SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 57:10SPEAKER_00: is that and this isn't something I typically put a lot of stock in,
- 57:15SPEAKER_00: but the Democrats do talk about the identity politics of this.
- 57:20SPEAKER_00: And so I think Senator Manning is interested and is,
- 57:24SPEAKER_00: you know,
- 57:24SPEAKER_00: a competitive candidate because he is African-American and he would be,
- 57:29SPEAKER_00: I think,
- 57:30SPEAKER_00: the only person in leadership of color.
- 57:33SPEAKER_00: I'm thinking about this.
- 57:35SPEAKER_00: You've got Speaker Fahey.
- 57:36SPEAKER_00: You've got President Wagner.
- 57:37SPEAKER_00: You've got Majority Leader Bowman.
- 57:38SPEAKER_00: You've got an open majority leader position.
- 57:40SPEAKER_00: You've got and then the only other person kind of in that upper echelons is
- 57:44SPEAKER_00: co-chair Sanchez on the House Republican or House Democrat side.
- 57:48SPEAKER_00: Excuse me.
- 57:48SPEAKER_00: So I think that that makes Manning a competitive candidate right away.
- 57:53SPEAKER_00: As you said, Senate pro tem.
- 57:54SPEAKER_00: So he's sort of already in a leadership position that gives him an opportunity.
- 57:58SPEAKER_00: Senator Taylor mentioned,
- 58:00SPEAKER_00: too,
- 58:00SPEAKER_00: I think she gets she gets a lot of credit for helping negotiate the end of the walkout.
- 58:06SPEAKER_00: I think that that showed a lot of leadership in a really challenging time,
- 58:11SPEAKER_00: obviously,
- 58:12SPEAKER_00: for Oregon and for the Democratic and Republican caucuses,
- 58:16SPEAKER_00: because we didn't know if the walkout was going to end or if it was just going to
- 58:19SPEAKER_00: end at sine die.
- 58:20SPEAKER_00: And so I think she gets some credit for that, certainly.
- 58:25SPEAKER_00: and then you know senator solomon having some recent wins with right to repair
- 58:28SPEAKER_00: maybe being seen as a little bit more progressive although i think like all these
- 58:33SPEAKER_00: most of these guys are all pretty progressive there aren't a lot of moderates left
- 58:36SPEAKER_01: in that senate democratic caucus that's i guess i would look towards to see what
- 58:41SPEAKER_01: does senator wagner president wagner want to kind of have as his right arm running
- 58:49SPEAKER_01: stuff that's that's where i'm looking at that list of people and
- 58:53SPEAKER_01: So Manning's kind of been that right arm, and maybe that's the connection there.
- 58:59SPEAKER_01: Maybe it could be good.
- 59:00SPEAKER_01: I don't know.
- 59:01SPEAKER_01: It's pretty interesting.
- 59:02SPEAKER_01: I think that at the end of the day,
- 59:05SPEAKER_01: I think Taylor,
- 59:06SPEAKER_01: Solomon,
- 59:06SPEAKER_01: and Manning seem to be the only ones that have the ability.
- 59:10SPEAKER_01: Prozanski won't do it because all he wants to do is beat Prozanski.
- 59:15SPEAKER_01: Gorsik isn't going to be there because we're going to beat him.
- 59:19SPEAKER_01: uh mark meek won't do it for i just mark doesn't strike me as somebody who wants to
- 59:25SPEAKER_01: do leadership he didn't do it on the house side either i think that he kind of
- 59:28SPEAKER_01: likes the lanes that he stands in and goes in patterson same woods is you know
- 59:34SPEAKER_01: still got some health issues and he's not gonna he's not gonna want to do anything
- 59:38SPEAKER_01: jama i thought maybe would
- 59:40SPEAKER_01: possibly step up into something.
- 59:42SPEAKER_01: He was a pretty good leader on housing and has been kind of a pretty decent leader.
- 59:46SPEAKER_01: I was surprised to your whole point of before,
- 59:49SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 59:49SPEAKER_01: of having a person of color and that sort of stuff.
- 59:53SPEAKER_01: And then Campos is the only one I fear that they would bring up,
- 59:57SPEAKER_01: but then now,
- 59:57SPEAKER_01: then he would have Bowman and Campos in the same,
- 1:00:01SPEAKER_01: same area.
- 1:00:02SPEAKER_01: So that would be interesting, both coming from the Beaverton Tigard area, but Campos, Campos is my fear.
- 1:00:09SPEAKER_01: That they want to bring up.
- 1:00:10SPEAKER_01: I think they think she's still pretty young,
- 1:00:12SPEAKER_01: but they,
- 1:00:13SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 1:00:13SPEAKER_01: there could be a lot of that progressiveness coming out of there.
- 1:00:16SPEAKER_01: So, yeah, I don't know.
- 1:00:18SPEAKER_01: I really don't know.
- 1:00:19SPEAKER_01: You usually have more Democrat insiders feeding you intel than I do.
- 1:00:24SPEAKER_00: I think I've said all that I know at this point,
- 1:00:27SPEAKER_00: Brian,
- 1:00:27SPEAKER_00: and we'll see if it sort of develops over the next month as the people who are
- 1:00:31SPEAKER_00: running start making calls and seeing what's possible in terms of the votes and the
- 1:00:36SPEAKER_00: way they line up.
- 1:00:37SPEAKER_00: I mean,
- 1:00:37SPEAKER_00: a lot of this,
- 1:00:38SPEAKER_00: Brian,
- 1:00:38SPEAKER_00: is who's most liked in the caucus,
- 1:00:40SPEAKER_00: and that's not always easy to parse externally because you don't know what kind of
- 1:00:45SPEAKER_00: fights they've had behind closed doors.
- 1:00:47SPEAKER_00: I mean, you can make some guesses based on legislation or stuff that spills out in the public, but
- 1:00:52SPEAKER_00: they try to keep that stuff, you know, bottled up to the extent that they can.
- 1:00:55SPEAKER_00: So sometimes it'll be a surprise person that's just really well-liked or hasn't
- 1:00:59SPEAKER_00: done anything significant to piss everybody off lately.
- 1:01:02SPEAKER_00: You know, I mean, it can, it can really, it can really turn into a popularity contest sometimes too.
- 1:01:06SPEAKER_00: I think it's not always about external achievements.
- 1:01:10SPEAKER_01: I think the house dims when they were doing their leadership stuff,
- 1:01:13SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 1:01:13SPEAKER_01: when it was Bowman versus Krupp,
- 1:01:17SPEAKER_01: I think there was some,
- 1:01:18SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 1:01:19SPEAKER_01: pragmatic discussions that went on, you know, with with those.
- 1:01:24SPEAKER_01: I don't know.
- 1:01:24SPEAKER_01: I wasn't there, obviously.
- 1:01:25SPEAKER_01: But we know Bowman won.
- 1:01:26SPEAKER_01: I don't know what the usually nobody ever tells you what what the vote totals were or anything like that.
- 1:01:32SPEAKER_01: But I think that caucus seemed like there was a kind of a desire to move towards
- 1:01:37SPEAKER_01: some kind of fresher new leadership stuff.
- 1:01:42SPEAKER_01: there just I just felt that and maybe that was like you just said after the course
- 1:01:46SPEAKER_01: of a month of hearing chatter and conversations and what what people are kind of
- 1:01:51SPEAKER_01: pushing towards the Senate Dems you know you and I have you know some of these guys
- 1:01:56SPEAKER_01: have been here a long time
- 1:01:58SPEAKER_01: And so we know where they stand.
- 1:01:59SPEAKER_01: And some of them we know aren't coming back or have already indicated they're not
- 1:02:03SPEAKER_01: coming back for another term.
- 1:02:05SPEAKER_01: So they're not going to run.
- 1:02:06SPEAKER_01: So it really does narrow that field of people that they could be voting for in July.
- 1:02:12SPEAKER_01: I'd be curious to see.
- 1:02:13SPEAKER_01: But the reality at the end of the day is leadership within the building,
- 1:02:19SPEAKER_01: besides President Wagner,
- 1:02:20SPEAKER_01: has completely turned over since Vicky left in September.
- 1:02:26SPEAKER_01: That is amazing.
- 1:02:27SPEAKER_00: All right,
- 1:02:27SPEAKER_00: Brian,
- 1:02:28SPEAKER_00: I think we did a great job covering the current news environment and giving people
- 1:02:33SPEAKER_00: advice on their campaigns.
- 1:02:35SPEAKER_00: If you use it, please let us know and then we'll send you invoices from our companies for the advice.
- 1:02:41SPEAKER_00: Brian, any last words for our listeners?
- 1:02:45SPEAKER_01: That was good.
- 1:02:46SPEAKER_01: Thanks for everybody.
- 1:02:47SPEAKER_01: Enjoy all the graduate.
- 1:02:48SPEAKER_01: If you have you're going to a graduation, go to it with that.
- 1:02:52SPEAKER_01: Take 50 bucks.
- 1:02:52SPEAKER_01: That's apparently the number that you have to give graduates this year.
- 1:02:57SPEAKER_01: So but congratulations,
- 1:02:59SPEAKER_01: all the mom,
- 1:03:00SPEAKER_01: dads,
- 1:03:00SPEAKER_01: grandparents,
- 1:03:01SPEAKER_01: you know,
- 1:03:01SPEAKER_01: that raise kids and get them through graduation because it it is something to celebrate.
- 1:03:07SPEAKER_01: And I'm going to go do that this weekend.
- 1:03:10SPEAKER_00: And then if they need a political education, tell them to go to crosstabs.studio and subscribe.
- 1:03:16SPEAKER_00: Tell them to follow at Brian G. Iverson, at Reagan Canope, at crosstabs.fm.
- 1:03:21SPEAKER_00: And we will see you guys next week.